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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome in to another

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Pearl.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me because all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and this podcast being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by our friends at DraftKings. New Pick six players

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Speaker 1: sign up. Okay, winning Day, Yesterday, losing Monday, winning Tuesday. Oksee,

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Speaker 1: goes down badly. That was the bad bet of the day,

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Speaker 1: but we get the over easily. In West Virginia, Memphis

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Speaker 1: and Drake in overtime, we finally get a break. This

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Speaker 1: is the gambling gods. Because we had back to back

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Speaker 1: days of bad breaks. We get a good one Drake

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Speaker 1: in overtime, win seventy three to seventy to stay undefeated again.

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Speaker 1: We'll keep on watching Drake and we'll keep on betting Drake, Drake,

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Speaker 1: West Virginia and Creighton Blue Jays three teams we will

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Speaker 1: bet a lot this winter here for college basketball. In fact,

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Speaker 1: we're betting on Creighton today. We'll have a conversation about

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Speaker 1: them here coming up in just one second. But before

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Speaker 1: I give you the picks for today, Well, we got

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun stuff coming on Friday and Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It is the college football playoffs. Well, we're having a

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Speaker 1: college football contest with Betting Pros. It is twenty five

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Speaker 1: game against the spread, and you earn points for each

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Speaker 1: correct pick. In the first two college football rounds, you

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Speaker 1: will select a best pick which will be worth double

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Speaker 1: enter this before the twentieth, which is coming up very soon. Okay,

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Speaker 1: today's the eighteenth, tomorrow's the nineteenth, so you got to

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Speaker 1: get in in the next two days. How do you

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Speaker 1: will pick in the first two rounds a best pick

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Speaker 1: that will be worth double the points for the college

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Speaker 1: football playoff. Enter right now at Bettingpros dot com slash splash. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so let's get into these games coming up here tonight,

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Speaker 1: you and LV. I'm going straight Homer tonight. I'm not

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Speaker 1: ashamed to say it. But you and LV, let's break

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Speaker 1: it down, all right. So a little birdie told me

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Speaker 1: that there's a good shot that Ricky White's not playing

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Speaker 1: tonight for you and LV. That's not great. But this

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Speaker 1: coaching staff is pretty much a skeleton crew. They're all gone.

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Speaker 1: Marion Oc gone, they lost Barry Otom to Purdue, gone.

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Speaker 1: Dan Mullins takes over. Okay, he's not coaching, so this

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Speaker 1: could be difficult. However, UNLV has an advantage here at

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Speaker 1: the quarterback spot because the top two quarterbacks for Cal

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Speaker 1: won't play in this game. They're great. Great quarterback that

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Speaker 1: lit up so many defenses is in the portal. They've

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Speaker 1: lost multiple other players to the portal. You have Hodjmilik

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Speaker 1: Williams the quarterback. You've got the running backs, You've got

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Speaker 1: the linebackers. The guys you have heard and we've talked

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Speaker 1: about them a ton all year. They're all going to

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Speaker 1: be there. Okay. Given the inexperience of the quarterback spot

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Speaker 1: for Cal, I think the under a decent play, but

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Speaker 1: the under is so bleeping low. I don't trust it.

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Speaker 1: It scares me. I feel like it's too low to

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Speaker 1: be quite honest, I don't love it. So because of

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Speaker 1: that reason, I think Cal is a mess. I think

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Speaker 1: their coaching staff is a mess. The transfer portal is

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Speaker 1: ripping these guys apart. This game means more, in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: to UNLV than it does to CAL. Motivation matters, and

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Speaker 1: I think for UNLV having to get rid of the

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Speaker 1: taste of the loss to Boise on a fast track

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Speaker 1: indoors with their athletes, even without Ricky White, I think defensively,

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Speaker 1: UNLV is gonna shut down Cal's offense. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Cal scores very much today, So again, I don't mind

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Speaker 1: the under forty two, but forty two is really low

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Speaker 1: for a game involving UNLV. It's scary. Even without Marion's offense,

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Speaker 1: you U and V still will go fast, they still

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Speaker 1: will try to score. It's their offense. It's not Marion

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Speaker 1: calling the plays for the go go offense, but it's

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Speaker 1: still an offensive staff that should be able to get

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Speaker 1: this ball into the end zone quite a bit up

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Speaker 1: against CAL and UNLV, I think is good for twenty

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Speaker 1: p points minimum tonight Cal. I don't know thirteen, but

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Speaker 1: if UNIV scores twenty eight in Scott and Cal scores

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Speaker 1: twenty one twenty four, its game's going over. So I'm

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Speaker 1: scared to bet the under, even though I do like

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Speaker 1: the under. I just think there are more players for

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Speaker 1: U and LV less opt out. The quarterback situation favors

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Speaker 1: you and LV. I think the motivational factor favors U

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Speaker 1: and LV. We opened up Bull season last night with

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Speaker 1: a win with the over. Rather than bet the under,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay to three points here with the UNLV,

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Speaker 1: U and V minus three in the bowl game in

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Speaker 1: California in the LA Bowl happening tonight in al at

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Speaker 1: Sofar here up against Cal UNLV minus three. If you

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Speaker 1: guys know me, you know I hate Yukon. I hate

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Speaker 1: the state of Connecticut. Sorry, I hate the Yukon Huskies.

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Speaker 1: But this is not why I am betting against Yukon.

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Speaker 1: The number is thirteen and a half up against Xavier.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a ten point win. This game's

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Speaker 1: at Hartford. Last year, Connecticut annihilated Xavier like by forty

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Speaker 1: in Hartford at the Excel Center. I don't think that

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Speaker 1: happens this year. Why well, I think Xavier has a

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Speaker 1: couple of wins on their schedule. It's pretty impressive. They

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Speaker 1: beat Wake Forest. Okay, they're laying set. There were seven

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Speaker 1: nine point favorites, but they beat South Carolina, who just

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Speaker 1: beat Clemson. Xavier can score, Yukon can score. Obviously. Yukon

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Speaker 1: beat Gonzaga, Texas and Baylor over their last three games.

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Speaker 1: They've completely righted the ship after Hawaii. But thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points in a Big East game and the

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Speaker 1: conference opener for both these teams, we're going thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half. This number is really really high. Yukon defensively

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Speaker 1: has gotten better, but they're still giving U about sixty

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Speaker 1: five points per game. Xavier scores nearly eighty points a game.

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Speaker 1: Yukon scores over eighty three points per game. Xavier gives

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Speaker 1: up about sixty nine points per game. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: you could go and talk about maybe the game to

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Speaker 1: go over, but offensively, I think Xavier's got a chance

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Speaker 1: here to go up tempo, to get some buckets to

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Speaker 1: score on Yukon, and look, they're gonna lose the game.

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Speaker 1: But I just think thirteen and a half points is

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Speaker 1: way too many points in a Big East opener for

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Speaker 1: a team that was picked third in the Big East.

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Speaker 1: Number one was Yukon, number two was Creton, and number

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Speaker 1: three was Xavier. I mean, again, they've got some pretty

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Speaker 1: big wins. I think this is I know, the win

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Speaker 1: over again Zaga was tremendous. Maybe there's a letdown spot

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Speaker 1: here a little bit for Yukon as they're not playing

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Speaker 1: a nationally ranked team, but I mean, I think this

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Speaker 1: is gigantic for them. With the win over Wake Fours

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Speaker 1: in South Carolina, Zach Fremantle being out for Xavier is

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Speaker 1: a massive loss. I'm not going to deny that that

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Speaker 1: was made by Sean Miller. He announced that he'll be

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Speaker 1: out indefinitely with a lower body injury. That's not great.

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Speaker 1: So Ryan Kammeell needs to step up and Davean McKnight

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Speaker 1: needs to step up and play better. Look, Xavier is

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Speaker 1: gonna have to hit threes, Okay. Bottom line that they

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Speaker 1: got to hit threes tonight, and if they're really off

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Speaker 1: shooting threes, this game might get away from This game

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Speaker 1: could be could get ugly. But thirteen and a half points,

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Speaker 1: I just think Xavier and Sean Miller will find a

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Speaker 1: way to keep this game relatively close. I don't think,

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're not gonna win the game, but Yukon

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Speaker 1: may be in for a bit of a letdown. I

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Speaker 1: don't like Yukon, so anytime I can fade Yukon, I'll

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Speaker 1: gladly jump in and gladly do it. I think Xavier's

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Speaker 1: got a chance to make this a ballgame, and I

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Speaker 1: think Xavier could be in it late. Yukon wins, Xavier covers.

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Speaker 1: Give me the thirteen and a half points for Xavier

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Speaker 1: at Hartford fading Yukon. And I told you in the open,

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Speaker 1: I'm wearing a U and V hat here and I've

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Speaker 1: got Creighton Blue Jay blue on. This is the harder

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Speaker 1: game for me. So the Creighton Blue Jays are expected

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Speaker 1: to go to Georgetown, and according to Kempom, they're expected

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Speaker 1: to lose. This is a little bit of a surprise

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Speaker 1: to me, to be completely honest, because the Jays are

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Speaker 1: favored by three. The betting market normally doesn't disagree this

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Speaker 1: much with Kenpom. Like it's it's oh, sorry, no excuse me,

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Speaker 1: Creighton wins by three. It's equal. Sorry. I was on

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Speaker 1: the I was on the Georgetown page, Creighton's favorite to

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Speaker 1: win by three. Excuse me, so we're right on the

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Speaker 1: Kenpom number. The Jays offense is fifty first in efficiency,

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Speaker 1: forty ninth in effective field goal percentage. Creighton is fifth

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Speaker 1: and two point percentage. Georgetown defensively has been pretty good

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Speaker 1: seventy third inefficiency, fifty fifth in effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: two hundred and fifth though in three point defense. This

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Speaker 1: is going to be a game in which Jackson McAndrew

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Speaker 1: has got to shoot the ball the same way you

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Speaker 1: shot the ball against Alabama. He is the reason why

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Speaker 1: we covered. Now we got the bet right. Bama won

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Speaker 1: the game, creating lost at Alabama back to back road games.

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Speaker 1: This is at Capitol One Arena. This is the NBA

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Speaker 1: arena in town. Georgetown's playing there. CBS Sports Setwerks got

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Speaker 1: the broadcast at six thirty Eastern time. How many fans

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Speaker 1: will be there, I'm not sure, not a ton. Georgetown

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Speaker 1: has a fan base, you know, dedicated, but not big. Offensively,

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Speaker 1: that's where Georgetown struggles. They're one hundred and twenty first inefficiency,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty eighth in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 1: They're three hundred and twenty fifth, one of the worst

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Speaker 1: teams in all of college basketball three point shooting forty ninth.

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Speaker 1: In two point percentage, the Jays are forty eighth and

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Speaker 1: three point defense twenty fifth, and two point defense in nineteenth.

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Speaker 1: In effective field goal percentage in thirty third in adjusted

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Speaker 1: efficiency defensively, I don't think Georgetown scores a ton. I

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Speaker 1: think this game probably goes under. But if the Jay's

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Speaker 1: shoot the rock and shoot the three with Stephen Ashworth

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Speaker 1: and Jackson McAndrew, if they shoot the way they shot

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Speaker 1: against Georgetown, sorry it's Alabama, they should beat Georgetown and

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Speaker 1: this game shouldn't be relatively close. If the Jays play

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Speaker 1: after their potential. Now, obviously they're stun still about Pop

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Speaker 1: Isaac's being out for the year and they've had to reconstitute.

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Speaker 1: They've used six different starting rotations so far this year.

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Speaker 1: That's the most ever for coach McDermott through this many

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Speaker 1: games for the Jays. They just don't normally have to

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Speaker 1: shuffle things around like this. Georgetown played Notre Dame, who

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Speaker 1: was eighty sixth on Ken Pom and lost at home.

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Speaker 1: They played West Virginia on the road forty sixth in

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Speaker 1: Kempom and lost by thirteen. The Jays are fortieth. This

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Speaker 1: is the highest ranked team they've played so far on

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Speaker 1: ken Pom, and I think they will lose. I think

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Speaker 1: the Jays will win. They will win this game by

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Speaker 1: more than one possession, and they'll come away with a w,

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Speaker 1: their first road win of the year, in their first

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Speaker 1: win in the Big East so far this year. The

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Speaker 1: Jays are coming off of lost to Alabama, who was eighth.

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Speaker 1: They lost tax A and M. They lost to San

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Speaker 1: Diego State and they Loston Nebraska. Nebraska was at home

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Speaker 1: San Diego State and tex and M were here in

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Speaker 1: Las Vegas on a neutral Alabama on the road. I

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Speaker 1: think the first road win for the year, the first

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Speaker 1: road victory for Creighton comes tonight up against Georgetown. Coach

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Speaker 1: mcdermot's had a pretty good run here with Georgetown. It

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Speaker 1: is Ed Cooley. I'm not going to deny that Ed

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Speaker 1: Cooley at eight and two not I mean, a very

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Speaker 1: good coach, was a great coach at Providence, just doesn't

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Speaker 1: really have the horses shooting the rock. Jay's hit threes.

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Speaker 1: Kind of the story of their you know how they're

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Speaker 1: gonna play this year. But Creighton threes, Creighton covers. I

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Speaker 1: think they'll hit threes here tonight after a good shooting

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Speaker 1: night at Alabama. They hit threes here in d C.

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Speaker 1: And they win and they cover, all right, So three

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Speaker 1: bets for us going here today. We're going un LV

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Speaker 1: minus three in the LA Bowl up against cal Xavier

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Speaker 1: plus thirteen and a half in Hartford at the Excel Center,

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Speaker 1: up against a Yukon for one point one units, and

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Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays on the road road favorites up

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Speaker 1: against Georgetown. Tough place to play for the j small number,

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Speaker 1: but Creighton wins and covers the three points here for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. If you want to bet U

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Speaker 1: and LV money line, if you want to bet Creighton

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Speaker 1: money line, go right ahead. Okay, it's just a little

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Speaker 1: bit on the expensive side. I'm just a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I's one sixty five for the Creaton Blue Jays to

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Speaker 1: lay that, and that just makes me a little bit

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Speaker 1: uncomfortable to lay that much juice when it's only one possession.

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Speaker 1: And then for the you for U and LV, it's

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Speaker 1: MIAs one fifty on the money line, which is equally

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Speaker 1: a little bit expensive to go ahead, although more than

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Speaker 1: likely if U and LV wins this game. They're going

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Speaker 1: to win by more than three points, and they're going

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Speaker 1: to cover. I don't mind laying that you only pay

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Speaker 1: the juice when you lose in one sixty five. It's

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Speaker 1: a little expensive on that. I don't think Xavier wins.

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Speaker 1: But you can rink. You can sprinkle money line if

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Speaker 1: you want to see if they shock the world and

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Speaker 1: make Dan Hurley lose his brain at home in Hartford,

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Speaker 1: if you were to lose his xavior. But we'll take

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Speaker 1: the points there. Min Is Matt Parolt. You guys to

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Speaker 1: follow me across all my socials at Sportstock Matt. Every

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Speaker 1: morning it's the Daily Juice podcast presented by Draftkicks