WEBVTT - ETFs That Let You Invest in the Future

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Welcome to Shrillians. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber and I'm Eric Belchunis.

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<v Speaker 2>Eric.

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<v Speaker 1>You know what we're going to talk about today is

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<v Speaker 1>the future. How is it to invest in the future

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<v Speaker 1>with ETFs?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, look, I immediately think of ARC.

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<v Speaker 4>I think Kathy Wood in ARC really kind of put

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<v Speaker 4>this trade on the map of like trying to capture

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<v Speaker 4>trends that are five years from now. But I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>to her credit, even though the ETF has gone up

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<v Speaker 4>and down a lot, you know, robotaxis are actually happening.

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<v Speaker 4>You see clips of this. Surgeries that are remote are happening.

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<v Speaker 4>I've seen clips of this. So some of the stuff

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<v Speaker 4>that was discussed five years ago by her is sort

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<v Speaker 4>of coming true. And I think for investors, they like

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<v Speaker 4>to have their S and P. Five hundred and they

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<v Speaker 4>love that and you'll never.

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<v Speaker 3>Get them to give it up.

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<v Speaker 4>But they also don't want to miss out on some

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<v Speaker 4>of the stuff that might be happening early and then

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<v Speaker 4>speculative and tech oriented, and especially in the US, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we are innovating all the time and people want to

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<v Speaker 4>capture that as best they can, and there's a void

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<v Speaker 4>to fill for investors, and that I think is where

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<v Speaker 4>thematic ETFs really deliver a lot of those sort of

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<v Speaker 4>up and coming themes, sometimes even before you've even heard

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<v Speaker 4>of the theme or the theme is even ripe.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're going to talk about a certain story today.

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<v Speaker 1>The headline was Wall Street pitches sci fi ETFs for robots,

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<v Speaker 1>UFOs and quantum bets. That's by Bil Donna Hirich, cross

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<v Speaker 1>asset reporter with Bloomberg News. We will be joining us

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<v Speaker 1>on this episode, this time on Trillions Capturing the Future

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<v Speaker 1>with ETFs. Pil Donna, Welcome back to Trillions.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks so much for having this.

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<v Speaker 1>So as we told you, when you put robots, UFOs

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<v Speaker 1>and quantum meaning quantum computer into a headline, that's like

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<v Speaker 1>the trifecta and you immediately like, we have an automated

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<v Speaker 1>email that goes out and invites you on trillion. So

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<v Speaker 1>really excited to talk to you about this today. As

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<v Speaker 1>Eric mentioned, ARC is sort of the poster child for

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<v Speaker 1>this style of investing, which is like we're gonna put

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<v Speaker 1>together a bunch of stuff in a portfolio that is

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<v Speaker 1>all supposed to be five to ten years in the future,

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<v Speaker 1>but now it's sort of like that's not even good

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<v Speaker 1>enough anymore. We have to get super narrow. How is

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<v Speaker 1>this manifesting in the market right, or maybe.

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<v Speaker 2>A way to think about it is that issuers etf

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<v Speaker 2>fishers are starting to think about like the post ARC world,

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<v Speaker 2>like the post AI world, and they're thinking about these

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<v Speaker 2>themes like UFOs, like they're actually is a filing.

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<v Speaker 1>For UFO to stick with the AI think because AI

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<v Speaker 1>was sort of like a super concentrated bet and there's

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<v Speaker 1>like forty products or something on the market.

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<v Speaker 2>I think there's more than slightly more than forty, and

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<v Speaker 2>not all of them are attracting cash. Not all of

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<v Speaker 2>them are doing you know, up performing their benchmarks are

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<v Speaker 2>outperforming the SMP even so it's sort of like a

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<v Speaker 2>struggle there to attract attention and assets.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's like move on already sold space literally so

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<v Speaker 1>or not even outer space, like humanoids is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the ones that you talk about, what's this? What's that?

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<v Speaker 1>Look like?

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<v Speaker 2>Humanoids is so fun? I think. So when we're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about humanoids, we're talking about robots that Elon Musks is

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<v Speaker 2>hoping to put in your home to help you with

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<v Speaker 2>your chores.

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<v Speaker 1>Is Tesla Optimus.

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<v Speaker 2>Robot I think he even said at one point that

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<v Speaker 2>the robots will be expected to babysit, which.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, you have you're a kid, like not even two

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, would you leave a kid? Not a chance, Eric.

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<v Speaker 1>Would you let a humanoid do some babysitting?

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<v Speaker 3>Not yet? I mean it would take time for me

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<v Speaker 3>to come around that.

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<v Speaker 4>Would you let it watch your parents? It depends how

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<v Speaker 4>what shape my parents were in. But I will say

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<v Speaker 4>I saw this movie after Yang with Colin Ferrell, which

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<v Speaker 4>really is I think a glimpse into living with a humanoid.

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<v Speaker 4>It's basically like what thirty years from now, and the

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<v Speaker 4>younger sister of the robot actually develops an emotional bond

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<v Speaker 4>and it's a whole thing.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a great movie.

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<v Speaker 1>To me.

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<v Speaker 4>It feels like the closest that we're gonna get to

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<v Speaker 4>what will exist in that front. But it will take

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<v Speaker 4>twenty thirty years. I think my kids will be the

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<v Speaker 4>first to really adopt and you know, trust a robot

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<v Speaker 4>walking around the house and stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's just getting out there. Yeah, real quick.

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<v Speaker 4>Though on the humanoid one part of this though, you

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<v Speaker 4>said like AI and robotics, like it's still a hot theme.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean there's like, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it might be the first or second biggest

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<v Speaker 4>theme out there at this point, but there are like

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<v Speaker 4>well over a dozen now, and so now it's like, Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>if you put robotics in AI out now, you're probably dead.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean unless you get lucky with performance. So humanoid

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<v Speaker 4>to me is sort of like, Okay, let's take the

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<v Speaker 4>AI robotics and actually like make it more narrow and

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<v Speaker 4>see if there's a market for that. But I will

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<v Speaker 4>say robotics and AI is such an impressive theme to

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<v Speaker 4>me because it's gotten a third bite at the apple,

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<v Speaker 4>let alone a second like it's hard to take in

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<v Speaker 4>a bunch of money. Robotics was huge like ten years ago.

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<v Speaker 4>Then it fell from grace normally that's it. The theme

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<v Speaker 4>kind of like lives in semi oblivion after that. But

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<v Speaker 4>then it came back and people bought it again. Then

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<v Speaker 4>it went down, and then it came back again and

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<v Speaker 4>people bought it, with Navidia in particular ushering in the

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<v Speaker 4>AI concept. And so I think this is one of

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<v Speaker 4>the most durable, long lasting themes is AI robotics. I

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<v Speaker 4>put humanoids in there as well, and there's money there.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, there's a lot of potential still, but it's

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<v Speaker 4>getting more and more saturated.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, So the humanoid products, because there's now two ETFs,

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<v Speaker 1>what are they and how are they investing?

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<v Speaker 2>There's one from Crane Shares and one from round Hill,

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<v Speaker 2>and they're investing it. They have slightly different investment thesis.

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<v Speaker 2>But the Crane Chairs one, for example, has like three

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<v Speaker 2>different things that it's looking for, like the brain for example.

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<v Speaker 2>Of the actual humanoids, like who's building those components and

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<v Speaker 2>the companies behind the robotics revolution. I guess we can

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<v Speaker 2>try to call it. I think it's there's a slight

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<v Speaker 2>tension here in that. You know, Eric said maybe in

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<v Speaker 2>thirty years will he'll have a robot in his home

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<v Speaker 2>to help with chores or whatever. Issuers want you to

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<v Speaker 2>get in on this now, expecting it to continue to

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<v Speaker 2>grow and grow. So Morgan Stanley for one, is expecting

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<v Speaker 2>it to be a five trillion industry by twenty thirty,

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<v Speaker 2>which is pretty soon. You know. Elon Musk says, robots

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<v Speaker 2>will be in your home sometime soon. Maybe they'll be

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<v Speaker 2>in Tesla factories supposedly over in the next six months

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<v Speaker 2>or so. These things definitely exist. The robots are helping

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<v Speaker 2>run different factories in Asia and other places, and so

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<v Speaker 2>it's here. It's just a matter of how much will

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<v Speaker 2>it grow and whether or not you want to be

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<v Speaker 2>in on the ground level, which is basically now.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Crane Shares when you mentioned the ticker is

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<v Speaker 1>Coyd ko i D that came out in early June.

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<v Speaker 1>There's some companies that I've kind of never heard of,

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<v Speaker 1>jab El Inc, Linus, Rare Earths Limited, Amphenol Corp, Malexis.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you've got the navideos and the Tesla's in

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<v Speaker 1>the world, Like so many of these things are like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they're really trying to identify what a supply

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<v Speaker 1>chain for this stuff looks like, how do you get

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<v Speaker 1>exposure to it? So what the new one is human

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<v Speaker 1>hu m n from from Round Hill, from Roundhill, So

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<v Speaker 1>what's the approach that Roundho's.

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<v Speaker 2>Taking round Hills is, Well, they're both actively managed. So

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<v Speaker 2>the roundhoer one is is focused solely on companies designing

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<v Speaker 2>and building humanoids. It's actively managed. It just launched, so

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<v Speaker 2>we'll see how those end up performing. I think actually

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<v Speaker 2>there's very little overlap between some of these companies and

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<v Speaker 2>some already existing robotics and other AI ETFs, which I

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<v Speaker 2>think is impressive. Like I spoke with Dave Nadig, who

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<v Speaker 2>we know is an ETF industry veteran, and even he said,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, it's pretty impressive that there's very little overlap

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<v Speaker 2>between some of these because you would have thought, maybe

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<v Speaker 2>on the outset, that the investible universe would have been small.

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<v Speaker 2>But there's quite a number of companies that you can

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<v Speaker 2>add into these ETFs that are internationally based, for example,

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<v Speaker 2>that are working on some of these things, whether it's

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<v Speaker 2>rare earth or chips or something in the supply chain.

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<v Speaker 1>It's worth mentioning that some China humanoids are already in effect,

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<v Speaker 1>and like the YouTube videos are insane for those Eric,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you how many humanoid ETFs can the market sustain?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we got to see how popular these are. Probably

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<v Speaker 4>if I had to ballpark it three.

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<v Speaker 3>But that's assuming. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, one thing about the two ETFs that have launched,

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<v Speaker 4>Coid and human is that you got to look at

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<v Speaker 4>the holdings. You opened up Koid Jol and you said,

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<v Speaker 4>I don't recognize any of these names.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just the Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I love that reaction when I open a theme ETF.

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<v Speaker 4>To me, that's what I want to see. I don't

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<v Speaker 4>want to recognize the names, and KOID looks like it's

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<v Speaker 4>mostly equal weighted, so you take all the names. That's why,

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<v Speaker 4>like Navidia is like just in there with all these

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<v Speaker 4>other names you never heard of.

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<v Speaker 3>It's like a face in the crowd.

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<v Speaker 4>The reason that's good, in my opinion, for these themes

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<v Speaker 4>is that you want bigger bets on the smaller pure

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<v Speaker 4>plays because they tend to get bought by the Navidias

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<v Speaker 4>of the world, and you get a ton of money

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<v Speaker 4>on that acquisition, a ton of return. So COID to

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<v Speaker 4>me would be more probably more volatile, but you get

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<v Speaker 4>more m and a pop potentially and then human If

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<v Speaker 4>you look at the holdings, it's Tesla and Navidia top

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<v Speaker 4>two make up twenty percent of the portfolio right there. Well,

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of people already own those two companies in

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<v Speaker 4>other funds, so you can have a lot of overlap.

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<v Speaker 4>So that's something to consider when you're investing in these

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<v Speaker 4>But if you have Tesla Navidia at the top, it

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<v Speaker 4>will mean probably less volatility, so it'll be a slightly

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<v Speaker 4>calmer ride probably, But that's just these are the things

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<v Speaker 4>you have to weigh when you're buying a thematic ETF.

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<v Speaker 3>But I do like that there's two choices.

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<v Speaker 4>One's a little more market cap weighted and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>popular seeming, and the other one's a little more far

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<v Speaker 4>out there with equal weighting, and then people can decide

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<v Speaker 4>what's better best for them.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, we've talked about the humanoid space. What other spaces

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<v Speaker 1>do we want to talk about? With Loldana.

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<v Speaker 2>Quantum is definitely a hot one. There's a pretty big

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<v Speaker 2>quantum etfqtum. So far this year it's already gathered more

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<v Speaker 2>than six hundred million in inflows. So it's definitely something

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<v Speaker 2>that I think people are just awakening too much, much

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<v Speaker 2>more because the ETF has been around for a couple

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<v Speaker 2>of years already, but so far this year it's already

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<v Speaker 2>on pace for a record year of inflows.

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<v Speaker 1>Eric, how does that stack up for sort of a

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<v Speaker 1>cutting edge ETF that's you know, a pure thematic play.

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<v Speaker 3>It's great.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, Quantum the ETF is a total hit. It's

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<v Speaker 4>the Defiance's number one best selling ETF. And you know

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<v Speaker 4>what's interesting about quantum the ETF also is it is

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<v Speaker 4>also equal weight. It might not be totally sometimes they

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<v Speaker 4>do just thing called modified equal weight.

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<v Speaker 3>But either way, it's.

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<v Speaker 4>More like KOID in that you're getting a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>more exposure to some of the more smaller peer plays,

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<v Speaker 4>and it's got looks like one point five billion. There's

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<v Speaker 4>a couple other ones on the market and they don't

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<v Speaker 4>really have much, so the one et from Defiance is

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<v Speaker 4>just basically like raked in the lion's share of assets here.

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<v Speaker 4>But another interesting thing on the quantum world, Joel, is

0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 4>that if you remember the episode we did a little

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.920
<v Speaker 4>while back on all of these hot sauce two x

0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:17.960
<v Speaker 4>stock ETFs, Oh, there's this huge trend in putting two

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:21.080
<v Speaker 4>x on top of small quantum computing.

0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:23.400
<v Speaker 3>Stocks and their hits.

0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:27.280
<v Speaker 4>So there's the quantum theme, but there's also a huge

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:33.240
<v Speaker 4>interest in really gambling on these juggernaut small quantum stocks.

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 4>One of them went up one hundred percent in one day,

0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 4>so the stock went up fifty percent, the ETF went

0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:41.400
<v Speaker 4>up one hundred and that's the most pop and ETF

0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:42.600
<v Speaker 4>has ever had in a day.

0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 3>So there wow.

0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:46.719
<v Speaker 4>And they're they're they're volatile, but that's part of that.

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:48.760
<v Speaker 4>That's a feature, not a bug for the degend crowd

0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:51.240
<v Speaker 4>that trades these. I think the quantum theme would be

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 4>for a more like normalized long term play because you're diversifying,

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:59.079
<v Speaker 4>you're actually taking volatively off the table. So again with ETFs,

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:01.920
<v Speaker 4>there's something for buddy, as.

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.480
<v Speaker 1>Long as you're talking about super future stuff because quantum

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:08.280
<v Speaker 1>is like, I mean, super speculative, like it's out there.

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:12.679
<v Speaker 1>Maybe sometimes what the real world applications look like big

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 1>time tbd Uh. Can we talk about UFOs because I

0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:18.719
<v Speaker 1>love cheesse that it's like, you got to come back

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 1>to it.

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 2>I know, I love this.

0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 1>So what's going on with UFOs?

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:25.520
<v Speaker 2>Matt Tuttle filed for of Tuttle Capital Management filed for

0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:28.079
<v Speaker 2>UFO based ETF.

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 1>So it's UFOD yes.

0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 2>And it's pure conjecture at this point, just to be

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:38.240
<v Speaker 2>very clear. But the idea is that there is potentially

0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 2>some sort of alien tech that maybe revealed in filings

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:50.200
<v Speaker 2>in you know, if the government releases records that type

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 2>of thing, where you might discover that there's something tied

0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 2>to aliens there with R and D companies for example,

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:59.559
<v Speaker 2>or defense contractors or those types of companies. And so

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 2>this tf would purportedly invest in those types of firms.

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:07.280
<v Speaker 1>I think Eric exhaled right when we pitched this. You

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 1>want to go ahead and take the micro in talk

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 1>about it.

0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:10.439
<v Speaker 2>Did I get it right?

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:10.760
<v Speaker 1>Eric?

0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:15.320
<v Speaker 4>Well, it's there's actually even more of an level here.

0:14:15.360 --> 0:14:20.360
<v Speaker 4>It's that the new administration is going to open up

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 4>the Area fifty one. Right, They're going to be real

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 4>liberal about letting all of this into the public domain,

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:28.920
<v Speaker 4>sort of like the JFK, fils whatever. So they're going

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 4>to open up Area fifty one and all the research there,

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:34.479
<v Speaker 4>and they think they're going to talk about the UFOs

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 4>they have there, and they're gonna like let the tech

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:43.280
<v Speaker 4>where the I guess the architecture of these spaceships, and

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:46.360
<v Speaker 4>that the big tech companies are going to steal the

0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 4>alien tech and make money off of like applying the

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 4>alien tech and this ETS can attract all that.

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Have you read this filing? Have you read this via?

0:14:57.880 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 3>I read it?

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:01.920
<v Speaker 4>I talked to Tuttle too before you laugh, and like,

0:15:02.000 --> 0:15:07.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, change the channel or whatever. Tuttle just hit

0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 4>a home run with the europe Defense ETF. Remember this

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.040
<v Speaker 4>is on our episode last time, which is it has

0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:16.760
<v Speaker 4>a billion dollars. He was the only one who foresaw this.

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:20.240
<v Speaker 4>He launched it in October before the election, so he

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 4>kind of foresaw the election and then that pull out

0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:27.680
<v Speaker 4>from NATO or at least some threat of it, and

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 4>that increase spending from Europe, and boom, this theme has

0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:33.600
<v Speaker 4>taken off and he's the only one in this market.

0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 4>I'm not saying this saw the same thing, but Tuttle

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 4>definitely is one of the probably the most experimental issueer

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 4>out there.

0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 3>But sometimes it works.

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:47.240
<v Speaker 4>And again, if it does work, it works big because

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:49.480
<v Speaker 4>he's had the market to himself for months now too.

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 4>In Europe, they've got like a dozen of European defense

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.360
<v Speaker 4>here's just one still and he has all the market.

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>Okay, what happens if this doesn't work out?

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 2>Nothing, he'll just we just close it and we're never going.

0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:07.240
<v Speaker 1>To talk about it again. Okay, it hasn't launched yet,

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 1>so Eric, what has to happen for this to launch?

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 4>Well, you know, the SEC may give him a little

0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 4>pushback on the name and whether it's appropriate.

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:17.360
<v Speaker 3>Member.

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 4>Every now and then, the SEC has issues with names.

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 4>They didn't want blockchain in the name when the blockchain

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 4>technology was early, so people had to make up different names.

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 4>They didn't want cannabis and marijuana in names, so they

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 4>had to work around that. And also, by the way,

0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 4>Tuttle just filed for a government grift ETF, which is

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.600
<v Speaker 4>a which is one that's trying to make money off

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 4>of like insider trading in Congress, and so that is

0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:41.680
<v Speaker 4>another one.

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 3>Will they let that name through?

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 4>Considering the SEC is part of the government anyway, Tuttle

0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 4>is always pushing the bounds. I'm sure when his filings

0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:52.240
<v Speaker 4>come through, it's like a whole thing inside the SEC.

0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure, but oh, here's this guy again.

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 4>Legally, I think as long as the ETF does what

0:16:57.840 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 4>it says is going to do, they have to let

0:16:59.320 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 4>it out.

0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:02.760
<v Speaker 1>And does it say anything about the kind of holdings

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>that would aspire to have.

0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:07.639
<v Speaker 2>I think it's defense contractors R and D was mentioned

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:10.280
<v Speaker 2>definitely in the filing. I just love the idea of

0:17:10.359 --> 0:17:14.200
<v Speaker 2>US finding about finding out about alien tech.

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 1>We might talk about this one again, We'll see, I

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:23.360
<v Speaker 1>really hope. Okay, so is the perfect segue into thematic

0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:26.920
<v Speaker 1>doesn't always work out, right, Like, let's talk about the metaverse,

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 1>that whole thing that Mark Zuckerberg get Facebook then meta

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:36.919
<v Speaker 1>try to basically own and there were there were meta ETFs,

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 1>and those we don't talk about anymore, right, so what's

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 1>the risk of really speculative, niche thematic ETFs.

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 2>I think we're the first people to utter the words

0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 2>metaverse in like three years, which just goes to show

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:59.240
<v Speaker 2>how much that fizzled out. Like I remember a couple

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 2>of years ago when when Facebook changed its name and

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 2>everybody it's all about the metaverse. But it was highly

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 2>speculative and you really needed people's buy in, and it

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 2>just didn't happen, and metaverse tied ETFs ended up closing,

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:16.600
<v Speaker 2>So that fizzled pretty quickly. Nobody talks about it, and

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 2>nobody mentioned amazing.

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:22.040
<v Speaker 1>How quickly meta just pivoted to aire right too. Sorry.

0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 4>I will say that the metaverse ETF is outperforming the

0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:28.159
<v Speaker 4>S and P since launching, so it has been a

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 4>pretty good but it's kind of accidental. I mean, Apple's

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.439
<v Speaker 4>the second biggest holding. It has Ethereum and Solana in it,

0:18:35.480 --> 0:18:37.919
<v Speaker 4>so it's got a crypto kick. Meta has had a

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.200
<v Speaker 4>good run. I mean it's a lot of mag seven

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 4>plus Crypto, so and which has done pane AI. Sometimes

0:18:44.400 --> 0:18:47.640
<v Speaker 4>a theme goes up even if the theme sucks, which

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 4>tells you again, let's go back to the human ETF.

0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:54.640
<v Speaker 4>If you hold mostly mag Seven's thoughts, it doesn't really

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:55.560
<v Speaker 4>matter what the hell.

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 3>You call it.

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 4>It's gonna move like the Mag seven And so this

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:02.120
<v Speaker 4>to me is like kind of lucky. But by the way,

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 4>we had I think, do we have round hill on

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.240
<v Speaker 4>or we just were speculating that they used to have

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:11.480
<v Speaker 4>the ticker meta and they sold it to Mark Zuckerberg

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:14.480
<v Speaker 4>and they for an amount that was undisclosed. So it

0:19:14.520 --> 0:19:16.639
<v Speaker 4>doesn't even matter if this ctf's a hit. They totally

0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:19.960
<v Speaker 4>got paid already. But I agree with you, the metaverse

0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 4>just went away. Man, it's crazy almost like ESG, not

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:24.439
<v Speaker 4>as bad, but close.

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, what other thematic plays are on either of your radars?

0:19:31.160 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 2>There's mega trends, which Lazard is taking advantage of. They

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:39.199
<v Speaker 2>launched a couple of ETFs in April. THMZ is one

0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:41.760
<v Speaker 2>of them. It's a mega trends ETF. So again, think

0:19:41.760 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 2>about like the way that they described it to me

0:19:44.240 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 2>is it's not stuff that's on page one of the newspapers,

0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:50.200
<v Speaker 2>stuff that's like on page thirty two, section C for example,

0:19:50.240 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 2>that's slowly making its way to the front. So again

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.560
<v Speaker 2>you're getting in on the ground level, you're getting in early.

0:19:56.960 --> 0:19:57.640
<v Speaker 2>That type of thing.

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:00.720
<v Speaker 1>The stuff you haven't heard of, Yeah, exactly yet. Is

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:04.520
<v Speaker 1>that just trying to capture everything across sort of this

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:06.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of thematic universe.

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:07.960
<v Speaker 2>No, they also break it down into a couple of

0:20:07.960 --> 0:20:11.959
<v Speaker 2>different themes that they like, like software, apps and agents,

0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:15.040
<v Speaker 2>data and AI that type of thing. Future Health is

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:19.280
<v Speaker 2>one of them. But THCHMZ is up twenty percent since

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 2>it's launched, so over the past two months, up twenty percent,

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 2>not bad, Eric, any on your radar.

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.639
<v Speaker 4>One that I'm actually we're looking at because it was

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 4>part of the May launches was the third Joal Monopoly ETF,

0:20:32.359 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 4>which basically invest in companies that like have somewhat of

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:38.919
<v Speaker 4>a monopoly on their industry, sort of like the wide

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:39.600
<v Speaker 4>mode ETF.

0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:43.400
<v Speaker 3>It's not that novel, but I just.

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 4>You know, there is the first monopoly ETF has fifty million,

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:48.840
<v Speaker 4>the second one has nothing, and so here comes a

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 4>third one. And so this is where this becomes tough,

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.880
<v Speaker 4>and the third one has a higher cost. I mean,

0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 4>unless you have an extreme breakout, it can be tough.

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.879
<v Speaker 4>So I think with thematic ETF, you do have to

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:02.760
<v Speaker 4>be in it to win it. So you want to try,

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 4>and I hate to tell people not to try. But

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 4>I think at some point, you know, these these ETFs

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:11.040
<v Speaker 4>are it's like we have a phrase on the team

0:21:11.080 --> 0:21:13.199
<v Speaker 4>sometimes when we see a filing, good luck with that.

0:21:14.600 --> 0:21:17.760
<v Speaker 4>Like when we see some legacy mutual fun company come

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 4>over with like an eighty basis point large cat blend

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 4>etf like good luck with that, Like like where have

0:21:23.680 --> 0:21:27.199
<v Speaker 4>you been it's like nineteen eighty five anymore? Okay, So

0:21:27.600 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 4>we want to have we want to actually have a

0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 4>monthly note called good luck with that.

0:21:30.400 --> 0:21:31.680
<v Speaker 3>But we're say it's a little too dark.

0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:33.560
<v Speaker 1>I think I think there's an upcoming episode that we

0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 1>can call good luck with that.

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:37.960
<v Speaker 4>And with good luck with that, it should be it

0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:41.399
<v Speaker 4>should be a recurring episode. But so that's one where

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 4>I just caught my attention, which is how big the

0:21:43.520 --> 0:21:43.919
<v Speaker 4>rush is.

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:44.880
<v Speaker 3>But here's the thing.

0:21:45.480 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 4>If you look at all of the launches coming out,

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 4>the part of the problem is, like the regular stuff

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 4>Vanilla has been had, the vanilla space is over, like

0:21:56.680 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 4>Vanguard black Rock dominated. Even if you had success, there

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.199
<v Speaker 4>have to be charging zero fees anyway. So part of

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 4>what's happening is if you're in the asset management space

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:09.960
<v Speaker 4>and you're trying to get some organic flows, you kind

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 4>of have to try in a couple different areas. You know,

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 4>buffers Hot Sauce and thematics. You know in thematics probably

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:18.760
<v Speaker 4>are one of the more sober versions of hot Sauce

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:21.920
<v Speaker 4>because it is diversified. And if you can catch early

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:25.560
<v Speaker 4>a theme, you're good because you can charge well over

0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 4>fifty basis points in this category and you get a

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:31.640
<v Speaker 4>color billion on like eighty basis points and you're in business.

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:35.159
<v Speaker 4>So there's enough hits that it's almost a lottery ticket

0:22:35.200 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 4>system for the issuers as well as the investors. But again,

0:22:39.960 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 4>I think it's just tougher and tougher the later you are,

0:22:43.840 --> 0:22:46.679
<v Speaker 4>which is why we see so many themes coming.

0:22:46.400 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 3>Out before they're ripe.

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:50.399
<v Speaker 4>I would argue the humanoid theme might not be totally

0:22:50.440 --> 0:22:53.359
<v Speaker 4>ripe enough. I mean, it's really far out there, but

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:56.800
<v Speaker 4>they're going to try, and as the more pure plays

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 4>come in, the etf will become more pureish. But they

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:02.239
<v Speaker 4>may put beta filler in there at first just to

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 4>try to get out early.

0:23:03.400 --> 0:23:05.400
<v Speaker 1>And I had that first movie and advantage and kind

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:17.440
<v Speaker 1>of like totally plant the flag. Okay, one more thematic, Eric,

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:17.960
<v Speaker 1>what do you got?

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 4>So remember it must have been four years ago, right

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 4>around COVID early COVID.

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's like pandemic came back. Yeah.

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:30.920
<v Speaker 4>I came back from the inside ETF's conference, which is

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:34.159
<v Speaker 4>now called Exchange, and I was in a new analyst

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:37.959
<v Speaker 4>pitch competition or new ETF pitch competition between analysts, and

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 4>I pitched uranium.

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>It.

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:42.320
<v Speaker 3>Honestly, it had like ten million.

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 4>Dollars in assets this how early I was Joel and

0:23:45.600 --> 0:23:47.640
<v Speaker 4>one new one launched and I said, there's something going

0:23:47.680 --> 0:23:49.840
<v Speaker 4>on here. I think uranium could be good for green energy.

0:23:50.600 --> 0:23:55.439
<v Speaker 4>They now have close to ten billion in assets. So

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:59.719
<v Speaker 4>within four years this theme that was like in oblivion

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 4>for you years and years. Uh, just the world turned

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:07.040
<v Speaker 4>and uranium is part of nuclear has become more and

0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 4>more accepted. It's used to power AI now. So sometimes

0:24:11.240 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 4>you just have to just hang around with your line

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 4>in the water and wait for the world to catch

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:19.359
<v Speaker 4>up to your theme, and boom when it happens and

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:21.040
<v Speaker 4>everybody's like, oh, this is obvious.

0:24:21.280 --> 0:24:23.959
<v Speaker 1>You're like Tarpin tarpin On, we got a big one.

0:24:24.080 --> 0:24:24.680
<v Speaker 3>I will say.

0:24:25.080 --> 0:24:27.800
<v Speaker 4>R A was around for about eight years before this.

0:24:27.880 --> 0:24:30.119
<v Speaker 4>Then you are in. You aren m listed. That's what

0:24:30.160 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 4>caught my attention, and that one now has one point

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 4>seven billion. But r A was around for like ten

0:24:35.160 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 4>years and nobody cared.

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.600
<v Speaker 3>It sucked. It was down, and I give it credit.

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:42.280
<v Speaker 3>It could have closed. Sometimes we see ets close right

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:43.399
<v Speaker 3>before their number comes up.

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:44.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we talked about that.

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:46.480
<v Speaker 4>But it hung in there and now it's three point

0:24:46.480 --> 0:24:49.680
<v Speaker 4>eight billion, So sometimes you could be ten years early.

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Joel ten just rope a dope.

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:54.160
<v Speaker 2>Eric just wanted us to know that he had.

0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:58.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it was really good because you know what, you know,

0:24:58.760 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 3>it's a sin.

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:03.359
<v Speaker 4>I came in like third or fourth place and mind

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:08.080
<v Speaker 4>crushed everyone in terms of flows and popularity and just

0:25:08.119 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 4>being ahead of there.

0:25:10.520 --> 0:25:12.200
<v Speaker 1>And none of them are here to defend any of

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:14.040
<v Speaker 1>their but you know.

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Their pigs were probably like.

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 4>And at the Academy wards and you look and you're like,

0:25:19.520 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 4>I can't believe so and so didn't win the Oscar

0:25:22.800 --> 0:25:25.200
<v Speaker 4>for that role giving himself on Oscar.

0:25:25.240 --> 0:25:30.199
<v Speaker 1>Now, all right, on that note, we're gonna leave it.

0:25:30.280 --> 0:25:32.919
<v Speaker 2>He missed out, but he's still bitter.

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:37.359
<v Speaker 1>But really everybody knows I deserve this. Bil Donna, keep

0:25:37.440 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>up the great work and we look forward to more

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:46.199
<v Speaker 1>of your headlines. Thanks for having me, Thanks for listening

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:48.399
<v Speaker 1>to trillions until next time. You can find us on

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:55.159
<v Speaker 1>wherever else you like to listen. I'd love to hear

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:57.360
<v Speaker 1>from you. Hit us up on social I'm at Joe

0:25:57.440 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Weber Show, He's at Eric Balchinus. Billions is produced by

0:26:00.880 --> 0:26:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Magnus Hendrickson. Brendan Newman is our executive producer. Sage Bauman

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:06.560
<v Speaker 1>is the head of Bloomberg Podcast