1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene along 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: with Paul Sweeney. Join us each day for insight from 4 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,119 Speaker 2: the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You 5 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 2: can also watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: mornings from seven to ten am Eastern from our global 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 9 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 10 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. Drag ourselves 11 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,239 Speaker 2: back to the FED right now? Julia Cornado's perfect to 12 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 2: do that. President of macro Policy perspectives a major duty 13 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 2: at BMP Perry Bay in the trenches of the financial crisis. 14 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 2: Is well, Julie, I've gotten off the beat. Does the 15 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 2: economic data this week? 16 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,839 Speaker 3: Game change? A data dependent FED? 17 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 4: Probably? Game change is too strong because they're meeting next 18 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 4: week and we already know that they're not going to 19 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 4: do anything, but they are going to give us some guidance. 20 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 4: They are going to give us a new forecast, and 21 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 4: they're going to we'll get a press conference, and so 22 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 4: it might help set the tone as to you know, 23 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 4: when we heard from Chaer Powell last week, he said, 24 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,199 Speaker 4: it just needs a little bit more, just a little 25 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,919 Speaker 4: bit more progress to confirm they're on the right track 26 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 4: and build their confidence before cutting rates. That doesn't sound 27 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 4: like a very high bar, but if we get a 28 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 4: setback in inflation, he might sound a little you know, 29 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 4: more on the stern side us versus on the hopeful side. 30 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 2: And now your inflation report for the day, and that 31 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 2: I followed carefully. The loadstone of my house, which is 32 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 2: a price of dog food. You know what it costs 33 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 2: you what it cost to do vet Bill and Kennell 34 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 2: fee up with a proper fancy upper east side dog 35 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,519 Speaker 2: food has gone from twenty eight dollars to forty four 36 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 2: dollars over a good five to six pandemic years as well. 37 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 2: Juliet Coronado an update from doctor Coronado on the CPI. 38 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 4: Look, we have made a lot of progress, but in 39 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 4: the first quarter of the year we often get some 40 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 4: firmer prints. We saw that in January. We are going 41 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 4: to see probably a little bit more of that tomorrow 42 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 4: in the February report. We're looking for a point three 43 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 4: on core. That would still bring the annual rate down 44 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 4: a couple kits, but it would lead the three month 45 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 4: annualized rate up, So it would be kind of neither 46 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 4: here nor there. I think in terms of the FED, 47 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,799 Speaker 4: it would not be particularly worrisome because you know, year 48 00:02:57,880 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 4: on year, we're still making progress, but it would all 49 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 4: also say there's no rush. And then you take that 50 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 4: with the Friday employment report. You know, I think that's 51 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 4: going to matter more Tom, the the jobs data. If 52 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 4: that shows signs of you know, the perfect goldilocks labor 53 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 4: conditions are starting to cool off a little bit, that 54 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 4: might give the FED more urgency versus if that continues. 55 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 4: And I would say Friday's employment report it was a 56 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 4: mixed bag. You know, the jobs number was strong, lots 57 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,959 Speaker 4: of downward revisions, and a pretty notable uptick of the 58 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 4: unemployment rate. So you know, I think they're kind of in, 59 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 4: you know, where we're getting closer to where those risks 60 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 4: are getting balanced. 61 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 2: And we'll talk about this on my podcast out now, 62 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 2: Single best idea look for that. 63 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 3: Later this afternoon, I'm going to talk to. 64 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 2: Doctor cornetto about annualized three month annualized twelve month annualized, 65 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: six months annualized. 66 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: This, I know is foreign to you, Damien. Annualized is 67 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 3: very analzed thing. 68 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 5: Well, here for me show I mean, for me, it's 69 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 5: not just about it's not just about inflation in the US. 70 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 5: It's about inflation abroad. I mean, this week we also 71 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 5: see Brazil, Germany, India. I think at the end of 72 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 5: the week we see France, Italy, Poland. I mean, Julia 73 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 5: talk to us a little bit about inflation dynamics outside 74 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 5: of the United States. 75 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 4: Well, that's an excellent point. I mean, we have seen 76 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 4: progress globally, and you know, it's sort of widely thought 77 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 4: that China is now a disinflationary force, given how much 78 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 4: how lackluster their growth is and how much capacity they have. 79 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:36,799 Speaker 4: So globally, you know, we are actually in a much 80 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 4: better place than we were this time last year. And 81 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 4: it is across you know, across regions. So again we're 82 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:48,479 Speaker 4: not back down to pre pandemic, but we're certainly moving 83 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 4: in the right direction. And most central banks, not just 84 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 4: the FED, with the exception of the BOG of course 85 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 4: always the outlier, but ult central banks are considering moving 86 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 4: off a very high spot rate. So that you know 87 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,799 Speaker 4: in acknowledgment of some of this progress. 88 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 5: Well, Julia, we also see inflation data out of Sweden 89 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 5: on Wednesday, and as we know, the RIX Bank might 90 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 5: be the very first developed market central bank to move. 91 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 5: I think the market's present pricing is something like a 92 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 5: sixty percent probability of a move by may you know, 93 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 5: forget about inflation though, I mean you mentioned Japan. I 94 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 5: want to talk about Japan and what we're seeing in 95 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 5: Japan ahead of this March nineteenth meeting. What do you 96 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 5: expect there? 97 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 4: Well, you know, look, Japan has been both kind of 98 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 4: gradually pivoting away from its ultra easy stance, but very 99 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 4: very patient in doing so. So yeah, so, so you know, 100 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 4: will we will we actually see a move? I am 101 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 4: not the Bank of Japan expert. I think it's you know, 102 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 4: they're going to keep evolving and rotating. Whether this is 103 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 4: the meeting, that's that's I'm certainly less component to put 104 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 4: a stake in the ground on. 105 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 3: That, right, Julie. 106 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 2: I take it back to the data this week in 107 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 2: retail sales, the consumers sixty eight sixty nine seventy seventy 108 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 2: eight percent in my household of GDP is is well, 109 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 2: tie in your GDP call right now with the actual 110 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 2: retail sales statistics three month annualize that we've. 111 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:24,039 Speaker 3: Been seeing, the consumer is buoyant. Am I right? 112 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 4: Well, we saw some retrenchment in the January retail sales. 113 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 4: Remember we saw a decline in core retail sales. I 114 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 4: would say consumers have really kind of gone back to 115 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:42,040 Speaker 4: their pre pandemic norms in the sense that they're spending. 116 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 4: They've got jobs, they've got income, and they're spending. But 117 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 4: what we hear, what we see in the inflation data, 118 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:51,919 Speaker 4: what we hear anecdotally the Fed's Beige Books certainly shows 119 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 4: it right right. The consumers are price sensitive again. They 120 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 4: want to deal, Tom, they want to deal. 121 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 2: Okay, Julie, I'm running out of time. I don't mean 122 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,679 Speaker 2: to be rude, but the it's root Monday in RESI, 123 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 2: doctor Cornado, is you're coming in with like a two 124 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 2: percent real GDP and you pop on disinflation and all 125 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 2: of a sudden, are you modeling out a subpart nominal GDP? 126 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 4: You know, Actually, we're kind of optimistic on the productivity 127 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 4: side of things, so we actually do think that this 128 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 4: productivity rebound is not just a one off that it's 129 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 4: a better trend this cycle. So we've got GDP running 130 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 4: around two percent with a FED funds rate at five 131 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 4: and a half percent. That's not too bad, right, And 132 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 4: it's also the beauty of it is that it's non inflationary. 133 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 4: So this is solid growth that isn't necessarily inflationary that 134 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 4: brings nominal GDP slowly gradually back down to the four 135 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 4: and a half five percent zone, the sweet spot where 136 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 4: the Fed wants to see it. I think that's where 137 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 4: we're heading in the first half of this year. 138 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was watching the Oscars last night, Julia, and 139 00:07:57,920 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 2: the answer is, nobody's on speaking terms. 140 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 3: Are you in Constance Hunter? And speaking terms? Is it 141 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 3: working out at macropolicy? 142 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 4: And I speak all the time? Really, we taxed, we speak, 143 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 4: we zoom, we do it all Tom all the four 144 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 4: Very good. 145 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 2: I saw a Constance Hunter with the Consul on Foreign 146 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 2: Relations the other day. Good to see macro policy perspectives 147 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 2: out on the streets of New York. 148 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 3: Julia Coronado there right now, and this is great. 149 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 2: It's sort of like the week after the employment it's 150 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 2: a little less there's some economic data this week, but 151 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 2: it's time to just like reassess the markets. 152 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 3: We did that with Brian Nick, with Francois Trahan and 153 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 3: now joining. 154 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 2: Us Michael Purvis of Tall Back and as well Damien's 155 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 2: got You know, folks, you got to see this in 156 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 2: the studio. You really can't see this on YouTube, but 157 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,200 Speaker 2: you know, it's like Blomberg Business of Sports. You're worse 158 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 2: than Scarlet's bring in like thirty pages of notes. 159 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 6: I do, and I highlight everything. I'm a very big 160 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 6: young The only note. 161 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 2: I have is my coffee and donut message. There go, Lisa, 162 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 2: thank you. I mean look, I mean it's like Lisa's. 163 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 3: Taking a photo here for social of your When are 164 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 3: you doing this during the weekend? 165 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 5: I mean no, Actually I tried to wake up early 166 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 5: on the Monday morning. Okay, have a cup of coffee, 167 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 5: come in early and get ready to care. 168 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 3: You're building in purpose. 169 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 2: But I'm talking to the architect from Columbia first, I mean, 170 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 2: Michael Purvers. How many people do we have a studied 171 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 2: architecture in school? What in God's name did they do 172 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: to Central Park South? They got billionaire's row. You get 173 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 2: this gorgeous tapestry in Manhattan like Paris? Yes, and instead 174 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 2: we put six seven, eight tall pointy skyscrapers. So Ken 175 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 2: Griffith can wave to me, yeah, we destroyed the Manhattan skyline, right. 176 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,559 Speaker 7: Do you remember when the Aol Time Warner Building was 177 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 7: being built, a huge controversy. Look at that building now compared. 178 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 3: To those right buildings building, the. 179 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 7: Empire State Building is now looking cute, right, and the 180 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 7: Christier Building. 181 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 3: I look in promortion. 182 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 2: But to you, seriously, to you that have really studied 183 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 2: the art of this of architecture in Columbia, is the 184 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 2: solution that we have to build ten more of those tall, 185 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 2: ginormous skyscrapers to balance it out. 186 00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 7: Apparently someone in the city government decided it was you know, 187 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 7: I guess it brings in a lot of money and 188 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 7: it pays other bills. 189 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:23,680 Speaker 5: But I think, yeah, no, I mean, look, you know, 190 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 5: we could talk about architecture all we want here, but 191 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 5: for me, it's all about the architecture of financial markets. 192 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:33,080 Speaker 5: And within the architecture tom is volatility, which is you 193 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 5: like that? So I mean look for me, I mean 194 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 5: I look at volatility, but in all its forms, Michael, 195 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,679 Speaker 5: as you do. You know there's fxvall which is really 196 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 5: really low. You've got equity ball and equity ball appears 197 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 5: to be ticking up. And during the break we were 198 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:46,079 Speaker 5: talking a little bit about some of these ETFs, these 199 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 5: buy rite ETFs, these these kind of vol embedded ETFs. 200 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 5: I wonder if you could talk just a little bit 201 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,320 Speaker 5: about what you're seeing there, the flows that have been 202 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 5: There's been a lot of flows going into that type 203 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 5: of product. How do you think that's impacting market? Is 204 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 5: that suppressing ball of current levels? 205 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 7: Well, I I think it does until it doesn't, right, 206 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 7: But you know, just as zoom, you know, step back 207 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 7: for a second. If you look at the rate of 208 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 7: cash equity volumes over the last fifteen twenty years, it's 209 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:11,960 Speaker 7: been flat. If you look at the rate of option 210 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 7: at like just S and P options or all the options, 211 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 7: it has been growing eight or nine percent every year, 212 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 7: and then over the last couple of years take that 213 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 7: up to you know, twenty five thirty percent. It has 214 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 7: been just extreme. And when you have this huge rise 215 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:30,079 Speaker 7: of derivatives layered on top of very static cash volumes, 216 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 7: you're going to get weird distortions to market structure. Yeah. There, 217 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 7: and you know it was just when it was it 218 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 7: four years ago, twenty eighteen. Oh my god, six years ago, Jesus, 219 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 7: time flies where you had the XIV that shortfall ETF 220 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 7: famously implode, and you know the Vicks the short squeeze there, 221 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 7: the short of the short if you will, you know, 222 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 7: it drove the VIX up to like, you know, forty 223 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 7: six in a heartbeat, right, And I think with all 224 00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 7: these products you have to be aware of them. Some 225 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,719 Speaker 7: of them are actually pretty don't have as much of 226 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 7: an impact on market structure. 227 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:03,560 Speaker 5: So I mean, can it happen again? We were talking 228 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 5: about the dispersion trade. I mean, what would it take 229 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 5: to get the Vics above twenty? 230 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 7: Well, I you know, probably it starts that, you know, 231 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 7: the dispersion trade just you know, it's been working great 232 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 7: for the last year and a half. 233 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 5: It looks what is that for audience? 234 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 7: Yeah, yeah, so. 235 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 6: Sorry, you know sorry. 236 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:21,880 Speaker 3: The dispersion trade. 237 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,680 Speaker 7: Is well, basically, it's it's it's it's it's a trade 238 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 7: that did some option traders put on where you're long 239 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 7: a basket of single stock volatilities and you're hedging that 240 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 7: against index volatility, right, and and everything works great because 241 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 7: you know, like over the last year, you know, you 242 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 7: think about it like you have a huge dispersion of returns. Right, 243 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 7: you had the Magnificent seven doing seventy five percent, you 244 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 7: had the SPX equal waight up fourteen percent. That's a 245 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 7: that's a recipe for like one stock or one sector 246 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 7: is going to do well. 247 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 3: I want to rip up the scripture. 248 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 2: I just put this out on YouTube on live chat 249 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 2: because you're expert at this. Michael Purvis on the market structure, 250 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 2: the distortions of market structure. 251 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,199 Speaker 3: What is the market structure of bitcoin? 252 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 7: Oh? The uh well, I. 253 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 6: Think you. 254 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,559 Speaker 7: I was going to make equip that, you know, bitcoin 255 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,960 Speaker 7: going rallies to fresh time highs as it just does, 256 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 7: doesn't make a sound, you know today, whereas you know 257 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 7: just a few years ago, you know, would have famously 258 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 7: broke twenty thousand, and every institutional investor had to have 259 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 7: in a view on it. 260 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,120 Speaker 3: Is it a market structure or is it contrived? 261 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 7: I think it's contrived personally. I I don't really way 262 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,080 Speaker 7: too far into the debate, but I do think there's 263 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 7: a religious element to it, whether it's it's kind of binary, 264 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,839 Speaker 7: I don't I don't, you know, I don't really write 265 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 7: on bitcoin other than pure technically, and you know, look 266 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 7: at the technicals have certainly looked better here, whether it 267 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 7: really you know, there Tom right now, there's there's probably 268 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:54,199 Speaker 7: a whole bunch of biotech stocks out there that you've 269 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 7: never heard of that have gone up three acts in 270 00:13:56,520 --> 00:13:59,559 Speaker 7: the last six months or whatever. You know. Like I, 271 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 7: I do wonder whether whether bitcoin as a mainstream ass 272 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 7: a class that thesis is is is really behind us. Right, 273 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 7: So maybe it goes to two hundred thousand, but does 274 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:10,199 Speaker 7: anyone really care? 275 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 5: Well, Michael, I mean, you know, I'm an emerging market 276 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 5: fixed income guys. So because I cover fixed income, I 277 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 5: like to look at foreign exchange. So let's talk about 278 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 5: FX fall. And you know, for me, when I look 279 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 5: at FX fall and I look out at you know, 280 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 5: you know tenors you know called risk reversals that look 281 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 5: at six months, one year, it's all about euro dollar 282 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:28,160 Speaker 5: that's the center of gravity in the FX universe. But 283 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 5: over the short short term it's been a lot about 284 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 5: dollar yen. I wonder if you could tell us a 285 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 5: little bit about what your thoughts are heading into this week, 286 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 5: heading into next week with the BOJ what's going on 287 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 5: with dollar yen? 288 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 7: Yeah, Look, I mean the the end certainly has been 289 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 7: one of the more interesting cases in the correct As 290 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 7: you know, Damien one of the more interesting FX pairs 291 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 7: to be looking at. And I would also sort of 292 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 7: note if you looked at goldfalls finally started picking up 293 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 7: with his things, and there is a correlation. You know, 294 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 7: you look at dollar yen and you look at you 295 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 7: look at dollar gold and those two and to map 296 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 7: together pretty well here. And I think, you know, certainly 297 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 7: some of the gold bulls would argue that there is ah, 298 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 7: there really is a It feels that, you know, look, 299 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 7: you're not supposed to be with with with with rate hikes, 300 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 7: still rate cuts rather still to come, but not coming 301 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 7: that My god, Gold's playing. 302 00:15:19,720 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 3: Purvose expertise. Which is market structure? 303 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 2: Which is gold is central bank buying versus retail's disinterest. 304 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 2: That's sort of the zeitgeist out there. What's the market 305 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 2: structure of the Magnificent seven? Because they you know, they 306 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 2: pulse on the Bloomberg folks might now Damien is doing math, 307 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: purvis is. 308 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:39,000 Speaker 3: Expert at this. 309 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 2: Lisa and I are just looking at the blinky red 310 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,680 Speaker 2: green trying to figure out if there's more red than green. 311 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 3: It's really scientific. Okay, what's the. 312 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 2: Market structure of Nvidia or apples, you know, disappointing. 313 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 3: Here are they working in an normative way? 314 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 7: Well, look, I mean I think, you know, broadly speaking 315 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 7: for the magnificent I don't know what do you call 316 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 7: it four these days? You know, But basically, I think 317 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 7: after two or three years of massive valuation volatility and 318 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 7: sort of trying to settle into the you know, where 319 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 7: the long run interest rates likely to be, I think 320 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 7: that process is largely behind us. So what I'm saying, Tom, 321 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 7: is that you kind of followed the earnings growth. If 322 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 7: the earnings growth is there in a cyclical stock, it's 323 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 7: going to do well. If the earning growth is better, 324 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 7: it continues to be outstanding in nvidio it's and video 325 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 7: will get bid. 326 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 2: Twenty seconds the Purvios SPX target here with this great one. 327 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 3: We've nailed it on that. 328 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 7: Yeah, well look, you know, I officially from December, I'm 329 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 7: at forty nine hundred. I think, you know, fifty five 330 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 7: hundred or even higher. I even think that if the 331 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 7: if the earnings hold up, you could even at some 332 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 7: point this year touch six k. You won't stay there, 333 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 7: but I think you could touch it. 334 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 3: So there we go. 335 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 6: Do we get that on tape? 336 00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 3: Richie. 337 00:16:56,120 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 2: We get that on tape Purvis with the Yardennis six thousand, Michael, 338 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 2: that was great and international relations, and we've been honored 339 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 2: Evangelist stent On with us recently on mister Putin. It 340 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 2: pays to go with people that have decades of experience. 341 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:20,440 Speaker 2: Aeral Cohen is at the Atlantic Council and very quietly 342 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:22,880 Speaker 2: has put together a rezumi. 343 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 3: That is extraordinary. 344 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 2: You can go back to his book Russian Imperialism, Development 345 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,360 Speaker 2: and Crisis from just a few years ago to really 346 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:34,360 Speaker 2: get a foundation of his work on what we observe 347 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 2: out of Moscow. Aeral Cohen, as simply as I can, 348 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:43,199 Speaker 2: what is the imperialism the Russian imperialism of Vladimir Putin? 349 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 6: Well, good morning. First of all, I'm a great fan. 350 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:53,640 Speaker 1: As you know, Russian imperialism didn't start with Leazimir Putin. 351 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 6: Russian imperialism started. 352 00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: In the fifteenth century when the Russians finally shook off 353 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 1: the domination of the heirs or the grandchildren of Jengi's Han. 354 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 1: They were occupied for over two hundred and eighty years 355 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 1: by the Mongols. They were pretty good subjects. 356 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 6: They paid their taxes in pelts, in hers. 357 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: Of animals, they gave their wives and daughters to the occupiers, 358 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: and it was the princess intermarried. So there was sort 359 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 1: of a commingling of the Mongols and later known as 360 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: the Tatars with the Russians. And then finally they shook 361 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:51,360 Speaker 1: them off. The Mongol Empire fell apart, and one thing 362 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 1: they got from their occupiers is how to run a 363 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: centralized state. And a lot of elements of the Mongol 364 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 1: took from the Chinese were now in the Administrative government 365 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:11,199 Speaker 1: DNA of the Russians. And they never stopped sits. So 366 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 1: for many, many years, for centuries, they would expand and expand. 367 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 6: They captured. 368 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:22,440 Speaker 1: The peoples of the Vulgar Basin, of the Eurals Siberia, 369 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 1: and they built the largest country on Earth and now 370 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 1: puts it decided to put it together after the Soviet Union. 371 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 3: Well, okay, let's Damien jump in here. 372 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 5: Well, I just wanted to know, I mean, like, we're 373 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,159 Speaker 5: talking Russia here. But you know what's interesting is we 374 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 5: have an election in Russia that's coming up this week, right, 375 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 5: and we have some interesting happenings, specifically regarding the Valdi's 376 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 5: constituency and his wife and the role she's playing and 377 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 5: how I believe they're trying to get people to show 378 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 5: up for the election at certain points in time. I 379 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 5: wonder if you can just give us a little bit 380 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:53,119 Speaker 5: of color about what's going on on the ground within Russia. 381 00:19:54,480 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 1: First of all, Russia had two very brief periods of 382 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: voting in democracy, and after that they reverted to this 383 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:11,399 Speaker 1: Taarist pattern. Whether it was a red saw his general 384 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:16,720 Speaker 1: secretary like Lenin Stalin. You probably remember Brezhnev, the guy 385 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 1: with the eyebrows. And then so the democracy after the 386 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 1: Tsarist regim collapse, the Emperor Nicolas. 387 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,959 Speaker 6: The second eventually was executed with his family. 388 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: That lasted all eight or nine months, nine months under 389 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 1: under Yeltsen, Putsin's predecessor, who appointed which it wasn't. 390 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 6: Really elected by popular will. 391 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:44,120 Speaker 1: He was first appointed as a heir apparent, and then 392 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 1: they organized the elections dismantled doctor Cole. 393 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:51,439 Speaker 3: Just because of time, we got to get this in. 394 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,439 Speaker 3: I think it's really important. What is the size or. 395 00:20:54,359 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 2: Impact of the Navalni constituency within Russia on a percentage basis? 396 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 3: How big are they? 397 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 1: Oh gosh, nobody knows. First, second, it's small. Third, Sometimes miraculously, 398 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:16,479 Speaker 1: these events and these people have oversized influence. So I 399 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 1: do believe that both my good friend buddysniaimself who was 400 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: murdered in twenty fifteen, and Alixei Navili, who was murdered 401 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: just now, will have an outsized influence on the Russian 402 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 1: people in the Russian history, and one hundred years from 403 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: now people will remember their names, probably will teach these 404 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 1: names in school. You know what's happening now is a sham. 405 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 1: It's sham elections. It's just going through the motions to 406 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: justify reappointment. 407 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 2: I got to squeeze in this one last question, doctor Coen, 408 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 2: And it's simple. You get out a map, you get 409 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 2: in a current. Saint Petersburg, you go west. Helsinki is 410 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: a cup of coffee away, and Stockholm's three cups of 411 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 2: coffee away. What is the accordances to Putin that Sweden 412 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:03,640 Speaker 2: and Finland have joined NATO. 413 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 1: It is a geopolitical failure of Putin, just as the 414 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 1: war in Ukraine is Utsin was fat and happy is 415 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 1: selling fifty billion dollars of natural gas, billions of billions 416 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,480 Speaker 1: of oil, lumber, timber, the usual stuff, the raw materials 417 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: of Russia always sold for centuries, and now she lost 418 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 1: this markets, all this blah blah about how they're going 419 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,919 Speaker 1: to be a part of the Global South, part of 420 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: what greater China. It is propaganda for the Russian people. 421 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:43,679 Speaker 1: In reality, Utsin created the hugest self inflicted wound for 422 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 1: the Russian international Stin. 423 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,360 Speaker 2: Got to leave it there, Doctor Cohen, Thank you so much, 424 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 2: Eric Cohen, thought provoking in Russia with the Putin election 425 00:22:52,920 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 2: coming up. Good morning everyone, Tom Keen and the headlines 426 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 2: and newspaper report. 427 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 3: Of course, last night the. 428 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 2: Emotion of the oscars, Like you know, there were some 429 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 2: night high points for me and some things where I'd like, really, 430 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:17,920 Speaker 2: jim I'm a huge Jimmy kimmelfan, so I thought he 431 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 2: nailed it out of the park. 432 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:20,719 Speaker 3: But let's be honest. 433 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:24,919 Speaker 2: For Lisa Matteo, the apex, I say, the apex of 434 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 2: the Oscars was eight twenty two pm. 435 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 7: Keola as ILOs kenosun. 436 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 8: Juntos beautifully said. You see he's not such a bad bunny. 437 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,200 Speaker 3: Happy birthday, brother, Good ass ya, Thank you. 438 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:47,200 Speaker 8: International films enrich our cultural understanding by broadening our perspectives 439 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 8: of the world and each other. Here are the nominees 440 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,879 Speaker 8: for International Feature Film. 441 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,879 Speaker 3: The Rock and then it was downhill from there. He 442 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 3: got best tuxedo. 443 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 2: By the way, is well Lisa Mateo, way in here 444 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 2: now the rock made in early you appearance and I 445 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 2: thought that. 446 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 5: Was University of Miami grad. 447 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 9: Oh that's right, football. 448 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:08,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, did you play football? 449 00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 3: Did you tune in last night? 450 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:13,160 Speaker 9: I was sleeping by like seven, it was still light out. 451 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,359 Speaker 9: That was a problem with his daylight saving thing. I 452 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 9: totally agree, totally still daylight. But I missed that one, 453 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,359 Speaker 9: but I heard about it, so I went to watch 454 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:23,960 Speaker 9: go on to the rest. 455 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 7: I have to do that. 456 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,120 Speaker 9: And I also saw a naked John Cena that kind 457 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 9: of came out. 458 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 2: Actually, I got a note from many years ago. He's 459 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,560 Speaker 2: been a fan of the show. Really was dressed when 460 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 2: he wrote the note. 461 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 9: Hopefully, well maybe not. 462 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 3: Some people here thought it didn't really work. Did you think? 463 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:43,919 Speaker 2: You know? 464 00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 5: I don't keep score, but for me, if I I 465 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 5: guess was keeping score. I only saw that Netflix won 466 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 5: one award and Apple got shut out. 467 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:50,359 Speaker 6: Did you hear that? 468 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:55,960 Speaker 3: Yeah? My god, that Comcast. Congratulations to Universal and mister Robertson. 469 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 2: The Comcast crew for having a act of that night. 470 00:24:58,119 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 2: Let's get to you at the newspapers Lisa, what do 471 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 2: you all. 472 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 9: Right, So we're starting with surge pricing coming to more 473 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,959 Speaker 9: restaurant menus. All right, So we have these technology providers 474 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 9: they're pitching these services allowed restaurants to change their prices weekly, monthly, 475 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 9: depending on demand. Remember Wendy's got in trouble that customers 476 00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 9: had this outcry against it because they tried to do 477 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 9: They were talking about maybe doing something like this. But 478 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 9: these technology companies, they're putting out the software. Some companies 479 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 9: are starting to see actually profits from this. The Wall 480 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 9: Street Journal Cali Barbecue, they boosted its monthly delivery sales 481 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 9: by fifteen hundred dollars by doing that. By adding this 482 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 9: surge surge pricing, Dave and Busters are doing it. Some 483 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 9: people aren't Apples. They're not doing it though. 484 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 5: Wait waiting a little bit longer to get your pulled 485 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,239 Speaker 5: porks now, which it's got to be healthy. IDs sit 486 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 5: out there in the sun for a little bit while. 487 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,080 Speaker 2: If you guys said brunch at the Breakers this weekend 488 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 2: in Florida, you rang up. It was like seven hundred 489 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 2: dollars for two people. 490 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 5: You know, your bloody Mary at the Breakers cost forty dollars. 491 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:03,280 Speaker 9: There you go, right, Brooklyn making history. Yes, they have 492 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:06,880 Speaker 9: the first all electric residential building in New York City. 493 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:10,040 Speaker 9: So that means no gas stoves. The heating, hot water, 494 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 9: that's going to be electric too. It's forty four stories, 495 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 9: four hundred and forty units. 496 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,440 Speaker 7: It has a rooftop. 497 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:20,120 Speaker 9: Pool, it has a terrace, it has a GM retail stores. 498 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 7: Well, the apartments all electric. 499 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 9: Do you want to know how much it's going to 500 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 9: cost a studio thirty five hundred dollars a month. We 501 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,120 Speaker 9: have a one bedroom, two bedroom going for about eight 502 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 9: thousand a month. That's and a three bedroom eleven two 503 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:35,159 Speaker 9: hundred dollars a month. 504 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:36,360 Speaker 7: There you go. 505 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:38,720 Speaker 3: Welcome to New York, Welcome to Brooklyn. 506 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 2: Thirty seconds here right now, guest stover electric. You take 507 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 2: my guest stove away? 508 00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, I get upset my mother. I was just going 509 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 5: to say that my mom has an electric stove. She's 510 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 5: been renting leasing a place down in Florida right now, 511 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 5: and she cannot cook on it. She hates it's electric. 512 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:52,680 Speaker 5: She's out. 513 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 3: There's new ones. I guess I don't know, wicked, wicked 514 00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,400 Speaker 3: old school. Of course, I know it's a hot thing. 515 00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:03,439 Speaker 9: You go, yes, okay, here we go. NBA looking to 516 00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 9: expand their europe options. Damon, you probably know more about 517 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,439 Speaker 9: this what I mean, but these are ongoing discussion between 518 00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 9: the NBA. You have the International Basketball Federation, the euro League. 519 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 9: They're trying to figure out how to grow basketball over 520 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,639 Speaker 9: in Europe, right, So they've been talking about this, but 521 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 9: for the first time, the NBA actually considering options that 522 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 9: could exclude the euro League. So Sportico is saying that 523 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 9: could include a new standalone NBA europe League. I don't 524 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,879 Speaker 9: I guess it was more talent over in Europe. 525 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 4: That is that the I guess. 526 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:33,840 Speaker 5: So, I mean, look, they are looking for more talent, 527 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 5: and certainly if you look at the recent drafts, I mean, 528 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 5: all of the top players are coming from Europe. But 529 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 5: I think it's more about trying to expand awareness, not 530 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 5: necessarily in Europe, but in Africa as well, in the 531 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 5: Middle East and some of these other hard to reach places. 532 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 5: And I think that might be the. 533 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:48,920 Speaker 3: Basis for this. For this particular. 534 00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,240 Speaker 9: Monday, No, it was Oscar Oh, we forgot to talk 535 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:56,680 Speaker 9: about I am Ken or I'm just Ken, the performance 536 00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:01,400 Speaker 9: by Ryan Gosling at the Oscars that yes, I saw 537 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,640 Speaker 9: the replay of it. He had the pink cowboy hat, 538 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,399 Speaker 9: the whole pink rhinestone studded outfit. 539 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: But it was really good. 540 00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 4: But he was raving about it. 541 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:16,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, they weren't suwer No Barbia well BHILLI Eilish, 542 00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 3: you know she did she did? 543 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 2: You know she did a Barbie song as well. Yeah, 544 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:24,520 Speaker 2: you're going to go back now and watch a rock 545 00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,399 Speaker 2: for the fourteenth. So I am silver Tuxedo. 546 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:29,400 Speaker 3: I thought that was a reach. 547 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:31,600 Speaker 6: It was fan very handsome. 548 00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 4: I love that. 549 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 6: I love it. 550 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,240 Speaker 2: This is a Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, bringing you the best 551 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 2: in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You can also 552 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 2: watch the show live on YouTube. 553 00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 3: Visit the Bloomberg. 554 00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 2: Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday mornings 555 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,680 Speaker 2: from seven to ten a m. Eastern from our global 556 00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:56,360 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 557 00:28:56,720 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 558 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App.