1 00:00:15,396 --> 00:00:21,996 Speaker 1: Pushkin from Pushkin Industries. This is Deep Background, the show 2 00:00:22,036 --> 00:00:25,196 Speaker 1: where we explore the stories behind the stories in the news. 3 00:00:25,716 --> 00:00:30,276 Speaker 1: I'm Noah Feldman. After months of lockdown, people are beginning 4 00:00:30,356 --> 00:00:33,476 Speaker 1: to come out of their houses. Many are coming out 5 00:00:33,516 --> 00:00:36,436 Speaker 1: to protest. The death of George Floyd has set off 6 00:00:36,476 --> 00:00:40,116 Speaker 1: demonstrations across the country. Protests in the midst of a 7 00:00:40,156 --> 00:00:46,996 Speaker 1: pandemic raise unprecedented and unclear questions about both science and ethics. Crucially, 8 00:00:47,076 --> 00:00:51,236 Speaker 1: they center on the question of transmission outdoors. How does 9 00:00:51,276 --> 00:00:54,356 Speaker 1: the CSARS cove two virus move outdoors and how do 10 00:00:54,396 --> 00:00:59,196 Speaker 1: the circumstances of protest affect that transmission. To analyze these 11 00:00:59,196 --> 00:01:03,236 Speaker 1: pressing questions, we are joined today by doctor Menisha Jutani. 12 00:01:03,956 --> 00:01:07,756 Speaker 1: Doctor Jutani is an Associate Professor of medicine specializing in 13 00:01:07,836 --> 00:01:11,436 Speaker 1: infectious disease at the Yale School of Medicine. She's also 14 00:01:11,516 --> 00:01:14,956 Speaker 1: an attending physician at the Yale New Haven Hospital, where 15 00:01:14,996 --> 00:01:19,596 Speaker 1: she's been instrumental in leading the infectious disease efforts. Addressing 16 00:01:19,796 --> 00:01:25,556 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen Minsha, thank you so much for being here. 17 00:01:25,796 --> 00:01:30,156 Speaker 1: You've been following the question of how the stars covy 18 00:01:30,236 --> 00:01:35,796 Speaker 1: two virus spreads very closely, and then in the middle 19 00:01:35,996 --> 00:01:38,996 Speaker 1: of the scientific effort to make sense of this very 20 00:01:39,076 --> 00:01:44,596 Speaker 1: very important question, we suddenly were faced with the protests 21 00:01:44,676 --> 00:01:47,316 Speaker 1: about the death of George Floyd, and we're in a 22 00:01:47,476 --> 00:01:51,636 Speaker 1: completely new universe where the question of transmission is being 23 00:01:51,676 --> 00:01:54,956 Speaker 1: filtered through a new form of social interaction that it 24 00:01:54,996 --> 00:01:58,956 Speaker 1: hadn't occurred on this scale previously. It's sort of like 25 00:01:59,036 --> 00:02:04,076 Speaker 1: an advanced course transmission with ethical dimensions as well as 26 00:02:04,076 --> 00:02:07,276 Speaker 1: scientific dimensions. I want to start by asking you about 27 00:02:07,316 --> 00:02:11,796 Speaker 1: the scientific dimension. What do we know about outdoor transmission 28 00:02:12,316 --> 00:02:16,516 Speaker 1: of this virus? To begin with, science on outdoor transmission 29 00:02:16,836 --> 00:02:20,676 Speaker 1: is still evolving. What we know so far is that 30 00:02:21,116 --> 00:02:26,156 Speaker 1: in series of outbreaks that have been identified from China 31 00:02:26,356 --> 00:02:29,556 Speaker 1: to start and other areas of the world, including Japan, 32 00:02:30,276 --> 00:02:35,356 Speaker 1: it appears that most transmission is occurring indoors, when people 33 00:02:35,436 --> 00:02:39,716 Speaker 1: are face to face and spending more than ten minutes 34 00:02:39,796 --> 00:02:42,516 Speaker 1: of time, let's say, talking to each other. This is 35 00:02:42,556 --> 00:02:45,956 Speaker 1: the highest risk of exposure. Now, what we've seen happen 36 00:02:46,676 --> 00:02:50,916 Speaker 1: is that families and the household setting is probably the 37 00:02:51,036 --> 00:02:54,596 Speaker 1: number one way that this virus is transmitted. Part of 38 00:02:54,596 --> 00:02:57,316 Speaker 1: that is because that's where people have been stuck. People 39 00:02:57,316 --> 00:03:00,636 Speaker 1: who got infected were at home and they were with 40 00:03:00,676 --> 00:03:03,636 Speaker 1: each other, and so they went on to infect each other. 41 00:03:03,676 --> 00:03:05,996 Speaker 1: And people buy and large have not been wearing masks 42 00:03:06,076 --> 00:03:09,276 Speaker 1: in their own homes. The next way that we saw 43 00:03:09,356 --> 00:03:12,676 Speaker 1: that this virus was transmitted, probably in highest proportion, is 44 00:03:12,716 --> 00:03:16,356 Speaker 1: in transportation settings. Again, this makes sense that people are 45 00:03:16,556 --> 00:03:19,036 Speaker 1: on a train for prolonged period of time. Let's say 46 00:03:19,076 --> 00:03:22,036 Speaker 1: you're taking an hour ride from the suburbs of New 47 00:03:22,116 --> 00:03:25,036 Speaker 1: York City into New York City or Boston or other 48 00:03:25,076 --> 00:03:28,716 Speaker 1: big cities of the like. If you're in a setting 49 00:03:28,796 --> 00:03:30,396 Speaker 1: where you are with a group of people for a 50 00:03:30,436 --> 00:03:33,156 Speaker 1: prolonged period of time, potentially sitting side by side, face 51 00:03:33,196 --> 00:03:37,116 Speaker 1: to face, maybe you cough, maybe you're talking on your phone, 52 00:03:37,636 --> 00:03:41,996 Speaker 1: and the person next to you is getting that transmission 53 00:03:42,116 --> 00:03:45,036 Speaker 1: of virus that This is the second, probably most common 54 00:03:45,036 --> 00:03:48,156 Speaker 1: way people have been infected. So getting to the outdoors. 55 00:03:48,876 --> 00:03:53,436 Speaker 1: Outdoors has been the lowest risk identified mechanism of transmission. 56 00:03:54,036 --> 00:03:56,516 Speaker 1: So in one series that was looked at, there was 57 00:03:56,516 --> 00:03:59,436 Speaker 1: only one person that was clearly identified to risk of 58 00:03:59,556 --> 00:04:03,116 Speaker 1: outdoor transmission. Most transmission events that have been able to 59 00:04:03,156 --> 00:04:06,156 Speaker 1: be tracked have been to some sort of indoor setting, 60 00:04:06,436 --> 00:04:12,316 Speaker 1: which gives us additional confidence that the outdoors is likely 61 00:04:12,636 --> 00:04:17,596 Speaker 1: a much lower risk place where people can get COVID nineteen. 62 00:04:18,116 --> 00:04:20,556 Speaker 1: I was very affected by the Wuhan study that you 63 00:04:20,596 --> 00:04:23,676 Speaker 1: were just describing, where by my reading of the study 64 00:04:23,676 --> 00:04:25,476 Speaker 1: and correct me if I get it wrong. They looked 65 00:04:25,476 --> 00:04:29,436 Speaker 1: at seventy five hundred individual cases, and only one of 66 00:04:29,476 --> 00:04:32,996 Speaker 1: those cases could they show definitively had been transmitted outdoors. 67 00:04:33,476 --> 00:04:35,636 Speaker 1: I had recognized it's only one study. I recognize it 68 00:04:35,676 --> 00:04:38,476 Speaker 1: was the winter, and that most people also may have 69 00:04:38,516 --> 00:04:40,556 Speaker 1: been under lockdown, so that may be the reason it 70 00:04:40,596 --> 00:04:43,116 Speaker 1: was such a small number. I did have an instinctive 71 00:04:43,156 --> 00:04:46,396 Speaker 1: reaction to that, thinking, wow, it must be pretty difficult 72 00:04:46,476 --> 00:04:50,156 Speaker 1: to transmit the virus outdoors. Why what is it about 73 00:04:50,196 --> 00:04:52,716 Speaker 1: being outdoors that has this effect? I mean, the most 74 00:04:52,716 --> 00:04:54,436 Speaker 1: obvious thing to me is a layers and is there's 75 00:04:54,436 --> 00:04:56,636 Speaker 1: a whole lot of air outdoors. I think there are 76 00:04:56,636 --> 00:05:00,396 Speaker 1: several factors. Number One, most of the time when people 77 00:05:00,436 --> 00:05:03,436 Speaker 1: are outdoors, they tend to be further apart from each other. 78 00:05:03,596 --> 00:05:08,396 Speaker 1: Not always. There are certain contexts like the recent rallies 79 00:05:08,396 --> 00:05:13,356 Speaker 1: and protests, when people are in closer proximity to each other. However, 80 00:05:13,756 --> 00:05:16,476 Speaker 1: a lot of times if people are even if they 81 00:05:16,516 --> 00:05:19,956 Speaker 1: are going to public pools or they are going in 82 00:05:20,036 --> 00:05:24,516 Speaker 1: a park or they're watching an outdoor concert, they tend 83 00:05:24,556 --> 00:05:28,796 Speaker 1: to be a little bit further apart. Secondly, as you mentioned, 84 00:05:28,916 --> 00:05:31,796 Speaker 1: the air is blowing, and that may be part of 85 00:05:31,836 --> 00:05:36,876 Speaker 1: the reason that this infection cannot perpetuate as much in 86 00:05:36,916 --> 00:05:40,396 Speaker 1: the outdoor setting. People have postulated that while maybe win 87 00:05:40,516 --> 00:05:42,876 Speaker 1: could make it worse, that you have aerosols that are 88 00:05:42,876 --> 00:05:45,396 Speaker 1: in the air and it can blow from one person 89 00:05:45,476 --> 00:05:47,956 Speaker 1: on the end of a field to another person on 90 00:05:47,996 --> 00:05:51,076 Speaker 1: the other end of the field. Although in theory that 91 00:05:51,236 --> 00:05:54,596 Speaker 1: is possible, I think from what we've seen so far, 92 00:05:55,156 --> 00:05:58,436 Speaker 1: I suspect that the science will be able to show 93 00:05:58,516 --> 00:06:02,076 Speaker 1: us over time that droplets that are generated through coughing 94 00:06:02,196 --> 00:06:04,476 Speaker 1: or talking or singing, or all the activities that we 95 00:06:04,556 --> 00:06:08,876 Speaker 1: know through human projection of voice that occur that win 96 00:06:09,236 --> 00:06:13,076 Speaker 1: an air and just sort of the natural barriers that come, 97 00:06:13,116 --> 00:06:15,916 Speaker 1: whether it bay trees or leaves or benches or other 98 00:06:15,956 --> 00:06:18,436 Speaker 1: things that get in the way of these droplets along 99 00:06:18,476 --> 00:06:21,716 Speaker 1: the way, maybe more likely to break up those droplets 100 00:06:21,876 --> 00:06:25,716 Speaker 1: and make the particles less likely infectious or non infectious 101 00:06:25,716 --> 00:06:30,316 Speaker 1: at all. Turning to the protests, What were the circumstantial 102 00:06:30,356 --> 00:06:34,476 Speaker 1: events or what have been so far that would potentially 103 00:06:35,076 --> 00:06:38,116 Speaker 1: change this calculus, again on the scientific not the ethical level. 104 00:06:38,196 --> 00:06:41,756 Speaker 1: So if your tear gased, is that likely to cause 105 00:06:41,796 --> 00:06:45,396 Speaker 1: you to aerosolize? I mean, you cry, you cough, maybe 106 00:06:45,436 --> 00:06:47,956 Speaker 1: you sneeze. I don't think crying is an aerosolizing event, 107 00:06:48,036 --> 00:06:57,556 Speaker 1: but the others are right. Certainly the coughing, chanting, screaming, talking, loudly, singing, 108 00:06:57,996 --> 00:07:02,676 Speaker 1: these are all very clearly aerosol generating events. Now, I 109 00:07:02,716 --> 00:07:05,916 Speaker 1: would say there's some protests I've seen where people are 110 00:07:05,916 --> 00:07:10,276 Speaker 1: not wearing masks, but by and large I have visualized 111 00:07:10,396 --> 00:07:14,556 Speaker 1: even firsthand, is that almost everybody is wearing a mask, 112 00:07:15,076 --> 00:07:19,916 Speaker 1: and that is certainly good. However, the thing that we 113 00:07:19,996 --> 00:07:24,396 Speaker 1: don't know is that the outdoor data that has been 114 00:07:24,396 --> 00:07:27,956 Speaker 1: collected so far, at least in the one case that 115 00:07:27,996 --> 00:07:30,396 Speaker 1: you described in that study that we talked about again, 116 00:07:30,556 --> 00:07:33,236 Speaker 1: was a person talking face to face with somebody else. 117 00:07:34,116 --> 00:07:36,756 Speaker 1: If we have a setting where there are a lot 118 00:07:36,836 --> 00:07:40,996 Speaker 1: of people who are together and you have multiple aerosol 119 00:07:41,076 --> 00:07:46,236 Speaker 1: generating events happening all at once, will the risk go up? 120 00:07:46,316 --> 00:07:48,596 Speaker 1: We just don't know the answer to that. We are 121 00:07:48,676 --> 00:07:52,436 Speaker 1: living in a real life, real time natural experiment. That 122 00:07:52,596 --> 00:07:55,956 Speaker 1: is what's going on right now, and only the facts 123 00:07:55,996 --> 00:07:58,156 Speaker 1: are going to show us what happens. And I don't 124 00:07:58,156 --> 00:08:02,756 Speaker 1: think it's necessarily in the next week or two, because 125 00:08:03,436 --> 00:08:07,356 Speaker 1: in my calculus, in the next couple of weeks, it 126 00:08:07,436 --> 00:08:12,876 Speaker 1: might be that some people will have asymptomatic infection, that 127 00:08:12,956 --> 00:08:16,476 Speaker 1: some people will have mild cases of infection, may or 128 00:08:16,516 --> 00:08:19,756 Speaker 1: may not go to get tested, but it depends what 129 00:08:19,796 --> 00:08:23,116 Speaker 1: they go and do after that. Are they going back 130 00:08:23,196 --> 00:08:28,876 Speaker 1: to individual units where if they did get infected, potentially 131 00:08:28,916 --> 00:08:33,276 Speaker 1: they're staying quarantining or not engaging as much in public 132 00:08:33,396 --> 00:08:38,076 Speaker 1: life as maybe they were months ago, And if they 133 00:08:38,116 --> 00:08:40,836 Speaker 1: did get infected, maybe that'll be the end and that'll 134 00:08:40,956 --> 00:08:44,636 Speaker 1: self terminate the cascade of infection versus people who are 135 00:08:44,676 --> 00:08:49,276 Speaker 1: going home to maybe multigenerational homes where a month from now, 136 00:08:49,756 --> 00:08:51,356 Speaker 1: not just a week or two from now, but a 137 00:08:51,396 --> 00:08:54,436 Speaker 1: month from now, we now see people who are older 138 00:08:54,596 --> 00:08:58,676 Speaker 1: and debilitated or have multiple other chronic conditions now coming 139 00:08:58,716 --> 00:09:03,396 Speaker 1: to the hospital and getting a spike in hospitalizations at 140 00:09:03,436 --> 00:09:06,036 Speaker 1: that point. So I think that's what we are living 141 00:09:06,036 --> 00:09:08,116 Speaker 1: with and we just have to wait and see what happens. 142 00:09:08,156 --> 00:09:10,876 Speaker 1: Now you set something that actually makes me think the 143 00:09:10,916 --> 00:09:12,356 Speaker 1: science is going to be a lot harder than I 144 00:09:12,396 --> 00:09:14,636 Speaker 1: had originally imagine it would be, for the following reason. 145 00:09:15,316 --> 00:09:18,796 Speaker 1: If we could see a result in two weeks, let's say, 146 00:09:19,396 --> 00:09:23,316 Speaker 1: then I think a good statistician looking at national data 147 00:09:23,356 --> 00:09:27,356 Speaker 1: and matching where people live to where there were protests 148 00:09:27,396 --> 00:09:31,316 Speaker 1: of different sizes, could begin to draw an association and 149 00:09:31,396 --> 00:09:34,916 Speaker 1: interpret the natural experiment that you describe. But if it's 150 00:09:34,916 --> 00:09:37,876 Speaker 1: going to take a month, I'm concerned that there's going 151 00:09:37,916 --> 00:09:40,436 Speaker 1: to be the possibility again, just from an analytic perspective, 152 00:09:40,956 --> 00:09:46,196 Speaker 1: of a conflation between the fact of the protests and 153 00:09:46,556 --> 00:09:49,436 Speaker 1: the fact that so many places across the United States 154 00:09:49,756 --> 00:09:52,956 Speaker 1: are gradually opening up and began to do so at 155 00:09:52,996 --> 00:09:56,436 Speaker 1: almost exactly the same time that the protests began, namely 156 00:09:56,476 --> 00:09:58,876 Speaker 1: the very end of May and the beginning of June. 157 00:09:59,356 --> 00:10:03,196 Speaker 1: And if that's the case, maybe a very very skilled 158 00:10:03,236 --> 00:10:07,156 Speaker 1: statistician could begin to pluck out data from the noise. 159 00:10:07,636 --> 00:10:09,036 Speaker 1: But it actually sounds to me like it's going to 160 00:10:09,076 --> 00:10:11,076 Speaker 1: be really hard to do if it's going to take 161 00:10:11,116 --> 00:10:14,196 Speaker 1: a month. That is my exact same concern. I have 162 00:10:14,276 --> 00:10:17,276 Speaker 1: a feeling that it's going to be very very difficult 163 00:10:18,036 --> 00:10:21,916 Speaker 1: to sort that out when you're looking at broad strokes. 164 00:10:23,036 --> 00:10:27,836 Speaker 1: What you could do is look at specific, smaller subsets 165 00:10:27,876 --> 00:10:31,676 Speaker 1: of the population and smaller groups. One thought I've had, 166 00:10:31,716 --> 00:10:34,716 Speaker 1: for example, is that there are many physicians that have 167 00:10:34,836 --> 00:10:38,436 Speaker 1: also been protesting. On Friday, there was a large movement 168 00:10:38,516 --> 00:10:42,116 Speaker 1: for white coats for Black Lives, and there were many 169 00:10:42,156 --> 00:10:45,836 Speaker 1: physicians who were out there. Now, if these physicians have 170 00:10:45,996 --> 00:10:50,036 Speaker 1: been using Personal Protective Equipment PPE in the hospital, and 171 00:10:50,076 --> 00:10:53,516 Speaker 1: we've seen that when you use PPE, the risk of 172 00:10:53,556 --> 00:10:57,156 Speaker 1: transmission is quite low. In fact, we know that the 173 00:10:57,236 --> 00:11:00,716 Speaker 1: PPE works. That's what our first experiment has shown us 174 00:11:01,036 --> 00:11:03,876 Speaker 1: that in fact, we can be protected as healthcare providers 175 00:11:03,916 --> 00:11:06,676 Speaker 1: if we use it. So the question is if these 176 00:11:06,716 --> 00:11:13,116 Speaker 1: people are used masks in protests, if they are using 177 00:11:13,156 --> 00:11:17,556 Speaker 1: PPE in the hospital, and maybe are re engaging in 178 00:11:17,636 --> 00:11:21,076 Speaker 1: society a little bit. With some of the loosening of 179 00:11:21,116 --> 00:11:25,916 Speaker 1: restrictions that have happened in certain areas, you might be 180 00:11:25,996 --> 00:11:28,356 Speaker 1: able to say, well, okay, if these people are getting 181 00:11:28,356 --> 00:11:31,076 Speaker 1: screened and tested maybe on a more regular basis, because 182 00:11:31,116 --> 00:11:33,476 Speaker 1: that's also part of what we're doing. Do we see 183 00:11:33,476 --> 00:11:36,596 Speaker 1: associations with people who went to a protest versus those 184 00:11:36,636 --> 00:11:39,076 Speaker 1: who did not. That's a very defined group of people 185 00:11:39,156 --> 00:11:42,196 Speaker 1: where maybe you might be able to get at that question. 186 00:11:42,556 --> 00:11:45,556 Speaker 1: But if we just look at sort of the epidemiologic 187 00:11:46,156 --> 00:11:48,716 Speaker 1: way that we might look at some of these questions, 188 00:11:48,756 --> 00:11:51,036 Speaker 1: I think exactly what you highlighted is going to be 189 00:11:51,156 --> 00:11:54,676 Speaker 1: very difficult to tease out. So there's the potential for 190 00:11:54,756 --> 00:11:58,516 Speaker 1: challenge in that. I like your experiment idea to look 191 00:11:58,556 --> 00:12:00,796 Speaker 1: at medical professionals who went to the protest, but I 192 00:12:00,836 --> 00:12:03,436 Speaker 1: can immediately think of a confound which is that they're 193 00:12:03,436 --> 00:12:07,236 Speaker 1: going to be disproportionately likely to use PPE correctly and 194 00:12:07,356 --> 00:12:09,836 Speaker 1: to maintain social distance at the protest tests because they 195 00:12:09,836 --> 00:12:12,716 Speaker 1: are medical professionals. So you might be able to make 196 00:12:12,716 --> 00:12:15,436 Speaker 1: a comparison between them and other medical professionals, but that 197 00:12:15,476 --> 00:12:18,436 Speaker 1: won't necessarily give you any external validity for trying to 198 00:12:18,436 --> 00:12:20,676 Speaker 1: figure out what that means for the rest of us. 199 00:12:20,716 --> 00:12:23,196 Speaker 1: When we went to the protests, I totally agree, and 200 00:12:23,436 --> 00:12:27,596 Speaker 1: I'll speak as a protester myself. I stood on the 201 00:12:27,716 --> 00:12:34,036 Speaker 1: way periphery and I did not go near chanting crowds 202 00:12:34,436 --> 00:12:38,756 Speaker 1: myself because I felt that that was a safer way 203 00:12:38,876 --> 00:12:42,676 Speaker 1: given what I know, without having to necessarily be right 204 00:12:42,796 --> 00:12:45,756 Speaker 1: in the middle of the protest. We'll be back in 205 00:12:45,756 --> 00:12:57,636 Speaker 1: a moment. So I'm fascinated when you talk about your 206 00:12:57,676 --> 00:13:01,996 Speaker 1: own experience at the protests that, notwithstanding your very clear 207 00:13:02,036 --> 00:13:05,996 Speaker 1: analysis that the data suggests that risks of transmission outdoor 208 00:13:06,116 --> 00:13:11,236 Speaker 1: are actually arguably pretty low, that nevertheless, were concerned enough 209 00:13:12,036 --> 00:13:14,996 Speaker 1: about chanting and singing to stay on the periphery and 210 00:13:15,036 --> 00:13:18,196 Speaker 1: to avoid loudly chanting protesters. And I want to ask you, 211 00:13:18,316 --> 00:13:21,716 Speaker 1: I guess a personal question. Is that because you on 212 00:13:21,836 --> 00:13:24,796 Speaker 1: the whole or a person who likes to make assurance 213 00:13:24,836 --> 00:13:28,076 Speaker 1: double shore and be safe, or was that your assessment 214 00:13:28,116 --> 00:13:31,836 Speaker 1: that rationally speaking, everybody in the crowd actually should have 215 00:13:31,916 --> 00:13:34,876 Speaker 1: not chanted very loudly and not sung and stated a 216 00:13:34,876 --> 00:13:36,676 Speaker 1: greater distance from each other. Did you have an instinct 217 00:13:36,716 --> 00:13:39,156 Speaker 1: to want to warn everybody else about this too, Yes, 218 00:13:39,316 --> 00:13:41,396 Speaker 1: I did have an instinct to want to do that. 219 00:13:41,596 --> 00:13:43,876 Speaker 1: But I know also that people are entitled to their 220 00:13:43,996 --> 00:13:47,236 Speaker 1: right to do what they feel is appropriate in the 221 00:13:47,276 --> 00:13:50,196 Speaker 1: moment in time that we're in. And I'm not going 222 00:13:50,196 --> 00:13:55,116 Speaker 1: to deny that I would have liked to participate in 223 00:13:55,156 --> 00:13:58,796 Speaker 1: that way myself, but as a public health measure for 224 00:13:58,956 --> 00:14:03,836 Speaker 1: myself if I am asymptomatically infected, I didn't want to 225 00:14:03,876 --> 00:14:07,556 Speaker 1: put others at risk. And so there is a way 226 00:14:07,596 --> 00:14:12,356 Speaker 1: to show civil disobedience and to show protests even in silence, 227 00:14:13,156 --> 00:14:15,916 Speaker 1: and I felt that I was able to do that 228 00:14:15,956 --> 00:14:18,756 Speaker 1: in a way that was comfortable for me. But I 229 00:14:18,796 --> 00:14:22,196 Speaker 1: also understand people are in a very difficult position right 230 00:14:22,196 --> 00:14:24,436 Speaker 1: now and are entitled to do what they feel is 231 00:14:24,556 --> 00:14:29,156 Speaker 1: right for them. But I have encouraged people to try 232 00:14:29,676 --> 00:14:36,716 Speaker 1: to maintain distance, not scream, shout, or saying or chant, 233 00:14:37,476 --> 00:14:40,476 Speaker 1: as a way to protect themselves and protect others because 234 00:14:40,516 --> 00:14:44,276 Speaker 1: I do fundamentally believe that the outdoors is so much 235 00:14:44,316 --> 00:14:49,676 Speaker 1: safer than anything indoors, So protesting outside I think can 236 00:14:49,716 --> 00:14:53,436 Speaker 1: be done in a low risk environment. I cannot say 237 00:14:53,476 --> 00:14:56,316 Speaker 1: that it's no risk. I tell people all the time, 238 00:14:56,396 --> 00:14:59,836 Speaker 1: if you're a very anxious person and you are worried 239 00:14:59,836 --> 00:15:03,436 Speaker 1: about risk, you should just stay home and stay indoors. However, 240 00:15:03,516 --> 00:15:06,276 Speaker 1: if you are trying to engage in a way that 241 00:15:06,356 --> 00:15:09,836 Speaker 1: feels comfortable to you and in a way that at 242 00:15:09,836 --> 00:15:13,476 Speaker 1: the moment we think is the safest what I've described, 243 00:15:13,516 --> 00:15:17,956 Speaker 1: which is to try to exhibit silence, wear a mask, 244 00:15:18,396 --> 00:15:24,676 Speaker 1: keep distance, and still protest. That is what I would 245 00:15:25,116 --> 00:15:29,836 Speaker 1: advocate for. I think that people will be seen and 246 00:15:29,996 --> 00:15:34,116 Speaker 1: heard even in silence. One of the really complex ethical 247 00:15:34,156 --> 00:15:36,436 Speaker 1: issues that you've already alluded to, but I want to 248 00:15:36,436 --> 00:15:39,676 Speaker 1: ask you more about, is the question of medical professionals 249 00:15:39,676 --> 00:15:43,796 Speaker 1: white coats protesting in their white coats. White coats for 250 00:15:43,876 --> 00:15:47,076 Speaker 1: black lives is sometimes the slogan that's used, and that's 251 00:15:47,116 --> 00:15:51,676 Speaker 1: raised an ethical question about the consequences not just for them, 252 00:15:51,836 --> 00:15:55,876 Speaker 1: but for everybody of engaging in protest in a situation 253 00:15:55,916 --> 00:15:59,436 Speaker 1: where there is at least a possibility of transmission. Karl Bergstrom, 254 00:15:59,476 --> 00:16:01,876 Speaker 1: the epidemiologist and statistician whom we've had on the show, 255 00:16:02,436 --> 00:16:06,836 Speaker 1: has been posting, not without a lot of opposition, on Twitter, 256 00:16:06,916 --> 00:16:09,556 Speaker 1: that he wants to remind people that you're not only 257 00:16:09,636 --> 00:16:14,156 Speaker 1: carrying risk for yourself in a situation of epidemic, but 258 00:16:14,236 --> 00:16:17,236 Speaker 1: you're actually imposing an externality. You're creating a risk for 259 00:16:17,316 --> 00:16:21,596 Speaker 1: other people if you're engaged in risky behavior with respect 260 00:16:21,676 --> 00:16:26,436 Speaker 1: to transmission. How do you think about that concern? In healthcare, 261 00:16:27,756 --> 00:16:31,756 Speaker 1: there has been systemic racism for a long time. I've 262 00:16:31,796 --> 00:16:39,916 Speaker 1: spoken to students, residents, fellows, attending physicians who have experienced 263 00:16:40,716 --> 00:16:46,236 Speaker 1: racism in their careers for decades as a South Asian American, 264 00:16:46,476 --> 00:16:51,196 Speaker 1: as a woman of Indian descent, I've had many comments myself. 265 00:16:51,876 --> 00:16:56,796 Speaker 1: I've been called Gandhi as a young person in a 266 00:16:57,076 --> 00:17:00,756 Speaker 1: mall on nine to eleven. My husband, who's also of 267 00:17:00,796 --> 00:17:04,556 Speaker 1: Indian descent. We lived in New York City and our doorman, 268 00:17:04,636 --> 00:17:08,636 Speaker 1: who saw us every single day, wouldn't allow him in 269 00:17:08,676 --> 00:17:11,356 Speaker 1: the building and told us to go back to where 270 00:17:11,396 --> 00:17:16,556 Speaker 1: we came from. I believe that as a healthcare professional 271 00:17:17,196 --> 00:17:22,356 Speaker 1: to stand up for patience and providers that have experienced 272 00:17:22,396 --> 00:17:25,516 Speaker 1: this kind of racism in their lives, and as a 273 00:17:25,556 --> 00:17:30,156 Speaker 1: medical educator to say, if I'm a bystander and see 274 00:17:30,236 --> 00:17:32,956 Speaker 1: something that's wrong, I'm not going to stand for it, 275 00:17:33,196 --> 00:17:36,196 Speaker 1: and I'm going to stand up for somebody who maybe 276 00:17:36,516 --> 00:17:39,316 Speaker 1: is having a hard time speaking on behalf of themselves. 277 00:17:40,596 --> 00:17:43,276 Speaker 1: I want to make a point to say that I 278 00:17:43,316 --> 00:17:45,676 Speaker 1: will do that, and I'm going to stand on the 279 00:17:45,716 --> 00:17:48,876 Speaker 1: side of what I think is right. And this is 280 00:17:48,876 --> 00:17:53,196 Speaker 1: a critical juncture in our country. And as much as 281 00:17:53,236 --> 00:17:56,316 Speaker 1: I'm on the side of protecting people from COVID nineteen, 282 00:17:57,316 --> 00:17:59,796 Speaker 1: there is a confluence of events that is happening right 283 00:17:59,796 --> 00:18:03,116 Speaker 1: now and we have to recognize what is going on. 284 00:18:03,916 --> 00:18:07,956 Speaker 1: And so I have struggled with this myself. As you mentioned, 285 00:18:08,636 --> 00:18:11,756 Speaker 1: how can I go about and express what I think 286 00:18:11,836 --> 00:18:16,036 Speaker 1: is an equally important message to get out there at 287 00:18:16,036 --> 00:18:20,356 Speaker 1: the same time as trying to prevent a potential huge 288 00:18:20,396 --> 00:18:23,756 Speaker 1: second wave. The way that I see that being able 289 00:18:23,796 --> 00:18:28,356 Speaker 1: to happen is I went to one protest. I went 290 00:18:28,436 --> 00:18:32,116 Speaker 1: in my white coat. I showed people around them that 291 00:18:32,316 --> 00:18:35,796 Speaker 1: should something happen, I am a white coat. I am 292 00:18:35,836 --> 00:18:38,716 Speaker 1: ready to help those that might be in need. But 293 00:18:39,156 --> 00:18:41,356 Speaker 1: I'm going to stay on the periphery because that's what 294 00:18:41,396 --> 00:18:43,476 Speaker 1: I'm comfortable with. I don't want to put other people 295 00:18:43,516 --> 00:18:45,716 Speaker 1: at risk, and I don't want to be at risk 296 00:18:46,076 --> 00:18:48,716 Speaker 1: because I need to keep doing my job. I need 297 00:18:48,716 --> 00:18:52,316 Speaker 1: to continue being able to be a physician taking care 298 00:18:52,316 --> 00:18:57,356 Speaker 1: of patients, and continue being an educator, educating trainees and 299 00:18:57,556 --> 00:19:01,796 Speaker 1: educating the public. So I think there is a conflict here, 300 00:19:01,836 --> 00:19:03,316 Speaker 1: but at the end of the day, we all are 301 00:19:03,436 --> 00:19:05,516 Speaker 1: human beings and we all have to stand on the 302 00:19:05,556 --> 00:19:08,636 Speaker 1: side of what we think is right. In this moment, 303 00:19:09,476 --> 00:19:12,476 Speaker 1: when I hear the phrase systemic racism in the context 304 00:19:12,516 --> 00:19:15,516 Speaker 1: of health outcomes, I tend to think of the long 305 00:19:15,716 --> 00:19:19,796 Speaker 1: range consequences of slavery and segregation in the United States 306 00:19:19,836 --> 00:19:24,476 Speaker 1: and economic inequality, primarily for African Americans, and the consequences 307 00:19:24,476 --> 00:19:28,196 Speaker 1: that that has had for the health of African American people. 308 00:19:28,556 --> 00:19:33,636 Speaker 1: And the COVID nineteen epidemic is a perfect instantiation of this, 309 00:19:33,716 --> 00:19:36,676 Speaker 1: and that's the reason that African Americans seem to be 310 00:19:36,716 --> 00:19:40,356 Speaker 1: around three times more likely to die of COVID than 311 00:19:40,436 --> 00:19:43,236 Speaker 1: white people. That's a question of the effects of that 312 00:19:43,316 --> 00:19:46,076 Speaker 1: kind of systemic racism. And so I think for those 313 00:19:46,116 --> 00:19:51,596 Speaker 1: who have expressed trepidation around the protests, one of the 314 00:19:51,596 --> 00:19:55,036 Speaker 1: things that they've been saying is African Americans might be 315 00:19:55,076 --> 00:19:58,116 Speaker 1: disproportionately likely to be protesting in Black Lives Matter, and 316 00:19:58,236 --> 00:20:02,836 Speaker 1: African Americans are disproportionately likely to be contracting and becoming 317 00:20:02,876 --> 00:20:05,676 Speaker 1: ill from the disease. And here, I guess what I'm 318 00:20:05,676 --> 00:20:09,436 Speaker 1: wondering is is it your instinct that the risk of 319 00:20:09,476 --> 00:20:13,756 Speaker 1: transmission aren't so great in protests as to make this 320 00:20:14,036 --> 00:20:17,836 Speaker 1: as pressing a dilemma as some people would like to 321 00:20:17,876 --> 00:20:20,316 Speaker 1: make it out to be. I think that's a difficult 322 00:20:20,796 --> 00:20:23,876 Speaker 1: call on a question. And the reason I say that 323 00:20:24,076 --> 00:20:30,356 Speaker 1: is because I'm extremely concerned about outbreaks to come, particularly 324 00:20:30,436 --> 00:20:35,036 Speaker 1: in communities where the current prevalence of infection is still 325 00:20:35,116 --> 00:20:39,876 Speaker 1: high and rising. So there are many communities where protests 326 00:20:39,876 --> 00:20:44,836 Speaker 1: are happening where the incidence of infection is quite low 327 00:20:45,116 --> 00:20:49,356 Speaker 1: or getting even lower, and so I'm less concerned in 328 00:20:49,476 --> 00:20:54,436 Speaker 1: those communities, but still extremely concerned. But I also fully 329 00:20:54,596 --> 00:20:59,516 Speaker 1: respect the need to protest right now, and everybody has 330 00:20:59,556 --> 00:21:01,956 Speaker 1: to take the risks that they think are appropriate for them. 331 00:21:02,156 --> 00:21:05,476 Speaker 1: But from my vantage point, if you wear a mask, 332 00:21:05,836 --> 00:21:08,476 Speaker 1: if you try to prevent touching your face, if you 333 00:21:08,556 --> 00:21:11,596 Speaker 1: watch your and try to protect yourself and others by 334 00:21:11,636 --> 00:21:16,196 Speaker 1: not screaming, shouting, or yelling while maintaining distance, I think 335 00:21:16,236 --> 00:21:20,916 Speaker 1: you can still have an equally effective protest. And I 336 00:21:21,076 --> 00:21:22,996 Speaker 1: know that that is hard to do. I know what 337 00:21:23,036 --> 00:21:28,436 Speaker 1: I'm asking for is almost impossible, and that maybe I'll 338 00:21:28,476 --> 00:21:31,996 Speaker 1: convince a few others to protest in that way, but 339 00:21:32,116 --> 00:21:34,956 Speaker 1: that the majority of people won't want to do that, 340 00:21:35,236 --> 00:21:38,716 Speaker 1: And I understand that, and I respect that decision, but 341 00:21:38,836 --> 00:21:42,836 Speaker 1: I do feel that the risk that you're potentially putting 342 00:21:42,836 --> 00:21:47,636 Speaker 1: others too, and you yourself are putting yourself at is 343 00:21:47,956 --> 00:21:52,276 Speaker 1: potentially significant. I fully acknowledge that the outdoors is better, 344 00:21:52,716 --> 00:21:56,276 Speaker 1: But we don't have the science of riots and protests 345 00:21:56,596 --> 00:22:01,036 Speaker 1: to say that we can extrapolate the data we have 346 00:22:01,116 --> 00:22:03,556 Speaker 1: so far to these settings. I don't think is accurate, 347 00:22:03,916 --> 00:22:06,556 Speaker 1: and so I think as an infectious disease doctor, as 348 00:22:06,596 --> 00:22:08,836 Speaker 1: an epidemiologist, I'm going to be on the side of 349 00:22:08,836 --> 00:22:12,116 Speaker 1: cause I'm going to be on the side of putting 350 00:22:12,316 --> 00:22:17,116 Speaker 1: into place the measures that can most likely result in 351 00:22:17,156 --> 00:22:21,956 Speaker 1: the least number of infections, not no infections. I'm not 352 00:22:22,036 --> 00:22:26,396 Speaker 1: expecting that, I'm just expecting to reduce the number. Fast 353 00:22:26,476 --> 00:22:30,276 Speaker 1: forward a month. Imagine, just for the sake of argument, 354 00:22:30,436 --> 00:22:35,236 Speaker 1: that we haven't seen a substantial spike in cases correlated 355 00:22:35,316 --> 00:22:38,276 Speaker 1: in any way, shape or form with the locations of protests. 356 00:22:38,476 --> 00:22:41,596 Speaker 1: Imagine a best case scenario. Would you then think that 357 00:22:41,636 --> 00:22:45,996 Speaker 1: it would be plausible for public health officials to say, Okay, 358 00:22:45,996 --> 00:22:50,076 Speaker 1: it's the summer, the beach is really pretty safe because 359 00:22:50,116 --> 00:22:52,276 Speaker 1: it's not as extreme as a protest, and there's no 360 00:22:52,316 --> 00:22:57,956 Speaker 1: tear gas there, and pools are outdoors and therefore reduced 361 00:22:57,996 --> 00:23:02,276 Speaker 1: transmissions substantially, and outdoor restaurants should be opened, and we 362 00:23:02,276 --> 00:23:05,676 Speaker 1: should basically treat the summer while we can as before 363 00:23:05,676 --> 00:23:07,756 Speaker 1: the fall comes and we are all indoors in high 364 00:23:07,756 --> 00:23:11,156 Speaker 1: transmission environments, again as an opportunity to get out there 365 00:23:11,156 --> 00:23:14,196 Speaker 1: and live a little bit of life. Can you imagine 366 00:23:14,196 --> 00:23:16,356 Speaker 1: a scenario like that, and if the data doesn't spike 367 00:23:16,436 --> 00:23:19,316 Speaker 1: by then, do you think you would be comfortable making 368 00:23:19,316 --> 00:23:22,476 Speaker 1: recommendations like that. I think I might. I think you know, 369 00:23:22,516 --> 00:23:25,916 Speaker 1: I'd like to see where we go. But I think 370 00:23:26,316 --> 00:23:30,076 Speaker 1: in an ideal best case scenario, if that's the case, 371 00:23:30,996 --> 00:23:34,676 Speaker 1: I think I would listen to your local public health 372 00:23:34,716 --> 00:23:39,196 Speaker 1: officials and governors and people making regulations for your local 373 00:23:39,276 --> 00:23:41,636 Speaker 1: districts because every area is going to be a little 374 00:23:41,676 --> 00:23:46,036 Speaker 1: bit different, and the nuance and reasoning in different areas 375 00:23:46,076 --> 00:23:49,236 Speaker 1: are going to be different. But for me personally, if 376 00:23:49,276 --> 00:23:52,436 Speaker 1: we see that, I'll feel even better about what I 377 00:23:52,516 --> 00:23:56,396 Speaker 1: recommend people to do in terms of the outdoors. But again, 378 00:23:57,316 --> 00:24:00,076 Speaker 1: what I've seen is that most of these places people 379 00:24:00,116 --> 00:24:03,156 Speaker 1: have been wearing masks. So if you're going to be 380 00:24:03,236 --> 00:24:05,836 Speaker 1: up close and personal with somebody, I'm not going to 381 00:24:05,876 --> 00:24:08,156 Speaker 1: tell you to take your mask off. I'm going to 382 00:24:08,236 --> 00:24:10,676 Speaker 1: say keep your mouth gone, which is hard in the 383 00:24:10,716 --> 00:24:13,756 Speaker 1: summer and being outdoors and all that. But if you're 384 00:24:13,796 --> 00:24:16,796 Speaker 1: on the beach, and you're spread out and you have 385 00:24:16,876 --> 00:24:19,076 Speaker 1: your mask off and you're not necessarily getting all on 386 00:24:19,116 --> 00:24:23,156 Speaker 1: top of other people. I will absolutely feel comfort with that. 387 00:24:23,276 --> 00:24:25,476 Speaker 1: I think I would say again, it's not a no 388 00:24:25,676 --> 00:24:30,396 Speaker 1: risk situation, it's an extremely low risk situation. I hope 389 00:24:30,396 --> 00:24:32,996 Speaker 1: that we end up there. I really do, because I 390 00:24:33,036 --> 00:24:39,356 Speaker 1: am concerned about December January February, our typical flu season spike, 391 00:24:39,836 --> 00:24:44,356 Speaker 1: and to have the mental health of the American people 392 00:24:44,916 --> 00:24:47,876 Speaker 1: be in a place where they're ready for our next 393 00:24:47,916 --> 00:24:51,956 Speaker 1: typical flu season, to have had time where they got 394 00:24:51,996 --> 00:24:56,036 Speaker 1: outside and reengaged with friends and family and had some 395 00:24:56,116 --> 00:25:00,836 Speaker 1: time to be able to maybe reduce the anxiety, fear, 396 00:25:01,156 --> 00:25:06,156 Speaker 1: and preoccupation with getting infected. It would be a great 397 00:25:06,396 --> 00:25:08,756 Speaker 1: way to give people a little bit of a release 398 00:25:09,236 --> 00:25:12,836 Speaker 1: before going into the next season. But I think, as 399 00:25:13,076 --> 00:25:16,276 Speaker 1: you've kind of alluded to, none of these things are 400 00:25:16,316 --> 00:25:19,636 Speaker 1: going to be all or none, light on, light off. 401 00:25:20,396 --> 00:25:22,836 Speaker 1: It's going to be Can we phase a little bit 402 00:25:22,876 --> 00:25:26,236 Speaker 1: in the direction of loosening things up and enjoying what 403 00:25:26,276 --> 00:25:28,996 Speaker 1: we can while we can in the summer, and then 404 00:25:29,036 --> 00:25:32,916 Speaker 1: potentially locking down, clamping down a little bit more when 405 00:25:32,916 --> 00:25:34,516 Speaker 1: it's going to be cold and people are going to 406 00:25:34,556 --> 00:25:37,916 Speaker 1: be stuck inside, and that's when disease transmission usually we 407 00:25:37,956 --> 00:25:40,876 Speaker 1: would anticipate is going to be higher. Anyway, thank you 408 00:25:40,996 --> 00:25:44,796 Speaker 1: Manasa so much for this detailed analysis of the science 409 00:25:44,836 --> 00:25:48,996 Speaker 1: and ethics of transmission and protesting, and thanks for your 410 00:25:49,196 --> 00:25:52,676 Speaker 1: amazing work, and thanks for joining me. Thank you so 411 00:25:52,756 --> 00:25:55,916 Speaker 1: much for having me listening to doctor Jutani's a very 412 00:25:55,956 --> 00:26:01,236 Speaker 1: cogent analysis. I think there are a few pretty straightforward takeaways. One, 413 00:26:01,836 --> 00:26:05,356 Speaker 1: at least as we know from the data, transmission of 414 00:26:05,396 --> 00:26:10,516 Speaker 1: the virus outdoors seems to be extremely unusual. Two, that 415 00:26:10,716 --> 00:26:15,036 Speaker 1: same body of data can not yet be safely extrapolated 416 00:26:15,316 --> 00:26:18,116 Speaker 1: to the circumstances of a protest, because that data was 417 00:26:18,156 --> 00:26:22,596 Speaker 1: collected in winter in China, under circumstances where many people 418 00:26:22,596 --> 00:26:25,956 Speaker 1: were in lockdown, and when there were not protests, with 419 00:26:26,036 --> 00:26:32,236 Speaker 1: people singing, chanting, coughing, and engaging in other aerosolizing events 420 00:26:32,356 --> 00:26:37,196 Speaker 1: potentially in proximity to each other. Third, the difficult ethical 421 00:26:37,276 --> 00:26:41,236 Speaker 1: question of whether protest is appropriate under circumstances of pandemic 422 00:26:41,796 --> 00:26:45,716 Speaker 1: is very much inflected by an empirical prediction without knowledge 423 00:26:45,716 --> 00:26:49,076 Speaker 1: of exact science about how likely it is for the 424 00:26:49,116 --> 00:26:52,116 Speaker 1: disease to spread. And I thought that Menetia was particularly 425 00:26:52,156 --> 00:26:55,876 Speaker 1: insightful when describing her own decision to go out in protest, 426 00:26:56,116 --> 00:26:57,956 Speaker 1: but to do it from the periphery of the crowd 427 00:26:58,116 --> 00:27:02,756 Speaker 1: and to avoid chanting and singing. Fourth and last, in 428 00:27:02,796 --> 00:27:06,436 Speaker 1: a month or so, we may actually have some preliminary 429 00:27:06,476 --> 00:27:10,556 Speaker 1: sense of new science about what mission looks like under 430 00:27:10,556 --> 00:27:14,756 Speaker 1: circumstances of protest. And maybe, just maybe, if we're lucky 431 00:27:14,956 --> 00:27:18,636 Speaker 1: and we don't see significant disease spike in the next month, 432 00:27:18,996 --> 00:27:21,636 Speaker 1: it might be possible over the summer for us to 433 00:27:21,676 --> 00:27:26,916 Speaker 1: conclude that spending time outdoors, albeit with masks, places us 434 00:27:26,956 --> 00:27:31,076 Speaker 1: in relatively low risk of transmission. But it's too soon 435 00:27:31,116 --> 00:27:34,116 Speaker 1: to know that. We won't know that till sometime around 436 00:27:34,276 --> 00:27:38,476 Speaker 1: the July fourth weekend. We will continue to follow closely 437 00:27:38,796 --> 00:27:41,836 Speaker 1: the question of how the virus spreads and what is 438 00:27:41,876 --> 00:27:45,236 Speaker 1: safe for people to do outdoors over the course of 439 00:27:45,276 --> 00:27:47,756 Speaker 1: the summer. Until the next time I speak to you, 440 00:27:48,316 --> 00:27:52,796 Speaker 1: Be careful, be safe, and be well. Deep background is 441 00:27:52,836 --> 00:27:55,996 Speaker 1: brought to you by Pushkin Industries. Our producer is Lydia 442 00:27:56,076 --> 00:27:59,516 Speaker 1: Jane Cott, with research help from zoo Win and mastering 443 00:27:59,516 --> 00:28:04,036 Speaker 1: by Jason Gambrel and Martin Gonzalez. Our showrunner is Sophie mckibbon. 444 00:28:04,596 --> 00:28:07,876 Speaker 1: Our theme music is composed by Luis Guerra. Special thanks 445 00:28:07,876 --> 00:28:11,596 Speaker 1: to the Pushkin Brass, Malcolm Gladwell, Jacob Weisberg, and Mia Lobel. 446 00:28:12,276 --> 00:28:15,236 Speaker 1: I'm Noah Feldman. I also write a regular column for 447 00:28:15,316 --> 00:28:18,756 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Opinion, which you can find at Bloomberg dot com 448 00:28:18,756 --> 00:28:23,076 Speaker 1: slash Feldman. To discover Bloomberg's original slate of podcasts, go 449 00:28:23,156 --> 00:28:27,356 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg dot com slash podcasts. And one last thing, 450 00:28:27,796 --> 00:28:30,956 Speaker 1: I just wrote a book called The Arab Winter, The Tragedy. 451 00:28:31,316 --> 00:28:33,236 Speaker 1: I would be delighted if you checked it out. You 452 00:28:33,236 --> 00:28:34,916 Speaker 1: can always let me know what you think on Twitter 453 00:28:35,156 --> 00:28:38,116 Speaker 1: about this episode, or the book or anything else. My 454 00:28:38,196 --> 00:28:41,836 Speaker 1: handle is Noah R. Feldman. This is deep background