1 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Friday morning 2 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: edition of the Deadly Just Podcast. 3 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt. 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: You can follow Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros 6 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: andfl We are here every morning on bettingpros dot com, 7 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BETMGM. And if you 8 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: happen to be watching us on YouTube today, well we 9 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: have a little bit of a new line of layout 10 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:35,160 Speaker 1: for you. We even have right here is the BETMGM offer. 11 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 2: I'm pointing you guys who. 12 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: Are listening to this won't be able to see what 13 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: I'm pointing at, but it is the bet MGM offer, 14 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: which is the bet twenty dollars to win one hundred 15 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: dollars in free wagers on any event. Use the promo 16 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: code Juice one hundred when you sign up for a 17 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:53,239 Speaker 1: new account at BETMGM. How about that looks nice if 18 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: you're watching on YouTube. So a lot of you guys 19 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: have been matriculating over to the YouTube side of things, 20 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: which is fine. However way you get it, whether it 21 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: the audio or video or both, I don't care as 22 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: long as you're paying attention and listening and being a 23 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: part of everything and being on the discord channel. Man, 24 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: are we having fun this week or what this is? 25 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: I'm having so much fun. I'm beginning to become a 26 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: little bit of an addict. But we're having a ball 27 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: live wagering, and we hit it after we missed it 28 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: two nights ago. We got it last night. The middle 29 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: the Laker game. So I had the Lakers. I had 30 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: the Sun plus seven. That was wrong, but I had 31 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 1: the under to twelve, which was easy, simple. 32 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: We got there easily. 33 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: Well, I came in and I went ahead and I 34 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:44,119 Speaker 1: bet the over two oh three. Now that thing got 35 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: as low as one eighty one, so I bet it 36 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: way too early. A couple of the guys and I 37 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: were talking, Okay, is this the basement? Is this the basement? Like, okay, yeah, 38 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: two of three is probably the basement. 39 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 2: No, it was not. We were dead wrong. We had 40 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 2: to sweat it out. It was over. One eighty one 41 00:01:58,800 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 2: was a walk. 42 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: I went all the way to the last possession to 43 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: get over two oh three and cash both bets to 44 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: get to the middle. 45 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 2: That was glorious. 46 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I got Portland wrong minus four, but I got the 47 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: over right two twenty six and a half. So that 48 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: was great, and so like again, this is another one 49 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 1: of these weird nights where the podcast plays were okay, 50 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: one in two. On the podcast plays, the props go 51 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: one in one, But my other bets came in live 52 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: wagering and what we're doing on the discord channel. 53 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,200 Speaker 2: So this is the whole point of the discord. 54 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: This is the community I've been talking about where you 55 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: jump in, you be a part of this and you 56 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: see what everyone's wagering. But we're all talking about how 57 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: to play different bets, Like, okay, when do you jump 58 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: on Carolina? It's you know, three to one, they're down. 59 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: When do you jump on that money line? And then 60 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 1: like what do you do with Toronto? Because they tried 61 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 1: to come all the way back, they were down three nothing, 62 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: When do you jump on them? They came and forced 63 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:55,519 Speaker 1: overtime and then they went up losing that game four 64 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: to three. 65 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 2: That was another one. 66 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: I got lost, I got wrong. I'm done betting on Toronto. 67 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: By the way they're to me, I am done with 68 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: the Maple Leafs. That team is disgusting. They can't do 69 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 1: anything right. It's a pathetic organization. If you're a Maple 70 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: Leaf fan, if you've a shamed of yourself. Your team's garbage. 71 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: It's been garbage for a long time. We've all known 72 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: they've been garbage. But they can't close out the Montreal 73 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 1: Canadians at home? Are you kidding me? Like, forget my 74 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: puck line bet, just win the damn game. They couldn't 75 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 1: do that. How embarrassing are I mean, they haven't won 76 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 1: a series since two thousand and three, two thousand and four. 77 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: There's a reason for that because of the Toronto bleeping 78 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: maple Leafs. They're garbage, So I'm done with the Toronto 79 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:32,399 Speaker 1: maple Leafs. 80 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: We end up. 81 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: Getting the Hurricanes right, and that was a monster sweat. 82 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: I mean, my god, Las one forty was the only 83 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: bet we got right last night, so it wasn't a 84 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: good night. We're down, got one out of one out 85 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: of two for the Damian Lillard came through for us 86 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 1: on the on the player prop we don't get the 87 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: other one, and Frey Simon's doesn't come through only six 88 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: and a half points. He scores two, So that was 89 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: kind of a bummer. But that was off the prop 90 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. That was like the number three or 91 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: four recommendation on the prop bet cheat sheet, so I thought, 92 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: why not only six and a half points, but he 93 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: really didn't. He played a lot, but he didn't score 94 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: it all for them, So one in one on the 95 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: player props one and two overall. But because it's untilly, 96 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: a one minus one forty hit and we lose the 97 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: other two in a full unit. 98 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: So we're down little more than a unit last night. 99 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 2: So that's not good. 100 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: Right, we go three and oh the night before and 101 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: then one and two here today, so not great, but 102 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: we're down. Let's have a bounce back day coming up 103 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: here today. For sure, it is Friday. That means we 104 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: have the don't bet a parlay parlay which is four 105 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: and thirteen now, well sorry four and fourteens because mean 106 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: we're four and thirteen last set, four and fourteen overall, 107 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 1: So we'll have that for you coming up. I have 108 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: got two bets going in hockey. I've got two bets 109 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: in the NBA to give you here today. I'm going 110 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 1: to warn you that one of the hockey bets is 111 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 1: sort of like a fade on what I want to 112 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 1: have happen and kind of a value play, and you 113 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: probably can know where I'm going with that. But I 114 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: think there's this value being on the dog in the 115 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: hockey game tonight, and I'll be happy either way either 116 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:01,479 Speaker 1: all ways money or my team that I want to 117 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: win will win. I'll explain that more here in just 118 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:07,719 Speaker 1: one second. And well, the basketball plays, I'm gonna have 119 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: a bunch of personal plays. I'm gonna watch a couple 120 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: of lines, like I'm gonna watch Brooklyn in Boston. I 121 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: want to see where that line goes. I want to 122 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: see where the first half line goes. If I can 123 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 1: get Boston like plus five plus six in the first half, 124 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: Boston's gonna have a pretty big crowd and for the 125 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 1: first half, I can see Boston being really in the game. 126 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 2: I don't think they're in. 127 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: The game in the second half, but I think the 128 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:31,840 Speaker 1: first half this is like the only half I think 129 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: Boston might actually win Game three back at home, Jason 130 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: Tatum may go off. 131 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 2: I don't know. 132 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: So I'm not really sure what to do with the 133 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: side of Boston and Brooklyn. So I'm gonna be watching that. 134 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch the total with Atlanta in New York 135 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: a little bit. And I have no idea what to 136 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: do with the Clippers and the Mavericks. I probably have 137 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: a personal play in that game, but I really don't 138 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: know what to do with it. Like everything screams Clippers, 139 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,559 Speaker 1: like everything screams down oh two on the road backs 140 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 1: against the wall, Kawhi goes crazy. That would be my prediction, 141 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,600 Speaker 1: Like he goes for fifty or something because he has to. 142 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,839 Speaker 2: I don't know. So I don't know about those plays 143 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 2: just about yet. 144 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: But if you guys want to try and hit the parlay, 145 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,679 Speaker 1: this is a great time to use the bet MGM offer. Okay, 146 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 1: it's twenty bucks. You bet the parlay. You're gonna win 147 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: one hundred dollars regardless if you hit, if it hits 148 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:26,599 Speaker 1: or not. So why not sign up, use the bet 149 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: MGM code juice one hundred and use this parlay. Here 150 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: is the don't bet a parlay parlay coming up here 151 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: for Friday. 152 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 2: It's all baseball. 153 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: I suck at baseball, but because I've been until negligent 154 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: with baseball. You guys were talking, Hey, Matt, here's a 155 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: couple of things. One on the Discord channel, the guys 156 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: called the Pittsburgh Pirates the ATM machine because they absolutely 157 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: stink and they are eighteen and thirty one They've lost 158 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 1: six straight games. They have a negative eighty four run differential. 159 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:59,559 Speaker 1: Pirates stink, So the Rockies are on the road. Rockies 160 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: aren't good either, by the way. The Rockies are nineteen 161 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 1: and thirty two. They've lost three straight games themselves. They 162 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 1: have a negative thirty three run differential. But this game 163 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: is on the road at least is not a course field, 164 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: so it's not gonna be a crazy offensive game. Total 165 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: seven and a half of this one. Gray's going versus 166 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: Keller minus one twenty four Rockies money Line Play Number two. 167 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: New York Yankees against the Detroit Tigers. Garrett Cole to 168 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 1: the mount I'm actually shocked. This is only minus two 169 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: to fifty. This should be more than two fifty. But 170 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: Cole on the money line. He's been the best pitcher 171 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: in baseball basically. So take Garrett Cole and the Yankees. 172 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: They've been so dominant, let's have them win the game 173 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: minus two to fifty. The White Sox up against Matt 174 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: Harvey and the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles are garbage. They 175 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 1: have lost ten consecutive games. They are seventeen and thirty three. 176 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: They have a negative sixty run differential. They are six and. 177 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 2: Eighteen and home. 178 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: They are eleven and fifteen on the road. They're on 179 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: the road here. Matt Harvey might be the worst starting 180 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: pitcher in all of baseball. He basically throw batting practice. 181 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: I expect a lot of runs for the White Sox, 182 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: but White Sox to win, laying minus two forty five 183 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: and the fourth leg for this. So the fourth leg 184 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: is a recommendation from you guys. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 185 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 1: now lost how many games. 186 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 2: In a row? 187 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: They've lost eleven games in a row. They're eighteen and 188 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: thirty three. They have a negative fifty one run differential. 189 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:24,680 Speaker 1: They are nine and twelve at home and nine and 190 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: twenty one on the road. They are at home against 191 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Cardinals, who are underdogs. Bumgarner to the 192 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: mound for the Diamondbacks. But I mean, this might be 193 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,200 Speaker 1: the one game that you might want to swap out. 194 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 1: But everyone's saying Diamondbacks are I have lost eleven in a row. 195 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: Cardinals are catching plus one oh four. This parlay is 196 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: plus six twenty all right, four team money line parlay 197 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: at plus six twenty here for our don't bet a 198 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: parlay parlay, but a perfect time if you don't have 199 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 1: a bet MGM account to no risk wager for you. Okay, 200 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: bet MGM twenty bucks on this part. You win one 201 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 1: hundred bucks. Even if it doesn't hit, you get one 202 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: hundred bucks in free wagers. If it does hit, you're 203 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: hitting one hundred and twenty dollars well, six to one. 204 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 2: So no, it's more than that. 205 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: Right, it's one hundred and eighty dollars, So you're winning 206 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty dollars for this. So it's either 207 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: you win one hundred or one hundred and eighty, right, 208 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:17,319 Speaker 1: no risk wager, no risk on the parlay. It's want 209 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: a bit more than that, bit more than that, but 210 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:20,559 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a minimum of twenty bucks, and you 211 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: win one hundred bucks in free wagers with that promo 212 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 1: code juice one hundred plus six to twenty parlay. Why not, right, 213 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 1: it's a free role essentially on a parlay that is 214 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 1: now four and fourteen overall hitting for us. So that 215 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 1: is the parlay coming up here for today. All right, 216 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: let's talk about the NBA games coming up here today, 217 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 1: and let's start with the Boston Celtics and the Brooklyn Nets. 218 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 1: The Boston Celtics have one answer when it comes to 219 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:50,719 Speaker 1: staying in this game. Score score, score score. Okay, They're 220 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: gonna have to score as many points as possible. It's 221 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 1: gonna be really, really hard. We are two games in here. 222 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: The first game was one oh fi to ninety three. 223 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 1: It went under by thirty five points. The second game 224 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:07,199 Speaker 1: was two twenty eight and a half and it went 225 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: over by nine and a half points because Brooklyn scored. 226 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 2: One hundred and thirty points. 227 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: I think Boston's gonna score here in this game, I 228 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: really do. I think Boston's gonna put up a bunch 229 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,080 Speaker 1: of points. The total is two twenty seven, okay, which 230 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,320 Speaker 1: is basically right in line with where we were in 231 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: game number two, where they went over by nine and 232 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,680 Speaker 1: a half points. Game number one to thirty two and 233 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: a half it went under. 234 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 2: I know this. 235 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:30,839 Speaker 1: This is gonna be a public play, Okay. It was 236 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: a public play in game two, is a public play 237 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 1: in game. It's gonna be public playing game three. However, 238 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: Boston at home, they are eighteen and nineteen to the 239 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: over at home. On the road, Brooklyn is twenty and 240 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: sixteen to the over. 241 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 2: Not bad. They are three and two over their last five. 242 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 1: I think that Boston's only answered they can't play defense 243 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: because they can't stop these guys. 244 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 2: It's going to be Kyrie, Kyrie Kyrie. 245 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: I would expect Kyrie Irving to have a big game again, 246 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: maybe Boston in the first half as a play that 247 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna look at. But I think this is an overplay. 248 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 1: I think Boston and Brooklyn both score a lot of 249 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: points here. There could be a lot of garbage time. 250 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 1: Brooklyn could be up really big, much like they were 251 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,839 Speaker 1: in the last game. They may drop one hundred and thirty. Shoot, 252 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: they might stop drop hundred and forty, depending on what 253 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 1: they want to do. This is gonna be a message 254 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 1: game here for Brooklyn and Kyrie Irving. First play is 255 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: over too twenty seven. Boston and Brooklyn half a unit. 256 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: Second play. Let's talk about New York and Atlanta. So 257 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: I told you last night, I'm taking Atlanta to win 258 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: the series. The team that wins Game three wins the 259 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 1: series about seventy four percent of the time. It's a 260 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: big Game three. 261 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 2: Okay. 262 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 1: Magic Johnson was tweeting about games three in Game five, 263 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: the two most important games of the series. Like okay, 264 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 1: look at New York's on the road. They are good 265 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: on the road. They're twenty three and thirteen against the 266 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: number on the road. Atlanta at home, though, is twenty 267 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:05,679 Speaker 1: three thirteen against the spread straight up at home. Atlanta 268 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: is really really good at home. They're twenty five and 269 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: eleven straight up at home, one of the best in 270 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: the entire NBA New York straight up on the road 271 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 1: sixteen and twenty. New York is not the better team here. 272 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: Atlanta is the better team here. Julius Randall has looked lost. 273 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: He woke up a little bit in the second half, 274 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: but I mean, you need RJ. Barrett to be clicking. 275 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 1: You need and I think Trey Young goes off tonight 276 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Hawks. 277 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 2: He said meet me in the A. I think he 278 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 2: meant it. 279 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 1: The line is four here, and I just think when 280 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: you go back the last two home games for Atlanta, 281 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: they beat Orlando as a thirteen point favorite by twenty three. 282 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 1: They beat Houston at a seven and a half point favorite 283 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 1: by twenty nine. I think this Atlanta team is going 284 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: to by Dotomiton Company. I think they shoot really well. 285 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna eyeball the over in this game. I might 286 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: also eyeball the first half for the Hawks because everyone's 287 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: been on it, this Knicks trend in the first half. 288 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: The Hawks have won both games in the first half, 289 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:12,960 Speaker 1: and it's been one of these like, hmm, in the 290 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: first half, it was all Knicks, all Knicks, all Nicks 291 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: in the first half. Now it's like the Hawks are 292 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: realizing they recognize that trend and they're coming out They're 293 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: not letting the Knicks get a first half on them. 294 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 2: And so I might be on the Hawks in the 295 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 2: first half. I may be on the under. 296 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: But the official play, We're gonna lay the four points 297 00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:33,680 Speaker 1: here with the Atlanta Hawks Hawks minus four tonight against 298 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: the New York Knicks. I know there may be some 299 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: people who are telling you take the Knicks. Take the Knicks, 300 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: they're going to play better, But this is one of 301 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: the best home teams in the NBA. I think Trey 302 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 1: Young company get the job done here laying four at 303 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 1: home in game number three. 304 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 2: I got it wrong last night with Portland. I thought 305 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 2: Portland did the same thing. 306 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 1: So you know, if you disagree and you fade it, 307 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be angry with you. But I'm 308 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:57,560 Speaker 1: just going here with the I'm just going personally with 309 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 1: I bet over four minus four or for Atlanta. 310 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 2: All right, to hockey, So let's start with the total first. 311 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 1: Okay, here in Vegas at the Westgate, I got five 312 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 1: tonight for Vegas and Minnesota. Okay, so it's mine one 313 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 1: thirty five. But I'm gonna roll with my philosophy. It 314 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 1: is a game seven. I was talking to Dave Sheapan 315 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 1: on my my show yesterday and he said, look at 316 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: game seven. Overs are a thing because they're gonna pull 317 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 1: the goalie really early. If one team's down, you know, 318 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: they're not gonna waste time, they're gonna pull the goalie 319 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: trying to keep themselves. 320 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 2: If they're down by. 321 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 1: Two goals, they're gonna pull the goalie. You have a 322 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: chance to get third period goals. So maybe you look 323 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: for like a pre uh you know, somebody called a 324 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 1: pre flop. 325 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 2: I love that pre flop for the game. 326 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 1: The pregame over one and a half or two goals 327 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,640 Speaker 1: in the third period, Maybe you go ahead and jump 328 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: on that. But I I personally think that over five 329 00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: is a really good number here. Given the stress level, 330 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna have thirteen thousand people, basically twelve thousand, five 331 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 1: hundred plus are gonna be at Team ol the arena. 332 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 1: You got a lot of people who are gonna be screaming. 333 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: The atmosphere is gonna be absolutely nuts. I'm gonna take 334 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: the over five here for Vegas and Minnesota at minus 335 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 1: one thirty five, and then the last play, the last 336 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: play is I win regardless. You don't have to follow this. Okay, 337 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 1: this is my play because I am betting. Officially, I'm 338 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: gonna take it. I was gonna make this just my 339 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 1: own personal play, but I think there's a real good 340 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 1: shot that Minnesota wins this game, and the value on Minnesota. 341 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 1: It's why I'm not making it personal, because I think 342 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: the value is at a whack. I think at plus 343 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: one fifty seven on the money line, I think that 344 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: number is not right. 345 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 2: I think it should be I think Vegas should. 346 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: Be like minus one twenty. And the reason why it's 347 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 1: not minus one twenty is because of the fact that 348 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 1: you've got a mon stir amount of money getting ready 349 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: to be poured in here in Vegas and really in 350 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: other books too, because Vegas is the more popular team. 351 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: They're at home Mark Hendre Flurry, I think the Wild 352 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 1: are the right side here strictly on a value play, okay, 353 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: And if Vegas is gonna lose in a game seven 354 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: at home, at least I make money on it. 355 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 2: It'll sting, I. 356 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: Won't like it, but at least i'll make I'll make 357 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 1: money on it with a plus one fifty seven half 358 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,760 Speaker 1: a unit. Pretty nice hit to come in to get it. 359 00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 1: So I'm going to drop the half unit on Minnesota 360 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: and be very happy if I'm buying a win for Vegas. Phenomenal. 361 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: I'm great, I'm psyched. I don't love it for the 362 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: bank roll, but that's fine, Okay. I'm willing to pay 363 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: the price for a Vegas Versus Colorado series for me 364 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 1: to get that series, I'm totally comfortable giving. And then 365 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 1: maybe we hit something with the five over five to 366 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 1: make it up and we kind of go one in 367 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 1: one will still be down, but you know, it won't 368 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 1: be as bad as painful if we go over. If 369 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 1: Vegas wins like six to one or something crazy, or 370 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: they win five to one or whatever, so we get 371 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: that over when we hit that, or it's like a 372 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,640 Speaker 1: four to two win for Vegas or whatever, and that's 373 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 1: how we get there. But I'm taking the while at 374 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 1: plus one fifty seven. I think there's too much money there, 375 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 1: too much value there on taking the dog at plus 376 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: one fifty seven for Vegas today. Tonight's here at home 377 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: and what's going to be an unbelievable game for us 378 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: here in Vegas for a game seven at Temobile Arena. Okay, 379 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 1: so the play is coming for today the parlay Yankees, 380 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:29,720 Speaker 1: White Sox, Cardinals, Rockies four leg money line parlay. Don't 381 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 1: bet a parlay parlay. It's plus six twenty. Use that 382 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,920 Speaker 1: promo code juice one hundred for the bed MGM offer. 383 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 1: Use that free wager right, great way to use it 384 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 1: over Brooklyn in Boston two twenty seven Hawks minus four, 385 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 1: Vegas over five against Minnesota in Minnesota on the money 386 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: line at plus one fifty seven. Are the four plays 387 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: for us, all half a units here for the Friday 388 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 1: parlay Farlay Friday podcast for the Daily Juice. My name 389 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,480 Speaker 1: is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter at 390 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 1: Sportstock Matt. Every single morning it is the Daily News 391 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: podcast right here on bettingpros dot com. 392 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:13,400 Speaker 2: Brought you by Bedam Jim