1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 2 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 1: A what's up everybody. It's me Joey Pa Joe Pisapia 3 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: and welcome to betting pros and we are here today 4 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: to take you through the American League. That's right, win totals, baby, 5 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: it is me, it is Dan Harris, and it is 6 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:32,840 Speaker 1: you and Dan. We just did a very successful National 7 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: League pod. If people missed it, they can go back 8 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: and listen to it, obviously on demand wherever they get 9 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: their podcasts. But it's time to focus on the American 10 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 1: League today and the win totals there where the d 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,319 Speaker 1: H still lives and breathes where eventually we'll come back 12 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: to the National League, I believe. But that's the big difference. 13 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: And the differences too. We've got some teams, some juggernaut teams, 14 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: especially in the New York Yankees, and a few other 15 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: ones as well. But this seems a little bit more 16 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: maybe open to an interpretation with some of these win totals. 17 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 1: I think there might be some more variance here as 18 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: we're looking at the American League. So welcome to the 19 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: show today, my friend. How are you. 20 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 2: I'm doing well, I'm doing well, yeah, these totals. 21 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 3: Some of them are tough. I have a couple of 22 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 3: ones that I really really like. 23 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 2: I'm going to be interested to hear what you have 24 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 2: to say about them, But a lot of them it's 25 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 2: kind of like, I don't know, like this easily could 26 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: be like ten games over, ten games under, and I 27 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 2: really have no idea, which Twyileen. So I'm excited to 28 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: talk about these today for sure, because you're right, there 29 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:29,759 Speaker 2: are a lot of places that. 30 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 3: We really need to dive into the number. 31 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, and if you're looking to dive into these numbers, 32 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: make sure you hit up Betting Pros because that's the 33 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:39,679 Speaker 1: site for you. It's our extension of Fantasy Pros and 34 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: obviously it's for all your betting information. They do a 35 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 1: fantastic job here of taking all the different sites, all 36 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: the different win totals. You could see everything, look at 37 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: where the values are on the board, and make your 38 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: good informed decisions. And that's what we're about here, a 39 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: little entertainment, a little information, a lottle of this, a 40 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: little of that, and we got you covered here on 41 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:00,919 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. So let's start. Let's start with the Yankees, 42 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: the team that is either loved or hated, depending on 43 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: what side of the aisle you're on. But the win 44 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: total for the Yankees big time expectations as always, And 45 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: that's the thing with these big teams, whether it be 46 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: in football, the Dallas Cowboys that have big followings, you know, 47 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: certain teams, the Yankees, you're always gonna have a premium 48 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: because of the kind of team they are, the big 49 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: base fan base. So the aggregate here is ninety five 50 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: and a half. That's about what you're getting at most 51 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: spots for the New York Yankees. Now what's interesting about 52 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: this is you look at them on paper, you see 53 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: the talent, it's the rotation. I think that's got more questions. 54 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: You've got Garret Cole at the top, no questions about him, 55 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 1: But after that, how many ing is his tie on 56 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,079 Speaker 1: gonna give you? Is Corey Kluber gonna bounce back and 57 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: give you two hundred innings? Again, that's a distinct question 58 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,359 Speaker 1: mark Domingo Herman, will sever Reno come back? David Garcia, 59 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: is he ready to kind of make that leap? Dan, 60 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: There's a lot of questions, and that ninety five and 61 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 1: a half is a very big number. So with all 62 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: that in there plus oh yeah, there's a bunch of 63 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:56,959 Speaker 1: guys that get hurt every year on the Yankees named 64 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: Judge and Stanton. Throwing all that in there is this 65 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: tempting you to look potentially at the under of this 66 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: ninety five and a half. 67 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 3: It's kind of a stay away for me. I wouldn't 68 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 3: go over. 69 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 2: I would say that I'm not going over with it 70 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 2: for the exact reasons that you said. Corey Klueber is 71 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: the number two starter like you, that's not a rotation 72 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 2: that should be, you know, for a team that should 73 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: be expected to have ninety five and a half wins. 74 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: It really is, with all the question marks in that rotation, 75 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 2: just something where I can't go over it is the lineup, 76 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 2: but you mentioned it, man, you want a lineup where 77 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 2: guys are likely to miss time Between Judge and Stanton 78 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 2: and Aaron Hicks and everything like that. 79 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 3: It's really tough. 80 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: And the bullpen is good, but already they're dealing with 81 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 2: something we don't know the news. The news it just 82 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 2: broke this morning, but Britain is having an MRI. They're 83 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 2: a little worried about his UCL in his arm. That 84 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 2: would be a big hit to the bullpen. So ninety 85 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 2: five and a half is a big number. There's no 86 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 2: way I would go over. But if they stay healthy, 87 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: if you get a bounce back really from either Tyne 88 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: or Kluber, they easily could. 89 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 3: D this number. So for me it's a stay. 90 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 2: I lean slightly the under, but I'm basically not betting 91 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 2: it either way. 92 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: You know, I'm not a big fan of the you know, 93 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 1: I really like this number. Feels really good, But I 94 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: don't really like this number. It feels really good, it 95 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: feels right about where it should be, and the reason 96 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: is because of the variance of the pitchers. Even if 97 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 1: they get good innings out of those guys, my concern 98 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: is do they get enough of them and then the bullpen, 99 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: which is the strength. If they start having an injury 100 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 1: or two, then we're really into the weeds. And I 101 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: think when you're looking at the overall picture of the 102 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:29,719 Speaker 1: East Den, it feels a little bit, at least to me, 103 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 1: like the Rays and Blue Jays are going to be 104 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 1: far more competitive than I think people realize even last year, 105 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: and that's something that's going to enter into it now. 106 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,239 Speaker 1: Going to those Rays who made it to the World Series. 107 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: I went on record last year all over the place, 108 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: and I said that this is a season that is 109 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: built for the race. It's sixty games. The Red Sox 110 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: are not competing this year. The Yankees are not gonna 111 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: be able to go out there and acquire big ticket 112 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: items and they can absorb all these big salaries because 113 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: they're the Yankees or they're the Red Sox. So the 114 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: Rays are actually, for the first time competing on a 115 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: very level playing field. And when you know it, they 116 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: made it all the way to the World Series. 117 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 3: Yep. 118 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: But now we're back to one sixty two. So here's 119 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: the question. No Snell, No Morton. I know they have 120 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: that whole little league pitching thing, which you're a big 121 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: fan of the little league pitching. 122 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:13,919 Speaker 3: I know that. 123 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: I know you got lots of little league commitments going on. 124 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: Eighty five and a half is the number four of 125 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 1: the Rays, the reigning defending America League champs. So do 126 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:24,919 Speaker 1: you think this is achievable with these losses in the 127 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: rotation and now the factor in that we're back to 128 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 1: the one sixty two marathon. 129 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 2: I do, but I really just do because I just 130 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,799 Speaker 2: kind of with the Rays. I just kind of close 131 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 2: my eyes and say, I believe in whatever you want 132 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,520 Speaker 2: me to believe, because when you look at this team, 133 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 2: you're like, how is this team even a five hundred team? 134 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 2: I mean you look at the rotation, you know, I 135 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 2: mean when they lost Snell, you mentioned that lost Martin, 136 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:55,040 Speaker 2: You're like, Okay, Chris Archer, Rich Hill, Michael waka Colin McHugh, 137 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 2: I mean at got glass. But yeah, that rotation is 138 00:05:58,520 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 2: not something. 139 00:05:59,040 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 3: That scares you. 140 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 2: Sure they're going to be doing like you throw three innings, 141 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: you throw three inngs, you throw three innings like that, 142 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 2: which is fine, and their. 143 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: Mountation sounds like a sleeper list from twenty eighteen. 144 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 3: Correct. 145 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: That's that is my favorite most hilarious rotation ever, the 146 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: way you just put them all together and maybe go 147 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,360 Speaker 1: what year is it? 148 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 3: That's what the rotation is. I didn't do anything, I legit, 149 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 3: just read the rotation. 150 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 2: And the lineup also is just like you're like, okay, Meadows, 151 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 2: I like you for a bounce back, Brandon Lao always 152 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 2: you know, developed power, Maybe buy into Randy a Rosarina maybe, 153 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 2: but then you're like, okay, who's your cleanup hitter? Ohg Manchoy, 154 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 2: Like this is not a lineup that you're scared of. 155 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 3: I do like the bullpen. I love Nick Anderson. 156 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 2: I mean, I think what you saw from him during 157 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 2: the season last year is closer to what you're gonna get. 158 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 3: I know he fell apart in. 159 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:43,920 Speaker 2: The postseason, but I do expect them to be back 160 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 2: to pretty much normal, which what he was. 161 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 3: You know. I like Castillo and Fairbanks is fine. 162 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 2: So you know the last three years ninety ninety six 163 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: and then last year they were one hundred and eight 164 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 2: win pace at eighty five and a half. This sounds terrible, 165 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 2: but I lean the over, but only really because I'm like, 166 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 2: they know what to do to get the most out 167 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 2: of their players, and I think that they are going 168 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 2: to be competitive. 169 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 3: It's a good division. It's tough, but I lean slightly over. 170 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 2: But it's all I have to close my eyes because 171 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 2: when you look at the actual parts, you're like, oh god, 172 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 2: this is disgusting. 173 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 3: So slightly over, but not not hammering it or anything 174 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 3: like that. 175 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: No, I'm not hammering this one either. I would also 176 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: lean the over. If I'm going to lean one way 177 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: on this one, it's because I think the addition at 178 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: some point in the time in this year of wander 179 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 1: Franco to this offense is going to be a big boost. 180 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 2: And what do you always, by the way, with him, 181 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 2: when do you expect him to come out? 182 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: Honestly, sooner than later. I don't know if it's going 183 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 1: to break camp. But my goodness, he's got off to 184 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: a great start. 185 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 3: Yeah. 186 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: And that's like he's kind of forcing their hand. And 187 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: I know he could play third base, they say, and 188 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,200 Speaker 1: and maybe you know he plays second base and low 189 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: move somewhere else. I know there's a lot of discussions 190 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: right now, but I think last year you knew they 191 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: weren't going to push Wander Franco. They just weren't going 192 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: to do it. 193 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 3: Yep. 194 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: This year, this is a totally different set of circumstances. 195 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: And what you can can't acquire big time guys like 196 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: the Yankees can, like the Blue Jays probably can, like 197 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 1: the Red Sox can. What you can do is add 198 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: guys from within, which is what they did last year 199 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: with the Rose Arena and which they can do this 200 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: year with Franco. So those are the difference maker guys. 201 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: I think they will go over. They will find a 202 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:17,119 Speaker 1: way because they always do, and they have a nose 203 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: for getting the best out of these guys unless right, Chill. 204 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: I know he's one hundred and ten years old, but 205 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: I think it was a good signing. Like I actually 206 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: think that was a good pal for them, and it's 207 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: hard to replace Moreton end Snell. I think that's a lot. 208 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: But they're gonna get creative they always do ye and 209 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:32,839 Speaker 1: they're gonna manage their way. I mean, you're looking at 210 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: basically four and a half games above five hundred. Are 211 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 1: the Rays a better than five hundred baseball team? In 212 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: my opinion, I think they are, So that's why I 213 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: would go, are they five games better? Probably not much 214 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 1: more the Blue Jays however, at eighty six and a half, 215 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 1: they're even higher in most spots than the Rays. And 216 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: everybody's drinking the kool aid. And I love the Blue Jays. 217 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: I'm very excited about them. However, this is another team 218 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,959 Speaker 1: that after he hunred Reyu, there's questions in the rotation. 219 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: So it's kind of like the theme right now with 220 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: the American leagueast as we continue on here, there's a 221 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 1: guy at the top. It's cool, it's glass. Now it's uh, 222 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 1: it's injured for you. And then after that, I don't know, 223 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,320 Speaker 1: we'll see what are the guys and the rest of 224 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 1: these rotations. So is the Springer addition enough for this 225 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: team to stay relevant over this time period and be 226 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: in eighty six and a half above or do you 227 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 1: think maybe the hype is a little bit. I don't 228 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: know too much too soon for these Blue Jays. 229 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 3: I think it's enough to go over their rotation. You're right. 230 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 3: I mean there is a lot of horrible rotations, which isn't. 231 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 2: Good when you're in a division with a lot of 232 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 2: really good lineups. 233 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 3: But the rotation is gross. I mean Robbie, Ray, Tanner, Roark. 234 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 2: Hopefully Nate Pearson can stay healthy, but even if he does, 235 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 2: he's going to be limited in innings. Matt Stephen Mattz, 236 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 2: which you and I both know well of course as 237 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 2: Mets fans, and Ross Stripling had a terrible year last year. 238 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 3: Maybe bounces back. 239 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 2: The rotation is bad, but they are going to score 240 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 2: so many runs, especially now they're going to be playing 241 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 2: in Dunnaedean. I think that's how it's pronounced, by the way, 242 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 2: but that is an extreme Dunedin. 243 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:57,679 Speaker 3: Dunedin. 244 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: You know, all right, it doesn't matter. 245 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter. 246 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 2: Somebody tweeted us and figure out that has Adjo piece 247 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 2: be a seventy okay. But regardless of what it is, 248 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 2: it is an extreme hitters park. And you go to 249 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 2: that lineup and it's not just Springer. By the way, 250 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 2: I kind of really liked the under the radar signing 251 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: of Marcus Simeon too, because now you look at that, 252 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 2: look at that lineup, Joe go down from the top 253 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 2: to the bottom. It's Springer, Bashett, Semion, Tascar, Hernandez, Vlattie. 254 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 3: Bugio Guriel. Like that is a lineup. 255 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 2: I mean, they're gonna probably win a lot of twelve 256 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 2: ten games given everything like that. They don't have a 257 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 2: great bullpen. I do like Herbie Yates, but he's got 258 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 2: to bounce back and we need to see that and 259 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,560 Speaker 2: everything like that. The thing is they have a farm system, 260 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 2: right They have a very solid farm system. So if 261 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 2: they're in contention, they're going to go for It's clear 262 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 2: what they're doing. They are going for it right now. 263 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:47,719 Speaker 2: So even though the pitching staff is weak, even though 264 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 2: the bullpen is mediocre, unless Yates returns to top form, 265 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 2: in which case they have one of the best closers 266 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 2: in the game, I think the lineup is so good 267 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 2: that they're going to be able to slightly surpass the 268 00:10:58,240 --> 00:10:59,840 Speaker 2: eighty six and a half wins. They strike me as 269 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 2: more of like an eighty eight twin team, So I 270 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 2: lean the over here. Again, not my favorite bet on 271 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 2: the board or anything like that, but I do like 272 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 2: the over. 273 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:08,679 Speaker 1: You know, we could also make it up and call 274 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:10,679 Speaker 1: it Dunidin, which would sound a lot more like a 275 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:12,719 Speaker 1: Lord of the Rings place. Yeah, you know, I think 276 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:14,439 Speaker 1: that's where you have to do. We give us take 277 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 1: the ring to Dunidin, and when you go there find 278 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 1: the three eyed pro And yeah, it sounds like that. 279 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: It's like a big game of thronesy, sort of Lord 280 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,839 Speaker 1: of the Rings. He kind of plays. You know, you 281 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:25,560 Speaker 1: gotta watch out. You don't want to be caught in 282 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 1: after dark and Dunidin it's a very dangerous place. Boston 283 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 1: Red Sox eighty and a half ugly. It's the only 284 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 1: way to discuss the Red Sox season last year. Eighty 285 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 1: and a half is the number. So they're basically just saying, eh, 286 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 1: let's throw our hands up. It's a five hundred team, 287 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: another team that has a lot of questions in the 288 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 1: rotation now at Twardo Rodriguez looking good this spring. Yep, 289 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 1: perhaps you get a healthy Chris sailback at some point. 290 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: I think when you're looking at this injury to Xander Bogarts, 291 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 1: you're slightly concerned. It seems like it's going in the 292 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 1: right direction. However, sometimes things like that tend to linger. 293 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: So I don't think it's a question of can they 294 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 1: score runs. I think we all know that they can. 295 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: It's just a matter of the bullpen the back of 296 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: the rotation. Yet again, here again, this is just what 297 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 1: the East is right now. It's kind of you know, 298 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:12,959 Speaker 1: you've got those front end pitchers and that's kind of 299 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: tough to figure things out. So in my opinion, I 300 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 1: think this is again another number whereas I feel good 301 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: about the Rays over the Blue Jays is another one 302 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: where I feel barely good about that. I would lean 303 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 1: towards the over. There the Red Sox, I'd actually lean 304 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 1: towards the under because I think they're still more I 305 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: think basically this number is because they're the Red Sox, 306 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 1: And I know that sounds crazy, but I think you 307 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 1: can get people to wager on the over based on 308 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 1: the brand instead of really paying attention to what the 309 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: roster looks like. Because I think the roster still has 310 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 1: enough holes that they're probably just slightly under a five 311 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:45,720 Speaker 1: hundred team. 312 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 3: Yep, I agree with that. I lean under. 313 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 2: I think if you put them in another division, maybe 314 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 2: you could see them getting to above five hundred. But 315 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 2: in this division we just talked about it, three very 316 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 2: very good teams, one not so good team, which we'll 317 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,559 Speaker 2: talk about next. But with those teams, I feel like 318 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 2: it's gonna be really tough for this team to get there. 319 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 2: And again you mentioned the rotation. All the other teams, 320 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 2: they all have your one guy, right, they all have 321 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 2: all right, this is our guy. At least they don't 322 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 2: have a guy. 323 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 3: I mean, EDWARDO. 324 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 2: Rodriguez is a fine pitcher and I'm really hoping that 325 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 2: he returns. 326 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 3: To full health. 327 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:17,719 Speaker 2: But that is not an ace pitcher, I mean, nor 328 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 2: is Nathan Devaldi. So their rotation is really not strong. 329 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 2: And their lineup, hopefully I mean, is Jadi Martinez. I'm 330 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:28,319 Speaker 2: buying into the bounce back for Jadie Martinez, but we 331 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,719 Speaker 2: still need to see it. And Xander Bogart's again is 332 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 2: already dealing with the shoulder thing. I don't think that 333 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,679 Speaker 2: the lineup is going to be the red Sox lineup 334 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 2: of old and the bullpen is just mediocre. I mean, 335 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 2: I don't trust Matt Barnes to close games or Adam 336 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 2: out of you know, whoever wins it. The rest of them, 337 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 2: braz Or, Sawamura, Hernandez, like, they're just not that impressive. 338 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 3: So for me, again, I lean the under here. 339 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: This is not as strong this division. The numbers are 340 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 2: not strong. I don't get a stronglyan. There are other 341 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 2: spots where I have much stronger leans. I lean under 342 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 2: like you, I think we see this the same way 343 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 2: in another division, maybe over, but in the East, I'm 344 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 2: going under. 345 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: I just think this is a carryover from last year. 346 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: You know this, Yes, last year was ugly, but they 347 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 1: have not fixed enough of the issues. Where are the 348 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: issues that they fixed? They're not there. 349 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 2: Well, I think they're operating more like a small market team, 350 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 2: which is fine. I like I you know, the GM Bloom, 351 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 2: I mean, we almost hired him for the Mets job 352 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 2: before we hired Brody van Wagon and that that's sort 353 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 2: of the way he operates, right Like, he comes from 354 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 2: a small market background, and its fine for them, that's 355 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 2: what they're doing. But I think everybody kind of needs 356 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 2: to understand that is what they're doing. They're not sort 357 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 2: of wasting things right now. They're fully content to not 358 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 2: be in contention this year. So it's a team that, again, 359 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: if it comes down to it, if they're not in contention, 360 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 2: they'll be willing to sell off pieces that they can 361 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: and build up for next year. 362 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: So I do lean the end I think they can make. 363 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: I'll say what, I think you can make some money 364 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 1: on the Red Sox under this year. I do. I 365 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 1: just think too many people are just buying into the 366 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 1: concept that it's it's the Red Sox They're going to 367 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 1: be better. No, I think they're still in this transition, 368 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 1: and they might even be into it in the first 369 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 1: half of twenty twenty two. All right, let's go into 370 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: the next one. Here, the Baltimore Orioles close out the 371 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: East sixty four and a half. Not the greatest number, 372 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 1: sixty four and a half. You're gonna lose about one 373 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 1: hundred games or so. So here's the idea. It's whether 374 00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: or not you believe that they're just gonna get pummeled 375 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 1: by the rest of this division, which I think they 376 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 1: probably are. You know, the low numbers typically I see 377 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: the low number and I like to go over. I 378 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 1: like to give some parts a little bit work. Of course, 379 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: now I have a hard time doing that here. I 380 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: just gonna be honest with you. Are you having the 381 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 1: same hard time? 382 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 3: Oh, I'm under I'm character Ye. 383 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 2: It's such a low number, but yeah, this is one 384 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: hundred lost team. 385 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 3: Like it just is. I mean, Joe, you and I 386 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 3: do fantasy baseball. 387 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 2: Obviously we are fantasy baseball, Quoe unquote experts and you 388 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 2: I like John. 389 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 3: Means like I do like them. 390 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 2: M I don't think before I kind of was really 391 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 2: digging into it, I could have named another Oriole starter. 392 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 3: Can people listening right now name another starter? 393 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 1: Jim Palmer, Jim. 394 00:15:58,280 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 3: Bomber was at one point start. 395 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 2: Dylan Bundy was not a good starter for them before 396 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 2: he went to the Drews. 397 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 3: It's I mean Keegan Aiken. 398 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 2: Dean Kramer or he Lopez, Like, this is not a 399 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 2: major leaguer talk about some rotations. This is not a 400 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 2: major league rotation. And their lineup is fine. You and 401 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 2: I are big tray man senior guys. I like Ryan Mountcastle, 402 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 2: but not good enough to compete with these other lineups. So, 403 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 2: and the bullpend isn't great at all. So there's just 404 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 2: nothing about this that screams you're gonna be able to 405 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 2: like become a sixty five sixty six win team in 406 00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 2: this division again, where every team, even the Red Sox 407 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 2: are not gonna be terrible. We're not like a seventy 408 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: six win team. They're gonna be a round five hundred. 409 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 2: So for me, it's a low number. But yeah, this 410 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: is a team I'm fading. I will go under the 411 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 2: sixty four and a half here with the Orioles. 412 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of worry because they're gonna play teams 413 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: from the central two and there's some better teams they 414 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: were gonna get into a second, and I think that's 415 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 1: to be where I would lean the under as well. 416 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: It's because of the rest of the league. Even when 417 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 1: they go play West Coast road trips and some of 418 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:56,040 Speaker 1: those teams in the West that are gonna give them fits, 419 00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 1: the Angels are gonna give them a hard time. The 420 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: A's look, but let's let's move on to the White 421 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: Sox here in the central because this is one where 422 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 1: I am excited right now. Ninety one and a half 423 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 1: here we go. I'm finally excited. Why I always get 424 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: excited when it comes to the Central I don't know why. 425 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:13,120 Speaker 1: I'm just a I'm just a Midwestern kind of guy. 426 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 3: Well, are you excited for the over excited. 427 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: Danny boy? I am excited for the over ninety one 428 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,880 Speaker 1: and a half going on? Have we seen this lineup? 429 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:27,120 Speaker 1: They added Lance Lynn, he's a horse, Lint, Giolito, Kikeel, 430 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: They've got some other guys too. They've got Dylan cs 431 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 1: and Lopez and who knows what Kopek can give them. 432 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:34,760 Speaker 1: They fixed the ninth inning when they brought in a 433 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 1: shutdown closer. You have a lineup that doesn't quit. Oh 434 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,199 Speaker 1: my goodness, ninety one and a half. I saw this 435 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,600 Speaker 1: and I just wanted to immediately go and find all 436 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,200 Speaker 1: the places where I could go and wager on it, 437 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 1: because I do feel like this is something where they're 438 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 1: not giving the White Sox enough credit, and I think 439 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 1: it's time we do, because this is a team that 440 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,360 Speaker 1: is young, that is hungry, that already proved last year 441 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,920 Speaker 1: the concept and now they're just coming back for more 442 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: and they've got the rating MVP on their team as well. 443 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 1: In jse Bree, you, I just think this team is 444 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: much better than people realize and I also think this 445 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 1: whole division, you know, Minnesota and the Indians are going 446 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 1: to the Cleveland baseball team, as it might be right now, it's. 447 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 3: Going to take are still the Indians, right? I think 448 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 3: they don't know all. 449 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 1: Right anyway if they are changes either way either way, 450 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 1: I think it's safe to just apologize. So White Sox 451 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,199 Speaker 1: for you ninety one and a half? What do you do? 452 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,159 Speaker 3: I kind of stay away from it, But all right. 453 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: Here run through the village on this one. 454 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:32,119 Speaker 3: Let's point out a couple of things. Okay. 455 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 2: Number one, there are books out there FanDuel, in particular 456 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,959 Speaker 2: ninety and a half, so if you like it, you 457 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 2: can get it even better at ninety one and a half, 458 00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:42,120 Speaker 2: which is a consensus ligne. Again, on our betting pros 459 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 2: Consensus MLB Betting Pros dot Com slash MLB Wins, you 460 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 2: can look at the win totals for every team, the 461 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 2: consensus line, and the individual sports books. 462 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 3: So you're looking at it. 463 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 2: The consensus line is ninety one and a half, but 464 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 2: there are a couple of Fox bet fandel that are 465 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 2: at ninety and a half, seeing ge an even better 466 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 2: line if you like the over, if you're. 467 00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 3: Available to bet in those markets. Here it is You're right. 468 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 3: Everything you said is right, and I've dug into this 469 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,119 Speaker 3: team and I can't poke holes in it. Okay, it 470 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 3: really can't. Their lineup is extremely extremely strong. It just is. 471 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 3: There really is no holes in it. 472 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 2: There are rotation you mentioned it, Linn, and especially a 473 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 2: year like this where you're coming off where you don't 474 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 2: know if you can count on the innings that you're 475 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:21,199 Speaker 2: gonna get from most pictures, you can count on the 476 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 2: innings you're gonna get from Lynn. 477 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 3: Gilido is great, of course, Kiko is very good. 478 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 2: Maybe the back end of their rotation is a little weak, 479 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 2: but you mentioned it that got Copec waiting to come 480 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,440 Speaker 2: add basically the best closer in the game, and Aaron 481 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 2: Bummer was probably okay to step in even if not. 482 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 2: Here's what worries me, Joe, And it's probably silly to 483 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 2: give this this much credit because there are teams that 484 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:45,040 Speaker 2: projection systems just kind of you know, they can't get 485 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 2: a hold of, like the A's and the Braves, right, 486 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 2: the projection systems are always way below them. The projection 487 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: Pakoda right, like one of the most well known projection 488 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: systems eighty two and a half wins. 489 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,360 Speaker 1: That's what they had for the Braves too or something. 490 00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,200 Speaker 2: I agree the break there are certain there are certain 491 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,399 Speaker 2: teams historically, and they do it every single year. And 492 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 2: they also overvalue a couple of teams every year, which 493 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 2: we'll get to one of those teams we get to 494 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 2: the West. 495 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,600 Speaker 3: They undervalue certain teams every single year because. 496 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:12,880 Speaker 2: I think they can't quantify certain parts of their team, 497 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 2: whether it's the deepense or you know with the Rays 498 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 2: sometimes the way they're able to, you know, basically outmaneuver everybody. 499 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 2: I don't know what it is with the White Sox, 500 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 2: and historically I don't think they go under on the 501 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 2: White Sox. So I've been thinking that that that makes 502 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:29,199 Speaker 2: me extremely worried. When a projection system is nine wins 503 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,520 Speaker 2: nine wins different than what the over under is, so 504 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 2: I nine times I you know, I'm just basically I 505 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: understand over. I'm not betting the under, but I'm staying 506 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 2: away from it. 507 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 3: And it's a simple thing. And people want to be like, 508 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 3: what do you mean. 509 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 2: So you like the team, you think they could go over, 510 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 2: but the projection system is so far down, so you're off. 511 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 3: Yeah. 512 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 2: I hate to say it, but I am, because when 513 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 2: it's that big a difference, Joe, A nine win difference 514 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,199 Speaker 2: for me is enough for me to say, am I 515 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 2: missing something with this team? And I can't quantify it yet? 516 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 2: So for me, I'm staying away. But if there is 517 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 2: a way to go, it is over. 518 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,439 Speaker 1: I will agree with you that closer check, rotation check, 519 00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 1: I got you check, depth in the system check. I 520 00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,160 Speaker 1: got more checks. I got more checks. I want to 521 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: checks check list. So power check, speed check, defense, big check. 522 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 1: A lot of good defenders too. Madrigal is a good 523 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 1: defender and over the app Now, honestly, it's gonna be 524 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:24,919 Speaker 1: tricky with Vaughn playing d H what you do with 525 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: the lay not the greatest defender, but he's gonna be 526 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 1: out there. But I think that's part of the acquisition there, 527 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 1: of bringing in the man. Meeting too is strewing up 528 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 1: you know, a lot of the outfield defense. So all right, 529 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:35,919 Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now, I think they're closer to 530 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 1: one hundred win team than they are a ninety win team. 531 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 3: All right, So you're you're really going over here. Maybe 532 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,159 Speaker 3: maybe it's maybe for me, maybe what's holding me back. 533 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:48,960 Speaker 3: In addition to Pakoda is Tony LaRussa, Like, what happens. 534 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 1: The one check I did not check because I don't. 535 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 2: You you conspicuously forgot the manager. Yeah, I think for 536 00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 2: me again, you know, maybe it's gonna be anything. You're 537 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 2: going to see a bat flip Like this team is 538 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 2: young and cool and loose and. 539 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 3: Bat flippy, and I feel like you're gonna be like, 540 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,159 Speaker 3: did you just bat flip your bench for three games? 541 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:08,879 Speaker 3: And stuff like that. You could feel like it's the. 542 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:15,199 Speaker 1: Same guy who manages the A's flipping bats and thy 543 00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:15,840 Speaker 1: years ago. 544 00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,440 Speaker 3: Man, another time, that was a whole nother time. 545 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 1: Only the versa cares about one thing, winning. If they're winning, 546 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 1: they could do whatever the hell they want. If they're 547 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:24,760 Speaker 1: using that's a different story. 548 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:25,159 Speaker 3: All right. 549 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 2: Well, if you work for Pakoda and you are listening 550 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 2: to this podcast, mess m me on Twitter and explain 551 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 2: to me why you're saying. 552 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 1: When you say Pakoda, I always think of Bill Pakota 553 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 1: or like immediately and that shows my age. 554 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 3: I just put that you're an old man. 555 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 1: All right. Minnesota Twins are next eighty eight and a half. Now, 556 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 1: this number feels right to me. This is one that 557 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 1: I'm running away from. Uh, the Twins, I could do 558 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:54,120 Speaker 1: the opposite checklist. Everything could break right, but Donaldson's health couldn't. 559 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 1: This could be finally the year Nelson Cruz, God forbid, 560 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,879 Speaker 1: isn't Nelson Cruz, Sario is gone, still hasn't taken that 561 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 1: step forward. My Ada is coming off a career year, 562 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 1: all these things. Buckston's always hurt, no strikes out every 563 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: five seconds. There's so many negatives. I can look at 564 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: this team and I think that that's a sound way 565 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: of looking at it. And if you could look at 566 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,919 Speaker 1: all those negatives, it would tend towards an under But 567 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 1: I know that not every negative is going to happen 568 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 1: for the Twins. So I think this is a good number. 569 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:22,719 Speaker 1: This is a stay away number for me. I'm bullish 570 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 1: on the white Sox. I am passive about the Twins. 571 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,399 Speaker 1: What do you think about Minnesota this year? In that 572 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: eighty eight and a half? 573 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,399 Speaker 2: I agree with you that it's a pretty It seems 574 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:32,679 Speaker 2: like a pretty sharp number to me. And again, you 575 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 2: know the last two years one hundred and one wins 576 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,800 Speaker 2: and then they were on a ninety seven win pace 577 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:37,239 Speaker 2: last year. 578 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 3: It's a good team and not that much has changed. 579 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 2: But I agree with you like it is really easy 580 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:43,639 Speaker 2: to see this falling off a cliff because again, Nelson 581 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 2: Cruise is a thousand years old, and although everything looks 582 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 2: good and he continues to get it done, and he 583 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 2: continues to be undervalue generally, like the wheels fall off 584 00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 2: for every. 585 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 3: Time, eventually, eventually except that except it's true, not obviously, 586 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,080 Speaker 3: but Buckston, you're right. 587 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 2: I mean if Buckston, if I knew Buckston were gonna 588 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 2: be healthy the whole season, I would love it. But 589 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 2: obviously never is Josh Donaldson feels like he's about to 590 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,639 Speaker 2: break down. Is Miguel Snow gonna play to the eightyeh percent? 591 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 2: All of his possible outcomes are the twentieth? 592 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:13,240 Speaker 3: You never know? But their team is like it's it's solid. 593 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 2: I mean that the big you know, Brios, my Eta, 594 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 2: and I like Pineda. I like adding Jay Happ at 595 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 2: the end of the rotation as well. I like adding 596 00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 2: out Klome, who continues to get it done despite Miniogre 597 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,439 Speaker 2: stuff in the bullpen. So it does strike me as 598 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 2: a team that's gonna be above five hundred. But there's 599 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,680 Speaker 2: enough downside for me if everything goes right that I 600 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 2: agree with you, I kind of want to stay away 601 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,640 Speaker 2: from the numbers, it's a solid number something I don't 602 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 2: really love. 603 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's better than five hundred team, but I don't 604 00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 1: think they're a ninety win team in that stay away. Now, 605 00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: this next one, I like the over two. It's the 606 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:47,120 Speaker 1: Cleveland baseball team, the Indians eighty one and a half. 607 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,640 Speaker 1: And the reason is they have pitching. You know, when 608 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,880 Speaker 1: we talk about all these other teams that go, oh, 609 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 1: what about the three and the four and the five, Well, 610 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 1: guess what this is. One goes all the way. You know, 611 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 1: you start with Bieber, who's probably the best pitcher in 612 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 1: the American League besides Garret Cole. You can have that conversation. 613 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,960 Speaker 1: But then after that, you've got Plisek, You've got Savale, 614 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,920 Speaker 1: who I think very highly of. You've got Tristan McKenzie. 615 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 1: I mean, there's always the sense that Cleveland will find 616 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 1: a way, and they keep rereading these young pitchers and 617 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,160 Speaker 1: turning it over. And yes, they did lose lind Door, 618 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: but they did bring in Rosario and that's good. And 619 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: I just feel like from the Indian standpoint, they have 620 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,679 Speaker 1: the manager, they have the pitching that's enough to be 621 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 1: more than a five hundred team, and they're just giving 622 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 1: them five hundred. Eighty one and a half is five hundred. 623 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 1: They're better than that. They're eighty four eighty five in 624 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 1: my opinion, somewhere around there. So for me, I actually 625 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 1: think Cleveland's gonna have a streak or two in the year. 626 00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: It's gonna put them over five hundred because that pitching 627 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 1: can be so dominant at times, and that is something 628 00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,199 Speaker 1: that other teams don't all have. So when they go 629 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 1: and play some of the lesser teams in the East 630 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: or in the West, they're gonna feast on those teams 631 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 1: with that pitching. That's my take on Cleveland. What's yours. 632 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,439 Speaker 2: I'm not like running to the over here just because 633 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 2: I feel like Cleveland every single year. And again it's 634 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:57,880 Speaker 2: we talked a little bit about it with the Rays. 635 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 2: It's like their whole is greater than the summer their parts. 636 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:04,200 Speaker 2: They're somehow able to do it. They are masters at 637 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 2: getting these guys like Poli, Sach and Savale who are 638 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:10,480 Speaker 2: like command guys without the greatest stuff, and turning them 639 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 2: into borderline dominant pitchers. I don't know how they do 640 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,640 Speaker 2: it every single year, but they are able to get 641 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 2: that done. Obviously, Karen Tech if he's dominant in the bullpen. 642 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,199 Speaker 2: I know he had a little bit of some control 643 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 2: issues and that you know, his first appearance there, and 644 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 2: that might rear their ugly head. 645 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 3: Their lineup is not great. 646 00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 2: I think adding at A Rosario really helped a lot. 647 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 2: And you know fran Mill's there of course. Jose Ramirez, 648 00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,400 Speaker 2: I don't know, man. I feel like when I look 649 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,400 Speaker 2: at the parts, it's like a five hundred team and 650 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 2: they will it surprise me if they go over. 651 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,879 Speaker 3: No, because they always find a way to be better 652 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 3: than I feel like they should be. But it strikes 653 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:48,880 Speaker 3: me as a five hundred team. 654 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 2: So I mean for me, I guess you know, if 655 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:53,880 Speaker 2: I had to go one way or the other, i'd 656 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 2: go over. 657 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:56,399 Speaker 3: But there's an over that I like in this division. 658 00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 3: We haven't gotten there yet. 659 00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,640 Speaker 1: All right, Well, maybe it's the Kansas City role. Let's 660 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,159 Speaker 1: see what Dad thinks about them. Seventy three and a 661 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: half is the number. Now, this is I think a 662 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:10,400 Speaker 1: very competitive team. My problem is competitive and wins don't 663 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,120 Speaker 1: always go hand in hand yep. So that's the tough 664 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,360 Speaker 1: selling point for me on the seventy three and a half. Now, 665 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 1: I would lean towards the over here slightly because I 666 00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:20,119 Speaker 1: am actually going to go in the under and the 667 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 1: next team, and I think that's where the variance comes from. 668 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 1: I think the Royals are closer to the other group 669 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 1: than they are the bottom tier. But what do you 670 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 1: think about the Royals, because I'm guessing that's the one 671 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:31,800 Speaker 1: you're talking about because there's only two left. And I 672 00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 1: don't think it's the Tigers. 673 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 3: I'm not smashing the over. 674 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 1: Not a guy. 675 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 3: It is the Royals. 676 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,280 Speaker 2: It is the Royals in seventy three and a half. 677 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 2: They are my favorite one in the division and it's 678 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,359 Speaker 2: over and I think again part of it is I 679 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 2: don't like the Indians. 680 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:48,359 Speaker 3: As much as you. 681 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 2: I have some probably you know, unfounded concerns about the 682 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 2: White Sox. 683 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,640 Speaker 3: The Twins might not be as good as they. 684 00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 2: Usually are, and I think the Royals are where they're 685 00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 2: going to make up a little bit of the difference. 686 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 2: We've talked about it. On the fantasy side. We really 687 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,679 Speaker 2: like what they have done this offseason for that sneaky 688 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,400 Speaker 2: good offense, right like with Meryfield, Andrew Ben and Tenny 689 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 2: who you and I both think can bounce back with 690 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 2: the change of scenery sal Perez. 691 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 3: Carlos Santana was a nice little just sneaky little ad jorgez. 692 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 2: Sohilaire still has the power you've got at Albert Delmandesi 693 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 2: gonna probably lead the league in steals. 694 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,119 Speaker 3: Hunter Dozer we like as a bounce back who they 695 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 3: signed to an extension. 696 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 2: Michael Taylor finally is gonna get some regular playing time 697 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 2: and he can do some damage. 698 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,439 Speaker 3: The lineup really from top to bottom. 699 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 2: It doesn't blow you away. It doesn't have superstars, but 700 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 2: it's a long lineup. It's gonna be tough to get 701 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 2: through them. 702 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:36,440 Speaker 3: And I like the rotation. 703 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 2: Not love the rotation, but I think they've got enough 704 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 2: quality arms that they're going to be able to put 705 00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 2: out somebody pretty much each and every time through the rotation. 706 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 2: That's going to be like, this guy should keep us 707 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 2: in the game, whether it's Duffy or Kelly Keller pardon me, 708 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 2: or minor or Singer. I mean, I think that those 709 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 2: guys are gonna be able to do it. Greg Holland 710 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 2: like maybe the Wheels fall back off. I feel like 711 00:28:57,720 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 2: they fell off and came back on and they might 712 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 2: fall off again. 713 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 1: That's fine wheels anymore. 714 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 3: The eighth in a guy. 715 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: Uh, guy's been on donuts. It's fuir, I'm pretty. 716 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 2: Sure, or stomach. I forget how to pronounce them. Stalmont, 717 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 2: he's done it. He their reliever, the needed really throw. 718 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 2: He throws gas so he can really step in again. 719 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 2: I think that the fact that they signed Dozer to 720 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 2: the extension. I think this team sort of feels like 721 00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 2: it might have arrived quote unquote a little earlier than 722 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 2: they expected, and they're willing to kind of play themselves 723 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 2: into contention. So this strikes me as like a high 724 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,480 Speaker 2: seventies win team. I still think they'll probably be below 725 00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 2: five hundred, but it strikes me as like seventy eight 726 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 2: seventy nine win team for me. 727 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:41,960 Speaker 3: So I really like the over. This is one of 728 00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 3: my favorite bets of the season. 729 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: Bobby Wood Junior is pushing the envelope a little bit too. 730 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 1: I like me some Bobby Wood Junior. I was very 731 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 1: high on him when he was drafted. I thought that 732 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,120 Speaker 1: was a great pick by the Royals, and he looks 733 00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,040 Speaker 1: like he might force their hand at some point. I 734 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 1: don't think it's a willing to do it. 735 00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,960 Speaker 3: But by the way, I will say, Joe, it was 736 00:29:59,000 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 3: seventy three and a half. 737 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:04,120 Speaker 1: That's what we had, will double check e seventy three 738 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:04,600 Speaker 1: and a half. 739 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,360 Speaker 3: Correct, it just dropped to seventy two and a half. 740 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 3: So now I'm even going more because again. 741 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 2: In the middle of this conversation, wait, I checked before, 742 00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 2: right before it was any that's what we do. 743 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: We moved here at ed Bruce. 744 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 2: I'm going and again I you know, as I said, 745 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 2: the consent assign now has moved to seventy two and 746 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 2: a half. There are seventy three and a half, so 747 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 2: it's basically right in between. But for me again, I'm 748 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,280 Speaker 2: a New Hampshire DraftKings seventy two and a half, juiced 749 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 2: a little bit towards the over, so I get it, 750 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 2: but I'm taking it with seventy th and a half 751 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 2: all day long, all. 752 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 1: Right, last one here Detroit Tiger sixty eight and a 753 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 1: half spoiler alert under for me, yeah, I'm sorry, I'm 754 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 1: just not buying this like I'm just this is a 755 00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 1: very competitive division. It's a deep division. Yeah, And I 756 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: actually feel better about this under than I feel about 757 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 1: the Baltimore under by a long shot, because I'm getting 758 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: four games difference here. So I'm gonna hammer an al 759 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 1: under on a terrible team. The Tigers are the one 760 00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,440 Speaker 1: to me because this is one of the tougher divisions 761 00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: where I think all the teams ahead of them are 762 00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 1: just clearly a cut above. So that's my take, and 763 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: I just don't think the rest of this team is 764 00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 1: ready to take over yet. They're gonna be a fun 765 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: team in a couple of years, and that sounds great, 766 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,200 Speaker 1: but you know what, it's twenty one, so it's not 767 00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 1: happening this year. 768 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 2: That is the correct answers. I used to like to 769 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:17,400 Speaker 2: say on the fantas side, I agree with you. I'm 770 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 2: under on this too. And I feel bad because like 771 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 2: it feels so easy to take these horrible teams and 772 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 2: they've got really low wind totals and you're just like. 773 00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 3: No, I don't care, it's not low enough. But I agree. 774 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 2: And again the Tigers, basically they've come out and said 775 00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:30,520 Speaker 2: what they're doing. 776 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 3: They're like, we are lowing our payroll. We don't want 777 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 3: to you know, We're. 778 00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:35,680 Speaker 1: We're slashing prices. 779 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 3: We are overloaded with the Migey contract. So we've got 780 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:39,720 Speaker 3: these guys. 781 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 2: On one year deals. We will sell them all off 782 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,640 Speaker 2: at the deadline. We will wait for our young kids 783 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:45,440 Speaker 2: to be here. 784 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 3: They have no. 785 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 2: Interest in trying to be competitive this year. They have 786 00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 2: very little talent on their team. So sixty eight and 787 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 2: a half they were at a sixty four win pace 788 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 2: I believe last year. So I agree with you. I 789 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 2: know it's the bottom feeders, but I will take the 790 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:56,880 Speaker 2: under them both. 791 00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:58,720 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the west here. The 792 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,000 Speaker 1: Houston Astros are at the time top of it. Theoretically 793 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 1: with eighty seven and a half. They just lost fran 794 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 1: Bervaldez probably for the season. I guess they probably were 795 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 1: still waiting to figure that out. 796 00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,040 Speaker 3: Forrest Whitley, by the way, where a fractured finger takes 797 00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 3: you out for the whole. 798 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,280 Speaker 1: Man, I saw that thing. I saw the fractured finger, 799 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:16,520 Speaker 1: was like, oh, well he'll be behind. And then like 800 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: twenty four hours later as he could miss the whole season, 801 00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 1: and I thought, what I can imagine if this was 802 00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 1: in the sixties or the fifties, they would say like, well, 803 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 1: just just patch it back up and go pick pitch. 804 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 1: Seven years with no thumb, how do you think he 805 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 1: did that? Let me tell you something good. 806 00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:33,240 Speaker 3: Oh god, so old, I'm so sorry. Everybody. 807 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 1: A forward pitch, it's a. It's a baseball reference. But anyway, 808 00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 1: the rotations falling apart, and we haven't even started. Like 809 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: Forrest Whitley has got the UCL so he's done. 810 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:42,560 Speaker 3: Forget that. 811 00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 1: Second opinion is gonna be the same as the first opinion, 812 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: which is gonna be Tommy John and I think the 813 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: Astros are gonna be good. I just want to stay 814 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: away from the Astros again. I see too many variables here, 815 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 1: and when I see lots of different outcomes with the team, 816 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: and this could be a team that smashes this number. 817 00:32:57,800 --> 00:32:59,640 Speaker 1: They could win ninety four games this year. Yeah, I'm 818 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: telling you they have this kind of talent still on 819 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,959 Speaker 1: this roster. If Alvarez bounces back, if Altuve is right 820 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,240 Speaker 1: and plays one hundred and fifty games, if they get 821 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,360 Speaker 1: Zach Greenki to really lead this rotation, and maybe mccollor's 822 00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: or somebody else steps up in that void. But there's 823 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 1: too many bots. And that's my problem with the Astro 824 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 1: so eighty seven and a half, Sorry, I'm out. I'm 825 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 1: not nearly as excited as I was about the White Sox. 826 00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 1: So your turn, Astros eighty seven and a half, What 827 00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:23,440 Speaker 1: are you doing? 828 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 3: Uh? Yeah, I'm going over. 829 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:29,440 Speaker 2: I feel less happy about it after the Cramberg Valdez 830 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 2: injury for sure, and obviously Whitley, but I'm still over again. 831 00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 2: This is a Pakoda sort of variance, not that I 832 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,520 Speaker 2: live and die by Pokoda or anything like that, but there. 833 00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 1: Sounds like you do I don't. I just think you've 834 00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:43,040 Speaker 1: got stock in Pakota after this show. 835 00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:44,120 Speaker 3: I wouldn't mind it. 836 00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 2: But the bottom line is that when there's a huge 837 00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:50,480 Speaker 2: difference between Pakoda and the Window, like, there's a reason 838 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,440 Speaker 2: that I try to sort of dig into why that is. 839 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 2: And again, sometime they undervalue the Braves all the time, 840 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 2: and the Rays too, so they're not the be all 841 00:33:58,080 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 2: in all. But I do like Houston and again the 842 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 2: Imber Valdez like that. That's terrible. But that whole lineup 843 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:07,120 Speaker 2: is going to bounce back, right like everybody like Bregman 844 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 2: and altuvan krah And you saw even in the playoffs 845 00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:13,680 Speaker 2: how Altu van Kraa already did kind of bounce back. 846 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 2: So I expect the lineup to be really good again 847 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:16,840 Speaker 2: if Alvarez is healthy. 848 00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:18,879 Speaker 3: Finally Tucker is in there ready to go. 849 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 2: So I like the lineup a lot and their ritation 850 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 2: again they immediately went out and signed Oderezi right like 851 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 2: immediately sort of did that to sort of say, okay, 852 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: well we've got to figure it out. And I don't 853 00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:30,360 Speaker 2: love Oderezy, but he'll give you innings. And then the 854 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 2: rest of it is finer. Kiati Is is not terrible, 855 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 2: Javier is fine. I like mccullors as a bounce back, really, 856 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,880 Speaker 2: I do, and with Granky, So for me, this is 857 00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:42,640 Speaker 2: a team who I realized, like there's no Verlander anymore, 858 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 2: of course, and then they lost Valdez and all that, 859 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:46,799 Speaker 2: but it still strikes me as a team where the 860 00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:49,400 Speaker 2: lineup is good enough, the management is good enough. I 861 00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 2: think actually Dusty Baker now has become from this guy 862 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 2: who burned out all his pitchers to a guy who 863 00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 2: is kind of like listening to analytics at this point 864 00:34:57,640 --> 00:34:58,399 Speaker 2: from what I can tell. 865 00:34:58,640 --> 00:34:59,160 Speaker 3: So I like it. 866 00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:00,560 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna go. I think they're more of 867 00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 2: a ninety one team, so I will go with you 868 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 2: over here. Even with the Valdez injury. 869 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:06,279 Speaker 1: My biggest disappointment is I don't get to sing my 870 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,480 Speaker 1: song about Franber Valdez because on the DFS show last year, 871 00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,240 Speaker 1: it was always Framber was the color of my energy 872 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:15,120 Speaker 1: all the time, and I would sing that song and 873 00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:17,320 Speaker 1: every time he had a quality start, which was a lot, 874 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,800 Speaker 1: and I made a lot of money. What franber Valdez 875 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 1: last year? So Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim eighty three 876 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:26,719 Speaker 1: and a half. Ooh, another team. This is really whether 877 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:28,840 Speaker 1: or not you believe in doing Bundy. I'm telling you 878 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,160 Speaker 1: right now. If you believe in doing Bundy, then you 879 00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: like this over if you and show hey, O Tommy, 880 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,440 Speaker 1: if you think those guys are going to throw I 881 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,160 Speaker 1: don't know, one hundred and let's say three hundred innings 882 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,879 Speaker 1: between them, let's say one hundred and fifty for each 883 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 1: let's throw that out there, or one hundred and I 884 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,960 Speaker 1: like some combination one sixty one forty. I don't care 885 00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:49,879 Speaker 1: whatever you want to do. If you believe in those 886 00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:51,239 Speaker 1: two guys, I think you liked the eighty three and 887 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,320 Speaker 1: a half. Otherwise I think this is the same old Angels, like, yeah, 888 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:56,680 Speaker 1: it looks like it could be good. Maybe, but at 889 00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,239 Speaker 1: the end of the day, it's the pitching that said 890 00:35:58,239 --> 00:35:58,840 Speaker 1: they're undoing. 891 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,520 Speaker 2: I'm happy I get to do this because we were 892 00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 2: joking about me in Pokoda Pakoda has them at eighty 893 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:10,480 Speaker 2: six wins and I love the under here okay. 894 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,959 Speaker 3: At eighty the eighty three, wow, I like the under 895 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,200 Speaker 3: a lot. I don't get it with this. I just don't. 896 00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,680 Speaker 3: I don't get it. They haven't. I don't think they've 897 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,560 Speaker 3: gone over this number. 898 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,399 Speaker 1: I don't know. All I know is Mike Trout has 899 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:23,680 Speaker 1: three playoff appearances? 900 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,839 Speaker 3: What since fifteen? Twenty fifteen? I just looked it up. 901 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,880 Speaker 2: Twenty fifteen was the last time that they have gone 902 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 2: over eighty three and a half wins. And I don't 903 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 2: understand what is so exciting about this year where suddenly 904 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 2: we're like, look at this team, Okay, look at. 905 00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:39,920 Speaker 3: The improvements we had. What are the improvements? 906 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,160 Speaker 2: Like, I like, Dylan, Buddy, there's no way I'm relying 907 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,759 Speaker 2: on shoe Aotani by the way, There's just no way. 908 00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 2: And like, okay, is this the year Andrew Heeney is 909 00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:49,640 Speaker 2: finally gonna stay healthy and really take that next step. 910 00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:53,319 Speaker 2: Hosea Jose Kintana, you know what he is at this point, 911 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:55,800 Speaker 2: he'll give you. It's like they were just I kudos 912 00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 2: to them for basically being like, we are going to 913 00:36:57,680 --> 00:37:00,239 Speaker 2: make up for our lack of top end talent by 914 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,000 Speaker 2: just throwing a thousand pictures in there, and so like. 915 00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:05,200 Speaker 3: When we lose one, we can throw another mediocre start. 916 00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:08,360 Speaker 2: I like Griffin Canning, but I don't expect them necessarily 917 00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:10,359 Speaker 2: to stay healthy the whole year. And Cobb, I mean, 918 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 2: at this point, their rotation just isn't good. I like 919 00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:14,560 Speaker 2: that they added a Glaciers, but they're bullpen still as 920 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:18,000 Speaker 2: a whole is not great. Defensively they are bad. They 921 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:21,359 Speaker 2: lost Andrelton Simmons as well. So really, I just don't 922 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,160 Speaker 2: get this team. This is not a five hundred team. 923 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 2: To me, I don't understand it. And I again, I 924 00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 2: think the A's are again going to be good, and 925 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 2: we'll talk about them in a minute. And I like 926 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,400 Speaker 2: the Astros a lot more so. Maybe it's that, but 927 00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:35,279 Speaker 2: I do not understand that. I love the under end 928 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,600 Speaker 2: this one. I'm not going near the eighty three and 929 00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:38,560 Speaker 2: a half wins under all that. 930 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,279 Speaker 1: I thought they should have signed Trevor Bower. I thought 931 00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 1: that was the thing. 932 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 2: Why aren't they going out there and signing like a 933 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 2: really really top end pitcher, you know what? Instead they 934 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:51,440 Speaker 2: do they're like, let's just add a mediocre outfielderer like 935 00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 2: that that's sort of there. You know, they have so 936 00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:56,040 Speaker 2: much money, go out and assign the top end of 937 00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 2: the rotation starter Already. 938 00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,880 Speaker 1: It's puzzling, to say the least. The Oakland A is 939 00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:04,440 Speaker 1: also always undervalued. Every year now a little less, so 940 00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,320 Speaker 1: this year, eighty six and a half is the number 941 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,239 Speaker 1: this actually feels about right now. Here's the thing. If 942 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,399 Speaker 1: you can find eighty five and a half somewhere or 943 00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,120 Speaker 1: even something lower, at some point, I would think about that. 944 00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:16,319 Speaker 1: Here's what the A's for me is. If this young 945 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,200 Speaker 1: pitching all clicks ye, if it's aj Puck, if it's 946 00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:23,200 Speaker 1: Hazel's Lozardo, if Montas bounces back, they're gonna crush this. 947 00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,920 Speaker 1: I'm telling you, they're gonna be probably fighting with Houston 948 00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:27,919 Speaker 1: for the top of this division. If you're pitching does 949 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:31,240 Speaker 1: what they're capable of? The question is innings. The question 950 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:32,920 Speaker 1: is the war of attrition, and if the A's are 951 00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 1: up to the task. So I'll ask you do you 952 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:35,200 Speaker 1: think they are? 953 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:36,880 Speaker 3: I think so, yeah. 954 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,960 Speaker 2: I mean I don't feel as strongly about it as 955 00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:40,600 Speaker 2: I do on the Angels. 956 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:42,920 Speaker 3: And again, they're at eighty six. Everywhere. Every book is 957 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:44,520 Speaker 3: eighty six at this point. So this is eighty six 958 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:45,759 Speaker 3: and a half. That's we're going to get it again. 959 00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:47,560 Speaker 2: This is one I'm just pointing it out because we 960 00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:49,880 Speaker 2: were teasing about me that this is one where Pokoda 961 00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,640 Speaker 2: is under, like significantly under. But again, this is one 962 00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,239 Speaker 2: where I think they just don't whatever their projection system is, 963 00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,640 Speaker 2: they don't know how to capture what these teams are 964 00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,319 Speaker 2: that are so forward thinking. And yeah, I like again 965 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:04,759 Speaker 2: another one where like the whole is greater than the 966 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:05,960 Speaker 2: some of their parts, you know. 967 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:06,480 Speaker 3: Their rotation. 968 00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,600 Speaker 2: As you mentioned, Bassett is kind of a sneaky, decent 969 00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:13,080 Speaker 2: major league starter, right Lozardo who we like for the upside. 970 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:15,359 Speaker 2: I really like Frankie Montass. Sounds like he's recovered from 971 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 2: the COVID nineteen. Shan Manya obviously is there. Mike Fires 972 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,759 Speaker 2: is all there. They're all fine. They you know, they 973 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,319 Speaker 2: lost Hendrix, but they've got Rosenthal. He's battling a groin 974 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,319 Speaker 2: injury right now, but sounds like he'll be okay. The 975 00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:28,080 Speaker 2: lineup as a whole is just solid. It doesn't blow 976 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,520 Speaker 2: you away, but they find ways to sort of do it. 977 00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 2: And they added Elvis Andris. It's basically been a ninety 978 00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,359 Speaker 2: seven win team. You give them their pace from last 979 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,719 Speaker 2: year for three straight seasons, Like, this is just a 980 00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 2: team that knows how to win games. They're well coached, 981 00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:43,800 Speaker 2: they're well managed. So eighty six and a half, I 982 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,880 Speaker 2: lean towards the over. I'm not as excited about it 983 00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,920 Speaker 2: again as I am about the under on the Angels, 984 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:49,920 Speaker 2: but this is the one where I lean definitely towards 985 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:50,239 Speaker 2: the over. 986 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 1: Okay, two other teams here before we close things out. 987 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,720 Speaker 1: We got the Seattle Mariners at seventy two and a half. 988 00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,399 Speaker 1: Tricky one because we're excited about some of the young talent. 989 00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:00,239 Speaker 1: But this kind of sounds like something we saw about 990 00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 1: before with some of these other teams, Like, Yeah, I'm 991 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,280 Speaker 1: excited about Detroit's youug talent, but where are the wins? 992 00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,680 Speaker 1: Seventy two and a half once again? Kind of feels 993 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,600 Speaker 1: about right, Yeah, ten games under five hundred. Yeah, that 994 00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:10,920 Speaker 1: sounds like the Marinders to me. 995 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:11,399 Speaker 3: Yep. 996 00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 1: So it's a hard pass for me. How about for you? 997 00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 3: Man? 998 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 2: I love it when we disagree on things, but I 999 00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 2: do not disagree with you here. 1000 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,239 Speaker 3: This is like a hard pass from me. 1001 00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 2: There's a line that I say to my wife when 1002 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,600 Speaker 2: we're joking, which is a line from Brooklyn nine nine, 1003 00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:28,840 Speaker 2: which is after zero consideration, I can confidently say hard pass. 1004 00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:30,360 Speaker 3: And that's basically how I feel on this. 1005 00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:31,839 Speaker 2: Like I looked at this and I was like, yeah, 1006 00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:35,200 Speaker 2: I guess it could all go really well, but no, 1007 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,120 Speaker 2: this is like ten games under five hundred. 1008 00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:38,279 Speaker 3: It's exactly what this team. 1009 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,120 Speaker 2: I mean, not ten games, but ten games you know, 1010 00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 2: over what it would take to get to five hundred. 1011 00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:44,040 Speaker 2: That's exactly what this team looks like to me, So 1012 00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:46,680 Speaker 2: hard pass, staying far away from it, no interest in 1013 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:47,520 Speaker 2: betting it either way. 1014 00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,359 Speaker 1: And then there's a Texas Rangers sixty seven and a half, 1015 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:52,960 Speaker 1: another one too, where I just don't see him mat 1016 00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,200 Speaker 1: you know, sometimes with a team, you want to see 1017 00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:58,120 Speaker 1: a plan. I have no idea what the Rangers plan is. 1018 00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,719 Speaker 1: The Rangers have no idea what their plan is. I 1019 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 1: see Joey Gallo, I see some home runs. I see 1020 00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 1: they'll probably win somewhere around I don't know. Sixty seven games. 1021 00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 1: Once again, just hard passway because I don't I don't 1022 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 1: see how they get above it, and it's already too 1023 00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:13,399 Speaker 1: low of a number where if I had to lean 1024 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:16,400 Speaker 1: I probably lean slightly on the over here, just because like, 1025 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,000 Speaker 1: I just don't know if they're closer to losing one 1026 00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 1: hundred games as this total is telling you. But then again, 1027 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:24,440 Speaker 1: you look at the rest of this rotation, you go, 1028 00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,799 Speaker 1: oh maybe, I mean, this is another rotation that is 1029 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:29,720 Speaker 1: it's brutal. They are the pitching haves and have nots, 1030 00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: and I just think over one sixty two this year 1031 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,239 Speaker 1: off the COVID season, where people don't have any stamina, 1032 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:37,520 Speaker 1: it is going to be glaringly obvious, which is why 1033 00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:40,560 Speaker 1: I keep coming back to Cleveland because Cleveland does have that, 1034 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:42,680 Speaker 1: and I think that is a huge separator where if 1035 00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:44,880 Speaker 1: you're gonna give you a five hundred Cleveland team, you 1036 00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:47,120 Speaker 1: take your shot on that one because it's a good 1037 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,479 Speaker 1: chance that that pitching wins out over the long haul. 1038 00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 1: But the Texas Rangers sixty seven and a half, I'm out, 1039 00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: where are you? 1040 00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:55,200 Speaker 3: And it's a good point on Cleveland. 1041 00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:57,040 Speaker 1: By the way, I think that's try every now and 1042 00:41:57,080 --> 00:41:58,759 Speaker 1: then something smart once everyone. 1043 00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:02,879 Speaker 3: Show firshit, I look, this is something. 1044 00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,400 Speaker 2: Where I like you, this is not like one of 1045 00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 2: my favorite bets on the board, I actually have forced 1046 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,200 Speaker 2: to choose. I would lean under there are sixty six 1047 00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:10,799 Speaker 2: and a half's out there, so if you know at 1048 00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 2: that point, especially stay away. Sixty seven and a half, 1049 00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:15,120 Speaker 2: I kind of lean under. Again, this is a team 1050 00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,080 Speaker 2: that a does not seem to have interest in competing 1051 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:21,360 Speaker 2: this year. The bullpen is really bad. Jose Leclerk, I 1052 00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:23,920 Speaker 2: guess will Close, and I Jonathan Hernandez now I just 1053 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,720 Speaker 2: today has something apparently with his jucll and his elbow. 1054 00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,160 Speaker 2: So the bullpen really is not going to be good. 1055 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,760 Speaker 2: The offense, I like Willie Calhoun, and I like Joey. 1056 00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,040 Speaker 3: Gallo, and that's about it. 1057 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,920 Speaker 2: And the rotation is just yeah, it's I mean, I 1058 00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,040 Speaker 2: like Dane Dunning, you know, as a long term guy, 1059 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,600 Speaker 2: and but yeah, Kyle Gibson is your number one. 1060 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:42,440 Speaker 3: That's just not gonna work. 1061 00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:43,640 Speaker 1: So, oh god, I. 1062 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:46,319 Speaker 3: Would lean under. 1063 00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 2: I would lean under, but I'm not nearly as strong 1064 00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:52,840 Speaker 2: as the Tigers and the Orioles, the bottom feeders of 1065 00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,080 Speaker 2: those divisions. I like those much more so. Mostly a 1066 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,080 Speaker 2: stay away from me, but I had, if I had 1067 00:42:57,080 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 2: to choose, I would lean under. 1068 00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,440 Speaker 1: All I want to remind everybody hit us up at 1069 00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:03,560 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com, and of course you could check out 1070 00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,600 Speaker 1: the MLB win totals at bettingpros dot Com, Slash MLB 1071 00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:09,880 Speaker 1: wins Dan anything else going on fun and exciting in 1072 00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:10,640 Speaker 1: the world of VP. 1073 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:15,000 Speaker 2: Uh these days, We've got so much March Madness stuff 1074 00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:16,360 Speaker 2: that's about to drop. 1075 00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:17,560 Speaker 3: It's going to be awesome. 1076 00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 2: We're gonna have this bracket optimizer, which I'm not even 1077 00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:21,440 Speaker 2: gonna tell you about yet because I'm gonna wait till 1078 00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:25,200 Speaker 2: the launches where it is going to be spectacular. You 1079 00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,760 Speaker 2: are going to be able to fill out a bracket 1080 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 2: depending on where your play and your your scoring system 1081 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,640 Speaker 2: that they warred points on it, depending on the size 1082 00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:34,320 Speaker 2: of your pool. 1083 00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:35,399 Speaker 3: You can start with a. 1084 00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 2: Consensus sort of picks of people who have put in brackets. 1085 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:40,400 Speaker 2: If you like, trust a bunch of people like we 1086 00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 2: do with consensus experts. It is going to be spectacular. 1087 00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,640 Speaker 2: Be on the lookout for the bracket optimizer. We will 1088 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:47,040 Speaker 2: have more about that next week. 1089 00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:50,040 Speaker 1: I need a life optimizer. Let's let's get working on that. 1090 00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,520 Speaker 1: We get the life optimizer and then we're then we're 1091 00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:53,080 Speaker 1: all set. 1092 00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 3: So we're in works for it for you. But it's 1093 00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:58,400 Speaker 3: like forty years in development, so we got. 1094 00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,200 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm not going anywhere. I have a very long 1095 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:04,440 Speaker 1: term contract here Just to recap too, I am very 1096 00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:07,120 Speaker 1: bullish on the White Sox and the Indians. That's where 1097 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,920 Speaker 1: really I'm looking Dan. Final thoughts here as we close 1098 00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:13,960 Speaker 1: the close the door on the American League win totals. 1099 00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:15,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the Royals over. 1100 00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:17,800 Speaker 2: I think this team is definitely going to be closer 1101 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 2: to five hundred than people are giving them credit for. 1102 00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,840 Speaker 2: At the same time, I really like the under on 1103 00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:24,399 Speaker 2: the Angels because. 1104 00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:25,080 Speaker 3: I do not get it. 1105 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:28,480 Speaker 2: They are poor defensively, the rotation is mediocre at best. 1106 00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,040 Speaker 2: The bullpen is just okay. So those are my two 1107 00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:33,600 Speaker 2: favorite over on the Royals under on the Angels. 1108 00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:35,680 Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for us, but the story 1109 00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:38,239 Speaker 1: of the game goes on. For Dan Harris, I'm Joe Pizzapia. 1110 00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time, kids,