WEBVTT - Colin Cowherd Podcast - NFL Week 2 Sharp or Square 0:00:01.480 --> 0:00:02.200 The volume. 0:00:04.480 --> 0:00:06.680 With so many tools and tabs and never enough time, 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:09.640 growing a business can feel pretty overwhelming. Between your email 0:00:09.840 --> 0:00:13.760 marketing system, your payment software, your CRM, your content tools, 0:00:13.760 --> 0:00:16.959 your email tools, keeping track of everything gets out of 0:00:16.960 --> 0:00:19.960 control really fast. You end up spending more time organizing 0:00:20.000 --> 0:00:23.239 documents and data than actually connecting with prospects and customers. 0:00:23.239 --> 0:00:26.320 That's where HubSpot steps in. It's the all in one 0:00:26.440 --> 0:00:32.479 customer platform for growing better. With HubSpot, marketers generate better leads, sales, 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:36.600 builds tighter relationships with customers, and closes more deals, simple 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.360 as that. 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So I 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.520 was overjoyed. I actually thought, I mean, I was wrong 0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:25.120 on the Carolina side, but other than that, I felt 0:01:25.120 --> 0:01:25.920 pretty good about it. 0:01:27.760 --> 0:01:28.479 I could go in. 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:30.640 An order of importance, but I was thinking about this. 0:01:30.720 --> 0:01:32.760 I am above going in order. I just give you 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:35.520 my plays and you dissect them. So let's just start 0:01:35.840 --> 0:01:39.280 with a team that is this close to beating Kansas 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:41.400 City arrowhead and I think the Chiefs are a better 0:01:41.480 --> 0:01:45.760 version of last year's Super Bowl champ Baltimore. I think 0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:48.160 the Raiders are bad, and I don't think they're terribly 0:01:48.200 --> 0:01:55.200 well coached. I mean the fact that the only way 0:01:55.240 --> 0:01:58.000 they'll win this physicality, and the Chargers were more physical. 0:01:58.120 --> 0:02:00.720 They beat them at their only game. I think Baltimore's 0:02:00.760 --> 0:02:04.480 really good. I don't think Lamar will run sixteen times 0:02:04.480 --> 0:02:06.680 on average. I think Kansas City brings that out of him. 0:02:07.000 --> 0:02:10.079 It's a huge number. I hate doing that. I think 0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:12.799 Baltimore's pissed. I'm going to swallow the eight and a 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:14.600 half Sharper square, so. 0:02:14.600 --> 0:02:17.440 It's square, but you're not going to find a ton 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:21.120 of guys who when they're doing this are excited about 0:02:21.280 --> 0:02:24.160 betting the Raiders. You mentioned Carolina, Right, I was on 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:27.160 Carolina last week too. The wise guys will be on 0:02:27.200 --> 0:02:31.000 Carolina again this week at six and a half point underdogs, 0:02:31.200 --> 0:02:32.800 in the same way they're going to be on the Raiders, 0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:35.600 which started at nine and a half, got up to ten, 0:02:35.680 --> 0:02:37.280 and then was bet down to nine and a half, 0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:39.480 than nine, and now eight and a half. So it's 0:02:39.480 --> 0:02:41.640 getting closer to a number that I think at some 0:02:41.720 --> 0:02:44.600 point the wise guys will come back in on Baltimore. 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:47.160 But at this big of a number, they're just betting 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:50.560 the number, and this early in the season, everything tells 0:02:50.600 --> 0:02:55.000 you that you are playing against the over reaction. Right, 0:02:55.080 --> 0:02:57.640 everyone saw the same thing you did. The Ravens come 0:02:57.680 --> 0:03:01.720 within a toenail of tying the chief Yiefs at Arrowhead 0:03:01.800 --> 0:03:04.240 in a massive game against the Chiefs team that looks 0:03:04.280 --> 0:03:06.799 like he can break every rule of betting that exists 0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:10.640 in the universe. Right, the Raiders people were high on 0:03:10.960 --> 0:03:13.440 they got crushed and they didn't look very good doing it. 0:03:13.480 --> 0:03:17.320 And Antonio Peers made terrible, terrible decisions. I read in 0:03:17.360 --> 0:03:21.080 the Athletic that that decision he made on fourth down 0:03:21.280 --> 0:03:23.880 in his own territory. It was the first time a 0:03:23.919 --> 0:03:27.560 coach had been down and in his own territory in 0:03:27.600 --> 0:03:30.840 the fourth quarter and punted in eight years. It's one 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:33.560 of the most cowardly calls that has been made in 0:03:33.600 --> 0:03:35.600 the past eight years. And you could see him on camera. 0:03:35.760 --> 0:03:38.200 There's the videos of him saying, should I be going 0:03:38.240 --> 0:03:41.560 for this right now? So there's a sentiment that people 0:03:41.560 --> 0:03:45.280 are overreacting to the bad coaching, the bad play, and 0:03:45.320 --> 0:03:46.920 the great play by the Ravens. 0:03:47.400 --> 0:03:48.880 So yes, the wise guys are going to be on 0:03:48.880 --> 0:03:49.320 the Raiders. 0:03:50.040 --> 0:03:52.840 So let me take an underdog. Minnesota at home against 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:55.120 the forty nine ers San Francisco in a short week, 0:03:55.200 --> 0:03:58.680 played virtually a perfect football game. Even when you're as 0:03:58.680 --> 0:04:00.560 good as the Niners, that's very hard to do back 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:02.920 to back. Pretty always feels like he's better at home. 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.600 Minnesota will negate some of the pass rush because they're 0:04:06.600 --> 0:04:09.200 great at left tackle. They're also good at running back, 0:04:09.280 --> 0:04:13.040 tight end, wide receiver, and they can bring a little heat. 0:04:13.240 --> 0:04:15.960 I think Minnesota is actually I said this before the season. 0:04:16.000 --> 0:04:18.120 If they finished fourth, they will be the greatest fourth 0:04:18.160 --> 0:04:19.760 place team in the history of the league. They've got 0:04:19.760 --> 0:04:22.159 a lot of good players. They have a brilliant coach, 0:04:22.960 --> 0:04:26.400 really really sharp guy. He reminds me of Kevin Stefanski 0:04:26.400 --> 0:04:28.840 before he started winning Coach of the Year. He's just 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:31.679 he's operating at a different level. This was at six. 0:04:31.720 --> 0:04:33.640 At one point, I think I take the Vikings five 0:04:33.680 --> 0:04:36.120 and a half. Sharper square wise. Guys are taking the 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:38.160 Vikings at five and a half. They took him at six. 0:04:38.279 --> 0:04:39.640 They still like the Vikings. 0:04:39.880 --> 0:04:42.760 I got to tell you I was leaning Niners in 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:46.320 this game, and part of it is Kyle Shanahan is 0:04:46.360 --> 0:04:47.919 so good. You and I have talked about this, like, 0:04:48.560 --> 0:04:52.080 he does not get concerned when he's missing pieces. It 0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:55.560 actually I think inspires him to be more creative. And 0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:59.520 he's also been very good on short weeks on the 0:04:59.600 --> 0:05:02.400 road eight and two during his career, one of the 0:05:02.440 --> 0:05:04.919 four best coaches in the past five years on short 0:05:04.960 --> 0:05:08.960 weeks when he's a favorite on the road. That said, 0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:11.000 I think Kevin O'Connell is starting to get a lot 0:05:11.000 --> 0:05:13.480 more credit as a coach than people wanted to give him. 0:05:13.480 --> 0:05:16.359 You know, two years ago, three years ago, it was 0:05:16.400 --> 0:05:17.800 Brian Dayball and Kevin O'Connell. 0:05:18.000 --> 0:05:20.080 They were neck and neck for Rookie of the Year. Coaching. 0:05:20.360 --> 0:05:23.719 They both had teams that were excellent in one score 0:05:23.800 --> 0:05:27.000 games they played each other in the playoffs. The Giants 0:05:27.080 --> 0:05:29.680 win in Minnesota, Brian day Ball wins Coach of the Year. 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:32.600 He's getting more credited as the best coach right and 0:05:32.680 --> 0:05:35.040 Kevin O'Connell had a similar year. And then last year 0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:38.760 did wonders when Kirk Cousins went down and Brian Dayball's 0:05:38.760 --> 0:05:41.920 team is cratering when their top quarterback goes down. Then 0:05:41.960 --> 0:05:44.120 we see what happens last week. A bad quarterback for 0:05:44.160 --> 0:05:48.240 the Giants, a historically bad quarterback in Sam Darnold, and 0:05:48.320 --> 0:05:50.960 he has a Cinderella like first half ten for ten 0:05:51.040 --> 0:05:53.239 on his first ten passes with a touchdown, a ninety 0:05:53.320 --> 0:05:55.840 nine yard touchdown drive that ends with a fourth down 0:05:55.880 --> 0:05:59.719 pass like touchdownass to Jehman Jefferson, Kevin O'Connell is a 0:05:59.800 --> 0:06:02.080 very good coach, and I think that's another reason why 0:06:02.120 --> 0:06:03.320 the why guys are in their vikings. 0:06:03.720 --> 0:06:07.640 So there's two things that I look at with the 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:13.080 Jets in this heightens when you play a standalone game, 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:18.880 and the feeling is you're humiliated physically, like the Jets 0:06:19.000 --> 0:06:21.960 were pushed around the field eight straight scoring drives by 0:06:21.960 --> 0:06:25.080 San Francisco. That is so embarrassing for Robert Sama. That 0:06:25.200 --> 0:06:29.360 was an embarrassing physical performance. Now they go to potentially 0:06:29.360 --> 0:06:32.000 one of the worst offenses in the league. For a quarterback, 0:06:32.000 --> 0:06:34.320 I don't think him play. I don't think Will Levis 0:06:34.320 --> 0:06:36.240 can play. I don't think he's fluid enough. I think 0:06:36.279 --> 0:06:38.800 his judgment's bad. This is what I saw on the SEC. 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:44.200 That's the first part. The second part is San Francisco 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:47.000 makes everybody. So does Andy Reid and McVeigh. They make 0:06:47.040 --> 0:06:48.640 a lot of people look bad. In the Week one, 0:06:48.839 --> 0:06:50.839 I think the Jets are actually a pretty good football team. 0:06:51.640 --> 0:06:54.119 When this number got up to four, Now I sound 0:06:54.160 --> 0:06:56.560 like such a square on this, but four is an 0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:59.920 interesting number. Here's how I view four. I like favorites 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:02.520 four because the market doesn't want to create force. They'd 0:07:02.600 --> 0:07:04.560 rather you be three to three and a half. When 0:07:04.560 --> 0:07:06.839 the market has to go to four, their signaling okay, 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:10.440 it is just a better team. This started for the 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:13.560 Jets for a better team. They're pissed. I don't think 0:07:13.560 --> 0:07:17.040 Will Levis can play. Home Field's never met anything in Nashville. 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:19.520 I know it's square. I take the Jets minus three 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:19.960 and a half. 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:24.120 Well, otherwise guys like the Titans and they're kind of 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:26.320 holding their nose here. There's a couple things in play, 0:07:26.320 --> 0:07:30.320 and that number four is really important, and I'm glad 0:07:30.960 --> 0:07:33.000 you bring it up, and we'll do that in the 0:07:33.040 --> 0:07:38.440 last part of my soliloquy here. The Jets had were 0:07:38.560 --> 0:07:43.000 physically dominated totally. Not just that their defense, which is 0:07:43.040 --> 0:07:45.840 supposed to be their strength, as you noted, eh straight 0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:51.760 scoring drives. Their defensive line was destroyed by Shanahan's blocking 0:07:51.800 --> 0:07:54.360 scheme and their run scheme, and they could not get 0:07:54.360 --> 0:07:58.720 to Purty, who's just incredibly nifty in the pocket. Bill 0:07:58.800 --> 0:08:02.400 Callahan showed last week that he can do something really 0:08:02.400 --> 0:08:06.440 interesting with this Titans offensive line from a running perspective. 0:08:06.520 --> 0:08:10.720 You know, Bill Callahan, who is Brian Callahan's father, legendary 0:08:10.760 --> 0:08:13.440 offensive line coach, left the Browns this past season to 0:08:13.480 --> 0:08:16.880 go work with his son revamp the Titans offensive line. 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:22.000 The Titans defense did not give up a touchdown to 0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:24.600 the Bears, right like the Bears were scoring on special 0:08:24.600 --> 0:08:26.840 teams and they were scoring on defense because Will Levis, 0:08:26.880 --> 0:08:30.440 as you said, is a terrible quarterback. The wise guys 0:08:30.480 --> 0:08:35.040 are betting the number here. The four is key teams 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:38.040 that open at four or higher at home in weeks 0:08:38.040 --> 0:08:41.320 one and two sixty percent against the spread the last 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:44.240 twenty years, teams that open at four or higher at 0:08:44.280 --> 0:08:48.760 home after losing their last game against the spread, which 0:08:48.800 --> 0:08:52.000 the text with the Titans did sixty four percent since 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:56.600 twenty twenty one. More stat that is very interesting. The 0:08:56.679 --> 0:09:00.880 Jets were dominated on Monday night, and now of a 0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:03.240 defense that was on the field for a ton of 0:09:03.240 --> 0:09:07.320 plays going back short week to be against another really 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:09.600 physical team. That's what the Titans want to be. Teams 0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:13.520 with fewer than twenty five minutes of possession in Week 0:09:13.600 --> 0:09:17.000 one six and twenty five against the spread in Week two, 0:09:17.040 --> 0:09:21.160 that's nineteen percent the jtal So look, I'm with you, 0:09:22.200 --> 0:09:24.320 like this isn't going to be one of my five 0:09:24.480 --> 0:09:27.760 best plays because I don't trust Will Levis and it's 0:09:27.800 --> 0:09:31.600 and it's it's becoming clear in this league there is 0:09:31.679 --> 0:09:36.040 such a delta between competent quarterbacking and really good quarterbacking 0:09:36.080 --> 0:09:38.680 and not it's becoming too much of a hindrance for 0:09:38.760 --> 0:09:42.800 teams where despite all these numbers that go back, you're 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:45.839 gonna have to play the quarterback in some situations. And 0:09:46.000 --> 0:09:48.720 this to me is a scary spot. The Wise guys 0:09:48.720 --> 0:09:52.040 aren't scared. They bet the Titans. I'm a little scared. 0:09:52.559 --> 0:09:54.480 I want to take Denver plus two and a half 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:57.920 against the Steelers, and here's what, Thank god, I thought 0:09:57.960 --> 0:10:00.400 it was a really tough spot for both Nicks in 0:10:00.440 --> 0:10:05.000 the opener loud stadium. You don't really know the defense. 0:10:05.040 --> 0:10:08.559 You have to go watch Baltimore. Mike McDonald also, Seattle's 0:10:08.559 --> 0:10:12.920 got elite corners, and you're a rookie. They asked him 0:10:12.920 --> 0:10:15.800 to throw forty two times. He had one terrible pick. 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:19.720 He's more mobile and anybody thinks. And I had another 0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:24.800 another ex player who I respect, tell me this week 0:10:25.360 --> 0:10:27.959 he's going to be the best rookie quarterback. He may 0:10:28.000 --> 0:10:30.120 not be the best year two three, four, he's going 0:10:30.160 --> 0:10:31.560 to have the best year. The rest of them have 0:10:31.600 --> 0:10:35.640 defensive coaches. I think Denver wins here. They've always been 0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:37.599 good at home. I think it's a coaching mismatch. I 0:10:37.600 --> 0:10:40.480 think Peyton's a brilliant coach. I like the Steelers as dogs, 0:10:40.520 --> 0:10:43.679 not his favorites. Denver plus the point Sharper square. 0:10:43.880 --> 0:10:46.199 One hundred percent, ding ding ding ding Ding. Wise guys 0:10:46.280 --> 0:10:49.160 love the Broncos. Here's probably going to take a little 0:10:49.160 --> 0:10:52.480 piece of the Broncos on the money line as well. 0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:56.319 Great spot for bow Nicks. I think the Wise guys 0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:59.319 they love Seattle. They're really impressed with Seattle's defense, so 0:10:59.400 --> 0:11:01.160 love Mike mcd ronald and what he can do with 0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:03.720 that team. And I think the Wise guys were also 0:11:03.840 --> 0:11:07.800 really impressed with how much better the Broncos played last 0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:09.840 year this last week as a team versus what they 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:14.120 looked like a year ago. And defensively true, but I 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:15.680 think they were excited about bon Nicks. 0:11:15.800 --> 0:11:18.640 And if you watch the game back and. 0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:21.719 We heard this on the favorites from scouts and from 0:11:21.800 --> 0:11:25.440 professionals who all watch a lot of film, bo Nicks 0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:29.840 recognizes he missed some easy throws and that's because he 0:11:30.280 --> 0:11:32.880 was still getting to know the pace of the game. 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:35.480 They liked the way he was a gamer. They liked 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.640 the way the Broncos stayed in that game. They basically 0:11:37.640 --> 0:11:40.560 made the game a push. They backdoor pushed in that game. 0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:43.440 Seattle was a six point favorite, So there's a lot 0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:45.120 of sentiment that this is the right side. The line 0:11:45.120 --> 0:11:45.760 moved from three to. 0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:46.199 Two and a half. 0:11:46.240 --> 0:11:48.839 And I will say, you excited about Tomlin Tomlin is 0:11:48.880 --> 0:11:51.480 the greatest underdog coach possibly in the history of the 0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:54.040 game the past twenty years for sure. Not just great 0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:57.440 as an underdog, great as an underdog winning outright. He 0:11:57.559 --> 0:12:01.679 is just as bad when he is a favorite forty 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:04.080 one twenty eight and one against spread as a road 0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:08.200 dog in his career thirty two forty and two as 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:11.320 a road favorite, so it's almost completely flipped right. And 0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:14.680 when he opens as a favorite of three or more 0:12:14.720 --> 0:12:17.960 on the road thirty eight percent against the spread, So 0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:20.439 I would say you're on the right side. Also, we've 0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:22.640 talked about this on the show. You know, we do 0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:24.840 this thing called the Luck Rankings at Action that sort 0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:27.280 of takes the noise out of all the games and 0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:30.280 tells you what the expected score would have been based 0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:32.240 on the stats and if you didn't have the flukiness 0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:36.320 and things like that, which there's always regression when there's flukiness. 0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:39.080 Broncos are one of the three games that has the 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:43.800 highest sort of delta between lucky and unlucky in the 0:12:43.840 --> 0:12:45.520 Steelers in the and the Broncos. 0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:46.560 So we like the Broncos. 0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:49.439 Here, I'll give you another underdog. I like Falcons plus 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.080 six and a half. I worry about Kirk cousins immobility. 0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:56.160 But I thought Atlanta was at a big coaching disadvantage 0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:58.680 when they faced the Steelers because Arthur Smith knew their 0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:02.560 entire roster and it was Kirk cousins first game back 0:13:02.600 --> 0:13:05.680 off an injury. He was very hesitant, a little like 0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:07.960 if you looked at Aaron Rodgers passing stats. In the 0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.000 first game he moved, he had twenty one passes, nineteen 0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:13.880 to the left. He was not going to throw blind 0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:17.280 behind him. He wanted to see the left side of 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.160 the field. He didn't want to get hit from behind. 0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.800 And Aaron's great, but that first game back off the accident, 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:29.480 they're all hesitant. Kirk was hesitant. Philadelphia's defense is not good. 0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:32.080 They spend money on it, they drafted. They were giving 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:33.920 up seven yards of play to green Bay and green 0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:38.400 Bay's good. But young Atlanta's got players. I think they 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:41.320 play really well. I know Kirk in big standalone games 0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:44.840 isn't great. Six and a half's a ton. I would 0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:46.360 take Atlanta here, sharper. 0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:50.200 Square totally sharp wise guys like the Falcons here. I'm 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:54.559 a little hesitant personally, haven't really laid into this game yet, 0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.040 but there's a lot of factors that go in the 0:13:57.040 --> 0:13:59.080 direction of what you're talking about. I think the biggest 0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:03.760 concern anybody has. It wasn't just that Kirk Cousins was hesitant. 0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.160 There were throws where it looked like he didn't want 0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:11.880 to plant off his injured achilles, and so he was 0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:15.240 short hopping throws that looked like he was throwing off 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:17.600 of one leg. Right, So I think that was the 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:21.000 bigger concern, and maybe after a full game he's a 0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.160 little more comfortable, you know. I think that what's interesting 0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:30.040 here is to the Falcons advantage their interior line, especially 0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:32.080 at center and right guard. Those are two of the 0:14:32.080 --> 0:14:36.160 best players at their positions in the NFL. The strength 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:39.440 of the Eagles is their interior pressure, not their edges. 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:43.600 The strength of the Steelers was their edges. So just 0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.920 sort of it's not really intuitive, but the way the 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:51.840 Falcons play might mitigate the Eagles' greatest advantage defensively. 0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:54.000 So a lot of wise guys are on the on 0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:54.800 the Falcons here. 0:14:55.360 --> 0:14:58.200 I'm going to take one more underdog Giants plus one 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:00.720 and a half at the Commanders. Daniel Jones. Actually, this 0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:03.400 is a vomit game that nobody wants to watch, But 0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:06.000 I did think. I do think Brian Davis a really 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.200 good coach, and I thought they were bad in the 0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:11.920 first series. Washington was just outplayed by a better quarterback 0:15:11.920 --> 0:15:14.520 and a better team. The Giants were awful. It looked 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:18.120 like they hadn't practiced. They've actually had. Daniel Jones's five 0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:20.560 to one and one against Washington, when he faces a 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:24.000 team that's his equal, he can compete. There's no way 0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.800 I'm giving any you know, I'm taking any points I 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:29.840 get in this game. Giants plus one and a half, 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:32.000 mostly unwatchable, Sharper Square. 0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:35.680 Totally sharp. That is the Corner TV game of the week, Kylin. 0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.560 It is the game nobody wants to watch unless you 0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:42.240 are betting it. The wise guys will be on the Giants, 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:45.280 mainly for the reasons you just said. Dave Ball has 0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:49.080 basically done incredibly well against the Commanders. Daniel Jones has 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:52.720 done well against the Commanders. There's always going to be 0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:56.320 overreaction in Week two, and obviously the wise guys or 0:15:56.400 --> 0:16:01.760 the fans are overjoyed with what they saw from Jaden Daniels. Right, 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:05.640 his Rookie of the Year odds for offense shrink people 0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:09.120 were piling in on him for Rookie of the Year 0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:11.320 because of how he played, and he was dynamic and 0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:13.960 he made decent enough throws, but also the running ability 0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:19.920 that is not a recipe that they can sustain, and 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:23.400 it also leads to overreaction in the market. So the 0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:26.920 book maker shaded the number a little bit, and really 0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:29.040 this game should be closer to pick. So you're getting 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:30.960 about a point a half of value because people are 0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:33.440 so against the Giants and they loved what they saw 0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:35.680 from the commanders. 0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.320 Td Tuddy taking it to the house in for six, 0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:43.120 whatever you call it. Touchdown. One thing's for sure. Tds 0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.040 matter more at DraftKings sports Book and official sports betting 0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.200 partner of the NFL. On the ground, in the air, 0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:52.000 special teams or defense, they don't care how you score them. 0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.160 They want to bet on touchdowns. You want to bet 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.160 on touchdowns. Draftking Sports Book number one place to bet 0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.200 on tds. Ready to place your first NFL bet and 0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.560 something simple like a player scoring a touchdown? 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NFL Plus Premium offer available only 0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:59.520 to new and former NFL Plus subscribers. Additional NFL Plus 0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:01.919 Premium time at NFL dot com slash terms. 0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:07.920 Here's a favorite I like. 0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.159 Sometimes I feel that you can get ahead of the 0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:15.200 market for about a week to two. It happens more 0:18:15.200 --> 0:18:17.680 in college because there's so many games on TV. It's 0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:20.640 harder for bookmakers. Sometimes you just if you're a regional 0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:22.800 better and you follow the PAC twelve. I can remember 0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:27.480 years ago getting on an Oregon State team and they 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.040 I knew their personnel really well, and I watched their 0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:33.840 games and had a good friend up there, and it happened. 0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:36.840 Sometimes it doesn't happen a lot in the pros. I'm 0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:39.919 not so sure. We're not three or four weeks away 0:18:40.040 --> 0:18:42.920 from saying CJ. Stroud's the third best quarterback in the league. 0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:44.920 I think he's insane. I mean Greg co Sell on 0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:48.320 my show is like he's making throws that almost nobody 0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:51.480 in the planet can make, like Stafford Burrough Mahomes. Yes, 0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:58.240 I think I had somebody that was at Friday's Bears 0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:01.720 practice before the game saying the ball was on the 0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:05.760 ground more than they'd ever seen it. Caylebby's really struggling. 0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:11.119 Romadunze may not play, Keenan Allen may not play. I 0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:15.440 think CJ. Stroud is he is really something. I mean 0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:17.359 he is that second game he played I think it 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:21.000 was Baltimore in his career. I was like, wait a minute, 0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:24.280 this is Baltimore. What is he doing. I think this 0:19:24.320 --> 0:19:26.760 could be ugly. I think the Texans are going to win. 0:19:27.080 --> 0:19:29.320 I thought it would. When I guess the line on this, 0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:31.439 I thought it would be closer to six and a half, seven, 0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:33.920 seven and a half. At six, I think i'd take 0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:35.159 the text in Sharper square. 0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:37.360 So look, it's a little bit square. 0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:39.520 The reason it's at six is because it opened at 0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.800 six and a half, and the wise guys definitely felt 0:19:42.200 --> 0:19:45.240 that was inflated for exactly the reasons you just said. 0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:49.080 You know, obviously, We've talked about this. I'm from Chicago. 0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:50.360 I love the Bears. 0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.200 I will have a text chain on Sundays with all 0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:56.520 my guys from Chicago. I can't even respond because they 0:19:56.560 --> 0:19:59.080 come in so fast, and I'm so anxious about all 0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:00.920 the other bets for me, like, I don't want to 0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:05.200 talk to anybody, right, forty five texts in the first 0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:08.360 half of that Bears game, we thought the Bears had 0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:12.520 already broken. Caleb Williams like he was pushing the ball. 0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:14.760 He wasn't throwing the ball, he was looking at his 0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:18.280 first read and then taking off. He was inaccurate. He 0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:21.960 was throwing too early on deep passes because he already realized, 0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:25.280 oh my god, my offensive line is crap and I 0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:28.439 can't outrun these defensive linemen. So we already looked like 0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:30.720 it was over right, like we've seen it as Bear 0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:31.640 stands a thousand times. 0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:33.160 Obviously we know that's not the case. 0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:35.720 But you couple that and how bad he looked in 0:20:35.760 --> 0:20:38.639