1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast presented by DraftKings. 2 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 2: I'm Pat Fitzmorris here with Bau McBrayer. 3 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: It's Masters Week, the first major of the year is 4 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: arguably the best major of the year, and today we 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: will give you a full betting preview of the Masters 6 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:19,959 Speaker 1: Bow and I will let you know who we're betting. 7 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:22,159 Speaker 1: We'll make our one and done picks at the end 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: of the show. We'll also do a very quick recap 9 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: of the Valero Texas Open. In fact, let's cover the 10 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: Valero right off the bat bow. Not a very interesting tournament. 11 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: Brian Harmon wins the Valero Texas Open, finishing nine under par. 12 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,839 Speaker 1: Harmon raced out to an early lead by shooting sixty 13 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: six in each of his first two rounds. Then the 14 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: win picked up on the weekend and Harmon hung on. 15 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 1: He shot a sporty seventy two Saturday in the blustery conditions. 16 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: He shot a three over par seventy five on Sunday, 17 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: but still won by three shots over Ryan Girard and 18 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: Maverick McNeely. No one ever seriously threatened Harmon on the weekend. 19 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: Gerard surged into second place on the strength of a 20 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: final day sixty nine. He was one of only three 21 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: players to break seventy in the difficult scoring conditions. On 22 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:11,040 Speaker 1: Sunday at TPC San Antonio, Maverick McNeely was steady eddie 23 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 1: rounds of sixty eight, seventy two, seventy one and seventy two. 24 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: MAV is still on the come up, and I think 25 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 1: it's worth remembering how solidly he blamed the windy conditions 26 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: over the weekend. I'm not sure what else to say 27 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: about the Valero Texas Open Bow. It was kind of 28 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: a tough watch. Honestly. Brian Harmon is, let's generously call 29 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 1: him deliberate as a player. There's some great songs that 30 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: are shorter than Brian Harmon's pre shot routine. 31 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 3: There's some tool songs that are shorter than his pre 32 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 3: shot routine. 33 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: The bigger names in the field, Jordan Speith, Patrick Cantley, 34 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: Corey Connors just sort of lurked around and never made 35 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: a serious run at Harmon got anything profound to say 36 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: about the Valero Texas Open Bow. 37 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 3: I kind of laid it out last week. It's not 38 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 3: a remarkable golf course. It's not usually a remarkable tournament. 39 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 3: It's more of a tune up than anything, unless your 40 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 3: name is Brian Harmon, who we actually time on a 41 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 3: sun dial. There are because of global warming, glaciers actually 42 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 3: move faster than he does now. It was fine for 43 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 3: me because what I did bet were some placement bets. 44 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 3: I had three guys in the top five, so that 45 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 3: was nice. But not getting an outright when there. It's 46 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 3: not that into the world there because we are all 47 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 3: kind of anticipating this week the Valero Texas Open. Afterthought 48 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 3: already out of my memory. Moving on, I don't want 49 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 3: to talk about Brian Harmon anymore than I have to. 50 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, just sort of a dull event. 51 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: And you know, we talked about TPC San Antonio not 52 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: being a very exciting venue, although the wind gave it 53 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:43,119 Speaker 1: some teeth. I would much rather talk about Augustin National 54 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: And we will turn to the masters in just a moment. 55 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 3: But first download the free Betting pros app for iOS 56 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: and Android. With sportsbooks Sink, you can automatically track your 57 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 3: bets across all major sportsbooks in one spot. You can 58 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 3: easily monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, 59 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 3: including game picks, props and parlays. Go ahead and create 60 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:09,519 Speaker 3: your custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. 61 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 3: Get a free trial of betting Pros Premium by downloading 62 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 3: the app at bettingpros dot com slash apps and activating 63 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 3: your trial on the upgrade screen. 64 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,360 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the masters, and we have to start 65 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: with Augusta National, the shangri La of American golf. It's 66 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: in the northeastern part of Georgia, near the border with 67 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:32,359 Speaker 1: South Carolina. It's a par seventy two measuring seven five 68 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty five yards. It plays longer than its 69 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: yardage because of all the elevation changes. I've been lucky 70 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: enough to visit Augusta National. I don't think TV adequately 71 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: captures those elevation changes. Maybe you get a sense of 72 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: it when you see players on the tenth t looking 73 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: down that ski slope of a fairway fairway that drops 74 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: more than one hundred feet off the tee. It's the 75 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: uphill climbs that you don't always get a sense of 76 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: when you're watching on television. Because of the rolling terrain, 77 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: Augusta National constantly challenges players with uneven lies, much more 78 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 1: so than I think at any other tour venue. Congratulations 79 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: on putting your drive in the fairway. Now try to 80 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: hit a high fade with a five iron from a 81 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: hook with the ball a hook lie with the ball 82 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 1: above your feet like that is a challenge players often 83 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: have to face on the par five to thirteenth hole, 84 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: or they look toward the green, you know all the 85 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: azaleas in bloom behind the back bunkers, and you know 86 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: they've got that tough lie. Or they might have to 87 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,799 Speaker 1: hit an approach shot off a downslope to an elevated green. 88 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 1: That's the challenge of number nine, a very underrated par 89 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: four it Augusta. Shot shaping very important. There are some 90 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: t shots where you're asked to work the ball from 91 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: right to left, as on the thirteenth hall, where you 92 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: want to avoid that stand of pine trees on the 93 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,479 Speaker 1: right side in order to have a go at the 94 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: green in two. There are a lot of times when 95 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: players will want to work the ball from left to right. Now, 96 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: the fairways are generally pretty wide at Augusta National, and 97 00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:00,160 Speaker 1: the rough range is from light to nonexistent. The big 98 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 1: hitters do have an advantage here. Distance helps conquer the 99 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: power fives and gives players an edge on some of 100 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: the tougher par fours. Holes number ten and eleven jump 101 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 1: to mind. But you don't need to be a big 102 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 1: hitter to win the Masters, especially if conditions are firm 103 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: and fast. We've seen bunters like Mike Weir and Zach 104 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 1: Johnson wing green jackets. Now I mentioned the fairways are 105 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: generally wide. There are some exceptions, no question, notably the 106 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: t shot on the eighteenth hole that has to be 107 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 1: one of the most terrifying t shots players will hit 108 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 1: all year, with its narrow shoot between the trees to 109 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 1: an uphill fairway. They're well placed bunkers all over the course. 110 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: The only hole that doesn't have any bunkers is the 111 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: par four fourteenth. Greenside bunkers aren't necessarily the worst place 112 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: to be in many instances, but the fairway bunkers that 113 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 1: Augusta can be pretty punishing. They're deep, and the sand 114 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: at Augusta is soft. Can be pretty difficult to flush 115 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: the ball out of a fairway bunker. And then bo 116 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 1: there are the greens. Their bent grass and they are 117 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: blazing fast. They're the toughest greens players are going to 118 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: face all year. Augusta Nationals greens are big and undulating, 119 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: with all sorts of complicated slopes. Puts can break severely 120 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: if you don't put your shot in the right spot 121 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: on the green. They're gonna be instances this week where 122 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: players are actually hitting their putts away from the hole 123 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 1: at more than one hundred and eighty degrees. They're gonna 124 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 1: be three putts galore. There'll be some four, maybe even 125 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: five putts. Ernie Elle's famously six putted the first hole 126 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: from only three feet away in twenty sixteen. The greens 127 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: just they make shot placements so critical. Stay below the 128 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: hole and you'll be in great shape. Miss your target 129 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: and end up above the hole, good luck to you. 130 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: But the undulations of the Augusta greens can actually be 131 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: friendly to players. Some greens will funnel well play shots 132 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: toward the hole, setting up short birdie puts. You'll see 133 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: that on the tiered eighteenth green, for instance. Players use 134 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: the backboard for a little spin down to the hole 135 00:06:56,960 --> 00:06:59,039 Speaker 1: when the pin is in the front of the green. 136 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: We'll see it so on the sixteenth hole with that 137 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: tricky left side pin placement on the lowest part of 138 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: the green, and memorably we saw it on the par 139 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: five second hole in twenty twelve, when Louis Ustasen landed 140 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: his second shot on the front of the green and 141 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: let it chase some eighty feet to the back right 142 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: part of the green, it dropped in for a double eagle. 143 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: That was the year Usti lost a playoff to Bubba Watson. 144 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: It's very helpful to have experience with these greens. It's 145 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: a big reason why it's rare for first timers to 146 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: contend a at Gosten, why we see some of the 147 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: same names on the leaderboard year after year. Ludwig Oberg 148 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: was kind of an exception last year, finishing second in 149 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: his Maden voyage at the Masters. You have to score 150 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: well on the par fives here, no question about it. 151 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: They are all very reachable in two. The thirteenth of 152 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: the fifteenth holes are especially famous. I've talked about the thirteenth, 153 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: which is five hundred and forty five yards and technically 154 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: the easiest hole in the course as far as scoring average. 155 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 2: Then there's the fifteenth. 156 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: It's five hundred and fifty yards with a generous fair way, 157 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: but you have to carry a pond with your approach 158 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: shot miss long and then you have a difficult chip 159 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: back with the green funneling balls toward that front pond. 160 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: The front nine par fives number two and number eight 161 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: are underrated gems. Number two presents a downhill approach shot 162 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: to that crazy triangular green. Number eight gives you a 163 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: blind uphill approach to a green guarded by mounds on 164 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: either side, and negotiating the part threes is pretty critical too. 165 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: The back nine has the famous twelfth hole, maybe the 166 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: best and most difficult short part three in the world. 167 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: It's only one hundred and fifty five yards to a 168 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: long but extremely shallow green. You have to clear Rays Creek, 169 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 1: and there's a steep embankment on the far side of 170 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,559 Speaker 1: the creek that will bat balls back into the water. 171 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: The wind is extremely hard to judge on the twelfth hole, 172 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: and Jordan Speith came to the twelfth with a five 173 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: shot lead in the final round in twenty sixteen. His 174 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 1: t shot hit the bank on the far side of 175 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: Rays Creek and bounce back into the water. He hit 176 00:08:57,520 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: his third shot fat from the drop area into the 177 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: creek again. He sailed his fifth shot into the back bunker. 178 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: Speeth took a quadruple bogie seven on the twelfth he 179 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 1: lost to Danny Willett by three shots after leading by 180 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: five with seven holes to play. Then there's the fame 181 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: sixteenth hole with the pond in front of the hole 182 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: into the left. It's this is the hole where Tiger 183 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 1: Woods had the famous chip in during his duel with 184 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 1: Chris DeMarco in two thousand and five. And the power 185 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 1: threes on the front nine both play downhill. Number four 186 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 1: is a two hundred and forty yard monster. You need 187 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 1: to hit a great long iron to get the ball 188 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 1: close to the hole. Number six is one hundred and 189 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: eighty yards to one of the trickier greens on the course. 190 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 1: And let's not leave out the par fours. The tenth 191 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: and the eleventh holes are both long downhill dog legs. 192 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: Number ten it's the hardest hole on the course by 193 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: scoring average. Number eleven second hardest hole on the course. 194 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 1: Number fourteen and number seventeen don't appear to be that 195 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 1: complicated until you get to the greens. The fourteenth and 196 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: seventeenth greens are both labby Corinthian. They might be the 197 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: two toughest greens on the course. We talked about the 198 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 1: eighteenth hole with its narrow, little shoot off the tee 199 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: and its uphill approach to a tiered green front. Nine 200 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: power fours are excellent too. I love number three. It's 201 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 1: only three hundred and sixty yards, but it's another hole 202 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:19,560 Speaker 1: with a demanding green. Putting your wedge in the right 203 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: spot is critical. Also a big fan of the four 204 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,200 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety five yard fifth hole with its big, 205 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 1: bumpy green bottom line. There is not a single pushover 206 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: hole at Augusta National. Every hole can yield a bow 207 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: gear worse if you play it sloppily, but not any 208 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: hole at Augusta is unconquerable. Like every hole here will 209 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: yield a birdie or even an eagle if you play 210 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: it artfully. The weather forecast for Augusta, Georgia this week 211 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 1: pretty ideal, temperatures ranging from the low sixties to the 212 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 1: mid seventies, no rain in the forecast, wins of five 213 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 1: to ten miles an hour, maybe a little breezier than 214 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: that on Friday. Not enough wind to really punish the players, 215 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: but enough to challenged them now. Scotti Scheffler is the 216 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,680 Speaker 1: defending champion. He finished eleven under par last year, four 217 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: shots better than Ludwig Oberg. It was Scotty's second win 218 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 1: at the Masters. He also won in twenty two twenty 219 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: twenty two, finishing minus ten and beating Rory McElroy by 220 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 1: three shots. John Ram won in twenty twenty three. He 221 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,439 Speaker 1: was twelve under, four shots clear of Phil Mickelson and 222 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 1: Brooks Koepka. Haadeki Matsuiama won in twenty twenty one. He 223 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 1: finished minus ten to beat will Zalatoris by one stroke, 224 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: and Dustin Johnson won the twenty twenty Masters, which was 225 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 1: played in the fall that year due to COVID. DJ 226 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 1: went twenty under par to win by five shots. I 227 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: love this course, bo sprinkle my ashes here when I'm gone. 228 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: Your thoughts on augustin Nashal. 229 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 3: It's just it's perfect. It's perfect in every way. There's 230 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 3: not a blade of grass out of place. The hills 231 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:56,119 Speaker 3: are unruly, the lies are uneven, the golf is somehow 232 00:11:56,240 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 3: still incredibly fair. Good shots are rewarded with opportunities, and 233 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 3: bad shots are swatted away with draconian consequences. That's what 234 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:10,319 Speaker 3: golf should be about. This is the measuring stick. This 235 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 3: is the barometer for all championship golfers. If you're in 236 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 3: this field, you want to be able to hold yourself 237 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 3: up to that standard of how did I do at 238 00:12:19,520 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 3: the Masters When the field is the strongest, it's the 239 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 3: most concentrated at the top. Every top golfer is here, 240 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 3: and every top golfer who's conquered Augusta in the past 241 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 3: that's able to is here. That's what is The majesty 242 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 3: of this tournament is unmistakable. It's unparalleled. You cannot beat 243 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 3: to the Masters in any way, shape or form. And 244 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 3: as for Gary Player who says it's not even in 245 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 3: his top fifty golf courses, hogwash. This is the best 246 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 3: golf course in the world. Maybe not the most famous, 247 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 3: it's up there in fame too, but it's the best 248 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 3: golf course in the world. And it's also the most exclusive. 249 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 3: It has the mystique, it has the allure, and it's like, 250 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 3: how often does a golfer want to venture into the 251 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 3: woods for an experience like that? Well, here you go, 252 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 3: tucked back into the woods is the crown jewel of 253 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:14,559 Speaker 3: championship golf. And it's just it's just the best. It's perfect. 254 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 1: Augusta National not open to the public, but I would 255 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 1: pay far more money than I could reasonably afford to 256 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 1: play around at Augusta National. 257 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 3: I would sell my house right now to play it 258 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 3: at one time. 259 00:13:28,440 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 1: It is that magical a place. Care to guess at 260 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,079 Speaker 1: a winning score this week ball. 261 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 3: The weather is going to be mild and gettable, so 262 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 3: it's probably going to be between fifteen and eighteen under part. 263 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 3: A little bit more favorable scoring conditions this year, not 264 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 3: quite as favorable as it was when it was softened 265 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 3: in November of twenty twenty during the pandemic. But I 266 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 3: do think that the field strength, how well the golfers 267 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,680 Speaker 3: are playing coming in, and with the way we've seen 268 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 3: scoring trending is going low. So fifteen to eighteen under 269 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 3: part most likely. 270 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to go a little a little higher than 271 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 1: you for winning score BO as far as well, not 272 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 1: quite as high relative to under par. I'm gonna say 273 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: minus twelve, minus thirteen. I think firm, Yeah, firm and 274 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: fast conditions. I think could could trick it up a little. Granted, 275 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 1: there's not going to be a lot of wind and 276 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: the greens aren't going to be soft, but I without 277 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 1: the soft greens. 278 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 3: Oh it's brutally difficult. And so yeah, if you hear 279 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 3: anybody say that they could break eighty at Augusta their life. Yeah, 280 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 3: or they're delusional, or they're both. It's it's just who 281 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 3: are they lying to? 282 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 4: You? 283 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 3: Are themselves? This course is absolutely disgusting for an amateur 284 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 3: to even think about it. 285 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, with a masters setup, if you are a scratch golfer, 286 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: I don't think you're breaking eighty quite honestly, No. 287 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 3: Chance, No chance, maybe ninety. 288 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 1: Now the battle for the jacket is heating up in Augusta, 289 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 1: and there is no better place to sweat the action 290 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: than DraftKings Daily Fantasy, the ultimate destination fantasy golf fans, 291 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: and for this year's first major, DraftKings is giving all 292 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: customers shot to play free for a one million dollars 293 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 1: top prize with your next ten dollars deposit on the 294 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 1: DraftKings Fantasy app. It's simple to play, build your dream 295 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 1: lineup while staying under the salary cap, then sit back 296 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 1: and watches your player's rack up points, every birdie, every bogie, 297 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 1: every clutch pot, feel the intensity of every shot. I 298 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: talked about wanting to get Patrick Reid into my Draft 299 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,640 Speaker 1: Kings DFS lineups last week. Bo I do indeed think 300 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: he's value priced at seventy three hundred, another bargain. 301 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: Price to live to her player. How about Sergio Garcia. 302 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: He's only seventy one hundred, He's been playing well, and 303 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: he loves this course. Sergio is a green jacket in 304 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: his closet. I'm torn between Scotti, Scheffler and Rory McElroy 305 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: as my anchor player, leaning a little toward the slightly 306 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 1: less expensive Rory. Does anyone stand out to you as 307 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: an especially good Draft Kings DFS play at the Masters Bow. 308 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 3: I'll give you a couple at the top as my anchor. 309 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 3: I'm going to sue the top two guys completely because 310 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 3: the number three golfer in the world behind Scotty and 311 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 3: Rory is Xander Schoffley, and he's going for sub ten 312 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 3: k on DraftKings at ninety seven hundred. He's got four 313 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 3: top tens in his last five years at the Masters. 314 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm going to take the easy value with 315 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 3: Xander Schaffley there and right in that same range where 316 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 3: you're finding Patrick Reid. I love that pick. But how 317 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 3: about a guy who's averaging eighty DraftKings points a week 318 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 3: this season, Sepstrack at seventy six hundred. That's a great 319 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 3: value one of the best approach players with short game 320 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 3: that we have in this field, and he just seems 321 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 3: to He seems to do well when the conditions get tough. 322 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 3: And guess what, It's not going to be easy this week. 323 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: Not download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app and use code 324 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: BP golf to play free for a shot at the 325 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 1: one million dollar top prize with just a ten dollars deposit. 326 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: That's for all DraftKings customers. Just download the Daily Fantasy 327 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: app use code BP golf for your free shot today. 328 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: The Crown is yours. 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Eligibility restrictions apply. 336 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:40,360 Speaker 1: Voidware prohibited new customers only, Minimum ten dollars deposit required. 337 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,879 Speaker 1: One single use ten dollars ticket rewarded for Fantasy Golf 338 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: Millionaire contest that expires on April tenth at seven am. 339 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 1: See terms at DraftKings dot com Slash Promotions sponsored by 340 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,920 Speaker 1: DraftKings Now for the master's odds. These odds are courtesy 341 00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,399 Speaker 1: of the DraftKings Sportsbook as of Monday morning. Please know 342 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 1: that some player odds will have changed slightly by the 343 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: time you consume this show. Scotty Scheffler is the favorite 344 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: at plus four hundred. Rory McElroy is plus six fifty 345 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,439 Speaker 1: short odds for Rory to win his first Green Jacket 346 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,920 Speaker 1: this week. Big John Rahm is plus thirteen hundred. Bryce 347 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 1: and d Chambeau, Colin Morikawa and Xander Schoffley are plus 348 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 1: eighteen hundred. Ludwig Oberg is plus two thousand, Justin Thomas 349 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 1: plus twenty five hundred, Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama are 350 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 1: plus three thousand, Jordan Spieth is plus thirty five hundred, 351 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: and Victor Hovland, Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Cantley our plus 352 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: four thousand. Let's talk about this GROUPO, how do you 353 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 1: feel about Scotty at plus four hundred and Rory at 354 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 1: plus six fifty and do any of the other players 355 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: stand out to you? 356 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 3: This is a horse for course type of course. And 357 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 3: that being said, I see two green jackets in Scotti 358 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 3: Scheffler's closet and zero in Rory McElroy's. Twenty eleven was 359 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 3: the year they had the big lead in completly fell 360 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 3: apart on Sunday. Ever since then, Rory McElroy has been 361 00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 3: cursed at Augusta National. And yes he is the only 362 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 3: multiple time winner on tour this season, I still think 363 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 3: he's cursed. I still think that these odds are an 364 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,880 Speaker 3: insult to bookmaking because it's just a bunch of suckers 365 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 3: like us out there wanting to ride that Rory wave. 366 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 3: And yes it was very tempting, but to get the 367 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,840 Speaker 3: number three ranked golfer in the world at plus eighteen 368 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 3: hundred is ludicrous. Xanderschoffley is a better track record at 369 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 3: Augusta National than Rory does. He's playing decently well for 370 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 3: coming off an injury earlier this season, and I think 371 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 3: as far as it goes, he's a better horse for 372 00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 3: this course than is Rory McElroy. I'm probably gonna withhold 373 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 3: my Scottie Scheffler betting unless I get a double digit 374 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 3: odds type of live bet setup where he's still within 375 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,199 Speaker 3: striking distance with enough holes to play to catch up 376 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 3: and make that bet worth it. But I'm starting my 377 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 3: outright card with Xanderschoff, and I'm going to run right 378 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:05,199 Speaker 3: into Ludwig Oberg at plus two thousand. Shaffley is the 379 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 3: longest odds I could ever predict, because I handicapped him 380 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 3: at plus eight hundred. So getting an extra ten to 381 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 3: one odds for a guy that's number three in the 382 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 3: world and a multiple major winner last year, defending PGA champion, 383 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 3: defending champion Golf of the Year last year, and we're 384 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,200 Speaker 3: going to talk about this guy being rolled over into 385 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 3: plus eighteen hundred territory. It's ludicrous. And on the same token, 386 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 3: I'm betting Ludwig Oberg at the absolute shortest odds I 387 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 3: would bet him at at plus two thousand. That's just 388 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 3: because his upside is unmistakable. This guy has more of 389 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 3: a killer instinct than you they would ever imagine. He's 390 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 3: got a lot more brooks kept cut under the hood 391 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 3: than he does. Somebody meek and mild like his outside 392 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 3: persona very cheerful, very very calm and collected, but that 393 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,479 Speaker 3: dude is an ice cold killer under the surface. Like 394 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,360 Speaker 3: brooks Kepi. He's a big game hunter and he's got 395 00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 3: the upside that could run away with the Masters tournament 396 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 3: like he almost did last year. He almost ran down 397 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 3: Scotty Shuffler last year until he dunked one on eleven. 398 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 3: And that is why I think that he could make 399 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,919 Speaker 3: a Tiger esque run at a Masters in his career 400 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 3: where he just dominates the field by double digit strokes. 401 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,160 Speaker 3: Lud Vic Oberg has that in his range of outcomes. 402 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 3: I don't think anybody outside of Scotty has that. 403 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 1: So few players making their debut at Augusta seriously contend. 404 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 1: You have to pay attention when a player making his 405 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 1: debut finishes second. Solow second, and he was so calm 406 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 1: last year, bo Like, he looked like he was having 407 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: fun out there. Oberg has missed the cut in his 408 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 1: last two events, though, like I can't think of the 409 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,520 Speaker 1: last time a player missed a cut in his last 410 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: event before the Masters and won the green jacket. That's 411 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 1: the only thing that scares me. I'm with you on 412 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: everything else with him. Xander top ten at the Masters 413 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 1: three of the last four years, hasn't quite gotten into 414 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:55,639 Speaker 1: the groove yet. In twenty twenty five, he had the 415 00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 1: slow start, but you know, would it really be to 416 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,160 Speaker 1: see him turn it on this week? 417 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 2: And of course he plays well. 418 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 1: And yeah, Scotty obviously has the strong recent track record 419 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: of the Masters. But Scotty hasn't won in six starts 420 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:12,120 Speaker 1: this year. 421 00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 2: Bo. 422 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: He's a runner up in Houston a few weeks ago, 423 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 1: but he's only been top ten and three of his 424 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:17,560 Speaker 1: six events. 425 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:18,880 Speaker 3: Oh how tragic. 426 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's. 427 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,360 Speaker 3: You know, like obviously the comedy of airs with Scotty Scheffler. 428 00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 3: We can't expect him to win out of six tournaments. 429 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 3: What has he turned into? 430 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 2: Yeah? 431 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: Grading on a curve, I guess we're giving Scotty a 432 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 1: C minus this season, but for anyone else that would 433 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,679 Speaker 1: be an A minus. I'm going to follow the patented 434 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:39,400 Speaker 1: bow mcbarar strategy for betting Scotty Scheffler. I'm not playing 435 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: him at plus four hundred against such a loaded field, 436 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 1: a field that now includes all the studs from the 437 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:48,359 Speaker 1: Live Tour. But I'm looking for opportunities where Scotty's odds drifts. 438 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:51,919 Speaker 1: Maybe double Bogie's one of his first couple of holes, 439 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,120 Speaker 1: or maybe another player jumps out to a multi shot 440 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 1: lead and all of a sudden, Scotty goes to plus 441 00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 1: eight hundred. That's where I might look to pounce on 442 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 1: a Scotty outright. I'm with young Rory bo like very 443 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 1: sharp this year, wins at Pebble Beach in the Players Championship, 444 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: and man, you'd think he'd have at least one green 445 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: jacket by now. But ever since that faithful Sunday and 446 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 1: twenty eleven when a twenty one year old Rory McElroy 447 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 1: took a five shot lead into the final round and 448 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,919 Speaker 1: shot eighty that day, it has been one tail of 449 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 1: ball after another for Rory at augusta runner up in 450 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, but he's missed the cut in two 451 00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,679 Speaker 1: of his last four Masters twenty second last year. He 452 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: could absolutely win this week, and I'd love to see it. 453 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 1: Not eager to jump on him at plus six fifty. 454 00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 1: What about Ram at plus thirteen hundred bow He's won 455 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 1: the Masters, hasn't won on the Live Tour yet this year, 456 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,879 Speaker 1: but he's played pretty well a lot of top tens. 457 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,720 Speaker 1: It's got that great combination of power off the tee 458 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: and touch around the greens. Do you think there's any 459 00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 1: value at plus thirteen hundred. 460 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 3: He's a tricky one because as well as he's played, 461 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 3: I haven't seen the peak form that we saw when 462 00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 3: he won the Masters a couple of years ago. So 463 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 3: probably not gonna bet John Ram here unless he slips 464 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,720 Speaker 3: to more of a fifteen to sixteen number. It's still 465 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:09,120 Speaker 3: all of these guys up here have very high likelihood 466 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 3: of winning or chasing that top of the leaderboard this week. 467 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 3: Wouldn't surprise me at Algy at Ram at double digits 468 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,440 Speaker 3: and be happy about it. I'm just not as excited 469 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,959 Speaker 3: as some people are about him, because again, we haven't 470 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 3: seen him really have that killer instinct that he showed 471 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,959 Speaker 3: a couple of years ago at Augusta to win. I 472 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 3: just don't. I don't see the win here. I don't 473 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,920 Speaker 3: see the hunger it's required to win here this year. 474 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,600 Speaker 3: This field is loaded, and I just want to see 475 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,880 Speaker 3: that fire come back to John Ram. He's a Spaniard 476 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 3: for Gord's sake. We gotta see that fire comeback so 477 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 3: we can be eating pie at the Champions dinner next year. 478 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 2: How about Colin Morikawa? 479 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:52,480 Speaker 1: Say odds as Xander Schaffley plus eighteen hundred not always 480 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 1: great with the putter, but he is an elite ball striker. 481 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 1: He's finished top ten at Augusta in each of the 482 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 1: last three years, including a third last year, and he's 483 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,120 Speaker 1: been playing well this year. What do you think about 484 00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 1: the value on Morikawa. 485 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 3: That's another guy that's been bet up a lot this 486 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 3: week because of his ball striking prowess, not just putting, 487 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 3: but clutch. Does he have the clutch gene? Does he 488 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,440 Speaker 3: have the killer instinct that we've seen from other winners 489 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 3: calin more Kawa hasn't won since he won the US 490 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,119 Speaker 3: Open a few years ago. He hasn't won in two years. 491 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,439 Speaker 3: And this is a world class player, top ten in 492 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,800 Speaker 3: the world, one of the best ball strikers, iron players 493 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 3: in the world. You have to be able to putt, 494 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 3: you have to be able to make birdie putts, you 495 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,880 Speaker 3: have to be able to salvage two putts on Augusta 496 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 3: National and that's what's held calling back and the tale 497 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 3: of two guys who both dunked their approach shots on 498 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 3: number eleven last year down the stretch trying to chase 499 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 3: down Scotti Scheffler lud Vig Oeberg dunked it on eleven 500 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,880 Speaker 3: and smiled a rise smile to his caddy saying, well, 501 00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 3: I guess that's it, folks, and he kept playing. Calin 502 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 3: more Kawa done his approach on eleven. It looked like 503 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 3: he shut down completely, absolutely devastated. You could see his 504 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:12,199 Speaker 3: entire like focus cracked. It crumbled, like he crumbled like 505 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 3: a cracker, like a like a chocolate chip cookie. It's 506 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 3: been left out in the sun. He folded. That was 507 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 3: not what I want to see in a championship like 508 00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 3: this one. He might not ever have the killer instinct 509 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 3: required to win a green jacket, and for him to 510 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 3: get bet up as inflated as he is, I just 511 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 3: don't see it. As much as I love watching him play, 512 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 3: I just don't see it. And I will not be 513 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 3: placing any bets on Colin Morikawa this year. We're ever 514 00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 3: at the Masters. 515 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 1: There points Bryson d Chambeau got to talk about him. 516 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: He finished sixth here last year. But Augusta has not 517 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 1: been especially kind to Bryson. He famously said a few 518 00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:50,640 Speaker 1: years ago that he was going to treat Augusta as 519 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: a par sixty eight because of the short par fives. 520 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 1: And yes, Bryson is a guy who could go ten 521 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,320 Speaker 1: under par on the par fives this week, But does 522 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,959 Speaker 1: he have the needed touch around the greens. I think 523 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: that's the big question, And really, will his distance off 524 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 1: the t be a big advantage in a week when 525 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,159 Speaker 1: the course is going to be pretty dry and firm, 526 00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,639 Speaker 1: Like I'd be much more intrigued if Bryson were playing 527 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: kind of a saggy Augusta. I'd also be more intrigued 528 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: if you weren't a YouTube superstar who's fame is probably 529 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:23,439 Speaker 1: artificially lowering his odds. So are you with me that 530 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 1: there's not a lot of value on Bryson at plus 531 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 1: eighteen hundred. 532 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 3: Well, Bryson and Ludvigger similar in that they both have 533 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 3: that upside of going really really low on a tough 534 00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,359 Speaker 3: golf course. We saw what Bryson can do on a 535 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,360 Speaker 3: tough track that challenges his short game at the US 536 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:42,679 Speaker 3: Open last year. Pinehurst was the absolute test for Bryson 537 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 3: to Shambo, and Pinehurst and Augusta not that different. Really. 538 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,320 Speaker 3: There's a lot of similarities in how they're laid out, 539 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 3: what kind of misses you can have, what kind of 540 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 3: misses you can't have. And Bryson impressed me, so I'm 541 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 3: more likely to bet Bryson than I am Colin or Rory. 542 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 3: Because of that, will I still feature him on my card? 543 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:06,120 Speaker 3: Probably not, because, again, the chipping and putting is such 544 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 3: a stressor on all these players that I'm going to 545 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 3: be leaning towards the guys who are not just adequate 546 00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:14,680 Speaker 3: in the short game but elite. 547 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,639 Speaker 1: Now, you're the Justin Thomas guy, bo, how do you 548 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:24,040 Speaker 1: feel about JT? He is twenty five to one. He's 549 00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 1: had a top five and a pair of top tens 550 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 1: here in recent years, but he also missed the cut 551 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: here in each of the last two years. 552 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, another guy who's struggling with the putter on occasion, 553 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,679 Speaker 3: but his big bugaboo has been off the tee, and 554 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 3: as tough as it is to position yourself off the 555 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 3: tee here, I probably won't bet him at twenty five 556 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 3: to one. I was hoping to see him at thirty 557 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 3: or thirty five so I could make a bet that 558 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 3: made me want to watch the Masters even more that 559 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,120 Speaker 3: just didn't pan out. Twenty five to one is fair. 560 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 3: It's just not that good of a line for Justin Thomas, 561 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 3: especially since he has missed the weekend here twice in 562 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 3: a row. This is a different Justin Thomas. It's good. 563 00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 3: It's just a different style of play than we've seen 564 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:07,960 Speaker 3: in the last couple of years. So I hope he 565 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 3: does well. I'm just not gonna be betting on it. 566 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:11,920 Speaker 1: Let's look at the odds for some of the mid 567 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 1: range options. Tyrrel Hatton and Shane Lowry are plus forty 568 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 1: five hundred. Georgia native Russell Henley is plus fifty five hundred, 569 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 1: Cameron Smith, Minwoo Lee and Robert McIntyre are plus six thousand. 570 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 1: Aksha Beatilla, will Zlatoris and Sergio Garcia are plus sixty 571 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: five hundred. Corey Conners is plus seven thousand, Tory Finow, 572 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:35,480 Speaker 1: Jason Day, and Sepstraca are plus seventy five hundred, and 573 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:39,120 Speaker 1: Wyndham Clark is plus eight thousand. Let's talk about these guys, 574 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: but is there any betting value in this range? 575 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:44,600 Speaker 3: There is with a couple guys. I will caution a 576 00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:48,000 Speaker 3: lot of people on guys who have big holes in 577 00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:51,120 Speaker 3: their game. This course is going to test your entire bag. 578 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:54,280 Speaker 3: It's gonna test every amount of creativity you have in 579 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 3: your brain to make that bag work for you on 580 00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,520 Speaker 3: this golf course, and it's gonna do that for four 581 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 3: ruling days, we're walking up and down gigantic hills, and 582 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:06,360 Speaker 3: you're going to be thinking your whole way around. So 583 00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 3: in this mid range, I'm looking for the thinkers. I'm 584 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,240 Speaker 3: looking for the guys who aren't going to crack under 585 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 3: the pressure and aren't going to be ruined by one 586 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 3: bad hole. And so with that being said, I'm going 587 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 3: to actually look to see Hideki Matziyama, a prior champion, 588 00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 3: kind of slip into that mid tier. If he slips 589 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:27,960 Speaker 3: to thirty five or forty to one, we're looking at 590 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 3: a huge, huge investment and ladder bet for me because 591 00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 3: a is a prior champion. One of the best master's 592 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,959 Speaker 3: moments I've ever seen was him and his caddie turning 593 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 3: towards the eighteenth fair we had bowing to the setting 594 00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 3: Georgian sun. This guy is playing outstanding golf right now, 595 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 3: and there's no telling how much more of a memory 596 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 3: he's going to create at this golf course when he's 597 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,080 Speaker 3: a what twenty six years old. Hideki Matziama is still 598 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:58,600 Speaker 3: in the prime of his career. He's playing great golf 599 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:02,080 Speaker 3: and he's already got that good vibes going at Augusta National. 600 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,600 Speaker 3: That's a guy that I'm willing to throw a lot 601 00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 3: of money on, especially if he slips past thirty to 602 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,720 Speaker 3: one to thirty five or forty. And then the other 603 00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 3: guy is who doesn't like Cameron Smith at Augusta. This 604 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 3: guy just a He's a top ten machine at Augusta. 605 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 3: It's because he plays a timeless style of golf where 606 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 3: he's not that great off the tee. He's a short hitter. 607 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 3: He plays a more positional style. There is not a 608 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 3: more lethal golfer in the world with a wedge and 609 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 3: putter in his hand. There's just not. He's number one 610 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 3: in every short game metric, He's number one in every 611 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 3: putting metric. He's number one in every short game thing 612 00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 3: you can even measure. And the proof is in the pudding. 613 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 3: This guy is fun to watch. He scores on tough 614 00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:48,160 Speaker 3: golf courses. It's because he does not really he does 615 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 3: not relent when a wedge or putter is in his hand. 616 00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 3: And I think that he breaks through this year in 617 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 3: a big way. At sixty to one, that's an insult. 618 00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 3: He's plus four hundred just to get a top ten, 619 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 3: which he's done every year, but one that he's been 620 00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 3: at Augusta. 621 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 1: Oh, the man is a machine van go with a 622 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: wedge in his hands. Boy, the short game always plays 623 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 1: up at Augusta for Cam Smith, and he's finished top 624 00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 1: ten in four of the last six Masters. But Cam's 625 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 1: foreman lived tour this year not not real good, only 626 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 1: one top ten finish in five starts Bots. The top 627 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 1: ten finish just came this past week in Miami. It 628 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 1: was only a nine. 629 00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 3: At a very tough golf course that challenges the shirt. 630 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:35,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, winning score was what minus six? So, yeah, Darrell 631 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 2: is tough. 632 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 3: I remember Durrell being on the PGA Tour and that's 633 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:43,240 Speaker 3: a really good barometer and warm up for Augusta's actually 634 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 3: at the Live Miami tournament there at Darrell. 635 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 1: Agreed, good tune up. Russell Henley bow He's from Macon, Georgia. 636 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 1: He's a Georgia bulldog. I realized Henley is sort of 637 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,600 Speaker 1: a Bermuda green specialist and Augusta has bent grass greens. 638 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 1: But Henley finished fourth here two years ago and he's 639 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 1: been playing great this year. He's sixth in strokes gained 640 00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 1: total twenty two in strokes gained on approach, nineteenth in 641 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 1: strokes gained putting. I guess what maybe scares me a 642 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:10,880 Speaker 1: little bit is that he's barely inside the top one 643 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:13,920 Speaker 1: hundred and strokes gained scrambling. But at fifty five to one, 644 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 1: I'm definitely interested. I'm also kind of interested in Robert McIntyre, 645 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 1: like left handers might have an advantage here with the 646 00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 1: way they shape the ball, especially the ones who play 647 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: the fade and Phil Mickelson, Bubba Watson, Mike Weir all lefties, 648 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,920 Speaker 1: all pass champions multiple times for Phil and Bubba. McIntyre 649 00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:38,240 Speaker 1: has finished twelfth and twenty third and two previous Masters starts, 650 00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 1: and his recent form has been pretty solid eleventh, ninth, 651 00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:44,920 Speaker 1: and ninth in his last three PGA Tour events. Will 652 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 1: v Xalatorus excuse me, looks like really good value great 653 00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:51,960 Speaker 1: ball striker hasn't had a top ten this year, but 654 00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 1: he's had three straight top tens at the Masters. And 655 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,400 Speaker 1: speaking of great ball strikers, bo, I'm kind of conflicted 656 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,960 Speaker 1: on Corey Connors. He's pretty dialed in three top tens 657 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: in his last four events. He was just eighteenth at 658 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,960 Speaker 1: the Valero Counters was making a big move on Saturday 659 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:09,640 Speaker 1: at the Valero. Then he three part of the par 660 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,800 Speaker 1: five seventeenth for a bogie, And that is the concern 661 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 1: for Corey Connors at Augusta. He's not a good putter 662 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:21,680 Speaker 1: by PJ Tour standards, short game. Can he pot well 663 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:25,400 Speaker 1: enough to win at Augusta? But can he be a 664 00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,000 Speaker 1: VJ Singh a guy who's a great ball striker and 665 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 1: a mediocre putter, but his putter gets hot for four days. 666 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 1: That's what happened to VJ when he won the Masters. 667 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 3: So VJ is a mediocre petter. Corey Connors is an 668 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:43,319 Speaker 3: atrocious putting point and he's an atrocious chipper too, So yeah, 669 00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:47,080 Speaker 3: Corey Connor has better bet on like the most insane 670 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:51,439 Speaker 3: heater of approach proximity on the correct side of the hole, 671 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,439 Speaker 3: because if this guy gets short sighted or above the hole, 672 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 3: he's absolutely toast. 673 00:34:58,280 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 2: Very true. 674 00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:01,160 Speaker 1: He is a surgeon with the iron, so maybe you 675 00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,400 Speaker 1: can do that, but man to do that over seventy 676 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 1: two holes at Agasta is a pretty tall order. Granted, 677 00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,839 Speaker 1: what about long shots? Bo We don't see many long 678 00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:12,880 Speaker 1: shot winners at the Masters, but we do occasionally get 679 00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,759 Speaker 1: the on Hell Cabrera from two thousand and nine who 680 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 1: breaks through for a win at longer odds. So is 681 00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,279 Speaker 1: there anyone you like north of eighty. 682 00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 3: To one as two guys I circled, Like you said, 683 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,000 Speaker 3: the long shot bets of the Masters don't usually pan 684 00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:31,279 Speaker 3: out because these these guys are all so good, and 685 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,000 Speaker 3: you get a couple stragglers that barely qualify in the 686 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 3: last weeks before the tournament. I'm gonna go for long 687 00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:41,320 Speaker 3: shots with experience. I'm gonna go with Keegan Bradley. Oh, captain, 688 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 3: my captain. He's gonna be He's gonna be leading us 689 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 3: the Red, White and Blue at Bethpage Black in September. 690 00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:52,399 Speaker 3: This guy's playing great golf and he's he's just he's 691 00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,520 Speaker 3: so sharp on approach this year that I don't see 692 00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 3: his weaknesses really showing up. Because this guy's always been 693 00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,360 Speaker 3: a great scrambler, always been a great grinder, and his 694 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 3: kind of his tee to green game has put what's 695 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 3: held him back in the past. Well, guess what, He's 696 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 3: as sharp as he's ever been, top seven in this 697 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,920 Speaker 3: field on approach, and he's one of the best par 698 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,880 Speaker 3: five scorers in this field period. He's at one hundred 699 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 3: to one, and I can absolutely see Keegan Bradley going 700 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 3: on one of those miracle runs where he just gets 701 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 3: the crowd fired up and he goes out there and 702 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:29,200 Speaker 3: the patrons, as they call him at Augusta National, will 703 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,759 Speaker 3: definitely be behind the captain of TM USA for the 704 00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 3: Ryder Cup and the last one is two hundred and 705 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,160 Speaker 3: fifty to one. It's a yolo vet. It's just based 706 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:41,400 Speaker 3: on short game. Christian Bizet Note of South Africa. He 707 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,480 Speaker 3: hasn't won anything since twenty twenty, but he's playing his 708 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:46,600 Speaker 3: best golf of his career right now. He's got the 709 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 3: short game to stay in contention, make the cut his 710 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:53,279 Speaker 3: top twenty bettest plus four hundred. I just think that 711 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 3: it's something that's just it's a feel bet for me 712 00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,359 Speaker 3: where I'm just looking at the course setup and who 713 00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,760 Speaker 3: might fit in a basis. But he's played the Masters 714 00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:05,319 Speaker 3: three times, not in the last two years, but though 715 00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,239 Speaker 3: the three times he's played the Masters, he's made the 716 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:11,080 Speaker 3: cut all three times. So I do like his fit here, 717 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,160 Speaker 3: especially with the form he's carrying in. 718 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 1: You could talk me into a first round leader bet 719 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,839 Speaker 1: On Baz Oh oh yeah, interesting, Oh yeah, for sure, 720 00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:19,400 Speaker 1: I could see it. 721 00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 3: I'm sure it's good. It's probably thirty or forty to 722 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:22,840 Speaker 3: one at worst. 723 00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:26,880 Speaker 1: Now now Patrick Reid at one hundred to one, Yes, please, 724 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:29,560 Speaker 1: one of the best short games in the world, A 725 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,480 Speaker 1: magician's touch around the greens. Patrick Reid won the Green 726 00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 1: Jacket in twenty eighteen and has been top ten in 727 00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,360 Speaker 1: three of his six Masters appearances since the victory. Firm 728 00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 1: fast conditions would work in his favor. I believe, yes, 729 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 1: I'm all over Patrick Reid at one hundred to one now. 730 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 1: If anyone could win the Masters at age fifty four ball, 731 00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:51,000 Speaker 1: it's Phil Michelson. 732 00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:52,200 Speaker 3: Absolutely. 733 00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:54,920 Speaker 1: He's won three Green jackets, he knows every inch of 734 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,800 Speaker 1: this course. His short game has made for the place, 735 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,400 Speaker 1: and he has been in good form lately. Third a 736 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,480 Speaker 1: Live Hong Kong last month, six that Live Miami this 737 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,600 Speaker 1: past week. He's one hundred and ten to one, and 738 00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:11,799 Speaker 1: Cameron Young not great form this week long odds though, 739 00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:13,360 Speaker 1: for a guy who's finished top ten in each of 740 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,000 Speaker 1: the last two years at the Masters and is strong 741 00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,239 Speaker 1: with the driver, So I'm not sure I can get 742 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:19,000 Speaker 1: you on board. 743 00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:20,719 Speaker 2: For that one bow. But just just throwing that out 744 00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 2: there for the people. 745 00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:25,399 Speaker 3: It's the people. The people are gonna be fun. It's 746 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,759 Speaker 3: gonna be fun. Watching Cam Young try to put on anything, 747 00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:32,359 Speaker 3: let alone the toughest screens that we're gonna see all year. 748 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 3: It's it's gonna be entertainment at its finest. Yeah, watching 749 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:38,480 Speaker 3: Cam Young try to navigate these screens again. 750 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:41,359 Speaker 1: Oddly enough, I think he's in the just inside the 751 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,360 Speaker 1: top fifty and strokes gained putting this year right around fifty. 752 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:46,319 Speaker 1: But then you know, you look at last year and 753 00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:48,880 Speaker 1: it was one hundred and fifty fourth, So that's a 754 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:53,320 Speaker 1: pretty good reflection of what kind of putter he actually is. Yeah, 755 00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:56,600 Speaker 1: so let's get to the early betting cards. Bo who 756 00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:58,319 Speaker 1: is on yours as of right now? 757 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:03,239 Speaker 3: So Xander Schaffley at plus eighteen hundred, Ludwig Oberg at 758 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:06,800 Speaker 3: plus two thousand, and then I dropped down to Hideki 759 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 3: Matsiyama currently at plus three thousand, Cam Smith at plus 760 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,040 Speaker 3: six thousand, and then I'm gonna throw some darts at 761 00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,759 Speaker 3: Keegan Bradley at plus ten thousand, and Christian is a 762 00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 3: newte at plus two twenty five two hundred fifty to one. 763 00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 1: Now, I'm not putting a lot on a John Ram outright, 764 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:27,759 Speaker 1: but I do have a little something on Ram at 765 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:31,720 Speaker 1: plus thirteen hundred I'm gonna I'm gonna follow your Xander 766 00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,680 Speaker 1: Schaffley advice BO, just the way he's been so steely 767 00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,800 Speaker 1: in recent majors. I'm gonna take him at plus eighteen hundred, 768 00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:40,960 Speaker 1: Russell Henley plus fifty five hundred with a top ten 769 00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:44,960 Speaker 1: kicker at plus three twenty, Will Zalatorus at plus sixty 770 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,840 Speaker 1: five hundred with a top five kicker at plus seven fifty. 771 00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 1: I'm doing Corey Connors for a top ten bow at 772 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:53,799 Speaker 1: plus four hundred. I don't think he can win, but 773 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:55,640 Speaker 1: I think he can finish top ten as well as 774 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:59,319 Speaker 1: he's been hitting the ball. Sergio Garcia for a top 775 00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: twenty at plus one seventy five. Mind you, at top twenty, 776 00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,439 Speaker 1: Sergio has actually been playing pretty well lately. He's hitting 777 00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:09,560 Speaker 1: the ball great. And Phil Mickelson for a top twenty 778 00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:12,879 Speaker 1: at plus three hundred and to make the cut at 779 00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,720 Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. I think those are both really good bets. 780 00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,680 Speaker 1: And then my two biggest investments of the week Bow 781 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,239 Speaker 1: I am ladder betting Patrick Reid one hundred to one 782 00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:24,840 Speaker 1: to win, eleven to one for a top five, plus 783 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,200 Speaker 1: four fifty for a top ten, and plus one eighty 784 00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:31,000 Speaker 1: for a top twenty and I have a substantial wager 785 00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 1: on Max Homa to miss the cut at even money 786 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: plus one hundred. Home has been utterly lost this year. 787 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:41,239 Speaker 1: He's missed five straight cuts. His best finish was a 788 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 1: fifty third at Pebble Beach back in February. Maxhoma recently 789 00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:47,719 Speaker 1: changed caddies. He had one of his closest friends since 790 00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,960 Speaker 1: childhood on his bag. They've parted ways. I don't think 791 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 1: there's any way Maxhoma makes the cut this week. Maxhoma 792 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:57,640 Speaker 1: missing the cut is my favorite single bet of the week. 793 00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 1: I hate to be a grave dancer bow, but you know, 794 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:05,520 Speaker 1: I just think that's a fantastic money making opportunity. Now 795 00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:08,520 Speaker 1: for our one and done picks. BO had Akshay Battia 796 00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,920 Speaker 1: last week at the Valero. He missed the cut. Bo's 797 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:14,240 Speaker 1: very first miss cut of the year, ending a streak 798 00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 1: of thirteen straight events in which Bo's player made the cuts. 799 00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,240 Speaker 1: I had Corey Connors. He tied for eighteenth, good for 800 00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:25,759 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirteen and fifty dollars. You are up 801 00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: first at the Masters Bow. 802 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:28,000 Speaker 2: Who are you taking? 803 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:30,040 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna burn it right here. 804 00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:34,520 Speaker 1: Scotty Scheffler, Oh, the big one there it is now 805 00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:37,640 Speaker 1: for anyone in a one and done pool. I mean, 806 00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,239 Speaker 1: I can't argue with Scotty Scheffler as a play like 807 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:42,359 Speaker 1: I would hope not in. 808 00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:43,200 Speaker 2: A big money event. 809 00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:46,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I do think for most people, especially the 810 00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:49,640 Speaker 1: people who might have might be saving Scotty, might have 811 00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 1: used Scotty somewhere else, I think the smart play is 812 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:54,839 Speaker 1: to take a live tour player this week. You only 813 00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,399 Speaker 1: have four chances to use the stars of the Live Tour, 814 00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 1: the four Majors and a bunch of the tour guys 815 00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:02,960 Speaker 1: have great track records at the Masters and games that 816 00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,080 Speaker 1: are well suited for this course. So I do think 817 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,720 Speaker 1: it's game theory optimal to use a live player this week. 818 00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:12,919 Speaker 1: I am going to take Big Jon Rahm. And that 819 00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:17,719 Speaker 1: is all for this week's Betting Pros PGA podcast sponsored 820 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:21,640 Speaker 1: by DraftKings. We'd like to thank DraftKings for their sponsorship. 821 00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 1: Please come join us again next week for our recap 822 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:27,719 Speaker 1: of the Masters and our betting preview of the RBC Heritage. 823 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:29,960 Speaker 2: Until then, so long everyone. 824 00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:32,680 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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