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Speaker 3: Welcome in episode one oh nine, What's Right with Nick Wright,

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Speaker 3: our Week sixteen NFL gambling show, and right as we're

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Speaker 3: about to record, we have listen. Today's going to be

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Speaker 3: an important episode because we are recording on Thursday, you

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Speaker 3: will hear it on Friday. Typically that we don't really

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Speaker 3: discuss the Thursday night game because it's not actionable for

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Speaker 3: you guys. However, there is a nice symmetry between the

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Speaker 3: story of the Prince that was promised in the Jacksonville

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Speaker 3: Jaguars who play Thursday Night and Our Picks. Season started

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Speaker 3: off with great optimism, had some really nice early moments

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Speaker 3: and then a deadly cold streak in the middle of

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Speaker 3: the year that seemingly left the team for dead, and

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Speaker 3: then a surge at the end. And are they going

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Speaker 3: to sneak into the playoffs? Well, Ryan Tannehill's done for

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Speaker 3: the year. The Jags control their own destiny. By the

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Speaker 3: time you hear this, the Jags will have beaten the

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Speaker 3: New York Jets on Thursday night. I'm calling my shot,

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Speaker 3: much like our picks, written off for dead after some

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Speaker 3: disastrous weeks, and then last week, while we did not

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Speaker 3: do a show, we did publicly post five picks. And

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Speaker 3: if those aren't five perfect picks, I don't know what is.

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Speaker 3: We'll start with the one loser, Minnesota minus three and

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Speaker 3: a half. Well, they won by three and had the

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Speaker 3: greatest comeback in the history of the sport. I had

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Speaker 3: the guts, the courage to lay three points with the

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Speaker 3: Broncos backup quarterback against Arizona, and that was never in doubt.

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Speaker 3: Pittsburgh plus three against Carolina, I said on the TV

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Speaker 3: show the coaching mismatch between Tomlin and Wilkes the Steelers,

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Speaker 3: I didn't care it was Trubisky, the Steelers getting three points.

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Speaker 3: Carolina way overvalued everyone's like, oh, they can make the playoffs. Nonsense,

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Speaker 3: total nonsense. They went out right, the Giants plus four

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Speaker 3: and a half. They went out right and our right move.

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Speaker 3: I told you guys, the Bills don't blow people out.

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Speaker 3: The Bills were very lucky to win that game. They

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen fumbled for a second consecutive play with the

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Speaker 3: Bills down eight, but they recovered it. Credit to the

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Speaker 3: Bills for it taking care of business. And I guess

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Speaker 3: you could say we got a little lucky not to

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Speaker 3: end with a push there because the Bills could have

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Speaker 3: run into the end zone. They did and they end

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Speaker 3: up kicking the field goal. But regardless, that's a four

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Speaker 3: and one week. So our record on the season is

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Speaker 3: now thirty six, thirty nine and two, three games under

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Speaker 3: five hundred. Much like the Jacksonville Jaguars, as we record

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Speaker 3: our two games under five hundred, with a chance to

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Speaker 3: get hot and be the team no one wants to

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Speaker 3: see come the postseason. All we need to Oh, oh

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Speaker 3: you think I'm drunking, Oh you think the I'm telling

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Speaker 3: you right now?

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Speaker 4: You think the the feal boys certainly don't want to

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Speaker 4: see him sat in?

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Speaker 3: Okay, that's true, and and that's the other thing in

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Speaker 3: the C block. In our third segment of today's show,

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Speaker 3: we're going to discuss in full uh demands break you know,

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Speaker 3: the ten Crack Commandments from Biggie. You're familiar to the song.

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Speaker 4: Oh no, yeah, I can't let you just school me

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Speaker 4: on some Biggie stuff. I'm just gonna say that I

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Speaker 4: know what you're talking about, and we're gonna move on

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Speaker 4: from it.

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Speaker 3: Well, you, no, it's not. I mean, it's just because

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Speaker 3: I mean it came out five years before you were born.

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Speaker 3: But don't get high on your own supply the oh yeah,

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Speaker 3: the Scarface Okay, well scarf, yes, so some of it

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Speaker 3: from Starface to movie. Yes. Uh. And Demonse broke eight

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Speaker 3: of the ten Gambling Commandments on Sunday and it led lost,

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Speaker 3: well lost. Now you're breaking the ninth, which is denial,

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Speaker 3: which is being in denial about your mistakes, which will

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Speaker 3: lead to more of the same mistake And so we

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Speaker 3: we will discuss that later. But we are right there

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Speaker 3: alive for a winning season. Here's an amazing fact before

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Speaker 3: we get to our picks this week. Every week on

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Speaker 3: TV I take my three favorite picks from the Gambling

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Speaker 3: Show and make them my three television picks, despite being

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Speaker 3: thirty six, thirty nine and two on the Gambling Show,

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Speaker 3: I am on TV at sixty one percent against the

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Speaker 3: spread and over the last six weeks of television picks

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Speaker 3: thirteen three and two. So somehow I am kind of

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Speaker 3: dancing through the rain drops on TV with the picks.

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Speaker 3: The larger pick sample not quite as good. But they're

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Speaker 3: all going to be good this week. I love them all.

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Speaker 3: We're red hot. We're making money Texas Dolly Doyle Brunson,

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Speaker 3: who tails our picks, He's making money. Everyone's making money

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Speaker 3: right now, except for my co host Demanse, who got

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Speaker 3: crushed on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: And we will discuss.

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Speaker 3: We will start here first pick of the week, getting

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Speaker 3: back on that Giants horse Giant plus four at Minnesota.

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Speaker 3: The Vikings are not good. I don't know the Giants

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Speaker 3: are good either. Back, I think the Giants are very

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Speaker 3: good either. However, the Giants know that they essentially they

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Speaker 3: can lock up a wildcard spot with a win this weekend.

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Speaker 3: After the big win against Washington Minnesota, I would imagine

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Speaker 3: there has to be something of a letdown after the

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Speaker 3: biggest comeback in an NFL history and the Vikings a letdown. Yeah, no,

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Speaker 3: it's such an emotional comeback victory. Yeah, draining exactly a

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Speaker 3: bit of an emotional letdown. Also, the Vikings are in

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Speaker 3: a weird spot where they it's not impossible, but it's

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Speaker 3: almost impossible for them to get the one seed. They're

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Speaker 3: not going to fall to the four line, so they

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Speaker 3: are essentially locked into the two or the three. Now,

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Speaker 3: now you can argue the three is the two is

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Speaker 3: way more valuable than the three because you would then

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Speaker 3: get to host theoretically San Francisco instead of going to

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Speaker 3: San Francisco. I understand that part of it, but I

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Speaker 3: think the Giants defense will be able to give Minnesota

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Speaker 3: some measure of trouble. I don't know that the Giants

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Speaker 3: are gonna win, but four points this should be two points.

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Speaker 3: It's four points. It obviously crosses the key three. So

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Speaker 3: I like the Giants plus four is our first pick

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Speaker 3: of the week.

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Speaker 4: Doesn't seem a little too easy to you, as you know,

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Speaker 4: being that the Giants tend to cover against the spread.

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Speaker 4: I think they're ten and four against the spread this

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Speaker 4: well this year, yep, and Minnesota never blows up teams.

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Speaker 3: Well, the too easy is a first cousin of be

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Speaker 3: careful right, or where it's like, wait, they're daring you

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Speaker 3: to pick this. I really only worry about that. I

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Speaker 3: shouldn't say only, but that typically is when a favorite

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Speaker 3: looks too easy, you know, like when it's like, wait,

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Speaker 3: this team should be favored by happen the only favorite

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Speaker 3: by three? Those are the ones that scare me. It's

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Speaker 3: because the public does not typically bang underdogs, and so

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Speaker 3: if an underdog line, If I like the underdog and

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Speaker 3: it seems like the lion's mispriced, those are my favorite bets.

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Speaker 3: If I like a favorite and it seems like it's

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Speaker 3: way mispriced, those feel trappy, Like wait, what does Vegas

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Speaker 3: know that I don't know? But the Giants plus four,

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Speaker 3: I just think it's I think this is a three

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Speaker 3: point game in either direction. Next Cleveland minus three against

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Speaker 3: New Orleans. All Right, Deshaun Watson is not going to consistently.

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Speaker 3: He's going to get better to a degree. Now, is

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Speaker 3: he gonna be worth that money? Is that going to

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Speaker 3: be a good contract? It doesn't look like it, but

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Speaker 3: he's going to be better than he's been. Additionally, the

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Speaker 3: Saints are awful and they have the worst coach in

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Speaker 3: the NFL, and I'm including that Hackett in that they

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Speaker 3: have the worst coach in the NFL. The fact that

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Speaker 3: this is not in Cleveland also is sneaky. Still alive

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Speaker 3: for the playoffs, They're not in my mind, but Matt

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Speaker 3: at six and eight, they're like, if we run the table,

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Speaker 3: win some tiebreakers, nine and eight could get us in.

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Speaker 3: I think Cleveland will run the hell out of the ball.

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Speaker 3: I think Miles Garrett will force at least one fumble

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Speaker 3: on Andy Dalton or Taysom Hill, whomever the Saints have

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Speaker 3: played quarterback on any given snap. This should be Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: I believe minus six it's Cleveland minus three.

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Speaker 2: I like Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: I don't think we have bet on Cleveland once all year,

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Speaker 3: and I like them in this spot at home. The

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Speaker 3: only hesitation I have is bad weather, snowy weather. I

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Speaker 3: tend to favor underdogs because but this in since Cleveland's

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Speaker 3: kind of built for the bad weather, because they will

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Speaker 3: just run the football if you let them.

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Speaker 2: So you think they'll have like an edge, and.

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I think if the if the conditions are poor,

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Speaker 3: they can just hand the ball to Nick Chubb thirty

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Speaker 3: five times Nick Chubb and Cream Hunt They're gonna be

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Speaker 3: fine with that. So I like Cleveland minus the three. Uh,

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Speaker 3: is there something you want to ask about the game?

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Speaker 2: Man?

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Speaker 4: That over under is probably gonna be the lowest that

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Speaker 4: it's been since I've been alive. Maybe really Yeah, because

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Speaker 4: of the weather, yeah, and the teams.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. So let me look and see what the total

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Speaker 3: in the game is. In the Cleveland game, Oh my god,

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Speaker 3: that is the That is going to be the lowest

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Speaker 3: total in any game in years. In twenty years. The

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Speaker 3: totals thirty two and a half. That's an Army Navy total.

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Speaker 3: So Navy, Yeah, Army Navy. They play teams, yeah, they

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Speaker 3: play and it's a It goes under almost every single year.

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Speaker 3: So a total that low, again pushes you towards the

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Speaker 3: underdog because you're getting points. They don't expect a lot

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Speaker 3: of points. I understand that. I'm gonna stay strong with

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Speaker 3: Cleveland at Cleveland minus three. That's our second pick of

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Speaker 3: the week. Third pick, the Bills don't blow people out.

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Speaker 3: Chicago getting eight and a half against Buffalo, it's just

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Speaker 3: too many points. And I would imagine again, the weather

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Speaker 3: is going to be a massive factor in any game

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Speaker 3: that's being played in the Northeast this weekend. Also, Josh

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Speaker 3: Allen popped up as a limited participant on the Bills

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Speaker 3: practice report for the first time since before Thanksgiving. They

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Speaker 3: rant listen that Miami game was critical to them. All

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Speaker 3: these games are critical because they can't lose and stay

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Speaker 3: the one seed. The Miami game was extra critical because

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Speaker 3: had they lost that one, Miami would be to facto

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Speaker 3: half game out of first place in the division and

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Speaker 3: Buffalo could have fallen all the way to the five line.

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Speaker 3: Buffalo had Miami last week, huge game. They have Cincinnati

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Speaker 3: next week.

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Speaker 2: That's interesting, huge game.

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Speaker 3: So Buffalo right now could be the one, the two,

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Speaker 3: or the three. Same with Kansas City, same with Cincinnati,

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Speaker 3: so that's a massive game. They are now going to

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Speaker 3: be playing in horrific conditions against a Bears team that

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Speaker 3: the Bears weakness will They have a lot of them,

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Speaker 3: but they can't block for Justin Fields. But he's such

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Speaker 3: a magician. He gets out and runs. We saw some

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Speaker 3: of the most amazing quarterback runs we've ever seen watching

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Speaker 3: him this weekend. Their other giant weakness is every aspect

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Speaker 3: of their defense, particularly their past defense. In these conditions,

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Speaker 3: I don't think there's gonna be a lot of passing now.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen is a deadly weapon with his leg. He

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Speaker 3: ran so much and got so banged up against the

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Speaker 3: bank against the Dolphins. I would imagine if the Bills

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Speaker 3: have any sense whatsoever, they are going to try to

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Speaker 3: make this a fast game. Hand the ball to their

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Speaker 3: running backs, keep Josh out of harm's way. That leads

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Speaker 3: to a low scoring game. The Bears are going to

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Speaker 3: be running the ball that leads to a low scoring game.

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Speaker 3: The Bears, as they showed last week against the Eagles,

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Speaker 3: even when they're down double digits, are not out of it.

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Speaker 3: From a covering perspective, Getting eight and a half is

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Speaker 3: such a great number to where even if they're down

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Speaker 3: ten late, if they're down fourteen late, hell fifteen late,

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Speaker 3: you're still alive for the cover. And the Bills, aside

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Speaker 3: from the Patriots, have they They have not beaten anyone

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Speaker 3: by two scores since the first week of October when

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Speaker 3: they played the Steelers and beat them thirty five to three.

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Speaker 3: That's the other than the again, other than the Patriots,

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Speaker 3: who they beat twenty four to ten. So that's a blowout,

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Speaker 3: but it's a low scoring blowout. They have not blown

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Speaker 3: anyone out in two plus months. Chicago plus eight and

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Speaker 3: a half. Next, the Raiders getting two and a half

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Speaker 3: at Pittsburgh. This one's pretty simple. Obviously, you'd rather it

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Speaker 3: be three, There's no doubt about it. You'd rather it

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Speaker 3: be three. But I actually don't know if the three

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Speaker 3: is quite as valuable when it's going to again be

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Speaker 3: these weather and kicking conditions because you got miss extra points,

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Speaker 3: missed field goals. The Raiders are in the same bucket

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Speaker 3: as the Browns, where they're still alive thanks to being

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Speaker 3: six and eight, where they're not actually alive, but they're

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Speaker 3: not going to give up on the season. Steelers, by

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Speaker 3: the way, in that same bucket at six and eight.

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Speaker 3: I just think this is the Raiders after the win

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Speaker 3: last week against the Patriots, which what got overshadowed because

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Speaker 3: of how the game ended was that the Raiders were

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Speaker 3: the far better team. The Raiders outplayed the Patriots soundly

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Speaker 3: throughout the game, car through an unfathomably bad pick six

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Speaker 3: that got the Patriots back in it. The Patriots then

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Speaker 3: field goal, field goal, field goal, They all of a

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Speaker 3: sudden have a lead, and then the Raiders have a

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Speaker 3: magnificent final drive complete a fourth and ten, a great

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Speaker 3: ball to kill and Cole in the corner of the

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Speaker 3: end zone. I don't know if he was in or out,

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Speaker 3: but they called him in in order to tie the game.

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Speaker 3: And then they had the stirring Chandler Jones mush face

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Speaker 3: on Mac Jones. The Raiders, I think win this game outright.

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Speaker 3: If they don't, this feels like it absolutely could be

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Speaker 3: a sixteen to fourteen game where even if they don't win,

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Speaker 3: the two and a half is enough to cover. I

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Speaker 3: like the Raiders now. Last week I picked the Steelers

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Speaker 3: because the coaching edge Tomlin versus Wilkes. There again is

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Speaker 3: a pretty significant coaching edge Tomlin versus McDaniel. But I

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Speaker 3: think the Raiders have an overwhelming talent edge in this game.

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Speaker 3: The Steelers don't run the ball all that well, and

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Speaker 3: this is gonna be a run game. The Raiders plus

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Speaker 3: two and a half. And then lastly Miami minus four

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Speaker 3: against Green Bay. I think right now this is an

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Speaker 3: undervalued Dolphins team and an overvalued Packers team. So the Packers,

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Speaker 3: everyone's given them credit because, oh they're alive and they

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Speaker 3: could make the postseason. They're not making the postseason. Oh

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Speaker 3: they've they've turned their season around. My question would be this,

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Speaker 3: have the Packers turned their season around or have the

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Speaker 3: Packers simply gotten to the part of the schedule where

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Speaker 3: they get the Bears and then the Rams. I think

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Speaker 3: it's more that Miami, on the other hand, I thought

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Speaker 3: really played well against Buffalo. I thought they're running. I

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Speaker 3: thought they showed you in the Buffalo game. What if

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Speaker 3: a team sells out to just stop the pass what

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Speaker 3: they can do on the ground. Miami also is desperate

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Speaker 3: for a win, having lost three in a row. They're

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Speaker 3: not going to miss the playoffs, but they need another

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Speaker 3: win to ensure they don't miss the playoffs. Them being

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Speaker 3: favored by only four points at home in what is

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Speaker 3: a game that should not be drastically affected by weather

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Speaker 3: because it's in Miami is disrespectful to what the Dolphins

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Speaker 3: have accomplished throughout the year. I think this should be

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Speaker 3: Miami minus six and a half. It's Miami minus four.

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Speaker 3: I don't think that the Packers can stay attached to

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Speaker 3: Hill and Waddle all game. And here is an amazing stat.

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Speaker 3: How many games this year do you think Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 3: has thrown for three hundred yards?

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Speaker 2: One zero?

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Speaker 3: How many games this year, is Aaron Rodgers thrown for

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Speaker 3: two hundred and sixty yards?

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Speaker 2: You want to give it a guess?

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Speaker 3: No, No, you don't know, Okay, no problem.

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Speaker 2: Zero zero, okay, two sixty? Wow?

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Speaker 3: To not throw for two sixty. The reason that people

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Speaker 3: are like, oh, the Packers, if they get hot, if

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Speaker 3: they sneak in, if it's pretending they have the Aaron

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Speaker 3: Rodgers that the two years he won League MVP, the

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Speaker 3: last two years had a touchdown interception ratio of eighty

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Speaker 3: five to nine, eighty five to nine over two years

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Speaker 3: such an interception. This year it's twenty three to ten.

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Speaker 3: And he hasn't thrown for more than two hundred and

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Speaker 3: fifty five yards once all season. So for all those reasons,

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Speaker 3: I think Miami is the better team. I think Miami

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Speaker 3: is undervalued here. I like Miami minus four and so

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Speaker 3: that Miami's the pick. So our five picks for the

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Speaker 3: week coming off a four and one week where the

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Speaker 3: one loss was by a half point. The Giants getting

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Speaker 3: four in minutes, the Bears getting eight and a half

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Speaker 3: at home against Buffalo, Cleveland laying three against New Orleans,

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Speaker 3: the Raiders getting two and a half at Pittsburgh, and

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Speaker 3: Miami laying four against Green Bay. There's our five picks.

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Speaker 3: We have a very interesting second segment coming where we

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Speaker 3: put the games in stay aways, be carefuls and perfectly priced.

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Speaker 3: We have five a full five stay away games because

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Speaker 3: of quarterback injuries over the course of the last few

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Speaker 3: weeks that affect these games. We will discuss all of

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Speaker 3: those games next. What's right.

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Speaker 3: All right, welcome back. In episode one oh nine, Week

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Speaker 3: sixteen gambling show, we just gave you our five picks.

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Speaker 3: We'll recap them real quick here again. Giants plus four,

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Speaker 3: Bears plus eight and a half, Raiders plus two and

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Speaker 3: a half, Cleveland minus three, and Miami minus four. We now,

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Speaker 3: as we always have you new to the Gambling Show.

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Speaker 3: The way we do it is we take all the

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Speaker 3: games of the weekend and then we put them in

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Speaker 3: three categories, the picks we're gonna make, the stay aways,

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Speaker 3: the beat carefuls, and the perfectly priced. This is the

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Speaker 3: most stayaways we've ever had. We have five stay aways

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Speaker 3: this week Houston at Tennessee, Seattle at Kansas City, Atlanta

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Speaker 3: at Baltimore, Billy Dallas, Denver at the Rams. So we'll

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Speaker 3: explain them all quickly, but there's most of them involve

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Speaker 3: quarterback questions. So Tennessee is laying three at home against Houston.

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Speaker 3: Ryan Tannehill is out for the season, so it's Malik

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Speaker 3: Willis play. Malik Willis has not shown the ability yet

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Speaker 3: to be an NFL quarterback. With that said, the Texans

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Speaker 3: have not shown the ability yet to win football games.

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Speaker 3: And I understand they came this close to being Dallas,

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Speaker 3: this even closer to beating the Chiefs. I don't have

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Speaker 3: a read on if coming that close and losing those

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Speaker 3: games is going to be galvanizing for them, Like we're

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Speaker 3: that close getting over the hump or if they're gonna

355
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Speaker 3: be like it's Christmas, those were our chances. We stink

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Speaker 3: we're mailing it in that plus the quarterback issue in

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Speaker 3: Tennessee just don't bet on.

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Speaker 2: This game, all right.

359
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Speaker 4: So so, knowing the Tannehills out, they did the minus

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Speaker 4: three thing, what I want to say is, I think

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Speaker 4: Tennessee is I don't give it crap about Tanneill not

362
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Speaker 4: being in. I think they're gonna be that team that

363
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,200
Speaker 4: exposed them again for the Houston Texans, and I think

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Speaker 4: they're gonna blow them out.

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Speaker 2: And I think the minus three. Hey, I'm not telling

366
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Speaker 2: you guys a bet on it, but I think the

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Speaker 2: minus three.

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Speaker 3: Is so one of your picks this week if you

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Speaker 3: hadn't retired from gambling on Sunday, would be Tennessee minus three. Yeah. Possibly,

370
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Speaker 3: but it sounds like definitely. Yeah, sounds like definitely Tennessee

371
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 3: minus three. Okay. I'm not saying that's a wrong pick.

372
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Speaker 3: I'm simply saying it's too much uncertainty for me for

373
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Speaker 3: that to be on my card. Seattle at Kansas City

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Speaker 3: minus ten is a stay away purely for this reason.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if Kansas here's the deal. There is

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Speaker 3: a possibility that Kansas City is not as good as

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Speaker 3: I believe they are.

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Speaker 2: Here we go.

379
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Speaker 3: There is another possibility that Kansas City is doing the

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00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:05,679
Speaker 3: bare minimum it needs to do in these games to

381
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Speaker 3: book a win and to stay healthy. Because one thing

382
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Speaker 3: that is noteworthy is the Chiefs haven't had a player

383
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Speaker 3: injured in a game in three weeks. That's almost impossible

384
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Speaker 3: in the NFL. Now, some of that's luck, but also

385
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Speaker 3: some of that is you can coach a certain way

386
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 3: and play call a certain way to minimize injury risk.

387
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Speaker 3: It also minimizes explosiveness, and you know what I mean,

388
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Speaker 3: a lot of things, and I do wonder they got

389
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 3: up twenty seven to nothing on Denver and then when

390
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 3: Uber conservative except for Mahomes, made some big mistakes and

391
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Speaker 3: got away with a win against Houston.

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Speaker 2: They were taking Kelsey out a lot, It seemed like

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Speaker 2: taking They were taking Travis Kelsey.

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Speaker 3: On a lot out of the game exactly in yes,

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Speaker 3: because I and I think that's now They could have

396
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 3: looked that could have cost him against Houston, But I

397
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Speaker 3: don't think they anticipated Bucker missing the kicks, the two fumbles,

398
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Speaker 3: all those things, right, So my point is against Seattle.

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Speaker 3: I just I don't know if the Chiefs right now,

400
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 3: unless the other team turns the ball over a bunch

401
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 3: are going to coach to blow people out. But you

402
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 3: also should not feel comfortable grabbing the ten with a

403
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 3: Chiefs team that has to win at home against the

404
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,120
Speaker 3: Seattle team that's that's trending downwards. So to me, it's

405
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 3: a stay away.

406
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Speaker 2: Go ahead. Okay, I'm gonna play Devil's advocating real quick.

407
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Speaker 4: If you weren't a Chiefs fan, I feel like you'd

408
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,440
Speaker 4: have to definitely bet on this game considering that Pat

409
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 4: Mahomes never covers big numbers and Seattle is extremely desperate

410
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:50,399
Speaker 4: at this point of the season.

411
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Speaker 3: Okay, that there is an argument to be made there

412
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Speaker 3: that I maybe would do that. The flip side, though,

413
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Speaker 3: is the Chiefs haven't covered in three weeks or four weeks,

414
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 3: depending on where you got the Rams Chiefs line at.

415
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 3: They're not gonna They're not gonna not cover the rest

416
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 3: of the year. So at some point they're gonna cover

417
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,680
Speaker 3: one of these big numbers. And so I to me,

418
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 3: I'm just staying away from it. Atlanta at Baltimore. I'll

419
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 3: be very quick here. Desmond Ritter it's such an unknown

420
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 3: if he can play at this level at all. Baltimore,

421
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 3: we don't yet know for certain who is playing quarterback,

422
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 3: so quarterback questions on both sides stay away from the game.

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00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 3: PHILLYOT Dallas. We don't know if Jalen Hurts is playing

424
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 3: or not as we record here today. I don't think

425
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 3: he's playing, but there is when they're in. I think

426
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:48,400
Speaker 3: Minshew's a good backup. But when there is that unknown

427
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 3: at quarterback, it's a stay away. And Denver at the Rams,

428
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 3: the I think Russ is playing. They're saying he's playing.

429
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 3: Its concussion protocol, though it's also too horrible. Teams that

430
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 3: a stay away, like the quarterback questions involving four of

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00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 3: these five games, so to me, they're just pure stay aways. Okay,

432
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 3: it makes sense, like that's what that category exists, the

433
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 3: be careful category. Since he at New England, since he

434
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 3: laying only three points, Tampa Bay at Arizona, and the

435
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 3: Chargers at Endy, these are be careful for very simple reasons.

436
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:32,879
Speaker 3: They are daring you to bet the Bengals. The Patriots

437
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 3: are a mess. They're coming off the worst loss arguably

438
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 3: in NFL history. Cincinnati looks like a juggernaut. Right now,

439
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:44,159
Speaker 3: why is it only three points? Now? I understand the

440
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 3: weather is a factor there, It's a lot of things

441
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 3: that could be a factor. The entirety of the general

442
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: public is going to be on Cincinnati. Be careful, demands

443
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 3: that you love Cincinnati this weekend. Yeah, yeah, I know it.

444
00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:01,360
Speaker 2: Yeah. It kind of seems like Vegas is underrating them

445
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 2: in my opinion.

446
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 3: Well I get that, and the last few weeks you'd

447
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,800
Speaker 3: have been proven correcked. This to me is a trap,

448
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:14,399
Speaker 3: and I don't I can't give you any analysis. Of course.

449
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 2: Listen, the only reason plus three makes sense in New

450
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 2: England against Cincinnati is it? Is it in New England?

451
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 2: It's in New England?

452
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 3: Yeah so, but it is to me, this is eighty

453
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 3: five percent of the public is going to be on Cincinnati.

454
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 3: I can't imagine anyone loving New England getting only three points.

455
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 4: You're going to be part of the pubblic that's a

456
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 4: ten point teaser right there, your teaseer eleven eleven.

457
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:47,199
Speaker 3: So you lose the line value. You just you just,

458
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 3: I mean, just make all these mistakes. You can lead

459
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 3: a fit, you know, I will say, you can lead

460
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 3: a fish to water. That's not what it is. The

461
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 3: horse to the troughy. You can lead a horse to water,

462
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 3: you can't make them drink. You can, you know, teacher,

463
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 3: you can give a man a fish. You gotta teach

464
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 3: and fish something like that. I've let you down, Son.

465
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 2: I'm sorry.

466
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 3: Tampa and Arizona. There's the rare game where the public

467
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 3: I think is gonna be all over the underdog. It's

468
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 3: incomprehensible at this point that Tampa could blow somebody out.

469
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 3: But it's trace Mick Sorely starting for the Cardinals. So

470
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 3: to me, the public's gonna be all over Arizona plus

471
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: seven and a half because Tampa's looks so bad. Be careful.

472
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 3: Arizona could score zero points. No, legitimately, Arizona might score

473
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 3: zero points. But I'm also not gonna encourage you to

474
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 3: go out and lay more than a touchdown with the

475
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 3: Bucks who have looked terrible. Just be careful there. And then, lastly,

476
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 3: in this category, Chargers at Indy. Indy is getting four

477
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 3: and a half. Indy is starting Nick Foles. Here's what

478
00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 3: I'll tell you.

479
00:28:57,680 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 2: I think the.

480
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 3: Chargers are excellent. I think argers are dangerous. I think

481
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 3: the Chargers are gonna win. I also think Nick Foles

482
00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 3: might be the best quarterback Yeaholis, Yeah, that they've had

483
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 3: all year. Honestly, God Alnger was a joke. Matt Ryan

484
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 3: is melting in front of us. I think I think

485
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 3: that this feels like the all the entire public is

486
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 3: going to be on the Chargers. I of course, would

487
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 3: never encourage anyone to bet on Jeff Saturday. Four and

488
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 3: a half is such a weird number. Be careful here,

489
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 3: I just just be careful. The Chargers absolutely could blow

490
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 3: them out. It also could be that Nick Foles is

491
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 3: dealing on that beat up Chargers defense. Be careful and then, lastly,

492
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 3: perfectly priced will be very quick here. Detroit at Carolina

493
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 3: and Washington and San Francisco. Detroit being favored by just

494
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 3: about a field goal at Carolina feels right. Detroit is

495
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 3: not as dominant on the road as they are at home.

496
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 3: Carolina is no good, however. Carolina on the flip side, though,

497
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,239
Speaker 3: is they do control their own playoff destiny if they

498
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:11,560
Speaker 3: were to win out they go to the postseason. Detroit

499
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 3: to me is maybe slightly overvalued by the public right now,

500
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 3: but they are red hot. It should be Detroit minus

501
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 3: just about three on the road. That's perfectly priced. And

502
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 3: Washington at San Francisco. Washington's desperate. San Francisco's the most

503
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,360
Speaker 3: talented roster in the league. They're at home. They have

504
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 3: a rookie quarterback. You can't favor brock Purty by more

505
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 3: than a touchdown against any live team. Washington's a very

506
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,960
Speaker 3: live team. So I think the line is exactly where

507
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 3: I thought it should be. San Francisco favored by a touchdown.

508
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 3: That feels to me like a twenty to thirteen game.

509
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 3: So there it is. There's our We gave you our

510
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 3: five picks. We broke down the other games. We will

511
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 3: tell a Demons gambling story. We would find out if

512
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 3: we have any teasers. We will give you our right

513
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 3: move of the week. All that's next, What's right? All right?

514
00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:10,440
Speaker 3: Welcome back in final segment, Episode one oh nine, Week

515
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 3: sixteen Gambling Show. Our five picks this week are the

516
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 3: Giants plus four, Chicago plus eight and a half, Cleveland

517
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 3: minus three, Vegas plus two and a half, and Miami

518
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 3: minus four. Our right move this week, which we got

519
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 3: correct last week, has not been great over the course

520
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 3: of the season, but that's okay, is going to be

521
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 3: Chicago getting the eight and a half points. So Chicago

522
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 3: plus eight and a half. The Bills have in the

523
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:40,160
Speaker 3: last two and a half months have one win of

524
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 3: more than a one score of more than seven or

525
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 3: eight points. I don't think they're gonna get their second

526
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 3: in what's going to be terrible weather against a bad

527
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 3: but frisky Bears team. We like the Bears plus eight

528
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 3: and a half. Demonse, you're about to come on camera,

529
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 3: go like this, buddy, You got a little fuzz from

530
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 3: your shirt in your eyebrow, actually believe it or not.

531
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,800
Speaker 3: Now it's on your eyelid, but you're fine. So it's

532
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 3: still there. If you want to clean that off the

533
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 3: other side of your face, I'm just trying to help

534
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 3: you out there you go, still there's still I'm just

535
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 3: trying to help you. It's still there right there on

536
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 3: the side of your face. And so here's the deal.

537
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 3: We don't have an exotic this week. Okay, demonte had

538
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 3: an exotic this weekend. There's a ten point teaser, five

539
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 3: team ten point teaser, and he lost it because he

540
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 3: had the Cowboys catching five. He teased across zero, didn't

541
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 3: get to the key numbers, made all these errors as

542
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 3: if I've taught you nothing and lost in a heartbreaking

543
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:50,080
Speaker 3: fashion a pick six in overtime to lose by a.

544
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 2: Point, she just gets tackled. Man, they kicked the field goal.

545
00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 2: I win.

546
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 3: I know, and you probably dreamt about it and it

547
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 3: kept you up at night. But here's the real problem.

548
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 3: Without getting too into Demonday's business, it was not a

549
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 3: one unit bet. It was not a two unit bet.

550
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 3: It was a twenty unit bet.

551
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 2: The biggest bet of it.

552
00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 3: It was twenty units. I know what your typical bet

553
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 3: size is. I know what that bet was. And now,

554
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 3: and as much as I'd love to, I can't live

555
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 3: your life for you. But I am telling you this

556
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 3: is now a fork in the road moment for you

557
00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 3: because the problem with making a twenty unit bet, and

558
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 3: we've all been there, is it has a long tail

559
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 3: that affects you weeks and weeks down the road. And

560
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: here's what I mean. Your if you had won it,

561
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 3: that would probably in the long run cost you more

562
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 3: because that would then be you would trick yourself in

563
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 3: saying that's my new typical bet size. You might say

564
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:22,320
Speaker 3: you wouldn't, but you would. That's what everyone does. Because

565
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 3: the problem is, and this is where even losing it

566
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 3: can hurt you. Is Now, if you play this weekend

567
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:39,320
Speaker 3: and you go back to your typical bet size, winning

568
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 3: will feel like losing. It will be oh, yeah, great,

569
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 3: I won.

570
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 2: Yeah whooped? You do not.

571
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 3: I only need to win fifteen more of these to

572
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 3: get back that one bet, and it's gonna be sitting

573
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 3: in the back of your head. There's gonna I'm gonna

574
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 3: get even on that. I'm gonna get even on that,

575
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,919
Speaker 3: and I'm going to find the perfect five team ten

576
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 3: point teaser. Here's one other thing, and then I'll let

577
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 3: you talk. Demanse got mad at me this weekend briefly

578
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 3: when I was trying to talk through what had happened.

579
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:19,800
Speaker 3: When I was like, so, what was the bet? I

580
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,839
Speaker 3: went through it, I'm like, yeah, man, that's a lot

581
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 3: of money on a long shot. Demonte goes long shot. Huh.

582
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 3: I'm like, well, it was plus one forty, so if

583
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 3: it's plus money, it is something of a long shot.

584
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 3: So now the floor is yours with your thoughts.

585
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:41,759
Speaker 4: I'm gonna do it again, but I'm not gonna do

586
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,880
Speaker 4: the five hundred thing. What I'm going to do is

587
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,839
Speaker 4: and I don't think you're a you're not taking into

588
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 4: account what my parlays are. First of all, if I

589
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 4: hit one of my parlays, then I did make the

590
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:55,799
Speaker 4: money back because they're all like fifteen sixteen bucks to win,

591
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 4: like four or five whatever.

592
00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:58,719
Speaker 3: Those are very very hard to hit.

593
00:35:58,719 --> 00:35:59,320
Speaker 2: But go ahead.

594
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,959
Speaker 4: So I think, what I'm not gonna I'm not betting

595
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 4: this weekend. I'm not betting the next weekend. I'm actually

596
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 4: done betting for a little bit of time. But when

597
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,840
Speaker 4: I do get back to betting, what I'm going to

598
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 4: do is I'm going to do that same ten eleven

599
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,800
Speaker 4: have very many points, users I'm gonna bet one hundred

600
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 4: on that, and then I'm gonna do my regular parlays

601
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,759
Speaker 4: and it's going to be I know, I missed this one,

602
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 4: but it was pretty sure fire it by one point.

603
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 4: All right, Cool, I'm gonna do the one hundred to

604
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 4: cover me, and I'm still gonna do the same parlays,

605
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 4: so I'll lose like one to fifty at the most.

606
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 3: Okay, I you know, here's the thing. I'd love to

607
00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:45,839
Speaker 3: say that you know you're grown man. You're on your

608
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 3: own on this. Unfortunately, though this does impact me, for

609
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:59,839
Speaker 3: it's not your fault. But as you saw, you got

610
00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:04,399
Speaker 3: a small glimpse of this the other night. Let's just say,

611
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 3: your mother is nonplussed with me with you starting the

612
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:15,839
Speaker 3: sports bet. And it came up the other day when

613
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 3: I messed with your mom about something, and she was like, oh, yeah,

614
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:24,319
Speaker 3: well you've got him gambling, so and so.

615
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 2: All right, so let me let me say this.

616
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 4: With that little thing, the little last week's or last

617
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:33,279
Speaker 4: Sunday's stint.

618
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:35,960
Speaker 2: I feel like overall I've been pretty respect like.

619
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 4: I feel like with the five hundred thing, I didn't

620
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 4: double down, I didn't try to bet again.

621
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:43,799
Speaker 3: I was and I'll be honest you, Okay, So now

622
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 3: I have to you're right about that, and now I

623
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 3: have to admit something to you. So you looked at

624
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 3: my bank against Hold on a second, just wait a

625
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 3: second here, Just wait a second here. I did not

626
00:37:55,920 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 3: that day. I did not the next day, however, yesterday

627
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 3: or the day before yesterday, I don't remember which I

628
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 3: had to send you money for. Yeah, because demanse uh

629
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 3: paid a bill for me, or paid, I say, paid

630
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,799
Speaker 3: the lady who comes and cleans our house once a week.

631
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 3: I was gone and I hadn't paid her. So I

632
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 3: asked demanse to go to the ATM and get money

633
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 3: and to give her extra money because it was Christmas.

634
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,360
Speaker 3: So I had to log into the online banking to

635
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 3: transfer you that money back because I didn't want to forget.

636
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 3: And I will admit when I was there scrolling through

637
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,840
Speaker 3: the transit, I didn't even scroll. Here's the thing. I

638
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 3: don't know if this is better or worse. I didn't

639
00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:47,400
Speaker 3: scroll through your transactions because I felt that would have

640
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 3: been too invasive. What I did do searched, Yes, exactly right,

641
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 3: that is exact, and I'm gonna tell you I saw

642
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 3: something moderately. I was here's the thing. I typed in

643
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 3: Fate and I searched, and I saw every every FanDuel thing.

644
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 3: Then I typed in all the other betting apps and

645
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 3: I saw, okay, we're in the clear. What I didn't

646
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 3: see was that on FanDuel in particular, that they've ever

647
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 3: sent you money. So that was a little disappointing though,

648
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 3: because because I.

649
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,760
Speaker 4: Could actually find that for you if I've cashed out, okay,

650
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,360
Speaker 4: so you d me twice, but I've never cashed on

651
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 4: like a huge amount I cashed out the time I've

652
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 4: cashed out twice. Every okay, the time after the Lions game,

653
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 4: that little parlay that okay, you.

654
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 3: Did cash that out. Okay, so maybe it just didn't

655
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 3: show up on that so you have cashed out something

656
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:50,480
Speaker 3: definitely okay. All right, well then in that case you

657
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:54,759
Speaker 3: are right that you have not been Yeah. That was

658
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 3: total deposits to FanDuel over the course of the season

659
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,799
Speaker 3: is about one thousand bucks. Half of that being made

660
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:07,240
Speaker 3: at two in the morning Sunday morning for a five

661
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 3: team ten point parlay is not or ten point teaser

662
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 3: is not ideal bank roll management. But but I was

663
00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:21,359
Speaker 3: relieved and thrilled because I knew you told me how

664
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,320
Speaker 3: much the bet was for, right, so I knew it

665
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 3: was that. I was legit nervous that I was gonna

666
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 3: see an instant another deposit, like.

667
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,719
Speaker 2: Oh boy, no, we're not making the dream come.

668
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 3: Try Okay, all right, you know what, Okay, then you're fine.

669
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:41,479
Speaker 3: So demonte By the way, this week only has one pick.

670
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,360
Speaker 3: I think your one pick that you love is Tennessee

671
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 3: minus three with Malik.

672
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 2: Willis no what I'm going to start.

673
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,800
Speaker 4: I'm doing the teasers, I'm doing the having any points

674
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:54,879
Speaker 4: you No, No, I won't. I'm not saying that I'm

675
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,120
Speaker 4: gonna bet it on. I understand, but it's going to

676
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 4: be my imaginary You know, all.

677
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 3: Listen, since we're not doing an exotic this week, I

678
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 3: just because it applies to you, and then we'll move on.

679
00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 3: The show's gone too long. That just reminder America. With teasers,

680
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:19,360
Speaker 3: you want to avoid teasing across zero because you're giving

681
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 3: up a point there because the game essentially never lands

682
00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 3: on zero. That's first point. Second point. You want to

683
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:32,760
Speaker 3: make sure, depending on your betting outfit that you use,

684
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 3: do pushes reduce the teaser or do pushes lose? So

685
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:42,719
Speaker 3: on some ten point teasers, you tease it and say

686
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 3: games of pick them, and you tease it up to

687
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 3: plus ten. If that team loses by ten, it doesn't

688
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 3: just reduce, meaning go from a five team teaser to

689
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 3: a four team teaser like it would with You're Out.

690
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,760
Speaker 3: You gotta check that. And you want to make sure

691
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:03,360
Speaker 3: you're teasing across key numbers. You want to get actual

692
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 3: value in what you're teasing, and you want to consider

693
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 3: teasing underdogs. Everyone thinks of teasing. Oh I'm gonna tease

694
00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:15,360
Speaker 3: a seven point favorite down to a pick them, so

695
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:19,080
Speaker 3: be it. But you also have to consider teasing a

696
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,520
Speaker 3: two and a half point underdog up to nine and

697
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 3: a half. So you get it through the three, the six,

698
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:26,840
Speaker 3: the seven, the eight. Those are things if you're gonna

699
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:30,759
Speaker 3: do teasers, and let's not do teasers of more than

700
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 3: three teams America. These five team teasers are hard. You

701
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:39,439
Speaker 3: need to be correct on five separate events. One other

702
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:43,359
Speaker 3: note that I don't really encourage, but I will ad

703
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 3: for you, but for the audience. Also, keep in mind

704
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 3: with teasers, you're allowed to tease the total. I don't

705
00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:52,200
Speaker 3: do that, but you are allowed to tease. Like right now,

706
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 3: that that game that we said at a thirty two

707
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 3: and a half point total, you theoretically whatever, if you

708
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:02,360
Speaker 3: theoretically could tease it to over twenty two and a

709
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 3: half points, you know what I mean. You could move

710
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:08,040
Speaker 3: the total ten points if you wanted to. But I

711
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 3: don't encourage that. All right, what's the offer this week?

712
00:43:10,600 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 4: This week's offer is called the Saint Nick because it'd

713
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 4: be your ultimate Christmas present. So first off, we got

714
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,280
Speaker 4: Luca and Lebron to go over their points on Christmas

715
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 4: or their point totals on Christmas, and.

716
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 2: JAG's money line against the Jets.

717
00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 4: You love that Chie used to cover minus ten versus Seattle, Seattle,

718
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 4: and this is a plus twelve ninety.

719
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:29,880
Speaker 2: Okay.

720
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 3: Luca and Lebron both go over their point props the

721
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 3: Jags money line, which will have already happened by the

722
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,760
Speaker 3: time people hear this because it's Thursday night game again

723
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:41,920
Speaker 3: City minus ten and plus thirteen hundred.

724
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, what go ahead.

725
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 4: I think JAG's money line is cool. Luca and Lebron

726
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 4: going over their point total on Christmas, the Chiefs covering

727
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 4: the minus ten a little sketch.

728
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 3: Well, that's why it's thirteen to one. It's a long shot.

729
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 3: Let's put twenty units on it. I'll take that offer.

730
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 3: Let's do it. Start it off tonight. I take that offer.

731
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 3: There it is, and I'll make that actual bet. Uh.

732
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 3: And you can have five percent of it. So you

733
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 3: can have five percent of it so we can root

734
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 3: for all that together. All right, good show. We'll talk

735
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 3: to you guys Monday. What's right,