1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: your bets and be Joey b joe Pizabia and this 3 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 1: props four week three and of course here to help 5 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: us get the right props on the betting slip Andrew Erickson, 6 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: the undertaker and the Welsh of course, subscribe to the 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: channel here, drop your comments below. Bring the bell to 8 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:22,319 Speaker 1: Lake goes Ding. You know the drill. You know what 9 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: to do, baby, because we've got props to talk about 10 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: here today in week three in the NFL. Don't forget 11 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: also to download the Betting Pros app. That's a good 12 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: thing to do. Last week Welsh was two and three, 13 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: Erickson was three and two On the season, both guys 14 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: Welsh right at five hundred ericson one game over five hundred, 15 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: so we're turned the corner. September's a slow start sometimes 16 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: that's okay. We hold ourselves accountable because we are accountabili 17 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: buddies here on the program. Andrew Erickson, I know it's 18 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: been a long week for you, but isn't it fun 19 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 1: at the end of that week to just dig into 20 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: the individual players and the props right to take all 21 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: that fantasy work you're doing all week and put it 22 00:00:58,000 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: right towards some money. 23 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot fun. And I always am the last 24 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 2: to the show sheet. Welsh always puts his props in 25 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 2: before I do, so I always get an idea of Okay, 26 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,760 Speaker 2: what's Welsh looking like? Is it an over week for Welsh, 27 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: which it usually is? Is he going to is he 28 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 2: gonna tempt us with another mystery prop where he doesn't 29 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 2: tell me if it's gonna be under and over? And 30 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 2: then is there a prop that I'm maybe going in 31 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 2: the other direction than Welsh is? And that's always something 32 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 2: that's interesting to talk about when we get on the 33 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: show and there is one player on here that maybe 34 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: I'll push back a little bit, but we'll get into it. 35 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: Welsh, do you feel attacked as an overachiever just because 36 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: you do your homework earlier? That doesn't seem right. 37 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 3: Oh, that seemed very attacking. Listens last week was a 38 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 3: little bit rough, Like I skinned of my chinny chin 39 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 3: chin getting in on the two and three. I'm having 40 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 3: some fun here, you said, Hey, isn't it into the 41 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 3: week fun? Yes, we're having some fun. It's betting, and 42 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 3: I think I've got some good reads on it. I 43 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 3: hope Erickson's going to be with me. It's always and 44 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 3: is it the over week? Just be aware of that. 45 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 3: Like people talk about betting styles, I see it in 46 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 3: the comments before. Some people are gonna love how Ericsson is. 47 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 3: Some people like me doing like I literally go and 48 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 3: part of my process is looking and seeing where are 49 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 3: the positive advantages I can find and then sometimes some 50 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 3: of the negative ones will jump in where I can 51 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 3: get an under. I got an under this week, I 52 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 3: got an alt bet this week, and I may potentially 53 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 3: possibly be climbing a ladder at the end of the show. 54 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: No, oh my goodness. All right, well, before we go 55 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: to home depot, let's get to the props here, Welsh, 56 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: why don't you kick us off with the first prop 57 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: of week three in the NFL? What do you have? 58 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 3: All Right? Hopefully this isn't going to be the very 59 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 3: first one that's going to get pushed back on, but 60 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 3: we are going to go to one of the tippy 61 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 3: top players. We are going to start this off with 62 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 3: Jamar Chase. Yes, we've got a brand new quarterback in 63 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,839 Speaker 3: town that can be very, very scary with Burrow out 64 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 3: and Browning in. But what did Browning do last week? 65 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 3: Target Jamar Chase. So what we were doing this week 66 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:52,399 Speaker 3: is we are playing an alt line receptions the six 67 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 3: number or over five point five. It's okay, but you 68 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 3: can get plus money for seven receptions on Jamar Chase 69 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 3: got plus one twenty five. Now Chase is coming off 70 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 3: of a sixteen target game where he caught fourteen balls. 71 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 3: Jake Browning is there. Browne came in and looked his 72 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 3: way the entire time. He had a seventy eight percent. 73 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 3: This is Browning seventy eight percent first read rate, which 74 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 3: in the NFL would rank fifth highest among all quarterbacks. 75 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 3: So it is first read throw who's the first read 76 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 3: Jamar Chase. Chase ranks fifth and yards per route run 77 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 3: against zone coverages this year. This is the statover on PFF, 78 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 3: which I really like. Minnesota runs zone coverage is at 79 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 3: the seventh highest rate in the NFL, which that creates 80 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 3: a really nice opportunity for Jamar Chase. Also, the Minnesota 81 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 3: Vikings corners not great. It's a great PFF matchup. They 82 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 3: used great as their new like high star one corners, 83 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 3: ranking ninety first, seventy eighth and unranked so far this year. 84 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: So bad. Corner matchup number one read Jamar Chase caught 85 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 3: fourteen balls last year with browning out their last game. 86 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 3: Seven plus is plus money. Yes, we're going Jamar Chase, 87 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 3: by the way, little extra mode, playing his best friend 88 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 3: across across the field, and justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase is 89 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 3: going to get the ball a lot. I need seven receptions. 90 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 3: I'm not playing yards love this bet. That's I'm gonna 91 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 3: kick us off with an alt reception bet. 92 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: All right, Erics and a lot of backup quarterbacks are 93 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: playing in Week three. Didn't take us very long to 94 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: get here, and you've got a prop on one of 95 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: them up in Minnesota. 96 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I said on the Best Bet Show, I wouldn't 97 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: bet on Carson Wentz when it came to the outcome 98 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 2: of this game, but when it comes to the frost, 99 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: I am all the way in with Carson Wentz over 100 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 2: ten and a half rushing yards. Kevin O'Connell said this 101 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 2: week that Carson Wentz has this ability to show up 102 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 2: with his legs in a similar way that Sam Darnald 103 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 2: did last season. You look at what Sam Donald did 104 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 2: at this type of line. So he was hitting this 105 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 2: number over ten and a half rushing yards about a 106 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 2: sixty one percent rate last season. So I think that 107 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 2: O'Connell is going to give Carson Wentz opportunities to run 108 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 2: around and use his legs, whether it's in design run 109 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 2: plays or on scrambles. So Carson Wentz, Yes, the last 110 00:04:57,839 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 2: start that he had, he did not really run that 111 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 2: much when he was part of the Kansas City Chiefs. 112 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 2: But the last time he played in a Kevin O'Connell 113 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 2: Sean McVay style offense, which was in twenty twenty three 114 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: Week eighteen as a member of the Los Angeles Rams, 115 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 2: he had seventeen carries a quarterback seventeen carries for fifty 116 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 2: six yards. That has a massive number. And we just 117 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:17,840 Speaker 2: look at what Wentz has done since he's left the 118 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles sixty eight percent towards the over at ten 119 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards fifteen of twenty two games 120 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 2: since he left the Eagles. So I think that the 121 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: arm sleeve is out and he's ready to run around, 122 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 2: and I think we're going to see that on Sunday. 123 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: I didn't wear my arm sleeves today. I should have. 124 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: I made a terrible. 125 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 2: Mission underneath my my sweahert of course. 126 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, there you go. Speaking of the vikings, Well, 127 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: you are in on the vikings this week too, with 128 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,360 Speaker 1: a specific player, a tight end, TJ. Hawkinson. So let's 129 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 1: talk about his thirty and a half receiving number. Are 130 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: we doing over or under? 131 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 3: We are going? Oh, I leave it as a mystery. 132 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 3: I didn't leave it as a mystery. I don't think. 133 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 1: No, I'm teasing. I'm teasing. I know you did that 134 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: last week. But I'm not going to scold you because 135 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: you know why, because you submitted your homework before Andrew 136 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: every week. 137 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 3: Always get my little in early. 138 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: You get little passes like that, you get a little 139 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 1: gold sticker sometimes. 140 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:06,479 Speaker 3: Listen, if you're on time, you're already late five minutes 141 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 3: earlier on times. 142 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 2: Right, Okay, Tom Coughlin, whatever it did, right. 143 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna actually I'm jumping in on the and 144 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 3: Carson Wentz is really important in this one as well, 145 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 3: So we're going with TJ. Hawkinson over receiving yards. The 146 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 3: numbers are kind of you know, across the board. If 147 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,320 Speaker 3: you're on betting pros and you're looking around, you can 148 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 3: get it at thirty point five, that's a great number, 149 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 3: but anything into the thirty five range I think I 150 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 3: really like. Now, why what I like Dj Hawkinson when 151 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 3: he's been a bunch of nothing and there's a backup 152 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 3: quarterback in there? Well, how to do some digging. So 153 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 3: these are some old stats here from twenty eighteen to 154 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 3: twenty twenty. Did you know that no quarterback had a 155 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 3: higher percentage of throws to a tight end than Carson 156 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 3: Wentz thirty five percent of his throws from eighteen to 157 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 3: twenty or two tight ends in twenty twenty two when 158 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 3: he was in it was going to running backs. There's 159 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 3: a lot of checkdown stuff that's going on, and they're 160 00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 3: down some running backs, but no quarterback with a high 161 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 3: tight end thrown percentage than Carson Wentz. Bengals coverage grades 162 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 3: poor ranked twenty four of thirty two in linebacker coverage, 163 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 3: twenty six of thirty two as far as safeties in coverage, 164 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 3: and twenty four of thirty two for cornerbacks. That is, 165 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 3: according to PFF, Bengals suck. We've got some different projections 166 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 3: across the board. PFF is around thirty five yards. Our 167 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 3: aggregate projections on Fantasy Pros have Howkinson almost at forty 168 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 3: three yards. This is a low number for a backup 169 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 3: quarterback who's not going to look to be slaying the 170 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 3: ball a bunch and had one of the highest person 171 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 3: will have the highest percentage over a three year span 172 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 3: thrown two tight ends. 173 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:35,559 Speaker 2: TJ. 174 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 3: Howkinson is going to eat this week. He's going to 175 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 3: get back involved since he hasn't been, and this is 176 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 3: a low number to take advantage of. I think I 177 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 3: might have this as one of my favorite props on 178 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 3: my best bets on the Betting Pros app which you 179 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 3: can check out, which all of the Betting Pros analysts 180 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 3: we can go and highlight some of our best bets 181 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 3: and some other people can do as well. So go 182 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 3: and check it out. You can see what our favorite 183 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 3: ones are and this will probably be mine. 184 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Rickson, He's not the only tight end 185 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: we're betting on this week. Let's talk about Brock Bowers 186 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: was dealing with a little bit of an injury issue 187 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 1: last week, but everything looks like he's going to play 188 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: again in week three. So how are we approaching him 189 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: this week? Andrew? 190 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 2: I'm taking the over if his number is fifty five 191 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards because I looked at this 192 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 2: early and I thought this number is way too low 193 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 2: for Brock Bowers. He's gone over this number nine of 194 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 2: his last fifteen games through his NFL career, He's averaged 195 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 2: seventy or more receiving yards, like that's his average, and 196 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: we're getting fifteen yards off because Okay, he was dealing 197 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 2: with knee injury. He didn't really practice at all last week. 198 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 2: He's been practicing a limited capacity this week, so I 199 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 2: already feel like he's a little bit healthier than he 200 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 2: was in Week two. And the Raiders, they're really more 201 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 2: interested in throwing the ball then running the ball. 202 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: There. 203 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 2: Third in passway over expectation. We all saw what Tucker 204 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 2: Craft did against the Washingtonmmanders on Thursday Night Football. He 205 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 2: destroyed them, and he also happens to play tight end. 206 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 2: So Rock Bowers at fifty five and a half, I 207 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 2: think that this is an absolute lay up for him, 208 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,319 Speaker 2: a player of his talent. Again, if the injury is 209 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: kind of scaring you away, I'm just not concerned because 210 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 2: he's practicing more than he did last week. So this 211 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 2: one's an easy over for me. 212 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:04,439 Speaker 1: All right, Betting on tight ends is funny. 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Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 250 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 251 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 252 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it in Indiana. If you are somebody 253 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:51,079 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 254 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 255 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:57,599 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 256 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one on on 257 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: our list. Here Welsh back to you for prop number 258 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 1: three in week three. 259 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 3: All right, well, we haven't heard ericson tell Us which 260 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 3: bet he doesn't like of mine yet. Hopefully this might 261 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 3: be it, because this is me checking in on our 262 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 3: first under. I did not under it last week. I 263 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 3: am one to zero on my under so far this year, 264 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 3: and we are going with a very trending running back. 265 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:22,719 Speaker 3: But we are playing the under, and I'm going to 266 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 3: tell you this right now. Going through Betting Pros, a 267 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 3: great feature Betting Pros, you can go and you can 268 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 3: check out the lines at every single book, and wouldn't 269 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 3: you know it, the best line to play the under 270 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 3: for this running back is our dear friends at hard Rock. 271 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 3: Hard Rock Bet has got the best line for quinch 272 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 3: on Jutkins under rushing yards this week. Yes, he's top 273 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 3: of the depth chart. He looks so good. He missed 274 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 3: all the tackles. He's going against the Packers. The Packers 275 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 3: have given up, respectively, thirty four and then forty four 276 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 3: rushing yards per game. They held Gibbs to nineteen. Bill 277 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:57,319 Speaker 3: put up seventeen yards for an average of under two 278 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 3: and a half yards per carry for running backs. Their 279 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:04,239 Speaker 3: defensive front ranked second in the league according to PFF. 280 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 3: We saw Jutkins having a twenty six percent snap percentage 281 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 3: was breaking those tackles. I would obviously expect that to 282 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 3: go up against Green Bay. This isn't what Green Bay does. 283 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 3: They don't give up a bunch of rushing yards. I 284 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 3: expect them to be absolutely mud stomping the Browns and 285 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,959 Speaker 3: it should take them out of running the ball unless 286 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 3: it's just completely out of hand till later in the game. 287 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 3: So Judkins can still do some damage, but I think 288 00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:27,599 Speaker 3: it's going to be done a little bit more in 289 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 3: the passing game. So you've got a lower snap percentage 290 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 3: regardless of the point three backs that they're going to 291 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 3: throw out there. A defense that doesn't stop and we 292 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 3: also have conflicting projections. PFF has an under forty yard 293 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 3: projection rushing for him, while our fantasy pros aggregate is 294 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 3: over this number at fifty one forty three point five. 295 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 3: I'm going under. No starting running back has done that 296 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 3: against the Green Bay Packers. I do not believe a 297 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 3: lowered snap shared Jutkins will do that is fun. As 298 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 3: exciting as he is, green Bay is the team to 299 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 3: watch out for. We are the nastiest on defense, and 300 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:04,440 Speaker 3: we are going to take the under rushing yards. Ericson 301 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 3: do you hate me because of this bet? 302 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 2: I don't hate you. This is the bet that I 303 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 2: was looking for hard, trying to figure out if I 304 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 2: liked it or not. And I think that you make 305 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 2: a really good case. My issue with Judkins, and actually 306 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 2: I was thinking about putting him on here for one 307 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 2: of my best bets, but for the over in his 308 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 2: rushing attempts, because I do think that he's gonna get 309 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 2: volume in the matchup. Whether it was kind of varying. 310 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 2: I saw nine and a half is the lowest one, 311 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:30,319 Speaker 2: and I saw as the high as eleven and a 312 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 2: half at a couple other places, So I kind of 313 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: like the over. On that particular one, because I do 314 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 2: think he's going to get a lot of usage. But 315 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 2: to your point, it is constagrammay Packers. Nobody can run 316 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,680 Speaker 2: on them. And if you just box scores from last 317 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 2: week from Judkins, a lot of those yards came in 318 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 2: the fourth quarter on like one thirty yard run when 319 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 2: the game was completely out of hand. Now does that 320 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:51,760 Speaker 2: happen again? You know they're getting smoked by the Packers. 321 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 2: They're like, well, we don't care. Judkins can get to 322 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 2: spend next week, Let's use him. So like that's maybe 323 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 2: how this beats you. But I think everything else that 324 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 2: you kind of like I stood out, makes it a 325 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 2: good bet to make. 326 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in on this one. I think game script 327 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:06,719 Speaker 1: is also going to help too with the Packers. But look, 328 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 1: it is getting a little concerning here. With the Packers 329 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: having his injuries, Tucker Craft might not play now. So 330 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: really the question becomes like did the Packers struggle moving 331 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: on offensive? If so, then this game is a little 332 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 1: closer than this. Judkins one could potentially be on problem. 333 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 1: It's on the road and all that stuff. So there's 334 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: a lot of factors. No Shane Reed, probably no Tucker 335 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: Craft at this point starting to look that because when 336 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 1: they use the verbiage, they're not going to put him 337 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 1: on IR. That doesn't sound good. That sounds like somebody 338 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: who's hurting that I just read before coming on. Well, 339 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 1: they're not putting him on IR, but he is in 340 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: doubt for this week potentially, So keep it close on 341 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: the jerk. 342 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 3: Every single league the minute that news came out, none 343 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 3: of the fantasy pros leagues, Can you guys get him? 344 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 3: Because I picked up musk Grave. There you go, very rude. 345 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: All right. Continuing with the theme of Week three, the 346 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: backup QBS Tyron Taylor is going to play for the 347 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 1: New York Jets, but it doesn't necessarily mean we're going over. 348 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: So let's take a look at his stats and what 349 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: we are targeting Andrew Erickson. 350 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 2: Toront Taylor is going to go under twenty eight and 351 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 2: a half passing attempts. The Jets are thirty second in 352 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 2: the NFL in passwaight over expectation. Translation, they like to 353 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 2: run the football and it doesn't matter who their quarterback is. 354 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 2: We've already heard that offensive Coinner Tanner Extrant has come 355 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 2: out and said that, yeah, they're really not going to 356 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 2: be changing the offense in any capacity with Taro Taylor 357 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 2: under center and not justin fields, so they're going to 358 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 2: focus on running the football. I think that the Jets 359 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 2: are live in this game against the Buccaneers. I realize 360 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 2: that they're massive underdogs here, but Buccaneers are really banged 361 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 2: up on the offensive defensive line, so I think they 362 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 2: can keep this game much closer. I don't think they're 363 00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 2: going to be in a situation where they have to 364 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 2: be forcing the ball through the air. And through two weeks, 365 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 2: it's been twenty two pass attempts total for Jets quarterbacks 366 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 2: fields in week one and then combined with fields after 367 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 2: he got hurt Antiro Taylor in week two, so they 368 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 2: haven't have been close to twenty nine pass attempts. So 369 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 2: this one's an easy under for me in a game 370 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 2: that I think is going to be a lot closer. 371 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 1: All right, So another one in the books here before 372 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,480 Speaker 1: it gets to the next pick. Don't forget. Everybody can 373 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 1: go over and use the prop bet chi chi right 374 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 1: now on the Betting Pros app or you go to 375 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 1: Betting pros dot com slash props if you want to 376 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: check it out for yourselves. All the major passing, rushing, receivings. 377 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: Everything is in there. Every single category is in there, 378 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: every single game is in there, All the players are 379 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 1: in there. You're gonna see the best values of the 380 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: best books, and then you're gonna see the fantasy projections 381 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: next to them, so you know whether it's an over 382 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 1: or an under or maybe even a stay away, because 383 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: sometimes those numbers are pretty damn good. That's why they 384 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: build those hard rock hotels. They do a pretty good 385 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 1: job of setting those lines sometimes. So check out the 386 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: prop bet chia Chee. Let us give you the cheat 387 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 1: code to betting props right now on the Betting pros 388 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: app All right, let's get to number four here on 389 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: our list of the top five here for the Boys Welsh, 390 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: your number four pick of the week. 391 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 3: Is who How can you not love making any type 392 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 3: of bet in this Bears and Cowboys game? With this score? 393 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 3: And I gotta play some wide receivers and we are 394 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: going to go with an over. We're gonna play some 395 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 3: receptions in this one. Roma Dunzay receptions four point five 396 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 3: over A Dunsay is nineteen targets over his first two games, 397 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:04,640 Speaker 3: average of nine and a half per game, and He's 398 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,119 Speaker 3: also been smashing this prop in both games, six receptions 399 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 3: and seven receptions. He has the eleventh highest first read 400 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 3: percentage in the NFL for wide receivers at thirty three 401 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 3: point three percent. By the way, Cowboys secondary stinks Digs 402 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 3: is not great, elam his average. A Cowboys just got 403 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:26,120 Speaker 3: torched for not only two wide receivers to go over 404 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 3: one hundred yards against them in the same game, but 405 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 3: both receivers had eight or more catches. So if you 406 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 3: want to make an argument for DJ Moore, I got it. 407 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 3: A Dunsay looks like he is the number one. He's 408 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 3: a number one and read percentage for this team. He's 409 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 3: the guy. Their secondary isn't stopping anybody. If the Cowboys 410 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 3: start to trounce the Bears a little bit, they're going 411 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 3: to be passing even more. We know A Dunsay is 412 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 3: going to get targets. So we're looking at five receptions 413 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 3: for Roma Dunsay in this one and that is my 414 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 3: over bet four number four. 415 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, Roma Dunsa does look like the favorite target in 416 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: this Ben Johnson offense to start things all right, a 417 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 1: wide receiver who's been kind of slow out of the gate, Well, 418 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 1: let's be honest, kind of all the wide receivers for 419 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 1: the Eagles have been a little slow out of the gate, 420 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 1: not just AJ Brown but Davonta Smith too, But is 421 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,360 Speaker 1: it time to possibly buck that trend? Andrew Rickson, dare 422 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:11,200 Speaker 1: I ask this question of the undertaker? 423 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 2: Nope, Now Devanta Smith is going to go under four 424 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 2: and a half receptions. This is the one that I 425 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,120 Speaker 2: always look to bet anytime that Dallas Goddar and AJ 426 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,399 Speaker 2: Brown are also healthy, because the Monta Smith doesn't go 427 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 2: over this number when those other two guys are healthy 428 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,720 Speaker 2: in the lineup. All of last year when he played 429 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 2: alongside AJB and Goddard, Smith went over four and a 430 00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 2: half receptions one time this year Week one, those guys 431 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 2: are both healthy. 432 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 1: What happened? 433 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 2: He went under four and a half receptions and he 434 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 2: also went under this number last week as well. So 435 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 2: I'm just playing the hits here. Dallas Goddards can probably 436 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,360 Speaker 2: play in Week three, and I'm gonna take the under 437 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,120 Speaker 2: on DeVonta Smith four and a half receptions. It doesn't 438 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 2: matter who they're playing, it doesn't matter what the matchup. 439 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:47,960 Speaker 2: This is just the number that I think is a 440 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,159 Speaker 2: good bet to make when those other playmakers are in 441 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 2: the lineup. 442 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 1: All right. Before we get to the last bet here, 443 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:56,119 Speaker 1: we're gonna switch around. I'm gonna let Andrew keep the 444 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: reins because I think Welsh's last prop is very sexy, 445 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,159 Speaker 1: and I want to get Andrew's take on it. So 446 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 1: let's talk about Matthew Stafford and stay in this same 447 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:05,120 Speaker 1: game here for a moment. 448 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 3: Andrew not sexy, but yes, please. 449 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:09,679 Speaker 1: He could be very sexy. 450 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 2: Don't bury Stafford over. Wait, so my pick's not sexy. 451 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 2: Mine's also plus money. 452 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 3: I'm sorry. Plus it's more like Matthew Stafford's not like 453 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 3: the sexes. But I do love a plus money touchdown bet. 454 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:21,239 Speaker 1: It is. 455 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:23,439 Speaker 2: I don't do a lot of quarterback bets, but when 456 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 2: I do, they're on Matthew Stafford when his back is 457 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 2: upright and healthy. So over one and a half passing 458 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 2: touchdowns for Stafford. He has gone over this number in 459 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 2: nine of his last fourteen games at sixty four percent. 460 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 2: He did it in both games against Philadelphia Eagles in 461 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four and five of his last six games 462 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 2: as an underdog. Matthew Stafford at least two passing touchdowns. 463 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 2: And I don't know about you, guys, but rewatching that 464 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 2: Rams Titans game. They're just force feeding DeVonta Adams in 465 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 2: the red zone. Like every single red zone possession is like, 466 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 2: how can we get to DeVonta Adams score touchdown here? 467 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 2: So I really like Matthew Stafford in a game that 468 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,439 Speaker 2: I think could be a little bit more back and 469 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 2: forth between the Eagles and Rams. And I just don't 470 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: think that the Rams are gonna be able to score 471 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,040 Speaker 2: on the ground against the Eagles with Jalen Carter plugging 472 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 2: up the middle with Kyen Williams. So I think it's 473 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 2: going to be Stafford three year, I gonna gets touchdowns. 474 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 3: That's why I think this one is sneaky because of 475 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 3: that right there, Because I think one of the worries 476 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 3: would be is like, well, what's their favorite thing to 477 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 3: do is just hand the rock to Kyrone and let 478 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 3: him get three touchdowns and ruin that. But that defensive 479 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 3: line is so stout as far as the running game goes, 480 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 3: it probably puts them in situations where it's even you know, 481 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 3: its screen passes out to Pooke just gonna make them 482 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 3: a throw. So this is a really sneaky one. 483 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 1: It would be you know what else, though, the but 484 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: through two weeks of football, the Eagles are getting up 485 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,239 Speaker 1: the most rushing touchdowns of any team, five, So it 486 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:37,200 Speaker 1: is it is kind of, I think, in some ways 487 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: a bit of a pivot in the thinking, because, yeah, 488 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: sure the Eagles front is really good. We all know 489 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,200 Speaker 1: that historically, you know, even last year are very good. 490 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,359 Speaker 1: But for some reason, you know, obviously this year, we 491 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:47,919 Speaker 1: know the first game was about Joe and Carter, so 492 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 1: maybe you take a little bit of something out of that. 493 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,399 Speaker 1: There was a couple there from Travante Williams. Maybe this 494 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: status a bit of a liar, It's possible, but the 495 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: DeVante Adam has won. More on that later in the show. 496 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 1: Let's get to Welsh's pick here, and Welsh, what I 497 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 1: love about your props is you're never boring. We're always exciting. 498 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 1: Here on the program, let's talk about George Pickens. 499 00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna be boring. So I went down the 500 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,919 Speaker 3: George Pickens train last week and it was sweaty. It 501 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,119 Speaker 3: took a double overtime for us to get there, and 502 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 3: but we did hit it, thank god. So we could 503 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,639 Speaker 3: only be two and three. I'm gonna go down that 504 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 3: well again. So but Let's do a couple things here. 505 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,159 Speaker 3: We're gonna start with what the bet is, and the 506 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 3: full bet is George. It's almost the same thing as 507 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 3: we had last with George Pickens receiving yards fifty three 508 00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 3: point five good line, good number. Here's why we like that. 509 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 3: And then we're going to expand. First off, Pickens got that, 510 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:39,880 Speaker 3: as I mentioned. But this is all about this. This 511 00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 3: week is all about this matchup. Bears Corners currently ranked 512 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,160 Speaker 3: thirty one out of thirty two in the NFL. They 513 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,080 Speaker 3: just lost Jalen Johnson for the year. Out The Bears, 514 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 3: like the Cowboys, gave up over one hundred yards to 515 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 3: two different wide receivers in that game. Jamison Williams, by 516 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 3: the way, did not do it with volume. He had 517 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 3: two catches and went over one hundred yards. This is 518 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,360 Speaker 3: what Pickens is built for. So despite having under only 519 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 3: one hundred yards receiving through his first two games, he 520 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,040 Speaker 3: ranks inside the top twenty five of air yards of 521 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 3: the NFL, with over one hundred and seventy five inside 522 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 3: that top twenty five. By the way, he has the 523 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 3: fifth worst percentage of balls thrown to him that were 524 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:22,640 Speaker 3: actually catchable sixty six percent. That shouldn't be an issue 525 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 3: this week with really really bad cornerback play getting involved. 526 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,440 Speaker 3: This is why I like in projections go between fifty 527 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,919 Speaker 3: seven and sixty one going over a couple sites. So 528 00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 3: the projections like it. So the prop of fifty three 529 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 3: point five is what we like. But Ladies and Gentlemen, 530 00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 3: maybe my only one this year, especially if it doesn't hit. 531 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 3: I am climbing the ladder with George Pickens. I assume 532 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 3: if you're watching this ye're familiar a ladder bet is 533 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 3: you end up taking markers of a player to go 534 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 3: way past that prop. You've got to be very careful 535 00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,680 Speaker 3: about how you do it. Typically you would bet, let's 536 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 3: say on the fifty three point five, you'd bet a unit. 537 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 3: Maybe you do half a unit on the next line, 538 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 3: which is sixty. Maybe you do a quarter of a 539 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 3: unit on seventy, and then like a real small tenth 540 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 3: of a unit on eighty. That is where I am going. 541 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 3: I have laddered this sixty plus at plus one seventeen 542 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,160 Speaker 3: seventy plus yards at one seventy two and eighty plus 543 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 3: at plus two point fifty five because you got the 544 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 3: number four fantasy quarterback Dak Prescott you've got one of 545 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:23,920 Speaker 3: the highest lines of over fifty, you've got one of 546 00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 3: the worst secondaries. George Pickens could do this in one 547 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 3: singular play because guess what Jamison Williams did, George Pickens 548 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 3: to the Moon, And if you listen to the rank 549 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 3: show on FP I would remind you I believe it was. 550 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 3: Pat Fitzmorris had said, I can't not rank George Pickens 551 00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:40,640 Speaker 3: high this week because it feels like an eight catch, 552 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:44,400 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty yard week. I am laddering George Pickens, 553 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 3: but my official bet, which I'll be accounted on, is 554 00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 3: fifty three point five ericson. Tell me you love it 555 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 3: and don't say otherwise. 556 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 2: I like it, I don't. The only reason I don't 557 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 2: love it is because the only reason I don't love 558 00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 2: it is because Pickens was not really heavily involved until, 559 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 2: like you said, like very late into that game against 560 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,440 Speaker 2: the New York Giants. So what changed, Like why wasn't 561 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 2: he getting involved early on? It's because, well, Kamanti Turpin 562 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,320 Speaker 2: kind of matters in this offense, Like he got hurt, 563 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:13,680 Speaker 2: he was out with a neck injury, and then George 564 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 2: Pickens kid started flooded with targets, so like, that's my 565 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,959 Speaker 2: only concern. But to your point, he could get there 566 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,200 Speaker 2: on one play, which is what I feel like we 567 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:22,879 Speaker 2: always fall back on that. I go like, guys, you 568 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 2: can get them on one play, like it's gonna be fine. 569 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 2: So I do agree with you going over the fifty 570 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 2: three and a half. It will not be laddering it, unfortunately, 571 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 2: but I will be cheering for you, and I hope 572 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 2: that I'm wrong. 573 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 1: Well, I'm going to support your crazy ladder bet with 574 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: a caveat. I want to make sure we already know 575 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 1: Jalen Johnson dealing with the Gordon issue. Probably we're not 576 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 1: gonna see him for a while, if we see him 577 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 1: at all again. Gordon also dealing with a hamstring issue. 578 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: He did not practice yesterday either. If we're talking about 579 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 1: all the corners being out, then I think this is 580 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 1: actually a really good wager, and you might want to 581 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 1: start locking it in early, because I wonder if those 582 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: odds start to change a little bit as we get 583 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 1: closer to Sunday and more of these arps out there 584 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: start to attack that Parson. 585 00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 3: One of the scarier things too doing this this early 586 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,199 Speaker 3: there is if you look at the weather there's like 587 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,160 Speaker 3: a little slight chance of rain that could be nothing, 588 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,199 Speaker 3: by the way, that could actually help this if the 589 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 3: rain were to become something that would be worrisome. But 590 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 3: the weather at temperature I think is in the mid seventies, 591 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,479 Speaker 3: there's no wind, all the things that I'm okay with, 592 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,840 Speaker 3: So even like a little bit of rain could actually 593 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 3: be a benefit for a guy like Pickins in this. 594 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:27,960 Speaker 3: So ride with me, my friends responsibly, or at least 595 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 3: just go fifty three point five over on George Pickens 596 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 3: against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. 597 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 1: All right, let's turn our attention to call in some 598 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,879 Speaker 1: touchdowns and again Betting pros dot com slash Touchdown. You 599 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 1: could see the Touchdown Score Report. That's fun. The Touchdown 600 00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bets and 601 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,520 Speaker 1: projections to help identify the very best in any time 602 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 1: tds that you're gonna find. So go to Betting Pros 603 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: dot com slash Touchdown or again just download the app. 604 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 1: Make it easy. Recapping last week so far again, just 605 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 1: looking where we are. Welsh has two touchdowns so far 606 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,400 Speaker 1: this year. I've got one, Andrew's got one. I need 607 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: to get to this week I want to I want 608 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 1: to come out here strong in week three, So I'm 609 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 1: gonna go with cams scataboo to score a touchdown. My boy, cam'scataboo, 610 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: Let's go, because I don't think the Giants are given 611 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 1: a lot against the Chiefs, but I don't think they're 612 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: gonna get shut out either, So I'm gonna look for 613 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: Camp's scataboo to grind his way to a touchdown at 614 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 1: plus one seventy five. It's a pretty good return too. 615 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,400 Speaker 1: And then to Andrew Erickson's very good analysis, I'm gonna 616 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 1: piggyback that Matthew Stafford bet with DeVante Adams at plus 617 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 1: one seventy five. I like this return here. I think 618 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: there's some other like good options here. Javonte Williams, you're 619 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,119 Speaker 1: getting at like basically even money to score. That's a 620 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 1: good woman. And Kirien Williams is basically even money. So 621 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:41,640 Speaker 1: if you want to be safer, those are the ways 622 00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 1: to go. But you want to have some fun, it's 623 00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: cam'scataboo and it is DeVante Adams at plus one seventy 624 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 1: five each. Well, since you're leading the charge, why don't 625 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,120 Speaker 1: you go first? Any touchdown calls. 626 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,439 Speaker 3: I always hear Adam Sandler with it, like the timod 627 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 3: that's the Scott. 628 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:02,400 Speaker 1: Show. Oh for the touchdown corn is pretty nice. That's 629 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 1: what I got. 630 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 2: That's pretty good. 631 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,639 Speaker 3: Actually, it's pretty good. Yeah, I'm going to try to 632 00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 3: continue this. I was two and three on my props, 633 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 3: but I hit a touchdown last week. I've hit a 634 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 3: touchdown in each of the two weeks. I'd like to 635 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,000 Speaker 3: keep rolling. So my two touchdown calls this week, as 636 00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 3: one does, you got a bet on a tight end 637 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:19,679 Speaker 3: and I'm gonna go with Travis Kelcey this week. Giants 638 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,160 Speaker 3: have given up. They've already get up one touchdown, two 639 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,679 Speaker 3: tight ends. I leave three receiving touchdowns overall. They give 640 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,639 Speaker 3: up to Ertz in the first week, they got absolutely 641 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 3: slashed by Ferguson last week. They want to continuously get 642 00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 3: Kelsey involved, especially when they get into the red zone. 643 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 3: I do believe the Chiefs are going to be able 644 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:34,879 Speaker 3: to do some work. They can pass the ball a 645 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 3: decent amount. We're these a little bit banged up. You 646 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 3: got Markus Browns. When you get in the red zone, 647 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:40,800 Speaker 3: what do you do? And you're looking at Kelsey. I 648 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:42,920 Speaker 3: like that one. That's around plus one point fifty on 649 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,600 Speaker 3: Travis Kelsey I've seen, and then the other one. I 650 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 3: feel a little bit risky. It's a little bit more 651 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,600 Speaker 3: than two to one. Because it's officially been announced that 652 00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,919 Speaker 3: Marcus Marriott is going to start this week. What do 653 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 3: I think Marcus Merita will not do slinging the ball 654 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 3: super deep? That's an effect to Terry mccorinth. They're also 655 00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 3: out eckler. So what is the most logical thing? How 656 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:03,280 Speaker 3: about short variant passes for guys that could do some 657 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:06,040 Speaker 3: work with the ball in their hands and get some yack. 658 00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 3: How about Deebo Samuel Deebo Samuel, whether he could be 659 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,040 Speaker 3: used in short yardage in the run game, whether it's 660 00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 3: going to be screen passes out. I don't think they're 661 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 3: gonna trust Mara to do big stuff. I think this 662 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 3: is a pretty good spot for Deebo this week. Also, 663 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 3: twenty two percent designed plays so far for Deebo, which 664 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,679 Speaker 3: is pretty ridiculous. Raiders corner stink. So I like Deebo 665 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:27,640 Speaker 3: at a little over two to one to score a touchdown. 666 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 1: Andrew Erk said, let's call some touchdowns. Let's go. What 667 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:31,280 Speaker 1: do you have? All right? 668 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,000 Speaker 2: I'm continuing the trend of Welsh and I betting on 669 00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 2: washed tight ends to score touchdowns that do. They dropped 670 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 2: them last week. So I'm gonna go with Mark Andrews, who, 671 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 2: like Travis Kelcey, should have caught a touchdown last week, didn't. 672 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 2: But that's basically his only role in this Ravens offense anymore, 673 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 2: is that, Hey, he's a red zone guy. I think 674 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 2: that he could score a touchdown because the Ravens have 675 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 2: a massive applied team total in a game where you 676 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,560 Speaker 2: could see easily fifty points score between the Ravens and 677 00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 2: the Lions. So I like Mark Andrews to squeeze the 678 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 2: football this time in the end zone and catch a touchdown. 679 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,360 Speaker 2: And then my favorite one is AJ Brown going back 680 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 2: to that Eagles Rams game. You know, if there's only 681 00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 2: one team in the NFL that has not thrown a 682 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 2: passing touchdown yet, it's the Philadelphia Eagles. They're the only team. 683 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 2: So what do we say, boys touchdown regression? They're overdue 684 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 2: to score a passing touchdown. I think they're going to 685 00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 2: do it against the Rams, who have allowed one hundred 686 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,480 Speaker 2: percent of their touchdowns through the air this season. AJ 687 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:24,160 Speaker 2: Brown scored against the Rams last year. And look when 688 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 2: AJ Brown is one on one with Emmanuel Forbes and 689 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,480 Speaker 2: they don't design him a slant to just totally body 690 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 2: Emmanuel Forbes of AJ Brown, I don't know what they're doing. 691 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:35,840 Speaker 2: So I think AJB finally finds the end zone. 692 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 1: One would hope, one would hope we'd get to that 693 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: mark as well. So again, we love to hear from 694 00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:43,280 Speaker 1: all of you on the YouTube channel. Subscribe and drop 695 00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:45,960 Speaker 1: your comments below. Pick your touchdown, call who's finding the 696 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 1: end zone. Drop them in there for us, and don't 697 00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: forget to download the Betting Pros app and go place 698 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 1: your first bet today. Five dollars wins you one hundred 699 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 1: and fifteen bonus bets. If your first bet hits over 700 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet, that'll do it for us. But 701 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericksson 702 00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:02,720 Speaker 1: Welsh climbing the ladder. I'm Joey p will see you 703 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 704 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 705 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,720 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 706 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: or Spotify, Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 707 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 708 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros