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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralta.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning, every single morning you get this podcast,

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice well on Bettingpros dot com. Always found

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Speaker 1: on YouTube with the video and wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: audio podcasts. We are always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: BETMGM that five dollars bet one hundred bucks Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred the promo code, and you guys will get yourselves

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Speaker 1: a one hundred dollars in free bets if any team

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Speaker 1: scores a touchdown side total whatever you bet on that

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Speaker 1: game five dollars, you win one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: bets Juice one hundred when you sent them for a

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Speaker 1: new account with BETMGM betmgm dot com. All right, So

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Speaker 1: some nights, in some games and some teams you just

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Speaker 1: can't get right. And that is what IOWA is for me.

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Speaker 1: On one unit oh and one of the night parlay,

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Speaker 1: I don't play it, but the parlay didn't hit either.

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Speaker 1: I was way wrong on IOWA because the turnovers continued

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Speaker 1: and continued and continued, interceptions and fumbles and just a pathetic,

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Speaker 1: awful bet my bad awful read, bad bet awful read. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I'm not in love with my bets for today.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna tell you right now, I don't

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Speaker 1: love my wagering, but I'm going down swinging. There are

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Speaker 1: certain saturdays in the college football season that really make

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Speaker 1: or break your football betting, and for me, this is

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Speaker 1: going to be one of them. And I've got plays

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Speaker 1: that you guys know. I've got two bets I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: add here to the card, and we are rolling into

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Speaker 1: well with three bets already that I've told you about.

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Speaker 1: Alabama minus fourteen, Arkansas plus eighteen and a half, and

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame plus three. All right, those plays are all

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Speaker 1: still going and are all still live. I have two

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Speaker 1: more college full vets to give you guys coming up here,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna lie. I'm like, hmm, I've got

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Speaker 1: quite a bit of money invested in this, and I

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Speaker 1: could go down in flames. So just to heads up,

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Speaker 1: there are days when you walk in and you're like, gosh,

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Speaker 1: I don't is my handicap right? I think? So? I

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Speaker 1: thought Mary Handicapp was right with Maryland, and you start

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Speaker 1: to go question yourself a little bit so just to

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Speaker 1: heads up, I might be like, you know, halfway down

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Speaker 1: a bottle by Saturday night, going what the heck did

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Speaker 1: I just do? But that's betting, that's gambling. That's the

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Speaker 1: fun of this ridiculous time. My bankroll might take a

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Speaker 1: big smack in the keyster tonight today if things don't

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Speaker 1: go well the way that I want them to. But

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Speaker 1: here is what Saturday is going to look like. We're

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Speaker 1: going to do the Discord bet at eight a m.

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Speaker 1: Pacific time. I'm eleven am Eastern. That is on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get into that,

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Speaker 1: all right, or there's a link underneath me on YouTube

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Speaker 1: to get in to the Daily Juice Discord channel. That

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Speaker 1: is where you guys will vote. You are three to

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Speaker 1: zero in football season with the Discord bet. Let's keep

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Speaker 1: it going, guys. Let's win some more money. You guys

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Speaker 1: have been doing awesome with this. We crowdsource the bet

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Speaker 1: and we all get together and we vote, and we

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Speaker 1: go ahead and decide who is going to win. So

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Speaker 1: that's cool. Then at eleven am Eastern sorry Pacific, two

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern time, we have a conversation about what's happening.

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Speaker 1: Wait is it twelve? No? Sorry, it's twelve not sor sorry,

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Speaker 1: twelve pm Pacific, three pm Eastern. I get the confused

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Speaker 1: noon my time, three pm Eastern. The Circa Sports Team conversation.

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Speaker 1: Our five team members all get together and we pick

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Speaker 1: our five bets for the Circa. We are six and nine, right,

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Speaker 1: I think that's all right. I think that's right. We've

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Speaker 1: gone two and three, two and three, two and three.

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Speaker 1: I think that's what we've done for three straight weeks.

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Speaker 1: You guys can get some good information about maybe fading

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Speaker 1: our picks or how we come up with and where

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Speaker 1: we go. I've got some pretty strong opinions on picks

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Speaker 1: that I've got going here for my Circa team, my

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Speaker 1: other team. So we'll bang it out. We'll battle, and

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Speaker 1: we'll try to see if we can get a four

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Speaker 1: and one weekend here for the Circa Million team and

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Speaker 1: see if we can get some progress going with that,

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Speaker 1: and see if we can. You know, it's not awful.

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Speaker 1: You know, you just got a tread water for a

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Speaker 1: bit and then hopefully you get very hot. So that'll

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Speaker 1: happen at three pm. Okay, so it's eight am Pacific,

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Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern for the Discord Channel conversation and then

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Speaker 1: three pm Eastern twelve noon Pacific time on the Discord

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Speaker 1: Channel to just determine and pick our five plays for

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Speaker 1: the circa million for week four of the circa million,

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Speaker 1: there's some very interesting numbers and lines for betting this

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Speaker 1: coming weekend. And I'm going to tell you right now,

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Speaker 1: I am vetoing anything on Patriots bos Okay, veto veto

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Speaker 1: veto on it. Okay. We are not taking anything with

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay in New England for that game on Sunday night.

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Speaker 1: That is a stay away game for a circa a

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Speaker 1: million play. But other than that, we're wide open. Good

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Speaker 1: arguments Rams and Cardinals, Ravens and Broncos and just some

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Speaker 1: very good games to break down and get into coming

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Speaker 1: up later today here in this YEW channel. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: that's where we're gonna go betting pros dot COM's last

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Speaker 1: chat link underneath me here on YouTube to get in.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the two plays that I've

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Speaker 1: got for you guys coming up here today. Michigan, Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: This number was originally with Michigan the favorite. It's been

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Speaker 1: bet all the way open up at minus one. It's

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Speaker 1: been all the way bet to Wisconsin minus two. This

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Speaker 1: thing might close with Wisconsin being favored by a field

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Speaker 1: goal at home. Did you know it's been twenty years

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Speaker 1: since Michigan won a game at Camp Randall, Oh boy,

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Speaker 1: sort of a long time. This is one of those

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Speaker 1: games where it's strength on strength and I don't know

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Speaker 1: if Michigan at four and oh, how good Michigan is

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin's one in two and Wisconsin has well, they're mad

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Speaker 1: they lost at home depend state and they lost on

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Speaker 1: the neutral field last week to Notre Dame. Graham Mertz

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Speaker 1: is bad, all right, not gonna deny it. Graham Mertz

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Speaker 1: has killed his team. We need grand Mertz not to

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Speaker 1: kill the Badgers again here today. Okay, the numbers two,

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin minus two. This is the number one or one

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Speaker 1: of the top rush offenses in the country. Six point

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Speaker 1: three yards per rush for Michigan. Wisconsin's number one. They're

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Speaker 1: averaging one yard per rush given up one. That is

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Speaker 1: I've never seen that before in college football. One. You

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Speaker 1: don't run these guys second best overall twenty two point

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Speaker 1: seven rushes per game. People are trying to run on

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Speaker 1: them and they camp they get up twenty three yards

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Speaker 1: per game on the ground, that's number one. Michigan two

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety point eight yards per game, that's fourth

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Speaker 1: best in the country. What happens if Michigan can't run

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Speaker 1: the ball, then what Well? We kind of saw it

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Speaker 1: against Rutgers. Rutgers took away the run and forced the

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Speaker 1: pass and it wasn't all that pretty for Michigan. Came

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Speaker 1: Cave McNamara, didn't look that great. They nearly blew a

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Speaker 1: seventeen point lead. It was it was kind of scary

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Speaker 1: for Michigan. It was like, wait, what's going on? Even

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Speaker 1: Hardball said it wasn't pretty. So here's the thing. Can

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Speaker 1: we have Graham Mertz not turn the football over? This

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Speaker 1: offense not good? Six yards per pass play that's one

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Speaker 1: hundred and third in the country. They are averaging one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety seven yards through the air, that's eighty

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Speaker 1: eighth in the country. Not bad. Running the ball four

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Speaker 1: point three yards per rush for Wisconsin. That's fifty ninth

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Speaker 1: in the country. Michigan gives up three point seven yards

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Speaker 1: per rush that's forty eighth in the country. Michigan, Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: does try to run the ball a lot forty seven

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Speaker 1: rushes per game. That is eleventh in the country in

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Speaker 1: terms of what they're trying to do. They're running the

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Speaker 1: ball about two hundred yards per game. Michigan's giving up

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Speaker 1: about one hundred and thirty one yards per game. We

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Speaker 1: need Wisconsin to run, run, run, and keep the football,

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Speaker 1: and then we need this defense to jump around and

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Speaker 1: have a ball at home. We need short fields, we

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Speaker 1: need turnovers, we need punching the ball out, we need fumbles.

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Speaker 1: We need a whole lot out of the Wisconsin team

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Speaker 1: so they don't put it all on Graham Mertz. If

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Speaker 1: they can avoid to do that, Wisconsin wins the game.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the two for to one unit Wisconsin minus

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Speaker 1: two at home against Michigan. Okay, this is I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of pingponging here between favorites and dogs, favorites and dogs.

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Speaker 1: I'm not taking all favorites. I'm not taking all dogs here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So from a favorite perspective, I'm on Alabama minus fourteen,

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Speaker 1: I'm on Michigan minus two. From a dog perspective, i

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Speaker 1: am on Arkansas plus eighteen and a half, and I'm

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Speaker 1: on Notre Dame plus three. One more bet to make

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Speaker 1: as to what will happen today with five bets in

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Speaker 1: totality going on the college football card. Clemson hosting Boston

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Speaker 1: College last year, this was a tight game. Last year,

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Speaker 1: Boston College put the fear in Clemson. They almost beat

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Speaker 1: them at Clemson this time around, Hmmm. This offense for

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Speaker 1: Clemson's broken. There's no other way around it. They're broken.

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Speaker 1: They are averaging twelve point seven points per game. That's

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nineteenth in the country. They are averaging

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Speaker 1: just two hundred and twenty six yards per game. That's

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty six from the country. They are

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Speaker 1: only getting three point seven yards per play. That's one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty fourth in the country. Why are they

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point favorites. This is interesting. Now.

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Speaker 1: Boston College has had major injuries to a quarterback and

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Speaker 1: a wide receiver, but they've become a rushing team. Boston

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Speaker 1: College six point one yards per play, five point six

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Speaker 1: yards per rush. That is eleventh best in the country,

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Speaker 1: eleven best in the country. It's hard to run on Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Three point one yards per game. I get that, twenty

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Speaker 1: six in the country. Not easy to run on Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Boston College is going to have to throw the ball

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Speaker 1: seven point two yards per past play. Not great, but

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Speaker 1: not awful either. It's hard to move on Clemson. This

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Speaker 1: is going to be a slobber knocker of a game. Okay.

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Speaker 1: This is a grinder, This is a tough game. This

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Speaker 1: is a twenty to ten type of win for Clemson. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I could easily see an underplay come in here. I

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Speaker 1: just I don't want to play unders. Okay. The total

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Speaker 1: is forty six. That's so low. Is stupid low? Forty

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Speaker 1: six and we're catching fourteen and a half points in

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Speaker 1: this man. Look, BC has got to convert third downs

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Speaker 1: so far this year fifty nine point four percent third

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Speaker 1: down conversion rate. That's second best in the country. Right,

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Speaker 1: they are extending drives. They're doing a good job of

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Speaker 1: making teams and making defenses fight them, and which is great.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is a rock fight. This is whatever

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Speaker 1: you want to describe. Okay, home field and the talent

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Speaker 1: will be there. But Boston College is coming in here

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Speaker 1: with a ton of momentum off the win against Missouri.

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Speaker 1: I just think BC's defense, they're really good, and it's

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Speaker 1: hard to run on these guys. Boston College defensively, right,

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Speaker 1: now they're going to just three point three yards per

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Speaker 1: rush that's thirty fourth in the country. Ninety seven point

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Speaker 1: seven yards per game, giving up but twenty first in

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Speaker 1: the country. People are trying to run on them and

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Speaker 1: they really can't. So you're gonna put it all on

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Speaker 1: DJ's shoulders for Clemson, and that has not worked out

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Speaker 1: for Clemson's offense so far. Four point seven yards per

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Speaker 1: pass play that's one hundred and twenty fifth in the country.

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Speaker 1: They're trying to throw the ball but one hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty eight yards through the air. That's one hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventeenth in the country. Like, their offense is just straight

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Speaker 1: up broken, and it's because the quarterback isn't good. I'm

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Speaker 1: catching fourteen and a half points. Boston College plus fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road at Clemson night game

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Speaker 1: in Death Valley. I like BC to hang around here.

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Speaker 1: They could win the game outright, But I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the fourteen and a half points. BC at Clemson plus

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half points, all right, Wisconsin minus two

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Speaker 1: against Michigan one unit. Boston College plus fourteen and a

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Speaker 1: half for one unit on the road at Clemson, all right,

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Speaker 1: So to go through the whole card. Finally here five plays,

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Speaker 1: all one unit. This is a gulp day and like

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Speaker 1: uh oh again. Could be spectacular, or I could blow

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Speaker 1: up and go down in flames and we give back

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Speaker 1: everything we've made in college football. Hopefully it doesn't happen.

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Speaker 1: But Alabama minus fourteen, Arkansas plus eighteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame plus three, Wisconsin minus two, Boston College plus

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half are the five plays for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast coming up here on Saturday. I will

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Speaker 1: talk to you for the discord bet coming up on

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Speaker 1: eight o'clock in the morning eleven am on the Eastern

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Speaker 1: and East Coast time, and then we'll do the circa

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Speaker 1: Million Conversation a bit later on in the day as well.

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Speaker 1: Minus Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each day morning it's the Daily Juice Podcast right here

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Speaker 1: on bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: BETMGM