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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I can just about that action.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 3: Here, we all from throwing out. We're sitting up a

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Speaker 3: cash to star.

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Speaker 2: That's all we'll see. Most gamble is ships. When they

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Speaker 2: go to gamble, they go to swin. That's incredible, big

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Speaker 2: bank small. I like to make money, all right. This

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Speaker 2: is the ultimate combine.

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Speaker 1: If you want to fall.

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Speaker 3: And we are under way.

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Speaker 2: What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by Draft Kings.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris Raybond. This is our NFL Week

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Speaker 2: nine betting preview.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk side, We're gonna talk totals, props, uh,

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Speaker 1: money line, underdog parways, and as always, we'll build our

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Speaker 1: Sunday six pack of against the spread bets with the

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Speaker 1: help of my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 1: Stucky Stuck, got handed to you, crushed it.

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Speaker 2: Last week, carried the whole podcast.

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Speaker 1: I would over. I don't think I think you lost.

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Speaker 1: You didn't lose a bet on this whole pod. You've

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Speaker 1: been on fire. Good stuff. Brother, How you doing good?

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Speaker 3: Uh? Yeah, good week in NFL. Bad we can college

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Speaker 3: been cold in college. But that's the ebbs and flows

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Speaker 3: of the game, so uh, no reason to look back

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Speaker 3: at the good or bad. It's on the next week,

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Speaker 3: so let's let's get to it. By the way, this

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Speaker 3: is one of the trickiest NFL slates I can remember,

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Speaker 3: just with all the key injuries, the quarterback uncertainty. We'll get,

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Speaker 3: we'll get, we'll get to it all. But they're definitely

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Speaker 3: a tricky card.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean you you kind of I know

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Speaker 1: you don't want to look back, but I thought it

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Speaker 1: was kind of hilarious how you know, woke up on

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning and it was like that worst case scenario

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Speaker 1: with you know.

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Speaker 2: You're getting the backup for the Ravens.

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Speaker 3: You're getting it's not that if Lamar doesn't play, but yeah, no, Tyrod,

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Speaker 3: and then all the Jets injuries.

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Speaker 2: You're due for one of those.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I haven't. I haven't caught injury lock all year,

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Speaker 3: but luckily it worked out. Let's past weekend.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts real quick on the you know, I know

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Speaker 1: they're saying Lamar is gonna go this time.

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Speaker 2: They kind of got caught up kind of.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what they were doing with the injury

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Speaker 1: report taking, like Lamar was really practicing when they knew

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Speaker 1: he was gonna be out. So now it's Thursday, the

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Speaker 1: total is pretty high. It's at fifty and a half.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts on that before we jump into the six.

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Speaker 3: Pat No, I mean, like I actually would lean over

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Speaker 3: if everyone, like if Lamar was at full strength and

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Speaker 3: Nate Wiggins is but a huge pick last week dealing

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Speaker 3: with a bit of a groin. The Dolphins are so

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Speaker 3: beat up. I don't know if I think Wigans should

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Speaker 3: be okay, but yeah, like the the Ravens aren't getting

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Speaker 3: any pressure. They their defensive line is still an issue.

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Speaker 3: So Miami should be able to run the ball a bit,

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Speaker 3: and Miami's defense is just can't do anything. So but

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Speaker 3: my concern is, like if the Ravens run it a lot,

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Speaker 3: Miami's not really explosive, so like I thought, But what

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Speaker 3: throws the entire thing off where I don't even want

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Speaker 3: to look at this game is Lamar's status. Like number one,

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Speaker 3: there's a chance he doesn't go. I think he's gonna go.

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Speaker 3: But number two is he rusty? How mobile is he?

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Speaker 3: How does that change the play calling? So all of

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Speaker 3: that uncertainty, No thanks, I will say it's a huge

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Speaker 3: game for the Ravens their season and just their potential

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Speaker 3: to continue their ascent up the standings, now favored to

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Speaker 3: win the division. But if they win this game, you know,

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Speaker 3: their schedule over the next month really sets up well

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Speaker 3: with especially with a lot of the quarterbacks they face.

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Speaker 3: But they'll also get if they win this game, they'll

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Speaker 3: get a four day the cost will get a four

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Speaker 3: day head start on the trade deadline. Yeah, there's what

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Speaker 3: I would like to see is go out and get

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Speaker 3: one of the defensive linemen that's on the market, like

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Speaker 3: the Dexter Lawrence would be a dream, But that's where

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Speaker 3: they need to address because it's still a major issue.

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Speaker 3: The rest of the defense is getting healthier. Their offense

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Speaker 3: now has all the parts to run the offense they

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Speaker 3: want to run. We'll see how healthy Lamar is. But

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Speaker 3: if I would like to see the Ravens go get

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Speaker 3: a defensive lineman, but at this price point over a touchdown,

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Speaker 3: with the uncertainty surrounding Lamar, I think that this is

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Speaker 3: fair and easy stay away.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I was looking at that total under honestly

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Speaker 1: just because I was thinking, who knows what's going on

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Speaker 1: with Lamar? It's also under in our luck ranking, so

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Speaker 1: but it all depends on on Lamar as you said.

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Speaker 1: But let's go into the Monday six pack for week

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Speaker 1: number nine. You're up thirty one seventeen, so I just

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Speaker 1: got to start playing for draft picks here. But now

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Speaker 1: we'll give it to we'll we'll get some work done

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Speaker 1: second half. I'm not going to throw in the towel

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Speaker 1: just yet.

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Speaker 3: Thursday for action, Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: For my first pick of the week nine Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: First overall, I'm going with the.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills plus two at home against the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: The supposedly mighty Kansas City Chiefs, but I think Buffalo

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Speaker 1: matches up fine in this spot. Now we know Buffalo defensively,

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Speaker 1: their weakness is going to be against the run. They're

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Speaker 1: thirtieth the DVOA. But Kansas City looks like they just

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Speaker 1: lost their best running back. Kansas City is not really

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Speaker 1: you know, that doesn't really matter as much against Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: I'm a home has been their best runner for most

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Speaker 1: of the year, and I think this Kansas City team

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Speaker 1: getting a little fat off some kind of shaky quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: The last couple of games. You know, they beat the

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Speaker 2: Raiders thirty or nothing.

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Speaker 1: The Commanders with Mariota, now they had that good win

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Speaker 1: against Detroit, but Washington kind of pissed away a couple

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Speaker 1: of chances to be up in that game. And right there,

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Speaker 1: so I think Kansas City, you know, going on the

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Speaker 1: road is you know, three straight home games first of

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Speaker 1: all for Kansas City, you know, Detroit, Vegas and the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: That's like that was a ninety eighty sorry eighty nine

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Speaker 1: to twenty four victory margin. So that's gonna inflate their

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Speaker 1: numbers a little bit. But if you look at Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen and this Bills team on the at home as

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Speaker 1: an underdog sixty four percent against the spread, hasn't lost

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Speaker 1: since October nineteenth, twenty twenty, straight up or against the

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Speaker 1: spread as a home doug overall, Josh Allen sixty five

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Speaker 1: career against the spread as a dog covered by five

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Speaker 1: points a game. And this is just a spot where

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Speaker 1: I'm always gonna pack Buffalo in a regular season.

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Speaker 2: Postseason it's a different story.

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Speaker 1: But mahomes postseason against the Bills four to zero against

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Speaker 1: the spread, but a regular season one and four lost

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Speaker 1: the last four failed to cover by just under six

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Speaker 1: points per game. So give me the Bills as rare

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Speaker 1: home dogs against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: So my concern here is number one. I mean the Bills,

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Speaker 3: like they really haven't played any I mean who they beat,

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Speaker 3: the Dolphins, Saints, Jets, they had that crazy comeback against

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Speaker 3: the Ravens, and then the Panthers and their defense like

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Speaker 3: you have ed Oliver on I are now Daikwon Jones

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Speaker 3: as here go Bernard and Milana. I think they should

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Speaker 3: be back safeties. There's some injuries, but yeah, so I'm

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Speaker 3: just concerned about like the middle of that defense and

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Speaker 3: especially especially without Oliver. But I do think that they

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Speaker 3: can get pressure. The Chiefs offensive line isn't one healthy

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Speaker 3: and you know you're trying. I think the Hills will

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Speaker 3: be able to run the ball.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen always runs in the spot about over averaging

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Speaker 1: over ten carries in his career regular season against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: I think that believe that's his highest against any team.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he will be running a lot, he will be

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Speaker 3: extending drives. I mean, I can't blame you for taking

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Speaker 3: the points here. Like it feels like this game will

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Speaker 3: be whoever has the ball last is going to win,

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Speaker 3: so taking the points of the home dog Chiefs on

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Speaker 3: a short week. They have benefited from some beneficial scheduling

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Speaker 3: spots lately, but their their offense is definitely on the rise.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I.

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Speaker 3: Will say, though, you want to talk about it team

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Speaker 3: that has benefited from fourth down luck. That and fumble

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Speaker 3: luck too, So they've been a bit lucky. They have

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Speaker 3: nine fumbles on the year, they've recovered them all on

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Speaker 3: fourth downs. They're fourteen of seventeen eighty two percent. I

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Speaker 3: expect them to be good with Malmes, but that's like

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Speaker 3: Eagles territory.

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Speaker 2: With j Hayden Daniel's rookie territory.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and their opponents are four of sixteen. And I

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Speaker 3: say it all the time. You're betting football, like a

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Speaker 3: lot of times, what this comes down to is bumbles,

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Speaker 3: fourth downs and turnovers like four or five plays a game,

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Speaker 3: and if you're on the right side of those, you're

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Speaker 3: going to cover more times than not. So the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: definitely have been a bit fortunate and fumbles and fourth

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Speaker 3: down departments. So we'll see if a bit of regression

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Speaker 3: hits the Bills. But then you could argue that the

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Speaker 3: Bills entire season this year should be one big turnover

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Speaker 3: regression after last year. But yeah, taking the points with

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Speaker 3: Allen at home, I haven't got there yet. I can't

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Speaker 3: blame your sentiment for my first pick in the second

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Speaker 3: overall of the week nine Sunday six pack, I'm going

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Speaker 3: with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half. I

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Speaker 3: think you owe me a hook. You can find a

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Speaker 3: minus one twenty out there. I would search for that.

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Speaker 3: There was a minus one ten out there earlier today.

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Speaker 3: So look, the Culture Juggernaut on offense like historically good

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Speaker 3: so far to date, But there comes a point and

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Speaker 3: maybe I'll have to keep upgrade in them every single

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Speaker 3: week until the end of the year. But there comes

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Speaker 3: a point where the price is just too expensive. And

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Speaker 3: I know the Steelers defense has major issues across the board.

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Speaker 3: This defense is not good and they lost to Sean Elliott.

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Speaker 3: We'll see if they like shake up their secondary, if

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Speaker 3: they take a different coverage approach this week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's been shaky. I know how much more

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Speaker 2: they could shake it.

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Speaker 3: It's it's been extremely shaky. So I'm look the Colts.

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Speaker 3: I think are gonna score here. The Colts offense is

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Speaker 3: really good. I do still think there's a Jones like

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Speaker 3: pumpkin game coming with like a couple of picks. And

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Speaker 3: if this, if there's ever a spot where you're gonna

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Speaker 3: get like some turnover luck, it's the Steelers at home

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Speaker 3: after two losses. Also, I will say the Colts as

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Speaker 3: good as they've been right Like, they haven't had the

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Speaker 3: toughest schedule the Titans. They played the Titans twice, the Dolphins,

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Speaker 3: the Raiders, the Cardinals, which was a shootout at home.

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Speaker 3: And I think that the Steelers essentially can keep up. Now.

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Speaker 3: Number one, this price, I can't get this. I'm under

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Speaker 3: a field goal, so like I project this around two,

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Speaker 3: So you're gonna give me even if it's a little

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Speaker 3: expensive three and a half. I'm taking it here because

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Speaker 3: I think that the Steelers can keep up. How well

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Speaker 3: Colts are worse than the league at defending tight ends,

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Speaker 3: I should say second to worst. The Panthers are the worst,

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Speaker 3: but from a yardage respective DVOI I think they're second

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Speaker 3: to worst. And like every single category, they really struggle

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Speaker 3: to defend tight ends well. Pitt uses multiple tight ends

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Speaker 3: on number fifty percent of their snaps. Colts also have

219
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Speaker 3: injuries at corner on the outside that I think Rogers

220
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Speaker 3: will be able to take advantage of they also have.

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Speaker 3: I think the Steelers, especially at home, have a huge

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Speaker 3: kicker advantage, so maybe that comes into play. And this

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Speaker 3: is outdoors, the Colts indoor team that's been living indoors.

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Speaker 3: I mean all of their games have either been at

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Speaker 3: home or in so far except for a game at

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Speaker 3: the corpse of Tennessee when it was like eighty degrees

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Speaker 3: against that defense. So maybe that slows them down a bit.

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Speaker 3: I don't know, but I do think that the Steelers

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Speaker 3: can keep up here. This Colts defense is very shaky.

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Speaker 3: I think they just met the Steelers structurally match up well.

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Speaker 3: Then you throw those corner injuries in and there's no

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Speaker 3: reason why the Steelers can't methodically move the ball down

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Speaker 3: the field that Colts offense on the sideline and maybe

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Speaker 3: get some special team's edge and maybe some voodoo with

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Speaker 3: the Steelers and for what it's where. Tomlin is a

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Speaker 3: dog of three plus forty twenty one and three against

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Speaker 3: the spread sixty five point six percent. He's the most

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Speaker 3: profitable coach of all time when catching three or more

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Speaker 3: eleven two and three against the spread at home. As

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Speaker 3: a dog of three plus. That's eighty four point six percent,

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Speaker 3: covering by eight points per game. And he's ten to

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Speaker 3: one and one against the spread when that opponent at

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Speaker 3: home as a winning percentage of sixty percent or more,

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Speaker 3: covering by ten points per game. So classic Tomlin spot

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Speaker 3: here and just going back to the price. Like, I

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Speaker 3: know that we downgraded the Steelers after last week. I

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Speaker 3: know that we upgraded the Colts again, but the Packers

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Speaker 3: closed two and a half one twenty in Pittsburgh, and

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Speaker 3: as good as the Colts have been, I certainly don't

250
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Speaker 3: have the Colts rated better than the Packers. In fact,

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Speaker 3: i've the Packers a couple points better than the Colts.

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Speaker 3: So I just think that this is look the favorites

253
00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:11,760
Speaker 3: have been killing it. The Colts have been a covering machine,

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Speaker 3: so I think as a result, we're getting a little

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Speaker 3: bit of inflation here after everyone saw the Steelers. You know,

256
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Speaker 3: add onto that the Steelers the past two weeks have

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Speaker 3: not covered and burned better, So you know, I just

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Speaker 3: I just think this line should be two and a

259
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Speaker 3: half or maybe like plus three minus one twenty minus

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Speaker 3: one twenty five. I think this is a bit too

261
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Speaker 3: cheap on the Steelers. So give me pitt.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I probably have to join you after betting and

263
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Speaker 1: last week and that's the same spot. But I'm starting

264
00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:41,800
Speaker 1: it's one of these situations where it's like, is this

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Speaker 1: just like a Steers are supposed to be one in

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Speaker 1: six right now because they had that win against the Browns,

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Speaker 1: They lost to the Bengals, lost to the Packers after

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Speaker 1: the buy, and then that Viking's win. I mean they

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Speaker 1: got out gained by seventy yard sixty yards Patriots win.

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Speaker 1: They gave him like five five turnovers at the goal

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Speaker 1: line instead of scoring, and the Jets handed in Week one.

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Speaker 1: So I'm starting to worry a little bit about the Steeers.

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Speaker 1: I don't I just don't understand how their defense is

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Speaker 1: so bad. I do agree that, like at some point,

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Speaker 1: you know they're gonna get one of these at home,

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Speaker 1: you know, as a dog. But man, I'm just inexplicable

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Speaker 1: how bad their defense is because that's supposed to be

278
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Speaker 1: their calling card under Tomlin Rogers, and the offense is

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Speaker 1: supposed to be kind of wimping around. You know, they

280
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Speaker 1: have one one true wide receiver that they really trust.

281
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Speaker 1: They're playing like five tight ends and it's like the

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Speaker 1: defense is the problem.

283
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Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean the tight ends. I think the

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00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,720
Speaker 3: tight ends in this particular matchup this spot. Yeah, and

285
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,520
Speaker 3: they should be able to run the ball a bit.

286
00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:42,880
Speaker 3: And the Steelers the one good thing they've done on

287
00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:46,120
Speaker 3: defense this year is defend play action, and the Cults

288
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Speaker 3: are the most play action heavy team in the NFL.

289
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Speaker 3: So yeah, But this is not based on the Steelers

290
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Speaker 3: defense matching up against the Colts offense, which has been

291
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Speaker 3: an absolute juggernaut. Ta has been amazing, the offensive line

292
00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,720
Speaker 3: has been amazing, Jones has done everything that you could

293
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:09,440
Speaker 3: have asked for and more. There's weapons all over, So

294
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:11,920
Speaker 3: uh yeah, that's not based on that. I just think

295
00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 3: that the price is too high. You know, you're getting

296
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Speaker 3: the Colts outdoors, basically for the first time against the

297
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Speaker 3: real opponent, and I think that the Steelers offense matches

298
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Speaker 3: up well, So I think that they can match scores.

299
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Speaker 3: Because I do think this Colts defense, especially without Ward,

300
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:29,000
Speaker 3: without Johnson, their struggles against the tight ends, I think

301
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,360
Speaker 3: the Steelers can have enough success to cover this number.

302
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Speaker 3: Wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the outright upset.

303
00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 3: Where are you going next?

304
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 2: Figure out prices being too high?

305
00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,400
Speaker 1: For my second pick, the third overall of the week

306
00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 1: nine Sunday six pack, I am going with the Minnesota

307
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:46,520
Speaker 1: Vikings plus eight and a half at the Detroit Lions.

308
00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:49,360
Speaker 1: And this is a spot where I just think the

309
00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:53,440
Speaker 1: price is too high. Now on Monday, you know, the

310
00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:58,560
Speaker 1: Vikings had a little you know, white walk through or whatever. Chrichard,

311
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:04,119
Speaker 1: darrisaw O'Neill, Ginkle all spotted McCarthy as well. So this

312
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,680
Speaker 1: team could be in a should be in a lot

313
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 1: better shape than it was when they just got scraped

314
00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:13,439
Speaker 1: on Thursday night by the Chargers coming off, you know,

315
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:17,639
Speaker 1: in an injury riddled UH roster on four day you know,

316
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 1: three days rest, that was gonna happen. Now, Minnesota defensively,

317
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:26,720
Speaker 1: I think underperforming a little bit. You know, they they

318
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 1: came into that Charger game right twelve and then just

319
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,119
Speaker 1: and even against the Eagles. I just thought that that

320
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 1: was kind of uncharacteristic from them. So but I do

321
00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:37,880
Speaker 1: think Ben Ginkle is gonna be big here.

322
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:42,760
Speaker 3: UH Detroit is huge, like Dallas Turner is not. They're

323
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:44,480
Speaker 3: trying to have him play that role and it's not

324
00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:48,640
Speaker 3: he's not. He's nowhere close to as effective as Dang

325
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 3: Ginkle like it's a huge, huge drop off, and then

326
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,800
Speaker 3: having cash and back helps to run defense as well.

327
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Speaker 2: Yeah.

328
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just don't think a Flora's defense should be

329
00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 1: this bad, uh for extended time. And you can I

330
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 1: mean you could see if them faring from twelfth to

331
00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:05,280
Speaker 1: twentieth on a Thursday game on four days rest. I'm

332
00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 1: not going to downgrade them as much as I would

333
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:10,399
Speaker 1: you know, a similar spot in full week rest with

334
00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:16,120
Speaker 1: more health and whatnot. So that's that, But more more

335
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 1: than that, I just think this Minnesota team, you know,

336
00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,080
Speaker 1: it's kind of this might be the floor for them.

337
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,199
Speaker 1: You know a lot of people I was lower on

338
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 1: them coming into the year. I just wasn't a full

339
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 1: believer in O'Connell having this might as touched with every

340
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 1: every single quarterback. But at the same time, I mean,

341
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,000
Speaker 1: I think this might be the bottom of the market

342
00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:34,360
Speaker 1: for them.

343
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 2: You have, you know McCarthy coming back.

344
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,960
Speaker 1: He's only played in a couple of games, getting with

345
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: great in one of them, but you know, he brought

346
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 1: him back and then he had that terrible game it's

347
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,159
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Then he gets hurt, but he had Carson

348
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:51,639
Speaker 1: Wentz in there, and I actually liked their other quarterback, Brosmer,

349
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 1: So like if for some reason he had a right, yeah,

350
00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 1: he might be the best quarterback on the ross. I

351
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,159
Speaker 1: said this before, and I'm not I'm not joking one

352
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 1: hundred percent there, So I don't mind this. You could

353
00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 1: probably wait on this number just because if there's Shenanigans

354
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,280
Speaker 1: with McCarthy and Brosmer ends up starting, you're gonna get

355
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:14,760
Speaker 1: an even better number. I would probably just bet it again.

356
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 1: But uh yeah, I think health is a big thing.

357
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 1: This is a divisional game, you know, Yes, the lines

358
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 1: are coming off a bye with the Vikings also on

359
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,560
Speaker 1: long rest, coming off that Thursday game, and you see

360
00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:31,040
Speaker 1: this time and time again, these big underdogs have been

361
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 1: covering this year. First of all, that's really the only

362
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 1: spots underdogs have been covering, but also underdog's coming off

363
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 1: big losses, you know, losses of twenty plus fifty six

364
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,640
Speaker 1: percent going back to twenty eighteen against the spread. So

365
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,919
Speaker 1: I just think that this is a spot where Minnesota

366
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: a lot healthier Detroit. Yes, they're good, Kate, we both

367
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,000
Speaker 1: came into the year. I think, you know, a little

368
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:55,399
Speaker 1: bit down on Detroit compared to the market. I have

369
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: upgraded them, but I don't think there's this invincible juggernaut,

370
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,400
Speaker 1: especially not in a divisional game.

371
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,320
Speaker 2: And now that you get McCarthy back.

372
00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,880
Speaker 1: Or Brosmer, you have a little bit more kind of

373
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 1: of the unknown with your with the quarterback situation and McCarthy,

374
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:13,440
Speaker 1: I don't think he's as bad as people think. Now

375
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 1: he's had two starts and you know, played badly for

376
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 1: seven quarters. But this Viking team, you know, you got

377
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:24,840
Speaker 1: Addison healthy, you got you know, Hockinson really hasn't played

378
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,520
Speaker 1: up to his standard yet, so he's still kind of

379
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 1: waiting to break out. Got your red zone guy. Now

380
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,960
Speaker 1: at Jefferson is underperforming. I think he's due to breakout.

381
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 1: So this could actually be a positive change because Carson

382
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 1: Wentz ain't really ain't really ain't it. So I think

383
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,879
Speaker 1: there is some quarterback up change upside here, even though.

384
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: People are probably down on McCarthy.

385
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: And then you get the you're probably getting at least

386
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,919
Speaker 1: one of your tackles healthier in this spot, you know,

387
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 1: O'Neil Darisaw and then Van Ganko Cashman, So I think

388
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,920
Speaker 1: you're healthy on both sides the ball division game, you're

389
00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,360
Speaker 1: talking about more than one score. I just think there's

390
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 1: too many points. Bikers could lose this game and very

391
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,879
Speaker 1: well cover it. So give me Minnesota plus eight and

392
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:06,880
Speaker 1: a half at Detroit.

393
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, my number sat, I should play this. I mean, look,

394
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 3: the lines have been better than I thought, but I

395
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 3: mean their last three wins have come against you know,

396
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 3: Flacco and the Browns, Browning in the Bengals and then

397
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 3: really beat up Bucks team at home on Monday Night. Now,

398
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 3: the lines have been very good under Campbell in these spots,

399
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,479
Speaker 3: just at home off the by, and they just in general,

400
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 3: the lines just always seem to cover. But I just

401
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 3: think that this line should be around seven. Yeah, but

402
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 3: the tackles Van Ginkle status, those are very critical. You

403
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:42,399
Speaker 3: also have the lines like who's coming back in the

404
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 3: line's secondary is also important because their secondary is very

405
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: beat up and McCarthy's numbers are really bad. But it's

406
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 3: a small sample size, is gonna look Ali, there's a

407
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 3: lot of uncertainty with McCarthy because if he's just horrendous,

408
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 3: then this could get out of hand quick. So there's

409
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 3: there's a lot of variance there, which is the only

410
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 3: thing that gives me pause. But from a numbers perspective,

411
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Speaker 3: I definitely would agree with you.

412
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 2: Before we move on.

413
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,440
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00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: up with DraftKings. Again, use Code Action Network when signing

435
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: up and bet five bucks to get three hundred back

436
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,640
Speaker 1: in bonus bets. If your bet wins plus three months

437
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,360
Speaker 1: of NBA League Pass, the crown is yours.

438
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,680
Speaker 2: All right, stuck, Where are you going? For pick number two?

439
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 2: All right?

440
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:33,879
Speaker 3: For my second pick in the fourth overall of the

441
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 3: week nine Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons.

442
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 3: It looks like plus five and a half at DraftKings.

443
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 3: This was six and a half earlier today when I

444
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,200
Speaker 3: played it. There's a still six out there, so I

445
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 3: would try to shop around see if you can get

446
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:56,159
Speaker 3: a six. But I'm still okay here at five and

447
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 3: a half.

448
00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:58,360
Speaker 2: This is just.

449
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 3: The spot I had circled earlier in the week of

450
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:05,359
Speaker 3: the bilos Sell High. The Patriots, similar to the Colts,

451
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,280
Speaker 3: have been awesome. They've been on a run here similar

452
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,120
Speaker 3: to the Colts. Also, the level of competition hasn't necessarily

453
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 3: been great, and the Falcons are coming off one of

454
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 3: the worst performances you will ever see for a home favorite.

455
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 3: Seven point home favorite with cousins in there who looked

456
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,959
Speaker 3: atrocious without Drake London without four defensive starters and they

457
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 3: got destroyed. It was an utterly pathetic effort. When you

458
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 3: see that happen the next week, those teams are usually

459
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 3: a bet on. Just to put some numbers to give

460
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:46,880
Speaker 3: it context, teams off a loss by more than two

461
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 3: touchdowns as a touchdown plus favorite, So like the Falcons

462
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 3: were last week, the next week they're thirty three sixteen

463
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 3: and one against the spread sixty seven percent, covering by

464
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:58,879
Speaker 3: over a field goal per game when they hit the

465
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 3: road twenty four to nine and one against the spread

466
00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 3: seventy two point seven percent, and as a road dog

467
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:07,880
Speaker 3: of over a field goal ten to three and one

468
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 3: against the spread. So you should get the Falcons' best

469
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:19,719
Speaker 3: effort here. They also look like they're trending better injury wise,

470
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 3: so looks like Pennix and London are going to be

471
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 3: a go. Morris said, a lot of the defenders are

472
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:33,679
Speaker 3: considered day to day. Diablo on the IR Hurtz Bertrand

473
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,120
Speaker 3: is bad, but the Patriots can't really run the ball.

474
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 3: They're not a great rushing offense, and that's where they

475
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 3: really missed Diablo. But guys like Walker Harrison, a couple

476
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 3: of Bowmen, Baits. I think that all of them have

477
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 3: a really good shot of going here, and when they

478
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 3: have most of their pieces, they have been able to

479
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 3: generate pressure. That's what you need to do against Drake May.

480
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 3: And they have done an outstanding job of taking away

481
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:06,200
Speaker 3: explosive passes and that's where Drake May has really excelled

482
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 3: this year. I think the Falcons are number two in

483
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 3: the NFL in that department that is so important because

484
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:17,160
Speaker 3: Drake May's deep ball has been absolutely pristine. I still

485
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 3: don't think this is a great Patriots defense. You can

486
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,360
Speaker 3: attack them through the air, so I like having Penix

487
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:27,199
Speaker 3: back in London. I also think you can really attack

488
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 3: their linebackers and their safeties. That's where you could have Pits,

489
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 3: you could have Bijon out of the backfield having pretty

490
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:40,439
Speaker 3: big days. But I just think that we've gotten to

491
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 3: the top of the market on the Patriots. They've been great,

492
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 3: no doubt, but their last three wins over the Saints,

493
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 3: the Titans and the Browns and look may look great

494
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 3: last week, but the Browns weakness has given up explosive passes.

495
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 3: They were playing Dylan Gabriel at quarterback and that defense

496
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,959
Speaker 3: just isn't the same on the road. Now, the Falcons,

497
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 3: some of their road performances do give me some pause.

498
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 3: Some of the injury and certainty does make this a

499
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 3: little if here. But I think we've reached a point

500
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:13,679
Speaker 3: where we've gotten too rich in the market because I

501
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 3: am assuming that Penix in London will be back. Just

502
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:20,680
Speaker 3: last week against an incompetent offensive by Dylan Gabriel, I

503
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 3: mean this was six and a half seven, So yeah,

504
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 3: I think that the Falcons are getting too disrespected here

505
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:32,320
Speaker 3: after last week. So I'm going to roll with Atlanta

506
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 3: in Foxborough. By the way, at New England ten or

507
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 3: twelve and fourth down opponents three of eleven. They've been

508
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 3: a bit lucky in some other areas, so maybe some

509
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 3: potential regression looms, but I just think ultimate numbers two eye,

510
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:47,520
Speaker 3: and I do think the Falcons is going to be

511
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:49,919
Speaker 3: much healthier here and you should get a max effort

512
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 3: after their past two games.

513
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I mean that way. I would love to

514
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 1: get the six the Patriots. Speaking about luck, I mean,

515
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: I believe they're almost fully healthy. They were just trading

516
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 1: guys on the defense, so it feels like locked in. Yeah,

517
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,679
Speaker 1: so it could be one of those spots where the

518
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:12,399
Speaker 1: falcons are just you gotta kind of you don't always

519
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 1: know what's going on with them internally, so I would

520
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 1: kind of wait till the end of the week just

521
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 1: to make sure the guys are actually playing that we

522
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 1: need to play.

523
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,640
Speaker 2: But if that's if that is, you know, if everyone's

524
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 2: a go.

525
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 1: London I think being the biggest because he was ruled

526
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: out weight in the week and I think that really

527
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 1: kind of tripped him up because it's one thing to

528
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 1: have a guy ruled out and I'll talk about a

529
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:34,719
Speaker 1: team that I'm betting on, actually that's gonna have a

530
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 1: top receiver ruled out, you know, on Wednesday, versus a

531
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:40,960
Speaker 1: guy being ruled out on Saturday. That changes the whole

532
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 1: game plan. And London is such a huge target for them,

533
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 1: so he's crucial and they got to get Cozzins out

534
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 1: of there. I don't know what he must have just

535
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: just stiff stiffen up.

536
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 2: Even more sitting on the bench for a year. He

537
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:53,479
Speaker 2: was just terrible.

538
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, they were at practice today, which is a good sign.

539
00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 1: All right for my third picked the fifth overall of

540
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 1: the week nine Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

541
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 1: Washington Commanders plus three and a half at home against

542
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,719
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. Now this is a spot where you know,

543
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 1: everyone's down in the Commanders.

544
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,719
Speaker 2: I get it. Terry McLaurin ruled out reinjured his quad.

545
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 1: But it looks like Jayden Daniel's going to practice in

546
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 1: full all week, which is big the Commanders. They've had

547
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:24,960
Speaker 1: a tough schedule, uh, you know, going up against the

548
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: Chiefs in that last one they you know, lost to

549
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 1: the Packers. They have the Watsons are pretty quality and

550
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 1: that's reflected if you look at DVOA. The Commanders are

551
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: eleventh overall and that's even with a three and five

552
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 1: record three starts by Marcus Mariota. So still, uh, you know,

553
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: have the makings of a quality team. I do think

554
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 1: the defense will be better here. How much better I

555
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,480
Speaker 1: don't know, but I do trust Dan Quinn at least

556
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: turn that around.

557
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 2: A little bit.

558
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: I thought they played okay against Kansas City all things considered,

559
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 1: but just you know, some big it's a big missed

560
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 1: opportunities there.

561
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 2: But I think getting Daniel's back is just key.

562
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 1: I mean eight touchdowns, one interception on the year, four touchdowns,

563
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 1: four picks for Mariota.

564
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 2: It's just a whole different game.

565
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: And Terry McLaurin, Yes, that's a big injury, but the

566
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 1: positive of that is you still got Deebo Samuel who

567
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,360
Speaker 1: you can feature if you need to in the past game.

568
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 1: And because Deebo McLaurin, all these guys have been banged

569
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: up all year, you know, all these other receivers have

570
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 1: gotten a lot of time with the ones. And I

571
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 1: thought McCaffrey's been playing well, Wayne's been playing well. They

572
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: trust Chris Moore for whatever reason. So you still got

573
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: Zach Ertz a tight end. So I think you still

574
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 1: have the running back. So I think you still have

575
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 1: enough year. But the Seahawks, they've been great. I've upgraded

576
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: them a lot, but three and a half, you know,

577
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 1: more than a field goal favorite on the on the

578
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 1: road against the team that's still I would say above

579
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: average in terms of quality, especially with Daniel's back, seems

580
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 1: a bit much for me. I think Seattle is, you know,

581
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 1: a very solid team all round, but they're also there's

582
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: still a Sam Donald team with one guy they really

583
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 1: throw to on offense. And that's about it. I mean

584
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 1: the running back, the running games, okay, they kind of

585
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 1: mixed the match there, but I think this is just

586
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 1: too many points, kind of similar to what you were

587
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:22,959
Speaker 1: saying with the with the Steelers here. You know, if

588
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 1: I'm getting more than the three for Sam Donald as

589
00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: a road favorite against and Washington with an upgrade at

590
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: quarterback who's already a top eleven, you know, DVOA team,

591
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 1: I don't think Seattle finishes the year number two. That's

592
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: where they are now. So I do think there's some

593
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 1: aggression coming. And this is kind of Washington season, Washington

594
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 1: season right here. They're getting desperate. This is a winnable

595
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:51,479
Speaker 1: or a gettable NFC East playoff picture. I think if

596
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 1: you're Washington at least for a wild card, but you

597
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: can't go to three and six, I mean that's just

598
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 1: absurd in Seattle five and two. You know, maybe you

599
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 1: catch them a little sweep be coming out of the buy.

600
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, give me Washington plus three and a half.

601
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 1: Expected Daniels to be back, that's the big one.

602
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the Steels have been so good on

603
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 3: the road under McDonald, But I do think this is

604
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 3: a little rich. But how healthy is Daniels is gonna

605
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 3: bee hundred percent? He needs his mobility that defense is

606
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:24,520
Speaker 3: so bad and they're so beat up. They're so slow,

607
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 3: so like them. Defending play action really does give me

608
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 3: pause because they're not getting any pressure now. They have

609
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 3: just have no defensive lineman left, so that's a major concern.

610
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 3: Because Donald is playing at such a high level and

611
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 3: Seattle's defense they can get pressure without blitzing. They should

612
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 3: be healthier in the secondary. But again, the price probably

613
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 3: a little bit too rich, So don't blame you. I'm

614
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 3: not sure I'll be involved. For my third pick in

615
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 3: the sixth overall, the final pick of the week nine

616
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 3: Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Houston Texans minus

617
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 3: one and a half at home against the Denver Broncos.

618
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 3: Really tricky car. We'll go through the rest of the

619
00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:13,480
Speaker 3: games I will end up I'm going to play this,

620
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 3: so this is the only other game that I liked

621
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,240
Speaker 3: on the card as of right now. I'm going to

622
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 3: keep it simple. I have the better quarterback. I'll take

623
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 3: Stroud over Nicks. You know, Stroud doesn't lived up to

624
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:27,239
Speaker 3: the expectations we saw on the rookie year, but I'll

625
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 3: still take him over bon Nicks. And if you look

626
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 3: at any vance metrics this year, he's ahead of Knicks,

627
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 3: and I'll take the better defense at home. So I

628
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 3: got the better quarterback, the better defense at home. And

629
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 3: the reason I can say, I mean the Texans defense

630
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 3: this year, especially against the pass, has been historically good.

631
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 3: That defense is shutting everybody down. And the Broncos don't

632
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 3: have Patrick Sartan. That is massive. He basically shuts down

633
00:33:56,960 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 3: one side of the field, your top receiver and allows

634
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 3: Denver to be so much more aggressive, so much more

635
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 3: diverse in everything that they do. The drop off from

636
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 3: him to Abrams Drain is massive, and there's just a

637
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 3: trickle down effect to the rest of the secondary and

638
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 3: everywhere throughout the defense. The Broncos look, they're sitting at

639
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:27,200
Speaker 3: five and two on the year, but man, yeah, they

640
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,799
Speaker 3: beat Dallas. They beat Rhoe Dallas. They should have gotten

641
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,840
Speaker 3: blown out at home to the Giants. They beat the

642
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,720
Speaker 3: Jets in London thirteen eleven. They had a crazy comeback

643
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 3: against the Eagles, they beat Jake Browning and then the Titans,

644
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 3: like that's their resume, and most of the wins have

645
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 3: been very close. They have what four to one possession

646
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 3: wins on the year. Also, Christian Kirk and Nico Collins

647
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:56,880
Speaker 3: back at practice today. That's a great sign. I thought

648
00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 3: Stroud really showed some sign last week. Now the counter

649
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,439
Speaker 3: to this, which is going to be fair, is that

650
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers cannot generate pressure with their shell

651
00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 3: of a defense, and that's basically the difference between when

652
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,399
Speaker 3: Stroud looks good and when he doesn't. The Broncos can

653
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:18,279
Speaker 3: generate pressure. Is that a concern of mine. Absolutely, But

654
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 3: also on the other side, don't see how Denver's going

655
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,239
Speaker 3: to consistently move the ball. You're going to see a

656
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 3: lot of quarters coverage, which Nicks really struggles against. And

657
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 3: the emergence of Woody Marx and some of the young

658
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,880
Speaker 3: receivers getting confidence last week I think is important. But

659
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 3: wood he marks out of the backfield. Denver bottom three

660
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 3: in the league and defending running backs out of the

661
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:42,840
Speaker 3: backfield in the passing game, so I think that could

662
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 3: be an avenue to extend some drives, get a couple explosives,

663
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 3: because it's not going to take much. Totals thirty nine

664
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,120
Speaker 3: and a half for a reason, this one should be ugly,

665
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,720
Speaker 3: But I'm going to trust the better quarterback at home

666
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:58,840
Speaker 3: and the better defense. I think the losses Certan is

667
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:04,239
Speaker 3: massive here, So give me the Texans at home.

668
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:09,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, with Nico back at practice, I think, especially in

669
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,720
Speaker 1: certain out, that does kind of flip it a lot,

670
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 1: because you know, it's hard to it's still hard to

671
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 1: trust the Texans offense, but it's also hard to trust

672
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 1: bo Nicks against defenses that can take away.

673
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:24,359
Speaker 3: Yeah.

674
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly so, and that could have you could have

675
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: made the argument for Denver, but not without not without

676
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: certain So yeah, I think those injury news, the injury

677
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:34,919
Speaker 1: news is big there. Uh, that would put me on

678
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,000
Speaker 1: on Houston as well. All right, that is our Week

679
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 1: nine six pack. Let's see, stuck. You got Aaron Rodgers,

680
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: Michael pennockx or Kirk Cousins and c J Stroup so

681
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:50,400
Speaker 1: one in one of the better quarterback weeks. I got

682
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 1: hopefully j and Daniels, kJ McCarthy and Josh Allen. So yeah,

683
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 1: this is oh man, we got we got too many

684
00:36:57,040 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 1: good quarterbacks this week. This might Mike go said, But

685
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 1: that was our Week nine Sunday six pack.

686
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 2: All right.

687
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: I started off the six packs stuck, So kick us

688
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,280
Speaker 1: off with your favorite total for week nine.

689
00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:12,760
Speaker 3: Let's go back to the well with a Titans over.

690
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 3: Let's go Titans Chargers over forty three and a half.

691
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 3: Chargers defense has some injuries. Does look like Darwin James

692
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:20,600
Speaker 3: is gonna go. I'm not sure if he's hundred percent,

693
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:22,439
Speaker 3: but that would have been big if he was out

694
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 3: toive still is going to be out one of their

695
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:30,440
Speaker 3: starting corners. You know, they've signed some guys recently in

696
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:32,680
Speaker 3: the secondary to try to help out. But I've liked

697
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 3: what I've seen from the Titans offensive late. They we've

698
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,759
Speaker 3: talked about this last week. They simplified things. They're moving

699
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 3: the ball a little easier. Their offensive line is healthier,

700
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 3: although Dan Moore I think might be a little banged up.

701
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 3: But I've liked what I've seen from the offense. It's

702
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 3: still not great, but it's way better than it was

703
00:37:48,640 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 3: earlier this season. And the defense is a mess. Jeffrey

704
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 3: Simmons in practice today. Without Jeffrey Simmons, this defense, there's

705
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,759
Speaker 3: nothing that you can that they hang their hat on.

706
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 3: And the Chargers becked in practice today. Joe Walt was

707
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 3: back last game. Joe Walt apparently is the MVP of

708
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 3: the league when he plays. The Chargers offense is electric

709
00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 3: and by the way, Gadson is really coming.

710
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:15,200
Speaker 2: On Dadson's a monster.

711
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, he is a player. So this Charger's offense, I

712
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 3: don't see why they shouldn't be able to score pretty

713
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 3: much at Willdy.

714
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: Migual by himself will probably put up twenty one points

715
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 1: three touchdowns, he would mcdanian Thominson against the Vikings.

716
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 2: And now the.

717
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:35,319
Speaker 1: Titans have given up fourteen touchdowns to running backs in

718
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:40,319
Speaker 1: eight games, six to Jonathan Taylor and then eight in

719
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 1: their other six games. So they're still giving up like

720
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: one in a quarter touchdown per game to running backs

721
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: once you take out Jonathan Taylor two three touchdown games,

722
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 1: which is just absurd, Like they are just terrible and

723
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:56,479
Speaker 1: now no Simmons problem potentially again yep.

724
00:38:56,600 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 3: So yeah, it's it's it's messy. So yeah, I think

725
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:05,400
Speaker 3: that this just isn't properly in my opinion, accounting for

726
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 3: like the little the incremental improvements of the Tennessee offense,

727
00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 3: the state of their defense are and Key also didn't

728
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 3: practice again today, Like their cornerbacks are a mess right

729
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 3: now because of all the injuries and trades and you know,

730
00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:22,080
Speaker 3: snead On Ir they traded one of their other brownly

731
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:23,920
Speaker 3: to the Jets, Like they're starting Corners right now are

732
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 3: Marcus Harris who else your boy Womac I think is

733
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 3: starting and Amore Davis like just nobody's and they can't

734
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:36,680
Speaker 3: get pressure so like and then on the other side,

735
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 3: Chargers maybe not one hundred percent on defense, but and

736
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 3: their offensive line trending up. So let's go over there

737
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 3: where you go.

738
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:51,879
Speaker 1: For my total for Week nine, I'm going Raiders Jaguars

739
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:55,839
Speaker 1: under forty five and a half. Now, both of these

740
00:39:55,880 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 1: teams are coming off a buy and you think, okay,

741
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,799
Speaker 1: maybe you know they kind of cook some things up offensively,

742
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 1: but usually would see these spots unders when both of

743
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 1: the teams are coming off of buye uh thirty eight

744
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 1: twenty five and one sixty since three twenty two five

745
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 1: and one eighty two percent since twenty twenty one. So

746
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: the year after COVID when you got real home field again,

747
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 1: I guess you could say, uh, twenty two to five

748
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 1: and one when in this spot for the under, and like, uh,

749
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior, very disappointing season for him. Uh practicing

750
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,479
Speaker 1: with a harness that's not good. I don't know what's

751
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,439
Speaker 1: going on. I'm hearing him trade rumors, but something's off

752
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:48,439
Speaker 1: with him. Jacksonville is somehow worse on third down this year,

753
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:50,799
Speaker 1: all of a sudden than they were last year. Like

754
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 1: this team is just Trevor Lawrence. I mean, and maybe

755
00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 1: it's the Thomas thing, but Trevor Lawrence is now back

756
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,799
Speaker 1: at six point three yards in attempt. So like, all

757
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know, just when we were going

758
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:07,400
Speaker 1: to give Liam Conell this credit. In Granted, Jacksonville did play,

759
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 1: you know, the Rams and Seahawks, you know, some good

760
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,840
Speaker 1: defenses over the last few games, but there their offense

761
00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:17,600
Speaker 1: is trending down and Thomas is barely not healthy. And

762
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:22,319
Speaker 1: then the Raiders, their offense is probably trending up. I mean,

763
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 1: Brock Browers looks like he's going to be back, but

764
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 1: Gino Smith has been horrible. Pete Carroll and Tip Kelly

765
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 1: are playing this like it's you know, nineteen eighty four

766
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:36,840
Speaker 1: or nineteen seventy four, where they're just kicking long drives,

767
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:41,959
Speaker 1: kicking field goals, not taking enough risks and who knows

768
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,279
Speaker 1: who they have, you know available here, they you know,

769
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:48,560
Speaker 1: Jakobe Myers could be traded or sit out with the injury,

770
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 1: put in Besh for Thornton, which takes away one of

771
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 1: your deep threats, so now you only really have one

772
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 1: deep threat in Trey Tucker, and maybe they and that's

773
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 1: probably because they don't want Geno throwing deep Carrol said

774
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,640
Speaker 1: as much, because they don't want him turning it over.

775
00:42:05,760 --> 00:42:08,880
Speaker 1: So I think even if you get some better turnover

776
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:12,279
Speaker 1: luck for the Raiders here probably be long drives. And

777
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,760
Speaker 1: then on the other side, you know this wing cone

778
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:18,400
Speaker 1: offense with Ryan Thomas and Hunter and all these guys

779
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 1: treylor Lawrence averaging six point three yards in attempt and

780
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 1: you know the running game is hit or miss as well.

781
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:29,280
Speaker 1: So both of these defenses are above average. The Raiders

782
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 1: love to limit the big play on defense. Jaguars number

783
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 1: eleven in defensive DVOA and then the Raiders are thirteenth.

784
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: And the Raiders, they're good. They're gonna try to run

785
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 1: the ball regardless of who's healthy and who's not, and

786
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 1: that generally doesn't work against the Jags. Both of these

787
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 1: teams pretty sold in explosives, and the Jags have shown

788
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:51,800
Speaker 1: some weeks in the past game, but I don't I

789
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 1: don't think the Raiders can exploit that with the with

790
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:55,920
Speaker 1: the line if they're trotting out there.

791
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,319
Speaker 2: So give me the under Raiders Jags.

792
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 1: A rare indoor under, but totals this year have been

793
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:05,040
Speaker 1: trending over I think overs are ten games over five hundred.

794
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 1: But if you kind of filter out once you get above,

795
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 1: you know, forty four and a half, which is kind

796
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,799
Speaker 1: of the median over the last few years in terms

797
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 1: of scoring, and that's when you start seeing the undertitt

798
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 1: at a better rate. So give me under forty five

799
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,160
Speaker 1: and a half Jags Raiders. Any thoughts on that one?

800
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:25,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I can see it. The I mean,

801
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 3: I would like for Crosby, Crosby and Butler Carol said

802
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 3: aren't going to practice till Friday. They bringing them all slowly,

803
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:35,600
Speaker 3: So obviously would like for Crosby to play. Devin Lloyd

804
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 3: is back, which is good. Both of these run defenses

805
00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 3: are good. My only concern is, like the Raiders out

806
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 3: of the by, like there's gonna be too much passing

807
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 3: here because of the run defenses are good. But then

808
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 3: the Jags offense works when they can run it, and

809
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 3: the Raiders run defense has been good. You know, these

810
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 3: are kind of they both these defense encouraged the pass,

811
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,359
Speaker 3: but I'm not sure either offense can really take advantage.

812
00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:03,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, I had a.

813
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: Lot of zones too, like so like even though they're

814
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 1: they're you know, passing on them, Like there's a lot

815
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:11,400
Speaker 1: of zone coverage tends to lead a less explosives and touch.

816
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, longer, more methodical drive. So yeah, I could see it,

817
00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 3: but would really like if Crosby played. Yeah, just the

818
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:22,840
Speaker 3: Raiders defense without Crosby is it's it's something because he's

819
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 3: like a Bosa, a Simmons. There's just a trickle down

820
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 3: effect when he's not there, and obviously he can make

821
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,719
Speaker 3: plays on his own too, right, he's pretty much unblockable.

822
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:39,359
Speaker 3: But uh, I don't know. I think he's I think

823
00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 3: we'll probably give it a go, but we'll see that

824
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:43,720
Speaker 3: Carol said today is not practical. Friday're bringing him along slowly,

825
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 3: So I don't know, but I don't hate it.

826
00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the Raiders got uh what three first

827
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 1: downs in the last game just absurd, and I feel

828
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:55,799
Speaker 1: like the answer might.

829
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:57,319
Speaker 3: Not be at one hundred percent, So we don't know

830
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 3: that either.

831
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:01,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's something's off with him. But I think

832
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:05,400
Speaker 1: just the fact that they took out Thornton for Besh,

833
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 1: like I know, you know, Besch solid college player, but

834
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 1: totally different kind of player that just gives you. Essentially,

835
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:14,440
Speaker 1: it's like Trey Tucker or nothing. If you're going downfield. Now,

836
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 1: you know Myers is underneath Guy Bowers is. I mean,

837
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:20,360
Speaker 1: he's a tight end. He's gonna be overle in the middle,

838
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:22,359
Speaker 1: but who knows how healthy he is. And then I'm

839
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: sure they want to get Genty the ball, So yeah,

840
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not expecting too many explosive to be

841
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 1: the way for this Raider team. I think they are

842
00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 1: gonna kind of slow play this. But all right, let's

843
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 1: get to so our totals are the Raider jag under

844
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 1: and the Charger Titan over. Now it's time for a

845
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 1: money line underdog parlay turning good weekends into great weekends.

846
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 3: It's time for the money line Parlay.

847
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 1: Probably mushed you last week's step because I was like, oh, man,

848
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 1: dude hit everything, and then it was like, if he

849
00:45:57,560 --> 00:46:00,439
Speaker 1: hits the Steelers, it would be like seven out of eight,

850
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 1: And of course the Steelers just unravel in the fourth quarter,

851
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 1: but I mean they it's you know, Packers.

852
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 2: Miss a couple of field goals, so that shouldn't have even

853
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:11,320
Speaker 2: been that close. But Packers was the right side, right, Yeah,

854
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 2: where are you going for your dog? Week nine?

855
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 3: Uh, let's go with the New York Football Giants and

856
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:26,120
Speaker 3: this is basically just number one. I don't know who's

857
00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 3: playing for either team on either defense. Hopefully the Giants

858
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 3: get some guys back in the secondary. I haven't seen there.

859
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 3: Have you seen their injury report yet?

860
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 2: No? Like I was just lamenting, how when we record this?

861
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:42,160
Speaker 1: Uh? The only injury reporter I see usually before the

862
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 1: show was Carolina, which is like the most irrelevant injury

863
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 1: report most week.

864
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 2: So let me see.

865
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:50,200
Speaker 3: So a Devo didn't practice bell under, didn't practice ILUMINOI

866
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 3: didn't practice flot didn't practice concussion.

867
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 1: That's not good. Hard it means a week out, So

868
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 1: that's that's not good.

869
00:46:57,600 --> 00:46:59,120
Speaker 3: Holland was limited.

870
00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 2: That that is good. I thought he was gonna be

871
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 2: back last week. I was. I didn't. I didn't think

872
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:04,839
Speaker 2: he was gonna miss that one.

873
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:08,480
Speaker 3: So Rico Peyton cornerback Rico Payton was a full participant.

874
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:17,040
Speaker 3: That's it's bad because it Deevo's knee flats, concussion, Art Green,

875
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 3: who they were counting on. He has a hamstring. It

876
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:24,280
Speaker 3: looks like they all could miss so like their corners

877
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:31,239
Speaker 3: now are Banks and Black. It's bad, so very very bad.

878
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 3: But the forty nine ers defense, I mean, we know

879
00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:36,399
Speaker 3: all hurt they are they then you had Collins get

880
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,280
Speaker 3: hurt last week, Winters, a couple of other defensive linemen

881
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,000
Speaker 3: hoffs hurt, gross Matto's I don't know if they're going

882
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 3: to go a couple offensive line injuries. We don't know

883
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 3: about pearsall. We already know Bosa and Bosa's on IR.

884
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,160
Speaker 3: Fred Warner is on IR. Who's going to go a quarterback?

885
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:55,799
Speaker 3: I don't know if it is Purty.

886
00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:58,720
Speaker 2: Is he mac Jones? Praates mac Jones.

887
00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, probably Mac, just I don't know both the Portners

888
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 3: can't get any pressure. The Giants defense is not going

889
00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 3: to stop. I mean if it's Banks. But this game

890
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 3: is just a mess.

891
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 2: So people have.

892
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,960
Speaker 1: A rush though, what's that? At least the Giants have

893
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 1: a pass rush.

894
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:17,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, like yeah, but just give me Dark making some plays.

895
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,040
Speaker 3: He's been way better than I expected. He's not going

896
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 3: to have to deal with any pressure. And you know

897
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:25,839
Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers defense, not only are they hurt,

898
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:28,359
Speaker 3: they were on the field for their second Shary Rogan.

899
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,560
Speaker 3: They're on the field for the entire game last week.

900
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:34,520
Speaker 3: If the Texans have the ball for thirty five minutes

901
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 3: in the first half. So yeah, I have no idea

902
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:41,360
Speaker 3: on this game. I think there's a ton of variants,

903
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:43,160
Speaker 3: so I'll take the home dog.

904
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was thinking about the Giants. Would have loved

905
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:48,880
Speaker 1: to get to the three. I think the line is

906
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 1: still two and a half, so I think it makes

907
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 1: sense to take the money line in this spot. But yeah,

908
00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:55,759
Speaker 1: like the Giants, I think they've been I think they've

909
00:48:55,800 --> 00:48:58,520
Speaker 1: been unlucky all year, despite you know.

910
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:00,160
Speaker 3: Even got unlucky ends of the Eagles. Like I think

911
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:02,239
Speaker 3: the Eagles. I like the Eagle last week. I did

912
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:04,080
Speaker 3: end up playing them because Brown was out.

913
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,359
Speaker 2: But that was should have been bigger than it was.

914
00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:11,320
Speaker 3: But like the Giants did that push push they should

915
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:14,520
Speaker 3: have been a fumble recovery. The offensive pass interference going

916
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 3: for a touchdown was BS so that game should have

917
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:21,239
Speaker 3: been closer. Uhame later by the way, Yeah, I mean

918
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 3: the Giants.

919
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, they've been a lot more competitive than you would

920
00:49:25,800 --> 00:49:29,840
Speaker 1: think with Dart and I mean a bunch just not much,

921
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 1: not much. Yeah, so it's uh, I'd rather go with

922
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:36,640
Speaker 1: the quarterback who can run around a little bit because

923
00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:38,759
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't know if Purdy comes back with

924
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,840
Speaker 1: his you know what, turf tow is a tough injury,

925
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:42,120
Speaker 1: so I don't.

926
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:43,040
Speaker 2: I don't think he'll be back.

927
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,680
Speaker 1: I think they're just kind of it's a pr thing

928
00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 1: where they paid him so much money that they don't

929
00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 1: want to just rule him out like at the beginning

930
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,200
Speaker 1: of the week every week, so they just play that

931
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:52,280
Speaker 1: they do that dance.

932
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 2: But we'll see either way.

933
00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 1: Uh Niners yet not the same kind of team without

934
00:49:57,360 --> 00:49:58,400
Speaker 1: those guys on defense.

935
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:00,919
Speaker 3: But I'm gonna get on all while to practice today

936
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:01,920
Speaker 3: for wisdom teeth.

937
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:04,719
Speaker 2: I mean, these a healthy scratch, healthy scratches.

938
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 1: He's it's uh they've they're enamored with uh Will Jordan

939
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 1: Humphrey and and now they might activate Ray Ray McCloud.

940
00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:16,359
Speaker 3: But I think no, I'm just laughing at this injury report, Like, yeah,

941
00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be healthy.

942
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,040
Speaker 1: Like Friday comes, They're gonna like take like everyone off,

943
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:23,240
Speaker 1: like the Gables, just fucking fucking around.

944
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:26,680
Speaker 3: Now. Feel who had teeth? There was someone with teeth.

945
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:28,399
Speaker 2: It was a I mean everyone has teeth.

946
00:50:28,840 --> 00:50:31,600
Speaker 3: No teeth on the injury report. Teeth It was a

947
00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:34,839
Speaker 3: backup quarterback.

948
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:37,399
Speaker 2: Oh what was that last year?

949
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:39,359
Speaker 3: I think it was two weeks ago.

950
00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 2: Bridgewater was a bridge, Bridgewater.

951
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:44,800
Speaker 3: It was a Bridgewater. He was on there with teeth.

952
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 3: It just said teeth. So all right, uh, I'm going.

953
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:54,239
Speaker 1: I'm going back to the well here with these Pittsburgh

954
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:58,440
Speaker 1: Steelers plus one forty five home dog against the Coats. Uh,

955
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 1: just high variance team first of all, because I think,

956
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:05,919
Speaker 1: you know, with Aaron Rodgers in this offense, again, they're

957
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,239
Speaker 1: playing a little better than expected. And even though they

958
00:51:08,360 --> 00:51:10,879
Speaker 1: are kind of a tight end centric offense, they still

959
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 1: find a way to be a bit more explosive than

960
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 1: you think with Metcalf Austin and Jalen Warren in the

961
00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:22,480
Speaker 1: in the past game. And then defensively, and I know

962
00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:25,759
Speaker 1: that you know, they did lose a safety, but I

963
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 1: still think they're playing way below their talent level. They're

964
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 1: at home. This is a spot where historically, I mean,

965
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 1: one of the more profitable spots in all of betting,

966
00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:41,400
Speaker 1: really Mike Tomlin Steelers home underdog money line nineteen and

967
00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 1: thirteen fifty nine percent straight up, So they're winning outright

968
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:48,560
Speaker 1: as a dog nearly sixty percent of the time at

969
00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 1: home off a loss as a dog, they're winning out

970
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 1: right fifty five percent of the time under Tomlin and

971
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,600
Speaker 1: just you know, as a dog after the first month

972
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:01,000
Speaker 1: of the season. So after you get some data and

973
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:06,279
Speaker 1: tape on guys, Tomlin, Steelers fifty four straight up. So

974
00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:08,239
Speaker 1: I mean, this is this is a spot where the

975
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:11,760
Speaker 1: Steelers tend to show up. But the fact that Tomlin's

976
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:15,680
Speaker 1: calling for his defense and the defense is just shiitting

977
00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:19,400
Speaker 1: the bed week in week out does worry me a

978
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 1: little bit about these trends. But I do think you know,

979
00:52:23,200 --> 00:52:27,000
Speaker 1: to your point, Colts outdoors could be the top of

980
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:30,320
Speaker 1: the market for them. Steelers can keep up on offense

981
00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 1: all things considered. So yeah, give me, give me Pittsburgh here.

982
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:36,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm hoping to steal. I'm so curious to the Steelers.

983
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 3: Do you don't like in the secondary? Do they put

984
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:43,279
Speaker 3: Ramsey back? Where's my guy Beatie Bishop? Like, bring him up?

985
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:44,000
Speaker 2: Yeah?

986
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:48,040
Speaker 3: Put him and Nicol put Ramsey back at safety. You

987
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:53,880
Speaker 3: don't want Thornhill back there. We really don't want Thornihill.

988
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:57,000
Speaker 3: But like I think that maybe I've always thought that

989
00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:03,160
Speaker 3: Pepper's is good, like especially playing in the box supporting

990
00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:06,200
Speaker 3: the run. It's weird that he doesn't get run.

991
00:53:06,560 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 2: Gotta be a locker room thing because wasn't he?

992
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 1: Wasn't he? That could be the whole issue with the

993
00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:13,680
Speaker 1: secondary in general, because I mean, you look at the personalities.

994
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:15,680
Speaker 2: You got Ramsey, You've got Slay like.

995
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:18,320
Speaker 3: Guy also looks washed like they've been replacing him with

996
00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:19,320
Speaker 3: echoes lately.

997
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:22,160
Speaker 2: Like yeah, but that's not going over well.

998
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:26,200
Speaker 3: No, So yeah, I'm hoping that they make some changes

999
00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:28,279
Speaker 3: that are that catch the Colts. So this adds to

1000
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:30,960
Speaker 3: the varants that can catch the Colts off guard. Maybe

1001
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:35,439
Speaker 3: they go a little more too high. I mean last

1002
00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:38,680
Speaker 3: week they played, I mean all year they did. They

1003
00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 3: rarely play any cover, too too much.

1004
00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:44,439
Speaker 1: Man coverage and yeah, too much single high.

1005
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:49,160
Speaker 3: So that and Jones has been worse against that type

1006
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 3: of defense this year. So maybe they make some changes

1007
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:56,800
Speaker 3: that the Colts aren't expecting. The Colts are so well schooled,

1008
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 3: so I don't know, we'll see. I'm so curious to

1009
00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:00,000
Speaker 3: see what they do and if.

1010
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:02,319
Speaker 1: Happen with Thornhill though, like he's just old now, like

1011
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:03,799
Speaker 1: because he was never this bad.

1012
00:54:03,840 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 2: I mean he was never bad.

1013
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 1: Really, he was always I would say a plus at

1014
00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 1: plus safety and then maybe we average but he's just

1015
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:13,360
Speaker 1: been terrible this year, like absolutely atrocious.

1016
00:54:13,880 --> 00:54:18,520
Speaker 3: Hit hit thirty and sometimes it's a cliff.

1017
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's rough, because yeah they lost Elliott, but still,

1018
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 1: I mean you got Lot, you got Hayward, you got Heighsmiths,

1019
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 1: you got Ramsey who can move around Porters should be

1020
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:30,399
Speaker 1: better than he is too, Like.

1021
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 2: You got speed at linebacker. I mean, I don't. I

1022
00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 2: just don't know. It's like they were It's like strong

1023
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 2: and wrong.

1024
00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 1: They decided they were they were gonna get these uh this,

1025
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:43,239
Speaker 1: these personnel and then played man coverage and it just

1026
00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 1: hasn't worked and the communication has been terrible and they

1027
00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:48,520
Speaker 1: just really haven't changed anything.

1028
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm waiting for that that to come.

1029
00:54:50,560 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 1: But I could see that coming against Jones and give

1030
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,600
Speaker 1: catching him a little off guard. But yeah, the Coats

1031
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:58,400
Speaker 1: are every receiver they throw to now because Taylor is

1032
00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:00,600
Speaker 1: involved in the past game, Tyer will arns their tight

1033
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 1: end instead of like Mallory Pox and Ogle Tree and

1034
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:08,880
Speaker 1: then you got Downs healthy, Pittman healthy and who am

1035
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:09,360
Speaker 1: I forgetting?

1036
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: Oh and now it pierced.

1037
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:13,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, so it gets it could get scary, but yeah,

1038
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,759
Speaker 1: hopefully the Steers switch some some stuff up and play

1039
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,880
Speaker 1: up to their talent. All right, if you parlay Steelers

1040
00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:23,280
Speaker 1: and Giants, you get plus four sixty four at DraftKings

1041
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:26,879
Speaker 1: Giants plus one thirty Steelers plus one forty five. Now

1042
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:32,520
Speaker 1: it's time for any time touchdown parlay presented by DraftKings.

1043
00:55:32,560 --> 00:55:37,480
Speaker 1: Stuck where you're going for your touchdown for Week nine.

1044
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 3: Let's go Jackson Dark. I think he's scored four four

1045
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,799
Speaker 3: and I touched on in foroard with five stars. Maybe

1046
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:49,400
Speaker 3: he's the new Hurts, But I think you can get

1047
00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:52,959
Speaker 3: plus one sixty five on this at DraftKings. Like I said,

1048
00:55:53,040 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 3: forty Niners can't get any pressure. Defense is really banged up.

1049
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:59,759
Speaker 3: Defense might be exhausted. There's no scato now near the

1050
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,240
Speaker 3: goal line. I expect Dark to be running all around

1051
00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 3: multiple ways for him to score, kind of like I

1052
00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 3: think this will be a little higher scoring too, So

1053
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:12,040
Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be some opportunities for Dart to

1054
00:56:12,120 --> 00:56:14,680
Speaker 3: get in. So, yeah, let's go with Jackson Dart.

1055
00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:15,759
Speaker 2: Yeah. Four out of five.

1056
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:19,239
Speaker 1: The only game he did not score was against the Saints.

1057
00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:21,719
Speaker 1: Go figure and that was that was a game where

1058
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 1: he just threw a ball on the floor at one

1059
00:56:23,680 --> 00:56:27,040
Speaker 1: point for a fumble lost through for a couple of touchdowns.

1060
00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 1: But yeah, I get I think they have to rely

1061
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 1: on his legs and they're they're they're going a little

1062
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:35,480
Speaker 1: heavier in the red zone now, so they're going with

1063
00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:37,520
Speaker 1: all those tight ends, which I think just makes it

1064
00:56:37,960 --> 00:56:41,319
Speaker 1: more likely that Dart ends up scoring because you know,

1065
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:44,080
Speaker 1: you drop back and you have like Chris Manhertz running routes.

1066
00:56:44,640 --> 00:56:46,920
Speaker 2: You know, like he's not going to be open, so

1067
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:48,480
Speaker 2: then it's you're more likely to scramble.

1068
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,960
Speaker 1: So good good news for Dart and then Tracy they

1069
00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:53,759
Speaker 1: don't always trust at the goal line. I'm gonna go

1070
00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:57,480
Speaker 1: with Tucker Craft plus one twenty two. He scored in

1071
00:56:57,560 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 1: five or seven, just been a monster this year and

1072
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:04,759
Speaker 1: going against the Panthers who have just not been good

1073
00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:07,799
Speaker 1: at all covering tight end and that makes sense when

1074
00:57:07,840 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 1: you consider that they are one of those teams that

1075
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:13,520
Speaker 1: just kind of sits sits in zone. Zone coverages tend

1076
00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:16,480
Speaker 1: to favor the tight ends the backs the lower a

1077
00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:19,680
Speaker 1: do guys man coverage. That's when he kind of funneled

1078
00:57:19,720 --> 00:57:22,120
Speaker 1: the ball outside to the wide receivers down the field.

1079
00:57:22,200 --> 00:57:25,439
Speaker 1: So great spot for Craft and he could score either way,

1080
00:57:25,520 --> 00:57:28,520
Speaker 1: like he could score against Man. He could score from distance,

1081
00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:31,080
Speaker 1: or he could score in the end zone. But I

1082
00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:34,520
Speaker 1: will say this, the Packers are starting to play there, backup,

1083
00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:38,400
Speaker 1: backup tight end. They're number three tight end, Fitzpatrick more

1084
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:41,960
Speaker 1: than Musgrave, so he's sitting around. I think I saw

1085
00:57:42,040 --> 00:57:45,680
Speaker 1: twenty to one out there, So he might be worth.

1086
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:46,240
Speaker 2: A long shot.

1087
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 1: Or he is worth a long shot as well, because

1088
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:50,480
Speaker 1: he was up to about a thirty percent route rate

1089
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 1: last game and that's been kind of a trend for

1090
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,400
Speaker 1: him now. So wouldn't be surprised if the game gets

1091
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:00,360
Speaker 1: out of hand if you see John Fitzpatrick, the big

1092
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 1: F big P getting the.

1093
00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:03,000
Speaker 2: End zone as well.

1094
00:58:03,280 --> 00:58:06,000
Speaker 1: So that but for our official parlay, we're going Craft

1095
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:08,640
Speaker 1: and Dart plus for eighty eight.

1096
00:58:08,800 --> 00:58:12,240
Speaker 3: That Craft is a monster man. He's rising up the

1097
00:58:12,240 --> 00:58:13,919
Speaker 3: best tight end in the NFL. Leader Boy.

1098
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:18,280
Speaker 1: The only thing I've stopping him is the Jacoby Brissette

1099
00:58:18,360 --> 00:58:21,440
Speaker 1: version of Trey McBride who actually scores touchdowns because the

1100
00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray version does not.

1101
00:58:23,520 --> 00:58:24,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, Craft is.

1102
00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 1: But yeah plus forty eight und draftings Jackson Dart, Tucker

1103
00:58:29,600 --> 00:58:31,200
Speaker 1: Craft anytime touchdowns Week nine.

1104
00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: That is gonna do it for us any other games.

1105
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 3: We didn't hit Bears, Bengals would have been beautiful over. Like,

1106
00:58:38,760 --> 00:58:41,400
Speaker 3: the Bears defense is a disaster. They have corner injuries,

1107
00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:44,760
Speaker 3: they've been relying on turnover lock. They can't stop anybody.

1108
00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:47,160
Speaker 3: The Bengals, of course, can't stop anyone. The Bears running

1109
00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:49,360
Speaker 3: game is getting going. The Bengals can't stop that. Hendrickson

1110
00:58:49,360 --> 00:58:53,760
Speaker 3: didn't practice today. But the wrench here is Blacko might

1111
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:58,680
Speaker 3: not go and it might be Browning. So I don't

1112
00:58:58,680 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 3: know on that one.

1113
00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:02,400
Speaker 1: Go with a career high like fourteen yard, I don't

1114
00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 1: know if that's actually his career. I have it fourteen

1115
00:59:03,920 --> 00:59:06,040
Speaker 1: yards rushing and a touchdown and now he's injury.

1116
00:59:06,680 --> 00:59:08,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, he had to scramble for a first, so I

1117
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:10,360
Speaker 3: had the Jets I think losing my mind. It was

1118
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:12,640
Speaker 3: third and long and they left Flacko run for a fourth.

1119
00:59:12,680 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 3: I was like, you got to be kidding me.

1120
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:16,440
Speaker 1: At a twelve yarder against the Steelers too, he's probably

1121
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:20,360
Speaker 1: out rushing Chase brown But yeah, so.

1122
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:22,080
Speaker 3: That was that was going to be a beautiful over.

1123
00:59:22,560 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 3: But with Browning, I don't know. I still I'd still

1124
00:59:25,760 --> 00:59:27,640
Speaker 3: would look over nothing do back.

1125
00:59:27,520 --> 00:59:30,800
Speaker 1: To Bears and now at three on the road, No

1126
00:59:30,840 --> 00:59:33,560
Speaker 1: trust Caleb no, right, yeah, but like they.

1127
00:59:33,440 --> 00:59:34,960
Speaker 3: Should be able to run all over them. There's no

1128
00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:39,480
Speaker 3: pressure like the Bengals that they I don't know, the

1129
00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:40,560
Speaker 3: Bears should be able to move it.

1130
00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:43,800
Speaker 1: Mananjai the running the running back, he's trending up. Maybe

1131
00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:47,360
Speaker 1: he's another look for a touchdown or yards ladder because

1132
00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, they're probably just Rutgers guy. Yeah yeah,

1133
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,800
Speaker 1: and uh, I think Burden probably misses the concussion. I

1134
00:59:54,800 --> 00:59:57,080
Speaker 1: think Comet is week to week and so as the

1135
00:59:57,120 --> 00:59:58,760
Speaker 1: key has pop up on the injury report too, So

1136
00:59:58,800 --> 01:00:01,520
Speaker 1: this could be a very run heavy game which could

1137
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:03,720
Speaker 1: kill the over Yeah.

1138
01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:05,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So I was gonna bet that was gonna

1139
01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:10,400
Speaker 3: be my total, but not now. Saints Rams Rams What

1140
01:00:10,520 --> 01:00:15,680
Speaker 3: fourteen point favorites here? It seems like a lot like

1141
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:20,480
Speaker 3: the Saints were just plus four plus close three and

1142
01:00:20,520 --> 01:00:24,840
Speaker 3: a half at home against the Bucks. They're trying to try,

1143
01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:28,240
Speaker 3: but then again, they were catching this around at the Bills.

1144
01:00:28,840 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 3: But the Schuck so like a lot of ariants, Nikole

1145
01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 3: is gonna be back. That's big against this defensive scheme.

1146
01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:37,439
Speaker 3: What are you gonna get from Shuck?

1147
01:00:38,160 --> 01:00:39,840
Speaker 1: I don't know what are you gonna get from the

1148
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:43,280
Speaker 1: skill guys, because Camara only played half the snaps. They're

1149
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:46,880
Speaker 1: clearly kind of like limiting him. They're Shaheeds in trade rumors.

1150
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 1: Olave has been Cooks is in trade rumors like yeah,

1151
01:00:50,600 --> 01:00:52,920
Speaker 1: so it's like you, you don't know what you're getting

1152
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 1: out of this Offen tasom Hill. They haven't really I

1153
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 1: don't know if he's ever gonna be the same. They

1154
01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:58,680
Speaker 1: haven't really unwashed him like I thought they would. I

1155
01:00:58,680 --> 01:01:00,360
Speaker 1: thought they could have really used him more week.

1156
01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:00,960
Speaker 2: They didn't.

1157
01:01:01,080 --> 01:01:03,920
Speaker 1: So yeah, I just it seems like a tank job

1158
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:04,680
Speaker 1: at this point now.

1159
01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:10,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, so no thanks on that. Packers Panthers Packers thirteen

1160
01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:12,400
Speaker 3: and a half point favorites of DraftKings. I mean, the

1161
01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:14,960
Speaker 3: Panthers have more a bunch of offensive line injuries last week,

1162
01:01:15,000 --> 01:01:18,760
Speaker 3: which are not good. Moton didn't practice today. Christiansen has

1163
01:01:18,800 --> 01:01:21,840
Speaker 3: been really good as the backup guard. He got hurt

1164
01:01:22,640 --> 01:01:24,440
Speaker 3: Brown it looked like was that practice. He's important for

1165
01:01:24,480 --> 01:01:27,320
Speaker 3: the defense. One of their linebackers. I forget who didn't

1166
01:01:27,320 --> 01:01:29,840
Speaker 3: practice today, though, But is it gonna be Dalton or

1167
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:32,480
Speaker 3: Bryce Young? I don't know. Bryce out there prack in.

1168
01:01:32,520 --> 01:01:36,800
Speaker 1: Full, practicing full. Dalton looks like he's out or he's hurt. Now, okay,

1169
01:01:37,200 --> 01:01:39,080
Speaker 1: like foot flopped, that's good.

1170
01:01:39,640 --> 01:01:43,040
Speaker 3: I think that's an upgrade at this point. So maybe

1171
01:01:43,120 --> 01:01:44,960
Speaker 3: this is a little rich. I think it's the fourteen.

1172
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:48,200
Speaker 3: I think you'd have to look at the Panthers first half.

1173
01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:51,400
Speaker 1: The Packers just always is like three two three scores

1174
01:01:51,440 --> 01:01:53,640
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter every every single game.

1175
01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:59,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, but no interest as it right now, I think, yeah.

1176
01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:03,000
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for our week nine Action Network podcast.

1177
01:02:03,360 --> 01:02:07,200
Speaker 1: Be sure to check out Stuck on the Favorites and

1178
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:10,320
Speaker 1: you can find me on Fantasy Flax with Kerner. Stuck's

1179
01:02:10,320 --> 01:02:14,640
Speaker 1: also on BBOC talking College Ball. Check out at Playbook

1180
01:02:14,760 --> 01:02:17,000
Speaker 1: on Twitter. We have a bot that will build you

1181
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 1: bet flips up the book.

1182
01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:18,680
Speaker 2: Of your choice.

1183
01:02:18,680 --> 01:02:21,880
Speaker 1: You can just streamshot bets, so that's pretty cool. Stuck

1184
01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:23,919
Speaker 1: is on x at Stuck. You to him at Chris

1185
01:02:24,080 --> 01:02:26,600
Speaker 1: Raybon Rat. Those same handles on the free award winning

1186
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 1: Action Network app go downloaded until next time.

1187
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:31,000
Speaker 2: Get this money he hope.

1188
01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:49,960
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1189
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:53,200
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1190
01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:56,120
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1191
01:02:56,240 --> 01:02:56,960
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