WEBVTT - Part Two: Alexander Lukashenko: The Dictator of Belarus

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<v Speaker 1>I fucking hate headphones. Still behind the bastards, And we

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<v Speaker 1>just spent another like forty five minutes having to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out how to reconnect the earbuds were using for this.

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<v Speaker 1>Very frustrating. But you know what also is frustrating, it's

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<v Speaker 1>frustrating to live under a dictatorship also, And in a way,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't bluetooth a kind of authoritarianism? I don't know. We're

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<v Speaker 1>going to do part two of our episode, Kushenko, and

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<v Speaker 1>who is your gus? You have to introduce Jesus. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just so frustrated by the headphone issues that I forgot

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<v Speaker 1>to introduce the person who fixed the headphone issues, Local youth,

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<v Speaker 1>Garrison Davis. Yeah, that's my that's my new Twitter handles,

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<v Speaker 1>and locally, it's not at hungry about tie from Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>Tear gas proof Garrison, Hi, local youth headphones are terrible. Look, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that would be good until I'm no longer I know

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<v Speaker 1>what he was around that. I don't know that your youth.

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<v Speaker 1>That could be your TikTok handle for however many more

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<v Speaker 1>days Trump allows TikTok contact me to be a yeah, right, yeah, okay, alright,

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<v Speaker 1>we're moving on right now, right now, right now, God

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<v Speaker 1>damn it. Okay, So we talked about in the last

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<v Speaker 1>episode how Lukashenko is most well named. No nickname was Vodka,

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<v Speaker 1>which kind of means daddy, which is a little weird.

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<v Speaker 1>I just daddy, ladies. Uh yeah, no, not that kind

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<v Speaker 1>of dad, Maybe that kind of daddy. His opponents, though,

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<v Speaker 1>have another nickname for him that basically translates to farm

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<v Speaker 1>Hitler that sounds more fun. Yeah, yeah, which is a

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<v Speaker 1>fun nickname. And speaking of Hitler, like any self respecting autocrat,

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<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko has a history of saying really weird things about Hitler.

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<v Speaker 1>Um are yeah, kind of baffling. On one occasion, the

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<v Speaker 1>Bell Larusian dictator told an interviewer quote, Hitler created a

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<v Speaker 1>powerful Germany owing to the strong presidential power. After all,

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<v Speaker 1>the German order has been developing for centuries. Under Hitler,

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<v Speaker 1>this process reached its highest point. This is how we

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<v Speaker 1>understand the presidential republic and the role of the president. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's that's that's not not problematic. Yeah when when

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<v Speaker 1>I when I become president of every country, I will

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<v Speaker 1>make sure to model my presidency after Hitler. I prefer

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<v Speaker 1>to that. I prefer to be a strong president like Hitler,

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<v Speaker 1>a guy with whom I have less disagreements than you

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<v Speaker 1>might expect. Obviously, these remarks caused a bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>stir um, as it ought to when your head of

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<v Speaker 1>state compares himself favorably to Hitler. Lukashenko found it necessary

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<v Speaker 1>to justify himself by semi backpedaling and telling people that

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<v Speaker 1>he thought Hitler was quote a real fascist, a real

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<v Speaker 1>idiot in power who destroyed a lot of people. But

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<v Speaker 1>and this is where he goes wrong. Whatever that and

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<v Speaker 1>then at a but yeah, you know you're doing with

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<v Speaker 1>just write a lot of people ended there, don't add

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<v Speaker 1>the butt. But he continues, but managed to unite the

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<v Speaker 1>nation by means of tough policy. At that stage, the

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<v Speaker 1>result was obvious. Therefore, there is no need to reproach

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<v Speaker 1>me that we wished to have the serious tough power

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<v Speaker 1>in Belarus. Um, the result was obvious. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if we saw the same obvious thing and the results there, Alexander,

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<v Speaker 1>But yes, Lukashenko has one other weird Hitler statement, uh

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<v Speaker 1>that he's repeated a number of times, which is the

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<v Speaker 1>line not everything Hitler did was bad, which again you

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<v Speaker 1>shouldn't need to point out. You don't need to say that. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>like it's one of those things. Yes, we could split

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<v Speaker 1>hairs and discuss the extent to which the Nazi Party

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<v Speaker 1>deserves credit for the auto bon or whatever, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>but it really isn't important. But here we go this. Honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>Hitler did do one good thing. That's that's killing Hitler

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<v Speaker 1>was the one. Yeah, that was the only thing he

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<v Speaker 1>did that. Uh other governments had proved unable to do

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<v Speaker 1>so far. Um, yeah, gotta give him credit, Gotta give

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<v Speaker 1>him credit for that. Uh So yeah, anyway, Lukashenko weird,

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<v Speaker 1>weird Hitler opinions. So yeah. Lukashenko repeatedly admits to having

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<v Speaker 1>authoritarian tendencies, but he also again gets really pissed when

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<v Speaker 1>people call him a dictator. In two thousand twelve, Germany's

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<v Speaker 1>foreign minister Guido Westervel used the term dictator to describe

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<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko's regime. Um, and I should note here that Guido

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<v Speaker 1>is homosexual. And the fact that I'm noting that he's

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<v Speaker 1>homosexual is not a good sign for what's about to

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<v Speaker 1>come next, because as soon as Guido called Lukashenko a dictator,

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<v Speaker 1>Lukeshenko responded, better to be a dictator than gay, which

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<v Speaker 1>is like a ninth grade level. That is ninth grade

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and four. It's a very four school grade. No,

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<v Speaker 1>but at least I'm not gay. Yeah, you're yeah, it's good. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's literally the thing that like he moved on

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<v Speaker 1>from at like age fourteen. Uh, when I was a kid.

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<v Speaker 1>Your generation is much better about that sort of little Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>So in another interview, Lukashenko made it clear that he's

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<v Speaker 1>capable of some nuance when it comes to LGBT issues. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm gonna quote now from an interview he gave

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<v Speaker 1>to the Independent lesbians are bad, but I do not. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a great clause to start us out with. He

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot of good add the word, but it

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be a recurring theme. Lesbians are bad, but

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<v Speaker 1>I do not condemn them as with gays. This is

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<v Speaker 1>not my understanding. I think it's absolutely unacceptable and negative. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>that's good. So at least he makes a distinction. He

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<v Speaker 1>is fine with leslie, he's not fine. Lesbians. They're not great.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to condemn them. There used to take

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<v Speaker 1>a strong anti lesbian state. I think they're hot. Those

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<v Speaker 1>gays I look at I feel fine condemning those. Yeah, again,

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<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko is like a lot of people. You grew up

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<v Speaker 1>with your small southern community. Anyway, Lukashenko's cultural conservatives and

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<v Speaker 1>manifest itself in his attitudes towards the Russian Orthodox Church,

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<v Speaker 1>summed up by the statement he made to a church

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<v Speaker 1>patriarch quote, thank god our church does not suffer from

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<v Speaker 1>the infections that have crushed the Western church. He's referring

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<v Speaker 1>to the Catholic Church. There. We have heard it all. Pedophilia, gainnus, environmentalism.

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<v Speaker 1>What the hell is going on? The trifecta of pedophilia,

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<v Speaker 1>gainness and environmentalists the three evils of society. Yeah, you're

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<v Speaker 1>getting sick here too. So I think that the Orthodox

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<v Speaker 1>Church and state are not working well enough here. We

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<v Speaker 1>cannot afford to lose a whole generation of people. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we can't afford to lose that to environmentalism and environmentalism

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<v Speaker 1>and its cousin gainness. You couldn't really just ruin the

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<v Speaker 1>youth with those, yeah. Uh. In two thousand fourteen, after

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<v Speaker 1>Russia's annexation of Crimea, Lukashenko offered to share control over

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<v Speaker 1>a United Russia slash Belarus with Vladimir Putin telling an

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<v Speaker 1>interviewer on Ukrainian TV, I told Putin that after the

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<v Speaker 1>Crimea annexation, people might no longer call me Europe's less dictator. Um. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>And I don't know. It's interesting because he also held

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<v Speaker 1>like piece a piece SMA in Minsk that helped bring

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<v Speaker 1>him closer to NATO over the whole issue. He kept

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<v Speaker 1>doing that whole weird like jumping into both sides with

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<v Speaker 1>both feet sort of thing. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>pretend to have any particularly deep sight into Lukashenko's mind

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<v Speaker 1>and like who he is as a person, because he

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<v Speaker 1>kind of plays a lot of his ship pretty close

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<v Speaker 1>to the vest. But studying him you do really get

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<v Speaker 1>the opinion that he thinks it's important to be seen

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<v Speaker 1>as legitimately popular. Um. After in two thousand six, after

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<v Speaker 1>a blatantly false election gave him eighty six percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the vote, in the international community, you know, decried the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that he was falsifying the elections. He actually admitted

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<v Speaker 1>to falsifying the results of the election, um, but kind

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<v Speaker 1>of lied about the direction in which he faked things, saying, quote, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we falsified the results. I've already told this to Westerners

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, ninety three and a half percent of ballots

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<v Speaker 1>were for President Lukashenko. People say this is not a

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<v Speaker 1>European results, so he changed it to this truly happened.

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<v Speaker 1>So his argument is like, people are accusing me of

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<v Speaker 1>lying and falsifying an election. The way to respond to

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<v Speaker 1>this is to say, yes, I lied and falsified an election,

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<v Speaker 1>but just to make myself seem less popular. Um, that's good.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think that has the impact that he thinks

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<v Speaker 1>it has. No, it's not it's not a good way

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<v Speaker 1>to build up trust. No. Um. Outside of the official propaganda,

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<v Speaker 1>a series of local rumors have propped up around Lukashenko.

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<v Speaker 1>The most common one is that he's mentally ill, suffering

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<v Speaker 1>from a variant of anti social personality disorder called mosaic psychopathy.

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<v Speaker 1>His opponents will generally declare that Stalin, Hitler, and mau

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<v Speaker 1>were all diagnosed with the same disorder, and this is

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<v Speaker 1>like it's a meme in Belarusian sort of opposition groups.

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<v Speaker 1>But I don't think it's true at all. For one thing,

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<v Speaker 1>I on think he's been diagnosed with anything. I know Hitler,

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<v Speaker 1>Stalin and Mao weren't diagnosed with anything, and Hitler Stalin, Mao,

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<v Speaker 1>and Lukashenko are all like broad the different kinds of shitty. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they all they all definitely, they're not all the same

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<v Speaker 1>type of dictator. No, No, they're not very different. And

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<v Speaker 1>in fact, if you're picking Hitler, Stalin and now you're

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<v Speaker 1>picking like three guys who are actually like the most

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<v Speaker 1>different three dictators like Stalin and Saddam same kind of guy. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, but but Hitler, Stalin, maw all pretty different

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<v Speaker 1>dudes in terms of the way they utilized power and

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<v Speaker 1>the way that they came into power. Weird that he

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<v Speaker 1>picks those. I guess they it's just like they're the

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<v Speaker 1>they're the big dictators. You could add Musolini there, I guess,

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<v Speaker 1>but I guess Musolini is a little bit similar to Hitler.

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<v Speaker 1>Mussolini is the most similar. More is like pretty similar

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<v Speaker 1>to Lukashenko comparatively, Like he's closer to Mussolini than he

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<v Speaker 1>is to Hitler, right, yeah, yeah, yeah, um yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know whatever. Um. Alexander Lukashenko does have a wife,

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<v Speaker 1>but she very conspicuously doesn't carry out the job of

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<v Speaker 1>first Lady. Belarus has no equivalent to Asthma assad or

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<v Speaker 1>Melani A. Trump Uh. This is also in line with

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<v Speaker 1>traditions for Eastern European despots. Stalin was conspicuously single for

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<v Speaker 1>most of his time in power. There are rumors that

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<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko's wife lives in a monastery or a mental institution. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And likewise, there are rumors about his children. Were not

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<v Speaker 1>really sure how many he has. People are pretty confident

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<v Speaker 1>that about three of his sons, Nikolai, Dmitri and Victor um.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's kind of worth noting that while these guys

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<v Speaker 1>are sometimes portrayed as particularly his youngest son Nikolai, Like

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about this on the Children of Bastard's episode,

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<v Speaker 1>he's the kid who got given a golden handgun. Yeah. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>his his Putin gave him a gigantic golden handgun that

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<v Speaker 1>he carries everywhere. So there's all these very funny pictures

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<v Speaker 1>of him, like meeting the President of Venezuela, which mess

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<v Speaker 1>of Bulgian gun and his his little little kids suit

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<v Speaker 1>for him. It's very funny him. It's exactly what you

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<v Speaker 1>do if you were eleven years old, got to and like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you can carry everywhere you want, but it's a giant

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<v Speaker 1>gold it's awesome. Yeah, but so there's this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>idea that because of the ship that that Nikolai poll's

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<v Speaker 1>um and and because of like the reputation he has,

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<v Speaker 1>that he's being groomed as the the like following in

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<v Speaker 1>his dad's footsteps. And this is actually pretty heavily debated

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<v Speaker 1>by people who know anything about the country. There's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of argument as to whether or not Lukashenko's children

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<v Speaker 1>are kind of expecting to follow in his footsteps. For

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<v Speaker 1>his part, the president himself has repeatedly publicly stated that

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<v Speaker 1>his children don't want to to go into politics and

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<v Speaker 1>that he doesn't consider them airs um. And Yeah, nobody

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<v Speaker 1>really knows how true this is, but a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>reputable academics do think that he's kind of being broadly

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<v Speaker 1>sincere there um and yeah, it's it's hard to say

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<v Speaker 1>kind of what he wanted for the future. Prior to

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<v Speaker 1>this last election, in the late oughts, that were persistent

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<v Speaker 1>rumors that he felt trapped as dictator of Belarus and

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<v Speaker 1>kind of was looking for a way out but couldn't

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<v Speaker 1>find it. Uh. And I'm gonna quote now from an

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<v Speaker 1>article in Deutsche Well uh to uh kind of elaborate

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<v Speaker 1>on that Lukashenko's biggest challenge, meanwhile, still lies ahead his

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<v Speaker 1>exit from the political stage. He recently announced that presidential

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<v Speaker 1>elections will be held as planned, and he's expecting to

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<v Speaker 1>run again. In his biography on Lukashenko, Valerie Karboalovitch described

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<v Speaker 1>the leader as a hostage trapped in a political system

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<v Speaker 1>of his own making. Lukashenko, he writes, has no choice

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<v Speaker 1>but to try to remain in power indefinitely, with no

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<v Speaker 1>viable successor in sight. Karbolovitch says Lukashenko's electoral defeat would

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<v Speaker 1>lead to radical regime change. Um. So that's interesting. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder. I always wonder how much to believe it

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<v Speaker 1>when people talk about like these guys wanting a way

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.880
<v Speaker 1>out or being trapped, because it does happen. Like Saddam

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:47.280
<v Speaker 1>before the invasion was like wind all the time about

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:50.360
<v Speaker 1>how he didn't want to be dictator anymore. Um, And

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:52.920
<v Speaker 1>you do have to think that, like for the guys

0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 1>who kind of are less ideological about it and just

0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:58.800
<v Speaker 1>wanted power, there's a certain point at which you're old

0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:01.199
<v Speaker 1>and you're rich, and maybe you just like to enjoy

0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:03.800
<v Speaker 1>being old and rich and not have to constantly worry

0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:08.559
<v Speaker 1>about being overthrown um by angry activists. I don't know.

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's also like he has a credible there's

0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:14.599
<v Speaker 1>another person that can run the country, which is his

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.080
<v Speaker 1>opponent the election. So if he wants to step down,

0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 1>he can. He doesn't need to be dictator forever. But

0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 1>here's the problem. Once you've been the dictator and you've

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 1>had a bunch of people disappeared and executed for exercising

0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 1>their political rights, um, and you've stolen huge amounts of

0:13:29.600 --> 0:13:32.520
<v Speaker 1>money from the country, then if you leave power, you're

0:13:32.520 --> 0:13:35.520
<v Speaker 1>in a little bit of a pickle. Yeah right, Yeah,

0:13:35.679 --> 0:13:38.280
<v Speaker 1>that's the cage of your own making. Yeah, that's the case.

0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:40.079
<v Speaker 1>The cage of your own making is made with the

0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.559
<v Speaker 1>bones of your enemies because at a certain point you've

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 1>killed too many people to um, to retire peacefully. Um.

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:50.199
<v Speaker 1>Because we don't just have an island where dictators can go. Well,

0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:54.240
<v Speaker 1>we do, and it's Jamaica. But um, I don't think

0:13:54.320 --> 0:13:57.920
<v Speaker 1>he likes the heat. So yeah, it's he's he's in

0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:01.960
<v Speaker 1>a complicated situation. UM. And as with any controversial political leader,

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:06.559
<v Speaker 1>there's numerous rumors about how Lukashenko fox both his detractors

0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and supporters. Close your close your ears at this point, Garrett,

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm covering my ears. There we go, both his detract

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:17.400
<v Speaker 1>we know that the teens don't don't ever hear about

0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 1>dictators um doing. I don't know, I don't know. I

0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:25.200
<v Speaker 1>lost track of the joke here. Um yeah. So both

0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:27.760
<v Speaker 1>of his detracts, both his detractors and supporters feel it

0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:32.960
<v Speaker 1>necessary to tell stories about Lukashenko's supernatural, uh sexual and

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>erotic sexual prowess and his titanic erotic appetite. So like,

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.400
<v Speaker 1>both people who like him and hate him need you

0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:41.520
<v Speaker 1>to know how fun hungry he is, which is kind

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.520
<v Speaker 1>of a weird. I don't know. I guess that's just Belarus.

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 1>Um yeah. One tabloid newspaper clearly put like pushing a

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 1>government line of propaganda described to the president's described an

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:57.440
<v Speaker 1>alleged adulterous relationship by the president, and wrote that Lukashenko

0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 1>is the only candidate who was potent like is basically like, look,

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 1>he's he focks around on his wife because he's the

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 1>only person in Belarusian politics, um who can get it,

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:12.200
<v Speaker 1>which is an interesting line to take. Um yeah. And thirteen,

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko was asked by his Phobota journalist how long he

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 1>felt his political career would last. This was a polite

0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:20.920
<v Speaker 1>way of asking do you plan to be dictator for life?

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko responded, if people will elect me, then you have

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:27.240
<v Speaker 1>will have Lukashenko for as many terms as you elect him, if,

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>of course, health will allow him. He then added, if

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 1>you have any doubts about my health, let's take skates

0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>and skis and tomorrow we will try. Let's run ten kilometers.

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 1>If you come first, then tomorrow you will be president. Yeah.

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>I love the system, dictatorship of the marathon. It's my

0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 1>favorite political system. It would be cool if I could

0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 1>just challenge the president to fucking tin k um and

0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 1>then this is what I hope that I would. I

0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 1>would so beat the president at any k The thing

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>is now is because the election here is such a

0:15:58.040 --> 0:16:01.120
<v Speaker 1>big mass, we could just have Biden challenge Trump to

0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.400
<v Speaker 1>push up contest and then the winner just be president.

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, has he kind of always he already had

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 1>he already talked about that, But now that could just

0:16:08.720 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 1>be the way we win the presidency. I don't have

0:16:14.280 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>up and see what happens. No, I don't think either

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 1>of them could. I don't know if I think either

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>of them could do one good push up. I'm gonna

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 1>be honest, I don't think so either. But if we want,

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 1>they're so trash, they're so old in trash. But Kamala,

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 1>Kamala could could do more push ups than Pence, I'm

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>fairly sure. Yeah, probably, um but no, but they can't

0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:42.400
<v Speaker 1>be on the stage together because it's against his religion

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>to sweat near a woman he's not married to. Um So,

0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he's going to agree to that in

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the first place. Uh So, Yeah, that that's a weird one.

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 1>Um Now, I think the best Lukashenko propaganda I've come

0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:57.600
<v Speaker 1>across is again from that Belarush Country study guide that

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>was produced with help from the Belarusian government. Uh And

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:04.439
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to read a few fun, fun Lukashenko facts

0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:09.399
<v Speaker 1>that they put out in their like broken Belarusian to

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:15.879
<v Speaker 1>English translated text, because it's it's fun. Lukashenko has always

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 1>willingly indulged in sport. The head of the state is

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:22.320
<v Speaker 1>sure that enormous psychological strain he undergoes every day, a

0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 1>nervous stress, can only be removed by activity going in

0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:31.400
<v Speaker 1>for sport. Yeah. Although every minute of President's time schedule

0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:33.720
<v Speaker 1>is entered in the records, he tries to find time

0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>and meets the state affairs to come up to a bookshelf.

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 1>To come up to a bookshelf, reading books for him

0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:44.480
<v Speaker 1>is a most pleasant occupation. He obtained satisfaction whenever he

0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:48.159
<v Speaker 1>gets acquainted with technological novelties, with latest achievements of the

0:17:48.280 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 1>scientific mind. It seems like a real eccentric fell out.

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 1>You obtain satisfaction from a technological novelty earlier today and

0:17:54.520 --> 0:18:00.399
<v Speaker 1>then it broke Amedia never my headphone. Yeah. I love

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:03.679
<v Speaker 1>the way they describe coming. When he needs a relaxation,

0:18:03.760 --> 0:18:05.879
<v Speaker 1>he comes up to a bookshelf. That's what I do

0:18:05.960 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 1>when I do you feel relaxed? I go up to

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:11.399
<v Speaker 1>my bookshelf, and for him is the most pleasant occupation.

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:15.479
<v Speaker 1>So over the last twenty some years, Lukashenko's political agenda

0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:17.879
<v Speaker 1>has evolved from a vague platform of anti corruption to

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 1>more or less supporting return to the old Soviet economic

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 1>system with minor market elements. The private sector has been

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:28.240
<v Speaker 1>kept pretty consistently at of the GDP, and Belarus's industry

0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.879
<v Speaker 1>has kept chugging along, duing large part to Russian support. Uh.

0:18:32.000 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Not only did Russia cell cheap oil to Belarus, but

0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:37.359
<v Speaker 1>they bought the Soviet style products still made in its factory.

0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:40.000
<v Speaker 1>So like all of the like the like the Kirkland

0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:43.440
<v Speaker 1>brand products in Russia are all from Belarus. So like

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:45.960
<v Speaker 1>you can get like a stove that's made somewhere else

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:47.920
<v Speaker 1>in the world, or if you want a cheap stove

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>that just works, you get the BELARUSI get the Belarus brand.

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:53.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah and yeah they were like and that that's part

0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 1>of what has kept their economy chugging along. UM. So Yeah,

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko pretty much based his entire political capital on stability UM.

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:06.320
<v Speaker 1>But most of that stability has been an illusion. For example,

0:19:06.440 --> 0:19:08.560
<v Speaker 1>for most of his time in power, Belarus shot to

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:11.280
<v Speaker 1>provide workers with an average monthly wage of around five

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>dred u s dollars. Unfortunately, the state was rarely able

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to afford more than about half of this, so they

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 1>came to rely on regular loans from Russia, particularly in

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 1>years like two thousand eleven, when Belarusian inflation topped a

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:26.400
<v Speaker 1>hundred and nine percent. Oh good, Yeah, that's not good

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>in amounts of inflation, UM. But Russia said no sometimes,

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.680
<v Speaker 1>which is again part of why, like Lukashenko started making

0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:36.520
<v Speaker 1>more overtures for the EU UM and he's also gotten

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:39.400
<v Speaker 1>loans from the I m F and the European Union um,

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>which means he's kind of in debt to everybody a

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>little bit um, which is, I don't know, in an

0:19:46.359 --> 0:19:49.840
<v Speaker 1>interesting situation to be in now. In general, Putin and

0:19:50.240 --> 0:19:52.959
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko have had kind of a more of a tumultuous

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 1>relationship than most media tends to present. Belarus and Russia

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:58.960
<v Speaker 1>are on paper, part of that economic union that was

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:01.520
<v Speaker 1>always meant to progress, being a political one, and it

0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:04.640
<v Speaker 1>first folks assumed that Lukashenko was a puppet of Putin's

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of inevitably bringing his country into this like union

0:20:08.359 --> 0:20:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of Russia and Belarus. But over the years, Lukashenko's like

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.679
<v Speaker 1>repeatedly pulled back, like right at the moment where they

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:16.800
<v Speaker 1>might take a step forward towards that. And again it's

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of like he's been a little bit of a

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:21.440
<v Speaker 1>cock tease with Belarus, like, Oh yeah, we're totally gonna

0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 1>like we're gonna get hitched. Don't worry, don't worry. I

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>just gotta go see I gotta go see my like

0:20:25.680 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>Bay over the the I m F. We're just gonna

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:29.359
<v Speaker 1>like hang out for a night, like but it doesn't

0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:36.639
<v Speaker 1>mean anything. Yeah. So last Christmas, Lukashenko presented Putin with

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:38.960
<v Speaker 1>a gift that some people see as a fuck you

0:20:39.080 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>to Russia over the fact that they started like demanding

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 1>repayment of things and kind of anyway, the gift was

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:46.280
<v Speaker 1>three sacks of potatoes and a bunch of like rendered

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:49.879
<v Speaker 1>fork pork fat um, which is a weird thing to

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:54.000
<v Speaker 1>like bring to your buddies house as a Christmas gift. Um. Yeah,

0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:58.439
<v Speaker 1>Putin seems to broadly be kind of have been relatively

0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:02.359
<v Speaker 1>pissed in recent years, particularly in the last year. Um

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:05.920
<v Speaker 1>And has responded by jacking up oil prices against towards

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:08.919
<v Speaker 1>Belarus and fucking with the state of their exports to Russia,

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:12.239
<v Speaker 1>which has kind of helped to created the Belarusian economy. Now,

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 1>all of this has meant that for the last few

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:17.680
<v Speaker 1>years Belarus has been anything but stable. Lukashenko has continued

0:21:17.720 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 1>to talk a good game about socialism, but he's reverted

0:21:20.359 --> 0:21:22.400
<v Speaker 1>to the same sort of austerity measures that we see

0:21:22.400 --> 0:21:25.680
<v Speaker 1>in western countries. He's raised the age for drawing out

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:28.560
<v Speaker 1>your pension basically like raised the retirement age. Uh. He

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>started permitting moderate unemployment. It used to be like impossible

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:37.200
<v Speaker 1>basically to be unemployed in Belarusia are belarus And Um, Yeah,

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 1>he's allowed unemployment as a result of the fact that

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>there just was not enough money to force it. Um.

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:46.159
<v Speaker 1>And that's brought you know, political turmoil because people are

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:49.800
<v Speaker 1>seeing themselves losing access to some of these like state

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>institutions that had at least been like kind of a

0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:54.960
<v Speaker 1>sav on the fact that they didn't have much freedom. Um.

0:21:55.080 --> 0:21:57.479
<v Speaker 1>Since two thousand eight, lukashenko solution to this has been

0:21:57.480 --> 0:22:00.920
<v Speaker 1>to periodically loosen up the rules and allows political opponents

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 1>to organize and advocate for whatever it is they happen

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:05.400
<v Speaker 1>to want. Is like a safety valve. You know, things

0:22:05.440 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>are getting worse and worse, so I might as well

0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 1>give them an opportunity a little bit of esteem. Yeah,

0:22:10.119 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and you also get to figure out who's the best

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:15.719
<v Speaker 1>at organizing resistance and throw them in dark cells. Um.

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>And he kind of developed he had a history of

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 1>being relatively smart about approaching some of these protest movements. So,

0:22:22.960 --> 0:22:25.800
<v Speaker 1>for example, when mine workers went on strike over delay

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 1>in wage payments and demanded to be allowed to join

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:31.200
<v Speaker 1>a new non state owned union, Lukashenko made sure that

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 1>they got their money and they got a fifty percent raise.

0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 1>But then as soon as that was done, he fired

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 1>all of the leaders who had organized the strike, and

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:42.640
<v Speaker 1>he also fired all of the heads of the new union. Likewise, Yeah,

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:47.720
<v Speaker 1>but you know what is really healthy, Sophie, I do, Robert,

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 1>I think I do. Yeah, the products and services that

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:57.879
<v Speaker 1>support this podcast extremely healthy, you know, yeah, very healthy.

0:22:58.359 --> 0:23:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Never fired the head of a mining strike. Well maybe

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:16.400
<v Speaker 1>maybe probably no comment, We're back, so uh yeah. Lukashenko,

0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:19.879
<v Speaker 1>so he was. He kind of developed over time a

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:23.679
<v Speaker 1>pretty canny way of responding to dissent um. Every now

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:26.439
<v Speaker 1>and then he would loosen the rules for political activism

0:23:26.480 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 1>to sort of let people gather in the streets more.

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:30.919
<v Speaker 1>But he never actually changed the laws so that at

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>any point in time he could just like have his

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:35.760
<v Speaker 1>police start enforcing the laws again. Um. And that gave

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>him an opportunity to like, uh kind of trap people

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:42.000
<v Speaker 1>and funk with them, um, but also do the safety

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:44.400
<v Speaker 1>velops sort of thing when he needed to. I'm gonna

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>quote now from a write up in the Carnegie Moscow

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:50.119
<v Speaker 1>Center about the way in which the regime dealt with dissent. Quote.

0:23:50.760 --> 0:23:53.159
<v Speaker 1>The resume has several tools to minimize the likelihood of

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:55.639
<v Speaker 1>mass protests that might escalate to the point of threatening

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:59.240
<v Speaker 1>its survival. First, a significant proportion of Belarusians are excluded

0:23:59.280 --> 0:24:02.880
<v Speaker 1>from politics, is a consequence of the state sectors economic dominance.

0:24:03.240 --> 0:24:06.040
<v Speaker 1>The country has a widely used system whereby employers are

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 1>not obliged to extend labor contracts when they run out,

0:24:08.920 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 1>usually after one year, so the authorities have a powerful

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:15.919
<v Speaker 1>lever lever for influencing the majority of the working population. Similarly,

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:18.920
<v Speaker 1>students risk being expelled from institutions of higher education, the

0:24:19.000 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 1>majority of which your state run, if they express political

0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 1>satisfact dissatisfaction. So yeah, it's a pretty pretty sweet situation

0:24:26.160 --> 0:24:28.679
<v Speaker 1>when you own the state and the state is everything um,

0:24:28.880 --> 0:24:31.920
<v Speaker 1>and you can just shut down people's lives. Maybe maybe

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 1>one body shouldn't control all those things. I don't know. Now.

0:24:36.160 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 1>Protests are allowed in Belarus, but they have to receive

0:24:38.920 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 1>state approval first. Yeah, my favorite type of protest is

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.560
<v Speaker 1>state approved approach. Yes, when they tell you where you

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 1>can be um, which they always want to do, like

0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 1>the police and the authorities always want to be able

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>to tell people where you can protest. Yeah, it's something

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing in Portland. A lot is still just close

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 1>off areas of gentime, Like, Nope, you can't proticey anymore. Yeah,

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:00.119
<v Speaker 1>it's a thing you have to be really unguardful or

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:02.320
<v Speaker 1>because you know, it's exactly the kind of thing you

0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:04.719
<v Speaker 1>do if you want to be able to run an

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:08.119
<v Speaker 1>authoritarian state and stop people from resisting it. Uh. In

0:25:08.160 --> 0:25:12.320
<v Speaker 1>two thousand from seventeen, Belarus's rules about when people could

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>protest and where we're briefly loosened. Um. And basically people

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 1>just got fined for partaking an unapproved protests rather than arrested. Uh.

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:22.880
<v Speaker 1>And this state of affairs lasted for a little less

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:26.040
<v Speaker 1>than two years until Lukashenko instituted a new law that

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:30.520
<v Speaker 1>taxed the unemployed. Um, just the unemployed, who he called

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:34.959
<v Speaker 1>social parasites. When protests against this got serious, he cracked

0:25:35.000 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 1>down again and started stopped letting people go out of

0:25:37.640 --> 0:25:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the streets without getting arrested. Um. Yeah, so that's interesting. UM.

0:25:44.480 --> 0:25:49.399
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko has shown sort of a a habit of giving

0:25:49.480 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>in and giving concessions to protesters in certain situations in

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:55.440
<v Speaker 1>which he felt like it was kind of necessary. So

0:25:55.480 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand eleven, drivers who got angry at a

0:25:58.080 --> 0:26:02.080
<v Speaker 1>rise in gas prices blocked men central thoroughfare, claiming that

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:04.600
<v Speaker 1>their vehicles had broken down. A bunch of them were

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:06.959
<v Speaker 1>detained and fined. But on the same day the president

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:10.159
<v Speaker 1>lowered the fuel price. Now the fuel price crept up

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:13.000
<v Speaker 1>again very quickly thereafter, back to the levels that had

0:26:13.040 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 1>been before the protests. Um. And he basically just used

0:26:16.119 --> 0:26:18.879
<v Speaker 1>that as an opportunity to like stop the protest, temporarily,

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.320
<v Speaker 1>throw all of the people who organized them in prison,

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and then gradually raise the fuel tax back up to

0:26:23.960 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 1>the level it had been before. Um. Yeah, very very sneaky,

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:30.840
<v Speaker 1>very sneaky. The kind of the smart dictator way to

0:26:30.880 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 1>do is the smart wave if you want to be dictator,

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:34.760
<v Speaker 1>a smart way to handle the protests. Yeah, it's risky

0:26:34.840 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 1>to confront protesters in the street and beat the ship

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>out of them, because that can lead to huge mobs

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 1>of protest. Yeah, and then more people will be on

0:26:42.240 --> 0:26:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the street. Whereas you give them what they want, you

0:26:44.359 --> 0:26:46.639
<v Speaker 1>throw their leaders in prison, and then you fuck them

0:26:46.680 --> 0:26:48.240
<v Speaker 1>over again and see if they're going to be bold

0:26:48.359 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 1>enough to come back out. Smart guy. Likewise, President Lukashenko

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:54.639
<v Speaker 1>is deeply cautious about promoting charismatic or ambitious men to

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 1>positions in government. Um. The only thing more dangerous than

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:01.439
<v Speaker 1>being a protester in Belarus is being a politician who

0:27:01.520 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 1>works with the president and stands out in some way.

0:27:04.600 --> 0:27:08.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to quote again from that Carnegie Russia piece quote.

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Those who occupy senior posts know this and try not

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:14.840
<v Speaker 1>to stand out, give too many interviews, or develop public profiles.

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko's aim is to ensure that neither elites nor ordinary

0:27:18.080 --> 0:27:20.560
<v Speaker 1>citizens get the impression that someone has a stable hold

0:27:20.600 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 1>on the number two position in the power vertical. There

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:25.159
<v Speaker 1>is no clear air or favorite in the eyes of

0:27:25.200 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the elite, and one should not be allowed to appear. Moreover,

0:27:28.119 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to prevent officials from thinking that they are becoming untouchable

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 1>and to keep them in line, Lukashenko regularly initiates criminal cases,

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:37.680
<v Speaker 1>usually in charges of corruption against some of them. The

0:27:37.800 --> 0:27:39.920
<v Speaker 1>rare cases tend to fifteen years ago in which high

0:27:40.080 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>profile officials went over to the opposition, ended with various

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 1>criminal charges being brought against them. To make sure others

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 1>got the message. In this system, betraying the president's trust

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:51.239
<v Speaker 1>is the greatest sin. It seems this country stability has

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.320
<v Speaker 1>been sorely based off of this guy trying to keep

0:27:54.359 --> 0:27:57.280
<v Speaker 1>the country as boring as possible. Yeah, yeah, you really

0:27:57.359 --> 0:28:00.200
<v Speaker 1>get that like that impression from it. And that's kind

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:04.199
<v Speaker 1>of why Belarus had a hard time. Like Belarusians who

0:28:04.240 --> 0:28:06.920
<v Speaker 1>were pro like trying to actually fight against state repression

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:10.160
<v Speaker 1>have consistently had a hard time getting any getting anyone

0:28:10.200 --> 0:28:13.119
<v Speaker 1>to give a fuck, Like right now because of the

0:28:13.400 --> 0:28:15.600
<v Speaker 1>violence in the streets has been the first time anyone's

0:28:15.640 --> 0:28:18.600
<v Speaker 1>really cared about Belarus on an international level in quite

0:28:18.640 --> 0:28:24.040
<v Speaker 1>a while. Because people are terrible, um, and Lukashenko was

0:28:24.119 --> 0:28:26.280
<v Speaker 1>good at being like, he was smarter than like an

0:28:26.280 --> 0:28:28.960
<v Speaker 1>assad where it's like, oh, you don't want torture tens

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:30.960
<v Speaker 1>of thousands of people to death, you just torture the

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:34.680
<v Speaker 1>right few dozen people and kill a handful of those people,

0:28:34.960 --> 0:28:38.239
<v Speaker 1>and everybody else gets the message and you let them

0:28:38.280 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 1>do their little marching and stuff unless they go too far,

0:28:41.000 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 1>and then you just you know, there has to be

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>enough allowed that people feel like they have a little

0:28:45.760 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>bit of control so that they don't fully rise up exactly. Yeah,

0:28:49.040 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 1>and he he kind of it's a balancing act, and

0:28:51.320 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 1>he seemed to be pretty good at it for almost

0:28:53.080 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 1>thirty years. Um. One of the things that kind of

0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:02.080
<v Speaker 1>disrupted his ability to add a actively hide from that

0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:03.960
<v Speaker 1>or two. It was one of the things that seems

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 1>to have disrupted his ability to successfully balance is the

0:29:06.880 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus um. So Lukashenko made an interesting call when the

0:29:11.680 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 1>virus hit, which is that he just refused to acknowledge

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>that it was dangerous. We've never seen this before, we

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:23.480
<v Speaker 1>haven't like he makes the president look responsible, and yeah,

0:29:23.560 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 1>it's not it's not good. He told his people that

0:29:27.200 --> 0:29:29.600
<v Speaker 1>the virus was a mass psychosis and that if they

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:32.080
<v Speaker 1>got sick, they should all go to the sauna and

0:29:32.160 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 1>get drunk to poison the virus. Yeah. Yeah, let's all

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 1>go to the sauna in a moist room where all

0:29:36.520 --> 0:29:39.000
<v Speaker 1>the airs going around. Yeah yeah, that's a great plan.

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Let's drink lots of straight vodka to lower our immune systems.

0:29:42.560 --> 0:29:46.280
<v Speaker 1>You get a poison of virus um. Yeah. In late May,

0:29:46.360 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 1>he insisted he'd been right not to lock down, stating,

0:29:49.560 --> 0:29:52.000
<v Speaker 1>you see that in the affluent West, unemployment is out

0:29:52.040 --> 0:29:54.640
<v Speaker 1>of control. People are banging on pots, people want to eat.

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:58.280
<v Speaker 1>Thank god we avoided this. We didn't shut down. You

0:29:58.320 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 1>wanna you wanna guess what happened next. I'm guessing thousands

0:30:01.080 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 1>of thousands people have died. We don't know how many

0:30:03.160 --> 0:30:07.320
<v Speaker 1>people have died because it's Belarus, but the president absolutely

0:30:07.400 --> 0:30:13.280
<v Speaker 1>got coronavirus. You could see a pattern States, Russia, Brazil.

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:18.200
<v Speaker 1>All authoritarian kind of leadership styles are so incompetent at

0:30:18.280 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 1>handling an actual crisis of this scale. And he he

0:30:21.080 --> 0:30:24.280
<v Speaker 1>absolutely refused to make any changes to his life. They

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:28.160
<v Speaker 1>continued to hold all of his public appearances. Government meetings

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:31.840
<v Speaker 1>continued without masks. He continued to play hockey and go

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 1>to hockey games. UM. In late March, he was interviewed

0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:38.960
<v Speaker 1>in full hockey gear uh, saying it's better to die

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:43.840
<v Speaker 1>standing than live on your knees. Oh boy, and yeah,

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 1>then he caught the coronavirus. UM. He says he was asymptomatic,

0:30:48.440 --> 0:30:51.080
<v Speaker 1>but he does not describe being a symptomatic and he

0:30:51.200 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 1>told an interviewer, I apologized for my voice. Lately, I

0:30:54.080 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 1>have to talk a lot. But the most surprising thing

0:30:56.080 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 1>is that today you're seeing a person who managed to

0:30:58.080 --> 0:31:02.480
<v Speaker 1>power through the coronavirus standing on his feet. Doctors made

0:31:02.520 --> 0:31:06.640
<v Speaker 1>this conclusion yesterday. It was asymptomatic, like I said, of

0:31:06.680 --> 0:31:09.200
<v Speaker 1>our people go through this symptom illness without symptoms. And

0:31:09.320 --> 0:31:11.200
<v Speaker 1>thank god I've managed to get into this group of

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 1>asymptomatic people, which is not true. There's no he cited.

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:20.600
<v Speaker 1>He cited no actual statistics from his health ministry or

0:31:20.640 --> 0:31:23.560
<v Speaker 1>whatever to make this claim. Um. But also he was

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:27.040
<v Speaker 1>clearly apologizing for the fact that his throat sounded shitty,

0:31:28.000 --> 0:31:34.880
<v Speaker 1>gotten sick. Very funny. Um, not funny because an unknown

0:31:35.000 --> 0:31:38.600
<v Speaker 1>number of Belarusians died from the virus. Again, we have

0:31:38.760 --> 0:31:41.240
<v Speaker 1>no actual data on how many of them got sick,

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:44.600
<v Speaker 1>but we do know that Belarusians were so desperate at

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:47.560
<v Speaker 1>the complete lack of support provided by their government that

0:31:47.640 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>they started taking to go fund me in massive numbers.

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 1>One campaign purchased more than a hundred and thirty thousand

0:31:53.040 --> 0:31:55.760
<v Speaker 1>dollars worth of respirators for doctors and nurses, which were

0:31:56.080 --> 0:31:59.680
<v Speaker 1>like sixteen dollars a piece on the streets because like

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>they're just weren't masks available. Um. So people, people have

0:32:03.760 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 1>been crowdfunding basic medical supplies for their doctors in Belarus,

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:12.320
<v Speaker 1>a supposedly socialist state, because the government just refused to

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:15.960
<v Speaker 1>admit that the coronavirus was a thing. Um. And it

0:32:16.160 --> 0:32:18.719
<v Speaker 1>is weird that, like, you've got Belarus the closest thing

0:32:18.760 --> 0:32:20.960
<v Speaker 1>we have to the USSR left on the planet except

0:32:20.960 --> 0:32:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, maybe Cuba or something. Um. And you've

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:27.240
<v Speaker 1>got the United States, which is you know, this bastion

0:32:27.320 --> 0:32:30.440
<v Speaker 1>of capitalism. Um. And they both kind of wound up

0:32:30.440 --> 0:32:35.760
<v Speaker 1>in the same position where civilians were crowdfunding doctor. This

0:32:35.920 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 1>is this. This is a sign of a perfect working

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:40.920
<v Speaker 1>system when you have people having to use a crowdfunding

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:43.360
<v Speaker 1>site for their medical care. This is this is a

0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 1>sign that everything is everything is fine, nothing is wrong. Yeah,

0:32:47.600 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>it's it's great. Um. For his part, Lukashenko, yeah, refused

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:55.320
<v Speaker 1>to cancel and like he just yeah anyway. Over the years,

0:32:55.880 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko clearly grew comfortable with the idea that his words

0:32:58.600 --> 0:33:01.480
<v Speaker 1>could manipulate and dictate reality. You know, he could change

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:03.640
<v Speaker 1>his own birth date, like the nature of his dad

0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:07.040
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, like at a whim for whatever was politically convenient.

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>And again kind of like we saw with Trump, he

0:33:10.040 --> 0:33:12.240
<v Speaker 1>ran into the coronavirus, which is this thing that like

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:17.680
<v Speaker 1>you can't manipulate, you can't lie to it. Yeah, it's

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 1>just a virus and it will get you sick if

0:33:21.440 --> 0:33:26.520
<v Speaker 1>you don't take certain precautions. Um, but you know it,

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:30.360
<v Speaker 1>he let it spread like wildfire through Belarus and that sucked. Uh.

0:33:30.760 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 1>And it happened to be also that this year was

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:37.440
<v Speaker 1>a presidential election UM, and so the kind of campaigning

0:33:37.520 --> 0:33:40.400
<v Speaker 1>season started just as the coronavirus was really biting and

0:33:40.480 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>the economy was hitting a nose dive, and there was

0:33:43.320 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 1>no way for him to hide the rod. Right. You can't,

0:33:45.920 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 1>as the president claim, I kept everything stable while people

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:50.840
<v Speaker 1>are sick and out of it. It's hard to just

0:33:50.920 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 1>propaganda this one away exactly. There's a certain point at

0:33:54.200 --> 0:33:57.400
<v Speaker 1>which the lying does not work. A government poll taken

0:33:57.440 --> 0:34:01.160
<v Speaker 1>in April of found that only a third Belarus trusted

0:34:01.200 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 1>the president UM Opposition Canada and this is again a

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:10.799
<v Speaker 1>pole his own government RELI. Yeah, not great results. Opposition

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 1>candidates began to come out of the woodwork to oppose

0:34:13.080 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 1>his rule. There were three of them initially. UM. One

0:34:16.600 --> 0:34:19.360
<v Speaker 1>of them was a guy named Sergei Tekanowski who's a

0:34:19.400 --> 0:34:22.120
<v Speaker 1>famous YouTuber who grew to local fame by putting out

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:25.319
<v Speaker 1>video's highlighting corruption and incompetence within the government. And then

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:28.560
<v Speaker 1>there were two other like opposition politicians who were kind

0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 1>of prominently running against the president and they all get

0:34:31.120 --> 0:34:34.680
<v Speaker 1>arrested almost immediately. And then which is like normal, right,

0:34:34.760 --> 0:34:38.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what happens. That's happening. Um. But then something weird happens.

0:34:39.040 --> 0:34:42.480
<v Speaker 1>The wives of all three of these opposition politicians get

0:34:42.560 --> 0:34:46.719
<v Speaker 1>together and decide to run one single campaign together. Um.

0:34:47.400 --> 0:34:50.239
<v Speaker 1>So they merged their support in campaign, and they throw

0:34:50.400 --> 0:34:53.160
<v Speaker 1>all of their support behind the wife of the YouTube

0:34:53.360 --> 0:34:57.080
<v Speaker 1>star who got arrested, a woman named fet Lana, and

0:34:57.200 --> 0:35:00.759
<v Speaker 1>they start running a really credible campaign. Well, in a

0:35:00.840 --> 0:35:03.840
<v Speaker 1>matter of days, they collect a hundred thousand signatures necessary

0:35:03.920 --> 0:35:07.840
<v Speaker 1>to register as a campaign with regime controlled election authorities,

0:35:08.280 --> 0:35:10.400
<v Speaker 1>and the regime lets them. And you get the feeling

0:35:10.440 --> 0:35:13.480
<v Speaker 1>it's because they thought that it's yeah, they thought it

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:17.480
<v Speaker 1>was just like there's no chance. Yeah, would kind of

0:35:17.640 --> 0:35:21.839
<v Speaker 1>like uh crudely say something along the line like mockingly say, oh,

0:35:21.880 --> 0:35:25.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we're ready for a female president in Belarus.

0:35:25.600 --> 0:35:28.759
<v Speaker 1>But she kept getting more popular and more popular and

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:33.880
<v Speaker 1>more popular. Um, and something really neat happened. Where As

0:35:34.000 --> 0:35:36.800
<v Speaker 1>this is all going on, starting with like you know,

0:35:36.920 --> 0:35:41.160
<v Speaker 1>the coronavirus pandemic, people in Belarus started getting onto apps

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 1>like Telegram in increasing numbers, hundreds of thousands of them

0:35:44.200 --> 0:35:46.600
<v Speaker 1>who hadn't been before, to organize these like drives and

0:35:46.680 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 1>donations and providing like to organize the providing basic medical

0:35:50.680 --> 0:35:54.799
<v Speaker 1>supplies to um medical professionals. And they were on all

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.840
<v Speaker 1>these platforms when the campaignings started up. So they began

0:35:58.080 --> 0:36:00.920
<v Speaker 1>like there was this one app created that allowed them

0:36:00.960 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 1>to like track votes, um and like track what people

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:06.840
<v Speaker 1>were voting for us that they could have like an accurate,

0:36:07.000 --> 0:36:10.040
<v Speaker 1>updated by the minute account of how people were really voting,

0:36:10.080 --> 0:36:13.359
<v Speaker 1>to compare to the government talies on the election, UM

0:36:13.680 --> 0:36:16.359
<v Speaker 1>and so. And also like you have all these people

0:36:16.360 --> 0:36:20.000
<v Speaker 1>who were able to get like organized voter drives and

0:36:20.040 --> 0:36:23.520
<v Speaker 1>stuff like that to actually like run a really competent

0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:28.759
<v Speaker 1>campaign that very quickly overwhelmed the president's uh, like all

0:36:28.840 --> 0:36:32.279
<v Speaker 1>of the state repressive measures he'd spent decades building up

0:36:32.760 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 1>UM and it kind of works. I'm gonna quote next

0:36:35.719 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 1>here from a rite up in vox quote. Experts told

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 1>me Lukashenko usually allows some opposition candidates to run against him.

0:36:41.680 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 1>Doing so let's the regime keep the appearance of a

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:46.200
<v Speaker 1>fair election, and also allows those with grievances to address

0:36:46.239 --> 0:36:48.480
<v Speaker 1>them once in a while, hoping complaints died down soon

0:36:48.520 --> 0:36:50.680
<v Speaker 1>after the vote. That seems to have happened in this case,

0:36:50.800 --> 0:36:53.680
<v Speaker 1>but the president also didn't seem too threatened by takenof

0:36:53.760 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Skaya's candidacy. One reason was that Takenovskaya had no political

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:00.160
<v Speaker 1>experience at all. In fact, she'd never spoken at a

0:37:00.200 --> 0:37:03.520
<v Speaker 1>political rally before. The other was that Lukashenko holds sexist,

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:06.239
<v Speaker 1>outdated views of women. Society is not mature enough to

0:37:06.320 --> 0:37:08.560
<v Speaker 1>vote for a woman, he said in July, adding that

0:37:08.640 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 1>the weight of the presidency would leader to collapse the

0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:15.400
<v Speaker 1>poor thing. But taken off Skaya didn't collapse under pressure. Instead,

0:37:15.480 --> 0:37:17.840
<v Speaker 1>she united the opposition and brought hundreds of thousands of

0:37:17.880 --> 0:37:22.640
<v Speaker 1>people into the streets and support UM. So yeah, they

0:37:24.040 --> 0:37:25.960
<v Speaker 1>put together this campaign like they have that. Like the

0:37:26.040 --> 0:37:27.840
<v Speaker 1>sign for this campaign was like a heart and a

0:37:27.920 --> 0:37:30.920
<v Speaker 1>fist in a fist pumping position and a V for

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:36.440
<v Speaker 1>victory UM. And yeah it all, it all works. Grassroots

0:37:36.640 --> 0:37:40.680
<v Speaker 1>movement led by a woman is a vibe led by

0:37:40.719 --> 0:37:45.560
<v Speaker 1>three women vibe. Yeah, it's it's definitely a vibe UM.

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:49.840
<v Speaker 1>And because protesters have this UM, they have this like

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:53.480
<v Speaker 1>vote tracking system that they've all set up together independently,

0:37:54.040 --> 0:37:57.080
<v Speaker 1>they're able to like keep track of how the votes

0:37:57.120 --> 0:37:59.879
<v Speaker 1>are actually going when the government lies about it. Which

0:37:59.920 --> 0:38:02.719
<v Speaker 1>is what happens. You know, there's an election. Um the

0:38:02.880 --> 0:38:05.320
<v Speaker 1>early polls, which seemed to be pretty like the the

0:38:05.600 --> 0:38:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the credible polls UH suggests that about eighty percent of

0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:12.120
<v Speaker 1>people voted for set lana Um. The government claims that

0:38:12.200 --> 0:38:15.879
<v Speaker 1>eighty percent of people voted for Lukashenko, which again has

0:38:15.920 --> 0:38:19.200
<v Speaker 1>happened every election. But this time, when he claimed that

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:22.160
<v Speaker 1>he'd won by an overwhelming margin, everyone knew it was

0:38:22.239 --> 0:38:25.440
<v Speaker 1>a lie because they were all online talking to each other. So,

0:38:25.719 --> 0:38:27.640
<v Speaker 1>and you you'll hear this in interviews, people being like, well,

0:38:27.640 --> 0:38:30.360
<v Speaker 1>I just assumed he must have a bunch of supporters elsewhere,

0:38:30.640 --> 0:38:33.640
<v Speaker 1>and like so, I like, that's why he kept winning.

0:38:33.960 --> 0:38:36.200
<v Speaker 1>But now people were online with hundreds of thousands of

0:38:36.239 --> 0:38:38.120
<v Speaker 1>their citizens, and everyone was saying, like, no, none of

0:38:38.200 --> 0:38:41.080
<v Speaker 1>us voted for Now, we're all in communication. We know

0:38:41.200 --> 0:38:43.640
<v Speaker 1>who we voted for. This guy, wasn't it. Yeah, we're

0:38:43.680 --> 0:38:46.839
<v Speaker 1>all talking. And so so that's what takes all these

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:48.759
<v Speaker 1>people out into the streets and we're gonna talk a

0:38:48.800 --> 0:38:52.520
<v Speaker 1>little more about what happened next. But first, you know

0:38:52.640 --> 0:38:56.080
<v Speaker 1>what's better than going to the streets but buying the

0:38:56.200 --> 0:39:01.439
<v Speaker 1>products and participating in the rat wheel of capitalism which

0:39:01.760 --> 0:39:06.880
<v Speaker 1>provides us with satisfactory answers to all of our needs

0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:09.279
<v Speaker 1>that are so much better than getting out in the

0:39:09.400 --> 0:39:13.560
<v Speaker 1>streets and bricking windows all of that bad stuff you

0:39:13.600 --> 0:39:26.640
<v Speaker 1>don't need with not we're back, okay. So yeah, it

0:39:26.920 --> 0:39:32.200
<v Speaker 1>was a really interesting situation. So basically spent Lana and

0:39:32.280 --> 0:39:34.799
<v Speaker 1>these other women, like the wives of these candidates, run

0:39:34.880 --> 0:39:39.239
<v Speaker 1>this incredible grassroots campaign that by all accounts, outside of

0:39:39.320 --> 0:39:42.960
<v Speaker 1>the Belarusian regime fucking wins. And there's you'll hear so

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:46.680
<v Speaker 1>like tank these people who listen a lot are a

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:48.720
<v Speaker 1>group of people I don't like much. And they're basically

0:39:48.800 --> 0:39:51.840
<v Speaker 1>this group of leftists who finds a reason to defend

0:39:51.920 --> 0:39:54.960
<v Speaker 1>every dictator and a reason to criticize every movement against

0:39:55.000 --> 0:39:57.960
<v Speaker 1>a dictator who isn't in line with the United States,

0:39:58.200 --> 0:40:01.120
<v Speaker 1>because if you're not a and of the US, then

0:40:01.160 --> 0:40:03.160
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't matter how about a dictator you are. Anyway,

0:40:03.239 --> 0:40:05.560
<v Speaker 1>I don't like tankys um. One of the things that

0:40:05.680 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 1>they will attack, uh, One of the things that they

0:40:09.440 --> 0:40:13.640
<v Speaker 1>will attack um fet Lana's campaign from is that one

0:40:13.719 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 1>of the proxies that she picked for her campaign, like

0:40:16.280 --> 0:40:19.000
<v Speaker 1>a local activist who was sort of campaigning for her

0:40:19.640 --> 0:40:23.040
<v Speaker 1>praised Adolf Hitler in speeches, Um, which is a bad

0:40:23.200 --> 0:40:29.720
<v Speaker 1>thing to do. But also it's not like he didn't

0:40:30.120 --> 0:40:32.880
<v Speaker 1>praise Hitler. It's like, if you are going to say, like,

0:40:32.960 --> 0:40:35.920
<v Speaker 1>I agree with you, it's a problem that this person's

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:38.680
<v Speaker 1>vetting was so bad that they picked like an election

0:40:38.800 --> 0:40:41.920
<v Speaker 1>proxy who had support, Like who says nice things about Hitler?

0:40:42.320 --> 0:40:45.200
<v Speaker 1>But the president repeatedly says nice things about Hitler, So

0:40:45.320 --> 0:40:47.480
<v Speaker 1>that may not make the point you wanted to make

0:40:47.520 --> 0:40:52.560
<v Speaker 1>in this case, um, which is like, yeah, it's it's

0:40:52.600 --> 0:40:57.560
<v Speaker 1>bad that that happened, but also come on, like the

0:40:57.719 --> 0:41:00.560
<v Speaker 1>the guy that they're running against his repeatedly talked about

0:41:00.600 --> 0:41:03.440
<v Speaker 1>how good many of the things Hitler did. Is maybe

0:41:03.840 --> 0:41:06.360
<v Speaker 1>this is a sign that nobody who runs for president

0:41:06.840 --> 0:41:09.520
<v Speaker 1>makes great choice. We're saying, it's like it's like it's

0:41:09.640 --> 0:41:12.120
<v Speaker 1>like telling people they should vote for Trump insta the

0:41:12.160 --> 0:41:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Biden because Biden's creepy around women. It's like, yes, but

0:41:15.920 --> 0:41:18.480
<v Speaker 1>also Trump, Yeah, Like that's not that's not a good

0:41:18.560 --> 0:41:22.560
<v Speaker 1>argument to vote for Trump. They're both creepy around women. Yeah.

0:41:22.600 --> 0:41:24.959
<v Speaker 1>And I don't want to like criticize fet Lonire because

0:41:24.960 --> 0:41:26.680
<v Speaker 1>I honestly you get the feeling that she just like

0:41:26.800 --> 0:41:30.000
<v Speaker 1>she never wanted to be in politics. She she probably

0:41:30.120 --> 0:41:34.000
<v Speaker 1>just didn't really think much about vetting people, and nobody

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:36.600
<v Speaker 1>can be that good in Belarus at running a political

0:41:36.680 --> 0:41:41.520
<v Speaker 1>campaign experience. So I'm gonna give her a pass on

0:41:41.600 --> 0:41:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the fact that one of the people she hired wound

0:41:44.360 --> 0:41:47.399
<v Speaker 1>up having said some dumb things in the past. Yeah,

0:41:47.480 --> 0:41:51.719
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't seem cancellable to me. Um. Yeah, and she

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:53.600
<v Speaker 1>had it was one of those things. So she would

0:41:54.040 --> 0:41:56.239
<v Speaker 1>she would say things sometimes in speeches that were like

0:41:56.520 --> 0:42:01.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of broad like like like broadly let's say, gender traditional.

0:42:01.200 --> 0:42:03.439
<v Speaker 1>So she repeatedly make the claim that like, I would

0:42:03.520 --> 0:42:06.560
<v Speaker 1>rather be preparing cutlets for my children than running for president,

0:42:06.640 --> 0:42:09.239
<v Speaker 1>but like I just have to do it, which you

0:42:09.320 --> 0:42:11.799
<v Speaker 1>can feel about the way you want. Um. But it's

0:42:11.800 --> 0:42:14.960
<v Speaker 1>also what's a politician. It's politician. It plays well like

0:42:15.120 --> 0:42:18.719
<v Speaker 1>it's a very pretty patriarchal society, and that'll get people

0:42:18.760 --> 0:42:20.759
<v Speaker 1>who might not otherwise vote for a woman on board

0:42:20.760 --> 0:42:24.800
<v Speaker 1>who's it's a protest vote like exact. Um. She also

0:42:24.880 --> 0:42:26.920
<v Speaker 1>said some stuff that I think is pretty cool. I

0:42:27.000 --> 0:42:29.640
<v Speaker 1>don't need power, but my husband is behind bars. I'm

0:42:29.719 --> 0:42:31.960
<v Speaker 1>tired of putting up with it. I'm tired of being silent.

0:42:32.040 --> 0:42:35.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm tired of being afraid. Um. And obviously one of

0:42:35.440 --> 0:42:37.760
<v Speaker 1>the things that's really tragic about this, in the immediate

0:42:37.800 --> 0:42:40.359
<v Speaker 1>wake of the election, you know, all these protests start up,

0:42:40.640 --> 0:42:44.200
<v Speaker 1>things become like very violent, very quickly, with state security

0:42:44.239 --> 0:42:47.279
<v Speaker 1>forces cracking down, and she has to go into hiding. Um.

0:42:47.440 --> 0:42:50.040
<v Speaker 1>She sends her children out of the country first, in

0:42:50.120 --> 0:42:52.600
<v Speaker 1>which she's actually in the same boat with Lukashenko because

0:42:52.600 --> 0:42:57.879
<v Speaker 1>there's it's heavily suspected although not proven, like the presidential

0:42:58.000 --> 0:43:01.040
<v Speaker 1>aircraft bellers Is air Force one flew to Turkey as

0:43:01.120 --> 0:43:03.680
<v Speaker 1>soon as things started getting bad, and it's believed that

0:43:03.800 --> 0:43:07.719
<v Speaker 1>Lukashenko's family was on board. Yeah, do do we know?

0:43:07.960 --> 0:43:09.839
<v Speaker 1>Do we know where he is right now? I think

0:43:09.920 --> 0:43:12.440
<v Speaker 1>he's still in the country. Um, he's supposed to be

0:43:12.480 --> 0:43:15.759
<v Speaker 1>giving an address pretty soon, probably will have by the

0:43:15.840 --> 0:43:18.280
<v Speaker 1>time this episode drops. And there's a bunch of different anyway,

0:43:18.320 --> 0:43:24.200
<v Speaker 1>So fet Lana Um comes on like basically goes to

0:43:24.320 --> 0:43:27.839
<v Speaker 1>ground for a while and seems like she gets caught

0:43:27.920 --> 0:43:30.640
<v Speaker 1>because the next time we see her protester going on

0:43:30.800 --> 0:43:33.840
<v Speaker 1>and she makes a video from the office of government

0:43:33.920 --> 0:43:37.600
<v Speaker 1>minister where she's like everyone should accept the election results

0:43:37.760 --> 0:43:39.920
<v Speaker 1>and go home and not fight the police. And she

0:43:40.080 --> 0:43:44.040
<v Speaker 1>looks like fucked up, and it's it's it's yeah, yeah,

0:43:44.120 --> 0:43:45.719
<v Speaker 1>we we we know what's going on. You know what's

0:43:45.760 --> 0:43:47.840
<v Speaker 1>going on. And she's fled the country since, so she

0:43:48.040 --> 0:43:50.360
<v Speaker 1>is out and safe and hiding for the sake of

0:43:50.440 --> 0:43:54.239
<v Speaker 1>her family's safety. Um. And things in Belarus are very

0:43:54.320 --> 0:43:57.560
<v Speaker 1>bad right now. UM, seven thousand people have been arrested.

0:43:57.600 --> 0:43:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Now most of those people are a sizeable chunk of

0:43:59.520 --> 0:44:02.160
<v Speaker 1>those people have and released. At this point, again, we

0:44:02.280 --> 0:44:04.520
<v Speaker 1>are not talking yet, at least about a regime that

0:44:04.680 --> 0:44:07.360
<v Speaker 1>is like the Syrian regime where they're going to the

0:44:07.560 --> 0:44:12.240
<v Speaker 1>immediately kill killed. Um, they have killed at least two people,

0:44:12.360 --> 0:44:16.000
<v Speaker 1>probably significantly more, and they're torturing people, lots of them.

0:44:16.320 --> 0:44:18.160
<v Speaker 1>There was the audio that came out a few days ago.

0:44:18.400 --> 0:44:20.120
<v Speaker 1>We're going to include a clip from that in a second,

0:44:20.200 --> 0:44:23.520
<v Speaker 1>but it's it's audio of protesters from outside of one

0:44:23.600 --> 0:44:27.440
<v Speaker 1>of Belarus is not so secret prisons, just like people.

0:44:28.160 --> 0:44:31.000
<v Speaker 1>You can hear people being tortured, and we'll we'll play

0:44:31.040 --> 0:44:38.160
<v Speaker 1>that now. So yeah, that's horrifying. UM, not not great,

0:44:38.280 --> 0:44:41.439
<v Speaker 1>not great, Uh, not great, But it hasn't stopped people

0:44:41.520 --> 0:44:44.640
<v Speaker 1>from coming out and in the last as I, as

0:44:44.680 --> 0:44:46.680
<v Speaker 1>I deliver this, things will be in a different state

0:44:46.719 --> 0:44:48.960
<v Speaker 1>by the time you hear this. Most recent change has

0:44:49.000 --> 0:44:52.000
<v Speaker 1>been that the government is allowing mass demonstrations again, and

0:44:52.160 --> 0:44:55.279
<v Speaker 1>like the soldiers are hugging protesters and like they're there.

0:44:55.960 --> 0:44:58.000
<v Speaker 1>It seems like things got bad enough that he decided,

0:44:58.040 --> 0:45:01.680
<v Speaker 1>oh god, if I keep pressing people shooting people in

0:45:01.760 --> 0:45:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the streets, that will inevitably lead to a revolution. And

0:45:04.880 --> 0:45:07.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that I'll win because this morning I

0:45:07.200 --> 0:45:10.080
<v Speaker 1>saw footage of like police cars joining in on the

0:45:10.120 --> 0:45:13.160
<v Speaker 1>protest or whatever. Yeah, And it's it's hard to say

0:45:13.239 --> 0:45:14.719
<v Speaker 1>at this stage, because there have been One of the

0:45:14.800 --> 0:45:16.960
<v Speaker 1>things that was happening is there were viral videos of

0:45:17.080 --> 0:45:19.960
<v Speaker 1>members of like even Russia or even Belarution special forces

0:45:20.080 --> 0:45:22.879
<v Speaker 1>throwing away or burning their uniforms to be like, we're

0:45:22.920 --> 0:45:26.480
<v Speaker 1>not going to hurt our people. Um, And maybe that

0:45:26.640 --> 0:45:28.680
<v Speaker 1>was enough of a problem that he realized he had

0:45:28.719 --> 0:45:32.760
<v Speaker 1>to change his response. I can't tell if the because

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:35.279
<v Speaker 1>there have been cases in history where like police and

0:45:35.400 --> 0:45:39.640
<v Speaker 1>military forces joined with protesters and then the government got overthrown, right,

0:45:40.040 --> 0:45:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if that's the case. We we don't

0:45:42.160 --> 0:45:44.440
<v Speaker 1>know if it's actually genuine or if it's kind of

0:45:44.520 --> 0:45:47.560
<v Speaker 1>been being controlled by him to make himself look good. Yeah,

0:45:47.719 --> 0:45:50.400
<v Speaker 1>and there's also rumors that basically what's going to happen

0:45:50.480 --> 0:45:54.360
<v Speaker 1>is Lukashenko is going to be backed by Russia and

0:45:54.440 --> 0:45:57.280
<v Speaker 1>allowed to stay in power for another year and then resign,

0:45:57.400 --> 0:45:59.239
<v Speaker 1>and that like that's what they're going to try to do,

0:45:59.440 --> 0:46:01.960
<v Speaker 1>so like he can save some space, but like they

0:46:02.000 --> 0:46:03.600
<v Speaker 1>want to put their man. But also it's like it's

0:46:03.640 --> 0:46:07.160
<v Speaker 1>not clear that that would work because basically a significant

0:46:07.239 --> 0:46:09.640
<v Speaker 1>number of the country at this point is actually more

0:46:09.800 --> 0:46:12.880
<v Speaker 1>pro Europe than pro Russia. It's it's some polls that

0:46:12.960 --> 0:46:14.920
<v Speaker 1>have happened have had it been close to fifty fifty,

0:46:15.080 --> 0:46:19.440
<v Speaker 1>it's usually about fifty pro Russia pro EU. Who knows

0:46:19.520 --> 0:46:22.640
<v Speaker 1>where things are at this moment um, but it is

0:46:22.680 --> 0:46:25.120
<v Speaker 1>a situation that's like kind of the thing that he's

0:46:25.160 --> 0:46:27.320
<v Speaker 1>been trying to avoid since two thousand fourteen, which is

0:46:27.360 --> 0:46:29.800
<v Speaker 1>Belarus winding up kind of like Ukraine, where you have

0:46:29.960 --> 0:46:33.120
<v Speaker 1>the country split along pro European or pro Russian lines,

0:46:33.440 --> 0:46:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and then Russia comes in and takes the chunk of

0:46:35.239 --> 0:46:37.680
<v Speaker 1>the country and there's a big, ugly civil war like

0:46:37.880 --> 0:46:41.279
<v Speaker 1>a lot of really horrible things could happen here um

0:46:41.400 --> 0:46:43.480
<v Speaker 1>and some of them being that like Belarus could get

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:46.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of put absorbed more by kind of

0:46:46.600 --> 0:46:51.120
<v Speaker 1>the technocratic West and wind up being picked over by

0:46:51.239 --> 0:46:56.479
<v Speaker 1>capitalists like Albania did. It's no easy, great solution here. Yeah,

0:46:56.880 --> 0:46:59.560
<v Speaker 1>besides like just getting the elected leader actually elected like

0:46:59.640 --> 0:47:03.279
<v Speaker 1>the first and who we probably think won the election. Yeah, yeah,

0:47:03.360 --> 0:47:06.040
<v Speaker 1>which is which is a start um and it is

0:47:06.080 --> 0:47:08.120
<v Speaker 1>one of those things where you can kind of look

0:47:08.200 --> 0:47:10.680
<v Speaker 1>through what's likely to happen next and be like, oh, well,

0:47:11.239 --> 0:47:13.080
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't seem like there's a lot of potential for

0:47:13.160 --> 0:47:16.320
<v Speaker 1>things to end well for Belarus um. And I do

0:47:17.400 --> 0:47:19.839
<v Speaker 1>like you can make a strong logical arguments there right

0:47:19.920 --> 0:47:22.560
<v Speaker 1>that like you know, NATO is going to like uh

0:47:23.200 --> 0:47:25.120
<v Speaker 1>like the I M F or whoever, like like what

0:47:25.360 --> 0:47:27.799
<v Speaker 1>all these different sort of Western powers that have been

0:47:27.880 --> 0:47:30.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of have been slavering at the chance to get there,

0:47:30.760 --> 0:47:33.719
<v Speaker 1>to get their teeth around Belarus will do that, and

0:47:33.800 --> 0:47:36.800
<v Speaker 1>it will make life worse for people. Not impossible, although

0:47:36.840 --> 0:47:39.000
<v Speaker 1>at this point, considering how bad things have gotten, hard

0:47:39.040 --> 0:47:41.080
<v Speaker 1>to see how that would be worse than where things are.

0:47:41.400 --> 0:47:43.600
<v Speaker 1>There's also the argument like Russia will take over and

0:47:43.719 --> 0:47:46.000
<v Speaker 1>like it will become more authoritarian and things will get

0:47:46.000 --> 0:47:48.640
<v Speaker 1>worse for people, um and like none of the options

0:47:48.960 --> 0:47:52.160
<v Speaker 1>before them are good. And I don't like getting trapped

0:47:52.200 --> 0:47:54.239
<v Speaker 1>into that kind of thinking because it leads you to like,

0:47:55.200 --> 0:47:57.480
<v Speaker 1>it leads you to not be excited about what what

0:47:57.760 --> 0:48:00.279
<v Speaker 1>is a core good thing here, which is that a

0:48:00.320 --> 0:48:02.560
<v Speaker 1>shipload of people who never thought, who never who have

0:48:02.680 --> 0:48:05.759
<v Speaker 1>not had political agency in their lives are now like

0:48:06.800 --> 0:48:09.560
<v Speaker 1>drop kicking riot cops in the street and trying to

0:48:09.680 --> 0:48:13.160
<v Speaker 1>change their circumstances. And that's a good thing. Yeah, absolutely,

0:48:13.200 --> 0:48:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, yeah, it's these people how have for the

0:48:15.680 --> 0:48:17.200
<v Speaker 1>first time in a while or having a sense of

0:48:17.320 --> 0:48:21.040
<v Speaker 1>like agency in their life. Yeah, And I don't want to, like,

0:48:21.360 --> 0:48:23.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it should be a foregone conclusion that

0:48:24.000 --> 0:48:26.200
<v Speaker 1>they will get fucked over like one way or the

0:48:26.239 --> 0:48:29.600
<v Speaker 1>other by you know, Russian imperialism or or sort of

0:48:29.719 --> 0:48:34.080
<v Speaker 1>like the kind of the same, like the fucking shock

0:48:34.200 --> 0:48:37.480
<v Speaker 1>doctrine capitalism. Like I don't think either of those has

0:48:37.560 --> 0:48:41.759
<v Speaker 1>to be inevitable. Like it's an unwritten year. Things could

0:48:41.960 --> 0:48:47.319
<v Speaker 1>be different, Like who knows. Anyway, there's a there's enough

0:48:47.400 --> 0:48:49.880
<v Speaker 1>things going on in the world that there's not a

0:48:50.160 --> 0:48:54.319
<v Speaker 1>foregone conclusion yet. Yeah. So that's what what I've got

0:48:54.440 --> 0:48:57.960
<v Speaker 1>for this episode so far. UM. And I hope that

0:48:59.320 --> 0:49:01.919
<v Speaker 1>if you're in Belarus and somehow listening to this. Because

0:49:01.920 --> 0:49:04.480
<v Speaker 1>they shut down the Internet to a pretty heavy extent,

0:49:04.680 --> 0:49:07.120
<v Speaker 1>people have found ways around it, thankfully. One of the

0:49:07.160 --> 0:49:09.320
<v Speaker 1>cool stories is that, like there's this app that was

0:49:09.400 --> 0:49:13.440
<v Speaker 1>developed to allow people in China to access the Internet

0:49:13.600 --> 0:49:16.759
<v Speaker 1>that people started downloading in Belarus before the Internet got

0:49:17.239 --> 0:49:19.799
<v Speaker 1>or before like all the app stores got blocked. Um,

0:49:19.920 --> 0:49:22.800
<v Speaker 1>so people have been passing it around and flash drives

0:49:24.320 --> 0:49:26.160
<v Speaker 1>thousands of people so that they could get it on

0:49:26.760 --> 0:49:31.239
<v Speaker 1>this This is cyberpunk. It's very cool. That's that's actually cyberpunk.

0:49:31.280 --> 0:49:33.279
<v Speaker 1>That is awesome and it's neat. There's been some really

0:49:33.320 --> 0:49:35.680
<v Speaker 1>cool stories coming out, like a bunch of British soccer

0:49:35.760 --> 0:49:38.520
<v Speaker 1>hooligans flew over to Belarus to like fight the cops

0:49:38.640 --> 0:49:43.640
<v Speaker 1>on the hat like yeah, yeah, yeah, that's fucking fucking rules. Yeah. Um,

0:49:43.800 --> 0:49:47.399
<v Speaker 1>like anti racist skinhead types in the UK, um, which

0:49:47.440 --> 0:49:50.200
<v Speaker 1>I think fucking rocks. Um. And I was reading a

0:49:50.239 --> 0:49:52.759
<v Speaker 1>really interesting crime thing published an article an interview with

0:49:52.800 --> 0:49:56.359
<v Speaker 1>a number of different Belarusian anarchists, um and yeah. People

0:49:56.400 --> 0:49:58.480
<v Speaker 1>were asked like what they're It was really interesting for

0:49:58.480 --> 0:50:00.279
<v Speaker 1>a number of reasons. One of them was that one

0:50:00.280 --> 0:50:02.360
<v Speaker 1>of the guys they interviewed estimated, like, there's maybe a

0:50:02.480 --> 0:50:05.000
<v Speaker 1>hundred of us in the country, like anarchists who were

0:50:05.000 --> 0:50:09.279
<v Speaker 1>actually organized in an um and but they're also like

0:50:09.360 --> 0:50:11.719
<v Speaker 1>the people who have the most time and experience thinking

0:50:11.800 --> 0:50:14.120
<v Speaker 1>about how to fight the state. Yeah, they've they've just

0:50:14.160 --> 0:50:16.680
<v Speaker 1>been there free time thinking about this, so they've been

0:50:16.719 --> 0:50:18.919
<v Speaker 1>the back bone and help. But trying to like train

0:50:19.040 --> 0:50:21.560
<v Speaker 1>up all of these other these Belarusians who kind of

0:50:21.680 --> 0:50:26.359
<v Speaker 1>like never would have considered themselves political activists before um,

0:50:26.719 --> 0:50:28.800
<v Speaker 1>which is an interesting a story I'd love to to

0:50:28.960 --> 0:50:31.879
<v Speaker 1>learn more about, to be honest, UM and yeah. Another

0:50:32.000 --> 0:50:34.120
<v Speaker 1>one of the people they interviewed, like was asked like,

0:50:34.160 --> 0:50:35.520
<v Speaker 1>what can we do to help, and he was like, well,

0:50:35.560 --> 0:50:37.799
<v Speaker 1>there's some donations that people can want, but like, really,

0:50:38.040 --> 0:50:39.840
<v Speaker 1>if you could, if it's at all possible for you

0:50:39.920 --> 0:50:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to travel to Belarus and help us fist fight the cops,

0:50:42.840 --> 0:50:45.640
<v Speaker 1>we could really use that help right now. Of course,

0:50:45.640 --> 0:50:48.640
<v Speaker 1>it's difficult with the play, very difficult. Not a great time.

0:50:48.800 --> 0:50:52.359
<v Speaker 1>I would love to be They're doing something, but um,

0:50:52.640 --> 0:50:55.719
<v Speaker 1>not easy to get to at the moment, especially for

0:50:56.280 --> 0:50:58.959
<v Speaker 1>Americans who are no longer welcome anywhere in the world.

0:50:59.040 --> 0:51:04.640
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, Belarus were We are paying attention and hope

0:51:04.680 --> 0:51:09.120
<v Speaker 1>that y'all uh figure out how to make things better

0:51:09.280 --> 0:51:12.160
<v Speaker 1>in your lives and that everyone who says that this

0:51:12.320 --> 0:51:16.120
<v Speaker 1>is inherently doomed winds up being wrong. Yep, very hopeful

0:51:16.120 --> 0:51:20.520
<v Speaker 1>and optimistic ending. I love optimism. You know what else?

0:51:20.560 --> 0:51:24.000
<v Speaker 1>I love Garrison? No, what else do you love? Plugging?

0:51:24.320 --> 0:51:27.160
<v Speaker 1>You love? You love pluggables. The attempts we've tried to

0:51:27.200 --> 0:51:31.160
<v Speaker 1>plug in headphones all day well actually because they were

0:51:31.200 --> 0:51:34.160
<v Speaker 1>not plug in headphones. It was a nightmare that stole

0:51:34.239 --> 0:51:35.960
<v Speaker 1>like an hour from our We better if we had

0:51:35.960 --> 0:51:38.080
<v Speaker 1>a splitter, then we can plug into head exactly exactly,

0:51:38.080 --> 0:51:41.840
<v Speaker 1>if people had just Sometimes progress isn't necessary. What was

0:51:41.880 --> 0:51:44.359
<v Speaker 1>wrong with the audio jack? Why did people need something new?

0:51:44.480 --> 0:51:47.840
<v Speaker 1>It worked fine. My plug doubles are good. Speaking of

0:51:47.920 --> 0:51:53.560
<v Speaker 1>plug doubles, my plugables at Hungry Bowtown Twitter for protests,

0:51:53.600 --> 0:51:58.279
<v Speaker 1>reporting and other kind of political fun stuff. Um yeah,

0:51:58.800 --> 0:52:00.719
<v Speaker 1>that's that's what I'm doing right now, and that's the

0:52:00.760 --> 0:52:03.560
<v Speaker 1>main thing currently and mine is at I right okay,

0:52:03.680 --> 0:52:07.160
<v Speaker 1>where you can occasionally see me live streaming Garrison and

0:52:07.320 --> 0:52:11.120
<v Speaker 1>myself and a number of our other close friends getting

0:52:11.200 --> 0:52:14.600
<v Speaker 1>repeatedly hear gassed in the streets of Portland, Oregon, as

0:52:14.640 --> 0:52:17.000
<v Speaker 1>has become tradition in the streets of Portland, Oregon on

0:52:17.120 --> 0:52:20.280
<v Speaker 1>days that end. And why oh it's a good time, Sophie,

0:52:21.360 --> 0:52:24.680
<v Speaker 1>great reading. Our city is for a long time. Yeah.

0:52:24.760 --> 0:52:28.000
<v Speaker 1>On an unrelated note, my lungs hurt every day. I wonder,

0:52:28.040 --> 0:52:34.200
<v Speaker 1>I wonder, why oh okay, Well that's the episode Products

0:52:34.239 --> 0:52:37.799
<v Speaker 1>and Services. Everybody just remember, no matter how dark things get,

0:52:38.040 --> 0:52:40.200
<v Speaker 1>we always have products and services.