WEBVTT - Clay welcomes back Avik Roy 

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<v Speaker 1>This is Wins and Losses with Clay Trevis, play talks

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<v Speaker 1>with the most entertaining people in sports, entertainment and business.

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<v Speaker 1>Now here's Clay Trevis. Welcome in Wins and Lost his podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate all of you hanging out with us. I

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<v Speaker 1>believe we're coming up right on forty of these long

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<v Speaker 1>form conversations that we have had, and the feedback on

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<v Speaker 1>them has been phenomenal. If this is the first one

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<v Speaker 1>that you're listening to, i'd encourage you to go check

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<v Speaker 1>them out from the world of sports, media, politics, business

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<v Speaker 1>and also some focus on COVID, which is what we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna do again Part two with oh Vic Roy. And

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<v Speaker 1>before I bring him in, I gotta say it's rare

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<v Speaker 1>I get praise for anything that I do for my

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<v Speaker 1>wife in any part of my life at all. But

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<v Speaker 1>after our first conversation, which we had back in August,

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<v Speaker 1>she said, I wish everybody in the country could hear

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<v Speaker 1>him and could hear that conversation because it cut through

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<v Speaker 1>so much of the north Ways and got to the

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<v Speaker 1>essence of COVID our response how to balance out going

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<v Speaker 1>back to school. From the perspective of August, it now

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<v Speaker 1>has been whatever. It is nearly six months since we

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<v Speaker 1>last talked. We still are in the throes of much

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<v Speaker 1>of the COVID related hysteria I would call it. And

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<v Speaker 1>certainly we're now changing administrations because we're recording, uh the

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<v Speaker 1>day after the Biden inauguration, and so Ovic again, you're

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<v Speaker 1>coming at my wife's request for part two of this discussion.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's high there's high potential here, but also high

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<v Speaker 1>danger because I know for sure that she'll be listening,

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<v Speaker 1>and she even sent me a couple of questions that

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<v Speaker 1>she wanted me to ask. So first of all, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for coming with us again. Thanks for being so great

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<v Speaker 1>in August. If you haven't heard that August conversation, I

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<v Speaker 1>would encourage you, maybe if you're starting this one, to pause,

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<v Speaker 1>go back into the podcast listen to that August conversation first,

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<v Speaker 1>because a lot of the background. I'm not necessarily going

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<v Speaker 1>to go back over again in because many of you

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<v Speaker 1>have already heard it and I want to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>get an update on your thoughts. So thanks for coming

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<v Speaker 1>on again. People loved our conversation last time, and I

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<v Speaker 1>hope we can help out a lot of people here

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<v Speaker 1>and they will enjoy this one. And get informed just

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<v Speaker 1>as well as they did back in August. Bakeley, what's

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<v Speaker 1>your wife's name, Laura l A R A And just

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<v Speaker 1>like you. Uh, she is from Oakland County, so she

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<v Speaker 1>went to lass Or High School. She grew up in Bloomfield.

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<v Speaker 1>So I went to the University of Michigan from there

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<v Speaker 1>and then we met in law school. So so Laura,

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<v Speaker 1>my wife is definitely listening right now. And uh, and

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are both fellow Michiganders at least in your youth. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a drive by laws Er High to Detroit Country

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<v Speaker 1>Day every morning on my way because we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about that last time where Chris Webber had

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<v Speaker 1>gone to Detroit Country Day in Birmingham, Michigan, which is

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<v Speaker 1>where my wife and I got married back back in

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<v Speaker 1>the day back in two thousand four. Right, Yeah, well, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>thank for me, Thank you Laura for for those kind words,

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<v Speaker 1>and I hope I can live up to it this time.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, quick background again, I would encourage you if

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<v Speaker 1>you want a longer form background of how Ovic ended

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<v Speaker 1>up doing what he does, go listen to our August

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one conversation. But I just want to reset the

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<v Speaker 1>table because some people won't do that. You grew up,

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<v Speaker 1>like you just said, playing basketball with Chris Wheb at

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<v Speaker 1>h AT in Birmingham, Michigan. Uh. You then went to

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<v Speaker 1>m I T. And then you went to Yale for

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<v Speaker 1>medical school. Do you want to give people like a

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<v Speaker 1>two minute synopsis of what you do in your professional

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<v Speaker 1>life and have done in your professional life since leaving

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<v Speaker 1>and finishing your schooling. Yeah? So my my undergraduate major

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<v Speaker 1>was effectively molecular biology. So the genetics DNA and genetics worked,

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<v Speaker 1>and how how all that plays into how cells aren't work,

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<v Speaker 1>how our organs work, our bodies work, how diseases work.

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<v Speaker 1>And I went to med school, and then after med school,

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't practice medicine. I ended up joining an investment

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<v Speaker 1>firm called Being Capital to help them figure out the

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<v Speaker 1>biotech industry. So I spent a dozen years on Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street in Boston and New York, so not not not

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<v Speaker 1>always in the physical Wall Street, but working as an

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<v Speaker 1>investor investing in biotech companies, including vaccine companies and companies

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<v Speaker 1>that developed treatments for various diseases, cancer, things like that,

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<v Speaker 1>And along the way I got really interested in healthcare policy.

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<v Speaker 1>Mitt Romney, as many people will know as the founder

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<v Speaker 1>of bank Capital, and I ended up working for his

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<v Speaker 1>presidential campaign in twelve. He and his team asked me

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<v Speaker 1>to help them design their health reform plan for the

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<v Speaker 1>twelve presidential race, and that led me down the rabbit

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<v Speaker 1>hole of Obamacare and health reform and public policy in general.

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<v Speaker 1>And now I run a think tank based in Austin,

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<v Speaker 1>Texas called the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity or

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<v Speaker 1>free opt dot org online f r e O p

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<v Speaker 1>P dot org, and we work on ways to expand

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<v Speaker 1>economic opportunity to those at least have it using free enterprise,

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<v Speaker 1>individual liberty, technological innovation, and plurals and in in other words, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>people like me believe that free enterprise the thing that's

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<v Speaker 1>lifted people out of poverty all over the world, all

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<v Speaker 1>over the country, and we need to rededicate ourselves of

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<v Speaker 1>doing that for the people who are struggling to make

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<v Speaker 1>it in this incredibly challenging time that we live in now. Amen,

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<v Speaker 1>you're capitalist exactly, which is like it's like some people

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<v Speaker 1>are afraid to say they're actually capitalists nowadays. Uh. And so, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the data and what I love about it. So I

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<v Speaker 1>talked about this back in August. But I became aware

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<v Speaker 1>of you because there was so much noise, uh in

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<v Speaker 1>this COVID coverage in the media. And I always say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't need people to tell me what

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<v Speaker 1>I should think. I would like to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>see the numbers myself and make rational decisions. And so

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<v Speaker 1>I first became aware of you because you were looking

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<v Speaker 1>at the stratification from an age range perspective of how

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<v Speaker 1>COVID was impacting different populations, right, because one of the

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<v Speaker 1>first flaws, I think, uh, the original ends as it were,

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<v Speaker 1>potentially of our response to COVID has been to treat

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<v Speaker 1>this as if it is an equal opportunity disease that

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<v Speaker 1>impacts everybody equally, much like because you hear this analogy

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<v Speaker 1>all the time the nineteen eighteen flew right, which had

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<v Speaker 1>a much more consistent impact across all age ranges, and

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<v Speaker 1>so the decision to shut down schools, for example, was

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<v Speaker 1>predicated on the idea, Oh, the places that did that

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<v Speaker 1>in nineteen eighteen had better success. But the problem is

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<v Speaker 1>that schools and school aged children, unlike in nineteen eighteen,

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<v Speaker 1>are not primary vectors for the spread of this disease.

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<v Speaker 1>So the positive impact in terms of lessening the spread

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<v Speaker 1>is not in any way. We're basically fighting the war

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<v Speaker 1>with the technology of the last war, when this new

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<v Speaker 1>war is entirely different, right, And that's what often happens

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<v Speaker 1>in wars. You try to take the lessons that you

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<v Speaker 1>learned from the last war. The problem is the situation

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<v Speaker 1>has changed and this isn't the same thing anymore. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know that that war with a hundred and three

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, and it's a completely different virus. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>every virus is different. Influenza virus is the way they

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<v Speaker 1>behave are different than the way coronaviruses behave in your body,

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<v Speaker 1>the way they attack you, the kinds of people they attack.

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<v Speaker 1>We actually have known from from previous coronaviruses that coronaviruses

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<v Speaker 1>tend to attack older people, tend to be problematic at

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<v Speaker 1>nursing homes. So people who really looked at the science

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<v Speaker 1>quote unquote should have known that we really needed to

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<v Speaker 1>focus on protecting the elderly. But but that's not what

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<v Speaker 1>we did, and that was tragic. Okay, So I asked

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<v Speaker 1>you last time, what letter grade would you give our

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not trying to be partisan our political here I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just saying, as a policy perspective, what letter grade would

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<v Speaker 1>you give our response to COVID as a country. Oh boy,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a tough one. I mean, you know, I would

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<v Speaker 1>probably say, in fact, you know what here's all do

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<v Speaker 1>is we actually actually looked at all the advanced economic

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<v Speaker 1>countries in the world at free ap and be compared like,

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<v Speaker 1>how's everyone doing, both in terms of just desper capita,

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of like the actual policy responses, economic restrictions,

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<v Speaker 1>school closures. And you know, as time has gone on,

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<v Speaker 1>the grade that we would give the US as declined

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<v Speaker 1>because as time has gone on, we've been the country

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<v Speaker 1>that has actually the most lockdowns or some of the

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<v Speaker 1>most severe lockdowns. Not the most severe in the world

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<v Speaker 1>right now that goes to Australia New Zealand, but but

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<v Speaker 1>over the over the eleven month period, if you add

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<v Speaker 1>it all up, particularly because of California, New York, the

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<v Speaker 1>Blue or states where they've been much more aggressive on lockdowns,

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<v Speaker 1>we've had some of the most severe economic restrictions, and

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<v Speaker 1>yet California is seeing massive spike in cases the lockdowns

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<v Speaker 1>aren't doing anything right. So you put all that together,

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<v Speaker 1>the school closures, the lockdowns, and yet the spike in

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<v Speaker 1>cases and you have to say that that the US

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<v Speaker 1>is somewhere between a D and F, you know, overall

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<v Speaker 1>at this point. And it didn't have to be that way,

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<v Speaker 1>because we were going to have death due to COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>We were going to have people who are vulnerable who

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<v Speaker 1>were hit just like in every other country, every other

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<v Speaker 1>large country that's developed has had that problem. But where

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<v Speaker 1>we really have UM, what the beds, so to speak,

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<v Speaker 1>is that we did things that we're provably not working,

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<v Speaker 1>like keeping schools closed, like keeping the economy shut down

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<v Speaker 1>in certain states, instead of focusing on the real problem,

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<v Speaker 1>which was nursing homes and the elderly living in these

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<v Speaker 1>kind of dorm room like facilities where we need to

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<v Speaker 1>do more to protective. Finally we started to get the

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<v Speaker 1>message around that, but by the time we did, UH,

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<v Speaker 1>the virus had already spreads throughout those communities. All Right,

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<v Speaker 1>if the country gets somewhere between A D and F,

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<v Speaker 1>what does the American media get in the way that

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<v Speaker 1>they have covered uh COVID. In your mind, as a

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<v Speaker 1>guy who looks at the data, what grade would you

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<v Speaker 1>give the overall American media? Oh? I mean, f is

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<v Speaker 1>a generous grade, right, like you, you'd have to give

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<v Speaker 1>them worse than enough, because I mean the way that

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<v Speaker 1>media behaved was was almost a sabotage, uh, the way

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<v Speaker 1>we we responded to COVID. In fact, there's there's probably

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<v Speaker 1>no institution, if you can call the media an institution,

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<v Speaker 1>there's no institution that is more responsible for how bad

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<v Speaker 1>the US COVID response has been than the media. Just

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<v Speaker 1>to give some examples, So as you talked about Clay,

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<v Speaker 1>we know from the data that the overwhelming risk in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of severe illness, hospitalization death from from COVID nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>is in the elderly. And yet if you actually pull

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<v Speaker 1>average Americans and ask them, like, what's your what's my

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<v Speaker 1>perception of my risk from COVID, it's actually young people

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<v Speaker 1>who are the most scared of dieing of COVID because

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<v Speaker 1>the media has been telling them day in day out

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<v Speaker 1>for a year, for for months now that that they're

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<v Speaker 1>the ones who should be scared witless because they're the

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<v Speaker 1>ones not going to school, they're the ones on zoom

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<v Speaker 1>all the time with their teachers or whatever. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>just wanting example of the incredible malpractice that has gone

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<v Speaker 1>and you marry that with this part as an environment

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<v Speaker 1>where there's there's a there was has been such a

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<v Speaker 1>desire to blame Trump for everything that has gone wrong

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<v Speaker 1>that people haven't been willing to see or examine where

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<v Speaker 1>where things really have gone wrong. So the all the

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<v Speaker 1>things that the Governor Cuomo continues to do to mess

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<v Speaker 1>up the COVID response in New York for example, or

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<v Speaker 1>the restrictions in California that aren't working for example, or

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that you know schools if you you know,

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<v Speaker 1>have you seen Clay any articles about COVID breakouts and

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<v Speaker 1>schools for the last four months, and you know that

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<v Speaker 1>if there was one school in Kansas that had had

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<v Speaker 1>like people in the hospital because of COVID and because

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<v Speaker 1>they reopened the school, it would be on the front

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<v Speaker 1>page of the New York Times. So there's basically been

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<v Speaker 1>no incident of serious COVID problems from reopening schools. But

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<v Speaker 1>as anyone written any think pieces about wow, we've we've

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<v Speaker 1>kind of got the school thing wrong. No, it's been

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of people who moved on to the next

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<v Speaker 1>drive by thing to complain about. So yeah, I mean, look,

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<v Speaker 1>the media, the media has been terrible and you can

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<v Speaker 1>sort of shake your fist at the television or Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>or the New York Times or whatever you want to do.

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<v Speaker 1>But I try to think about it more in terms of, Okay,

0:12:21.880 --> 0:12:25.240
<v Speaker 1>the media has been terrible, what is the solution, right,

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:27.240
<v Speaker 1>So if we ever have this kind of problem again,

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:31.839
<v Speaker 1>how do we think about having a a better flow

0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:35.800
<v Speaker 1>of information to everyday people? And that's a harder thing

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.080
<v Speaker 1>to think about. I mean, I I can't say that, Clay,

0:12:38.120 --> 0:12:40.640
<v Speaker 1>that I have the answer today because if you think

0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:44.000
<v Speaker 1>about the public health establishment, which which comes in alongside

0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the media for a lot of a lot of my criticism,

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, you have the so called leading experts at

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the leading universities saying the same things at the media,

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:55.120
<v Speaker 1>saying that everyone needs to be terrified, hide in their

0:12:55.160 --> 0:12:58.440
<v Speaker 1>basements and uh and not go out. And that's the

0:12:58.440 --> 0:13:01.200
<v Speaker 1>only way to solve this problem. And that's ah, that's

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.640
<v Speaker 1>not a sustainable policy. As we're seeing, like why is

0:13:03.679 --> 0:13:06.720
<v Speaker 1>it the COVID is COVID case rising today. It's because

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>people cannot sit in their basements for a year. They

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>just can't. And and the public health profession understood that

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 1>before COVID, the consensus, the conventional wisdom. The excess expert

0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:22.880
<v Speaker 1>opinion then pre COVID was well, you can't lock down

0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>the economy. That never works because people eventually stop listening

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to you and just go about their business. So you

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 1>have to have a better strategy than that. That was

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.720
<v Speaker 1>the conventional wisdom among experts a year ago, and it

0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:39.720
<v Speaker 1>isn't today. And that's a curious thing so much that

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:43.960
<v Speaker 1>I want to unpack from that, and it is. It

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly frustrating, I know to a lot of people

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 1>who are listening out there to see the data right

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.920
<v Speaker 1>like you do, and to have your background and not

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:57.720
<v Speaker 1>be able to convey it to everyone what the data says.

0:13:57.760 --> 0:13:59.960
<v Speaker 1>And I always say, my wife says, I don't need

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.520
<v Speaker 1>therapy because I get to say exactly what I think

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 1>every day, right for better or worse, uh, through my

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:10.240
<v Speaker 1>radio show, through my television show. Like I'm fortunate in

0:14:10.280 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 1>many ways to be a member of the media, but

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.240
<v Speaker 1>there are people out there who will come after me

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:20.520
<v Speaker 1>on a regular basis because what I am sharing is

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 1>not the quote unquote conventional wisdom, right, or they'll say, well,

0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 1>you're not a doctor, how in the world are you

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>able to have an opinion on the whether school should

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 1>be open or not. And my answer is, if you

0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:37.320
<v Speaker 1>are a reasonably intelligent person, being able to analyze data

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:42.480
<v Speaker 1>is one of the most integral assets of any human anywhere.

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Right risk analysis is arguably the most fundamental trait that

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:51.840
<v Speaker 1>has allowed humans to exist and propagate as a species.

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Right Like, that's innately what we all have to do.

0:14:56.200 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>But it seems to me that in this social media age, uh,

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you said what I've been saying and

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:06.080
<v Speaker 1>what you've been saying four months, Hey, elderly people, people

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.960
<v Speaker 1>with suppressed immune systems, people with major health related concerns

0:15:10.000 --> 0:15:14.120
<v Speaker 1>are who COVID is attacking. We need to protect those people,

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:17.479
<v Speaker 1>but we need to maintain the rest of our economy

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 1>and let our society function. The immediate response was, Oh,

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:23.920
<v Speaker 1>you don't care about Grandma's You want everybody to die.

0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 1>It seems too in many ways have been a fundamentally

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 1>broken marketplace of ideas because the right ideas haven't won

0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and carried the day, either in media or public policy.

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 1>It seems to me, you know, Clay, there's a there's

0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:42.000
<v Speaker 1>an analogy or a comparison. We can make the sports

0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 1>here because you think about the whole moneyball sports analytics thing. Right,

0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>all these people who came in who are sort of

0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:52.200
<v Speaker 1>nerdy ivy leaguers or whatever, just people who are math nerds,

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>never had played the sport, and they were always clashing

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:59.280
<v Speaker 1>with the scouts, who are veterans of the game, you know,

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>using their intuition, their feel for the athletes to have

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>that view of UH. And then they always looked down

0:16:05.280 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 1>on the nerds. They said, oh, you know, you don't

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:09.320
<v Speaker 1>you don't get it because you've never played the game.

0:16:09.400 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>You you know, you know, you've never seen anything. But

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the nerds ultimately have have one that that that debate there, right,

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:20.520
<v Speaker 1>and and and and the differences in sports. The right

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.520
<v Speaker 1>answer wins right, the right answer wins championships, and the

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.080
<v Speaker 1>right answer puts the best team on the field or

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 1>on the court. And so you can be vindicated if

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you if you apply those unconventional UH methods to sports.

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:38.360
<v Speaker 1>The difference in public policy is the tenure professors at

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.760
<v Speaker 1>Harvard and Stanford, who more at Harvard than Stanford, we

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 1>should say, but but the tenure professors who say we

0:16:44.520 --> 0:16:47.280
<v Speaker 1>should we should keep schools closed and UH and and

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 1>terrify all the teenagers and the children. They're still Harvard professors,

0:16:51.400 --> 0:16:53.320
<v Speaker 1>they're still in position, so there's already some of them

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:56.480
<v Speaker 1>are joining the Biden administrations. So in that sense, that's

0:16:56.520 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the one thing about public policy is it's not a meritocracy.

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 1>Wrong ideas, wrong policies can continue to be conveyed and

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.040
<v Speaker 1>continue to be in force even if they've been proven wrong.

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 1>That's fascinating and that's well said, and it's true, and

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that's why I've always argued that sports represents the ultimate

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:19.360
<v Speaker 1>foundation of the meritocratic ideal, because everybody's goal is to win,

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 1>and whoever makes it more likely that you are going

0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:26.479
<v Speaker 1>to win gets employed, right whether I mean, you can

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:28.919
<v Speaker 1>have Antonio Brown, who's got all sorts of different issues

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 1>off the field, but if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers decide

0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that he makes it more likely they're gonna win a

0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:34.880
<v Speaker 1>football game, and if they think Tom Brady can work

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 1>with him, they're gonna find a way to bring him in. Right.

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 1>A talent ultimately trumps everything. Almost there is a limit

0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 1>where your problems can exceed your talents, but that's relatively rare,

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:49.080
<v Speaker 1>and there's a way too immediately vindicated and frankly in

0:17:49.119 --> 0:17:52.720
<v Speaker 1>the world that you're coming from which is the capitalistic environment,

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:57.199
<v Speaker 1>a market based economy over time rewards in theory, the

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.600
<v Speaker 1>best business so long as they're certain, you know, as

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 1>long as there's not a monopoly involved, as long as

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 1>there's not some sort of untoward practice taking place. But

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:09.560
<v Speaker 1>that's why capitalism ultimately works so well. Right as you do,

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.639
<v Speaker 1>much like in sports, get a verdict on whether or

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:16.240
<v Speaker 1>not your business made sense totally, I mean, and that's

0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, that's uh. You know, there are economists who

0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 1>say it's like, look, you know, if you if you're

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.720
<v Speaker 1>a business, you don't have your incentive is to be

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:26.080
<v Speaker 1>as inclusive as possible, cause you want every customer, you

0:18:26.119 --> 0:18:28.919
<v Speaker 1>want the employees working for you. And now, obviously it

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.920
<v Speaker 1>hasn't always worked that way historically, but that's not because

0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:35.400
<v Speaker 1>the previous system was a free market system. It wasn't

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 1>because there was the prejudice, there was the segregation, there

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>was a gym crow, there was the stuff going on

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>that really prevented people from taking advantage of the talent

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.879
<v Speaker 1>that was all around them. And uh, and companies obviously

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:49.680
<v Speaker 1>work hard to try to change that. How frustrating is

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:51.480
<v Speaker 1>it to you as someone who has been sharing the

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:53.920
<v Speaker 1>data from the from the moment this all started. Why

0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:57.199
<v Speaker 1>school should be open, the stratification of age, range of

0:18:57.240 --> 0:19:01.640
<v Speaker 1>death and how that can govern our decisions for that

0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:06.159
<v Speaker 1>not to have been inculcated fully into public policy, and

0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:09.119
<v Speaker 1>to see us here as we are now into a

0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 1>new administration, not able to for instance, get kids back

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>in school. Because what drives me crazy Ovic and we're

0:19:17.000 --> 0:19:18.919
<v Speaker 1>talking to O vic Roy. I encourage you to go

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.760
<v Speaker 1>follow him at ovic a v I K at a

0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:25.320
<v Speaker 1>v I K on Twitter. Be sure to catch live

0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:28.520
<v Speaker 1>editions of Outkicked. The coverage with Clay Travis weekdays at

0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:32.680
<v Speaker 1>six am Eastern three am Pacific is. People who claim

0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:37.480
<v Speaker 1>that they care about equity the most are propounding now

0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 1>the most inequitable outcome of our lives for the most part,

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:46.360
<v Speaker 1>in requiring kids in public schools, very often in cities

0:19:46.600 --> 0:19:48.720
<v Speaker 1>who don't have WiFi at home, who may not have

0:19:48.840 --> 0:19:52.679
<v Speaker 1>parents at home, and who don't have access to outside

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:55.680
<v Speaker 1>of school education, to be outside of school for a year.

0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it makes me want to pull my hair

0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 1>out as a kid who went to public school K

0:20:00.600 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>through twelve and now is fortunate enough to live in

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 1>a district where my kids are in school, and I

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:07.880
<v Speaker 1>got a kid in private school as well. But if

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 1>you have advantages, which I do, you can take advantage

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of those opportunities and give your kids those advantages. But

0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:17.440
<v Speaker 1>most kids don't have that in this country. It's infuriating

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>to me, you know, totally. I mean the most. I

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:26.359
<v Speaker 1>tend not to get frustrated play and just because, like,

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 1>if you do what I do for a living, which

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:31.480
<v Speaker 1>is trying to persuade people of your ideas and things

0:20:31.520 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>like that, if you're gonna get frustrated when people don't

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 1>listen to you, this isn't a job for you, right

0:20:35.880 --> 0:20:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Like you have to be you have to be willing

0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:40.080
<v Speaker 1>to accept that not everyone's gonna agree with you, and

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:42.080
<v Speaker 1>that it's hard work. If you've got a contrarian or

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:44.879
<v Speaker 1>dissenting opinion about the way the world should be, or

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:46.639
<v Speaker 1>the way policy should be, or the way the law

0:20:46.720 --> 0:20:49.560
<v Speaker 1>should be, it's your It's up to you to persuade

0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:51.800
<v Speaker 1>everyone else that you're right, and that's gonna mean talking

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who disagree with you. So that's

0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:56.560
<v Speaker 1>if you don't have that sort of temperament, then you

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:58.199
<v Speaker 1>know you can't really do this kind of thing. So

0:20:58.240 --> 0:21:00.720
<v Speaker 1>in that sense, I'm I'm a most really fine, but

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:04.480
<v Speaker 1>I will say that the one, the one moment or

0:21:04.600 --> 0:21:07.439
<v Speaker 1>or period of time where I was most my blood

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 1>pressure was really arising, admittedly was a selfish one where

0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:13.199
<v Speaker 1>there was a point in time in the in the

0:21:13.240 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>spring or summer, I can't remember exactly what it was

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:19.359
<v Speaker 1>now when the Austin the Travis County, which is the

0:21:19.400 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>county that contains Austin, Texas, where I live, there was

0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:27.400
<v Speaker 1>this unelected Travis County Interim Health Authority that basically said

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:29.879
<v Speaker 1>all the private schools that have to stay closed along

0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.760
<v Speaker 1>with the public schools. And that was like, you know,

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:34.399
<v Speaker 1>for me, because I, like you, I can afford to

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:36.359
<v Speaker 1>send my kids to private school, which again is you know,

0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:38.479
<v Speaker 1>I feel terrible for the people who don't have that luxury.

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 1>But for me, that was like, wow, this is like

0:21:40.720 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 1>the government is going out of a tway to make

0:21:42.840 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 1>my life miserable on top of everybody else. That was

0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:47.199
<v Speaker 1>just sort of at a purely selfish level, something that

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 1>made me made me, uh, you know, made my blood

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 1>pressure raise, because go up. But but you're right at

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:55.840
<v Speaker 1>that that the incredible unfairness of it that that you

0:21:55.920 --> 0:21:58.199
<v Speaker 1>and I can still send our kids to school, but

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:01.680
<v Speaker 1>so many people cannot. It's just incredible. You know, I

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:05.200
<v Speaker 1>testified before Congress, I want to say, seven or eight

0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:09.159
<v Speaker 1>times last last summer, last you know that sort of spring, summer,

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 1>fall time last year, and almost every single one of

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>the hearings was about racial inequities that have been exacerbated

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>worse than by COVID um. And the thing that was

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 1>so surreal or crazy about those hearings is, you know,

0:22:27.160 --> 0:22:28.679
<v Speaker 1>there was a lot of talking about, oh, you know,

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 1>it's really terrible that, um, you know, African Americans are

0:22:33.240 --> 0:22:36.440
<v Speaker 1>getting COVID and and dying of COVID at disproportion of rates,

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 1>which is true. But you know, it's also true that

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the economic inequality uh that that has come from government

0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:49.000
<v Speaker 1>policy has disproportionately harmed minorities who are lower income, who

0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:51.200
<v Speaker 1>can't afford to go to private schools right or some

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:53.640
<v Speaker 1>of their kids to private schools. And that has been,

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 1>I have to say, like an astoundingly hypocritical thing. You know,

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:01.520
<v Speaker 1>you have all these people saying, oh, it's really terrible

0:23:01.640 --> 0:23:05.000
<v Speaker 1>that that the virus uh, you know has disportuately harmed

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 1>lower income Americans who are dispportunately non white. Well, yes,

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:12.160
<v Speaker 1>the government policies that have taken their jobs away from them,

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:14.760
<v Speaker 1>taking their livelihoods away from them, taking their schools away

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:18.199
<v Speaker 1>from them, has been incredibly harmful and it's going to

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:23.000
<v Speaker 1>widen economic inequality of this country. And and you're you're

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 1>absolutely right that, you know, certainly at our organization, at

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:28.399
<v Speaker 1>Free optote or we've we've worked hard to try to

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 1>make those points. And I think, you know, we've had

0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>some success with that. I think there are lots of

0:23:33.640 --> 0:23:37.640
<v Speaker 1>um people of both parties, of both you know, ideologies

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:41.400
<v Speaker 1>or whatever you want to say, progressive, conservative, independent, who

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:44.200
<v Speaker 1>who realized that schools need to be reopened. The differences

0:23:44.400 --> 0:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>on the Democratic side, the teachers unions are just such

0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:51.119
<v Speaker 1>a dominant force politically. No one wants to cross the

0:23:51.160 --> 0:23:55.160
<v Speaker 1>teachers unions and that has been the decisive factor. Can

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:58.120
<v Speaker 1>you say, follow the science and in any way justify

0:23:58.200 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 1>schools being closed at this point in the United States

0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 1>of America. No. And I think one of the things,

0:24:04.359 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're gonna we're gonna do a kind of

0:24:06.400 --> 0:24:10.760
<v Speaker 1>an action after action report of the pandemic hope in

0:24:10.800 --> 0:24:14.359
<v Speaker 1>the hope that the pandemic is actually is over in

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:17.439
<v Speaker 1>the next several months, as people get vaccinated. But I

0:24:17.480 --> 0:24:19.639
<v Speaker 1>think one of the things that's really gonna we're going

0:24:19.680 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 1>to really focus on in our writing is the absolute

0:24:23.280 --> 0:24:27.199
<v Speaker 1>disgrace of of the or or the gap or or

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 1>discrepancy between the people who use the word science most

0:24:30.640 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 1>often in their in their speeches or their tweets and

0:24:34.080 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>the actual science, which shows something completely different. And and

0:24:38.280 --> 0:24:41.400
<v Speaker 1>again what's been so troubling is that the people who

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:45.920
<v Speaker 1>should have the most steak in scientific authority, the Anthony

0:24:45.960 --> 0:24:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Fauci's you know, these people at the universities that I've

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:51.800
<v Speaker 1>been mentioning, they're the ones who have done the most

0:24:51.840 --> 0:24:56.520
<v Speaker 1>to undermine trust in quote unquote scientific authority. You know,

0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Fauci's running around saying, oh, it's so surprising that there

0:24:59.760 --> 0:25:03.360
<v Speaker 1>have have been COVID breakouts in schools. Um no one

0:25:03.400 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 1>ever expected that. We all expected that that there would

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 1>be massive outbreaks in schools after we were open. So

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 1>that's really quite strange. And I mean, what I'm thinking,

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:14.199
<v Speaker 1>what bubble is this guy in? But clearly he is

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:17.640
<v Speaker 1>in one right, and and that is a huge, huge problem,

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:21.399
<v Speaker 1>And there needs to be a real self assessment in

0:25:21.400 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 1>the scientific community about about the politicization of basic information

0:25:28.280 --> 0:25:31.560
<v Speaker 1>around who's being impacted by the virus, what kinds of

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:35.640
<v Speaker 1>UH interventions are working, what kinds of interventions are not working.

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:38.880
<v Speaker 1>And my hope is that now that Biden is president,

0:25:39.840 --> 0:25:41.880
<v Speaker 1>we can start to have more of an honest conversation

0:25:41.880 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 1>about that. I feel like, you know, because so many

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 1>people in the academic world are anti Trump. No one

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:50.080
<v Speaker 1>wanted to say that Trump was doing anything right while

0:25:50.119 --> 0:25:52.399
<v Speaker 1>Trump was in office. But maybe now that he's gone,

0:25:52.920 --> 0:25:56.120
<v Speaker 1>maybe it becomes safer, you know, for that Harvard professor

0:25:56.160 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 1>to say, like, actually, the Trump administration, they did this thing.

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:00.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, I don't agree with that thing they did,

0:26:00.440 --> 0:26:01.919
<v Speaker 1>but they did this thing right, or they did that

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:05.600
<v Speaker 1>thing right. Um, maybe the CDC was wrong in this

0:26:05.640 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>particular case or whatever. Maybe that conversation gets a little

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:12.439
<v Speaker 1>more deep, deep politicized. Now that that binds an office,

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:15.679
<v Speaker 1>we can only hope, but but we're going to certainly

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 1>do our part to to contribute to that conversation. I

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>can't wait to read that, and I want to make

0:26:20.560 --> 0:26:22.680
<v Speaker 1>sure that I help you distribute it to the best

0:26:22.680 --> 0:26:26.600
<v Speaker 1>way that we can. And in my limited world, certainly

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:28.880
<v Speaker 1>we have a big audience in the world of sports,

0:26:29.480 --> 0:26:32.240
<v Speaker 1>and I will say. You said, you know, the the

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 1>overall public policy response has been very bad in the

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>world of all Republicans, Democrats, independence, whatever you want to say.

0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:42.480
<v Speaker 1>The media, I think in general does deserve a grade

0:26:42.520 --> 0:26:45.640
<v Speaker 1>worse than F, which is what you said. I'm actually

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>somewhat encouraged that sports got much of this right, um,

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:52.960
<v Speaker 1>and it was a battle to get it right. But

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.720
<v Speaker 1>when we talked back on August twenty one, we didn't

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:59.439
<v Speaker 1>know whether college football was going to happen. We now

0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:03.879
<v Speaker 1>have crowned champion. We did not know whether the NBA

0:27:04.000 --> 0:27:05.880
<v Speaker 1>was gonna be able to finish their season. They did

0:27:05.880 --> 0:27:07.639
<v Speaker 1>in the bubble. Now they're out of the bubble in

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the next season. Major League Baseball finished their season with

0:27:11.200 --> 0:27:15.520
<v Speaker 1>fans present in Texas. The NFL has played their entire

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:17.919
<v Speaker 1>schedule so far. We're talking in the week of the

0:27:17.960 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 1>a f C in the NFC Championship games. All of

0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:24.720
<v Speaker 1>those sports, not to mention countless high schools, as well

0:27:24.760 --> 0:27:27.320
<v Speaker 1>as other sports that are not anywhere near as popular

0:27:27.359 --> 0:27:30.840
<v Speaker 1>on a collegiate level or a professional level. Ovic there

0:27:30.920 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 1>isn't a single death or even serious illness that has

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:39.879
<v Speaker 1>been connected to coaching or athletics and the coaches are

0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:43.760
<v Speaker 1>obviously older than the players, but that's what the data

0:27:43.840 --> 0:27:47.359
<v Speaker 1>told us was likely to happen. And people are like, oh, wow,

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:50.560
<v Speaker 1>this actually ended up being possible. Thankfully they took the

0:27:50.640 --> 0:27:52.480
<v Speaker 1>chance and tried to figure out a way to make

0:27:52.520 --> 0:27:55.879
<v Speaker 1>it happen. What letter grade would you give sports leagues

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>for their willingness and ability to play once they came

0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>back certain nascars involved tennis, all these other different sports. Uh.

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:07.200
<v Speaker 1>And are you at least as appreciative as I am

0:28:07.240 --> 0:28:09.760
<v Speaker 1>that we found a way to get that done and

0:28:09.800 --> 0:28:12.560
<v Speaker 1>that the data showed lo and behold that it was

0:28:12.640 --> 0:28:17.040
<v Speaker 1>safe and it was possible to do. Uh. Definitely appreciative,

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:19.679
<v Speaker 1>and not just that they did it for for the

0:28:19.720 --> 0:28:22.720
<v Speaker 1>sake of the athletes who obviously worked so hard for

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:25.520
<v Speaker 1>those opportunities, but for the rest of us, who, you know,

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 1>just as human beings. We needed something that was not political,

0:28:29.400 --> 0:28:32.640
<v Speaker 1>if at least mostly not political. Uh. And and that

0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 1>that we could that we could point to and cheer

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 1>about in our lives and in this very challenging year

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.440
<v Speaker 1>we've just had so grateful. I'm grateful to the sports

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 1>leagues that that worked hard to make it happen. We

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>and you know, and you've covered it on your show.

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:47.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's not like the sports league said business

0:28:47.480 --> 0:28:49.520
<v Speaker 1>as usual. There's a lot of stuff and a lot

0:28:49.520 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 1>of work, a lot of testing, a lot of restrictions

0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:56.160
<v Speaker 1>on attendance by the fans that went into keeping sports

0:28:56.160 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 1>going in a cautious, uh and prudent way. And and

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>hopefully they've learned from that to realize, okay, maybe we

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 1>can we can h loosen it up a little bit

0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>now that we've learned that we can do this safely

0:29:07.240 --> 0:29:09.560
<v Speaker 1>and operate safely. But you know what really comes back

0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 1>to in my mind, uh play is what you said

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>the beginning, capitalism, right, it's the financial incentive for sports

0:29:17.080 --> 0:29:20.080
<v Speaker 1>leagues to stay open was a big driver of why

0:29:20.080 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 1>they did stay open. And now at the time, you know,

0:29:22.960 --> 0:29:27.040
<v Speaker 1>last summer, last early fall, August, September, that was you know,

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:29.640
<v Speaker 1>the sports pundit said, this is so terrible. You know,

0:29:30.000 --> 0:29:32.640
<v Speaker 1>these these leagues, particularly the you know in terms of

0:29:32.680 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>college sports, where you know, there's the conflict between amateurism

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 1>and the money. These leagues are putting money ahead of humanity.

0:29:39.360 --> 0:29:42.560
<v Speaker 1>They're they're they're they're so greedy and so terrible. And

0:29:43.080 --> 0:29:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I look at it in exactly the opposite way. It

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 1>was the the financial or economic incentive which motivated them

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to get it right, to figure out, hey, there's got

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>to be a way to do this safely. We're gonna

0:29:56.080 --> 0:29:58.080
<v Speaker 1>lose a lot of money if we don't figure out

0:29:58.120 --> 0:30:00.600
<v Speaker 1>how to do it safely, so let's figure it out.

0:30:00.800 --> 0:30:05.080
<v Speaker 1>And exactly the same dynamic play is true with schools.

0:30:05.120 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 1>So why is it that private schools around the country

0:30:07.640 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 1>are open and public schools are not. First of all,

0:30:10.400 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 1>you don't have teachers unions in private schools. But a

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:15.120
<v Speaker 1>big part of it is if you're that private school.

0:30:15.160 --> 0:30:16.720
<v Speaker 1>If you're running a private school and you say no,

0:30:16.800 --> 0:30:20.080
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna go to zoom, no one, everyone's gonna disenroll,

0:30:20.280 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 1>no one's going to show up at that school, and

0:30:21.840 --> 0:30:23.760
<v Speaker 1>your school is going to go broke because you're not

0:30:23.760 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna get any tuition dollars in the door, Whereas in

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 1>the public schools, the money is flowing regardless of what

0:30:29.800 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 1>you do, So why keep the school open when you're

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:35.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna get paid either way. So the economic or financial

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:40.680
<v Speaker 1>incentives were absolutely a critical driver of why public schools

0:30:40.680 --> 0:30:44.120
<v Speaker 1>have been closed, but why sports leagues and private schools

0:30:44.120 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 1>were open. It's so well said, I mean, is now

0:30:50.240 --> 0:30:54.640
<v Speaker 1>not surprisingly the sports media mostly there are exceptions, you're

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:57.720
<v Speaker 1>listening to one of them, but the sports media mostly

0:30:58.160 --> 0:31:01.600
<v Speaker 1>followed the lead of the now national media in making

0:31:01.600 --> 0:31:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the arguments there's no way that it's safe to play right.

0:31:05.080 --> 0:31:07.360
<v Speaker 1>CBS Sports, for example, I talked about this a lot

0:31:07.440 --> 0:31:10.760
<v Speaker 1>on my radio program. They had an expert, and you

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.680
<v Speaker 1>know how this works, the experts that say the things

0:31:13.680 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 1>that don't make headlines. Oh yeah, there's definitely a way

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>to play sports that doesn't make the headline. The expert

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:24.080
<v Speaker 1>who comes out and literally at CBS Sports guaranteed a

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 1>football player would die and predicted there would be at

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:29.840
<v Speaker 1>least three to seven as if he were Nick, you

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 1>know Joe Namath back in the day. He guaranteed a

0:31:32.680 --> 0:31:35.920
<v Speaker 1>death and said he predicted that there would be three

0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 1>to seven. That's a headline at CBS Sports. They finished

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:41.320
<v Speaker 1>the season in college football, and that's what he was

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 1>specifically making his prediction about. Everybody is fine, there are

0:31:45.400 --> 0:31:49.560
<v Speaker 1>no issues, and the story just disappears right, there's no

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 1>consequence for an expert, and I'm putting that in quotation

0:31:53.800 --> 0:31:58.440
<v Speaker 1>marks being a hundred percent wrong, particularly when those people

0:31:58.480 --> 0:32:01.680
<v Speaker 1>have tenure at university. It's like it's it's impossible for

0:32:01.720 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 1>them to ever have a consequence. And that probably goes

0:32:03.720 --> 0:32:06.880
<v Speaker 1>back to your point. In a market based economy, if

0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:10.840
<v Speaker 1>you're wrong, you lose your job. In a university setting,

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 1>if you're wrong, you just write a new article explaining

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:17.400
<v Speaker 1>why you were wrong, and uh, and and and or

0:32:17.600 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 1>completely ignoring it, there's no and there's no consequence. Yeah,

0:32:22.080 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 1>you know. In fact, you're reminded me of I can't

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:27.160
<v Speaker 1>remember which a media organization was, may have been ESPN,

0:32:27.160 --> 0:32:30.520
<v Speaker 1>and may have been Yahoo or CBS. Uh. Lots of

0:32:30.520 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 1>people there was. There was a Big twelve expert that

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:36.240
<v Speaker 1>the Big twelve A d. S recruited who said, actually,

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:39.440
<v Speaker 1>you can operate the league safely and here's how you

0:32:39.520 --> 0:32:42.720
<v Speaker 1>do it. And there was a round of articles criticizing

0:32:43.640 --> 0:32:46.160
<v Speaker 1>and that expert saying, oh, the Big twelve just you know,

0:32:46.200 --> 0:32:48.960
<v Speaker 1>wet doctor shopping and found some idiot off the street

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 1>who who was going to validate what they wanted to

0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>do and not listen to the science. Right, And that

0:32:54.320 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 1>guy turned out to be right, and everyone else turned

0:32:56.400 --> 0:32:58.040
<v Speaker 1>out to be wrong, at least the ones that say

0:32:58.080 --> 0:33:01.520
<v Speaker 1>the Big ten was listening to it is I mean

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:03.520
<v Speaker 1>and and and all of this, you know, and and

0:33:03.520 --> 0:33:06.280
<v Speaker 1>again to kind of relitigate some of this. You remember

0:33:06.280 --> 0:33:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the myocarditis story that flared up. Oh my god, if

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:12.240
<v Speaker 1>you get a if you get COVID, you're gonna get myocarditis.

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:14.360
<v Speaker 1>Your heart's gonna be ruined forever. There's no way we

0:33:14.360 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 1>can play sports. Nobody had myocarditis issues either, but if

0:33:18.440 --> 0:33:22.240
<v Speaker 1>they did, that often happens with viral infections in general.

0:33:22.320 --> 0:33:25.920
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't specific to COVID. And the media what I

0:33:26.000 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 1>called fear porn governed the day, and and candidly behind

0:33:30.120 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the scenes, I was having conversations with commissioners as early

0:33:33.720 --> 0:33:35.920
<v Speaker 1>as April, and I said, look, you're used to people

0:33:36.360 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 1>being in favor of your sport. Everybody in the sports

0:33:39.960 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>media is going to be opposed to you guys playing

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>college football this year. They're not going to carry the

0:33:45.120 --> 0:33:47.520
<v Speaker 1>water for the NFL. They're not gonna say, hey, this

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:50.479
<v Speaker 1>is a brilliant idea. They're all gonna buy into the

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.280
<v Speaker 1>fear and curl up in the fetal position and argue

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:56.479
<v Speaker 1>that there's no way that should be happening. Well, as

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:58.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, Clay, I mean it's in a long standing

0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:02.000
<v Speaker 1>dynamic in sports meet is that you know, sports writers,

0:34:02.040 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 1>sports commentators, they they particularly the ones who work at say,

0:34:06.800 --> 0:34:10.560
<v Speaker 1>major newspapers are major news organizations, right, they feel that

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:14.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of inferiority complex of we're not the real journalists

0:34:14.320 --> 0:34:15.880
<v Speaker 1>like the people who work on you know, who go

0:34:15.960 --> 0:34:19.080
<v Speaker 1>to Capitol Hill or cover the White House. So they

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:22.160
<v Speaker 1>feel that that sense of, well, I have to do

0:34:22.239 --> 0:34:25.040
<v Speaker 1>what the the other journalists tell me to do, because

0:34:25.080 --> 0:34:26.839
<v Speaker 1>if I don't, then I'm going to be seen as

0:34:26.880 --> 0:34:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that fluffy sports reporter and not the hard journalists that

0:34:30.120 --> 0:34:33.960
<v Speaker 1>I really am. And so that sort of that sociological

0:34:34.080 --> 0:34:38.200
<v Speaker 1>element of the sports writing or sports media community plays

0:34:38.239 --> 0:34:41.919
<v Speaker 1>a big role in in their deference to to what,

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 1>to what other people are saying that they feel they

0:34:45.080 --> 0:34:47.960
<v Speaker 1>have to defer to. And so it's some of its fears.

0:34:47.960 --> 0:34:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Some of it's that deference. Some of it is just

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:53.040
<v Speaker 1>genuinely like, you know, being terrified or whatever. It is

0:34:53.880 --> 0:34:57.480
<v Speaker 1>all that to say that, you know, what people like

0:34:57.520 --> 0:34:59.279
<v Speaker 1>you and me and and the people who listen to

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.680
<v Speaker 1>your podcast and other people out there who who who

0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 1>have had the same point of view need to do

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:09.040
<v Speaker 1>is to make sure that uh, as we go through this,

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:11.800
<v Speaker 1>we're able to assess and and have that after action

0:35:11.960 --> 0:35:15.040
<v Speaker 1>report where we can say, okay, guys, let's learn from this.

0:35:15.200 --> 0:35:18.279
<v Speaker 1>Let's learn about what the so called experts told you

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:20.120
<v Speaker 1>that was right, and what they told you that was wrong,

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:22.360
<v Speaker 1>and certain things that were unknown. So to take the

0:35:22.400 --> 0:35:25.719
<v Speaker 1>example of myo karditis, I mean you and I were

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:29.279
<v Speaker 1>more skeptical that was a serious issue. But you can

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:33.320
<v Speaker 1>understand risk averse for college president's risk averse a D

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:35.320
<v Speaker 1>saying you know what, we've we've got to be concerned

0:35:35.320 --> 0:35:37.040
<v Speaker 1>about this because I don't want it. I don't want

0:35:37.040 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 1>to deal with the litigation if you want to be cynical,

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:40.560
<v Speaker 1>or I don't want to do with that on my conscience.

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:43.480
<v Speaker 1>If somebody really gets sick, the kind of the you know,

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the Reggie Lewis type thing, so you know, do the

0:35:47.080 --> 0:35:49.920
<v Speaker 1>m R I s do the testing every you know, UH,

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:55.239
<v Speaker 1>Power five University certainly has the ability to arrange for

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:58.200
<v Speaker 1>those tests if you if as someone's COVID positive, you

0:35:58.200 --> 0:36:00.160
<v Speaker 1>can you can look to see if there's information and

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:02.920
<v Speaker 1>there aren't muscle and and and monitor in which they

0:36:02.960 --> 0:36:05.759
<v Speaker 1>did right. Most of the most of the big conferences

0:36:05.840 --> 0:36:09.080
<v Speaker 1>did that, and that's what allowed them to get that

0:36:09.080 --> 0:36:11.200
<v Speaker 1>that relief that this wasn't a big deal. So I

0:36:11.200 --> 0:36:13.880
<v Speaker 1>don't have a problem with if they're going to be

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:16.759
<v Speaker 1>really risk averse, invest the extra money, since they make

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:19.560
<v Speaker 1>so much money off college sports, at least the revenue sports,

0:36:19.960 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, to invest in those tasks to see what's

0:36:22.080 --> 0:36:24.320
<v Speaker 1>going on, make sure that nothing's going wrong. But to

0:36:24.400 --> 0:36:27.799
<v Speaker 1>shut down the season altogether, that's stupid. You know, keep

0:36:27.800 --> 0:36:29.719
<v Speaker 1>an eye on it and if it looks like things

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:31.640
<v Speaker 1>are going to go wrong, that's one thing. And remember

0:36:31.680 --> 0:36:33.880
<v Speaker 1>there were a lot of sports writers who said about

0:36:33.880 --> 0:36:36.440
<v Speaker 1>the college football season, say, oh, this is so pointless.

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:38.680
<v Speaker 1>The whole season is gonna get shut down after two

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:42.319
<v Speaker 1>weeks anyway, you know, why is anybody even bothering? And

0:36:42.440 --> 0:36:45.640
<v Speaker 1>as you said, you know the season basically, yes, there

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:48.160
<v Speaker 1>were games that were canceled and things like that, but

0:36:48.160 --> 0:36:51.080
<v Speaker 1>but the season was played and and I think most

0:36:51.080 --> 0:36:53.719
<v Speaker 1>people are pretty pretty happy about that. And to go

0:36:53.760 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 1>to your point on the market based capitalistic economy being

0:36:56.560 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 1>the most efficient, which by the way, all of world

0:36:59.320 --> 0:37:03.800
<v Speaker 1>history proved, that's a whole another story. But for anybody

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>who wants to study the history of of economies UH

0:37:07.560 --> 0:37:10.719
<v Speaker 1>and UH and market based decision making in general. It's

0:37:10.719 --> 0:37:13.920
<v Speaker 1>probably not a surprise if you adopt that line of thinking,

0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:17.960
<v Speaker 1>that the NFL, which had the absolute most money at

0:37:18.000 --> 0:37:21.280
<v Speaker 1>stake and is the biggest business in all of pro sports,

0:37:21.719 --> 0:37:25.239
<v Speaker 1>had the most successful season because not only did they

0:37:25.280 --> 0:37:29.120
<v Speaker 1>play every single game as scheduled, all thirty two NFL

0:37:29.160 --> 0:37:32.759
<v Speaker 1>teams played all sixteen games, but they did it on

0:37:33.040 --> 0:37:35.960
<v Speaker 1>their schedule. They didn't even have so far UH that

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the a f C and NFC championship games are Sunday,

0:37:38.640 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>We're talking in the middle of the week leading into that,

0:37:41.080 --> 0:37:42.840
<v Speaker 1>and then the Super Bowl. They've got two weeks to

0:37:42.840 --> 0:37:45.120
<v Speaker 1>be able to schedule that, but right now it's scheduled

0:37:45.160 --> 0:37:47.440
<v Speaker 1>as it typically is for two weeks after the Sunday

0:37:47.480 --> 0:37:50.400
<v Speaker 1>a f C n NFC championship games, and a lot

0:37:50.480 --> 0:37:53.719
<v Speaker 1>of them had fans present, but every television part of

0:37:53.719 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 1>their game, which is where the biggest part of their

0:37:55.719 --> 0:37:59.520
<v Speaker 1>revenue comes from. Guess what they did the best job

0:37:59.680 --> 0:38:02.480
<v Speaker 1>big business does, the best job in pro sports with

0:38:02.480 --> 0:38:04.759
<v Speaker 1>putting their product out there for people to watch, and

0:38:05.200 --> 0:38:08.800
<v Speaker 1>it's arguably the most difficult because of all the physical

0:38:08.840 --> 0:38:12.320
<v Speaker 1>contact that goes into football compared to let's say baseball

0:38:13.160 --> 0:38:16.680
<v Speaker 1>or tennis or something like that. Yeah, that's that's a

0:38:16.680 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 1>great point. You know, as you were talking, I was,

0:38:18.239 --> 0:38:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I was recalling the the European soccer summer soccer season

0:38:22.320 --> 0:38:25.239
<v Speaker 1>from last year. Right, not some of the league's didn't play,

0:38:25.280 --> 0:38:27.920
<v Speaker 1>but the ones that did had no problems. Right, everything

0:38:27.960 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 1>worked out just fine. Yeah, there were some positive tests here,

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:32.920
<v Speaker 1>there are things like that, but but but the games

0:38:32.960 --> 0:38:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that were played were played and worked out just fine. Yes,

0:38:36.680 --> 0:38:38.439
<v Speaker 1>there weren't fans in the audience, and they would pump

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:41.000
<v Speaker 1>in the crowd noise on the broadcast, but but otherwise

0:38:41.200 --> 0:38:44.680
<v Speaker 1>it worked and that was our first indication that actually

0:38:44.760 --> 0:38:47.000
<v Speaker 1>this could be done. Or two that to give us

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>the confidence, right, the real world example, so this could

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:52.400
<v Speaker 1>be done. So so kudos to the NFL. I mean,

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:56.760
<v Speaker 1>definitely very impressive that that they've managed to have everything

0:38:57.120 --> 0:39:01.239
<v Speaker 1>run on time. And um uh you know, and you

0:39:01.280 --> 0:39:03.440
<v Speaker 1>know part part of it too is you know, one

0:39:03.480 --> 0:39:06.040
<v Speaker 1>thing we we probably should you know take an account

0:39:06.080 --> 0:39:10.839
<v Speaker 1>here is pro athletes, particularly football players, there's so much

0:39:10.960 --> 0:39:14.920
<v Speaker 1>discipline involved, you know in being a pro athlete, you know,

0:39:15.000 --> 0:39:17.120
<v Speaker 1>in the NFL, it's just you know, you can get

0:39:17.120 --> 0:39:19.759
<v Speaker 1>cut so ruthlessly and have your career cut short if

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:23.759
<v Speaker 1>you make one mistake. Um, and if you make it

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:27.160
<v Speaker 1>to the pros, you're likely to have that discipline and

0:39:27.200 --> 0:39:29.480
<v Speaker 1>that maturity. And not everyone does. And we've seen some,

0:39:29.640 --> 0:39:32.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, notorious cases that not being the case. But

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:35.319
<v Speaker 1>but most of the athletes have really stuck to it, right,

0:39:35.320 --> 0:39:37.239
<v Speaker 1>Whereas at the college level it's a little harder. Right,

0:39:37.320 --> 0:39:41.320
<v Speaker 1>these are kids, Um, you know, there's a there's a campus,

0:39:41.360 --> 0:39:44.400
<v Speaker 1>there's parties, there's people who admire them and want to,

0:39:44.680 --> 0:39:46.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, want a party with them. There's a lot

0:39:46.719 --> 0:39:50.400
<v Speaker 1>more temptation when when you're a college student to do

0:39:50.480 --> 0:39:54.160
<v Speaker 1>the wrong thing. And so you know, it's it's impressive

0:39:54.200 --> 0:39:56.200
<v Speaker 1>on both counts, right. It's impressive of the college season

0:39:56.400 --> 0:39:58.200
<v Speaker 1>managed to do as well as it did, even with

0:39:58.239 --> 0:40:00.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of interruptions. And I'll be see you look

0:40:00.480 --> 0:40:03.000
<v Speaker 1>to the pros and say, hey, uh, you know, hats off.

0:40:03.800 --> 0:40:07.400
<v Speaker 1>We're talking to Ovic Roy. Free op dot org is

0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:11.120
<v Speaker 1>his website. Follow him on Twitter at ovic a v

0:40:11.320 --> 0:40:14.640
<v Speaker 1>I K at a v I k is his Twitter handle. Uh.

0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:16.480
<v Speaker 1>And this is the Winds and the Losses podcast. I

0:40:16.520 --> 0:40:21.360
<v Speaker 1>am Clay Travis, Fox Sports Radio has the best sports

0:40:21.360 --> 0:40:24.160
<v Speaker 1>talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows

0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:27.440
<v Speaker 1>at Fox Sports Radio dot Com and within the I

0:40:27.520 --> 0:40:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Heart Radio apps. Search f s R to listen live.

0:40:32.560 --> 0:40:34.640
<v Speaker 1>One of the challenges that I see that is the

0:40:34.719 --> 0:40:37.040
<v Speaker 1>largest in the world of sports and other places. And

0:40:37.080 --> 0:40:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious what you think about this. So much of

0:40:41.239 --> 0:40:46.160
<v Speaker 1>our media is anecdote driven, and the anecdote is used

0:40:46.200 --> 0:40:49.279
<v Speaker 1>to justify the overall story. So, and I'll give you

0:40:49.280 --> 0:40:52.680
<v Speaker 1>an example. If, as you mentioned, I remember, and this

0:40:52.719 --> 0:40:56.040
<v Speaker 1>is unfortunate, and I feel for his family, there was

0:40:56.160 --> 0:40:59.760
<v Speaker 1>a kid who died at Appalachian State University in Boone,

0:40:59.760 --> 0:41:04.080
<v Speaker 1>North Carolina of COVID or with COVID. It's not like

0:41:04.120 --> 0:41:08.640
<v Speaker 1>I've reviewed his medical files to know exactly, but his

0:41:08.800 --> 0:41:13.080
<v Speaker 1>death then becomes a front page New York Times article

0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:18.960
<v Speaker 1>talking about the challenges of going back to college. The

0:41:19.000 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 1>two million or four million, or whatever the heck number

0:41:21.520 --> 0:41:24.479
<v Speaker 1>it is of college kids that go back and don't

0:41:24.520 --> 0:41:27.520
<v Speaker 1>have any issues at all. It's all about framing. In

0:41:27.560 --> 0:41:30.120
<v Speaker 1>other words, if I wanted to write a story about

0:41:30.120 --> 0:41:32.759
<v Speaker 1>how dangerous it is for kids to drive back to

0:41:32.840 --> 0:41:37.200
<v Speaker 1>college at the end of summer, inevitably every year there

0:41:37.200 --> 0:41:40.759
<v Speaker 1>are kids who die driving back to college campuses. That

0:41:40.800 --> 0:41:44.200
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean as a general rule that it is incredibly

0:41:44.280 --> 0:41:48.600
<v Speaker 1>dangerous for those kids to be driving back to college campuses. Inevitably,

0:41:48.680 --> 0:41:51.960
<v Speaker 1>every year there are college kids that get the flu

0:41:52.080 --> 0:41:55.319
<v Speaker 1>and die the seasonal flu. That doesn't mean that all

0:41:55.440 --> 0:41:58.600
<v Speaker 1>kids on college campus are in danger of the seasonal flu.

0:41:59.239 --> 0:42:03.200
<v Speaker 1>Outlier occur and as a data guy, outliers can be

0:42:03.280 --> 0:42:07.000
<v Speaker 1>fascinating for you, I'm sure to review, but they are

0:42:07.160 --> 0:42:11.120
<v Speaker 1>just that outliers. How much of our challenge in media

0:42:11.160 --> 0:42:17.520
<v Speaker 1>today is using anecdotal outlier stories to justify a preferred narrative,

0:42:17.600 --> 0:42:21.640
<v Speaker 1>such as sports can't happen because this college kid died,

0:42:22.360 --> 0:42:25.440
<v Speaker 1>even if it's in no way representative of the larger

0:42:25.520 --> 0:42:28.319
<v Speaker 1>data set. That is such a challenge, it seems to me,

0:42:28.800 --> 0:42:32.520
<v Speaker 1>because the story of one death is more overpowering than

0:42:32.600 --> 0:42:36.440
<v Speaker 1>sometimes the story of a million people being fine. You

0:42:36.480 --> 0:42:38.840
<v Speaker 1>know what I'm what I'm thinking about as you go

0:42:38.960 --> 0:42:41.960
<v Speaker 1>through that, and all all Well said is you know

0:42:42.000 --> 0:42:46.000
<v Speaker 1>my my My takeaway from from on that score is

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:50.120
<v Speaker 1>every high school in America should require that its students

0:42:50.160 --> 0:42:54.040
<v Speaker 1>take a statistics class. Yes, because statistics are the thing

0:42:54.280 --> 0:42:57.320
<v Speaker 1>they drive so much of life nowadays, especially because we

0:42:57.360 --> 0:43:00.080
<v Speaker 1>have all this data being thrown at us because of

0:43:00.200 --> 0:43:02.319
<v Speaker 1>the world we live in, and we just don't know

0:43:02.360 --> 0:43:04.440
<v Speaker 1>how to process it, and we process it wrong. And

0:43:04.440 --> 0:43:07.560
<v Speaker 1>that that affects the way sports, you know, sports get

0:43:07.560 --> 0:43:11.520
<v Speaker 1>to analyze. That, that affects the way lawsuits happened, particularly

0:43:11.640 --> 0:43:15.320
<v Speaker 1>the class action type lawsuits. It affects government policy, obviously,

0:43:15.320 --> 0:43:19.160
<v Speaker 1>affects medicine, affects so many different things in our world. Uh.

0:43:19.200 --> 0:43:22.520
<v Speaker 1>And if people had that set, that understanding of statistics

0:43:22.520 --> 0:43:27.799
<v Speaker 1>and how to separate anecdotes from the overall uh context

0:43:28.239 --> 0:43:31.640
<v Speaker 1>of those of those anecdotes, you know, that would be

0:43:31.800 --> 0:43:33.480
<v Speaker 1>an important service that would do a lot to just

0:43:33.600 --> 0:43:36.879
<v Speaker 1>calm everyone down. I hope you know. Maybe that's ah,

0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:41.040
<v Speaker 1>that's uh pollyannas or naive of made to feel that way,

0:43:41.080 --> 0:43:43.960
<v Speaker 1>But I really do believe that if we could have

0:43:44.040 --> 0:43:48.800
<v Speaker 1>a country where people were more journalists, in particular, more numerous,

0:43:49.000 --> 0:43:52.280
<v Speaker 1>more affluent in statistics, it would be so much better.

0:43:52.320 --> 0:43:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean that the story that really crystallizes to me

0:43:55.719 --> 0:43:58.680
<v Speaker 1>everything that went wrong with the media coverage last year

0:43:59.719 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 1>was was the huge story. And I talked about it

0:44:02.960 --> 0:44:05.080
<v Speaker 1>the last time when I was on with You in

0:44:05.120 --> 0:44:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the in the New York Times, where it was claimed

0:44:07.880 --> 0:44:10.680
<v Speaker 1>that there was a South Korean study that was purported

0:44:10.719 --> 0:44:14.960
<v Speaker 1>to show that kids were infectious and it was dangerous

0:44:15.000 --> 0:44:18.160
<v Speaker 1>to reopen schools. And this was plastered all over the

0:44:18.200 --> 0:44:21.200
<v Speaker 1>New York Time. It was circulated to every school district

0:44:21.280 --> 0:44:24.160
<v Speaker 1>in the country, and there was reporting afterwards that said

0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:26.759
<v Speaker 1>that that basically there were a lot of you know,

0:44:26.880 --> 0:44:31.279
<v Speaker 1>school principles superintendents who wanted to open schools. They read

0:44:31.280 --> 0:44:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that article in The New York Times and said no,

0:44:33.080 --> 0:44:35.360
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to do it, obviously egged on by

0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:38.640
<v Speaker 1>the teachers unions. And it turned out that the that

0:44:38.760 --> 0:44:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the article totally misrepresented the data, and that once the

0:44:42.480 --> 0:44:44.360
<v Speaker 1>full data set came out, it was pretty clear that

0:44:44.400 --> 0:44:47.480
<v Speaker 1>in fact, kids were not infectious in South Korea, just

0:44:47.520 --> 0:44:50.440
<v Speaker 1>like kids were not infectious anywhere else, that schools had

0:44:50.480 --> 0:44:52.920
<v Speaker 1>been open and everything had been fine. But did the

0:44:52.920 --> 0:44:56.080
<v Speaker 1>New York Times retract their story. No, did the New

0:44:56.160 --> 0:44:58.959
<v Speaker 1>York Times run another story saying, hey, we got South

0:44:59.040 --> 0:45:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Korea were not really I mean, they did write another

0:45:02.280 --> 0:45:04.440
<v Speaker 1>article about South Korea, but it was a very mealy

0:45:04.480 --> 0:45:08.040
<v Speaker 1>mouth and no reader who didn't already know what's going

0:45:08.080 --> 0:45:10.160
<v Speaker 1>on would be able to know from that article at

0:45:10.200 --> 0:45:12.560
<v Speaker 1>the New York Times it made a terrible mistake. But

0:45:12.680 --> 0:45:17.759
<v Speaker 1>that's one journalist at one influential newspaper who's misunderstanding of

0:45:17.800 --> 0:45:21.840
<v Speaker 1>scientific data lead to something that impacted the lives of

0:45:21.920 --> 0:45:25.839
<v Speaker 1>tens of millions of kids all over the country. And uh,

0:45:26.040 --> 0:45:29.640
<v Speaker 1>that's that's something that just should not happen. And I

0:45:29.680 --> 0:45:32.200
<v Speaker 1>hope we can we can have a world in which

0:45:32.719 --> 0:45:36.160
<v Speaker 1>statistics are more a part of the conversation, where when

0:45:36.160 --> 0:45:40.120
<v Speaker 1>you encounter a fact or a uh, you know, a

0:45:40.200 --> 0:45:43.759
<v Speaker 1>journalistic assertion, we could do more to have statistics back

0:45:43.760 --> 0:45:46.200
<v Speaker 1>it up. Now, that alone won't solve the problem, because

0:45:46.239 --> 0:45:49.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the old line from Benjamin Disraeli, the old

0:45:49.360 --> 0:45:52.719
<v Speaker 1>nineteenth century Prime Minister of of of Great Britain, was

0:45:53.160 --> 0:45:55.600
<v Speaker 1>there's lives, damn lives and statistics. We all know from

0:45:55.600 --> 0:45:58.120
<v Speaker 1>sports that that you can come up with lots of

0:45:58.160 --> 0:46:02.200
<v Speaker 1>different statistics to justify, uh, you know, anything that you

0:46:02.520 --> 0:46:04.360
<v Speaker 1>and anything that you want to believe or anything that

0:46:04.480 --> 0:46:06.000
<v Speaker 1>that are your prior So you have to go one

0:46:06.080 --> 0:46:10.360
<v Speaker 1>level below that and really understand which statistics accurately measure

0:46:10.400 --> 0:46:13.320
<v Speaker 1>things in which statistics don't. But just having that basic

0:46:13.400 --> 0:46:17.359
<v Speaker 1>understanding of you know, one anecdote is not, you know,

0:46:18.040 --> 0:46:20.120
<v Speaker 1>reflective of everything else. If one person dies in a

0:46:20.160 --> 0:46:22.960
<v Speaker 1>car accident, it doesn't mean you should hide in your garage.

0:46:23.280 --> 0:46:25.600
<v Speaker 1>If one person dies of COVID, it doesn't mean the

0:46:25.600 --> 0:46:28.480
<v Speaker 1>world's gonna end um. You know. That would obviously be

0:46:29.000 --> 0:46:32.680
<v Speaker 1>a welcome development. One way that I try to combat

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:35.600
<v Speaker 1>that is in addition to talking to people like you

0:46:35.640 --> 0:46:40.360
<v Speaker 1>and hopefully sharing your worldview with my audience, is throughout

0:46:40.480 --> 0:46:43.680
<v Speaker 1>this entire COVID mess on my radio show, I've been

0:46:43.800 --> 0:46:46.080
<v Speaker 1>very transparent with the choices that I'm making in my

0:46:46.160 --> 0:46:49.399
<v Speaker 1>own life because people can say, oh, you're saying that,

0:46:49.920 --> 0:46:51.960
<v Speaker 1>But I think for most people out there who are

0:46:51.960 --> 0:46:55.080
<v Speaker 1>parents like you and me, our children are our most

0:46:55.160 --> 0:46:59.000
<v Speaker 1>prized possessions. My children, my oldest is in private school.

0:46:59.000 --> 0:47:01.960
<v Speaker 1>My two youngest go to school every day. I have

0:47:02.040 --> 0:47:05.279
<v Speaker 1>traveled with them on airplanes. I have taken them to

0:47:05.280 --> 0:47:08.959
<v Speaker 1>go watch NFL games. We have allowed them to play

0:47:09.000 --> 0:47:11.480
<v Speaker 1>in addition to going to school, all of their different

0:47:11.480 --> 0:47:14.839
<v Speaker 1>sports leagues in our neighborhood where the sports leagues are

0:47:14.840 --> 0:47:19.000
<v Speaker 1>going on, and I hope to be sharing that is anecdotal, right,

0:47:19.080 --> 0:47:22.480
<v Speaker 1>but it's me trying to live up to the data

0:47:22.680 --> 0:47:25.400
<v Speaker 1>under which I am telling them that the things that

0:47:25.440 --> 0:47:27.800
<v Speaker 1>I believe should happen, sports should be played, for example.

0:47:28.080 --> 0:47:30.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm living my life by that data too. I'm not

0:47:30.640 --> 0:47:33.880
<v Speaker 1>telling you to do one thing and then doing the opposite,

0:47:33.880 --> 0:47:38.400
<v Speaker 1>which frankly has been I think probably the most destructive

0:47:38.719 --> 0:47:41.400
<v Speaker 1>thing that public policy officials have have done. Whether it's

0:47:41.440 --> 0:47:46.200
<v Speaker 1>Gavin Newsom eating at the French Laundry restaurant, or so

0:47:46.320 --> 0:47:48.839
<v Speaker 1>many different politicians out there who tend to be more

0:47:48.880 --> 0:47:52.080
<v Speaker 1>affluent than the average person they represent, having their own

0:47:52.160 --> 0:47:55.359
<v Speaker 1>kids in private school going to class, while they are

0:47:55.400 --> 0:47:57.799
<v Speaker 1>allowing all of the public school kids who don't have

0:47:57.840 --> 0:48:02.000
<v Speaker 1>the same ability of resources as their own kids to

0:48:02.080 --> 0:48:05.560
<v Speaker 1>not be in school, right, so that hypocrisy. I'm trying

0:48:05.600 --> 0:48:07.399
<v Speaker 1>to live my life in the way that I would

0:48:07.440 --> 0:48:10.400
<v Speaker 1>say the data reflects I should. And that goes to

0:48:10.760 --> 0:48:12.759
<v Speaker 1>what I think is is a really big story here.

0:48:12.760 --> 0:48:14.840
<v Speaker 1>And I know this is basically what you do for

0:48:14.880 --> 0:48:18.080
<v Speaker 1>a living. You're talking about analyzing probability and statistics, which

0:48:18.080 --> 0:48:21.480
<v Speaker 1>I think Americans as a group do poorly, but also

0:48:21.760 --> 0:48:25.160
<v Speaker 1>success or failure to me in many parts of life

0:48:25.560 --> 0:48:30.120
<v Speaker 1>seems to be predicated on your ability to analyze risk

0:48:30.600 --> 0:48:33.360
<v Speaker 1>in this country, whether it's what you invest in, whether

0:48:33.400 --> 0:48:35.560
<v Speaker 1>it's what you do on a day to day basis,

0:48:35.960 --> 0:48:38.560
<v Speaker 1>your risk barometer. I would bet if there was a

0:48:38.560 --> 0:48:41.120
<v Speaker 1>way to study it, the people who are the best

0:48:41.200 --> 0:48:44.719
<v Speaker 1>at risk barometer basis are probably the most successful in

0:48:44.719 --> 0:48:46.879
<v Speaker 1>the country. Would you buy into that idea as well?

0:48:49.040 --> 0:48:51.319
<v Speaker 1>You know, that's that's such a great point, you know,

0:48:51.480 --> 0:48:55.759
<v Speaker 1>I it's not just what your ability to analyze risk,

0:48:56.200 --> 0:48:58.840
<v Speaker 1>but it's your attitude toward risk. I mean, one of

0:48:58.840 --> 0:49:01.160
<v Speaker 1>the one of the things that led to the to

0:49:01.200 --> 0:49:03.160
<v Speaker 1>the rise of Donald Trump in a sense is this

0:49:03.239 --> 0:49:08.880
<v Speaker 1>divide between blue collar America and you know, college college,

0:49:08.920 --> 0:49:12.920
<v Speaker 1>e book smart America. And we're seeing that in the

0:49:12.920 --> 0:49:16.359
<v Speaker 1>electoral results. Like if you look at the electoral election returns, Uh,

0:49:16.640 --> 0:49:18.400
<v Speaker 1>if you and you look at who's voting for whom,

0:49:18.520 --> 0:49:21.200
<v Speaker 1>what really is the driver more than race, more than income,

0:49:21.239 --> 0:49:24.239
<v Speaker 1>more than any other factor. Is Uh, do you have

0:49:24.280 --> 0:49:26.680
<v Speaker 1>a college degree or not? Uh? And if you do,

0:49:26.840 --> 0:49:28.359
<v Speaker 1>you tend to vote one way, and if you don't,

0:49:28.400 --> 0:49:30.040
<v Speaker 1>you tend to vote another way. That that's the most

0:49:30.080 --> 0:49:33.640
<v Speaker 1>powerful thing out there. And and you know, people who

0:49:33.719 --> 0:49:35.439
<v Speaker 1>are on the elite side, so Oh, that just means

0:49:35.440 --> 0:49:38.399
<v Speaker 1>that we the educated, smart people, you know what's best

0:49:38.440 --> 0:49:39.799
<v Speaker 1>for you all, and you're all you all, the rest

0:49:39.840 --> 0:49:41.719
<v Speaker 1>of you are dumb and ignorant. I look at it

0:49:41.760 --> 0:49:44.440
<v Speaker 1>a different way, which is now, I'm looking out my

0:49:44.440 --> 0:49:47.120
<v Speaker 1>window right now in downtown Austin, and there's a you know,

0:49:47.160 --> 0:49:49.960
<v Speaker 1>a twenty story building under construction right right across the

0:49:50.000 --> 0:49:53.520
<v Speaker 1>street here, and there are people climbing up on the scaffolds,

0:49:53.560 --> 0:49:56.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, cleaning the windows and laying down the insulation.

0:49:56.160 --> 0:49:59.239
<v Speaker 1>And those people understand risk, right, because if if they

0:49:59.280 --> 0:50:03.359
<v Speaker 1>don't strap themselves in and they don't act carefully, they're

0:50:03.360 --> 0:50:06.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna fall off of that platform and and and die

0:50:06.840 --> 0:50:10.560
<v Speaker 1>literally die. Right. They understand the risk of of of

0:50:10.600 --> 0:50:13.800
<v Speaker 1>their jobs and the challenge for a lot of sports writers,

0:50:13.840 --> 0:50:17.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of academics, people who basically live lives with

0:50:17.560 --> 0:50:19.759
<v Speaker 1>no risk. And frankly, I'm in that crowd, right, Like

0:50:19.800 --> 0:50:21.840
<v Speaker 1>I have a white collar job, I have a good income.

0:50:22.200 --> 0:50:24.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, we've we've talked about how my life is

0:50:24.360 --> 0:50:26.719
<v Speaker 1>pretty cushy compared to the people who can't send their

0:50:26.760 --> 0:50:30.239
<v Speaker 1>kids to school, et cetera. Like people who have that

0:50:30.520 --> 0:50:34.279
<v Speaker 1>sociological background or socioeconomic background they tend to be more

0:50:34.400 --> 0:50:36.759
<v Speaker 1>risk averse, right, because they're not used to dealing with

0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:38.879
<v Speaker 1>the world in which like if they're on if they're

0:50:38.920 --> 0:50:42.400
<v Speaker 1>careless about something, things can go badly wrong. Whereas blue

0:50:42.400 --> 0:50:46.160
<v Speaker 1>collar America, you're people are used to things going wrong.

0:50:46.200 --> 0:50:48.000
<v Speaker 1>People are used to having to be careful, they're used

0:50:48.040 --> 0:50:51.640
<v Speaker 1>to physical danger. And athletes to write you you you're

0:50:51.680 --> 0:50:53.880
<v Speaker 1>not You're careless about the way you train, You're careless

0:50:53.880 --> 0:50:56.080
<v Speaker 1>about the way you stretch, You're careless about the way

0:50:56.080 --> 0:50:58.600
<v Speaker 1>you run the football. You're gonna get injured, right, And

0:50:58.640 --> 0:51:03.080
<v Speaker 1>athletes are very aware of that um And so people

0:51:03.120 --> 0:51:07.840
<v Speaker 1>who deal with physical risk every day are much more

0:51:07.880 --> 0:51:10.000
<v Speaker 1>likely to look at something like COVID and say, you

0:51:10.000 --> 0:51:13.120
<v Speaker 1>know what, I can handle that, whereas it's the people

0:51:13.120 --> 0:51:15.120
<v Speaker 1>who sit on in front of a computer all day

0:51:15.880 --> 0:51:19.200
<v Speaker 1>who are terrified. It's also what I always say, is

0:51:19.280 --> 0:51:21.560
<v Speaker 1>like going to public school and going and I went

0:51:21.600 --> 0:51:24.520
<v Speaker 1>to some public schools that weren't very good, But there

0:51:24.600 --> 0:51:27.319
<v Speaker 1>is a benefit to knowing that you might get your

0:51:27.360 --> 0:51:31.000
<v Speaker 1>ass kicked at school, you know, like having that fear

0:51:31.880 --> 0:51:35.200
<v Speaker 1>where you know that you're not a hundred percent safe

0:51:35.440 --> 0:51:37.960
<v Speaker 1>and you have to carry yourself in a way that

0:51:38.040 --> 0:51:41.319
<v Speaker 1>analyzes risk. Maybe I shouldn't say that to that guy

0:51:41.480 --> 0:51:45.080
<v Speaker 1>right now, right because he might beat my ass, right,

0:51:45.160 --> 0:51:47.520
<v Speaker 1>And I feel like we have and and look at

0:51:47.640 --> 0:51:53.080
<v Speaker 1>every generation is getting safer progressively in the United States, right, So, uh, this,

0:51:53.080 --> 0:51:54.919
<v Speaker 1>this and that's been going back in time, the data

0:51:54.960 --> 0:51:57.880
<v Speaker 1>would reflect from the moment people got on ships and

0:51:57.960 --> 0:52:02.359
<v Speaker 1>came to our shores. Life life links are growing like

0:52:02.560 --> 0:52:06.319
<v Speaker 1>we are living in the least dangerous time in the

0:52:06.360 --> 0:52:09.279
<v Speaker 1>world that anyone could ever live in. Right, Um, all

0:52:09.320 --> 0:52:12.359
<v Speaker 1>the data reflects that, But it seems to me that

0:52:12.440 --> 0:52:17.000
<v Speaker 1>our fear meters are so much more attuned to danger

0:52:17.120 --> 0:52:20.000
<v Speaker 1>than they ever have been before. And people who are

0:52:20.040 --> 0:52:22.480
<v Speaker 1>in COVID is a metaphor for this. People who are

0:52:22.560 --> 0:52:24.799
<v Speaker 1>not at risk, as you said when we started this conversation,

0:52:24.880 --> 0:52:28.359
<v Speaker 1>young people, they feel terrified, right. They think they're gonna

0:52:28.400 --> 0:52:30.200
<v Speaker 1>get and this isn't just COVID. They think they're gonna

0:52:30.239 --> 0:52:33.319
<v Speaker 1>get kidnapped, they think they're gonna get murdered. They think

0:52:33.440 --> 0:52:37.080
<v Speaker 1>something bad is going to happen to them, when statistically

0:52:37.200 --> 0:52:40.080
<v Speaker 1>most people have never been safer. If you're living in

0:52:40.080 --> 0:52:44.120
<v Speaker 1>America right now than any time in human civilization than

0:52:44.160 --> 0:52:49.000
<v Speaker 1>this exact moment. Yeah, you know that that's another great point, Clay,

0:52:49.040 --> 0:52:53.279
<v Speaker 1>that that there's a negativity and you know we've been

0:52:53.280 --> 0:52:55.680
<v Speaker 1>complaining a lot on on this interview, but you know,

0:52:55.719 --> 0:53:00.799
<v Speaker 1>like there's a negativity to uh, to journalism today that

0:53:01.200 --> 0:53:04.839
<v Speaker 1>something good happening typically isn't news, right, Like if something

0:53:04.880 --> 0:53:08.279
<v Speaker 1>bad happens, if a train derails, that's news. If a

0:53:08.440 --> 0:53:11.760
<v Speaker 1>train goes and stays on its tracks, which is almost

0:53:11.800 --> 0:53:15.160
<v Speaker 1>always what happens with every train, it's not news. Right.

0:53:15.200 --> 0:53:18.919
<v Speaker 1>A plane crashing is news. A billion plane flights going

0:53:18.960 --> 0:53:21.800
<v Speaker 1>off and taken in landing is not news. So news

0:53:21.840 --> 0:53:25.680
<v Speaker 1>in and of itself is better easily able to spread now.

0:53:26.120 --> 0:53:29.920
<v Speaker 1>But there is I think a natural negativity bias because

0:53:29.960 --> 0:53:34.000
<v Speaker 1>good news happens far more frequently and therefore isn't news.

0:53:34.280 --> 0:53:36.960
<v Speaker 1>The negative tends to dictate and scare. Again, it goes

0:53:37.000 --> 0:53:40.200
<v Speaker 1>to your point on probability and statistics and analysis and

0:53:40.280 --> 0:53:44.840
<v Speaker 1>being able to contextualize what I was saying risk. You know,

0:53:45.760 --> 0:53:48.439
<v Speaker 1>that's absolutely right, And and the one thing I'm I'm

0:53:48.440 --> 0:53:52.040
<v Speaker 1>thinking about as you say that is how does technology

0:53:52.120 --> 0:53:55.279
<v Speaker 1>digital media change all that are our conventional wisdom, which

0:53:55.320 --> 0:53:59.640
<v Speaker 1>is obviously has some truth to it is uh, social media, Facebook, Twitter,

0:54:00.000 --> 0:54:03.480
<v Speaker 1>able news Uh, exacerbate or worse than those problems because

0:54:03.560 --> 0:54:05.880
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that people want to get motivated

0:54:05.880 --> 0:54:07.840
<v Speaker 1>and get angry about and share with their friends and

0:54:07.840 --> 0:54:09.799
<v Speaker 1>the stuff that they're mad about about the world. Right,

0:54:10.000 --> 0:54:13.319
<v Speaker 1>And that's certainly true. But it's also true that on

0:54:13.640 --> 0:54:18.120
<v Speaker 1>UM on digital platforms, you see people share inspiring stories. Yeah,

0:54:18.280 --> 0:54:19.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of times. If you look at the stories

0:54:19.840 --> 0:54:22.920
<v Speaker 1>that are getting the most traffic, it's like, uh, and

0:54:22.960 --> 0:54:25.879
<v Speaker 1>I think you shared it. Actually, the story about Tom

0:54:25.920 --> 0:54:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Brady throwing the touchdown to Drew Brees a son beautiful

0:54:29.800 --> 0:54:33.160
<v Speaker 1>last weekend, right, like that got enormous traffic. So people

0:54:33.239 --> 0:54:38.200
<v Speaker 1>hunger for for good news too. And I guess the

0:54:38.239 --> 0:54:40.399
<v Speaker 1>thing is, can we think about again? I'm always trying

0:54:40.400 --> 0:54:42.160
<v Speaker 1>to think about what's the solution here? How do we

0:54:42.200 --> 0:54:45.000
<v Speaker 1>move beyond this and try to make things better? And

0:54:45.040 --> 0:54:48.160
<v Speaker 1>I feel like we've we've gotta think more, and media

0:54:48.239 --> 0:54:50.719
<v Speaker 1>organizations that that have an economic incentive to do so,

0:54:50.880 --> 0:54:54.280
<v Speaker 1>just think more about how do I share those inspiring stories,

0:54:54.280 --> 0:54:57.880
<v Speaker 1>the good news that the kindness, the sportsmanship, the things

0:54:57.920 --> 0:54:59.879
<v Speaker 1>that that we could show to our kids and say,

0:55:00.040 --> 0:55:02.440
<v Speaker 1>know what, be more like that? Guy, be more like

0:55:02.520 --> 0:55:04.919
<v Speaker 1>Tom Brady and du Brees after a hard fought game,

0:55:05.280 --> 0:55:07.759
<v Speaker 1>don't be like the sore loser or whatever. You know.

0:55:08.000 --> 0:55:10.560
<v Speaker 1>I think there's an opportunity in there. It's interesting to

0:55:10.600 --> 0:55:13.359
<v Speaker 1>me because if you think about let's take a step

0:55:13.360 --> 0:55:15.600
<v Speaker 1>back and just think about it from a capitalistic perspective,

0:55:16.280 --> 0:55:20.520
<v Speaker 1>there is big incentive to get financial stories right, such

0:55:20.640 --> 0:55:24.640
<v Speaker 1>that people will pay huge amounts of money to you know,

0:55:24.719 --> 0:55:27.440
<v Speaker 1>get a Wall Street journal or a Bloomberg article or

0:55:27.480 --> 0:55:30.799
<v Speaker 1>wherever it is to them first right. And getting that

0:55:30.880 --> 0:55:35.680
<v Speaker 1>news right from a financial perspective is incredibly important. It

0:55:35.760 --> 0:55:38.560
<v Speaker 1>seems to me that there, and so the quality I

0:55:38.600 --> 0:55:40.520
<v Speaker 1>would say. You may disagree. I'm not an expert in

0:55:40.560 --> 0:55:43.960
<v Speaker 1>finance journalism, but it seems to me the quality of

0:55:44.120 --> 0:55:48.279
<v Speaker 1>finance journalism is higher than the quality of many other

0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:52.440
<v Speaker 1>types of journalism because what pays in many other types

0:55:52.480 --> 0:55:57.560
<v Speaker 1>of journalism is not nuance or analysis or intelligence. Necessarily,

0:55:57.960 --> 0:56:01.239
<v Speaker 1>it's emotion. And the emotion can be good, Oh look

0:56:01.280 --> 0:56:03.799
<v Speaker 1>how great Tom Brady is and Drew Brees after that

0:56:03.840 --> 0:56:07.040
<v Speaker 1>game they're throwing a pass. But the emotion can also

0:56:07.080 --> 0:56:09.760
<v Speaker 1>be hyper negative, which is why I say, look, Trump

0:56:09.880 --> 0:56:13.200
<v Speaker 1>is a symptom of the industry and universe in which

0:56:13.239 --> 0:56:15.680
<v Speaker 1>we live, not the cause of it. He is an

0:56:15.680 --> 0:56:19.040
<v Speaker 1>inarticulate voice in many ways for a conversation that needs

0:56:19.080 --> 0:56:21.799
<v Speaker 1>to happen. What always friend Trump is a whole different story.

0:56:21.800 --> 0:56:24.600
<v Speaker 1>But always frustrated me about Donald Trump was I just

0:56:24.680 --> 0:56:27.280
<v Speaker 1>wish somebody had been making some of the same arguments

0:56:27.320 --> 0:56:30.880
<v Speaker 1>that he was making with a factual foundation as opposed

0:56:30.920 --> 0:56:33.799
<v Speaker 1>to a gut foundation, which I think was very often

0:56:33.840 --> 0:56:39.320
<v Speaker 1>the way he was responding. Yeah, I mean that that's uh,

0:56:39.360 --> 0:56:41.239
<v Speaker 1>that's what I certainly hope for the same thing. I

0:56:41.320 --> 0:56:44.839
<v Speaker 1>hope that we can we can draw the lessons of

0:56:44.040 --> 0:56:47.920
<v Speaker 1>the criticisms of America that that Trump that that what

0:56:47.960 --> 0:56:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Trump was right about without the other aspects of Trump's

0:56:52.880 --> 0:56:55.520
<v Speaker 1>approach the life, that that we wouldn't want to teach

0:56:55.520 --> 0:56:57.560
<v Speaker 1>our kids or we wouldn't want to in terms of

0:56:57.560 --> 0:57:02.480
<v Speaker 1>the way we treat each other. Okay, all thatsolutely go ahead. No, Well,

0:57:02.520 --> 0:57:05.080
<v Speaker 1>I was gonna catch I had a big question here.

0:57:05.120 --> 0:57:08.160
<v Speaker 1>I was gonna try to hit you with. But all

0:57:08.239 --> 0:57:11.319
<v Speaker 1>this conversation we just had, um is, people are gonna

0:57:11.360 --> 0:57:13.920
<v Speaker 1>love it and fantastic, But you said you're working on

0:57:13.960 --> 0:57:16.680
<v Speaker 1>basically a retrospective to look back at the way the

0:57:16.760 --> 0:57:19.280
<v Speaker 1>society responded, to look back at the decision to shut

0:57:19.320 --> 0:57:22.560
<v Speaker 1>down schools? When is that going to come out? And

0:57:22.760 --> 0:57:25.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a cliche because it is true, especially if you

0:57:25.600 --> 0:57:29.440
<v Speaker 1>like history. Hindsight is right. We find out the errors

0:57:29.480 --> 0:57:32.360
<v Speaker 1>that we made and hopefully learn from them going forward

0:57:32.360 --> 0:57:35.480
<v Speaker 1>into the future. Who knows when the next pandemic might happen.

0:57:36.000 --> 0:57:37.720
<v Speaker 1>If you had been able to look at the data

0:57:37.760 --> 0:57:41.160
<v Speaker 1>set that you have right now, you're reviewing all everything

0:57:41.200 --> 0:57:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that has happened with COVID. What would have gotten us

0:57:44.840 --> 0:57:48.400
<v Speaker 1>in a in public policy? What would have gotten the

0:57:48.520 --> 0:57:52.360
<v Speaker 1>media and a in coverage? What would have been the

0:57:52.400 --> 0:57:55.160
<v Speaker 1>best response that we could have had. Let's pretend that

0:57:55.240 --> 0:57:59.520
<v Speaker 1>you and I are able to implement American policy, or

0:57:59.560 --> 0:58:02.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe not me at all. You back in March, when

0:58:02.320 --> 0:58:05.280
<v Speaker 1>this virus is just arriving on our shores. Probably it

0:58:05.320 --> 0:58:07.360
<v Speaker 1>was here in December or whatever else, but March, when

0:58:07.400 --> 0:58:11.400
<v Speaker 1>we really start responding to it. What was the right response?

0:58:11.760 --> 0:58:15.160
<v Speaker 1>What should we have done to have the most effective

0:58:15.240 --> 0:58:19.640
<v Speaker 1>possible American response to COVID? We Well, first of all,

0:58:19.920 --> 0:58:22.600
<v Speaker 1>I love that you're like you're now my editor and

0:58:22.640 --> 0:58:25.320
<v Speaker 1>you gave me a deadline, or you give us a

0:58:25.320 --> 0:58:27.520
<v Speaker 1>deadline when your your articles out, So I'm gonna I'm

0:58:27.520 --> 0:58:29.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna do it. I'm gonna say, Okay, we'll get this

0:58:29.040 --> 0:58:32.640
<v Speaker 1>out by the end of February, so I can't wait. Yes,

0:58:32.720 --> 0:58:35.360
<v Speaker 1>I'll get it out of the end of February. And

0:58:35.600 --> 0:58:37.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'll say a couple of things that you

0:58:37.320 --> 0:58:39.080
<v Speaker 1>know obviously this is this is we can have a

0:58:39.120 --> 0:58:41.000
<v Speaker 1>we have a whole hour and a half conversation about

0:58:41.040 --> 0:58:43.840
<v Speaker 1>that question. But I'll say maybe we will when your

0:58:43.880 --> 0:58:45.600
<v Speaker 1>whole paper comes out, because I'd love for you to

0:58:45.640 --> 0:58:47.320
<v Speaker 1>come back after I have a chance to read it

0:58:47.360 --> 0:58:49.520
<v Speaker 1>and digest it, for you to be able to talk

0:58:49.560 --> 0:58:51.560
<v Speaker 1>about it with us, because I think my audience would

0:58:51.560 --> 0:58:54.680
<v Speaker 1>love it. But uh, okay, dive in broad picture question

0:58:54.720 --> 0:58:58.000
<v Speaker 1>that I just asked. Yeah, and look, there's a lot

0:58:58.040 --> 0:58:59.600
<v Speaker 1>to say about this topic. And you know, in fact,

0:58:59.680 --> 0:59:04.760
<v Speaker 1>I just interviewed uh the now former HHS Secretary Alex

0:59:04.800 --> 0:59:07.520
<v Speaker 1>asar on a lot of this stuff last week. You

0:59:07.560 --> 0:59:09.400
<v Speaker 1>can find it on YouTube if you google my name

0:59:09.440 --> 0:59:12.960
<v Speaker 1>and his um. More to say about that, But I'll

0:59:13.000 --> 0:59:15.080
<v Speaker 1>say a couple of things to to to what the

0:59:15.120 --> 0:59:18.680
<v Speaker 1>appetite of you and your listeners. First is if you

0:59:18.720 --> 0:59:21.840
<v Speaker 1>actually look at which countries have performed well this time

0:59:21.880 --> 0:59:25.640
<v Speaker 1>around with COVID, it was mostly the countries of the

0:59:25.680 --> 0:59:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Pacific Rim East Asia. And why is that. It's because

0:59:29.840 --> 0:59:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the countries of the Pacific Rim have encountered the coronavirus before.

0:59:35.000 --> 0:59:39.640
<v Speaker 1>They had encountered Stars Kobe one in two thousand three,

0:59:40.040 --> 0:59:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and it was because of their experience with that first

0:59:44.600 --> 0:59:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Stars code coronavirus, or at least the one that we

0:59:47.720 --> 0:59:52.080
<v Speaker 1>call the first Stars coronavirus that led them to when

0:59:52.160 --> 0:59:54.760
<v Speaker 1>this one came around, they took it seriously from from

0:59:54.840 --> 0:59:58.240
<v Speaker 1>day one. They did the social distancing and the other

0:59:58.320 --> 1:00:00.800
<v Speaker 1>kinds of things to be careful, but they didn't shut

1:00:00.800 --> 1:00:04.920
<v Speaker 1>down their societies. They didn't have to because their citizenry

1:00:05.120 --> 1:00:08.880
<v Speaker 1>knew how to behave their governments knew what steps to

1:00:08.920 --> 1:00:11.600
<v Speaker 1>take to get the testing going and everything else. So

1:00:12.200 --> 1:00:17.040
<v Speaker 1>my hope, my optimism is that the experience of this

1:00:17.120 --> 1:00:20.800
<v Speaker 1>pandemic will lead us to be smarter in general about

1:00:20.880 --> 1:00:24.240
<v Speaker 1>both the way everyday people respond to the crisis and

1:00:24.280 --> 1:00:27.160
<v Speaker 1>have the government response. Maybe that's too optimistic, but I

1:00:27.240 --> 1:00:29.480
<v Speaker 1>think there's reason to be hopeful of that. If we

1:00:29.520 --> 1:00:32.040
<v Speaker 1>look at the example of Asia. The second thing I'll

1:00:32.080 --> 1:00:36.120
<v Speaker 1>mention is the vaccine. So one of the things that's

1:00:36.160 --> 1:00:39.680
<v Speaker 1>come out of this past twelve months or ten months

1:00:39.720 --> 1:00:43.520
<v Speaker 1>that's been remarkable is the development of these of these

1:00:43.520 --> 1:00:46.360
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus vaccines. As I think I talked about with you

1:00:46.360 --> 1:00:50.000
<v Speaker 1>and your last show that we did together, the previous

1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:53.240
<v Speaker 1>world record for developing a vaccine for a novel virus

1:00:53.640 --> 1:00:57.720
<v Speaker 1>was five years for the ebolavirus five years. We shattered

1:00:57.760 --> 1:01:01.080
<v Speaker 1>that record. Two different biotech come and these one American

1:01:01.160 --> 1:01:06.160
<v Speaker 1>Maderna on another German bio Intact basically developed these mRNA

1:01:06.360 --> 1:01:08.800
<v Speaker 1>based vaccines. M RNA is a is a type of

1:01:08.840 --> 1:01:13.880
<v Speaker 1>genetic code material like DNA. They developed these mRNA vaccines

1:01:14.440 --> 1:01:16.720
<v Speaker 1>and turn them around incredibly quickly, and we got them

1:01:16.760 --> 1:01:20.240
<v Speaker 1>on the market in an incredible record time. And what's

1:01:20.360 --> 1:01:25.640
<v Speaker 1>really really encouraging about that is that these mRNA vaccines

1:01:25.640 --> 1:01:28.840
<v Speaker 1>are actually really easy to manufacture. They're really easy to develop.

1:01:28.920 --> 1:01:32.120
<v Speaker 1>It's almost like software. You type into genetic code, you

1:01:32.160 --> 1:01:36.000
<v Speaker 1>PLoP out the vaccine and it's ready. The Maderna they

1:01:36.040 --> 1:01:39.000
<v Speaker 1>had their vaccine, their first batch that they developed for

1:01:39.080 --> 1:01:42.240
<v Speaker 1>testing that was ready to go in January February of

1:01:42.360 --> 1:01:45.720
<v Speaker 1>last year, almost a year ago. So think about this.

1:01:45.840 --> 1:01:49.600
<v Speaker 1>If we have another coronavirus or another virus that is

1:01:49.680 --> 1:01:53.480
<v Speaker 1>amenable to that kind of technology, you could develop a

1:01:53.560 --> 1:01:56.840
<v Speaker 1>vaccine much sooner. Once the genetic sequence of that virus

1:01:56.880 --> 1:02:00.320
<v Speaker 1>is published, you can develop the vaccine right away. And

1:02:00.400 --> 1:02:04.920
<v Speaker 1>for those high risk individuals, frontline workers, nursing home residents,

1:02:05.080 --> 1:02:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the people who are particularly vulnerable, you can get them

1:02:07.680 --> 1:02:10.840
<v Speaker 1>vaccinated within a month of the pandemic or two months

1:02:10.880 --> 1:02:13.720
<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic, instead of waiting for almost a year

1:02:14.080 --> 1:02:16.320
<v Speaker 1>to get that vaccine out. And if you can do that,

1:02:17.120 --> 1:02:20.120
<v Speaker 1>you can stem a lot of the damage that comes

1:02:20.200 --> 1:02:23.840
<v Speaker 1>from the serious illness from from a novel pandemic. Hopefully

1:02:23.920 --> 1:02:25.720
<v Speaker 1>this is a situation we don't have to encounter for

1:02:25.760 --> 1:02:29.520
<v Speaker 1>a while. But to me, that technological advance is one

1:02:29.520 --> 1:02:31.360
<v Speaker 1>of the things that a lot of people aren't talking

1:02:31.400 --> 1:02:35.120
<v Speaker 1>about that we can bring to the next crisis that

1:02:35.160 --> 1:02:37.480
<v Speaker 1>we have if we are so unlucky as to have one.

1:02:37.960 --> 1:02:40.200
<v Speaker 1>A couple more questions. Though I know how busy you are,

1:02:41.000 --> 1:02:43.960
<v Speaker 1>you hear a lot about the death rate from COVID,

1:02:44.080 --> 1:02:46.440
<v Speaker 1>and I always say, like nobody, I always say on

1:02:46.440 --> 1:02:49.120
<v Speaker 1>my radio show nobody hates death more than me, right like,

1:02:49.240 --> 1:02:50.920
<v Speaker 1>so I am, I want to make it clear here

1:02:51.000 --> 1:02:53.800
<v Speaker 1>that I am adamantly opposed to death. I wish we

1:02:53.840 --> 1:02:56.959
<v Speaker 1>could live almost forever. I wish nobody's grandma ever died.

1:02:57.640 --> 1:03:01.000
<v Speaker 1>All those things the folk us again going back to

1:03:01.040 --> 1:03:05.560
<v Speaker 1>the statistical analysis, the age of death from COVID, and

1:03:05.840 --> 1:03:08.520
<v Speaker 1>you might need to say with COVID, but however you

1:03:08.560 --> 1:03:12.440
<v Speaker 1>want to phrase that is either around the same age

1:03:12.520 --> 1:03:15.240
<v Speaker 1>as the average age of death in the country as

1:03:15.240 --> 1:03:19.680
<v Speaker 1>a as a whole, or maybe a little bit older, right, uh.

1:03:19.720 --> 1:03:21.960
<v Speaker 1>And you can speak to that data better than I can.

1:03:22.080 --> 1:03:24.880
<v Speaker 1>So am I correct roughly in the in the average

1:03:24.880 --> 1:03:27.960
<v Speaker 1>age of death from somebody who is being classified as

1:03:28.000 --> 1:03:31.560
<v Speaker 1>a COVID death is not much different than the average

1:03:31.560 --> 1:03:36.480
<v Speaker 1>age of death overall in the United States. That's uh,

1:03:36.480 --> 1:03:39.000
<v Speaker 1>that's generally true. You know. Obviously it's older people who

1:03:39.000 --> 1:03:42.040
<v Speaker 1>are typically dying of COVID. It's older people who died generally, yes,

1:03:42.320 --> 1:03:45.040
<v Speaker 1>um uh. And in fact, as you know, we we've

1:03:45.040 --> 1:03:49.320
<v Speaker 1>published some analyzes that show that the real UH bulge

1:03:49.320 --> 1:03:52.800
<v Speaker 1>are differential in in who's dying of COVID in United

1:03:52.840 --> 1:03:57.479
<v Speaker 1>States relative to pre existing normal quote unquote death rates

1:03:57.520 --> 1:04:00.640
<v Speaker 1>by age, Brackett, is that sort of upp upper middle

1:04:00.680 --> 1:04:03.640
<v Speaker 1>age bracket rather than the elderly, because the elderly, as

1:04:03.640 --> 1:04:05.160
<v Speaker 1>you say, are dying anyway. And this is this is

1:04:05.200 --> 1:04:07.720
<v Speaker 1>something I think there's gonna be and I think this

1:04:07.840 --> 1:04:10.560
<v Speaker 1>may be the thing you're getting at. We may find

1:04:10.600 --> 1:04:13.560
<v Speaker 1>as we sift through the data that the death rates

1:04:13.880 --> 1:04:18.360
<v Speaker 1>of the elderly versus the death rates of the elderly

1:04:18.400 --> 1:04:22.240
<v Speaker 1>in a normal year we're not that different. And or

1:04:22.400 --> 1:04:25.880
<v Speaker 1>that the the the age of death is only you know,

1:04:25.920 --> 1:04:28.400
<v Speaker 1>maybe a couple of months before the life expectancy for

1:04:28.800 --> 1:04:31.120
<v Speaker 1>say an eighty five year old. Maybe that eighty five

1:04:31.200 --> 1:04:33.440
<v Speaker 1>year old would have lasted until lady six, maybe it

1:04:33.440 --> 1:04:36.120
<v Speaker 1>would have last till Lady seven. And COVID, you know,

1:04:36.320 --> 1:04:40.080
<v Speaker 1>pushed that a little earlier, but not by a dramatic amount.

1:04:40.160 --> 1:04:42.200
<v Speaker 1>We don't know. I think those are some debates that

1:04:42.240 --> 1:04:45.840
<v Speaker 1>are going on in the statistical community right now. But

1:04:45.920 --> 1:04:48.280
<v Speaker 1>we'll start to learn about that. And another thing that

1:04:48.320 --> 1:04:50.720
<v Speaker 1>we're going to have to study, Clay, is how many

1:04:50.760 --> 1:04:55.680
<v Speaker 1>people died not because of COVID, but because they were

1:04:55.720 --> 1:05:00.040
<v Speaker 1>locked in their rooms or they the average age of

1:05:00.080 --> 1:05:02.600
<v Speaker 1>those people is going to be much younger, which is

1:05:02.600 --> 1:05:06.320
<v Speaker 1>where I was gonna go years lost of life. We

1:05:06.400 --> 1:05:10.720
<v Speaker 1>talk a lot about death, but really, I think everybody

1:05:10.720 --> 1:05:12.120
<v Speaker 1>out there when you take a step back and think

1:05:12.120 --> 1:05:15.080
<v Speaker 1>about it from an analytical perspective, uh, and also the

1:05:15.080 --> 1:05:17.440
<v Speaker 1>in factor in a little bit of emotion. The reason

1:05:17.480 --> 1:05:19.800
<v Speaker 1>why when a five year old dies we feel so

1:05:19.880 --> 1:05:22.280
<v Speaker 1>much worse than when an eighty five year old dies

1:05:22.960 --> 1:05:25.920
<v Speaker 1>is because the five year old had so many lives,

1:05:25.960 --> 1:05:29.000
<v Speaker 1>so much of their life left, so many years to

1:05:29.160 --> 1:05:32.880
<v Speaker 1>live compared to the eighty five year old. And one

1:05:32.920 --> 1:05:34.200
<v Speaker 1>of the things I've said it to the extent that

1:05:34.240 --> 1:05:36.520
<v Speaker 1>there is a gift at all. Can you imagine if

1:05:36.560 --> 1:05:40.240
<v Speaker 1>we had COVID except it had taken all young people

1:05:40.840 --> 1:05:44.720
<v Speaker 1>instead of primarily been old people. That's a totally different dynamic,

1:05:44.720 --> 1:05:47.160
<v Speaker 1>which goes to your point about the vaccine. I mean,

1:05:47.200 --> 1:05:49.000
<v Speaker 1>I've got young kids. I mean I would have been

1:05:49.160 --> 1:05:51.040
<v Speaker 1>curled up in the basement right like I would have

1:05:51.080 --> 1:05:54.560
<v Speaker 1>been terrified for them. And so when we talk about

1:05:54.560 --> 1:05:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the number of deaths that we have. The other thing

1:05:56.560 --> 1:05:58.920
<v Speaker 1>that I don't here discussed very much is from an

1:05:58.920 --> 1:06:04.000
<v Speaker 1>analyticaltistical perspective, in theory, if the people who are dying,

1:06:04.560 --> 1:06:08.480
<v Speaker 1>are dying not necessarily with tons of years left on

1:06:08.520 --> 1:06:12.520
<v Speaker 1>their life, right, they have comorbidity ease, they are otherwise unhealthy.

1:06:12.640 --> 1:06:15.560
<v Speaker 1>People are talking about how this is an unprecedented death,

1:06:15.760 --> 1:06:20.760
<v Speaker 1>and I understand that. But in two, and in tree

1:06:21.000 --> 1:06:25.200
<v Speaker 1>and four, and maybe even in one, if the vaccine

1:06:25.200 --> 1:06:28.360
<v Speaker 1>gets distributed, well, isn't it likely that we would see

1:06:28.360 --> 1:06:32.920
<v Speaker 1>a substantial decline in deaths? In other words, focusing on

1:06:33.000 --> 1:06:36.480
<v Speaker 1>how many people are dying this year, to me, is

1:06:36.560 --> 1:06:39.800
<v Speaker 1>missing that a lot less people would theoretically die in

1:06:39.840 --> 1:06:43.240
<v Speaker 1>the next couple of years ahead, and not just rationalizing

1:06:43.240 --> 1:06:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and recognizing we're not stopping death right, like the average

1:06:47.720 --> 1:06:50.400
<v Speaker 1>age of death is going to still be what it is.

1:06:50.440 --> 1:06:53.600
<v Speaker 1>I hope we can continue to raise it. But every day,

1:06:53.640 --> 1:06:56.320
<v Speaker 1>I think in this country, around eight thousand people die,

1:06:56.680 --> 1:07:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and the overall understanding of that seems to be very

1:07:00.200 --> 1:07:03.200
<v Speaker 1>limited in the media and the analysis and discussion of

1:07:03.240 --> 1:07:07.280
<v Speaker 1>this issue. Yeah, you know, it's it's one of those

1:07:07.280 --> 1:07:09.520
<v Speaker 1>things that's going to be hard to tease that from

1:07:09.600 --> 1:07:12.440
<v Speaker 1>just last year's dat because, as you said, who died

1:07:12.520 --> 1:07:15.800
<v Speaker 1>with COVID, who died of COVID, we literally are not

1:07:15.920 --> 1:07:20.280
<v Speaker 1>recording that information because the hospitals don't have an incentive too,

1:07:20.360 --> 1:07:22.880
<v Speaker 1>So so that's gonna be a hard thing to to

1:07:22.920 --> 1:07:27.000
<v Speaker 1>look at next year, I mean this year in and understand.

1:07:27.000 --> 1:07:29.520
<v Speaker 1>But you know, what you're what you're bringing up is

1:07:29.560 --> 1:07:32.520
<v Speaker 1>that after several years, let's say we look at the

1:07:32.560 --> 1:07:40.040
<v Speaker 1>period from five and say, okay, over that five year period,

1:07:40.840 --> 1:07:43.640
<v Speaker 1>how many people in a particular age bracket died versus

1:07:43.680 --> 1:07:46.600
<v Speaker 1>what we'd see in a non pandemic period. That's going

1:07:46.640 --> 1:07:48.640
<v Speaker 1>to give you the answer that you're talking about in

1:07:48.720 --> 1:07:51.080
<v Speaker 1>terms of it was there. It may not even be

1:07:51.200 --> 1:07:53.680
<v Speaker 1>noticeable over ten years. It's probably not going to be

1:07:53.720 --> 1:07:56.840
<v Speaker 1>noticeable at all if you average it out over ten years. Right.

1:07:57.200 --> 1:07:59.680
<v Speaker 1>In other words, we're all so much of social media,

1:07:59.760 --> 1:08:03.120
<v Speaker 1>and much of media today is about reacting instantaneously to

1:08:03.240 --> 1:08:06.959
<v Speaker 1>what's occurring at this exact point. But when you sort

1:08:06.960 --> 1:08:11.320
<v Speaker 1>of expand your horizon, a lot of public policy decisions,

1:08:11.360 --> 1:08:13.680
<v Speaker 1>it seems to me, are are based on trying to

1:08:13.680 --> 1:08:16.479
<v Speaker 1>do something in this week or this month that doesn't

1:08:16.479 --> 1:08:18.599
<v Speaker 1>necessarily make sense. And look, I mean, you can say,

1:08:18.640 --> 1:08:21.120
<v Speaker 1>even you know, broadening the perspective, you hear a lot

1:08:21.160 --> 1:08:24.599
<v Speaker 1>of people say, once their businesses go public, oh, We've

1:08:24.600 --> 1:08:26.879
<v Speaker 1>got to make sure that we make our quarterly numbers.

1:08:27.360 --> 1:08:29.799
<v Speaker 1>But are you making the right decision in that quarter

1:08:29.880 --> 1:08:32.000
<v Speaker 1>for the next ten years or you just trying to

1:08:32.040 --> 1:08:35.160
<v Speaker 1>clear that hurdle right now. There's a difference between managing

1:08:35.200 --> 1:08:37.240
<v Speaker 1>for the future and managing for right now. I guess

1:08:37.240 --> 1:08:38.439
<v Speaker 1>it is one of the things that I'm trying to

1:08:38.479 --> 1:08:42.120
<v Speaker 1>get to. Well. Well, the thing that you're you're stimulating

1:08:42.120 --> 1:08:44.040
<v Speaker 1>in my mind in terms of what to to mention

1:08:44.200 --> 1:08:47.679
<v Speaker 1>as you say that, is something we haven't talked about yet,

1:08:48.080 --> 1:08:53.600
<v Speaker 1>and that is the profound fiscal and economic changes that

1:08:53.680 --> 1:08:56.879
<v Speaker 1>have tap have taken place over the last twelve months.

1:08:56.960 --> 1:09:00.880
<v Speaker 1>We've increased the federal debt from twenty trillion dollars to

1:09:00.960 --> 1:09:03.360
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight trillion dollars and bidens trying to add another

1:09:03.360 --> 1:09:07.200
<v Speaker 1>two trillion of that. The Federal Reserve increased the supply

1:09:07.760 --> 1:09:11.240
<v Speaker 1>of US dollars, the effective supply of US dollars in

1:09:11.280 --> 1:09:15.679
<v Speaker 1>the economy, by which, in theory, all else being equal,

1:09:15.680 --> 1:09:18.960
<v Speaker 1>means that the dollars in your wallet are worth four

1:09:19.080 --> 1:09:22.360
<v Speaker 1>fifths of what they were worth before, because literally the

1:09:22.400 --> 1:09:25.640
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve just printed more dollars and flooded them into

1:09:25.640 --> 1:09:28.479
<v Speaker 1>the economy, which went to the banks, which went to

1:09:28.520 --> 1:09:31.480
<v Speaker 1>the wealthy, which went to the people who owned stocks

1:09:31.560 --> 1:09:33.800
<v Speaker 1>and uh and could benefit from all that extra cash

1:09:33.800 --> 1:09:37.200
<v Speaker 1>flowing around, didn't go to ordinary people. And and those

1:09:37.240 --> 1:09:39.920
<v Speaker 1>problems are gonna come back to haunt us. One of

1:09:39.920 --> 1:09:42.760
<v Speaker 1>the things that I really worry about, I'm I'm I'm

1:09:42.800 --> 1:09:45.760
<v Speaker 1>optimistic about our ability to handle a future pandemic for

1:09:45.800 --> 1:09:50.080
<v Speaker 1>the reasons I mentioned. I'm a lot more concerned about

1:09:50.240 --> 1:09:53.559
<v Speaker 1>what increasing the debt by eight trillion dollars and increasing

1:09:53.560 --> 1:09:57.519
<v Speaker 1>the money supply by is going to do to push

1:09:57.600 --> 1:10:01.240
<v Speaker 1>us into a long term fiscal crisis that we're not

1:10:01.320 --> 1:10:03.360
<v Speaker 1>going to be able to deal with. And people, you know,

1:10:03.800 --> 1:10:07.360
<v Speaker 1>America has been such a stable and generally prosperous country

1:10:07.400 --> 1:10:11.040
<v Speaker 1>for so long, people have forgotten what it's like to

1:10:11.160 --> 1:10:15.040
<v Speaker 1>be in an environment where we really have a fundamentally

1:10:15.600 --> 1:10:20.160
<v Speaker 1>unstable economy, and by fundamentally unstable, I'm talking vim our Germany,

1:10:20.360 --> 1:10:23.920
<v Speaker 1>great depression, that kind of instability. And we are well

1:10:23.960 --> 1:10:26.080
<v Speaker 1>on our way. We are well on our way to

1:10:26.120 --> 1:10:30.320
<v Speaker 1>having basically the monetary policy of vim our Germany, and

1:10:30.439 --> 1:10:33.200
<v Speaker 1>look out if that ever comes to pass. And and

1:10:33.240 --> 1:10:35.840
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of scenarios I could, I could

1:10:35.840 --> 1:10:38.360
<v Speaker 1>bore you with or terrify you with that that could

1:10:38.360 --> 1:10:40.880
<v Speaker 1>take place over the next ten twenty years in that

1:10:40.960 --> 1:10:44.439
<v Speaker 1>regard and not to me, that's the biggest mess that

1:10:44.479 --> 1:10:47.240
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have to clean up from the last twelve months.

1:10:47.280 --> 1:10:50.360
<v Speaker 1>How do we get our our fiscal and economic picture

1:10:50.400 --> 1:10:54.120
<v Speaker 1>back in line because if we don't, the rising generations

1:10:54.120 --> 1:10:56.600
<v Speaker 1>are never gonna know what it's like to have to

1:10:56.640 --> 1:10:59.800
<v Speaker 1>have had that that success, in that prosperity that that

1:11:00.000 --> 1:11:02.360
<v Speaker 1>people that are my age and your age take for granted.

1:11:02.800 --> 1:11:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Be sure to catch live editions of Out Kicked the

1:11:05.000 --> 1:11:08.320
<v Speaker 1>coverage with Clay Travis weekdays at six am Eastern three

1:11:08.320 --> 1:11:11.840
<v Speaker 1>am Pacific. We're talking to Ovic Roy. He works at

1:11:11.960 --> 1:11:15.000
<v Speaker 1>free opt dot org. He is at a v I

1:11:15.120 --> 1:11:17.439
<v Speaker 1>k thank him for talking with us. I keep saying

1:11:17.439 --> 1:11:19.400
<v Speaker 1>I have two more questions, but I do. I think

1:11:19.439 --> 1:11:22.360
<v Speaker 1>have only two more questions now. One of those questions,

1:11:22.600 --> 1:11:25.200
<v Speaker 1>uh that is out there is one that my wife

1:11:25.240 --> 1:11:29.560
<v Speaker 1>asked me to ask you specifically, what is this vaccine

1:11:29.640 --> 1:11:33.560
<v Speaker 1>going to do? Presuming that everybody starts to get the vaccine,

1:11:34.160 --> 1:11:36.559
<v Speaker 1>when do you think things can get back to quote

1:11:36.600 --> 1:11:41.880
<v Speaker 1>unquote normalcy and walk us through because she was like, hey,

1:11:41.920 --> 1:11:43.720
<v Speaker 1>they're saying that you're still gonna have to wear a

1:11:43.760 --> 1:11:47.160
<v Speaker 1>mask after you're vaccinated because you might still then be

1:11:47.320 --> 1:11:52.200
<v Speaker 1>asymptomatic and able to spread it even after vaccination, which

1:11:52.240 --> 1:11:55.200
<v Speaker 1>her concern is if that's true, then how do we

1:11:55.280 --> 1:11:59.280
<v Speaker 1>get back to normalcy? Uh? And can you break down

1:11:59.640 --> 1:12:03.719
<v Speaker 1>the vaccination process and what it looks like in means

1:12:04.000 --> 1:12:07.920
<v Speaker 1>to the average person out there? That was her big question, um,

1:12:07.960 --> 1:12:10.719
<v Speaker 1>because she doesn't think there's an in depth discussion enough

1:12:11.080 --> 1:12:16.479
<v Speaker 1>about what the vaccination actually means in terms of our lives. Yeah,

1:12:16.600 --> 1:12:19.640
<v Speaker 1>great question, Laura. So first of all, we should we

1:12:19.640 --> 1:12:23.320
<v Speaker 1>should mentioned there's multiple vaccines. They're not identical. The MODERNA

1:12:23.400 --> 1:12:25.920
<v Speaker 1>vaccine and the bio Intech vaccine and the new Johnson

1:12:25.920 --> 1:12:29.280
<v Speaker 1>and Johnson vaccine. They're all a little different, um, and

1:12:29.400 --> 1:12:31.160
<v Speaker 1>they all seem to work, which is the good news.

1:12:31.560 --> 1:12:34.040
<v Speaker 1>They're all a little different and so, uh So there'll

1:12:34.040 --> 1:12:35.559
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of different vaccines that are that are

1:12:35.560 --> 1:12:37.479
<v Speaker 1>out out there that you can get access to, just

1:12:37.520 --> 1:12:38.960
<v Speaker 1>like there are a lot of different COVID tests that

1:12:39.000 --> 1:12:41.799
<v Speaker 1>you can get access to, but they work and that's reassuring.

1:12:41.840 --> 1:12:43.840
<v Speaker 1>So for the people out there, who are who are

1:12:44.040 --> 1:12:46.800
<v Speaker 1>have been skeptical of whether the vaccines work or not,

1:12:46.960 --> 1:12:50.360
<v Speaker 1>or whether it's some you know, government plot. Um, I'm

1:12:50.400 --> 1:12:53.040
<v Speaker 1>pretty competent that the vaccines have been studied well as

1:12:53.040 --> 1:12:56.200
<v Speaker 1>they do work and that they are affective. So, uh,

1:12:56.600 --> 1:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>will you be in line to get it? Will you

1:12:58.080 --> 1:12:59.479
<v Speaker 1>be in line to get a vaccine? Like? Is that

1:12:59.600 --> 1:13:02.320
<v Speaker 1>something that you care about or your kids as opposed

1:13:02.320 --> 1:13:04.800
<v Speaker 1>to your parents who may want to get a vaccine? Like,

1:13:04.840 --> 1:13:08.599
<v Speaker 1>what would your personal decision be? Yeah, I've I've signed

1:13:08.680 --> 1:13:10.880
<v Speaker 1>up on the Austin website. Now I'm you know, I'm

1:13:10.920 --> 1:13:13.160
<v Speaker 1>forty eight years old, and I'm you know, I don't

1:13:13.200 --> 1:13:16.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't have any serious serious illnesses, so I'm not

1:13:16.360 --> 1:13:18.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to be the front of the line

1:13:18.040 --> 1:13:19.680
<v Speaker 1>eye idem. I wouldn't want to cut in line. I

1:13:19.720 --> 1:13:24.160
<v Speaker 1>want the greatest risk to get it first. But but yeah,

1:13:24.160 --> 1:13:26.200
<v Speaker 1>when it comes out, I'll definitely get When I'm able

1:13:26.200 --> 1:13:27.840
<v Speaker 1>to get it, I'll definitely get it. And the good

1:13:27.840 --> 1:13:31.240
<v Speaker 1>news is, you know, again, for all the catterwauling in

1:13:31.280 --> 1:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>the press and and from from people with a partisan

1:13:33.960 --> 1:13:37.320
<v Speaker 1>point of view, the fact is, uh, we've we've started

1:13:37.360 --> 1:13:40.720
<v Speaker 1>to to overcome some of the stupidity, particularly at the

1:13:40.720 --> 1:13:44.360
<v Speaker 1>state level, in terms of blocking people from getting the vaccine.

1:13:44.960 --> 1:13:47.880
<v Speaker 1>The rules that that really uh Florida Dennis excuse me,

1:13:47.960 --> 1:13:50.519
<v Speaker 1>Roder Santas and Florida Uh innovator, where you just give

1:13:50.520 --> 1:13:52.400
<v Speaker 1>it to everyone over sixty five. You know, let's just

1:13:52.439 --> 1:13:56.120
<v Speaker 1>do that. Show him your driver's license, boom boom, straightforward,

1:13:56.720 --> 1:13:58.920
<v Speaker 1>get all the over sixty five people the vaccines, then

1:13:58.960 --> 1:14:01.840
<v Speaker 1>go work down from there. That's the right way to go.

1:14:01.920 --> 1:14:04.679
<v Speaker 1>And that was really bungled by by a number of people,

1:14:04.880 --> 1:14:07.160
<v Speaker 1>as the Santis done the best job almost of any

1:14:07.160 --> 1:14:09.280
<v Speaker 1>governor in the country, despite the fact that he's been

1:14:09.280 --> 1:14:13.760
<v Speaker 1>criticized rapidly by many people in the media. Absolutely, you know,

1:14:13.800 --> 1:14:16.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean this vaccine thing is only reinforced what you

1:14:16.360 --> 1:14:18.920
<v Speaker 1>and I talked about with the nursing homes uh in

1:14:19.000 --> 1:14:21.280
<v Speaker 1>back in August. I mean, it was the Santis who

1:14:21.360 --> 1:14:22.920
<v Speaker 1>did the right thing, which is, let's just open it

1:14:23.000 --> 1:14:26.000
<v Speaker 1>up to everybody over sixty five. We're not gonna grill

1:14:26.080 --> 1:14:28.439
<v Speaker 1>you on exactly what you're medical history. We're gonna look

1:14:28.479 --> 1:14:31.040
<v Speaker 1>at your driver's license boom, and if there's extra vaccine

1:14:31.040 --> 1:14:33.040
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, boom. You know, stick

1:14:33.080 --> 1:14:35.639
<v Speaker 1>it in the arm of the pizza guy right Whereas

1:14:35.920 --> 1:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Cuomo New York is literally saying to clinics, if

1:14:39.200 --> 1:14:41.240
<v Speaker 1>you give the vaccine to someone who isn't in the

1:14:41.360 --> 1:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>right subgroup that I've dictated, I will find you a

1:14:44.760 --> 1:14:47.320
<v Speaker 1>million dollars. And what does that do that He's a

1:14:47.320 --> 1:14:50.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of vaccine is getting wasted because at the end

1:14:50.000 --> 1:14:51.559
<v Speaker 1>of the day they run out of people who were

1:14:51.600 --> 1:14:53.320
<v Speaker 1>at the clinic to give the vaccine to and they

1:14:53.320 --> 1:14:56.160
<v Speaker 1>literally have to throw out the remaining doses. It's just

1:14:56.680 --> 1:15:00.400
<v Speaker 1>profoundly idiotic. And it just goes to show, oh again,

1:15:00.439 --> 1:15:03.320
<v Speaker 1>it's like consistent with what happened before. You have one,

1:15:03.640 --> 1:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>uh one governor in particular, who stands out as a

1:15:06.000 --> 1:15:08.920
<v Speaker 1>data driven guy who's always doing the right thing and

1:15:09.040 --> 1:15:10.960
<v Speaker 1>based on the science, and they have another guy who's

1:15:11.040 --> 1:15:15.600
<v Speaker 1>just operating from ego and instinct and and messing up NonStop. So,

1:15:15.720 --> 1:15:18.200
<v Speaker 1>by the way, also the one that gets criticized is

1:15:18.240 --> 1:15:20.880
<v Speaker 1>the one who's actually looking at the data. That's what's

1:15:20.880 --> 1:15:22.960
<v Speaker 1>so frustrating to me from that perspective. There are a

1:15:23.000 --> 1:15:25.000
<v Speaker 1>ton of people listening to us right now that are like, wait,

1:15:25.479 --> 1:15:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Florida Governor Rhonda Santis has done one of the best

1:15:27.840 --> 1:15:30.200
<v Speaker 1>jobs in the country. I saw on CNN that there

1:15:30.200 --> 1:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>were people at the beach in Florida and that everybody

1:15:33.120 --> 1:15:35.240
<v Speaker 1>was gonna die in Florida, right, and that they're opening

1:15:35.280 --> 1:15:37.639
<v Speaker 1>bars and that their restaurants are open, and that schools

1:15:37.640 --> 1:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>are open. It's it's that's what's so frustrating to me,

1:15:41.040 --> 1:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>is the media is actually selling us something that's fundamentally

1:15:44.720 --> 1:15:46.519
<v Speaker 1>not true. And I saw, by the way, on Florida

1:15:46.880 --> 1:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>data yesterday, sixty eight percent of all people that have

1:15:50.120 --> 1:15:53.520
<v Speaker 1>gotten the vaccine in Florida, more than anybody in the country,

1:15:53.560 --> 1:15:57.160
<v Speaker 1>are sixty five or over. And so they're specifically focusing

1:15:57.160 --> 1:16:00.320
<v Speaker 1>on the people who are dying of COVID. Yeah, they've

1:16:00.320 --> 1:16:02.800
<v Speaker 1>have been very smart about it, again compared to other

1:16:02.840 --> 1:16:05.080
<v Speaker 1>places where say, well, you have to be sixty five

1:16:05.160 --> 1:16:06.720
<v Speaker 1>and live in a nursing him and have a pre

1:16:06.800 --> 1:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>existing condition, and then maybe we'll get the vaccine to you.

1:16:10.160 --> 1:16:11.920
<v Speaker 1>But if you're not, then you have to wait until

1:16:11.960 --> 1:16:13.840
<v Speaker 1>we're through with all those people first. I mean, it's

1:16:13.840 --> 1:16:17.479
<v Speaker 1>just totally dumb, just logistically and uh. And credit to

1:16:17.600 --> 1:16:19.719
<v Speaker 1>the Santists for seeing through that, and and the CDC,

1:16:20.960 --> 1:16:23.360
<v Speaker 1>the so called you know, gold standard at the CC.

1:16:23.400 --> 1:16:25.720
<v Speaker 1>All the bureaucrats of the CDC, they contributed to this

1:16:25.760 --> 1:16:29.320
<v Speaker 1>problem by creating a very unwieldy the kind of thing

1:16:29.320 --> 1:16:31.880
<v Speaker 1>that bureaucrats would do, not based on real world how

1:16:31.920 --> 1:16:35.640
<v Speaker 1>things work, how things get distributed. So, uh, kudos to

1:16:35.680 --> 1:16:39.479
<v Speaker 1>the santists. And then the Trump administration in its waning days,

1:16:39.960 --> 1:16:41.640
<v Speaker 1>UH saw that and said, hey, this is stupid. That

1:16:41.640 --> 1:16:43.519
<v Speaker 1>is what the CDC put out doesn't make any sense.

1:16:43.840 --> 1:16:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's uh, let's overrule them. Of course, there were a

1:16:46.240 --> 1:16:47.960
<v Speaker 1>lots of people to go, oh, you're overruling the CDC,

1:16:48.120 --> 1:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>but no, they did the right thing there. And you

1:16:50.080 --> 1:16:52.639
<v Speaker 1>know you have Biden now saying well, and I want

1:16:52.680 --> 1:16:54.800
<v Speaker 1>to answer a lar's question about this, do you have

1:16:54.840 --> 1:16:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Biden out? They're saying, you know, well, are are big plan.

1:16:58.160 --> 1:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>The thing we're gonna do that's different from Trump is

1:17:00.000 --> 1:17:02.799
<v Speaker 1>we're going to make sure that we deliver a hundred

1:17:03.040 --> 1:17:07.120
<v Speaker 1>million doses of COVID over the next hundred days. Well,

1:17:07.160 --> 1:17:09.600
<v Speaker 1>do you know what the run rate is of vaccines

1:17:09.760 --> 1:17:11.520
<v Speaker 1>in the last couple of days of the Trump administration

1:17:11.640 --> 1:17:14.280
<v Speaker 1>was to one point five million a day, meaning that

1:17:14.479 --> 1:17:17.760
<v Speaker 1>if Biden does nothing, just lets the Trump administration plan

1:17:17.880 --> 1:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>play out, they'll have delivered a hundred fifty million doses

1:17:21.240 --> 1:17:24.439
<v Speaker 1>over the next hundred days at least. So you know,

1:17:24.479 --> 1:17:26.360
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of like Biden put out this big

1:17:26.360 --> 1:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>press release the other day saying, Oh, here's all the

1:17:27.960 --> 1:17:30.280
<v Speaker 1>things I'm gonna do. I'm gonna make people produce pp

1:17:30.520 --> 1:17:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna deliver a hundred million dolls of cod It's like,

1:17:33.000 --> 1:17:35.519
<v Speaker 1>this is all common sense stuff that's already being done.

1:17:36.400 --> 1:17:39.680
<v Speaker 1>And the good news is again there there's obviously been

1:17:39.720 --> 1:17:41.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of snappy there's a lot of things that

1:17:41.920 --> 1:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>have gotten messed up in the early going here, but

1:17:44.280 --> 1:17:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the good news is we're learning from that in real time.

1:17:47.600 --> 1:17:50.479
<v Speaker 1>I do think we're gonna get easily through a hundred

1:17:50.520 --> 1:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>million doses in the first hundred days. We should have

1:17:53.640 --> 1:17:56.439
<v Speaker 1>all the at risk populations of people who actually want

1:17:56.479 --> 1:17:57.920
<v Speaker 1>to take the vaccinumously. There are a lot of people

1:17:57.920 --> 1:17:59.559
<v Speaker 1>who are scared of it or don't want to take

1:17:59.560 --> 1:18:01.479
<v Speaker 1>it for pill sophical reasons. But the people who want

1:18:01.479 --> 1:18:03.679
<v Speaker 1>to take the vaccine who are over sixty five should

1:18:03.720 --> 1:18:07.640
<v Speaker 1>all get it by March uh if you know, if

1:18:07.680 --> 1:18:10.360
<v Speaker 1>they want to, then we start going to the general populations.

1:18:10.680 --> 1:18:14.160
<v Speaker 1>And my hope is that let's call it, let's call

1:18:14.200 --> 1:18:18.200
<v Speaker 1>it July. Uh. We you know, the the vast majority

1:18:18.240 --> 1:18:20.920
<v Speaker 1>of people who want to get vaccinated should be well

1:18:20.960 --> 1:18:23.160
<v Speaker 1>on their way to getting vaccine at least the first

1:18:23.160 --> 1:18:26.200
<v Speaker 1>shot and hopefully the second. And that means that from

1:18:26.200 --> 1:18:29.200
<v Speaker 1>a standpoint of the way viral transmission works, the virus

1:18:29.240 --> 1:18:30.760
<v Speaker 1>is not going to be a problem. Right if you've

1:18:30.800 --> 1:18:34.680
<v Speaker 1>got that much immunity in society, the virus is not

1:18:34.720 --> 1:18:36.479
<v Speaker 1>going to really be able to get the traction to

1:18:36.520 --> 1:18:39.639
<v Speaker 1>continue to spread even if not everybody has gotten the vaccine.

1:18:39.680 --> 1:18:42.519
<v Speaker 1>Think about the measles vaccine. Not everybody gets the measle vaccine.

1:18:42.520 --> 1:18:44.679
<v Speaker 1>Not everybody gets the flu shot every winter, and yet

1:18:45.280 --> 1:18:48.879
<v Speaker 1>enough people do that that that we don't have influenza pandemic.

1:18:48.960 --> 1:18:51.960
<v Speaker 1>So similarly, here, if enough people get the vaccine, we

1:18:51.960 --> 1:18:54.600
<v Speaker 1>should be able to return to normal life. So I

1:18:54.880 --> 1:18:57.760
<v Speaker 1>don't agree with the people are saying no, we have

1:18:57.880 --> 1:19:01.240
<v Speaker 1>to behave as if we're still in law down for

1:19:01.240 --> 1:19:03.360
<v Speaker 1>for most of this year. I think for the first

1:19:03.439 --> 1:19:06.360
<v Speaker 1>quarter is still going to be tough sledding. But but

1:19:06.520 --> 1:19:09.759
<v Speaker 1>once we get to to the April May June time frame,

1:19:09.840 --> 1:19:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I do think things should start to subside. Hopefully the

1:19:13.160 --> 1:19:16.360
<v Speaker 1>stacks on the cases and the hospitalization starts to subside

1:19:16.360 --> 1:19:19.120
<v Speaker 1>to and that'll be the thing that hopefully turns around

1:19:19.160 --> 1:19:23.599
<v Speaker 1>that allows us to build more momentum for for reopening schools,

1:19:23.600 --> 1:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>reopening the economy, etcetera. Fox Sports Radio has the best

1:19:28.080 --> 1:19:30.920
<v Speaker 1>sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our

1:19:30.920 --> 1:19:34.439
<v Speaker 1>shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the

1:19:34.439 --> 1:19:37.599
<v Speaker 1>I Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live.

1:19:39.200 --> 1:19:41.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm Clay Travis. This is Wins and Loss as you're

1:19:41.400 --> 1:19:44.200
<v Speaker 1>hearing from O vicroy legit last question for you, and

1:19:44.200 --> 1:19:45.880
<v Speaker 1>I think we could talk all day, by the way,

1:19:45.920 --> 1:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>I could just I could just keep unpacking so much

1:19:47.840 --> 1:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>of what you're saying and continue this conversation, and I

1:19:50.320 --> 1:19:53.559
<v Speaker 1>hope people have enjoyed it. I said, legit last question.

1:19:53.600 --> 1:19:54.920
<v Speaker 1>But I do want to ask you this. How is

1:19:54.960 --> 1:19:57.720
<v Speaker 1>free ap dot org funded. If people are listening to

1:19:57.760 --> 1:20:00.360
<v Speaker 1>this right now and they love what you're saying and

1:20:00.360 --> 1:20:02.120
<v Speaker 1>they're like, man, I want to go check out more

1:20:02.160 --> 1:20:05.439
<v Speaker 1>of the work they're doing their capitalists or do you

1:20:05.439 --> 1:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>guys raise money? Are you privately funded? What is the

1:20:08.840 --> 1:20:11.040
<v Speaker 1>method by which you are able to do the work

1:20:11.040 --> 1:20:14.599
<v Speaker 1>that you do. Well, thank you for asking that, Clay.

1:20:14.680 --> 1:20:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Because we are a nonprofit of five oh one C

1:20:16.960 --> 1:20:21.960
<v Speaker 1>three tax exept, nonprofit, nonpartisan, and we basically survive our donations.

1:20:22.000 --> 1:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>So we get donations from people like you, people who

1:20:25.320 --> 1:20:28.760
<v Speaker 1>are listening to this uh podcast or radio show, and

1:20:28.760 --> 1:20:32.960
<v Speaker 1>where we we get donations from also charitable foundations that

1:20:33.000 --> 1:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>we apply to grants from and and so we basically

1:20:36.479 --> 1:20:38.479
<v Speaker 1>you hit up as many people as we'll We'll take

1:20:38.520 --> 1:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>the calls, take the meetings, and give them our our

1:20:41.000 --> 1:20:42.920
<v Speaker 1>pitch about what we're doing and say, hey, look, if

1:20:42.920 --> 1:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>you're if you're looking for a set of ideas that

1:20:45.600 --> 1:20:48.760
<v Speaker 1>can bring Republicans and Democrats together to make the country better,

1:20:48.840 --> 1:20:52.439
<v Speaker 1>to expand freedom and expand prosperity, particularly for the little

1:20:52.439 --> 1:20:55.479
<v Speaker 1>guy who's struggling in this day and age, take a

1:20:55.479 --> 1:20:58.280
<v Speaker 1>lookal what we're doing and and help support our scholars

1:20:58.400 --> 1:21:00.200
<v Speaker 1>and and you know, to take the example of our

1:21:00.000 --> 1:21:03.439
<v Speaker 1>our COVID work. Right. So it wasn't just me. You know,

1:21:03.479 --> 1:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>you're you're having me on your show, and I appreciate that,

1:21:05.840 --> 1:21:08.040
<v Speaker 1>appreciate the chance to share what we work on. But

1:21:08.120 --> 1:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>it was a whole team of people who put together

1:21:10.280 --> 1:21:13.160
<v Speaker 1>our work, like on on reopening schools. Yes, we had

1:21:13.160 --> 1:21:17.000
<v Speaker 1>our healthcare people talking about the COVID piece of it,

1:21:17.080 --> 1:21:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the virus piece of it, right, but we also had

1:21:18.960 --> 1:21:22.240
<v Speaker 1>our education experts, people like Dan lips for who's our

1:21:22.520 --> 1:21:25.320
<v Speaker 1>expert on case through twelve education, Preston Cooper, who's our

1:21:25.360 --> 1:21:28.320
<v Speaker 1>expert on on college and vocational school and how to

1:21:28.320 --> 1:21:31.280
<v Speaker 1>reopen those schools. And so we had a plan that

1:21:31.360 --> 1:21:34.120
<v Speaker 1>went from how to reopen preschools to grade schools, the

1:21:34.240 --> 1:21:37.599
<v Speaker 1>high schools, the colleges to trade schools. We went through

1:21:37.640 --> 1:21:40.400
<v Speaker 1>it all, and that's because we're able to leverage our

1:21:40.400 --> 1:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>whole team of scholars, not just in in biotech and healthcare,

1:21:44.240 --> 1:21:47.559
<v Speaker 1>but also in education and economics and housing and other

1:21:47.600 --> 1:21:50.439
<v Speaker 1>areas to do this kind of work. So and we

1:21:50.439 --> 1:21:52.200
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be able to do that if it weren't for

1:21:52.200 --> 1:21:54.800
<v Speaker 1>for the donations of of the people like the people

1:21:54.800 --> 1:21:57.120
<v Speaker 1>who are listening to this podcast. So if you're interested

1:21:57.160 --> 1:21:59.599
<v Speaker 1>in supporting our work, whether it's a ten dollar check

1:21:59.680 --> 1:22:01.400
<v Speaker 1>or if if you're Clay, if you have Clay Travis

1:22:01.400 --> 1:22:04.439
<v Speaker 1>money a bigger chest than that, you can click on

1:22:04.479 --> 1:22:07.599
<v Speaker 1>the donate tab on our website and I legitimately am

1:22:07.640 --> 1:22:09.800
<v Speaker 1>going to donate today. I'm meant to ask this the

1:22:09.880 --> 1:22:12.519
<v Speaker 1>last time, so free op dot org. I mean, I'm

1:22:12.560 --> 1:22:14.679
<v Speaker 1>just I'm just so impressed with the work that you're doing,

1:22:14.720 --> 1:22:17.280
<v Speaker 1>and I think we need more work like this, and

1:22:17.360 --> 1:22:19.880
<v Speaker 1>so I'm going to head uh straight there. So, if

1:22:19.920 --> 1:22:23.640
<v Speaker 1>you are also enjoying this conversation and you want to

1:22:23.640 --> 1:22:26.240
<v Speaker 1>to support free op dot org, is where you go? Okay,

1:22:26.479 --> 1:22:30.640
<v Speaker 1>last question for you, so, and the reason why I

1:22:30.680 --> 1:22:33.599
<v Speaker 1>would use Vietnam as an example is Vietnam is almost

1:22:33.680 --> 1:22:37.879
<v Speaker 1>universally decided to have been the biggest failure of American

1:22:37.960 --> 1:22:40.559
<v Speaker 1>public policy for most of the last fifty years. Right,

1:22:40.640 --> 1:22:43.200
<v Speaker 1>let's go all the way back to to Vietnam. The

1:22:43.320 --> 1:22:47.960
<v Speaker 1>smartest people got it all wrong on Vietnam. In the

1:22:48.080 --> 1:22:51.960
<v Speaker 1>years that have ensued since Vietnam finished, that has become

1:22:52.000 --> 1:22:55.479
<v Speaker 1>the consensus opinion. We got it wrong. We didn't foment

1:22:55.640 --> 1:22:59.280
<v Speaker 1>the right public policy, we wasted a lot of lives,

1:22:59.400 --> 1:23:02.040
<v Speaker 1>we didn't do what would have been best for the country.

1:23:02.120 --> 1:23:04.679
<v Speaker 1>I would imagine almost everybody out there listening right now,

1:23:05.120 --> 1:23:07.160
<v Speaker 1>there's very few people who are like in the camp

1:23:07.240 --> 1:23:10.759
<v Speaker 1>of Vietnam was expertly executed by the United States government.

1:23:12.200 --> 1:23:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Will we reach the point I know you said, you've

1:23:14.800 --> 1:23:17.439
<v Speaker 1>got your report coming out at the end of February

1:23:17.680 --> 1:23:25.440
<v Speaker 1>where masses of American population recognized that lockdowns, that shut downs,

1:23:25.520 --> 1:23:30.439
<v Speaker 1>that schools being closed was a failure of policy. Or

1:23:31.200 --> 1:23:34.479
<v Speaker 1>are so many people committed to what their opinion was

1:23:34.520 --> 1:23:38.559
<v Speaker 1>in real time through social media and everything else, that

1:23:38.680 --> 1:23:42.839
<v Speaker 1>people will be unwilling to recognize what the data tells

1:23:42.920 --> 1:23:46.000
<v Speaker 1>them because it conflicts with the emotions they felt in

1:23:46.040 --> 1:23:49.559
<v Speaker 1>that moment. And I at asked that question because I

1:23:49.600 --> 1:23:53.519
<v Speaker 1>think it's significant and important that we learn from the

1:23:53.560 --> 1:23:56.480
<v Speaker 1>mistakes that we make in public policy in our country.

1:23:57.040 --> 1:23:58.800
<v Speaker 1>Will we end up because I think you would agree

1:23:58.840 --> 1:24:01.519
<v Speaker 1>with me right now that the data is almost uniform

1:24:01.600 --> 1:24:04.679
<v Speaker 1>that lockdowns don't make sense, and you can use Fortunately,

1:24:04.680 --> 1:24:07.880
<v Speaker 1>because of federalism, we've got all these fifty different states

1:24:07.920 --> 1:24:11.040
<v Speaker 1>that may have implemented a little bit different policy. And

1:24:11.080 --> 1:24:14.240
<v Speaker 1>I think it's clear that California hasn't had some radically

1:24:14.320 --> 1:24:18.960
<v Speaker 1>better result than Texas, or that certainly New York hasn't

1:24:19.000 --> 1:24:21.840
<v Speaker 1>been better than Florida. In fact, it's far worse. I

1:24:21.920 --> 1:24:24.760
<v Speaker 1>use those four states because they're the most populous. In

1:24:24.800 --> 1:24:28.160
<v Speaker 1>other words, the virus was gonna virus, right, like we

1:24:28.160 --> 1:24:30.559
<v Speaker 1>weren't going to be able to escape it based on

1:24:30.600 --> 1:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>a public policy decision exclusively, Will we reach that consensus?

1:24:37.080 --> 1:24:40.360
<v Speaker 1>When does that consensus come? If we are ever going

1:24:40.400 --> 1:24:43.640
<v Speaker 1>to reach it, I think it's going to take a

1:24:43.680 --> 1:24:47.400
<v Speaker 1>long time, Clay, because you know, the people who were

1:24:47.439 --> 1:24:49.280
<v Speaker 1>involved as debate, people like you and me and the

1:24:49.280 --> 1:24:53.080
<v Speaker 1>people who we disagreed with, pretty invested in their point

1:24:53.080 --> 1:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>of view at this point, right, Nobody wants to admit

1:24:55.040 --> 1:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>they're wrong. Nobody is going to be inclined to admit

1:24:58.320 --> 1:25:00.559
<v Speaker 1>the wrong, even if they secretly believe they're Some people

1:25:00.560 --> 1:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>just don't believe they're wrong because they're not gonna look

1:25:02.080 --> 1:25:05.880
<v Speaker 1>at the data that doesn't confirm their own preconceptions, right.

1:25:05.960 --> 1:25:09.479
<v Speaker 1>So I think it's gonna take some time for that

1:25:09.520 --> 1:25:13.920
<v Speaker 1>to happen. But that's where organizations like free Up hopefully

1:25:14.080 --> 1:25:16.160
<v Speaker 1>can play a role, along with obviously guys like you,

1:25:16.479 --> 1:25:19.559
<v Speaker 1>in terms of doing the research, doing the analyzes that

1:25:19.600 --> 1:25:23.479
<v Speaker 1>we can then circulate uh in the media, circulate with

1:25:23.479 --> 1:25:26.800
<v Speaker 1>with our our peers and colleagues that show UH that

1:25:26.800 --> 1:25:28.920
<v Speaker 1>that's the case. Right. So it's up to the people

1:25:29.000 --> 1:25:31.640
<v Speaker 1>like us who have the views that we have or

1:25:31.680 --> 1:25:34.160
<v Speaker 1>the hypotheses or whatever you want to call it, to

1:25:34.200 --> 1:25:36.920
<v Speaker 1>actually do the research, do the work to show that actually,

1:25:36.960 --> 1:25:38.879
<v Speaker 1>if you look at California and you look at Texas,

1:25:39.160 --> 1:25:41.639
<v Speaker 1>and you look at the economic restrictions that they put

1:25:41.680 --> 1:25:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in or didn't put in, here was how that affected

1:25:45.320 --> 1:25:48.360
<v Speaker 1>the rate of COVID infections and their hospitalizations in debt.

1:25:48.720 --> 1:25:51.720
<v Speaker 1>And it's it's pretty clear that that that nothing really

1:25:51.760 --> 1:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>happened there and and or that that that that that

1:25:53.840 --> 1:25:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the Texas or Florida model was vindicated. I think that's

1:25:56.560 --> 1:25:58.080
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be some of the work that that

1:25:58.280 --> 1:26:00.479
<v Speaker 1>that people at Free Up and L we're going to

1:26:00.560 --> 1:26:04.200
<v Speaker 1>have to do to make that point clear. So it's

1:26:04.280 --> 1:26:07.439
<v Speaker 1>up to researchers who want to who want to test

1:26:07.479 --> 1:26:11.240
<v Speaker 1>that hypothesis or or or or or prove it to

1:26:11.360 --> 1:26:14.640
<v Speaker 1>do that work. And and that's where organizations like us

1:26:14.680 --> 1:26:16.360
<v Speaker 1>really make a difference. Through the whole reason we started

1:26:16.360 --> 1:26:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Free Up. Free Up is only five years old, four

1:26:18.680 --> 1:26:20.160
<v Speaker 1>and a half years old, and the whole reason we

1:26:20.200 --> 1:26:22.880
<v Speaker 1>started is because even though this country is so big,

1:26:22.920 --> 1:26:26.840
<v Speaker 1>three foundered thirty million people, there was literally nobody doing

1:26:26.840 --> 1:26:28.320
<v Speaker 1>this kind of work. If we didn't do it, which

1:26:28.360 --> 1:26:30.360
<v Speaker 1>sounds crazy, Like I look around them, like, how is

1:26:30.400 --> 1:26:33.120
<v Speaker 1>it possible that we're the only ones writing these you know,

1:26:33.280 --> 1:26:36.080
<v Speaker 1>long arctics. I say that in sports every day. How

1:26:36.120 --> 1:26:38.280
<v Speaker 1>is it possible that OutKick is the only place doing

1:26:38.320 --> 1:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>what we do. It's it's scary, honestly. Yeah. And so

1:26:43.439 --> 1:26:45.519
<v Speaker 1>it just, uh, you know, puts a little more pressure

1:26:45.560 --> 1:26:48.040
<v Speaker 1>on us maybe to work harder and get that stuff

1:26:48.080 --> 1:26:51.679
<v Speaker 1>out there. And and we certainly take that responsibility seriously

1:26:51.680 --> 1:26:53.720
<v Speaker 1>and are are going to continue to do that. So

1:26:53.720 --> 1:26:55.840
<v Speaker 1>so keep an eye on on our Twitter account, on

1:26:55.840 --> 1:26:58.200
<v Speaker 1>our website and uh and hold us accountle if we

1:26:58.240 --> 1:27:00.679
<v Speaker 1>don't get it done, and asked us to when when

1:27:00.680 --> 1:27:02.559
<v Speaker 1>that work is going to come out, because it's important

1:27:02.560 --> 1:27:04.479
<v Speaker 1>to get it done. It's not only important to get

1:27:04.479 --> 1:27:08.080
<v Speaker 1>it done, it's also important for the very scientific method itself,

1:27:08.120 --> 1:27:12.560
<v Speaker 1>because the idea that experts know everything to me is

1:27:12.600 --> 1:27:15.800
<v Speaker 1>one of the lasting legacies of COVID that is going

1:27:15.840 --> 1:27:19.479
<v Speaker 1>to be the most destructive, because the scientific method is

1:27:19.520 --> 1:27:24.440
<v Speaker 1>predicated on coming up with hypotheses, testing them, and always

1:27:24.520 --> 1:27:28.200
<v Speaker 1>expecting that you may be wrong, whereas it seems to

1:27:28.240 --> 1:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>me that social media is predicated almost entirely on never

1:27:32.160 --> 1:27:35.880
<v Speaker 1>admitting you were wrong about anything. Yeah, you know, I

1:27:35.880 --> 1:27:38.760
<v Speaker 1>mean you mentioned Vietnam. We we we talked about it

1:27:38.800 --> 1:27:41.360
<v Speaker 1>on the last interview as well. You know, we obviously

1:27:41.400 --> 1:27:43.559
<v Speaker 1>talked about COVID. Think about the housing crisis in two

1:27:43.600 --> 1:27:47.320
<v Speaker 1>thousand eight. Right, all the experts said, housing prices only

1:27:47.360 --> 1:27:50.280
<v Speaker 1>go up, they never go down, because that's what historical

1:27:50.800 --> 1:27:54.320
<v Speaker 1>charts show. But of course, you know, every trend is

1:27:54.360 --> 1:27:56.639
<v Speaker 1>made to be broken. And you have a housing bubble,

1:27:56.640 --> 1:27:59.839
<v Speaker 1>you have a financial bubble, you have uh institutions behaving recklessly,

1:27:59.840 --> 1:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>people behaving recklessly, over leveraging their their their equity in

1:28:03.120 --> 1:28:05.040
<v Speaker 1>their homes, and boom, you have a crash. Right, And

1:28:05.040 --> 1:28:07.600
<v Speaker 1>that's what happened. And there were the people that that

1:28:07.680 --> 1:28:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Michael Lewis wrote about in The Big Short, which was

1:28:10.040 --> 1:28:13.519
<v Speaker 1>a great book and a great you know, I mean,

1:28:13.600 --> 1:28:16.360
<v Speaker 1>and obviously the author of Moneyball as well, and The Blindside,

1:28:16.720 --> 1:28:19.920
<v Speaker 1>incredible writer. Like what, what's the running theme of all

1:28:19.920 --> 1:28:22.559
<v Speaker 1>those all those books, all those movies. It's that the

1:28:22.680 --> 1:28:25.760
<v Speaker 1>experts didn't get it right, and there was some random

1:28:26.000 --> 1:28:28.679
<v Speaker 1>creative nerd out there who was right where the experts

1:28:28.680 --> 1:28:32.280
<v Speaker 1>were wrong. And so that's a you know, there's a balance, right.

1:28:32.520 --> 1:28:36.200
<v Speaker 1>We don't want to say science doesn't matter that you know,

1:28:36.280 --> 1:28:39.040
<v Speaker 1>you should just ignore everything that a scientist says because

1:28:39.080 --> 1:28:41.680
<v Speaker 1>the scientists are always wrong. That's not true. But it's

1:28:41.720 --> 1:28:44.680
<v Speaker 1>also true that experts, particularly experts who have a political

1:28:44.720 --> 1:28:48.479
<v Speaker 1>point of view, often uh uh, you know, aren't willing

1:28:48.479 --> 1:28:52.360
<v Speaker 1>to see countervailing or contradictory evidence that that conflicts with

1:28:52.360 --> 1:28:54.479
<v Speaker 1>their world viewing. So the balances somewhere in the middle.

1:28:54.760 --> 1:28:59.280
<v Speaker 1>The balances have a healthy skepticism of of what you

1:28:59.280 --> 1:29:02.360
<v Speaker 1>hear from the so called experts. Don't automatically assume they're

1:29:02.360 --> 1:29:04.880
<v Speaker 1>wrong either, but have that healthy skip to skepticism. Do

1:29:04.960 --> 1:29:08.519
<v Speaker 1>your own work, do your own checking, ask intelligent questions.

1:29:08.800 --> 1:29:10.240
<v Speaker 1>That's what we should have done in two thousand and

1:29:10.240 --> 1:29:12.160
<v Speaker 1>eight with the natural crisis. That's what we should have

1:29:12.200 --> 1:29:14.720
<v Speaker 1>done with the Vietnam war or the Iraq war. That's

1:29:14.720 --> 1:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>what we should do with COVID and everything else that

1:29:16.880 --> 1:29:18.360
<v Speaker 1>comes along along the way. And if we do that,

1:29:18.680 --> 1:29:22.320
<v Speaker 1>we'll have a much more healthy society uh and hopefully

1:29:22.360 --> 1:29:25.160
<v Speaker 1>better response to the challenges that come before us in

1:29:25.200 --> 1:29:28.240
<v Speaker 1>the future. I'm donating to him free op dot org.

1:29:28.320 --> 1:29:30.320
<v Speaker 1>Got encourage you to do it as well. I'd also

1:29:30.439 --> 1:29:33.599
<v Speaker 1>encourage you to go follow uh oh vic Roy at

1:29:33.640 --> 1:29:35.639
<v Speaker 1>a v I K. You can thank him for coming

1:29:35.680 --> 1:29:38.080
<v Speaker 1>on and talking to our OutKick audience here, and when

1:29:38.160 --> 1:29:41.599
<v Speaker 1>you publish, hopefully in late February, since you've now established

1:29:41.640 --> 1:29:43.760
<v Speaker 1>a date. When you published that and I have a

1:29:43.840 --> 1:29:46.559
<v Speaker 1>chance to read it, we will get you on again.

1:29:47.040 --> 1:29:50.800
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate you answering my wife's questions uh and uh,

1:29:50.840 --> 1:29:53.759
<v Speaker 1>and again give her credit because she loved this interview

1:29:53.760 --> 1:29:55.160
<v Speaker 1>and she said, you've got to get him on again,

1:29:55.200 --> 1:29:56.519
<v Speaker 1>and you've got to talk to him again and get

1:29:56.520 --> 1:29:59.000
<v Speaker 1>an update. So I appreciate everything that you're doing at

1:29:59.000 --> 1:30:01.800
<v Speaker 1>your organization, and I appreciate time you gave us today.

1:30:02.280 --> 1:30:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Hey Sam do you thanks for being a voice for

1:30:04.960 --> 1:30:07.280
<v Speaker 1>for for the real the real truths out there on

1:30:07.280 --> 1:30:10.639
<v Speaker 1>these issues really really important. Your your audience. You've you've

1:30:10.680 --> 1:30:13.920
<v Speaker 1>grown such a big audience and you have, uh you know,

1:30:13.960 --> 1:30:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the trust of so many people, and you've used it,

1:30:16.439 --> 1:30:19.519
<v Speaker 1>uh for for social good to to get people the

1:30:19.560 --> 1:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>information they need. So people like me are grateful to

1:30:21.960 --> 1:30:24.400
<v Speaker 1>you for that. Oh vic Roy, go follow him at

1:30:24.439 --> 1:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>A V I K. I am Clay Travis. This is

1:30:26.400 --> 1:30:28.160
<v Speaker 1>Wins and Losses. I think. This is the first time

1:30:28.200 --> 1:30:29.720
<v Speaker 1>we've ever had a guest on twice, so you know

1:30:29.760 --> 1:30:31.800
<v Speaker 1>how highly I think of him. Go donate free op

1:30:31.880 --> 1:30:34.000
<v Speaker 1>dot org. Appreciate all of you. Go check out the

1:30:34.000 --> 1:30:37.200
<v Speaker 1>rest of our Wins and Losses conversations, including Ovic and

1:30:37.280 --> 1:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Eyes first conversation, which is up from August one. Thank you,

1:30:40.960 --> 1:30:42.680
<v Speaker 1>my man, Thanks to all you, and I hope you

1:30:42.680 --> 1:30:44.800
<v Speaker 1>guys enjoy it, share with your friends. This has been

1:30:44.960 --> 1:30:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Wins and Losses