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Speaker 1: ticketmaster dot com.

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Speaker 2: Slash NFL The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action. Also,

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Speaker 2: all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing.

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Speaker 2: I'm saying it's a cash. We see most gamblers when

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Speaker 2: they go to gamble, they go, that's incredible, big bank,

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Speaker 2: small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: This is the ultimate combition and we are what's up everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to The Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM. Today,

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Speaker 2: we've got our NFL player projections for week number six.

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Speaker 2: On today's show, we're gonna run through our top five

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Speaker 2: each skill position, discuss players we're especially high in lowan

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Speaker 2: this week, and we'll throw out some player props for

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Speaker 2: each position. Here to break it down with me one

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Speaker 2: of the most accurate fantasy football rankers in the world,

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Speaker 2: the odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean, great to have you back.

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Speaker 2: I'm glad you're feeling a little bit better, man.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, glad to be back. Hopefully that's it. Uh, you know,

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Speaker 3: this is definitely a scare. It would take a lot

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Speaker 3: to knock me out. You know, I didn't have the sniffles.

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Speaker 3: This is a legit situation. Glad to be back. It

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Speaker 3: was so weird, like I was kind of out on

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Speaker 3: Sunday just watching games. I wasn't sweating anything. I only

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Speaker 3: sweated maybe three plays. The only bet I had all

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Speaker 3: week was DJ moore longest catch over twenty and a

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Speaker 3: half yards, and he had on like the third place,

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Speaker 3: so I technically didn't. I only sweated three plays, which,

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Speaker 3: to be honest, was for the best for me this week.

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Speaker 3: But I am grateful to be back doing what I

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Speaker 3: love so just I can't wait to finally get back

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Speaker 3: at it. Looking forward to Week six and hopefully this

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Speaker 3: is behind me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I'm just hoping you're doing better and glad

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Speaker 2: to have you on the pod. And yeah, we held

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Speaker 2: it down for you on convinced me. I think we

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Speaker 2: went six and oh on the or I least sway

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Speaker 2: I swept for the third week in a row. I

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Speaker 2: think Simon swept. Oh no, he went like he got

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Speaker 2: two out of three. But like it was, we did

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Speaker 2: our thing. So hold it down with your gun. So

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Speaker 2: now we got to get back to it, helly, get

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Speaker 2: back to it. Let's start with quarterbacks. We got top

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Speaker 2: five for a week six.

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Speaker 3: Looks like a pretty standard top five. I got Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Tua.

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Speaker 2: Yep, same here. Okay, no no argument there.

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Speaker 3: Actually Lamar Jackson's out two weeks or something like that.

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Speaker 3: Like I think I have everything covered, but you never

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Speaker 3: know right now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Nah no, I mean I don't know. Do you

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Speaker 2: have Andy Dalton projected for a half a rush attempt

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Speaker 2: because he's gonna come in? Oh wow, sliped Rice Young's

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Speaker 2: you know it's quarterack sneaks. But besides that, I think

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Speaker 2: who you are high on this week?

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Speaker 3: So I'm high on Joe Burrow. He's back inside my

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Speaker 3: top ten because you know, he was obviously held back

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Speaker 3: the first four games at that calf injury, but last

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Speaker 3: week was the first time it really it looked like

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Speaker 3: he was closer one hundred percent. He was moving around

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Speaker 3: really well, and like I was saying with him, it's

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Speaker 3: not necessarily he doesn't lean on his legs to generate

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Speaker 3: rushing stats like a justin fieldses, but he does, you know,

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Speaker 3: lean on his rushing ability to escape pressure and throw

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Speaker 3: outside the pocket. If you look at his efficiency last year,

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Speaker 3: he was way better when he was throwing outside the pocket,

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Speaker 3: and we just haven't been able to see that this year.

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Speaker 3: He only had ten pass attempts outside the pocket weeks

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Speaker 3: one through four. Last week he had five, So I

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Speaker 3: think that helped a ton. Obviously, threw for over three

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Speaker 3: hundred yards for the first time through three touchdowns for

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Speaker 3: the first time. Granted was against the Cardinals, but again

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Speaker 3: he looked really good. This week he has another plus

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Speaker 3: matchup against the Seahawks could get T Higgins back, So

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Speaker 3: I think I think we can safely say Joe Burrows

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Speaker 3: back to being a top ten quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Daniel Jones are just glaring at you when you say

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Speaker 2: plus matchup against the Seahawks.

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Speaker 3: Oh, I know. Yeah, he was the first one the bomb.

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Speaker 3: But maybe that's more of a Daniel Jones indictment than anything.

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Speaker 3: I think, so yeah, or the offensive line, take your pegs.

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Speaker 2: Everything everything's broken, everything's broken in for the Giants. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow is what do you have him? You said

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Speaker 2: he didn't. He's your QB ten. He's my QB ten

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Speaker 2: for now. Yeah, but he same here could go again.

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Speaker 2: I think it depends on t higgins status. That really

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Speaker 2: does move the needle for Burrow still. So I think

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Speaker 2: if Higgins is back, there's a chance he's maybe like

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Speaker 2: QB nine.

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Speaker 3: I don't think I could rank him ahead of Justin

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Speaker 3: Herbert yet, but certainly he's back in the top ten.

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Speaker 3: I think last week I had him like outside the

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Speaker 3: top fifteen, because how are we supposed to know he

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Speaker 3: was gonna be magically better? It was gonna happen at

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Speaker 3: some point, but I was just kind of waiting as

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Speaker 3: kind of a wait and see situation until I moved

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Speaker 3: him back up. But I saw enough last week to

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Speaker 3: know that it looks like his calf is feeling a

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Speaker 3: lot better.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's back. Yeah, he's back to quarterback ten for me.

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Speaker 2: I mean he's close to Herbert. You know, it's it's

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Speaker 2: just that you know that Dallas defense. I know they

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Speaker 2: got plastered by San Francisco, but that's the thing.

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Speaker 3: Everybody Niners is just really good. I think that the

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Speaker 3: Cowboys are still a very good team. This is gonna

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Speaker 3: be a tough matchup, but I think the Niners are

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Speaker 3: just unstoppable.

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Speaker 2: Right now, You're last undefeated team that is still alive.

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Speaker 2: You're just waiting for the.

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Speaker 3: Ease, right Yeah, I mean at this point, like when

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Speaker 3: where are the Eagles gonna lose? Have you looked at

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Speaker 3: their schedule? They I think they faced the Niners and

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Speaker 3: like wen or twelve, So at some point the Niners

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Speaker 3: can control that situation. But that you know, the Eagles

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Speaker 3: are at the Jets this week got like when I

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Speaker 3: was simming this out before the season started, I assume

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Speaker 3: like an Aaron Rodgers led Jets, So you know, they

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Speaker 3: they just really haven't had a tough test yet, so

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Speaker 3: this could go you know into like week ten. We'll see.

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Speaker 2: I need you to add to that bet Niners to

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Speaker 2: go undefeated because if they beat Philadelphia, yeah, you mean

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Speaker 2: just seventeen losing too, you know, maybe I mean Baltimore,

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Speaker 2: that's a tough one, but like, well, they faced every

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Speaker 2: key in the league right now.

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Speaker 3: They face the Bengals soon, but I think that's at

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Speaker 3: home again, like all their yeah, tough matchups are at home,

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Speaker 3: so that that helps.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean at this point, it's like even

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Speaker 2: if they had Sam Darnold in there, you don't think

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Speaker 2: they could still score like twenty four, you.

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Speaker 3: Know, can have anybody thrive in that offense. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean they'd still be pretty good. And they have

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Speaker 3: what five or six players that are like the best

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Speaker 3: at their position, and they're all healthy right now. So

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Speaker 3: I was just saying, like the time investing them is

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Speaker 3: like early in the season while they're still healthy. So

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Speaker 3: knock on wood. But I mean it seems like every

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Speaker 3: year they're below average and injury luck and just they're

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Speaker 3: staying healthy right now. So they're going to be one

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Speaker 3: of the best teams as long as all these studs,

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Speaker 3: these blue chip players can stay healthy. And Brock Purty

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Speaker 3: just looks amazing in this game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and we'll talk about him because I got him

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Speaker 2: nice coming up in our prop. But I am high

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Speaker 2: on Matthew Stafford. He is my QB seven, he's QB

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Speaker 2: twelve and expert consensus on Fantasy pros right now. And

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Speaker 2: going up against this Cardinal defense, you know, you just

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Speaker 2: kind of mentioned it not very good. Thirtieth in pass

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Speaker 2: defense Dvoa and Matthew Stafford, you know, quietly second in

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Speaker 2: past attempts per game at forty point six, fourth in

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Speaker 2: passing yards per game at just over two hundred and ninety.

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Speaker 2: So I think he's due for some regression because he's

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Speaker 2: just twentieth and touchdowns per game at one, and now

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Speaker 2: he's got Cooper cutback Hooperrakua two to at well, a

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Speaker 2: great top you know, great top three receiver with you know,

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Speaker 2: he's still got higbe off the new contract. Kired Williams

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Speaker 2: could catch the ball out of the backfield, and you know,

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Speaker 2: this defense for the Rams still isn't great. So I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if the Cardinals are still able, you know,

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Speaker 2: to get to twenty twenty plus and force the Rams

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Speaker 2: to continue to be a high volume pass offense, which

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Speaker 2: they'll probably want to be anyway, just going up against

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Speaker 2: the Spottom three pass defense. But yeah, Matthew Stafford. I

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Speaker 2: you know, he's I think he's going to have a

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Speaker 2: really good year, especially now that Cooper Cup is back.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, some of the numbers have been

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Speaker 2: a little underwhelming. I think some of it was just

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Speaker 2: bad Luckick remember that terrible play sequence in the Monday

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Speaker 2: night game against Cincinnati where they like had a first

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Speaker 2: and goal with the two and it was just like

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Speaker 2: all of these terrible play calls. Like, so, I think

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Speaker 2: he's his touchdowns are going to come back. But I

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Speaker 2: think the yardage now that Cup is back, I mean,

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Speaker 2: Cup is probably gonna go for one hundred plus every

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Speaker 2: week and then Kuka is going to be right there

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Speaker 2: at like what fight five six catches for eighty a

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Speaker 2: week too. So I think Stafford's going to be one

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Speaker 2: of these guys in that like to eighty two ninety

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Speaker 2: three hundred yard range weekend week out. So love me

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Speaker 2: some Matthew Stafford.

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Speaker 3: This week. Yeah, they just looked unstoppable with Cup and

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Speaker 3: Nico and he still has Tyler Higbey and too too

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Speaker 3: out well if he ever wants to throw to them.

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Speaker 3: But his his final line was kind of underwhelming. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: two touchdowns, but like when they had the ball. They

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Speaker 3: were really efficient. The problem is they just never had

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Speaker 3: the ball on looking they had twenty two minutes time

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Speaker 3: of possession. I mean, anytime Eagles got it, they would

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Speaker 3: just have like a ten to fifteen minute drive, it

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Speaker 3: seemed like. So just the final stat line was definitely misleading.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, like, I am high on the Rams offense.

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Speaker 3: Cooper cut picked up where he left off, and Puka

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Speaker 3: is like a legit number two weapons. So yeah, I'm

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Speaker 3: hining Stafford as well.

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Speaker 2: Circle Week eleven Rams host of Seahawks, that'll be a good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's three and outs in explosive plays. That's that's

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Speaker 2: what the seeah exactly. Okay, who are you low on?

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Speaker 3: So I'm low on Kirk Cousins. You know, he he

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Speaker 3: had really settled in as like a solid QB one

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Speaker 3: option every week this year, multiple touchdowns in all five

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Speaker 3: games so far, but it looks like he could be

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Speaker 3: without Justin Jefferson for several games. Now. Granted he you know,

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Speaker 3: he has talented pass catchers like Hawkinson or Nadison kg

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Speaker 3: Osborne who can step up, but nobody can really replace

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Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson. And you know they have an easy matchup

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Speaker 3: against the Bears this week, So you know, cousins efficiency

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Speaker 3: will certainly take a hit without Jefferson. But also the

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Speaker 3: Vikings might just become a little bit more run heavy

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Speaker 3: without Jefferson. They can you know, they could probably beat

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Speaker 3: the Bears with just a more balanced approach this week.

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Speaker 3: So I'm viewing Cousins as more of like a like

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Speaker 3: a high end QB two at least for this week.

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Speaker 3: But the ECR, you know, the ECR is probably just

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Speaker 3: recycling last week's rank, and that's why he's like QB eight.

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Speaker 3: But again, like being without a player like Justin Jefferson

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Speaker 3: does have like a massive impact, especially on a guy

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Speaker 3: like her Cousins. It's not like he can bail you

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Speaker 3: out with his rushing stats or anything. He's banking on,

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Speaker 3: you know, that massive play volume efficiency. So just their

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Speaker 3: their game plan, you know, their their pass rate over

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Speaker 3: expected might just take a hit this week. So that's

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Speaker 3: enough for him to you know, drop five or six

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Speaker 3: slots and I normally have him. So yeah, right now

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Speaker 3: he's my QB thirteen, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: He is my QB. This is my QB eleven. But

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Speaker 2: it's kind of a glut of guys that are always yeah,

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Speaker 2: at least.

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Speaker 3: In that Like before this week he was just it

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Speaker 3: was crazy, just you sat it and forget it. He's

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Speaker 3: a stud QB one. Now he's at least in the

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Speaker 3: mix where you have to like contemplate who's available.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Stafford is going to be the new

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Speaker 2: Cousins like now that Stafford. Yeah, you know yep. So

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Speaker 2: if I'm sure Stafford's not still on anyone's waiver wire,

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Speaker 2: but if he is, I would definitely grab him.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Deshaun Watson this week. He is QB

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Speaker 2: nineteen and e cr I don't I don't get that.

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Speaker 2: First of all, he's not even a guarantee to play.

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Speaker 2: Second of all, he's got a shoulder injury. Third, he's

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Speaker 2: going against the forty nine ers. So you know this

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Speaker 2: is that's just a trifecta of negative situations for Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 2: The Niners are six and past defense DVOA. I don't

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Speaker 2: think you want to touch any any of this Cleveland

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Speaker 2: pass game this week, whether it's Watson, whether it's PJ. Walker,

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Speaker 2: who would get to start over Thompson if Watson was out?

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I have Watson if he plays, I would

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Speaker 2: have him to be twenty nine. So I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: what do you like, what are we expecting to do

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Speaker 2: in this matchup? With a bump shoulder like hand the

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Speaker 2: ball off like he's not ran? Yeah yeah, I mean

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Speaker 2: I don't know, but if he takes a hit that

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Speaker 2: you know, we saw Anthony Richardson land the wrong way

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Speaker 2: and it's it's over. So yeah, I think he's an

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Speaker 2: in game injury risk even if he plays. That's that's

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Speaker 2: another issue. Let's go prop. So for the prop, we

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Speaker 2: talked about these two guys briefly, Cousins brock Purty. So

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Speaker 2: let's go Cousins versus Brock Purty passing yards and I'll

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Speaker 2: give you Purty plus twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I thought it was a pick them at first.

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Speaker 2: Oh no, yeah, I have not going at I have cos.

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Speaker 3: I have Cousins twenty yards more than like around two

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Speaker 3: six yeah, pretty around two forty, and I'll take I'll

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Speaker 3: take the yards here with Purty. Okay, yeah, I'll take

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Speaker 3: yards because it's a tough matchup, but it should be

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Speaker 3: close enough where they might just have a more pass

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Speaker 3: heavy game plan than normal since it might be the

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Speaker 3: rare non blowout. Well, I guess we'll see. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: that's a good line. Again, I have it closer like

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Speaker 3: plus twenty. How many passing yards do you have cousins

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Speaker 3: for right now?

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Speaker 2: Two fifty nine right now? Okay, so the same, yeah.

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Speaker 3: And then you have purty just a little bit lower

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Speaker 3: like two thirty five.

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Speaker 2: Actually have pretty to forty six. I just figured I

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Speaker 2: just figured, like I figured you, like, yeah, it's tough

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Speaker 2: because it's like I feel like there's a the median,

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Speaker 2: but like the ceiling for cousins is still high because

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Speaker 2: it's still the bear, you know. Yeah, it's a tough line,

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Speaker 2: just set I thought. I just thought it'd be fun

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Speaker 2: to the two guys. Yeah, no, I it's a it's

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Speaker 2: a good line. The one thing I noticed is is

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Speaker 2: there like potential weather in Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: This is a time you're reapped. Oh there is oh shit,

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Speaker 3: because I mean.

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Speaker 2: I think around the league there just seems to be wind.

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Speaker 2: Let me uh, let me double check.

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Speaker 3: Usually this is the time like Cleveland where we'll have like,

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Speaker 3: you know, four straight Cleveland games where yeah, there's like

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Speaker 3: thirty mile an hour wins, looks like breezy with the

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Speaker 3: chance of rain. So you don't really know both of.

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Speaker 2: Those games Bears and Browns. Oh okay, chance of rain

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Speaker 2: and uh wins upward of fifteen miles per hour.

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Speaker 3: So okay, so that impacts both technically potentially. Yeah, because

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Speaker 3: I noticed that the total was like four or five

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Speaker 3: points lower than I thought it'd be.

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Speaker 2: Thirty seven and a half. Yeah, I think it was.

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Speaker 2: It was around forty one and a half. And then

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Speaker 2: I think that there's a speculation that Watson may sit

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Speaker 2: I think that's why the total is sitting there right

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Speaker 2: at thirty seven and a half as we record this

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Speaker 2: on Tuesday. I think if Watson is you know, if

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Speaker 2: he gets like full practices or you know, he's you know,

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Speaker 2: locked in as a starter, I think that I think

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Speaker 2: it'll go back up to.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, forty is That's why I thought, just like a

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Speaker 3: few points though, but it seemed just a little low.

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Speaker 3: Uh just the Niners offense just looks unstoppable. So despite

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Speaker 3: the tough matchup, I thought they're still good for you know,

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Speaker 3: twenty five plus points thirty.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if it's been any indication of you know,

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Speaker 2: what they've been doing, we can weak out. Uh, you

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler Sean, who you

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Speaker 2: got in your top five at the running back position?

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Speaker 3: So I have Christian McCaffrey number one, Ben at number two,

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Speaker 3: I have Raheem Mosterts. I mean, that was a fun

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Speaker 3: one to see. That was like what Rodre Stevenson, I

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Speaker 3: got day My production zero is RB one. I was like,

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Speaker 3: what so, yeah, I looked at yep Raheema, so it's

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Speaker 3: my RB two, Josh Jacobs number three. I mean, the

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Speaker 3: example of volume is King right there, and then Travis

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Speaker 3: YTN and v Jon Robinson.

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Speaker 2: I got, yeah, I got but Caffree number one. I

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Speaker 2: got Tony Pollard number two. You didn't even have power

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Speaker 2: of your top five, did you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? What the hell? Yeah? Yeah.

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Speaker 2: There's been some shenanigans with the Cowboys game script. They're

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Speaker 2: either blowing someone out or getting blown out, so.

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Speaker 3: It's kind of a little I'm sure hell On up

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Speaker 3: in my top five, but right now he's not, which

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Speaker 3: is kind of weird.

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Speaker 2: Uh yeah, So he's number two for me though, coming

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Speaker 2: off a down week, so I get it. Travis et

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Speaker 2: On number three, love the matchup. He's been talking about volume.

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Speaker 2: He's been I think exceeding expectations, you know, especially considering

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Speaker 2: they keep four backs active these days. He still gets

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Speaker 2: like twenty carries a week, Jacob's four. And then back

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Speaker 2: to my guy Karen Williams at number five. I'm still

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Speaker 2: getting enough work and a home favorite matchup, so he's

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Speaker 2: back there. I think I think I'm like eight on.

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Speaker 2: He's kind of been his usage has been tailing off

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Speaker 2: a little bit lately, so a little low running.

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Speaker 3: It was one of the known, like questionable things with him.

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Speaker 3: But he's just so friggin good. Plus you have, like

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Speaker 3: I have Tony Power right there, David Montgomer right there,

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Speaker 3: Austin Eckler right there, if he does finally return this week.

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Speaker 3: So just the RB one, the RB position is solid

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Speaker 3: right now to put it, I mean.

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Speaker 2: Finally the pond is.

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Speaker 3: I guess, Oh there's still a pond sitting there, but

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Speaker 3: it doesn't exist in the top twelve. Oh my god,

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Speaker 3: we'll get to that. We'll get to that.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, uh so, uh you know, I'm dipping in

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Speaker 3: the frozen pond here. I'm going with Roshan Johnson against

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Speaker 3: the Vikings. Looks like Cil Herbert is definitely going to

399
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Speaker 3: miss a handful of games. Rochan himself is in the

400
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Speaker 3: concussion protocol, so just discussing the Bear's backfield is very

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00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 3: tricky to begin the week. I think just the fact

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Speaker 3: that they played Thursday gives him just an increased chance

403
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Speaker 3: to at least clear their protocol by then. So right

404
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:12,399
Speaker 3: now I have Roshan starting for Herbert. Looked like it

405
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Speaker 3: was any given week now he was gonna leap frog Herbert,

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Speaker 3: but that just never happened. But now that Herbert's out,

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Speaker 3: he should take over. So I'm guessing he would see

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Speaker 3: you know, ten to fifteen carries and handle most of

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Speaker 3: the passing down work, which heading into the season I

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Speaker 3: didn't think it was going to be valuable at all

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Speaker 3: in this offense. But Fields has been targeting his running

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Speaker 3: backs pretty heavily at the fourth highest rate in the

413
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Speaker 3: league this year, so you know he could rack up

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Speaker 3: a few catches with the increased usage on passing downs.

415
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Speaker 3: So yeah, so Johnson's gonna be an RB two option

416
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Speaker 3: if he can suit up. If he's not able to

417
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Speaker 3: suit up, then it'll be Deonta Foreman. Everybody should be

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Speaker 3: adding everywhere right now, just in case. But either it's

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00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 3: a pretty good matchup. This is going to be a

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Speaker 3: pretty close game against the Vikings. So Johnson, again, if

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Speaker 3: he can suit up, is gonna have a pretty big

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Speaker 3: workload here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it right now, got him like pretty

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Speaker 2: much eat splitting the work. But that's because you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm huge on a short like a regular week, Guys

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Speaker 2: really don't play after a concussion both to ten days,

427
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Speaker 2: there is I think an increased chance, but almost like

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Speaker 2: after two almost no one's playing now with like just

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Speaker 2: a regular one week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, to recover.

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Speaker 2: Even if they get back to practice, they don't usually

432
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 2: end up playing. But yeah, I like I like that call.

433
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 2: And uh, you know this Thisspaars offense. You mentioned it

434
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,479
Speaker 2: fields target runner backs because they're calling some many screen

435
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 2: passes these days, like you know, so, uh that that

436
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 2: could work in Johnson's favorite He is the better pass

437
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 2: catcher than Forman either way. They also signed Darrington Evans

438
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 2: off the Dolphins practice squad, so I'm assuming he's gonna

439
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: be active, because when you sign someone off the practice

440
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 2: squad that means they're gonna be an active roster. But

441
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,400
Speaker 2: I think that's the Travis Homer replaced. He's hurt too.

442
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 2: We've got a Kyrie Blossom game car.

443
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, carries for twenty yards. Great.

444
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I mean, I guess I'm not as high

445
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 2: as you, but I'm high on Raheem Moster. I have

446
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 2: him RB six. I thought I was high. Yeah, Uh,

447
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 2: he's still RB eleven in ECR. I'm sure that'll that'll

448
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 2: go up. But love the match up. The Carolina Panther

449
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 2: defense is dead last in run defense DVA. Moster. In

450
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:28,000
Speaker 2: the two games devon eight Chan did not play, most

451
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 2: it averaged a seventy three percent snap rate, and then

452
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 2: in the three games eight Chan played that dropped a

453
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 2: fifty one percent, so, uh, you could see you know,

454
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 2: most of return to starters usage year. I do think

455
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 2: that Jeff Wilson may return this week. Now, I don't

456
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 2: know that he'll get like the workload he was getting

457
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 2: last year when him and most are essentially splitting at

458
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,400
Speaker 2: fifty to fifty. I think you know, we saw them.

459
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:56,199
Speaker 2: He's eight chan in uh, and Wilson's practice window was

460
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 2: you know, he couldn't even practice last week when he

461
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: was first eligible, So you know, it's not guarantee that

462
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 2: he sooops up this week. And then you got Sylvan

463
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 2: Ahman and Chris Brooks behind Moster it, So I think

464
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 2: there's a good chance Moster gets back to that seventy

465
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 2: plus percent snap rate this week.

466
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, such an easy matchup too, Like, yeah, I'll be

467
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 3: looking for like the longest rush prop. Oh, he probably

468
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,120
Speaker 3: couldn't set it high enough for most of this week,

469
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 3: Like he's ripping off a forty plus run right yeah.

470
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 2: And West the Panthers just keep turning it over and

471
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 2: he just keeps getting like three yard touch true true,

472
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 2: But yeah, no, I love mostly this week and another

473
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 2: one Alvin Camara. I have him RB nine. He's Laby

474
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: twelve in in consensus, and you mentioned it. There's just

475
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 2: a ton of good running back options this week, but

476
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 2: Houston is twenty third in run defense DVA, twenty eighth

477
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 2: in DVOA on running back passes, I mean, we saw

478
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 2: Bijon getting the end zone through the air last week

479
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 2: and Camara, you know, quietly twenty four and a half

480
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,679
Speaker 2: touches per game in the two games he's played twenty

481
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,199
Speaker 2: five and twenty four, so he's yet to touch the

482
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,680
Speaker 2: ball less than twenty four times in a game since Attorney.

483
00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 2: That's great news because we haven't seen that kind of

484
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 2: usage from Kamara in a long time. Rarely did we

485
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 2: because he was kind of always in a committee, you know,

486
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,919
Speaker 2: Rarely did he get you know, twenty plus touches. So

487
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,439
Speaker 2: it's nice to see that. So got him in my

488
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 2: top ten as well.

489
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 3: Nice who you want. I'm a lot on Jerome Ford obviously,

490
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 3: you know this is just a brutal matchup against the Niners,

491
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 3: but there was some concern with his workload heading another

492
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 3: week five. By like week four, we saw Cream Hunt

493
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 3: and Pierre Strong really start to eat in his early

494
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 3: down work, including short yardage work. They didn't really have

495
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 3: any goal line snaps in that game, but there's a

496
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 3: chance that it could have been Hunt or Pierre Strong

497
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 3: even that was like handling goal line dude. This could

498
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 3: be devolving into like a two three way committee. But

499
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,440
Speaker 3: just the fact that they're well and Ford was still

500
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 3: dominating the passing down usage. But the fact that they're

501
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 3: coming out of the by means that like cream Hunt

502
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 3: might be more involved coming out of the bye, you know,

503
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,640
Speaker 3: like he's been getting up to speed, getting his conditioning back.

504
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,679
Speaker 3: We could see him start to eat into Ford's passing

505
00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 3: down usage. So I'd be very careful with him this week,

506
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 3: just with the tough matchup in general, but kind of

507
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 3: wait and see how this is gonna, you know, sort

508
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 3: itself out after the buye. But yeah, I have Ford

509
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 3: as more of like a dicey RB three flex option

510
00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: this week, and if allos well, if his usage is

511
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 3: back to where it was, you know, weeks two through four,

512
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 3: then he could be more of an RB two option

513
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 3: going forward, But just this week specifically, I'd be very

514
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 3: cautious with Jerome Ford.

515
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of ways you know, it could

516
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 2: go wrong, you know, the game script, and then like

517
00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 2: you mentioned, guys, we're kind of just mixing in with him,

518
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 2: even you know, when the game wasn't necessarily out of hand.

519
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,440
Speaker 2: So yeah, I have him, I have him. Yeah, I

520
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,239
Speaker 2: just have him just outside the top twenty four, so

521
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 2: at twenty fifth. But yeah, not feeling great about him

522
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 2: in this tough matchup. I'm all on. So we mentioned

523
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 2: all these RB one caliber plays this week, you know,

524
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 2: when we didn't talk about Darren, I'm going there. He's

525
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 2: on RB sixteen, and you know that. I think that's

526
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 2: just because it's a pretty good week for running backs

527
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 2: and Henry he just hasn't quite been getting the usage

528
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 2: that we're accustomed to in the past. Seventeen point two

529
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: carries per game is great for most backs, but it's

530
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: his lowest since twenty eighteen. He's also averaging a career

531
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 2: low three point eight yards per carry. Ty J. Spears

532
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,360
Speaker 2: is mixing in on a lot of the passing downs

533
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 2: these days, and you're facing a Baltimore run defense that's

534
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 2: number six in DVOA and number four on running back passes,

535
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 2: you know, so it's it's really it's a tough matchup

536
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 2: for backfields as is. The Titans are dogs, they usually

537
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 2: play well as underdogs, so it's not necessarily game script

538
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,879
Speaker 2: that I'm worried about. But you know, you're getting seventeen

539
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 2: carries and you know you're lucky to get you know, one,

540
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:15,919
Speaker 2: maybe two catches. But it's just not the same, you know,

541
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,600
Speaker 2: like the I don't think the ceiling is you know,

542
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 2: twenty eight thirty carries anymore the way it used to be,

543
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 2: the way spears is kind of rotating in So in

544
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 2: a tough matchup like this with a low total London,

545
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 2: you know, wonky things could happen with body clocks and whatnot.

546
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 2: So true, you know, just a lot of guys I

547
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: like rather play this week than King Henry. So yeah,

548
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 2: got him RB sixteen, still in the top ten in ECR.

549
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 3: Oh really, yeah, I just noticed I have MARVII fifteen.

550
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean I remember going to the season

551
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 3: like he's obviously going to decline soon, and like I

552
00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 3: would always visualize what would that look like when you

553
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,920
Speaker 3: really see signs he's declining. And there was a carry

554
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 3: this week where I think they were on like the

555
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 3: five yard line or something. He got like a pitch

556
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 3: play and he just got caught from behind and just

557
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 3: fell down. Like those are the kind of places I

558
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,840
Speaker 3: visualize Henry how he looked like when he's you know,

559
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 3: really starting to fall off, and like that kind of

560
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 3: play would never happen back in the day. It would

561
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 3: just either outrun him or just it would take a

562
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 3: lot more contact to bring him down. But he just

563
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 3: looks like he's definitely declining. And he's also you know,

564
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 3: seeing his snaps just you know, really get cut into

565
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 3: with Taj spears. So it's like all the things I

566
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:35,360
Speaker 3: was kind of worried about his decline have been happening

567
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 3: this year. So yeah, it's sad to see because he's

568
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 3: one of my favorite fancy backs of all time. But yeah,

569
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 3: he's more of like a mid range RB two right now.

570
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, at least for this week. I mean, you know,

571
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: he looked pretty good against Cincinnati, don't get me wrong.

572
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 2: It's just he'll match up moment. It's a tough one.

573
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 2: It's a really tough one.

574
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 3: Okay, So what.

575
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:56,960
Speaker 2: Do you got for the problem?

576
00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 3: Oh, this is gonna be a fun one because I

577
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:02,760
Speaker 3: don't know the answer to that. Us who will have

578
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 3: more rushing yards this week? Jonathan Taylor or Zach Moss.

579
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 2: Uh are you getting? Am I getting zero point five?

580
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 3: Yeah?

581
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 2: They tie? We wanna we want?

582
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 3: Oh, I'll make Jonathan Taylor the favorite. MIAMU is a

583
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 3: half yard for Jonathan Taylor. So if they tie mossns,

584
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 3: I'll go Moss.

585
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,320
Speaker 2: You know. I mean there was a pretty big discrepancy

586
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 2: last week in the in the carriage, and I know

587
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: it was Taylor's first game, but you know, Moscols outplayed

588
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 2: him and they did say they're gonna kind of ramp

589
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 2: Taylor up over the next month. I don't know exactly

590
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 2: what that looks like, but it's it's kind of hilarious

591
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 2: to me because you know the Colts, they they were like, like,

592
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 2: ers has just been. He makes that organization. He he

593
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 2: just pulls it. He just drags it down sometimes. But

594
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 2: I feel like stike, it has been is better than expected,

595
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 2: Like things are kind of on track, and like not

596
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 2: paying a running back big money, is that actually a

597
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: smart moved?

598
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 3: Yeah?

599
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 2: Right, so so and then out of nowhere they just

600
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 2: pay the guy and then like of course you get

601
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 2: just like smacked in the face by the guy you

602
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 2: traded what like a late round pick or was it

603
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: Nim High. Did they even trade a pick? Was it

604
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: just Naime High? Yeah? Like yeah, it's like this cheap

605
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: guy was completely that plays Terror to the point I

606
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 2: forgot Terror was active by the by like the third quarter,

607
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 2: because it was just Moss all day. Like, so, I

608
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 2: don't know how you, I don't know how you give

609
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 2: him fewer carries than Taylor at this point, Like I

610
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 2: think you. I think after that game last week, I

611
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 2: got was a great Titan Rundy. I know, Jeffrey Simmons

612
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 2: got banged up, but still great Titan Rundy. So I

613
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 2: think Moss is the favorite for carries for at least

614
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 2: one more weekend. Thus got to make him the favorite

615
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 2: for three.

616
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 3: Eyes as well.

617
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'll go to Zach Moss.

618
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:56,840
Speaker 3: Was crazy, but yeah, they actually end up paying Taylor

619
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 3: and then Zach Moss looks like prime Derrick Henry with

620
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 3: fall just right. Not good for the running back market.

621
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 3: Those kind of things happening. But yeah, how many leagues

622
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 3: was Zach Moss on the bench like every league everything?

623
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I thought it was gonna be like,

624
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 2: you know, like a sixty forty. I think I had

625
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 2: Tara like twelve carries most like eight or something, you

626
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,120
Speaker 2: know what I mean, Like I didn't think it was

627
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 2: gonna be just small rushing completely away with it, but like, yeah,

628
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 2: I literally forgot that Tara was acting and back by

629
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: the like we just didn't see them after a certain

630
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 2: point in that game. So that's that's like, it's funny that,

631
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 2: you know, like they're like, oh, yeah, he's a great back,

632
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 2: that's why we paid. It's like, no, you were right

633
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 2: the first time.

634
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 3: Bro. Yeah, that was fancy football at its finest. Come on,

635
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 3: we gotta love that.

636
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:48,840
Speaker 2: I mean, I was that his finest. So that's I

637
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: forget the fantasy implication. It's just hilarious to me that

638
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 2: like Taylor was quoted as saying, this is a great

639
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: deal for running backs, and then immediately his backup, his

640
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 2: cheap backup, just like a healthy scratch on like his

641
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 2: last team just completely run circles around like he like

642
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 2: circles and and honestly, most has been great all year.

643
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, and last year he was he's making one

644
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 2: million dollars this year, one million dollars making next week. Yeah,

645
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 2: good job, good job, guys, Gime Colts. Okay, wide receiver,

646
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 2: he got top five.

647
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 3: Well, I mean we're missing the goat himself, Justin Jeff

648
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 3: went So the number one slot is wide open, uh,

649
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:37,600
Speaker 3: and I'm giving it to Tyreek Kill uh. And then

650
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase is right there. Then I got Sefan Diggs,

651
00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 3: who instead of being my wide receiver five every week,

652
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 3: he's now my wide receiver three. And then Cooper Cup

653
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 3: back in the top five at wire receiver four. And

654
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 3: then Davante Adams at wide receiver five.

655
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 2: I got Hill, Chase, Diggs, Cup, and Keenan Allen is

656
00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 2: my five over Davante Davanta a very slow revenge game. Yeah,

657
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 2: now he's going up against Belichick, So you know, I'm

658
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:10,880
Speaker 2: worried about at worried about Davonte. Now looks like Jacobe Myers.

659
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 2: Kobe Myers revenge game this week too, revenge game.

660
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 3: Well it's Gardner Minsheer Revenge game Week two.

661
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we got some good. We've been having a

662
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:22,359
Speaker 2: lot of revenge games this year.

663
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, Cooks revenge game. Oh nope, every team like yeah,

664
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 3: I know he's saying it's a rare week where it's

665
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 3: not a Brandon Cooks. Okay, yeah, uh uh, Well, you know,

666
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:43,960
Speaker 3: unfortunately we're without Justin Jefferson for at least a handful

667
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 3: of games. It looks like that looks like the fear.

668
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 3: But we will get to see. You know, my favorite

669
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 3: rookie wide receiver step up this week in Jordan Addison.

670
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 3: And you know, he's really been We've talked about it

671
00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 3: like he's been a fringe wide receiver flex option all

672
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:06,400
Speaker 3: season just because he's he's still behind kg Osbourne in

673
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,920
Speaker 3: two wide receiver sets anyway, and he's been banking on touchdowns.

674
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 3: He's been scoring touchdowns. He has three on the season,

675
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 3: but we haven't really been able to confidently rank him

676
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 3: or play him as a wide receiver three. But you know,

677
00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 3: Jefferson out this week a great matchup against the Bears.

678
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 3: He's gonna see you know, his routes round rate go

679
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 3: up ten to fifteen percent this week, replacing basically justin Jefferson.

680
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 3: But he's also going to see a big increase in

681
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 3: target share. And well, you know we were talking about

682
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins. Overall passing yards will go down this week,

683
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 3: it's still just going to be a massive boose to

684
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 3: Jordan Addison. So he's like smack dab in the wide

685
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 3: receiver two range. He's my wide receiver seventeen this week.

686
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 3: So this is the time we've been waiting for for

687
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,839
Speaker 3: Addison again, I haven't really had a week where I've

688
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,960
Speaker 3: been able to say you should fire him up, But

689
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 3: this is the week finally where you should absolutely fire

690
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:02,759
Speaker 3: him up as a solid wide receiver two options at

691
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:04,839
Speaker 3: least until Justin Jefferson comes back.

692
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got Addison and Adam Thieven back to back.

693
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:13,240
Speaker 2: How's that for I wow, wow, Yeah, I like Addison

694
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 2: this week as well. I'll have something for you with

695
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 2: with the prop on him as well. I'm high on

696
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 2: Christian Kirk this week, and that's surprising because I feel

697
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 2: like he just keeps producing. I feel like people would

698
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:29,239
Speaker 2: move him up, but he's still twenty wide receiver twenty

699
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,920
Speaker 2: one in ECR. Going against Indianapolis, who plays the most

700
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 2: zone in the league, Kirk weeds the Jags and targets

701
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:40,319
Speaker 2: yards yards per route versus zone coverage. This year, he's

702
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 2: averaging two point two yards per route versus zone, one

703
00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 2: point six versus man, so he's been better against zone coverage,

704
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 2: which makes sense as a guy who you know is

705
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:50,879
Speaker 2: gonna wind up in the slot a ton and do work,

706
00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 2: you know, on the inside a little more. So I

707
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,440
Speaker 2: think Kirk is gonna keep on eating on Jay Jones

708
00:36:56,640 --> 00:37:00,959
Speaker 2: just can't that that that needs just bugging him. Left

709
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:04,319
Speaker 2: the game again, so we'll see his status. But either way,

710
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 2: I think Kirk's going to continue to be on the

711
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,600
Speaker 2: field for ninety plus percent of the snaps. I don't

712
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 2: even you know, even if Jay Jones ends up playing,

713
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:14,880
Speaker 2: it's at this point Kirks has been too good, you know,

714
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 2: so I think he's back in that you know, ninety

715
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 2: plus range. I think that week one was just an outlier.

716
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 2: They were trying trying something tow or maybe you know,

717
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:24,920
Speaker 2: sometimes guys when there's snap rates go down, you know,

718
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 2: it's like sometimes they just like leave a game with

719
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 2: like an injury and like you don't actually you know,

720
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,400
Speaker 2: like no it's not reported on or anything like that.

721
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 2: But like that's what it's more and more looking like

722
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 2: an outlier because every other week, you know, Kirk's been

723
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,359
Speaker 2: high eighties or you know, into the nineties in terms

724
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 2: of his his snap rates. So yeah, I have him

725
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 2: as a top fifteen wide receiver this week. Love the

726
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,759
Speaker 2: matchup against Indianapolis. You know, the Jaguars don't lose to

727
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 2: the coach in Jacksonville. They just don't do it so right,

728
00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:58,040
Speaker 2: somebody's gonna score touchdowns year, And yeah, I think Kirk

729
00:37:58,120 --> 00:37:59,879
Speaker 2: is a good bad Yeah.

730
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, Jay Jones is day to day. But did he

731
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 3: did he reinjure the same knee, like I haven't seen

732
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 3: If that's.

733
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:07,840
Speaker 2: What I saw, I think it was in knee. I

734
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:09,399
Speaker 2: don't know. That's a good question if I don't know, if.

735
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 3: Same, but if it is, like it's hard to see

736
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:13,720
Speaker 3: him suit up, so right now, I have him out.

737
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 3: But I think you're alluding to that even if he

738
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: comes back, I don't think he's going to return that

739
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 3: role where he's pushing Kirk off the field in two

740
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:26,360
Speaker 3: wide receiver sets. Like at this point, yeah, Kirk will

741
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 3: probably play in two wide receiver sets going forward. And

742
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 3: that was my concern when Zay Jones would come back.

743
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 3: But at this point, yeah, Kirk's playing too well. And

744
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 3: that we saw that kind of already happen in the preseason.

745
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 3: That's why I was kind of worried about Kirk heading

746
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,319
Speaker 3: into the season. In Week one, Kirk wasn't playing in

747
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 3: two wide receiver sets, and then Zay Jones gets hurt

748
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 3: and he is but at this point Kirk has got

749
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,120
Speaker 3: to stay on the field. Seah, I agree. I think

750
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:53,240
Speaker 3: going forward, Kirk's going to be a ninety percent plus

751
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:55,919
Speaker 3: retrun guy going forward. And he's playing well, so yeah,

752
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:58,760
Speaker 3: he's he's back inside my top twenty going forward.

753
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's he's out playing Colvin Ridley, which is yeah, yeah,

754
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 2: so interesting.

755
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 3: Oh shit, but really did have a good game.

756
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, but he talked about it. Let's talk about that

757
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 2: on the pod from the on the night ship pod. Actually, yeah, but.

758
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 3: Kirk's been consistently good every week, whereas Ridley's been kind

759
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 3: of scattered.

760
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's been it's been touch and go at

761
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 2: Ridley a little bit. Actually, I've dot both of them

762
00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:25,239
Speaker 2: inside my top twenty. Really's wide receiver nineteen, so it's

763
00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:28,799
Speaker 2: not he's not like too far down. But I do

764
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:32,399
Speaker 2: think the matchup is better for uh, for Kirk. Here,

765
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 2: who are you low on?

766
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 3: I'm low on DeVonta Smith East has some wide receiver thirteen. Again,

767
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 3: I don't know if that's just people recycling last week's ranks,

768
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,319
Speaker 3: but I have him down to wide receiver twenty five

769
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 3: just because this is a tougher matchup obviously against the Jets.

770
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 3: But you know, he's really seen his target share take

771
00:39:57,080 --> 00:40:00,480
Speaker 3: a hit. Just the last four games, he's been seeing

772
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:02,759
Speaker 3: a target on fifteen percent of his routes. You know,

773
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 3: part of that's just aj Brown seeing a massive target

774
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 3: share and Dallas Godder finally, you know, getting more involved

775
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,760
Speaker 3: in the offense. But we've also started to see DeAndre

776
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 3: Swift get more involved in terms of the passing game.

777
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 3: Last game he had six targets, So that's something that's

778
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 3: going to eat into all these guys' target share. But

779
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,399
Speaker 3: it looks like DeVonta Smith is really taking a hit now.

780
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 3: Granted he's really talented. He'll catch an eighty yard touchdown

781
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 3: start the game and all have egg on my face,

782
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 3: but at least to start the week. We have to

783
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 3: ding his projection at some point. So again, he's more

784
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,759
Speaker 3: of like a really high end wide receiver three for

785
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 3: me than just like the fringe wide receiver one. I

786
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:45,520
Speaker 3: typically have him just because something's got to give here,

787
00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: Like we really need to see a big game from him,

788
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 3: we need to see the target share go up. So

789
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 3: as of now, with the tough matchup, I'm moving him

790
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:54,359
Speaker 3: down just a bit.

791
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:58,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a squeaky wheel. But you know if like I, so,

792
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 2: I actually adjusted up for squeaky Wheel and he's my

793
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 2: wide receiver twenty five. But before before adjusting him up,

794
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,960
Speaker 2: he was like my wide receiver like thirty eight or

795
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 2: something like he was he was he was fringe drive

796
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 2: receiver three. You know, because like targets, per route is

797
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 2: a very like stable metric. Like you know, now we're

798
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,120
Speaker 2: we have most guys have like over one hundred routes

799
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 2: on this you know, most starters have over one hundred

800
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: routes run this season, so you're starting to really you know,

801
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 2: you're using most of you know, the the number and

802
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,040
Speaker 2: not as much regression or priors or anything like that anymore,

803
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,960
Speaker 2: so that it is a concern. But we've seen this,

804
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:39,280
Speaker 2: you know with the Eagles. You know, when anytime somebody

805
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 2: is a squeaky Wheel, they probably are gonna get get

806
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 2: get fed. So I wouldn't be surprised. So that's why

807
00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 2: I did. I did bump a back up. But even

808
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 2: with that, you know, it's still I'm only projecting her

809
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:51,799
Speaker 2: for like two hundred and forty passing yard. It's not

810
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:55,919
Speaker 2: like a you know, smash spot or anything. So yeah,

811
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 2: I think I think Smith is like you said, he's

812
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,839
Speaker 2: kind of on we see mode like you, you're still

813
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:03,799
Speaker 2: starting him as like a low end wire receiver too.

814
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 2: But I'm sure there are some people that have like

815
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 2: deep squads at wide receiver that might be able to

816
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 2: bench him. But he's my receiver twenty five.

817
00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, he's due, like you're alluding to. I think

818
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 3: his target rate on the season is like seventeen percent,

819
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:25,920
Speaker 3: so I'm not using that like I think that's probably

820
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 3: his floor. I think to going into the season, I

821
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 3: had his projected target rate like twenty three percent of

822
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 3: his routes run, So I'm using like twenty and a half.

823
00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 3: Now if we want to go like under the hood,

824
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,120
Speaker 3: like how much how much we're kind of factoring in

825
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:43,360
Speaker 3: the end season data. I think he's obviously going to rebound,

826
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,279
Speaker 3: so I have his his projected target rate like this

827
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,279
Speaker 3: week and going forward closer to like twenty and a

828
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 3: half percent.

829
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be interesting to see Smith, and I'll have

830
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:56,239
Speaker 2: him in the prop coming up as well. So the

831
00:42:56,600 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 2: guy I'm well on first though, is Terry McLaurin, and

832
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 2: he is the wide receiver twenty three in ECR. I

833
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:09,360
Speaker 2: have him round wide receiver forty. You know, Atlanta is

834
00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 2: not hasn't been great in past defense, but they are

835
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 2: number five in DVOA against number one receivers. They do

836
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 2: have aj Terrell and McLaren has a topped an eighty

837
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:24,960
Speaker 2: five percent route participation rate this year. Most years, most games,

838
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 2: he's upwards of ninety ninety five percent, So you know,

839
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:32,360
Speaker 2: under Eric b Enemy he's kind of checking out of

840
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:35,080
Speaker 2: the game a little bit more. And he's also averaging

841
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,319
Speaker 2: a career low in targets per game at six point

842
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:43,279
Speaker 2: two and targets per route run at sixteen percent. So

843
00:43:44,080 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 2: he's kind of been you know, just like a almost

844
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 2: like an even split with John Dotson and Curtis Samuel.

845
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 2: None of these guys are really standing out on a

846
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:59,239
Speaker 2: week's week basis, So you know, I don't I don't

847
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 2: think McLaurin should be ranked quite this high, you know,

848
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 2: in this wide receiver two rage. I think he's more

849
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:07,240
Speaker 2: of like a fringe start this week, especially because Atlanta,

850
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 2: you know, they could be they could end up going

851
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 2: run heavy. I know they threw the ball around last week,

852
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:12,719
Speaker 2: but they could end up going run heavy and went

853
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,400
Speaker 2: with the play volume. There's a lot of different ways

854
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 2: that this could go wrong and it's not a great matchup.

855
00:44:18,719 --> 00:44:20,359
Speaker 2: So Terry McLaurin for me.

856
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:24,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have him wide receiver thirty eight, so way

857
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:28,200
Speaker 3: low as well. I had lost two weeks in a row.

858
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,920
Speaker 3: I was attacking his unders and as props and he

859
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:33,880
Speaker 3: was clearing them. So I gave up last week and

860
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 3: he finished under both. I think, I guess I'm just

861
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 3: waiting for John Dotson to finally break out. It hasn't

862
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 3: happened yet, but I mean when he does, it's going

863
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:43,880
Speaker 3: to come at the expensive. McLaurin.

864
00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just it's just a different offense and it's

865
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 2: not it's not been necessarily bad, you know. I mean,

866
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 2: Howe's making some mistakes, but it's just a little more

867
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,800
Speaker 2: spread around, and you know, Logan Thomas is more involved

868
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,799
Speaker 2: as well. So just kind of more of an even

869
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 2: with the target chair this year for Washington. But the

870
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:10,759
Speaker 2: prop's we got another let's go another versus here. So

871
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,880
Speaker 2: you know, you're high in Addison, you're low and DeVante Smith,

872
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,720
Speaker 2: and you know, I think in terms of the expert

873
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 2: consensus there, you know, people are higher on Smith, but

874
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 2: you know, you and I both kind of have Smith

875
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:27,919
Speaker 2: as a fringe wide receiver too, maybe wide receiver three

876
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 2: this week, especially in you know, ten team ers things

877
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:36,360
Speaker 2: like that. So I'm gonna go receiving yards Addison versus Smith,

878
00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 2: and I'll make Addison the favorite. So Addison minus a

879
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 2: half yard, Oh man.

880
00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have them. So I prayed by two. I

881
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 3: have Addison with two more yards. But I'll put my

882
00:45:49,080 --> 00:45:50,960
Speaker 3: money where my mouth is. I think you should start

883
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:54,080
Speaker 3: Addison over Smith. So I'll take Addison here. But that's

884
00:45:54,080 --> 00:45:56,960
Speaker 3: obviously a close problem. I think he probably has the

885
00:45:57,040 --> 00:46:02,000
Speaker 3: higher floor between the two just because there's not as

886
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:07,000
Speaker 3: many weapons in that offense, whereas Davanta as Steel at

887
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:11,520
Speaker 3: AJ Brown, Dallas Godder and now Swift. So I think, uh, yeah,

888
00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Addison here. If they're every week

889
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:15,960
Speaker 3: to finally go all in on Addison's this one.

890
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, It's it's tricky because you know, it's like I said,

891
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 2: you do have the risk of that squeaky wheel for phill.

892
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 3: Freaking amazing wide receiver.

893
00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:28,880
Speaker 2: Right yeah, and then but and then we you know Addison,

894
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 2: it's like, oh man, like he's he could be the

895
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:33,160
Speaker 2: wide receiver one this week. So yeah, it's a it's

896
00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 2: an interesting one, but yeah, I haven't pretty pretty similarly

897
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:41,479
Speaker 2: projected as well in terms of the yardage, so it's

898
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 2: interesting to see where you went with that. More memories

899
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 2: are made when you're there for live NFL action and

900
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:51,799
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Speaker 2: game day a breeze, and you can even customize your

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Speaker 2: Ticketmaster app to wrap your favorite teams, colors, fine tickets

910
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:28,120
Speaker 2: today at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL. All right, Sean,

911
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,320
Speaker 2: let's closed up with tight end who you got in

912
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:30,879
Speaker 2: the top five?

913
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:36,560
Speaker 3: So I got Travis Kelce, TJ Hockinson, Mark Andrews, Evan Ingram,

914
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 3: and Darren Waller.

915
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:43,400
Speaker 2: I got Kelsey, Hockinson, Andrews Kittle and Laporta.

916
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 3: Although if there were a week we're TJ. Hawkinson might

917
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:51,240
Speaker 3: leap frog Travis Kelcey, it would be this week.

918
00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's having kind of a rough go at. It

919
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:58,879
Speaker 2: is not the greatest, not the greatest season for him.

920
00:47:59,040 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 2: Just some drop and just some some uneven play from him.

921
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 2: But yeah, could be a could be a smash spot.

922
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 2: But like you said, you don't know what the Vikings

923
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,240
Speaker 2: are gonna do. They're gonna run more? Are they gonna

924
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 2: just throw to Hockinson? Is it gonna be Addison? I

925
00:48:11,560 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 2: know kJ Oswood's taking over the Jefferson Road. It's it's

926
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,160
Speaker 2: it's it's gonna be interesting. You got cam Akers now

927
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:19,319
Speaker 2: as well, so you could go run heavier and just

928
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 2: kind of lean on the two backs. So a lot

929
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 2: of question marks with this Viking offense. But yeah, I

930
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 2: think hockens, so what's up?

931
00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 3: The Chiefs might not need Travis Kelsey to get you know,

932
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:33,879
Speaker 3: seven eight catches this week to win, and he's dealing

933
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:37,239
Speaker 3: with the ankle injury, So could be a week where

934
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 3: you know, Kelsey is more of a decoy. All I'm

935
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:42,760
Speaker 3: saying this is the closest it's ever been between Kelsey

936
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 3: and anybody else in quite some time. For me.

937
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelsey, you know, Kelsey's not playing a full compliment

938
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:49,279
Speaker 2: of snaps these days. I mean some some of it

939
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 2: just blowouts, and he was coming back off the injury.

940
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 2: He did practice on Tuesday, but yeah, it's it's a

941
00:48:57,760 --> 00:48:59,880
Speaker 2: it's a game where he could play, you know, especially

942
00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 2: the short rest, he might not play full full compliment

943
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,400
Speaker 2: of snaps. Again, who are you high on?

944
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:09,200
Speaker 3: I'm high on cole Comet, Who's finally in my top ten.

945
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 3: I guess I'm late to the game. He has been

946
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:15,480
Speaker 3: playing lights out this year. Only future Hall of Famer

947
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 3: Sam Laporta has more fancy points than cole Comet after

948
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 3: five weeks. So, you know, cole Comet's the tight end

949
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:25,680
Speaker 3: two right now, and it's mainly due to just he's

950
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 3: just seeing a healthy target rate. You know, he has

951
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:31,880
Speaker 3: three games of the target rate of twenty percent or greater.

952
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 3: And you know, while the Bears don't really throw much,

953
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 3: there isn't that much volum to go around. It really

954
00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:39,959
Speaker 3: is just going through DJ Moore and cole Comet right now,

955
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:43,560
Speaker 3: like they are the passing game. So he just has

956
00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 3: a nice, you know, four ceiling combo for a tight end.

957
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:51,000
Speaker 3: And yeah, like usually I'm pretty low on him, but

958
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 3: right now, just all the underlying data are going Comet's way,

959
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 3: and plus you know, Justin Fields and the passing offense

960
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:01,880
Speaker 3: has been playing better that you know, Finally I have

961
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 3: Cole Comet. He's inside my top ten at least to

962
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 3: begin the week.

963
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 2: Justin Fields is the league leader in touchdown rate through

964
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 2: five Oh really, who saw that coming?

965
00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:13,319
Speaker 3: Not me?

966
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and a few of those have been to Comet. Yeah,

967
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:19,800
Speaker 2: he's got eleven touchdowns on one hundred and fifty two attempts.

968
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: And yeah, wow, Comets got what three four five of

969
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:28,719
Speaker 2: those let's see. Yeah, yeah, he has three and all

970
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:29,600
Speaker 2: in the last two games.

971
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:35,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, yep. For the longest time he was fighting touchdown regression, right,

972
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 3: But it was like the first year or two he

973
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 3: was playing with Jimmy Graham and only had a couple

974
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:43,839
Speaker 3: of touchdowns despite like one hundred catches or something. But yeah,

975
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 3: the past couple of seasons he's been much more prominent

976
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:47,880
Speaker 3: in the red zone.

977
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:50,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, first two years in the league he had eighty

978
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:53,799
Speaker 2: eight catches and two touchdowns and he had seven last year.

979
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:56,360
Speaker 2: Now he's got three this year, so yeah, it's starting

980
00:50:56,360 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 2: to come come back around. I'm high on zach Ertz.

981
00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:06,000
Speaker 2: He is my tight end nine this week, not too

982
00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:08,680
Speaker 2: much different. I think Eastier has him ten, so not

983
00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:11,560
Speaker 2: too much. I'm pretty much in line with most of

984
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,000
Speaker 2: the e CR but do like Ertz. The Rams are

985
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 2: thirtieth and dvoa against tight end. They're above average against

986
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 2: all three wide receiver positions, believe it or not. So

987
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:24,479
Speaker 2: this has been a defense that you know, you kind

988
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 2: of can can slice and dice up over the middle

989
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 2: of the field. And you know, we saw we've seen

990
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 2: the Colts do that. We've we've seen a number of

991
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 2: teams go to the tight end against the Rams. They're

992
00:51:34,080 --> 00:51:36,000
Speaker 2: giving up the third most yards per game to the

993
00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 2: position at sixty six, the third tied for the third

994
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:41,640
Speaker 2: most touchdowns per game at point six or three and

995
00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 2: five games. And Ertz running around on eighty two percent

996
00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:48,960
Speaker 2: of Josh Dobbs drop backs. And he has six catches

997
00:51:48,960 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 2: in three of the five games. So you know, he's

998
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:55,600
Speaker 2: been he's been doing his thing. And you know, Trey

999
00:51:55,680 --> 00:51:58,920
Speaker 2: McBride's kind of been like somewhat of an afterthought here

1000
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 2: as a number two tight end. ERT's still rolling, so

1001
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:06,600
Speaker 2: like him. A great matchup for him this week. All right,

1002
00:52:06,640 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 2: who are you longing?

1003
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 3: I'm low on Dalton and Cade against the Giants. Now,

1004
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:15,359
Speaker 3: both Dawson Knox and kin Cad are questionable this week,

1005
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 3: so I mean this is gonna be e vil situation.

1006
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:20,920
Speaker 3: So this is just more about his long term value

1007
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:25,480
Speaker 3: that I'm very concerned about. Just you know, he's pretty

1008
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 3: much capped at a routes run rate around sixty five

1009
00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:32,000
Speaker 3: percent as long as Knox is healthy, and he's only

1010
00:52:32,040 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 3: seeing a target on thirteen and a half percent of

1011
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,920
Speaker 3: his routes, and you know they're not very fruitful targets.

1012
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 3: He has a very low a dot of four point

1013
00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:46,360
Speaker 3: two no touchdowns on the season, So at this point,

1014
00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 3: he really does need Dawson Knox to miss time to

1015
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:52,959
Speaker 3: even sniff tight end one value. So he's a guy

1016
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:54,840
Speaker 3: that you know, going in the season, you know, we

1017
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 3: liked his upside. He definitely had tight end one upside.

1018
00:52:58,040 --> 00:52:59,440
Speaker 3: It looked like the Bills were gonna use him a

1019
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 3: lot more. Just based on the first five weeks. Uh,

1020
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 3: it has not been promising, clearly, Samuel Port. It was

1021
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 3: the rookie tight endo target. So yeah, he's outside of

1022
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:12,439
Speaker 3: my top twenty right now, and I just don't see

1023
00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:16,600
Speaker 3: that changing anytime soon unless something drastic happens or if

1024
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 3: Dawson Knox misses time. So I don't know if you're

1025
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 3: if you're still hanging on him out there, but there's

1026
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:24,359
Speaker 3: probably better options at least in the short term and

1027
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 3: potentially long term. So kin kaid, I've just not been

1028
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 3: impressed with the first five weeks in terms of his

1029
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:32,319
Speaker 3: underlying usage. Uh So he's a guy I'm low on

1030
00:53:32,360 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 3: this week and going forward.

1031
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:36,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I don't mind. You know, sixty five

1032
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:39,359
Speaker 2: percent routes. I think that's solid, you know, for a rookie,

1033
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:42,760
Speaker 2: that's solid. But yeah, you know, the target rate hasn't

1034
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 2: been great and they don't have a buy into week thirteen.

1035
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:46,840
Speaker 2: A lot of times you see guys yeah kind of

1036
00:53:46,880 --> 00:53:49,520
Speaker 2: get work more into the offense, you know, coming off

1037
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:51,439
Speaker 2: to buy now, they do have a long rest after

1038
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 2: week eight, they have they play Thursday in week eight

1039
00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 2: and then Sunday night in week nine, so you know,

1040
00:53:58,680 --> 00:54:00,799
Speaker 2: maybe then they they kind of get him a little

1041
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:02,440
Speaker 2: bit more involved. But he's in the protocol an now,

1042
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:04,520
Speaker 2: so you know, like I said, usually guys that go

1043
00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:08,560
Speaker 2: into protocol just don't play the next week. So yeah,

1044
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:11,800
Speaker 2: it could be the Quenton Morris Show this week, not

1045
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:15,400
Speaker 2: any two touchdown favorites against the Giants, so definitely not

1046
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 2: going to push it. Uh And you have a divisional

1047
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:21,520
Speaker 2: game next week against the in Foxborough, which is a

1048
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 2: little bit more important, even though the Patriots haven't been

1049
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:26,919
Speaker 2: great either, So UH still I think you rest him

1050
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:29,400
Speaker 2: if you know you're not going to push in the

1051
00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:34,400
Speaker 2: play against a you know, intra inter interconference opponent who's

1052
00:54:34,800 --> 00:54:40,880
Speaker 2: favored by two touchdowns against Uh. I'm well on Dalton

1053
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,600
Speaker 2: Schultz this week. I know he had back, He's had

1054
00:54:42,640 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 2: back to back pretty solid weeks, caught a touchdown and

1055
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:49,480
Speaker 2: back to back games. But who's facing the Saints this weekend.

1056
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 2: They've been very good against tight ends. You know, they

1057
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:55,880
Speaker 2: have great safeties, great linebackers and coverage. They're fifty DVOA

1058
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 2: against the position, allowing the third few is targets per

1059
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:01,400
Speaker 2: game just four point six to type ends, the fewest

1060
00:55:01,400 --> 00:55:04,840
Speaker 2: receptions per game two point eight, and the fewest receiving

1061
00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:08,680
Speaker 2: yards per game just under twenty. And that's because New

1062
00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:12,080
Speaker 2: Orleans is playing man coverage at a top five rate

1063
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:16,280
Speaker 2: and Dalton Schultz juster point seven yards per route against

1064
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:19,840
Speaker 2: man one point four against zone, so just half the

1065
00:55:20,360 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 2: productivity when He's running routes against man coverage, so I

1066
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:26,640
Speaker 2: think there's just a tough matchup for him, and he's

1067
00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:30,680
Speaker 2: likely to come back down to earth here in this

1068
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:32,719
Speaker 2: in this matchup, all right, what are you doing for

1069
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 2: the prop?

1070
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:37,959
Speaker 3: All right? Another head to head battle here? Who will

1071
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 3: have more half PPR points this week? Kyle Pitts or

1072
00:55:42,120 --> 00:55:42,920
Speaker 3: John new Smith?

1073
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kyle Pits actually had a solid game, although he did,

1074
00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 2: I know, his routes participation was down to what sixty

1075
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:57,560
Speaker 2: four percent, but he had his best game. I still

1076
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:01,000
Speaker 2: I have him. It's actually close, I have I have.

1077
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:05,760
Speaker 2: Pits is my Titan thirteen and Smith is my Titan fifteen.

1078
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 2: So yeah, Pitts by zero point six half PPR points,

1079
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:13,520
Speaker 2: So I'll go, I'll go Pits here.

1080
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I I would say that John new

1081
00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 3: Smith probably has the higher floor just because Pitts is just,

1082
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:26,280
Speaker 3: you know, a roller coaster, whereas Smith is just consistently saying,

1083
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:30,600
Speaker 3: you know, sixty five routes run rate, he's seeing over

1084
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 3: a twenty percent target rate and four straight games, So

1085
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:36,879
Speaker 3: I just think it's it's weird to think this, but yeah,

1086
00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:39,080
Speaker 3: John Smith probably has the higher floor. So that's why

1087
00:56:39,120 --> 00:56:42,719
Speaker 3: I'm willing to take this at just even money. We're

1088
00:56:42,719 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 3: doing half PPR, so it's less likely for them to tie, right, So.

1089
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:49,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I can see it's not with yardage where yeah.

1090
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:51,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, so just straight up you get Kyle Pitts, I

1091
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:52,800
Speaker 3: get Johnny Smith.

1092
00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:57,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take exactly who thought would be here. I

1093
00:56:57,360 --> 00:57:00,960
Speaker 2: know right here, right, I know a man all right

1094
00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 2: that is gonna do it. For our week's six NFL

1095
00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:06,759
Speaker 2: player projections episode of the Action Network podcast presented by

1096
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,840
Speaker 2: Bett MGM. For more fantasy content from Sean and I,

1097
00:57:09,920 --> 00:57:12,279
Speaker 2: be sure to check out our fantasy preview episode that's

1098
00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:16,520
Speaker 2: out now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast. And if

1099
00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 2: you're into betting, be sure to check out my weekly

1100
00:57:20,160 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 2: betting preview episode with Stucky every Thursday right here on

1101
00:57:24,240 --> 00:57:29,040
Speaker 2: this channel and Actionnetwork dot com for all of our

1102
00:57:29,160 --> 00:57:32,520
Speaker 2: NFL fantasy and betting content, fantasywabs dot Com for our

1103
00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:36,960
Speaker 2: DFS tools and models. You can follow Sewan on Oddsmaker.

1104
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:39,480
Speaker 2: I'm at Chris Raybon and we're at those same handles

1105
00:57:39,520 --> 00:57:42,880
Speaker 2: on a free award winning action at Network app. So

1106
00:57:42,960 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 2: next time, let's get this money. Network reminds you please

1107
00:58:02,120 --> 00:58:05,520
Speaker 2: gamble responsibly if you or someone you care about has

1108
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Speaker 2: a gambling problem. Help is available twenty four to seven

1109
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