1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: here we go. 3 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 2: Ready in the court, ten seconds remaining, so it just 4 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 2: goes show down to the basket, under the basket. 5 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: It's the truth for the wind. 6 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 3: God make I'm Verracle' water hit that one from the 7 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 3: parking lot. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast 8 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 3: presented by DraftKings. This is our special college basketball Feast 9 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 3: Week preview. I'm Tanner McGrath, thrilled to be back on 10 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 3: the show, this time in the host chair. I just 11 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 3: love this week so much. I think it's the second 12 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 3: best week of the year behind Conference Championship Week. Wall 13 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 3: to wall college hoops action all hours of the day. 14 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,319 Speaker 3: My Vermont Catamounts play at one thirty pm today. I'm 15 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 3: just so happy. But I'm even happier to be joined 16 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 3: by the G five Voice. That's Breeze and Duck, two 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 3: of our sharpest college hoops minds, to break down everything 18 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 3: betting for this week. We have three big time Feastweek 19 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 3: tournaments to break down, and I'm not even going to 20 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 3: do pleasantries. I'm just going to get right into it, 21 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: starting with the Southwest Maui Invitational, which has taken a 22 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 3: lot of bs for the field this year, and I'm 23 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 3: not going to sit here and say that this is 24 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 3: still the premier Feast Week tournament. But I'm also not 25 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 3: going to outright dog it. I mean, NC State's the favorite, 26 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,639 Speaker 3: a program that has been revived by will Waite's triple 27 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 3: switch defense and the big time transfer in Darien Williams, 28 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 3: who's averaging over twenty three a game. They are plus 29 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 3: one sixty. Texas and USC are also considered I guess 30 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 3: co favorites. Sean Miller's new squad is what two to one. 31 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 3: Eric Musselman's Trojans are just over three to one. Rounding 32 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 3: out the field. He got Arizona State at eleven to one, 33 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 3: Boise State at fifteen to one, Seaton Hall at twenty 34 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 3: five to one. And I would like to comment on 35 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 3: this really quick. I don't know what the contract situation 36 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 3: is with him, or if there's a buyout or whatever. 37 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 3: I think Shaheen Holloway could be fired this year. I 38 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 3: think things are getting uglier and uglier for him at 39 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:00,559 Speaker 3: Seaton Hall. He still coaches that really gritty switch defense, 40 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,559 Speaker 3: which is what he always did in the wa MAC, 41 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: but he doesn't know how to scheme offensively. Also, Wazoo 42 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,119 Speaker 3: is thirty five to one. The bracket goes. The top 43 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 3: half of the bracket is game one Seaton Haul, NC State, 44 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,079 Speaker 3: Game two is USC Boise State. Bottom half of the 45 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 3: bracket is Washington State Cheminade, and then the final game. 46 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,240 Speaker 1: Oh, whoa whoa shamanade shamanad baby. 47 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 2: And when it comes to silver swords, by the way, 48 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 2: they don't offer any odds they should throw out of 49 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 2: two thousand and one. 50 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I know it's a little ridiculous. 51 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 2: Like I know they like to play the clip of 52 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: them knocking off Virginia and Ralph Sampson, But just give me, 53 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: you know, a one dollar bet. 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: At twenty five hundred or something. 55 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 2: I think it's disrespectful to the gambling community that don't 56 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 2: drop a number on them. 57 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 3: I know, it's kind of lane. Also, final games can 58 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 3: be Arizona State, Texas, so duck. Despite all the negativity 59 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 3: surrounding this tournament, give me one reason why we should 60 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 3: still be excited about this year's Maui Invitational. 61 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 4: I mean, it's fun basketball, it's in Hawaii, it's a 62 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 4: It's one of those quintessential tournaments that really kicks off 63 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 4: people getting the juices flowing for college hoops. I'm kind 64 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 4: of sad to see this the Battle for Atlantis dying. 65 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:07,920 Speaker 4: I mean, I still remember the days where we had 66 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 4: the Great Alaska Shootout and we had games that were 67 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,960 Speaker 4: tipping at two thirty am Eastern and we had Rich 68 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 4: Gillen on the call. I love that tournament, and this 69 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 4: is a great tournament too. It's going to be a 70 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 4: lot of fun basketball. I think maybe we were going 71 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,639 Speaker 4: to get those Maui rims that are a little soft. 72 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 4: We get a lot of shots that drop. That's kind 73 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 4: of one of those historic things about this tournament. Jay 74 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 4: billis going ninety four feet on the beach. There's a 75 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 4: lot to like about this tournament from a TV production standpoint, 76 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 4: and we get to bet on it. So I'll absolutely 77 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 4: be watching the Maui Invitational. 78 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 3: I could not have said it better myself. So let's 79 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 3: toss it over to Breeze. What's your outright pick for 80 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 3: this tournament? 81 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 2: So I want to have some fun here right off 82 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 2: the bat, and I want to go for a team 83 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: in the double digit market, and that would be Arizona 84 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 2: State eleven to one to win this thing. And first off, 85 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 2: I love what they did in terms of scheduling and 86 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: planning for this. Because the Sun Devil's schedule a trip 87 00:03:57,440 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: to play against the Rainbow Warriors of Hawaii ahead of 88 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 2: this tournament. They played against them on Thursday. They've stayed 89 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 2: out there and this should mitigate any time zone jet 90 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 2: lag fatigue questions for them. It also helped that Hawaii 91 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 2: is a pretty good team this year. They'ree hundred and 92 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 2: second in ken Pom and they put them away with 93 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 2: a forty nine point second half. That's kind of been 94 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 2: their calling card this season. They played really well in 95 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 2: the final twenty minutes tournament played by the way, it 96 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 2: really just boils down for me. You know, whether it's 97 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 2: marsh madness, whether it's conference tournament play, whether it's you 98 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 2: know these mtes earlier in the season. It comes down 99 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,039 Speaker 2: to guard play. Do you have someone you trust to 100 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 2: have the ball in their hands making plays? And Moe 101 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 2: Odum is an elite facilitator. You look at Evan MEA's rankings, 102 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: he is n't as the third best playmaker in all 103 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: of college basketball. He's averaged in fifteen, seven and four. 104 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: After a slow start from three point range, he's starting 105 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: to heat up a little bit there. 106 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: He's gonna have to play some hero ball for them 107 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: to make a deep run. And they give me a 108 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:48,160 Speaker 1: chance to. 109 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 2: Get to the finals here where I could hedge off 110 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,839 Speaker 2: this eleven to one ticket. But I think he certainly 111 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 2: has the goods, and obviously the key is right. 112 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: Off the bat. 113 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: They're drawing Texas, and you know, for them to be 114 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 2: a threat, not only in this tournament, but right off 115 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 2: the bat against the Longhorns, they need Masamba Job to 116 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 2: play really well and in limited minutes. He's shown the 117 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,359 Speaker 2: professional pedigree that he had playing in Spain. He played 118 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 2: in those developmental leagues, he worked his way up to 119 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 2: the top league there in Madrid, and with that he's 120 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: been able to flash his supreme athleticism. He's got handles, 121 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 2: he has spatial awareness, he moves without the basketball. All 122 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: these things are great, but I'm going to need twenty 123 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 2: five solid minutes out of him. What's also interesting, though, 124 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 2: when you look at Arizona State as a whole and 125 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,160 Speaker 2: Bobby Hurley the way he uses this team, they're very 126 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 2: low in minutes continuity, which sometimes that can be viewed 127 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 2: as a negative, but really it's a mix and match situation. 128 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 2: He likes to have whoever is on the court playing 129 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 2: the best basketball, just giving them those minutes. And in 130 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 2: tournament play where fatigue does come into play with multiple 131 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: games over multiple days, I think that actually plays into 132 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 2: their favor. And when I look at it historically, even 133 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 2: though Arizona State has not been consistent over Hurley's tenure, 134 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,239 Speaker 2: they've always shown up, it seems in these MTE events 135 00:05:58,360 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 2: when you look at it. 136 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: Last year they won the Akrosher. 137 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 2: Tournament, they beat Saint Mary's in the title game, a 138 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:04,920 Speaker 2: year that was kind of a lost season for Sparky. 139 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 2: They won the Legends Classic over Michigan in Brooklyn in 140 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two, and they knocked off number seven Virginia 141 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:13,239 Speaker 2: fresh off a national championship in twenty nineteen. 142 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 1: So I just view this as you know, some coaches. 143 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 1: We'll talk about it a little bit later in the episode. 144 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 2: Dane Altman and the Oregon Ducks, they just lend themselves 145 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 2: to tournament play, and I think that's what you have 146 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 2: here with Arizona State. And then finally to get back 147 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 2: into some of the finer points of why I like them, 148 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 2: and I think that potentially they get sparking upset in 149 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 2: the first game and then go on a run. They've 150 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 2: been really great in terms of turnover margin. I know 151 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 2: that despite having some of the best size in the 152 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 2: entire country, that hasn't shown up on the stat sheet 153 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 2: in terms of rebounding or blocks, But in terms of 154 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 2: protecting the basketball, their top fifty and they turn opponents 155 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:47,919 Speaker 2: over at top thirty eight in the entire country. 156 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: And because of that that sparks a bit of their 157 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 1: transition game. 158 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 2: They get twenty five percent of their points in transition, 159 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 2: over twenty points per game. 160 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: So you put this all. 161 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 2: Together, I think they're going to be a live dog, 162 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 2: not just in game one, throughout this entire tournament. 163 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: So I'm going to go Arizona State at eleven to one. 164 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,119 Speaker 3: Yeah. I love about him, but you will not catch 165 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 3: me trusting Bobby Hurley in any tournament setting. Let's go 166 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 3: to Duck for your outright pick. 167 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 4: I think USC has a real chance to win this thing. 168 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 4: We started to see it last year with Eric Musselman 169 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 4: bringing this high flying NBA style pace and space offense 170 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 4: to Southern cal And they showed flashes of brilliance last year, 171 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 4: but they just clearly did not have the pieces to 172 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 4: run the system. 173 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 1: Recruiting his paid off. 174 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 4: We've seen a much better offensive output out of the 175 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 4: Trojans this season, and really much more efficiency with these guys, 176 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 4: really despite USC not really having shot the basketball very well. 177 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 4: Once these guys start knocking down shots from three, this 178 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 4: offense is really going to be dangerous. But as is 179 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 4: Chad Baker, Mazara and Rodney Rice, each averaging over twenty 180 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:53,119 Speaker 4: points per game. Rice a true facilitator eight assists per game. 181 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 4: You know, the facilitator, the point guard sort of role 182 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 4: in college basketball is really kind of going by the wayside, 183 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 4: but I feel like he really gets others involved. The 184 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 4: entire team shares the basketball really well. They do a 185 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 4: great job of getting to the line ninth and free 186 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 4: throw rate. Defensively, USC is contesting everything. They do a 187 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 4: great job of defending without fouling. They're third nationally in 188 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 4: blocks nine point eight blocks per game. Twenty one percent 189 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:21,119 Speaker 4: of their shots that have been faced are blocked. Nothing 190 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 4: cheap at the rim against these guys, and they really 191 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 4: make you work deep into the possession clock. So I 192 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 4: think that they have this sort of profile similar to 193 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,440 Speaker 4: NC State. Offensively, you look at a second round about 194 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,559 Speaker 4: in a neutral environment, I think this USC defense can 195 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,959 Speaker 4: match up well and create some problems for NC State 196 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 4: that the Wolfpack just have not seen yet this season. 197 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 4: From there, I think USC would have as good a 198 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 4: chance as anyone when you're lining up against someone from 199 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,680 Speaker 4: the other half of the bracket. The other factor, Musselman 200 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 4: works the refts more than any coach in college hoops, 201 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 4: and while labeled as kind of a whiner, he is 202 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 4: such a wizard at getting some of those late game 203 00:08:57,720 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 4: calls to go his way. He's done this all the 204 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 4: way back to his days at the CBA level, So 205 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 4: I kind of like that in a tournament setting, they're 206 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 4: going to really take this this sort of three day 207 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 4: event seriously. He's gonna work the refs, They're gonna share 208 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,199 Speaker 4: the ball. I think that USC has a really good 209 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 4: chance to win this whole thing. 210 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 3: USC at plus three thirty, of course, they are off 211 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 3: that incredible triple overtime win over Troy where they hit 212 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 3: the most amazing buzzer beater I've ever seen. Breeze in 213 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:27,679 Speaker 3: the first round is going to be plus seven and 214 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 3: a half on Arizona State against Texas. For what it's worth, 215 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 3: I agree with that. I'm really low on Sean Miller's 216 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 3: new squad in Texas, Duck, Do you have any first 217 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 3: round looks you're looking at. 218 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: I do. 219 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 4: And one last thing I'll say about USC, I don't 220 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 4: really want to penalize them for that close win against Troy. 221 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 4: Is really well coached. 222 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 3: Scott Cross is amazing. Scott Cross is incredible. 223 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, a shame he was fired at Uta the way 224 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 4: he was he did wonders with that team. I really 225 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,719 Speaker 4: really solid, And if Troy wins the Sun Belt, they're 226 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 4: going to be such a feisty bunch in the tournament. 227 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 4: So to watch in March, you know, I'm looking at 228 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,840 Speaker 4: Arizona State Texas. I would look under one fifty four 229 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 4: and a half. The game has been beat up a 230 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 4: little bit, but I see these two teams that will 231 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 4: be squaring off against each other and playing the best 232 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 4: defensive opponents they both will have seen up to this point. 233 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 4: Texas again, they're gonna get you deep into the possession 234 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 4: clock and they do a really good job defensively contesting everything. 235 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:24,960 Speaker 4: Neither one of these teams has really shot the ball 236 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 4: exceptionally well this season, and now you're looking at the 237 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,959 Speaker 4: unfamiliar gym against better defenses than you had been playing, 238 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 4: and I'm not really positive that either coach really wants 239 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 4: to run here. I would expect Early to slow down 240 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 4: the tempo some, just like he did against Gonzaga a 241 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 4: couple of days back. And you know, we've seen Texas 242 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 4: slow down the tempo routine Lee everywhere he's coached with 243 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:53,959 Speaker 4: with Beard, I just I don't know if if this 244 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 4: is gonna be one where both of these teams are 245 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 4: really gonna run. And I expect this game to be 246 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 4: played about seventy possessions or so. You look at Sean Miller, 247 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:12,080 Speaker 4: They've played such weak competition Ryder, Casey Fairley, Dickinson. They 248 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 4: were able to run a little bit against those opponents, 249 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 4: but Arizona States transition defense is pretty good. I think 250 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 4: Miller will slow this tempo down, especially in the first 251 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 4: round game. This is a game both these teams are 252 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 4: really going to want to win, and I just feel 253 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 4: as though this total is a tick too high based 254 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 4: on the overall possession count. What sort of shooting percentages 255 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 4: we're gonna see. Bobby Hurley, Sean Miller, They're gonna treat 256 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 4: this as a really important game. 257 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 1: I like the under. 258 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean so I project exactly seventy possessions for 259 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 3: this game and the total at one forty eight point seven, 260 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 3: so I also show value on that under so I'll 261 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 3: probably be on that with you, all right before we 262 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 3: continue on to our next tournaments. Let's throw it over 263 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 3: to Stuckey for a quick word for our sponsor, DraftKings. 264 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 5: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is sponsored by DraftKings 265 00:11:57,280 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 5: sportsbook and in partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a 266 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 5: great offer right now. New customers can bet five dollars 267 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 5: and get two hundred dollars back in bonus bets plus 268 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 5: three months of NBA League Pass. Love the thrill of 269 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 5: live betting DraftKings as you covered, bet live on star 270 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 5: player props and in progress games right as they happen. 271 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 5: To get started, use promo code BBOC when signing up 272 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 5: with DraftKings. 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Now, I am of the opinion 299 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 3: that the B four A is always one of the 300 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 3: most underrated Feast Week tournaments. And I won't drone on 301 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 3: too long this podcast, but I might drone on a 302 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 3: little long about this one because I adore this field. 303 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 3: I mean, Mark Byington and Vandy's offense has been a 304 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 3: firecracker in my power ratings. They're third nationally in offensive efficiency. 305 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 3: They have six dudes averaging double digit scoring. I mean, 306 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:14,719 Speaker 3: pairing the incoming transfers with you, mclaughdin, Tanner Nickel has 307 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 3: created a perfect storm in the doors up, tempo ball 308 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 3: screen attack. Also of note, I think Frankie Collins is 309 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 3: expected to return for this tournament Andandy is minus one 310 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 3: twenty to win this one. But don't sleep on Saint Mary's. 311 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 3: I mean, the Gayals are still running that patented Randy 312 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 3: Bennett's drop, but the offense might reach a new level 313 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 3: now with Mikey Lewis running the show, one of my 314 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 3: top candidates for like Mid Major Player of the Year. 315 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 3: Through six games, he's averaging twenty one and four. The 316 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 3: Gals are also still pounding the offensive glass, posting up 317 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 3: at a high rate. They are plus two to seventy. 318 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 3: Virginia Tech is in this one, and many are wondering 319 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 3: is Neo the one. He's plus eight fifty VCU. This 320 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 3: is one of my favorite teams in the nation. I mean, 321 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 3: Phil Martelly Junior is an up and coming young coach 322 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 3: who led my Brian Bulldogs to a championship in my 323 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 3: beloved America East last year. Now he's attempting to conquer 324 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 3: his father's old stopping grounds, the A ten. The Rams 325 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 3: are just They're so fun to watch. Mart Telly ball 326 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,800 Speaker 3: is awesome, deep, versatile lineup on offense. They leverage that 327 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: into transition buckets, half court mismatches. On defense, they rim 328 00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 3: funnel into a monster too big drop and leverage their 329 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 3: athleticism into blocks. 330 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 1: They block everything. 331 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 3: They're eleven to one, also South Florida. I thought Brian 332 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 3: Hodgton was one of the most underrated coaching hires this 333 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 3: pass offseason. He worked wonders at Arkansas State. I mean, 334 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 3: hit the program's highest ever kem Palm rating in just 335 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 3: the second year. He brought two guys over with him 336 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 3: and grabbed a D two All American to run his 337 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 3: up tempo, analytically friendly spread attack. They're fifteen to one. 338 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 3: Rounding out the field, We've got Colorado State entering the 339 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 3: post medved Era they are fifteen to one, Whichita State, 340 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 3: which looks really good in Paul Mill's second year, they're 341 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 3: forty to one, and Western Kentucky is one hundred and 342 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 3: thirty to one. Quick bracket breakdown. You got Western Kentucky 343 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 3: and Vandy in the first game, top half of the bracket, 344 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 3: the other top half the bracket. The second game is 345 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 3: VCU South Florida, bottom half of the bracket. Game three 346 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 3: will be Colorado State Virginia Tech, and in the fourth 347 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 3: game will be Wichita State Saint Mary's. Let's go to 348 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 3: breeze first for your outright pick in this tournament, so. 349 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 1: I gotta go boring. 350 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: I gave the Arizona State, which was a little spicy 351 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 2: there in the first tournament, but I'm gonna go boring here. 352 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 2: With Vandy as minus one point twenty you mentioned it, 353 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 2: I think this could be the best Fandy offense of 354 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 2: all time. Six players in double figures, top ten in 355 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 2: field goal efficiency, first in shots made per game, top five, 356 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,680 Speaker 2: and both threes attempted and made in forty second and 357 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 2: fast break points. 358 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 1: So they can beat you in a lot of different. 359 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 2: Ways, and they have the top rated lineup in America 360 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 2: per Evan Mea. 361 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 1: That's ak okurri K. 362 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: They got Devin Mcloughton, Duke Miles, you know, Tyler Nickel 363 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 2: as you mentioned and should be your favorite player in 364 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 2: all college basketball. Tanner, Tyler Tanner, who is one of 365 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 2: the A plus playmakers in the SEC at the point. 366 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,800 Speaker 2: There's four of them according to Evan Mia and he's 367 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 2: one of them. So he makes it all go for 368 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 2: the doors and Byington's, Jayden's Matt some teams they were 369 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 2: cut from a very similar cloth. These are the teams 370 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 2: that made him famous. A got him that win in 371 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 2: the NCAA tournament, and a big part of that was 372 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 2: he had four quality scoring options, you know, headlined by 373 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 2: Terrence Edwards junior. In this case, you know, I feel 374 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,680 Speaker 2: like he has even more weapons. You know he had Edwards, 375 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: You had bickerstaff there with the dukes, but I feel 376 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 2: like they go four or five deep in terms of 377 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 2: who could be a leading scorer on any given night 378 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 2: and a tournament play that is critical. When you look 379 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,719 Speaker 2: at Duke Miles, by the way, he seems to have 380 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 2: turned back the clock to his high point days when 381 00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 2: he was nearly an eighty to fifty forty kind of shooter. 382 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:33,160 Speaker 2: At this point, he can go for twenty at any 383 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 2: given time, and I think that gives them an opportunity 384 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,479 Speaker 2: to blow some teams out in this field and not 385 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:39,679 Speaker 2: have to sweat out the final four minutes of a 386 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 2: game in tournament play. You know, Tanner takes a lot 387 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:45,640 Speaker 2: of pressure off of this offense as well in terms 388 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,240 Speaker 2: of how he sets the table with so many shooters 389 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 2: around him. I think this is going to be, you know, 390 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,920 Speaker 2: interesting for them in terms of a tempo battle, because 391 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 2: I think when you look at this field as a whole, 392 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:57,920 Speaker 2: other than maybe Virginia Tech, who can run with them 393 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 2: and score ninety five one hundred points to be able 394 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 2: to beat them, I think if they go ahead and 395 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: win that tempo battle for every single game in this 396 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 2: tournament run, I think they're going to win it. And 397 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 2: you mentioned the neo at the top. He is someone 398 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 2: that I respect. It's why I like Virginia Tech probably 399 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 2: laying three, three and a half against Colorado State in 400 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 2: the first game on Wednesday, because he's somebody who can 401 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 2: average twenty five and five. Avdalas is just somebody who 402 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 2: you know, is probably the most special player that the 403 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 2: Hokies have had in a decade. I love watching this 404 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 2: guy play. He's someone that I wanted to highlight. If 405 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:32,159 Speaker 2: you watch just one singular player in this tournament and 406 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,200 Speaker 2: you want to come away with, you know, being a 407 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 2: little bit sharper in terms of who's great in college 408 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 2: basketball this season, you could do worse than Neo. 409 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 3: Couldn't agree more. Now, Duck, you are going to be 410 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 3: on the second favorite in this tournament? Is that right? Yeah? 411 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 1: I like Saint Mary's here. 412 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 4: I think when you get into the tournament setting and 413 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 4: you're going to have back to back to back games 414 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,880 Speaker 4: with nowadays in between, eventually fatigue and game flow are 415 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,479 Speaker 4: going to play a factor. You know. It's really easy 416 00:18:57,560 --> 00:19:00,159 Speaker 4: to do the things that we see South Floor to 417 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 4: Andy VC. You do when you're kind of in the 418 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 4: mundane grind of your season schedule and you have three 419 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 4: or four days off in between games. But to play 420 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 4: that style three days in a row when you get 421 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,919 Speaker 4: to the end of that journey and the guy waiting 422 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 4: for you at the end of it is Randy Bennett 423 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 4: who can bring you out to the deep end of 424 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 4: the pool and force you to swim. It is really 425 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 4: exhausting to play against that Saint Mary's defense. 426 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 1: A guy who can scheme. 427 00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 4: It up defensively and just completely take you out of 428 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:30,360 Speaker 4: rhythm and take away what the opponent wants to do offensively, 429 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,959 Speaker 4: really better than many coaches in America. You look at 430 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 4: the defensive prowess for Saint Mary's, they can frustrate anyone. 431 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 4: We've seen year and year and year over. They've done 432 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 4: it to Gonzaga in the WCC last year. We actually 433 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:47,160 Speaker 4: saw them really execute this plan to perfection against Andy 434 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 4: in the NCAA Tournament, a game that played to fifty 435 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:54,160 Speaker 4: nine total possessions. We saw Andy score just twenty seven 436 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 4: second half points in that one. I think Saint Mary's 437 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 4: has a viable path to getting to the championship game. 438 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 4: You certainly should beat Wichita, and then you look at 439 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 4: Colorado State and VA Tech. Saint Mary's will be favored 440 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 4: against either one of those opponents by four and a 441 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 4: half five points or so, and if they end up 442 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 4: scaring off with Van Dy in the championship game, the 443 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 4: pace war and the coaching battle will be absolutely unreal. 444 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 4: I think the Gales are good. I think they do 445 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 4: a great job of defending without fouling. They force you 446 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:27,480 Speaker 4: into low percentage shots, and they play their pace. In 447 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 4: the regular season, at times they'll run, but in tournament 448 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:32,920 Speaker 4: settings you are not going to speed these guys up. 449 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 4: Should be a really, really fun pace war if we 450 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 4: get up to that point. But I look at Randy 451 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 4: Bennett and his ability to scheme it up defensively to 452 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:44,320 Speaker 4: take away what you want to do offensively, and that 453 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 4: holds a little value. 454 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:45,640 Speaker 1: For me here. 455 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 4: So we're getting a juicy price here at plus two seventy. 456 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:49,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take Saint Mary's. 457 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, it'd be a really interesting matchup of those two 458 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,679 Speaker 3: meet in the final, because I mean Mary's drop and 459 00:20:55,800 --> 00:20:59,159 Speaker 3: transition defense could mess a lout with Vanderbilt's offense. But also, 460 00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:02,200 Speaker 3: the doors have so many ball handlers to like snake 461 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 3: the drop at score in the middle of the floor. 462 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 3: I think that'll be a fascinating final. I would project 463 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 3: Vandy as a three point favorite. So Breeze is on 464 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:14,400 Speaker 3: Virginia Tech minus two against Colorado State in the first round. Duck, 465 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:16,480 Speaker 3: you are two. You want to comment on that. 466 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:18,640 Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I mean we'll have to wait and see 467 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 4: where the lines actually come out. I haven't seen anything 468 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 4: come out look ahead, but I think this is a 469 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 4: good matchup for Virginia Tech. Ken Pump projects at two 470 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 4: two and a half against Colorado State in the opener, 471 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,400 Speaker 4: and I really wonder how good the Rams really are 472 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 4: and if they're going to be able to contain Hans Berry. 473 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,199 Speaker 4: You know, he should be back for this one. He 474 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 4: sat out their last game. But you look at Virginia 475 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,439 Speaker 4: Tech two in Bedford, who can score twenty points anytime 476 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 4: he's on the floor. Colorado State has been in these 477 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 4: crazy battles with cal Pauly Omaha and then they lose 478 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,040 Speaker 4: on their home floor against a bad Denver team that's 479 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 4: still trying to find themselves. 480 00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: They've got a new coach, they've got. 481 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 4: Six D two transfers. Not good. If this number, I mean, 482 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 4: I would lay up to six here, and so I 483 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,360 Speaker 4: will very very likely beyond Virginia Tech. I think they're 484 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 4: more athletic. I think that it's going to be really 485 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 4: hard for Colorado State when you look at the post 486 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 4: play and trying to guard the rim against some of 487 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 4: these guys. For Virginia Tech, it's going to be really, 488 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 4: really tricky for Colorado State. 489 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, just to jump in here and kind of echo 490 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,199 Speaker 1: that Ali Farukmanesh is a great hire in terms of 491 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,360 Speaker 1: the continuity going from medved system. Like they're still, you. 492 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 2: Know, certainly by any metric at top twenty offense, but 493 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 2: this defense has serious holes that you kind of just 494 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:29,120 Speaker 2: mentioned two hundred and twelfth in Ken Palm, and that's 495 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 2: by you know, being protected by a glacial tempo. They're 496 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,160 Speaker 2: three hundred and forty ninth in terms of tempo right now. 497 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 2: So when you play against Virginia Tech, if they speed 498 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 2: things up, they already score more than twelve fast break 499 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 2: points per game. I think this Colorado State team could 500 00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:43,880 Speaker 2: be in some serious trouble. They've also been a little 501 00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 2: bit loose with the basketball. Fourteen percent of their offensive 502 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:47,960 Speaker 2: possessions have ended in turnovers. 503 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:49,640 Speaker 1: That's outside of the top one hundred and ten. 504 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 2: So I think just when you drill deeper into this matchup, 505 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 2: I think it should be closer to BATECH laying five 506 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:57,880 Speaker 2: and any number under three and a half. 507 00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 1: I think that's an auto play on the Hokies. 508 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say I think I'm high on Fruitmanesh. 509 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 3: In the long term, I'm not sure if it's going 510 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 3: to be so smooth right away. I do have to 511 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 3: pick a bone with you, Duck. Denver is good. Denver 512 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 3: is not bad. Denver is good. They are the Walmart 513 00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 3: version of Bennett Starts and Ben McCollum. They're going to 514 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 3: be awesome this year. Just a quick a side, but regardless, 515 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,679 Speaker 3: let's hop into the main event of what should be 516 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 3: this week and probably feast weeks to come. The players 517 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 3: era just a loaded field and it should only get 518 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 3: more loaded next year. I believe they've already expanded this 519 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 3: tournament to thirty two teams, which is wow. But for 520 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,680 Speaker 3: this year, there are eighteen teams in this year's field, 521 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 3: headlined by Houston, which looks the same on defense behind 522 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 3: Jojo Tugler and the ball screen Blitz, but much different 523 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 3: on offense, where it's Unchara uncharacteristically led by mostly freshmen. 524 00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 3: There plus three point thirty now gonzag is right behind 525 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,440 Speaker 3: him has been one of the biggest risers in the 526 00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 3: earliest season. For me. I have like the Zags have 527 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 3: already crushed Lahoma, Creighton, Arizona State. I currently have them 528 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,800 Speaker 3: power rated fourth nationally. Graham hey K and Brandon Hoffer 529 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,360 Speaker 3: one of the best offensive front court duos in the nation, 530 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:12,480 Speaker 3: but the defense is really improved. They currently rank seventeenth 531 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 3: nationally in ball screen covered defense, but find behind a 532 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:19,439 Speaker 3: far more aggressive hedging scheme that forces way more turnovers 533 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,880 Speaker 3: and then ultimately fuels their transition based attack. But are 534 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 3: they due for some regression? I think opponents have shot 535 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,640 Speaker 3: just twenty three percent from deep so far. Either way, 536 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 3: they are plus four to fifty. Other favorites include Tennessee 537 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 3: plus six fifty, Iowa State plus seven to fifty, Michigan 538 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,119 Speaker 3: plus seven fifty, and the rest of the field goes 539 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 3: Alabama ten to one, Johnny's twelve to one, Kansas thirteen 540 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 3: to one, Baylor nineteen to one, Auburn twenty eight to one, 541 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 3: Oregon twenty eight to one, San Diego State thirty five 542 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 3: to one, Notre Dame fifty to one, Maryland ninety one, 543 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 3: Creighton one hundred and twenty one. Worth mentioning that Jackson 544 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:55,359 Speaker 3: McAndrews suffered a season ending injury, which sucks syracuses one 545 00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 3: hundred and fifty to one, Rutgers is two hundred to 546 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 3: one fresh off a home loss to Central Eticutte State, 547 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 3: and unlv IS two hundred and one. Somewhat complicated tournament, 548 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,399 Speaker 3: So I'll try and give the basic gist of this 549 00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 3: year eighteen teams. They're placed into two pods, one with 550 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 3: ten teams, one with eight teams. In the MGM Grand Pod, 551 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 3: you have Syracuse, Rutgers, Tennessee, Kansas, Notre Dame, Houston, Gonzaga, Alabama, 552 00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 3: unlv in Maryland, and then the michelob ultrapod you have Michigan, Creighton, Oregon, Baylor, 553 00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 3: Saint John's, Iowa State, Auburn, and San Diego State. I 554 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 3: believe they each play two games on Monday and Tuesday, 555 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 3: and the team that finishes in first place in each 556 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,040 Speaker 3: pod will play each other in the Overall Player Players 557 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 3: Era Championship game, and the team that finishes in second 558 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 3: place in each pod will play each other in the 559 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,359 Speaker 3: third place game. Both of those games will be played 560 00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 3: on Wednesday. The criteria for deciding who wins is a 561 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 3: series of tiebreakers. It's record, then head to head results, 562 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,199 Speaker 3: then a plus minus tiebreaker with a maximum of twenty 563 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,480 Speaker 3: points to not encourage that teams run up the score. 564 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 3: Then it'll be total points scored, total points allowed, and 565 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 3: then finally, if all those tie breakers can't break anything, 566 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:10,159 Speaker 3: the AP ranking as of Monday, November twenty fourth. Now 567 00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 3: I'm in the host chair for a reason, but I 568 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 3: can't talk myself out of Bama eleven to one high 569 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,600 Speaker 3: variant squad with NATO's strength three offense. The defense is 570 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 3: still somewhat we kind of a lame duck drop, but 571 00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,000 Speaker 3: when shots are falling, they can beat anyone. Saint John's 572 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 3: Illinois almost Purdue Breeze. You agree with me, why oh. 573 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:28,879 Speaker 1: One hundred percent? 574 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:30,760 Speaker 2: And as soon as you talk about the point differential, 575 00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 2: I think it's it's nice that they had the foresight 576 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 2: to say, let's cap it at twenty. Because Bama draws 577 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,359 Speaker 2: UNLV in that second game, they get beat him by 578 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 2: fifty points. If they wanted to, they could certainly keep 579 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 2: their foot down on the accelerator and take forty five threes. 580 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:44,719 Speaker 2: But I think that gives them the opportunity because this 581 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:46,679 Speaker 2: is still a Nate Oats team that is second in 582 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 2: the country in terms of fire and up triples on 583 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 2: a nightly. 584 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: Basis, But they're more than that this year because of 585 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 1: Pylon Junior. 586 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 2: This kid is already an absolute star and he doesn't 587 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,719 Speaker 2: need to take more than five or six threes to 588 00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,560 Speaker 2: fill up the stat sheet. He can put it on 589 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 2: the den, he can get to the rim, he can 590 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 2: dish it out, he can facilitate. 591 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:04,880 Speaker 1: He's one of the best playmakers in all. 592 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 2: Of college basketball in terms of high major players, averaging 593 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 2: over twenty and five and a half sists on a 594 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:13,320 Speaker 2: nightly basis, He's one of three in the entire country. 595 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 2: And Evan me I bring this guy up a lot 596 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 2: because he goes through and slices and dices data and 597 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 2: gets into that playmaker score. 598 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 1: Filon Junior is one of four. 599 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:26,280 Speaker 2: Elite eight plus rated playmakers in the SEC. You don't 600 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 2: need any of those extra stats. You just need to 601 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:29,880 Speaker 2: flip on the game to be able to watch him 602 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:31,840 Speaker 2: go off. And I want to hitch my wagon to 603 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 2: a star in this tournament. Obviously it's going to require 604 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,640 Speaker 2: them upsetting the Zags in the first game, but I 605 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,200 Speaker 2: agree in terms of your assessment that just in terms 606 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 2: of some shots dropping, if the you know, the Bulldogs 607 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 2: get into a huge shootout played in the eighties or nineties, 608 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:49,920 Speaker 2: I think it's a puncher's chance for Alabama to win 609 00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,480 Speaker 2: that game. And you know, Mark Fu's team has been 610 00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 2: fortunate in terms of you know, those shots not falling 611 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,159 Speaker 2: and then finally, you know, in terms of the point differential, 612 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,560 Speaker 2: how many you score, how many let up? When you 613 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:03,920 Speaker 2: look at it, they could have drawn a couple snails 614 00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,879 Speaker 2: that would have been bad matchups for them in this 615 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,680 Speaker 2: tournament field, like Houston light Ruckers, like Notre Dame. 616 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:10,880 Speaker 1: Instead they have the Zags. 617 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 2: Wou'd be more than happy to you know, rev up 618 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 2: their offense and play at a top ten kind of 619 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:16,359 Speaker 2: tempo at least for one night, and then U and 620 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,680 Speaker 2: L these fourteenth in the entire country in terms of tempo, 621 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,480 Speaker 2: so there's not going to be any issues playing the 622 00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:23,119 Speaker 2: brand of basketball that they want. I think, you know, 623 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:25,439 Speaker 2: this is mispriced. I would put them closer to like 624 00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 2: you know, the I believe it was Iowa State at 625 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,120 Speaker 2: seven to one. I think that's the right price for them. 626 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 2: So it double digits anywhere here. And by the way, 627 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 2: if you're listening to this and they've already upset the Zags, 628 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 2: I would still take them at any number, you know, 629 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 2: probably north of four to one to win this tournament 630 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:43,960 Speaker 2: and the final piece of it as well. So much 631 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 2: positivity about you know, this tournament and its expansion and 632 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 2: how it's giving out a million dollars every school in 633 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:50,240 Speaker 2: nil money. 634 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:51,880 Speaker 1: I think that's all well deserved. 635 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 2: I'm not, you know, going to say that we need 636 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 2: to slow down progress or new things are always bad. 637 00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 2: But this international style pod play, it's stupid. They should 638 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 2: have figured out a way so that it doesn't come 639 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 2: down to point differential because both the Zags and Alabama 640 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 2: are being penalized for playing against two really good teams. 641 00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 2: Some teams are going to just have easier draws because 642 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 2: of the way it's worked out. They should have figured 643 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 2: out some way, maybe started with pod play, add an 644 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,760 Speaker 2: extra game or two to the calendar so that it 645 00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 2: goes from pod play to a bracket. Other than that, though, 646 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 2: I think this is pretty great. It's good for college basketball. 647 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 2: There's just got to be a way to pump a 648 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,480 Speaker 2: little bit of extra money into malle and Battle for 649 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 2: Atlantis so they can be more competitive. 650 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: I think it's just a dollars and cents issue. 651 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,560 Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think you need to draw anything back 652 00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 2: from the player's era, which by next year will be 653 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 2: thirty two teams, and by the way, will be a 654 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:40,160 Speaker 2: bracket next year at thirty two. 655 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:45,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, it should be a bracket. Also, I talked about 656 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 3: Gonzaga's over more aggressive hedge defense, and if they play 657 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,880 Speaker 3: Alabama in that first game, Alabama's offense is built to 658 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 3: be over aggressive hedge defenses right quick, cross court passing, 659 00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 3: ball movement, dead eye shooting, and they'll put huffinyk and 660 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 3: ball screens in probably them apart. 661 00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,640 Speaker 2: But I believe Bama has what five shooters who are 662 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 2: not gonna coet thirty five percent or better. 663 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 1: So it's a pick your poison situation with Filon Junior. 664 00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 3: Distributing, including Vermont native Taylor bowl Bowen. Shout out, Duck, 665 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 3: who are you betting on to win this massive tournament? 666 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:18,640 Speaker 4: You know? I tried to assess the draws and who 667 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 4: each team has to square up against, and then you 668 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,040 Speaker 4: kind of bring that in and marry it up to 669 00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 4: the tiebreakers, which are real kind of fascinating how this 670 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 4: is going to go. I think Tennessee could really put 671 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 4: a number on Rutgers in the first round here, and 672 00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 4: I give them a chance against Houston. So I like 673 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,840 Speaker 4: Tennessee to kind of at least get to that second 674 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 4: stage and give themselves a chance in the championship game. 675 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 4: There's a chance Tennessee's defense is really good and while 676 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 4: we haven't seen it. They've been blowing out their opponents 677 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,360 Speaker 4: and kind of have led up in the second half. 678 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:48,440 Speaker 4: They're seventh nationally in effective field goal percentage. They defend 679 00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:52,440 Speaker 4: well against the three. This team plays really well defensively, 680 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 4: and they don't send you to the line. They just 681 00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 4: make your life hell on offense. If you're the opposition, 682 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 4: you're not contained Tennessee for forty minutes. Offensively, they don't 683 00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 4: go long stretches without scoring. There's no better team in 684 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,440 Speaker 4: America at getting offensive rebounds and second chance points than 685 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:10,959 Speaker 4: the balls. 686 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:12,840 Speaker 1: They should really put. 687 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,520 Speaker 4: A number on Rutgers here. So you look at the 688 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 4: points allowed, points scored, win loss, I mean, they should 689 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 4: have an advantage after the first day. Rutgers is not 690 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 4: very good. We've seen them struggle mightily against lower rated 691 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 4: ANYC teams and American Lee high I mean, they've been 692 00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 4: in grinders all season. Big, big trouble for Rutgers in 693 00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,600 Speaker 4: the opening round, and then you look at the next 694 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,880 Speaker 4: game that they're going to play against Houston. The Cougars 695 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,160 Speaker 4: struggle to shoot the ball. They can't make shots. They've 696 00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,080 Speaker 4: missed a ton of wide open threes against lesser competition 697 00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:43,400 Speaker 4: with less pressure, and now you put Houston on a 698 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 4: neutral in this sort of environment where they're squeezing the 699 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,960 Speaker 4: ball tight. They haven't been able to shoot in the 700 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 4: comfort of their own gym let alone here. 701 00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 1: So I think. 702 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 4: Tennessee can go too to zero in the first round. 703 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 4: I think they can look good in doing so. So 704 00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 4: I think there's value in Tennessee to win this tournament. 705 00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 1: Plus six fifty. 706 00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just I'll never be a Rick Barnes believer, 707 00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 3: but I see where you're coming from. All right, one 708 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,720 Speaker 3: first round pick from each of you. We'll start with Breeze. 709 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 3: What do you got? 710 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: All Right? I mentioned Dana Altman at the top of 711 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: the show. I love him. In the tournament setting. 712 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,120 Speaker 2: You know, they can play multiple you know, variations of 713 00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 2: their defense. They can you know, rev up the pressure. 714 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:20,760 Speaker 2: They can switch from man and zone. So I'm gonna 715 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 2: Takehi plus four and a half against Auburn. Shelstad is healthy. 716 00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,400 Speaker 2: That's a big headliner. They got towering bigs and Evans 717 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 2: and Biddle, who combined are averaging twenty nine to seventeen, 718 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 2: and TK Simpkins. I'm looking for a guy who could 719 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 2: potentially catch fire. He's closer to like a thirty five 720 00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 2: percent career three point shooter that hasn't materialized as of 721 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 2: yet out on the West Coast, but he still fired 722 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,000 Speaker 2: him up seven and a half three point attempts per game. 723 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 2: So if he drops three or four, I think they could, 724 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,360 Speaker 2: you know, boat race this Auburn team that I just 725 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,240 Speaker 2: had this feeling the bottom could fall out for them, 726 00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 2: not necessarily on a season long basis, but on a 727 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:54,960 Speaker 2: nightly basis. If a team really is clicking offensively and 728 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 2: they have the size to be able to bang with them, 729 00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 2: you know, down on the boards. 730 00:32:58,080 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 1: I think Oregon has all the components that you need. 731 00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:02,960 Speaker 2: So I like them A sprinkle of the money line, 732 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 2: I certainly like them plus four and a half. 733 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 3: Biddle is one of my favorite big men in the nation. 734 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 3: I think he's so awesome in everything he does. Let's 735 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 3: wrap this up. One more bet from Duck. Any first round. 736 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:16,320 Speaker 4: Looks, Yeah, sarahcuse Houston under one forty two. I'm just 737 00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:18,959 Speaker 4: not convinced that Syracuse has the skill download to make 738 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 4: it work against Houston's defense, which is legitimately nasty. They 739 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,800 Speaker 4: don't allow second chance points, no freebies at the rim, 740 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 4: and again, Houston offensively has struggled badly to shoot the ball. 741 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 4: We've been waiting and waiting and waiting for it against 742 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 4: House and against Oakland, against Ryder. We just have not 743 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:39,080 Speaker 4: seen the three point barrage or the offensive efficiency out 744 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 4: of the Cougars. And frankly, I think Calvin Sampson's okay 745 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 4: with that. They hang their hat on defense. They're okay 746 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 4: winning games sixty five to forty two, but the threes 747 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 4: are not falling. They're missing a lot of shots. Now, 748 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 4: you put a neutral venue in in Vegas, unfamiliar gym, 749 00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 4: the juices are gonna be amped with this MTE event. 750 00:33:58,440 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 4: There's a lot of money on the line. There is 751 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,640 Speaker 4: going to have a lot of fun here at the event. 752 00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 4: I think this creates a situation where both these teams 753 00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 4: might play a little bit tight early on. I think 754 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 4: Syracuse defense is legitimately good. They're good at turning you over, 755 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,239 Speaker 4: they're good at running off the three point line. Could 756 00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,799 Speaker 4: be a block fest both ways. Both these teams block 757 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,320 Speaker 4: a ton of shots. This pace is going to be slow. 758 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:23,879 Speaker 4: I'm not convinced that Syracuse wants to run. We didn't 759 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:25,919 Speaker 4: see him run against Bingham ten or Drexel, and even 760 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,919 Speaker 4: Delaware State and Monmouth. It was really the opponent who 761 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 4: was pushing there. So I think we get this team, 762 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,000 Speaker 4: these two teams that square off, it's going to be 763 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,080 Speaker 4: a sixty five possession game. Both these defenses are far 764 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:41,400 Speaker 4: and away better than what these two offenses are going 765 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,360 Speaker 4: to deplay out there. I've got this one projected in 766 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 4: the one thirties, so at under one forty two, I'm 767 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:45,839 Speaker 4: going to take a swing. 768 00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got that game projected at sixty six possessions 769 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 3: one thirty eight, so I think one or better is 770 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,400 Speaker 3: worth a play. Guys, thank you so much. That was awesome. 771 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,720 Speaker 3: I cannot wait for all of the Feast week action. 772 00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 3: Also this week, we are just churning out sports betting 773 00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,720 Speaker 3: content across all of our podcasts, channels and all early 774 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 3: So whether you're looking for you know, Turkey d NFL 775 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 3: plays college hoops or college football, we have you covered. 776 00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 3: Search for BBOC on YouTube or the Action Network, like 777 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,320 Speaker 3: and subscribe to the content, and keep those podcast feeds 778 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 3: updated because we are going to be flooding them over 779 00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 3: the next seventy two hours. Enjoy your feest weeek everyone, 780 00:35:22,560 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 3: and as always, best of luck with all of your Bets. 781 00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:48,319 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 782 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 5: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 783 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 5: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 784 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:55,400 Speaker 5: hundred Gambler