Speaker 1: Check it in Man Now Down Man Thursday Morning to
Speaker 1: seven First Beating the Book podcast megapod for week number thirteen.
Speaker 1: I got that number right, Week thirteen in the National
Speaker 1: Football League. It is December Man, six weeks left of
Speaker 1: regular season action. It's Gil Alexander. That's the voice of
Speaker 1: Jeff Parlay, visa host staple on this show in the
Speaker 1: studio right by me, Hello, Jeffrey, how you doing? Man?
Speaker 1: You good? I'm good. I think we're tied now. By
Speaker 1: the way, I uh a glacial moving comeback by me. Well,
Speaker 1: after a twenty and seven start, I believe I've gone
Speaker 1: one in eight the last three weeks. That'll that'll happen
Speaker 1: um with a one in eight performance, and then from
Speaker 1: his mom's cork attic in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, wearing a yans
Speaker 1: or yellow sweatshirt. It is the very spelt Todd wishing
Speaker 1: of everybody. How you doing, Toddy? Hey? Hey? It's very energetic,
Speaker 1: this guy all right? And our rotating guests for the week,
Speaker 1: someone who Todd was very rude to a couple of
Speaker 1: years ago on this show, and it sparked much debate,
Speaker 1: probably unbelievable. It wasn't rude anyone and let it be stricken.
Speaker 1: For the record, please edit that out. Gil Ice is
Speaker 1: off his rocker already, Thank you, O g. In sports betting,
Speaker 1: using predictive algorithms to uh TO to determine the results
Speaker 1: or to predict the results, I should say sporting events
Speaker 1: the great dr Bob Bob stole everybody st o l L.
Speaker 1: How you doing? Bob doing all right? Todd? You were
Speaker 1: not rude to me. I don't even know what he's
Speaker 1: talking about. Bob just has to say that, Todd. We
Speaker 1: all know that he's just being polite. Okay. Gilly has
Speaker 1: a penchant for a small streak of mischievousness. So I
Speaker 1: don't know what you're talking about, Bob. Thanks for doing this,
Speaker 1: appreciate it's good to see you. We never get to
Speaker 1: see you, so it's good to see you. Very clear camera,
Speaker 1: well done. Yeah, a new computer, new computer, Bob comes
Speaker 1: to us from Colorado. Is Deon Sander's gonna be the
Speaker 1: coach in Colorado? I hope. So I don't know, right,
Speaker 1: what do you say, Bob? You should take the South
Speaker 1: Florida job. Oh that's the one he should take. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's the least pressure of the three that he's been
Speaker 1: all the talent they have and in the Florida market,
Speaker 1: which he knows. Yeah. Well, the one thing that is
Speaker 1: interesting about him is though of course he will make
Speaker 1: the announcement either to overshadow the final rankings or the
Speaker 1: portal day on Monday, they'll actually put the hats on
Speaker 1: the table, like right, he's got to have all the
Speaker 1: attention alright. Week thirteen in the NFL UM A couple
Speaker 1: of things here before we get into our best bets
Speaker 1: dumbbell of the week. Okay, I'm going off the board.
Speaker 1: This week, Josh McDaniels pitched the perfect game of making
Speaker 1: every wrong decision and got away with it. It's amazing.
Speaker 1: It is incredible that he did everything possibly wrong and
Speaker 1: the Raiders still won the game, and they got a
Speaker 1: premature whistle correct, and they got a lucky break on
Speaker 1: the Jacob's fumble that they called that he forward progress
Speaker 1: and b has terrible goal. But but just start us
Speaker 1: all in the second half, everything McDaniels did wrong. Fourth
Speaker 1: down and one at the seven kicks the field goal. Okay,
Speaker 1: all right, sure, why not? Why not do that? Raiders?
Speaker 1: Then in their next possession they punt after honestly, fourth
Speaker 1: and six at the plus forty five in a game
Speaker 1: where no one's getting stops should have been a considered
Speaker 1: go for it as well. They fall start doesn't matter,
Speaker 1: so fourth and eleven, of course you're gonna punt after
Speaker 1: Seattle that great drive Regino got strip sacked, fumbled, Raiders
Speaker 1: get it back. Then he decides to go for it
Speaker 1: on fourth and one in his own end and they run.
Speaker 1: The horrible play call of Jacobs has not been stopped
Speaker 1: on a traditional run the whole game. They were on
Speaker 1: the pitch play and he loses four yards okay to Seattle, touchdown.
Speaker 1: Then Raiders go down the field after Seattle get took
Speaker 1: the lead of Raiders go down the field, score touchdown.
Speaker 1: Now it ended up working out for him. But in
Speaker 1: a minute fifty four to go and all three of
Speaker 1: your time outs, I would have gone for two. In
Speaker 1: a game where you could not get stops, I would
Speaker 1: have gone for two and try to win the game.
Speaker 1: Right there, got away with it all right. You get
Speaker 1: to stop amazingly enough with forty seconds to go in
Speaker 1: two timeouts in a game again no one stopped anyone.
Speaker 1: You play for overtime? What how do you play for
Speaker 1: overtime when you get the ball. Yes, I know you
Speaker 1: got it at your own nine, but they haven't stopped
Speaker 1: you all day when Carr hasn't thrown the ball to them.
Speaker 1: It was truly remarkable. And then and overtime overtime fourth
Speaker 1: and two with the plus the already eight. I know
Speaker 1: Carlson's awesome musical usually, but that isn't absolutely go for
Speaker 1: it because if he misses the kids. Yes, yes, it's
Speaker 1: kind of like with Dallas where McCarthy goes for it,
Speaker 1: they don't get it. McCarthy gets crushed for for for
Speaker 1: going for it. That's an automatic go in a game
Speaker 1: where again you haven't gotten stops, they somehow get the stops.
Speaker 1: Jacob rips off the eight six yard run. And even
Speaker 1: though McDaniels pitched the perfect game of getting basically every
Speaker 1: in game decision wrong, the Raiders found a way to
Speaker 1: win it. Amazing. It was incredible. It was an amazing
Speaker 1: Royal Flush had Seattle in game four different times and
Speaker 1: got torpedoes somehow had Seattle pre flop fourth and two
Speaker 1: at the Seattle thirty eight, with six twelve left and overtime,
Speaker 1: he pushes the fifty five yard or right Seattle has
Speaker 1: a shore field. All they needed a field goal. They
Speaker 1: did get the three and out build him out. These
Speaker 1: players bailed him out. I think that's good for dumbbell
Speaker 1: of the week, right, Todd. We don't need any others,
Speaker 1: do we? All? Right, did you have an in game
Speaker 1: play you wanted to share with us? A little in
Speaker 1: game thing with you? The Eagles game against the Packers.
Speaker 1: It was the original line was forty six and a
Speaker 1: half on the total it was thirteen to seven with
Speaker 1: six minutes left in the first quarter, so you got
Speaker 1: twenty one minutes left in the half, and the total
Speaker 1: for the first half was over thirty six and a half,
Speaker 1: which meant only another sixteen and a half more points.
Speaker 1: I took the over thirty six and a half and
Speaker 1: obviously came in. But what I get, I guess the
Speaker 1: point that I really want to make about this bet
Speaker 1: is I found and this this this happens in a
Speaker 1: lot of sports where when a game is going wildly over,
Speaker 1: very often in the end game, it's better to bet
Speaker 1: that first if it's happening in the first half. I mean,
Speaker 1: it's better to bet the first half over and not
Speaker 1: the game over, because in the second half, you might
Speaker 1: see massive um adjustments, and very often a huge scoring
Speaker 1: first half leads to a low scoring second half. It
Speaker 1: didn't happen in this particular Eagle game, but in general,
Speaker 1: it's something that happens a lot, like in college football
Speaker 1: and even in the pros that happens a lot. So
Speaker 1: um something to look for if you like an over
Speaker 1: that's wildly gone crazy early on, play the over in
Speaker 1: the first half on the end game rather than the
Speaker 1: full game, because you might get torpedoed by the adjustments
Speaker 1: by the defense in the second half. So anyways, it wasn't.
Speaker 1: It was a pretty easy winner because it was pretty
Speaker 1: clear that Green Bay was going to be able to
Speaker 1: move the ball, and I knew the Eagles weren't going
Speaker 1: to get stopped three the final well over they got
Speaker 1: over in the first half, or almost over the at
Speaker 1: the half, basically I did. I was way over, but
Speaker 1: then the second half almost went under and it would
Speaker 1: have gone underhead there not been that, you know, the
Speaker 1: late field goal nonsense, but very often that's something that
Speaker 1: you see when you have these huge scoring first halfs
Speaker 1: in games that are going way over what they're supposed
Speaker 1: to be. There's a regression back because the teams, you know,
Speaker 1: spend the whole halftime adjusting for the second half with
Speaker 1: their defense. Update the records for us, if you will,
Speaker 1: Toddy the records we have Gilly, he's already talked about
Speaker 1: his tremendous fall off the cliff to twenty one and fifteen.
Speaker 1: He still leads, though he's still leave thought tohow, I thought,
Speaker 1: I'm tied with jeff With Jeffrey, well, that's the lead.
Speaker 1: Tied for the lead with Jeffrey twenty one and fifteen.
Speaker 1: I am two games back at nineteen and seventeen. We're
Speaker 1: starting to write the ship with the teasers. You're both
Speaker 1: five and seven and I'm three, eight and one on
Speaker 1: the teasers. We've been having some winning weeks with the
Speaker 1: teasers lately. What about the guest chair. The guest chair
Speaker 1: is eighteen and eighteen and eight and four with the teaser.
Speaker 1: That's the mode. The eight and four with the teasers
Speaker 1: for the geesers the most amazing thing. Also, i'd have
Speaker 1: the lead that Marcus Mariota's plinkoat chip went down the
Speaker 1: right slot. Don't don't be given me. Don't don't start
Speaker 1: with the if if this happens, you'd have to lead.
Speaker 1: I have about eight of those. You have at least
Speaker 1: six in the last two weeks on believable how many games,
Speaker 1: and that I've managed to lose from the jaws of victory.
Speaker 1: Now that said, I have one my share of bullshit also, right,
Speaker 1: I think it's the most bob. I'm curious. Let's just
Speaker 1: have this conversation before we get into best bets. It
Speaker 1: is my theory that the plinko nature of the NFL
Speaker 1: on the side is just getting worse. And when I
Speaker 1: say this to people, um veteran handicappers, they say, well, no, Gil,
Speaker 1: I think you and I even even have this conversation
Speaker 1: on on text, They're like, no, you know, if you
Speaker 1: can find the percentage of games where Plinko doesn't come in,
Speaker 1: maybe you're just not choosing the right games. I just
Speaker 1: feel like the that it's a higher percentage than ever
Speaker 1: before of the games that in the end, if I
Speaker 1: win or lose, it ain't me in the end, it's
Speaker 1: just how the ball bounces. I don't know if there's
Speaker 1: any date on that. I think there might be a
Speaker 1: little more randomness due to more coaches going for two
Speaker 1: and you feel like Oh, they shouldn't have gone for
Speaker 1: two and lost because of they missed that two point conversion.
Speaker 1: And there's more of that. But maybe they should have
Speaker 1: gone for two and you're wrong and you should have
Speaker 1: lost the game. I think there's a lot more of
Speaker 1: that where you're losing or winning by a point because
Speaker 1: of two point conversion decisions. I think there's a lot
Speaker 1: more of that because I've been on a few of
Speaker 1: those this year. That's fair, that's certainly part of it. Again,
Speaker 1: I feel like you've forgotten how much plink on nous
Speaker 1: there was in the past. No, no, there there was.
Speaker 1: There was always plinko crazy. I mean, as the person
Speaker 1: who sort of first said that, you know, came up
Speaker 1: with the plinko as applied to sports betting. I'm certainly,
Speaker 1: I'm certainly aware of that. But I just feel like,
Speaker 1: and maybe I am a prisoner of the moment. Todd,
Speaker 1: You could be right, but I just feel like it
Speaker 1: has happened in both directions, you know what. I think
Speaker 1: it's just because we've done a really good, gut job
Speaker 1: of being on games that have been close to the number.
Speaker 1: Good job meaning a terrible you know what I mean, Yes, yes, whatever, whatever,
Speaker 1: way you want to phrase it, but a but but
Speaker 1: but also to hold on hold on the second um
Speaker 1: this lead. No, Jeff, what Todd has to say is
Speaker 1: more important than what you but but but but this
Speaker 1: this league is so damn even at this point, these
Speaker 1: teams are so close to each other in ability. Well,
Speaker 1: that's what it is. That's why these games are are
Speaker 1: coming down to and again that's why the Wong Teasers
Speaker 1: getting annihilated early in the season. We're kind of in
Speaker 1: retrospect is ridiculous because this league is so bunched together. Well,
Speaker 1: but but it was the favorite, was the favorite, the
Speaker 1: favorite coming down. That's why we've all justin. We've taken
Speaker 1: the underdogs the last few weeks, and the underdogs have
Speaker 1: been coming through on teaser like people love teasers. This week, though,
Speaker 1: all right, you want to start with the best bets,
Speaker 1: Let's do this. We start with the guest, as always,
Speaker 1: the great doctor Bob, my friend Bob Soul. What is
Speaker 1: your first best bet, sir? Like the over of the
Speaker 1: Jets Vikings game. Um Gil, who do you think leads
Speaker 1: the NFL in quarterback success rate the last two years?
Speaker 1: Minimum of four games played? Mike White play four games
Speaker 1: he's played five Mike White and he has the highest
Speaker 1: success rate of any quarterback in the league fifty four
Speaker 1: point two compared to Patrick Mahomes fifty three point eight.
Speaker 1: Now success rate, Well, the thing about Mike White is
Speaker 1: he plays within the system. And that's all the Jets
Speaker 1: need is someone to play within the system. Take the
Speaker 1: check down. They have a good defense. They don't need
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson going off script and trying to throw the
Speaker 1: ball force of all down the field. That hasn't worked
Speaker 1: for them. The thing about Mike White is when he's off,
Speaker 1: he's throwing three interceptions, and that could happen, but UM,
Speaker 1: that's not necessarily bad for and over. Either interception is
Speaker 1: gonna be returned for touchdown. UM. So the Jets offense
Speaker 1: certainly better with Mike White. I'm not anointing them as
Speaker 1: one of the better offenses in the league, but they're
Speaker 1: certainly better with Mike White instead of Zack Wilson, who
Speaker 1: has a career success right at a thirty nine percent,
Speaker 1: by the way, which is very low. UM. Jets offenses
Speaker 1: Corey Davis back this week a really good compliment to
Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson. UM. When Davis is out they've struggled offensively
Speaker 1: a little bit more. Speaking of Wilson, Um Analyjah More
Speaker 1: both did some damage in this lot last week. I
Speaker 1: think that's gonna work again. Vikings nickel back Shannon Sulivan
Speaker 1: ranks third to last among qualifying nickel backs and yards
Speaker 1: per route run allowed in the slot, so I think
Speaker 1: that slot game is gonna work. Mike White doesn't mind
Speaker 1: throwing those short passes in the slot. UM Jets running
Speaker 1: backs uh tend to get a lot of balls out
Speaker 1: of the backfield, and probably more with White as quarterback.
Speaker 1: Vikings are thirtieth in the league and yards per target
Speaker 1: allowed to running back, so I think it's a good
Speaker 1: match for the Jets offense. UM Vikings have been playing
Speaker 1: well offensively all year. Getting Howkinson has helped has helped
Speaker 1: a little bit because justin Jefferson now it has a
Speaker 1: little more room to work. I mean, Hockinson has taken
Speaker 1: that intermediate route in the middle and that opens things
Speaker 1: up on the outside a little bit. And they've been
Speaker 1: going downfield a lot with Jefferson, which has been working
Speaker 1: for them. So I think both teams will be able
Speaker 1: to score here. So um I the model pis four
Speaker 1: points and I think over forty six or less is good.
Speaker 1: That what is the total we're saying and a half? Uh, Gil,
Speaker 1: that's my number one play as well. Really yeah, I
Speaker 1: was on that too, but not as my number one play,
Speaker 1: but I have Yeah, that's my number one as well.
Speaker 1: The Jets offense with Mike White is to me at worst,
Speaker 1: well not at worst, but it's lee gaverage at this
Speaker 1: point when with Zach Wilson it was in the bottom
Speaker 1: of the league. The Vikings defense stinks, and every point
Speaker 1: that Bob made leads me to thinking this game is
Speaker 1: gonna go over. There's one other factor to clip. Blakeman's
Speaker 1: crew is officiating this game. They are a high defensive,
Speaker 1: pass in affairs, defensive holding, the legal contact crew, good knowledge.
Speaker 1: So Sauce Gardner, as great as he's been, it's a
Speaker 1: very physical corner. DJ Read is a physical corner. The
Speaker 1: Jets are going to get called for penalties they have
Speaker 1: not been called for this year in this game, especially
Speaker 1: when trying to cover Justin Jefferson. It was just the
Speaker 1: point by Jerry Rice right now. He's been insanely good
Speaker 1: the last month. So I think this is a high
Speaker 1: scoring game that gets aided by the fact that Minnesota's
Speaker 1: offense is is good, the Jets offense is now league
Speaker 1: average offense is opposed to a bottom tier offense. Minnesota's
Speaker 1: defense sucks, and the refs are gonna call penalties in
Speaker 1: this game. So I think this is thirty one twenty.
Speaker 1: I think this game is in the fifties. So I'm
Speaker 1: with Bob. I'm over forty four and a half? Is
Speaker 1: that one of yours? That was gonna be my third one?
Speaker 1: But maybe I'll go with a different one. You don't
Speaker 1: have to, Okay, I'll decide alright, Um, well you're up.
Speaker 1: So what you got first? I'm gonna go with the
Speaker 1: New York Football Giants. How many points are getting? Two
Speaker 1: and a half New York Football Giants plus two and
Speaker 1: a half, just simply for the mere fact that the
Speaker 1: Washington command Indos have won every single game and covered
Speaker 1: I believe six out of seven games in a row.
Speaker 1: Am I correct about saying that? Let me just check
Speaker 1: that every six out of seven they've covered against at Chicago,
Speaker 1: Green Bay, at Indianapolis one. All three of those games
Speaker 1: lost to Minnesota and pushed and you know, getting three
Speaker 1: and then beat Philadelphia, beat Houston and then beat Atlanta
Speaker 1: in a game that they could have easily lost um
Speaker 1: and would have been nice for me that they depends
Speaker 1: on You've got that Washington Minnesota because they they won
Speaker 1: on that line for many yeah, one during the week
Speaker 1: it depended So that makes me better. That would that
Speaker 1: would have made him seven and oh against the spread.
Speaker 1: It's very difficult in the National Football League to go
Speaker 1: seven and oh against the spread. It's just the kind
Speaker 1: of league as we were talking about earlier, that's going
Speaker 1: to go back and forth because the lines are so tight.
Speaker 1: And now you're going to ask the Redskins, I mean,
Speaker 1: the Commanders to continue this amazing run of football. And granted,
Speaker 1: you know they have a good defense. The Taylor Heineke
Speaker 1: is better than you know that other guy. And uh
Speaker 1: and now you're asking, you're you're saying, okay, now you're
Speaker 1: gonna go on the road and give points. Now. I
Speaker 1: know the Giants have been overrated. I know the Giants
Speaker 1: did it with smoke and mirrors. I know all about
Speaker 1: the Giants. The Giants aren't good. The Giants aren't good.
Speaker 1: Home team divisional game. I just think you're getting the
Speaker 1: two and a half points. This game has seventeen sixteen
Speaker 1: written all over eighteen. Uh you know some ridiculous you
Speaker 1: know number like that where it gets inside the two
Speaker 1: and a half. Give me the Giants to shock the
Speaker 1: world and all the people that will be putting their
Speaker 1: money on the Commanders. And my friend Gilly Ice who
Speaker 1: thinks the Commanders are going to the Super Bowl with
Speaker 1: marcol Rippin Heineke. I don't believe I've ever said that. Yes,
Speaker 1: it's a problem for me. My number two pick is
Speaker 1: the exact same Pickny, So so I'll just get this
Speaker 1: out of the way before you do two in a row, Gilly,
Speaker 1: I think the wrong team is favorite in this game.
Speaker 1: I know the Giants are the smoking mirrors team. I
Speaker 1: thought this should have been Giants as the slightest of
Speaker 1: favorites in this game. At home. Washington has covered all
Speaker 1: these games in a row. What are we calling interceptible balls?
Speaker 1: Are we calling them itch itches? Heineki is itching all
Speaker 1: over the place recently. It just basically feels like it's
Speaker 1: the good vibe Carson Wentz where the turnovers just aren't happening,
Speaker 1: but interceptions that should have happened. I t s h itches.
Speaker 1: So you're scoring at home I think I think Heinek
Speaker 1: is gonna have one of these games. It's coming. It
Speaker 1: may not come this week, but I the fact that
Speaker 1: I'm on the Giants, my hope is it comes this
Speaker 1: week where Heineke is throwing to three interceptions on balls
Speaker 1: that should have been picked the last month plause, I
Speaker 1: mean five weeks ago, this team was an underdog to
Speaker 1: freaking Sam Ellinger. I've mean, come on now, it's it's
Speaker 1: been a little bit of a charmed run for Washington.
Speaker 1: Now Washington plays this is weird scheduling quirk. Remember I
Speaker 1: was going to bring this at the Giants by week
Speaker 1: and then they get the Giants and land over and two.
Speaker 1: So if Washington wins this game, oh boy, huge advantage.
Speaker 1: If Washington wins this game, Washington Commanders are gonna make
Speaker 1: the playoffs. If they lose this game, then that game
Speaker 1: in two weeks is of the utmost importance for both teams.
Speaker 1: But I think the wrong team's favorite here. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Giants plus two and a half. And the
Speaker 1: fact that Todd and I have agreed on two is
Speaker 1: very alarming. So far, very alarming. Um My number two
Speaker 1: pick is the Washington Commanders let me just start there.
Speaker 1: So before the Giants lost these last two games, let
Speaker 1: me just take you guys down analytics road. The Giants
Speaker 1: at that point were seven and two. They were five
Speaker 1: and one in games decided by seven points or fewer.
Speaker 1: Their biggest win had had been by eight points. They
Speaker 1: had been outscored one thirty one to one through the
Speaker 1: first three quarters of their games. But then they would
Speaker 1: magically go plus twenty two and point differential in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, which is top five in the league. UM
Speaker 1: shout out to Bill Barnwell for those numbers. Also also
Speaker 1: Wink Martindale's defense was twenty six and ep a per
Speaker 1: play outside the red zone, but then magically, when they
Speaker 1: got inside the twenty they became the league's the league's
Speaker 1: best unit. That is, ben don't break, as people like
Speaker 1: to say, but that's not sustainable. So they've allowed teams
Speaker 1: to make it to the red zone third highest rate.
Speaker 1: That was up to the up to the ninth game
Speaker 1: of the season when they're seven and two, they had
Speaker 1: allowed teams to make it to the red zone at
Speaker 1: the third highest rate of a per game basis, but
Speaker 1: then only allowed those offenses to convert thirty eight point
Speaker 1: two percent of the time, only the Broncos were better.
Speaker 1: So basically, and will add to that, on first and
Speaker 1: second down, the Giants had been the league's fourth worst
Speaker 1: defense by e p A per play, and then on
Speaker 1: third and fourth down, of course, then they morph into
Speaker 1: the third best defense. So okay one more so, despite
Speaker 1: the fact that opposing offenses had the fifth fewest yards
Speaker 1: to go to pick up on third downs, they were
Speaker 1: the third best defense at avoiding conversions timely turnovers as well.
Speaker 1: So the Smoke and Mirrors team, Ladies and Gentlemen is
Speaker 1: not the Washington Commodorees. It is the New York Football Giants.
Speaker 1: We agree that they're the smoking Mirrors. We never said both. Really,
Speaker 1: what I heard more from you as the smoke and
Speaker 1: Mirrors of Washington, not so much New York Giants. So
Speaker 1: we can rewind the tape. We could rewind the tape
Speaker 1: the Giants. I believe it's I believe it's my turn
Speaker 1: number one. Now I believe it's I believe I heard
Speaker 1: what I heard. Anyway, Tod is shaking his head. He's
Speaker 1: in dismay, as if he didn't just knock Washington for
Speaker 1: thirty minutes. I believe it was. I didn't. I just
Speaker 1: said they covered seven games in a row and the
Speaker 1: NFL just doesn't happen. But you talked about how they
Speaker 1: were smoking mirrors and not the deep dive of how
Speaker 1: smoke and mirrors The New York Football Giants are I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take as long as Washington is under three points,
Speaker 1: which they are taking the Washington football team because here's
Speaker 1: the other thing. I think they're better almost everywhere in
Speaker 1: every phase of the game. Then the Giants are there.
Speaker 1: My number two play, my number one play number yes
Speaker 1: it is my number one play is going to sex
Speaker 1: to start it off on the Giants landed summon off.
Speaker 1: That's how it's tech sound the old people nineteen reporter, Yeah,
Speaker 1: what was that? Why the Hivenburgh is coming? Um? Okay,
Speaker 1: Seattle is seven against the Rams. Seven. Yeah, I'm I'm
Speaker 1: taking the Seahawks. I don't like laying seven points. I
Speaker 1: don't like laying seven points on the road. But the
Speaker 1: Rams have nobody. They ain't got no Matthew Stafford, ain't
Speaker 1: got no errold Aaron Donald, they ain't got no Cooper Cup.
Speaker 1: Seattle is Jeffrey laid out very nicely. Should have won
Speaker 1: that game. Against the Raiders this past week. I actually
Speaker 1: think if you do your power rankings in the NFL,
Speaker 1: you might actually have the Seattle Seahawks still at ten.
Speaker 1: They could still be a top ten team by some
Speaker 1: people's rankings. I'm taking them, see Hawks. I don't really
Speaker 1: feel any need to elaborate. I loved Bryce Perkins in college.
Speaker 1: Bet on him a lot um. But he's more of
Speaker 1: a guy that will beat you with the legs that
Speaker 1: he will with the arm um. So they have to
Speaker 1: be aware of that. Yeah, beat himself there. I like. See,
Speaker 1: I'll give the seven points if I get beat, so
Speaker 1: be it. That's my I got a supporting trend for you, Gil,
Speaker 1: Thank you? Do you want to please go? Uh? Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll off consecutive losses, and this is even when his
Speaker 1: teams were terrible like last year, off consecutive losses, his
Speaker 1: teams are nineteen and four straight up, nineteen three and
Speaker 1: one against the spreads. Has been the coach Seahawks, whoa
Speaker 1: even last year when they were terrible, they lose two
Speaker 1: up and they've covered or win. See. I didn't even
Speaker 1: know that there's a little team trend for you, not
Speaker 1: that you that I'm basing anything on it, but it's
Speaker 1: it's worth noting it is that the Seahawks, especially after
Speaker 1: a bad defensive performance under Pete Carroll, are more than
Speaker 1: likely to turn things around after two consecutive losses. He
Speaker 1: is a great motivator, he is. That is a motivational spot.
Speaker 1: Thank you. That's awesome. I like that that. I don't
Speaker 1: hurt Pete Carroll to one now to win Coach of
Speaker 1: the Year dropping though after the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: My only concern with Seattle at this point is have
Speaker 1: they peaked already when you have a team and this
Speaker 1: is this game, by the way, that you just don't
Speaker 1: think so this game that you just picked us into
Speaker 1: running for the game. I don't want anything to do
Speaker 1: with this week. But I'm just curious because they had
Speaker 1: such low expectations going into the year, which were wrong.
Speaker 1: We were wrong on that, no doubt. But I wonder
Speaker 1: if the magic carpet ride for Geno Smith at some
Speaker 1: point crashes into the crash so could Seattle still make
Speaker 1: the playoffs? Of course, that there are a whole bunch
Speaker 1: of teams that are very similar and that race for
Speaker 1: the six and seven seed in the NFC. Right now,
Speaker 1: I think you guys have maybe appropriately so, but I
Speaker 1: think you guys have muscle memory on Genos and that's
Speaker 1: bard and possible. And I think every time Geno Smith
Speaker 1: does anything bad in the game, Todd will text, oh,
Speaker 1: here it comes Geno Smith. And by the way, he
Speaker 1: does it in that awful voice if you put a
Speaker 1: text in voice mode. And then, and what I think is,
Speaker 1: we forget. And I've said this a couple of times before,
Speaker 1: and I really believe this, we forget. There was a
Speaker 1: time in the NFL where guys held a clipboard. And
Speaker 1: I'll use it again from the Washington perspective, whether it
Speaker 1: was Mark Rippin, whether it was Stan Humphreys, whether it
Speaker 1: was Trent Green, they held clipboards for years. And you
Speaker 1: know what, after they held it for years, they were
Speaker 1: pretty awesome at quarterback. And so I think in this case,
Speaker 1: in Gino Smith's case, we listen. Would I have predicted it? No,
Speaker 1: let me not go that far. I'm not that great.
Speaker 1: But like, I don't know that we should be that
Speaker 1: surprised because their defense, their defenses, that's the other concern
Speaker 1: to that defense started. They're playing Bryce Perkins though, So
Speaker 1: let's go Yeah, it was again this is my mind
Speaker 1: was more a long term thing, like there's seven point favorite.
Speaker 1: They should win the damn football game on Sunday, and
Speaker 1: if they don't, then the question I just asked is
Speaker 1: going to be asked pretty much by everybody they lose
Speaker 1: the football game, Yes, for sure, Jeff. The only thing
Speaker 1: gil is that this this this stinks of a Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll over conservative offensively game. That is true. Yes, we
Speaker 1: do not want to make any mistakes here. We will
Speaker 1: win this game if we don't turn the ball over.
Speaker 1: I do think they're going to try to run the
Speaker 1: ball a lot more. It would be good, it could
Speaker 1: be bad. I mean that has that has served Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll well up until the last couple of weeks. But yes,
Speaker 1: there is always it's tod s turn. I already burned
Speaker 1: my first two. God, wait a second, McLaurin and the
Speaker 1: Hey fambos, the Giants already Hey, I'm sorry. Anyways, my
Speaker 1: second we're on the spectrum do you think you are?
Speaker 1: I'm just curious far over to the third sta just curious. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: So my second pick is gonna be the Detroit Lions.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Detroit Lions. How many points.
Speaker 1: Am I getting a point in that game? To me?
Speaker 1: Or you? You are getting? You are getting one, although
Speaker 1: you know it's funny there's some books that have them
Speaker 1: favored by one. But yes, you're getting I don't know
Speaker 1: how what are what are on my screen in front
Speaker 1: of me. I'm I'm seeing Detroit plaus one. Okay, I'll
Speaker 1: take pick or we'll give you one Detroit Lions plus.
Speaker 1: I just think that, um, something's going on over there
Speaker 1: the last. First of all, that Buffalo game was eminently
Speaker 1: winnable by Detroit and not with it seems like not
Speaker 1: with smoke and mirrors, Like they're really not bad. They
Speaker 1: can move the ball, their defense, I'm not saying their
Speaker 1: defense is anything great. It's not. But they that Giants game,
Speaker 1: they were on sixth three, they got to turn over
Speaker 1: and then they just dominated that late first half early
Speaker 1: second half thing where they scored and they scored again
Speaker 1: and put that game away. That's something a good team does.
Speaker 1: And that was on the road at the Giants. The
Speaker 1: Bears game. Granted, they got really lucky in the Bears game,
Speaker 1: I will give them that, and then they beat Green
Speaker 1: Bay the week before that, but they hung in against
Speaker 1: Miami the week before that at home, they were ahead
Speaker 1: of Miami in a ridiculous first half. I think the
Speaker 1: score was like twenty four. Yeah, I mean they were
Speaker 1: beating Now. Granted before that they had some stinkers, but
Speaker 1: in the last five games in a row, they seem
Speaker 1: to have really figured something out here. Jacksonville. I think
Speaker 1: there maybe average, slightly above average. I don't know what
Speaker 1: they are. I granted they beat Baltimore, but what's Baltimore anymore?
Speaker 1: You know the Raiders game. Okay, they beat the Raiders
Speaker 1: in the game the Raiders gave them. I don't have
Speaker 1: a lot of faith in Jacksonville going on the road
Speaker 1: and playing amazing. So give me the Detroit Lions. I think.
Speaker 1: So there's like there's like green shoots of of something
Speaker 1: good happening in Detroit. Green shoots what, you know, like
Speaker 1: like green shoots when just starting to sprout, you know,
Speaker 1: something new is starting to You never heard the term
Speaker 1: green green shoots. Dr bobb Is, I'm sure has heard that.
Speaker 1: You did not grow up on a farm. Neither did I,
Speaker 1: So I have no idea what he's talking about. Anyways,
Speaker 1: green shoots means like, you know, just like something starting
Speaker 1: to sprout over there. God grew up on a farm.
Speaker 1: The thing about the Lions, I will say this, and
Speaker 1: this is gonna be just like completely anecdotal, but they
Speaker 1: do feel like they are the team that leads the
Speaker 1: league in the most have no reason not to win
Speaker 1: this game and then finish with a with a with
Speaker 1: a final drive where you're left thinking that was what
Speaker 1: they came up was to try to win again this week,
Speaker 1: Campbell was it was an honorable mention for the Dumbbell
Speaker 1: this week. But the way you managed the clock at
Speaker 1: the end of that Buffalo game, they ran an extra
Speaker 1: play in front of the two mid a warning that
Speaker 1: in essence cost them the game. So you know, the
Speaker 1: trimp but that was Buffalo. That was against Buffalo. I underlook. Look,
Speaker 1: Detroit has been much better the last five weeks than
Speaker 1: they were at the beginning of this season. So but again,
Speaker 1: when you're when you're a when you have a coach
Speaker 1: that is not particularly good, you find ways to lose games.
Speaker 1: Gas Bell has found ways to lose games. They sure
Speaker 1: they sure have. They sure have. Yeah, for sure. Remember
Speaker 1: maybe they were a green sprout last week though. Yeah,
Speaker 1: here's my notes on that Detroit game. Fourth and fourth
Speaker 1: and inches at the Buffalo forty seconds left, same Brown
Speaker 1: for seven second and fifteen at the Buffalo forty seven
Speaker 1: fifteen yard past the same brown. Lions have all three
Speaker 1: timeouts waste ten seconds, but apparently was a time out.
Speaker 1: Lion settled for fifty one yard field goal that hooks
Speaker 1: in with twenty three seconds left and the Bills went down.
Speaker 1: So that was the thing about that. It was so
Speaker 1: funny because you and Kelly were on air, because I
Speaker 1: was talking to Kelly and he was like, we couldn't
Speaker 1: figure out what was going on. I had the benefit
Speaker 1: of audio and couldn't figure out what was going on,
Speaker 1: which was did Dan Campbell just decide not to use
Speaker 1: the time out and then because there was a replay
Speaker 1: retroactively got one or did he actually call it? We don't.
Speaker 1: We don't know, We don't, Yeah, we don't know, alright, Bob,
Speaker 1: I never thought they were gonna beat Buffalo. I just
Speaker 1: thought they were going to hang in and they didn't.
Speaker 1: They did. Bob, you've got a snake. Here, you get
Speaker 1: two and three here, look at that. Um. We were
Speaker 1: talking a little bit of the Seattle Rams game. I
Speaker 1: like the under. I took under with the Rams last week.
Speaker 1: I'm going under again. Um, A couple of reasons. Obviously,
Speaker 1: the Rams offense right now, can you think of a
Speaker 1: worse offense recently? Maybe two thousand eighteen Arizona Cardinals with
Speaker 1: Josh Rosen at the end of the year. They don't
Speaker 1: be anti semitic. Don't do that, Bob not on this
Speaker 1: showy Um. You know they're averaging only sixteen point two
Speaker 1: points per game for the season, and now they don't
Speaker 1: have Cooper Cup and they're at a third string quarterback.
Speaker 1: Alan Robinson was the only other running back who was
Speaker 1: above zero and expected points added. He's out. So it's
Speaker 1: Bryce Perkins averaging two point eight yards per past play
Speaker 1: and three replacement level receivers to throw too. Um. And
Speaker 1: not only are the skill positions horrible, but the Rams
Speaker 1: are last in the league and past blocking efficiency. So
Speaker 1: this offense, uh no, buy the only thing that points
Speaker 1: toward that helps the over and all. As Aaron Donald
Speaker 1: was out, but I already mentioned that I think this
Speaker 1: is a peak Carroll conservative special. I think they're gonna
Speaker 1: just let's not make any mistakes, Let's run the ball,
Speaker 1: let's not you know, throw the ball down the field
Speaker 1: too much and cause interceptions. Let's just hang on the ball.
Speaker 1: And I know the Rams run defense is not going
Speaker 1: to be as good without Donald, but it's still gonna
Speaker 1: be decent. I mean, they're good run deep fens. They'm
Speaker 1: not gonna fall apart completely without Donald. And Seattle ranks
Speaker 1: with thirty thirty one in success rate offensively running the ball.
Speaker 1: They have a lot They had a lot of big
Speaker 1: plays early in the season in the running game, but
Speaker 1: success rate is more predictive than you know, the big plays. Uh.
Speaker 1: And they have not been able to run the ball
Speaker 1: recently because people kind of like, oh, let's just avoid
Speaker 1: giving up the big run play, and their success right
Speaker 1: running the ball for Seattle is not very good. I
Speaker 1: think they're gonna still try to run the ball a lot,
Speaker 1: and that I don't think it's gonna work um as far.
Speaker 1: You know, the Rams have some you know, some matchup
Speaker 1: some good matchups in the secondary. Uh. Jalen Ramsey is
Speaker 1: still a top cornerback. He'll probably shadow metcalf Um. Tyler
Speaker 1: Lockett obviously had a good season, but Troy Hill is
Speaker 1: a good Nipple back. But I think there's some things
Speaker 1: going on that that matchup wise you're gonna help the
Speaker 1: Rams defense even without Donald, and I think part of
Speaker 1: it is Pete Carroll playing conservatively. I don't think the Rams,
Speaker 1: even though Seattle's defense is terrible, I don't think the
Speaker 1: Rams can score more than fourteen points against anybody. So
Speaker 1: I like the under there. Let's number. What number are
Speaker 1: we given Bob their time? Yeah, released it earlier in
Speaker 1: the week at forty two, but I'll go under forty one.
Speaker 1: And let's just the only way you los is if
Speaker 1: Bryce Perkins there's three picks in his own end, which
Speaker 1: theoretically could happen, but that that's that's on. Well, the
Speaker 1: thing is about running quarterbacks. They don't throw a lot
Speaker 1: of picks as they tend to take off and run
Speaker 1: right right. He didn't last week until the end of
Speaker 1: the to the end of the game where he had Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's just for people who are new wish to sports betting,
Speaker 1: newish because we always have to keep that in mind. Well,
Speaker 1: Bob is talking about Bobby will back me up here
Speaker 1: if I say anything wrong. Success rate versus sort of
Speaker 1: explosive explosive backs with someone who you always prefer in
Speaker 1: terms of predictive uh from the predictive angle. You prefer
Speaker 1: someone who's getting four or five yards a chunk consistently
Speaker 1: as opposed to someone who's getting one yard two yard.
Speaker 1: One yard will just make it a bizarrow example, zero
Speaker 1: yards minus one seventy four zero one zero one, because
Speaker 1: that that sort of pollutes the predictive nature of anything.
Speaker 1: Is that correct generally? Oh, Jeff, oh, he said yes,
Speaker 1: I guess he said, yes, Okay, you're up. No, it's
Speaker 1: Bob again. Oh Bob, you gotta see your snaking Bob
Speaker 1: your next? All right? Um, I don't really have a
Speaker 1: great I like the Raiders. I use them earlier in
Speaker 1: the week in a teaser um and that teaser no
Speaker 1: longer apply. So I still like the Raiders. The Raiders
Speaker 1: here it's one of those situations where the Raiders on
Speaker 1: expected points added per play our point zero four three
Speaker 1: higher than the Chargers this year, but they're underdogs at home,
Speaker 1: and the only reason is because their record sucks. When
Speaker 1: you compare the records of the two teams, Charges have
Speaker 1: a better record, I think that the only reason that
Speaker 1: the Chargers would be favored is because the win loss
Speaker 1: records was so different. But on the field, the Raiders
Speaker 1: have actually played better than the Charges this year. And
Speaker 1: if Corey Lenz Lindsley is out Pro Bowl center for
Speaker 1: for the Chargers and he isn't concussion protocol only of
Speaker 1: players or that in the first week of the protocol
Speaker 1: actually play, so it's likely that he's out, that makes
Speaker 1: a big difference. Herbert has been pressured pressured at two
Speaker 1: point five seconds or less pressure of the time this year,
Speaker 1: which is a league high. When Lindsley is not in
Speaker 1: the game, that goes up to thirty eight percent pressure
Speaker 1: with him the first two and a half seconds. That's
Speaker 1: not good. Um, you got Max Crosby going up against
Speaker 1: the right tackle Pipkins, who's terrible. UM, So I think
Speaker 1: Crosby is gonna be in the backfield the whole time.
Speaker 1: They'll get pressure up the middle of Lindsley doesn't play.
Speaker 1: UM and without Mike Williams, Michaelis might try to play
Speaker 1: at the high ankle sprain, Probably not if he does play,
Speaker 1: probably not that effective. I mean last week Herbert had
Speaker 1: a career low three point eight air yards per attempt.
Speaker 1: And I think they're have to get rid of the
Speaker 1: ball really quickly again. So I don't think they're gonna
Speaker 1: have the explosive plays down the field. I just don't
Speaker 1: think it's a a good massive for the Charges offensively
Speaker 1: with the injuries that they have. Um and you're talking
Speaker 1: with Josh Jacobs running for two hundred plus yards last week,
Speaker 1: why not do that again? I mean, the Charges are
Speaker 1: last in the league and yards per run allowed at
Speaker 1: five point four, so Jacobs should have another good game.
Speaker 1: Derek Carr is getting more adjusted to his new receiver
Speaker 1: group after the injuries to you know, some top receivers.
Speaker 1: He's starting to play better with the new guys. I
Speaker 1: think he's averaged seven point nine yards per past play
Speaker 1: the last two weeks, so he's starting to come around
Speaker 1: with the new set of receivers that he's gotten. I
Speaker 1: think the Raiders are at least as good as the
Speaker 1: Charges should be favored by a couple of points, so
Speaker 1: I'll take the one and a half. There, it is
Speaker 1: one and a half for one. What is he getting, Todd,
Speaker 1: I'm seeing I'm seeing one and pick and we'll getting down.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's mostly it's most actually it's mostly Picked
Speaker 1: plus one us And that's uh, what what? What? But
Speaker 1: one thing I will will will say real quick, the
Speaker 1: a f C playoff race. As ridiculous as this is
Speaker 1: going to sound, the Raiders are going to have a
Speaker 1: say in it. This game here. They played New England
Speaker 1: in a few weeks. Um. Obviously they had to say
Speaker 1: in the NFC playoff race last week that a f
Speaker 1: C chase for that seventh seed because I think Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: even with that absurdist schedule, is going to find a
Speaker 1: way in that race for the seventh seed between New
Speaker 1: England and the Jets, and and l A is going
Speaker 1: to be fascinating to watch the last five weeks NFC
Speaker 1: two by the way, Yeah, both both for sure. Todd,
Speaker 1: You're fine. What do you have left? You have got
Speaker 1: one leg? One left? I was gonna go with that
Speaker 1: that over forty four the Jets. That that was what
Speaker 1: I originally wanted. But I'm gonna do something different because
Speaker 1: Bob and uh Jeff are both on that already. Um,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with h very still a lot of confidence. This.
Speaker 1: That's a great point, boy, this is great. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go over in the Dolphins. You need to borrow coin, Todd.
Speaker 1: Dolphins and Dolphins. Yeah, that I don't like as much,
Speaker 1: but um, I'm gonna go over forty six and a
Speaker 1: half in the Miami Niners game. Um, you know, Miami
Speaker 1: has been the consummate over team all year. Great offense,
Speaker 1: defense not so great. Obviously, this could go under if
Speaker 1: the Niners shut down the Dolphins. But does anybody really
Speaker 1: shut down the Dolphins. I know that my stores. My
Speaker 1: stores had a big game on him. Believe it was
Speaker 1: a Sunday night don er where we held them to
Speaker 1: sixteen points. We couldn't get the W, but we did
Speaker 1: hold them to sixteen points in that. But um, you know,
Speaker 1: I just don't see a lot of people stopping Miami
Speaker 1: on offense. They're just so you know, awesome on offense. Um,
Speaker 1: you know, other than Minnesota, I did did stop them.
Speaker 1: What was that game? With two? I think was too
Speaker 1: in in the Miami game. I don't think he was.
Speaker 1: That was the first game to his first game back
Speaker 1: after the concussion was the Pittsburgh game. Okay, right, so
Speaker 1: too was out for that game. So with two. Uh,
Speaker 1: Miami's offense has been you know, pretty outstanding all year. Obviously,
Speaker 1: we know all about the receivers, and I think that
Speaker 1: the strength of the of the Niners defenses up front
Speaker 1: rather than their secondary. So maybe Miami can move the
Speaker 1: ball on the Niners. And I don't love the Miami
Speaker 1: defense at all, so I think the Niners will move
Speaker 1: on them too. So over forty six and a half.
Speaker 1: Usually don't get such a low number on a on
Speaker 1: a Miami game, but it's you know, it's due to
Speaker 1: the Niner defense. Obviously, Um, Kansas City did score forty
Speaker 1: four points against the Niners. UM. So there have been
Speaker 1: some times Atlanta scored twenty eight against the Niners. There
Speaker 1: have been some times where the vaunted Niners defense did
Speaker 1: not show up. So let's hope that happens this week.
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna go over forty six and a half
Speaker 1: in the Miami Niners game. Good games in the NFL
Speaker 1: this week, yes, and we are watching the game I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take in Sunday night. Uh, because the NFL didn't
Speaker 1: want to didn't want to change on Jerry Jones for
Speaker 1: whatever reason, brutal, So I'm going I'm going with a
Speaker 1: wishnev here, I'm going under in the Cowboys and the
Speaker 1: Colts at forty four and a half at that, So,
Speaker 1: I look, that's I'm sorry to steal what you've done.
Speaker 1: Probably I think seven times already with the Dallas under
Speaker 1: but Jiff Saturday was also in the running for the
Speaker 1: dumbbell with whatever the hell that wasn't didn't use is
Speaker 1: the first time out until thirty seconds, which, by the way,
Speaker 1: it should clarify, the timeouts would have gotten used still
Speaker 1: in that time frame. It's just the fact that you
Speaker 1: rushed your third down play for no reason, not using
Speaker 1: it correctly. As soon as Matt Ryan slid. It should
Speaker 1: have been an immediate time should have been in a
Speaker 1: meat Ryan who slid too early, and then after the
Speaker 1: game was like, you know, I didn't know, you know,
Speaker 1: he should have known where it was. Lucky he's not
Speaker 1: a he's not an experienced struner. Gilly something is you've
Speaker 1: got a thirty something very close to you know, old
Speaker 1: quarterback who just ran when he's something yard, you take
Speaker 1: a breather. Ya, Yeah, definitely it was. But he was
Speaker 1: tired from the week before where he ran for forty
Speaker 1: yards against the Raiders two weeks ago. I think two
Speaker 1: weeks he was tired even more. My point then two
Speaker 1: weeks two weeks ago alright, so under forty four and
Speaker 1: a half in Dallas. In Indianapolis on Sunday night in Indianapolis.
Speaker 1: Defense isn't completely terrible. They they have their moments. They've
Speaker 1: been good at times this year. This feels like one
Speaker 1: of those where Dallas gets out to like a seventeen
Speaker 1: nothing lead and then they just try to take the
Speaker 1: air out of the football the entire second half, and
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan will get sacked by Micah Parsons probably three times.
Speaker 1: At least one of them will knock Indianapolis out of
Speaker 1: field goal range in the MANNII Special. So I'll go
Speaker 1: under forty four and a half in indian Dallas total.
Speaker 1: By the way, team to rule for under in the cults.
Speaker 1: If you can get under seventeen and a half, Actually,
Speaker 1: that's that's delicious because you know Mattie Guys is going
Speaker 1: to take some sacks. First, all female officiating crew for
Speaker 1: the Germany Costa Rica that's coming up. By the way,
Speaker 1: I saw the Lucaco misses. My god, Lucaco had had
Speaker 1: two expected goals that scored zero. I had under two.
Speaker 1: So I was very very lucky. Toddy, all right, we
Speaker 1: had I had Belgium not to advance at like plus
Speaker 1: four or something, and I wish I had bet more
Speaker 1: money on it. Hold on it. Okay, I'm gonna give
Speaker 1: you my third pick, and I'm gonna let the hate
Speaker 1: wash over me before I do. Let me just ask
Speaker 1: Bob a question, because Aaron shots are buddy over at
Speaker 1: Football Outsiders. He has the Minnesota Vikings the nine and
Speaker 1: two Minnesota Vikings rated twenty second in d v O A.
Speaker 1: Where do you? Where do you have them? I'm gonna
Speaker 1: have to look this up. Hold on a second. You
Speaker 1: get another view of Bob's home as he shifts the
Speaker 1: camera looks it up. Bob used of looking. Yeah, I'm
Speaker 1: still looking. Okay, Well, well, Bob looks. I'm gonna tell
Speaker 1: you in my Ghoulosh model that Gilly I have him
Speaker 1: down much further. Maybe not twenty two, but I have
Speaker 1: them down much further than you would be. They're not
Speaker 1: good on defense, and Kirk Cousins is still the quarterback.
Speaker 1: Enough said they're not good on defense. They're really bad
Speaker 1: on defense. I don't know if I've mentioned the defense. Okay,
Speaker 1: I actually I had the middle of the path, middle
Speaker 1: of the pack. Yeah. Here, I agree with Bob based
Speaker 1: off of what you said on Guessing Lines on Monday,
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised by what you're doing. Yeah, this is
Speaker 1: all guessing lines for me when when we guess the
Speaker 1: lines on Monday, not only me, but Kelly was also
Speaker 1: Kelly biler Was was incredulous at this line. Uh, I
Speaker 1: thought Minnesota would be would be much more of a
Speaker 1: favorite in this game. There are three point favorite. As
Speaker 1: long as it's three, they're absolutely a pick for me. Um.
Speaker 1: Chris Simms had a very interesting point about Mike White
Speaker 1: the other night, which I which I think he's the
Speaker 1: only like he's the se Us to me to be
Speaker 1: the lone voice saying this, which is all right, I
Speaker 1: got your Mike White. He was awesome through the rain,
Speaker 1: nothing bad to say. However, they really, in one respect
Speaker 1: did Zach Wilson a disservice because they threw Mike White
Speaker 1: in against the Bears after trading their biggest players on defense.
Speaker 1: And so Mike White was allowed to play this defense,
Speaker 1: which would make him look good. Zach Wilson was not
Speaker 1: allowed to play against this defense, which would have made
Speaker 1: him look good. And so here we are, and now
Speaker 1: what he was saying about the Jets in general, he goes, now,
Speaker 1: you can never go back to Zach Wilson, which was
Speaker 1: his bigger point. Um, I listen. Obviously we've liked Mike White.
Speaker 1: He did throw five touchdowns at eight picks last year.
Speaker 1: I get it was Oh he threw four of them
Speaker 1: in one game, so that's a little skewed. But uh,
Speaker 1: only three points on the vikings here. I'm not ready
Speaker 1: to anoint the Jets quite yet, and I like your
Speaker 1: point about Sauce. Sauce Gardner for a rookie, has gotten
Speaker 1: a lot of leeway playing cornerback. I expect at least
Speaker 1: one or two flags going his way this week. Again,
Speaker 1: the main reason that I was fully planning to go
Speaker 1: head to head on you on multiple games this week,
Speaker 1: and I backed out and went with that over instead
Speaker 1: after seeing the officiating. That concerns me because the Jets
Speaker 1: are significantly more physical than Minnesota at the tots point
Speaker 1: because Minnesota's defense is bad that they're not they can't
Speaker 1: cover anyone. But I am that's my only concern as
Speaker 1: a Jet fan in this game, that Minnesota is going
Speaker 1: to get a bunch of points in this game on
Speaker 1: penalties that will get called by this officiating crew that
Speaker 1: will not get called by most officiating crews. Yeah, that
Speaker 1: is the main reason I did not actually come in
Speaker 1: here and go head to head with you on the
Speaker 1: Jets with this sauce Gardner. Meet justin Jefferson, and I
Speaker 1: listened the Vikings. I don't think the world beaters either either.
Speaker 1: I don't think they're winning a super Bowl, but they're
Speaker 1: They're essentially the same team they've been. It's just the
Speaker 1: Plinko chip has gone their way this year, and so
Speaker 1: I I I'm given the three without compunction here on
Speaker 1: the Vikings. Here comes to first push of the year
Speaker 1: for anyone. Oh yeah, we haven't had push yet. Somehow
Speaker 1: our picks have not had a push. That's amazing that
Speaker 1: it's incredible. Wow, it's a good point. Okay, by the way, Gail,
Speaker 1: to clarify, I just looked it up. I was having
Speaker 1: computer difficulties in the ask. Id the Viking whoa one
Speaker 1: one point one point, but but one point six points
Speaker 1: worse than an average team that's injury adjusted, twenty one
Speaker 1: point six points worse than an average team. What are
Speaker 1: your top five, Bob, if I might ask, Well, now
Speaker 1: I have to go back. I silly me thought they
Speaker 1: were listed, you know, a numerical order that they wouldn't
Speaker 1: be that hard to find a numerical order. Uh. Surprisingly,
Speaker 1: the model still likes Baltimore as a top five team.
Speaker 1: So now we're going alphabetical. We're a alphabetical order. I'll
Speaker 1: give them to an alphabetical order. Baltimore, Buffalo, Dallas, Kansas City,
Speaker 1: and Philly an alphabetical order, are my top five. Okay,
Speaker 1: so Baltimore's fifth is what you're saying. They're in the
Speaker 1: top five. I think they're just find ways to do
Speaker 1: stupid stuff. Okay. Interesting. I think what the modelers are
Speaker 1: noticing is the fact that Vikings are bad on defense,
Speaker 1: but I think the offense is actually pretty good, and
Speaker 1: that's why I would put I would put them slightly
Speaker 1: more in the you know, mid to late teens than
Speaker 1: thee But let me ask the follow up questions. So, so,
Speaker 1: Kelly at a numbers game, like everybody does. We do
Speaker 1: our power rankings this year and this I'm not being
Speaker 1: prisoner of the moment, and this is factual. This year
Speaker 1: we have had the least movement from week to week.
Speaker 1: We just do the top ten, the least movement in
Speaker 1: the top ten from week to week in any year
Speaker 1: ever period. Because so many of these teams are actual
Speaker 1: Drek they're not good. The middle of the league is soft,
Speaker 1: so the Baltimores of the world, like, who hasn't had
Speaker 1: some combination of Kansas City, Philly and Buffalo as there
Speaker 1: one to three? Who hasn't had the Cowboys. I'm trying
Speaker 1: to think of the Nine, the Ravens, and the you
Speaker 1: know as the next group, and then who hasn't had
Speaker 1: like the Bengals, Dolphins or whatever like. Then it gets
Speaker 1: to start getting a little murky. But essentially every other
Speaker 1: year that stuff would change all the time. Not this year.
Speaker 1: I think there's twelve teams that you can consider for
Speaker 1: your top tad and then it really falls off after twelve.
Speaker 1: I would consider Minnesota one of those quite frankly, but
Speaker 1: I guess I'm in the minority. Look Minnesota to again.
Speaker 1: Their offense right now is very different because Justin Jefferson
Speaker 1: is playing at a level that is insane how well
Speaker 1: he has played the last month. Again, I really again,
Speaker 1: I was fully ready to come in here have the
Speaker 1: Jets is one of my top three picks today. But again,
Speaker 1: the the officiating in that game, he's going to play
Speaker 1: a role. Sorry about that Washington Atlanta ending, and that
Speaker 1: was so bad soa right is that Heineke down on
Speaker 1: the field. It is oh my, heine keys out. They're
Speaker 1: gonna have to go to the backup. Who even is
Speaker 1: the backup now of Carson Wentz is still there is
Speaker 1: and it's like a shrill in the ear. Okay, let's
Speaker 1: do the teaser of the week, Bob. We start with
Speaker 1: you two favorite two team six point teaser of the week. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I actually released one this week, but no longer qualifies.
Speaker 1: I took the Raiders plus whatever it was eight and
Speaker 1: a half in the Jags plus seven and a half
Speaker 1: or eight early in the week, and that is no
Speaker 1: longer available, So I had to uh scramble here, and
Speaker 1: I'm decided I'm gonna go with New Orleans plus I mean,
Speaker 1: excuse me, New Orleans plus nine and a half with
Speaker 1: the Giants plus eight and a half. And the Giants
Speaker 1: have only lost by eight points or more twice and
Speaker 1: Washington's only one by more than seven once. Um, that
Speaker 1: seems reasonable. And New Orleans just they just they have
Speaker 1: the same defensive scheme that they've had in recent years
Speaker 1: with the new coaches down, so that hasn't changed, and
Speaker 1: that defensive scheme has given Brady some trouble recently. Um,
Speaker 1: losing work is huge. He was probably maybe the best
Speaker 1: offensive tackle in the league, and now he's down. Uh,
Speaker 1: they're they're down four starters now, the Tampa Bay offensive line. Um,
Speaker 1: it's pretty easy to scheme against a team down four starters.
Speaker 1: And Brady doesn't like pressure up the middle, and they
Speaker 1: haven't been playing well anyway. So I just think it's
Speaker 1: gonna be a fairly close game. I do think the
Speaker 1: Bucks defense will step up in New Orleans. Is not
Speaker 1: gonna light the light the scoreboard on fire. But I
Speaker 1: think staying with the nine and a half is fine.
Speaker 1: And like I said, to take the Giants plus eight
Speaker 1: and a half is the other part where you're gonna
Speaker 1: hate me for this. But where do you have a
Speaker 1: Tampa Bob oh Gil Now I have to go. But
Speaker 1: I didn't realize this was so difficult for you to find.
Speaker 1: I have to pull it up with my experience. On
Speaker 1: a second. Surprisingly, No, they're not that much better than average.
Speaker 1: I still have about two points better than average, which
Speaker 1: is puts him in the in that that's reason fourteen range.
Speaker 1: That's in that you know, yeah, because I think they're
Speaker 1: deeps better than it's been. There was another dumb Bell
Speaker 1: of the Week pot potential with Todd Bowls, with the
Speaker 1: way he utilized the clock. I don't even remember the details.
Speaker 1: Do let Brady go down at the end. And also
Speaker 1: that was strange right there, they were like, we'll play
Speaker 1: for the half. Oh, we just completed a past. It's
Speaker 1: very very strange, very strange, shocking. The Todd Bowls, who
Speaker 1: again was not a good head coach with the New
Speaker 1: York Jets, is still not a good head coach with
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Buccanty, He'll always study, He'll always be a
Speaker 1: Super Bowl champion in the Burgundy and Gold. Alright, Uh, Todd,
Speaker 1: you're you're a teaser. I'm gonna go with the Ravens
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. I don't really want to
Speaker 1: explain why, but I believe they're playing a guy named Hackett.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Ravens minus two and a
Speaker 1: half at home and the Bengals plus eight also at
Speaker 1: home against the Chiefs. I think the Bengals are getting
Speaker 1: their house in order and going for a playoff push now.
Speaker 1: And uh, you know, while they may not win the game,
Speaker 1: I think they can they can definitely keep it close
Speaker 1: against the Chiefs plus eight. Oh, I guess by the fault,
Speaker 1: I gotta put the Giants eight and a half in
Speaker 1: there since that's one of my picks. And then, uh boy,
Speaker 1: the second leg is tough this week because a lot
Speaker 1: of these favorites that are in that range. To tease down,
Speaker 1: here's something that that that is what could possibly could
Speaker 1: possibly go wrong with the Shawn Watson's return to Houston.
Speaker 1: What could possibly go I'm not doing that, you know. Again,
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna I'm gonna upset some of the
Speaker 1: math people here. I'm gonna take Atlanta only the seven
Speaker 1: here against Pittsburgh. How the Steelers aren't beating anyone by
Speaker 1: a touchdown, so I'll take Atlanta up to seven in
Speaker 1: the second leg. Atlanta was a huge consideration for me.
Speaker 1: In the end, I decided to do something that I
Speaker 1: know I'll regret and go Seattle and Baltimore. Oh, teasing
Speaker 1: two favorites now, But that's the total what could possibly
Speaker 1: go wrong? That is totally the what could possibly go wrong? Teaser?
Speaker 1: Like I just again hack it, as Todd said. And
Speaker 1: then I have the Seahawks, you know, laying the point,
Speaker 1: so I'm it as well. Tease him down to essentially
Speaker 1: have to beat them, and that that that that Baltimore one.
Speaker 1: Even though they there's nothing that Denver has shown that
Speaker 1: they should be able to play that game closer than
Speaker 1: the field goal have raven team, Like I said last week,
Speaker 1: they scared the crap out of it? Do they really?
Speaker 1: Do they? In the in the negative way? Yes? No,
Speaker 1: I'm with you. But the thing about Hackett, and again
Speaker 1: this is a parably. I didn't I didn't mean for
Speaker 1: this to be the prisoner of the Moment themed show today,
Speaker 1: but do you? I mean, who has been worse than
Speaker 1: Hackett through through ten eleven? So we're this is the
Speaker 1: I'm quantifying all this by the non urban Meyer division.
Speaker 1: Uran urban Meyer is his own category because of the
Speaker 1: offer of the field stuff stuff. Tom Seula is up there,
Speaker 1: he's up there. In recent memory, I mean Denver has had.
Speaker 1: I mean, look at the collection of coaches Denver has
Speaker 1: had since Kobe advertised. Fan was better. I mean, Fangio
Speaker 1: was better, but he was still bad. Fans Joseph was
Speaker 1: not good. I mean it's crazy to Denver again, they
Speaker 1: have gotten since Peyton Manning retired, haven't been able to
Speaker 1: find a quarterback. They are coaching that Kobi at who
Speaker 1: I thought was always an average coach. Is Bill Parcels
Speaker 1: compared to the last three guys that we've had at
Speaker 1: least four Hackett incidents with the with again with again
Speaker 1: in the Hall of Famer being your home crowd counted
Speaker 1: down your play clock for you. It's Ron Lynn esque
Speaker 1: Ron Lynn? Oh wow? How about Mike Tyson. Mike Tyson
Speaker 1: I always made the playoffs? Ron Lynn was the worst
Speaker 1: in game code, so many mistakes. Let's let's throw let's
Speaker 1: throw a fade at the goal line every single time
Speaker 1: and see if that works this time. I mean, they
Speaker 1: could not score in the red zone. They made so
Speaker 1: many mistakes in decision making. When he was the head
Speaker 1: coach of the Charges were one of the most talented
Speaker 1: teams in the league and just couldn't win. I know
Speaker 1: Lynn made the playoffs, Anthony Lynn in the discussion, but
Speaker 1: we're talking about Anthony Lynn, right, Anthony Lynn. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: mean Anthony Lynn is still probably I mean what hack
Speaker 1: It has done with a roster that again, remember before
Speaker 1: the season, the Denver Broncos by the betting markets, were
Speaker 1: a consensus playoff team which would ended up being obviously
Speaker 1: very wrong, but they have gone from potential playoff team
Speaker 1: in twelve weeks too. Oh my god, this is an
Speaker 1: unbelievable all time train wreck for that franchise. Anthony. I
Speaker 1: will say this about Anthony Lynn. Anthony Lynn was also
Speaker 1: torpedoed by the fact that, like Philip Rivers, would do
Speaker 1: some dumb ship at bad times and games. Also, the
Speaker 1: biggest Anthony Lynn thing is the is the punctured lung.
Speaker 1: We would never have gotten Justin Herbert on the field
Speaker 1: if a team doctor had not punctured to Rod Taylor's
Speaker 1: long not that soon at least, and not soon. And
Speaker 1: but if you watched Hard Knocks, Anthony Lenn had no
Speaker 1: intention ever of playing Justin Herbert, not a year one.
Speaker 1: So like the fact that you can see this guy
Speaker 1: in practice every single day and never consider playing him,
Speaker 1: like that's all we're going with the other guy. Even
Speaker 1: at one time with that Hard Knocks, He's like, oh,
Speaker 1: the kid has a pretty good throws a pretty good ball.
Speaker 1: I'm like, oh my god, no kidding. So that was
Speaker 1: kind of bad. Where do we go to here? Did
Speaker 1: I get my teaser? Yes? I did? Um okay, oh yes,
Speaker 1: we get to the final two questions. By the way,
Speaker 1: we have any Thursday night football thoughts tonight, Bill's Patriots
Speaker 1: real quick. We usually do that. At the time we
Speaker 1: skipped that. All I'll say is, before Dion Dawkins was
Speaker 1: ruled out, I was very much ready to consider Buffalo
Speaker 1: tonight because just has to feel it gets Yeah, if
Speaker 1: it gets the three, I'm probably gonna end up with it.
Speaker 1: This has the feel of what remember last year? The
Speaker 1: first game was that wind ridiculousness where New England had
Speaker 1: Mac throw three passes in New going out tough them.
Speaker 1: The second time they played in Foxboro was I think
Speaker 1: it was Week seventeen where we all thought you and
Speaker 1: I both thought New England's gonna win the game. They're
Speaker 1: gonna win the af c's Buffalo is gonna have to
Speaker 1: go through the wild card, and Buffalo went there and
Speaker 1: beat the living but Jesus out of him. It would
Speaker 1: not shock me if that happens again tonight. I think
Speaker 1: New England's defense just got fat and happy because they
Speaker 1: played Zack Wilson, Sam Alaner, Zack Wilson, New England just
Speaker 1: taking money, Bob, What do you make of this game tonight?
Speaker 1: And make it three? Make it three. Um, you know,
Speaker 1: and by the way, I don't like to go against
Speaker 1: Belichick after a bad defensive game. It's true, and there
Speaker 1: there's some stats to back it up, um under blotchick.
Speaker 1: When the Patriots have given up more than twenty eight points,
Speaker 1: they are thirty five and ten against and spread the
Speaker 1: next week. And look it up with the post Tom
Speaker 1: Brady era eight no no c Yeah, even in looking
Speaker 1: up this year, even actually any time to get twenty
Speaker 1: seven or more in the last two years, I think
Speaker 1: they're nine and o against the number the next week
Speaker 1: in the post Tom Brady era. So the one thing
Speaker 1: that has continued for the pages and when they have
Speaker 1: a bad defensive game, they tend to cover the next week.
Speaker 1: So I wouldn't necessarily be betting on New England here,
Speaker 1: but I'm I'm not gonna bet Buffalo, all right. Feels
Speaker 1: In gave me to me, probably probably Matthew jude On
Speaker 1: against the backup left tackle Skit would would scare me
Speaker 1: if I had Buffalo. By the way, if Buffalo, I
Speaker 1: said this on the Numbers game this morning. I have
Speaker 1: two bets that I made because of the Chris Mortenson
Speaker 1: report about Josh Allen's u c L a couple of
Speaker 1: weeks ago. So I have I have Jets and Dolphins
Speaker 1: a FC East futures, which if they get home, is
Speaker 1: complete luck for me because I thought he'd be out
Speaker 1: Josh Allen. Turns out he's played and has not been
Speaker 1: as good. So maybe not completely lucky, but I have
Speaker 1: like the Jets at twenty one, the Dolphins at five
Speaker 1: to one. If the Bills lose this tonight, they'll be
Speaker 1: oh and three in the division. That is completely bunched up.
Speaker 1: That will have lost all three divisional road game. That's correct.
Speaker 1: So the Jets and Dolphins coming up the next two weeks,
Speaker 1: you're behind an a ball if they lose tonight, that's
Speaker 1: that's big. This ball game tonight. Alright. Final two questions,
Speaker 1: as they have been for every single episode of the
Speaker 1: Megapod since its inception. First, which of the big favorites
Speaker 1: is the most likely to lose? Outright? Your candidates, Cleveland
Speaker 1: Browns and DeShawn Watson the return of the Shawn Watson
Speaker 1: seven point favorites on the road against the Houston Texas.
Speaker 1: We're talking about out right here. Baltimore Ravens eight and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites at home against the Denver Broncos,
Speaker 1: the UH Seattle Seahawks, seven point favorites on the road
Speaker 1: against the Los Angeles Rams, and the Cowboys Sunday night
Speaker 1: ten and a half point favorites against the Colts. Which
Speaker 1: of those four, Bob, do you believe is the most
Speaker 1: likely to lose? Our right, none of them. But if
Speaker 1: I had to choose one, I'd say Cleveland because you
Speaker 1: just don't know what you're gonna get with Shaun Watson.
Speaker 1: I would think it's a big Nick Chubb game. That's
Speaker 1: what I would imagine. Yeah, but it is. It is Hughes,
Speaker 1: so I certainly don't see losing, So I guess I
Speaker 1: guess Cleveland would be the one. It is the Houston Texans,
Speaker 1: as handicapper. Some handicappers like to say it is the
Speaker 1: Houston Texans super Bowl going up against the Shawn Watson.
Speaker 1: So there is that little element, Todd, It's the same
Speaker 1: one I have. Who knows what you're going to get
Speaker 1: from this team with Now, I don't know what the
Speaker 1: massage capabilities are in that stadium, but I don't know.
Speaker 1: I think who knows what you're gonna get? It's first
Speaker 1: started seven hundred days serving eleven games suspension for alleged
Speaker 1: sexual right there on the screen there, what'd you say?
Speaker 1: I said, he knows where the massage room is in Houston,
Speaker 1: that's right, not from the road team locker room. He
Speaker 1: knows you're the home team locker room. Jeffrey Baltimore Ravens
Speaker 1: to the Hack had led Broncos because that defense is good.
Speaker 1: There's again what Bob said is right. I don't think
Speaker 1: any of these big favorites lose. But there's just there.
Speaker 1: As I said last week, and it proved out perfectly
Speaker 1: because the way the Ravens blew that game to Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: it's kind of what they've been the whole year. There's
Speaker 1: something wrong with the Ravens. I just can't I just
Speaker 1: can't put my finger on one. I think it's Baltimore
Speaker 1: as bad as here's the thing. You have to deduct
Speaker 1: two points for Hackett. I mean, look, Baltimore co winness
Speaker 1: gave one to six very easily. But since I asked
Speaker 1: the question, I think the answer is Baltimore, all right,
Speaker 1: And then we live in a bizarro world and you
Speaker 1: must better side Bob on every single one of these games.
Speaker 1: But you are allowed one free pass. What is the game?
Speaker 1: You want? No part of Baltimore, Denver. There you go, Baltimore.
Speaker 1: I was good, Baltimore. Bobby look good without the classes.
Speaker 1: By the way, Bob Bob stole everybody without the glasses.
Speaker 1: Thank you. You're very welcome, Todd. We'll give me one
Speaker 1: part of I don't want the Eagles Titans game. I
Speaker 1: I don't want because I feel like they're starting to
Speaker 1: have some little cracks in the armor. And also, you
Speaker 1: know Rabel can pull something out of his tough us.
Speaker 1: But on the other hand, did the Titans have enough
Speaker 1: talent to stay in this game? So I'm gonna stick
Speaker 1: away from that because the Sirianni annoy you as much
Speaker 1: as he annoys me. By the way, I think I'm
Speaker 1: on an island with us. Yeah, there are some people
Speaker 1: on Twitter that are with you. I love the guy,
Speaker 1: but I I can see why he rubs people. They're
Speaker 1: all like great games though this weekend, Todd, just mentioning
Speaker 1: Titans and the Eagles. Actually tonight between the Bills and
Speaker 1: the Patriots is Awesomehin Washington, the Giants and then the
Speaker 1: Jets and the Vikings, And of course what you just
Speaker 1: said really might be the best of the bunch, right,
Speaker 1: Dolphins Niner. That's the Cincinnati Cincinnati Kansas City is awesome
Speaker 1: too on paper, and this is gonna be awesome, which
Speaker 1: means the best game of the week is gonna be Uh,
Speaker 1: it's gonna be Jacksonville Detroit. UM. By answer to your
Speaker 1: question is Green Bay and Chicago? I have they both suck?
Speaker 1: We have no idea who's playing quarterback for either team? No,
Speaker 1: thank you? I got one Monday night football? Okay, Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay New Orleans. I want like that game. I would
Speaker 1: want no part of. By the way, why isn't Jamis playing?
Speaker 1: Are we just done with He's never playing again? Forget that?
Speaker 1: Forget that question? Why is Andy Dalton still playing? I
Speaker 1: don't care if you play Jamis or Taysom Hill some
Speaker 1: more question play somewhat other than that. I just, by
Speaker 1: the way, I fast forward to Monday night. I can't
Speaker 1: imagine being interested in this football game, like I just
Speaker 1: can't imagine a matchup that I will be less interested in.
Speaker 1: I'll probably in game it, but I won't know part
Speaker 1: of it. Pre flop. We've done all we can do.
Speaker 1: Mega Pod Week thirteen, National Football League, Uh, Jeff Parlay
Speaker 1: and Todd before we leave, Before we leave, Heaven's sakes,
Speaker 1: a thirty two yard field goal set up here for
Speaker 1: the Giants. It's gone, upset Todd. When you were a child,
Speaker 1: did your mom like, was there their episodes like this
Speaker 1: where your mom was just like, we've got to make
Speaker 1: him an Orthodox Jew immediately? Is that? Was that how
Speaker 1: that happened? Or did you just wear you're born into it? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Oh my god, I can't wait now. Uh. And of
Speaker 1: course our guests kind enough to join us on the
Speaker 1: megapod every year. And Bob a masked by Kelly to say,
Speaker 1: will you be on a numbers game at your standard
Speaker 1: slot tomorrow, Mountain, Yes, Yes I will. We celebrating a
Speaker 1: five and two on the season win totals that I
Speaker 1: gave out on your show before the season started. College
Speaker 1: football season win totals. Last year, you were like a
Speaker 1: million in zero. Weren't you like last year zero? Yeah?
Speaker 1: This year I ended up eight and three, nearly got
Speaker 1: the nine and two with East Carolina. I needed East
Speaker 1: Carolina to lose, and Temple needed one yard and two
Speaker 1: downs pretty much ice that game and didn't do it.
Speaker 1: So basically the East I got the ball back and
Speaker 1: scored to win and off went nine into but eight
Speaker 1: and three. Would you say that college football season win totals?
Speaker 1: Now officially, if you had to say one thing you
Speaker 1: do better than anything, is that your bread and butter? Now, well,
Speaker 1: I'm fifty five and twenty three on those gilts, So yeah,
Speaker 1: there's your answer. Jeez, good god. But that's the beauty
Speaker 1: of season long, right, you can overcome negative variants, although
Speaker 1: in college football it's harder to overcome negative variants than
Speaker 1: any sport, right because there's only Yeah, I just spent
Speaker 1: a lot of time working on my team ratings in
Speaker 1: the all season, so that you do, I've seen it
Speaker 1: with my own eyes. He does indeed hardest working man
Speaker 1: in sports handicapping Dr Bob at d r Bob Sports
Speaker 1: on Twitter, Dr bob sports dot com for all that
Speaker 1: he does. And by the way, Carl Sack greatest NBA
Speaker 1: handicapper out there as well. In the Dr Bob fold
Speaker 1: give Carl and I started to his season too. He's
Speaker 1: had a couple of unlucky outcomes here, the last couple
Speaker 1: of ones, like he's still thirteen and three years. The
Speaker 1: Spurs let all game last night, then they end up
Speaker 1: losing they had to push. Yeah. That pushed the other
Speaker 1: night with Atlanta, that's the ball, yes, and then and
Speaker 1: then they had to foul the end. They made both
Speaker 1: free throws, the push. Philly made both free throws the push.
Speaker 1: I was like, it looked like a winner the whole way.
Speaker 1: He's awesome three and one if I'm correct, even with those, yeah,
Speaker 1: he's incredible, even with the yeah, a couple of rough
Speaker 1: ones lately. Thank you, Bob, appreciate it, Thank you Todd,
Speaker 1: Thank you Jeffrey. Good luck with all your bets this
Speaker 1: weekend and the week thirteen in the National Football League