1 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:10,959 Speaker 2: Let us focus on the numbers, the bait from EBS, 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 2: also the broader macro landscape. 4 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: Here's the CEO, says Amotti. 5 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 3: And if I look at the market and geopolitical front, 6 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 3: the US election for sure won't be an uneventful. 7 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: Topic. 8 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 3: So I think that no matter what wins and how 9 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 3: they win, and how things play out, so you're going 10 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:33,560 Speaker 3: to see changes and movements in markets. So we remain 11 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 3: to be seeing how investors will react to that. 12 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: The US election is exactly seven days from now. How 13 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: do you prepare for that? 14 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 3: Well, we are prepared to basically stay closer to clients, 15 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,919 Speaker 3: advising them and you know how to eventually position themselves 16 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 3: and take advantage of any movements. But also from a 17 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 3: bank stand point of view, of course, we are always 18 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 3: prepared for major events. 19 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: But so what do you exactly worry about? 20 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 2: Is it market volatile uncertainty or is it also the 21 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 2: impact for example, of a Trump pregnancy on tariffs and 22 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 2: non bank regulation. 23 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 3: Now that one is not really the issue. I think. 24 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 3: I think that right now markets, the markets are pricing 25 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 3: rather a Trump victory, and think that if this is 26 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 3: confirmed in the. 27 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 1: Remains to be seen. 28 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 3: Is a classical seal or news event or how we 29 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:25,119 Speaker 3: wins will be also determining, you know, is in control 30 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 3: of the Congress. If Kamala Harris wins. You know, of 31 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 3: course some of the trades that are ongoing in for 32 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 3: for Trump will probably have to be reconsidered, and therefore 33 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,959 Speaker 3: they're going to create rotations in the market. 34 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: And UH and and other movements. 35 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 3: So I think, as I mentioned, it's not going to 36 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 3: be an uneventful topic. 37 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: Does that mean, you know, extra inflation and how do 38 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 2: you think it impacts you know, is there going to 39 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: be a standstill of M and A again depending on 40 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 2: what happens and who wins and how they win. 41 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 3: No inflation, I don't know. Inflation is probably going to 42 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 3: be more, you know, a consequence of the ability of 43 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 3: central banks to really do the last touch and really 44 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 3: bring core inflation below their targets and and and the 45 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 3: risk there is probably more coming from the geopolitical front. 46 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 3: Any any dislocation in the respect of supply chains, energy access, 47 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: energy prices can bring back inflation to a level that 48 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,919 Speaker 3: may slow down at the pace of rate cuts. And 49 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 3: but on the rest, I think that we are well 50 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 3: prepared for any scenario surgery. 51 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 2: On chair buybacks, I mean, you have a pretty hefty, uh, 52 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 2: you know number that you want to give back. 53 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: How is there anything that puts that at risk? 54 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 3: Well, I mean it's fairly modest compared to what UBS 55 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 3: and other banks are doing nowadays. Is somehow reflecting the 56 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 3: fact that we are still midway into the integration. We 57 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 3: need to still absorb a lot of cost to restructure 58 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 3: and create a Swiss So I think that despite the 59 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 3: fact that we have very strong results, we are still 60 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 3: a halfway in the journey to restore the profitability levels 61 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 3: that are allowing us to have the similar return on 62 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 3: capital we had before the acquisition. 63 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 2: But again there are many questions about extra capital requirements 64 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 2: also by the Swiss authorities. 65 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: How does that impact actually you're thinking, I'm sure. 66 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 3: Buybacks and division that it's a consideration we always have 67 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 3: to think about. But in the short term this is 68 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 3: not going to affect our policy. We are executing our 69 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: twenty twenty four plans and we believe that also for 70 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: twenty twenty five is will not be a major issue. 71 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 3: And then of course we have to consider all the elements. 72 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 3: But our aim is to continue to Basically, our aim 73 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 3: is to deliver same levels of capital returns UBS said 74 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 3: before the acquisition by the end of twenty twenty six. 75 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 2: How are your conversations going with social authorities on these 76 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: capital requirements and where do you think the lands. 77 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: There's a range between ten billion and twenty billion. 78 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,279 Speaker 3: The conversations are still at technical levels, so I think 79 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 3: that is premature to the rest is going to be 80 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 3: once we finish technical level discussions and there's going to 81 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 3: be the consultation process. We are not in control of timing, 82 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 3: so in that sense, it's way too early to speculate 83 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 3: or on this matter. We do believe that we have 84 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 3: a very strong capital position and we do for a 85 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 3: proportionate outcome. 86 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: That was the ABSEO. 87 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 2: Of course, as you're mostly speaking to our colleference in 88 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 2: Lackwa