1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: The volume callin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel Sports Book. 2 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: No better place to bet the action than on FanDuel 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Sports Book during the football season. There's a lot of reasons. 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: It's America's number one sports book. Incredibly easy to use, 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: super safe, totally secure, super fast payouts in as quick 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: as two hours. You're not going to get that anywhere. Also, 7 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: same game parlay bets, live betting. It's the best. Hey, 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: if you're new, just download the FanDuel Sports Book App. 9 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: I did it in fifteen seconds. Get started now sign up. 10 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Colins c O 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 1: L I in FanDuel sports Book App. Sign up, Hi, everybody, 13 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: and welcome into the Friday morning podcast Sharps or Squares 14 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: of the Week coming up with Chad Melmann. But first, 15 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: fake questions, real answers, stuff I want to talk about 16 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: but don't want to wait for you to ask me. 17 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: The questions, Dear Colin, why does there seem like such 18 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: a big gap between the best quarterbacks and the other 19 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: ones and it's been expanded in the last few years. 20 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: Good question, and to answer that, I would think about 21 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 1: the game show Jeopardy. There used to be a rule 22 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 1: on Jeopardy for most of its existence you could only 23 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 1: win a week five games, and that would usually mean 24 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: you win about one hundred thousand dollars. And you could 25 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 1: clearly tell the difference between really really good people that 26 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: could win an entire week and bad contestants. You really 27 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: couldn't delineate the difference between somebody that was smart and 28 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: like maybe a genius. Then they got rid of that rule, 29 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: and Ken Jennings won seventy four straight games the human 30 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: computer James Whole Hour one thirty two in a row 31 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: and two point five million dollars. When you subtracted the 32 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: limitations on the number of games you could win, you 33 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 1: could now see a huge difference between smart and genius. 34 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: Same in the NFL, we could always tell for years 35 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: the difference between you know, a great quarterback Peyton Manning 36 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 1: and a good one in Bernie Kozar. But in two 37 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: thousand and five, Carson Palmer led the NFL passing touchdowns 38 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: thirty four, Peyton had twenty eight, Brady third with twenty six. 39 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 1: They were all sort of bunched together, though we know 40 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 1: Brady is the all time great, but in the NFL, 41 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 1: they have relaxed so many of those offensive rules you 42 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: can get away with more. They've been more restrictive on 43 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: defensive rules. Suddenly you now have guys throwing for forty 44 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: and fifty touchdowns. The gap between good Matt Ryan and 45 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: great Aaron Rodgers is not yards or feet, it's miles. 46 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,399 Speaker 1: In fact, you hear people say things like, man, this 47 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: looks so easy for Aaron Rodgers, just like Ken Jennings, 48 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: the gap between Ken and somebody who could win a week. 49 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: You didn't really see it, although maybe you suspect that 50 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: he was smarter. The gap now between Aaron Rodgers in 51 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 1: an offensive driven league in Matt Ryan looks like the 52 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. Dear Colin, what's the best memory of John 53 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: Madden you've heard people discuss in the past few days. Well, 54 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: there's a difference between great and an icon, and let 55 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: me try to explain it. John was so ubiquitous, so fantastic, 56 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: so relevant for five decades that you can't really boil 57 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: his career down to one coaching moment, or one broadcasting 58 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: moment or one video game moment. Same with Johnny Carson. 59 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: He had so many decades of groundbreaking shows, you can't 60 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: boil it down. There are plenty of people, plenty of 61 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: celebrities who have had a great show, a great movie 62 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: or two or three, or a highlight. The difference between 63 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: Carson and John Madden. You can't boil their career down 64 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: to a moment. The difference between great and icon is 65 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: Johnny Carson and John Madden. And say somebody who just 66 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: was a celebrity or starred in one of your favorite 67 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: shows ever, Ted Danson, Dear Colin, do you think Mike 68 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 1: McCarthy will take heat or DAK will take heat if 69 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,359 Speaker 1: they lose early in the playoffs. It's an interesting question. 70 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 1: Let's first address early in the playoffs. Let's give Dallas 71 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 1: one playoff win. They will host their first round playoff game. 72 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,839 Speaker 1: So let's say they beat a Philadelphia, beat a San 73 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: Francisco whoever is near the bottom of the NFC playoff picture. 74 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: But remember, we generally don't blame an athlete if they 75 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: lose to a greater athlete. We don't blame a coach 76 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: if they lose to belichicker Andy Reid. This is where 77 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy and Dak could get a little bit of 78 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 1: a pass if they at least win one playoff round. 79 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 1: Is that if they lost to Tom Brady, it would 80 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: be understandable. Or Aaron Rodgers it would be understandable. Or 81 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: Sean mcvaan Matt Stafford for DAK, that would be understandable. 82 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: The truth is, after the first round it's likely the 83 00:05:55,120 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: Cowboys are an underdog. If Andy Reid loses, people will 84 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: start talking about this is it for Patrick Mahomes back 85 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 1: to back years can't cap off the season. Those clock 86 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: management issues will creep back in because he's got Mahomes 87 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: and he's got a better roster than all but maybe 88 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: one or two teams in the league. McCarthy and Dak 89 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: are not considered the best coach or quarterback going into 90 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: the NFC playoffs. In fact, many would put him four 91 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: of four in terms of division winners. Dear Colin, it's 92 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: been a month since Lincoln Riley left Oklahoma for USC 93 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: and their fans are still chirping about it. Why so, 94 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:47,920 Speaker 1: glad you asked? There's a truism in life that most 95 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 1: of us will eventually get dumped. A boss will fire us, 96 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: a girl will dump us, and we've all been vulnerable. 97 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: Let go dumped and fired. But let's say you were 98 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: the high school quarterback and you looked like George Clooney 99 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: or Denzellen high school, and you did the dumping. And 100 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: then you went to college and you were a Division 101 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: one athlete, and again you did the dumping. And then 102 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 1: you start dating as you are a pro athlete maybe 103 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: and somebody dumps you. Well, you've never experienced it, and 104 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: it's very painful. Oklahoma has never been dumped. They've always 105 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: controlled the firings, firing basketball coaches, football coaches, John Blake, 106 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: firing coordinators. The university has never had this experience. Lincoln 107 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: Riley not only left them, not for the Dallas Cowboys, 108 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: but for another top five to ten college football program. 109 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: That stings. If you've never been dumped, it hurts. And 110 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: in communities like Norman, Oklahoma, or Morgantown, West Virginia, or Tuscaloosa, Alabama, 111 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: where the local university is not only the emotional centerpiece, 112 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: but it's often the biggest component to a local economy, 113 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: everybody's connected, everybody is so emotionally invested in Oklahoma football. 114 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: And Lincoln Riley eventually said, Hey, I'm out of here, 115 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: and that never happened before. By the way, USC fans 116 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:33,959 Speaker 1: won't get emotional. John Robinson left USC for the NFL. 117 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:39,439 Speaker 1: Pete Carroll left USC for the NFL. Also, Los Angeles 118 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:44,079 Speaker 1: is a market that's got multiple options. It's got distractions 119 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 1: like the mountains and the beach. It's got two NBA teams, 120 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 1: two NFL teams, two soccer teams, a couple of hockey teams, 121 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: the Dodgers. So if a coach dumbshoe, you move on 122 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: to another team. That's why when Pete Carroll left USC, 123 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 1: they weren't bitter. But in the small towns in America, 124 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: where the university is the fabric, whenever somebody leaves them, 125 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: here's always the chorus. It's not that they left, it's 126 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 1: how they laughed. No, bro, she dumped her ass, and 127 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 1: when it happens for the first time, it stings. Dear Colin, 128 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: did you hear Kyrie Irvings say he wasn't prepared for 129 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: the consequences of not getting the vaccine? Yes, I heard that. 130 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 1: He said he knew the consequences but wasn't prepared for them. 131 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: Isn't part of knowing the consequences being prepared for the consequences. Listen, 132 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: if you and I got into a fight ten years 133 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: ago with Mike Tyson, we would be prepared for the 134 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 1: consequences that our entire face could be caved in. Kyrie 135 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: Irving's one of the top five to seven stars in 136 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: the league. He was part of a big three on 137 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 1: a marquee team in Brooklyn. If he couldn't see all 138 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: of this coming, maybe Kyrie Irving's not quite as bright 139 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 1: as he wants us to believe. It's sort of like 140 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: when he said the Earth is flat. Well, you do 141 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: realize that for most of us. If anybody in our 142 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:17,079 Speaker 1: social circle ever said during a conversation Colin, you know, 143 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,839 Speaker 1: I was thinking about this, I think the Earth is flat, 144 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: my response would be check please. Kyrie is trying to 145 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: give off the vibe that he's ethereal and thoughtful. The 146 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 1: deeper you look, there's not much there, all right. Chad Millman, 147 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: CCO Action Network. I got a booster shot last Wednesday night. 148 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: And as it is, I don't get chills much, or 149 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: headaches much, or coughs much. I do overheat from time 150 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: to time. Once twice a year I got a kind 151 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 1: of a nasty fever. So I got a huge fever 152 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: and it did not work. Thursday, and I already had 153 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: Friday off, so I did not have picks last week. 154 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 1: Have you gotten the booster yet? Molman, I got the 155 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 1: booster about seven eight weeks ago. Did not have the 156 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: impact on me that it had on you. Where you 157 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: just sounded like my Zad when he was eighty five 158 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 1: years old. Zad is like Jewett Yiddish for grandfather. Yeah, 159 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: I overheat sometimes, That's what I remember. He once or 160 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: twice a year might overheat. And I did. I got. 161 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: I slept for nine hours, got up, two hour nap, 162 00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 1: later an hour nap, went about at eight slept eleven hours. 163 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: Then I was fun. I'm a big fan of the booster. 164 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,559 Speaker 1: I will take if people don't want their vaccinations, just 165 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: sent them to me. I will take whatever anybody else, Yeah, 166 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 1: isn't taken. You ever thought about this? Some people don't 167 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: get it because they're afraid of shots. I have two 168 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: friends like that. They hate shots. One guy passes out 169 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 1: like I don't care. I get Do you know I 170 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: do this once a week. Once a week, I go 171 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: next door to a place and get zinc and magnesium 172 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: and vitamin D in my body. I do it three 173 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,319 Speaker 1: to four times a month next to my house instead 174 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 1: of just taking the vitamins. Yeah, I get a shot 175 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:18,600 Speaker 1: of it. I get a boost of it. So especially 176 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: when I go to Utah a ski or we go 177 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 1: into the cold season, I'll do it like three times 178 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: a month. Now in the summer, I'll do it maybe 179 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: once a month, twice a month. I just go in. 180 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: It takes about fifteen minutes. It's called Myer's bag. And 181 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: I just loaded up with magnesium, zinc, vitamin D B twelve. 182 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 1: And if I'm going to go on a plane anywhere, 183 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:38,320 Speaker 1: if I'm gonna go I'm gonna be like I'm gonna 184 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,840 Speaker 1: have a long week of work, super Bowl week. I 185 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,679 Speaker 1: just get all juiced up. So I got a needle 186 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 1: in my arm. I mean, I know that sounds bad 187 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 1: like I'm a junkie, but I have a needle in 188 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 1: my arm like three times a month. You know what, 189 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 1: when you were living in West hurt for you never 190 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 1: would have gotten a Myer's bag. This is just you 191 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: moving to southern California, hippie dippie d just getting up 192 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 1: lines and medicines. Okay, so I don't love the lines 193 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: this week, but I between the COVID issues which you 194 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: have to monitor, my entire life. I made my bets 195 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 1: Sunday and Monday the earliest I could. Earliest I could. Now, 196 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 1: I make my bets as late as I can because 197 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 1: of all the COVID stuff, So I'll just throw out 198 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:27,439 Speaker 1: games that interested me. Vikings beat the Packers the first 199 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 1: time Green Bays at home minus six and a half. 200 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: I think Green Bay realizes they're not necessarily buttoned up, 201 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: haven't played well, struggled to bury the Bears, struggled to 202 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: bury the brown So I think it's important to not 203 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 1: only win here, but play well. Jayor Alexander practiced he 204 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: could take their top receiver, Justin Jefferson to some degree 205 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 1: out of the game. I'd probably take Green Bay minus 206 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: six and a half sharper square. That's going to be square. 207 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: That number is so big right now, you're probably getting 208 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 1: three points of value on the Vikings. Most professionals would 209 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: have this power rated closer to three and a half, 210 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: maybe four and a half. But don't forget the Vikings. 211 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: All season long, they a end up playing in close games, 212 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 1: b end up playing to the level of their opponent. 213 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,559 Speaker 1: So when they're playing someone bad, they played pretty bad 214 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: and it's a close game. When they're playing someone good. 215 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 1: They played pretty well and it's a close game. So 216 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 1: the same thing last week at the Rams. Obviously they 217 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: were three point underdogs. Game ended at seven, but the 218 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: game was that was a close game. That's a one 219 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: score game, right, so you're getting two or three points 220 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 1: of value. It's interesting to me the line had been 221 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: holding at six and a half for most of the week, 222 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 1: largely because the professional betters continued to bet on the 223 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 1: vikings at six and a half. The Alexander news came out, 224 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 1: a little bit, more public money came in on the Packers. 225 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,800 Speaker 1: Come Sunday, a lot of professional money is going to 226 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: come in on the vikings, especially if this game states 227 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:07,280 Speaker 1: at seven. Hey, it's Colin. For FanDuel, each win means 228 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: even more in the college football playoffs. That's why FanDuel 229 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 1: Sports Book is hooking up new customers thirty to one 230 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 1: enhanced thoughts on any team to win their semifinal game. 231 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 1: That means five dollars bet can win you one hundred 232 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: and fifty bucks. 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In Michigan, Tennessee, 252 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: redline is one eight hundred, eight nine nine seventy nine. 253 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: We're gonna one one hundred gamble dot in West Virginia 254 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 1: or called one eight hundred next step or text next 255 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 1: step to five, three, three four two Arizona. All right, 256 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 1: Brown Steelers interesting, Big Ben's last game. So I expect 257 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: an elevated emotional performance. Steelers were embarrassed, elevated emotional performance. 258 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: Steelers are home dogs, Mike Tomlin's history as dogs. So 259 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh plus three feels like the side I do wonder 260 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: Chad if I should wait and it goes up. But 261 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: sharper square. First, let's start with that definitely sharp betting 262 00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 1: the Steelers. You can get the Steelers right now at 263 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: three and a half. And this is a massive, massive 264 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 1: pros Joe's game on. What I mean when I say 265 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:14,200 Speaker 1: that every single week is you've got the professional betters 266 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: on one side. So the majority of the money, about 267 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the money is coming in on 268 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: the Steelers, and you've got majority of the bets coming 269 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 1: in on the Browns. So that's the discrepancy. When you 270 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: have bets, that's what the public is doing. When you 271 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: have money, that's what the pros are doing. This has 272 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,680 Speaker 1: been a pros game all week. It did get bet 273 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: down to three for about twenty four hours. It's come 274 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: back up to three and a half because of the 275 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: public money coming in on the Browns. But you're right. 276 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: I mean people are betting on the emotion of Ben 277 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:49,880 Speaker 1: Roethlisberger's last game at home, of Mike Tomlin being a 278 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: coach who can rally his troops and put them in 279 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: the rah rah Mike Tomlin's spot, the fact that these 280 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: games in the division tend to end up being around 281 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:02,719 Speaker 1: a field goal, a lot of sort of signals playing 282 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 1: in your favorite here. I would take Washington plus three 283 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 1: and a half hosting the Eagles. I have a rule, 284 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:14,159 Speaker 1: if you are publicly humiliated, especially by a division rival, 285 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:17,640 Speaker 1: you'll bounce back and play very very well. I think 286 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 1: Washington can cover or win straight out. I'll take the hook. 287 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: I'll take three and a half. It's been one of 288 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: my rules for years. Sharper Square totally sharp in fact 289 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 1: on the favorites on the podcast I do with professional 290 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter. You know we have the segment called 291 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: Sharp Calls. It's where professional betters. We do the podcast 292 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,719 Speaker 1: on Tuesday afternoon. We go over every game, and then 293 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 1: we go over the lines on Thursday to see where 294 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: things are landing, how news is moving, how that information 295 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 1: is impacting our decision making. One of the segments we 296 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: do is College Sharp Calls. It's where a lot of 297 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 1: other professional betters who listen to the podcast they call 298 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 1: Simon and they sort of critique what he likes and 299 00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:59,439 Speaker 1: what he doesn't like or what we talked about this. 300 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:03,400 Speaker 1: He got literally eight calls from other professional betting groups 301 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: that are sort of peers of his with how much 302 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,160 Speaker 1: they love the Washington football team. Here. It was at 303 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 1: plus four when it opened. If you could get that great, 304 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: get it down to plus three and a half, that's 305 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,120 Speaker 1: fine too. A couple of weeks ago the Eagles at 306 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: home were minus two and a half, and so then 307 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, like there's a huge, huge swing. 308 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,880 Speaker 1: This is a couple points of value here that you're 309 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:31,439 Speaker 1: really getting. It's a total total overreaction to what happened 310 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,200 Speaker 1: in prime time for the Washington football team against the 311 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: Cowboys and your instincts about getting blown out. You you 312 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 1: were specific about the division, but it's really specific to 313 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:46,440 Speaker 1: anyone that's blown out teams that didn't cover by more 314 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 1: than twenty eight points. So like the Washington football team 315 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 1: last week when they are blown out, since two thousand 316 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: and three, seventy eight forty six and five against the 317 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: spread the next week, that's sixty three percent. So bookmaker 318 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: are banking on the public overreacting to the Eagles. Everyone 319 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 1: in Vegas loves this game, so the Cowboys are swallowing 320 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 1: four and a half against Arizona. Arizona's problems, according to 321 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:17,320 Speaker 1: Greg co Sell, are that they're not handling pressure and 322 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 1: man and man coverage particularly well. The Cowboys create pressure 323 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,400 Speaker 1: and play the most man and man coverage in the NFL. 324 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 1: So I think Dallas at home wins. I do worry 325 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:32,760 Speaker 1: about teams that win easily games over by half can 326 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:36,239 Speaker 1: lack the intensity and urgency the following week. So my 327 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: guess is the sharp play as Arizona. My play is 328 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: Dallas minus four and a half. Sharper square. You're playing 329 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 1: both sides of it, and the wise guys are kind 330 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 1: of playing both sides of it too. I can't give 331 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: you a definitive Sharper square on this. The game was 332 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,119 Speaker 1: at six, and it got that down to four and 333 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 1: a half, and then when it got to four and 334 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: a half with the Cowboys favored by four and a 335 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 1: half points, it got that bad up to six. And 336 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people, a lot of wise 337 00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: guys as they've done the research this week, similar to 338 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: what Greg talked to you about. And Greg's amazing and 339 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: I always love when he's on your show. Is Kyler, 340 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: especially Kyler Murray on third down is just struggling without 341 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins. And I think Cliff Kingsbury professional betters have 342 00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 1: always thought Cliff Kingsbury once it gets to the second 343 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:21,879 Speaker 1: half of the season, is a terrible coach. And you 344 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,440 Speaker 1: can go back to his record at Texas tam playing 345 00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,919 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes awful, awful once you get out of 346 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: September October, and it's proving to be true again what 347 00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 1: he did in that game last weekend. The decision making 348 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: he had on that Saturday night was just dreadful, not 349 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 1: even against like the new sort of looks at analytics 350 00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 1: and how people are thinking about going forward in various spots, 351 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 1: just terrible. So you've got Cliff making bad decisions, You've 352 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,400 Speaker 1: got Kyler Murray struggling on third downs without Hopkins. It's 353 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 1: kind of a game like if you can get the 354 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:54,959 Speaker 1: Cowboys at six, I think it's still the right side. 355 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 1: If it gets the six and a half or seven, 356 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: you probably want to skip it. I've had a lot 357 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:04,240 Speaker 1: of success this year the Chargers, so I'm going to 358 00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 1: take Denver plus five and a half Bridgewater practice this week. 359 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,200 Speaker 1: I've bet against him in one I bet for him. 360 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 1: And here's why I'll go back to this. Why does 361 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray struggle so much without DeAndre Hopkins Yet Tom 362 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,400 Speaker 1: Brady doesn't missing Chris Godwin or a Mike Evans. Why 363 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,880 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, by the way, has never lost a game 364 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 1: missing the Vante Adams. Why because when you get to 365 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: a certain number of years in this league, five or 366 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 1: six or seven years starting, you're much more capable of 367 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: working without your best targets. But a Kyler Murray or 368 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: a Justin Herbert last week missing Mike Williams and his 369 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 1: starting Pro Bowl center. Young quarterbacks struggle, even if they're talented, 370 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:54,439 Speaker 1: much more than veteran quarterbacks missing key pieces because this 371 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 1: is a hard position to play. So Vic Fangio has 372 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 1: given just Herbert troubles. Bill Belichick given Justin Herbert troubles. 373 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 1: He's still a kid and in this instance, I think 374 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: the game is close, it's divisional. I'll take the error 375 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: free Teddy Bridgewater plus five and a half sharper square. Yeah, 376 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,200 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the sharp side. You're kind of guessing 377 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 1: right now that Teddy Bridgewater is going to play in 378 00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 1: the last twenty four hours. He has practice, but his 379 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,920 Speaker 1: status is still a little bit uncertain. But the Bronchos 380 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,439 Speaker 1: right now, for an example, ninety eight percent of the 381 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,720 Speaker 1: money coming in on the Broncos majority of bets a 382 00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 1: little more than fifty percent coming in on the Chargers. 383 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,360 Speaker 1: So you do have a pro joe discrepancy here. The Broncos, 384 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,199 Speaker 1: with Teddy Bridgewater on the road as a sort of 385 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:49,240 Speaker 1: close to touchdown underdog, are going to be the side 386 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,160 Speaker 1: that the wise guys consistently play, especially against Justin Herbert. Forget, 387 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,199 Speaker 1: even no matter who the Broncos are playing, that's the 388 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,360 Speaker 1: side they're gonna like because they like Teddy, and they 389 00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:59,400 Speaker 1: like the way this defense plays, and they like them 390 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 1: on the road. They're always a little bit undervalued on 391 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 1: the road. This team, Justin Herbert has just been too inconsistent, 392 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,399 Speaker 1: right and I don't think he has the advantage again 393 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: of a coach in Brandon Staley. He's not Cliff Kingsbury. 394 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: He's much more consistent in his decision making. But with 395 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 1: that consistency, you know that there's going to be opportunities 396 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,000 Speaker 1: for them to not score points inside the red zone 397 00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 1: because because of his tendencies to go for it on 398 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,920 Speaker 1: fourth down. So that has the opportunity to keep the 399 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 1: game a little bit closer. However, I will say I 400 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: wouldn't bet this one yet, like, wait and make sure 401 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater is playing, because Drew Locke is not an 402 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 1: NFL quarterback, and if he is, then you skip it. 403 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 1: Rams at the Ravens fan duel now has the line 404 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 1: at Ravens plus four and a half. I saw a 405 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:57,000 Speaker 1: video of Lamar Jackson and the limp was significant. If 406 00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,359 Speaker 1: he doesn't play, I would take the Rams four and 407 00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 1: a half. That's what it feels like to me. I 408 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,240 Speaker 1: feel like the Ravens have done as good a job 409 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 1: as possible to put band aids on their problems, but 410 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 1: they've been in so many emotional games recently. I kind 411 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,320 Speaker 1: of feel like, even though the Rams were just on 412 00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 1: the road, went home, go back on the road. I 413 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 1: probably take the Rams minus the point. Sharper square. Yeah, 414 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: this is a really, really tricky one. Early in the 415 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 1: week when the Ravens were three and a half and 416 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: the speculation was not knowing about Lamar Jackson but expecting 417 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,680 Speaker 1: him to play, the wise guys were all over the 418 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 1: Ravens and then that video came out. And since that 419 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:45,120 Speaker 1: video came out, the line has been shooting up. So 420 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 1: now you mentioned it's a four and a half, I 421 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 1: know a lot of professional betters are trying to sort 422 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 1: of buy back on the Rams because they saw that video. 423 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: My take on this is personally, if I can make 424 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: an executive decision here on stick with the Ravens and 425 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: if you keep getting the value, great, But Lamar Jackson 426 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 1: is probably going to get a pretty significant shot to 427 00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: play on Sunday, which he might not have gotten on Wednesday. 428 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 1: At practice. They're getting much healthier in their defensive secondary, 429 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,280 Speaker 1: which is important where they've been missing so many players. 430 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,360 Speaker 1: I think you've got a huge coaching advantage in John Harbaugh. 431 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 1: And the one thing the Ravens haven't suffered on when 432 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 1: it's come to injuries and COVID is the running game 433 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: on their defense, and that's what the Rams need to 434 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 1: set up the entirety of their offense. So give me 435 00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: a team that has a better coach at home with 436 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,360 Speaker 1: the quarterback who may be, you know, not feeling any 437 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: pain on Sunday and the opportunity to stop what the 438 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,640 Speaker 1: other team can do offensively that sets up their system. 439 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,200 Speaker 1: I'll stick with the Ravens. So you don't like Sean 440 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,320 Speaker 1: McVeagh as a coach, I think he's great as a coach. 441 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 1: I think I think John Harballs is better. And I 442 00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: will say, you know, it's funny. Earlier in the year, 443 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 1: there were conversation, do people like the Rams to win 444 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 1: the NFC West? Do people like the Niners to win 445 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: the NFC West. My feeling on this is who do 446 00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 1: you like better, Kyle Shanahan or Sean McVay. I'm a 447 00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 1: huge Kyle Shanahan fan. I think that what he did 448 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,159 Speaker 1: last year, when he was basically playing with a different 449 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,400 Speaker 1: lineup every week that was almost always second and third stringers, 450 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: he almost relished the opportunity. He looked at it and said, 451 00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:28,440 Speaker 1: I can do so many interesting things, and he kept 452 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 1: his team in so many games. That to me is 453 00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:33,160 Speaker 1: the mark of a great coach. You're seeing with Belichick too, 454 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: and sort of the way he was able to recast 455 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,719 Speaker 1: his entire team in twenty four months. I think Shanahan's 456 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,359 Speaker 1: the best coach in the NFC West. And it's not 457 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,360 Speaker 1: to say I don't like Sean McVay. I think he's 458 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 1: obviously incredibly talented, but I think Carbo is better. By 459 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 1: the way. Now I give you the line I missed. 460 00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 1: I'm guessing it's Dolphins plus three and a half of 461 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,120 Speaker 1: the Titans because I think the Dolphins defense is great 462 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 1: and I don't trust Tannehill without a power running back, 463 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 1: though A. J. Brown is merged as a spectacular player. 464 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,399 Speaker 1: So I would take the Dolphins plus the points. But 465 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:08,800 Speaker 1: is there a bet I missed you? Love Well, I'll 466 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,119 Speaker 1: counter you and say that, actually, the Titans are the 467 00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 1: game other than the Washington football team that the wise 468 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,679 Speaker 1: guys have loved the most this week. They have been 469 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,199 Speaker 1: riding this Dolphins team and playing him in the right spots. 470 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 1: But look at who the Dolphins have beaten in their 471 00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 1: winning street Lamar Jackson in short week, Zach Wilson, Mike Lennon, 472 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:35,400 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco, Ian Book, Cam Newton to Rod Taylor. Their 473 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:40,880 Speaker 1: online is terrible. Tennessee is now healthier and got extra Yeah, 474 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 1: and they've had more time to prep. So because they 475 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: beat the Niners on a Thursday night, this line moved 476 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: for a minute, for literally a minute on Tuesday to 477 00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: minus three. I bet it at Titans minus three. A 478 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 1: ton of money came in on the Titans at three 479 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: and a half and so, and this is really interesting 480 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 1: because this is one of those games that is a 481 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: pros Joe's game, in favor of the in favor of 482 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: the Dolphins getting the best of the Titans getting the money, 483 00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 1: the Dolphins getting the bets, and the Titans getting the money. 484 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:20,040 Speaker 1: So the underdog here is a little bit of a 485 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 1: public underdog finally got anything else. So I just mentioned 486 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan, and it's just an interesting trend to pay 487 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:33,959 Speaker 1: attention to another very public dog right now, the Houston Texans. 488 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 1: Right this line should be between the Texans and the 489 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 1: Niners is twelve and a half. Most wise, guys have 490 00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 1: a power raided to fourteen. So there's a little bit 491 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 1: of value in a very very big dog on the Niners. Obviously, 492 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,440 Speaker 1: Trey Lance is playing, but I think that a lot 493 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: of professional betters are looking this and thinking this is 494 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,360 Speaker 1: a much better team that has more value from a 495 00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 1: point spread point of view, and you're going to get 496 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,040 Speaker 1: away from backing a public dog, and you get a 497 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 1: lot of public dogs these days. And we've talked a 498 00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: lot about this. The more betting becomes part of the 499 00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 1: public consciousness and the more people are aware of it, 500 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 1: and the more legal it becomes in more states. There's 501 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 1: some people that are getting smarter, and the Texans that 502 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 1: are one of those teams where people like the way 503 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,840 Speaker 1: they play. They feel like getting a lot of points 504 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 1: is an opportunity to bet. Then the wise guys are 505 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:26,560 Speaker 1: fading that trend this week. So the wise guys like 506 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:31,840 Speaker 1: San Francisco right now? All right, anything else happened to 507 00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,080 Speaker 1: your recently? I haven't seen my wife in a week, 508 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 1: and she got snippy with me on texting this week. 509 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 1: That's when you know you need to hang out together. 510 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: When you're arguing on texting. Will you get a mucha 511 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: green tea zinc cocktail shot in the arm on New 512 00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 1: Year's Eve with your wife? Is that? How are you 513 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: going to celebrate it? I don't do New Year's Eve 514 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 1: because I lived in Vegas for seven years. I went 515 00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 1: out one New Year's Eve and it's the last time 516 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 1: I threw up in the back. I'll tell you a 517 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 1: true story. I was dating a girl. She had gone 518 00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:13,000 Speaker 1: to Nords Drums and bought some slinky stuff. I drank 519 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:14,920 Speaker 1: too much at a party. I was gonna throw up 520 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: in her new convertible. She said, don't throw up in 521 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 1: the car. I grabbed the bag and threw up all 522 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:25,840 Speaker 1: over her slinky stuff. Felt terrible, lost a lot of money, 523 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: and I decided I'm never gonna get that drunk again. 524 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:30,440 Speaker 1: That was the last time in my life I've been drunk. 525 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,680 Speaker 1: That was over thirty years ago. I haven't been drunk 526 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:37,880 Speaker 1: in thirty years. What we are you drinking? I think 527 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: I was doing stuff like you know, rum brown liquors, 528 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: which I don't like. I'm not a big you know. 529 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: It's funny. I tell my kids I like drinking so much. 530 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: I never drink too much because I never want to 531 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,840 Speaker 1: be told you can never have another drink again. So 532 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 1: I love having a tumbler a couple of days a week, 533 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,960 Speaker 1: and just tonight, I'm gonna have a tumbler. I'm gonna 534 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: have a tumbler and watch some NBA or watch a 535 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: Bowl game. And you know, I mean sometimes when you 536 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 1: like something so much, you don't want to do it 537 00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: too much because you're eventually limited. So I completely agree. Yeah, 538 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,400 Speaker 1: like I've, I've, you'll hear about these people. I used 539 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 1: to work with somebody who never touch, never touched an 540 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: ounce of alcohol. He was very intense, and I always 541 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,720 Speaker 1: wanted to say, you probably should do you need to 542 00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: lubricate a little more. To me, I'm intense, so occasionally, 543 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 1: you know it's got to knock one out. I will tonight, 544 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: December thirtieth. I will make myself probably a boulevardier, which 545 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 1: is a burden sweet vermouth and campari. I don't like 546 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 1: a very sweet cocktail. Tomorrow, we're gonna we're gonna COVID 547 00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 1: test in the morning. If we're negative, our friends are 548 00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 1: COVID testing in the city. They're coming out. We're gonna 549 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 1: cook all day. We'll probably a couple more drinks. It'll 550 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 1: be a good time. But I'm with you. I like 551 00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:09,480 Speaker 1: the I see people puking on television from drinking too much, 552 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 1: and I'm like, I never want to feel that feeling again. 553 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: I'll have two at the most and then I'm done. 554 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 1: Same same. That's it. Like, I don't need it. I 555 00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 1: don't need it. I remember, like when I used to 556 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 1: work at Sports Illustrator. When I got out of college, 557 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:28,560 Speaker 1: I left Sports Illustrated and we had a huge party 558 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 1: the night that I left. Came home living on fifty 559 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 1: seventh Street in the city in Manhattan. In the middle 560 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: of the night, leaned over puked on the carpet and 561 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 1: we had to cut out, use a matte knife to 562 00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:45,680 Speaker 1: cut a square out of the carpet. And like when 563 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 1: it came time to sell the apartment, we had to 564 00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,040 Speaker 1: take the bed out and just take the carpet out entirely, 565 00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,680 Speaker 1: because we couldn't have an apartment with a hole in 566 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,720 Speaker 1: the middle of the carpet and try to sell it. 567 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,480 Speaker 1: I think that might be the last time that I puked, 568 00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 1: And that was probably, yeah, close to thirty years ago. 569 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: When my son was twelve or thirteen, I was having 570 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:09,759 Speaker 1: a cocktail once and he said, Dad, you know, that's 571 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 1: just a coping mechanism. That's what my son said. He 572 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 1: was thirteen, and I said, yeah, have kids, you'll need 573 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 1: to cope. He never he never brought it up again. No, 574 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,880 Speaker 1: my kid once said to me, I once fell asleep 575 00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 1: on the floor while playing with my kid and I 576 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,800 Speaker 1: would fall asleep when they were younger anywhere. Yeah, and 577 00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:33,799 Speaker 1: then he finally said to me, goes, why do you 578 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,799 Speaker 1: fall asleep every single time we're playing? And I go, 579 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:41,319 Speaker 1: you are wearing me the fuck out. Never never got 580 00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 1: to ask that question. You know what they say. My 581 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:50,920 Speaker 1: wife always says, the days are long with kids and 582 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:55,439 Speaker 1: the years fly by. Dude. The other night, my kid, 583 00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,319 Speaker 1: who's home from who you know, broke his leg. Has 584 00:34:57,360 --> 00:34:59,399 Speaker 1: been home from college for like two months, but all 585 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,839 Speaker 1: of his friends just got home, and so he had 586 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,880 Speaker 1: like twelve friends over and my wife was out of 587 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,120 Speaker 1: town with our younger son. They went away for a 588 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:09,840 Speaker 1: few nights, so I was solo with like these twelve kids. 589 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 1: They were up until three thirty in the morning, and 590 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:15,960 Speaker 1: it's crazy. I can't and like I was trying to 591 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,759 Speaker 1: go to bed. I wasn't like openly trying to monitor them, 592 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:22,919 Speaker 1: but it was too loud. I couldn't go to sleep. Yeah, 593 00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:25,040 Speaker 1: I can't do this anymore. Yeah, Mike, I'm too old. Yeah, 594 00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:28,520 Speaker 1: my daughter she can stay up. My daughter's sleep. I 595 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,200 Speaker 1: don't get it. It's not for me. I haven't seen 596 00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:35,480 Speaker 1: an eleven on a clock since I was like twenty four. 597 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:41,439 Speaker 1: Forget about it. There's no way I'm staying up past 598 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 1: ten o'clock at night. It drives me in saying I 599 00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: set my little Apple watch and my thing like ten o'clock, 600 00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 1: dismiss everything nighttime, no notifications. I am done it, well finished. 601 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,480 Speaker 1: When I worked at ESPN for ten years, I never 602 00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 1: saw a fourth quarter of a Monday night football game. 603 00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,359 Speaker 1: So I always laugh when Mike and Mike were doing 604 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: that show, you know, they would talking about NBA games 605 00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 1: when the Lakers were in the playoffs, and I'm like, 606 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 1: I know what time you guys have to show up 607 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:08,479 Speaker 1: to work. I know you didn't even watch that game, 608 00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:10,880 Speaker 1: but they'd get these great information packets. I would have 609 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 1: done the same thing. By the way, I'm not standing 610 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,719 Speaker 1: up till midnight getting him at four. The best part 611 00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 1: about living out West A the weather and be if 612 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 1: you're a sports fan, all the games are wrapped up 613 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:26,359 Speaker 1: by nine thirty. There is no midnight baseball playoff game. Well, look, 614 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:27,960 Speaker 1: you have you have Nick right on your show all 615 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: the time, and he co hosts that show in the 616 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,399 Speaker 1: morning on Fox with Kevin Wilds, who you know really 617 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,399 Speaker 1: well and I know really well, who's a good friend 618 00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:39,000 Speaker 1: and brilliant creative producer who's now having a star turn 619 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,279 Speaker 1: hosting the show with Nick and he and I had 620 00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 1: launched like maybe a month ago, and we were talking 621 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 1: about the schedule and how he's adjusting and like, you know, 622 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 1: how he's getting his information and watching games so he 623 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,400 Speaker 1: can be ready to talk about the Lakers early in 624 00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:59,040 Speaker 1: the morning. It is a nightmare. Oh, it's incredible. I 625 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:02,839 Speaker 1: told him, when you're in your thirties and forties, like 626 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,960 Speaker 1: there was a point I was doing a three hour 627 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 1: radio show at ESPN Sports Nation and writing a book 628 00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:16,200 Speaker 1: and occasional side projects like those days are over, Daddy, 629 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,360 Speaker 1: does a radio show, comes home for a nap a 630 00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 1: couple times a week, does a podcast? That's what you 631 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,680 Speaker 1: get from me. Yeah, this is classic Colin. By the way, 632 00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 1: those days are over. Other than the radio show I 633 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,560 Speaker 1: do three hours a day and the business I'm building, 634 00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:37,040 Speaker 1: that's it. I'm not doing anything else. Well, other than 635 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:40,719 Speaker 1: the employees I have and the seventeen podcast and the 636 00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:45,440 Speaker 1: talent scouting I'm doing and the radio show. That's it. Now. 637 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,919 Speaker 1: These guys who run the volume, they know what they're doing. 638 00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:50,960 Speaker 1: I don't do much. I gotta be honest with you, 639 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 1: I don't do much. I agree with you. Yeah, I'm 640 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: both counts like you know what they're doing they do. 641 00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,319 Speaker 1: Just let it go. Let it go, all right, partner, 642 00:37:58,400 --> 00:38:01,320 Speaker 1: good seeing you happy, your brother all right, Same to you, 643 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 1: Chad Melbourne, Sharper Square. Check us out YouTube page. Put 644 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,080 Speaker 1: that little red button click it. Subscribe to us at 645 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,799 Speaker 1: the Volume Sports Plus, Instagram rate review, subscribe, Talk soon 646 00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:26,880 Speaker 1: the Volume