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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the Kickius Block Look College Football World, Stand,

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, plea.

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Speaker 2: Stumble the football. It's the lateral turn, a corner.

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Speaker 4: Of the shide, get you the lad table of the

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Speaker 4: fail to night.

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Speaker 5: It's not the sage of the game in the fight,

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Speaker 5: it's the.

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Speaker 2: Sage of the fight.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Act Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: This is the week eight college football betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 3: Stucky in with me as always is Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 2: Look.

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Speaker 3: I usually start with a nice greeting, check in to

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Speaker 3: see how you are. Don't care too much to do today.

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Speaker 3: We have a loaded show. We're getting to We've added

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Speaker 3: the big ten we had in the Mountain West Conference.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna get to all of those games this weekend

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Speaker 3: and then we're gonna run through.

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Speaker 5: The rest of the card to what we like. So

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Speaker 5: it's loaded. We don't have time for any screwing around.

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Speaker 5: Let's make some money.

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Speaker 3: All right, Let's first start off with the Big ten,

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Speaker 3: Nebraska at Ohio State. Ohio State's a twenty six and

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Speaker 3: a half point favorite at bet MGM, the official odds

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Speaker 3: provider of the Action Network podcast over under sixty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half. We know about Ohio State's offense, great

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Speaker 3: offensive line, tons of weapons. Justin Field's back at quarterback

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Speaker 3: looks like Master Tigue is a go at running back

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Speaker 3: Tray Sermon. The Oklahoma transfers there loaded offense. The defense

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Speaker 3: has a lot more questions. Obviously, when you lose Jeff

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Speaker 3: Akuda and Jayceung, you're gonna have to find people to

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Speaker 3: replace them. Ohio State generally reloads, and they look solid

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Speaker 3: at linebacker and they just bring in five stars. But

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Speaker 3: there's a potential that there's some growing pains early Nebraska. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 3: if Spielman transferred, they do bring a lot of production back.

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Speaker 3: Is this the year they take the jump? It's probably

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Speaker 3: gonna come down to Adrian Martinez. Was he hurt last year?

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Speaker 3: Is that why he had the drop off?

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Speaker 2: Was he not?

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Speaker 3: The offensive line, which struggled last year is intact. Maybe

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Speaker 3: they're better, but the defensive front are they just gonna

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Speaker 3: get manhandled here. I mean last year Ohio State scored

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Speaker 3: on eight of their first nine drives and just ran

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Speaker 3: all over Nebraska. Nebraska's secondary is a strength, but I

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Speaker 3: don't know how they necessarily stop the run here. I

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Speaker 3: think this line is high, but I do worry a

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Speaker 3: bit about Ohio State saying, all right, shortened season, we

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Speaker 3: need to get to the College foot playoff, style points matter.

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Speaker 3: Are they going to run it up here? How are

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Speaker 3: your thoughts on Nebraska Ohio State?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's the blue blood tax, right, it's the you're

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Speaker 5: gonna beat Clemson, Alabama and Ohio State. You're gonna pay

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Speaker 5: a tax on it. That's what this number is. I've

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Speaker 5: projected at nineteen. We say this at the beginning of

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Speaker 5: the season. We take the projections lighter in the first

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Speaker 5: couple of weeks because we want to know, we want

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Speaker 5: more data, we want some snaps, we want to see

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Speaker 5: what's going on. And to me, this is impossible to

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Speaker 5: trust Nebraska. I would love to make a case and

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Speaker 5: tell everybody numbers too high. We got to play the

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Speaker 5: corn Huskers. Twenty seven fumbles lost in twenty nineteen, and

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Speaker 5: you say, well, there's variance, there's fumble luck, these things

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Speaker 5: come out, they pop into anybody's hands. It's a coin flip.

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Speaker 5: Who's gonna get it? Twenty eight fumbles in twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 5: This is an identity. Scott Frost is fielding teams. It

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Speaker 5: has no ball control whatsoever. You could blame Major and Martinez,

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Speaker 5: but I mean some coaching has to step in at

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Speaker 5: some point. They have these complete breakdowns. Colorado comes to mind,

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Speaker 5: where they had a huge lead and it went to

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Speaker 5: overtime and they're just taking themselves out of aimes completely.

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Speaker 5: They were one hundred and twenty third and havoc allowed

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Speaker 5: last year. I'm not really sure that that's going to stop.

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Speaker 5: I'm not sure that that's going to relieve itself and

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Speaker 5: they're gonna have a bounce back here and taking care

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Speaker 5: of the ball. Martin has had a fumble and three

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Speaker 5: I t's against Ohio State last year. I mean, they

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Speaker 5: ran for almost two hundred yards, but they just got

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Speaker 5: ran over by a truck with these guys, and Martinez

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Speaker 5: didn't help the cause. You know, Klid Davis and Carlos Davis,

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Speaker 5: they had twelve sacks. They're both now in the NFL.

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Speaker 5: The rest of the roster on the defensive side of

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Speaker 5: the ball only had fourteen, so they lose some big

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Speaker 5: playmakers over on the defensive side of the ball. And

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Speaker 5: I've just never been a big fan of Eric Schnander

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Speaker 5: as a defensive coordinator. It worked at Central Florida against

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Speaker 5: group of five teams with how aggressive he is and

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Speaker 5: the blitz out of the three four, it just hasn't

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Speaker 5: worked at this level whatsoever. And he's not taking his

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Speaker 5: foot off the pedal as far as sitting in the blitz.

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Speaker 5: Now on the Ohio State side, you mentioned it, Master

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Speaker 5: Tig's there, Terry Sermons there taking over running back for JK. Dobbins.

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Speaker 5: The offensive line has two starters back, but don't really

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Speaker 5: read into that. Look at the number snaps. They had

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Speaker 5: three other offensive linemen that are quartered one hundred and

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Speaker 5: seventy snaps. Ohio State's fine on the offensive line with

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Speaker 5: the losses at wide receiver. I think the big question

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Speaker 5: for me, Stuck is are they going to run more twelve?

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Speaker 5: They ran a lot of twelve personnel last year. They

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Speaker 5: do have two tight ends that are coming back, and

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Speaker 5: Luke Ferrell and Jeremy ruckerd. I think they combined for

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Speaker 5: like six touchdowns last year, so there could be some

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Speaker 5: twelve and that could affect the pace of play for

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Speaker 5: Ohio State. They were known to go with a little

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Speaker 5: bit speed last year, especially with Dobbins there, but on

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Speaker 5: the defensive side of the ball. For me, does Ohio

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Speaker 5: State find answers to their havoc issues. You can't just

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Speaker 5: lose Chase Young and continue to attack the way that

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Speaker 5: you have in the past. I think it's going to

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Speaker 5: be a slower pace. I think there could be some

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Speaker 5: more mix of twelve fields. Has new weapons on the outside,

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Speaker 5: he's got to get comfortable with. I think the Huskers

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Speaker 5: are going to use the exact same plan that they

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Speaker 5: had last year. They're going to limit Martinez throwing the ball.

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Speaker 5: I mean they threw for like fifty four percent of

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Speaker 5: the time, but they ran the ball most last year

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Speaker 5: to limit the mistakes. Last year, your Huskers ran thirty

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Speaker 5: nine times versus passing it seventeen. Ohio State still truck them.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna take Ohio State in the first half here

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Speaker 5: with Penn State on deck, I wouldn't be surprised if

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Speaker 5: they come out. Maybe they run twelve. I think they'll

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Speaker 5: blow some explosive plays. They're gonna tear up that front seven.

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Speaker 5: They'll probably get six yards of carry. You know, I

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Speaker 5: think it's gonna be no problem for I to cover

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Speaker 5: the first half. After that, you don't know if they're

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Speaker 5: gonna punt sit on the ball. I do think we

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Speaker 5: need to pay attention though, if this is a slower

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Speaker 5: paced Ohio State team.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm not worried about their weapons on

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Speaker 3: the outside. I mean, they just they have so much

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Speaker 3: talent on the outside. But you're right, it might take

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Speaker 3: some time to develop some chemistry there. I mean, Nebraska's

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Speaker 3: gonna have to get a special day from Wandel Robinson.

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Speaker 3: Play is gonna be playing a lot more in the slot.

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Speaker 3: He's gonna have to break a few plays to have

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Speaker 3: a shot. I might if Nebraska gets a twenty eight,

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Speaker 3: I might actually have to date them, or I just

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Speaker 3: might look at the second half. I might look at

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Speaker 3: a second half play here. I played Nebraska second half

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Speaker 3: last year and they covered. We'll see how Zach Harrison looks,

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Speaker 3: by the way at d end. I mean, he's getting

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Speaker 3: some comparis since is the next great defensive end at

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Speaker 3: Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: Make sure you check out right up.

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Speaker 3: We'll have on all of these games every game in

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Speaker 3: the Big Ten up on the Action Network app and

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Speaker 3: Actionnetwork dot Com. All right, let's move on here to

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Speaker 3: one of the most mysterious games on the board in

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Speaker 3: the Big Ten. Rutgers at Michigan State at BETMGM. Michigan

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Speaker 3: State is a thirteen and a half point favored over

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Speaker 3: under forty four.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 3: Two new head coaches here, Michigan State. It's the Mel

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Speaker 3: Tucker error. He was hired in February after D'Antonio left,

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Speaker 3: what right before signing day, and then spring got canceled.

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Speaker 2: And so it's like, what is this Michigan State tea?

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Speaker 2: They only have seven returning starters I think six or seven.

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Speaker 3: It's a whole new defense outside of up front, a

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Speaker 3: whole new offense, a new offensive coordinator, I mean, everything

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Speaker 3: is I mean their defense lost four off Big Ten players,

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Speaker 3: new coordinators, new coach, I mean, all this turn over

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Speaker 3: on the roster. Then on the flip side, you have

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Speaker 3: Rutgers who hired Greg Ciano, and you know he has

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Speaker 3: new offensive coordinator Shawn Gleason from Oklahoma State, that is

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Speaker 3: gonna try to turn around this offensive was one hundred

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Speaker 3: and twenty ninth in scoring last year. You know, and

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Speaker 3: they have a new defensive coordinator and Rob Smith, who

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Speaker 3: I think wants to attack more. Shiano is a four

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Speaker 3: to three guy, but probably expect three to four year

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Speaker 3: because the Rutgers best aspect their defense is at linebacker.

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Speaker 3: The best thing I can say about Rutgers is they

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Speaker 3: have good special teams at least good punter. There are

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Speaker 3: eleventh offensive coordinator in eleven years. There's a reason, you know,

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Speaker 3: Shiana wanted a what seven or eight year deal. It's

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Speaker 3: gonna take some time. He's need to replenish the recruiting

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Speaker 3: classes and get this thing headed in the right direction.

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Speaker 3: So this is not like a year that they're trying

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Speaker 3: to win. So a lot of unknowns here. Look, there

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Speaker 3: is some returning experience on the defense. It's not a

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Speaker 3: great defense, but if the offense can give them anything,

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Speaker 3: it'll help. Like their offense, they couldn't get off the

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Speaker 3: defenses on the field the whole game because their offense

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Speaker 3: was so bad. So I don't know, it's this is

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Speaker 3: a tough game to project. I hate Michigan State games

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Speaker 3: after they tortured me, by the way, and you know this,

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Speaker 3: Harvey just wants to take the points, take the thirteen

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Speaker 3: and a half, maybe fourteen in a game with an

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Speaker 3: over under forty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here? Make gets some sense of

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Speaker 2: this mess?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's hard to make sense of this mess. And

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Speaker 5: I'll do the best that I can. The feelings that

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Speaker 5: I had about Arkansas a little over a month ago

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Speaker 5: was I like the head coach higher and I like

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Speaker 5: the fact that the head coach at this program is

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Speaker 5: doing a CEO type job where he's delegating to his

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Speaker 5: coordinators and letting them run the show. And so what

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Speaker 5: Chiano has done is he's gone out and got Sean Gleeson,

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Speaker 5: the offensive coordinator you would think from Oklahoma State, he

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Speaker 5: was previously breaking records at Princeton. Really just want a

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Speaker 5: fantastic mind on the offensive side of the ball, and

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Speaker 5: he's gonna have full control about what happens over there,

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Speaker 5: and then on the defensive side of the ball. Rob Smith,

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Speaker 5: I know him very well. He did a great job

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Speaker 5: at Arkansas. He did not get along. I believe with

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Speaker 5: Brett Beelam very much. I'm a big fan of Rob Smith.

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Speaker 5: The problem is the Rutgers defense is an infusion of

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Speaker 5: like a thousand transfers and so It's impossible for me

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Speaker 5: to sit here and say how good they're going to

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Speaker 5: do when you've got you know, everybody that was on

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Speaker 5: like you know, everybody in the Last Chance You world

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Speaker 5: that is transferred into this program. So I have no

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Speaker 5: clue how talented they're going to be. Go to the

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Speaker 5: other side to Michigan State. I have not liked Miltucker.

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Speaker 5: This Colorado hiher you know, came in from Georgia, had

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Speaker 5: really no head credentials at all to get the job,

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Speaker 5: and now falls into Michigan State after February after I think,

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Speaker 5: I think D'Antonio, I think he locked in his bonus.

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Speaker 5: I think that was the reason for the timing of

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Speaker 5: when he actually retired. But you know, Meltucker goes and

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Speaker 5: gets defensive coordinator Scott Hazleton out of Kansas State, formerly

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Speaker 5: of North Dakota State, you know, and he's bringing in

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Speaker 5: a complete scheme changes. I don't like teams in game

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Speaker 5: one they're doing scheme changes, especially on both sides of

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Speaker 5: the ball. Michigan State has like zero returning production on

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Speaker 5: forty three percent on offense, forty nine percent on defense.

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Speaker 5: What I do know is that mel Tucker shouldn't be

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Speaker 5: spot in thirteen to anybody except maybe UMass, but maybe

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Speaker 5: he'll prove me wrong. This is probably ultimately I'm going

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Speaker 5: to be a stay away game. But I do like

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Speaker 5: the direction of Rutgers. I'm looking for something here. Maybe

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Speaker 5: Michigan covers, we get a box score fraud, and you

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Speaker 5: and I can ride Rutgers for two weeks.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, very tough game to kap. Learn a lot about

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Speaker 3: both teams. Those are the two noon Big Ten games.

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Speaker 3: Let's move on to much more intriguing three thirty Eastern

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Speaker 3: Big Ten games. We'll start with Iowa at Purdue at

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Speaker 3: bet MGM. Iowa is a three point favorite over under

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Speaker 3: fifty three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I took some Perdue plus three and a half earlier

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Speaker 2: in the week.

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Speaker 3: I like this team a lot, and I'll give you

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Speaker 3: a couple of reasons why I like Purdue as a

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Speaker 3: home dog.

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Speaker 2: Gear Remember one Ronde Moore.

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Speaker 3: Decided to opt back in, which is obviously huge. One

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Speaker 3: Prdue didn't release a depth chart for this game, even

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Speaker 3: though Iowa released one last week, which was very odd.

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Speaker 3: Kind of just said fuck you to Iowa. But I

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Speaker 3: assume that Plumber will start at quarterback. O'Connell's also in

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Speaker 3: the mix. But you know this offense is going to

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Speaker 3: be electric with Bell and Rondel Moore, who's gonna play

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Speaker 3: in the NFL and be really effective.

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Speaker 2: There is a new defensive.

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Speaker 3: Coordinator in town and Bob Diaco, our favorite podcast favorite,

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Speaker 3: Bob Diaco, is going to run his three to four scheme.

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Speaker 4: I love to cook, So you're gonna make a vanilla cake.

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Speaker 6: You just reach into the pantry and grab a jar

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Speaker 6: and you put it in there.

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Speaker 5: But you grab the fish oil.

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Speaker 4: You know, now you got a fish cake and the

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Speaker 4: jars look the same.

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Speaker 3: The defensive line has promised now because Lorenzo Neil comes back.

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Speaker 3: This defense was just tort I mean, the old team

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Speaker 3: is tortured by injuries last year, but Neil was just

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Speaker 3: such a huge loss. Getting him back in the interior

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Speaker 3: that defensive line, Carl aftis that defensive end. The defensive

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Speaker 3: line actually has a lot of potential with Neil back.

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Speaker 3: There's some questions on the end, but some potential. I

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Speaker 3: just think Purdue is being undervalue based on what we

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Speaker 3: saw last year. But a lot of that, a lot

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Speaker 3: of what happened was just out of their control. Just

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Speaker 3: so many injuries and so many things went wrong on

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Speaker 3: the other end. Here's what I don't like about Iowa.

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Speaker 3: I actually think that their offense will be okay, even

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Speaker 3: though they lost Stanley at quarterback, who's made thirty nine

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Speaker 3: straight starts, so there's probably gonna be Spencer Petris was

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Speaker 3: probably gonna be some growing pains there, but he has

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Speaker 3: loaded skill positions right, Goodson at running back, Smith and

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Speaker 3: Smith Moore set on the outside. They did lose Tristan

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Speaker 3: Wurf's at right tackle to the NFL, but Koy Kronk

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Speaker 3: comes in from Indiana and he'll slide into the right tackle.

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Speaker 3: So I think they'll be fine here. But I think

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Speaker 3: there's going to be a significant regression on the defensive.

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Speaker 2: Side of the ball.

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Speaker 3: I mean, Epineza and Gino Stone leaving early really crossed

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Speaker 3: this team. It's not a you know, a team that

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Speaker 3: gets Elite four and five stars and just reloads right.

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Speaker 2: It's a team.

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Speaker 3: And they lost twenty of their thirty three from last year.

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Speaker 3: So I think that the defense, you know, the three

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Speaker 3: new defensive line starters outside of Goalston, so I think

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Speaker 3: the defense is going to take a big step back.

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Speaker 3: I mean, look, they lost their top corner too. Ojimia

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Speaker 3: was I was a huge fan of who was playing

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Speaker 3: a lot in Denver. You know, one of the things

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Speaker 3: that I'm taking I'm going out on a limb on

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Speaker 3: here is Kirk Farence is a huge player development guy.

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Speaker 7: Right.

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Speaker 3: He does a fantastic job with the players that he

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Speaker 3: gets in, runs his system. He really develops players, and

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Speaker 3: that's one of the reasons why Iowa's been very successful.

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Speaker 3: Not an elite program, but a successful program for.

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Speaker 2: So many years.

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Speaker 3: So I think if there's one team that could be

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Speaker 3: really hurt more so than others from this COVID delays

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Speaker 3: and lack of spring and you know, shortened summer, it

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Speaker 3: would be Iowa and that lack of development, lack of

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Speaker 3: practice and where Farence really works his magic. So I

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Speaker 3: like the home dog gear in a game I make

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Speaker 3: closer to a pick. It's a rebuilding year for Iowa

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Speaker 3: on the defensive side of the ball. I think that

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Speaker 3: shows here against the electric Purdue receivers.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I completely agree with you everything that Iowa lose,

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Speaker 5: especially on the defensive side of the ball. I mean,

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Speaker 5: Golston coming back is great, but they lost their top tackler.

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Speaker 5: G know, some geno Stone. I mean, there's some talent,

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Speaker 5: but there's some huge holes there on the Iowa defense.

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Speaker 5: Switching over to the offensive side of Iowa, you know,

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Speaker 5: they lose Tristan Wurfs, and they lost the Pulse and Brothers.

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Speaker 5: They're gone from the offensive line, and they have a

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Speaker 5: handful of players. They got some playing time, but you're

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Speaker 5: right about the development. It's not like they got enough

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Speaker 5: to be considered, you know, returning starters. I mean, I

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Speaker 5: think it's an issue. But my problem is with the

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Speaker 5: Purdue defensive line there. I hate to use the word,

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Speaker 5: but they're soft. I mean, they're just not. They don't

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Speaker 5: create any havoc whatsoever. They don't push the line of scrimmage.

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Speaker 5: They don't own the line of scrimmage. You know, the

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Speaker 5: perdue front seven has got to play better for this

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Speaker 5: team to be successful. But the good news is, you know,

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Speaker 5: the offense is completely gonna pick up the slack here.

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Speaker 5: I love Purdue in this game too. I was ready

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Speaker 5: to bet them until Jeff Brohm got knocked out with COVID.

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Speaker 5: In the fact, he's not going to be there at

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Speaker 5: this game. Now we talk about Nick Saban being worth

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Speaker 5: two points two and a half points of the spread

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Speaker 5: against Georgia Urban Myers were two points of the spread

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Speaker 5: when he was out for the first three games. Brom

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Speaker 5: is at least worth two points. He has called the

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Speaker 5: plays at every single stop he has made in his career,

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Speaker 5: even when he was oc for Bobby Petrino. You know, so, now,

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Speaker 5: who's going to call the plays? Brian Brom first time

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Speaker 5: over his brother and says he's up for the challenge.

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Speaker 5: But it is his first time ever to call offensive plays. Now,

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Speaker 5: this is not a tough call, Aidan O'Connell, Jack Plumber,

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Speaker 5: which I think Jack Plumber is going to get start.

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Speaker 5: You take the snap, You look over to Rondell Moore.

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Speaker 5: If you can get it to him, if he's got

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Speaker 5: a cushion, great, If not, you turn the other way.

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Speaker 5: You hit Bell, Bell's thousand yard receiver. Last year, seventy

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Speaker 5: six percent of this offense is back plagued with injuries.

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Speaker 5: Last year, Perdue was it was just kind of a

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Speaker 5: lost year. But they still showed fight and that was

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Speaker 5: just a signature of Jeff bram is it. Even after

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Speaker 5: this team could make a Bowl, they were still fighting

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Speaker 5: tooth and nail to get everything that could. You know

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Speaker 5: Iowa has some of the biggest losses in the country.

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Speaker 5: I love Purdue and their skills set that they got,

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Speaker 5: especially on outside, and I'm excited for them to take

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Speaker 5: some take down somebody. I'm a little nervous with this

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Speaker 5: game when it comes to Brian Brom calling the plays

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Speaker 5: for his first time ever. I think it's factored into

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Speaker 5: the points spread right now since I make this, you know,

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Speaker 5: basically Iowa minus one, so I think three is probably

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Speaker 5: the proper number. I might put a play in on Purdue.

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Speaker 5: I want to see if this team's a little bit

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Speaker 5: I'd like a little bit more. If Brom was there,

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Speaker 5: I would absolutely play it no matter what I think.

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Speaker 5: Best case scenario, I hope you win your bet, maybe

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Speaker 5: Purdue loses, and then hopefully we get to keep playing it.

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Speaker 5: But Purdue is a huge play on team for the

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Speaker 5: rest of conference play.

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Speaker 2: Well, keep in mind that, Brom.

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Speaker 3: I guess you have to say multiple proms here, Bryan,

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Speaker 3: Jeff Right, Jeff Brom will Purdue on behalf of Jeff

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Speaker 3: Brom filed an appeal to allow Jeff Brom to have

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Speaker 3: contact with the coaches box on Saturday. There's still no ruling,

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Speaker 3: so that could potentially help a bit. You know, he

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Speaker 3: can say here's what I'm saying, here's what we need

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Speaker 3: to attack, and you know his input. It's not going

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Speaker 3: to be on a play by play basis, but yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean Prdue can't run the ball, so it's like,

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Speaker 3: all right, let's get the ball to Bell.

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Speaker 2: Let's get the ball two more in space. That's basically it.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the second the other

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Speaker 3: game at three point thirty Eastern. This one's on Fox

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Speaker 3: Sports one. I work who's on Big ten Network. Indiana

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Speaker 3: hosting Penn State. Indiana is a five and a half

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Speaker 3: point home dog at bet MGM, the official arts provider

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Speaker 3: of the Action of our podcast Over Under sixty and

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Speaker 3: a half. I love the Hoosiers here. I bought to

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Speaker 3: seven way early in the week. I had a feeling

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Speaker 3: it was gonna come down. I think this was on Tuesday.

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Speaker 3: Just a feeling, and luckily it worked out because it

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Speaker 3: has come down a bit. Look here, I there's this

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Speaker 3: Indiana team. Can they finally get over the hump and

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Speaker 3: beat one of these elite teams in the Big Ten?

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Speaker 3: I don't know, but they return a ton of production.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they returned on the defense side of the ball,

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Speaker 3: and I think their return more production than anyone else

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Speaker 3: in the Big Ten. Although losing Marcelina Ball he was

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Speaker 3: who plays their husky position of hybrid defensive back linebacker.

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Speaker 3: He's out for the year with an ACL injury that

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Speaker 3: could loom large. They have a really talented kid, think

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Speaker 3: a local kid out of Indianapolis. Fitzgerald is going to

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Speaker 3: take his place, who's a ton of talent. But keep

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Speaker 3: your eye on that. They lost Rakewon Jones and linebacker

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Speaker 3: as well, but they bring the rest of the defenses

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Speaker 3: coming back.

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Speaker 2: The offensive side of the ball is.

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Speaker 3: Where people are most excited about Indiana this year. You

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Speaker 3: have Pennis coming back at quarterback, you have STEVIEE. Smith

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Speaker 3: at running back, and then you have some just dynamic

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Speaker 3: receivers led by Maybe if Indiana pulls off this this upset,

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Speaker 3: he might become a podcast saver. Wap failure wah wah

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Speaker 3: wah wa whop. Oh. Yeah, well that's a derogatory term

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Speaker 3: for Italians, but I'm Italian, so you know I didn't

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Speaker 3: mean it that way.

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Speaker 2: Anyway.

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Speaker 3: Tilure is amazing and he could go for ten to

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Speaker 3: twelve catches out of the slot he's unguardable. You can't

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Speaker 3: press him otherwise he just blows by you with the

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Speaker 3: speed and you can't kind of cushion him because get

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Speaker 3: over five hundred yards after the catch. Last year, two

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Speaker 3: star kid just he's gonna play in the pros and

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Speaker 3: be really effective. Luckily for Indiana he forgo. He chose

433
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:29,720
Speaker 3: not to do that and come back this year. But

434
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:35,679
Speaker 3: Indiana's passing offense should be explosive against and their running

435
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,440
Speaker 3: attack should be pretty good too. Against a Penn State

436
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 3: secondary that was really bad last year outside the top

437
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:45,400
Speaker 3: one hundred and some stats, it looks like they're gonna

438
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 3: have some youth starting at corner. They're moving some guys around.

439
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 3: I mean, you have to remember this is a Penn

440
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 3: State team that on defense lost all three starting linebackers.

441
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:58,639
Speaker 3: They lost Gross Mattos Micah Parsons, who was arguably the

442
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 3: best defensive player college football opted out. You know, they

443
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,480
Speaker 3: had a linebackers down an NFL team. The safety is

444
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 3: down in an NFL team. This defense lost a ton

445
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:08,639
Speaker 3: on the offensive side of the ball. How much did

446
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 3: kJ Hamler do for Penn State's offense. You don't have him.

447
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 3: It's the you know, Penn State obviously great recruiting classes.

448
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 3: They're reloading with very talented kids, but inexperienced receiving group

449
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,560
Speaker 3: and Hamiler just bailed them out time after time. For

450
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 3: Sean Clifford, the offensive line is good, one of the

451
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 3: best tight ends in college football that they'll be able

452
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 3: to rely on. But also Journey Brown, this sleeper Heisman Canada.

453
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 3: He's out for the year with an underlying medical condition.

454
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 3: So this Penn State team is going through a lot

455
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 3: of changes, and I think their secondary is right for

456
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,719
Speaker 3: the picking. I think Indiana can take advantage. The biggest

457
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 3: question I have for Indiana is their offensive line. They

458
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 3: bring a lot of experience back, but they're moving like

459
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:51,040
Speaker 3: their right guard to center, their center to left guard,

460
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 3: their left tackle to right tackle, so they so he

461
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 3: can be the blind side of Pennix who's a left hander,

462
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,680
Speaker 3: and then the right tackle to left tackle. So is

463
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 3: all that going to work out against the Penn State

464
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,399
Speaker 3: defensive front, which is still really good, But it does

465
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 3: help that Michael Parsons isn't there. It goes Mattos is

466
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,439
Speaker 3: gone and they're top They have to replace their all

467
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 3: their starting linebackers. So I think because of that I

468
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 3: trust Indiana here. I think they're gonna have a chance

469
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,480
Speaker 3: to win this game.

470
00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 5: What say you, Well, there's two things that we didn't

471
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 5: mention here so far, and that is the offensive coordinators

472
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 5: on both sides of them, on both teams. And you

473
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 5: know we talked already about Minnesota about how their offensive

474
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,360
Speaker 5: coordinator left, Kirk Soroka. He is now the Penn State

475
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 5: offensive coordinator. That is, i probably the biggest upgrade in

476
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:33,360
Speaker 5: college football over Ricky Rain.

477
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:34,800
Speaker 7: Uh.

478
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 5: You know, Soroka gets a loaded offensive line. But you

479
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 5: already mentioned. I mean Sean Clifford is gonna be looking

480
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 5: for his kJ Hamlin replacement. I mean that guy, uh

481
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 5: got Clifford out of some jams and made highlight reels

482
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 5: all day. Now, you know, playing for the Denver Broncos.

483
00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 2: Uh, you could just get it.

484
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 5: To him, and he made the stats look so good. Yeah,

485
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 5: he made Sean Clifford look so good from a passing perspective.

486
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 5: So you know, Penn State's got to figure that out.

487
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 5: But I believe I will continue to believe in Penn

488
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,919
Speaker 5: State's offensive coordinator no matter where he goes. I mean,

489
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 5: what he was able to do with Minnesota last year

490
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 5: is pretty unbelievable on the defensive side of the ball

491
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,639
Speaker 5: for penn Say, you're right, Mack Parsons is gone, but

492
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 5: I mean there's still plenty of playmakers there on defense,

493
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 5: but we don't know who the next man up as

494
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 5: far as tackles for loss, as far as sacks and

495
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,399
Speaker 5: quarterback hurries. You know, And I think you're right, Pennix

496
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 5: is a quarterback that just he doesn't get enough national press.

497
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 5: And you know, the Indiana offense returned seventy four percent

498
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 5: of a unit that was twenty eighth and success rate.

499
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 5: But let's talk about that twenty eighth and success rate.

500
00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,439
Speaker 5: How much credit does that go to Kaylen Debor. I mean,

501
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 5: he had to work with a two quarterback system. Two

502
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 5: different quarterbacks are not even really same style of quarterback.

503
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 5: He's moved on to Fresno. Quarterback coach Nick Sheridan is

504
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 5: taking over. Is he going to try to change what

505
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 5: Debor was doing? Is he going to have his own

506
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 5: offensive system? So there's still a little bit of a

507
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,719
Speaker 5: question there. I doubt that he changes much, but it's

508
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 5: still not Kaylin Debors. So we'll see how that plays out.

509
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 5: And you know, head coach Tom Allen, his roots were

510
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,480
Speaker 5: as a DC, he gets a two percent of his

511
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 5: d back that ranked thirty ninth and success rate. I

512
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 5: don't expect to fall off from Indiana as far as

513
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 5: you know, the defensive side of the ball. I like

514
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,360
Speaker 5: Indiana overall in this season. I have this game power

515
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,399
Speaker 5: rated at eight. But you throw in you know, the

516
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 5: Journey Brown, you throw in you know, all these elements

517
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 5: that are kind of hitting Penn State, and I know,

518
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 5: I mean that's the reason why the number has fallen

519
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,239
Speaker 5: so much. But I feel like after you know, now

520
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 5: that we're down around you know, bet MGM number of

521
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 5: five and a half, we are fastly approaching Penn State

522
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 5: by territory, and so I think, you know, for me,

523
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 5: it's a no. For me, it's a no play at

524
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 5: five and a half. Now, Penn State does have Ohio

525
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:40,919
Speaker 5: State on deck next week, but I don't expect them

526
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:42,159
Speaker 5: to get a big lead and just sit on the

527
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 5: ball here. I mean, I think they might actually be

528
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 5: thinking about Penn State and get themselves in trouble and

529
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 5: have to try to come back in this game. But

530
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 5: you know, this is a game I wanted Indiana. I

531
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 5: didn't get anything, you know, I didn't get anything. I

532
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 5: didn't get seven, I didn't get seven and a half.

533
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,639
Speaker 5: I would have taken it earlier in the weekend. I

534
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 5: should have, but I didn't so I could play it live.

535
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 5: But if this thing, you know is jack down to

536
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 5: Penn State minus three comes Saturday morning, you're officially in

537
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,440
Speaker 5: Penn State by territory. But you know, I have a

538
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 5: feeling that Indiana is going to become a very public

539
00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 5: dog because there is a lot being talked about on

540
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 5: what's bad about the Penn State side, but we're not

541
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 5: looking at the fact that they have a huge coaching,

542
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 5: upgraded offensive coordinator.

543
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 3: Well, the live is a really good point if you

544
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 3: missed the seven, because we talked about all year on

545
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 3: the podcast last year how great Sean Clifford was in

546
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: a scripted portion of games. Early on, Penn State jumped

547
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 3: out every game seven nothing. So if you didn't get

548
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,719
Speaker 3: Indiana and want them, there's a good chance you might

549
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 3: be able to get them at seven or better early on.

550
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 3: I don't forget about Fried Fogel at receiver for Indiana.

551
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 3: My Indiana people will be mad if I don't mention him.

552
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 3: In Peyton Hendershot a tight end Indiana offense is really good.

553
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,639
Speaker 3: Oh and by the way, I have a couple friends

554
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,880
Speaker 3: in Cleveland who are huge Ohio State fens. They will

555
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 3: kill me. I don't mention Julian Fleming. Check him out

556
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 3: that one of the wide receivers for a house. He

557
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 3: was a number one recruit in the nation and should

558
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 3: be a star. I'm excited to watch him. All right,

559
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 3: let's move on to our next Big ten game, and

560
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:18,400
Speaker 3: let's go to We're gonna stay chronologically here, So seven

561
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 3: thirty Eastern ABC Michigan at Minnesota. Michigan is a three

562
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 3: point favorite at BETMGM over under fifty.

563
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 2: Four and a half. There are some rumblings.

564
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 3: From Minnesota standpoint that there could be some COVID issues.

565
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 3: There's rumors out there that Fallelly and Dunlap. I think

566
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 3: Philly what is he like six nine, four hundred and

567
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 3: ten pounds the right tackle and Dunlap their right guard.

568
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 3: I swear to god, he's like six nine four hundred

569
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 3: and he just scored a touchdown last year. The word

570
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 3: is that they're not going to play, but they might

571
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,159
Speaker 3: not have been ready anyway, Like dun Lap was going

572
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,239
Speaker 3: to transfer and then was in the transfer portal. Then

573
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 3: decided to come back. Filelly was recovering from an injury.

574
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 3: In Minnesota a really deep offensive line, but I don't

575
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 3: know who else could potentially be out. Michigan's a big

576
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 3: unknown to me with how much they lost. Minnesota obviously

577
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 3: good offensive line, they lost a couple backs. They do

578
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 3: have Ibrahim back, they lost an NFL receiver and Tyler Johnson.

579
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 3: They do have a Sean Bateman back. But there's a

580
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:22,400
Speaker 3: lot of change in Minnesota. We know the defense wasn't

581
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 3: good and look Antoine Winfield. I mean, how much did

582
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,159
Speaker 3: he do for that defense? He's like playing is one

583
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 3: of the better safeties in the NFL in his rookie

584
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 3: year Tampa. So this game's hard for me to cap,

585
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 3: especially with the COVID uncertainty and not really knowing what

586
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 3: we're gonna get from Michigan.

587
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 2: Walk me through this one.

588
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:39,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, this was an easy cap for me. It's just

589
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 5: something that once I start off with the Minnesota offense.

590
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 5: Kirk Saraka has gone. We just said that about Penn State.

591
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 5: He is gone. He's at Penn State. So he was

592
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 5: the man the offensive coordinator, was a mastermind behind Tanner Morgan,

593
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 5: hitting Tyler Johnson, and Rashan Bateman all last year. He

594
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 5: was responsible for the scheme, for the play calling, for everything.

595
00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 5: He's gone. And I said this, you know, I said

596
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 5: this on another podcast earlier this week. This is the

597
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 5: biggest downgrade in offensive coordinator history. Mike Sanford was basically

598
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 5: walked out of the job in twenty sixteen at Notre Dame.

599
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 5: He was took Western Kentucky, a ball team that was

600
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 5: going to a bowl by Brahm and Petrino took him

601
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 5: down to three and nine before he was fired there went.

602
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 2: To Utah State.

603
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 5: You haven't heard about Utah State's offense in years. He

604
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 5: has been a downward spiral to every program he's been

605
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 5: involved in. And so when you take a big, big

606
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 5: jump an offensive coordinator from Saraka down to Sanford junior,

607
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,200
Speaker 5: it's going to affect the offense and the way that

608
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 5: the plays are called and the adjustments at halftime. It's

609
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 5: a really big deal. So for me, that's what I

610
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 5: was looking at from a Minnesota perspective. You know, the

611
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 5: defense loses a ton, just thirty three percent of that

612
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 5: d is back. They were forty second and success rate

613
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 5: Michigan is just such a mystery to me. See Patterson graduated,

614
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:55,360
Speaker 5: McCaffrey transfers, Joe Milton, who you know, I guess I

615
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 5: heard from uh Michigan fans is the next Cam Newton.

616
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 5: I heard that about Joey Gatewood as well. I've heard

617
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,959
Speaker 5: that about a lot of people, just because of his size.

618
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 5: You know, he's getting a lot of pub up there.

619
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 5: But it's just question marks all over this Josh Gaddis offense.

620
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 5: He was brought in from Alabama to install this spread

621
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 5: up tempo offense. I never saw it. And you know,

622
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 5: their tempo last year finished at fifty seventh. That's not fast.

623
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 5: You know, that's pretty average. You know, forty nine per

624
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 5: The defense from Michigan is back. They do have two

625
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 5: solid edge rushers that can pressure Tanner Morgan. For me,

626
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 5: this was pretty easy. Michigan has the lowest amount of

627
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 5: returning starters on the offensive side of the ball. I

628
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 5: think Josh Gaddis is still searching for an identity with

629
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 5: that program. Minnesota has a massive downgrade and offensive coordinator.

630
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 5: This is the first half under for me.

631
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 3: All the way, I may agree with you there, I

632
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 3: mean I am worried about Minnesota's defense. I mean they

633
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 3: lost all of their key cogs right Winfield, Coffelin, Barbara Martin.

634
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:55,120
Speaker 3: They have a great defensive tackle, but they have to

635
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 3: replace their defensive ends, so I don't know if they

636
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 3: can get pressure. I don't know how they're going to

637
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,239
Speaker 3: make up for the law Winfield on the back end.

638
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 3: Their corners are really the only corner in d tackle,

639
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 3: the only really position that you feel good about. But yeah,

640
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 3: I don't know with the Michigan offensive line, right, they

641
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 3: lost four offensive linemen in the NFL too. This offensive,

642
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 3: this offensive like did nothing last year. Yeah, I don't

643
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 3: know if I trust the Michigan offense as well. They're

644
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 3: with so much unknown. Yeah, I mean I think you

645
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 3: might have convinced me, which is why we do this podcast,

646
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 3: So maybe I'll.

647
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 2: Join you there. Good cap there.

648
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the final Big Ten game on

649
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 3: Saturday night that's at seven thirty Eastern.

650
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 2: It's not a pretty one. Oh my god, who cash

651
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:43,320
Speaker 2: Maryland plus eleven at Northwestern.

652
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 3: Northwestern's laying double digits, Cats, Cats over under fifty four

653
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,600
Speaker 3: and a half. I mean Northwestern, look, I mean, what

654
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 3: can you say about last year? They just they couldn't

655
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 3: do anything on offense. Nothing, But maybe they have a

656
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 3: quarterback now in Ramsey. The Indiana transfer. Maryland has so

657
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 3: many questions across the board, Like I wanted to fade

658
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 3: Maryland early. Can I lay eleven with northweston walk us

659
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 3: through this one?

660
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 5: Yeah? This is one of the This is the ugliest

661
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 5: game of the entire entire Big ten slate. It's a

662
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 5: game that I have projected at Northwestern minus twelve, the

663
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 5: lines at Northwestern minus eleven. Ultimately it's going to be

664
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 5: a stay away with these two. But I'll you know,

665
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 5: a couple brief notes. Maryland finished one hundred and twenty

666
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:30,120
Speaker 5: first offensive success rate, but Anthony McFarlane has moved on

667
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 5: to the NFL to the Steelers. Josh Jackson's opted out

668
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 5: of the season, so Talia Tago Tago Aola is expected

669
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 5: to be the new starter. You know, transfers in from Alabama,

670
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 5: Mike Loxley, the connection there. You know, they have a

671
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 5: decent talent in the back seven on the defense, but

672
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 5: the you know, they just returned fifty one percent of

673
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 5: a unit that was ninety six success rate. Not sure

674
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 5: how many of those players he would want back. Northwestern

675
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 5: just wants to get twenty nineteen behind him. One hundred

676
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 5: and twenty fifth and success rate on offense that's almost dead.

677
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 5: Last Fitzgerald gets eighty eight percent that offense back, but

678
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,240
Speaker 5: they get Peyton Ramsey to transfer up from Indiana. All

679
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 5: positive signs. Here is the handicap, and here is why

680
00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 5: we may be spending money on this game. New offensive

681
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 5: coordinator Mike Bahakian. He ran exclusive twelve personnel last season

682
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 5: at BC. That two tight end set he ranked fifth,

683
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 5: and seconds per play Boston Collins was fifth and seconds

684
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 5: per play running the twelve personnel that is nowhere near

685
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 5: the pace of offense at Northwestern was running last year.

686
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 5: BC was sixty two percent run out of twelve. When

687
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 5: they played the occasional twenty two two tight ends two

688
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:42,280
Speaker 5: running backs, they were seventy eight percent run. So I'm

689
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 5: not saying that it's going to be explosive from Northwestern.

690
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 5: I'm not going to say that they're getting chunky yards.

691
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 5: What I'm saying is is they're going to run an

692
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 5: exclusive two tight end set, sometimes with two running backs,

693
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 5: and they are going to increase I'm not saying they're

694
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 5: going to be the fifth quickest team in the nation

695
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 5: and tempo, but that's his style and that's Northwestern's new

696
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 5: offensive coordinator. So what I want to do from a

697
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:10,120
Speaker 5: betting standpoint is I want to watch the I want

698
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 5: to watch the first series out of Northwestern. And if

699
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 5: I see tempo, if I if I see the play

700
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 5: clock getting to twenty five and a snap twenty eight

701
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 5: and a snap thirty in a snap, I'm playing a

702
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 5: live game over. Hopefully the scoring is low because these

703
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 5: offensive stink. But if Northwestern is on watch alert as

704
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 5: an overteam with this new offensive coordinator.

705
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,640
Speaker 3: Well I can say the Maryland It's gonna come down

706
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 3: the quarterback play. It's interesting that an initial depth chart

707
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 3: Tagoveola was listed as an ore. I mean Josh Jackson

708
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 3: last year, he's a forty seven percent completion percentage, so

709
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 3: I mean him being out.

710
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 2: I mean, who cares?

711
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 3: They were second to last and NEFBS and time possession

712
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 3: last year one hundred and twenty fourth and first downs

713
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty ninth in red zone.

714
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 2: I mean the offense was.

715
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 3: Terrible, but they actually have a talent on the outside

716
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 3: Jones Uh Damas on the receiver. Jones was really good

717
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 3: in twenty eighteen before he tours ACL And keep your

718
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 3: eye out for Rakeen Jarrett, who was a five star kid,

719
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 3: a receiver that Marilyn Loxley took stole from LSU. You know,

720
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,240
Speaker 3: rare it is for Maryland to get a five star receiver.

721
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 3: So maybe he brings something to the offense. But it's

722
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 3: all gonna go an a quarterback play with Maryland and

723
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 3: they have to be more efficient going against it. It's

724
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 3: always gonna be a tough Northwestern defense. But yeah, I

725
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:32,800
Speaker 3: don't hate your cat. I mean I kind of do,

726
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 3: because you're talking about Northwestern in and over and uh,

727
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,359
Speaker 3: and they do bring a lot back and maybe they

728
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 3: have a quarterback now. They pretty much just lost Thomas,

729
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,319
Speaker 3: their center, which was a kind of a big loss.

730
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 3: Who's their captain. But we shall see what this new offense,

731
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 3: new pro style offense looks like.

732
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,240
Speaker 2: All right, let's let's actually skip ahead.

733
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,360
Speaker 3: We're gonna get the Friday the lux but let's just

734
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 3: cross off the big ten because there is a game

735
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 3: on Friday night between Illinois and Wisconsin. Wisconsin the nine

736
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 3: in that point favor at bet MGM over under fifty

737
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:02,800
Speaker 3: one and a half.

738
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: I feel like you could get a lot of shit

739
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 2: for this already. I don't know if you have or not.

740
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 3: I've just been seeing a lot of talk about this

741
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 3: game on Twitter. Here's a Friday night game in the

742
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:18,320
Speaker 3: Big Ten. Illinois fans they do chirp for whatever reason Wisconsin.

743
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:19,799
Speaker 2: Has, and I love Illinois fans.

744
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,839
Speaker 3: You know, Illinois got up really lucky for a great

745
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 3: portion of last year, then kind of got a dose

746
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 3: of reality. But they return a decent amount of production

747
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: with Peters back at quarterback, and they have one hundred

748
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 3: and twenty five starts among their four offensive linemen. So

749
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 3: there's some things to like about this Illinois team. Same

750
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 3: with Wisconsin. But it's all gonna come down for Wisconsin.

751
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 3: You know that they're obviously you've lost Jonathan Taylor, right,

752
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 3: but pretty much it's Wisconsin. They're gonna have great running game,

753
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 3: They're gonna have a great offensive lineman, they do a

754
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,799
Speaker 3: really good tight end, and you know, you could argue

755
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 3: they lost their five best players from last year, including

756
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 3: you know, two really good linebackers and Cefist their wide receiver.

757
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 3: But you know it's Jack Cone was his job and

758
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 3: he got hurt. Now it's Graham Mertz. What is he

759
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:09,839
Speaker 3: going to do with this offense? This offense that now

760
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 3: without Cone and without Taylor and Cephas, who were responsible

761
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 3: for fifty two percent of the offense in twenty nineteen,

762
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:17,720
Speaker 3: what will this Wisconsin.

763
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:17,840
Speaker 2: Team look like?

764
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 3: And their linebackers are so important in that defense, that

765
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 3: three to four defense. Can they replace both Baluman or

766
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 3: in those that four linebacker Cord and be just as

767
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 3: effective as they always are? So there's a little more

768
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:36,319
Speaker 3: questions with Wisconsin than Illinois. Wisconsin's obviously the much more

769
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,640
Speaker 3: talented team. I think you make this over twenty Are

770
00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 3: you laying it?

771
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 5: Yeah? The initial projection on this is twenty two and

772
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 5: a half. Remember this is game one for each of

773
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 5: these teams. I'm not gonna lay it with Wisconsin, but

774
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:51,960
Speaker 5: if I had to play it ultimately, I would look

775
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 5: for Wisconsin's team to get it up to twenty one

776
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:57,960
Speaker 5: and then probably play Illinois. But the more Wisconsin falls,

777
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 5: I may back then. But let's take a look this game.

778
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 5: You know, Graham Martz is going to step in for

779
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:05,719
Speaker 5: Jack con This is what Wisconsin fans have been dying for.

780
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 5: They've been waiting for Graham Mertz to have the role.

781
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 5: They only had like a handful of throws last year.

782
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:12,880
Speaker 5: But this is a huge, gaping hole for Wisconsin to

783
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 5: try and replace Jonathan Taylor. Two backups last year they

784
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,840
Speaker 5: had like one hundred carries for five hundred yards. Nothing explosive,

785
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 5: no highlight yards, nothing, you know, you want to look

786
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:23,719
Speaker 5: at analytically, says that, oh, there was a backup for

787
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor to come in, and Wisconsin returns eighty one

788
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:28,880
Speaker 5: percent of a unit that ranked six to the success

789
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 5: rate and second and havoc in twenty nineteen on the

790
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 5: defensive side of the ball, they were two in the

791
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:36,719
Speaker 5: country and havoc And that was such a huge cap

792
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 5: for me taking them in the Big Ten Championship and

793
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 5: covering against Ohio State. But they lose Zach Bond, they

794
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,480
Speaker 5: lose Chris Orr. That's fifty nine hurries and twenty four sacks.

795
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:47,840
Speaker 5: There just wasn't really anybody else. I mean, I know

796
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:50,759
Speaker 5: that they returned almost everybody else for that defense for

797
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,799
Speaker 5: the Badgers, but which you did lose were the ones

798
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 5: that were creating most of the chaos. So you know,

799
00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 5: if you look over at Illinois, they've lost plenty of

800
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 5: runs oppers too, not from anything, not from an exclusive

801
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,399
Speaker 5: defense or anything. You know, they don't really have any

802
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,399
Speaker 5: havoc players in the front seven, but they did lose

803
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 5: some run stoppers on that front line, and Brandon Peters

804
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 5: returns behind center behind a really solid offensive line. How

805
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 5: important is that offensive line? Dan Kramer is their center

806
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 5: for Illinois, and you know he's projected to go in

807
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:21,839
Speaker 5: the NFL, and he didn't play in the Red box

808
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 5: ball and calv just tore this Illinois team apart because

809
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 5: they had injuries on the offensive line, primarily the center,

810
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 5: Dan Kramer. Dan Kreamer's back. I think four or five

811
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,719
Speaker 5: starters are back, but they have a couple of reserves

812
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 5: that have multiple snaps. It's not like, you know, this

813
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 5: offensive line is solid. Wisconsin finish last year one hundred

814
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 5: and twenty eighth and the seconds per play slow, very

815
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 5: slow offense. I think that trend should continue into twenty twenty.

816
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:49,919
Speaker 5: You know, I think the first half under is worth

817
00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:51,960
Speaker 5: a play here. You know, as the batters are going

818
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,239
Speaker 5: to try to find try to get into rhythm that

819
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 5: should bode well for Illinois, and try to keep his

820
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 5: game respectable in the first thirty minutes. I don't think

821
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:00,800
Speaker 5: that you're going to be able to go deep and

822
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 5: you're gonna be able to have explosive plays on this

823
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 5: Wisconsin defense, I think the success rate of Wisconsin's defense

824
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 5: is still gonna be there. They're gonna keep you from

825
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 5: getting first downs, They're gonna keep from having drives that

826
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,719
Speaker 5: are explosive and two plus first downs. I just don't

827
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 5: think they're gonna be able to take the ball away

828
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 5: as well as they did last year. That I think

829
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 5: it's gonna be some regression in that havoc number. So

830
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 5: Illinois is gonna have some success moving the ball. Can

831
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:22,880
Speaker 5: they stick in the end zone for points? I don't know,

832
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 5: but you know what, I'm gonna take a first half

833
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 5: under here. I think Wisconsin offensively is gonna be searching

834
00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:30,439
Speaker 5: for answers in Illinois, I'm not too positive that they're

835
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:33,719
Speaker 5: gonna be able to push Wisconsin's defense around early and

836
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 5: really when it comes into scoring opportunities past forty yard line,

837
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:38,439
Speaker 5: I'm not sure I trust them there either.

838
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 3: They should still slow down this Illinois offense. And you know,

839
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 3: like you said, Wisconsin's a snail. And not only are

840
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:46,840
Speaker 3: they a snail, it's a new quarterback. You know, a

841
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 3: lot of people like him better, but they lose Taylor.

842
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 3: The backups, as you said, didn't look great last year.

843
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:53,479
Speaker 3: And they did lose three offensive line then three starting

844
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 3: offense line, including the best center in the country last

845
00:39:56,239 --> 00:39:58,479
Speaker 3: year by a lot of metrics. So yeah, I don't

846
00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 3: hate the first half under there. You may have convinced

847
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 3: me as well. I think we Scott the one thing

848
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 3: to do with Scotton did lose their kickoff specials. It

849
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 3: was just a touchback machine. So I don't know how

850
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 3: that's gonna impact things.

851
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:09,560
Speaker 5: But you know what they do. You know, they remind

852
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:11,719
Speaker 5: me of on defense though, they remind me of Georgia now,

853
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 5: like they're extremely successful, but they're not havoc. You know,

854
00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 5: there's no havoc whatsoever. That's the that's where Wisconsin's defense

855
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 5: is getting. Like they'll they'll get you off the field.

856
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 5: They're not gonna let you push them around. You're not

857
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 5: gonna beat them deep, you're not gonna be able to

858
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 5: have explosive plays on them. But they're not gonna take

859
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 5: the ball away from you either. So they're they're they're

860
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 5: they're turning into Georgia really fast.

861
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, and and they'll anoy they're linebackers with hands that

862
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 3: are probably a strength of the team against the Wisconsin

863
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 3: rushing attacks. I think that they can hold up and

864
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 3: uh yeah, I mean Illinois. You talk about they start

865
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 3: to have regressing it in the air. There's still regression

866
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 3: coming for this Illinois defense in the turnover department. So

867
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,440
Speaker 3: maybe we'll get a clean game without any you know,

868
00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 3: defensive touchdowns, which would not be great for the under are.

869
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,040
Speaker 5: We taking in the handicap? The lovey Smith shaved his beard.

870
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: I'll have to factor that in.

871
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 5: Put that in a cap next time.

872
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 2: All right.

873
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 3: That is a half hour rundown of the Big Ten

874
00:40:57,719 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 3: to get you all caught up. We'll have tons of

875
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 3: content on the Actionework app and Actionnework dot Com.

876
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 2: Let's get on to the Mountain West.

877
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:09,040
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896
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,320
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the Mountain West Conference.

897
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 3: I'm excited for this if you haven't already, I have

898
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 3: like a seven thousand word right up on the West.

899
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:25,360
Speaker 3: It's everything that you could ever want to read about schemes,

900
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 3: and I just I spent so much time on it

901
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:29,480
Speaker 3: to read it and it'll catch you up on the

902
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:32,840
Speaker 3: Mountain Way. Mount West is a very difficult conference to

903
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:36,759
Speaker 3: handicap her because there's so much, so many changes, so many,

904
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:38,919
Speaker 3: so many changes in the Mountain West. I mean, look

905
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 3: the twenty four head coaching changes this year, six twenty

906
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 3: four percent came to the Mountain West, dian Diego State,

907
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 3: Frezo State, Hawai U, ANDLB Colorida State, New Mexico. And

908
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 3: of the six other teams, they had at least one

909
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,880
Speaker 3: primary coordinator change. Only San Jose State Air Force retained

910
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 3: their head coach and primary coordinators, but they both have

911
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:56,399
Speaker 3: new quarterbacks in their center.

912
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 2: So let's look at these games.

913
00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 3: Wyoming at pen GM right now is a four and

914
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 3: a half point favorite at Nevada in Reno over under

915
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,359
Speaker 3: fifty and a half. It doesn't look like all these

916
00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:10,520
Speaker 3: Mount West games are at night. By the way, it

917
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 3: doesn't look like there's gonna be any weather to worry about.

918
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 3: Last year Wyoming beat this Nevada team thirty one to three,

919
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 3: but it was in the windy conditions in Laramie. The

920
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 3: big thing you need to know about these teams Wyoming

921
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 3: great rushing attack, phenomenal rushing attack. They bring their you

922
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:28,440
Speaker 3: know twelve thirteen hundred All conference running back in Ballad

923
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 3: A back Sean Chambers is a starting quarterback.

924
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:32,839
Speaker 2: Dual threat guy, you know who.

925
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 3: They had some explosive plays but the passing attack is

926
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 3: not efficient, can't really do much and then Levi Williams

927
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,760
Speaker 3: will get some time as well. Bottom ten passing attack

928
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:43,839
Speaker 3: the last few years. But this team should run all

929
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:48,960
Speaker 3: over Nevada. I mean, Nevada's defense was so bad that

930
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:52,080
Speaker 3: they j Novel fired his entire defensive staft. They're gonna

931
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:53,600
Speaker 3: move from a three four to a four to two five,

932
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 3: played more man on the outside. Dom Peterson's a stud

933
00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 3: on Nevada and that's about it, and he's gonna play

934
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 3: more in the end of that four man front. The

935
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:04,440
Speaker 3: run defenses questions. They lost all four of their top

936
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:08,879
Speaker 3: linebackers after Secona graduated. Chris Green was projected to start

937
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,640
Speaker 3: at defensive tackle, but he got arrested earlier.

938
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 2: This oneth not on the depth chart. So who's gonna

939
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:15,800
Speaker 2: start at defensive tackle at local walk.

940
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:19,600
Speaker 3: On Zach Mahana. So outside of Don Peterson, it's nothing

941
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 3: up front. There's no reason why Wyoming shouldn't run all

942
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:27,680
Speaker 3: over this Nevada defense. On the other side of the ball,

943
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:30,840
Speaker 3: Nevada's air raid didn't work last year. It's a modified

944
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 3: air raid didn't work. Part of that was they went

945
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: from a senior quarterback in ty Ganji.

946
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:36,319
Speaker 2: Two years ago.

947
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 3: One of the podcasts favored to a freshman, Carson Strong,

948
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,600
Speaker 3: and he was benched. And I think it'll be much

949
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 3: better in the second year of that system. You know,

950
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:46,879
Speaker 3: Novellas shown that the offense can be electric two years

951
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 3: ago with Gangi and he has great weapons on the outside, phenomenal.

952
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,600
Speaker 3: It's not the dynamic duo in the backfield Tala and Lee,

953
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 3: and they might have the best wide receiver group in

954
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,800
Speaker 3: the conference. You have Elijah Cook's huge Bosi type receiver

955
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,360
Speaker 3: and then Romeo Davis was one of the most explosive

956
00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 3: receivers in the country. So I think this Nevada offense

957
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 3: gonna take a big step forward in twenty twenty, and

958
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,680
Speaker 3: the Wyoming defense is gonna take a big step back.

959
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:14,560
Speaker 3: And the reason for that and this Wyman defence has

960
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 3: been rock solid the last couple of years. Last year

961
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 3: they were one of five schools the whole opponents under

962
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 3: three yards per carry. Got a new defensive coordinator. He's

963
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:23,839
Speaker 3: gonna stick with the four two five. But I mean

964
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:26,959
Speaker 3: they had lost so much talent. Logan Wilson third round

965
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 3: linebacker to the Bengals, Cash Mlaya sixth round of the Patriots.

966
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 3: I mean they also must replaced both their defensive ends.

967
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:38,000
Speaker 3: Joe Josiah Hall graduated Solomon Burr decided to opt out.

968
00:45:38,960 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 3: Two defensive tackles also opted out. That does at least

969
00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 3: leave Garrett Crawl Senior at one defensive end spot, but

970
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 3: he's gonna miss the opener with an injury. So, I mean,

971
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 3: they just lost so much. They also lost Elijah Caliburt

972
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 3: and their leading tackler at safety. So and this Wyoming

973
00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 3: defensive secondary was the most vulnerable part of their defense

974
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 3: last year. You could throw on them when the weather

975
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:04,680
Speaker 3: was nice outside of Laramie. So I think that Nevada's

976
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 3: going to have success throwing the ball here against the

977
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:11,240
Speaker 3: Wyoming defensive front that's going to take a significant drop

978
00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:14,959
Speaker 3: after all the departed talent due to NFL draft picks

979
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:18,480
Speaker 3: and COVID opt outs and injuries. And I think on

980
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball, there's no reason why

981
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 3: this dynamic Wyoming rushing attack can't run on Nevada.

982
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:26,720
Speaker 2: Give me the over over fifty all day thoughts.

983
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:29,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, I actually agree with you, and I think that

984
00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:32,319
Speaker 5: somebody's actually listening to us as we're recording this because

985
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:34,760
Speaker 5: the numbers on the move and decide and the total.

986
00:46:34,840 --> 00:46:37,320
Speaker 5: And you know, for me, I just love the weapons

987
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:39,480
Speaker 5: on Nevada. I mean I could everything that you said

988
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:42,319
Speaker 5: is completely correct. Nevada returns everything on offense, Carson Strong

989
00:46:42,360 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 5: and quarterback, all this targets entire offensive line. You know,

990
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:48,760
Speaker 5: I just think that's crucial because the strength of Wyoming

991
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 5: is their defensive line, and I think Nevada is one

992
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:52,759
Speaker 5: of the few teams in the Mountain West that can

993
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 5: at least, you know, slow it down just a little bit.

994
00:46:57,680 --> 00:46:59,839
Speaker 5: So I do like the experience that Vada has coming back.

995
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 5: It's a super young roster for Kraig Bowl. I mean,

996
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:04,960
Speaker 5: Sewn Chambers coming back is still I think Rent shirts

997
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 5: still as a freshman. But you know, I just think

998
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 5: that Nevada is prime for the upset here. I like

999
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 5: Nevada overall on the Mountain West and look to play

1000
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 5: him every week. It's a number that I projected two

1001
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:17,200
Speaker 5: and a half, So four and a half is enough

1002
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 5: for me to make a play.

1003
00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 3: The unfortunate news came out this week that Jay Norvell's

1004
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 3: father passed away, so he temporarily left the team a

1005
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,840
Speaker 3: couple of days ago. He may not be back in

1006
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:31,520
Speaker 3: time as he grieves and deals with that. But from

1007
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 3: a football perspective, Matt Mummy, son of the air raid

1008
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:38,239
Speaker 3: in ventnor Helmummy, they're off at the twitter. He called

1009
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:39,719
Speaker 3: plays a bunch last year, so he has a ton

1010
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:43,520
Speaker 3: of experience calling plays. And don't forget that Nevada is

1011
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:46,320
Speaker 3: starting safety Austin Arnold. He's also out, he's suspended for

1012
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:50,279
Speaker 3: that brawl last year. So both defenses are just decimated.

1013
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the second game in

1014
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 3: primetime in the Mountain West, Utah State at Boise State.

1015
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:02,880
Speaker 3: Boise State is a sixteen and a half point favorite

1016
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 3: at bet mgm over under his fifty two.

1017
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:06,279
Speaker 2: And a half.

1018
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 3: All right, so boys to day probably the favorite, I

1019
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 3: get the clear cut favorite, should say not probably to

1020
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 3: win the defend it's Mountain West title. And they almost

1021
00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:15,760
Speaker 3: had anefeated season last year three point loss.

1022
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:16,440
Speaker 2: To b Why you prevented that?

1023
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 3: They got Hank Bachmeyer back at quarterback. If he can

1024
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:21,799
Speaker 3: stay healthy, he takes a ton of hits. He has

1025
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:23,960
Speaker 3: a ton of weapons to throw to, you know, his

1026
00:48:24,080 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 3: shakir back c Et Thomas and tight end John Bates.

1027
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 3: They did lose John High Tower to the NFL, but

1028
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:33,279
Speaker 3: it's still just a loaded offense. They did lose a

1029
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 3: bunch on the offensive line, which is something to watch

1030
00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 3: because they lost four of their top five offensive linemen.

1031
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 3: But the offensive line wasn't great last year was sixty

1032
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:43,320
Speaker 3: fifth and sack grate and Beckler was getting hit like

1033
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 3: every play. Well, see, they have to replace Ezra Cleveland,

1034
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 3: who's now at the Minnesota Vikings at right tackle. The

1035
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 3: loan returning starter is moving over to that position to

1036
00:48:54,160 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 3: replace Cleveland, So yeah, you know it's the other four

1037
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,120
Speaker 3: projector starts of seven combined start, So it is something

1038
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:02,880
Speaker 3: to watch. Poise very strong at corner, very strong at linebacker,

1039
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 3: probably the best linebacking group in the conference. They do

1040
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 3: have to replace Curtis Weaver at the stud position, but

1041
00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 3: Dimitri Washington's named the Watchdair. It's gonna be a really

1042
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,120
Speaker 3: good defense and the offense is going to be solved.

1043
00:49:15,160 --> 00:49:17,480
Speaker 3: This is the best team in the Mount West. They're

1044
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:20,040
Speaker 3: now taking on a Utah State team that is going

1045
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:24,000
Speaker 3: through a lot of changes. Jordan Love, who threw for

1046
00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:26,839
Speaker 3: over eight thousand yards, didn't have a great year last year,

1047
00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 3: but he's gone. He got drafted in the first round

1048
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 3: of the NFL Draft. His back up Henry Colombie went

1049
00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,520
Speaker 3: to Texas Tech with Matt Wells. Fortunately for Utah say

1050
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 3: they got Jason Shelley and from Utah a transfer dual

1051
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,919
Speaker 3: threat guy had some mobility started five games for Utah,

1052
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 3: but the Agis also lost their leading rusher and Gerald Right.

1053
00:49:43,560 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 3: They lost their leading receiver in Mariner. You know it's

1054
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 3: The backfield could be okay with Warren and Henry Cole,

1055
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 3: another Utah transfer, but this offense I think is going

1056
00:49:53,640 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 3: to take some time to find its identity. The offensive

1057
00:49:57,480 --> 00:49:59,480
Speaker 3: line is also awful. Last year, they do bring a

1058
00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:03,000
Speaker 3: lot back. It was just really bad defense for Utah State.

1059
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:06,600
Speaker 3: Transitioning to a three to four defense. It was a

1060
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 3: bad defense last year, and now they must replace David Woodwards,

1061
00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:13,840
Speaker 3: all Mount West linebacker, their best defensive end, their top cornerback,

1062
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 3: DJ Williams, have great safeties and that's about all you

1063
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:20,600
Speaker 3: can say about the Utah State defense. The one thing,

1064
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 3: if they're capping this game, Utah State also lost a

1065
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 3: star kicker. There are two phenomenal returners, maybe two of

1066
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:28,360
Speaker 3: the best returners in college football in this game in

1067
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 3: Scarboro for Utah State Navy Williams. Scarver's spential to break

1068
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 3: the FPS record for return touchdowns if they can avoid

1069
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:36,880
Speaker 3: these return touchdowns, which is a risk of them.

1070
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 2: I like the under here.

1071
00:50:37,800 --> 00:50:40,400
Speaker 3: Utah State was the most fast paced team in the

1072
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:43,040
Speaker 3: nation last year, but they have a new offensive coordinator,

1073
00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:47,479
Speaker 3: Body Reider. He likes passing attacks. But Gary Anderson, who's

1074
00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 3: back at Utah State, he's said that multiple quotes, and

1075
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 3: I read that in practice. They're doing this as well.

1076
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:58,319
Speaker 3: They want to play more methodical, they want to play

1077
00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 3: with more so apparently they're huddling up, They're going slower,

1078
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:06,880
Speaker 3: They're gonna run it more, new quarterback, lose your leading receiver,

1079
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:09,880
Speaker 3: you're leading rusher. So I think Utah State is going

1080
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 3: to play significantly slower this year. I think they're gonna

1081
00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 3: have trouble moving the ball against Boise State. I think

1082
00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 3: there's gonna be some growing pains in the Boise State

1083
00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:20,800
Speaker 3: offensive line. I think Boise State wins comfortably and I

1084
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 3: think this game stays under what do you see here?

1085
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, for me, this was tough to call. I mean,

1086
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 5: Boise's replacing a ton of the trenches, but that's not

1087
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:30,120
Speaker 5: really going to affect them here against Utah State, who

1088
00:51:30,120 --> 00:51:33,080
Speaker 5: has mostly just their secondary back in Utah State just

1089
00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:35,239
Speaker 5: has fifty seven percent on D coming back from a

1090
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:37,920
Speaker 5: group that was one hundred and seventh and success rate.

1091
00:51:38,960 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 5: I mean, just to be real quick here, I mean

1092
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 5: my projection was sixteen and a half on the numbers,

1093
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:45,759
Speaker 5: sixteen and a half, so complete, no play for me.

1094
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:47,839
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the next game.

1095
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 3: Hawaii plus three and a half at Fresno State over

1096
00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 3: under sixty five and a half. All right, here's the

1097
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 3: interesting thing with Hawaii, right, Cordero. They lost a quarterback

1098
00:51:58,000 --> 00:51:58,359
Speaker 3: to the NFL.

1099
00:51:58,400 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 2: But who I mean?

1100
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:00,839
Speaker 3: They have Cordero who is four and I as a starter.

1101
00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:03,399
Speaker 3: They have two thousand yard receivers now that they bring

1102
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:06,600
Speaker 3: in Rico from North Texas. You know, so if there's

1103
00:52:06,600 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 3: a lot of town on the offense, Hawaii defense was

1104
00:52:08,800 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 3: so bad last year, so bad they know. These are

1105
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 3: two teams with coaching changes. By the way, Debaa from

1106
00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:17,479
Speaker 3: Indiana is now taking over Fresno State and Todd Graham

1107
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:18,400
Speaker 3: takes over Hawaii.

1108
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:19,600
Speaker 2: G J.

1109
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,240
Speaker 3: Kinney is going to be the offensive coordinator for Hawaii.

1110
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,280
Speaker 3: He's never been an office quarner. He's been an assistant,

1111
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:27,120
Speaker 3: an analyst, under You know some good play callers, Doug Peterson,

1112
00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:30,560
Speaker 3: Mike Urvel, Ryan Day, Chip Kelly. And the most interesting thing,

1113
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 3: they're gonna still probably run four wide receiver sets. They're

1114
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:36,560
Speaker 3: gonna probably run this modified air raid and run and

1115
00:52:36,640 --> 00:52:41,640
Speaker 3: shoot or power runs and deep passes. You know, they

1116
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:47,440
Speaker 3: have really talented receivers with Lucy and smart. But the

1117
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 3: most interesting thing with Hawaii and why I think if

1118
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 3: you want to take a flyer on Hawaiian money line

1119
00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:53,880
Speaker 3: are not to spread it might be worth it is

1120
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 3: check out my pizza on this. They hired a guy

1121
00:52:57,080 --> 00:52:59,080
Speaker 3: named Brennan Marian. Some of you might have heard of him,

1122
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:02,839
Speaker 3: but he owns the Go Go offense, wrote a book

1123
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 3: about it. He was coaching at this random high school

1124
00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 3: in Pennsylvania. People found out about he got hired by

1125
00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 3: Howard and it's this modified triple modern triple option pro

1126
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:17,280
Speaker 3: style spread attack. He basically said, look, teams can't prepare

1127
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 3: for the triple option. It's a nightmare. Let me take

1128
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:21,360
Speaker 3: that and then put a modern spin on it. I

1129
00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 3: mean they'll have like five wide receivers on one side

1130
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 3: of the field, like three backs next to the quarterback.

1131
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:30,439
Speaker 3: I mean, craziest formations NFL teams have taken playbook, taken

1132
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 3: place from this playbook. College teams. Lincoln Riley has a

1133
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 3: whole set from the go go playbook. They ran this

1134
00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:39,279
Speaker 3: at Howard and beat the first game UNLV was not

1135
00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:43,520
Speaker 3: ready for it. They beat UNLV as forty five point underdog.

1136
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 3: Then he went to William and Mary revamped their offense.

1137
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 3: He got hired as a wide receiver coach. They might

1138
00:53:48,480 --> 00:53:51,759
Speaker 3: be running this go go offense.

1139
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:53,800
Speaker 2: And you know they have the talent to do it.

1140
00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 3: There's also this really interesting name, Calvin Turner, who transferred

1141
00:53:57,040 --> 00:53:59,359
Speaker 3: in as an option quarterback to run for thirteen hundred

1142
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:02,880
Speaker 3: yards a Jacksonville before they entered their program SCS school.

1143
00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:07,920
Speaker 3: He might line up in the backfield with Cordero and

1144
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 3: with Reid. I mean, you might see this crazy offense

1145
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:15,040
Speaker 3: from Hawaii that Fresno isn't ready for. Why defense stinks

1146
00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:17,960
Speaker 3: the new defensive coordinator. They're gonna be transitioning from a

1147
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:19,560
Speaker 3: four two five to four to three. I don't know

1148
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:22,960
Speaker 3: if they can get any stops. Fresno State disappointing year,

1149
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:27,000
Speaker 3: third starting quarterback in three years now in Jake Caner,

1150
00:54:27,080 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 3: the Washington transfer, you know, the Zane pope who love

1151
00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:32,360
Speaker 3: their team. In receiving yards last year wasn't on the

1152
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 3: first depth chart. There's a lot of questions with this

1153
00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:38,680
Speaker 3: Fresno team. But the defense, the defense also got significantly

1154
00:54:38,680 --> 00:54:41,719
Speaker 3: worse last year. Gets sixteen more points per game. So

1155
00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 3: deverop Overhuld the entire staff in just gonna, you know,

1156
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 3: have a new scheme. There a lot of question marks here.

1157
00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:51,239
Speaker 3: I just think that if you're want to take a

1158
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:54,799
Speaker 3: shot just as an entertaining this game should be entertaining shot.

1159
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:57,239
Speaker 3: Maybe wager on a first half one of that of

1160
00:54:57,239 --> 00:54:59,239
Speaker 3: al or game, because if they come out with his

1161
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 3: go go offense, I'm not sure if Fresno State is

1162
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 3: going to be fully prepared.

1163
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:05,800
Speaker 2: Any thoughts here. I know you don't like Hawaii here.

1164
00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:07,880
Speaker 5: No, I don't like Hawaii at all, but you forgot

1165
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:08,319
Speaker 5: to mention.

1166
00:55:08,719 --> 00:55:09,080
Speaker 2: GJ.

1167
00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:13,120
Speaker 5: Kinneys used to play. Let's see, he played for the NFL.

1168
00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 5: He was on the Omaha quarterback Calgary Stampede. First job

1169
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 5: twenty sixteen analysts for Chad Morris at SMU, followed him

1170
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 5: to Fayetteville, took his way over to the Eagles last

1171
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 5: year as a coach of special projects. I'm not really

1172
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 5: sure what that is. Naw, He's Hawaii's o C. Which

1173
00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:33,759
Speaker 5: I'm just baffled at some of these moves. How these

1174
00:55:33,800 --> 00:55:37,560
Speaker 5: guys are falling into these jobs. The resumes are just fantastic,

1175
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:40,600
Speaker 5: you know, I listen, I don't want to fade Kalin

1176
00:55:40,640 --> 00:55:42,880
Speaker 5: to boar with Fresno State. I believe in him. I

1177
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:44,600
Speaker 5: thought that was one of the best coaching hires in

1178
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 5: the nation. But there are problems with Fresno that bothered

1179
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:52,200
Speaker 5: me from a first game perspective, and that is that

1180
00:55:52,280 --> 00:55:54,399
Speaker 5: they weren't even let into their facility till like three

1181
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:56,480
Speaker 5: and a half weeks ago because of what's going on

1182
00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 5: with COVID and everything else. They literally had moved all

1183
00:55:59,640 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 5: of their practice equipment, their weight, their training, like everything

1184
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:06,640
Speaker 5: was on the baseball field and it was unorganized practicing

1185
00:56:06,760 --> 00:56:09,080
Speaker 5: and like they weren't allowed to practice. They weren't allowed

1186
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:11,880
Speaker 5: to have like coaches practice and everything else. So you

1187
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 5: know this is going to be I feel like a

1188
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:19,040
Speaker 5: very unprepared team from a physical standpoint, from a knowing

1189
00:56:19,120 --> 00:56:22,480
Speaker 5: the scheme and knowing you know, the execution standpoint, I

1190
00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 5: feel like Fresno is going to take a while for

1191
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:26,760
Speaker 5: them to get into it and I'm worried about their conditioning.

1192
00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 5: I mean, conditioning has been an issue with all these

1193
00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:30,840
Speaker 5: teams that are playing for the first time, and you know,

1194
00:56:30,960 --> 00:56:32,919
Speaker 5: with the way that Fresno had such a late start,

1195
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:34,800
Speaker 5: They're the one team in the Mountain West that was

1196
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:39,080
Speaker 5: probably had the most affected you know, besides Air Force

1197
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 5: having a bunch of bunch of you know, cadets opt out,

1198
00:56:42,239 --> 00:56:44,160
Speaker 5: Fresno was the one team that had a lot of

1199
00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:46,799
Speaker 5: COVID concerns with the way that they had to change

1200
00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:49,040
Speaker 5: up what they were doing. So, uh, you know, I'm

1201
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 5: worried about Fresne State from that standpoint. I have no

1202
00:56:51,560 --> 00:56:53,960
Speaker 5: love for Todd Graham. I have no love for Todd Graham.

1203
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:57,400
Speaker 5: I mean, if we look, I understand GJ. Kinney is

1204
00:56:57,440 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 5: going to be running the offense, you know, and how

1205
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:00,359
Speaker 5: much he's going.

1206
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:03,359
Speaker 3: To We hope it's not GJ. Kenny, and I hope

1207
00:57:03,400 --> 00:57:05,719
Speaker 3: that it's actually Brett and Marion. That's my specutive bet

1208
00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:08,879
Speaker 3: on this game is that it's Marion and Hawaii comes

1209
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:12,880
Speaker 3: out with this crazy offense to take advantage of a

1210
00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:14,399
Speaker 3: Freslo defense with the question mark.

1211
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:18,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, and I hope so I could completely hope that

1212
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 5: that's what happens. I hope Hawaii is fun to watch

1213
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:21,960
Speaker 5: and I hope they are something that we can bet on.

1214
00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:24,360
Speaker 5: But you know, Tom Graham is a defensive guy, and

1215
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 5: he's going to allow other people to control the offense.

1216
00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 5: But it should be you know, for the Hawaii players,

1217
00:57:29,040 --> 00:57:30,760
Speaker 5: it should be interesting to see what they do going

1218
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:33,840
Speaker 5: from a Nick Rolovich, you know, fun and gun, run

1219
00:57:33,920 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 5: and shoot, you know, in with Todd Graham. Now I

1220
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:38,120
Speaker 5: went back into Todd Graham some of the stuff. I mean,

1221
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 5: the offenses he ran in Arizona State, they were just

1222
00:57:41,120 --> 00:57:43,720
Speaker 5: nothing to be excited about. Their pace was like forty third,

1223
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:47,200
Speaker 5: thirty ninth, nothing close to what the Hawaii paces used to.

1224
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:49,560
Speaker 5: So I'm not really sure if he has influence on

1225
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 5: how fast that he wants to offense to play since

1226
00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:54,560
Speaker 5: he's going to be coaching the defense. One thing about

1227
00:57:54,560 --> 00:57:57,560
Speaker 5: the ASU defensive squads. You know, I'm sorry the Arizona

1228
00:57:57,640 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 5: State defensive squads. The last three years Tog Graham was there,

1229
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:02,920
Speaker 5: they never finished higher than ninety six and finishing drives.

1230
00:58:03,080 --> 00:58:04,760
Speaker 5: I mean, shit, he got fired. So I mean that

1231
00:58:04,880 --> 00:58:08,040
Speaker 5: says enough, right, His defense was nothing to ride home about,

1232
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 5: and you never know, maybe Tom Graham will have a

1233
00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:11,840
Speaker 5: new job by the end of this game because he

1234
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 5: likes to move around a lot. But for me, I

1235
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:16,920
Speaker 5: think conditioning has to be an issue. I do like Fresno,

1236
00:58:17,040 --> 00:58:18,760
Speaker 5: I'm a little bit worried about what's led up to

1237
00:58:18,840 --> 00:58:22,800
Speaker 5: this game as far as practices execution. Same thing with Navy,

1238
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 5: like when they I'm not saying it's the same circumstances.

1239
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,240
Speaker 5: I'm just like Navy was not prepared for BYU. I'll

1240
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:29,840
Speaker 5: probably take an under, more than likely a second half under,

1241
00:58:29,920 --> 00:58:33,640
Speaker 5: depending on what I see from this offense. Really, you're right,

1242
00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:37,160
Speaker 5: I need more information on Hawaii side, and Fresno worries me.

1243
00:58:37,280 --> 00:58:39,200
Speaker 5: If it's anything, it's going to be a first half under.

1244
00:58:39,640 --> 00:58:40,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna end up in a while.

1245
00:58:40,960 --> 00:58:43,160
Speaker 3: In some aspect, I expected to play on this go

1246
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,960
Speaker 3: go offense, and I mean Fresno State. They're leading receiver

1247
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 3: from Lasher's not on the depth chart, and they lost

1248
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:49,919
Speaker 3: their top two tight ends from last year in Rice

1249
00:58:49,960 --> 00:58:52,160
Speaker 3: and Sutton. And guess who's starting a corner against two

1250
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 3: thousand yard receivers, two explosive thousand yard receivers. You have

1251
00:58:57,280 --> 00:59:00,240
Speaker 3: a redshirt freshman walk on and brailing locks at one

1252
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:03,560
Speaker 3: and wild Free who played safety last year. I mean

1253
00:59:04,320 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 3: this this team could struggle and coverage again.

1254
00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:10,120
Speaker 5: Oh PSA for everybody, might as well get your tablets

1255
00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:12,880
Speaker 5: and your phones ready because this is on Spectrum Sports,

1256
00:59:13,320 --> 00:59:15,760
Speaker 5: which means we'll have like the greatest commentator of all time.

1257
00:59:16,520 --> 00:59:18,280
Speaker 5: But you know this is guy, if you're trying to

1258
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 5: find on your TV channel, this is a spectrum sports game.

1259
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:22,080
Speaker 2: Yep.

1260
00:59:22,120 --> 00:59:24,120
Speaker 3: All right, Let's move on to air Force at San

1261
00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:27,240
Speaker 3: Jose State. Air Force seven point favorite at San Jose

1262
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:29,800
Speaker 3: State at bet MGM. Air Force is a seven point

1263
00:59:29,880 --> 00:59:33,480
Speaker 3: favorite at San Jose State. Over under is sixty two

1264
00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 3: and a half. I played some over sixty one here.

1265
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 3: I'll keep it simple. You can go read my Mountain

1266
00:59:38,120 --> 00:59:41,320
Speaker 3: West manifesto. Look, air Force beating eighty forty to seven,

1267
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,440
Speaker 3: beat them down, held them unde hundred yards rushing Ryan

1268
00:59:43,480 --> 00:59:46,240
Speaker 3: for ver three fifty. But it's just an option offense.

1269
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:47,400
Speaker 3: You can't take too much of me. That's what they

1270
00:59:47,400 --> 00:59:49,600
Speaker 3: practice against every day. This is still defense. Ever turned

1271
00:59:49,760 --> 00:59:53,240
Speaker 3: zero for turning starters. I think San Jose State and

1272
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:56,400
Speaker 3: your boy Nick Starkle, although I think they have an

1273
00:59:56,440 --> 00:59:59,640
Speaker 3: ore as of right now. San Jose State with this

1274
00:59:59,720 --> 01:00:01,840
Speaker 3: star quarterback between him and Nick Nash. But I think

1275
01:00:01,920 --> 01:00:04,560
Speaker 3: Starkle will get it. He'll be able to throw on

1276
01:00:04,800 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 3: this air Force completely revabbed secondary, and the air Force's

1277
01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:10,680
Speaker 3: secondary has been known to struggle in years past. And

1278
01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:14,000
Speaker 3: what San Jose State does have really good receivers. Yes,

1279
01:00:14,080 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 3: Josh Love has gone He through for over just under

1280
01:00:16,400 --> 01:00:17,080
Speaker 3: four thousand yards.

1281
01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:17,440
Speaker 2: Last year.

1282
01:00:17,600 --> 01:00:20,080
Speaker 3: It was Josh Love, not the other level got draft.

1283
01:00:20,120 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 3: It was actually the Offensive Conference player of the year.

1284
01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:24,720
Speaker 3: But he has all of his receivers are coming back.

1285
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:27,600
Speaker 3: I mean, they have fantastic receivers. It's a team that

1286
01:00:27,680 --> 01:00:30,160
Speaker 3: can't run the ball at all. One of the worst

1287
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 3: rushing teams in the country last year. But Trey Walker

1288
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:36,520
Speaker 3: is a baller. You know, Bailey Gaither and Isaiah Hamilton,

1289
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:38,520
Speaker 3: they've combined for like one hundred and seventy five catches

1290
01:00:38,560 --> 01:00:40,880
Speaker 3: last year and close to three thousand yards. They're all back.

1291
01:00:41,080 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 3: You know, it's just still it's a veteran offensive line

1292
01:00:43,160 --> 01:00:45,320
Speaker 3: that's good in pass blocking. I think number two in

1293
01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:46,320
Speaker 3: sacrate last year.

1294
01:00:46,520 --> 01:00:47,080
Speaker 2: So I don't think.

1295
01:00:47,120 --> 01:00:49,240
Speaker 3: I don't see there's any reason why San Jose State

1296
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 3: can't throw it up and down the field against Air

1297
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:56,040
Speaker 3: Force It's scary playing an Air Force Service Academy under always,

1298
01:00:56,160 --> 01:00:59,160
Speaker 3: especially this high because one twelve minute drive just slowly,

1299
01:00:59,240 --> 01:01:02,280
Speaker 3: painfully kill you. But I don't see why Air Force

1300
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:05,720
Speaker 3: and their offense is really good. Both their backs return

1301
01:01:07,680 --> 01:01:10,800
Speaker 3: in Remsburg and Jackson. They have a new quarterback, but

1302
01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:13,080
Speaker 3: he looked great in the in the first start, so

1303
01:01:13,120 --> 01:01:15,880
Speaker 3: they don't have Hammond, but the quarterback was more than

1304
01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:18,120
Speaker 3: fine in his first start and his Zeke Daniels, they

1305
01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:19,840
Speaker 3: think he ran for close to one hundred yards. The

1306
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:22,000
Speaker 3: offensive line is the strength of this team. You know,

1307
01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:24,800
Speaker 3: they had all Mountain West selections and Nolan Laufenberg and

1308
01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 3: Parker Ferguson on the left side of the line just

1309
01:01:26,960 --> 01:01:29,160
Speaker 3: malls people malls they're gonna and then you know the

1310
01:01:29,360 --> 01:01:31,880
Speaker 3: other starters, experienced guys look great.

1311
01:01:32,240 --> 01:01:32,760
Speaker 2: So it looks like that.

1312
01:01:32,880 --> 01:01:34,720
Speaker 3: And they have a few weeks to build up continuity

1313
01:01:34,800 --> 01:01:36,880
Speaker 3: because they played their first game about three weeks ago.

1314
01:01:37,520 --> 01:01:42,200
Speaker 3: So look, I think that the offense is going to

1315
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:44,200
Speaker 3: move up and down the field. Against the San Jasee

1316
01:01:44,320 --> 01:01:46,840
Speaker 3: State defense, it was one of the worst rush defenses

1317
01:01:46,840 --> 01:01:49,200
Speaker 3: in the country last year. They have a new nose

1318
01:01:49,280 --> 01:01:52,120
Speaker 3: tackle up front. They lose their two best linebackers in

1319
01:01:52,200 --> 01:01:54,919
Speaker 3: Aguayo and Nasuna, who just made tackles all over the field.

1320
01:01:54,920 --> 01:01:57,440
Speaker 3: They played for the last four years. The secondary returns

1321
01:01:57,480 --> 01:01:59,600
Speaker 3: three starters, but the second doesn't matter against air Force.

1322
01:01:59,720 --> 01:02:01,680
Speaker 3: So I think this is just back and forth. Air

1323
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:04,880
Speaker 3: Force goes up down the field. Santase State answers. And

1324
01:02:05,560 --> 01:02:08,000
Speaker 3: it's worth noting that Santase State and both their games

1325
01:02:08,040 --> 01:02:11,080
Speaker 3: last year against two option teams both went over sixty

1326
01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:13,680
Speaker 3: two points, So I took them under sixty one here,

1327
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:14,960
Speaker 3: still like it at sixty.

1328
01:02:15,080 --> 01:02:18,080
Speaker 2: Two and a half. Up up, It's about the ceiling here.

1329
01:02:18,600 --> 01:02:19,280
Speaker 2: What do you see here?

1330
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:22,480
Speaker 5: Nick Starkle's my boy? Huh mister Bieber's shirt and club

1331
01:02:22,560 --> 01:02:26,360
Speaker 5: dub from the Chad Morris days. Yeah, so it's interesting

1332
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 5: he played now plays for the team that beat us

1333
01:02:27,920 --> 01:02:28,560
Speaker 5: on our home field.

1334
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:30,800
Speaker 2: He's shown flashes in the past, the Texas A and

1335
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:31,760
Speaker 2: M in Arkansas.

1336
01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:36,320
Speaker 5: If you put Nick Starkle, Jered Garantano, and Adrian Martinez

1337
01:02:36,360 --> 01:02:38,520
Speaker 5: on a game show to throw more interceptions, who would win?

1338
01:02:39,760 --> 01:02:44,560
Speaker 2: Mitch Trubisky, Mitch Burdens, You've just been bortled.

1339
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:46,920
Speaker 5: All right, let's talk about this. I feel like this

1340
01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 5: Air Force line is begging for money, you know, like

1341
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:52,200
Speaker 5: we've already seen them play, We've already seen them beat Navy.

1342
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:55,000
Speaker 5: And then there's this huge trend out there that if

1343
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:57,440
Speaker 5: you go and watch TV shows like talk about trends

1344
01:02:57,480 --> 01:03:00,360
Speaker 5: and shit like that, they'll sit there and tell you that. Obviously,

1345
01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:02,240
Speaker 5: when there's tape on a team, it's a big advantage

1346
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:04,000
Speaker 5: of the team that hasn't played yet. Well, that team

1347
01:03:04,040 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 5: that hasn't played yet has to have some sort of

1348
01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:08,440
Speaker 5: quality to them to stand up. So that's what we're

1349
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:10,960
Speaker 5: looking for with San Jose State. You know, San Jose State.

1350
01:03:11,080 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 5: This is the I found this stat amazing. San Jose

1351
01:03:13,600 --> 01:03:16,120
Speaker 5: States the first time since nineteen eighty nine has the

1352
01:03:16,160 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 5: same head coach, offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator for this

1353
01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:22,640
Speaker 5: the first time since nineteen eighty nine. Yeah, you're right,

1354
01:03:22,720 --> 01:03:25,440
Speaker 5: there is an or between. Yeah, but there's an or

1355
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:27,880
Speaker 5: between Nick Starkle and Nick Nash. Will see who gets

1356
01:03:27,880 --> 01:03:30,480
Speaker 5: to play, probably might swap them both in. There's a

1357
01:03:30,520 --> 01:03:33,200
Speaker 5: new nose tackle transfer from a community college that's key

1358
01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 5: against the triple options. So we don't know how much

1359
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 5: of an impact he's going to have, you know, for

1360
01:03:37,360 --> 01:03:40,400
Speaker 5: San Jose State. But you've already mentioned. I mean they're

1361
01:03:40,520 --> 01:03:45,600
Speaker 5: just a gaping crater at their front seven in a

1362
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:48,280
Speaker 5: rush defense, and that's not a good four miliagainst air Force.

1363
01:03:48,760 --> 01:03:51,240
Speaker 5: Air Force ran five and a half per carry for

1364
01:03:51,280 --> 01:03:53,600
Speaker 5: three or eighty two yards against San Jose State defensive

1365
01:03:53,600 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 5: front last season. I mean there was improvement. I think

1366
01:03:56,520 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 5: the one thing that I can point to if I

1367
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:01,240
Speaker 5: had to try to find a reason to tell you

1368
01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:03,840
Speaker 5: to take San Jose State. They got their ass handed

1369
01:04:03,880 --> 01:04:06,120
Speaker 5: to them against air Force last year. Later on in

1370
01:04:06,160 --> 01:04:08,520
Speaker 5: the season, they traveled to West Point and they beat

1371
01:04:08,880 --> 01:04:10,800
Speaker 5: Army and held them to like four and a half

1372
01:04:10,880 --> 01:04:14,000
Speaker 5: per carry. They did a considerable better job against the

1373
01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:16,240
Speaker 5: triple the second time they saw it later in the season.

1374
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:18,600
Speaker 5: I go back to the stat this first time since

1375
01:04:18,720 --> 01:04:22,200
Speaker 5: nineteen eighty nine. The coaching staff stays intact. So it's

1376
01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:24,440
Speaker 5: not a reason really to bet San Jose State. I

1377
01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:27,600
Speaker 5: make this number eleven, but I'm telling you from a

1378
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:31,280
Speaker 5: market perspective, they are screaming for people to come in

1379
01:04:31,320 --> 01:04:33,800
Speaker 5: and bet air Force at seven. So I'm gonna lay

1380
01:04:33,840 --> 01:04:37,480
Speaker 5: off this game, maybe play it live. You're right, air

1381
01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:39,880
Speaker 5: Force would just you know, run them up a flag pole.

1382
01:04:40,200 --> 01:04:42,160
Speaker 5: But this number. I mean, they're just begging for Air

1383
01:04:42,200 --> 01:04:42,880
Speaker 5: Force money here.

1384
01:04:43,680 --> 01:04:45,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I also think that I said do the balls

1385
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:47,120
Speaker 3: for the air That's where I think this air Force,

1386
01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:49,880
Speaker 3: all those defensive losses on air Force with zerobraturnity starts.

1387
01:04:49,880 --> 01:04:52,400
Speaker 3: That's where you're gonna really feel it, because defending the

1388
01:04:52,440 --> 01:04:56,520
Speaker 3: triple options is about discipline, fundamental practicing against it. Really

1389
01:04:56,800 --> 01:04:58,720
Speaker 3: it's all you need to do. I mean, look at

1390
01:04:58,800 --> 01:05:02,320
Speaker 3: what El did against Army. They lost fourteen to nine,

1391
01:05:02,480 --> 01:05:04,560
Speaker 3: held him at two inner yards, like you don't need

1392
01:05:04,680 --> 01:05:07,800
Speaker 3: all your returning starters for that, but against electric receivers

1393
01:05:07,840 --> 01:05:08,040
Speaker 3: you do.

1394
01:05:08,880 --> 01:05:11,760
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the final Mountain West game.

1395
01:05:12,520 --> 01:05:13,960
Speaker 2: Unl V.

1396
01:05:14,800 --> 01:05:20,000
Speaker 3: He is a at bet MGM currently is a fourteen

1397
01:05:20,040 --> 01:05:23,240
Speaker 3: and a half point underdog at San Diego State over

1398
01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:26,880
Speaker 3: under forty nine and a half. A new coaching is

1399
01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:30,320
Speaker 3: another new coaching matchup in the Mountain West. The This

1400
01:05:30,480 --> 01:05:32,760
Speaker 3: is probably a stay away for me because and look,

1401
01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:34,640
Speaker 3: Marcus Royal comes in I think is a great hire,

1402
01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:37,880
Speaker 3: especially compared to what they had before. And they're they're

1403
01:05:37,880 --> 01:05:40,160
Speaker 3: picked to finish last in the West Division. Santego States

1404
01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:42,720
Speaker 3: picked the finish first. Look, Stan, you and I they

1405
01:05:42,800 --> 01:05:45,880
Speaker 3: stunk at every every aspect last year, offense, end, defense.

1406
01:05:46,200 --> 01:05:47,840
Speaker 3: There's a lot of games been ship going on. But

1407
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:49,600
Speaker 3: from a royal, I don't know. He's keeping a lot

1408
01:05:49,640 --> 01:05:51,320
Speaker 3: of things quiet. Apparently is gonna run things out of

1409
01:05:51,360 --> 01:05:54,320
Speaker 3: a pistol. He's listed three quarterbacks as the potential starters,

1410
01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:57,960
Speaker 3: Oh Glad, Max Gilliam and Justin Rodgers a TCO transfer. Yep,

1411
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:01,440
Speaker 3: but they're also dealing with COVID and by federal all,

1412
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:02,800
Speaker 3: they're not allowed to say who, they're not allowed to

1413
01:06:02,840 --> 01:06:05,520
Speaker 3: say how many. So I and their best players, Charles

1414
01:06:05,560 --> 01:06:07,320
Speaker 3: Williams are running back. He ran for over twelve hundred

1415
01:06:07,360 --> 01:06:09,400
Speaker 3: yards last year. But I went to I found their

1416
01:06:09,440 --> 01:06:12,200
Speaker 3: depth chart and then I matched it up and I said, wait,

1417
01:06:12,440 --> 01:06:16,760
Speaker 3: where are their two best receivers? And they're not on

1418
01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:19,960
Speaker 3: the depth chart. So if you look, you will not

1419
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:24,400
Speaker 3: find Randall Grimes USC transfer NFL prospect or Brandon Pressler.

1420
01:06:24,400 --> 01:06:25,440
Speaker 2: They're two best receivers.

1421
01:06:25,880 --> 01:06:28,880
Speaker 3: So I don't know who else is not gonna end

1422
01:06:28,960 --> 01:06:31,880
Speaker 3: up playing, but them not on the depth chart isn't great.

1423
01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:33,600
Speaker 2: San Diego State.

1424
01:06:33,720 --> 01:06:36,760
Speaker 3: Meanwhile, you have Brady Hoke moving from defensive line coach

1425
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:38,320
Speaker 3: to head coach. Is going to keep that three three

1426
01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 3: five new offensive coordinator. They want to play more spread

1427
01:06:42,080 --> 01:06:44,880
Speaker 3: based offensive attack. They tried to do that last year,

1428
01:06:44,960 --> 01:06:48,200
Speaker 3: didn't really work. It's gonna come down to can Carson

1429
01:06:48,280 --> 01:06:51,480
Speaker 3: Baker give them something at quarterback. He did play really

1430
01:06:51,520 --> 01:06:54,080
Speaker 3: well in his loan start against PYU. New running back

1431
01:06:54,120 --> 01:06:58,600
Speaker 3: by committee, but they do eternal lot on the outside.

1432
01:06:58,880 --> 01:07:02,520
Speaker 3: But the offense was so so pitiful last year. Sanaegoce's

1433
01:07:02,560 --> 01:07:05,520
Speaker 3: defense was so elite. There's second in points, second in

1434
01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:08,440
Speaker 3: rush defense. They bring back seven starters, but they do

1435
01:07:08,600 --> 01:07:11,600
Speaker 3: lose Cheatham with great defensive tackle, to Zeno, great linebacker,

1436
01:07:11,640 --> 01:07:14,200
Speaker 3: and Barco great corner. But this secondary is still awesome.

1437
01:07:15,120 --> 01:07:18,000
Speaker 3: Banks and Thomas upfront, still great defensive line. I expect

1438
01:07:18,040 --> 01:07:21,760
Speaker 3: the defense to still be pretty good, and I think

1439
01:07:21,800 --> 01:07:24,440
Speaker 3: this might take some time to fill in some of

1440
01:07:24,480 --> 01:07:26,280
Speaker 3: those holes that they lost. It's hard for me to

1441
01:07:26,280 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 3: project what we're going to see from you and Ol

1442
01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:29,480
Speaker 3: the new defensive coordinator as well.

1443
01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:30,880
Speaker 2: What do you see in this game?

1444
01:07:31,600 --> 01:07:33,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I had did some digging here and we've

1445
01:07:33,560 --> 01:07:35,560
Speaker 5: got a lot of moving pieces here. Two new head coaches.

1446
01:07:35,680 --> 01:07:38,960
Speaker 5: Marcus Royo comes in from Oregon, famously running the pistol

1447
01:07:39,000 --> 01:07:41,600
Speaker 5: with Justin Herbert and deciding to never pass the ball

1448
01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,520
Speaker 5: on first down, one of the most frustrating things to

1449
01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:46,320
Speaker 5: watch with the Ducks over the last couple of years.

1450
01:07:46,680 --> 01:07:49,919
Speaker 5: Brady Hokee is promoted from defensive line back to head coach.

1451
01:07:50,240 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 5: He previously was the head coach here many many eons ago.

1452
01:07:54,480 --> 01:07:57,600
Speaker 5: Before he had strings as Michigan head coach, the Oregon

1453
01:07:57,720 --> 01:08:01,040
Speaker 5: DC Tennessee defensive line, then interim head coach like for

1454
01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:05,720
Speaker 5: a game Panthers defensive line. All of those went horribly bad.

1455
01:08:06,720 --> 01:08:10,240
Speaker 5: So Brandon Brady Hoak taking over his head coach here

1456
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:14,000
Speaker 5: is nothing like a big boosto over Rocky Long, but

1457
01:08:14,720 --> 01:08:16,680
Speaker 5: there is some notes we should pay attention to here.

1458
01:08:17,320 --> 01:08:21,880
Speaker 5: San Diego State's new offensive quarter is Jeff Eklinski, who

1459
01:08:21,960 --> 01:08:25,040
Speaker 5: was under Hoke at Ball State, San Diego State and

1460
01:08:25,200 --> 01:08:27,719
Speaker 5: Michigan through those stops that I just mentioned For Brady

1461
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:31,479
Speaker 5: hoke Alensky took the job and he used these words

1462
01:08:32,160 --> 01:08:35,280
Speaker 5: right off the bat. We are going to be electric,

1463
01:08:35,680 --> 01:08:38,400
Speaker 5: we're going to be vertical, and we're going to be

1464
01:08:38,560 --> 01:08:40,519
Speaker 5: fast paced. Hello.

1465
01:08:41,439 --> 01:08:44,200
Speaker 7: San Diego State is the slowest team in the nation,

1466
01:08:44,680 --> 01:08:48,479
Speaker 7: slow on the ground, boring the shit out of us

1467
01:08:48,600 --> 01:08:51,400
Speaker 7: for a decade under Rocky Long and you're bringing in

1468
01:08:51,479 --> 01:08:53,840
Speaker 7: a guy that says electric vertical, fast paced.

1469
01:08:54,360 --> 01:08:56,600
Speaker 5: As for Arroyo, you know, Oregon was thirty ninth and

1470
01:08:56,640 --> 01:08:59,360
Speaker 5: seconds per play. I mean they weren't slow, but out

1471
01:08:59,400 --> 01:09:01,479
Speaker 5: of one hundred, you know, out of one hundred and

1472
01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:04,320
Speaker 5: thirty teams, thirty ninth isn't fast, but it's not slow.

1473
01:09:05,120 --> 01:09:07,320
Speaker 5: You know, the biggest complaint was that he just does

1474
01:09:07,400 --> 01:09:11,040
Speaker 5: not understand on passing downs, you're supposed to pass the ball,

1475
01:09:11,880 --> 01:09:14,800
Speaker 5: you know, so you know three quarterbacks are listed. We

1476
01:09:14,920 --> 01:09:17,000
Speaker 5: mentioned that before. So there's some COVID issues going on

1477
01:09:17,160 --> 01:09:22,040
Speaker 5: could affect the defense. I think this could possibly be

1478
01:09:22,200 --> 01:09:25,760
Speaker 5: with UNLV the worst defense in the Mountain West. They

1479
01:09:25,840 --> 01:09:28,720
Speaker 5: returned just twenty nine percent of a unit last year

1480
01:09:28,760 --> 01:09:32,120
Speaker 5: that rang ninety seventh and success rate because Olenski came

1481
01:09:32,160 --> 01:09:37,800
Speaker 5: out and said electric vertical and fast pace, I feel

1482
01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:42,599
Speaker 5: like this total at forty eight is just maybe maybe

1483
01:09:43,160 --> 01:09:46,960
Speaker 5: be used by bookmakers as something that they would have

1484
01:09:47,040 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 5: come up with from last year. And if San Diego

1485
01:09:50,120 --> 01:09:51,799
Speaker 5: State is going to come out here and run tempo,

1486
01:09:52,360 --> 01:09:56,000
Speaker 5: it's going to change totals for San Diego State really fast.

1487
01:09:56,400 --> 01:09:58,840
Speaker 5: I took an over in this game, I would take

1488
01:09:58,880 --> 01:10:00,800
Speaker 5: it up to forty nine nine and a half, kind

1489
01:10:00,800 --> 01:10:03,360
Speaker 5: of cross the key number there. If you want to

1490
01:10:03,400 --> 01:10:05,960
Speaker 5: wait and play it live, see how fast that play

1491
01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:08,880
Speaker 5: clock runs before San Diego State takes a snap. But

1492
01:10:09,240 --> 01:10:13,120
Speaker 5: whether they're successful or not, you know, these defense sucks,

1493
01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:16,080
Speaker 5: so they're gonna be able to move the ball. I

1494
01:10:16,120 --> 01:10:17,760
Speaker 5: don't care what they do. Anybody can move the ball

1495
01:10:17,760 --> 01:10:20,800
Speaker 5: against the UNLV defense. So let's pay attention to the tempo.

1496
01:10:21,360 --> 01:10:22,639
Speaker 5: But I'm taking the over in this game.

1497
01:10:23,040 --> 01:10:24,600
Speaker 2: You make a great case. Maybe I'll join you there

1498
01:10:24,640 --> 01:10:27,160
Speaker 2: as well. All right, let's move on.

1499
01:10:27,439 --> 01:10:29,439
Speaker 3: That's and make sure if you have Colorado State next week.

1500
01:10:29,439 --> 01:10:32,599
Speaker 3: They got canceled too bad at one Jackson's favorite game, right,

1501
01:10:33,360 --> 01:10:35,160
Speaker 3: that was your favorite game and I wish he was

1502
01:10:35,200 --> 01:10:38,280
Speaker 3: playing is awesome receiver. But yeah, go check out my

1503
01:10:38,680 --> 01:10:41,960
Speaker 3: Mountain West manifesto on the Action Network app in next

1504
01:10:42,040 --> 01:10:42,400
Speaker 3: nart to coming.

1505
01:10:42,400 --> 01:10:43,240
Speaker 2: It'll be up by the morning.

1506
01:10:43,920 --> 01:10:46,160
Speaker 4: I hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I

1507
01:10:46,200 --> 01:10:47,840
Speaker 4: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

1508
01:10:48,000 --> 01:10:51,240
Speaker 4: podcast network Locked On as a daily podcast on your

1509
01:10:51,320 --> 01:10:51,880
Speaker 4: favorite team.

1510
01:10:52,040 --> 01:10:54,280
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

1511
01:10:54,320 --> 01:10:55,280
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas Marriage.

1512
01:10:55,439 --> 01:10:57,920
Speaker 5: Everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast Let's Go.

1513
01:10:58,360 --> 01:11:01,240
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

1514
01:11:01,360 --> 01:11:03,519
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

1515
01:11:03,600 --> 01:11:06,360
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast out and search

1516
01:11:06,560 --> 01:11:10,840
Speaker 4: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

1517
01:11:13,760 --> 01:11:15,320
Speaker 3: All right, let's before we get out of here and

1518
01:11:15,560 --> 01:11:18,120
Speaker 3: let's do a quick rundown. We'll hit one game per

1519
01:11:18,200 --> 01:11:19,040
Speaker 3: conference at least.

1520
01:11:20,160 --> 01:11:25,280
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

1521
01:11:25,320 --> 01:11:29,240
Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for week eight.

1522
01:11:30,720 --> 01:11:34,679
Speaker 3: Let's start in the AAC Cincinnati at SMU ranked matchup

1523
01:11:34,760 --> 01:11:37,599
Speaker 3: here at bet MGM SMU minus two and a half

1524
01:11:37,680 --> 01:11:39,880
Speaker 3: over under fifty five and a half. My initial thought,

1525
01:11:39,880 --> 01:11:41,960
Speaker 3: I want to play this under. It's scary with SMU,

1526
01:11:42,479 --> 01:11:44,960
Speaker 3: But I love this Sinci defense. It's built the kind

1527
01:11:44,960 --> 01:11:48,599
Speaker 3: of number one pass efficiency defense in college football. They're

1528
01:11:48,640 --> 01:11:50,720
Speaker 3: built to stop this type of offense, and they've had

1529
01:11:50,840 --> 01:11:53,200
Speaker 3: weeks to prepare for it. And I love Marcus Freeman

1530
01:11:53,240 --> 01:11:54,720
Speaker 3: and I love Fickle. I think they're going to have

1531
01:11:54,800 --> 01:11:57,560
Speaker 3: a good game plan and the Cincinnati offense stinks. I

1532
01:11:57,560 --> 01:12:01,280
Speaker 3: think their bleeding receiver is still out this week, and

1533
01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:04,000
Speaker 3: Raider's been bad. I'd kind of lean under here, what

1534
01:12:04,040 --> 01:12:05,280
Speaker 3: have you seen since the SMU.

1535
01:12:05,720 --> 01:12:09,679
Speaker 5: Since the seventh and passing success rate defensively and sixteenth

1536
01:12:09,760 --> 01:12:13,799
Speaker 5: in the nation, and defending past explosiveness. I think SMU

1537
01:12:13,920 --> 01:12:16,479
Speaker 5: is able to put together against Tulsa without some of

1538
01:12:16,520 --> 01:12:18,200
Speaker 5: the you know, the leading wide receiver being out for

1539
01:12:18,240 --> 01:12:19,720
Speaker 5: the year and they're running back. But I think that

1540
01:12:19,800 --> 01:12:22,600
Speaker 5: that corrects itself this week. Cincinnati's had a big, a

1541
01:12:22,680 --> 01:12:24,880
Speaker 5: big gap in play with some COVID issues, but they're

1542
01:12:24,880 --> 01:12:27,840
Speaker 5: all healthy now. I like Cincinnati, but I'm waiting on

1543
01:12:27,880 --> 01:12:28,120
Speaker 5: a three.

1544
01:12:28,600 --> 01:12:33,880
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the big twelve we have October Baby.

1545
01:12:41,360 --> 01:12:43,120
Speaker 3: I would stayed plus three and a half over under

1546
01:12:43,200 --> 01:12:45,080
Speaker 3: fifty one and a half. I took some under fifty

1547
01:12:45,120 --> 01:12:47,280
Speaker 3: two and a half as I projected lower. Although these

1548
01:12:47,320 --> 01:12:49,280
Speaker 3: games have been shootouts in the past, they've been close.

1549
01:12:50,080 --> 01:12:52,800
Speaker 3: But this Oklahoma des Olhoa State defense is real. Look

1550
01:12:52,840 --> 01:12:56,479
Speaker 3: at all their advanced metrics. It's awesome and we expected

1551
01:12:56,479 --> 01:12:58,160
Speaker 3: a big jump on their defense. Well, I'm believing in it.

1552
01:12:58,320 --> 01:13:00,200
Speaker 3: We know the Iowa State defense is really good good.

1553
01:13:00,640 --> 01:13:03,160
Speaker 3: I'm trusting Broctober. I make this game closer to a pick.

1554
01:13:03,240 --> 01:13:04,960
Speaker 3: I think it'll be close, come down to the wire.

1555
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:07,760
Speaker 3: I think it's like twenty four to twenty, twenty four

1556
01:13:07,760 --> 01:13:11,720
Speaker 3: to twenty one. Iowa State pulls this out B October baby, Yeah,

1557
01:13:11,840 --> 01:13:12,160
Speaker 3: you're right.

1558
01:13:12,560 --> 01:13:14,720
Speaker 5: Oklahoma State on defense has like a top ten rating

1559
01:13:14,760 --> 01:13:17,800
Speaker 5: and everything stuff rate, lineyards, having rushing success rate. One

1560
01:13:17,840 --> 01:13:21,640
Speaker 5: thing that they do not rank highly in defending pass explosiveness.

1561
01:13:21,680 --> 01:13:24,439
Speaker 5: They're actually forty fifth and passing EPA on the defensive

1562
01:13:24,439 --> 01:13:27,040
Speaker 5: side of the ball. That is where I think brock

1563
01:13:27,080 --> 01:13:31,760
Speaker 5: perty is gonna get them. Listen, I just think it's

1564
01:13:31,800 --> 01:13:34,599
Speaker 5: b October. You gotta play them. You know, Oklahoma State's

1565
01:13:34,640 --> 01:13:37,639
Speaker 5: passing attack has been abysmal, but Spencer Sanders is coming back.

1566
01:13:38,240 --> 01:13:41,640
Speaker 5: The offensive line has not helped Cowboys whatsoever. They are

1567
01:13:41,760 --> 01:13:44,960
Speaker 5: seventieth on the offensive line in sacrate. That's trouble against

1568
01:13:44,960 --> 01:13:48,639
Speaker 5: an Iowa State defense that is harassing quarterbacks. They're seventh

1569
01:13:48,720 --> 01:13:51,560
Speaker 5: and defensively in sacarate. So I'm gonna say Iowa was

1570
01:13:51,560 --> 01:13:52,479
Speaker 5: stating this one and upset.

1571
01:13:52,680 --> 01:13:55,519
Speaker 3: All right, let's cross off the acc real quick. Here,

1572
01:13:56,600 --> 01:13:58,760
Speaker 3: good or name pitt over under has dropped the forty three.

1573
01:13:58,840 --> 01:14:01,639
Speaker 3: I missed the boat on that on what opened fifty.

1574
01:14:02,120 --> 01:14:04,000
Speaker 3: Let's see the game that I want to cover here

1575
01:14:04,280 --> 01:14:06,960
Speaker 3: that you wanted to talk about. Louisville seems cheap to

1576
01:14:07,080 --> 01:14:09,560
Speaker 3: me after that Florida State lost, but I don't know

1577
01:14:09,560 --> 01:14:11,840
Speaker 3: if I can trust them UNC minus fifteen and a

1578
01:14:11,920 --> 01:14:15,360
Speaker 3: half after their loss against NC State. NC State's going

1579
01:14:15,400 --> 01:14:17,720
Speaker 3: to be without their starting quarterback Leary for a few

1580
01:14:17,760 --> 01:14:21,200
Speaker 3: weeks at minimum. You want to touch any on either

1581
01:14:21,240 --> 01:14:21,760
Speaker 3: of those games.

1582
01:14:22,080 --> 01:14:24,040
Speaker 5: Now, I'm staying away from NC State UNC. But if

1583
01:14:24,080 --> 01:14:25,519
Speaker 5: you're gonna play it and you think that you want

1584
01:14:25,560 --> 01:14:27,600
Speaker 5: to get contrariy and take n C State, realize that

1585
01:14:27,640 --> 01:14:30,479
Speaker 5: they're sixty seventh on defense and finishing drives. Anybody that

1586
01:14:30,560 --> 01:14:33,360
Speaker 5: gets past the forties scoring points on a lot of points.

1587
01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:35,920
Speaker 2: All right, let's touch on the AAC here.

1588
01:14:36,240 --> 01:14:38,040
Speaker 3: Memphis is going to look to avoid a let down

1589
01:14:38,120 --> 01:14:41,080
Speaker 3: here after that win over UCF, Coxy now has opted

1590
01:14:41,080 --> 01:14:43,040
Speaker 3: out lost like all their skill position players.

1591
01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:44,880
Speaker 2: So don't know UCF lost that game.

1592
01:14:45,320 --> 01:14:47,639
Speaker 3: All right, some bubbles stay for Friday night lights. We're

1593
01:14:47,680 --> 01:14:52,680
Speaker 3: going to hit the ull UAB game. Georgia Southern Coastal Carolina.

1594
01:14:52,360 --> 01:14:53,800
Speaker 2: Is a really good game. I think we disagree, but

1595
01:14:53,920 --> 01:14:56,800
Speaker 2: I'll be on my triple option. Boys, I think, don't

1596
01:14:56,920 --> 01:14:59,280
Speaker 2: let the latest come between you and the bill.

1597
01:15:00,520 --> 01:15:02,439
Speaker 3: The SCC people are gonna be really mad because we

1598
01:15:02,520 --> 01:15:04,280
Speaker 3: have talked about the big ten in Mount West the

1599
01:15:04,439 --> 01:15:06,840
Speaker 3: entire time. I like Missouri just to throw that out

1600
01:15:06,840 --> 01:15:08,800
Speaker 3: there plus five and a half at bet MGM. Right now,

1601
01:15:09,400 --> 01:15:11,519
Speaker 3: they're shorthanded other defensive line, but this is a good

1602
01:15:11,560 --> 01:15:12,160
Speaker 3: run defense.

1603
01:15:12,200 --> 01:15:13,599
Speaker 2: They should be motivated for this game.

1604
01:15:13,600 --> 01:15:15,760
Speaker 3: They got blown out last year by Kentucky, lost by

1605
01:15:15,840 --> 01:15:16,880
Speaker 3: one at home two years ago.

1606
01:15:17,120 --> 01:15:18,960
Speaker 2: Horrible spot for Kentucky. Horrible.

1607
01:15:19,720 --> 01:15:21,840
Speaker 3: I mean, they get a huge win over Tennessee for

1608
01:15:21,880 --> 01:15:23,519
Speaker 3: the first at in Tennessee for first time forever. The

1609
01:15:23,680 --> 01:15:25,920
Speaker 3: Georgia on deck. Now they're supposed to get Georgia after

1610
01:15:25,960 --> 01:15:28,760
Speaker 3: Bama this week. Missouri's coming off of a bye. This

1611
01:15:29,320 --> 01:15:31,800
Speaker 3: freshman Basilk has been awesome. I've been looking into his numbers,

1612
01:15:31,840 --> 01:15:34,040
Speaker 3: like top fifteen across the board. He actually had some

1613
01:15:34,120 --> 01:15:35,479
Speaker 3: guys that could catch the ball last year. I think

1614
01:15:35,479 --> 01:15:37,519
Speaker 3: they're gonna sell it on the run. Wilson can't beat

1615
01:15:37,560 --> 01:15:40,719
Speaker 3: them through the air, and there's gonna be some turnover

1616
01:15:40,720 --> 01:15:43,040
Speaker 3: of regression coming for both of these teams. I think

1617
01:15:43,040 --> 01:15:46,920
Speaker 3: Missouri can pull off this upset LSU. South Carolina is interesting.

1618
01:15:47,320 --> 01:15:49,559
Speaker 3: It looks like Brennan's gonna be out else He's coming

1619
01:15:49,600 --> 01:15:52,599
Speaker 3: off of buye. South Carolina's off that big win over Auburn.

1620
01:15:52,640 --> 01:15:55,280
Speaker 3: I played some under there. I think Elsie's gonna go

1621
01:15:55,360 --> 01:15:59,080
Speaker 3: slower with a new freshman, true freshman quarterback, and their

1622
01:15:59,120 --> 01:16:02,639
Speaker 3: defense will be better after the bye Auburn. Ole Miss

1623
01:16:03,080 --> 01:16:05,639
Speaker 3: Alburt's a three and a half point favorite at ole Miss.

1624
01:16:05,680 --> 01:16:07,639
Speaker 3: I wouldn't really want to play ole Miss. Yere Dama

1625
01:16:07,680 --> 01:16:09,360
Speaker 3: is a twenty one and a half point favorite of Tennessee.

1626
01:16:09,520 --> 01:16:11,960
Speaker 3: I at show value in Tennessee. Please tell me I

1627
01:16:12,000 --> 01:16:15,240
Speaker 3: shouldn't bet Tennessee. Tell me why I can bet ole Miss.

1628
01:16:16,760 --> 01:16:19,160
Speaker 5: You could bet Tennessee because of the way Jim Cheney,

1629
01:16:19,200 --> 01:16:22,479
Speaker 5: the offensive coordinator, likes to call plays against Alabama. He

1630
01:16:22,520 --> 01:16:24,800
Speaker 5: did this all last year. He was heavy, heavy, heavy rush.

1631
01:16:24,920 --> 01:16:28,320
Speaker 5: Why he wants to limit the exposure the Jared Garanzano

1632
01:16:28,479 --> 01:16:31,320
Speaker 5: or Shrout or whoever's running quarterback. Brandon Mauer last year

1633
01:16:32,000 --> 01:16:34,479
Speaker 5: has in throwing the ball and possibly being intercepted and

1634
01:16:34,560 --> 01:16:37,080
Speaker 5: having some pick sixes. This is what he's done. It's

1635
01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:40,519
Speaker 5: been his formula forever when going up against BAMA heavy

1636
01:16:40,560 --> 01:16:43,519
Speaker 5: rush expected last year this game finished thirty five to thirteen.

1637
01:16:43,840 --> 01:16:45,880
Speaker 5: Expect there to be lots of Eric Gray. I expected

1638
01:16:45,960 --> 01:16:49,240
Speaker 5: to be lots of tight Chandler. Bama is just unbelievable

1639
01:16:49,320 --> 01:16:51,720
Speaker 5: or a machine. I said this on our podcast. You

1640
01:16:51,800 --> 01:16:55,920
Speaker 5: know over the weekend, Bama's offense, you know, sixty, sixty,

1641
01:16:56,120 --> 01:16:59,280
Speaker 5: ninety one and sixty. That's the percent of available yards

1642
01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:02,040
Speaker 5: as they're getting every game when the national average is forty.

1643
01:17:02,479 --> 01:17:06,840
Speaker 5: Shout out to the Mandalorian. They are disintegrating defenses. It's insane.

1644
01:17:07,439 --> 01:17:09,759
Speaker 5: Their defense is now top twenty five and finishing drives,

1645
01:17:09,800 --> 01:17:13,719
Speaker 5: limiting teams to three point one four points per opportunity. Really,

1646
01:17:13,800 --> 01:17:16,200
Speaker 5: what you have to do here is limit Jared Garantanos

1647
01:17:16,240 --> 01:17:18,960
Speaker 5: throws low risk throws. He's had a ton of them

1648
01:17:19,320 --> 01:17:21,040
Speaker 5: that are behind the line of scrimmage or a zero

1649
01:17:21,120 --> 01:17:23,280
Speaker 5: to nine yards. But what you're gonna do is just

1650
01:17:23,360 --> 01:17:25,439
Speaker 5: take a read. You're gonna just gonna turn around on

1651
01:17:25,479 --> 01:17:27,439
Speaker 5: a zone read and you're just gonna let Ty Chandler,

1652
01:17:27,760 --> 01:17:30,240
Speaker 5: Air Gray run the ball. Alabama's gonna give you four

1653
01:17:30,360 --> 01:17:32,160
Speaker 5: yards per carry. It's gonna be slow.

1654
01:17:32,280 --> 01:17:34,560
Speaker 2: It was last year taken under here let's get to

1655
01:17:34,640 --> 01:17:46,080
Speaker 2: f CS or now Southland or SEC, Big Sky or

1656
01:17:46,240 --> 01:17:50,680
Speaker 2: Big Ten. It's time to play XC. Yes or no.

1657
01:17:55,240 --> 01:17:56,880
Speaker 3: I'll just do a shout out to Mercer. I have

1658
01:17:57,000 --> 01:17:59,080
Speaker 3: to take them plus thirty one. They've had a couple

1659
01:17:59,120 --> 01:18:01,439
Speaker 3: weeks with a fair I love their coach. I watched

1660
01:18:01,479 --> 01:18:03,599
Speaker 3: their offense. I watched the whole game against Jacksonville State

1661
01:18:03,680 --> 01:18:05,439
Speaker 3: on YouTube. I like some of the things they're doing

1662
01:18:05,520 --> 01:18:09,400
Speaker 3: on offense, some similarities to the option. Their offensive coordinator

1663
01:18:09,439 --> 01:18:11,680
Speaker 3: actually used to be at Army, So they've had two

1664
01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:14,000
Speaker 3: weeks to prepare for this game. Triple option team. Laying

1665
01:18:14,040 --> 01:18:15,560
Speaker 3: thirty one. I'll have a piece of Mercer. Do you

1666
01:18:15,600 --> 01:18:16,760
Speaker 3: see any FCS games you like?

1667
01:18:16,960 --> 01:18:20,280
Speaker 5: Yeah? Two others? What is what does Western Kentucky doing?

1668
01:18:20,360 --> 01:18:23,880
Speaker 5: Laying fourteen to Chattanooga. Mox returned eighteen returning starters. They

1669
01:18:23,880 --> 01:18:26,080
Speaker 5: have a fifth year senior Draiton Arnold quarterback. He's a

1670
01:18:26,160 --> 01:18:29,160
Speaker 5: dual threat. Four of their five offensive linemen are back.

1671
01:18:29,360 --> 01:18:31,840
Speaker 5: The Mox defense is loaded with havoc. They have a

1672
01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:34,880
Speaker 5: defensive back Dowell has got five iants in his career.

1673
01:18:35,479 --> 01:18:38,920
Speaker 5: Tons of passes defense back there. Western Kentucky's forty first

1674
01:18:38,960 --> 01:18:41,360
Speaker 5: and havoc allowed. This is a one game play for

1675
01:18:41,439 --> 01:18:43,599
Speaker 5: the Mox before they play their eight game season next

1676
01:18:43,640 --> 01:18:45,839
Speaker 5: in the spring. I don't think this game should be fourteen,

1677
01:18:46,520 --> 01:18:48,559
Speaker 5: you know, according to Sagarin the game should be seven.

1678
01:18:48,800 --> 01:18:51,719
Speaker 5: And then flipping over to Jackson Jacksonville State and FIU.

1679
01:18:52,160 --> 01:18:54,040
Speaker 5: I mean, this is a game that Sagarin makes like

1680
01:18:54,200 --> 01:18:57,120
Speaker 5: a pick. Jackson State has Jacksonville State as a quarterback

1681
01:18:57,120 --> 01:19:00,439
Speaker 5: that maybe an NFL prospect and Zared Cooper Jackson State.

1682
01:19:01,160 --> 01:19:03,880
Speaker 5: They led FSU by two scores before the seminals finally

1683
01:19:03,920 --> 01:19:06,919
Speaker 5: caught up, and Florida International is flipping between three quarterbacks

1684
01:19:07,000 --> 01:19:09,600
Speaker 5: looking for an answer. So those are two fcs or

1685
01:19:09,680 --> 01:19:12,400
Speaker 5: no games. I pro fcs this week.

1686
01:19:12,640 --> 01:19:16,280
Speaker 3: And by the way, Jacksonville State only beat Mercer by

1687
01:19:16,439 --> 01:19:18,519
Speaker 3: six the other week, Mercer played pretty well.

1688
01:19:18,640 --> 01:19:20,200
Speaker 2: Before we get out of here, I just want to remind.

1689
01:19:19,960 --> 01:19:23,120
Speaker 3: Every one of the Action Network podcasts Tournament of Champions

1690
01:19:23,160 --> 01:19:25,800
Speaker 3: presented by BETGM, which is now live as it is

1691
01:19:26,080 --> 01:19:28,920
Speaker 3: every week. It's a free weekly YAHOODFS tournament, specifically for

1692
01:19:29,000 --> 01:19:31,519
Speaker 3: our podcast listeners. You can join somebod by clicking on

1693
01:19:31,560 --> 01:19:33,800
Speaker 3: the link in our episode of description. Top ten weekly

1694
01:19:33,840 --> 01:19:36,479
Speaker 3: finishers received over one thousand dollars worth of Action Howork prizes,

1695
01:19:36,720 --> 01:19:38,960
Speaker 3: and the top five finishers each week punch their ticket

1696
01:19:39,000 --> 01:19:41,280
Speaker 3: to the Wildcar week in Grand Finale, where you'll then

1697
01:19:41,360 --> 01:19:44,360
Speaker 3: compete for the grand prize, which is a Las Vegas

1698
01:19:44,400 --> 01:19:47,240
Speaker 3: trip for two guided over five thousand dollars courtesy of BETMGM,

1699
01:19:47,240 --> 01:19:49,000
Speaker 3: the official outs provider of the Action of Work podcast.

1700
01:19:49,400 --> 01:19:51,880
Speaker 2: So again, you can join it for free. There's no rake.

1701
01:19:51,960 --> 01:19:55,960
Speaker 3: It's only for our podcast listeners every week the NFL

1702
01:19:56,000 --> 01:19:58,320
Speaker 3: regular season. If you join it one week and miss

1703
01:19:58,360 --> 01:20:00,200
Speaker 3: another week, that's finding doing any week you want. Just

1704
01:20:00,240 --> 01:20:02,680
Speaker 3: click on the leak of our episode description. All right,

1705
01:20:02,680 --> 01:20:04,720
Speaker 3: before we get out of here, let's go three and out.

1706
01:20:07,800 --> 01:20:09,880
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1707
01:20:12,280 --> 01:20:15,759
Speaker 3: All right, let's quickly run through these games on Friday

1708
01:20:15,840 --> 01:20:17,920
Speaker 3: nights and get to Friday night lights.

1709
01:20:18,240 --> 01:20:21,080
Speaker 5: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1710
01:20:23,280 --> 01:20:25,200
Speaker 3: All right, we already talked about Wisconsin game. We talked

1711
01:20:25,240 --> 01:20:28,639
Speaker 3: about the FBS game. I played some Tulsa South Florida

1712
01:20:28,920 --> 01:20:32,760
Speaker 3: under fifty one. I don't see how South Florida does

1713
01:20:32,880 --> 01:20:35,800
Speaker 3: much on offense against that Tulsa defense, which I think

1714
01:20:35,880 --> 01:20:38,960
Speaker 3: is really real. And feel free to share thoughts that

1715
01:20:39,040 --> 01:20:42,760
Speaker 3: you have on that game, if you do, and the

1716
01:20:42,840 --> 01:20:46,559
Speaker 3: other game on Friday night, Louisiana minus three.

1717
01:20:46,720 --> 01:20:48,640
Speaker 2: Now at that MGM, I gotta play them.

1718
01:20:48,640 --> 01:20:49,160
Speaker 5: I love them.

1719
01:20:49,600 --> 01:20:53,040
Speaker 3: Maybe you like uab over under forty nine and a half.

1720
01:20:53,920 --> 01:20:55,920
Speaker 3: Awful situational spot for you if you on a short

1721
01:20:55,960 --> 01:21:00,519
Speaker 3: week UL extra prep after playing last Wednesday. I didn't

1722
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:02,599
Speaker 3: even to run it on you, Abu he's running. It's

1723
01:21:02,640 --> 01:21:04,760
Speaker 3: been kind of suspect. I don't believe in this UAE

1724
01:21:04,880 --> 01:21:08,320
Speaker 3: quarterback at they're digging into him. I like UL here

1725
01:21:08,600 --> 01:21:10,880
Speaker 3: and maybe there's some news I don't know about with

1726
01:21:10,960 --> 01:21:13,360
Speaker 3: this line. It just keeps moving. Any thoughts there, Yeah,

1727
01:21:13,400 --> 01:21:13,920
Speaker 3: I mean as.

1728
01:21:13,840 --> 01:21:15,840
Speaker 5: Far as Tulsa goes, I mean I'm waiting for some

1729
01:21:15,960 --> 01:21:18,599
Speaker 5: steam to back South Florida. I just say that out loud.

1730
01:21:18,640 --> 01:21:21,320
Speaker 5: I'm waiting on some steam to back South Florida. I'm

1731
01:21:21,360 --> 01:21:23,280
Speaker 5: so scared of backing these quarterbacks to just give the

1732
01:21:23,280 --> 01:21:25,200
Speaker 5: ball up. And that's what Jordan McLoud is, you know,

1733
01:21:25,320 --> 01:21:27,640
Speaker 5: Jordan McCloud. He has to eliminate mistakes at quarterback. There

1734
01:21:27,720 --> 01:21:30,360
Speaker 5: is seventy fourth and havoc allowed. They need to hand

1735
01:21:30,400 --> 01:21:32,759
Speaker 5: the ball off more to Johnny Ford He's mister everything

1736
01:21:33,120 --> 01:21:36,479
Speaker 5: from running back, from rushing receiving to kick returning. He

1737
01:21:36,680 --> 01:21:38,600
Speaker 5: is a star for South Florida and they need to

1738
01:21:38,720 --> 01:21:40,680
Speaker 5: use him a lot more. We'll see if they do.

1739
01:21:41,200 --> 01:21:44,040
Speaker 5: You know, South Florida's strength is limiting pass explosiveness. On deed,

1740
01:21:44,040 --> 01:21:46,400
Speaker 5: they're actually sixth. I mean, everything else on their defense

1741
01:21:46,479 --> 01:21:48,960
Speaker 5: is terrible, but they are good at limiting pass explosiveness

1742
01:21:48,960 --> 01:21:50,880
Speaker 5: and that's the one thing that Zack Smith does well

1743
01:21:51,439 --> 01:21:52,960
Speaker 5: for Tulsa. So I am going to wait for some

1744
01:21:53,040 --> 01:21:55,200
Speaker 5: steam and probably take a look at South Florida. As

1745
01:21:55,240 --> 01:21:57,479
Speaker 5: far as lua B goes, there must be some news

1746
01:21:57,520 --> 01:22:00,519
Speaker 5: out there that we don't know about. Because the UAB

1747
01:22:00,720 --> 01:22:03,200
Speaker 5: beat up on teams that are they're in the group

1748
01:22:03,240 --> 01:22:06,360
Speaker 5: of five, especially smaller teams like ULL. You know, their

1749
01:22:06,400 --> 01:22:09,760
Speaker 5: defense is suspect and rushing explosiveness, and that's really bad

1750
01:22:09,800 --> 01:22:11,680
Speaker 5: because that's what ULL does. There's six in the nation

1751
01:22:11,840 --> 01:22:16,800
Speaker 5: rushing EPA. UAB is seventy seventh, dead last and defensive

1752
01:22:16,920 --> 01:22:21,000
Speaker 5: rushing EPA. So I would love to back UAB here.

1753
01:22:21,080 --> 01:22:23,639
Speaker 5: The number has gone way past the projected of UAB

1754
01:22:23,800 --> 01:22:26,320
Speaker 5: minus one. I'm gonna look further into it tonight. I

1755
01:22:26,439 --> 01:22:28,280
Speaker 5: don't understand why this line is moving so much. I

1756
01:22:28,320 --> 01:22:30,519
Speaker 5: don't know if there's COVID or an injury, but be

1757
01:22:30,640 --> 01:22:32,320
Speaker 5: on the lookout on the app, on the action app

1758
01:22:32,320 --> 01:22:34,960
Speaker 5: as always for stuckinized account for one of us. If

1759
01:22:34,960 --> 01:22:38,240
Speaker 5: Stuck's gonna go ull, then I guess be watching, you know,

1760
01:22:38,320 --> 01:22:40,040
Speaker 5: to see if I sent out a UA B one.

1761
01:22:40,120 --> 01:22:41,600
Speaker 5: It just depends. I mean this, there's gotta be a

1762
01:22:41,600 --> 01:22:44,160
Speaker 5: reason for this number, this really crazy movement in this game.

1763
01:22:44,640 --> 01:22:47,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, UAB, which has a twenty one game home winning streak,

1764
01:22:48,439 --> 01:22:51,800
Speaker 3: is now getting dead against here pretty hard. All right,

1765
01:22:51,960 --> 01:22:55,479
Speaker 3: let's move on to second down. Second out is our

1766
01:22:55,520 --> 01:22:58,479
Speaker 3: favorite overdog aka favorite favorite of the weekend.

1767
01:22:58,760 --> 01:22:59,880
Speaker 5: It's called the overdogs.

1768
01:23:00,520 --> 01:23:04,719
Speaker 3: I'll make mine easy. It's time I've paid my dues

1769
01:23:05,479 --> 01:23:07,880
Speaker 3: and not covering last week. I'm free to bet Middle

1770
01:23:07,920 --> 01:23:10,920
Speaker 3: Tennessee State games. Not bet on Middle Tennessee State. I

1771
01:23:11,040 --> 01:23:15,080
Speaker 3: bet Rice first game advantage here itching the fade. I'm

1772
01:23:15,120 --> 01:23:18,439
Speaker 3: now free to do. So give me Rice, baby, Rice.

1773
01:23:18,320 --> 01:23:20,479
Speaker 2: Minus three and a half. Would you got a favorite overdog?

1774
01:23:20,640 --> 01:23:22,360
Speaker 5: Favorite over dog is going to be San Diego State.

1775
01:23:22,400 --> 01:23:24,839
Speaker 5: I mean, I'm just gonna go into the Marcus Arroyo

1776
01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:28,200
Speaker 5: is going to have a pistol formation. Everything I said

1777
01:23:28,200 --> 01:23:31,479
Speaker 5: about how you know he is not the greatest play

1778
01:23:31,560 --> 01:23:33,600
Speaker 5: caller in the world, and the San Diego State up

1779
01:23:33,680 --> 01:23:37,280
Speaker 5: tempo electric vertical. I'm going to believe in all of that,

1780
01:23:37,520 --> 01:23:39,800
Speaker 5: and you know, we'll see what San Diego State can

1781
01:23:39,840 --> 01:23:41,439
Speaker 5: do against what I think is the worst defense in

1782
01:23:41,439 --> 01:23:42,080
Speaker 5: the Mountain West.

1783
01:23:42,720 --> 01:23:44,920
Speaker 3: To belong to third down, our favorite money line.

1784
01:23:44,800 --> 01:23:52,519
Speaker 1: Underdog, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1785
01:23:52,720 --> 01:23:54,680
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1786
01:23:56,520 --> 01:23:59,040
Speaker 3: For what it's worth, if anyone is interested. I did

1787
01:23:59,120 --> 01:24:01,640
Speaker 3: put in some round robins.

1788
01:24:03,640 --> 01:24:06,519
Speaker 2: This week. I got the itch earlier today.

1789
01:24:06,840 --> 01:24:08,479
Speaker 3: All right, So I threw a couple and I have

1790
01:24:08,520 --> 01:24:11,639
Speaker 3: an eight teamer, a six teamer through in a couple.

1791
01:24:11,680 --> 01:24:13,160
Speaker 3: Here are the teams that I use. One of them

1792
01:24:13,160 --> 01:24:20,879
Speaker 3: I use miss oh miss Georgia, Southern Iowa State, Purdue, Indiana, Missouri, Nevada,

1793
01:24:21,640 --> 01:24:30,599
Speaker 3: and UTSA. And in another I used Just Iowa State, Purdue, Indiana,

1794
01:24:30,640 --> 01:24:35,000
Speaker 3: Georgia State, Missouri, and UTSAS. So we'll see how it

1795
01:24:35,040 --> 01:24:37,800
Speaker 3: works out. I have to choose one of them. I'm

1796
01:24:37,840 --> 01:24:40,479
Speaker 3: gonna go. It's tough for me, but I'm getting I

1797
01:24:40,520 --> 01:24:42,040
Speaker 3: get it. I have a gut feeling about it, So

1798
01:24:42,120 --> 01:24:42,720
Speaker 3: I'm going with it.

1799
01:24:43,400 --> 01:24:46,000
Speaker 5: Give me Indiana better get that money line quick before

1800
01:24:46,000 --> 01:24:48,200
Speaker 5: it keeps going down before kickoff. I'm gonna go with

1801
01:24:48,240 --> 01:24:51,960
Speaker 5: Iowa State. You know October everything that I said besides October,

1802
01:24:52,040 --> 01:24:54,479
Speaker 5: that defensive line is going to give Spencer Sanders and

1803
01:24:54,560 --> 01:24:57,719
Speaker 5: that uh pokes offensive line everything that they can handle.

1804
01:24:57,800 --> 01:24:58,840
Speaker 5: So cyclones for.

1805
01:24:58,920 --> 01:25:00,720
Speaker 2: Me, by the way, you didn't. That's our question. Can

1806
01:25:00,800 --> 01:25:03,519
Speaker 2: we fade Auburn this week and Bow next season? We're

1807
01:25:03,600 --> 01:25:05,280
Speaker 2: no Bow next season?

1808
01:25:05,400 --> 01:25:06,320
Speaker 7: Then full effect?

1809
01:25:08,000 --> 01:25:11,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean until until Bow. Nicks and Seth Williams

1810
01:25:11,400 --> 01:25:14,080
Speaker 5: show a little continuity here and Chad Morris doesn't have

1811
01:25:14,120 --> 01:25:16,600
Speaker 5: to play babysitter. Yeah, we're all We're all in on

1812
01:25:16,720 --> 01:25:17,880
Speaker 5: teams that are facing Auburn.

1813
01:25:18,280 --> 01:25:21,040
Speaker 2: Oh man, that all miss Tea's so bad. I look

1814
01:25:21,080 --> 01:25:23,439
Speaker 2: at like rating out like all their corners are the

1815
01:25:23,479 --> 01:25:24,120
Speaker 2: worst of the nation.

1816
01:25:24,840 --> 01:25:27,920
Speaker 3: All right, Uh, that'll do it for us. Don't forget

1817
01:25:27,960 --> 01:25:32,080
Speaker 3: about the voicemail you tap Minor Nation. I didn't forget

1818
01:25:32,120 --> 01:25:34,800
Speaker 3: about you today. I like the under in your game.

1819
01:25:34,840 --> 01:25:35,760
Speaker 3: I expect to hear from you.

1820
01:25:35,840 --> 01:25:36,320
Speaker 2: I missed you.

1821
01:25:36,360 --> 01:25:39,040
Speaker 3: I legitimately missed you on the recap podcast and hearing

1822
01:25:39,080 --> 01:25:42,599
Speaker 3: your voicemail. I better hear from you. Pizza parties, everyone

1823
01:25:42,640 --> 01:25:45,120
Speaker 3: else call the voicemail. Go to my Twitter at Stucky too.

1824
01:25:45,120 --> 01:25:47,280
Speaker 3: You'll see the voicemo number. Cry scream, bitch yeall you

1825
01:25:47,360 --> 01:25:49,920
Speaker 3: know the drill. Thank you for listening. We got through

1826
01:25:49,960 --> 01:25:52,040
Speaker 3: a ton this week. I am so excited for all

1827
01:25:52,080 --> 01:25:55,759
Speaker 3: this scote football. I'm probably gonna have thirty bets this weekend.

1828
01:25:55,880 --> 01:25:56,719
Speaker 3: I'm that excited.

1829
01:25:57,200 --> 01:25:58,880
Speaker 2: Colin. Thank you as always for joining me.

1830
01:25:59,400 --> 01:26:02,680
Speaker 3: It's gonna be a fun weekend and hopefully we can

1831
01:26:03,479 --> 01:26:05,600
Speaker 3: drive you to some winners or keep you away for

1832
01:26:05,720 --> 01:26:09,120
Speaker 3: some losers, and let's may try to make some money

1833
01:26:09,160 --> 01:26:10,800
Speaker 3: and have some fun this weekend. We'll catch you all

1834
01:26:10,800 --> 01:26:13,600
Speaker 3: on Twitter. Make sure that you subscribe on Subscribe.

1835
01:26:13,760 --> 01:26:14,920
Speaker 5: Leave a review just.

1836
01:26:14,960 --> 01:26:17,880
Speaker 2: Takes one second. Leave a podcast review, five star review.

1837
01:26:18,160 --> 01:26:19,680
Speaker 3: You're gonna go into a drawing somebody who did it

1838
01:26:19,720 --> 01:26:21,519
Speaker 3: on the Action of Work app, which I think I

1839
01:26:21,600 --> 01:26:23,240
Speaker 3: said it wrong, which is great. You're gonna go into

1840
01:26:23,400 --> 01:26:26,679
Speaker 3: Raffle two. We'll send like sweatshirts and stuff. My producer

1841
01:26:26,680 --> 01:26:29,040
Speaker 3: will reach out. But thanks again for listening, and we'll

1842
01:26:29,080 --> 01:26:29,639
Speaker 3: catch you all later.

1843
01:26:29,720 --> 01:26:51,479
Speaker 2: Cheers. We're finished talking