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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parontio.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter, app, Sports Talk Matt, This podcast

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Speaker 1: on YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts across multitude platforms,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM and the

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Speaker 1: Six hundred bucks in free money thanks to bet MGM

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Speaker 1: advantage of this. But betmgm just launched in DC. New

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Speaker 1: offer for you guys, all right, so right now we're

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Speaker 1: zering two missed on the player prop because we got

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Speaker 1: I bet the over thirty seven and a half points

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Speaker 1: and assists for Trey Young. He ended with thirty six.

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Speaker 1: Blowout came in. He didn't shoot well. It just it

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Speaker 1: was one basket shy stunk. We almost got there, so

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Speaker 1: we missed it by a point and a half. And

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Speaker 1: then I had the Hawks. They got blown out by

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Speaker 1: the Sixers. They better win Game four man that if

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Speaker 1: they don't, that series is over, and then our bet

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Speaker 1: on the Hawks to win that series is going to

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Speaker 1: be gone.

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Speaker 2: So that kind of stinks. I really like the Hawks

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Speaker 2: in that series.

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Speaker 1: But Trey Young, the defensive effort they're putting out on

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Speaker 1: him is pretty impressive, and he looks very frustrated. He

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Speaker 1: looks like he doesn't know what to do against the

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Speaker 1: double team. And bug Donovo shot the ball really really

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Speaker 1: well today and that or last night and that just

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Speaker 1: didn't really come through.

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Speaker 2: So we're all and two. There.

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Speaker 1: We're at the half right now of Sons and the Nuggets,

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Speaker 1: and we have Chris Paul to score more than fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points. I believe he has nine at halftime,

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Speaker 1: which is good, and we're on pace for the over

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Speaker 1: two twenty two and a half. We're on pace right

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Speaker 1: now for two twenty seven. So right now we're looking

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Speaker 1: like we're we're gonna.

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Speaker 2: Go two and two. But I have to tape this today.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't wait for the game to be over because

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Speaker 1: I've got stuff to do tonight. I got husband and

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Speaker 1: duty with my wife to hang out, watch a movie

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Speaker 1: and do some stuff, and she just you know, I

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Speaker 1: had to take care of I had to do it early.

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Speaker 1: It's eight thirty on Friday night. I had to take

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Speaker 1: care of some family stuff. So cut me a little

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Speaker 1: break that I don't have an accurate recount of what

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Speaker 1: happened on Friday night.

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Speaker 2: But I think we're gonna go two and two, so

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Speaker 2: we'll be down the.

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Speaker 1: Juice, but I don't know that for a fact, so well,

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Speaker 1: hopefully that's what we're gonna go. But I don't need

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Speaker 1: to spend much time breaking this down because I've got

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Speaker 1: four bets for you with the UFC and one bet

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Speaker 1: in the NBA that i'm gonna get to. So I

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Speaker 1: want to break down all these fights. I'm not up here, okay,

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Speaker 1: So let's start. There are three fights that I've got

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Speaker 1: bets on, four bets three fights. Okay, So here is

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Speaker 1: the first conversation I want to have Leon Edwards against

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Speaker 1: Nate Diez. So, Nate Diez is just an absolute warrior.

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Speaker 1: This guy, you can hit him with a crowbar. The

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Speaker 1: one thing that is kind of concerning about Nate Diez

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Speaker 1: is that Nate cuts really easily and he bleeds really easily.

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Speaker 1: Leon Edwards can punch. Leon Edwards is a well rounded fighter,

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Speaker 1: and Leon Edwards is going to be significantly younger going

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Speaker 1: into this fight, and he's taller in this fight. What's

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Speaker 1: interesting is that Nate's got a longer reach advantage. Nate

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Speaker 1: Diaz is an absolute warrior. According to one offshore book,

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Speaker 1: there are more bets on Nate Diaz than for the

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Speaker 1: entire Belator card last night, the entire Belatar card. At

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Speaker 1: one off shore book, Everyone's on Nate Diaz. Fine, I

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Speaker 1: love him too, all right, but this is a dude

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Speaker 1: in his prime, Okay. Leon Edwards is He's a minus

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Speaker 1: five thirty five favorite.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: While I would love to see Nate Diaz win this,

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Speaker 1: and I would love at one point the book uh

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Speaker 1: Circa Sports in Vegas had Nate Diaz as a plus

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Speaker 1: four to twenty dog which if you know Nate, that's beautiful, Like,

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Speaker 1: that's almost comical. I almost had to call Nick Kolakas,

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Speaker 1: who we've had on this podcast and on our radio

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Speaker 1: show a lot. He's the risks risk supervisor for UFC

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Speaker 1: Fighting Betting at CIRCA and been like, really, like, come

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Speaker 1: on that, what had to have been intentional and have

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Speaker 1: a four to twenty Nate Diaz at a plus four twenty.

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Speaker 1: He smoked a joint on the stage right after one

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Speaker 1: of the press conferences and throw it into the stage,

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Speaker 1: Like Nate's incredible. He is just up against it here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I just I don't think this guy is going to

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Speaker 1: be able to beat Leon Edwards. But I'm not laying

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Speaker 1: minus five thirty five.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: What I am going to expect is that Nate Diaz

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Speaker 1: keeps himself away from getting knocked out and that Nate

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Speaker 1: Diaz in this fight goes to the distance. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a quarter unit and I'm gonna put

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Speaker 1: Nate Diaz and Leon Edwards to go all five rounds

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty Okay, quarter unit bet on that

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Speaker 1: fight goes the distance, getting plus money on it at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five Okay, that's the first bet on

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Speaker 1: that fight. I'm taking that other quarter unit and I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go to the main events between Israel Atasanya

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Speaker 1: and Marvin Vattori.

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Speaker 2: Vittori is a clown. He just is.

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Speaker 1: He's a clown. He's been fighting well, and he's been

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Speaker 1: fighting aggressively. He's on a good wind streak here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Adasanya cannot go to the ground. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: Marvin Vattori is that great of a wrestler. He's just

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Speaker 1: built like a wrestler. I don't know how great he

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Speaker 1: is on the ground. I don't see much damage being

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Speaker 1: inflicted to Izzy if he does go on the ground,

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Speaker 1: because he is to get up and slippery enough to

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Speaker 1: get off the ground and get back onto his feet.

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Speaker 1: And look, they fought back in twenty eighteen. It was

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Speaker 1: a three round fight, went the distance. Vocori thought he

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Speaker 1: won it, in Israel won it, and Israel went on

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Speaker 1: to win the belt. I'm not expecting a jan blankovis

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Speaker 1: two point zero here.

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Speaker 2: I don't get this.

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Speaker 1: Where people are like, oh my gosh, out of Sonya.

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Speaker 1: He was showing to be mortal and this is still

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Speaker 1: the dude who dominates this division. He dominates this division.

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Speaker 1: Israel I think is going to have to be smart

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Speaker 1: and Vitori's going to go for the knockout. He's going

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Speaker 1: to try to brawl. He's going to try to pressure

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Speaker 1: and put is he up against the cage and maybe

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Speaker 1: is he slows down. There has been times while Adasanya

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Speaker 1: has slowed down in the fourth and fifth rounds like

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Speaker 1: most male fighters can is he might try to take

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Speaker 1: him out early.

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Speaker 2: Okay, it's absolutely.

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Speaker 1: Possible that Adasnya takes him out early, but I don't

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Speaker 1: know if he can do that.

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Speaker 2: Vittori's got a pretty strong chin. He's tough to knock out.

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Speaker 1: So I got plus one sixty on Adasanya by decision,

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Speaker 1: the same way that it went the first time these

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Speaker 1: two guys fought. Adasanya by decision over Marvin de Vatory

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Speaker 1: at plus one sixty five. So I'm taking a half

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Speaker 1: a unit with a couple of plus money bets. Okay,

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Speaker 1: trying to capitalize here, exotics, If you will, props, if

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Speaker 1: you will to go with a quarter unit on On

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Speaker 1: Edwards in Diez to go the distance all five rounds

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty and Israel Adasanya by decision at

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty five, they go to the carts. Okay,

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Speaker 1: at this weight class, I think at one eighty five,

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Speaker 1: I think Atasanya wont have any trouble keeping himself away

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Speaker 1: from real damage. Don't get into a firefight close, stay

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Speaker 1: at distance, get into a technical kickboxing battle with Marvin

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Speaker 1: Vatori and pick them apart. But Adasanya can knock him out,

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Speaker 1: and we'll get more into that here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: As to a straight knockout one that that's a half

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Speaker 1: a unit. So what am I doing with the other

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Speaker 1: half a unit?

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Speaker 2: Okay?

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Speaker 1: So here is what I'm doing with the other half

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Speaker 1: a unit. Devinson Figaredo made weight with forty seconds to go.

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Speaker 2: On the clock. But he made weight. He made one

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Speaker 2: twenty five.

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Speaker 1: This dude's power at the flyweight division is insane. Moreno

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Speaker 1: has got a pretty good chin. He's never been finished. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but this is not the typical guy. Figaredo's fights don't

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Speaker 1: go the distance. The vast majority of his fights have

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Speaker 1: ended before the five rounds. And maybe Moreno can get

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Speaker 1: into a submission. I think there's something up here. I

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Speaker 1: don't think this fight goes the distance. In fact, I

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Speaker 1: feel pretty good about it. This fight we saw these

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Speaker 1: guys fight. Before it was a draw, it went five rounds.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this fight goes five rounds. This fight

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Speaker 1: ends inside the distance. It's minus one thirty five for

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Speaker 1: the fight to end inside the distance, and I'm putting

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Speaker 1: a half a unit on this for one of these

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Speaker 1: two men to stop the other before we get to

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Speaker 1: the end of the five rounds. Both guys were exhausted

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Speaker 1: at the end of the first fight, and they could

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Speaker 1: barely be standing up on each other. I think Figuredo

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Speaker 1: swings for the fences. Moreno is going to have to

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Speaker 1: try to avoid it, and I think he equally could clip.

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Speaker 1: When Figuredo's out there brawling throwing these bombs, maybe Morino

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Speaker 1: clips them and Marine. Maybe Marino stops the fight early

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Speaker 1: here and gets a victory. So inside the distance, either

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Speaker 1: man to win, Figuredo or.

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Speaker 2: Or Moreno.

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Speaker 1: Inside the distance, man's one thirty five for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit. I would sprinkle on Figuredo by knockout at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five. I will personally do that, but

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Speaker 1: not officially. But if I don't, I think it's a

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Speaker 1: it's I think it's a good plus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: sprinkle to throw some money on Figuredo to knock out Moreno.

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Speaker 1: It's he's coming for his head and he's swinging hard

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Speaker 1: and the power that this dude brings. He looked like

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Speaker 1: he had a good weight cut and he's had trouble

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Speaker 1: with his weight. I mean he has struggled cutting weight before.

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Speaker 1: It didn't look like he was struggling cutting to cut weight.

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Speaker 1: He looked pretty good. Even though he took his entire

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Speaker 1: you know, the entire time allotted to get to the scale.

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Speaker 2: He got to the scale.

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Speaker 1: So once he got there, he made weight, looked good,

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Speaker 1: didn't have much of an issue. So I think you're

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Speaker 1: talking about a guy who's got psychotic power for the

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Speaker 1: flyweight division, and I think it's gonna be a real

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Speaker 1: problem for Moreno, even though he's ever been stopped. I

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Speaker 1: think one of these two men stops the other inside

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Speaker 1: the distance for this rematch, we've already, they've seen it.

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Speaker 1: They'll make some adjustments. I don't think it goes five

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Speaker 1: rounds inside the distance half a unit MYS one.

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Speaker 2: Thirty five for Figuredo and Moreno. Okay, so those are

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Speaker 2: three bets, okay.

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Speaker 1: Edwards Diez goes the distance plus one twenty Israel Asnia

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Speaker 1: by decision at plus one sixty five and Figuredo and

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Speaker 1: moreno inside the distance at mines one thirty five. I'm

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Speaker 1: taking one half unit and I'm doing a three parlay.

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Speaker 1: That may be stupid, but it's plus one forty five,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's worth it because I do think

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Speaker 1: Chalk's coming. Edwards to win, Figaredo to win Atasania, to

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Speaker 1: win those three fighters parlay together money line plus one

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Speaker 1: forty five out of half a unit. I understand that

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Speaker 1: Chalk is boring and maybe we get upsets, but I

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Speaker 1: can't see Edwards losing to Nate Diez.

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Speaker 2: Just can't see it.

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Speaker 1: Figaredo could lose, but I think Figaredo's got more power.

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Speaker 1: I think he wins that fight. And I just think

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Speaker 1: out of Sanya is a smarter fighter. I just think

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Speaker 1: he is more intelligent than Vittori, and I think the dude,

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I just think he's a clown.

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Speaker 2: I just do.

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Speaker 1: I don't take him seriously. I think Atasania is too cerebral.

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Speaker 1: I think he's too intelligent. I think he knows how

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Speaker 1: to fight, to beat the guy, and I think he's

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Speaker 1: comfortable with what he has to do to get the victory.

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Speaker 1: Three fight money line it's nothing to do with the prelimbs.

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Speaker 1: It's just on the pay per view side of things.

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Speaker 1: But three fights all chalk figuredo Autasanya Edwards all the

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Speaker 1: way in here. Half a unit plus one forty five

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Speaker 1: to cash that. So what am I doing with the

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Speaker 1: other half a unit? There's only one NBA game today,

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Speaker 1: so I'm not doing NBA player props.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna give you what we normally do.

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Speaker 1: We normally have two units in play per day, and

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Speaker 1: so I'm going to now go to the NBA and

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Speaker 1: that is the one game on the dock. On the

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Speaker 1: docket tonight Utah at the LA Clippers. Okay, chains a venue.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna say, bet.

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Speaker 2: The under right. I don't know what the Clippers are

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Speaker 2: gonna do here.

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Speaker 1: I really don't because the Clippers, look, they keep on

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Speaker 1: saying we were down oh two before, We're fine. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, man, it doesn't feel like that. It

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Speaker 1: just feels like this is going to be a really

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Speaker 1: tough series in a really tough situation for the LA Clippers.

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Speaker 1: Utah is really good and they haven't had Mike Conley yet.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they have Mike Conley. I don't know, but this year.

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Speaker 1: On the road Utah is nineteen eighteen and one to

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Speaker 1: the over. The Clippers at home this year are nineteen

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Speaker 1: nineteen and two. Two of the last three have gone

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Speaker 1: oh sorry, two last five for the Clippers have gone

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Speaker 1: over five and five over the last ten, four and

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Speaker 1: one for the Utah Jazz. Last game went over six

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Speaker 1: and four overall to the over six and four over

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Speaker 1: less ten for Utah to the over. Game one, it

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Speaker 1: was two twenty two. It barely missed. It went under

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Speaker 1: by one point. Game two total of two to twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. It went over by four and

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Speaker 1: a half points the one seventeen one eleven victory.

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Speaker 2: It went over.

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Speaker 1: The total is two twenty three and a half again,

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Speaker 1: same total as before. And maybe the Clippers really slow

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Speaker 1: things down and maybe they just take the air out

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Speaker 1: of the ball. But I think Utah is gonna run.

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Speaker 1: Utah is on a pretty good stre here. Uh.

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Speaker 2: Let's see.

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Speaker 1: That's now six of the last seven games for the

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Speaker 1: Utah Jazz have gone over. Okay, they ended the five

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Speaker 1: games at the end of the at the end of

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Speaker 1: the Memphis season series all went over, including both games

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Speaker 1: on the road against Memphis where it was over by

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Speaker 1: six and a half and over by eight points, respectively.

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Speaker 1: And then the last game at home against Memphis, we're

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Speaker 1: over by nine and a half. They're not blowing past

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Speaker 1: it with like huge numbers, but they are clearing it.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna come back here with the Utah Jazz and

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Speaker 1: the LA Clippers. We're going over to twenty three and

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Speaker 1: a half for their game here for game number three

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Speaker 1: in La, Utah and the Clippers over to twenty three

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Speaker 1: and a half, and we get a lot of offense,

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Speaker 1: hopefully a lot of fouls, a lot of free throws

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Speaker 1: and whatnot to get us to the over of two

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Speaker 1: twenty three for Utah and the LA Clippers. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: those are the plays coming up. Here's a quick recap

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Speaker 1: as where we're at. We are going half a unit

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Speaker 1: figuredo and moreno inside the distance. Mine's one thirty five

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Speaker 1: Israel Asnya by decision at plus one sixty five quarter

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Speaker 1: unit Edwards and Diez goes the distance plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: at a quarter unit, not saying who wins that, just

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Speaker 1: it goes to the distance and then a three fight

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Speaker 1: parlay figuredo Adasanya Edwards half a unit at plus one

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Speaker 1: forty five to come in in a three fight parlay

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Speaker 1: two hit coming up here today for the UFC and

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Speaker 1: Jazz and Clippers. Over to twenty three and a half

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Speaker 1: for a total for half a unit for the NBA

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Speaker 1: at minus one ten. Those are A plays minus Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, we are here for the Delijuice Podcast,

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Speaker 1: Pros dot com