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Speaker 1: Live from our nation's carava. They want to turn out

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Speaker 1: the base. That's how they feel they will win this election.

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Speaker 1: Both of their strengths have been taken away from them.

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Speaker 1: For in ten US voters live in thirteen states. Floomberg

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Speaker 1: Sound On, The Insiders, the Influencers, the insiders. The voting

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Speaker 1: by mail has favored Democrats, but voting in person early

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Speaker 1: its favored Republicans. That would rather be in Joe Biden's

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Speaker 1: shoes right now than prompts. But do you never take

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Speaker 1: anything for granted? And this is Bloomberg Sound On with

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Speaker 1: Kevin Shirlan on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven

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Speaker 1: f m h D two Election Day and President Trump

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Speaker 1: and former Vice President Joe Biden projecting confidence as election

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Speaker 1: day winds down, plus what does it mean for the economy,

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Speaker 1: A complete economic preview, and an all star political panel

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Speaker 1: as we check in across the country with how swing

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Speaker 1: states are trending. A lot to get through. Well, this

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Speaker 1: is at folks, It's election day. President Donald Trump been

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Speaker 1: Democratic nominee Joe Biden, both projecting confidence throughout the day today,

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Speaker 1: touting long lines at some polling stations as signs that

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Speaker 1: they were poised for an election day victory. Meanwhile, Joe Biden,

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Speaker 1: speaking uh in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, where his campaign is headquartered.

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Speaker 1: He greeted supporters and he was optimistic. Here is I

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Speaker 1: am so optimistic about I really mean this about America's chances.

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Speaker 1: We're so much better position than any nation of the

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Speaker 1: world to own the twenty one century, and we just

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Speaker 1: gotta step up. And for President Trump's part, he spent

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Speaker 1: the afternoon visiting the annex office of the Republican National

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Speaker 1: Committee in Arlington, Virginia, where his campaign headquarters are based.

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Speaker 1: Take a listen to President Trump talking to reporters earlier

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Speaker 1: today about his chances on the Keystone State. We spent

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Speaker 1: a lot of time in Pennsylvania. It's always been a

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Speaker 1: very good place for me. I went to college there

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Speaker 1: and it's always been good. Pennsylvania is shaping up to

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Speaker 1: be one of just several battleground states where it is

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Speaker 1: likely going to be a crucial for either of the

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Speaker 1: sides to get to to seventy tonight. To seventy, of course,

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Speaker 1: the electoral magic number that is needed to win the presidency.

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Speaker 1: It's not just the presidency that we are going to

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Speaker 1: be focused on. For today's program. We are also going

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Speaker 1: to check in on the down ballot races. How a

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Speaker 1: president is able to govern so very much dramatically linked

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Speaker 1: to the split and the divide of Congress. More than

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Speaker 1: one hundred million Americans have already cast their ballots ahead

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Speaker 1: of election day, the equivalent, mind you, of about three

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Speaker 1: quarters of all the voters in the election. This citing

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Speaker 1: data from the US Elections Project. With just now, so

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Speaker 1: with that all of that said, let's head to one

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Speaker 1: of these key battleground states, or my colleague Mark Niquette

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Speaker 1: of Bloomberg National Political Reporter is located. Mark, you are

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Speaker 1: actually at the Philadelphia Convention Center where they have started

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Speaker 1: counting absentee and mail in votes this morning at seven am.

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Speaker 1: What are you? What are you observing? Mark Bright Kevin,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm in the convention Center. They rented out

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Speaker 1: hundred five square foot space to uh set up all

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Speaker 1: the equipment there they're going to use to extract the

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Speaker 1: mail in ballot UH ballots from the envelopes and you know,

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Speaker 1: processing through the scanners. But we're not going to get

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Speaker 1: any kind of results until later tonight. Their plan is

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Speaker 1: to um count the ballots they have scanned by the

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Speaker 1: time they released their final UH in person machine counts

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Speaker 1: UH and then continue counting the rest of the night,

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Speaker 1: and we won't get an updated result until UM to

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Speaker 1: all morning. So the big question in Pennsylvania is what

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Speaker 1: kind of numbers are we actually going to see of

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Speaker 1: the UM provisional excuse me, the UM mail in an

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Speaker 1: absolute ballots that were cast here in Philadelphia and elsewhere

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Speaker 1: around the Commonwealth, just so we can give a sense

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Speaker 1: of how many outstanding ballots there will still be to

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Speaker 1: count and whether that matters based on the mark him

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Speaker 1: between Biden and Trump and CommonWell twenty electoral votes at

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Speaker 1: state In the Keystone State, mart Niquette described to us

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Speaker 1: just how crucial the Coler Counties are, the swing counties

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Speaker 1: outside of Philadelphia, the suburbs are for for both sides,

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Speaker 1: other crucial, particularly for Joe Biden. I mean, the way

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Speaker 1: the way you win Pennsylvania is you you run up

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Speaker 1: the coundardier a Democrat UH in Philadelphia and the Coller

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Speaker 1: counties and in Allegheny County Pittsburgh and the suburbs there,

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Speaker 1: and you get more votes essentially than the t of Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 1: The more rural and um UM conservative parts of the

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Speaker 1: state and the way Trump beat uh Hillary Clinton in

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Speaker 1: twenty sixteen is she actually got a decent margin out

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Speaker 1: of the you know, the Democratic areas, but Trump's margins

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Speaker 1: in the rural counties were just so large and overwhelmed Clinton,

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Speaker 1: and he was able to carry the state nearly And

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Speaker 1: a breaking news headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal, Joe Biden

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Speaker 1: says he will speak tonight if there's quote something to

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Speaker 1: talk about. End quote. So it's unclear whether or not

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Speaker 1: we're going to hear from the UH Democratic nominee or

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Speaker 1: President Trump. Uh. President Trump has has given conflicting answers

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Speaker 1: as to whether or not he will speak tonight. UM,

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Speaker 1: but we'll find out. Meanwhile, UH MARKT. Katt, who is

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Speaker 1: with us, He is Bloomberg national political reporter. What will

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Speaker 1: you be watching for in the sense of what have

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Speaker 1: Pennsylvania officials said about whether or not we will get

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Speaker 1: a result from Pennsylvania in the early morning hours of tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: Only officials they're costing us to be patient that you know,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be days or not hours before we

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Speaker 1: get a complete count out of Pennsylvania. So the big

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Speaker 1: question will be, you know, how many outstanding ballots get

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Speaker 1: to be counted. Will there be after election night, because again,

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Speaker 1: that's that's gonna be the only way we'll be able

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Speaker 1: to tell whether those ballots will matter in terms of

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Speaker 1: being able to call the state. UM. And one advantage

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Speaker 1: for us and everybody else following Pennsylvania this year is

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Speaker 1: the Secretary of the Commonwealth Department of State plans to

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Speaker 1: show on its website along with the running results, sort

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Speaker 1: of a breakdown by counting of how many outstanding ballots are.

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Speaker 1: So at the end of the night, we should be

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Speaker 1: able to look on this website and see how many

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Speaker 1: ballots have yet to be counted roughly and again whether

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Speaker 1: it's going to matter in terms of being able to

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Speaker 1: call Pennsylvania. So so, so we're going to have the

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Speaker 1: number of ballots still left to be counted, is what

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Speaker 1: you're saying. Yes, at least the number of mail in

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Speaker 1: and accent cheap ballots that have been cast but not

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Speaker 1: yet counted. UM, we won't know there's other outstanding ballots

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Speaker 1: that are going to be factoring in here, like they'll

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Speaker 1: be provisional ballots. We won't have the number of those.

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Speaker 1: These are the ballots that are cast at the polling

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Speaker 1: place when there's some question about the voters eligibility, and

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Speaker 1: they're held after the election, uh, to verify voter eligibility

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Speaker 1: before they're counted, So we won't know how many of

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Speaker 1: those are. And there's also going to be an outstanding

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Speaker 1: class of ballots that is actually part of litigation right now.

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Speaker 1: These are ballots that will be coming in that are

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Speaker 1: mailed before the election but arrive within three days after

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Speaker 1: the election. The Pennsylvania State Court State Supreme Court ruled

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Speaker 1: that this extension was allowable under current law. The ballot

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Speaker 1: that have to be in by the time post quotes

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Speaker 1: at at eight o'clock tonight, but they extended it for

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Speaker 1: three days. The Republicans sued in the U. S. Supreme Court,

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Speaker 1: and the Supreme Court decided not to stay the extension.

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Speaker 1: But let's open the possibility that, uh, they could litigate

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Speaker 1: the um whether the extension should be loud or as constitutional.

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Speaker 1: So we could see a situation after the election where um,

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Speaker 1: the U. S. Supreme Court takes up whether these outstanding

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Speaker 1: ballots that come in should be pouted. And we don't

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Speaker 1: know how right. Mark Nikats on Line Bloomberg National political reporter.

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Speaker 1: He's stationed at Philadelphia Pennsylvania for the UH Election Convention Center,

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Speaker 1: where they are carefully counting votes, giving us an excellent, excellent,

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Speaker 1: very detailed preview of just how one battleground state is

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Speaker 1: going to be grappling with all of the increase of

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Speaker 1: mail in votes in the eight pm Eastern hours when

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Speaker 1: Pennsylvania polls close. So it's very uncertain. What I hear

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Speaker 1: from Mark's answer, folks, is uncertainty in terms of when

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Speaker 1: every vote will be counted and the timeline for Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 1: It's not just Pennsylvania and the eight pm Eastern hour,

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Speaker 1: just to give folks a preview before a PM. The

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Speaker 1: first set of polls are going to start to close

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Speaker 1: in Florida, key battleground state, twenty nine electoral votes in Florida.

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Speaker 1: I checked in with the prominent Republican strategist in the

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Speaker 1: Sunshine State earlier today. They are boosting with confidence in

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Speaker 1: terms of turnout in Florida. I would also mind you

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Speaker 1: that North Carolina, New Hampshire, Georgia, South Carolina, all polls

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Speaker 1: that are going to be closing, some polls closing in

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Speaker 1: those states before eight pm Eastern. You get to nine

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Speaker 1: pm tonight. Wisconsin, Wisconsin ten electoral votes. The president carried

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Speaker 1: it in two thousand and sixteen, very much unknown if

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Speaker 1: he can do it again, But the Democratic governor there,

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Speaker 1: Tony Evers, says that he's anticipating a result in Wisconsin sometime, folks,

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Speaker 1: within the early morning hours of Wednesday morning. So that,

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Speaker 1: um right there. I've got my eye quite frankly, and

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Speaker 1: I don't think I've talked enough about this. Are we

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Speaker 1: in the media have talked enough about this? Minnesota ten

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Speaker 1: electoral votes Minneapolis, UH, site of the George Floyd protest

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Speaker 1: from over the summer. Hillary Clinton carried it by forty

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Speaker 1: thousand votes, just a sliver of votes last cycle, so

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Speaker 1: Republicans want to expand the map there. It will be

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Speaker 1: a good night for Republicans if they're able to carry

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Speaker 1: Minnesota UH. It will be a good night for Democrats

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Speaker 1: if we get some early results in Pennsylvania as well

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Speaker 1: as North Carolina. My thanks to my colleague Marcniquette, the

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Speaker 1: man on the ground in the city, a brotherly love,

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Speaker 1: and coming up, we are going to check in with

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Speaker 1: lots of different political all stars. Jens Hockey, former States

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Speaker 1: Department spokesperson for the Obama administration, and of course, the

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Speaker 1: former press secretary for former President Barack Obama joins me.

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Speaker 1: All next hour, I'm Kevin Surreally. I'm the chief Washington

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Speaker 1: correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. And you're

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Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin

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Speaker 1: Surrel on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven m

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Speaker 1: h D two. Can you believe it? It's already election day.

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Speaker 1: We're here November three. Maybe we don't get the results tonight.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we don't get the results tomorrow morning. Maybe we

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Speaker 1: don't get until January. But it's a clear hurdle that

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Speaker 1: we all arrived at. We're all here, folks. We made

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Speaker 1: it to election day. I'm Kevin SERELLI I'm the chief

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Speaker 1: Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. You know,

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Speaker 1: I'm reminded when we were talking to Mark Niquette earlier

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Speaker 1: in the program, he's in the City of Brotherly Love,

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Speaker 1: just about how crucial that Keystone State is gonna be

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Speaker 1: to Joe Biden or to President Trump. Um. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I'm a little bit biased. That's where I grew up,

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Speaker 1: so uh very much a Keystone key Stone State let's

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Speaker 1: check in on the markets before we pivot back to

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Speaker 1: politics and policy. US stocks cap the biggest two day

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Speaker 1: rallies since September, led by a surge and bank shares.

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Speaker 1: His treasury yield spiked on speculation that Congress will deliver

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Speaker 1: a spending bill once the election is decided. They're still

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Speaker 1: trading off of that fiscal stimulus talk. The dollar weekend

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Speaker 1: and crude oil increase. The SMP five hundred climbed one percent,

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Speaker 1: bringing the two day increase to three point and financial

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Speaker 1: firms rallied two point two percent, also the most since September.

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Speaker 1: Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump and the

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Speaker 1: final polls, with some investors speculating his victory would bring

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Speaker 1: a surge in federal spending, i e. More stimulus. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Ali Baba Group Holdings US traded shares tumbled eight point

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Speaker 1: one percent after China halted the initial public offering of

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Speaker 1: AUNT Group, in which Ali Baba owns about a one

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Speaker 1: third stake. Fascinating to see the developments on the global

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Speaker 1: eco front with Aunt today. UH on election day no less,

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Speaker 1: all right, all throughout the day, my colleagues on Bloomberg

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Speaker 1: Television and Bloomberg Radio interviewing top economists including Louis Alexander

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Speaker 1: and Megan Green of the Harvard Kennedy School, who is

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Speaker 1: Megan of course as a senior fellow there, uh, and

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Speaker 1: Troy Gaysky of Skybridge Capital Chief co Chief investment officer.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a listen to what they had to say

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Speaker 1: to me. The biggest downside risk UM is that we

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Speaker 1: get divided government and gridlock. So Biden in the White House,

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Speaker 1: Republican Senate, UM, that I think has the potential to

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Speaker 1: be the worst outcome because it means we're going to

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Speaker 1: get much less fiscal support. Crucial we get another fiscal

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Speaker 1: package immediately, and if we haven't divided government, we'll have

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Speaker 1: even more divided politics, and so that fiscal package might

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Speaker 1: be pushed further off. Are we see a blue wave

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Speaker 1: you know, the Senates fifty fifty or maybe um, and

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Speaker 1: that in turn will lead to significant fiscal policy stimulus,

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Speaker 1: which you know, it's a shame we haven't gotten so far.

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Speaker 1: So there they aren't. There they have it, and um,

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Speaker 1: you know that's that's what was going on in the

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Speaker 1: Markets day. Joining me now, my colleague Pretty Gupta Bloomberg

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Speaker 1: Markets Live reporter, Happy election day, Pretty happy election day

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Speaker 1: to you, and to believe it, happy birthday to you

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Speaker 1: as well. I appreciate that. All Right, back to work, right,

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Speaker 1: So what went on in the markets today? How is

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Speaker 1: the how is the election impacting the markets? Well, we're

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Speaker 1: already seeing this kind of run up in stocks and

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Speaker 1: well this is kind of the reaction we were expecting

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Speaker 1: to happen after Joe Biden victory. But you're already starting

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Speaker 1: to see that show up. Really, those cyclical names, um.

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Speaker 1: Once again, like you mentioned your intro, it's all about

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Speaker 1: that stimulus deal. Those cyclical names like the energy sector, financials,

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Speaker 1: industrials rallying ahead of that on the assumption that a

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Speaker 1: Biden victory or potentially a blue wave would mean more

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Speaker 1: stimulus spending. And of course that has really been weighing

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Speaker 1: on the markets in the past a few weeks, if

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Speaker 1: not months. Um. So that's really what markets are watching,

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Speaker 1: and they're trying to see how that's how priced in

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Speaker 1: are they And that's where you really think some of

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Speaker 1: those havens sell off, like treasuries for example, or um

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Speaker 1: even the dollar is weakening a little bit. Those are

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Speaker 1: trades associated with a Biden victory and we're already kind

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Speaker 1: of jumped in the gun there. Well, Cratty, I gotta

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Speaker 1: I gotta be honest here because my colleagues Zum Bloomberg surveillance, right,

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Speaker 1: my friend, my mentor Tom Keane, Jonathan Farah and Lisa

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Speaker 1: Brando Wits, they've really done just a stellar job. And

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Speaker 1: they've been out front on this, to be quite frank

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Speaker 1: with you, and in terms of how they've been saying

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Speaker 1: the markets will interpret, uh, either political situation as a win.

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Speaker 1: Is that what you're hearing from investors as they as

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Speaker 1: they look across their portfolios, because you know, if it's

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Speaker 1: Trump again, they're gonna say deregulation. If it's Biden, they're

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Speaker 1: going to say more more federal spending. Am I wrong

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Speaker 1: or actually not me? Is surveillance wrong? Surveillance is not wrong.

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Speaker 1: I would never wrong. I would I would I would

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Speaker 1: never dare to do question Tom Keane Um anyway, I

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Speaker 1: would say that they are not wrong in the long term.

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Speaker 1: In the short term, though, I think the Senate race

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Speaker 1: is really key here and it's all about that stimulus. Say,

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Speaker 1: that's what markets have been trading on inter day. So

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Speaker 1: I think that although they're right about long term deregulation

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Speaker 1: or potentially infrastructure spending. It's in the short run that

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Speaker 1: we're really watching what's going to happen into the end

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Speaker 1: of the year. When we see kind of stocks these markets,

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Speaker 1: investors I should say, rebalance their portfolios taking into account

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Speaker 1: what this year has been for investors and then starting

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Speaker 1: off on potentially a clean slate. That's the kind volatility

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Speaker 1: that we're watching, not just in the coming week, but

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Speaker 1: in the next two months, especially in the lame duck session.

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Speaker 1: Do we get stimulus now? Do we get stimulus in

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Speaker 1: a month? Do we get stimulus in January? And then

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Speaker 1: how long does it take to implement that, to distribute

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Speaker 1: that and can it really make an effect on consumer

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Speaker 1: spending patterns and help the economy. While we're still waiting

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Speaker 1: on that, vaccine critic Gupta is on the line with me.

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Speaker 1: She is Bloomberg Markets Live reporter. You know, one of

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Speaker 1: the biggest unknown variables that I have just to inform

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Speaker 1: my reporting and when I when I talk to sources,

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Speaker 1: especially sources in in Congress, is the following. If there

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Speaker 1: is election volatility, what does that mean for Speaker Pelosi

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Speaker 1: and Secretary Monutions ability to negotiate while that election volatility

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Speaker 1: is ongoing. Does that make sense? It does, and I

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Speaker 1: think you've already kind of see it happening right in

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Speaker 1: the fast In the past few weeks, we've seen of

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Speaker 1: volatility really ramp up by by more than it traditionally

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Speaker 1: would excluding in the two thousand election cycle. But it's

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Speaker 1: actually go back to two thousands. The volatility that you've

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Speaker 1: seen in the month of October, which of course usually

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Speaker 1: ramps up anyway, because of that November election, you've really

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Speaker 1: seen it rise by even more. And it's because it's

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Speaker 1: coupled with this lockdown. It's because it's coupled with you know, geopolitics,

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Speaker 1: and now of course it's anti po news that we

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Speaker 1: have today, so you're really watching to see, Well, doesn't

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Speaker 1: really make a difference when it comes to those stimulus

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Speaker 1: negotiations at the end of the day, it doesn't because

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Speaker 1: at the because what investors really want to see is

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Speaker 1: what are the signs of an economic recovery speeding up

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Speaker 1: coming faster while we're still waiting on the unknowns of

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Speaker 1: a vaccine And that's really the only thing that we

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Speaker 1: can kind of grapple with. It's that stimulus aid that's

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Speaker 1: really what we can quantify what happened with AUNT today.

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Speaker 1: Lots of things happened with AUNT today. Kevin Uh, Well,

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Speaker 1: of course a group is one of those major fintech

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Speaker 1: companies over in Asia. And this is really a company

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Speaker 1: UM of course started well yeah, of course started by

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Speaker 1: Jack Mama, very popular UM and Ali Baba has about

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Speaker 1: a one third stake in it. So what happened is

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Speaker 1: this is a company that a lot of investors have

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Speaker 1: really been very excited about, lots of anticipation, lots of

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Speaker 1: pre i p O trading, so what they call on

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Speaker 1: the gray market. It's essentially before the I p O debuts,

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Speaker 1: they kind of trade it unofficially and that has baked

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Speaker 1: in a fifty percent premium. So imagine having an investment

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Speaker 1: in getting fifty return on it um and that's before

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Speaker 1: it's even I PO. So this is a kind of

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Speaker 1: activity the SIT would see with day traders in Asia,

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Speaker 1: similar to the concept of kind of the fascination behind

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Speaker 1: Tesla and retail traders here. Not quite the same thing,

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Speaker 1: but it's pretty similar. And and yet, and then we

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Speaker 1: see this kind of Chinese regulation coming up where it's

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Speaker 1: still unclear what the exact rule rewrites are but they

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Speaker 1: have stopped. They have suspended the ANTIPO in both Shanghai

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Speaker 1: and Hong Kong. So all of that kind of excitement,

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Speaker 1: all that money that was built into its leverage going

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Speaker 1: into it has virtually disappeared until further notice. It's just

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Speaker 1: remarkable all of that plus and I you know, very

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Speaker 1: quickly in thirty seconds, Cretty Gupta. Have investors started to

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Speaker 1: factor in the prospects of additional restrictions on the economy

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Speaker 1: in the United States as cases continued to rise, similarly

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Speaker 1: to the UK and Germany and France. Well, arguably I

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Speaker 1: don't think they've priced it any yet, but this is

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Speaker 1: one of the risks that come with the Biden victory.

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Speaker 1: But just keep in mind it happened last week in Europe,

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Speaker 1: and Europe has been a crystal ball for the US,

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Speaker 1: and it's happened. It's it's also happened in conservative and

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Speaker 1: progressive countries as well, which I find remarkable, very very

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Speaker 1: important point to make their I don't know, I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe there's restrictions would have to come even before and

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Speaker 1: any inauguration day for President Trump or for Joe Biden.

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Speaker 1: My thanks to Kretty Gupta who was Bloomberg Markets Live

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Speaker 1: reporter coming up, Jen Saki and Tyler Deeton. Two are

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Speaker 1: the best in the biz. I'm Kevin Serelli, chief Washington

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Speaker 1: correspondent from Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to

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Speaker 1: Bloomberg from our nations. They want to turn up the base.

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Speaker 1: That's how they feel they will win this election. We're

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Speaker 1: either going to say the Biden campaign was disciplined or

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Speaker 1: they were a disaster for inten US voters live in

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Speaker 1: thirteen states. Bloomberg Sound On the insiders, the influencers, the insides,

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Speaker 1: their election challenges. In a number of the days, the

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Speaker 1: economy does matter to voters. I would rather be in

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Speaker 1: Joe biden shoes right now than Trumps. But you never

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Speaker 1: take anything for grant. This is Bloomberg Sound On with

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Speaker 1: Kevin Cirelli Election on Bloomberg Radio. Election Day, Election Day.

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Speaker 1: My name is Kevin Cirelli. I'm the chief Washington correspondent

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Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. We have complete

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Speaker 1: election analysis with our all star political panel Jensaki, former

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Speaker 1: White House Communications director for the Obama administration, and Tyler Deaton,

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Speaker 1: Republican strategist and insider for the Republican Party, not just

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Speaker 1: in Washington, across the country. I'm also going to check

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Speaker 1: in with Congressman Neil Dunn, a Republican representing Florida's second

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Speaker 1: congressional district. President Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden both

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Speaker 1: projecting confidence throughout the day today as they touted long

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Speaker 1: lines at some polling stations as signs that they were

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Speaker 1: poised that they were poised for an election day victory.

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Speaker 1: Let's first check in with Joe Biden, because he was

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Speaker 1: He was at Philadelphia where he greeted supporters and he

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Speaker 1: told them that it was time to turn the page

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Speaker 1: on the Trump administration. Here he is, I am so

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Speaker 1: optimistic about I really mean this about America's chances were

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Speaker 1: so much better position than any nation of the world

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Speaker 1: to own the century, and we just gotta step up. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: President Trump, he spoke this afternoon while visiting the Annex

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Speaker 1: office of the Republican National Committee in Arlington, Virginia, where

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Speaker 1: his campaign headquarters are based. The President was answering reporters questions,

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Speaker 1: and he was asked if he's worried about the Keystone

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Speaker 1: State Pennsylvania take a listen to what he said. We

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Speaker 1: spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania. It's always been

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Speaker 1: a very good place for me. I went to college

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Speaker 1: there and it's always been good. And and that's where

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Speaker 1: we are today. This is early voting passes one hundred

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Speaker 1: million ballots or seventy five of sixteen turnout. This according

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Speaker 1: to new data released from the US Elections Project. We

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Speaker 1: have every angle covered. We're gonna check in on the

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Speaker 1: swing states. We're also going to check in on politics

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Speaker 1: and policy and go through the night tonight for if

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Speaker 1: you're watching along on Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio at home,

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Speaker 1: for how likely the results, not the results could go,

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Speaker 1: but the incoming information of the results will come in,

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Speaker 1: So we'll get to that. A timeline of which and

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Speaker 1: I've got two of the best, Jen Sock, She of course,

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Speaker 1: is the former spokesperson for the Obama State Department and

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Speaker 1: then the former communications director for the Obama administration, as

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Speaker 1: well as Tyler Deeton, a Republican strategist, fundraiser, and the

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Speaker 1: president of Allegiance Strategies. Jen, let me start with you,

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Speaker 1: what have you been hearing from your sources and friends

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Speaker 1: in the Biden administration about how today is playing out. Well, look,

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Speaker 1: I think anybody who lived through, first of all, thanks

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Speaker 1: for having me on, Kevin. This is like Christmas for

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Speaker 1: political nerves, as we all are. But you know, anyone

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Speaker 1: who lived through and I was in the White House,

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Speaker 1: then um is as as Joe Biden said today, going

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Speaker 1: to run through the tape, right, and so nobody is

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Speaker 1: counting chickens before they hatch. I will say that the

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Speaker 1: Biden team coming into today feels very good about the

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Speaker 1: number of votes they have banked in advance of election

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Speaker 1: day because there's such a record turnout on early vote

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Speaker 1: and there are is such a run up of Democratic

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Speaker 1: registered Democrats and people that they are suming voted for

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Speaker 1: Joe Biden in the early vote that that means there

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Speaker 1: were fewer people that they need to kind of push out. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: they're going to run through the tape and get as

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Speaker 1: many people out as possible, but they feel really good

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Speaker 1: about that. They also feel like they have a number

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Speaker 1: of pathways to choose seventy UM. And you know that

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Speaker 1: could include Pennsylvania, always a swing state, of course, UM,

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Speaker 1: but that could also include Florida or North Carolina or Arizona,

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Speaker 1: paired with Michigan and Wisconsin. It could include Arizona or

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Speaker 1: North Carolina paired with Michigan, or Wisconsin and Wisconsin. So

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00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 1: there's lots of ways to get to to seventy and

430
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 1: I think Democrats just can't be romantic about how we

431
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 1: get there. But I'd rather be Joe Biden and the

432
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: Biden team tonight than the Trump team. It's remarkable. Jensaki

433
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 1: is alluding to some incredibly important election data posted by

434
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: the US Elections Project earlier today on Election Day. With

435
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 1: the number of early votes this cycle, folks, is about

436
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 1: seventy three of the one hundred and thirty seven point

437
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,679
Speaker 1: five million in ballots that were cast in two thousand

438
00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,639
Speaker 1: and sixteen election as a whole, and it's more than

439
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 1: double double seven million early votes. Tyler Deaton jen says

440
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,719
Speaker 1: that she'd rather be in Bidence camp tonight than Trump's

441
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 1: in terms of the political odds. Uh, what do you

442
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: make of that? Well, sure, who wouldn't. I mean, look,

443
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 1: the turnout is insane, um, and so I think that

444
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: the Trump team understands that they started today behind. Um.

445
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 1: This is a tough race. I'm watching Florida all night

446
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: long because Florida is the only way that President Trump

447
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,719
Speaker 1: stays in this race. And we're going to have results

448
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 1: out of Florida very quickly. Why do you think, do

449
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: you think we're gonna know who who won Florida quickly

450
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 1: or or well, if it's if there's a clear result,

451
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: we will. But it's because Florida is one of these

452
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 1: states that will tabulate their votes quicker than most other states.

453
00:25:56,600 --> 00:26:00,520
Speaker 1: Their system is designed such that they've been processing ballots

454
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 1: for for weeks um. They're going to have results very quickly.

455
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 1: They will be you know, reported in a centralized manner.

456
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:11,400
Speaker 1: And if it's close, then yeah, we won't know because

457
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,679
Speaker 1: it will take a wild account. But if it's not close,

458
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: then that could be clear very quickly. And I think

459
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,560
Speaker 1: that the reason why that matters is because there is

460
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 1: no path to President Trump being reelected unless he wins

461
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 1: Florida by President Biden. Ce Biden has multiple paths, then

462
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 1: he does not have to win Florida to still win

463
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 1: the presidency. President Trump, Florida is a must win. You know,

464
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: here's a fact for you about the Sunshine State. I

465
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 1: didn't realize this. Of the more than fifty million ballots

466
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: that have been cast in Florida between wow, okay, fifty

467
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:56,320
Speaker 1: million ballots have been cast there, fewer than eighteen thousand

468
00:26:56,520 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 1: votes separate the total votes between Republicans and Democrats. I mean,

469
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 1: Jed saggy. It doesn't get closer than that. I mean,

470
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,879
Speaker 1: Florida will always be an interesting state to watch. I

471
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 1: do agree that we'll we'll see Florida earlier than others

472
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 1: tonight because of all the reasons Tyler just outline, But

473
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 1: also it could be an interesting state to watch. I mean,

474
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 1: it's not necessarily the exact dynamics of past um presidential elections, because, uh,

475
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 1: Joe Biden may not do quite as well we'll see

476
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,160
Speaker 1: as as Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, say in Miami Dade,

477
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 1: but he may do better in the I four corridor,

478
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: and you know, we'll see what those votes add up to.

479
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 1: But I'm going to be watching. I'll just add a

480
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 1: state I'll be watching. I'll be watching North Carolina tonight

481
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 1: because I think if if if Joe Biden wins North Carolina,

482
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 1: that's just more points in his UM, more electoral votes,

483
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 1: I should say, a more popular vote of course in

484
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 1: his column, and it makes the path narrow, right narrow, Also,

485
00:27:58,080 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 1: my mom was there, so I'll be watching in and

486
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,439
Speaker 1: think sen it raged there. But it's also an interesting

487
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: one to watch from the Democratic side. Well in Nash

488
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 1: County in UH in North Carolina, Nash County is is

489
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 1: a historically black county, the Black rust Belt as it's known,

490
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:22,360
Speaker 1: and that actually went for Trump back in in by

491
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: just a handful, a handful of votes. And so that's

492
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 1: really why I think, you know, for political nerds, as

493
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 1: Jen Saki correctly called all three of us, I mean,

494
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,520
Speaker 1: it really does come down to in these counties just

495
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: a handful of votes and turnout and and and it's

496
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: not a cliche Tyler Deaton, No, it's not. And I'm like,

497
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 1: I like Jen's point. I think it's important for people

498
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 1: to know that these states don't all move the exact

499
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 1: same direction. Right, So it's conceivable that Arizona, Georgia, North

500
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 1: Carolina could be moving more toward Biden, while Florida and

501
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 1: maybe Nevada are moving more towards Trump. Um, that's not

502
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: just some uniform path and across the whole country. I

503
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 1: do think that um Arizona is a state that while

504
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 1: they won't close their polls, you know they're on, not

505
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 1: not on the West coast, but in the Pacific time zone.

506
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 1: I think they just you know, they don't even take

507
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 1: daylight datings anymore. They're gonna close later, um, but we

508
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 1: think so. We'll see hound out of Arizona. So we'll

509
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: see all right, Jen Sakei stays, Tiler Eaton stays, I'll

510
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: stay too. I'm Kevin Cereli, chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg

511
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: Television and for Bloomberg Radio. This is Bloomberg. This is

512
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound on Election with Kevin Curreli on Bloomberg Radio.

513
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 1: My name is Kevin Cereli. I'm the chief Washington correspondent

514
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. Remember to keep

515
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 1: it right here all night for complete election coverage with

516
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 1: me and my colleague David Weston on Bloomberg Television and

517
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. We have an all star policy, politics and

518
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: uh stoic conversation throughout the night. Uh And I'm I'm

519
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 1: thrilled and I'm grateful to be to be a part

520
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: of it. Jenie's ain no, Rick Davis as well as

521
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: uh the full the full Bloomberg team going to be

522
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 1: on that as well. And of course, tomorrow morning Bloomberg

523
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 1: Surveillance with the Tom Keane, Lisa abrama Witz and Jonathan

524
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: Paraoh to break down all of the different angles and

525
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: contours of this election headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal as

526
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 1: we speak. President Donald Trump's campaign appealed a court order

527
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: that denied its effort to halt ballots from being counted

528
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 1: in the state's biggest county amid a dispute over access

529
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 1: for public observers. The campaign and the Nevada Republican Party

530
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:51,400
Speaker 1: on Tuesday asked the state Supreme Court to expedite its

531
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 1: review of the case, saying they will suffer irrepartable harm

532
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: if the ruling isn't overturned. It all comes as President

533
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 1: Trump and Joe Biden have talked about the patients that's

534
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: going to be needed to count the ballots, but also

535
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 1: the potential for a litigated court elections process. Take a

536
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 1: listen to what President Trump had to say while he

537
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: was in Arlington, Virginia at the n X office of

538
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 1: the Republican National Committee and whereas campaign is headquartered, and

539
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 1: he was answering reporters questions about when he expects the

540
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: results of the election. You can't have these things delayed

541
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 1: for many days and maybe weeks. You can't do that.

542
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 1: The whole world is waiting. This country is waiting, but

543
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: the whole world is waiting. Joe Biden, for his part,

544
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 1: stopped in Philadelphia to great supporters, where he told them

545
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 1: that he was, well, really gonna try to turn the page.

546
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 1: Here is President has got a lot of things backwards.

547
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: One of what is he thinks that he can decide

548
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 1: who gets the vote. Guess who gets to be president?

549
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,200
Speaker 1: Joe Biden. They're speaking in a megaphone. Jensaki with me,

550
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 1: former communications director for the Obama States Department, and of

551
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: course also the former communications director then for the entire

552
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 1: Obama administration, as well as Tyler Deaton, Republican strategist, fundraiser

553
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 1: and president of Allegiance Strategies. Jed. How is Biden's political

554
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: orbit and his campaign preparing for court cases should they

555
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 1: have to get to the courts over the following days. Well,

556
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 1: I would think about it this way. Um, for for

557
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: those who haven't been dug in as as much as

558
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 1: we have. I mean, one, there's a high likelihood there

559
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: could still be vote counting, counting of ballots that are

560
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 1: being processed given the large percentage of people that voted

561
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: by mail after this evening. Now it completely depends on

562
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 1: the outcome tonight and which states are one. If Biden

563
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: wins Florida, Georgia and North Caroline, I'm not predicting that

564
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: for say, but you may not need the outcome of

565
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,040
Speaker 1: all of these this vote counting in states that are

566
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,120
Speaker 1: still counting to new the outcome. But that's to be determined.

567
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 1: But there are pivotal um election states Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin,

568
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: for example, that have limited ability to preprocess ballots before

569
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: election day, which means that they're starting to count them today.

570
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 1: So one piece is counting, which could certainly be ongoing

571
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 1: for days. UM. And that's this isn't the first time

572
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 1: this has happened before in many races beyond the presidential races.

573
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: There also is the potential for litigation. And you know,

574
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 1: the Biden team is of course prepared with a team

575
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 1: of lawyers that will be ready in states should that

576
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 1: be uh, should that be where this goes? UM. So

577
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,760
Speaker 1: I would say they're prepared for all scenarios and we'll

578
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 1: see what happens out of tonight. Tyler Dewton. When you

579
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,600
Speaker 1: talk to Republicans, when you talk to the Trump campaign

580
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: as well as other lawmakers, are they also preparing? I

581
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 1: mean it seems that you hear from President Trump himself

582
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 1: for the potential of a litigated battle for the for

583
00:33:56,360 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: the presidency. Well they are, And look everybody on both sides,

584
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: there's more lawyers than they know what to do with.

585
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 1: But I think that one of the dynamics on the

586
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:10,800
Speaker 1: GOP side is um not that there's a divided interest

587
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:14,279
Speaker 1: between Senate Republicans and the White House, but that you know,

588
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 1: there is still a real hope among Senate Republicans that

589
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 1: they could hold onto a Senate majority even if the

590
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: President should lose his real action. Let me press you

591
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 1: on that out because there were thirty four Tyler. You

592
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: and I have talked about this offline before. There were

593
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: thirty four Senate races, and not one of them broke

594
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 1: with how the topicular? Yeah, so the states that went

595
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: for Hillary, they voted for a Democratic senator. The states

596
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 1: that voted for Trump, they voted for a Republican senator.

597
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 1: How does that happen? I mean, how did how did something?

598
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 1: In defense of Tyler here because I will agree that

599
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:56,799
Speaker 1: that's possible. Really yeah, And they basically relied on two

600
00:34:56,840 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 1: Republican women. It's two Republican women. It's Iowa and it's

601
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 1: Maine and Jodi Arts and Susan Collins. It is and

602
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: Susan Collins is still in that's now. I am a

603
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:12,360
Speaker 1: huge Susan Collins stand Um. Everybody knows that she's probably

604
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,400
Speaker 1: my favorite senator. But she has the ability to win.

605
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 1: Even though Trump is likely to lose the state of

606
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,719
Speaker 1: Maine by by you know, eight to ten points. He

607
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: has been out performing President Trump by nearly double digits.

608
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,920
Speaker 1: And so there's just going to be a real dynamic

609
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 1: here where even if it's an early night in the

610
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 1: presidential race, it's not going to be an early night

611
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 1: for the Senate race. But let me ask you about

612
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 1: about Junie Yortz. Do you think that she could also

613
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 1: win Iowa even if President Trump loses Iowa. She can.

614
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:47,080
Speaker 1: She's outperforming the president pretty consistently by three to four points. Okay,

615
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: let me go to Jed. When when I look at Georgia,

616
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 1: for example, Senator David Berdue against John us Off Uh,

617
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 1: the Democratic challenger, and then you've got that special election

618
00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:59,800
Speaker 1: just the Georgia Senate races is up, is up in

619
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:03,760
Speaker 1: the as well. Look, I think Georgia is a really

620
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: interesting state to watch because of those two Senate seats,

621
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: and because I think the Biden team justifiably feels like

622
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,120
Speaker 1: they could this could be in the expansion column, and

623
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,760
Speaker 1: it could be a state that comes their way. Um, tonight,

624
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: we may not know the outcome in Georgia because of

625
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:22,319
Speaker 1: the requirement that I think you have to get the vote. Um.

626
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 1: So it's possible we don't know the outcome tonight, and

627
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 1: this could be ongoing. And I would just echo that

628
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 1: there are states where on both sides, Um, you know,

629
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 1: I would say Mark Kelly is running ahead. I would

630
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 1: bet of Biden. I think in most polls in Arizona, right,

631
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,279
Speaker 1: they could certainly both win there. Mark Kelly, I think

632
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:46,239
Speaker 1: it is looking like he's running to a victor. And yeah,

633
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:48,080
Speaker 1: and I think it's more of a nail biter on

634
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: the presidential side, right, And so that that kind of

635
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: flows out in a couple of different states. Um. And

636
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 1: and you know, I think the Senate is going to

637
00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 1: be an incredibly interesting place to watch because remember, even

638
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,400
Speaker 1: if Biden pulls out a victory, tonight. The difference between

639
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 1: a Democratic Senate and a Republican Senate is huge in

640
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 1: terms of his agenda, his confirmations, what he wants to

641
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,120
Speaker 1: get done exactly. I couldn't agree with that more for

642
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:14,360
Speaker 1: for both of you, and that is so incredibly important.

643
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 1: That's one of the questions I get all the time

644
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 1: about how a Biden administration would govern. I say, well,

645
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 1: look at the Senate, because that will tell you how

646
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 1: he is able to govern. We might not have the

647
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 1: final Senate spread, mind you, until that Georgia runoff is

648
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,279
Speaker 1: completed on January three. I'm Kevin sereally more policy and politics. Next,

649
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:41,800
Speaker 1: this is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Sound on Election with

650
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:46,680
Speaker 1: Kevin Currelli on Bloomberg Radio. Get out the white Board.

651
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,440
Speaker 1: My name is Kevin Cereli. I'm the chief Washington correspondent

652
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. You can't have

653
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 1: an election night without talking about Florida, Florida, Florida and folks,

654
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:02,720
Speaker 1: it is razor, razor thin. The early polls indicate between

655
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:07,320
Speaker 1: President Donald Trump as well as Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

656
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:12,440
Speaker 1: You know, coronavirus, and of course the issue of the economy.

657
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:16,400
Speaker 1: The top two issues every poll. Every poll has this

658
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,400
Speaker 1: in common, the top two issues for folks in this election,

659
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 1: the pandemic and the economy. Well, President Trump was speaking

660
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 1: to reporters earlier today just outside of his campaign headquarters

661
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:31,640
Speaker 1: in Arlington, Virginia, and he talked about vaccinations. Take a

662
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 1: listen to the President speaking about vaccines. We are rounding

663
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 1: the corner, but the vaccines are coming on very soon.

664
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:44,440
Speaker 1: They're having tremendous success. Johnson and Johnson moderna Feiser and Uh,

665
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 1: we're gonna have something. We're gonna have a very special

666
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 1: year next year. I think is gonna be more successful

667
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 1: than it was last year. We had the best year

668
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,479
Speaker 1: we've ever had last year, and I think we're gonna

669
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 1: be right in that category for next year. That was

670
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:02,879
Speaker 1: President Trump. And then last evening in Cleveland, Ohio, Joe

671
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:06,320
Speaker 1: Biden spoke about COVID and how the President has handled it.

672
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 1: Here he is the president of United States of America.

673
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 1: It was responsible for so many deaths. Had the goal

674
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 1: to suggest the American doctors, the people who have been

675
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,520
Speaker 1: on the front line to this crisis for nine months,

676
00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 1: along with nurses and so many others. Many of whom

677
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 1: have died to suggest that doctors are falsely inflating deaths

678
00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:31,240
Speaker 1: due to COVID because they want to make more money.

679
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 1: I'm serious, man, this guy's a disgrace. That was Joe

680
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 1: Biden joining me now on the telephone line. Congressman Neil Dunn.

681
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: He is a Republican representing Florida's second congressional district. Congressman,

682
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 1: I want to ask you about Florida, but first I

683
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 1: want to talk to you specifically about the handling of

684
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 1: the pandemic and how it is impacting the race this evening. Well,

685
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 1: thank you very much for having me on kevin beautiful

686
00:39:57,239 --> 00:40:00,360
Speaker 1: day in Florida. And that's what obviously we love to

687
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 1: talk about it the I'm a doctor as well as

688
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,360
Speaker 1: a congressman, and uh and I can tell you that

689
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 1: we've never seen a response to any epidemic or pandemic

690
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 1: like this one. It is. It is incredible the amount

691
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 1: of resources that have been brought to bear and how

692
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 1: quickly they've been brought to bear. The fact that we're

693
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 1: going to have a vaccine being produced by the end

694
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 1: of the year is simply stunning and and it's it's

695
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 1: a great achievement by the way, I'll appine these are

696
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 1: gonna be good vaccines. It makes sense. Uh, I can

697
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: hold forth on matter on a medical level. Will trust me.

698
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:36,320
Speaker 1: These vaccines are their target is easy. It's a spike protein,

699
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,440
Speaker 1: and we're gonna We're gonna have great vaccines and great

700
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 1: therapeutics very very soon. From the political strategic standpoint, do

701
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: you feel that the Republicans missed an opportunity in terms

702
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:50,480
Speaker 1: of how they communicated the White House as well as

703
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 1: Congress is handling of the pandemic to swing voters in suburbs. Well,

704
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 1: I don't think the White House made a mistake. I

705
00:40:57,560 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 1: think I think it was handled honestly by the Democrats

706
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: and and an awful echo chamber that they have there.

707
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: But I mean, I have never seen a better response

708
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 1: to an epidemic, and and and I dealt with some

709
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:13,120
Speaker 1: in my military medical career. Uh, this is this is

710
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 1: really unprecedented. They're really rolling out all the stops. Practically

711
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 1: every living Nobel Prize laureate in medicine is at his

712
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:25,839
Speaker 1: shoulder to the wagon pushing forward. Meanwhile, Uh, Florida, what's

713
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 1: going on down there? How? How are the polls looking,

714
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: how are the lines? What's going on in the Sunshine State,

715
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 1: record turnouts and UH and usual in Florida, it gets

716
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 1: to side it up in the Central time zone. All

717
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 1: we have to do is the Republicans is keep it

718
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 1: close in UH in the Eastern time zone, and when

719
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 1: the Central time zone starts reporting UH, it's swings are

720
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 1: a way. That's where everybody wins. Any Republican wins statewide,

721
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 1: whether it's the governor, of the senators or the president.

722
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,759
Speaker 1: I'm predicting a big win in Florida. Okay, So take

723
00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:01,800
Speaker 1: off the congressional for a second. Take off the Republican

724
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,359
Speaker 1: hat for the second, and play reporter with me. Congressman

725
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:08,480
Speaker 1: Neil dont a Republican from the second Congressional District of Florida,

726
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 1: walk me through what data from the early voting we

727
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 1: are going to get in Florida this evening and when

728
00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:18,640
Speaker 1: it will come in. So remember we have two time

729
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 1: zones and the first start repairing reporting will be after seven,

730
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 1: and I think that that's going to be as you

731
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 1: suggested tight. But we have early voting turnouts on Republicans

732
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:33,640
Speaker 1: and Democrats that show that this is better than two

733
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 1: thousand and sixteen, and we think it continues to be

734
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,320
Speaker 1: that way through seven pm. Uh, in the in the

735
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,919
Speaker 1: period that's Eastern time, from seven to a Eastern time,

736
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:46,359
Speaker 1: we're still voting over here in our central time zone,

737
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 1: the Panhandle, and that's a very deeply Republican end of

738
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 1: the state. Uh. Typically Donald Trump wins an excess of

739
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 1: sixty over here, and he polls close to seventy. Right now,

740
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:03,360
Speaker 1: we're thinking it's gonna be a good evening, Okay. Do

741
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 1: you think uh, in terms of what goes on with

742
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,279
Speaker 1: regards to litigation. I mean, people just have flashbacks to

743
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,840
Speaker 1: two thousand and the hanging Chad's in Miami Dade County

744
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 1: and whatnot. Uh. Are you getting the sense that the

745
00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 1: Republican Party is bracing for a litigated court battle on

746
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 1: the elections? Not in Florida. I think Florida has cleaned

747
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,719
Speaker 1: up the system. You know, we had some supervisors of

748
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 1: elections that weren't unifyingly uh, applying to rules, and we

749
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 1: have taken care of that. At this point, we have

750
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: a long standing absentee ballot system for mail votes, so

751
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:40,480
Speaker 1: it's well well horn pathway. I think Florida is going

752
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 1: to be a shining example. Uh tonight. I think we're

753
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,879
Speaker 1: gonna be talking about other states perhaps for the next

754
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:50,920
Speaker 1: few days. Okay. Meanwhile, Congressman Neil Done is with me.

755
00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:55,440
Speaker 1: He is the Republican from the He is the Republican

756
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 1: from the state of Florida second Congressional District. Fiscal stimuluts.

757
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,239
Speaker 1: I gotta get in a question about this. If there

758
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:04,400
Speaker 1: is a lot of election volatility, what pressure does that

759
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,879
Speaker 1: put on lawmakers like yourself in order to navigate through

760
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 1: the election volatility with as cases are increasing in states

761
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 1: might have to weigh new restrictions like conservative UK and

762
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:19,280
Speaker 1: progressive Germany and France have done in terms of passing

763
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:23,760
Speaker 1: additional stimulus. So the stimulus, I think we've tried thirty

764
00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:27,120
Speaker 1: nine times to uh, we have thirty nine different propositions.

765
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 1: We've put the polos who we can't get on the

766
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:31,880
Speaker 1: on the floor. So you know when I think, you know,

767
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 1: there's going to be a stimulus after the election. But

768
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 1: the reason we couldn't get one earlier than the over

769
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 1: and above what we have was simple and transigence. Uh.

770
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 1: In terms of the the what how the economy is

771
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:49,120
Speaker 1: going to respond? I'm a big fan of focused quarantines,

772
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,920
Speaker 1: not lockdowns on the whole economy. I don't think I did.

773
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 1: We know who's at risk. We were getting much better

774
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:57,759
Speaker 1: testing figuring out who has it. Let's let's treat the

775
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 1: people who have it, and we have treatments now, and

776
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 1: let's uh, let's quarantine the people who are at risk

777
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 1: and of course the ones with the disease. So we

778
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:08,680
Speaker 1: we can do this with a focus quarantine just as

779
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 1: well as we can lockdowns. And it's a lot less

780
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:14,280
Speaker 1: expensive to the economy. All right, My thanks to Congressman

781
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:17,720
Speaker 1: Neil Toun He is a Republican from Florida's second congressional district.

782
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,359
Speaker 1: Great to check in on the Sunshine State on election day.

783
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:25,280
Speaker 1: Coming up, Panel returns what's on their radar, And remember, folks,

784
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,520
Speaker 1: stick with Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg Television, where my colleague

785
00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 1: David Weston and myself will continue to monitor all of

786
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 1: the election night developments. I'm Kevin Cereli. This is Bloomberg.

787
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound on Election with Kevin Curreli on

788
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. My name is Kevin Cirelli. I'm the chief

789
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:03,240
Speaker 1: Washington co respondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio.

790
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,280
Speaker 1: And you know, folks on a daylight. Today, when political

791
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 1: tensions are running high, it's important to remember that what

792
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 1: we are witnessing this evening is an important ritual in

793
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 1: American society, in American history that dates back all the

794
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:22,360
Speaker 1: way to our founders, and of course George Washington in

795
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:25,360
Speaker 1: seventeen nine. And I don't say it's again on a

796
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 1: cereally soap box. I say it because it's important to

797
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:32,640
Speaker 1: remember the stoicism of this moment, the importance of this

798
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 1: moment when an electoral college back in seventeen eighty nine

799
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 1: unanimously voted in New York City, the site of the

800
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 1: original capital of the United States, for George Washington. Mind you,

801
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 1: George Washington is the only president to have been inaugurated

802
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:52,800
Speaker 1: in two different cities, New York City the first, and

803
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:56,239
Speaker 1: then in the second go around the city of brotherly love, Philadelphia,

804
00:46:56,560 --> 00:46:59,839
Speaker 1: where the Senate Chamber of Converse Hall was the site

805
00:46:59,880 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 1: of his second inauguration on March fourth in seventeen three.

806
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,279
Speaker 1: If you're just joining us, uh, we've an all star

807
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 1: political panel who have helped me navigate and preview all

808
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,840
Speaker 1: of the different dynamics of this evening. Jen Psaki, she

809
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:17,839
Speaker 1: was the previous community. Uh, spokesperson for the Obama States

810
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 1: Department and then of course the communications director for former

811
00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:24,759
Speaker 1: President Obama, as well as Tyler Deeton. Tyler is a

812
00:47:24,840 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 1: Republican insider uh. He knows everyone in in Republican circles

813
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:33,879
Speaker 1: uh and is a fundraiser and president of Allegiance Strategies. Jean,

814
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,880
Speaker 1: before I before I get what's on your radar, just,

815
00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 1: I think it's important to note in these incredibly polarized

816
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 1: times that this is still, albeit maybe imperfect, a democracy

817
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:47,520
Speaker 1: and a system that works, and the power of one

818
00:47:47,640 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 1: vote can truly change the outcome in a state. I

819
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 1: think that's absolutely true. And look, I'm a born and

820
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 1: bred Democrat, but two million people have voted by mail.

821
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 1: That's pretty amazing, right, And you know, according to the

822
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 1: Biden numbers, you know, they have voter protection lines that

823
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:07,080
Speaker 1: people can call, and none out of ten of the

824
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 1: calls to those are questions about where they're polling places are.

825
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 1: There's been a much lower percentage of ballots thrown out

826
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:17,960
Speaker 1: than I think people anticipated. So there's always things that

827
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 1: could happen on election day and will happen in the

828
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:23,400
Speaker 1: days ahead. But you know, overall, that's that's kind of

829
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 1: a win for democracy, and it's it's great that there's

830
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 1: been such record turnout. Tyler diton what's your favorite election

831
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 1: memory ever? Or do I ever ever? No, don't we

832
00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 1: can skip. I have this. This is this is a

833
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:45,400
Speaker 1: little pet peeve of mine. I have knocked on doors

834
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:49,480
Speaker 1: and I have made thousands of phone calls for the

835
00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:52,319
Speaker 1: Republican Party since before I even turned eighteen. I've been

836
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,919
Speaker 1: working in the Republican Party since I was sixteen years old.

837
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 1: And I think we've got too many people, uh working

838
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,719
Speaker 1: in the party who haven't done those things. Kevin, I

839
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:04,040
Speaker 1: think you've got to make the phone calls. I think

840
00:49:04,080 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: you've got to knock on boards. You've gotta handwrite letters

841
00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:10,239
Speaker 1: and lick the envelopes to really know what's going on

842
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 1: in either party. And I think one thing, I think

843
00:49:15,080 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 1: one thing everyone can agree with is that all those

844
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:21,520
Speaker 1: text messages more than a billion according to Bloomberg, more

845
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,800
Speaker 1: than one billion text messages sent out by the Democrats

846
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 1: and Republicans this cycle, maybe they will stop. It's time

847
00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 1: now for my favorite part of the program. What is

848
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:34,399
Speaker 1: on the panel's radar? What's on your radar tonight? Jen Sake, Well,

849
00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:37,840
Speaker 1: I am kind of timing out my snacks and drink

850
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 1: schedule by the same but because I gotta be on air,

851
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 1: so I don't. I want to make sure that I'm

852
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:48,840
Speaker 1: that I'm eating and well caffeinated throughout the early morning.

853
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 1: Go ahead, JENNI right, it's it's it's there's a real

854
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,880
Speaker 1: strategy behind that. But you know, I think in the

855
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:59,800
Speaker 1: seven pm hour, there's Florida, Georgia, Virginia, New Hampshire seventh

856
00:49:59,880 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 1: or the Ohio North Carolina. It doesn't mean we'll know

857
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 1: results immediately, but some of these are early indicators, so

858
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:09,319
Speaker 1: I'll be watching in those categories. Some of the early

859
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 1: Florida numbers UM certainly North Carolina Georgia. Of course, if

860
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 1: there's a strong outcome or strong turnout or even strong

861
00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:21,440
Speaker 1: reporting numbers for Biden, that's a really good sign of

862
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 1: where the night is headed. So I think there's actually

863
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:27,279
Speaker 1: some interesting data that we could gather even in the

864
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:30,040
Speaker 1: first hour or two after the polls closed. I agree,

865
00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:33,759
Speaker 1: Will you be sleeping tonight or no? Uh tb D.

866
00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:38,759
Speaker 1: I don't know. I I feel like, you know, just

867
00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:41,080
Speaker 1: like as a political anim like get pretty wound up

868
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:43,319
Speaker 1: on these nights. So and I just had a cup

869
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 1: of coffee, so that may also have any Tyler. Are

870
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:48,360
Speaker 1: you gonna sleep tonight or are you gonna? Are you

871
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 1: gonna wait for forever? Yeah, I'm gonna sleep like a baby.

872
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 1: And I'm about to go on my radar. I've got bourbon,

873
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:58,439
Speaker 1: I've got popcorn, You've got some steaks. We're gonna grill.

874
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 1: I'm about the lling to I'm gonna go grid for

875
00:51:04,320 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 1: about two hours. I'm just about to disappear, and I'm

876
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: not even gonna check back in until we've had at

877
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:13,120
Speaker 1: least half the country close their polls. Um, And I'm

878
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:15,200
Speaker 1: gonna be thinking about what we do to fix vote

879
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 1: by mail because your radar, Yeah, and you know it

880
00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:23,680
Speaker 1: has been since March. I have been banging the vote

881
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:27,160
Speaker 1: by mail drums since this pandemic was first identified. We

882
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 1: need to be moving to vote by mail anyway. Um.

883
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:33,080
Speaker 1: We need to be employing technology to make voting easier

884
00:51:33,160 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 1: and more secure. So, while I'm happy at the tremendous

885
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:39,359
Speaker 1: success we've had with vote by mail this year, there's

886
00:51:39,360 --> 00:51:41,520
Speaker 1: a lot more to do. And I would say first

887
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,560
Speaker 1: on that list is the USPS needs our help. I

888
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 1: think we would have an even better performance this year

889
00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:49,759
Speaker 1: with vote by mail. If the USPS had gotten a

890
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,760
Speaker 1: support from Congress and from the administration that they deserve,

891
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:56,400
Speaker 1: they need. They need new trucks, Kevin, they need electric

892
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 1: trucks to deliver the mail. Uh. The workers need healthcare.

893
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,960
Speaker 1: M Retiring postal workers need to be taken care of

894
00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 1: by our country. And there's just this whole issue that

895
00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:08,759
Speaker 1: we have that I think that the USPS has just

896
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:12,240
Speaker 1: taken advantage of and is sort of neglected by our country.

897
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:14,799
Speaker 1: And it is provided for in the constitution. Now, I'm

898
00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:16,799
Speaker 1: not going to talk about the postal service all night long,

899
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:20,720
Speaker 1: but there is an immediate need for ten billion dollars

900
00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:23,840
Speaker 1: because of the pandemic that they need from our country

901
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:26,640
Speaker 1: to save the postal service. We all need it. We

902
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:29,320
Speaker 1: get our drugs, we get our medications, we get paid.

903
00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 1: The postal service is a huge part of every person's life,

904
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:34,560
Speaker 1: no matter where you live, no matter how rich you are,

905
00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:37,320
Speaker 1: no matter what color you are. With that, I'll leave it.

906
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:40,279
Speaker 1: But if we had the USPS PIX, we could have

907
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,319
Speaker 1: even had an even better election this year and even

908
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,319
Speaker 1: safer and an even higher turnout. I think Tyler didon

909
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:52,239
Speaker 1: how do you Cook Your Stick? Medium? Rare, Smart you know,

910
00:52:52,840 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 1: I feel like it's a good election night and degrees

911
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 1: hundred degree You're gonna make everybody hungry on election right.

912
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:06,760
Speaker 1: Here's what's on my radar. Delaware County, Pennsylvania. Delaware County, Pennsylvania, Delco.

913
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:09,360
Speaker 1: It's my hometown. I'm a bit biased, but it's a

914
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 1: collar county outside of the City of Brotherly Love, and

915
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:16,160
Speaker 1: it's it's really at the at the eye of the

916
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:20,319
Speaker 1: political storm given what's been happening in Philadelphia. There's been

917
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:24,880
Speaker 1: some protests regarding racial inequality. There was a recent um

918
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 1: curfew imposed by the Democratic governor there, uh for the

919
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:35,520
Speaker 1: city of Brotherly Love. And it's also fracking country, and

920
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 1: it's a part of the state where fracking is incredibly

921
00:53:37,960 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 1: important to the local local economy. And so I'm gonna

922
00:53:42,040 --> 00:53:47,360
Speaker 1: be watching to see if Democrats outperformed Hillary Clinton in

923
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 1: two thousand and sixteen, because that could be a real

924
00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:52,239
Speaker 1: sign of how the state is going to go. I'm

925
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 1: also gonna be watching to see a President Trump is

926
00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:59,640
Speaker 1: able to win some of the energy townships. Not the county,

927
00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:02,839
Speaker 1: it's a Democratic county, but the townships Tenncam, Marcus Hook

928
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:08,080
Speaker 1: and and elsewhere where. Again, refinery workers are unionized, Kennedy Catholics,

929
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:11,960
Speaker 1: Reagan Democrats type of voters. It's going to be fascinating.

930
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:16,200
Speaker 1: Truly a privilege tonight, folks to participate in our coverage

931
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 1: with David Weston on Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg Television. And

932
00:54:20,640 --> 00:54:24,080
Speaker 1: truly a privilege to have Tyler Deaton, a Republican strategist

933
00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:27,440
Speaker 1: and fundraiser, president of Allegiance Strategies at of course, massive

934
00:54:27,480 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 1: privilege as well to have Jen Saki, the former spokesperson

935
00:54:30,200 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 1: for the Obama State Department and former communications director for

936
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:36,719
Speaker 1: the Obama administration. UM. And coming up next, we're gonna

937
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:40,279
Speaker 1: keep it with continuing coverage. My colleagues Doug Prisoner and

938
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 1: the Baxter have continued special election coverage. I'm gonna go caffeineate.

939
00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 1: I feel like Tyler and Jen just told me to

940
00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 1: go drink some more coffee as we prepare together as

941
00:54:50,800 --> 00:54:55,080
Speaker 1: a country of Kevin CURRELLI. You're listening to Bloomberg Radio

942
00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 1: and