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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go, throwing a shoe spectatular catch.

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Speaker 3: We're sitting up to cash touchdown.

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Speaker 4: Will see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win.

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Speaker 3: Oh my god, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I

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Speaker 3: like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kabak want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway.

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Speaker 5: Welcome to the Week five edition of the Action Network

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Speaker 5: Podcasts NFL Betting Edition. I am Chris Raybon, and on

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Speaker 5: today's show, we will be breaking down our top six

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Speaker 5: spreadbats of week five and the Sunday six pack, and

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Speaker 5: also giving you our favorite over under, pick of the week,

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Speaker 5: teaser pick, moneyline parlay.

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Speaker 4: And Survivorpool pick.

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Speaker 5: Well, of course, start by breaking down Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 5: But before we do, just want to remind you guys

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Speaker 5: to download the free Action Network app for real time odds,

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Speaker 5: box scores and the capability to track every bet that

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Speaker 5: you make. So let's get into our Thursday Night Football preview.

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Speaker 4: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 4: Let's bet Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 5: Tonight's matchup features two, three and one football teams, the

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Speaker 5: Los Angeles Rams traveling to Seattle on the short week

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Speaker 5: to face the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks currently favored by

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Speaker 5: one and a half points, fifty four percent of the

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Speaker 5: betting tickets and sixty three percent of the money. However,

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Speaker 5: on the underdog Los Angeles Rams, the over under forty

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Speaker 5: nine and a half, sixty three percent of the tickets

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Speaker 5: seventy five percent of the money on the over. Here

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Speaker 5: to help me break down the games, the Prime Minister

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Speaker 5: of Degenerate Nation my guy Stucky, Who's bets you can

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Speaker 5: follow on the action app at Stucky two as well

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Speaker 5: as mine at Chris Raybond and Stuck. This weekend, I

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Speaker 5: actually went to a friend, one of my friends from

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Speaker 5: high school, Bronx Science shouts to them.

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Speaker 4: He had a happy hour for his birthday, and.

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Speaker 5: I came through and I saw a couple of my

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Speaker 5: other friends from high school, and one of them this

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Speaker 5: dude I call Amman Green.

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Speaker 4: His name is Aman.

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Speaker 5: He's a doctor now, but I called him Aman Green

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Speaker 5: back in the day because I think.

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Speaker 3: The running back Green.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, long story short, you know, we always talk about

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Speaker 5: bets whenever I see him, because they know what I

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Speaker 5: do here at Action and they're big fans. He's like, Yeah,

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Speaker 5: you know who's really legit, your guy Stucky that you

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Speaker 5: do this podcast with. He's like, I've been following this

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Speaker 5: guy for the past eight years. So one of my dudes,

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Speaker 5: I went to high school with my guy, Mon Green

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Speaker 5: Day one fan essentially of Stuck. You got fans out

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Speaker 5: here that know Chris Raybond that are still bigger Stucky fans.

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Speaker 4: So how does it feel, man?

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's people that have been following me that

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Speaker 1: I know for fifteen years or so since posting on

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Speaker 1: like covers dot com forums. But I will say you

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Speaker 1: are free to follow Chris raybaon on the Action Up

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Speaker 1: this week because number one, he will kill it in

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Speaker 1: props and number two, the Dolphins aren't playing this week,

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Speaker 1: so nope, there's no risk of seeing any Dolphins plays.

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Speaker 1: Although I do give permission, I gotta wait to see

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Speaker 1: the line of what happens this week. I do get

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Speaker 1: permission for all those out there to at least look

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Speaker 1: next week at heading the Dolphins against the Redskins, But

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Speaker 1: we have time for that.

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Speaker 3: First, we got to get to this week.

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Speaker 5: Should be a good game on Thursday Night football again

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Speaker 5: the Rams taking on the Seattle Seahawks, and I'll just

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Speaker 5: kind of throw out some interesting numbers, you know, as

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Speaker 5: far as Thursday Night Football goes home favorites on Thursday

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Speaker 5: Night Football seventy forty six and four against the spread.

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Speaker 5: That is a sixty percent hit rate since two thousand

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Speaker 5: and three, but oh and three against the spread this season.

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Speaker 5: That's for our bet Labs database, which you can find

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Speaker 5: at betlabs sports dot com. Love it, use it every

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Speaker 5: week to get out of these nuggets that you hear

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Speaker 5: me say on air. So go check that out if

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Speaker 5: you're interested in kind of some hardcore betting data.

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Speaker 3: But stuck to.

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Speaker 5: Me when I look at this, I think it's a

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Speaker 5: pick them, a little bit of an overreaction to the Rams,

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Speaker 5: which we both call them.

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Speaker 4: Must say.

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Speaker 5: I know it ended up being my pick, but I

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Speaker 5: know you liked it as well. And bet on the

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Speaker 5: bucks plus ten. That face plant game is inflating this

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Speaker 5: line just a bit. Our guy, Sean Corner actually has

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Speaker 5: this as a true fifty to fifty.

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Speaker 4: Kind of pick them game. So what are your thoughts

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Speaker 4: on this Ram Seahawks matchup?

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Speaker 3: It's really interesting.

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Speaker 1: I also have it right around a pick because I've

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Speaker 1: been downgrading the Rams, and I was shouting, look, regression

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Speaker 1: is coming for the Rams. Turnovers are coming. They've been

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Speaker 1: really lucky in that department. Their interior, their offensive line

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Speaker 1: has been a disaster. They've been one of the worst

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Speaker 1: pass blocking units in all of football this year. Now,

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Speaker 1: having said that, you know, if this gets to three,

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Speaker 1: I would take either side. So if Seattle was plus three,

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Speaker 1: I would take it. If Las plus three, I would

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Speaker 1: take it. I don't necessar sssarily know if Seattle can

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Speaker 1: generate the pressure that I was confident that Tampa could

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Speaker 1: to get Golf off his game, and he's just as

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Speaker 1: soon as you pressure him, he's completely off of his game.

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Speaker 1: I actually think that the Rams offense is just a

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Speaker 1: nightmare matchup for this Seattle defense and their cover three,

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Speaker 1: because you're gonna see Tedrick Thompson, their free safety get

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Speaker 1: exposed here, and he's been the worst coverage safety by far.

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Speaker 1: We're safety overall. Depending on a number of different metrics,

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Speaker 1: he's been awful. Last year in the Seattle Seahawk scored

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Speaker 1: thirty one points twice against the Rams and lost both games.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I think thirty six thirty one and

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Speaker 1: thirty four to thirty one. And the last time that

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Speaker 1: they beat them was in twenty seventeen when Earl Thomas

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Speaker 1: went god mode Pete Garl Thomas healthy, Earl Thomas was

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Speaker 1: just god mode at free safety and just all over

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Speaker 1: the field. But since then, there's not much that Seattle

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Speaker 1: can do to stop this offense. I don't see it

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Speaker 1: happening again tomorrow. Now, the intire the offensive line is weaker. There,

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Speaker 1: running game is weaker because of it. Teams are learning

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Speaker 1: how to play the Rams. It all started with Matt

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Speaker 1: Patricia kind of Vic Fangio. Then for sure with the

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Speaker 1: Bears when they played the six man front. They take

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Speaker 1: away the zone outside run, and then all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: it just everything is discombobulated. The Rams on first down.

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Speaker 1: The last two years, we're number one in the NFL

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Speaker 1: first and second down unbelievable. Now not so much. Teams

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Speaker 1: are learning how to play it, and someth to McVeigh

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Speaker 1: to kind of counter the way that Seattle plays defense.

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Speaker 3: I don't see that they have good linebackers.

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Speaker 1: I don't see them trying to play a six to

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Speaker 1: one and they're gonna keep Wagner in the middle and

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Speaker 1: so I just think that the Rams are gonna have

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Speaker 1: a lot of successful offense. Now, having said that, the

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Speaker 1: Rams starting linebackers are really weak. They're starting inside linebacker

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Speaker 1: is out. I think that Seattle we'll be able to

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Speaker 1: run at some Russell Wilson was unbelievable both games against

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Speaker 1: the Rams last year. He's gonna make plays. The total

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Speaker 1: looks about right, but I mean, if I had to

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Speaker 1: play it, I would take the over. But this number

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Speaker 1: is you know, it's a short week, so maybe there's

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Speaker 1: some sloppy play, but this number is right where I

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Speaker 1: have it, both the side and the total. I think

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Speaker 1: one way to play this game is live. So you know,

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Speaker 1: if some one of these teams gets out and gets

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Speaker 1: a quick six and you can catch one of the

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Speaker 1: other team live, I don't think this will be a

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Speaker 1: blowout either way. So that's one way that I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be looking to bet it. So say the Rams get

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Speaker 1: it and they go right down the field or vice versa,

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Speaker 1: I'll look live. But I just don't think that the

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Speaker 1: Seattle team, with their cover three and their safeties, is

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Speaker 1: the defense that's gonna slow down this Rams offense, which

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Speaker 1: is flawed compared to the last couple of years, Russell

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Speaker 1: Wilson will find a way to get his I think

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Speaker 1: you had six touchdowns and no picks in the two

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Speaker 1: games last year. This could be another shootout. I'll look

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Speaker 1: for it live because the number is right unless it

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Speaker 1: gets the three.

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Speaker 5: You made a really good point about Vic Fangio last year.

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Speaker 5: I believe it was Week fourteen, againt the Chicago Bears

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Speaker 5: Rams matchup six to one front Since then, teams it's

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Speaker 5: a copycat league. It sounds cliche, but teams have been

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Speaker 5: copycatting that to an extent, taking away some of that

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Speaker 5: core outside zone, those plays on the edges that the

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Speaker 5: Rams love to run, both with Todd Gurley as well

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Speaker 5: as their receivers, so the Patriot exactly. So, I think

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Speaker 5: that really has been an issue and it's born out

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Speaker 5: in the numbers.

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Speaker 4: The Rams scoring has been down since that game.

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Speaker 5: They've mostly gotten good defensive play aside from I think

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Speaker 5: that that Bucks game and the game against the Eagles

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Speaker 5: last season. But I think an interesting angle in this

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Speaker 5: game is again I try to look at, you know,

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Speaker 5: the local beat reports.

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Speaker 4: And I read a lot of the athletic.

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Speaker 5: One thing, you know, Sean McVay didn't really have answers

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Speaker 5: for what was going wrong on offense in that.

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Speaker 4: Tampa Bay game immediately after the game.

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Speaker 5: But they kind of pointed out that this happened last year,

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Speaker 5: that the two losses, the Eagles loss and the Bears

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Speaker 5: loss last season. They came out in the next two

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Speaker 5: weeks Week sixteen and seventeen, and they ran the ball

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Speaker 5: power run game, handed to CJ. Anderson forty three times

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Speaker 5: against two hundred and ninety nine yards. Their offensive line

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Speaker 5: wasn't doing great by that point.

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Speaker 4: Last year either.

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Speaker 5: It was obviously better than now, but I almost wonder

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Speaker 5: if the Rams and McVeigh, especially on a short week

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Speaker 5: where you don't have time to scheme up a hole,

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Speaker 5: if they want to get back to that, it's a

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Speaker 5: real possibility here. So not as bullish on the over

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Speaker 5: as maybe you are. I do think that if Seattle

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Speaker 5: gets down, and I was talking to my guy Sean

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Speaker 5: Corner about this, I think it's probably a better live

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Speaker 5: play because I think Seattle comes into every game wanting

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Speaker 5: to run the football, But if they get down, they

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Speaker 5: will put it on the back of Russell Wilson because

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Speaker 5: they really have They really have no choice at this point.

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Speaker 5: If you look at early downs, and I should mention

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Speaker 5: to all the listeners the reason we look at first

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Speaker 5: and second down. It's a bit more predictive going forward

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Speaker 5: of team performance than third down, fourth down, which it's

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Speaker 5: kind of yardage dependent and you're playing a little bit

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Speaker 5: of a different defensive looks on those plays then first

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Speaker 5: and second. So this year Seattle their early down successful

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Speaker 5: play rate on running plays only twenty second in the league,

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Speaker 5: but they are on early downs number three in past

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Speaker 5: success rate. So they will run the ball, which is

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Speaker 5: why I think, you know, this game could end up

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Speaker 5: going un if they stick with the run and LA

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Speaker 5: wants to run the ball a bit more, but if

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Speaker 5: they have to put it in the air, I think

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Speaker 5: they will have at least a decent amount of success.

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Speaker 5: LA is number seven an early down success rate against

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Speaker 5: the pass, and they're number nine against the run. So

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Speaker 5: LA's defense still has been solid. Seattle number twenty against

221
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Speaker 5: the pass in early down success rate and they are

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Speaker 5: number twenty two against the run, and that's per Sharp

223
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Speaker 5: Football stat So Seattle's defense has struggled, as you mentioned,

224
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Speaker 5: and that's why I think it's a good spot for

225
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Speaker 5: the Rams. And don't love these lines when they are

226
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Speaker 5: lower than three either way, so I kind of I'm

227
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Speaker 5: witch there.

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00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:35,840
Speaker 4: Probably need to get to plus three to actually take it.

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Speaker 5: But I would look at the money line, I think,

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Speaker 5: and depending what kind of juice you're getting on the Rams,

231
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Speaker 5: if it maybe moves up and the juice is savorable,

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Speaker 5: probably would take the Rams. Don't think I touched the

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Speaker 5: Seahawks in the spot. Despite the long term success of

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Speaker 5: Thursday Night favorites.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think that the Rams are capable of

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Speaker 1: this power running in like they were last year because

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Speaker 1: of their into your offensive line. You know, no Boom

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Speaker 1: and that other clown blythe sorry if he played safety sometimes,

239
00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:04,800
Speaker 1: but Allen like they're in. I don't mean to call

240
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:06,600
Speaker 1: them clowns, but they've been playing like clown so far.

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Speaker 1: They are into your offense line has been atrocious, absolutely tchoicious.

242
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Speaker 1: Then you have Clowney and Jefferson in the middle, Wagner

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Speaker 1: and right, So I don't know if.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna be able to do that.

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Speaker 1: I do agree that against a lot of these teams

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Speaker 1: that are that are copying at six', one that's what

247
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:21,760
Speaker 1: you have to. Do you got to get up there

248
00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:23,520
Speaker 1: and you got to run the. Ball power running game

249
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:25,720
Speaker 1: up the, middle you got quicker. RUNS i just don't

250
00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 1: know if that'll necessarily. Work SO i think what you're

251
00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:29,360
Speaker 1: gonna see is you're gonna see some. Trips you're gonna

252
00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,400
Speaker 1: see them Expose thompson over the top because a lot

253
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Speaker 1: of What seattle tries to do is disguise your coverages

254
00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:36,360
Speaker 1: and they're gonna have some one on one With cooks

255
00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:38,679
Speaker 1: some flowers on the other. Side but you raise a good.

256
00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:40,480
Speaker 1: Point that's What rams need to do against a lot

257
00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:41,920
Speaker 1: of these. TEAMS i need to establish more of a

258
00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:42,640
Speaker 1: power running.

259
00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:44,360
Speaker 5: Game Right and don't get me, WRONG i think they'll

260
00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:46,240
Speaker 5: definitely take advantage of matchups in the passing. Game AND

261
00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:48,400
Speaker 5: i don't mean just running inside because to your, point

262
00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:52,000
Speaker 5: if you look at The pro football focused run blocking

263
00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:56,000
Speaker 5: grades of their interior, Line allen twenty second among, centers

264
00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,840
Speaker 5: and then their guards are all outside of the top

265
00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:03,319
Speaker 5: sixty's because there's only sixty four starting guards in The

266
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Speaker 5: National Football.

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Speaker 1: League BUT i do think it's a toss. Up, YEAH

268
00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:08,760
Speaker 1: i completely agree with The rams have kind of lost the.

269
00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:10,760
Speaker 1: Script maybe it's because they're all line and they're, scared

270
00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,120
Speaker 1: but their offense mcvay's. Offense everything is supposed to flow

271
00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,400
Speaker 1: from the, run, Right it's a run first and everything from,

272
00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:19,440
Speaker 1: there and everything looks the. SAME i agree that they

273
00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:20,960
Speaker 1: got to get back to the run one way or the.

274
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Speaker 5: Other as we do every, Week let's conclude Our thursday

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Speaker 5: night football preview with the coaches Pep. Talk this week's

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Speaker 5: Pep talk comes to us courtesy Of Rocky, boboa and

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00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:35,400
Speaker 5: we're dedicating it To sean, McVay Jared goff and The

278
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Speaker 5: Los Angeles rams because that offense and the, defense after

279
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Speaker 5: last week getting fifty five put on them by The,

280
00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:44,960
Speaker 5: bucks they really need to get it together and get

281
00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:48,040
Speaker 5: back to what they were doing over the first twenty

282
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Speaker 5: five odd games Of sean mcvay's.

283
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:54,360
Speaker 6: Tenure you grew up good and, wonderful but somewhere along

284
00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,880
Speaker 6: the line you. Changed you stop being. You you let

285
00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:00,120
Speaker 6: people stick a finger in your face and tell, you oh,

286
00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,000
Speaker 6: Good and when things got, hard you started looking for

287
00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,319
Speaker 6: something to. Blame let me tell you something you already

288
00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:09,120
Speaker 6: know me And nobody's gonna hit as hard as. Life

289
00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:11,720
Speaker 6: but it ain't about how hard you. Hit it's about

290
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,320
Speaker 6: how hard you can't get hit and keep moving.

291
00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:15,840
Speaker 1: Forward that's how win it has.

292
00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,079
Speaker 6: Done, now if you know what you're, Worth i'll go

293
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:19,920
Speaker 6: out and get what's your. Worth but you gotta be

294
00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:21,360
Speaker 6: willing to take the hits.

295
00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:21,960
Speaker 3: And not pointing.

296
00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:23,840
Speaker 6: Fingers cowards do, that and that ain't.

297
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:25,280
Speaker 1: You you're better than.

298
00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 4: That and now it's time for the main.

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00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:36,120
Speaker 1: Event thirsty for, action let's crack elson The sunday six, pack.

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00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:39,520
Speaker 4: And of course Our sunday Six pack.

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Speaker 5: Segment we each draft our top three favorite sides and

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00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:45,840
Speaker 5: our first pick is worth two.

303
00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:46,880
Speaker 4: Points we're keeping score.

304
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,440
Speaker 5: Here our other two picks are worth one, point and

305
00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:52,040
Speaker 5: then we'll also get a point if we get our

306
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,240
Speaker 5: favorite total, right which is the segment that will be

307
00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:57,600
Speaker 5: right after this. One last, Week stuck kept his perfect streak,

308
00:13:57,640 --> 00:14:01,120
Speaker 5: alive Winning oakland plus, Seven bill's plus, Seven panthers plus.

309
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,240
Speaker 5: FOUR i actually lost my two POINT kc minus six

310
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,000
Speaker 5: and a, half though they did end up winning that

311
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,480
Speaker 5: game that they had no business. Winning hit On giants

312
00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:12,200
Speaker 5: minus three and of Course bucks plus ten the current

313
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,840
Speaker 5: year to date score on the, Season stuck with a

314
00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:16,320
Speaker 5: thirteen to ten.

315
00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:18,520
Speaker 4: Lead so you can start us.

316
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,280
Speaker 1: Off we got, Well i'm not letting you steal them this,

317
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:25,440
Speaker 1: week so right, AWAY i am grabbing The. Bucks for this,

318
00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:27,880
Speaker 1: contest we will say it's plus, three but for everyone

319
00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,200
Speaker 1: out there, listening wait for a three and a. HALF

320
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,080
Speaker 1: i think you should get. It but if, not you'll

321
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:35,720
Speaker 1: see me better at that plus. Three The saints are

322
00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,240
Speaker 1: two to zero Without. Breeze, great, RIGHT i, mean if

323
00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,360
Speaker 1: they go five hundred Without breeze and he comes, back

324
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:42,320
Speaker 1: they're probably going to the playoffs and they'll be. Happy

325
00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:44,880
Speaker 1: but the way that they've done, IT i, mean let's be.

326
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,720
Speaker 1: Honest they went up To seattle and we're out gained

327
00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,200
Speaker 1: what five hundred TO i don't, know two point Fifty

328
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,520
Speaker 1: bridgewater three for one hundred and seventy. Yards they had

329
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:54,880
Speaker 1: a punt, return they recovered a bunch of. Fumbles last,

330
00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,760
Speaker 1: week they don't score a. Touchdown bridgewater throws for one

331
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:01,680
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety three. Yards they recovered Two dallas. Fumbles you,

332
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,880
Speaker 1: know their yards per play were four point. THREE i

333
00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:06,600
Speaker 1: Think dallas was four point. Eight two. Games they really.

334
00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,800
Speaker 1: Stole they're doing it with smoke and. Mirrors bridgewater just

335
00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:12,720
Speaker 1: looks lost and they're treating it with kids. Gloves and

336
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,360
Speaker 1: the way that you beat The bucks is you throw the.

337
00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:19,520
Speaker 1: Ball The bucks' biggest weakness by far is their corners their.

338
00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:22,280
Speaker 1: Safeties now they should Get Dean, back which you, know

339
00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,800
Speaker 1: the rookie From auburn who could. Help they're also getting

340
00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,080
Speaker 1: another cornerback is gonna help on special. Teams but The

341
00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:30,000
Speaker 1: saints right now Without breeze aren't equipped to take advantage

342
00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,480
Speaker 1: and they're gonna just like they did last week against The.

343
00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:35,200
Speaker 1: Rams Todd bowles is going to bring. Pressure Devin white

344
00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,440
Speaker 1: should play, also that'll help with the speed and getting To,

345
00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,600
Speaker 1: bridgewater And bridgewater is just. Hesitant he's taken a whil

346
00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:42,880
Speaker 1: on his. REEDS i Think peyton knows, that which is

347
00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:44,400
Speaker 1: why they're not really trusting him to throw the ball

348
00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,120
Speaker 1: down the. Field so and, look SO i think that

349
00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:49,720
Speaker 1: they're going to contain This saint's. Office The saints offense

350
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:52,000
Speaker 1: is not built to take advantage of The. Bucks and

351
00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:54,480
Speaker 1: on the other side of the, ball give Me jamis

352
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:56,920
Speaker 1: and then two of the best, receivers two top ten

353
00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 1: receivers right now In evans And godwin against This saint,

354
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 1: secretary which Is jekyl And. Hyde you never know what

355
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:06,040
Speaker 1: you're gonna get with His saints. SECONDARY i know That

356
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:10,160
Speaker 1: Mike evans absolutely Abused lattimore In New orleans last.

357
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,480
Speaker 3: Year i'm expecting a big game out of.

358
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:12,680
Speaker 4: Him.

359
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:15,000
Speaker 1: Now the special teams Does petrov? Me New orleans is

360
00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,080
Speaker 1: excellent special. Teams it's one of the reasons they've been

361
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,160
Speaker 1: winning these Two they've won these two games Without, breeze

362
00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,200
Speaker 1: And tampa's special teams are absolutely.

363
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,400
Speaker 3: Vile they're. Putrid BUT i.

364
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,280
Speaker 1: Just think that this is sort Of, look both teams

365
00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:31,400
Speaker 1: have emotional wins last, week BUT i think this is

366
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,480
Speaker 1: more of a letdown for The, saints who just, oh

367
00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 1: we won two, games we Beat dallas without. BREEZE i

368
00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:40,760
Speaker 1: love The bucks and jamis as a road, dog you,

369
00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:42,840
Speaker 1: know coming into this, spot they've been road warriors this.

370
00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:44,320
Speaker 1: Year who would have figured The bucks are two and

371
00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:46,520
Speaker 1: two with two road wins over The rams And. Panthers

372
00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,600
Speaker 1: give me the points. HERE i think The bucks went

373
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,240
Speaker 1: out right and moved to three and.

374
00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:55,320
Speaker 5: Two it's been a struggle on offense With Teddy bridgewater

375
00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,120
Speaker 5: as far as the you, know just quickly it is

376
00:16:58,160 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 5: actually three and a half in a number of spots

377
00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:02,400
Speaker 5: right now we are seeing if you check the public betting,

378
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,040
Speaker 5: percentages which you can access with an edge subscription on

379
00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:08,040
Speaker 5: actionnetwork dot, com or in the app fifty two percent

380
00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,439
Speaker 5: of the tickets sixty six percent of the money on

381
00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:14,160
Speaker 5: The Tampa bay, Books so that is the sharp. Side

382
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:17,040
Speaker 5: thought it was interesting the total forty seven fifty one

383
00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,160
Speaker 5: percent of the tickets on the, over but only twenty

384
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 5: percent of the.

385
00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:20,800
Speaker 4: Money AND i kind of.

386
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 5: AGREE i think The saints come out and they're going

387
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,720
Speaker 5: to keep the kid gloves On. Bridgewater bridgewater is not

388
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 5: going to take a lot of chances down the, field

389
00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,480
Speaker 5: even though he probably. Should we Saw Josh hill in

390
00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 5: the lineup a, LOT i think, though especially with Tra

391
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:33,960
Speaker 5: Quan smith looks like he's going to be out. AGAIN

392
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,119
Speaker 5: i think they'll run a lot of two tight end.

393
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,199
Speaker 5: Sets they use the fullback zach line. Some So i'm

394
00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 5: probably looking at the under in this football. Game we've

395
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 5: called it last. Week Jameis winston twenty, two seventeen and

396
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:48,520
Speaker 5: two now against the spread in his career as an.

397
00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 5: Underdog Bruce Arians now twenty, five eighteen and one in

398
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:55,800
Speaker 5: his career against the spread as an, Underdog so you,

399
00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,440
Speaker 5: know this is a spot where those guys can get it. Done,

400
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:00,960
Speaker 5: now the one mind blowing number THAT i found, IT

401
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,160
Speaker 5: i almost couldn't believe this WHEN i saw, It Teddy,

402
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:07,359
Speaker 5: bridgewater it's twenty four and seven against the, spread insane

403
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:07,560
Speaker 5: in his.

404
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:08,399
Speaker 4: Career that is.

405
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 5: Insane BUT i mean that's so insane that you almost, think,

406
00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:14,119
Speaker 5: hey this has got to, regress. Right, yeah probably wean

407
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 5: with The bucks as, well BUT i THINK i like

408
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,160
Speaker 5: the under a little bit.

409
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 1: MORE i agree with, you by the WAY i. UNDER

410
00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:21,399
Speaker 1: i just put. BOTH i found a three and a.

411
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,240
Speaker 1: HALF i put both on the. App so we're on

412
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 1: the on the under with you.

413
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 2: There hope you're enjoying this great action network. PODCAST i

414
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,200
Speaker 2: want to make sure you know about the Locked on podcast.

415
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 2: Network locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite.

416
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:34,239
Speaker 2: Team welcome to, You lockdown forty nine.

417
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 3: Ers you are locked on of The dallas.

418
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,480
Speaker 4: Marriage Came, everybody so the locked On lakers Podcast Let's.

419
00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: Go Locked on podcasts are hosted by the local experts

420
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,080
Speaker 2: who know your team better than anyone and give you

421
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,679
Speaker 2: the inside. Scoop so go to your podcast app and

422
00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 2: search locked on your favorite.

423
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:50,840
Speaker 1: Team subscribe to your locked on?

424
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:55,200
Speaker 3: Podcast so how about? You where you going?

425
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 5: First so for my first, Pick i'm going and this

426
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,400
Speaker 5: is a PICK i don't usually, make BUT i do

427
00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:02,520
Speaker 5: like it based on what happened last week where exactly

428
00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 5: WHAT i thought was going to, happen which is The

429
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 5: bills And patriots were going to play an ugly football.

430
00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:11,359
Speaker 5: Game patriots did not end up, Covering bills covered by a.

431
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,400
Speaker 5: Point There, NOW i am backing The patriots as fifteen

432
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 5: point fifteen and a half point favorites against The Washington.

433
00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 4: Redskins and this.

434
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,199
Speaker 5: Is a play BECAUSE i Think patriots coming off two

435
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:25,200
Speaker 5: straight games to, remember they didn't cover against The jets

436
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:30,440
Speaker 5: right as big favorites, exactly SO i think that combined

437
00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 5: with failing to cover last, Week brady playing one of

438
00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:36,320
Speaker 5: his worst games in years in terms of the final stat,

439
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,600
Speaker 5: line you gotta expect that against The sean McDermott, defense

440
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 5: which as you, mentioned doesn't give up a ton of big.

441
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,680
Speaker 4: Plays This washington defense totally.

442
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,639
Speaker 5: DIFFERENT i Think brady can get pretty much any matchup he.

443
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,639
Speaker 5: Wants they can. Get their run game is going to

444
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 5: have an. Advantage This washington team is. Maligned they don't

445
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 5: have the capability on offense to really keep the ball

446
00:19:55,880 --> 00:20:00,359
Speaker 5: away from The. Patriots Adrian, peterson even Day gruden at this,

447
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,639
Speaker 5: Point Adrian peterson's not the. Answer he's been inefficient as

448
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 5: you would expect a thirty four year old behind a

449
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,359
Speaker 5: team with an okay offensive line that tends to get

450
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 5: banged up every, week or whether it's in game or

451
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,200
Speaker 5: they miss games or. Whatnot the public is actually undervaluing

452
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,399
Speaker 5: The patriots or the, MARKET i should, say undervaluing The

453
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,320
Speaker 5: patriots coming off two straight games in which they didn't.

454
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,639
Speaker 5: Cover if you look back In Tom brady's, career coming

455
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 5: off and against the spread, loss he is fifty two

456
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,199
Speaker 5: and thirty one sixty three percent hit rate against the,

457
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:32,439
Speaker 5: spread including thirty one and sixteen as a, visitor that

458
00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 5: is a sixty six percent hit. RATE i wouldn't be

459
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 5: surprised if The patriots blank The redskins in this. Game

460
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 5: the fact That Dwayne haskins comes in the game takes

461
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 5: over for Case, keenum who is, INJURED i, guess quote,

462
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,919
Speaker 5: unquote and now it's like he's not even guaranteed to

463
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:49,720
Speaker 5: start the next.

464
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 4: Week now we're talking About colt.

465
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:55,680
Speaker 5: McCoy you, know there's kind of this three man albatross going.

466
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 5: On it's just a bad look For. Washington interestingly, enough

467
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 5: you usually DON'T i like to take these big favorites

468
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:05,199
Speaker 5: road favorites favored by more than two touchdowns but less than,

469
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,399
Speaker 5: seventeen so fourteen and a half to sixteen and a

470
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 5: half five and zero against the spread since two thousand

471
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 5: and five according to Bet. Labs so not my usual

472
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:15,240
Speaker 5: type of. Pick BUT i think this is just a smash,

473
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 5: spot get right spot for The New England.

474
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:20,640
Speaker 1: Patriots, YEAH i mean road favorites of fourteen or more

475
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 1: just in, general or six and one against the spread

476
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 1: since two thousand and. Three pats have four of those

477
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,200
Speaker 1: seven games they're three and. One BUT i have rule

478
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:29,920
Speaker 1: of thumb THAT i, follow AND i can't get over

479
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 1: double digit road.

480
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 3: Favorites i'd never almost never played. Them you will.

481
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 1: Hardly ever ever ever see me playing double digit road.

482
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 1: Favorites so ten or more are thirty six and forty

483
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 1: seven against the spreads in two thousand and, three about

484
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 1: forty three, percent and that includes two and oh this

485
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 1: year against The, dolphins which you know they are an

486
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 1: anomaly as far as how bad they. Are but IF

487
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 1: i had to play, THIS i probably would could play The.

488
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 1: PATRIOTS i just prefer the. Under i've been saying The

489
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,159
Speaker 1: Patriots dolphins is not as good this. Year this is

490
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 1: a defensive, team this is you, know the early two Thousands,

491
00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:00,479
Speaker 1: patriots especially If Josh gordon has banged, up you, know are,

492
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 1: wrapped his knees. Hurt Now edelman's banged, Up they're all

493
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 1: their offensive, Line devlin's. HURT i, mean the offense just

494
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 1: is not the. Same, yeah they beat up on some

495
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: awful teams early in the, season but this is a defensive.

496
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 1: TEAM i don't know how The skins. SCORE i, mean

497
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 1: like you, said they can't run the ball and they're

498
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,679
Speaker 1: playing against three elite, corners and some metrics say that

499
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 1: their passing offense has actually been the worst THE, nfl

500
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 1: worse than The. Dolphins SO i don't know how they.

501
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: Score maybe some fluke, plays BUT i just prefer the.

502
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: Under the best player on The redskins right now is an.

503
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 1: Underplayer Tress way leads THE nfl in net punt. Yard

504
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 1: it's a forty eight and a, half so that helps

505
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,639
Speaker 1: you under two when The redskins are hopefully not throwing

506
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 1: pick sixes or punting. It we're punning at fifty yards at,

507
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 1: Least SO i agree with. That It's patriots are nothing.

508
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,960
Speaker 1: Here This redskins team is a dumpster fire under forty

509
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: three and a half for, ME i still like it

510
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:52,639
Speaker 1: at forty two and a, half BUT i would agree with.

511
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 1: You patriots are nothing there.

512
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,400
Speaker 5: And to your, Point New england on the, road they're

513
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 5: unders nineteen and seven since the start of twenty. Sixteen

514
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 5: the market always thinks That brady and forgets the fact

515
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 5: that this team has a good defense. Too my one,

516
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,640
Speaker 5: trepidation they're, like, yeah they were banged it last, week

517
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,879
Speaker 5: but they also were against The. Bills they actually have

518
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 5: a good collection of skill. Players SO i think The

519
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,640
Speaker 5: patriots score at will in this. GAME i wouldn't be surprised, if,

520
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 5: like if there is indeed a pick six or something

521
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 5: like you mentioned that The patriots could. Cover this is

522
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 5: the overall by. Themselves love The. Patriots who you got

523
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:23,160
Speaker 5: for your next.

524
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: PICK i was on The bills last. WEEK i love their,

525
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 1: defense but we're going against them this.

526
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:27,880
Speaker 3: Week with The.

527
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:32,199
Speaker 1: Titans tits minus three at, home The bills are in

528
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,360
Speaker 1: for a, big big emotional letdown after that almost. Whin

529
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 1: they're almost going to four to zho in first. Place

530
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: now they're going To. Tennessee tennessee lost up there last

531
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 1: year by one thirteen to twelve in the ugly. Game

532
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 1: this could be ugly as. Well every point is at a.

533
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 1: Premium i'm taking three for the contest that you saw

534
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 1: in the. APP i actually put in a money on

535
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,159
Speaker 1: parlay with The. CHIEFS i think this is you, know,

536
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 1: look Did titans Get taylor of the wand, back which

537
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 1: is gonna help They they were their thirty second their

538
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: offensive line and Adjusted Zachray mario has been hit a.

539
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 1: Ton the one thing That bill's defense doesn't really do

540
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,439
Speaker 1: is get after the. Quarterback you know their. Ends Jerry

541
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 1: hughes sometimes will be matched up With lewan but if

542
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 1: you look at all of Their Austin, SACARY i think

543
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,159
Speaker 1: last or second to last in THE. Nfl they're not

544
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 1: going to get anything deep on. Them we said that

545
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 1: with The, patriots BUT i Think mariota's with his legs

546
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: and some short passing in an ugly. ONE i trust

547
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: their offense a little bit more than This bill's, Offense

548
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: SO i still don't trust And Josh, allen who makes

549
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,639
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff happen with his legs for that,

550
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 1: offense he might not, play and he's in stage. Four

551
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 1: the concussion protocol was out, there but far from a.

552
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 1: Guarantee and then you Have Matt barkley and it's not

553
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 1: That Matt barkley his throwing ability is that much worse Than,

554
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:44,120
Speaker 1: alan but he doesn't have anything in the legs. Department and,

555
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 1: LOOK i always say this is undervalued in the.

556
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 3: Market.

557
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,679
Speaker 1: Punting the punting will be huge in this. Game it,

558
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 1: almost you, know basically cost The bills the game last.

559
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 1: Week they had a punt block for a. Touchdown The

560
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,680
Speaker 1: bills punting is so. BAD i WISH i could take

561
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: ten minutes and explain all their punts this, year BUT i.

562
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 3: Can't just know that they're.

563
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 1: AVERAGING i, Said trustway is averaging forty eight and a

564
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 1: half yards net per. Punt The bills are at thirty.

565
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 1: One they can't punt. It This Cory, BOJORQUEZ i don't

566
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 1: know how to pronounce his, name is. Atrocious The titans

567
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: have a really good. PUNTER i think the fuel position

568
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 1: in this game on the road is.

569
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 3: Going to be.

570
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 1: Huge so give me The titans at. Home kind of

571
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: righted the ship last week In atlanta over The bills

572
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 1: and an ugly.

573
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 5: One, yeah and this is another one where the sharp

574
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 5: money is on The. Titan fifty four percent of the,

575
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:33,360
Speaker 5: tickets seventy one percent of the dollars wagered On tennessee

576
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 5: as far as the total goes thirty eight and a,

577
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 5: half sixty five percent of the tickets on the under,

578
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 5: here but only twenty five percent of the.

579
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,639
Speaker 1: Money there's some sharp money out there that will always

580
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 1: play these really low totals. Over you, know it only

581
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 1: takes a fluke player two to get it. Over but

582
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: LIKE i said, before if for whatever Reason Josh allen

583
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: is anounced out and this goes three and a, half

584
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 1: don't lay three and a half because every point in this,

585
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 1: game the load scoring game is so throw no money,

586
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: line parlay with The chiefs who will get to.

587
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 5: Later. YEAH i think the WAY i would approach this

588
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,919
Speaker 5: game IS i would bet it live and IF i

589
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,880
Speaker 5: see The titan struggle to open the, GAME i WOULD

590
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 5: i would kind of shy away from back and then

591
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,120
Speaker 5: Because tennessee and kind of to your, point they've been

592
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 5: Without lan number thirty one in early down pass success,

593
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 5: Rate buffalo number three on, Defense tennessee relies And Marcus

594
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 5: mariota relies on scheme plays early in games to kind

595
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 5: of get it take get an, advantage And buffalo is

596
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 5: going to probably sit back and they're not going to

597
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 5: pressure him too. Much but if, that if whatever they

598
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 5: draw up doesn't, work i'd be worried About tennessee in this.

599
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,040
Speaker 5: Game if it, Does i'd be confident that they can

600
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 5: kind of close the. Deal for my next, PICK i

601
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:48,399
Speaker 5: am going with The Pittsburgh steelers at home three and

602
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 5: a half point. DOG i know you don't like, Them,

603
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 5: stuck BUT i actually like them a. Lot one of

604
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,719
Speaker 5: the reasons is everyone got really down on The steelers

605
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,359
Speaker 5: after the first three games of the. Season they opened

606
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:01,199
Speaker 5: oho and. Three but you gotta look at the teams they.

607
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 5: Played they played The New England, patriots they played The

608
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 5: San francisco forty Nine, ers and they played The Seattle.

609
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:07,160
Speaker 4: Seahawks those are the three.

610
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 5: Losses The patriots, undefeated the forty Nine ers, undefeated and

611
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 5: The seahawks three and.

612
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 4: One that's ten and.

613
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 5: One they played teams that have been a combined ten

614
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 5: and one before dismantling The, bengals as they should.

615
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 4: Have BUT i thought That.

616
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 5: Randy, fickner the offensive, coordinator called probably his best game

617
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 5: in terms of. COORDINATING i think That Mason, rudolph you,

618
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 5: know everyone's kind of down on, him by the, Way

619
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 5: he's got six touchdowns two picks and yeah he's thinking

620
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 5: and dunking a, little but it's game plan.

621
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:36,639
Speaker 4: Specific he went twenty four of twenty.

622
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 5: EIGHT i think that will evolve into different type of

623
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 5: game plans as the season, progresses depending on the, opponent

624
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 5: as he gets more.

625
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:44,600
Speaker 4: Comfortable AND i think This.

626
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,159
Speaker 5: Baltimore, TEAM i think we were overrating them a little

627
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 5: bit based on Destroying, miami Destroying, arizona and because remember

628
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 5: it's not just that they don't even Destroy. Arizona they Beat,

629
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 5: ARIZONA i should, say but not just overrating them because

630
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 5: of those two. Games remember back last, Season Lamar jackson's first,

631
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 5: START i think it was against The.

632
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 4: Bucks it was like The bucks or The raiders or.

633
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 5: Somebody but they played The, bucks The, raiders The, bengals

634
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,119
Speaker 5: everyone he played against on defense EXCEPT i think the

635
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 5: playoff game against The chargers and won in the regular, season.

636
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 4: Bottom twenty five team IN dvoa on.

637
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 5: Defense he has played an incredibly easy schedule throughout HIS nfl,

638
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 5: career and we're starting to see a little bit of

639
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 5: slippage against some of the better teams in the league

640
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 5: that can score points going back the other. Way SO

641
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 5: i don't think That baltimore should be a three and.

642
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 4: A half point road favorite in the.

643
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 5: Spot you, know MAYBE i think three is a little

644
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 5: fairer BECAUSE i don't think there's too much difference between

645
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 5: these Season AND i Think Ben. Roethlisberger everyone looks at

646
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 5: it is a big, downbreade But Ben roethlisberger was outside

647
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 5: the top thirty in adjusted completion percentage PER. Pff that

648
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 5: essentially accounts for, drops throwaways and. Everything it's how accurate

649
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 5: you are delivering the.

650
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 4: FOOTBALL a lot has been.

651
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 5: Made you, Know Antonio brown uncatchable balls last, Year Ben,

652
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 5: roethlisberger this was his mo throwing uncatchable. Passes Mason rudolph

653
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 5: is in the top twelve thus far this.

654
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 4: Year he's going to put the ball on the.

655
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 5: MONEY i think that The steelers can kind of win

656
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 5: an ugly, one And mike tom win in his, career

657
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 5: this is a spot where the market tends to undervalue.

658
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 5: Him he is thirty and seventeen with two, pushes sixty

659
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 5: two percent against the spread in his career as an,

660
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 5: Underdog SO i think this will be a close.

661
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 4: GAME i think this will be an ugly.

662
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,480
Speaker 5: One but If i'm getting three and a half With

663
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 5: pittsburgh at home after coming off losing to three teams

664
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 5: that were a combined ten and.

665
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 4: One i'm taking.

666
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 1: YEAH i, mean, look The. Ravens Brandon williams should be.

667
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: Back that was huge against The browns last. Week he didn't.

668
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 1: Play he's their entire run. Defense last time he didn't.

669
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 1: PLAY i think against The bears two years, ago The

670
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 1: bears run for like two to eighty In, baltimore an overtime.

671
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 1: Win he should be. Back Jimmy smith doesn't look like.

672
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: It he's still. Questionable they really need him in their pass,

673
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 1: defense BUT i don't think necessarily this week they.

674
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 3: Do Because Mason, Rudolph He's Teddy.

675
00:29:56,440 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 1: Bridgewater Teddy bridgewater is averaging three point four yard depth

676
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: of target on. Average that's last in THE. Nfl tied

677
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 1: With Mason. Rudolph he is. Captain, Checkdown Charlie, checkdown call

678
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 1: him whatever you. Want they don't throw the ball down.

679
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: Field that's how you beat The. Ravens right, Now Earl

680
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: thomas had a quote and, said, look this defense is really.

681
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: Complex it's a lot different Than seattle when all we

682
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 1: did was play cover three and you're seeing all the

683
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: miscommunication and their back. End But The steelers aren't throwing

684
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 1: the ball down, Field they're just checking it. Down The

685
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 1: ravens have an excellent run defense When williams is in.

686
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: THERE i think the battle in the trenches is about

687
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 1: even two really good. TRENCHES i don't trust THE i

688
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 1: don't trust The steelers. LINEBACKERS i don't trust their. Secondary

689
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 1: But i'm not laying three three and a. Half i'll

690
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 1: just Telling i'm not betting the. GAME i make the

691
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 1: game right around three three and a. Half this is

692
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 1: a game WHERE i always tell people it's gonna end

693
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 1: a field.

694
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 3: Goal mark my.

695
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 1: Words we have this. Recorded ravens win by a field.

696
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 1: Goal the underdog in this, series by the, way is

697
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: nineteen ten and. Three underdog's done. Well twenty one of

698
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: the thirty two games since two thousand and three decided

699
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: by one. Possession sixteen of the thirty two have been

700
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 1: decided by three points or. Less sixteen half the fucking

701
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 1: games three points are. Less THE nfl average three is

702
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 1: a key numbers like ten.

703
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 3: Percent that's.

704
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,239
Speaker 1: Huge the hook heard it here, First ravens win by

705
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 1: a field. Goal he seems are just really familiar with each.

706
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 1: Other the coaches have been there Forever tomlin And. Harball

707
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 1: they know each other really. Well The ravens defense is

708
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 1: still figuring some things out captain, checkdown and The steelers

709
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 1: will do some. Things this game will be, close so

710
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 1: we'll just find a way to be, close as usually.

711
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 5: Does So i'll give you one final thing to think

712
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 5: about and then you can jump right into your next.

713
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 5: Pick but you mentioned the captain. CHECKDOWN i think it's

714
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 5: game plan. Specific he will be able to throw the

715
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 5: ball down the field because he's still ACCURATE i think

716
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 5: when he does.

717
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 4: It and just to to use.

718
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 5: Your bridgewater, Comparison Teddy bridgewater as A, saint AND i,

719
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 5: agree they're both checking it. Down as A saint three

720
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 5: touchdown passes in one hundred and ten attempts and that's

721
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 5: with good, players you. Know on The New Orleans, Saints

722
00:31:56,480 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 5: Mason rudolph only seventy four career attempts already double with

723
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 5: the amount of touchdown. Passes SO i Think Mason rudolph

724
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 5: is doing. It but it's within the scheme and it's.

725
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 5: Effective bridgewater not as.

726
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 1: Much all, Right, Well i'll give him my next. Pick

727
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 1: you can go buy Your Mason rudolph. Jersey i'm gonna

728
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 1: go once again with The Kyle Allen show and. People

729
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 1: this is some taking minus three and a half, here

730
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 1: but you don't see it on the app, yet WHICH

731
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 1: i just said about how many games end on.

732
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 3: Three i'm waiting for.

733
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 1: Three if it doesn't, come probably still play, it maybe

734
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: throwing the money nine. PARLAY i will be on The

735
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 1: panthers in some shape or form for this. Contest they're

736
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 1: my third pick The Kyle Allen. Show why WOULD i

737
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: not go back to The panthers. Again they've cashed me

738
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 1: for the last two. Weeks this defense is, criminally criminally.

739
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 1: Underrated Dante jackson And James, bradbury they've with top twenty

740
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: coverage grades if two top twenty. Corners their secondary is

741
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 1: playing so well as a. Whole you Heard Deshaun watson

742
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 1: talk about. It and they'll go into a lot of

743
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 1: different zones and they're capable playing some man underneath and.

744
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 3: They can get.

745
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 1: PRESSURE i love this. Defense you, Know Gardner minshew's been,

746
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,520
Speaker 1: great but you, know let's be let's be honest. Here

747
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 1: they lost to The, texans Who i'm really low, on

748
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 1: and then they beat The broncos at the last, second

749
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: and now you, know second straight road game coming from.

750
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 1: ALTITUDE i think this is low, scoring which is why

751
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 1: the three is. IMPORTANT i kind of like the under,

752
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 1: two BUT i think The panthers are better on the

753
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: offensive and defensive, lines AND i think that they can Without.

754
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 1: RAMSEY i don't think it's going to. Play maybe he's

755
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 1: being traded For. DIGGS i don't know that's the latest.

756
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 1: Rumor this secondary is vulnerable and if you look at

757
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 1: the a lot of advanced, metrics they really haven't. Played you,

758
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 1: know too many teams that can give protection to a

759
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 1: quarterback to exploit it Without, ramsey AND i think that

760
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 1: The panthers are going to hit a few more deep

761
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 1: shots Than Jacksonville. KEN i don't Think jackson's gonna be

762
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,800
Speaker 1: able to run the. BALL i think This Carter minshew

763
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:44,560
Speaker 1: love has gone a little too. Far Kyle Allen show

764
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 1: continues At home this week In. Carolina after The panthers

765
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 1: went on the road and save their, season Start ozer

766
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 1: and two at. HOME i said, IT i, said they

767
00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: need to get. Away this is the best thing for.

768
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,480
Speaker 1: Him Cam newton's. Out Kyle, allen a guy who could

769
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: throw it, downfield is in two wins on the. Road

770
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: they come back, home crowd'll be. LIVE i think The

771
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 1: panthers get the, win you.

772
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 5: Know to your, POINT i mean The panthers might have

773
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 5: saved their season When Cam newton sprained his foot in

774
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,319
Speaker 5: the preseason because without that and without him struggling so,

775
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 5: MUCH i don't know If Kyle allen's in there and

776
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:17,879
Speaker 5: now they're gonna, say, hey we're not going to Bring

777
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 5: cam back to he's one hundred percent. Healthy If Kyle

778
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 5: allen continues to play, WELL i could see The panthers

779
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:26,920
Speaker 5: quote unquote Shutting cam down so they can Keep allen

780
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:28,760
Speaker 5: in these football.

781
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:29,240
Speaker 4: Games as their starting.

782
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 5: Quarterback because you, know sixty four percent of the, tickets

783
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 5: seventy percent of the money is On. Jacksonville i'm not

784
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 5: reading too much into that BECAUSE i think you, know

785
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 5: when you see sixty four percent of the, tickets it's you,

786
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 5: know it could just be some people.

787
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 4: That liked it that on a trendy underdog driving it.

788
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,240
Speaker 5: UP i don't necessarily think that's a sharp just yet

789
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 5: the total you kind of hit on it forty one right,

790
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 5: now fifty four percent of the, tickets seventy nine percent

791
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 5: of the money on the Under so that is the

792
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 5: sharper play in this. GAME i would wait for that

793
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 5: three and wouldn't wait a three and a half, though

794
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 5: Because Ron rivera as between a three and seven point home,

795
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 5: favorite just eight and sixteen in his career against the Spread,

796
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:10,239
Speaker 5: jacksonville they tend to cover as underdogs under. Moroone they're

797
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 5: thirteen seven and two against the spread as an underdog Under.

798
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 5: Moroon SO i think if you like The panthers in this,

799
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:19,839
Speaker 5: game you still really want that three number. There i'm

800
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 5: gonna move on to my last, pick and that is

801
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 5: going to be and it's probably a little contrarian because

802
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 5: it doesn't look Like DeVante adams is going to. Go

803
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:27,720
Speaker 5: But i'm Taking Green bay plus three and a half

804
00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 5: against The Dallas. Cowboys right, now we are seeing sixty

805
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 5: percent of the tickets seventy three percent of the money

806
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 5: on The. Packers the totals forty seven in that. Game

807
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 5: money and tickets about split.

808
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 4: There BUT i.

809
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:42,239
Speaker 5: Think That dallas got exposed a little bit By New.

810
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 5: Orleans they should have been able to take more advantage of.

811
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,240
Speaker 5: That Kellen moore kind of got a as offensive, coordinator

812
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 5: kind of got a wake up.

813
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 4: Call welcome to THE nfl, call and let's be.

814
00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 5: Honest dallas, first three, weeks they play The giants WITH,

815
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 5: eli they play The, redskins and they play The Miami,

816
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 5: dolphins three of the worst team in the, league at

817
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 5: least The GIANT eli version worst teams in the. League

818
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 5: and then they struggle against The, saints team that they

819
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 5: should have, beat to be.

820
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,879
Speaker 4: Honest so this is A dallas.

821
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:10,319
Speaker 5: Team THAT i think is still a little bit more

822
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 5: similar to the one we've seen these last couple of

823
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 5: years than this offensive, juggernaut you, know just because they

824
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 5: got the new. Coordinator AND i think this Green bay,

825
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:20,880
Speaker 5: defensive as you alluded to, stuff is vastly. IMPROVED i

826
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 5: know they struggled a bit on the short, week BUT

827
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,440
Speaker 5: i think overall this is a much improved. Defense it

828
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:29,240
Speaker 5: starts with those Safeties Amos. Savage you, Know Mike. Petton

829
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,319
Speaker 5: when he has guys like that protecting the back, end

830
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 5: his young corners are coming along really well and can

831
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 5: kind of hold up in some single. Coverage you, Know

832
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 5: Green bay is going to be able to keep it.

833
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:39,759
Speaker 5: Close and it just strikes me as another one of

834
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 5: these games with a field. GOAL i like the fact, that,

835
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 5: yeah they're not Losing adams in the middle of like

836
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 5: a red zone. Drive because that if that was Like Aaron,

837
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 5: rodgers you, know kind of winging it on the red,

838
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 5: zone because there were reports, that, hey you, know Well

839
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 5: flor's calling the, players But Aaron rodgers still kind of

840
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:54,680
Speaker 5: gets a little bit of free, reign you, know in

841
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:56,919
Speaker 5: the red. Zone if that was his red zone play

842
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 5: calling For Aaron, rodgers like that Was oh my, god

843
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,359
Speaker 5: was that bad last? WEEK i mean at one point

844
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 5: he just threw away they threw away a.

845
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 4: Plate at one. Point it was. BAD i think this

846
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 4: week they'll fix some of those.

847
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 5: Issues they have kind of a week to prepare to

848
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 5: be Without adams and well more than, that because they've

849
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 5: been you, know they played On. Thursday SO i Think

850
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:17,719
Speaker 5: Green bay bounces. BACK i think they have a shot

851
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 5: at winning this football. Game BUT i do think they.

852
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 5: Cover Aaron rodgers in his career coming off and against

853
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 5: the spread loss is thirty five twenty one one sixty

854
00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 5: three percent against the spread in his next, game including

855
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:33,719
Speaker 5: fifteen to ten on the, road six and two as a,

856
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 5: underdog and four and two as a road.

857
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 3: Underdog, YEAH i THINK i would lean this.

858
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 1: WAY i, MEAN i think the biggest key the Green bay.

859
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 1: SECONDARY i love they can get pressure one of theres

860
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:46,759
Speaker 1: ONLY i think like three or four teams that have

861
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,240
Speaker 1: two edge rushers in the top twenty in THE nfl

862
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 1: and pressures that The vikings are up there With hunter And.

863
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:56,160
Speaker 1: Griffin you have Two saints up, there and then you

864
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,720
Speaker 1: have Two packers with the Two. Smiths now to worry

865
00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:01,759
Speaker 1: with The packers is their run. Defense and you saw

866
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,880
Speaker 1: that exposed against The. Eagles to our pep talk, work

867
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 1: they actually started running forward and against the Dominant dallas offensive.

868
00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:13,319
Speaker 1: Line that's the. Concern But, smith no, Time, Smith, yeah that's,

869
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: good those are to go. Next, No Tyron smith And

870
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: Lyle collins didn't practice today with a hurt backer hit or,

871
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 1: something so he might not even. Go so then all

872
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: THE i, mean there are the two. Tackles all of

873
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 1: a sudden they were at practice today running with the.

874
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 1: Ones where an absolute. Joke so all of a, sudden

875
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 1: this offensive line goes from and everything starts with this offense,

876
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 1: line their play, action their run. Game so Now i'm

877
00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 1: not as concerned with. That and, look The packers had

878
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 1: extra prep and. Rest they played On thursday, night WHICH

879
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 1: i think is really important for this. Team you, saw you,

880
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 1: know the their offense started to break out a little

881
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: bit against The, eagles but it just Needs they need.

882
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 1: Time they need to work on, things they need to

883
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 1: look at, film they need to figure things. Out SO

884
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 1: i think those couple extra days of preparation can help.

885
00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 1: Them i'm not gonna be on the same siety CAUSE

886
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 1: i tease The, packers so BUT i do lean that

887
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 1: way and taking The packers, here that's a little teaser

888
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: for my teaser.

889
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 5: And that'll do it for our against the spread picks

890
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 5: for this week on Our sunday six. Pack, now let's

891
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:19,279
Speaker 5: get into our weekly favorite over under.

892
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 4: Segment last, week how do we? DO i THINK i

893
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 4: mine hit with The. Bills did you have The bucks

894
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:25,799
Speaker 4: game or did you have a.

895
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: Different one No Ether? Bucks, yeah you hit AND i.

896
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 1: Didn't that was last.

897
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 4: Week let's get right into. It we got this week.

898
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: Stuff i'm Going i'll keep this.

899
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 1: Brief i'm going with The Falcons texans over The texans. Offense,

900
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: Look i've been fading. IT i haven't lost a bet

901
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 1: on The texans this. Year very kind to. ME i

902
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 1: faded against The panthers and THEN i had the under

903
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 1: against The chargers as. WELL i Think i've gone under

904
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 1: in three. Straight that under was kind of lucky in The,

905
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 1: chargers BUT i think their offense now breaks out against

906
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 1: This falcons, defense which is you, know their week at.

907
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: Safety you, Know true is a decent. Corner they're not

908
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 1: gonna get a ton of. Pressure jared is banged. Up

909
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,759
Speaker 1: this defense is just is and the way they play,

910
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:10,319
Speaker 1: there they're gonna play a ton Of cover. Three you're

911
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:14,280
Speaker 1: gonna be able to Get hopkins. Deep all these. RECEIVERS

912
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 1: i know they're a little banged, up but this is

913
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:19,760
Speaker 1: the defense That houston's offense needs to play to break.

914
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: Out it is not a you, Know panthers defense with

915
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 1: a solid secondary and they're gonna be able to bring.

916
00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 1: Pressure it's not The jaguars who just give them their

917
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:31,840
Speaker 1: offensive line nightmares with all the. PRESSURE i know the

918
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 1: receivers a little banged, up BUT i think they're all

919
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 1: going to. Play they have tons of depth. There they're

920
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 1: gonna have a huge. Day and the other side of the,

921
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 1: ball this is The falcons have been an absolute. TRAINER

922
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: i think this is a good spot for them to

923
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: get away from home after that embarrassing loss and lost

924
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 1: To indy and they lost at home To. TENNESSEE i

925
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:51,280
Speaker 1: think that this is a good spot for that offense

926
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 1: against the secondary THAT i do not trust at. All

927
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: now there's questions about the offensive. Line ryan's gonna have

928
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 1: to get the ball. Quick they. Don't they can't really

929
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 1: run the ball at. All Alex mack is questionable something to,

930
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 1: watch but he started like seventy straight. Games some confident will.

931
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:06,319
Speaker 1: PLAY i think both of them are going to hit

932
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:08,400
Speaker 1: some big plays down the. Field this is gonna be

933
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 1: like a wide receiver star, showcase you. KNOW i Think

934
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 1: jones is gonna have a big. Day hops is gon

935
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:15,480
Speaker 1: a big. DAY i haven't been buying The houston offense

936
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 1: all year after week one back on it this. WEEK

937
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:20,160
Speaker 1: i think they have a big day and Then atlanta.

938
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 1: ANSWERS i Think houston ends up. WINNING i think it's

939
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 1: gonna be a close. Game and this is your shootout

940
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 1: of the.

941
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:24,320
Speaker 3: WEEK.

942
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 4: Yep the total currently at forty.

943
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:28,200
Speaker 5: Nine and this is why you got to subscribe to

944
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:30,640
Speaker 5: That action Network edge because a lot of sites will

945
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 5: show you that the betting, percentages but no one else

946
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 5: really shows you where the money is. Going so those,

947
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:37,879
Speaker 5: three you, know all those unders For, houston fifty three

948
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 5: percent of the public going under forty. Nine here only

949
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 5: nineteen percent of the money eighty one percent of the

950
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 5: money on the over in this, game despite more than

951
00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 5: half of the tickets on the. Under so that is

952
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 5: the sharp side in this great N this.

953
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:50,279
Speaker 3: Is a good fantasy game for.

954
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:51,920
Speaker 1: YOU i Think i'm not a fantasy, answer BUT i

955
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,000
Speaker 1: feel like there's gonna be some some big wide receiver points.

956
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 5: Here oh, yeah this IS i Have Julio jones And

957
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,359
Speaker 5: DeAndre hopkins ranked as my number one and nonumber two

958
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 5: fantasy wideous this week as Their Shawn. Corner that's our

959
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 5: consensus With Matthew. Freedman you can check that out On

960
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 5: action network dot. Com be sure to check out The

961
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 5: Fantasy flex, podcast which comes out Every wednesday on this,

962
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:13,800
Speaker 5: channel where we talk a lot more about. That for

963
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:17,359
Speaker 5: my over, UNDER i am going with The New York

964
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 5: Giant Minnesota viking. UNDER i got it at forty five

965
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:22,520
Speaker 5: and is currently at forty. FOUR i would still bet

966
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,920
Speaker 5: it at anything above forty three and a. Half this,

967
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 5: Listen Mike zimmer when he takes his team on the,

968
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,279
Speaker 5: road they're going to show up on.

969
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 4: Defense they.

970
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 5: Are the under is twenty six fifteen to one With

971
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:35,480
Speaker 5: zimmer coaching The.

972
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 4: Vikings when they take the show on the. Road The

973
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,240
Speaker 4: New York, giants.

974
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 5: Despite two of the league's worst defenses last, week played

975
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 5: a twenty four to three game Against. Washington they did

976
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 5: do some different things scheme, wise played a lot of

977
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 5: seven defensive back in this. GAME i don't think they'll

978
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:52,800
Speaker 5: have to do that because The vikings aren't going to

979
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 5: throw a. TON i do think The vikings come out

980
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 5: and try to throw it a little more Because Adam

981
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,080
Speaker 5: thiewen is the squeaky weel at this, point he essentially

982
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 5: slandered there their lack of pass game prowess to the,

983
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 5: media so you know he's gonna kind Of they're gonna

984
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:06,880
Speaker 5: try to massage that and get him the football and

985
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 5: get him. Going but even If minnesota comes out aggressively

986
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:11,360
Speaker 5: and throws the ball in The giants and score some,

987
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 5: points WHICH i think they, CAN i think once they

988
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 5: get a wee they're going to they're still going to

989
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 5: run the.

990
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 4: Football that's what that's been there In.

991
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 5: Mo devin cut playing like one of the top three

992
00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 5: four backs in the league right. Now listen the fact

993
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,839
Speaker 5: that The giants only scored twenty four On washington and

994
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,560
Speaker 5: the fact That Daniel jones had more interceptions and touchdowns

995
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 5: against That washington defense is concerning for me when going

996
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,239
Speaker 5: up against This minnesota. Unit, that, yeah they lost a

997
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 5: bad game to The bears last, week they.

998
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 4: Still and gave up.

999
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:38,560
Speaker 5: Sixteen not a game WHERE i would expect a lot

1000
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 5: of points even with The giants bad, defense because just

1001
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,000
Speaker 5: of the way these two teams are going to play.

1002
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,440
Speaker 1: Football you could Blame, cousins AND i do. AGREE i

1003
00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:48,240
Speaker 1: think they're going to get deal on And digs involved

1004
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,239
Speaker 1: a little more this. Week If jigs is even. There

1005
00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: he didn't show up the practice. Today some people are

1006
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,880
Speaker 1: saying he's being traded For. RAMSEY i don't, know but

1007
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 1: you know their offensive line is a trading, wreck SO

1008
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: i Mean bradbury in the, middle their, guards everything's. Awful,

1009
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 1: WELL i don't think that The giants can necessarily take

1010
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:05,279
Speaker 1: advantage of that like The bears obviously or some other.

1011
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:06,640
Speaker 3: Teams but, yeah they're.

1012
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 1: Still going to run. It and then on the other

1013
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 1: side of the, BALL i agree with. You there's one

1014
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 1: thing That zimmer could, do and that scheme up different

1015
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 1: pressure and confusing. Looks shermer was his offensive. COORDINATOR i

1016
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,319
Speaker 1: think he's familiar with What shermer wants to. Do but,

1017
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:22,280
Speaker 1: Regardless Daniel jones young, quarterback you Have hunter And griffin

1018
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:24,160
Speaker 1: WHO i think are going to get tons of. Pressure

1019
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 1: you're not going to See jones have too much success

1020
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 1: in this.

1021
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:26,759
Speaker 3: GAME i.

1022
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 5: Agree, yeah and right now, Again zimmer unders twenty six

1023
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 5: fifteen to one on the road right, now sixty eight

1024
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:37,240
Speaker 5: percent of the, tickets ninety four percent of the. Money

1025
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 5: so still some large bets coming in on the under

1026
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:43,080
Speaker 5: in this football, game and you kind of hit on.

1027
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 3: It.

1028
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:48,120
Speaker 5: Stuck the offensive line, struggles pressure young quarterback leads the

1029
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:52,880
Speaker 5: sacks on both, sides and sacks kill, drives they forced, punts,

1030
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,200
Speaker 5: holdings exactly what we want for these unders to. Hit

1031
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,640
Speaker 5: so with, that it is time for our weekly.

1032
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:05,839
Speaker 4: Tease oh, yeah six point. Teasers this segment we give

1033
00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 4: our favorite six point two team.

1034
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:11,759
Speaker 5: Teaser teaser essentially means you get six extra points to

1035
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,480
Speaker 5: work with for your picks to cover in exchange for

1036
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 5: a slightly reduced.

1037
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 4: Payout so last.

1038
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:21,319
Speaker 5: Week minnesota at both of us down even teasing them

1039
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 5: to plus eight five Stuck. Baltimore, also Your ravens kind

1040
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 5: of had a let down. Game did not cover that

1041
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:31,880
Speaker 5: at plus half a, Point AND i did hit with

1042
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:34,839
Speaker 5: The saints at plus eight, five but still the two

1043
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:36,840
Speaker 5: teamer obviously wouldn't pay out anything because you got to.

1044
00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:40,239
Speaker 4: Hit both of your. Picks so, wait we got this week.

1045
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 1: Stuck, yeah that was my first losing teas of the.

1046
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 1: Year this is the worst teaser week of the. Year

1047
00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 1: there's not many options to tease through three and. Seven

1048
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,680
Speaker 1: there's only one teas THAT i considered THAT i played

1049
00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:53,920
Speaker 1: small that you'll see come through on the. APP i

1050
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 1: mentioned the first piece, already that's the packers teasing them

1051
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: up over. Seven so the next best thing if you can't,

1052
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: tease you, know the package are, three three and a

1053
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: half depending on where you. Look so if you can't

1054
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 1: tease through a three and a, seven so ideally you're

1055
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 1: teasing a two and a half point dog up through

1056
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,560
Speaker 1: a three and a, seven you, know the next best

1057
00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:12,759
Speaker 1: thing is teasing you, know a three or three and

1058
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,200
Speaker 1: a half point dog up through four through six through.

1059
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:18,040
Speaker 1: Seven so that's What i'm doing here in a game

1060
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 1: THAT i think will be. CLOSE i do like. THAT

1061
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:22,600
Speaker 1: i think you said you'd like the. UNDER i do

1062
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,399
Speaker 1: like the under there as, Well Tyron smith being out as.

1063
00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: HUGE i think The Green bay offense is slowly starting

1064
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 1: to show some. Signs you, know Without adams, though it's

1065
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 1: just not as Explosive dallas. Offense without that strong offensive,

1066
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:37,839
Speaker 1: line they're gonna get. PRESSURE i like the Green bay,

1067
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:40,000
Speaker 1: secondary lots of reasons WHY i think Green bay will

1068
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:41,800
Speaker 1: keep it. Close and then now you have a great backdoor.

1069
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 1: Quarterback if they're down fourteen to, late you, Know rogers

1070
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 1: against The prevent is gonna go down and get you.

1071
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:50,360
Speaker 1: Seven i'm pairing that with The falcons plus. Eleven i'm crossing,

1072
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 1: six seven to. Ten, AGAIN i already MENTIONED i think

1073
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,319
Speaker 1: this is a. Shootout it's the best effort game for The.

1074
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,879
Speaker 1: Falcons if they have any anything in that locker, room

1075
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 1: they'll show up this. Week if, NOT i Mean quinn's

1076
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,560
Speaker 1: fired and the whole thing's gonna fall. Apart great set

1077
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:05,799
Speaker 1: of receivers and a good quarterback to get you a back.

1078
00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 1: Door so if they're down seventeen, late which is a,

1079
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,920
Speaker 1: blowout and you Have Matt ryan And Julio jones that

1080
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,239
Speaker 1: offense against The, Prevent they're probably gonna go down and

1081
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,759
Speaker 1: get you a. Touchdown so not many great options on

1082
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,600
Speaker 1: the board for teasers for my, criteria but that's Who

1083
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:24,680
Speaker 1: i'm rolling. With The falcons and The. Packers two quarterbacks

1084
00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:25,879
Speaker 1: that can get me a back door if it gets

1085
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 1: out of. Hand but two, GAMES i think stay.

1086
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:30,880
Speaker 5: CLOSE i was looking for some underdogs to, tease but,

1087
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 5: HONESTLY i took two of them in the opening. SECTION

1088
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,760
Speaker 5: i know we can kind of, repeat BUT i actually

1089
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,920
Speaker 5: like their. Lines you, Know pittsburgh In Green bay where they.

1090
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,520
Speaker 5: Are So i'm actually going with a couple of favorites,

1091
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:44,759
Speaker 5: here The Los Angeles chargers teasing them from six and

1092
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,720
Speaker 5: a half down to half a, point and then going

1093
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 5: with The New England patriots teasing them down to. Nine

1094
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 5: and REALLY i already mentioned. It, YEAH i think The

1095
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 5: patriots are just in a smash. SPOT i think they

1096
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 5: win by at least. TEN i think they win by

1097
00:47:58,400 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 5: at we used to touchdown in a field. Goal and

1098
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:02,080
Speaker 5: THEN i think The chargers get this the. WIN i

1099
00:48:02,080 --> 00:48:04,160
Speaker 5: think they you, know it might be, ugly we don't.

1100
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,359
Speaker 5: Know Melvin ingram looks like he's gonna miss on the other,

1101
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,440
Speaker 5: Side Denver Bradley chubb out and This denver, TEAM i,

1102
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,359
Speaker 5: mean you got to bet against him in some, way

1103
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:13,960
Speaker 5: shape or form every Week like that is one of

1104
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 5: my rules now of betting is find a way to

1105
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 5: bet against The Denver broncos because Since Gary kubiak stepped, down,

1106
00:48:21,040 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 5: uh and they also let go Away fils and they

1107
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 5: didn't even need. To they are eleven twenty three and,

1108
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:29,319
Speaker 5: two just a thirty two percent hit rate against the

1109
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 5: spread in that Post kubiak Post phillips.

1110
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 4: Era so you, Know chargers at. Home never like backing

1111
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:34,680
Speaker 4: them by the full.

1112
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,799
Speaker 5: SPREAD i actually, did but HERE i like The teas even,

1113
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:40,360
Speaker 5: more you, know down to just a half a, point

1114
00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:41,840
Speaker 5: essentially saying they're going to get this.

1115
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,239
Speaker 4: Win, so, uh that that's Who i'm going.

1116
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: With eleven twenty three and. One that sounds, familiar you know?

1117
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 1: What that sounds? Like eleven twenty one in. One that's

1118
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:54,480
Speaker 1: The chargers against the spread record the past five seasons at.

1119
00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:56,719
Speaker 1: Home uh you, know then they're IF i tink six and,

1120
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 1: six ten and one at home since moving To la

1121
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:01,879
Speaker 1: never had a good. Field SO i actually just want

1122
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:05,080
Speaker 1: to throw this out. THERE i THINK i don't mind

1123
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:07,239
Speaker 1: That teas piece at all teasing, down But i'm gonna

1124
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 1: be looking for The broncos.

1125
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 3: If it gets the. Seven So i'm waiting on that.

1126
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:14,960
Speaker 1: Seven and LOOK i, mean they're not AS i hate this,

1127
00:49:15,040 --> 00:49:18,239
Speaker 1: team but they lost to The bears at the last

1128
00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 1: second field. Goal they lost to The jags on a

1129
00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:23,239
Speaker 1: last second field. Goal they lost The packers in you,

1130
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:25,799
Speaker 1: know a flute. Game really that should have been a lot,

1131
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,759
Speaker 1: closer and the GAME i was on The packers. In

1132
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:30,160
Speaker 1: BUT i, mean if you look at the yards for,

1133
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,799
Speaker 1: playing so it's pretty. Close so IF i can get

1134
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 1: a full seven here in the best effort game against

1135
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,759
Speaker 1: a banged Up chargers team of injuries all. Over they're

1136
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:41,920
Speaker 1: using a full back at tight, end the receivers are banged,

1137
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 1: Up harris can at least try and stick With Keenan.

1138
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:47,319
Speaker 1: Allen you have a good corner, there and you know

1139
00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:49,840
Speaker 1: This chargers offensive line is still a train. Wreck so

1140
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:52,200
Speaker 1: IF i can get seven or the zero to four

1141
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:55,759
Speaker 1: Desperate broncos team and at a place that has no home,

1142
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:58,720
Speaker 1: Field i'll take. It BUT i don't mind that teasing

1143
00:49:58,760 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 1: them down to a half at.

1144
00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:03,360
Speaker 5: All All right, now it is time for our underdog

1145
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 5: money line.

1146
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 3: Parlay what everyone's been waiting.

1147
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:06,479
Speaker 5: For.

1148
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:13,880
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great. Weekends it's time for the

1149
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:14,720
Speaker 1: money line.

1150
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:16,600
Speaker 6: Parlay are we?

1151
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 4: Four and? OH i think we're four and oh, right

1152
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 4: we hit do we miss one yet this? SEASON i

1153
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:22,640
Speaker 4: think we didn't.

1154
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:24,279
Speaker 1: Win week one, maybe but we've hit three in a

1155
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,279
Speaker 1: zero for, sure three for our last, three which is

1156
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 1: really six for our last.

1157
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:31,560
Speaker 4: SIX i, mean so without further, ado we Got.

1158
00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 1: I've already said, It i've rambled about, it SO i

1159
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 1: won't ramble anymore about. It But i'm going with The.

1160
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:39,760
Speaker 1: Bucks i'm wrong with The, bucks AND i gave my reasons.

1161
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:44,279
Speaker 1: Before let's Go jamison The Road Warrior bucks or two to,

1162
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:45,359
Speaker 1: Two let's Go.

1163
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:48,000
Speaker 5: Bucks got a little bit of a contrarian against the

1164
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 5: public bet, there because sixty seven percent of the money

1165
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,239
Speaker 5: line tickets are coming in on The New Orleans. Saints for,

1166
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 5: MINE i am going with The Pittsburgh steelers plus one fifty.

1167
00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 5: Five The bucks are also plus one fifty Five Pittsburgh

1168
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:03,320
Speaker 5: steelers at home against The Baltimore.

1169
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,319
Speaker 4: Ravens, look we're talking about underdogs winning.

1170
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:09,040
Speaker 5: These, games so it's tough but to look At Mike

1171
00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:12,399
Speaker 5: tomlin in his, career he has a winning record as

1172
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:14,400
Speaker 5: an underdog twenty five and twenty.

1173
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:15,319
Speaker 4: Four is a money line.

1174
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 5: Dog if you were to put one hundred dollars on

1175
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 5: Every Mike tomlin underdog, spot you would be up on

1176
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 5: three hundred and thirty nine. Dollars you would have a

1177
00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:28,360
Speaker 5: twenty seven percent return on. Investment that again is according

1178
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 5: to Bet. Labs this is also a game where you

1179
00:51:30,239 --> 00:51:32,319
Speaker 5: Know Sean, corner the odds, maker our guy here At Action,

1180
00:51:32,400 --> 00:51:35,320
Speaker 5: network this is actually his most confident underdog on That sunday,

1181
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:38,040
Speaker 5: slate a forty one point four percent chance of. Winning

1182
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 5: he pegs. It that would be a line of about

1183
00:51:40,560 --> 00:51:43,400
Speaker 5: plus one forty. Two so you're getting some value there

1184
00:51:43,560 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 5: with The steelers at plus one fifty. Five So i'm

1185
00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:47,319
Speaker 5: gonna have a lot Of pittsburgh this.

1186
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:49,480
Speaker 1: Week you're gonna be wearing A Mason ruolf, jersey did

1187
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:51,320
Speaker 1: you find. One i'm still A juju.

1188
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:54,560
Speaker 5: Guy probably get The juju jersey IF i. Do but

1189
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 5: let's quickly cover the best of the, rest all the

1190
00:51:57,680 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 5: games that didn't make it into any of our other

1191
00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 5: segments on the. Show so first we Got chicago At,

1192
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 5: oakland The london, Game chicago five and a half point,

1193
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 5: favorites seventy percent of the, tickets sixty three percent of

1194
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 5: the money on The, bears the total forty and a,

1195
00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:14,920
Speaker 5: half eighty percent of the ticket in money on the

1196
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 5: Under Matt nagy fourteen and six against the. Spread in

1197
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,320
Speaker 5: the regular, season we got The Arizona cardinals At Cincinnati,

1198
00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 5: bengals seventy two percent of the, tickets ninety two percent

1199
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 5: of the money on The. Cardinals it's now a three point.

1200
00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 5: SPREAD i think a lot of that money was due

1201
00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:31,279
Speaker 5: to the fact that it was above that when it.

1202
00:52:31,320 --> 00:52:34,560
Speaker 5: Opened forty seven to five is a total sixty six

1203
00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:37,880
Speaker 5: percent of the, tickets but only twenty three percent of

1204
00:52:37,920 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 5: the money on the. UNDER i think the public may

1205
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:43,719
Speaker 5: be underrating the potential For cincinnati to score against This

1206
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:46,440
Speaker 5: arizona defense and a fast paced game after they laid

1207
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:50,319
Speaker 5: an egg in prime time Against. Pittsburgh when a team

1208
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:52,799
Speaker 5: scores less and ten in their last game and they're

1209
00:52:52,800 --> 00:52:54,799
Speaker 5: getting thirty one percent or less of the, bets they're

1210
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 5: actually covering at a sixty one percent rate going back

1211
00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:00,160
Speaker 5: to two thousand and, four and then the last game

1212
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:03,399
Speaker 5: The jets at The. Eagles eagles thirteen and a half point,

1213
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:06,200
Speaker 5: favorites fifty six percent of the, tickets sixty percent of

1214
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:08,120
Speaker 5: the money on The. Jets that's so the public kind

1215
00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 5: of looking to.

1216
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 4: Back this big. UNDERDOG i don't know about.

1217
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 5: That Adam gaze just nine and fourteen in his career

1218
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,759
Speaker 5: against the spread as a road. Underdog it's a thirty

1219
00:53:16,840 --> 00:53:21,040
Speaker 5: nine percent cover. Rate, Meanwhile Doug peterson five and two

1220
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:23,720
Speaker 5: against the spread at home er at a neutral site

1221
00:53:23,880 --> 00:53:26,520
Speaker 5: VERSUS afc. Teams as far as the, total it's forty

1222
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,399
Speaker 5: four fifty six percent of the tickets on the, under

1223
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:33,319
Speaker 5: but only forty two percent of the. Money let's go

1224
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 5: right into Our survivor pool pick of the.

1225
00:53:36,080 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 4: Week one, pick one chance to Advance.

1226
00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:46,880
Speaker 5: Survivor you AND i we're both four and zero on

1227
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:47,600
Speaker 5: Our survivor.

1228
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,120
Speaker 4: Picks last. Week we both have the charges were going

1229
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:50,319
Speaker 4: with this.

1230
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:52,759
Speaker 3: WEEK i am rolling with The.

1231
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: CHIEFS i already used The, eagles, who by the, WAY

1232
00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 1: i don't even know who's playing, corner but. There you

1233
00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 1: should dominate offensive and defensive lines In. Philly and please

1234
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:05,080
Speaker 1: do not bet That Arizona cincinnati, game and they should

1235
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:07,160
Speaker 1: take that off red. ZONE i know fantasy players wouldn't liked,

1236
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 1: that but that, game, yeah worst game on the board by.

1237
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 1: Far But i'm going with The.

1238
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:12,200
Speaker 3: CHIEFS i think that The.

1239
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 1: CHIEFS i might even lay double digits here at home

1240
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 1: with The chiefs against The.

1241
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:16,560
Speaker 3: Colts Who.

1242
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:18,759
Speaker 1: Look when this matchup first was in the beginning of the,

1243
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:20,560
Speaker 1: YEAR i, said oh, man great spot for The.

1244
00:54:20,560 --> 00:54:21,880
Speaker 3: Colts catch them over a.

1245
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:24,280
Speaker 1: Touchdown they're going to be able to run it all

1246
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:28,359
Speaker 1: day on This chief's embarrassing run. Defense the problem Is

1247
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:32,040
Speaker 1: colts number one on defense might not have both. Safeties

1248
00:54:32,040 --> 00:54:34,040
Speaker 1: they don't have their most important safety E Milie. Cooker

1249
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:37,280
Speaker 1: gathers is now, hurt so they're safeties not having safeties

1250
00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 1: against The chiefs. Offense good, luck you know T Y,

1251
00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:43,320
Speaker 1: holton maybe he won't, play you Know, campbell they dis

1252
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:46,280
Speaker 1: all their receivers are bagged up, too so The chiefs

1253
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 1: can just sell out against the. Run. Here there's no

1254
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,800
Speaker 1: way The colts can keep. UP i just cannot see

1255
00:54:51,040 --> 00:54:53,680
Speaker 1: The chiefs can marching up and down the field at

1256
00:54:53,719 --> 00:54:56,520
Speaker 1: will through the air against This colts. Defense WHEN i

1257
00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:58,600
Speaker 1: tell you they're going to play their cover, two you

1258
00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:00,919
Speaker 1: know they were playing some single high With. Hooker Without,

1259
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 1: hooker their defense isn't. Awful he is such a huge.

1260
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 1: Loss and If leonard doesn't, play and If, gathers they

1261
00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:08,680
Speaker 1: have corners trying to play, safety and it's a. Mess

1262
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:10,919
Speaker 1: this defense is a. Mess there's a reason they lost

1263
00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:13,799
Speaker 1: on home to The raiders last. Week imagine what The

1264
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:17,560
Speaker 1: chiefs will do In Kansas city in prime. Time this

1265
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:19,960
Speaker 1: is The chief's. Route AND i will say just one

1266
00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: last thing for the. Strategy WHEN i looked at you,

1267
00:55:22,680 --> 00:55:24,760
Speaker 1: know you want to look. Ahead WHEN i looked ahead

1268
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:27,720
Speaker 1: at WHEN i would maybe use The, CHIEFS i was taken,

1269
00:55:28,080 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 1: originally all, RIGHT i want to use Them december first

1270
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:33,359
Speaker 1: at home Against. Oakland but now seeing this, Spot i'm

1271
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:36,680
Speaker 1: going to use them. Here knowing that On december, first

1272
00:55:36,680 --> 00:55:38,839
Speaker 1: which is IF i make it that, far which is week,

1273
00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 1: Thirteen i'm Saving, carolina WHO i haven't used at And

1274
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:46,799
Speaker 1: carolina plays at home against The redskins that, Week so

1275
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:51,120
Speaker 1: that's my week thirteen, pick and My week five pick

1276
00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:53,880
Speaker 1: is the Chief SO i cannot see losing at. Home Go,

1277
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:54,880
Speaker 1: Mahomes i'm with you this.

1278
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,920
Speaker 3: Week take.

1279
00:56:01,080 --> 00:56:09,800
Speaker 4: To the place we can't. Sit, yeah And i'm Taking.

1280
00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:12,680
Speaker 5: Philly actually saved them In week one in Went, seattle

1281
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:15,279
Speaker 5: who squeaked out a one point. Win did get some

1282
00:56:15,360 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 5: value there because this week they're thirteen and a half point.

1283
00:56:18,160 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 5: Favorites in That week one game Against, washington they were

1284
00:56:20,760 --> 00:56:22,960
Speaker 5: ten point. Favorites so feeling good about that and just

1285
00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:25,360
Speaker 5: looking ahead at their. Schedule the only other GAMES i

1286
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:27,840
Speaker 5: think you consider With eagles are both on the road

1287
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:31,040
Speaker 5: At miami week thirteen At washington week. Fifteen don't like

1288
00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:34,160
Speaker 5: to go divisional road, games and who knows If Carson

1289
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 5: wentz is healthy by week thirteen or.

1290
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:39,040
Speaker 4: Fifteen so getting The eagles.

1291
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,560
Speaker 5: Out of the way now and that wraps it up

1292
00:56:41,600 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 5: for Our Survivor pool pick of the.

1293
00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:45,239
Speaker 4: Week hopefully we stay undefeated on.

1294
00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:45,560
Speaker 6: That.

1295
00:56:45,960 --> 00:56:48,560
Speaker 4: Again this has been The Action NETWORK Nfl betting.

1296
00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:50,759
Speaker 5: Podcast check out the Channel for the rest of the,

1297
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:54,000
Speaker 5: Week stuck And Colin wilson will break down the college

1298
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:57,120
Speaker 5: football slate with a couple podcasts coming Up friday And,

1299
00:56:57,239 --> 00:56:59,840
Speaker 5: monday and of course we do The Fantasy flex my,

1300
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 5: Self Matthew, Friedman Shawn, Corner Peter jennings Every, wednesday.

1301
00:57:04,680 --> 00:57:05,880
Speaker 4: So stay tuned for.

1302
00:57:05,880 --> 00:57:08,919
Speaker 5: That you can Follow stucky in The Action network app

1303
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:12,480
Speaker 5: At stucky. Two you can follow me At Chris raybond

1304
00:57:13,080 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 5: Good luck this, Week let's get this sh money and

1305
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:17,480
Speaker 5: them ount go pecked. Out