WEBVTT - Human vs. Machine: Self-Driving Trucks

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<v Speaker 1>That that truck we call the red and white one,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the bust of our videos. Um, what's the truck

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<v Speaker 1>we're writing called buster Buster? Okay? A couple of weeks ago,

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<v Speaker 1>I went down to South Florida for a road trip

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<v Speaker 1>in a self driving truck. Ready. Yeah, I was sitting

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<v Speaker 1>in the back of a cabin on a bed, actually

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<v Speaker 1>in a freight Liner Cascadia. That's like the biggest, baddest

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<v Speaker 1>truck you can buy. We're on Florida's Highway twenty seven

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<v Speaker 1>with the Everglades on either side. Truckers call this part

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<v Speaker 1>of Florida Alligator Alley. I was riding along with a

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<v Speaker 1>team from star Ski Robotics, and then the driver, Jeff Runions,

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<v Speaker 1>took his hands off the steering wheel and slid his

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<v Speaker 1>feet off the petals. Oh my god, this sounds terrifying.

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<v Speaker 1>And you're on a bed. I mean there are there

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<v Speaker 1>even seatbelts no seatbelts, and Brad, I don't know if

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<v Speaker 1>you realize how big and heavy these trucks are, and

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<v Speaker 1>they go fast, and all of a sudden he takes

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<v Speaker 1>his feet off the petals and then a gust of

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<v Speaker 1>wind hit the truck and the computer sort of lurched

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<v Speaker 1>us towards the left wane. He's trying to fight. I

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<v Speaker 1>was freaking out, but everybody else in the truck was

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<v Speaker 1>acting pretty much normal. Maybe they knew something about the

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<v Speaker 1>air bags in the back of the vehicle that you didn't.

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<v Speaker 1>There weren't any air bags, but there were algorithms, and

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<v Speaker 1>those algorithms need a little bit of time to understand

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<v Speaker 1>the driving conditions on a given day and to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out just how much to sort of push the steering

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<v Speaker 1>wheel to fight against the wind. You are in the morning,

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<v Speaker 1>when before you have your bath. Star Ski is still

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<v Speaker 1>fine tuning its technology to make sure it works in

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<v Speaker 1>all scenarios, and if they succeed for truckers, which is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the most common jobs in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>that could mean huge changes. Back. Hi, I'm Brad Stone

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm Max Chapkin, And this week on Decrypted, I

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<v Speaker 1>ride a robot truck from Fort Lauderdale to Tallahassee. From

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<v Speaker 1>small startups to Silicon Valley's biggest tech companies in the

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<v Speaker 1>world's largest automakers, there's a race to build a software

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<v Speaker 1>that could power a future of cards without drivers. Long

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<v Speaker 1>haul trucking will likely be one of the first areas

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<v Speaker 1>to feel this profound shake up. This technology promises to

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<v Speaker 1>make our road safer and our goods cheaper, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>a transition that will have consequences. Trucking is worth seven

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<v Speaker 1>hundred billion dollars in the U. S Alone right, and

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<v Speaker 1>it employs a lot of people. More than three million

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<v Speaker 1>Americans drive trucks for a living, and another four million

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<v Speaker 1>support the trucking economy and jobs like waitressing and roadside

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<v Speaker 1>cafes and being a gas station attendant. It's also a

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<v Speaker 1>job that lower income Americans depend on. What happens to

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<v Speaker 1>these workers is a question that needs to be answered.

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<v Speaker 1>This episode kicks off a series of pieces about technology

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<v Speaker 1>that threatens to replace jobs. It's one of the most

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<v Speaker 1>important tech stories of our time. If you have a

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<v Speaker 1>story to share with us about your job and the

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<v Speaker 1>oncoming wave of automation, record a voice message and send

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<v Speaker 1>it to decrypted at Bloomberg dot net. So Max, Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>self driving car research is absolutely dominated by big name

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<v Speaker 1>comp and is Google, Uber, Ford and and GM, pretty

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<v Speaker 1>much every Detroit automaker, the Chinese companies. So how did

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<v Speaker 1>you find the small start up Starsky Robotics and why

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<v Speaker 1>does the startup even matter? Right now? What's interesting? I

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<v Speaker 1>got tipped off by one of their investors. They were

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<v Speaker 1>backed by y Combinator, so shortly before demo day, I

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<v Speaker 1>got tipped off, and people suggest I talked to him.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think it's important to remember that a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these big companies working on driver list tech were

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<v Speaker 1>really small, just very recently. The other thing that that

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<v Speaker 1>drew me this is this guy was a little different.

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<v Speaker 1>So I went to South Florida to see Starsky's trucks

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<v Speaker 1>in action. My name is Stephan Seltzox Marker, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO and co founder of star Skirobotics, self driving

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<v Speaker 1>truck company. Stephen is Starsky CEO. I found him interesting

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<v Speaker 1>partly because of what he's not like. So I didn't

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<v Speaker 1>go to Stanford. I didn't participate with two thousand four

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<v Speaker 1>Dropper Grand Challenge. I'm not a Google exer. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>really have any of the credentials of someone who's supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be good at this space. What interested me about

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<v Speaker 1>Starsky was the sort of difference there, and also the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that they had this different approach, which is that

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<v Speaker 1>they're planning to use remote control drivers, basically people in

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<v Speaker 1>call centers who are overseeing trucks. So if you're a

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<v Speaker 1>truck driver, you don't necessarily have to spend three weeks

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<v Speaker 1>in a truck, sleeping in your cab, eating truck stop food,

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<v Speaker 1>talking on a CB radio. You just go to an office,

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<v Speaker 1>you sit in a desk, you drive a truck for

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<v Speaker 1>eight hours, and then you go home and see your family.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm imagining this new new job is a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>like playing Mario Kart for a living. It actually sounds

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<v Speaker 1>kind of fun. The other thing is that Starsky, unlike

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<v Speaker 1>other truck companies, is actually hauling cargo. So while they're

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<v Speaker 1>collecting data and trying to log all these research midles,

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<v Speaker 1>like all the other companies, they've also got like a

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<v Speaker 1>load in the back of the truck that they're getting paid,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a modest amount of money for right, And

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<v Speaker 1>we should know that many of these other companies have

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<v Speaker 1>deployed lots of capital to to this kind of research.

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<v Speaker 1>Starsky is only raised around five million dollars. Is the

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<v Speaker 1>strategy of using real cargo presenting a different set of challenges. Though, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it sounds easy to run a trucking company, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>not necessarily their Their first truck, which they nicknamed Rosebud,

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<v Speaker 1>broke down even before they could get it out of

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. And what was wrong with Rosebud, like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>the bad alternator or something. So have you ever bought

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<v Speaker 1>a truck before? Neither? And I that's that's the core

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<v Speaker 1>problem with Rosebud. I bought. I bought a truck off

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<v Speaker 1>an auction site. Starsky, as we mentioned, is just one

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<v Speaker 1>of many companies working on this. The Silicon Valley companies

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<v Speaker 1>of course, Detroit and and the big companies like bay

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<v Speaker 1>Do in China that think they can make an impact,

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<v Speaker 1>and Brad, don't forget the big trucking companies Volvo, Daimler,

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<v Speaker 1>all the big names and trucking are also getting it

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<v Speaker 1>in the space. So where is Starsky relative to these

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<v Speaker 1>giants in terms of progress? So what stars He's going

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<v Speaker 1>for is what's known as level three autonomy. And let

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<v Speaker 1>me just explain quickly Level one autonomy is cruise control,

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<v Speaker 1>your basic thing that is in lots of cars. Level

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<v Speaker 1>two is cruise control and what's known as lane keeping,

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<v Speaker 1>where the car will sort of steer for you. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so take your hands off the wheel, but for god's sake,

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<v Speaker 1>don't take a nap, right And Level three, what we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about with Starsky, means that the driver needs to

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<v Speaker 1>be there in case of an emergency, but the driver

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<v Speaker 1>can basically not pay attention during other times. Level four

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<v Speaker 1>means driver can be totally out of picture, could be unconscious,

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<v Speaker 1>could be texting whatever. And that's where the big companies,

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<v Speaker 1>the Googles and forwards are focused on, honestly industry, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>whereas we want to be like a very real business.

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<v Speaker 1>Len to be real business. Now, when Stephan says he

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<v Speaker 1>wants to be a real business, he means that Starsky's

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<v Speaker 1>plan is to have the driver only intervened in an emergency.

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<v Speaker 1>But unlike say Tesla, which is also going for this

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<v Speaker 1>same idea with a driver in the driver's seat, Starsky's

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<v Speaker 1>idea is that the driver is going to be someplace else.

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<v Speaker 1>We're building hours, so it's not needed person behind the

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<v Speaker 1>wheel Because the point for US is to not have

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<v Speaker 1>a person behind the wheel. So this is kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like the military's use of drone pilots. Yeah, exactly. So

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<v Speaker 1>Starsky when they raised their five million dollar funding round,

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<v Speaker 1>they did so thanks to a video that they made

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<v Speaker 1>where they were remote control driving a truck in a

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<v Speaker 1>parking lot and it was making a sort of pseudo delivery.

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<v Speaker 1>Their plan, and they want to do this by the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the year, is to have a real delivery

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<v Speaker 1>with real cargo where they pick up at the port,

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<v Speaker 1>drive the whole distance, and then drop off, all using

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<v Speaker 1>teleoperation using a remote control driver. And would that be

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<v Speaker 1>the first such achievement of its kind as far as

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<v Speaker 1>I know, Yes, And and Starsky is actually closer to

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<v Speaker 1>this milestone than you might think because trucks, unlike say, cars,

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<v Speaker 1>spend most of their time on highways, which is of

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<v Speaker 1>course the easiest place to do autonomous driving, right, no pedestrians,

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<v Speaker 1>no bikes, no traffic lights. Yeah, and and trucks are

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<v Speaker 1>big and heavy, which means that it's a lot easier

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<v Speaker 1>to get the sensors on them. And there's also this

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<v Speaker 1>safety component. Trucks drive a ton of miles and they're

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<v Speaker 1>involved in a lot of fatal accidents. So in theory,

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<v Speaker 1>you could eliminate a lot of those if you'd let

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<v Speaker 1>a computer do most of the driving. But of course

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<v Speaker 1>there's a dark aligning to this potentially silver cloud. Trucking

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<v Speaker 1>is a huge sector of the economy, employing millions of people.

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<v Speaker 1>Having a computer drive the truck raises the specter of

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<v Speaker 1>job losses on an epic scale. So it makes me

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<v Speaker 1>want to run for the hills. It makes me want

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<v Speaker 1>to hug my kids. I hope they have a future.

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<v Speaker 1>That's Ed Witkin, the president of the Transportation Trades Department

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<v Speaker 1>for the a f l C i OH. He's basically

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<v Speaker 1>a big union muckety muck in the world of trucking.

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<v Speaker 1>Um unions including the a f l C i O

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<v Speaker 1>and the Teamsters, which are the big well known trucking union,

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<v Speaker 1>are warning that this could be really, really bad for

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<v Speaker 1>their members, which isn't surprising, right. It taps into an

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<v Speaker 1>almost primal fear. Computer come, they take our jobs, right,

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<v Speaker 1>But trucking is weird because it's one of those jobs

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of people don't really want. This is me,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't take take companies because truck and burgers sixties

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<v Speaker 1>seventy hours. Some of the like going on players of

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<v Speaker 1>working eighty hours just to trying to pay that drop.

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<v Speaker 1>I had a big, stretched out truck, big thing. But

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<v Speaker 1>you know I live in this drug staying it for

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of days, and you'll know what I'm found about.

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<v Speaker 1>That's Jeff Runyons again. The truck driver was behind the

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<v Speaker 1>wheel on the drive in Florida. He told me what

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<v Speaker 1>being a long haul trucker was like, plus to eat terrible. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you get truck stout. I used to go

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<v Speaker 1>to memphitt Of all the time. That's why I was

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<v Speaker 1>two fifty. Stopped at the drug stops. You got green

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<v Speaker 1>fright to make in the cafes. You go to any

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<v Speaker 1>truck stop and you'll see everything's fatty. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I think companies treat you like they say drivers or

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<v Speaker 1>dom a dozen't so. Despite the glorification of the occupation

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<v Speaker 1>in the seventies and movies like Smoking in the Band

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<v Speaker 1>at bad Food, poor treatment from your employer doesn't sound great.

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<v Speaker 1>And the wages are bad too. I mean, people think

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<v Speaker 1>of trucking as being this this kind of good paying job,

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<v Speaker 1>but the truth is the average trucker makes around forty

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<v Speaker 1>dollars a year, and that easily includes you know, sixty

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<v Speaker 1>seventy hours of work every week, so in the end,

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<v Speaker 1>you're not making that much better than minimum wage, right,

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<v Speaker 1>And that explains why the industry sees such high turnover.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a massive labor shortage. And this is what you

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<v Speaker 1>hear if you talk to people who are who are

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<v Speaker 1>involved in autonomous trucking. The American Trucking Association, the big

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<v Speaker 1>trade group, says that around fifty thou trucking jobs are

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<v Speaker 1>unfilled at the moment, so there is appetite for more

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<v Speaker 1>and more truckers. That's my colleague josh Idolson, who covers

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<v Speaker 1>labor relations for Bloomberg. The volume of stuff to move

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<v Speaker 1>around the country keeps getting bigger, and the number of

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<v Speaker 1>people coming in to the industry to drive and staying

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<v Speaker 1>in it is not keeping up, in large part because

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<v Speaker 1>so many people leave. Turnover is so high because being

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<v Speaker 1>a trucker is pretty much terrible, but in some of

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<v Speaker 1>the poorest parts of the country, it's also one of

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<v Speaker 1>the only jobs available. One way to look at it

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<v Speaker 1>is these are some of the most cherished, mediocre jobs

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States. What about military service? Max is

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<v Speaker 1>that comparable. It's yeah, Actually, it's it's very comparable. Josh

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<v Speaker 1>says that, um, it's the it's people who are who

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<v Speaker 1>might enlist in military service that the trucking companies are

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<v Speaker 1>competing for. Maybe if they could get the federal law

0:12:28.200 --> 0:12:32.440
<v Speaker 1>adjusted so that people who are younger than twenty one

0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:36.440
<v Speaker 1>can do interstate trucking, maybe they could get people before

0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:39.600
<v Speaker 1>they would otherwise decide to go to the military, for example.

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.600
<v Speaker 1>And this is why Starsky and the other Silicon Valley

0:12:42.600 --> 0:12:45.079
<v Speaker 1>companies are so interested in the sector. This is a

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:48.640
<v Speaker 1>rare industry where computers could really help what the technology

0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:51.200
<v Speaker 1>is and what it will mean for trucking jobs. That's

0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:57.400
<v Speaker 1>coming up right after this word from our sponsor. You

0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:59.920
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0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:03.320
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0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:07.600
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0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 1>hat the open technology to help you realize your vision

0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 1>before the break. Max, you're explaining that even though the

0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:40.600
<v Speaker 1>trucking industry employs millions of people. It's actually facing a

0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 1>big shortage of workers, and automating the driving process could

0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:49.120
<v Speaker 1>directly address this. So let's explain what exactly automation involves. Okay,

0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:51.920
<v Speaker 1>so there are two basic components that the sensors that

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:55.760
<v Speaker 1>are collecting data and the algorithms. So the sensors they

0:13:56.000 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 1>tell the computer where the vehicle is, what's around it,

0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 1>and then the algorithm crunched the data to figure out

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 1>what it should tell the vehicle to do. Companies that

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:08.000
<v Speaker 1>are aiming for the most advanced autonomy use something called LIGHTER,

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.160
<v Speaker 1>which stands for Light Detection and Ranging. Of course, it's

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:14.559
<v Speaker 1>somewhat controversial because Uber and Google are now fighting over

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 1>some intellectual property around lighter. Star Ski like Tesla uses

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 1>raiders and camera. Yeah, it's a lower tech approach and

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 1>Stephen laid it out for me during our ride. So

0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:28.480
<v Speaker 1>like what we have here in the front are like

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>to automotive grade really high quality cameras yea with high

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:38.400
<v Speaker 1>body lens feed until our software got it. So while

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 1>we drove, Jeff the driver basically kept his hands off

0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 1>the wheel and and Kevin Keo, a star Ski engineer,

0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:47.000
<v Speaker 1>kept an eye on the systems using a laptop and

0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 1>a tablet that was built into the dashboard. So at

0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:53.920
<v Speaker 1>the moment and we have we have mop based roots,

0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>we do, but at the moment it relies heavily on

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 1>the landmarks in front. Got it getting some information from

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the GPS, but currently and it's getting most of its

0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 1>information from the laemark so similar it is like teslaut.

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:11.280
<v Speaker 1>So the car is basically watching the road through cameras

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>and sensors and trying to stay in the lane the

0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:16.320
<v Speaker 1>way a real driver would. So Max what happens if

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the lane markings are faded or simply aren't there. In general,

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.240
<v Speaker 1>interstate highways are pretty good, and Starski is making life

0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a little easier for itself by saying that the driver,

0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 1>not the computer, should handle those edge cases. That's that's

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>part of the same reason why Google has done like

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:34.080
<v Speaker 1>three million miles and is it ready to play anything.

0:15:34.560 --> 0:15:36.160
<v Speaker 1>It is because like they're trying to look for all

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:38.880
<v Speaker 1>of those weird curves, all of like the weird times

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:44.600
<v Speaker 1>where U where whatever weird thing happens. Now Google wants

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 1>it's a computer to basically handle everything. Yeah, Starsky's thought

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>is the safety driver will be sitting in a call

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>center somewhere monitoring maybe five or ten trucks on alarm

0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:56.400
<v Speaker 1>will go off if something weird happens, and then he'll

0:15:56.440 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 1>immediately seize the wheel and take control. Let's hope the

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 1>wireless vous is reliable. How how does that work? Starsky

0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:06.680
<v Speaker 1>doesn't want to say exactly how they're transmitting data, but

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 1>basically they're controlling the truck wirelessly by remote control. Right now,

0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.280
<v Speaker 1>the system looks a bit like you what you'd have

0:16:13.360 --> 0:16:15.760
<v Speaker 1>if you were really into video games. There's a steering

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>wheel and then three screens, and the driver just sits

0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:20.560
<v Speaker 1>there and sort of drives like in a video game.

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 1>But the idea is that most of the time the

0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 1>computer is driving itself. Now, let's go back to the beginning.

0:16:28.840 --> 0:16:31.600
<v Speaker 1>You're in one of these trucks in Florida. You're on

0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 1>a bed in the back, and and the wind is

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>blowing causing the truck to sway and the computer to overcorrect. Right,

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>we were hauling a lot of weight on this particular day.

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>It was It was a shipping container which is been

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.080
<v Speaker 1>out of stainless steel. It's heavier than the standard illuminum

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 1>boxes that Starsky had been testing before, and that proved

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:59.440
<v Speaker 1>slightly problematic. Here's gonna be something new right here. This, Yeah,

0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:01.360
<v Speaker 1>now this curve during the week we were taking a

0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 1>point container, we'll see a new experiment. Basically, we're getting

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:09.720
<v Speaker 1>pushed by the wind and the computer a bit like

0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 1>a human driver was struggling to figure out exactly just

0:17:12.840 --> 0:17:14.920
<v Speaker 1>how hard how to respond, just how hard to turn

0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.360
<v Speaker 1>that wheel? Max. You deserve hazard pay for this? Why

0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.840
<v Speaker 1>why were they doing this test in Florida. So a

0:17:20.880 --> 0:17:23.439
<v Speaker 1>bunch of states are trying to regulate driverless cars, but

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Florida is really really ridiculously relaxed about this industry. You

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 1>don't need a special permit or any special insurance to

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 1>to drive a driverless car in Florida, and you don't

0:17:34.280 --> 0:17:36.840
<v Speaker 1>even need a human driver behind the wheel as long

0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:45.120
<v Speaker 1>as somebody somewhere is in control of the car. Now

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 1>here's the most interesting part. It gives us a peek

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>at the future. Maybe robots won't take all our jobs,

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 1>but it's likely that they replace many jobs, including what

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 1>we think of as blue collar jobs that involve manage

0:17:55.560 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 1>a computer. So I think like humans and technology are

0:17:58.560 --> 0:18:00.480
<v Speaker 1>probably going to be better than either want to. Yeah,

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:05.560
<v Speaker 1>probably forever. That's Stephan again, the stars Key CEO. Stars

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Keep brings together these two unlikely groups rod En m

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:14.640
<v Speaker 1>Gene seven dollar lotts, Yeah, mixed with truck drivers who

0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:17.320
<v Speaker 1>some of them live in trailers, many of them like

0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 1>they never went to college. Self driving engineers like Kevin Kyo,

0:18:22.280 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>the engineer who works for Starsky, can make millions, even

0:18:25.000 --> 0:18:28.200
<v Speaker 1>tens of millions at companies like Google. Truckers are basically

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 1>treated as disposable by their employers. Were we were straddling

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:34.439
<v Speaker 1>people who thought that Bernie didn't go far enough and

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.480
<v Speaker 1>people who didn't think that Trump went far enough. Stephan

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 1>argues that this is going to be really good for truckers,

0:18:40.480 --> 0:18:42.400
<v Speaker 1>which I also heard from Jeff who was our driver

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 1>for the day. Some people who are negative, Yeah, and

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:49.440
<v Speaker 1>then some are really interested in attack behind him. Yeah.

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:51.159
<v Speaker 1>And then you tell them about how you're gonna make

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 1>it so they have forty hour weeks that seven the

0:18:53.680 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 1>hours the weekend have, you know, instead of me and

0:18:56.560 --> 0:19:00.080
<v Speaker 1>gone all the time. They can make same amount of money.

0:19:00.160 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 1>But Jeff, a star Sky driver, isn't exactly an objective

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:05.959
<v Speaker 1>source here, is he? No, And it's a real threat

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:09.480
<v Speaker 1>that many drivers will get left behind. That's what one driver,

0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:14.199
<v Speaker 1>Tom George told my colleague Josh. Even where they're not

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:19.200
<v Speaker 1>a driver shortage, there would certainly be technology trying to

0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:23.439
<v Speaker 1>to edge into uh, supplanting a driver. I've been seeing

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 1>uh trucking, uh just truck manufacturing developing into a you

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 1>know what I always called trying to engineer the driver

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:41.159
<v Speaker 1>out of the truck. So Max, it's hard to know

0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:43.880
<v Speaker 1>what the long term impact of artificial intelligence is going

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 1>to mean for all of us, not just truckers, right right,

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>and and there are there are a few different schools

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:50.840
<v Speaker 1>of thought, which I'll break down for you quickly. The

0:19:51.000 --> 0:19:54.959
<v Speaker 1>first is basically that advances in robotics artificial intelligence are

0:19:55.000 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>going to make us more productive, make us superhumans, and

0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:00.240
<v Speaker 1>and those of us who lose our jobs going to

0:20:00.320 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 1>get even better, more creative, more fulfilling jobs. The second

0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 1>idea school of thought is that technology is going to

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.640
<v Speaker 1>kill so many jobs that's going to create this permanent

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:11.679
<v Speaker 1>underclass where where you have a bunch of people who

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:14.120
<v Speaker 1>can't find anything. And the third school of thought says

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:17.160
<v Speaker 1>this is all hype, don't pay any attention to it. Yeah,

0:20:17.160 --> 0:20:20.160
<v Speaker 1>I've also noticed the strain of optimism and Silicon Valley

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 1>that says the job destruction will be real, but this

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>this is a natural cycle of the economy, and that

0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:28.520
<v Speaker 1>it will evolve a new work that we haven't yet

0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:31.680
<v Speaker 1>imagined will kind of take care of the disruption, right.

0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:34.359
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's important to remember that that for

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:36.920
<v Speaker 1>most of the country, this sort of Silicon value way

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>of thinking is not how they see it. They see

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:43.200
<v Speaker 1>this as basically science fiction. Just the other day, Transportation

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Lane Chow told reporters that explaining self driving technology

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:49.440
<v Speaker 1>of the public would be one of the biggest hurdles

0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 1>in terms of getting people to adopt it. And even

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:54.840
<v Speaker 1>truckers like Tom George, who we just heard from, are

0:20:54.880 --> 0:20:57.359
<v Speaker 1>convinced they'll be able to drive trucks better than a

0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:00.960
<v Speaker 1>computer for some time to come. That's gonna be really,

0:21:01.040 --> 0:21:06.439
<v Speaker 1>really hard for automation to take over because there's so

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 1>much interaction that the driver has to be a part

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of that can't be automated by a computer. So who's

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>going to notice that a strap is loose on your

0:21:16.520 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>load while you're driving down the road. I don't know

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:22.160
<v Speaker 1>that the computer is going to be able to first

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 1>bull notice it. And second of all, how are they

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:26.480
<v Speaker 1>going to just do it? What are they gonna do?

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:30.040
<v Speaker 1>And Tom's not wrong. It's true that there are thousands

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:33.880
<v Speaker 1>of rare cases, those edge cases, those emergencies where computers

0:21:33.920 --> 0:21:36.680
<v Speaker 1>don't work very well and they may not work well

0:21:36.720 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 1>for a long time. Yeah, but that doesn't mean it's

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:41.399
<v Speaker 1>going to take a long time to get to that

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:43.959
<v Speaker 1>hybridge stage. And Starsky is a version of this with

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:47.119
<v Speaker 1>remote control. But there are others. Auto and another driverless

0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 1>trucking startup called Embark talk about having drivers in the

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:53.520
<v Speaker 1>cabs but allowing them to sleep. Peloton, which is another

0:21:53.800 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley trucking startup, has a convoy style approach where

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:58.919
<v Speaker 1>you could imagine a big line of trucks with one

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 1>driver just in the refront. But the bottom line is

0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:04.879
<v Speaker 1>that all of these companies, all of them are trying

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:08.320
<v Speaker 1>to make trucking require fewer workers. So for now, what's

0:22:08.359 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 1>next for Starsky? So what they're trying to do is

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.480
<v Speaker 1>have this big test on the highway where they're going

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 1>to try to drive a whole uh delivery without having

0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:20.520
<v Speaker 1>a human in the car. And I think probably they'll

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 1>they'll try to raise some more money. Meanwhile, I guess

0:22:23.080 --> 0:22:25.720
<v Speaker 1>things are looking less optimistic for drivers who don't have

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:28.479
<v Speaker 1>a Silicon Valley startup to get involved with. It's not

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 1>just about drivers and people that operate trains and buses.

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:35.119
<v Speaker 1>It's also about people that do sort of ordinary jobs

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>that you and I encounter during the day. That was

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:41.879
<v Speaker 1>Ed our union leader again. Um Ed's bigger idea was

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>that at a certain point the government needs to take

0:22:44.080 --> 0:22:48.000
<v Speaker 1>some responsibility for job losses and and making sure that

0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 1>this scary underclass scenario never plays out. And the other

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 1>thing worth mentioning is that ordinary jobs quote unquote might

0:22:55.960 --> 0:22:58.680
<v Speaker 1>also include a bunch of the jobs that we think

0:22:58.720 --> 0:23:02.000
<v Speaker 1>of as being good lawyers, some kinds of doctors and

0:23:02.040 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 1>Brad I hate to say it, but maybe journalists. What

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>about podcast hosts? Or they say always forever? But Max,

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:12.879
<v Speaker 1>using your experience at the back of this truck, do

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:15.160
<v Speaker 1>you really believe this is going to happen in our lifetime?

0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:18.879
<v Speaker 1>Do you really see those engineers feeling comfortable stepping away

0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:21.280
<v Speaker 1>from the from the vehicle? And then, you know, can

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:25.480
<v Speaker 1>the same AI techniques apply to these other occupations where

0:23:25.560 --> 0:23:28.199
<v Speaker 1>you know you do need human intuition, human input. At

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 1>least for now, I don't think it's gonna be such

0:23:30.320 --> 0:23:33.760
<v Speaker 1>a stark change. And I mean there's with trucking, there

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:35.879
<v Speaker 1>is this labor shortage, so there's sort of a built

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>in cushion, and a lot of people said things like

0:23:38.960 --> 0:23:41.480
<v Speaker 1>anyone who's a truck driver in their sort of career

0:23:41.560 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>is not going to be seriously affected by this. I'm

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 1>not sure how the true that is. And I think

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the other thing that we have to keep in mind

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:49.679
<v Speaker 1>is a lot of time, these automations don't happen in

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:53.119
<v Speaker 1>one big chunk. They happen in sort of small ways

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:56.160
<v Speaker 1>that that affect people's jobs, causing them to make less money.

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:59.159
<v Speaker 1>I mean, one type of automation that's pretty underrated is

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 1>the advent of automatic transmission, which coincides with the declining

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:06.719
<v Speaker 1>wages of trucking. Now that also there are other causes

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:08.239
<v Speaker 1>of that, but but one thing it did is make

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:11.400
<v Speaker 1>driving a truck easier, which meant that trucking companies could

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>use lower skilled workers. It kind of goes along with

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:18.280
<v Speaker 1>this notion that AI is this magical thing that doesn't exist,

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:20.600
<v Speaker 1>and yet when it does exist, we don't call it

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>AI anymore. We just sort of assume assume that it's there.

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 1>It's it's machinery. I like the Starsky approach, this melding

0:24:27.400 --> 0:24:31.760
<v Speaker 1>of AI, telematics and and then humans because you know

0:24:31.800 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 1>that this is the model that we've seen in medicine,

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:38.000
<v Speaker 1>in law, really in journalism technology not replacing humans but

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:40.520
<v Speaker 1>making them more efficient. Yeah, it strikes me as as

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 1>as fundamentally like realistic, but also it has a certain

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:47.280
<v Speaker 1>humanity to it. And what I liked about this company,

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think what the companies that succeed in in

0:24:49.880 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 1>this world are going to have at least some empathy

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 1>for the workers who are being affected by by these changes.

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 1>And those that are just thinking about this as pure technology,

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:00.960
<v Speaker 1>I think are going to run into trouble because because

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 1>they're not being realistic about how the world actually works. Yeah,

0:25:03.920 --> 0:25:06.159
<v Speaker 1>the star Ski approach does see him like it's something

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.760
<v Speaker 1>that is a little bit more practical sooner. But of

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 1>course I didn't ask you the biggest question. The most

0:25:10.600 --> 0:25:13.240
<v Speaker 1>important question is what's what the name? Is? This a

0:25:13.280 --> 0:25:16.159
<v Speaker 1>reference to the popular seventies TV show It is so

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Stephen told me that he was actually looking for CB

0:25:19.400 --> 0:25:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Radio Lingo, so like ten four good Buddy type type

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:24.879
<v Speaker 1>of things. And I guess Starsky and Hutch was slang

0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:28.800
<v Speaker 1>CB slang in the seventies for a team of drivers,

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:30.399
<v Speaker 1>so he was thinking that it was going to be

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:32.400
<v Speaker 1>like you have a call center for drivers, So it's

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:34.679
<v Speaker 1>sort of like a star Ski and Hutch, or maybe

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:36.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot of star Skis and a lot of Hutches.

0:25:37.320 --> 0:25:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Good buddy, and that's it for this week's episode of Decrypted.

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening. We want to hear your stories. Tell

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:56.160
<v Speaker 1>us about your job and whether you're worried about technology

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<v Speaker 1>and automation coming for you. Recorded voice message and send

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:02.120
<v Speaker 1>it to decrypt it at Bloomberg dot net. Also, I'm

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:05.639
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Chapkin and I'm at brad Stone. If

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<v Speaker 1>in the review. It really helps more listeners find our show.

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<v Speaker 1>And by the way, we're crying a new thing on

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<v Speaker 1>at our episodes each week and the discussion on some

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:25.119
<v Speaker 1>of the thornier problems we'll discuss on the show. LinkedIn

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:28.119
<v Speaker 1>also has their own tech show called Work in Progress,

0:26:28.119 --> 0:26:30.439
<v Speaker 1>where they talk about the future of work. One of

0:26:30.480 --> 0:26:33.600
<v Speaker 1>their recent episodes is about universal basic income, which is

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:36.359
<v Speaker 1>also something we've been looking into here at Bloomberg. This

0:26:36.400 --> 0:26:40.240
<v Speaker 1>episode was produced by Piagkari Aki Ito, Liz Smit, and

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Magnus Hendrickson. Thanks to Nico Grant and Isabel Gottlieb for

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:46.760
<v Speaker 1>all their work on this episode. My Business Week story

0:26:46.840 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>was co written by jos Idolsen and edited by Jim

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Alee and Nick Summers. You can read it on bloomberg

0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 1>dot com slash business Week or on the brand new

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:57.440
<v Speaker 1>Business Week app Alec Mchabe is the head of Bloomberg

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:17.119
<v Speaker 1>podcast We'll See You next Week over Now. Decrypted is

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 1>brought to you by red Hat, whose broad portfolio of

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<v Speaker 1>Learn more at red hat dot com slash open tech.