WEBVTT - SpaceX Soars On Third Trading Day, Seals Cursor Takeover

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. SpaceX continues to rocket,

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<v Speaker 2>eclipsing Amazon in value this as it lands it's sixty

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<v Speaker 2>billion dollar takeover of Cursor, plus Anthropic meets with US

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<v Speaker 2>officials to resolve a national security dispute with the Trump

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<v Speaker 2>administration over its most advanced AI models and Sequoia partner

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX investor and AI thinker Sean maguire, on set in

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<v Speaker 2>San Francisco, is to go deep on the Cursor deal

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<v Speaker 2>and Orbital Data centers. Tuesday, June sixteenth, twenty twenty six,

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX its third day of trading in the public markets,

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<v Speaker 2>and it continues to soar. It's all about valuation in

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<v Speaker 2>the here and now. We are currently on track for

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX to eclipse Amazon in market value. It's been a

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<v Speaker 2>volatile session. One point, the stock up seventeen percent and

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<v Speaker 2>in just a brief moment, eclipse Microsoft in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>its market value in the moment. Indeed, but here's the thing.

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<v Speaker 2>When you think about SpaceX's relative value too Microsoft or Amazon,

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<v Speaker 2>there's a catalyst in the news cycle, and that is

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<v Speaker 2>it will move forward with a sixty billion dollar deal

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<v Speaker 2>for Cursor in the AI coding space. Let's get the

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<v Speaker 2>details on that deal with Blimbox and Attasha Mascarinus, who

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<v Speaker 2>covers AI and venture and here with us in SF

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<v Speaker 2>Let's start with the details the structure. There's also the

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<v Speaker 2>idea that in April they had the right to acquire

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<v Speaker 2>a Cursor just days after the going public they.

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<v Speaker 3>Are exactly, I mean, in April weys our first of

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<v Speaker 3>its kind announcement an agreement to have the option to acquire.

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<v Speaker 3>Now we have the news that they are moving ahead

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<v Speaker 3>with the agreement and they will plan to acquire Cursor.

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<v Speaker 3>It's going to be for that price tag that we expected,

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<v Speaker 3>a sixty billion dollar implied valuation, and the Cursor investors

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<v Speaker 3>will be getting stock as a.

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<v Speaker 4>Result of it, SpaceX stock.

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<v Speaker 3>Sorry, SpaceX stock as a result of it.

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<v Speaker 4>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>So there's a big question here about like, well, who

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<v Speaker 2>wins on the Cursor side. Cursor has been active in

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<v Speaker 2>raising money in recent years. They had a lot of momentum.

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<v Speaker 2>You have a pretty good understanding of who's on the

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<v Speaker 2>cat table there.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, this has been one of the most

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<v Speaker 3>explosive AI companies outside of open an Anthropic. If you

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<v Speaker 3>ask me this is the number one other company I've

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<v Speaker 3>been focused on for the past year. We think about

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<v Speaker 3>the biggest winners from this deal when the deal does close,

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<v Speaker 3>which is expecting in a few months, it's actually some

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<v Speaker 3>of the same investors for SpaceX. Unsurprisingly, two of the

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<v Speaker 3>biggest investors in Cursor are Thrive Capital and Injuries and

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<v Speaker 3>Horowitz and you know last week we heard them celebrate

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<v Speaker 3>as well when it came to the SpaceX IPO. And

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<v Speaker 3>so Thrive is expected to have a stake worth north

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<v Speaker 3>of ten billion according to sources. When we think about

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<v Speaker 3>the SpaceX and Cursor combination, and Andresa, you know, heading

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<v Speaker 3>into this, had about six billion worth of stake in Cursor,

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<v Speaker 3>and so another kind.

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<v Speaker 2>Of they already reported that, you know, for Indreeson on

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<v Speaker 2>the SPACEXIPO, this would be the biggest payoff in the

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<v Speaker 2>in the firm's history. Let's go to the AI bit

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<v Speaker 2>of it. I think Elon Musk has been pretty honest

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<v Speaker 2>that in the coding space XAI had been behind your anthropics,

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<v Speaker 2>your open AI is even what is SpaceX doing with Cursor?

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<v Speaker 2>What's the plan here?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean people forget that SpaceX actually merging with

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<v Speaker 3>XAI is still a recent move. Yeah, I mean the

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<v Speaker 3>ink is still you know, drying on that one. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, listen, it's the same goal. Elon wants to

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<v Speaker 3>strengthen their AI talent Cursor. I mean, when I was

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<v Speaker 3>first writing about Cursor, they were bringing on people to

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<v Speaker 3>their office for two weeks before they made an acquisition,

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<v Speaker 3>before they made a hiring offer, and so they really

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<v Speaker 3>spent a huge amount of time in recruiting the best

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<v Speaker 3>AI talent in samp and Cisco, building a very unique

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<v Speaker 3>kind of culture. And now Elon Musk is getting you know,

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<v Speaker 3>that highly vetted talent as he looks to make SpaceX

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<v Speaker 3>ANAI company, and so there's a lot of interest in

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<v Speaker 3>the talent. We'll see if all people do come on

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<v Speaker 3>as a result of the acquisition, but it's hundreds of

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<v Speaker 3>employees joining the spacexta.

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<v Speaker 2>And even before spacexxai closed there was high turnover at XAI.

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<v Speaker 2>They had people departing from the founding group, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloe miss and attached Miss Garinus on the Cursor deal.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get more in SpaceX's surging valuation in the public markets.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Equities reported common Rhinikey joins us with the latest,

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<v Speaker 2>so right now on track to eclipse Amazon. You and

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<v Speaker 2>I have been talking all morning about price to sales ratios,

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<v Speaker 2>and then there's the volatility in the session itself. Explain

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<v Speaker 2>it all.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So there are two things that are really important here.

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<v Speaker 5>The first one is that we have really low float

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<v Speaker 5>actually trading for SpaceX. We know it is about five

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<v Speaker 5>percent or less than five percent of total shares became

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<v Speaker 5>available in the io. That can make trading very volatile interday,

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<v Speaker 5>and it can elevate stock prices because there's just not

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<v Speaker 5>that much float on the market.

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<v Speaker 6>So that can elevate the stock price.

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<v Speaker 5>But then the total shares outstanding, even ones that are

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<v Speaker 5>locked up right now, is what's used to calculate the

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<v Speaker 5>market cap, so it can sort of elevate things there.

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<v Speaker 5>The second thing you brought up price to sales. This

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<v Speaker 5>is so important to think about. So SpaceX at about

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<v Speaker 5>two point seven trillion valuation right now, it's alongside Amazon

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<v Speaker 5>and Microsoft. But the total amount of revenue that SpaceX

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<v Speaker 5>is bringing in tells a very different story. So last

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<v Speaker 5>year in twenty twenty five, SpaceX had about nineteen billion

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<v Speaker 5>dollars in revenue and Microsoft, in comparison, had two hundred

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<v Speaker 5>and eighty one billion dollars in sales, So that's a

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<v Speaker 5>huge difference. It's about fifteen times more than SpaceX, even

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<v Speaker 5>though they're valued right now based on market cap at

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<v Speaker 5>a roughly the same.

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<v Speaker 2>It's come Rhini case SpaceX up for a third day

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<v Speaker 2>a lot to factor in. Thank you, Franklin Templeton BACKSPACEX

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<v Speaker 2>long before it's IPO. Really interesting private public market and

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<v Speaker 2>esther in the tech space here in the Bay Aria

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<v Speaker 2>Sarah Rahi Franklin Timmeton, portfolio managers with us. It's so

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<v Speaker 2>great to have you on the program.

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<v Speaker 6>Great, thank you for having me.

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<v Speaker 2>Timing is everything right. Let's start with the Cursor deal,

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<v Speaker 2>if we may. So, we knew that this could happen

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<v Speaker 2>because they had the right to acquire Cursor. They stayed

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<v Speaker 2>in April, but they've moved very quickly, you know since

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<v Speaker 2>since the IPO on Thursday Friday. What is it that

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<v Speaker 2>you think SpaceX gets with Cursor? What do you think

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<v Speaker 2>they intend to do?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, you know, the company has been very clear that

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<v Speaker 7>they want to have a role in the AI space

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<v Speaker 7>and that they want to be one of the competitors

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<v Speaker 7>within that space. And so with GROC they have the

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<v Speaker 7>opportunity here and now with the Cursor team, as you

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<v Speaker 7>were just talking about earlier, they acquihire a team here

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<v Speaker 7>that they can ultimately come in and potentially give them

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<v Speaker 7>a chance with the competitors in the space. So I

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<v Speaker 7>think it's brilliant. You have the successful IPO and the

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<v Speaker 7>ability to come in and do this deal right on

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<v Speaker 7>day three now.

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<v Speaker 6>So pretty big aquire, Pretty big acquire.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean the mechanics of that I find really interesting

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<v Speaker 2>because SpaceX's valuation, actually it's valuation today relative to Friday,

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<v Speaker 2>it's a bit of an advantage right in an all

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<v Speaker 2>stock deal. How do you feel about it? You know,

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<v Speaker 2>the mechanism a sixty billion dollar deal right now in

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<v Speaker 2>how that impacts the stock as an existing investor.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, look, we were already we knew this was going

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<v Speaker 7>to come, right, and so the fact that it's coming

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<v Speaker 7>now it makes sense. With the fact that this IPO

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<v Speaker 7>was very successful. I mean, they've done a fantastic job.

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<v Speaker 7>The Bankersterer, Goldman, Morgan Stanley did a great job bringing

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<v Speaker 7>this to the public markets. It actually opens up the

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<v Speaker 7>public markets for other deals to come and so it

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<v Speaker 7>makes a lot of sense for them to do this

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<v Speaker 7>cursor deal here now and ultimately take advantage of their

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<v Speaker 7>stock price.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you mind if we talk a little bit about

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<v Speaker 2>Franklin Tumbledton's history with SpaceX. You know, maybe viewers of

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Tech will be a little bit more familiar of

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<v Speaker 2>kind of like the mutual funds and private growth teamams

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<v Speaker 2>participating in a lot of the themes we cover. Franklin

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<v Speaker 2>Tumbleton's name that comes up, but just how you got

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<v Speaker 2>in and the journey now to being a public holding

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<v Speaker 2>in the.

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<v Speaker 6>Funds, Yeah, definitely. So I am.

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<v Speaker 7>I work on a team, the Franklin Equity team at

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<v Speaker 7>Franklin Templeton and here. Over a decade ago, we decided

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<v Speaker 7>that it was time for us to invest in private companies,

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<v Speaker 7>not only through our mutual funds, but also we have

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<v Speaker 7>dedicated venture.

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<v Speaker 6>Vehicles within our group.

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<v Speaker 7>And the reasons we did this was, as you've been

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<v Speaker 7>talking about, the companies have been staying These companies have

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<v Speaker 7>been staying private longer, so a lot of the value

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<v Speaker 7>creation was happening within the private markets. Well, we have

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<v Speaker 7>we have, we are based in Silicon Valley, we have

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<v Speaker 7>the same capabilities, and so we decided we should not

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<v Speaker 7>only take advantage of that and generate the returns and

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<v Speaker 7>bring those to our shareholders, but also the insights that

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<v Speaker 7>you get from investing in these companies, both from just

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<v Speaker 7>investing in the companies and themselves and a successful IPO

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<v Speaker 7>here you saw with SpaceX, or just the insights and

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<v Speaker 7>is disruption coming to some of our existing holdings, and

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<v Speaker 7>how do we think about the market leaders in the

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<v Speaker 7>space and whether or not whether or not these private

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<v Speaker 7>companies will overtake them. So those insights our analysts benefit

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<v Speaker 7>from that. So this is something you know with SpaceX.

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<v Speaker 7>We knew them when they were doing reusable rockets for

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<v Speaker 7>cargo ships, but knowing them over time. Our team met

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<v Speaker 7>with Elon in twenty sixteen, I mean even prior to

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<v Speaker 7>that with Tesla, right, but with Elon on SpaceX and

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<v Speaker 7>understanding what he was going to do here, having that faith,

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<v Speaker 7>and then learning from him about AI, infrastructure, defense, space,

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<v Speaker 7>the space economy.

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<v Speaker 6>It's been an incredible journey for us.

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<v Speaker 2>You make a lot of interesting points about how things

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<v Speaker 2>have changed. The story started with reusability and the economics

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<v Speaker 2>of reusability, and now it's something very different. If you

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<v Speaker 2>just got on the TAM and the perspectives, but also

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<v Speaker 2>like the public market investor view, like what is the

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<v Speaker 2>proxy that you look at? I think we're in a

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<v Speaker 2>space now where we're moving outside the mag seven Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>but like if it was in the software space, you go, okay,

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<v Speaker 2>this is a private company where I see a proxy

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<v Speaker 2>in the public market SpaceX.

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<v Speaker 6>We don't have anything like it.

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<v Speaker 7>And look, it's been a huge discussion on what industry,

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<v Speaker 7>how is gigs going to classify this? Is it going

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<v Speaker 7>to be in the telecom industry, is it going to

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<v Speaker 7>be in industrials. We started out thinking it would be

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<v Speaker 7>an industrial entity and what our share investor is going

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<v Speaker 7>to be selling to buy this, but ultimately you ended

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<v Speaker 7>up it's now classified under communications. And look, our analyst

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<v Speaker 7>covering it has to understand AI has been working very

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<v Speaker 7>closely with our tech team, has to understand defense, has

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<v Speaker 7>to understand space. A new economy here, and we're all

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<v Speaker 7>still just learning more and more about that. I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>it's a new frontier.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's bring it back to the news of the day

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<v Speaker 2>in the Cursor deal. You know a lot of people

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<v Speaker 2>will focus on this the very sort of specific upfront

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<v Speaker 2>coding story, but there is a story with the models themselves,

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<v Speaker 2>and I just wonder how much you assign value to

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<v Speaker 2>GROC and the future opportunity of GROC over At Franklin.

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<v Speaker 6>Templeton, Yeah, look, you don't.

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<v Speaker 7>The way we think about it is just starlink alone

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<v Speaker 7>brings a lot of value for SpaceX and a lot

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<v Speaker 7>of their endeavors with an AI. A big part of

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<v Speaker 7>it is funding some of that and you know cash

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<v Speaker 7>generation from cash generation, and look, Elon has talked about

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<v Speaker 7>this from day one. Gwinn talks about it. They want

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<v Speaker 7>to go to Mars. They're doing everything in their power

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<v Speaker 7>to make us multiplanetary. That Their goal here is to

0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:20.960
<v Speaker 7>get there, whether it's GROCK and AI AI infrastructure. You

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:24.440
<v Speaker 7>saw them doing deals with anthropic generating revenue here.

0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:25.559
<v Speaker 6>Today to get to that goal.

0:11:26.360 --> 0:11:28.240
<v Speaker 7>Anything that can get them on that path I think

0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:29.360
<v Speaker 7>is the right move for them.

0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:32.520
<v Speaker 2>Sarah Rahi, Franklin, Templeton, Davy On, Bloomberg Tech. It's so

0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:34.800
<v Speaker 2>great to have you here in Essa. Thank you very much.

0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 2>An update on the story brought yesterday in Video's bond sale,

0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:41.040
<v Speaker 2>the AI chip Giant sold twenty five billion dollars in

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:43.960
<v Speaker 2>investment grade debt, making it one of the largest corporate

0:11:44.000 --> 0:11:46.560
<v Speaker 2>bond deals of the year. Investor demand was strong, with

0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:50.439
<v Speaker 2>orders topping eighty five billion dollars according to sources, and

0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:54.920
<v Speaker 2>video joins companies like Alphabet and Amazon flooding debt markets

0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:57.720
<v Speaker 2>with hundreds of billions of dollars of issuance as they

0:11:57.720 --> 0:12:03.280
<v Speaker 2>build data centers, another infrastructure needed for AI's rapid expansion. Okay,

0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 2>coming up anthrop it meets with US officials is IT

0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:09.520
<v Speaker 2>tries to resolve a national security dispute with the Trump

0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:12.840
<v Speaker 2>administration over it's most advanced AI models. We have more

0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 2>on that next, this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 8>There are some players who are more trustworthy than others.

0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:27.720
<v Speaker 8>What I think needs to happen is that the trustworthy

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 8>actors need to need to get together and put the

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 8>untrustworthy actors in a position where they kind of have

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 8>to adopt the same standards. With a lot of experience,

0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 8>I've learned that there are some folks who don't do

0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:42.680
<v Speaker 8>the right thing on their own. But if there's a

0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:45.440
<v Speaker 8>majority of the industry that's doing the right thing, then

0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:47.840
<v Speaker 8>I think the rest of the industry is kind of

0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:50.600
<v Speaker 8>they're left in a position where there's not much they

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:52.760
<v Speaker 8>can do that then come along.

0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 2>That was Anthropic CEO Dario Ammo Day they're in late April,

0:12:57.520 --> 0:13:00.760
<v Speaker 2>weighing in on accountability in the AA industry and now

0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:03.360
<v Speaker 2>and topics, trying to work through a growing dispute with

0:13:03.360 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 2>the Trump administration about concerns on foreign access to its

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:11.479
<v Speaker 2>most advanced air models, which led to the company temporarily

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 2>suspending global access. Senior technical staff met with Commerce Department

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:20.080
<v Speaker 2>officials on Monday, as talks continued as Mike Sheppard joins

0:13:20.160 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 2>us from DC, Sheep bring us up to speed. What

0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 2>do we need to know?

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 9>Well, what we need to know is this that there

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:28.960
<v Speaker 9>so far is very little public sign of progress and

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:33.319
<v Speaker 9>discussions between the government and Anthropic. The senior technical step,

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 9>as you said, did sit down with US officials, but

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 9>there has really been no evidence of a breakthrough, no

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:44.560
<v Speaker 9>evidence of really what remedies the company might need to

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 9>pursue with the government's behest to solve this security issue,

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:51.960
<v Speaker 9>and we don't even really have a fully clear picture

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 9>from the US government side of what that is. The

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:57.920
<v Speaker 9>company has pointed to this jail break concern the idea

0:13:57.960 --> 0:14:02.679
<v Speaker 9>that Garbrails on its Feeble five system could somehow be evaded,

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 9>empowering that software into something that approaches the cyber security

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 9>capabilities of Mythos, and all of this is unfolding at

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 9>this time of great urgency in the AI race. For

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 9>the US, of course, the question is will it maintain

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.120
<v Speaker 9>its lead over China, and Anthropic, of course, is one

0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 9>of the top developers, plays such a crucial role in that.

0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:28.440
<v Speaker 9>And then just add to it all the billions, if

0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 9>not trillions of dollars in capex that we are seeing

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:34.840
<v Speaker 9>poured toward this sector by different companies, not only Anthropic

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 9>but the public tradedly publicly traded ventures as well, the SPACEXIPO.

0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 9>So much of that money is going to support the

0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 9>infrastructure needed to run top flight models like Mythos and Fable,

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 9>which right now are off the market.

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:53.120
<v Speaker 2>The COMMAS Department put in an export control Friday which

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 2>basically blocked foreign national access to Mythos and Fable, and

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 2>Anthropics response was like, well, in that case, we'll take

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.920
<v Speaker 2>it offline for every because we can't on a case

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.880
<v Speaker 2>by case basis check user status and many of their

0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 2>own employees are foreign nationals. But there is something broader

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 2>here in Anthropic and industry's relationship with the administration. Where

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 2>do we stand in that the litigation, the designation on

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:20.840
<v Speaker 2>supply chain risk.

0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.880
<v Speaker 9>Well, this is just the latest flare up between Anthropic

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 9>and the administration really since the start of the year.

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.000
<v Speaker 9>You're referring, of course, to the dispute right now with

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 9>the Pentagon over the company's ability to continue providing the

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 9>military with access to its sophisticated AI tools. There's a

0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 9>clog gov AI tool that was approved for classified use

0:15:43.240 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 9>by the military and in fact have been deployed as

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:51.080
<v Speaker 9>part of the US war effort against Iran. Now, the Pentagon,

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:53.920
<v Speaker 9>in this dispute with the company, has really fixed on

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 9>what Anthropic has demanded as two conditions of being able

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 9>to continue its Pentagon work, and that is it once

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 9>guarantees that there will be no surveillance supported by CLAUDE

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 9>and that there will be no fully autonomous weaponry. Now

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 9>the government says that, look, we won't do either of

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 9>those things. Those extra conditions are way too much, and

0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 9>that just presages a lasting few between these two sides

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:23.320
<v Speaker 9>unless they can reach some sort of an agreement here.

0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 2>And begs Mike Shephard, thank you very much. As Washington

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 2>wrestles with AI security concerns at home, the technology is

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 2>also taking center stage at the g seventh summit in France,

0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:36.480
<v Speaker 2>where global leaders and AI tech executives and meeting this week.

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 2>Manibas Tyler Kendall joins us like from Evion France. And

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 2>there's the story on the Bloomberg this morning about how

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:47.960
<v Speaker 2>US Western allies are now taking into account this Commerce

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 2>Department decision with Anthropic. How's that playing out on the ground.

0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:56.200
<v Speaker 10>Well, And I actually had the chance to catch up

0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 10>with the spokesperson for France's Foreign Ministry who told me

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:01.800
<v Speaker 10>that the Trump and Administration's moves here that you've been

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:05.399
<v Speaker 10>outlining just underscore the need for European allies to have

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 10>what he called, quote strategic autonomy when it comes to tech.

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:12.399
<v Speaker 10>It is no doubt going to be a focus here

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:16.000
<v Speaker 10>on the ground as these world leaders, including President Trump,

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 10>are going to be in the same room with some

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:21.360
<v Speaker 10>of these top tech CEOs, including from Anthropic as well

0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:24.200
<v Speaker 10>as Open AI. And in fact, earlier today Bloomberg News

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.200
<v Speaker 10>was able to obtain a draft statement related to this

0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:30.359
<v Speaker 10>meeting that is set to take place tomorrow, which says,

0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 10>in part that the leaders are expected to pledge to

0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 10>quote further discuss emerging opportunities and potential risks arising from AI,

0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 10>notably in the financial sector. It is definitely going to

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 10>be a theme here going forward. At G seven official

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 10>tells me that that meeting tomorrow will also focus on

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 10>potential regulations that all of these G seven allies could

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:54.640
<v Speaker 10>come together on, as well as respecting individual countries regulations

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 10>when it comes to the tech and ed Another thread

0:17:57.560 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 10>that we're watching very closely here is that just yesterday

0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 10>President Trump threatened a one hundred percent tieriff on France

0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:07.080
<v Speaker 10>over the use of its digital services tax. This has

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:10.439
<v Speaker 10>been something that the Trump administration has long lobbied criticism

0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 10>against European allies about. I had the chance to ask

0:18:13.280 --> 0:18:15.640
<v Speaker 10>the French spokesperson about this. He did confirm that there

0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 10>are ongoing discussions about the DST, but he said that

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:22.800
<v Speaker 10>this is not a moment for quote antagonism.

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:25.400
<v Speaker 2>Most Tyler Kendall and Avian France the G seven, thank

0:18:25.400 --> 0:18:28.240
<v Speaker 2>you very much. Another story we're watching in AI open

0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 2>AI's losses ballooned last year as the company poured money

0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:34.720
<v Speaker 2>into the AI race. The Financial Times reports the chat

0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:38.240
<v Speaker 2>GBT maker spent more than thirty four billion dollars on research,

0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:41.800
<v Speaker 2>marketing and other expenses. In twenty twenty five, driving an

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:45.280
<v Speaker 2>eightfold increase in net losses. Open Ai did not comment

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 2>on the Financial Times report. Data briggs Is Data Summit

0:18:50.119 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty six is underway in San Francisco, as the

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:56.399
<v Speaker 2>software maker competes with Snowflake and Google. It's launching new

0:18:56.520 --> 0:19:01.439
<v Speaker 2>enterprise AI products including Genie one, Gentic co worker for

0:19:01.560 --> 0:19:05.439
<v Speaker 2>business teams, and Unity AI gateway that helps businesses control

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.680
<v Speaker 2>their costs. Talent is proving the biggest expense for them,

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 2>but the companies yet to tap the public markets this

0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:15.280
<v Speaker 2>year amid other blockbuster tech listings. Is what CEO Ali

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 2>Gazi told us yesterday.

0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 11>So well, you know, we're not We've not said that

0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 11>we're doing any fundraise. I know that there's you know,

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 11>rumors about this, but we're always talking to investors. Why well,

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:29.960
<v Speaker 11>we're investing heavily into these new product categories. We just

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:34.200
<v Speaker 11>launching a completely new product for ours that's called Customer

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:37.119
<v Speaker 11>Lake which is an area of marketing, so we're you know,

0:19:37.160 --> 0:19:39.920
<v Speaker 11>targeting marketing folks, which is not an area where we.

0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:41.199
<v Speaker 12>Used to be active.

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:41.679
<v Speaker 2>You know.

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:45.200
<v Speaker 11>Two months ago we launched a security product called lake Watch.

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:46.639
<v Speaker 12>And we're getting into a security space.

0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:50.120
<v Speaker 11>You know, it takes resources to get into these spaces

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 11>and all of these products that I mentioned, we're building

0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:55.360
<v Speaker 11>it agentic first, so it's like they start with agents

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:56.359
<v Speaker 11>from the ground up.

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.400
<v Speaker 12>We're not boulting it on. That requires that.

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 11>You have AI researchers, as we all know, AI researchers

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 11>you know, don't come cheap.

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:05.000
<v Speaker 12>So all this requires funding.

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:07.639
<v Speaker 11>So we're always in talk with investers, you know, to

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 11>be able to just be aggressive and expand and launch

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 11>new products, do research, you know, go to more.

0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 12>Regions, be available in every part of the world.

0:20:16.040 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 11>So you know, that's that's that's why we're you know,

0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 11>require capital.

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:22.119
<v Speaker 2>Allie, let's let's end it here. Earlier this month you

0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:24.880
<v Speaker 2>told me, you know, Data Bricks in the end will

0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:27.280
<v Speaker 2>be a public company. You want to be a public company,

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 2>but that you think this is just a terrible year

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:33.439
<v Speaker 2>to go public. Do you stand by that. Has anything

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 2>changed in your mind in the last two weeks.

0:20:37.119 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 12>No, I think that.

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 11>You know, it's just there's three Mega I pos that

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:43.880
<v Speaker 11>have been rumored. One of them happened, you know, so

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:46.360
<v Speaker 11>letting those kind of go through the system and see

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:48.480
<v Speaker 11>how that sort of plays out and things stabilize a

0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:51.440
<v Speaker 11>little bit, and I think that you know, getting a

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:54.000
<v Speaker 11>little bit further in the sort of AI revolution that

0:20:54.040 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 11>we're going through.

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:56.280
<v Speaker 12>I prefer for the.

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:58.560
<v Speaker 11>Company to go public when you know, water is a

0:20:58.600 --> 0:21:00.960
<v Speaker 11>little bit more palm and there's a little bit more predictability.

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:03.600
<v Speaker 11>So you know, I stand by what I said. I

0:21:03.600 --> 0:21:06.080
<v Speaker 11>think for most of the companies, you know, it's probably

0:21:06.080 --> 0:21:07.720
<v Speaker 11>way best to wait it out. And that's also what

0:21:07.880 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 11>CEOs that I know tell me that I'm thinking about

0:21:09.920 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 11>the IPO. They're saying, you know, I don't want to

0:21:12.600 --> 0:21:14.919
<v Speaker 11>you know, go between you know, two mega IPOs like that.

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.240
<v Speaker 2>It was data break CEO Ali GODSI let's go out

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 2>to bloom Bag, to Jahara and in New York for

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 2>everything else while we track in your horror, Hi.

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 13>Ed, Well, it's time for talking tech. Fir stup prediction

0:21:27.080 --> 0:21:30.960
<v Speaker 13>market platform Caushi has developed a new AI agent designed

0:21:30.960 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 13>to stress test the wording of its contracts. The company

0:21:34.119 --> 0:21:38.119
<v Speaker 13>says the tool, known internally as Harrison, helps identify potential

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:41.520
<v Speaker 13>issues before they affect the millions of wagers it handles

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 13>each day on events ranging, of course, from elections to

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 13>sports games and award ceremonies. Plus robin Hood is the

0:21:48.920 --> 0:21:52.920
<v Speaker 13>latest fintech to downsize. The online brokerage is eliminating three

0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 13>hundred jobs, adding to a deepening wave of layoffs across

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:59.639
<v Speaker 13>the industry. The company says the latest cut is to

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:04.560
<v Speaker 13>quote further accelerate parts velocity and remain lean and disciplined.

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:09.960
<v Speaker 13>No mention of AI and several studios inside Microsoft's Xbox

0:22:10.000 --> 0:22:13.440
<v Speaker 13>gaming division are an active negotiations to spin off as

0:22:13.480 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 13>they try to avoid closure. That's according to sources. The

0:22:16.920 --> 0:22:21.040
<v Speaker 13>talks come as newly appointed CEO Asha Sharma accelerates a

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 13>broader restructuring of the business.

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 6>And I'll leave the gaming.

0:22:24.680 --> 0:22:25.120
<v Speaker 4>Up to you.

0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:28.640
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much, Yahara, and a coming up. Sean maguire,

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.600
<v Speaker 2>who LEDs to COIs SpaceX Investment, joins us to talk

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:35.040
<v Speaker 2>about the Cursor deal, orbital data centers, and so much more.

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 2>This is what markets look like. Reminder Kevin Walsh FED

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:50.840
<v Speaker 2>decision debut Wednesday. This is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to

0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Tech. It's just the third trading day in SpaceX's

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 2>life as a public company, and my goodness, so many headlines.

0:22:57.400 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 2>It's kind of been an interesting, volatile session. And Carmen

0:22:59.640 --> 0:23:01.919
<v Speaker 2>Ryne made the point earlier in the show that you

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:03.240
<v Speaker 2>need to kind of look at the flow and the

0:23:03.320 --> 0:23:05.439
<v Speaker 2>volumes that are going on. But at one point in

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 2>the session we were really out of this world. Sorry,

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 2>not sorry. There is a lot of numbers to go

0:23:10.119 --> 0:23:12.160
<v Speaker 2>through and the lot to pass here, So let's check

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 2>in on these SpaceX shares with Bluebots. Cross Asset reporter

0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 2>Isabel Lee.

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 14>Is about hi and out of this world. Indeed, you

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 14>see the stock rallying for the third straight day, and

0:23:20.040 --> 0:23:22.879
<v Speaker 14>it's contractors are past the market cap of Amazon and

0:23:22.960 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 14>Microsoft to become the fourth largest company in the world.

0:23:26.359 --> 0:23:28.400
<v Speaker 14>So you see the rally today pushing the market cap

0:23:28.440 --> 0:23:32.280
<v Speaker 14>of SpaceX to nearly three trillion dollars. So obviously this

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:34.600
<v Speaker 14>comes ferce that the market will not be able to

0:23:34.600 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 14>adjust an IPO this big, and obviously it bodes well

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 14>for the likes of a DROPIC and open Ai which

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 14>is waiting in the wings, all both valued at almost

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 14>one trillion dollars. And to be sure, the price action

0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 14>is driven by just a small percentage of shares, but.

0:23:46.200 --> 0:23:47.400
<v Speaker 4>Still it's so interesting.

0:23:47.440 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 14>And you look at the next page, and this is

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.440
<v Speaker 14>the ETF world, which I really love to look at

0:23:51.440 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 14>So all of these issuers filed to launch nearly a

0:23:55.040 --> 0:23:59.160
<v Speaker 14>dozen SpaceX link ETFs, so they're both leveraged. They're all

0:23:59.240 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 14>leverage rather, so they track SpaceX two times to day

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:04.480
<v Speaker 14>upside and two times to the downside, and in total

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 14>on Monday all of them combined, so one billion dollars

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 14>in trading volume, which is easily a record for any

0:24:10.800 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 14>single stock etr for any new launch, and a cohort

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 14>like this. So the friends is just really continues, and

0:24:16.040 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 14>it's really hard not to imagine that because the windfall

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:21.040
<v Speaker 14>is just so hard to ignore. And you look at

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 14>these companies, these are the ones that are gaining billions

0:24:24.000 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 14>and billions in net windfall. Take a look of Balor

0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 14>Equity Partners. This is founded by muss Ally Antonio Gracia,

0:24:29.240 --> 0:24:32.000
<v Speaker 14>so nearly seventy billion dollars at stake that they have

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:34.639
<v Speaker 14>founders fund. This is a venture capital firm led by

0:24:34.640 --> 0:24:36.879
<v Speaker 14>Peter Theil. It now has a fifty billion dollars stake.

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:38.480
<v Speaker 6>Sequoya has twenty billion.

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:40.560
<v Speaker 14>They're one of the first companies to back SpaceX in

0:24:40.600 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 14>twenty nineteen, so first move and move there, and they

0:24:42.960 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 14>were the first to put the trust in Elon Musk

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:47.600
<v Speaker 14>among the first and Anderson Horowitz a ten billion dollars,

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:50.160
<v Speaker 14>so really lots of excitement and billions at stake.

0:24:50.320 --> 0:24:53.760
<v Speaker 2>Ed Isabelli at New York City, thank you very much.

0:24:53.840 --> 0:24:56.679
<v Speaker 2>Conversation been looking forward to for some time now. We're

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:59.159
<v Speaker 2>joined by Sean MacGuire, a partner as Core Capital. With

0:24:59.200 --> 0:25:02.480
<v Speaker 2>the firm, it has invested around two billion dollars across

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:06.359
<v Speaker 2>funds into SpaceX. That includes an investment into x the

0:25:06.400 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 2>platform formerly known as Twitter, and all told, that amounts

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 2>to a nearly one and a half percent stake in

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:16.840
<v Speaker 2>SpaceX SPACEXAI. There's a much bigger story than those two parts,

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 2>the rocket part and the AI part. Welcome to Tech.

0:25:20.160 --> 0:25:20.879
<v Speaker 4>Thank you for having me.

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 15>And we're both football fans, so maybe we even get

0:25:23.880 --> 0:25:25.320
<v Speaker 15>some time for some football commentary.

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:28.240
<v Speaker 2>There is a lot to discuss. I think should we

0:25:28.320 --> 0:25:30.600
<v Speaker 2>just start with cursor like it's right in front of us.

0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:34.880
<v Speaker 2>The focus of this morning was, oh well, Elon Musk

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.919
<v Speaker 2>has been quite honest about XAIS need to catch up

0:25:37.920 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 2>in coding visa vanthropic OpenAI. What I'm trying to understand

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 2>is what this means for the models themselves. Do you

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:46.600
<v Speaker 2>do you have a sort of thesis on that.

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:47.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:49.919
<v Speaker 15>Look, I've said this publicly, but I think about SpaceX

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:53.680
<v Speaker 15>as there's five layers of the company or business. Layer

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:56.679
<v Speaker 15>one is launch. This is foundational, it's kind of the

0:25:56.720 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 15>future of the company. Layer two is connectivity, which is

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:03.679
<v Speaker 15>you know, in its early stages with stallink and direct

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:07.639
<v Speaker 15>to sell, but kind of proven and I think the

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:11.880
<v Speaker 15>compounding is pretty easy to underwrite. Layer three is compute,

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:14.360
<v Speaker 15>which today is terrestrial and in the.

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 4>Future will be orbital as well.

0:26:16.960 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 15>I think that the Google ananthropic deals kind of show

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 15>show that that is very likely to work. And I

0:26:26.240 --> 0:26:27.960
<v Speaker 15>actually want to spend more time on trust you Compute

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:30.520
<v Speaker 15>later because I think it's a very very exciting and

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:32.960
<v Speaker 15>underappreciated part of we will of.

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 4>The company today. Layer four is the model layer.

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:41.879
<v Speaker 15>I think that's where probably rightfully so, most investors don't

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:47.040
<v Speaker 15>know how to assess where SpaceX SPACEXAI is today, and

0:26:47.480 --> 0:26:48.600
<v Speaker 15>so I think we should talk about that the more.

0:26:48.600 --> 0:26:50.640
<v Speaker 15>And that's where Cursor fits in. And then layer five

0:26:50.720 --> 0:26:53.359
<v Speaker 15>is all the other bets. It's sayings that you know,

0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 15>people today don't even know how to think about it.

0:26:55.880 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 15>That's terrify, that's a moon base someday that has a

0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:03.159
<v Speaker 15>rail gun launching you know, orbital satellites in space.

0:27:04.480 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 4>But look on the on the Cursor deal.

0:27:07.320 --> 0:27:10.639
<v Speaker 15>I think people are underappreciating just how good that team

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:14.080
<v Speaker 15>is and also how well they work with Elon and

0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:14.879
<v Speaker 15>the company A.

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 2>Lost guests cooled to Inaquahar. That's just it's a sixty

0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 2>billion dollar aquah It's.

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:21.399
<v Speaker 15>It's I mean, I don't think when a company has

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:24.640
<v Speaker 15>a three billion plus run rate is the reported number

0:27:24.760 --> 0:27:27.120
<v Speaker 15>in you know, three is a three year old company.

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 15>I don't think it's only an aquahier, but I do.

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 15>I do think that this is one of the best

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 15>teams has ever been assembled in the Cursor team. And

0:27:37.600 --> 0:27:40.240
<v Speaker 15>I also think they've proven over the last few months

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 15>that they can keep pace with Elon.

0:27:42.560 --> 0:27:44.720
<v Speaker 4>Like it is, unless.

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 15>You've seen it, it is impossible to explain the intensity

0:27:47.840 --> 0:27:52.520
<v Speaker 15>and work ethic of Elon and Michael and the team

0:27:52.960 --> 0:27:57.880
<v Speaker 15>have kind of shown that they can keep pace and

0:27:58.200 --> 0:28:02.880
<v Speaker 15>fit into this much broad ecosystem adding value, you know,

0:28:02.960 --> 0:28:07.640
<v Speaker 15>on the on terrifab, planning their orbital satellites model layer,

0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:12.639
<v Speaker 15>you know, cleaning up data to train models, you know,

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:15.280
<v Speaker 15>helping plan infrastructure.

0:28:15.080 --> 0:28:15.639
<v Speaker 4>For the future.

0:28:15.680 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 15>It's just like it is such a strong team that

0:28:18.680 --> 0:28:20.600
<v Speaker 15>can go all the way to the bar metal in

0:28:20.680 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 15>terms of understanding everything needed to build a model of

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.240
<v Speaker 15>the future. And so I like, no, it is not

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 15>an aquhier, but I cannot stress how good that team is.

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 15>And for me personally, it makes me much more optimistic

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:37.720
<v Speaker 15>that SPACEXAI will win or at least be one of

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 15>the winning players on the Model air.

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:43.320
<v Speaker 2>You're someone that's embedded in the teams. When I say embedded,

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 2>I mean you were able to go in work with

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:47.160
<v Speaker 2>the team, see what they're working on across space x

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:50.160
<v Speaker 2>xai X. And when I said that you were coming

0:28:50.200 --> 0:28:51.960
<v Speaker 2>on the show, that was pretty much one of the

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 2>questions that we got for you is how do you

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:58.320
<v Speaker 2>think Elon must takes that cursor team and integrates it

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:02.200
<v Speaker 2>and moves quickly. You know, there's a particular musk way

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:05.120
<v Speaker 2>of doing things. But but you know, this has happened

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 2>three days since an IPO. It's pretty fast.

0:29:08.880 --> 0:29:11.040
<v Speaker 4>Look, I think there was a couple months.

0:29:12.280 --> 0:29:15.040
<v Speaker 15>You know, I don't know what the right technical word is,

0:29:15.080 --> 0:29:17.120
<v Speaker 15>and you know, I'm on live TV and there's a

0:29:17.160 --> 0:29:19.440
<v Speaker 15>recent IPO, But I think there was a roughly two

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:24.800
<v Speaker 15>month trial period and I think that only one percent

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:29.320
<v Speaker 15>or less entrepreneurs could survive that trial period of working

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:31.440
<v Speaker 15>very closely with like a pass the test.

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 4>Yes, I think I.

0:29:32.280 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 15>Think Cursor passed the test, showing that they can keep pace,

0:29:36.400 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 15>that they can operate without making mistakes, that they can

0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:43.040
<v Speaker 15>actually elevate what's already one of the.

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:44.560
<v Speaker 4>Most talented teams in the world.

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:47.840
<v Speaker 15>And so I don't view this as like three days

0:29:47.840 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 15>after IPO, there's, you know, something that came out of nowhere.

0:29:51.480 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 15>I view this as there was you know, many months

0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:58.640
<v Speaker 15>leading up to that two month period and then two

0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:02.719
<v Speaker 15>months of like deep deep partnership and so like, I

0:30:02.760 --> 0:30:05.800
<v Speaker 15>personally think the probability that this isn't a creative acquisition

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 15>is like ninety nine point ninety nine nine percent because

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:09.280
<v Speaker 15>the trial.

0:30:09.440 --> 0:30:10.200
<v Speaker 4>Was so intense.

0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:12.720
<v Speaker 2>Sean before we get to the near cloud business, I

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 2>think that's like really important and timely. We're in day

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:18.760
<v Speaker 2>three of trading as a public company, and a lot

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:22.000
<v Speaker 2>of people will make a lot of the milestone of

0:30:22.040 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 2>being worth more than Amazon. Maybe that happens at the

0:30:24.480 --> 0:30:27.720
<v Speaker 2>Clothes maybe it doesn't. And I'm guessing you'll tell me

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:30.640
<v Speaker 2>you'll that you'll distribute to the LPs when the time

0:30:30.680 --> 0:30:33.360
<v Speaker 2>comes and you expect them to hold the shares. You know,

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:37.320
<v Speaker 2>what is your kind of longer term position on SpaceX.

0:30:39.440 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 15>I mean, look for me, on a personal level, and

0:30:42.840 --> 0:30:44.640
<v Speaker 15>I say this to someone, I think I understand this

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:49.000
<v Speaker 15>business very well, but better than you know, most investors,

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:52.400
<v Speaker 15>better than almost any investor. I am personally in a

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 15>hold my shares in this company forever, like quite literally,

0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 15>I think that. And sure there's some things that could

0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 15>change or you know, you know, in the macro ten

0:31:04.520 --> 0:31:07.760
<v Speaker 15>years from now. But this is the biggest vision, the

0:31:07.760 --> 0:31:10.200
<v Speaker 15>biggest mission of any company in history, going after the

0:31:10.200 --> 0:31:13.320
<v Speaker 15>biggest markets of any company history, with the biggest moat,

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:15.400
<v Speaker 15>and so I just think the compounding is going to

0:31:15.440 --> 0:31:18.440
<v Speaker 15>be like it's it's hard for people to even imagine

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:18.960
<v Speaker 15>the competitions.

0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 2>Part is the moat. I'm sorry to interrupt you, but

0:31:21.960 --> 0:31:25.920
<v Speaker 2>the five layer Kate that you've outlined, which one.

0:31:25.840 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 4>So obviously a great question.

0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 15>By far, the biggest moat is launch, which you know,

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:34.960
<v Speaker 15>we call people rocket scientists for a reason, or at

0:31:35.040 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 15>least in the past. You know, that was an expression

0:31:37.680 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 15>like the engineering that has gone into building Starship.

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 4>I believe it's the.

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:49.040
<v Speaker 15>I believe it's the hardest like single engineering project that any.

0:31:49.000 --> 0:31:50.080
<v Speaker 4>Company has ever done.

0:31:50.120 --> 0:31:53.440
<v Speaker 15>I think it's to me, it's meaningly beyond like ASML,

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 15>like intrinting, complexity of building ev machine.

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:57.479
<v Speaker 4>I'm happy to go into this.

0:31:57.960 --> 0:32:01.120
<v Speaker 15>So I would say Mote number one is the launch business,

0:32:01.280 --> 0:32:04.960
<v Speaker 15>which is just so far ahead of everyone else. Remote

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 15>number two and for SORT, I think there's this kind

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 15>of weird thing where I do think that people right

0:32:10.320 --> 0:32:16.640
<v Speaker 15>now are really underestimating the thrust you'll compute past. Yeah,

0:32:16.840 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 15>I'll go there in one second. And I think that

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:23.960
<v Speaker 15>the moat forterrestrial compute is not launch. It's the quality

0:32:23.960 --> 0:32:26.480
<v Speaker 15>of the team that's been assembled. And you know, in

0:32:26.560 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 15>kind of this very heavy distillation process over twenty years

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 15>of finding just bringing in the most talented people from Stanford,

0:32:38.400 --> 0:32:41.560
<v Speaker 15>from MIT, et cetera, and only one percent where zero

0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:45.080
<v Speaker 15>point one percent actually survive this distillation process. What they

0:32:45.120 --> 0:32:47.719
<v Speaker 15>prove that they can work with the level of intensity,

0:32:47.840 --> 0:32:52.440
<v Speaker 15>well simultaneous level of team orientation, without making mistakes, et cetera.

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 15>So that team has figured out how to solve basically

0:32:55.880 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 15>every Harbord problem in the world, and when you apply

0:32:58.800 --> 0:33:01.760
<v Speaker 15>them to something like Treshell data centers, they're now like

0:33:01.840 --> 0:33:05.240
<v Speaker 15>they're building data centers faster and better than anyone else.

0:33:05.800 --> 0:33:08.200
<v Speaker 15>And so the team is a second mote that I

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 15>know that seems like, oh, you can just go create

0:33:10.520 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 15>a team. No, you cannot, because it took twenty plus

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.720
<v Speaker 15>years of distillation. But I think that we're in this

0:33:16.800 --> 0:33:20.280
<v Speaker 15>weird metastable period where when we go five years from now,

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:23.520
<v Speaker 15>I think that launch will again be the mote because

0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 15>I think that orbital compute will be dominating net new

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 15>inference compute, like just absolutely dominating.

0:33:29.800 --> 0:33:31.000
<v Speaker 4>But I think for the next five.

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 15>Years, like the team feeds into dominating trust for compute,

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:36.360
<v Speaker 15>so as now you want to go to the trust.

0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 2>So the state of play is this the XAI team

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 2>space Xai build data center quickly. And I think your

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 2>argument is that on a dollar a token basis highly

0:33:44.920 --> 0:33:48.480
<v Speaker 2>competitively operate them. If you go on to a map

0:33:48.520 --> 0:33:52.480
<v Speaker 2>of Tennessee, they've Clossus one, Clusus two, and Clusus three.

0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 2>And a big question a lot of people had was,

0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:59.240
<v Speaker 2>We'll hold on, it's amazing to get two billion dollars

0:33:59.280 --> 0:34:02.400
<v Speaker 2>per month for Anthropic and Google, but why is that

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:06.960
<v Speaker 2>capacity not being used to train the latest greatest models

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:09.439
<v Speaker 2>at the model air or run inference on what Rock's

0:34:09.440 --> 0:34:13.440
<v Speaker 2>already doing seemed like a blinder of a business decision,

0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:17.040
<v Speaker 2>but longer term, like it's hard to reconcile.

0:34:17.640 --> 0:34:21.040
<v Speaker 15>This is my personal opinion, kind of my assessment of

0:34:21.040 --> 0:34:25.319
<v Speaker 15>the situation. First of all, one the way, I think

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:27.400
<v Speaker 15>that SpaceX in terms of.

0:34:28.400 --> 0:34:32.600
<v Speaker 4>In terms of treastial compute and you know, you.

0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:37.640
<v Speaker 15>Mentioned Amazon, Amazon and Microsoft are incredible businesses. I have

0:34:37.760 --> 0:34:42.680
<v Speaker 15>massive respect for those founders, for the for the businesses,

0:34:43.560 --> 0:34:49.200
<v Speaker 15>for Satia, running, running Microsoft, but a lot of their

0:34:49.239 --> 0:34:53.319
<v Speaker 15>market cap comes from their cloud businesses. And you know,

0:34:53.760 --> 0:34:56.719
<v Speaker 15>also for their legacy businesses in the case of you know,

0:34:57.080 --> 0:34:58.040
<v Speaker 15>delivery or.

0:34:59.600 --> 0:35:02.239
<v Speaker 4>Or the whole.

0:35:02.040 --> 0:35:06.000
<v Speaker 15>Microsoft Office bundle and operating system, but a lot of

0:35:06.040 --> 0:35:10.600
<v Speaker 15>it is their cloud businesses. We're in the generational transition

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:14.040
<v Speaker 15>of cloud from kind of legacy CPU based jobs to

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:21.640
<v Speaker 15>AI cloud. I strongly believe that SPACEXAI is the best

0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:26.560
<v Speaker 15>in the world at building this next generation of AI clouds, like,

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:30.880
<v Speaker 15>not even close an order of magnitude, better at building

0:35:31.200 --> 0:35:33.879
<v Speaker 15>threstrial compute in this AI era than anyone else.

0:35:33.920 --> 0:35:36.040
<v Speaker 4>And it's not to say that other companies are bad.

0:35:36.400 --> 0:35:39.160
<v Speaker 15>It's to say you have the best rocket scientists in

0:35:39.200 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 15>the world are now using their skills to build threstal compute.

0:35:45.000 --> 0:35:47.960
<v Speaker 15>And what that leads to, in my opinion is, I

0:35:47.960 --> 0:35:51.440
<v Speaker 15>think people are really underestimating how much more compute is

0:35:51.480 --> 0:35:53.760
<v Speaker 15>going to come online next year and the year after

0:35:54.080 --> 0:35:59.760
<v Speaker 15>for SpaceX, and that, you know, means I really believe

0:35:59.760 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 15>space going to have a surplus of compute, and I

0:36:02.560 --> 0:36:05.480
<v Speaker 15>think it's very rational and I'm as an investor, I

0:36:05.560 --> 0:36:08.800
<v Speaker 15>love that they are offering compute to Anthropic and Google

0:36:08.920 --> 0:36:11.400
<v Speaker 15>because one, it brings in a ton of revenue that

0:36:11.560 --> 0:36:12.160
<v Speaker 15>I think.

0:36:13.480 --> 0:36:17.279
<v Speaker 4>In an IPO shows the world that all of.

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:20.040
<v Speaker 15>This CAPEX build out is not for nothing, and it's

0:36:20.080 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 15>not all or nothing based on the model layer. There's

0:36:23.200 --> 0:36:27.560
<v Speaker 15>this you know, massive value that the company has a

0:36:27.600 --> 0:36:30.279
<v Speaker 15>dial of how they choose what to do with it.

0:36:31.400 --> 0:36:35.759
<v Speaker 15>Kind of next point, I think that people are underestimating

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:39.399
<v Speaker 15>that most of that compute is kind of CLASSUS one,

0:36:39.840 --> 0:36:42.640
<v Speaker 15>which is roughly ten miles away from classes two and

0:36:42.640 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 15>CLASSUS three.

0:36:43.560 --> 0:36:44.920
<v Speaker 4>It's heterogeneous GPS.

0:36:45.560 --> 0:36:48.080
<v Speaker 15>Anthropic in particular has done an amazing job at being

0:36:48.080 --> 0:36:50.800
<v Speaker 15>able to run inference on heterogeneous compute.

0:36:50.800 --> 0:36:52.879
<v Speaker 4>Like there's a lot of nuances here anyways.

0:36:53.280 --> 0:36:54.799
<v Speaker 2>And by that, I think you know the expert. They

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 2>have different generations of GPU hop per black Quote. We're

0:36:57.960 --> 0:36:59.279
<v Speaker 2>going to take a quick break and we're going to

0:36:59.440 --> 0:37:01.440
<v Speaker 2>keep the covers going. We have plenty of time coming up.

0:37:01.520 --> 0:37:04.960
<v Speaker 2>SpaceX has big plans for orbital data centers and Squoil

0:37:04.960 --> 0:37:07.120
<v Speaker 2>Sew MacGuire is going to stick with us and break

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:11.399
<v Speaker 2>down how and when that space compute becomes reality. That's next.

0:37:11.400 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 2>This is bloom bo tech.

0:37:18.800 --> 0:37:22.400
<v Speaker 16>Data centers just require an enormous amount of power in

0:37:22.480 --> 0:37:25.680
<v Speaker 16>order to run them, also to cool them, and so

0:37:25.760 --> 0:37:29.640
<v Speaker 16>they've essentially hit what is an energy wall, and.

0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:31.959
<v Speaker 17>Yet demand keeps accelerating.

0:37:32.960 --> 0:37:33.520
<v Speaker 4>Globally.

0:37:33.680 --> 0:37:36.960
<v Speaker 17>Electricity use for data centers is expected to double by

0:37:37.000 --> 0:37:41.680
<v Speaker 17>twenty thirty. By twenty fifty, it will likely represent a

0:37:41.880 --> 0:37:47.279
<v Speaker 17>tenth of all electricity consumed on Earth. So what happens

0:37:47.400 --> 0:37:52.319
<v Speaker 17>when artificial intelligence outpaces the power and land needed to

0:37:52.360 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 17>sustain it?

0:37:55.960 --> 0:37:56.200
<v Speaker 10>Why?

0:37:57.160 --> 0:38:02.799
<v Speaker 17>The answer may be above Earth. In late twenty twenty five,

0:38:03.080 --> 0:38:06.800
<v Speaker 17>space startups star Cloud sent a satellite into orbit carrying

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:11.400
<v Speaker 17>an Nvidia H one hundred chip, the most powerful processor

0:38:11.480 --> 0:38:15.759
<v Speaker 17>ever deployed in space. Star Cloud one is not a

0:38:15.840 --> 0:38:19.640
<v Speaker 17>data center, not yet. It's a single prototype in orbit.

0:38:20.800 --> 0:38:24.440
<v Speaker 17>The future that Star Cloud imagines is tens of thousands

0:38:24.480 --> 0:38:27.840
<v Speaker 17>of satellites, each carrying chips like this one, working together

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:32.399
<v Speaker 17>to do complex large scale computing in space, also known

0:38:32.719 --> 0:38:37.200
<v Speaker 17>as orbital compute. For many, The vision begins with a

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 17>prompt from Earth beamed into space through laser links. The

0:38:41.320 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 17>request is then processed by AI chips inside a satellite bus,

0:38:45.840 --> 0:38:49.359
<v Speaker 17>which is powered by massive solar arrays stretching as much

0:38:49.400 --> 0:38:54.120
<v Speaker 17>as four square kilometers. Together, these satellites form a linked

0:38:54.120 --> 0:38:58.240
<v Speaker 17>computing network that then sends results back to Earth in milliseconds.

0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:02.400
<v Speaker 9>Two years ago, when we first started talking about building

0:39:02.520 --> 0:39:05.200
<v Speaker 9>data centers in space, people you know, frankly thought we

0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:05.400
<v Speaker 9>were a.

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:07.640
<v Speaker 2>Bit crazy, and it does sound a little bit sci fi.

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:12.000
<v Speaker 17>What sounds like sci fi is a response to a

0:39:12.120 --> 0:39:17.440
<v Speaker 17>very real problem on Earth. Data centers require vast amounts

0:39:17.480 --> 0:39:21.920
<v Speaker 17>of land, water, and electricity, and as the AI systems

0:39:22.000 --> 0:39:25.440
<v Speaker 17>inside them grow more powerful, the heat they generate is

0:39:25.440 --> 0:39:30.640
<v Speaker 17>becoming harder and costlier to contain. In space. On the

0:39:30.680 --> 0:39:34.240
<v Speaker 17>other hand, there are no land constraints or permitting battles

0:39:34.440 --> 0:39:38.560
<v Speaker 17>not to mention access to almost unlimited solar energy if

0:39:38.960 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 17>it can be made to work.

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:45.040
<v Speaker 2>So that was a segment from Bloomberger Regionals looking at

0:39:45.120 --> 0:39:47.720
<v Speaker 2>orbital data centers, and here on the show, Shan MacGuire

0:39:47.920 --> 0:39:51.279
<v Speaker 2>Square Capital still with us the firm stake of around

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:54.400
<v Speaker 2>one point five percent in SpaceX, and this is a

0:39:54.440 --> 0:39:57.479
<v Speaker 2>big part of the plan in the prospectus. The team

0:39:57.560 --> 0:40:01.279
<v Speaker 2>is saying at SpaceX as early as twenty twenty eight,

0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:03.840
<v Speaker 2>in a moment, we're going to bring up a Bloomberg

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:07.560
<v Speaker 2>rendering of the design of and that's actually the SpaceX one.

0:40:07.680 --> 0:40:07.839
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:40:08.840 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 2>I think you're probably in the camp of people that

0:40:11.080 --> 0:40:14.960
<v Speaker 2>think they can do this quickly. Where do you stand

0:40:15.120 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 2>on your data orbital data center outlook for SpaceX?

0:40:20.160 --> 0:40:23.760
<v Speaker 4>I stand incredibly bullish, which just incredibly bullish.

0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:25.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm not surprised by that.

0:40:26.000 --> 0:40:32.440
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, but like I think it's rationally rationally bullish. I

0:40:32.480 --> 0:40:34.239
<v Speaker 15>think something that a lot of people are struggling with

0:40:34.360 --> 0:40:38.080
<v Speaker 15>here is most people just never thought about what is

0:40:38.080 --> 0:40:39.719
<v Speaker 15>the satellite? How do you build a satellite, What are

0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:42.040
<v Speaker 15>the components of a satellite? What are the constraints around

0:40:42.120 --> 0:40:45.360
<v Speaker 15>launching these satellites? And I think that people that have

0:40:45.360 --> 0:40:49.520
<v Speaker 15>been following starlink closely are very well positioned.

0:40:49.040 --> 0:40:51.919
<v Speaker 2>To assess because you can extrap lay out on both

0:40:52.000 --> 0:40:55.640
<v Speaker 2>the economics but also the engineering and physics exactly.

0:40:55.760 --> 0:40:59.960
<v Speaker 15>The orbital compute satellites are very similar in many many

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:02.080
<v Speaker 15>ways to starling satellites.

0:41:03.880 --> 0:41:04.799
<v Speaker 4>I truly believe in.

0:41:04.920 --> 0:41:07.760
<v Speaker 15>Elon said this last week in a video on orbital

0:41:07.800 --> 0:41:13.040
<v Speaker 15>compute that the intrinsic complexity of making a stalling satellite

0:41:13.400 --> 0:41:17.640
<v Speaker 15>is probably a little bit greater than an orbital compute satellite. So,

0:41:17.960 --> 0:41:20.080
<v Speaker 15>I know this sounds kind of crazy, but starlink is

0:41:20.120 --> 0:41:24.480
<v Speaker 15>on the satellites themselves. Stalling satellites are more complicated than

0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:28.800
<v Speaker 15>orbital compute satellites. That said, orbital compute satellites are bigger.

0:41:29.080 --> 0:41:30.880
<v Speaker 15>For them to make sense, they have to be much bigger.

0:41:30.920 --> 0:41:33.280
<v Speaker 15>You basically want to put a whole server rack in space.

0:41:33.520 --> 0:41:35.680
<v Speaker 15>Just in terms of doing inference on a model, you

0:41:35.760 --> 0:41:38.440
<v Speaker 15>kind of need a minimum size for it to be useful.

0:41:39.160 --> 0:41:43.600
<v Speaker 15>And you can't launch these bigger satellites unless you have starship.

0:41:44.320 --> 0:41:45.959
<v Speaker 4>So almost all of.

0:41:45.880 --> 0:41:50.120
<v Speaker 15>The difficulty of orbital compute satellites is in starship.

0:41:50.280 --> 0:41:51.480
<v Speaker 4>It's in the launch vehicle.

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:55.720
<v Speaker 15>And so if you want to estimate when orbital compute

0:41:55.840 --> 0:41:59.880
<v Speaker 15>is going to be scaling, it's really a question around

0:42:00.440 --> 0:42:02.319
<v Speaker 15>like when is Starship going.

0:42:02.239 --> 0:42:03.960
<v Speaker 2>To be still we're showing the videos. This is this

0:42:04.000 --> 0:42:07.000
<v Speaker 2>is file right of Starship, and you know the basics

0:42:07.040 --> 0:42:09.760
<v Speaker 2>of it are that on paper, you know, one hundred

0:42:09.800 --> 0:42:12.280
<v Speaker 2>and thirty five one hundred and fifty metric tons payload

0:42:12.360 --> 0:42:14.360
<v Speaker 2>to orbit. And I think there's some idea that in

0:42:14.400 --> 0:42:16.680
<v Speaker 2>the future in iterations four hundred metric tons.

0:42:18.200 --> 0:42:20.960
<v Speaker 15>I think the company said, you know, two hundred metric

0:42:21.000 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 15>tons is pretty like pretty achievable. Four hundred metric metric

0:42:25.200 --> 0:42:28.800
<v Speaker 15>guns maybe I don't know. It seems likely, but I

0:42:28.840 --> 0:42:31.120
<v Speaker 15>don't know. You just make it. There's something with rockets

0:42:31.120 --> 0:42:33.800
<v Speaker 15>where the taller you make it, kind of the easier

0:42:33.840 --> 0:42:37.680
<v Speaker 15>things become the surface area of volume ratio and that

0:42:38.000 --> 0:42:43.000
<v Speaker 15>benefits you with drag. So it seems very likely, but

0:42:43.680 --> 0:42:45.080
<v Speaker 15>manufacturing it that skills harder.

0:42:45.200 --> 0:42:46.200
<v Speaker 2>Can you compare and contrast?

0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:46.359
<v Speaker 6>Then?

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:49.480
<v Speaker 2>So you outlined in great detail why you're bullish on

0:42:49.560 --> 0:42:53.480
<v Speaker 2>the terrestrial data center neocloud business. Where does the orbital

0:42:53.560 --> 0:42:57.320
<v Speaker 2>data center business compare over? It's just like reasonable timeline

0:42:57.320 --> 0:42:57.560
<v Speaker 2>for you.

0:42:57.680 --> 0:43:02.640
<v Speaker 4>Yep again, And I love the question. I appreciate the question.

0:43:03.480 --> 0:43:06.040
<v Speaker 15>I think people are looking at orbital compute and they think,

0:43:06.080 --> 0:43:08.520
<v Speaker 15>oh wow, this sounds so crazy, and I wasn't even

0:43:08.920 --> 0:43:11.440
<v Speaker 15>I wasn't thinking about it two years ago. So it

0:43:11.560 --> 0:43:13.600
<v Speaker 15>must take a long time. And a lot of Elon's

0:43:13.600 --> 0:43:16.120
<v Speaker 15>timelines in the past have have been wrong, which you know,

0:43:16.160 --> 0:43:20.440
<v Speaker 15>he says himself. But if you look at what an

0:43:20.520 --> 0:43:24.959
<v Speaker 15>orbital compute satellite is, it's basically some compute element, whether

0:43:25.000 --> 0:43:25.359
<v Speaker 15>that's a.

0:43:25.280 --> 0:43:28.919
<v Speaker 4>GPU or a TPU or tranium or you know, proprietary.

0:43:29.000 --> 0:43:30.839
<v Speaker 2>You said you have reference designs for all of them.

0:43:30.920 --> 0:43:34.239
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, but so there's the compute, and you want a

0:43:34.280 --> 0:43:37.840
<v Speaker 15>bout a server racks amount of compute. There are solar

0:43:37.880 --> 0:43:42.880
<v Speaker 15>panels like that's easy, fully kind of proven, uh, spaces

0:43:42.920 --> 0:43:44.600
<v Speaker 15>has huge experience building solar panels.

0:43:44.920 --> 0:43:47.319
<v Speaker 4>And the third main piece are radiators.

0:43:47.600 --> 0:43:49.920
<v Speaker 15>So this is what takes all the heat from the

0:43:49.960 --> 0:43:54.600
<v Speaker 15>compute chips and radiates it into space via you know,

0:43:55.880 --> 0:43:57.920
<v Speaker 15>via black body radiation.

0:43:59.520 --> 0:44:00.920
<v Speaker 4>Those are the three main things.

0:44:00.960 --> 0:44:04.480
<v Speaker 15>And then you also have laser links to connect to

0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:07.200
<v Speaker 15>other satellites or you know, connect to the ground, and

0:44:07.480 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 15>radio connect to the ground. Of these things, every individual

0:44:13.200 --> 0:44:18.040
<v Speaker 15>component here is kind of fully fully proven by SpaceX,

0:44:18.040 --> 0:44:23.160
<v Speaker 15>except for the compute side, but that is not it's

0:44:23.200 --> 0:44:26.439
<v Speaker 15>just not that heart and so the satellites themselves are

0:44:26.840 --> 0:44:27.879
<v Speaker 15>pretty easy to make.

0:44:28.000 --> 0:44:31.480
<v Speaker 2>That's rendering, again, a bloomberg rendering of what you're describing.

0:44:31.680 --> 0:44:35.040
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, So to me, it really is a question of

0:44:35.040 --> 0:44:39.160
<v Speaker 15>when Starship is flying. I don't I don't understand why

0:44:39.320 --> 0:44:42.120
<v Speaker 15>SpaceX wouldn't be able to have an orbital compute satellite

0:44:42.160 --> 0:44:44.759
<v Speaker 15>up within you know, six months or so of the

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:47.319
<v Speaker 15>first storage Starship Payload play.

0:44:47.440 --> 0:44:49.200
<v Speaker 2>We have ninety seconds left in the show. I can't

0:44:49.239 --> 0:44:52.279
<v Speaker 2>believe it. We need to address the open AI and

0:44:52.320 --> 0:44:55.799
<v Speaker 2>anthropic elephant in the room, which is on paper, they

0:44:55.840 --> 0:44:58.080
<v Speaker 2>are very similar if you read the prospectus and the

0:44:58.120 --> 0:45:02.000
<v Speaker 2>tam that SpaceX outlines their room on Earth and outside

0:45:02.040 --> 0:45:03.399
<v Speaker 2>of the Earth for all three.

0:45:04.480 --> 0:45:09.719
<v Speaker 15>I think intelligence is you know, the most important. It's

0:45:09.719 --> 0:45:13.719
<v Speaker 15>the defining capability of our time. And I think there's

0:45:14.200 --> 0:45:18.080
<v Speaker 15>unlimited demand for intelligence. I think it's very clear that

0:45:18.120 --> 0:45:21.760
<v Speaker 15>SpaceX will be, in my opinion, will be the dominant

0:45:21.760 --> 0:45:24.960
<v Speaker 15>provider of compute for intelligence. And I don't know what's

0:45:24.960 --> 0:45:27.280
<v Speaker 15>going to happen on the model layer, but there's absolute

0:45:27.320 --> 0:45:29.080
<v Speaker 15>space for all of these companies.

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:32.200
<v Speaker 2>Fifteen seconds. If you had like a kind of black

0:45:32.239 --> 0:45:35.040
<v Speaker 2>Swan memo right now for the firm Sequoia. What would

0:45:35.040 --> 0:45:38.560
<v Speaker 2>the headline be. What's the biggest focus for you?

0:45:40.320 --> 0:45:44.520
<v Speaker 15>I think it's probably regulatory risk regulatory.

0:45:44.719 --> 0:45:46.720
<v Speaker 2>Okay, let's leave it as a cliffhanger, and you're always

0:45:46.760 --> 0:45:49.120
<v Speaker 2>welcome here back on the show, Bomberg Tech, thank you

0:45:49.239 --> 0:45:51.239
<v Speaker 2>very much for coming in. That does do it for

0:45:51.239 --> 0:45:53.279
<v Speaker 2>this addition of Bloomberg Tech. I want to check on

0:45:53.320 --> 0:45:55.280
<v Speaker 2>the market. It's actually in the course of that conversation

0:45:55.400 --> 0:45:57.960
<v Speaker 2>then as that one hundred headed south, it's paired some

0:45:58.000 --> 0:46:00.960
<v Speaker 2>of its declines, but with down one point two, SpaceX

0:46:01.000 --> 0:46:03.600
<v Speaker 2>is not at session highs, but it is up ten percent.

0:46:03.680 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 2>It is past Amazon on market value as it stands

0:46:08.120 --> 0:46:10.840
<v Speaker 2>where we close who knows long time away and maybe

0:46:10.880 --> 0:46:13.400
<v Speaker 2>it will eclipse Microsoft and market cap by the closer

0:46:13.400 --> 0:46:15.960
<v Speaker 2>as well. Stay with us on Bloomberg TV throughout the day.

0:46:16.000 --> 0:46:18.160
<v Speaker 2>What a show it's been. Recap on the podcast. Really

0:46:18.200 --> 0:46:20.600
<v Speaker 2>appreciate all of you that do listen to the show

0:46:20.600 --> 0:46:23.000
<v Speaker 2>as a podcast. You know where to find it on Bloomberg, Spotify,

0:46:23.080 --> 0:46:26.919
<v Speaker 2>Apple and iHeart from San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech.