WEBVTT - Nvidia Earnings In Focus; SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is alive

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde and New York

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<v Speaker 1>and Vla Low in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up in video. Earnings on deck,

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<v Speaker 2>a huge moment to the world's most valuable company in

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<v Speaker 2>the stock at the center of the AI Boom plus

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX inches closer to launch.

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<v Speaker 3>It could be.

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<v Speaker 2>Today that must company unveils it's IPO filing and we

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<v Speaker 2>take a deep dive into soft banks bet on open

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<v Speaker 2>AI insiders worried the Masoschi sun is too tight to

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<v Speaker 2>the AI giant. Right now in video is everything that

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<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg Tech audience is clicking on reading about, talking

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<v Speaker 2>about We're up two percent, taking our year to D

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<v Speaker 2>eight game twenty percent. We expect eighty percent top line growth,

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<v Speaker 2>eighty five percent growth in earnings per share. But there

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<v Speaker 2>are questions about China and how much momentum this AI

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<v Speaker 2>story has.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's get the stock story for the world's.

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<v Speaker 2>Most valuable company with Bloomberg Tech Equasies Reporter Carmen Ryanikey Friday,

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<v Speaker 2>Monday Tuesday, we were almost in correction territory within video

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<v Speaker 2>at the heart of what was happening in chip stocks.

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<v Speaker 2>You write today that in Videa's earnings will either make

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<v Speaker 2>or will break the rally and chips, why, Yeah, So.

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<v Speaker 4>It's been so important in video overall. Right, we know

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<v Speaker 4>it's sort of the king maker of the AI trade.

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<v Speaker 4>It's the stock that all investors are watching really to

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<v Speaker 4>see the demand going forward and if that story is

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<v Speaker 4>still strong. And so this huge rally that we've seen

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<v Speaker 4>in the chip making space really from this March thirtieth

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<v Speaker 4>low up through last week, it's had incredible momentum. But

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<v Speaker 4>in video is really the thing that investors are going

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<v Speaker 4>to watch to see if this can go forward. We

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<v Speaker 4>got a little bit of a rest fit over the

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<v Speaker 4>last few days, we saw a sell off, but we're

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<v Speaker 4>kind of back up that rally is going stronger today.

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<v Speaker 4>So how Nvidia talks about the future demand here is

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<v Speaker 4>going to be paramount to that entire sector.

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<v Speaker 2>Calm and the m Live and macro View team go

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<v Speaker 2>back and say, what typically happens post earnings for Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 2>even if it is a blowout, and this is the answer.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a pretty mixed picture, right. There is no guarantee

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<v Speaker 2>that even if Nvidia has a bond storming print that

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<v Speaker 2>in the days that follow, even the month that follows,

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<v Speaker 2>the market will go with it exactly.

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<v Speaker 4>So, something that we've seen over the last few earnings

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<v Speaker 4>reports for in video is that shares at actually fall

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<v Speaker 4>in the day after results, even if they're very strong,

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<v Speaker 4>even if it's a blowout report. Some of that is

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<v Speaker 4>pretty typical around earnings. You get a little bit of

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<v Speaker 4>a buy the rumor sell the news. Obviously, this could

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<v Speaker 4>be a good place for investors to trim to sort

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<v Speaker 4>of take some profits, especially after such an incredible rally.

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<v Speaker 4>And the other thing I'd say is that so in

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<v Speaker 4>Vidia is still the most important stock in the S

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<v Speaker 4>and P five hundred, it's the largest company in the world,

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<v Speaker 4>it commands the most weight in the index, but it's

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<v Speaker 4>not immune to broader macro pressures. And we have seen

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<v Speaker 4>sort of the pull and of the AI trade continuing

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<v Speaker 4>over this year. So while it's very important to see

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<v Speaker 4>the future demand there for these stocks, it's also no

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<v Speaker 4>guarantee that this is going to continue to march forward

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<v Speaker 4>and up to the right, especially just in the days

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<v Speaker 4>after the report.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey common how often before the show and before big

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<v Speaker 2>moments are Ibu, and I say, calm and check me

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<v Speaker 2>on this.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's do it again.

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<v Speaker 2>In Vidia's twenty four times forward earnings twelve month forward

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<v Speaker 2>earnings that seems below.

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<v Speaker 3>It's historical average.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm basically saying, tell me about the valuation of this

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<v Speaker 2>company going into this print.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So we've seen in Vidia's valuation sort of continuously

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<v Speaker 4>tick down even through the stocks rally, because its earnings

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<v Speaker 4>growth is so astronomical. So basically, what investors are paying

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<v Speaker 4>for that forward earnings growth is less than a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of other companies, even other companies in the space that

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<v Speaker 4>come manda much higher valuation.

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<v Speaker 5>So it's interesting that it's so cheap.

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<v Speaker 4>Usually that entices investors to jump back into the stock,

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<v Speaker 4>but that remains to be seen. We'll see what happens

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<v Speaker 4>in the after hours today.

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<v Speaker 2>So smart and given the impact at the index level,

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<v Speaker 2>that's why I wanted to start on the stock story.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Carmen Ryinike, thank you very much. That's the broader picture.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's dive into Nvidia's specific concerns. We've got to Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 2>Maggie Eastland, and this is about a story of AI momentum,

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<v Speaker 2>the infrastructure build out, the basics, What does the world

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<v Speaker 2>think Nvidia is going to say after the market closed.

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<v Speaker 6>Today, Well, look across the board, folks are expecting a

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<v Speaker 6>really strong performance from Nvidia, But like we discussed earlier,

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<v Speaker 6>that might not necessarily translate to stock market gains because

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<v Speaker 6>at this point they're expected to do well.

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<v Speaker 3>AI demand is strong.

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<v Speaker 6>Jensen Wong has said that repeatedly. The thing that they're

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<v Speaker 6>going to be looking through is trying to determine how

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<v Speaker 6>long can this AI boom really last? Is this sustainable

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<v Speaker 6>for demand to be this strong for this long? And

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<v Speaker 6>then more specifically, what are some of the supply constraints.

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<v Speaker 6>Obviously demand is skyrocketing.

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<v Speaker 5>There are things like.

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<v Speaker 6>Memory, like networking that in video could run into bottlenecks

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<v Speaker 6>that ultimately limit how much of their AI compute they're

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<v Speaker 6>able to supply to hyperscalers and other customers.

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<v Speaker 2>Maggie, we're in the unusual situation, aren't we, Where it's Wednesday,

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<v Speaker 2>we have earnings. I just got back from Las Vegas.

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<v Speaker 3>We spoke to.

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<v Speaker 2>Jensen Wong on Monday, and to your point on the

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<v Speaker 2>supply demand dynamic, this is what he had to say.

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<v Speaker 7>We have the largest supply chain in the world.

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<v Speaker 8>Our partners have done a great job securing supply for us,

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<v Speaker 8>and so all of the pieces go together. The silicon,

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<v Speaker 8>photonics is lined up, Everything is all lined up. It's

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<v Speaker 8>just that the demand is much greater than the overall

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<v Speaker 8>capacity of the world.

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<v Speaker 2>Then there's the overhang, and I think you and I

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<v Speaker 2>both know the overhang on in Video is probably China,

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<v Speaker 2>even if it's not material in some sense, where do

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<v Speaker 2>we stand on China?

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<v Speaker 6>Look, the outlook is still very cloudy. So back in March,

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<v Speaker 6>Jensen Wong told investors that he was firing up H

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<v Speaker 6>two hundred production and he had US permissions. Now the

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<v Speaker 6>US has confirmed that. But what we're seeing, even after

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<v Speaker 6>Jensen joined for the trip to China last week, is

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<v Speaker 6>that US officials are saying China is blocking its companies

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<v Speaker 6>from purchasing H two hundreds. So that's a question that

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<v Speaker 6>investors are going to be asking, and in Video is

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<v Speaker 6>likely to address some of that cloudiness during its earnings.

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<v Speaker 5>Call after hours.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been really interesting sitting next to you at some

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<v Speaker 2>of the events of the last twelve months. Right we

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<v Speaker 2>started with CS in January, then GtC. A lot of

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<v Speaker 2>this is about Jensen one trying to convince the world

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<v Speaker 2>that AI is doing things that are meaningful and useful.

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<v Speaker 2>How much do you expect him to kind of linger

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<v Speaker 2>on that on the call, not necessarily talk about the

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<v Speaker 2>data centers getting built within video GPUs, but he tends

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<v Speaker 2>to offer up, hey, this is what I'm doing with

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<v Speaker 2>this particular piece of software, or this is what I

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<v Speaker 2>see in the enterprise.

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<v Speaker 6>Absolutely, I'm fully expecting Judson to emphasize all of the

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<v Speaker 6>applications for AI. Right That's the question that hyperskillers are

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<v Speaker 6>also sort of facing, is what is the end use

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<v Speaker 6>of this? Where is the return on investment going to

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<v Speaker 6>finally arrive? So we're definitely going to see and focus

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<v Speaker 6>on that. You also may see a focus on imprinting

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<v Speaker 6>with that Grock acquisition. You know, there is this story

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<v Speaker 6>in AI land that essentially compute demand is moving from

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<v Speaker 6>training to imprincing, and the question for nvideo is are

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<v Speaker 6>they going to be able to maintain their competitive mode

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<v Speaker 6>as the industry makes that shift.

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<v Speaker 2>Kloomberg's Maggie Eastland top Top Reporting. Thank you very much.

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<v Speaker 2>There's another big one out there today and come in up.

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX moves closer to what could be the biggest IPO

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<v Speaker 2>in market history. We're waiting on a pretty key document

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<v Speaker 2>and we're going to break down what to expect. It

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<v Speaker 2>is primed for list off. This is what financial markets

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<v Speaker 2>look like right now. Then a's that one hundred rebounding

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<v Speaker 2>up more than a percentage point. Semiconductors rebounding again. Friday, Monday, Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 2>we were headed for correction territory. We're up almost four

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<v Speaker 2>percent on the socks in videos at the heart of

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<v Speaker 2>the story, and we're going to keep that story throughout

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<v Speaker 2>the show.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll be right back. This is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 2>Investors are watching waiting for SPACEXIPO. The s one could

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<v Speaker 2>flip public as soon as today. That's the reporting, and

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<v Speaker 2>the company reportedly targeting a seventy five billion dollar raise

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<v Speaker 2>in a listing that could value SpaceX up to more

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<v Speaker 2>than two trillion. We also learn more about the banks.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk to Bloomberg's Anthony Hughes. It looks like Goldman

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<v Speaker 2>is flush lead left. Surprising because Morgan Stanley is also

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<v Speaker 2>a lead bank.

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<v Speaker 9>Ah Hi ed, Yes, well, I think that's not that's prizing.

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<v Speaker 9>Goldman has got the coveted lead left role here, But

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<v Speaker 9>whether that really means they're leading the IPO. I mean,

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<v Speaker 9>they are leading the IPO, but to what extent they

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<v Speaker 9>are leading it in a joint capacity with Morgan Stanley

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<v Speaker 9>will be sort of you know, a big copic of

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<v Speaker 9>debate in banking circles. But as we you know, we

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<v Speaker 9>are expecting the prospectives to show that Goldman is named

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<v Speaker 9>first and Morgan Stanley second, and then three or four

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<v Speaker 9>of the other big banks will be you know, on

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<v Speaker 9>the top top line. But you know it's a it's

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<v Speaker 9>a it's for Golden Sacks. There's there's the bragging rights

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<v Speaker 9>associated with that. But we know that Morgan Stanley's very

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<v Speaker 9>heavily involved in the IPO as well, and you know,

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<v Speaker 9>it may be that those those names are in alphabetical order.

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<v Speaker 3>It's possible.

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<v Speaker 9>And also you know, we know the Golden Sacks has

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<v Speaker 9>obviously done a lot of work for Tesla in the

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<v Speaker 9>past as well, so you know, we knew that Golden

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<v Speaker 9>Sacks was going to have a pretty big role on

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<v Speaker 9>this as well.

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<v Speaker 2>We've must is anything as straightforward as things being in

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<v Speaker 2>alphabetical order. I mean, Morgan Stanley too, Wright has done

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<v Speaker 2>a lot with XAI, did a lot with Twitter at

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<v Speaker 2>the time that must bought it. The thing about you,

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<v Speaker 2>Anthony is you're a student of history. You've covered a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of these IPOs tech IPOs, Like if you look

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<v Speaker 2>at Ali Barber, there was a flush lead left then,

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<v Speaker 2>but after the fact, when you pour through it, it

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<v Speaker 2>was pretty much equal economics.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, if we go back to Ali Barber, which was

0:10:20.960 --> 0:10:23.680
<v Speaker 9>in twenty fourteen, and you know, that was the biggest

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<v Speaker 9>IPO of the biggest us IPO, it is still the

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<v Speaker 9>biggest us IPO of all time. But that IPO actually

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<v Speaker 9>listed Credit Swiss in that lead left spot, and Credit

0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:36.600
<v Speaker 9>Swiss doesn't exist in the form that it did anymore.

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<v Speaker 9>But you know, at that time, I do remember that,

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<v Speaker 9>you know, there was a lot of debate in the

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<v Speaker 9>bank and banking circles about which bank was really, you know,

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<v Speaker 9>really leading the IPO. And I think if you talk

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<v Speaker 9>to people who are involved in that transaction, Credit Swiss

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<v Speaker 9>wasn't necessarily the bank that did the bulk of the work.

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<v Speaker 9>But you know, what we'll actually see. What we'll see

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<v Speaker 9>here is that what we're expecting. I think what is

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<v Speaker 9>rumored is that the top five banks would actually get

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<v Speaker 9>ecoeconomics or similar fees. So you know, there'll be some

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<v Speaker 9>differentiation between the roles that the banks play, but they

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<v Speaker 9>are those top five banks or so we'll likely be

0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:16.960
<v Speaker 9>getting similar fees. And if you go back to Ali

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<v Speaker 9>Barbara in twenty fourteen, the top five or six banks

0:11:19.679 --> 0:11:22.079
<v Speaker 9>did get the same fees, so you know there is

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<v Speaker 9>some parallels with that transaction.

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<v Speaker 2>Again, we are expecting the biggest IPO of all time,

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<v Speaker 2>and those banks are going to get big business from that.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg is Anthony Hughes, thank you very much. Indeed, staying

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<v Speaker 2>with SpaceX. The company is reportedly planning to acquire coding

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:42.359
<v Speaker 2>startup Cursor just thirty days or within thirty days.

0:11:42.240 --> 0:11:43.960
<v Speaker 3>After its IPO. That's according to sources.

0:11:43.960 --> 0:11:46.640
<v Speaker 2>In April, SpaceX said it reached an agreement giving it

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:50.120
<v Speaker 2>the right to acquire Cursor for sixty billion dollars later

0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:53.560
<v Speaker 2>this year, alternatively pay a ten billion dollar fee tied

0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:57.640
<v Speaker 2>to the company's partnership. Bloomberg's Rachel Metz has been across this,

0:11:58.040 --> 0:12:01.360
<v Speaker 2>the chaos of it, every twist in turn. I mean,

0:12:01.400 --> 0:12:04.000
<v Speaker 2>it's so interesting, right. We were asking ourselves at the

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:07.240
<v Speaker 2>time in April, like why is it structured this way?

0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:10.680
<v Speaker 2>And then you break the news last night that actually

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.400
<v Speaker 2>they go public and then there's a race to get

0:12:13.400 --> 0:12:14.800
<v Speaker 2>this transaction done.

0:12:16.080 --> 0:12:16.440
<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:20.840
<v Speaker 11>So this transaction, according to our reporting, is set to

0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 11>proceed thirty days after the IPO. So what that doesn't

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.280
<v Speaker 11>mean that it will close necessarily right then. Sometimes there's

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.200
<v Speaker 11>regulatory looking into that happens, and that could take up

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:36.440
<v Speaker 11>to a few months, but it is set to go

0:12:36.520 --> 0:12:40.319
<v Speaker 11>ahead or expected, I should say, to go ahead around

0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:43.560
<v Speaker 11>that time. And the other thing that we found that

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 11>was interesting is that this ten billion dollar fee we

0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:50.200
<v Speaker 11>knew in the past from past reporting that it was

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:53.800
<v Speaker 11>essentially a breakup fee if the transaction didn't happen. But

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.520
<v Speaker 11>we also found that it's going to be in all cash,

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:59.079
<v Speaker 11>it's not going to be in credits for computer or

0:12:59.120 --> 0:12:59.840
<v Speaker 11>something like that.

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:02.360
<v Speaker 2>There's going to be a section of the blombog tech

0:13:02.400 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 2>audience with respect that they're going to say, hold on,

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:11.080
<v Speaker 2>SpaceX is acquiring a coding startup, Cursor, and let's fill

0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:14.600
<v Speaker 2>the gaps for them. SpaceX acquired Xai just before it

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:18.760
<v Speaker 2>plans to go public. Spacexai is like this bigger entity.

0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:20.480
<v Speaker 2>Where does Cursor fit in.

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.360
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, that's a really good question, and I think part

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:27.439
<v Speaker 11>of it, as you mentioned, is this combination between SpaceX

0:13:27.480 --> 0:13:28.120
<v Speaker 11>and Xai.

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.359
<v Speaker 5>Xai has a ton of compute.

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:35.000
<v Speaker 11>Compute is something that Cursor really really needs more of,

0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 11>as we saw just the other day, they announced their

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 11>latest model, which is meant to help people with coding,

0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:44.240
<v Speaker 11>as some of its past have done, and it was

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 11>partially trained on Colossus two, which is a new data

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:52.720
<v Speaker 11>center from Xai. So you're starting to see the companies

0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 11>already working together and this sense that they can be

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:57.960
<v Speaker 11>really helpful to each other.

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:05.960
<v Speaker 2>What I understand is about people. Something that happened post

0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:09.079
<v Speaker 2>Xai SpaceX integration, a lot of talent left.

0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:12.040
<v Speaker 3>Do you have any sense of how Cursor feels about that? Right?

0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 2>There is the wow, we get to work with Elon Musk,

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.280
<v Speaker 2>and there's also the ut, oh we have to work

0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:17.319
<v Speaker 2>for Elon Musk.

0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:19.280
<v Speaker 10>That's a really good question.

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 11>I mean, I think these two companies have been familiar

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.040
<v Speaker 11>with each other for a while that there have been

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:26.800
<v Speaker 11>a few Cursor people. I believe that I've gone over

0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 11>to Xai. So it's going to be interesting to see

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:33.080
<v Speaker 11>what happens, right. I mean, as we know, as you mentioned,

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 11>a lot of people had left Xai over time, but

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 11>I mean Cursor they feels a really strong team, and

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 11>we'll just have to wait and see.

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 2>Bloomboa's Rachel Matt's top Reporting. Thank you very much. Coming

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:48.479
<v Speaker 2>out from the program, we're going to speak to AMCA

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 2>CEO Joi Malik after raising a three hundred million dollars

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:58.200
<v Speaker 2>Series B Unicorn status manufacturing in critical Defense and Aerospace.

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 2>That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech. Let's take a look

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:20.240
<v Speaker 2>at today's big number. Eight thousand. That's how many employees

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 2>Meta is laying off starting today as part of a

0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 2>previously announced restructuring aimed at reducing costs while investing in AI.

0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 2>The company began notifying workers around the world this morning.

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 2>Metas engineering and product teams are expected to be the

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 2>most impacted. Meanwhile, remember we told you yesterday about Standard

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.520
<v Speaker 2>Chartered CEO Bill Winter saying his company plans to cut

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:46.280
<v Speaker 2>staff too, to replace quote lower value human capital with AI.

0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 3>Well.

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:49.440
<v Speaker 2>Those comments received a bit of a backlash online, including

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:53.960
<v Speaker 2>from former Singapore President Halimi Yakob, calling it disturbing to

0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:57.280
<v Speaker 2>describe workers in such clinical terms. Singapore and Hong Kong

0:15:57.520 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 2>serve as the primary hubs for Standard CHARTSOBAL operations. That's

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.120
<v Speaker 2>all prompted the CEO to reassure staff in a memo

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 2>seen by Bloomberg, Winters is striking a more empathetic tone

0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:13.960
<v Speaker 2>and emphasizing the bank's commitment to transitioning its workforce really

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 2>well read Today on Bloomberg, AMKA has announced a three

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:21.400
<v Speaker 2>hundred million Series B, valuing the company the more than

0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:24.520
<v Speaker 2>a billion dollars. The company offers an integrated platform to

0:16:24.640 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 2>rapidly develop and manufacture critical aerospace and defense of components,

0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:33.640
<v Speaker 2>joining us as AMCA CEO J Malik in the private markets,

0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:36.600
<v Speaker 2>this space is alive and well, right, we've talked so

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 2>much about reindustrializing America. Help me understand what AMKA is.

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:45.640
<v Speaker 2>You know, it sounds like contract manufacturing for the industries

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 2>defense technology, aerospace that are a forefront of what's happening

0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 2>right now.

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:54.680
<v Speaker 12>Absolutely, So what AMCA is actually doing is we're developing

0:16:55.520 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 12>and then manufacturing critical components, not just contract manufacturing, for

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 12>critical readiness and production gaps that our customers have. And

0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 12>so typically these components there's only a single source for

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:13.040
<v Speaker 12>in the country, unlike other contract manufacturing categories, and our

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:17.840
<v Speaker 12>business designs these components, qualifies them rapidly and then manufactures them.

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:19.160
<v Speaker 10>So it's a little bit different.

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:21.879
<v Speaker 12>Than your typical contract manufacturing business, which is, you know,

0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:27.160
<v Speaker 12>just a machine shop you're looking to produce at scale.

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 2>Jay case study Why harness right, That's something we talked

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:33.879
<v Speaker 2>about a lot in this program. Heavy dependence in that

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:38.399
<v Speaker 2>case study on China. Give me a similar product, a

0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 2>similar sort of component that you are solving for where

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.600
<v Speaker 2>there might be a reliance on an external country to

0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:46.280
<v Speaker 2>get it.

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:49.679
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, you know. I'll give you two examples.

0:17:50.119 --> 0:17:52.360
<v Speaker 12>One example are the sensors that we put onto our

0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:54.440
<v Speaker 12>you know, put on put onto almost all of our industrial

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 12>platforms today. A lot of those sensors are sourced to

0:17:57.880 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 12>sensing elements are sourced from off or you know, offshore

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:04.000
<v Speaker 12>companies and nations allied with them.

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 5>You know.

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 10>That's one example.

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 12>Another example would be, you know, capacitors in other passive

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.679
<v Speaker 12>electronic electrical components. These are often components that have been

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:16.400
<v Speaker 12>offshore you know, to Asian countries over the past three decades.

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:18.320
<v Speaker 10>In America today has.

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 12>A very very lowd windling supply base for these types

0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:23.639
<v Speaker 12>of entergy components. And so that those are two examples

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:26.679
<v Speaker 12>of areas where we are designing in the country and

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:27.879
<v Speaker 12>then manufacturing into the country.

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 10>Those components for the warfighter.

0:18:31.400 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 2>Jay, just have a few rapid fire questions if I may,

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 2>what years have you found this company?

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:40.280
<v Speaker 10>Twenty twenty four in November twenty.

0:18:40.000 --> 0:18:42.320
<v Speaker 2>Twenty four in November? And is this one billion dollar

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 2>valuation post money or pre money?

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 10>That is post money?

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 2>So in about eighteen months you've founded, launched, and scaled

0:18:51.640 --> 0:18:54.400
<v Speaker 2>up this company and got to a billion dollar valuation.

0:18:55.520 --> 0:18:57.880
<v Speaker 3>What should I infer from that? The pace at which

0:18:57.920 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 3>you've done.

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:00.920
<v Speaker 12>That, you should infer that you know, we're living at

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:05.159
<v Speaker 12>I would say the largest gap between what America needs

0:19:05.480 --> 0:19:06.639
<v Speaker 12>and what America.

0:19:06.320 --> 0:19:08.680
<v Speaker 10>Is able to produce in generations.

0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:11.879
<v Speaker 12>It's a generational opportunity for folks who are looking to

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.160
<v Speaker 12>build in this country. I think over the next five

0:19:14.160 --> 0:19:16.240
<v Speaker 12>to ten years you will see a lot more manufacturing

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 12>companies in America building for America. And we're just, you know,

0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 12>sitting at the forefront of this. I think immense growth

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:25.879
<v Speaker 12>growth curve that's that's coming and will and it is

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:29.280
<v Speaker 12>already happening in the nation, both for defense and aerospace

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 12>customers as well as in other categories like AI, infrastructure, energy, robotics,

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:33.720
<v Speaker 12>et cetera.

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:35.720
<v Speaker 3>Jay, who are your customers?

0:19:37.359 --> 0:19:41.159
<v Speaker 12>You know, do the sensitive nature of you know, of

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:43.040
<v Speaker 12>the work that we do. I can you know, disclose

0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:45.680
<v Speaker 12>any specific names, you know, but some of the names

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:47.720
<v Speaker 12>that that we are we have been able to disclose

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 12>are you know, Boeing, Airbus, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin and then

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:55.560
<v Speaker 12>you know certain branches of the military. But you know,

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 12>all of our components today that go on to platforms.

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 12>We all know about seven thirty seven, MAS, Triple seven,

0:20:01.160 --> 0:20:05.239
<v Speaker 12>F thirty five's, F fifteen's, F sixteen's, you know our

0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 12>tanks and m K one abrams. So there's there's plenty

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 12>of plenty of your different platforms that we're on today

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:14.320
<v Speaker 12>that the country actively uses.

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's interesting we've we've probably spent a lot

0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 2>of time understanding some of the problems that those customers

0:20:22.040 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 2>that you've just outlined have, but probably of ancor it's

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 2>better to talk about what your constraints are, where the

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:29.960
<v Speaker 2>bottlenecks are for you and your own supply chain.

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:34.600
<v Speaker 12>You know, in our own supply chain, there are certainly,

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 12>you know, big gaps right now at the sort of

0:20:37.400 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 12>like infrastructure level, like I mentioned, you know, for sensors,

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 12>for example, you know, we need sensing elements these are

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 12>highly precise, you know, elements that go into sensors that

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:50.639
<v Speaker 12>the country doesn't have a lot of suppliers for. So

0:20:50.680 --> 0:20:52.800
<v Speaker 12>in those cases, you know, we're taking a new approach.

0:20:52.840 --> 0:20:56.800
<v Speaker 12>We're vertically integrating a lot of our you know, our supply,

0:20:57.280 --> 0:20:59.840
<v Speaker 12>designing that in house and then manufacturing it in house

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:02.879
<v Speaker 12>to solve gas where the domestic supply chain is not

0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:04.080
<v Speaker 12>able to suppliers.

0:21:04.119 --> 0:21:05.680
<v Speaker 10>Complim J.

0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:09.080
<v Speaker 2>Malik of AMKA raising three hundred million dollars one billion

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:12.120
<v Speaker 2>dollar valuation, Thank you very much. Plenty of other news

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:15.280
<v Speaker 2>headlines for the show's time for Talking Tech. First up,

0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 2>Open ai is planning its first international flag, the chat

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 2>GBT maker, committing two hundred and thirty four million dollars

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 2>to launch a new facility in Singapore, its first so

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 2>called applied AI lab outside the US. Partnering with local authorities.

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.800
<v Speaker 2>To Hub will hire over two hundred engineers to embed

0:21:30.840 --> 0:21:34.640
<v Speaker 2>advanced models straight into healthcare, finance, and public infrastructure. Plus

0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:37.800
<v Speaker 2>Ali Baba's matching in video's breakneck pace its chip units.

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 2>Teahead just unveiled a new AI accelerator packaging one hundred

0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 2>and forty four gigabytes of memory for complex autonomous agent tasks.

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:49.080
<v Speaker 2>Ali Baba plans to publicly list the business to tap

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:55.080
<v Speaker 2>investor appetite for Chinese silicon alternatives. And Google is redesigning

0:21:55.160 --> 0:21:58.560
<v Speaker 2>its iconic search box and adding new AI coding tools,

0:21:58.560 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 2>the biggest update to the product in more than a

0:22:00.920 --> 0:22:04.040
<v Speaker 2>quarter of a century. A Google Io event on Tuesday,

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 2>the company also rolled out several new tools for developers

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:12.600
<v Speaker 2>to write code using AI and to manage agents. Coming up,

0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:17.560
<v Speaker 2>we're counting down to in Video earnings later today after

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 2>the closing bell, and up next we'll discuss its role

0:22:20.720 --> 0:22:25.280
<v Speaker 2>in the wider chip ecosystem with Bailey Giffard's Paulina o'padden.

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 2>This is what markets look like right now, and in

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:31.360
<v Speaker 2>Vidia is central to that story. And that's that one

0:22:31.440 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 2>hundred rebounding up one point four percent semiconductors after three

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:40.160
<v Speaker 2>straight danes of heavy declines, almost in correction, territory rebounding

0:22:40.440 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 2>up four percent. In Video is now near session highs,

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:47.520
<v Speaker 2>up more than two percent halftime in the program, Stay

0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:59.120
<v Speaker 2>with us, This is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:03.120
<v Speaker 2>In Video Earnings on deck, company reporting its earnings results

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.800
<v Speaker 2>after the market close, when near session highs up more

0:23:06.840 --> 0:23:10.800
<v Speaker 2>than two percent, and for many watchers, China is top

0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 2>of mind.

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:16.720
<v Speaker 8>The Chinese government has to decide how much of their

0:23:16.800 --> 0:23:19.120
<v Speaker 8>local market do they want to protect and how much

0:23:19.160 --> 0:23:20.639
<v Speaker 8>of their local markets do they want.

0:23:20.480 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 7>To expand with a more AI capacity.

0:23:23.800 --> 0:23:26.680
<v Speaker 8>My sense is that the demand in China is so incredible,

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 8>just like it is here. Agentic AI is also making

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:31.920
<v Speaker 8>enormous progress there.

0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:35.920
<v Speaker 7>My sense is that over time the market will open.

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:41.879
<v Speaker 2>Two themes, what's happening with China and demand outpacing supply

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 2>around the world. Let's discuss where video sits in the

0:23:44.840 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 2>global chip ecosystem with Paulina mcpadden, Investment Manager of International

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:52.960
<v Speaker 2>Concentrated Growth Strategy at Bailey Gifford. I'm so excited to

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:55.360
<v Speaker 2>talk to you because, yes, in video is in your strategy,

0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.919
<v Speaker 2>but so is everything else around the world. And what

0:23:59.080 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Gensen outlined there on China's so interesting. The base case

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:05.359
<v Speaker 2>assumption right now for Invidia is zero access to China.

0:24:05.520 --> 0:24:06.720
<v Speaker 3>Maybe we'll get some clarity.

0:24:07.720 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 2>There's everything else that comes with that, and I just

0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 2>wonder how much attention you really pay to in Nvidia's

0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 2>ability to service the China market or not.

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:18.359
<v Speaker 5>I mean, it's a really good question.

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:20.640
<v Speaker 13>And I think the honest answer is it's not really

0:24:20.680 --> 0:24:23.760
<v Speaker 13>factored into our upside cases for Nvidia for a while

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:26.560
<v Speaker 13>because the problem there is you're having to try and

0:24:26.560 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 13>prejudge what politicians might want to do at some point

0:24:29.720 --> 0:24:32.359
<v Speaker 13>in the future. So each two hundreds have been approved

0:24:32.400 --> 0:24:34.800
<v Speaker 13>for export to China since last year, but it's the

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.160
<v Speaker 13>Chinese government's decision not to approve purchases by Chinese companies

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 13>that has stopped that sale going through for for Nvidia. Now,

0:24:42.080 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 13>I think the really interesting long term question for US

0:24:44.600 --> 0:24:47.040
<v Speaker 13>is actually what that means for the broader supply chain

0:24:47.080 --> 0:24:49.439
<v Speaker 13>in the long term, because is there a case that

0:24:49.520 --> 0:24:52.600
<v Speaker 13>China could build up its own domestic chip supply chain.

0:24:53.160 --> 0:24:55.200
<v Speaker 5>Now long term, maybe that's.

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 13>Possible, maybe it does threaten in the video eventually, but

0:24:57.520 --> 0:24:59.520
<v Speaker 13>two things give me comfort on that or at least

0:24:59.560 --> 0:25:02.679
<v Speaker 13>the next five years. One of those is that the

0:25:02.720 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 13>existing high power chips in China are still a fraction

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:08.360
<v Speaker 13>of the performance of Nvidia's leading chips, so I think

0:25:08.440 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 13>that gives non Chinese companies and AI.

0:25:11.359 --> 0:25:13.439
<v Speaker 5>Researchers a leg up for the long term.

0:25:14.160 --> 0:25:16.520
<v Speaker 13>And the second thing is it's actually really really hard

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:20.760
<v Speaker 13>to build up a scaled and complex semiconductor supply chain.

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 5>It's not as easy as just putting capital into.

0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 13>It, as China has done in the past with things

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 13>like EVS and emmersion into global dominance in the battery

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 13>supply chain, for example. These are extremely complex bits of

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:35.359
<v Speaker 13>equipment that require cooperation around the world, and that's just

0:25:35.400 --> 0:25:37.440
<v Speaker 13>not something that I think you can do year on

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:40.879
<v Speaker 13>year if you're only relying on the domestic demand that

0:25:40.920 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 13>you get from China and you're not able to sell internationally.

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 2>We just showed s k Heinex is a part of

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 2>your strategy, and what we played to you a moment

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:52.359
<v Speaker 2>ago was a conversation I had with Jensen one on Monday,

0:25:53.200 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 2>and it seems memory is still the bottleneck. But the

0:25:56.080 --> 0:25:58.640
<v Speaker 2>way that Jensen outlined it to me is three years

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:01.760
<v Speaker 2>ago he went to the Memory make is, including Skhinex,

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 2>and he said, this is what I think the world

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:06.399
<v Speaker 2>will look like in a few years time, and he

0:26:06.480 --> 0:26:09.760
<v Speaker 2>tried to convince them to invest in permanent capacity. You

0:26:09.840 --> 0:26:12.639
<v Speaker 2>know better than I do, Paulina. Memory has been boom

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:17.159
<v Speaker 2>and bust cyclical historically. In your strategy for SK is

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:20.280
<v Speaker 2>that different now? Is there permanency to the capacity that's needed.

0:26:21.160 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 13>So I think bottlenecks is a really interesting framing because

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 13>people tend to think, oh, bottleneck is extremely investable and

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:29.399
<v Speaker 13>that can lead to a lot of growth and a

0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 13>lot of upside.

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:31.359
<v Speaker 5>And that's true to a certain extent.

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 13>But I think Marcus are actually quite good in some

0:26:34.119 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 13>cases recognizing bottlenecks well ahead of time and investing in

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:39.760
<v Speaker 13>them before the fundamentals.

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 5>Even come through.

0:26:40.080 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 13>So as long term investors, what we're trying to do

0:26:42.440 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 13>is identify these structural opportunities. Are companies that become even

0:26:46.400 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 13>better as they scale and deepen their competitive position in

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 13>the ecosystem. So i'd contrast sk Hinex here on the

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:56.400
<v Speaker 13>one hand, with TSMC because to some extents of portfolio

0:26:56.400 --> 0:26:59.760
<v Speaker 13>construction question. So I think that there is a potential

0:26:59.760 --> 0:27:03.280
<v Speaker 13>that Skiheyinex becomes a substantially better company over the long term.

0:27:03.520 --> 0:27:06.120
<v Speaker 13>The fact that they are able to extract these long

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 13>term purchase agreements from customers now is really a substantial

0:27:09.280 --> 0:27:13.720
<v Speaker 13>difference over history. The industry has consolidated, it's not as

0:27:13.720 --> 0:27:15.919
<v Speaker 13>irrational as it used to be, and I think that

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:17.879
<v Speaker 13>there is a case to be made that with the

0:27:17.960 --> 0:27:21.240
<v Speaker 13>rise of HBM and in particular custom HBM that creates

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:23.560
<v Speaker 13>a degree of lock in with customers. That means that

0:27:23.600 --> 0:27:25.800
<v Speaker 13>these are no longer commoditized products as they have.

0:27:25.800 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 5>Been in the past.

0:27:26.960 --> 0:27:30.600
<v Speaker 13>But that's just a hypothesis, and I think we're going

0:27:30.600 --> 0:27:33.120
<v Speaker 13>to see how that develops over time. And i'd contrast

0:27:33.200 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 13>that with something like TSMC, which is actually the largest

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:38.359
<v Speaker 13>position in our portfolio, where I think they have demonstrated

0:27:38.359 --> 0:27:41.920
<v Speaker 13>that extreme control and dominance over their entire supply chain

0:27:41.920 --> 0:27:45.080
<v Speaker 13>and the ability to coordinate multiple actors in an increasingly

0:27:45.119 --> 0:27:49.240
<v Speaker 13>complex ecosystem. And that means that as semiconductors become ever

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:52.160
<v Speaker 13>more complicated to produce, TSMC just keeps getting better.

0:27:53.200 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes you can't say what the story is from just

0:27:56.600 --> 0:28:00.239
<v Speaker 2>a few market sessions, but Friday through Tuesday's close, we

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:03.919
<v Speaker 2>were almost in correction territory, particularly in the chip sector,

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:08.040
<v Speaker 2>right and you're coming to us from sunny Scotland. I

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:10.040
<v Speaker 2>was trying to make sense of what the net outcome

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:12.560
<v Speaker 2>was of the President of the United States trip to China.

0:28:13.080 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 2>And without putting words in your mouth, I think that

0:28:14.920 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 2>you would say investors now start to look outside of

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:19.360
<v Speaker 2>the US, look internationally.

0:28:20.680 --> 0:28:23.479
<v Speaker 13>I would certainly hope so there's such a rich hunting

0:28:23.520 --> 0:28:26.520
<v Speaker 13>ground for AI related names outside the US. I think

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 13>it's there's a really interesting dichotomy that chips and AI

0:28:29.640 --> 0:28:33.520
<v Speaker 13>is sort of designed in America, but it's manufactured internationally.

0:28:33.880 --> 0:28:37.160
<v Speaker 13>Whether it's TSMC actually making the chips themselves, whether it's

0:28:37.280 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 13>ke Heinex putting the memory inside the systems, or ASML

0:28:41.520 --> 0:28:46.640
<v Speaker 13>that builds the EUV machines the lithography machines for producing

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 13>the chips at TSMC FABS they do that in the Netherlands.

0:28:49.920 --> 0:28:52.680
<v Speaker 13>Like all of these companies are extremely interesting, again, extremely

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:55.600
<v Speaker 13>dominant in their particular industries, and that makes them great

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:57.840
<v Speaker 13>investments for a concentrated strategy.

0:28:58.320 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 5>Lake ICG.

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 13>I think the other thing that we can do, being

0:29:01.280 --> 0:29:05.560
<v Speaker 13>based in Sunny Scotland is take that step back and say, yes,

0:29:05.640 --> 0:29:07.920
<v Speaker 13>the market is doing its thing. There's a tendency, I

0:29:07.960 --> 0:29:10.720
<v Speaker 13>think for the market to price a lack of a

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:11.520
<v Speaker 13>catalyst as.

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:14.000
<v Speaker 5>A negative thing. The fact that there wasn't really any

0:29:14.040 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 5>news about at.

0:29:15.560 --> 0:29:18.440
<v Speaker 13>Chipex Sports coming out of the Chinese summit was seen

0:29:18.440 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 13>as a bad thing, But I think over the very

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:22.800
<v Speaker 13>long term, none of that affects the fundamentals of any

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 13>of these companies. They are still extremely strong growing and

0:29:26.680 --> 0:29:30.360
<v Speaker 13>in fact, the fact that TSMC raised its guidance for

0:29:30.880 --> 0:29:34.320
<v Speaker 13>AI growth over the next five years to fifty six

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:37.680
<v Speaker 13>percent is really encouraging because again they have this insight

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 13>into the entire supply chain, and so the fact that

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:42.000
<v Speaker 13>they're able to do that with a great degree of

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 13>confidence gives us the conviction as well.

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 2>Paulina mcpadden of Bailey Gifford from Sunny Scotland putting a

0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:52.240
<v Speaker 2>pretty sunny disposition on this reporter's face, thank you very much. Indeed,

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:55.760
<v Speaker 2>from public markets to the private markets again, today's Big

0:29:55.800 --> 0:29:59.560
<v Speaker 2>Take focuses on soft Banks Open Ai. Bet it's committed

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:02.400
<v Speaker 2>more than sixty billion dollars to open Ai. We founder

0:30:02.440 --> 0:30:06.800
<v Speaker 2>Mashoosi's son reportedly convinced Sam Altman is leading the most

0:30:06.840 --> 0:30:10.520
<v Speaker 2>important technology shift of the century. But as rival Anthropic

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:14.440
<v Speaker 2>gains ground, questions are growing even inside soft Bank about

0:30:14.440 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 2>whether the company may be too heavily tied to open

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 2>AI's success. Bloomberg's executive editor for Global Tech, Peter Elstrom,

0:30:21.680 --> 0:30:25.040
<v Speaker 2>has the story no surprise that around the world the

0:30:25.080 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 2>big tech take has clicked on right, take us inside it.

0:30:28.480 --> 0:30:30.640
<v Speaker 2>What are the details We're reporting, What do we learn

0:30:30.720 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 2>about this dynamic between Masosi's sun, his fixation on Sam Altman,

0:30:35.280 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 2>and what the rest of that organization is thinking.

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:41.960
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, so this is a deep dive into the situation

0:30:42.120 --> 0:30:44.800
<v Speaker 14>at SoftBank. Masioshu Son, as you pointed out, has been

0:30:44.840 --> 0:30:48.240
<v Speaker 14>investing in starlups for a long time. He's had several

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:52.200
<v Speaker 14>enormous hits, including Olive Babo was one of his biggest successes,

0:30:52.320 --> 0:30:55.040
<v Speaker 14>the Chinese Ai company, and then he went into the

0:30:55.120 --> 0:30:58.080
<v Speaker 14>Vision Fund and he made hundreds of birds on small AI,

0:30:58.520 --> 0:31:02.880
<v Speaker 14>small technology company, some successfully and some not so successfully.

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:06.160
<v Speaker 14>And now with open Ai, he's committed more than sixty

0:31:06.280 --> 0:31:09.280
<v Speaker 14>billion dollars in capital, his biggest bet ever. It's a

0:31:09.400 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 14>very big concentration of the money that he's investing in

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 14>a single place, more money than he's ever put in

0:31:15.000 --> 0:31:18.640
<v Speaker 14>a single company before. He's not only selling assets, including

0:31:18.640 --> 0:31:21.640
<v Speaker 14>some Nvidia stock by the way, he's also borrowing some

0:31:21.720 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 14>money to be able to make this commitment to open

0:31:24.040 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 14>Ai and give Sam Altman the kind of capital that

0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:29.400
<v Speaker 14>he wants. Now, as you mentioned, there are concerns that

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:33.280
<v Speaker 14>are being raised, including inside SoftBank, that maybe Monsieur Shesn

0:31:33.360 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 14>is a little.

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:34.800
<v Speaker 7>Bit starstruck here.

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 14>Maybe he's being persuaded by this very charismatic founder to

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 14>put in more money than really should be at this point.

0:31:41.800 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 14>So it goes into some of the details of those concerns.

0:31:45.120 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 14>And as you point out, this is at a time

0:31:46.680 --> 0:31:51.240
<v Speaker 14>when open ai is facing some strategy challenge, some business challenges,

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 14>and also reputational challenges as we've seen with Sam Altman.

0:31:55.920 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 2>We're showing it sixty five billion dollars cumulatively through twenty twenty.

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 2>That's the reporting on the insider concern. What was soft

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:05.840
<v Speaker 2>Bank's response to the big tape?

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:10.000
<v Speaker 14>Peter Now soft Bank and open Ai, we should say,

0:32:10.040 --> 0:32:12.440
<v Speaker 14>pointed out that they have a great relationship. They feel

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:15.480
<v Speaker 14>like it's a very strong partnership at this point. But

0:32:16.040 --> 0:32:17.920
<v Speaker 14>what some of the people have told us is that

0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:21.000
<v Speaker 14>there are a few areas of concern. First of all,

0:32:21.240 --> 0:32:24.160
<v Speaker 14>soft Bank and open Ai talked about this big stargate

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:26.000
<v Speaker 14>venture that they were going to do in the United States.

0:32:26.080 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 14>To recall, it was last year when they got together

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 14>with President Trump and they talked about how they can

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:33.800
<v Speaker 14>invest one hundred billion dollars, maybe even five hundred billion

0:32:33.840 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 14>dollars in the US. Now they have begun to make

0:32:36.520 --> 0:32:39.160
<v Speaker 14>some of those investments, but they've gone very very slowly,

0:32:39.440 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 14>and in the meantime, open Ai has struck some other

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:46.920
<v Speaker 14>deals under this Stargate name. They've cut some deals with

0:32:46.960 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 14>other data center operators. So Massio she Son, who sort

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 14>of viewed himself as like an equal partner who's going

0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:54.120
<v Speaker 14>to be able to play a very key role at

0:32:54.160 --> 0:32:56.680
<v Speaker 14>this company, is not getting the kind of stature and

0:32:56.720 --> 0:32:58.680
<v Speaker 14>the attention that he would like. He doesn't have a

0:32:58.680 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 14>seat on the board. He doesn't even have an advisor

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 14>a sheeet on the board like many of the other

0:33:02.600 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 14>companies there.

0:33:03.440 --> 0:33:04.240
<v Speaker 3>But there are.

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:08.120
<v Speaker 14>Constraints inside SoftBank in outside SoftBank about how this relationship

0:33:08.160 --> 0:33:08.960
<v Speaker 14>has going so far.

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Peter Elstrom with the big take, Thank you very much.

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.400
<v Speaker 2>An update on the situation with Samsung's workers' union, which

0:33:16.440 --> 0:33:20.680
<v Speaker 2>has decided to suspend its planned strike. South Korea's Yonhap

0:33:20.720 --> 0:33:23.400
<v Speaker 2>news agency says the union will put a tentative wage

0:33:23.440 --> 0:33:27.040
<v Speaker 2>agreement with Samsung management to a vote. This comes after

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:30.400
<v Speaker 2>days of stop and start negotiations with the union threatening

0:33:30.440 --> 0:33:34.400
<v Speaker 2>an eighteen day walkout that was supposed to start tomorrow.

0:33:34.480 --> 0:33:36.920
<v Speaker 2>We'll keep tracking that story and now coming up Forum

0:33:37.040 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 2>AI CEO Campbell Brown will be joining us discuss how

0:33:40.600 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 2>the major AI models are fundamentally unready to handle news

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:51.760
<v Speaker 2>and geopolitics and Nvidia earnings after the market close. That

0:33:51.920 --> 0:33:54.280
<v Speaker 2>is the big story and factor in markets right now.

0:33:54.440 --> 0:33:57.040
<v Speaker 2>This is what markets look like at the index level.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:33:59.680
<v Speaker 2>That's that one hundred up one point four percent, big

0:33:59.720 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 2>rebound after three days of declinentes in the socks of

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:05.000
<v Speaker 2>four percent. Nvidio is off its session highs but up

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:07.960
<v Speaker 2>two percent. There's a lot riding. There is a beaten

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:10.719
<v Speaker 2>raised kind of expectation that Jensen one is going to

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:12.960
<v Speaker 2>tell us something big later today.

0:34:13.120 --> 0:34:14.120
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:34:21.040 --> 0:34:23.800
<v Speaker 2>A new study by four am ais says quote AI

0:34:23.880 --> 0:34:27.319
<v Speaker 2>companies are grading their own homework. The report reveals are

0:34:27.320 --> 0:34:31.440
<v Speaker 2>staggering ninety percent failure of rate on election questions across

0:34:31.480 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 2>four major chatbots, and they are routinely serving up Russian

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:40.239
<v Speaker 2>and Chinese state media as authoritative sources. Joining us now

0:34:40.280 --> 0:34:43.360
<v Speaker 2>as the CEO of FORUMAI, Campbell Brown, who believes AI

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:48.440
<v Speaker 2>companies have to be different. The headline Campbell is that

0:34:48.560 --> 0:34:50.680
<v Speaker 2>chatbots struggle with news accuracy.

0:34:50.800 --> 0:34:51.919
<v Speaker 3>If we're going to make.

0:34:51.840 --> 0:34:54.480
<v Speaker 2>It as simple as we can, but I think the

0:34:54.480 --> 0:34:57.200
<v Speaker 2>best place to start is with the methodology. You know

0:34:57.239 --> 0:35:00.680
<v Speaker 2>what you went and tested in how you tested it.

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:01.200
<v Speaker 3>Sure ed.

0:35:01.640 --> 0:35:06.040
<v Speaker 15>We've looked at essentially three dimensions, which is factual accuracy

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 15>biased generally, and then the quality of the sources that

0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 15>they used. And the way we did it was training

0:35:12.400 --> 0:35:17.960
<v Speaker 15>judgment models with senior domain experts who architected benchmarks. This

0:35:18.000 --> 0:35:20.040
<v Speaker 15>is an area I think it's worth pointing out that

0:35:20.120 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 15>hasn't gotten a lot of measurement. Most of the measurement

0:35:23.080 --> 0:35:25.640
<v Speaker 15>and benchmarks that you see around the models is focused

0:35:25.760 --> 0:35:30.040
<v Speaker 15>on coding and math and model capability, which makes sense.

0:35:30.120 --> 0:35:31.839
<v Speaker 15>I mean, this is where the model companies are making

0:35:31.840 --> 0:35:34.560
<v Speaker 15>their money, but they're also marketing the chat bots as

0:35:34.560 --> 0:35:37.840
<v Speaker 15>consumer products. People are using them for all kinds of

0:35:37.920 --> 0:35:41.279
<v Speaker 15>questions and certainly in an election year, political information is

0:35:41.280 --> 0:35:43.279
<v Speaker 15>going to be really important and they're not right now

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:44.040
<v Speaker 15>where they need to be.

0:35:45.080 --> 0:35:47.280
<v Speaker 2>I want to get to the midterms just very quickly.

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:50.160
<v Speaker 2>The evail process is called news bench wide, right, yep?

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:54.200
<v Speaker 2>Do we have the why on why chatbots struggle with

0:35:54.239 --> 0:35:55.040
<v Speaker 2>news accuracy?

0:35:55.239 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 3>What's the cause?

0:35:57.440 --> 0:36:00.719
<v Speaker 15>Honestly, I think it hasn't been a priority. As I said,

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:04.080
<v Speaker 15>they're leaning into other areas in terms of the measurement.

0:36:05.040 --> 0:36:08.880
<v Speaker 15>I think that's going to change, not only because consumers

0:36:09.160 --> 0:36:12.520
<v Speaker 15>are looking for it and going to demand it eventually,

0:36:12.520 --> 0:36:14.800
<v Speaker 15>but I think enterprise is starting to demanding it, to

0:36:14.960 --> 0:36:18.240
<v Speaker 15>starting to demand it. And that's again where their focus

0:36:18.320 --> 0:36:21.719
<v Speaker 15>is from a business perspective, and being just okay on

0:36:21.840 --> 0:36:25.360
<v Speaker 15>accuracy overall on news and politics and geopolitics is not

0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:26.000
<v Speaker 15>going to cut it.

0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about the midterms them. The Bloomberg report states

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:33.799
<v Speaker 2>the chatbots answers about elections failed on accuracy, bias, or

0:36:33.840 --> 0:36:36.839
<v Speaker 2>source selection ninety percent of the time. What I found

0:36:36.880 --> 0:36:40.560
<v Speaker 2>interesting reading about that is there must be evidence.

0:36:40.160 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 3>Therefore that the electorate.

0:36:41.840 --> 0:36:46.000
<v Speaker 2>Everyday Americans go to chatbots for news in the first place.

0:36:46.480 --> 0:36:49.440
<v Speaker 15>You're seeing those numbers increase, I think more and more.

0:36:49.560 --> 0:36:51.840
<v Speaker 15>We've seen a couple of studies showing people are using

0:36:51.880 --> 0:36:54.839
<v Speaker 15>them for news more and more. And we found that

0:36:55.040 --> 0:36:58.040
<v Speaker 15>about third a third of the questions we asked or

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:01.279
<v Speaker 15>on election related questions had faction errors in them, but

0:37:01.600 --> 0:37:06.080
<v Speaker 15>all of the chatbots failed on bias. Claude Gemini gave

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:09.919
<v Speaker 15>left leaning answers on election related questions one hundred percent

0:37:10.000 --> 0:37:12.840
<v Speaker 15>of the time. Chat GBT ninety five percent of the time.

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:17.359
<v Speaker 15>Grock was the only right leaning chatbot that gave right

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:20.919
<v Speaker 15>leaning answers on these questions, I think about eighty five

0:37:20.960 --> 0:37:23.840
<v Speaker 15>percent of the time, So you were by no means

0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:27.440
<v Speaker 15>getting a straight up answer or a balanced perspective, and

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:30.319
<v Speaker 15>people are asking, you know, who are my candidates, what

0:37:30.360 --> 0:37:32.240
<v Speaker 15>are their positions on the issues.

0:37:31.880 --> 0:37:33.120
<v Speaker 5>And who should I vote for?

0:37:33.280 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 15>So improving this between now and then, I mean, the

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:40.200
<v Speaker 15>one thing I am positive hopeful about is there was

0:37:40.239 --> 0:37:44.480
<v Speaker 15>a broad difference. I think overall, Gemini handled a lot

0:37:44.480 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 15>of the questions better than some of the other models,

0:37:46.800 --> 0:37:49.520
<v Speaker 15>which shows there's area for improvement. But you can't fix

0:37:49.520 --> 0:37:50.640
<v Speaker 15>something if you haven't measured it.

0:37:51.920 --> 0:37:55.240
<v Speaker 2>Chimboll, I know you previously, of course a Meta vice

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:58.239
<v Speaker 2>president of News and Global Media Partnerships, but also as

0:37:58.239 --> 0:38:01.400
<v Speaker 2>an industry colleague award win journalists and an k CNN,

0:38:01.520 --> 0:38:03.960
<v Speaker 2>NBC News both sides you see.

0:38:04.680 --> 0:38:07.840
<v Speaker 3>Do you see action on the news.

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:11.560
<v Speaker 2>Side and the likes of Meta other frontier labs on

0:38:11.680 --> 0:38:14.239
<v Speaker 2>actively fixing this taking action on it?

0:38:14.520 --> 0:38:15.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I do.

0:38:15.719 --> 0:38:17.759
<v Speaker 15>I mean I talk to people in the labs on

0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:20.120
<v Speaker 15>a regular basis that all of these companies and they

0:38:20.120 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 15>do care about this. And are beginning to approach it

0:38:23.880 --> 0:38:26.640
<v Speaker 15>with a sort of different way of thinking. I think

0:38:27.480 --> 0:38:29.640
<v Speaker 15>you know, one of the challenges we had, and you

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:32.680
<v Speaker 15>said it in the opening, is today these model companies

0:38:32.719 --> 0:38:36.879
<v Speaker 15>are essentially grading their own homework. There's not independent evaluation.

0:38:37.440 --> 0:38:40.160
<v Speaker 15>And I'm not calling for regulation. I have a private company,

0:38:40.160 --> 0:38:43.239
<v Speaker 15>but I do think we need an ecosystem of companies

0:38:43.360 --> 0:38:47.799
<v Speaker 15>and nonprofits that are doing independent evaluation. And I think

0:38:47.840 --> 0:38:52.399
<v Speaker 15>the companies, the model companies that lean into this are

0:38:52.440 --> 0:38:55.839
<v Speaker 15>going to make ultimately more trustworthy products. And I do

0:38:55.880 --> 0:38:57.840
<v Speaker 15>think you're going to see the demand move in that

0:38:57.920 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 15>direction again from enterprise. You're already seeing some states pass

0:39:02.160 --> 0:39:05.200
<v Speaker 15>laws where they're requiring independent evaluation, but I think it's

0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:07.960
<v Speaker 15>increasingly going to become more important.

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:12.680
<v Speaker 2>Campbell Brown, CEO Forum AI. It's great to have you

0:39:12.680 --> 0:39:15.520
<v Speaker 2>on Blueberg Tech. Thank you very much. Indeed, coming up,

0:39:15.520 --> 0:39:16.920
<v Speaker 2>we're going to get back to the top story what

0:39:17.040 --> 0:39:20.760
<v Speaker 2>to expect from Nvidia's earnings the chip maker off session

0:39:20.840 --> 0:39:24.520
<v Speaker 2>highs still up just more than two percent, top line

0:39:24.520 --> 0:39:29.160
<v Speaker 2>growth eighty percent, EPs growth eighty five percent. The market

0:39:29.200 --> 0:39:32.359
<v Speaker 2>wants more than that. From Jensen one, this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:39:45.200 --> 0:39:50.120
<v Speaker 16>We've been licensed for many customers in China for Age

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:55.320
<v Speaker 16>two hundred. We have received purchase orders from many customers

0:39:55.640 --> 0:39:59.200
<v Speaker 16>and we're in the process of restarting our manufacturing.

0:40:01.400 --> 0:40:04.160
<v Speaker 2>That was Jensen one in March, singing a pretty positive

0:40:04.200 --> 0:40:07.840
<v Speaker 2>tune about selling AI chips to China. This was the

0:40:07.920 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 2>Nvidia CEO striking a slightly different note when you spoke

0:40:10.600 --> 0:40:12.160
<v Speaker 2>to us on Monday, and.

0:40:12.239 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 8>The Chinese government has to decide how much of their

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:17.839
<v Speaker 8>local market do they want to protect and how much

0:40:17.880 --> 0:40:19.360
<v Speaker 8>of their local market do they want to.

0:40:19.360 --> 0:40:22.520
<v Speaker 7>Expand with a more AI capacity.

0:40:23.480 --> 0:40:26.120
<v Speaker 2>That needs to be reconciled. Some analysts are hoping to

0:40:26.120 --> 0:40:29.040
<v Speaker 2>get more insight into Nvidia's future in China in its

0:40:29.080 --> 0:40:31.760
<v Speaker 2>earnings later today. There's also the battle in video faces

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:35.960
<v Speaker 2>with custom Silicon Kungensabanni from Bloomberg Intelligence here to talk

0:40:36.040 --> 0:40:39.520
<v Speaker 2>us through those expectations, writing that Nvidia has extended its

0:40:39.520 --> 0:40:43.839
<v Speaker 2>AI lead even as custom ACIC competition grows, and so

0:40:44.000 --> 0:40:45.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm trying to understand this, right, We're talking about a

0:40:45.960 --> 0:40:49.439
<v Speaker 2>world where we go from training to inference and then

0:40:49.600 --> 0:40:53.280
<v Speaker 2>the custom acis also just as with the Nvidia GPUs,

0:40:53.360 --> 0:40:55.840
<v Speaker 2>or in a world where demand is outpacing supply. So

0:40:55.880 --> 0:40:58.640
<v Speaker 2>we're trying to work out the market dynamic. What do

0:40:58.640 --> 0:40:59.520
<v Speaker 2>you think we'll learn tonight?

0:41:00.880 --> 0:41:03.440
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, I mean, look tonight, the standard beaten raise numbers,

0:41:03.560 --> 0:41:05.480
<v Speaker 17>given where we are in the time and where the

0:41:05.480 --> 0:41:10.400
<v Speaker 17>stock is, don't matter unless they are able to pass

0:41:10.520 --> 0:41:13.640
<v Speaker 17>through a ninety billion dollar hurdle mark, which is the

0:41:13.719 --> 0:41:16.080
<v Speaker 17>high bar for the guide for the next quarter. Now,

0:41:16.120 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 17>that should really make the buyside balls happy. I think

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:22.200
<v Speaker 17>tonight the key focus is going to be reassurance. There

0:41:22.200 --> 0:41:25.240
<v Speaker 17>has been some noise around supply chain issues or liquid

0:41:25.280 --> 0:41:28.000
<v Speaker 17>cooling with that Rubin ramp. We really need to hear

0:41:28.080 --> 0:41:31.240
<v Speaker 17>that the Rubin ramp for the second half remains intact,

0:41:31.400 --> 0:41:33.720
<v Speaker 17>and we would like to see that one trillion dollar

0:41:33.880 --> 0:41:36.680
<v Speaker 17>demand pipeline raise up the numbers from here.

0:41:37.520 --> 0:41:40.840
<v Speaker 2>So give me that ninety billion figure again, I just

0:41:40.840 --> 0:41:44.560
<v Speaker 2>put fa go on the Bloomberg back up, then consent,

0:41:45.080 --> 0:41:45.879
<v Speaker 2>go for it, go for it.

0:41:46.360 --> 0:41:48.279
<v Speaker 17>When the guide for the next quarter, the high bar,

0:41:48.520 --> 0:41:50.560
<v Speaker 17>it seems on the byside is ninety billion, So if

0:41:50.560 --> 0:41:53.000
<v Speaker 17>they're able to clear that, that should be a very

0:41:53.000 --> 0:41:53.800
<v Speaker 17>positive event.

0:41:54.560 --> 0:41:58.359
<v Speaker 2>Fiscal two Q twenty seven consensus is eighty seven point

0:41:58.440 --> 0:42:01.680
<v Speaker 2>three billion, the high side for the guide in the

0:42:01.680 --> 0:42:04.879
<v Speaker 2>current period being ninety billion dollars, so fascinating.

0:42:05.640 --> 0:42:07.880
<v Speaker 3>You know, I think Jensmongks talked about the.

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:14.360
<v Speaker 2>Performance of it in Vidia based system against TPU against

0:42:14.360 --> 0:42:17.799
<v Speaker 2>other a six he may well get asked again, is

0:42:17.840 --> 0:42:20.120
<v Speaker 2>there any data set out there in the world, con Jan,

0:42:20.560 --> 0:42:24.080
<v Speaker 2>The evidence is your argument that the VERA Rubin platform

0:42:24.120 --> 0:42:27.120
<v Speaker 2>at least is extending in video's lead rather than seeing

0:42:27.120 --> 0:42:28.320
<v Speaker 2>its market share shrink.

0:42:29.840 --> 0:42:33.000
<v Speaker 17>There have been some third party you know, benchmarks, and

0:42:33.200 --> 0:42:35.480
<v Speaker 17>as we as the systems LU role out, which they

0:42:35.480 --> 0:42:38.600
<v Speaker 17>haven't yet, there will be more benchmarks. And we have

0:42:38.640 --> 0:42:41.760
<v Speaker 17>seen consistently in Vidia system the latest in video systems,

0:42:41.800 --> 0:42:45.200
<v Speaker 17>outperform what exists in the market today. But now it's

0:42:45.280 --> 0:42:49.680
<v Speaker 17>no longer just about your performance. You outperforming on the specs. Right,

0:42:49.920 --> 0:42:53.319
<v Speaker 17>there's a use case. There's a concept of dollars per

0:42:53.360 --> 0:42:55.839
<v Speaker 17>token per performance. So when we look at someone thing

0:42:55.920 --> 0:42:59.399
<v Speaker 17>like a TPU, where the entire architecture of the data

0:42:59.400 --> 0:43:03.120
<v Speaker 17>center is controlled and driven by the company using it itself,

0:43:03.600 --> 0:43:06.040
<v Speaker 17>they are able to achieve a much more a much

0:43:06.080 --> 0:43:08.520
<v Speaker 17>lower dollar per performance, which matters to them.

0:43:08.400 --> 0:43:10.360
<v Speaker 3>A lot real quick.

0:43:10.600 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 2>The Bloomberg intelligence thesis on China.

0:43:14.080 --> 0:43:17.799
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, we didn't hear anything positive coming out of the

0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:21.000
<v Speaker 17>trip with trumpet musicians. So we are not going to

0:43:21.040 --> 0:43:24.320
<v Speaker 17>increase or just any of our China revenue estimates anytime

0:43:25.239 --> 0:43:25.759
<v Speaker 17>in the New.

0:43:25.719 --> 0:43:30.520
<v Speaker 2>Town Keunjen Sabani, Bloomberg Intelligence, Thank you very much. That

0:43:30.640 --> 0:43:33.520
<v Speaker 2>does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. One last

0:43:33.560 --> 0:43:36.600
<v Speaker 2>look the countdown to in Video's earnings and A's that

0:43:36.719 --> 0:43:40.440
<v Speaker 2>one hundred session high one point five percent, socks rebounding

0:43:40.480 --> 0:43:42.480
<v Speaker 2>up four percent, and in Video is kind of the

0:43:42.480 --> 0:43:44.400
<v Speaker 2>heart of that story. There is a lot of optimism,

0:43:44.440 --> 0:43:47.839
<v Speaker 2>but Kanjensvanni just said, raised feet doesn't matter. It's all

0:43:47.840 --> 0:43:50.279
<v Speaker 2>about the outlook for the current period. We're just over

0:43:50.320 --> 0:43:53.560
<v Speaker 2>four hours away from A Video's fiscal first quarter twenty

0:43:53.640 --> 0:43:57.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty seven financial year earnings recap. On the podcast, you

0:43:57.680 --> 0:44:00.080
<v Speaker 2>know exactly where to find it and I would of

0:44:00.200 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 2>quality conversations throughout the hour. Thank you very much for

0:44:03.000 --> 0:44:04.560
<v Speaker 2>joining us. This is Bloomberg Tech.