1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Day BAQ podcast, available every morning 3 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 2: on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Thursday, the 4 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 2: fifteenth of May in London. I'm Caroline Hepka and. 5 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carroll. 6 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: Coming up today, Vladimir Putin appoints low level officials for 7 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: today's Ukraine talks, possibly dashing Zelensky's hopes for a face 8 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: to face meeting. 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,279 Speaker 2: Veteran US investor Stephen jen says America could require a 10 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 2: trust moment to force a deficit course correction. 11 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:39,319 Speaker 1: Plus hitting the brakes on its high end ambitions. Why 12 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: Berbery's CEO is calling time on the British fashion labels 13 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: attempt to join the upper echelons of global luxury. 14 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 15 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: Russia's President Vladimir Putin has named a group of low 16 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: level officials to join peace talks with Ukraine in Turkey today, 17 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 1: while giving no indication that he plans to attend the 18 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: negotiations him self. President Zelensky had challenged Putin to meet 19 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: him for talks in Istanbul after the Russian leader offered 20 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: to resume direct negotiations to end the conflict. US President 21 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: Donald Trump was asked by reporters on Air Force one 22 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 1: about the possibility that Putin might attend, But I don't know. 23 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 4: And I know he would like me to be there, 24 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 4: and that's the possibility if we could hit the world, 25 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 4: be thinking tomorrow. We're all book the outcrust, the roster. 26 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 5: But you go if he goes, you. 27 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 4: Eight tomorrow, so we have over a full story. Now, 28 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 4: that doesn't mean I wouldn't do it to save metal 29 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 4: lives and come back. 30 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 3: But yeah, I think they're thinking about something. I don't 31 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:47,199 Speaker 3: know that he would be there if I'm not there. 32 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: The US President was speaking on Air Force one as 33 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: Zelenski reiterated his willingness to hold direct talks with Putin, 34 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: even though he said he had little hope the Russian 35 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: leader would show up. The Ukrainian leader also said that 36 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: he would not attend talks unless they were held directly 37 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: with his Russian counterpart. 38 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, foreign ministers in NATO are gathering to discuss the 39 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,519 Speaker 2: future of European security ahead of a pivotal summit. The 40 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,959 Speaker 2: diplomats meet in Turkey this morning to establish the agenda 41 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: for NATO's annual summit in June, where the US has 42 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 2: made a higher defense spending target a priority. Germany's Chancellor 43 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 2: Friedrich Mertz says the West needs to stand together. 44 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 6: It is of paramount importance that the political West, ladies 45 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 6: and gentlemen, does not allow itself to be divided, and 46 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 6: that is why I will continue to make every effort 47 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 6: to ensure the greatest possible unity between the European and 48 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 6: American partners. 49 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 2: Mertz's Germany is one of the countries taking on large 50 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: amounts of debt to rearm NATO estimates that the US 51 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 2: currently accounts for nearly two thirds of the alliance's defense expenditure, 52 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: with Canada and Europe funding the rest. 53 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: The UK is drawing up plans for a special visa 54 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: for foreigners who invest significant sums in Britain. Bloomberg understands 55 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 1: the plans would focus on getting the money for strategically 56 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: important sectors, including AI and clean energy. 57 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 3: James Wilcock has more. 58 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 7: Kiss Starmer may say Britain's experiment with migration is over, 59 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 7: but his government still seems to want foreign investors to come. 60 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 7: Ministers are weighing a new visa for anyone who invests 61 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 7: in Britain's strategic sectors. The potential move echoes US President 62 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 7: Donald Trump, who has promised a so called golden visa 63 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 7: to anyone who pays five million dollars to the US Treasury. 64 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 7: The UK proposal comes after a flurry of wealthy residents 65 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 7: have left the country after tax changes in London. James 66 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 7: Wilcock Bloomberg Radio. 67 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 2: The White House has announced deals with Kuttar Totally more 68 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 2: than two hundred and forty three billion dollars, laying the 69 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: groundwork for a bigger one point two trillion dollar economic 70 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: pledge with the country now. The agreements include a ninety 71 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: six billion dollar plan for cut Our Airways to acquire 72 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 2: Boeing aircraft and a nearly two billion dollar agreement for 73 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 2: cut out A buy US drones. The announcement comes on 74 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: the second leg of President Trump's tour of the Middle East, 75 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: during which he's focused heavily on securing investment. Michael Froehman, 76 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 2: president of the Council on Follign Relations, says the deals 77 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 2: could be pivotal. 78 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:22,799 Speaker 8: I think some of the deals are likely to produce 79 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 8: investments here and exports very importantly to those countries over 80 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 8: the medium term. Some are probably more along the lines 81 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 8: of agreement to discuss more investment down the road. And 82 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 8: the other thing about these investments is that it can 83 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 8: take years, if not a decade or more for the 84 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 8: shovels to actually get put in the ground, and very 85 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 8: importantly for jobs to be. 86 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 3: Created longer term. 87 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 8: But it's very positive when we're selling more exports to 88 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 8: other countries, like the planes and the engines that we're 89 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 8: in now. 90 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 2: That was Michael Foreman, the Council of Foreign Relations President 91 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 2: speaking there. Meanwhile, a separate US Saudi defense deal agreed 92 00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 2: by Trump has been called into question. Critics of the 93 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 2: move saying that the deal lacks specifics and may include 94 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:09,159 Speaker 2: repurposed agreements secured by previous US administrations. Experts have also 95 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 2: queried the country's ability to agree with those purchases tenure. 96 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: US treasury yields have been moving higher this month. Are's 97 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: Investor's Way plans by Congress to cut taxes while the 98 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: government is already running a large deficits, But one veteran 99 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: investor is suggesting the United States needs a layers trust 100 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 1: moment that brings to you and parts has more. 101 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 9: For bill currently moving through the House is set to 102 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 9: increase the US government's debt by at least three point 103 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 9: three trillion dollars by twenty thirty four. That's the official 104 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 9: view of the Committee for a Responsible Budget. The deficit 105 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 9: is already large by any normal measure, above six percent 106 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 9: of GDP over each of the last two years, levels 107 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 9: normally only seen in recessions or wars, and that's left 108 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 9: to vester and investor Stephen Jen of Eurizon SLJ Capitol 109 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 9: wondering if the US needs to see a repeat of 110 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 9: what happened to Liz Trust with US tenure yields topping 111 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 9: five percent, He says it's not enough to warn people 112 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 9: about the blooning deficit. Quote they need to be punished. 113 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 9: Jen adds, I'm not giving up completely, but I'm seeing 114 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 9: that we don't seem to be moving in the right direction, 115 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 9: and I'm fearful of what may happen in London. 116 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 3: I'm you in pots of Bloomberg Radio. 117 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: In his first interview since handing over the reins of 118 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 2: Berkshire Hathaway, the billionaire investor Warren Buffett says he made 119 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 2: the decision to step down after finally feeling his age. 120 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 2: Speaking to The Wall Street Journal, the ninety four year 121 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: old said that there was no magic moment when he 122 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 2: knew it was the right time to retire as CEO, 123 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: but he had observed how much energy his successor, greg Abel, 124 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 2: brought to every working day and how his own days 125 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 2: had slowed. He said that he did not feel his 126 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 2: age until he was about ninety. Once he did, the 127 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 2: process was irreversible. When asked about staying on a Berkshire 128 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 2: as chairman, he said, my health is fine. I get 129 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 2: to work with people I love, they like me pretty 130 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 2: well and we have a good time. 131 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: The actress Scarlett Johansen has said the highly filmmakers are 132 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: being quote muzzled by big tech guys. In an interview 133 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: with Vanity Fair magazine, the Avengers star noted that many 134 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: of the people who funded the film industry attended US 135 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: President Donald Trump's inauguration. She also said boundaries should be 136 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: set for the use of artificial intelligence, saying she was 137 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: angered at how eerily similar one of the voices on 138 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: chat GPT was to hers. Last year, the Marvel star 139 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: alleged that OpenAI used her voice without her consent. The 140 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: company's CEO Sam Altman denied the claims, but did pause 141 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: the system in response. 142 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 2: Those are some of our top stories for you this morning. 143 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 2: Let's get to the market. So the actually valley waivering. 144 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: You've got S and P five hundred even futures down 145 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 2: by two tents of one percent. Socks in Asia are 146 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 2: falling for the first time in five days. MSCI Asia 147 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 2: Pacific Index is down three tens of one percent. US 148 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 2: Treasury yields climbed yesterday thirty a year, briefly touching four 149 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 2: ninety eight this morning, stabilizing since then. You've got markets 150 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 2: thinking about the Trump tax bill, also receive session fears 151 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 2: do seem to be abating, the market continuing to price 152 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 2: out fed cut. So two year yields have risen over 153 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 2: the course of this week around thirteen basis points. Gold 154 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,240 Speaker 2: has hit a one month low, falling more than one 155 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 2: percent this morning, Oil tumbling on Iran deal prospects, and 156 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 2: also lots to think about for the rest of today. 157 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 2: Walmart earnings, US retail sales, and you've also got US 158 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 2: UK GDP figures today. 159 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 3: So those are the markets in the moment. 160 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: We'll bring you more and what to expect from the Russia, 161 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: Ukraine talks in Turkey, plus Canberbery's cost cutting efforts finally 162 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: helped to turn around the struggling brand. Put another story 163 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: that caught our eye this morning, A big deal in 164 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:41,839 Speaker 1: restaurant reservations. If you're one of those people who has 165 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: to set an alarm to make sure that you're going 166 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: to be able to book a table at the right time. 167 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,719 Speaker 1: Uber is now getting in on the act. They're going 168 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: to be launching their own dine out icon where you 169 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: can reserve restaurant tables via the Uber system essentially, and 170 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: the UK is going to be one of the test 171 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: markets for us. 172 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, in September. Uber's offering incentives, of course, a discount 173 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 2: on your Uber taxi to the restaurant if you book 174 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 2: using Uber Eats. Also, Open Table have got their own 175 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,840 Speaker 2: sort of set of incentives for their members. It's going 176 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 2: to launch in London and in Sydney. I mean, is 177 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:15,120 Speaker 2: this basically the height of convenience? Uber just gets to 178 00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: organized your whole night out, does it? 179 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 3: Actually it's penialization. 180 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: I think that I'm looking at it this as well, 181 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: because there's going to be essentially a new tier that 182 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:24,720 Speaker 1: they're going to be rolling out later this idea. It'll 183 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: be able to priority book certain tables if you are, 184 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: you know. 185 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 2: That just annoys me because then you know, basically does 186 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 2: it leave us all increasingly siloed depending on what app 187 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 2: system you happen to use and which tier of views 188 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 2: that you happen to be. 189 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 3: I don't know that. 190 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: And it's also the feature of there are certain cities 191 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 1: in the world, and London and New York or two 192 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: of them where it is you have to plan things 193 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: so far in advance, because getting restaurant reservations requires that 194 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,199 Speaker 1: you essentially know what you're going to be doing a 195 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: Saturday night three months from now, try and get into someone. 196 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 2: Maybe that's your social calendar sever count Anyway, there we are. 197 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 2: We will put a link in the show notes if 198 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 2: you want to read a bit more about what Uber 199 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 2: is planning. Of course, door Dash their rival, you know, 200 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: not to be outdone, they are also planning something. 201 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 1: They have a partnership with seven Rooms was one of 202 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: the other big booking platforms as well, but they still 203 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: seemed to be a move that. I mean, there's a 204 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: secondary market for restaurant reservations in New York where you 205 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: can buy somebody else's restaurant reservation because there are people 206 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: who are gaming the system. 207 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 3: Material extent. 208 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I quite like there's quite a 209 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: lot of restaurants now that you have to film them, 210 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 1: because essentially that knocks out a whole load of people 211 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: and stops people at double or triple booking restaurants, which 212 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:36,679 Speaker 1: you know, it's not something that I've gotten into, and 213 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 1: I do have friends that do it. 214 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 10: Yeah. 215 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 2: Absolutely, gosh, there we go, restaurant bookings and new Uber 216 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 2: deals coming your way. Right, let's think about the main story, 217 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 2: of course today Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul in Turkey. 218 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 2: Today are not expected to see direct negotiations between Vladimirsninski 219 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 2: and Vladimir Putin. No actually to involve President Trump, who 220 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 2: suggested that his schedule is too full to include another 221 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 2: stop on his two of the Middle East. You heard 222 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 2: the little clip of him just in our news roundup. 223 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 2: This as the NATO foreign ministers are also meeting informally 224 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 2: in a different city in Turkey, and Antelaia joining us 225 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 2: now to discuss is Bloomberg's executive editor for Economics and Government, 226 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 2: Flavia kraus Jackson. Very good to have you on the program. Flavia, 227 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:23,959 Speaker 2: Good morning. What are we expecting from today's Russia Ukraine 228 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: talks firsty, do you think that they could yield any progress? 229 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 5: I think anyone who's going out definitively and saying that 230 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 5: the three way Trump Zelenski cut meeting is not going 231 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 5: to happen and might beginning over those skates, I mean, 232 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 5: I think we've just been listening to mixed accounts, and 233 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 5: I think if you're listening to Trump's words carefully, he's 234 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 5: trying to essentially coach Putin out. 235 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 3: So I think we shouldn't exclude the. 236 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 5: Possibility that this actually may at some point come together 237 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 5: later in the weekend. So I wouldn't give up hope 238 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 5: just yet on that potentially happening. It would be a 239 00:11:56,640 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 5: huge coup for Trump if it did come through, because 240 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 5: just think about it, it's his first overseas Foray. You know, 241 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 5: obviously he went to the pub's funeral, but he's come 242 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 5: here in the Middle East. He signed what looks on 243 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 5: paper like you know, lots of deals worth billions, you know, 244 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 5: one brillion at one point, even though that that. 245 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 3: Figure should be questioned. And if he. 246 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,960 Speaker 5: Manages to end the trip by diverting going to Turkey 247 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 5: and who knows, maybe even going to the pub's funeral, 248 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 5: what a trip. 249 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 3: This would be well. 250 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:27,079 Speaker 1: Another conversation that Donald Trump is dominating is that meeting 251 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: of NATO Foreign minister is also taking place in Turkey 252 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,720 Speaker 1: and questions about defense spending. 253 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 3: Could five percent be possible? 254 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 5: I mean, I think what we're looking at here is 255 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 5: the classic card of the deal, right, I mean, right 256 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 5: now it's two percent, and a lot of NATO members 257 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 5: are skirting the responsibilities and not doing that. Rote, who's 258 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 5: something of a Trump whisper and has been very good 259 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 5: in a way sarging the president's ego and kind of 260 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 5: trying to cajole people to spend more, has set the 261 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 5: target three point five and obviously there's that aspirational five percent. 262 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,200 Speaker 5: So when we get to five percent, I very much 263 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 5: doubt it. I think it's a hard target. But I 264 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 5: think they're setting the scene so that NATO and the 265 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 5: Hague in June could be a success. And I think 266 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 5: to a certain degree, you know, Trump's invocation that you know, 267 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 5: America is no longer going to have to carry the 268 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 5: weight of, you know, defending Europe, and that sort of agreement, 269 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 5: that post war understanding of you know, the US being 270 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 5: the world's cop has ended, and so I think you know, 271 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 5: you can see this in Germany, with the with the 272 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 5: with the fact that they're obviously up there, gain there 273 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 5: that this is having an effect. But when these targets 274 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,320 Speaker 5: will be reached as an entirely different question. Europe is 275 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 5: a far far away from being able to do anything 276 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 5: to actually defend itself, should ever be in conditions of war. 277 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,839 Speaker 2: President Trump's Middle East trip that you mentioned has all 278 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 2: these defense deals in it and big price tags. I 279 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 2: mean a billion dollar deal for Qatar to buy Raythean systems, 280 00:13:56,520 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 2: the first international bar to get this system. Also, it 281 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 2: does come with some big question marks, as you've said, 282 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 2: the Job administration calling this one hundred and forty two billion. 283 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 2: Don't a deal with Saudi Arabia the largest defense sales 284 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,839 Speaker 2: agreement in history. What are the question marks around all 285 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:14,720 Speaker 2: of these numbers. 286 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 5: I think a lot of people are privately chuckling at 287 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 5: the ostentatiousness of these numbers. You know, all that glitters 288 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 5: is in gold, and I think you know, once you 289 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 5: kick the tires on all of this, you see very 290 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 5: much that all is not what it seems right. So 291 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 5: even look at the economic deals, we had one trillion 292 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 5: that actually the White House said six hundred billion, and 293 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 5: then once you start looking a little bit under the bonnet, 294 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 5: it looks more like three hundred billion. And it's a 295 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 5: very similar case, I think, frankly, with this one hundred 296 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 5: and forty two billion defense deal. I think Bruce Rydell 297 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 5: put it very well in one of the stories that 298 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 5: you know, if you compare that to what the Saundi 299 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 5: budget actually is, these numbers just simply don't stack up. 300 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 5: But I think what we're really missing here is the 301 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 5: symbolic value of all this. I mean, it was a 302 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 5: proper love right. I mean NBS was grinning from ear 303 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 5: to ear. Trump looked little bit tight at the beginning 304 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 5: of the trip, but you know, this is the kind 305 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 5: of trip he loves. It's sort of about the money, 306 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 5: the deal, the camaraderie and on on. You know, even 307 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 5: though the glitter of the billion dollar deals isn't quite 308 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 5: what it seems, the actual sort of partnership is very 309 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 5: very important. And I think, you know, even if you 310 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 5: just look at how Israel's Netanyahu is feeling a little bit, 311 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 5: you know, a silent spectator looking in, I think those 312 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 5: kind of optics tell the more important story. 313 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 1: Okay, Flavia christ Jackson our executive Edger for Economics the Government. 314 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: Thank you very much for joining us. 315 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 2: Now, Barbary results yesterday added to the decade of troubles 316 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 2: at the British fashion icon. Now it's out with elevating 317 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 2: the brand and in with cost cutting. Bloomberg's Tiva Adebaya 318 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 2: joins us with more on this story. Good morning, what's 319 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 2: been going wrong at Birbury? I think this feels a 320 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 2: bit like a moment, the realization of how difficult it's been. 321 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:01,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, Krolyn. 322 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 10: It does seem that there comes a time in the 323 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 10: life of most luxury fashion houses when they face this 324 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 10: sort of tug of war really between creativity and economics, 325 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 10: and that seems to be the key issue I think 326 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 10: that's plaguing Berbery at the moment. Yes, the luxury sector 327 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 10: is facing a downturn, but it seems like Burbery's problems 328 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 10: are a bit worse. Their shares have massively underperformed the 329 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 10: S and P Global Luxury Index, for example, and the 330 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 10: brand does look like it's facing a bit of an 331 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 10: identity crisis that has been punctuated by faltering shares, and 332 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 10: that all came to a head yesterday when the CEO 333 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 10: Joshua Shulman announced that the firm is making historic job cuts. 334 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 10: They're getting rid of a fifth of their entire workforce, 335 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 10: and to his mind, Burbery is struggling really because it's 336 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 10: strayed too far from its traditional roots, and that's really 337 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 10: the internal tension that's been gripping the house for the 338 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 10: last few years. There was an attempt by the previous 339 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 10: creative director, Ricardo Tishy. He wanted to pivot the brand 340 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 10: into and also appeal more to Asian markets. You might 341 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:06,439 Speaker 10: have seen the firm ditch its signature logo in favor 342 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 10: of this sort of double B monogram, playing into the 343 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 10: logo mania craze a bit, and they featured some designs 344 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 10: that were more akin to street war than heritage, so 345 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 10: not what you typically see from Birbary. But then they 346 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 10: switched back again and they brought in the new designer, 347 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 10: Daniel Lee from Botaga Vnetta. He's the current creator director. 348 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:29,720 Speaker 10: He was really known at Botaga Fort spearheading viral It handbags, 349 00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 10: a big focus on accessories. Under his leadership of Berbery, 350 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 10: we've definitely seen the brand come back further to its roots. 351 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,400 Speaker 10: It said that he's bringing Britishness back and we saw 352 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 10: actually a couple of seasons ago they had a really 353 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 10: eye catching fashion Week campaign. It featured the takeover of 354 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:52,680 Speaker 10: a traditional English cafe and also renaming Bond Street station 355 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 10: to Berberry Street. So there was a clear attempt to 356 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 10: really align the brand back with the idea of Britishness, 357 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 10: call Britannia. And now, actually, if you've been at Heathrow 358 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 10: Terminal five recently, you can see their spearhead campaign for 359 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 10: this year, which features a number of British icons. There's 360 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 10: Naomi Campbell in there, and they have also very closely 361 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 10: integrated the imagery of the Night, which is the traditional 362 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 10: Burbary logo and that's blazoned across the arrival section of 363 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 10: the Throat Airport. So it seems that this new CEO 364 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 10: is trying to sort of finally unlock the answers to 365 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 10: pleasing the burwary audience. That seems to be the key 366 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 10: issue they've been facing, falling out of touch with their 367 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 10: core consumer. 368 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: So the CEO's plan now seems to involve a lot 369 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 1: of cost cutting. 370 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 10: Yeah, it does seem like Shuman really wants to strip 371 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 10: things back to basis. On more than one level. He 372 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 10: looks like he's targeting a more mid market consumer and 373 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 10: that definitely tracks with his previous experience. He's led brands 374 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 10: like Coach and Michael Kre's really speak to that upper 375 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 10: mid elevated basics market. On the business side, he's also 376 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,360 Speaker 10: planning to majorly pull back on spending, so perhaps an 377 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 10: end to those costly viral Fashion Week campaigns like naming 378 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 10: the Tube station for example. But essentially he thinks that 379 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:13,919 Speaker 10: for too long Birbary has been trying to compete in 380 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 10: the sort of upper echelons of the fashion conture world. 381 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,640 Speaker 10: They've been trying to compete with the likes of Patagua Vinnetta, 382 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 10: for example, bringing Daniel Lee and Jacques Mouse, and. 383 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 3: It's not working. 384 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,200 Speaker 10: He says that there's been too much of an emphasis 385 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 10: on designing popular, expensive handbags and intricate designs, and now 386 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 10: he wants the brand to go back to doing what 387 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 10: it knows best, so that means more outerwear and crucially, 388 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 10: more of the traditional Berbery check print. Now, so far, 389 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 10: it looks like analysts like what he has to say. 390 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,040 Speaker 10: Burbery shares were up seventeen percent at the close yesterday 391 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,120 Speaker 10: following his results update. 392 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 3: And it should be noted that they. 393 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 10: Did actually outperform expectations in their most recent round of results. 394 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 10: So maybe he'll finally be the CEO who does manage 395 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:03,440 Speaker 10: to marry up that echo nomic and creative side of Birbury. 396 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 397 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:11,120 Speaker 1: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 398 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:15,360 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, Spotify, 399 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 400 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 401 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 402 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 403 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 404 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 3: I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carroll. 405 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 406 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 1: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak 407 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 1: Europe