WEBVTT - The Masters: Odds, Bets PGA Bets & One-And-Done Picks (Ep. 690) 0:00:01.240 --> 0:00:05.920 Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast presented by DraftKings. 0:00:06.280 --> 0:00:08.560 I'm Pat Fitzmorris here with Bau McBrayer. 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:12.200 It's Masters Week, the first major of the year is 0:00:12.320 --> 0:00:14.520 arguably the best major of the year, and today we 0:00:14.560 --> 0:00:17.680 will give you a full betting preview of the Masters 0:00:18.040 --> 0:00:19.959 Bow and I will let you know who we're betting. 0:00:20.320 --> 0:00:22.159 We'll make our one and done picks at the end 0:00:22.200 --> 0:00:24.800 of the show. We'll also do a very quick recap 0:00:24.880 --> 0:00:28.200 of the Valero Texas Open. In fact, let's cover the 0:00:28.240 --> 0:00:31.400 Valero right off the bat bow. Not a very interesting tournament. 0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:35.680 Brian Harmon wins the Valero Texas Open, finishing nine under par. 0:00:36.159 --> 0:00:38.839 Harmon raced out to an early lead by shooting sixty 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:41.080 six in each of his first two rounds. Then the 0:00:41.120 --> 0:00:43.320 win picked up on the weekend and Harmon hung on. 0:00:43.760 --> 0:00:47.240 He shot a sporty seventy two Saturday in the blustery conditions. 0:00:47.560 --> 0:00:50.040 He shot a three over par seventy five on Sunday, 0:00:50.040 --> 0:00:53.000 but still won by three shots over Ryan Girard and 0:00:53.280 --> 0:00:57.840 Maverick McNeely. No one ever seriously threatened Harmon on the weekend. 0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:00.720 Gerard surged into second place on the strength of a 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:03.360 final day sixty nine. He was one of only three 0:01:03.360 --> 0:01:06.520 players to break seventy in the difficult scoring conditions. On 0:01:06.640 --> 0:01:11.040 Sunday at TPC San Antonio, Maverick McNeely was steady eddie 0:01:11.319 --> 0:01:14.440 rounds of sixty eight, seventy two, seventy one and seventy two. 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:16.360 MAV is still on the come up, and I think 0:01:16.360 --> 0:01:19.319 it's worth remembering how solidly he blamed the windy conditions 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.560 over the weekend. I'm not sure what else to say 0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:24.560 about the Valero Texas Open Bow. It was kind of 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:29.720 a tough watch. Honestly. Brian Harmon is, let's generously call 0:01:29.800 --> 0:01:34.960 him deliberate as a player. There's some great songs that 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:37.360 are shorter than Brian Harmon's pre shot routine. 0:01:37.440 --> 0:01:39.920 There's some tool songs that are shorter than his pre 0:01:40.040 --> 0:01:41.319 shot routine. 0:01:42.680 --> 0:01:45.880 The bigger names in the field, Jordan Speith, Patrick Cantley, 0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:48.440 Corey Connors just sort of lurked around and never made 0:01:48.440 --> 0:01:52.480 a serious run at Harmon got anything profound to say 0:01:52.480 --> 0:01:54.360 about the Valero Texas Open Bow. 0:01:54.680 --> 0:01:56.360 I kind of laid it out last week. It's not 0:01:56.400 --> 0:01:59.480 a remarkable golf course. It's not usually a remarkable tournament. 0:01:59.520 --> 0:02:02.040 It's more of a tune up than anything, unless your 0:02:02.080 --> 0:02:04.600 name is Brian Harmon, who we actually time on a 0:02:04.640 --> 0:02:08.519 sun dial. There are because of global warming, glaciers actually 0:02:08.560 --> 0:02:11.160 move faster than he does now. It was fine for 0:02:11.240 --> 0:02:14.160 me because what I did bet were some placement bets. 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:16.080 I had three guys in the top five, so that 0:02:16.200 --> 0:02:19.280 was nice. But not getting an outright when there. It's 0:02:19.360 --> 0:02:22.079 not that into the world there because we are all 0:02:22.160 --> 0:02:26.519 kind of anticipating this week the Valero Texas Open. Afterthought 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:29.280 already out of my memory. Moving on, I don't want 0:02:29.320 --> 0:02:31.600 to talk about Brian Harmon anymore than I have to. 0:02:32.120 --> 0:02:33.480 Yeah, just sort of a dull event. 0:02:33.880 --> 0:02:36.480 And you know, we talked about TPC San Antonio not 0:02:36.560 --> 0:02:39.040 being a very exciting venue, although the wind gave it 0:02:39.080 --> 0:02:43.119 some teeth. I would much rather talk about Augustin National 0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:46.120 And we will turn to the masters in just a moment. 0:02:46.560 --> 0:02:49.800 But first download the free Betting pros app for iOS 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:53.400 and Android. With sportsbooks Sink, you can automatically track your 0:02:53.480 --> 0:02:57.320 bets across all major sportsbooks in one spot. You can 0:02:57.360 --> 0:03:00.800 easily monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, 0:03:01.000 --> 0:03:05.120 including game picks, props and parlays. Go ahead and create 0:03:05.160 --> 0:03:09.519 your custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. 0:03:09.960 --> 0:03:12.560 Get a free trial of betting Pros Premium by downloading 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:16.200 the app at bettingpros dot com slash apps and activating 0:03:16.240 --> 0:03:18.160 your trial on the upgrade screen. 0:03:18.840 --> 0:03:21.360 Let's talk about the masters, and we have to start 0:03:21.400 --> 0:03:25.600 with Augusta National, the shangri La of American golf. It's 0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:28.600 in the northeastern part of Georgia, near the border with 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:32.359 South Carolina. It's a par seventy two measuring seven five 0:03:32.440 --> 0:03:35.280 hundred and fifty five yards. It plays longer than its 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:38.400 yardage because of all the elevation changes. I've been lucky 0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:42.040 enough to visit Augusta National. I don't think TV adequately 0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:45.840 captures those elevation changes. Maybe you get a sense of 0:03:45.880 --> 0:03:48.600 it when you see players on the tenth t looking 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:51.840 down that ski slope of a fairway fairway that drops 0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:54.280 more than one hundred feet off the tee. It's the 0:03:54.360 --> 0:03:56.320 uphill climbs that you don't always get a sense of 0:03:56.360 --> 0:03:59.720 when you're watching on television. Because of the rolling terrain, 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:05.000 Augusta National constantly challenges players with uneven lies, much more 0:04:05.040 --> 0:04:08.840 so than I think at any other tour venue. Congratulations 0:04:08.840 --> 0:04:10.640 on putting your drive in the fairway. Now try to 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:13.400 hit a high fade with a five iron from a 0:04:13.440 --> 0:04:15.960 hook with the ball a hook lie with the ball 0:04:16.000 --> 0:04:18.960 above your feet like that is a challenge players often 0:04:18.960 --> 0:04:20.800 have to face on the par five to thirteenth hole, 0:04:21.520 --> 0:04:24.640 or they look toward the green, you know all the 0:04:24.680 --> 0:04:28.400 azaleas in bloom behind the back bunkers, and you know 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:30.080 they've got that tough lie. Or they might have to 0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:32.799 hit an approach shot off a downslope to an elevated green. 0:04:33.160 --> 0:04:35.720 That's the challenge of number nine, a very underrated par 0:04:35.839 --> 0:04:40.080 four it Augusta. Shot shaping very important. There are some 0:04:40.160 --> 0:04:41.880 t shots where you're asked to work the ball from 0:04:41.960 --> 0:04:44.200 right to left, as on the thirteenth hall, where you 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:46.320 want to avoid that stand of pine trees on the 0:04:46.360 --> 0:04:48.479 right side in order to have a go at the 0:04:48.480 --> 0:04:50.320 green in two. There are a lot of times when 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:53.200 players will want to work the ball from left to right. Now, 0:04:53.240 --> 0:04:56.760 the fairways are generally pretty wide at Augusta National, and 0:04:56.800 --> 0:05:00.160 the rough range is from light to nonexistent. The big 0:05:00.240 --> 0:05:03.320 hitters do have an advantage here. Distance helps conquer the 0:05:03.360 --> 0:05:05.880 power fives and gives players an edge on some of 0:05:05.920 --> 0:05:09.000 the tougher par fours. Holes number ten and eleven jump 0:05:09.040 --> 0:05:11.480 to mind. But you don't need to be a big 0:05:11.560 --> 0:05:14.560 hitter to win the Masters, especially if conditions are firm 0:05:14.600 --> 0:05:17.920 and fast. We've seen bunters like Mike Weir and Zach 0:05:18.040 --> 0:05:21.480 Johnson wing green jackets. Now I mentioned the fairways are 0:05:21.520 --> 0:05:25.839 generally wide. There are some exceptions, no question, notably the 0:05:25.920 --> 0:05:28.120 t shot on the eighteenth hole that has to be 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:30.560 one of the most terrifying t shots players will hit 0:05:30.600 --> 0:05:33.839 all year, with its narrow shoot between the trees to 0:05:33.920 --> 0:05:38.120 an uphill fairway. They're well placed bunkers all over the course. 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:40.680 The only hole that doesn't have any bunkers is the 0:05:40.720 --> 0:05:44.680 par four fourteenth. Greenside bunkers aren't necessarily the worst place 0:05:44.720 --> 0:05:46.920 to be in many instances, but the fairway bunkers that 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:50.719 Augusta can be pretty punishing. They're deep, and the sand 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:53.880 at Augusta is soft. Can be pretty difficult to flush 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:57.040 the ball out of a fairway bunker. And then bo 0:05:57.360 --> 0:06:00.680 there are the greens. Their bent grass and they are 0:06:00.720 --> 0:06:03.400 blazing fast. They're the toughest greens players are going to 0:06:03.440 --> 0:06:06.960 face all year. Augusta Nationals greens are big and undulating, 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:11.240 with all sorts of complicated slopes. Puts can break severely 0:06:11.240 --> 0:06:12.920 if you don't put your shot in the right spot 0:06:12.920 --> 0:06:15.200 on the green. They're gonna be instances this week where 0:06:15.240 --> 0:06:18.120 players are actually hitting their putts away from the hole 0:06:18.160 --> 0:06:20.680 at more than one hundred and eighty degrees. They're gonna 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.479 be three putts galore. There'll be some four, maybe even 0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:27.760 five putts. Ernie Elle's famously six putted the first hole 0:06:27.800 --> 0:06:32.040 from only three feet away in twenty sixteen. The greens 0:06:32.120 --> 0:06:35.159 just they make shot placements so critical. Stay below the 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:37.520 hole and you'll be in great shape. Miss your target 0:06:37.560 --> 0:06:40.400 and end up above the hole, good luck to you. 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:44.400 But the undulations of the Augusta greens can actually be 0:06:44.480 --> 0:06:47.520 friendly to players. Some greens will funnel well play shots 0:06:47.560 --> 0:06:50.680 toward the hole, setting up short birdie puts. You'll see 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.560 that on the tiered eighteenth green, for instance. Players use 0:06:53.960 --> 0:06:56.920 the backboard for a little spin down to the hole 0:06:56.960 --> 0:06:59.039 when the pin is in the front of the green. 0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:01.400 We'll see it so on the sixteenth hole with that 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:04.520 tricky left side pin placement on the lowest part of 0:07:04.520 --> 0:07:07.520 the green, and memorably we saw it on the par 0:07:07.680 --> 0:07:12.280 five second hole in twenty twelve, when Louis Ustasen landed 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.680 his second shot on the front of the green and 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:17.160 let it chase some eighty feet to the back right 0:07:17.840 --> 0:07:19.920 part of the green, it dropped in for a double eagle. 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:22.800 That was the year Usti lost a playoff to Bubba Watson. 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:26.360 It's very helpful to have experience with these greens. It's 0:07:26.360 --> 0:07:28.520 a big reason why it's rare for first timers to 0:07:28.560 --> 0:07:30.760 contend a at Gosten, why we see some of the 0:07:30.760 --> 0:07:33.920 same names on the leaderboard year after year. Ludwig Oberg 0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:37.320 was kind of an exception last year, finishing second in 0:07:37.400 --> 0:07:40.800 his Maden voyage at the Masters. You have to score 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:44.040 well on the par fives here, no question about it. 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:47.640 They are all very reachable in two. The thirteenth of 0:07:47.680 --> 0:07:51.520 the fifteenth holes are especially famous. I've talked about the thirteenth, 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:54.360 which is five hundred and forty five yards and technically 0:07:54.400 --> 0:07:57.360 the easiest hole in the course as far as scoring average. 0:07:57.600 --> 0:07:58.720 Then there's the fifteenth. 0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:01.520 It's five hundred and fifty yards with a generous fair way, 0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:03.440 but you have to carry a pond with your approach 0:08:03.440 --> 0:08:06.160 shot miss long and then you have a difficult chip 0:08:06.240 --> 0:08:09.560 back with the green funneling balls toward that front pond. 0:08:10.320 --> 0:08:12.560 The front nine par fives number two and number eight 0:08:12.640 --> 0:08:16.640 are underrated gems. Number two presents a downhill approach shot 0:08:16.680 --> 0:08:20.120 to that crazy triangular green. Number eight gives you a 0:08:20.120 --> 0:08:22.840 blind uphill approach to a green guarded by mounds on 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:27.120 either side, and negotiating the part threes is pretty critical too. 0:08:27.240 --> 0:08:29.840 The back nine has the famous twelfth hole, maybe the 0:08:29.880 --> 0:08:32.640 best and most difficult short part three in the world. 0:08:32.800 --> 0:08:34.880 It's only one hundred and fifty five yards to a 0:08:34.960 --> 0:08:38.960 long but extremely shallow green. You have to clear Rays Creek, 0:08:39.320 --> 0:08:41.280 and there's a steep embankment on the far side of 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:43.559 the creek that will bat balls back into the water. 0:08:44.160 --> 0:08:47.520 The wind is extremely hard to judge on the twelfth hole, 0:08:48.120 --> 0:08:50.480 and Jordan Speith came to the twelfth with a five 0:08:50.559 --> 0:08:53.240 shot lead in the final round in twenty sixteen. His 0:08:53.280 --> 0:08:55.000 t shot hit the bank on the far side of 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:57.520 Rays Creek and bounce back into the water. He hit 0:08:57.520 --> 0:08:59.920 his third shot fat from the drop area into the 0:09:00.160 --> 0:09:03.440 creek again. He sailed his fifth shot into the back bunker. 0:09:03.679 --> 0:09:06.640 Speeth took a quadruple bogie seven on the twelfth he 0:09:06.720 --> 0:09:10.079 lost to Danny Willett by three shots after leading by 0:09:10.320 --> 0:09:13.800 five with seven holes to play. Then there's the fame 0:09:13.920 --> 0:09:17.040 sixteenth hole with the pond in front of the hole 0:09:17.080 --> 0:09:20.240 into the left. It's this is the hole where Tiger 0:09:20.280 --> 0:09:22.920 Woods had the famous chip in during his duel with 0:09:23.000 --> 0:09:27.160 Chris DeMarco in two thousand and five. And the power 0:09:27.240 --> 0:09:30.319 threes on the front nine both play downhill. Number four 0:09:30.400 --> 0:09:32.360 is a two hundred and forty yard monster. You need 0:09:32.400 --> 0:09:35.080 to hit a great long iron to get the ball 0:09:35.120 --> 0:09:37.280 close to the hole. Number six is one hundred and 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:40.040 eighty yards to one of the trickier greens on the course. 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:43.439 And let's not leave out the par fours. The tenth 0:09:43.440 --> 0:09:46.120 and the eleventh holes are both long downhill dog legs. 0:09:46.200 --> 0:09:49.040 Number ten it's the hardest hole on the course by 0:09:49.080 --> 0:09:52.360 scoring average. Number eleven second hardest hole on the course. 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:55.600 Number fourteen and number seventeen don't appear to be that 0:09:55.679 --> 0:09:59.160 complicated until you get to the greens. The fourteenth and 0:09:59.200 --> 0:10:02.920 seventeenth greens are both labby Corinthian. They might be the 0:10:02.960 --> 0:10:05.880 two toughest greens on the course. We talked about the 0:10:05.920 --> 0:10:08.760 eighteenth hole with its narrow, little shoot off the tee 0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:11.600 and its uphill approach to a tiered green front. Nine 0:10:11.600 --> 0:10:14.400 power fours are excellent too. I love number three. It's 0:10:14.440 --> 0:10:16.800 only three hundred and sixty yards, but it's another hole 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:19.560 with a demanding green. Putting your wedge in the right 0:10:19.559 --> 0:10:22.040 spot is critical. Also a big fan of the four 0:10:22.160 --> 0:10:24.200 hundred and ninety five yard fifth hole with its big, 0:10:24.240 --> 0:10:28.960 bumpy green bottom line. There is not a single pushover 0:10:29.000 --> 0:10:31.880 hole at Augusta National. Every hole can yield a bow 0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:36.440 gear worse if you play it sloppily, but not any 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:40.240 hole at Augusta is unconquerable. Like every hole here will 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:42.440 yield a birdie or even an eagle if you play 0:10:42.480 --> 0:10:46.240 it artfully. The weather forecast for Augusta, Georgia this week 0:10:46.440 --> 0:10:50.400 pretty ideal, temperatures ranging from the low sixties to the 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:54.040 mid seventies, no rain in the forecast, wins of five 0:10:54.080 --> 0:10:56.480 to ten miles an hour, maybe a little breezier than 0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:59.440 that on Friday. Not enough wind to really punish the players, 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:02.400 but enough to challenged them now. Scotti Scheffler is the 0:11:02.400 --> 0:11:05.680 defending champion. He finished eleven under par last year, four 0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:08.840 shots better than Ludwig Oberg. It was Scotty's second win 0:11:08.920 --> 0:11:11.760 at the Masters. He also won in twenty two twenty 0:11:11.840 --> 0:11:14.920 twenty two, finishing minus ten and beating Rory McElroy by 0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:18.440 three shots. John Ram won in twenty twenty three. He 0:11:18.559 --> 0:11:21.439 was twelve under, four shots clear of Phil Mickelson and 0:11:21.480 --> 0:11:24.839 Brooks Koepka. Haadeki Matsuiama won in twenty twenty one. He 0:11:24.880 --> 0:11:28.160 finished minus ten to beat will Zalatoris by one stroke, 0:11:28.280 --> 0:11:31.520 and Dustin Johnson won the twenty twenty Masters, which was 0:11:31.520 --> 0:11:33.880 played in the fall that year due to COVID. DJ 0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:37.640 went twenty under par to win by five shots. I 0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:40.800 love this course, bo sprinkle my ashes here when I'm gone. 0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:42.920 Your thoughts on augustin Nashal. 0:11:43.280 --> 0:11:46.280 It's just it's perfect. It's perfect in every way. There's 0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:49.840 not a blade of grass out of place. The hills 0:11:49.920 --> 0:11:56.119 are unruly, the lies are uneven, the golf is somehow 0:11:56.240 --> 0:12:01.679 still incredibly fair. Good shots are rewarded with opportunities, and 0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:06.880 bad shots are swatted away with draconian consequences. That's what 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:10.319 golf should be about. This is the measuring stick. This 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:13.880 is the barometer for all championship golfers. If you're in 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.880 this field, you want to be able to hold yourself 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:19.520 up to that standard of how did I do at 0:12:19.520 --> 0:12:22.400 the Masters When the field is the strongest, it's the 0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:26.400 most concentrated at the top. Every top golfer is here, 0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:30.120 and every top golfer who's conquered Augusta in the past 0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:34.040 that's able to is here. That's what is The majesty 0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:37.800 of this tournament is unmistakable. It's unparalleled. You cannot beat 0:12:37.800 --> 0:12:40.360 to the Masters in any way, shape or form. And 0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:42.360 as for Gary Player who says it's not even in 0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:47.160 his top fifty golf courses, hogwash. This is the best 0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:50.080 golf course in the world. Maybe not the most famous, 0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:53.360 it's up there in fame too, but it's the best 0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:56.880 golf course in the world. And it's also the most exclusive. 0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:00.600 It has the mystique, it has the allure, and it's like, 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.120 how often does a golfer want to venture into the 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:06.800 woods for an experience like that? Well, here you go, 0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:09.760 tucked back into the woods is the crown jewel of 0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:14.559 championship golf. And it's just it's just the best. It's perfect. 0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:18.000 Augusta National not open to the public, but I would 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:21.920 pay far more money than I could reasonably afford to 0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:23.640 play around at Augusta National. 0:13:23.800 --> 0:13:26.040 I would sell my house right now to play it 0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:26.840 at one time. 0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:31.440 It is that magical a place. Care to guess at 0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:33.079 a winning score this week ball. 0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.560 The weather is going to be mild and gettable, so 0:13:36.679 --> 0:13:39.120 it's probably going to be between fifteen and eighteen under part. 0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:42.600 A little bit more favorable scoring conditions this year, not 0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:44.960 quite as favorable as it was when it was softened 0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:49.040 in November of twenty twenty during the pandemic. But I 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:52.600 do think that the field strength, how well the golfers 0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:55.680 are playing coming in, and with the way we've seen 0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:59.800 scoring trending is going low. So fifteen to eighteen under 0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:00.920 part most likely. 0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:03.760 I'm going to go a little a little higher than 0:14:03.760 --> 0:14:06.679 you for winning score BO as far as well, not 0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:10.000 quite as high relative to under par. I'm gonna say 0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:13.720 minus twelve, minus thirteen. I think firm, Yeah, firm and 0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:17.000 fast conditions. I think could could trick it up a little. Granted, 0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:18.360 there's not going to be a lot of wind and 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:21.480 the greens aren't going to be soft, but I without 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:22.760 the soft greens. 0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:26.800 Oh it's brutally difficult. And so yeah, if you hear 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:30.800 anybody say that they could break eighty at Augusta their life. Yeah, 0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:34.800 or they're delusional, or they're both. It's it's just who 0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:35.520 are they lying to? 0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:35.880 You? 0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:41.840 Are themselves? This course is absolutely disgusting for an amateur 0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:42.520 to even think about it. 0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:46.040 Yeah, with a masters setup, if you are a scratch golfer, 0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:49.400 I don't think you're breaking eighty quite honestly, No. 0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:51.080 Chance, No chance, maybe ninety. 0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.880 Now the battle for the jacket is heating up in Augusta, 0:14:53.960 --> 0:14:56.240 and there is no better place to sweat the action 0:14:56.720 --> 0:15:01.040 than DraftKings Daily Fantasy, the ultimate destination fantasy golf fans, 0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:04.920 and for this year's first major, DraftKings is giving all 0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:08.800 customers shot to play free for a one million dollars 0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:11.680 top prize with your next ten dollars deposit on the 0:15:11.760 --> 0:15:16.120 DraftKings Fantasy app. It's simple to play, build your dream 0:15:16.200 --> 0:15:19.080 lineup while staying under the salary cap, then sit back 0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:22.840 and watches your player's rack up points, every birdie, every bogie, 0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:26.920 every clutch pot, feel the intensity of every shot. I 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:29.520 talked about wanting to get Patrick Reid into my Draft 0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:32.640 Kings DFS lineups last week. Bo I do indeed think 0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:36.120 he's value priced at seventy three hundred, another bargain. 0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:38.360 Price to live to her player. How about Sergio Garcia. 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.360 He's only seventy one hundred, He's been playing well, and 0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:43.760 he loves this course. Sergio is a green jacket in 0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:47.600 his closet. I'm torn between Scotti, Scheffler and Rory McElroy 0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:50.600 as my anchor player, leaning a little toward the slightly 0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:53.600 less expensive Rory. Does anyone stand out to you as 0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:56.600 an especially good Draft Kings DFS play at the Masters Bow. 0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:00.840 I'll give you a couple at the top as my anchor. 0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:05.200 I'm going to sue the top two guys completely because 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.640 the number three golfer in the world behind Scotty and 0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.480 Rory is Xander Schoffley, and he's going for sub ten 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.800 k on DraftKings at ninety seven hundred. He's got four 0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:17.280 top tens in his last five years at the Masters. 0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:20.240 So yeah, I'm going to take the easy value with 0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:23.760 Xander Schaffley there and right in that same range where 0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:27.080 you're finding Patrick Reid. I love that pick. But how 0:16:27.080 --> 0:16:29.880 about a guy who's averaging eighty DraftKings points a week 0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.640 this season, Sepstrack at seventy six hundred. That's a great 0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:37.240 value one of the best approach players with short game 0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:39.880 that we have in this field, and he just seems 0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.800 to He seems to do well when the conditions get tough. 0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:44.680 And guess what, It's not going to be easy this week. 0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:48.880 Not download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app and use code 0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:52.040 BP golf to play free for a shot at the 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:55.480 one million dollar top prize with just a ten dollars deposit. 0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:59.560 That's for all DraftKings customers. Just download the Daily Fantasy 0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:02.360 app use code BP golf for your free shot today. 0:17:02.680 --> 0:17:07.520 The Crown is yours. Gambling problem call one eight hundred 0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:10.800 gambler in New York Call one eight hundred gambler In 0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:14.400 New York call eight seven seven eight hope enn why 0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:18.280 or text hope n why to four six seven three 0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:22.080 six nine. In Connecticut, help is available for problem gambling 0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.800 Call eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven 0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:30.720 seven or visit CCPG dot org eighteen plus in most 0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:35.320 eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. 0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:40.360 Voidware prohibited new customers only, Minimum ten dollars deposit required. 0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:43.879 One single use ten dollars ticket rewarded for Fantasy Golf 0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:47.520 Millionaire contest that expires on April tenth at seven am. 0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:53.080 See terms at DraftKings dot com Slash Promotions sponsored by 0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:56.920 DraftKings Now for the master's odds. These odds are courtesy 0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:00.399 of the DraftKings Sportsbook as of Monday morning. Please know 0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.359 that some player odds will have changed slightly by the 0:18:02.359 --> 0:18:05.840 time you consume this show. Scotty Scheffler is the favorite 0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:10.119 at plus four hundred. Rory McElroy is plus six fifty 0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.439 short odds for Rory to win his first Green Jacket 0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:15.920 this week. Big John Rahm is plus thirteen hundred. Bryce 0:18:15.960 --> 0:18:19.119 and d Chambeau, Colin Morikawa and Xander Schoffley are plus 0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:24.080 eighteen hundred. Ludwig Oberg is plus two thousand, Justin Thomas 0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:27.800 plus twenty five hundred, Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama are 0:18:27.800 --> 0:18:31.159 plus three thousand, Jordan Spieth is plus thirty five hundred, 0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:35.080 and Victor Hovland, Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Cantley our plus 0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:37.920 four thousand. Let's talk about this GROUPO, how do you 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:41.160 feel about Scotty at plus four hundred and Rory at 0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:43.639 plus six fifty and do any of the other players 0:18:43.640 --> 0:18:44.280 stand out to you? 0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.640 This is a horse for course type of course. And 0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:53.240 that being said, I see two green jackets in Scotti 0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:58.280 Scheffler's closet and zero in Rory McElroy's. Twenty eleven was 0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:00.560 the year they had the big lead in completly fell 0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:04.520 apart on Sunday. Ever since then, Rory McElroy has been 0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:07.520 cursed at Augusta National. And yes he is the only 0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:11.560 multiple time winner on tour this season, I still think 0:19:11.600 --> 0:19:14.480 he's cursed. I still think that these odds are an 0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:17.880 insult to bookmaking because it's just a bunch of suckers 0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:20.600 like us out there wanting to ride that Rory wave. 0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:23.480 And yes it was very tempting, but to get the 0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:26.840 number three ranked golfer in the world at plus eighteen 0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:30.960 hundred is ludicrous. Xanderschoffley is a better track record at 0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:34.679 Augusta National than Rory does. He's playing decently well for 0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:38.800 coming off an injury earlier this season, and I think 0:19:39.040 --> 0:19:41.280 as far as it goes, he's a better horse for 0:19:41.320 --> 0:19:45.240 this course than is Rory McElroy. I'm probably gonna withhold 0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:48.399 my Scottie Scheffler betting unless I get a double digit 0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:51.200 odds type of live bet setup where he's still within 0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.199 striking distance with enough holes to play to catch up 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:57.399 and make that bet worth it. But I'm starting my 0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:01.520 outright card with Xanderschoff, and I'm going to run right 0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:05.199 into Ludwig Oberg at plus two thousand. Shaffley is the 0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:08.080 longest odds I could ever predict, because I handicapped him 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.560 at plus eight hundred. So getting an extra ten to 0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:12.560 one odds for a guy that's number three in the 0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:18.720 world and a multiple major winner last year, defending PGA champion, 0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:22.160 defending champion Golf of the Year last year, and we're 0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:24.200 going to talk about this guy being rolled over into 0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:28.160 plus eighteen hundred territory. It's ludicrous. And on the same token, 0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:31.280 I'm betting Ludwig Oberg at the absolute shortest odds I 0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:34.199 would bet him at at plus two thousand. That's just 0:20:34.240 --> 0:20:37.480 because his upside is unmistakable. This guy has more of 0:20:37.520 --> 0:20:40.280 a killer instinct than you they would ever imagine. He's 0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:42.520 got a lot more brooks kept cut under the hood 0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:47.280 than he does. Somebody meek and mild like his outside 0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:51.639 persona very cheerful, very very calm and collected, but that 0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:54.479 dude is an ice cold killer under the surface. Like 0:20:54.520 --> 0:20:57.360 brooks Kepi. He's a big game hunter and he's got 0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:00.000 the upside that could run away with the Masters tournament 0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:02.600 like he almost did last year. He almost ran down 0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:05.520 Scotty Shuffler last year until he dunked one on eleven. 0:21:05.960 --> 0:21:08.600 And that is why I think that he could make 0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:11.919 a Tiger esque run at a Masters in his career 0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:14.560 where he just dominates the field by double digit strokes. 0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:17.160