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Speaker 1: The volume. The Three Out Podcast with me John Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's no better place

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Speaker 1: side up with promo code Colin so they know we

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Speaker 1: sent you. What is going on everybody, John Middlecoff Three

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Speaker 1: and Out Podcast? How are we doing? I'm recording this

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Speaker 1: pod before the Thursday night game. We will we will

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Speaker 1: have a weekend mail bag and I think I'll give

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Speaker 1: some of my Thursday night thoughts nine or Seattle on that.

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Speaker 1: Uh So there's some highlighting some of the Saturday Sunday

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Speaker 1: games as well as stucky talk, some gambling, um, you know,

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Speaker 1: some some good some good values this week somes some

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Speaker 1: interesting games for sure, Jets and Lions. You know it

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Speaker 1: might be my favorite. Uh and r I P. Mike

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Speaker 1: Leach have a couple more thoughts on that, as well

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Speaker 1: as some of these college opt outs. Three and Out Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to that one. So if you subscribed,

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Speaker 1: if you listen through Collins Feed, make sure you subscribe

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Speaker 1: to three Out podcasts. Greatly appreciate everyone that has. Also

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Speaker 1: The middle coof mail Bag at John Middlecoff is my

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Speaker 1: Instagram that we put one out over the weekend and

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Speaker 1: I also include one on Tuesday show. So the easiest

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Speaker 1: way to get on there is just fall on Instagram,

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Speaker 1: d M me and will communicate that way, and uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: dive in some football, okay before we dive into some

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Speaker 1: of the Saturday night games. I love this time of year,

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Speaker 1: the holidays, when college football. Right after that Army and

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Speaker 1: Navy game the following week, the NFL starts infringing on

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Speaker 1: other people's territory. They start going Saturdays. Were back to

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Speaker 1: back weeks, and it's awesome get NFL games, and even

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Speaker 1: this time of the year you get the bowl games.

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Speaker 1: You'll just be sitting there Saturday afternoon after you do

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Speaker 1: some honey dudes or go shopping for Christmas or anica,

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Speaker 1: and you'll have multiple football games on Pro games, college games.

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Speaker 1: Best time of year. You just got football left and right.

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Speaker 1: You just get inundated with football. Love it. Before we

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Speaker 1: dive into a couple of games I find pretty interesting.

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Speaker 1: On Saturday, Tom Brady, Michael Silver wrote, Uh, you know

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Speaker 1: he used to be of NFL Network. He actually lives

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Speaker 1: in Davis, California, where I'm born and raised. When I

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Speaker 1: first got into quote unquote the media business, I don't

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Speaker 1: consider myself a media member, but when I was in radio,

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Speaker 1: I guess I was much closer to that I used to.

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Speaker 1: I met Silver in Davis. We got some beers. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Mike has been really cool to me. He now is

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Speaker 1: a podcast here in the volume, and he's tied in.

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Speaker 1: When I worked for the Eagles, I remember meeting Mike

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Speaker 1: Silver on the sideline and he got my number and

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Speaker 1: he picked my brain. This when he was at Yahoo

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Speaker 1: for some articles that he wrote. He knows everybody in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, Like there are certain people, certain reporters that

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Speaker 1: you go, this is where is this guy getting them from.

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Speaker 1: I know for a fact Mike Silver's talking to people.

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Speaker 1: So when he writes stuff that there are certain reporters.

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Speaker 1: When they write stuff, then it's just it's not even

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Speaker 1: just fact, it's like they're getting it from sources on

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Speaker 1: the inside. And I've always gravitated towards people that like

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Speaker 1: have sources on the inside. If all you do is

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Speaker 1: talk to agents, like you're gonna be skewed. But if

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Speaker 1: you can talk to agents, if you can talk to

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Speaker 1: head coaches, if you can talk to gms, if you

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Speaker 1: can talk to prominent players, you kind of know what's

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Speaker 1: going on, you know. And Michael Silver knows a lot

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Speaker 1: more people in the National Football League than myself, right, then,

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Speaker 1: a lot of people to talk about football and then

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Speaker 1: quote unquote are connected. So when he writes or says something, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I usually take it as fact. And he reported this

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Speaker 1: week he writes now for the San Francio Chronicle as

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Speaker 1: well as obviously doing an open mic here on the

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Speaker 1: Volume podcast network, that Tom Brady holds like special meetings

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Speaker 1: with the skill guys on Saturday nights the day before

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Speaker 1: the game where he kind of goes over the game

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Speaker 1: plan and make tweaks, which is not abnormal if coaches

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Speaker 1: were to be present. Right, you've heard if you followed football,

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Speaker 1: if you've ever played football, a lot of tweeks are

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Speaker 1: made the night before a game with an offensive coordinator

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Speaker 1: and a coach. I mean, for years coaches have talked

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Speaker 1: about after wins. Well, last night with me and so

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Speaker 1: and Drew Berries, Ben Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning saw something that

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Speaker 1: we liked. We threw something off each other in a

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Speaker 1: in a hotel room, in a ballroom wherever they're staying

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Speaker 1: right or at dinner, and we're like, yeah, we actually

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Speaker 1: like that. Let's add that to the game plan. The equivalent,

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Speaker 1: especially in the NFL, like drawn it up in the dirt.

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Speaker 1: You do it the night before because you've been tweaking

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Speaker 1: stuff all week long, and so it's not abnormal at all.

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Speaker 1: The part problem was with this report it was no

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Speaker 1: coaches were involved, and basically Todd Bowles and Byron Leftwich

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Speaker 1: would find out on the fly. And I remember hearing

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Speaker 1: stories when I was in the NFL how when Peyton

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Speaker 1: Manning would walk out to practice when he was with

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Speaker 1: the Colts, they would hand him the script. Like every

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Speaker 1: practice in football is scripted, right, all the plays, for

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Speaker 1: all the periods, especially anything with either team, you know,

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Speaker 1: past individual anything with the group or the team. It's

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Speaker 1: scripted by the coaches and players have input depending on

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Speaker 1: the operation. And Peyton Manning would ask for the script,

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Speaker 1: he would get a red pen and he would make

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Speaker 1: tweaks to it before practice even started that this was

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Speaker 1: stuff of legend, and then obviously when he went to

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Speaker 1: the Broncos they had to like move quality control assistance

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Speaker 1: to Peyton Manning. That's the way it goes, like Drew Brees,

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Speaker 1: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, they get to have a lot

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Speaker 1: of influence. Welcome to foot Aaron Rodgers the way. That's

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Speaker 1: the way the highest level of football works. Now the

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Speaker 1: coach is not being involved, Let's face it would be

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Speaker 1: a little weird. And I think when you watch Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady play, it feels like an operation where not everyone

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Speaker 1: is on the same page. So I definitely think there's

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Speaker 1: validity of this report because when Mike Silver throws something

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Speaker 1: out there, he knows Mike He's not making this up.

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Speaker 1: He knows the guys associated with this operation from Todd

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Speaker 1: Bowles the Byron Leftwich to help to Tom. So Tom

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Speaker 1: was asked about it this week and was not happy

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Speaker 1: and basically just like next question, that's crazy talk where

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Speaker 1: it's like Tom, I'm watching you play and it feels

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Speaker 1: like nobody is on the same page. And I've said

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Speaker 1: this for a while. Some coaches are meant to be

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Speaker 1: number two. And I'm gonna keep ham this on the

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Speaker 1: best part about being the number two in the NFL

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Speaker 1: past two or three million dollars. Hell, Josh McDaniels was

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Speaker 1: the number two in New England and was making five.

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Speaker 1: Todd Bowles, last year's defensive coordinator for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers,

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Speaker 1: was making like three and a half million dollars in

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Speaker 1: Bruce Arians, Well, is he the most buttoned up coach

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Speaker 1: of all time? Of course not no one. Would you know,

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Speaker 1: put him like next to Bill Walsh and Bill Belichick

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Speaker 1: in terms of the details. But he's pretty fucking good

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Speaker 1: and there is a standard and a level of accountability

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Speaker 1: that just operates under him, right and clearly with Todd

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Speaker 1: Bowls and now Byron Leftwich. I'm not saying Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: has gone rogue, but it does kind of look like that.

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Speaker 1: And I don't necessarily even blame Tom Brady. Maybe he

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Speaker 1: doesn't believe in these guys, but it's been a disaster

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Speaker 1: and I don't like I love the Bengals. This week,

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Speaker 1: I think Tampa stinks, and really over the last two

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Speaker 1: games against the Saints and against the forty Niners, if

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Speaker 1: you remove those final two drives of that Monday night

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Speaker 1: football game, Tampa has been arguably the worst team in

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Speaker 1: the league. They have been unwatchable. On offense, Tom's been terrible,

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Speaker 1: the offensive line has been terrible, the wider the whole

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Speaker 1: operation has been it's It's been up and down obviously

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Speaker 1: all year long, but I think the last two weeks

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Speaker 1: have been a borderline joke. Now Tom pulled those plays

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Speaker 1: out of his ass and Monday Night Football and had

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Speaker 1: the game winning drive. But you remove those last two

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Speaker 1: drives of that game, that entire game, and that entire

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Speaker 1: forty Niner game, like that's like one. That's like a

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Speaker 1: three win team. If you were just watching right, you

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Speaker 1: didn't know who was who you like, is this the

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Speaker 1: worst team in football? So the Bengals, who have been

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Speaker 1: playing some of the best football in the league. And

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Speaker 1: here's the thing. Even though if you watch Tampa you

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Speaker 1: know they're clearly not as good, the record is not

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Speaker 1: as good as it has been years past, they still

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Speaker 1: got Tom Brady, they still got good players on defense.

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Speaker 1: Like to me, it's an easy average team for good

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Speaker 1: teams to get up for. You saw it last week

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Speaker 1: with the Niners. I think you'll see it this week

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Speaker 1: with Cincinnati. I listen, I still think they're gonna end

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Speaker 1: up winning the division. But I think Tampa is going

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Speaker 1: nowhere fast. In the conversation to tom My my recommendation,

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Speaker 1: the more and more I do think he should walk away,

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Speaker 1: uh a lot. This is how most great all teimers

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Speaker 1: go out. It's usually pretty ugly, like most guys are

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Speaker 1: not John Elway and go out on top. Even Peyton Manning,

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Speaker 1: who went out on top like that that year was

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Speaker 1: pretty rough. You know, remember he missed several games with

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Speaker 1: us whiler he couldn't throw it. That's not necessarily the

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Speaker 1: case with Brady, but he clearly doesn't look like he

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Speaker 1: used to look. And you can say it was the

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Speaker 1: offensive line. Yeah, it is what it is. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's forty five years old. Like you know, the Father

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Speaker 1: Time is undefeated. Like people are gonna say that forever

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Speaker 1: because it's true that there is no beating that, and

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Speaker 1: he clearly has beat it much longer than most people.

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Speaker 1: But it does feel like it's coming to a screeching halt.

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Speaker 1: And then on some of these Saturday night games, Like

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Speaker 1: what I like about the NFL is when they kind

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Speaker 1: of flex their muscle, like they give college their space.

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Speaker 1: And part of that's probably the Uh, the networks do

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Speaker 1: big deals, right. CBS is in bed with the SEC,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna change the ABC, and ABC's in bed with

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Speaker 1: you know, the Big ten and the Big twelve, and

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Speaker 1: they're all ESPN with them all. So everyone's benefiting, right.

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Speaker 1: It's not like the NFL, like it makes sense for

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Speaker 1: them just to own Sunday and Monday Night and Thursday Night.

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Speaker 1: But you know, if they wanted to throw a couple

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Speaker 1: of games throughout the fall on Saturdays, they easily could

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Speaker 1: and it would be the highest rated game. But they don't,

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Speaker 1: and it clearly works out for everything. But the moment

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Speaker 1: that Army Navy game ends, they go, Saturday, we're coming.

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Speaker 1: And this year, with Christmas falling on Sunday, they say, Christmas,

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Speaker 1: We're coming to Adam Silver, We're going to destroy your

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Speaker 1: ratings and you put them on Saturday. Like, some of

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Speaker 1: us has stuff to do, right, shopping haven't really shopped

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Speaker 1: at all. I don't know about you. And even like

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Speaker 1: I've been looking online, I'm like, I don't even know

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Speaker 1: what to get. It's almost Christmas. I'm screwed. I mean,

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Speaker 1: rincewash repeat every single year. I just want to watch football, right,

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Speaker 1: that's all I want to do, even though these games stink.

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Speaker 1: But the one thing cool I think about this Saturday

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Speaker 1: is like there are a couple of gut check moments

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Speaker 1: for a couple of teams. And starting with the morning game.

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Speaker 1: You know, Minnesota has been weird every time I've watched

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Speaker 1: them on television this year. If you listen to people

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Speaker 1: that talk about football, and if you listen to people

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Speaker 1: that gamble on football and the analytical people, everyone's hated them.

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Speaker 1: They think they're overrated, they think they've won all these

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Speaker 1: one score games, the gambling, Like, look at their lines.

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Speaker 1: Last week's a great example. There whatever ten and two

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Speaker 1: playing the Lions who were five and seven, and the

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Speaker 1: Lions were favored. It's like in lines covered, so it's

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Speaker 1: not like they were even wrong. But when I watched Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: I go, you know, I love Dalvin Cook, I love

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Speaker 1: Madison Jess and Jefferson's you know, might be pound for

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Speaker 1: pound non quarterback as good of a player as we

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Speaker 1: have in the NFL. Cousins been solid, feeling, came alive

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Speaker 1: last week, Like, I think they're better than all the hatred.

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Speaker 1: Even though I don't love their corners. They don't get

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Speaker 1: a pass rush. I get where their record as a

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Speaker 1: ten and three team, they're probably closer to like being

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Speaker 1: eight and five that number at up eight and five, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: eight and five, like to me they look more like

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Speaker 1: but they're they're a legitimate playoff team, and because of

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Speaker 1: their division, they would have wanted eight and five to right.

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Speaker 1: If they've got to ten and seven, ten and seven

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Speaker 1: would have won the NFC North. But when everyone's kind

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Speaker 1: of talking to it about you, you just get beat

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Speaker 1: by the Lions and now you're playing the Colts, Who's

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Speaker 1: head coach is Jeff Saturday, who claimed I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you saw the video. I think there's like an

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Speaker 1: owner's meetings or something because Jim Er say in a

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Speaker 1: golf cart, ripping a ripping a dart, just puffing a cigarette,

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Speaker 1: talking about his coaching stay half and you know he's

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Speaker 1: love Saturday. But they're gonna interview a bunch of people.

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Speaker 1: I mean that that franchise right now, it's got some issues.

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Speaker 1: And you would say they're ten and three team against

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Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday left Colts at home, what's the line you'd

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Speaker 1: be like, at minimum seven seven eight points, it's four.

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Speaker 1: Vegas doesn't even respect Minnesota, so everyone's gonna be watching

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Speaker 1: this bad boy. To me, this is kind of a

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Speaker 1: gut check game from Minnesota. I'm recording this before obviously

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Speaker 1: the forty game. But you know the Niners, they by

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Speaker 1: no means have the number two seed just locked up,

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Speaker 1: so they still need to play good football. I think

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Speaker 1: a lot of people, regardless how the seating plays out,

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Speaker 1: are probably gonna bet against Minnesota in that first game.

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Speaker 1: Not necessarily myself, depending on the matchup. But like, this

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Speaker 1: is a game as a squad. This isn't like a

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins take. This is like the team. The team's

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Speaker 1: clearly pretty solid. They're definitely should be better than Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: You win this game, like you don't just lose and

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Speaker 1: then play the cold and lose again. Like then I'd

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Speaker 1: start being out on you. I'm like, yeah, there's no

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Speaker 1: chance his team is winning a playoff game. And the

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Speaker 1: other team that needs a big gut check not necessarily

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Speaker 1: the team because Tyreek Hill brings it. Jalen Waddle has

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Speaker 1: brought it. I saw Jalen Phillips has banged up, but

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Speaker 1: I think he's been really good. I like, how hard

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Speaker 1: when you watch Miami they play but to uh as

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Speaker 1: someone set me a meme of to uh and it

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Speaker 1: said uh to uh turn the ball over uh that

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Speaker 1: they put that on his uh, like the back of

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Speaker 1: his name on his jersey. Who have been terrible for

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Speaker 1: two weeks, like atrociously bad, Like if he had played

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Speaker 1: like that all season long, they'd be like a three

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Speaker 1: or four win team. And everyone's shipping on him because

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Speaker 1: most people, including myself, weren't that big on it to

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Speaker 1: begin with. So when he's balling kind of shuts us up.

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Speaker 1: But the moment he looks I mean worse than pedestrian,

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Speaker 1: I mean below average, everyone kind of starts kicking him

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Speaker 1: when he's down. And I've been saying this, like from

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, where I gotta get some

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Speaker 1: of these wins against the Chargers in the Niners, because

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden they're going on the road to Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: and then in two weeks are going on the road

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Speaker 1: to New England, and then next week they're playing the Packers.

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Speaker 1: Like these games can turn out to be very very difficult.

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Speaker 1: Two of them are gonna be in the weather, and

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Speaker 1: I know to us said what snows now Alabama? To

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Speaker 1: say Buffalo is a little bit different animal. Same thing

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Speaker 1: with Fox Borro, Like, I don't think anyone's comparing that

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Speaker 1: to Tuscaloose in the winter. And last time I checked,

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Speaker 1: when I watched the SEC play, not many snow games,

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Speaker 1: especially to Alabama. So the division they play in Alabama

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Speaker 1: l s U right, the Mississippi's Auburn like that, that's

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Speaker 1: not a big uh. I wouldn't compare that to the

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Speaker 1: a f C East and clearly playing in Miami's pretty

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Speaker 1: good weather. And how we just saw in the last

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Speaker 1: two weeks Santa Clara and when they played in Los

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Speaker 1: Angeles in a dome, even though it's kind of like

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Speaker 1: a it's not completely a dome. There's still air going

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Speaker 1: through so the wind can blow a little bit, but

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Speaker 1: it's fucking l a and he looked like this is

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Speaker 1: a big, big moment for the guy. It's by far.

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Speaker 1: You could argue it's the biggest game of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: We can get in the Jets and Lions as well,

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Speaker 1: but he's gotta play well. Now. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: their team like he could play well and they could

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Speaker 1: still lose, but we could have a moment where he

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Speaker 1: loses this game, then he loses to New England. A

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks, maybe the Packers beat him, we start

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Speaker 1: talking about his future on the franchise kind of all

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Speaker 1: over again. It felt like just because he was nineteen

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Speaker 1: and three and they were whatever eight and one or

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Speaker 1: nine and two, whatever the hell their record was before

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Speaker 1: the Niner game, everyone just put them on a pedically

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Speaker 1: they found their franchise quarterback. It's like, guys, it wasn't

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Speaker 1: that long ago that they were doing everything humanly possible

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Speaker 1: to get Tom Brady, to get DeShawn Watson and get

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Speaker 1: rid of to a talk aboy loa sore just thinking

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Speaker 1: like three, you know, not basically three months, and you know,

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Speaker 1: not ten eleven games that he had just solidified himself.

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Speaker 1: That's not the way the NFL works. And never forget,

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Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel was not the guy the drafted. Now the owner.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the owner has been the biggest fan.

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Speaker 1: Now the general manager might be. But Mike McDaniels already

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Speaker 1: kind of earned a lot of credit because he's proven

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Speaker 1: to be a pretty good offensive mind, and like, who's

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Speaker 1: to say that he's all in and two was just

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Speaker 1: on scholarship in his book, So I would say that

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Speaker 1: toa Not only is Saturday night of gut check game,

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Speaker 1: this final stretches a gut check game, gut check stretch

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Speaker 1: for Ta. Can he play outside? How does he do

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Speaker 1: in these in these big games against better opponents? Cleue?

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Speaker 1: These last two weeks have not gone well. I'm fascinated

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Speaker 1: to watch it play out. I personally would bet against him.

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Speaker 1: I think it could get pretty ugly for Miami. I

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Speaker 1: think Miami could absolutely implode. And then this discussion, you know,

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Speaker 1: after the season in February and March, we're talking is

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Speaker 1: Miami and the quarterback business? Do they look to sign

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Speaker 1: a veteran? Do they look to make a trade? Because

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Speaker 1: for as great as to a start was, it can

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Speaker 1: unravel fast in the NFL. Before we dive into some

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Speaker 1: other stuff coming up this weekend, I wanted to tell

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Speaker 1: The Packers, who have been absolute behemoth the last several years,

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Speaker 1: have cruised up. I mean they've been the number one

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Speaker 1: seed the last two years and three years ago they

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Speaker 1: were in the NFC Championship game against forty so they

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Speaker 1: have I mean they won thirty nine games over that

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Speaker 1: period of time. This year. We've well discussed in the

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Speaker 1: season from hell Rogers thumb was messed up, uh and

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Speaker 1: clearly Christian Watson did not pop soon enough. The defense

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Speaker 1: has been more than questionable that they have had their

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Speaker 1: issues and they're playing the Rams this week. Who I

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Speaker 1: think you're gonna come to a screeching halt after that

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Speaker 1: miraculous Baker Mayfield. Um, I guess two drives against the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: But you don't get to play the Raiders every week, right,

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Speaker 1: Patriots do this week? And I love the Patriots. But

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Speaker 1: what I think is about cool about the Packers and

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Speaker 1: really Aaron Rodgers over this last three or four games

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Speaker 1: stretch is they kind of get to play spoiler. They

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Speaker 1: kind of they have nothing to lose. There's their season

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Speaker 1: has sucked. They're not going to the playoffs. Even if

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Speaker 1: they ran the table, I still would highly doubt they

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Speaker 1: would make it. I guess they'd get to nine and eight,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know if nine gets in and they

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Speaker 1: have a stretch where in two weeks they play at Miami,

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Speaker 1: then they play Minnesota, and then they play the Lions.

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Speaker 1: Who if the Lions beat the Jets this weekend, there's

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Speaker 1: a path for them to get to ten wins. Obviously

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Speaker 1: that game would be huge at the end of the season.

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Speaker 1: But unlike in previous years, it's not like Green Bay

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Speaker 1: is gonna be resting in anyone and we know they

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Speaker 1: don't like Minnesota and that game in Green Bay, or

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Speaker 1: that game is in Green bas or the weather with

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, Everyone's gonna be keeping an eye on that that.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a moment where everyone just kind

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Speaker 1: of gets to relax. It feels like the Packers were

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Speaker 1: tight early in the Sea Sason and now Rogers coming

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Speaker 1: off a bye, get a little healthy and just kind

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Speaker 1: of let it rip. And I think that's what you're

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Speaker 1: gonna get now this week, withstanding playing the Rams, who

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Speaker 1: you know are rolling out of practice squad group. I'm

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Speaker 1: not talking about that game. I'm talking about those last

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Speaker 1: three and like we talked about with Ta, like it's

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Speaker 1: kind of time to put up or shut up, Like

404
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,879
Speaker 1: no one cares how many players you make in early October.

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Speaker 1: You get paid the big bucks to lead me to

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Speaker 1: the playoffs and then play well in January, right, And

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Speaker 1: I think all the pressure is gonna be on him

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Speaker 1: in that game. He's playing Aaron Rodgers in the following week.

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, everyone's kind of annointed in this team, even though,

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Speaker 1: like I've said, I think he's been played. He's played

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Speaker 1: really well this season, even though when you look at

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Speaker 1: his numbers are basically a parallel Jared Goffs Like Jared

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Speaker 1: Goff and Kirk Cousins this year kind of the same player. Uh,

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Speaker 1: and Rodgers gets a chance to play him all And

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you this, if Rodgers is much healthier than

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Speaker 1: he's been, I think the Packer is gonna be very,

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Speaker 1: very tough speaking about the big game this weekend. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Jets in line? In what world? If I would have

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Speaker 1: told you, like September one, you know, the week before

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Speaker 1: Christmas there is a massive game on Sunday, you would

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Speaker 1: have been like, oh, Rams, Packers, Uh, Patriots, Raiders like no, Lions,

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Speaker 1: Jets like what I'm like? Yeah, to playoff teams going

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Speaker 1: at it. And I've said this for a while now,

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Speaker 1: Jared goth when you've seen him with McVeigh when they

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Speaker 1: had really good teams, and then this year when they

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Speaker 1: have obviously a really good nucleus of players around him,

427
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,639
Speaker 1: he can be really good. He can play that. Kirk

428
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 1: Cousin like role, and I've said over and over I

429
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: would be hesitant to take a quarterback if I was

430
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,640
Speaker 1: the Lions with that RAMS pick, which has a chance

431
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,239
Speaker 1: to be the number two overall pick, probably more than

432
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 1: likely to be somewhere three four five, but it's gonna

433
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 1: be in that range. There's a chance. Look at the

434
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,560
Speaker 1: RAM schedule, they might not win another game the Lions

435
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: have that pick. Did I don't know if the Lions

436
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 1: have to force a quarter back right there. I do

437
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 1: think that they could be open to rolling it back

438
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 1: with Jared Goff. Take a Will Anderson, or take the

439
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 1: guy from the pass rusher from Georgia, and then with

440
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,840
Speaker 1: your own pick, take another player and just build up

441
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 1: a really sweet team and just roll with Jared Goff.

442
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 1: I think that has to be on the table. But

443
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 1: the only way you feel good about doing that is

444
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 1: if Jared Goff plays well outside. Because most seasons as

445
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 1: the Lions quarterback, you're gonna play division games late in

446
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 1: the season, and last time I checked, the Chicago Bears

447
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:35,439
Speaker 1: and Green Bay Packers play an inclement weather and Jared

448
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 1: Goff has a chance. Because the knock on Jared Goff

449
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:41,199
Speaker 1: going back since college when he was at Cow. When

450
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 1: they went up to Oregon and driving rainstorm, he couldn't

451
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,199
Speaker 1: grip the ball because one of the knocks on Goffs

452
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:48,119
Speaker 1: doesn't have big hands. Well, they're playing the Jet this weekend.

453
00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 1: I'm sure it's not gonna be sunny in seventy and

454
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 1: then at the end of the season they play the

455
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 1: Packers in Green Bay, so he gets multiple shots and

456
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 1: inclement weather games to kind of prove that like the

457
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 1: Jared Goff we've ben seeing in some of these dome

458
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 1: games translates outside hell, he doesn't even need to be

459
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 1: as good as he's been. As long as he can

460
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 1: just lead the team and not screw it up, you

461
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,159
Speaker 1: feel pretty good about it. And I'm not saying that

462
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,360
Speaker 1: they won't end up taking a quarterback because I could

463
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 1: see Dan Campbell loving Will Levice, big strapping guy, huge arms,

464
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 1: like feels like Will Levis is Dan Campbell's type guy.

465
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 1: But I think if Jared Goff can prove himself like

466
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,400
Speaker 1: Jared Goff can do more than Mike White, Like ultimately

467
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 1: Mike White, all he's doing is proving that he's like

468
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,199
Speaker 1: a serviceable player to the Jets. No one in their

469
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 1: right mind just going you know what, Mike White could

470
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 1: be a five year starter. One thing Jared Goff has

471
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 1: proven he wasn't number one overall pick in the draft.

472
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 1: He started basically every game that he's been healthy for

473
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 1: the last whatever eight years, however long he's been in

474
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 1: the NFL, and he's been on teams that have one

475
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 1: playoff games and ben to the Super Bowl. Like, we

476
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 1: have seen him have success in big moments. It translates

477
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: now a lot of those moments have been in l

478
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 1: a in good weather. And remember the NFC Championship game

479
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 1: that they won was in a dome. So it's clear

480
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 1: where he benefits from playing, and that's in good weather.

481
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: He's a good weather quarterback. I think Derek Carr is

482
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 1: very similar to Jared got that way. I would not

483
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 1: love him in Chicago, I would not love him in

484
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: New England. I would not love him with the Jets. Like,

485
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: but if you can prove that just like you can

486
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 1: function in that for short because ultimately you're only gonna

487
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 1: play so many games, you know, in December, in those

488
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 1: spots on a given year when you play for the Lions,

489
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 1: like you still get eight to nine dome games, So

490
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 1: that value is really positive. If you're playing well, but

491
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 1: if he's improved or just shows that he's better, which

492
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 1: I'm not saying that he is, Like I I would

493
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 1: struggle to pick the Lions this week against the Jets

494
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: strictly because I do not trust him in a cold, windy,

495
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,440
Speaker 1: potentially wet game. I don't like that at all. But

496
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,240
Speaker 1: he can shut me up quick, just like he can

497
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: kind of prove to himself. Because the thing about the NFL,

498
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:01,360
Speaker 1: you're constantly trying to earn a spot or keep your

499
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: spot like it's the ultimate. Like beside a couple of

500
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: players in this league that are on massive contracts like

501
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson, the overwhelming majority of players

502
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 1: are fighting for their jobs on a on a yearly

503
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 1: basis and can get cut at the moment's notice because

504
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 1: you're just always that's the way front offices operate. We're

505
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: always talking about how can we upgrade this position, And

506
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,639
Speaker 1: the majority of NFL contracts, let's face it, there a

507
00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 1: year to year and at most like every two years.

508
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 1: So even if you have like a guaranteed deal that

509
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 1: kind of put you on scholarship for a couple of years,

510
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 1: doesn't mean going into year two I don't draft a

511
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 1: guy that's ultimately going to replace you, and uh, you

512
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 1: can you know, you can prove front offices and the

513
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,119
Speaker 1: coaching staff wrong. And I'm not saying like, clearly the

514
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:47,120
Speaker 1: Lions believed in Jared Goff, I would say more than

515
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 1: most of us last year when they made this trade,

516
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 1: because remember they got crushed. I thought as part of like, wait,

517
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 1: you just took back Jared Goff, Why would you want

518
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,880
Speaker 1: Jared Goff? And remember they were adamant, like we kind

519
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,199
Speaker 1: of like them and the GM Brad Holmes, we've been

520
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 1: with him with the Rams, and clearly Dan Campbell like

521
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: he's earned some of his respect. So I can't wait

522
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: to watch that game. And then kind of a weird story.

523
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 1: Obviously it's been confirmed Kyler Murray towards a c L

524
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 1: is out for the season. And uh, like I said

525
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: on Monday Night, when you tear your a c L

526
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: December twelve, Odell Beckham towards a c L last year

527
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl and he can't get cleared right

528
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 1: now to play NFL football and in about another month.

529
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: That's going on eleven months like that, this notion that

530
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: everyone's Adrian Peterson and gonna bounce right back and be

531
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 1: able to play immediately after an a c L. Is

532
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: just is just consistently proven. He's an all time outlier.

533
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 1: Most guys take ten to twelve months, and especially Odell Beckham,

534
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: explosive wide receiver, Kyler Murray explosive runner like. There's a

535
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: very good chance Kyler Murray is doesn't play a snap

536
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: next year because, let's face it, Coloninals ain't gonna be

537
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 1: a playoff team. Uh. The news that came out think

538
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:02,399
Speaker 1: about this season for them. They're running back coach was

539
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 1: immediately suspended and then basically fired for domestic violence over

540
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,199
Speaker 1: the summer, their offensive line coach when they went to

541
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,879
Speaker 1: Mexico did something weird with a chick and got fired immediately.

542
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 1: Their quarterback, who they gave an enormous contract, now has

543
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,239
Speaker 1: a torn a c L and their general manager is

544
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 1: fighting some undisclosed illness and is just taking a leave

545
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 1: of absences. It's gone and his duties will be split

546
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 1: up by a couple of guys that are already in

547
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 1: the front office. And listen, I obviously I don't have

548
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:32,399
Speaker 1: any inside information or know anything about him. And the

549
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 1: Cardinals were adamant, like you know it's hippa or whatever.

550
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 1: We don't have to say, and I listen, it's not

551
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,200
Speaker 1: I don't even it's not all right to know if

552
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,840
Speaker 1: he's battling some sick. I hope the guy's okay. But

553
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: it did hit me. Is this is the last time

554
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: we ever see Steve Kim as a general manager for

555
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals, Like, does he ever come back and

556
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,479
Speaker 1: take back over power? Is this, you know, in a

557
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 1: weird way, an out for Bidwell, you fired up Kingsbury,

558
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 1: you know, come just stays away sick and then you

559
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 1: just kind of phase him out and you just start

560
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:05,919
Speaker 1: a new And you do have to wonder that is

561
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: their job appealing given that Kyler Murray not only will

562
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 1: miss next season, but if you go type in Kyler

563
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 1: Murray's contract and go to spot track the website, that

564
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,719
Speaker 1: kind of breaks it down by year. He's basically on

565
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 1: the team starting in twenty three at minimum, and then

566
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: even twenty six, the dead numbers relatively big. So like

567
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,199
Speaker 1: you're you're talking, it was an extension. It starts, it

568
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: kicks in on the book starting next year. I think

569
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 1: this is a very very complicated situation. This is a

570
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 1: franchise in a weird way that does have some pieces

571
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 1: like love Buddha, Baker obviously Hopkins a monster. You know,

572
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:50,479
Speaker 1: Kyler is a very interesting player. Uh, Isaiah Isaiah Simmons.

573
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 1: Depending on who you ask. You watch some games he

574
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 1: looks good. Some games you know, you don't really notice.

575
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 1: But there's a franchise going nowhere fast. Now. They're star

576
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,480
Speaker 1: our star would be strong. I mean, they're highly paid.

577
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 1: Quarterback is gonna be m i A for a long time.

578
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 1: Their general managers on leave. Uh, there is a team

579
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 1: that might probably gonna end up five and twelve. What

580
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 1: a what a season? Man? What a year after? What

581
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: did they started last year? Eight? No, it looked like

582
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 1: they were gonna win the division. Any team, like a

583
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: lot of shitty teams over the years, have a one

584
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: off season. When you look at their body of work,

585
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 1: they've been bad and they continue to be bad, and

586
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 1: I think they will be bad moving forward unless they

587
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 1: basically hit the nuclear option and let's blow the thing up.

588
00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 1: And I said this the other day. I do believe

589
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: that's what they should do. Uh. Before we done a

590
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: couple of things on Mike leach is, some of these

591
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 1: guys are opting out. And my take on the opt

592
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 1: out is pretty simple one. If you're playing for the playoffs,

593
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 1: uh I don't know how you would work all season

594
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 1: long and then have the chance at a national championship

595
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 1: and opt out. Now. I haven't seen anyone on any

596
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 1: of the four teams opting out. I don't count Smith

597
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 1: and Jigba because he hasn't played all season long, but

598
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,880
Speaker 1: it does feel like the rest of the crew is

599
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 1: all playing on Georgia, Ohio State, Michigan and uh TCU

600
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: right as they should. Like, what was the point of

601
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 1: risking it all season? Now any other ball game, If

602
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 1: to me you are a top fifty, you could even

603
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: go as far as top seventy five. Lock. Like if

604
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 1: the NFL general managers and coaches, not the agents, but

605
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 1: NFL gms and coaches and the surveys you're going through

606
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: talking to people in the league and they say, listen,

607
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 1: you're gonna get drafted in the top couple rounds, completely

608
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: understand it. But to me, if you're a friends third

609
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 1: round pick or your third day pick and you are

610
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: taking off the ball game, I think that's a mistake

611
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: because one, you can earn credit in the ball game

612
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 1: by making plays in looking good and usually when you

613
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: go up against these other opponents, you're playing other good

614
00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:00,479
Speaker 1: teams typically that have other NFL players, And think so

615
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: many guys that opt out, like if you're opting out

616
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,000
Speaker 1: in your fifth round pick, like you're getting terrible advice.

617
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: That's it is not smart and honestly doesn't make any

618
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: sense because not only can you earn credit by playing

619
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 1: like you earn money, Like how do you improve your

620
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:20,680
Speaker 1: draft stock by playing football? Now, you obviously can help

621
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 1: yourself out with a good combine, but to me, the

622
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 1: tape in playing on games is where you get ranked

623
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 1: initially on a draft board. And the good teams you know,

624
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 1: for the most part, aren't making too many crazy tweaks

625
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: based on the combine in the pro days. So I

626
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: think some of these guys are getting terrible advice. Now

627
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 1: I also understand like these a lot of these bowl

628
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: games are completely meaningless. Like you could argue every Bowl

629
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: game beside the two playoff games are meaningless, and I

630
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: tend to agree ultimately doesn't mean anything except like, that's

631
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 1: the resume as a player, Like your resume as a

632
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 1: player is how you operate, characterized, how you treat people,

633
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 1: your coaches, how coachable you are, all the intangible stuff,

634
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 1: and then the tape, right, and the tape is really

635
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 1: what separates guys. And I think a lot of people

636
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 1: have a false sense of kind of where they stand.

637
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 1: And you know, it's obviously on an individual basis, like

638
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 1: you're the second tight end in the class, No ship,

639
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: Why why are you playing in the mina Key care

640
00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 1: Car Nike Bowl? Doesn't make any sense? But it's like, hey, bro,

641
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:26,239
Speaker 1: you're gonna be a six rounder and you're just not

642
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 1: playing if I think some of these front office will

643
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 1: be like, did you just not want to play football?

644
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 1: Did you not like the team? Like you're just leaving

645
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 1: your teammates, Like, what's going on here? I think there

646
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 1: are fair questions to ask when some of these guys

647
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 1: opt out that are not you know, first two day

648
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 1: draft picks and last but not least. I talked about

649
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,000
Speaker 1: Mike Leach the other day, but like everyone, you know,

650
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:49,239
Speaker 1: you read all these articles, been thinking a lot about him.

651
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 1: You know. I don't think there's anything that's a bigger

652
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 1: compliment to any to any human being, uh than being

653
00:32:55,600 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 1: called an overachiever. And I remember Kobe Bryant and time

654
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: they asked him like how he wanted to be remembered,

655
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: and he wanted to be remembered as an overachiever. And

656
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: when you think about it, like there's a guy that

657
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: won five right titles and was one of the best

658
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 1: players of all time. But like when you think Kobe Bryant,

659
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 1: Tom Brady, Tiger Woods, like the number one thing you

660
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:16,720
Speaker 1: think about with some of these guys, Like God, these

661
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 1: guys were relentless workers. They maximized every ounce of talent,

662
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 1: like some of those guys would have been, especially Kobe

663
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 1: or Tiger. Their their floor was so high, but they

664
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:31,160
Speaker 1: maximized their ceiling by just scratching and clawing to the top.

665
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 1: And when you think about Mike Leach, the thing I

666
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:38,200
Speaker 1: can't get over is the three programs in which he coached.

667
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:43,160
Speaker 1: We're all borderline seller dwellers in their conferences, yet he

668
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 1: won at all of them. Like part of when you

669
00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: win at Washington State, when you win at Texas Tech,

670
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: when you win go eight and four at Mississippi State,

671
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 1: which is the worst team in that division, you're an overachiever.

672
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: And I think sometimes intellectual people and that's what Leech

673
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 1: was right. He was really in a actual is you

674
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: don't think of them necessarily as like grinders, even though

675
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 1: I mean clearly is the case for some, but like

676
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 1: crazy overachievers, Like usually the overachievers are guys that aren't smart, right,

677
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:14,399
Speaker 1: Like I have to work really hard. I'm not as

678
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,880
Speaker 1: intellectually brilliant as a lot of people Like I. I

679
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 1: can't think of some of the ship that coward thinks of, right,

680
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: so I gotta read the articles, watch all these games.

681
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:25,000
Speaker 1: I I can't really skip steps. And what made Mike

682
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 1: Leach kind of cool is he was this brilliant, intellectual

683
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,520
Speaker 1: lawyer that didn't play football and was known as not

684
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: like even the biggest grinder like in recruiting, yet his

685
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: team's always overachieved. You know, it's it's kind of a

686
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: crazy conundrum. It shows you how was brilliant the guy was.

687
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: And so anytime that you're called an overachiever like that's

688
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: in my book, that's one of the best compliments you

689
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,239
Speaker 1: can get. And the other thing is like when you're

690
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:57,320
Speaker 1: an innovator in you know, a highly competitive, highly paid industry,

691
00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,280
Speaker 1: that's very very difficult to do, right, There really aren't

692
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 1: that many innovators when you really think about football, there

693
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 1: are a lot of good football coaches, but are they

694
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 1: quote unquote innovators and the impact Mike Leach had with

695
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 1: his offense, and maybe I mentioned this the other day,

696
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 1: I don't know. Sorry, I got a short, short term

697
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 1: memory loss over the years when I played high school football,

698
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 1: and two thousand I guess it would have been the

699
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 1: fall of two thousand two would have been my last

700
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 1: year playing high school football, so twenty years ago. I

701
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 1: would say the majority of programs in like the northern

702
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 1: California area ran just like a heavy run game oriented

703
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 1: you know, program triple option, the wing t It looked

704
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 1: like Navy and Army. And I think when you went

705
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: around the country, especially up until like the late nineties,

706
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 1: most college programs were or excuse me, high school programs

707
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 1: were run first. I think when you look around now,

708
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,280
Speaker 1: everyone spread it out and throwing it. Not obviously every

709
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 1: single school, but the majority of high school programs throw

710
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: the football, and obviously in college, the majority of college

711
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 1: programs throw the ball and run versions of a spread

712
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 1: offense passing attack. And the influence that he specifically had

713
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 1: on that is beyond aments now. He learned it from

714
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 1: other people. How Mummy, who you know, was ahead of

715
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 1: his time. But I think Mike leachs taking that and

716
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 1: the time of the internet and making it so easy

717
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: to see everything. Obviously, so many college games on television,

718
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 1: so by the mid two thousands we can see Texas

719
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: tech on TV. That that played a huge role in

720
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: people able to steal his stuff, uh technologist, the ability

721
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 1: to get college film if you're high school coach in

722
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:46,719
Speaker 1: Florida or Seattle or wherever. But imagine being basically known

723
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:50,319
Speaker 1: as an overachiever and an innovator. I mean, what what

724
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:54,040
Speaker 1: a what a special legacy Mike Leach left. I'm trying

725
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 1: to think of, like all the unique coaches just over

726
00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,360
Speaker 1: the last a couple of decades, He's got to be,

727
00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 1: I mean, on the short list of most memorable. I mean,

728
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,360
Speaker 1: there are a lot of even solid coaches, like ultimately

729
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 1: Sean Payton is really impressive in him and Drew Brees

730
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 1: Stuper Bowl champion. But like I actually think, like Mike Leach,

731
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 1: there's like a level of of emotion when you just

732
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 1: bring up his name. You're just talking about him in

733
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 1: a conversation, Like everyone had an opinion on the guy.

734
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: He was just different than everything. Pete Carroll, Sean Payton, Saban,

735
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly. He just had nothing in common with most

736
00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 1: of these guys, and he was damn good and he

737
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: wanted programs that really had no business business winning. So

738
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 1: you know, R I P. And like I said the

739
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:47,160
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Speaker 1: dot net, West Virginia. Okay, here with my maid man stuck.

768
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 1: He he's and he's eating up. I mean he is

769
00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 1: hot right now thirty nineteen and one on the year

770
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 1: he was three and one last week Denver. No big

771
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:42,920
Speaker 1: deal even without Russ when he got a ko Detroit

772
00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 1: that was easy money and the Jags don't sleep on

773
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:50,399
Speaker 1: the Jags um in Philly. Obviously the Giants and cover.

774
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 1: They kicked the ship out of him. But other than that,

775
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:56,640
Speaker 1: a man stuck. He's hot, and uh, I gotta disagree

776
00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 1: with some of his picks coming up today, but you know,

777
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 1: maybe I should just ride the hot hand stuck you

778
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 1: what's happening, bro? What's going on? That makes for a

779
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 1: good list of them when you can give banter on

780
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 1: both sides and let the people decide. Yeah, I got

781
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 1: a little lucky with Denver down seven nothing with an

782
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,320
Speaker 1: offense that can't score more than ten points a game. Somehow,

783
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 1: Uh Russell was cooking a little bit for the first

784
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:23,239
Speaker 1: time a year and they were able to be able

785
00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 1: to cover. So it's grateful for that. But uh yeah,

786
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 1: hopefully we can find some winners. What's crazy is it

787
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 1: was twenty seven nothing, but they went to halftime, so

788
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,760
Speaker 1: like they got those couple of lay touchdowns, they definitely

789
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 1: changed the game. Uh let's start with the the on

790
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,920
Speaker 1: absolutely blazing fire Alliance there there won five of their

791
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 1: last six. Uh. They easily could have won that Thanksgiving

792
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: game against the Bills and then playing the Jets, who

793
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 1: are leaking oil in terms of wins and losses. But

794
00:40:55,160 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 1: when you watch them, I think they look pretty good.

795
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 1: I mean the defense is really good. Off Pensibly, that

796
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:01,880
Speaker 1: game was hard. I mean that game would have been

797
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 1: difficult for most teams last week. They don't have like

798
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 1: my homes or Borough. Um, this is tough for me

799
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:12,279
Speaker 1: because my heart says the Lions. But listen, I've been

800
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,239
Speaker 1: watching Jared Gosps since he played a cow and inclement

801
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:19,680
Speaker 1: weather is just that's not really his thing, and I haven't.

802
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be raining, but you

803
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 1: know it's gonna be cold December. The Jets defense, This

804
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,399
Speaker 1: one's hard for me because ultimately Mike White's now banged up,

805
00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 1: so what's he gonna be Like? Is Flacco gonna have

806
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: to play? That whole situation? I mean, is there if

807
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: Mike White can't go, Is Zach Wilson then snap away

808
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 1: from playing? If Flacco gets injured? Uh, I guess I

809
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 1: would take the Jets reluctantly, but I don't want to

810
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 1: bet against this rocket ship that is the Detroit Lions. Yeah,

811
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 1: I did so, as you have to do that in

812
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 1: the NFL. It's it's painful, but it's usually you know,

813
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:55,839
Speaker 1: when it's a little painful and it hurts a little

814
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:59,319
Speaker 1: bit to bet on or against a certain team, it's

815
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,640
Speaker 1: probably a good signal that it's the right time to

816
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,439
Speaker 1: do it. And I do think that this is now,

817
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 1: and I can't really I'm gonna say that it's out loud,

818
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 1: but it's the right time to sell high on the

819
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:11,879
Speaker 1: lines um. And look, they're playing extremely well. They might

820
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:16,360
Speaker 1: be the fourth best team in the NFC maybe, and

821
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:18,360
Speaker 1: like that's that's how well they're playing. Their offense is

822
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 1: playing really well. But you nailed it like it's a

823
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 1: golf out outdoors against this defense in inclement letter in

824
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:26,960
Speaker 1: December is a whole different ball game. And if you

825
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 1: just look from a market perspective, this is a team

826
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 1: that was one month ago, yesterday or a couple of

827
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 1: days ago, the middle middle of last month, they were

828
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: plus three and a half at Chicago plus three and

829
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 1: a half, and they were going to lose until Justin

830
00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 1: Fields through a pick six late uh, and then the

831
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 1: Bears missed an extra point in the lines won the

832
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:52,879
Speaker 1: game by one. Now fast forward a month and they've

833
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: been rolling you gotta give him credit. It's a pick

834
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:57,960
Speaker 1: at the Jets were playing really well. I I from

835
00:42:57,960 --> 00:42:59,400
Speaker 1: what I I think I've heard Mike what will be

836
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 1: good to go? Um and look the Lions offense, and

837
00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:05,799
Speaker 1: I don't think golf will be as effective. We'll give

838
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:09,520
Speaker 1: the Jets defense, uh, you know, a fair fight, but

839
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,480
Speaker 1: I think the Jets defense will get enough stops. But

840
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 1: I think the bigger gap is that I think the

841
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:16,920
Speaker 1: Jets will be able to move the ball, and the

842
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 1: lines even is improving. They have some great young pieces.

843
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 1: They just that they just nail like the next one

844
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 1: to two editions either in the draft of free agency.

845
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:28,560
Speaker 1: Is defense could be scary in a year or two. Um.

846
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:30,360
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that this is just a time

847
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 1: to sell the Lions. They've covered sixth straight and getting

848
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:37,919
Speaker 1: the Jets here to pick I think is a little cheap.

849
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna get in front of

850
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 1: the Lions train. I've heard to restore the roar a

851
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: little bit too much or last week, so which is

852
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 1: a good sign of the market. Is one thing when

853
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,800
Speaker 1: you watch the Jets, obviously they're you know, the corners

854
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:53,720
Speaker 1: are awesome and their safeties hit hard. But that front

855
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:55,720
Speaker 1: is just so active, and the one thing the Lions

856
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 1: do have is a really good offensive line, you know,

857
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 1: to neutralize them a little bit. You know, Quentin Williams

858
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:04,360
Speaker 1: got injured last week, but they got dudes flying around everywhere.

859
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,319
Speaker 1: So to me, if Golf obviously comes back to earth

860
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:09,560
Speaker 1: a little bit but just plays like a normal quarterback

861
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,960
Speaker 1: in the weather, it's just to me, he can just implode,

862
00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 1: and he has historically from college to the pros, even

863
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:17,560
Speaker 1: on good teams, right, I mean, you get him out

864
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 1: there and implement weather, it doesn't matter who's around him.

865
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 1: He's kind of crumbled like a cookie. So that's to me,

866
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 1: that's the most fascinating part about that game. It's like,

867
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:29,640
Speaker 1: if Jared Goff is good, Lions win, if he or

868
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:32,400
Speaker 1: can win, you know, if he's shitty, I I don't know,

869
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 1: they might not score fifteen points, you know. So it's

870
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 1: he's gonna be a fascinating watch in that game. And

871
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:41,640
Speaker 1: then the Jags, you know, early on in the season,

872
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence was kind of all over the map and

873
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:47,680
Speaker 1: it was like, God, if this guy not like bust

874
00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 1: style like Zack Wilson, but it was this is not

875
00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:52,960
Speaker 1: living up to the hyphe but he's clearly over the

876
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 1: last what would you say, month month and a half

877
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 1: with Doug kind of felt like he's got a little

878
00:44:57,080 --> 00:45:00,120
Speaker 1: bit more of a rhythm. Uh. It looks like, know,

879
00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: I don't want to say the real deal, but a

880
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 1: guy that's trending towards being a really good player in

881
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 1: the Cowboys clearly probably had the shittiest week of practice

882
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 1: they've had all season last week. Get a little bit

883
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:12,680
Speaker 1: of a wake up call, but still, I know the

884
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,919
Speaker 1: Jacks have good players, but like it's gonna be tough

885
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 1: to focus. Are they playing the Eagles the following week?

886
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 1: So you know, do they look ahead two weeks ago?

887
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,359
Speaker 1: And are they gonna even focus this week? Who knows?

888
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:28,600
Speaker 1: Michael Parsons already talking shit about Jalen Um. I would

889
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,400
Speaker 1: probably stay away from this. I know it seems like

890
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 1: you like the Jacks. Huh, Yeah, I love the Jackson.

891
00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 1: It took about five or four and a half for um.

892
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 1: I think that last week you saw with the I

893
00:45:40,040 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 1: mean the Texans. Yeah, you'rena look a football team. You're

894
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,880
Speaker 1: gonna have weeks where you're just not focused and you

895
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 1: just don't have your best But and it was like

896
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 1: the Texas should have won that game, which was shocking

897
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 1: to say in in Dallas, but it showed in the

898
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:56,360
Speaker 1: Dallas has obviously have one of those weeks, one of

899
00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:58,480
Speaker 1: the best teams in the NFC, but it showed some

900
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 1: of the cracks in the Cowboy's armor right now due

901
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,360
Speaker 1: to injuries. So you lose Tarrence Steel, you're starting the

902
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 1: right tackle, your right tackle that comes in, you're like

903
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:10,720
Speaker 1: rotating Peters and and this guy ball and they were awful,

904
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 1: and like the Texans were getting pressure on Doc, they

905
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:16,319
Speaker 1: couldn't really open up hold, so like you're gonna get

906
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:18,080
Speaker 1: tired spent back, but now you you might be moving

907
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 1: your your left guard the right tackle. So it's gonna

908
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 1: be They're gonna be. They're gonna be a completely reshuffled

909
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:26,320
Speaker 1: offensive line this week. Not great for the first time,

910
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 1: you know, especially on the road. And then on defense,

911
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 1: they've had two or three injuries at corner. They have

912
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,800
Speaker 1: a couple of injuries up front on the defensive line,

913
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 1: and that's why you saw Jeff Driscoll and Davis Mills

914
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:43,879
Speaker 1: without Nico Collins, without Brandon Cooks. They're throwing the ball

915
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,800
Speaker 1: up the Chris Moore was he had twelve catches for

916
00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:49,799
Speaker 1: a hundred and thirty yards or something like that. That

917
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:53,200
Speaker 1: was that wasn't the Texans are horrendous And that was

918
00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 1: the Texans with like out receivers. That was really lucky.

919
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,040
Speaker 1: When he threw that pick, it backed up in it

920
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 1: his own end zone and one sometimes when you throw

921
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 1: that pick, the guy walked right in the end zone

922
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 1: and too they have the shot to win the game.

923
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,400
Speaker 1: I mean that that play, obviously on fourth down is

924
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 1: one of the shittiest plays you can I mean, were

925
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 1: they trying to make sure that they did not score

926
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 1: a touchdown on that play? Like? What was that? Yeah?

927
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 1: I mean to give it at the Rex burkhead and

928
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 1: um Pert mis direction on a drift call like sweep?

929
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:25,239
Speaker 1: I mean, what what? Why? Don't? But I I think

930
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:27,160
Speaker 1: and look, I don't know if Dallas is gonna be

931
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:30,319
Speaker 1: fully focused, but the offensive line, injuries, the secondary engines,

932
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 1: I think the Jags are trending in the right direction.

933
00:47:33,080 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 1: And if you look at the Jags all year, if

934
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,680
Speaker 1: you know an interesting exercise, it's it's it's flawed, but

935
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,320
Speaker 1: it's always interesting to look at. If you took every

936
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,240
Speaker 1: team's one possession losses and flip them in the winds

937
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,360
Speaker 1: and every team's one possession wins and flip them into losses.

938
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,440
Speaker 1: The one seed in the a f C would be

939
00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 1: the Jags. They've been in almost every single game this year,

940
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 1: and I think they're gonna carry that momentum over from

941
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 1: last week a huge win against Tennessee. Lawrence is playing

942
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,439
Speaker 1: really well and their defense is really good against the run.

943
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 1: Secondaries is really poor. But the Tallas offense of their

944
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,719
Speaker 1: passing attack isn't you know, it's not really clicking right now.

945
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: And if you can kind of slow down Dallas on

946
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 1: the ground, then you know you have a shot. I

947
00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: think Jacksonville can do that here. And I got news

948
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:22,320
Speaker 1: for you. If jackson wins his game and the Chargers

949
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:25,759
Speaker 1: beat the Titans, which I think they do, ah, all

950
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 1: of a sudden, the Jags control their own Destiny Division

951
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 1: for their division. Because they just beat the Titans. They'll

952
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:38,560
Speaker 1: be one game back and they host the Titans in

953
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:40,880
Speaker 1: the final week, so all they have to do is

954
00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 1: stay one game back and win at home over the Titans,

955
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 1: and they'll win the division at nine and eight. That'd

956
00:48:49,640 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 1: be insane. Yeah, that'd be nuts. I mean, speaking of

957
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,759
Speaker 1: a team that might win the division. I mean, it's

958
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:58,279
Speaker 1: probably gonna win the division, but under five potentially is

959
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:03,120
Speaker 1: Tampa might on them. I think sometimes in football, like

960
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: winning can band aid how shitty you are? And two

961
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:09,320
Speaker 1: weeks ago, my two and a half weeks ago whatever,

962
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:11,680
Speaker 1: that game against the Saints, I mean, they were beyond

963
00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 1: horrendous and they got to kind of throwback Brady drives.

964
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 1: I think they're terrible. I mean they're they're they're awful,

965
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 1: and I don't want to say they quit against the Niners,

966
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:24,160
Speaker 1: but it just kind of felt like, we're not any good.

967
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:26,239
Speaker 1: What's the point of this? And they just kind of

968
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:30,759
Speaker 1: look lifeless. Todd Bowl stinks. I love Cincinnati this week

969
00:49:31,040 --> 00:49:33,320
Speaker 1: and this is your classic like where that's what it

970
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:36,759
Speaker 1: probably everyone's thinking. But I do think that Tampa is

971
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:40,319
Speaker 1: not any good. And I think Brady is checked out,

972
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:44,560
Speaker 1: moved on, He's getting peppered, wants no part of getting touched.

973
00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 1: I mean, Tom is not like scared at all, and

974
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:49,879
Speaker 1: you can tell right now he's like, I'm not letting

975
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 1: anyone fucking hit me. I'm just hit the ground. Balls

976
00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 1: are flying all over the map. For the first time

977
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks and maybe I wasn't super

978
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,920
Speaker 1: locked in earlier. I think he's looked really really pedestrian.

979
00:50:01,040 --> 00:50:02,960
Speaker 1: Part of it is the offensive line snakes and he

980
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,839
Speaker 1: can't move. But their receivers, I mean him and Mike

981
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 1: Evans on the same page. Cincinnati's rolling. I love Cincinnati

982
00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:13,880
Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, I played the Bucks. I didn't

983
00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 1: like it. I haven't played that. I haven't met the

984
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 1: Bucks since the Luckily I was on them against the

985
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 1: Seahawks and I've been trying to avoid them. There's something

986
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:23,719
Speaker 1: that's off. But this line is too high getting over

987
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 1: a field goal here. I think it's a good Bilow

988
00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:28,759
Speaker 1: Cell high opportunity. I mean, the Bengals are coming off

989
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,440
Speaker 1: three straight huge wins. It's like they finally beat the Browns,

990
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 1: to beat the Titans, to beat the Chiefs. This is

991
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:36,520
Speaker 1: a team three weeks ago and I was on them.

992
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 1: They were They closed as a one point favorite at Tennessee.

993
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:44,239
Speaker 1: UM and I think Tennis. I think the Bucks are

994
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:47,359
Speaker 1: better than the Titans. UM. They Bucks have also been

995
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:51,120
Speaker 1: playing extremely hurt. They should get you know, I think

996
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 1: They're gonna get Winfield back was really important. He's one

997
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 1: of the best safety's NFL. They've been playing without him,

998
00:50:55,360 --> 00:50:57,520
Speaker 1: Mike get Edwards back at safety. To think they're gonna

999
00:50:57,520 --> 00:50:59,759
Speaker 1: get Sean Murphy Bunning back, I mean last week at

1000
00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 1: Sant Francisco, they were basically they were down like a

1001
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:06,760
Speaker 1: rookie six string corner and third and fourth string uh safety.

1002
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 1: So their defense, although I don't think today is gonna play,

1003
00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:11,600
Speaker 1: should be a little healthier and the Bengals who have

1004
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:13,719
Speaker 1: been really healthy. I don't think Trey Henderson's gonna play.

1005
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 1: He matters, especially with works out when he breaks his wrist.

1006
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:18,920
Speaker 1: I mean that's a pretty big injury for the home

1007
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:22,120
Speaker 1: stretching a couple of weeks, and you don't know, I

1008
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:26,000
Speaker 1: would imagine, I don't think Tyler Boyd's gonna play. And

1009
00:51:26,440 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 1: you got a hamstring for Tee Higgins, so you know

1010
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 1: that's now you're gonna like Trent and Irwin and um

1011
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 1: that receiver. That's a big difference we've seen the Bengals

1012
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,480
Speaker 1: offense when it's just like you know, if you have Jamaar,

1013
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: Chase and Tiggs and Tyler, we're out there with Joe Burrow.

1014
00:51:44,600 --> 00:51:47,200
Speaker 1: I mean, it's good luck trying to defend all of them.

1015
00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:49,120
Speaker 1: So I don't think it would be fully healthy at

1016
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: wide receiver. So yeah, this is it's just if it

1017
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 1: was three would not be on Tampa. Tampa three is king.

1018
00:51:57,680 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 1: It's so important. I think I'm getting the hook he

1019
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:03,879
Speaker 1: yere because of how core Jaffa Bay look last week

1020
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,839
Speaker 1: and how I mean, since he's covered thirteen of their

1021
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:10,319
Speaker 1: last fifteen. They've been a wagon against the spread. But

1022
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 1: I think it's the time to fade them on the road.

1023
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:16,840
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll regret it, because you're right. I don't believe

1024
00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:19,799
Speaker 1: in the bucks for one bit. But I've been on

1025
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 1: a lot of bad teams in the NFL, and this

1026
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:24,880
Speaker 1: is another one. Okay, Well, speaking of another team, a

1027
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 1: bad team, the Indianapolis Colts and the fighting and fighting

1028
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 1: Jeff Saturdays against Minnesota who got a little humble pie

1029
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:35,359
Speaker 1: against the Lions. Uh, this is the first game right

1030
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 1: of Saturday morning. Uh, India at Many this is a

1031
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:41,800
Speaker 1: game that you know, I don't know if you're missing

1032
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 1: much if you if you're doing ship with your family

1033
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:46,680
Speaker 1: and shopping, but from a gambling perspective, you know it's

1034
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:49,399
Speaker 1: the easiest way to pay attention. I don't know. I mean,

1035
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:52,279
Speaker 1: I honestly I couldn't gamble on this because you've been

1036
00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 1: saying it. All the gambling people have been saying that,

1037
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 1: all the analytics have been saying that Minnesota has been very,

1038
00:52:56,480 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 1: very overrated. And you know, at the end of the day,

1039
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,080
Speaker 1: like Kirk Cousins statistically is putting up good numbers now

1040
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,040
Speaker 1: for years. But when you watch them, do you really

1041
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:09,680
Speaker 1: trust them? You know, Jefferson is an incredible player, I

1042
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:13,160
Speaker 1: mean he really is. But beside him and the two

1043
00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:15,800
Speaker 1: running backs, like you, I don't really love their team,

1044
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:18,719
Speaker 1: like the roster guy for guy, you know, relative to

1045
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,240
Speaker 1: some of like even the Cowboys, obviously, the Eagles, the Niners,

1046
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 1: even the Lions. Like you watch the Lions, they out

1047
00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:28,840
Speaker 1: talented them. You know, they just have more. Besides, you

1048
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:32,239
Speaker 1: remove Jefferson and in these a weird team, right because

1049
00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:34,680
Speaker 1: they play besides when they get their ass kicked and

1050
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:38,400
Speaker 1: some uglier games. So if they can just ugly this

1051
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 1: thing up, four points is a lot. So just if

1052
00:53:40,520 --> 00:53:43,000
Speaker 1: you just remove the emotion, that's probably the bet. But

1053
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: I'd have a hard time putting money on jeff Saturday. Yeah,

1054
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Colts here. It's uh look, yeah, I

1055
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,880
Speaker 1: mean you mentioned the lines. I have the Lions empower

1056
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 1: rated higher than the Vikings. And I think they're a

1057
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:58,239
Speaker 1: better team the Vikings. And last week they closed as

1058
00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:00,920
Speaker 1: a three point favorite home. We see the stats like

1059
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 1: the golf Cousins thing this season, it's not that different. Yeah, yeah,

1060
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 1: it's uh. I'm sure the Rams might be regretting that

1061
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:14,160
Speaker 1: they don't sell golf based on where they stand. Well,

1062
00:54:14,200 --> 00:54:17,399
Speaker 1: the Lins, the Lines don't regret getting that fifth pick

1063
00:54:17,440 --> 00:54:21,439
Speaker 1: coming to them. I know that. Yeah yeah, um so yeah,

1064
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,359
Speaker 1: I mean I think the lines, Yeah that the Lines

1065
00:54:23,400 --> 00:54:24,960
Speaker 1: are so. I think they are better team the Vikings.

1066
00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:27,800
Speaker 1: Market showed that last week and they should have swept

1067
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:29,759
Speaker 1: the Vikings. They got. The Vikings are really lucky the

1068
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:32,800
Speaker 1: first time forgot the whole year the Vikings. They're tended

1069
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:36,279
Speaker 1: through the negative point differential ten and three. Like with

1070
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 1: a negative point they've been outscored. Their getting out gained

1071
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 1: by seventy yards per game on average, seventy yards. That

1072
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:45,479
Speaker 1: will probably never happen again, right, A double digiment team

1073
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 1: with a negative point differential. Yeah, no, it reminds they're

1074
00:54:48,840 --> 00:54:52,480
Speaker 1: very similar to like the the Ghost of Big Ben

1075
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,240
Speaker 1: year like two years two years ago. I think, um,

1076
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:58,200
Speaker 1: who were like I think they were like tenanel at

1077
00:54:58,200 --> 00:55:01,439
Speaker 1: one point. Um. They had a really good defense though,

1078
00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:04,319
Speaker 1: but they were winning games like Ben obviously didn't have

1079
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 1: it anymore. Um. And they played a bunch of like

1080
00:55:07,040 --> 00:55:11,320
Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks and I think this is in there was

1081
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 1: like some COVID absence they've benefited from. But their offense

1082
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 1: was horrendous. But they would just win every game like

1083
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,080
Speaker 1: their team tent But yeah, they end up a negative

1084
00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,160
Speaker 1: point if because they won every game. Um. I I

1085
00:55:21,160 --> 00:55:22,879
Speaker 1: can't remember the last time. I think it's the first

1086
00:55:22,880 --> 00:55:24,520
Speaker 1: time out of lentuty team is ten and three with

1087
00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:28,160
Speaker 1: a negative point differential. But anyway, there, Yeah, they have holes.

1088
00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 1: Their defense is not good and they cannot they don't.

1089
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 1: They're not a team that's gonna relentlessly get after you

1090
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:36,759
Speaker 1: and get tons of pressure on the quarterbacks, which will

1091
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,720
Speaker 1: get the Colts a chance. The Colts have no chance

1092
00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:42,799
Speaker 1: when they go up against the team that can get

1093
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:49,400
Speaker 1: relentless pressure like Dallas. Um. And that means Matt Ryan,

1094
00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:51,239
Speaker 1: who can't move anymore, we'll have a chance. And if

1095
00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:53,959
Speaker 1: you look, this is also like, uh, you know, I'm

1096
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,319
Speaker 1: still fading the Vikings. I don't think the market has

1097
00:55:56,360 --> 00:55:59,279
Speaker 1: faded them enough. And I'm buying low on the Colts.

1098
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:02,600
Speaker 1: If you look at like retrend ever, betting the NFL

1099
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:06,480
Speaker 1: teams that give up like fifty, that lose by thirty

1100
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:13,200
Speaker 1: plus the next week, they are an extremely good bet. Um, teams,

1101
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 1: aren't you as bad as they appear? Perfect example of

1102
00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 1: this is the Cults this year. Not a very good team.

1103
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:22,600
Speaker 1: They've only been blown out three times two weeks ago

1104
00:56:22,600 --> 00:56:23,759
Speaker 1: and by the way, they have a bye, they have

1105
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:26,160
Speaker 1: an extra week to prepare here and the Vikings are

1106
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:29,440
Speaker 1: in a short week. But uh, you go back to

1107
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,080
Speaker 1: the other two times they were blown out this year,

1108
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 1: they went to they went to Jackson, lost twenty four

1109
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:37,800
Speaker 1: nothing and one of the most embarrassing performances of the season.

1110
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:42,399
Speaker 1: Next week they beat the Chiefs. Uh. And then they

1111
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:46,960
Speaker 1: went to New England and they got blasted. I think

1112
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:50,040
Speaker 1: they was the worst offensive game in thirty years. They

1113
00:56:50,080 --> 00:56:52,879
Speaker 1: want at the Raiders like, so this is a team

1114
00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 1: that uh And you know what are both those teams

1115
00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 1: have in common? Neither of them get after the quarterback.

1116
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:01,560
Speaker 1: Like where it's you're gonna go up against like Dallas

1117
00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:03,839
Speaker 1: or New England have a great pass rush, So Matt

1118
00:57:03,920 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 1: Ryan will have the chance here. Um. I think Indian

1119
00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:09,839
Speaker 1: Apples will be able to move the ball most can

1120
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:12,000
Speaker 1: against this Vikings team, They're gonna ugly up the game,

1121
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 1: and I think four is just a bit too many.

1122
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,040
Speaker 1: I won't hold you to this one, but any thoughts

1123
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:22,560
Speaker 1: on the big Sunday night game against Giants at the Commanders. Yeah,

1124
00:57:22,600 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: if I had to take it, I would take the Giants,

1125
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:26,120
Speaker 1: and I think I think there seems are pretty similar.

1126
00:57:26,160 --> 00:57:28,400
Speaker 1: I mean, they played to a tie in New York.

1127
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 1: The one uh the one angle that would give me

1128
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 1: pauses that I mean, the Giants are more beat up overall.

1129
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:40,160
Speaker 1: But the Giants played the Eagles last week and obviously

1130
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 1: prepared for that game, wanted to win it got you know,

1131
00:57:44,440 --> 00:57:47,360
Speaker 1: beat up a little bit more, whereas watching it up

1132
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:50,080
Speaker 1: by and they the last or last game was against

1133
00:57:50,080 --> 00:57:55,280
Speaker 1: the Giants, so they went Giants by Giants. So you

1134
00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:59,040
Speaker 1: have two weeks to prepare for the same exact team. Um,

1135
00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:00,720
Speaker 1: if I had to take it out, I don't. I'm

1136
00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 1: not sure if I'm gonna If I'm gonna bet it,

1137
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:03,640
Speaker 1: I would. I would take the point just because I

1138
00:58:03,640 --> 00:58:05,520
Speaker 1: think these two teams are pretty similar. It's the totals

1139
00:58:05,640 --> 00:58:07,680
Speaker 1: very low. It's forty should be a low scoring game

1140
00:58:07,720 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 1: points at a premium and they know obviously just met it.

1141
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:13,520
Speaker 1: They just played each other. They know each other really well.

1142
00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:19,640
Speaker 1: It's almost like an elimination game um for the playoffs

1143
00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:22,280
Speaker 1: in a way, depending on what other teams do. But

1144
00:58:22,960 --> 00:58:24,720
Speaker 1: it's a huge game. So you might see them both

1145
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:28,600
Speaker 1: be like really conservative and played tight early, which favors

1146
00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:31,800
Speaker 1: the underdog. And Daniel Jones is eleven and one against

1147
00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 1: the spread as a road underdog of under nine points.

1148
00:58:35,080 --> 00:58:37,200
Speaker 1: The Giants they always just find ways to ugly up

1149
00:58:37,240 --> 00:58:41,480
Speaker 1: these games. And obviously they got jumped by Philly, which

1150
00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 1: will happen last week, but that's a bad matchup for him. Yeah, yeah,

1151
00:58:45,520 --> 00:58:47,120
Speaker 1: they got they I mean they couldn't play. You can't

1152
00:58:47,120 --> 00:58:49,479
Speaker 1: play from behind two and the Eagles hit a fourth

1153
00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:52,240
Speaker 1: and seven touchdown. They went up fourteen nothing. It was

1154
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 1: it was lights out. Washington is Taylor hein if he's

1155
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:58,160
Speaker 1: the kind of guy that he's kind of like the

1156
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:00,640
Speaker 1: new Jamis Winston to me from a betting respective, like

1157
00:59:01,160 --> 00:59:03,160
Speaker 1: you want you you like the about him as an underdog,

1158
00:59:03,160 --> 00:59:04,760
Speaker 1: he's kind of like a gun slinger, will make some

1159
00:59:04,880 --> 00:59:08,400
Speaker 1: terrible throws high, you know, pretty high various guy. He

1160
00:59:08,440 --> 00:59:10,480
Speaker 1: does have some turn of a regression coming, but as

1161
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:13,360
Speaker 1: a favorite, like, am I really running to the window

1162
00:59:13,400 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 1: to bet t Hanneck? Heineke is a favorite? And absolutely

1163
00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 1: are I hear you on that one. Okay, well, stucky um,

1164
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 1: But I love your friends and I love Fresno Bowl.

1165
00:59:26,160 --> 00:59:28,680
Speaker 1: Fresdo's I mean it's a four now I had a

1166
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:30,120
Speaker 1: three best to like it a little bit of four.

1167
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:32,600
Speaker 1: I think I think Fresdo is a good bet in

1168
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:37,280
Speaker 1: the Bulls who they're playing Wazoo, who's already lost multiple coaches,

1169
00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:41,320
Speaker 1: the coaches, they lost, their their linebackers gonna play the NFL.

1170
00:59:41,400 --> 00:59:43,680
Speaker 1: There are other two starting linebackers, two of their top

1171
00:59:43,720 --> 00:59:47,880
Speaker 1: three receivers, um their defensive coordinator, offensive coordinator. I think

1172
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,720
Speaker 1: that line swung like seven points. Right started, they were

1173
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 1: like plus four. Now they're minus three last I checked yesterday. Yeah,

1174
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:57,600
Speaker 1: And I think you know Fresno's their defense is playing

1175
00:59:57,600 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 1: a lot better now. They made some schematic changes and

1176
00:59:59,840 --> 01:00:01,800
Speaker 1: I think that they're under bag and Marcus Hayner didn't

1177
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:05,000
Speaker 1: play for half the year and they had had they

1178
01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:07,880
Speaker 1: had a two star kid in their plan form massive

1179
01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:12,040
Speaker 1: drop off. And yes, I think Fresno is they lost

1180
01:00:12,080 --> 01:00:15,400
Speaker 1: the Yukon Stucky the game after the Haynter got hurt, right,

1181
01:00:15,880 --> 01:00:18,520
Speaker 1: I would like in the rematch of Yukon, this fres

1182
01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:21,960
Speaker 1: of State team with Haynter, I'd like the Ducks. Yeah,

1183
01:00:22,000 --> 01:00:24,840
Speaker 1: they were, they were. I mean the drop off is

1184
01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:27,640
Speaker 1: there's a couple of guys. It's like Grayson McCall Coastal

1185
01:00:27,680 --> 01:00:31,200
Speaker 1: because his backup is terrible and McAll is pretty good. Uh.

1186
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 1: And then like this is how much a quarterback be

1187
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:37,480
Speaker 1: worth in college because it's it's it's the drop off

1188
01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 1: to your replacement, Haynter, I think it's worth maybe ten

1189
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:44,080
Speaker 1: eleven points to the spread. Um, if you look at

1190
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,560
Speaker 1: the difference between him and his backup. So yeah, Fresno

1191
01:00:46,600 --> 01:00:48,680
Speaker 1: hasn't really had they lost a corner who wasn't really

1192
01:00:48,680 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 1: playing down the stretch. So that's a signal to me

1193
01:00:52,120 --> 01:00:57,040
Speaker 1: that they care and are motivated here. Um and uh,

1194
01:00:57,240 --> 01:01:01,280
Speaker 1: playing in a location that I'm sure they'll like, can say,

1195
01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:04,040
Speaker 1: I like freends. No, there's value in these balls, their

1196
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:08,480
Speaker 1: value in these Bowl games with guys opting out missing quarterbacks,

1197
01:01:08,640 --> 01:01:13,160
Speaker 1: you know, uh, would you probably then short Kentucky, short Florida.

1198
01:01:13,600 --> 01:01:15,640
Speaker 1: Some of these teams with a lot of guys taken off,

1199
01:01:16,240 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 1: you know, some of these losing quarterbacks. Yeah, it's gonna

1200
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 1: be tough for Kentucky. I mean, Kentucky, another big drop off,

1201
01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:26,280
Speaker 1: and they're they're also their best running back is gonna

1202
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:28,800
Speaker 1: play in the NFL. He opted out. That's also usually

1203
01:01:28,840 --> 01:01:30,680
Speaker 1: a sign of like the team doesn't really care that much.

1204
01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:33,200
Speaker 1: I mean, right in the case of Rodriguez, some of

1205
01:01:33,200 --> 01:01:34,840
Speaker 1: these guys are gonna be first onun trafficks. It just

1206
01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:38,680
Speaker 1: makes sense, like we're gonna go play in the Gasparillo Bowl,

1207
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:43,800
Speaker 1: the riskuer future. Um but yeah, So like if you

1208
01:01:43,960 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 1: see a bunch of guys who weren't like first rounders

1209
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:48,959
Speaker 1: opting out, then it's usually it might be a sign

1210
01:01:48,960 --> 01:01:52,040
Speaker 1: that just the team doesn't care that much. And um

1211
01:01:52,080 --> 01:01:54,120
Speaker 1: but yeah, it's gonna be tough for Kentucky. Like I

1212
01:01:54,240 --> 01:01:56,720
Speaker 1: Will has, they're down to a third string quarterback. But

1213
01:01:56,760 --> 01:01:59,400
Speaker 1: that doesn't matter, Like you could go by quarterback, I

1214
01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:02,600
Speaker 1: could go back fright, it doesn't matter. You can't score anyway, Kentucky.

1215
01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:04,960
Speaker 1: It's a big drop off. Florida. I wouldn't be running

1216
01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:07,479
Speaker 1: to bet against just because I mean they're catching ten

1217
01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:11,160
Speaker 1: and Andy Richard might not be any good. I mean,

1218
01:02:11,960 --> 01:02:15,280
Speaker 1: plus the kid who's the kid who's playing Jack Miller,

1219
01:02:15,360 --> 01:02:17,800
Speaker 1: the four star Ohio State. He transfrom Ohio State because

1220
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:19,080
Speaker 1: he was like should I'm not gonna get playing time

1221
01:02:19,120 --> 01:02:21,440
Speaker 1: with Stroudy here, So he's got a ton of talent.

1222
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,000
Speaker 1: And then if you look at both rosters overall, and

1223
01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:26,440
Speaker 1: like Florida does have a couple opt outs, but Oregon

1224
01:02:26,480 --> 01:02:30,520
Speaker 1: State's best corner also opted out for the NFL. Then

1225
01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:32,200
Speaker 1: if you look at the rosters, like overall, it's like

1226
01:02:32,360 --> 01:02:34,800
Speaker 1: the Florida probably has the more talented rostin and they're

1227
01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:39,240
Speaker 1: catching ten points, so that one I wouldn't be running

1228
01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:41,840
Speaker 1: to the window to to bet. I'll say this, two

1229
01:02:41,840 --> 01:02:43,800
Speaker 1: teams are gonna be their super Bowl bill out West

1230
01:02:43,880 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 1: would be organ State against Florida. That's a big like

1231
01:02:46,800 --> 01:02:52,520
Speaker 1: for the week to me. Utah will approach the Rose

1232
01:02:52,560 --> 01:02:55,360
Speaker 1: Bowl like a playoff like they're playing for the national championship.

1233
01:02:55,360 --> 01:02:57,600
Speaker 1: They did last year. And remember they were missing corners.

1234
01:02:57,640 --> 01:03:00,320
Speaker 1: They had running backs playing corners and they could cover

1235
01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:02,600
Speaker 1: with the two guys. I mean, it turns out nobody

1236
01:03:02,640 --> 01:03:07,120
Speaker 1: can but I Penn State, who you know. I'm not

1237
01:03:07,160 --> 01:03:08,919
Speaker 1: saying they're not going to try. It's a big deal

1238
01:03:09,040 --> 01:03:10,160
Speaker 1: right there. It's not like they were headed to the

1239
01:03:10,160 --> 01:03:12,760
Speaker 1: playoffs regardless, But I think Utah is gonna throw the

1240
01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 1: fucking kitchen sync at this game. Love Utah, I agree.

1241
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:20,200
Speaker 1: I bet Utah as well. Clark Clark Phillips their star

1242
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:23,440
Speaker 1: corner he did opt out and Dalton Concade they're starting

1243
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:26,120
Speaker 1: tight end opted out. But yeah, I mean they're cording

1244
01:03:26,200 --> 01:03:28,560
Speaker 1: their defensive acids a lot better situation than it was

1245
01:03:29,120 --> 01:03:31,600
Speaker 1: last year. And Penn State's planing, you know, their best

1246
01:03:31,640 --> 01:03:35,760
Speaker 1: receivers out for the year. Um, And Penn State can't

1247
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 1: really run the ball this year and then to run

1248
01:03:37,640 --> 01:03:38,920
Speaker 1: the ball in a couple of years. That's kind of

1249
01:03:38,920 --> 01:03:42,840
Speaker 1: how you attack Utah. Yah um. I I really like

1250
01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:45,840
Speaker 1: Utah to get this done and have a big doll

1251
01:03:46,440 --> 01:03:49,440
Speaker 1: the fan base advantage. And Kyle Whittingham is one of

1252
01:03:49,440 --> 01:03:52,640
Speaker 1: those coaches that is really really good with time to

1253
01:03:52,640 --> 01:03:54,200
Speaker 1: prepare and he's been awesome. He's one of the most

1254
01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:57,240
Speaker 1: profitable coaches to back in bowl games. So yeah, I'll

1255
01:03:57,280 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 1: be on Utah's Well, there's no better feeling than just

1256
01:03:59,720 --> 01:04:02,480
Speaker 1: like turning on the television during the holidays, it's just

1257
01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:05,200
Speaker 1: random bowl games on all the time. It's the best.

1258
01:04:05,920 --> 01:04:10,439
Speaker 1: So it's the best Monday afternoon Bowl game. Yeah, it's

1259
01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:13,760
Speaker 1: just it's great. It's just hard a Mac team playing

1260
01:04:13,840 --> 01:04:15,880
Speaker 1: like some crappy team from the Big Tan. You just

1261
01:04:15,880 --> 01:04:19,720
Speaker 1: get these weird matchups that are just extremely entertaining. Uh,

1262
01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:22,840
Speaker 1: we'll stucky. I'll talk to you next week and take

1263
01:04:22,840 --> 01:04:47,840
Speaker 1: it easy. Bro. Absolutely good luck. The volume