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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 1: alongside Beau mcbraer. Big thanks to Seth Wallcock for filling

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Speaker 1: in for me last week after a little time off.

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Speaker 2: I am raran and ready to go. Did you miss me, Bo?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess so, Bat. It was a little different.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not usually the most flexible to change,

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Speaker 3: so there's a little deviation there from our normal strategy.

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Speaker 3: But I think we did okay well.

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Speaker 1: Bo and I are going to give you a full

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Speaker 1: betting preview of the Arnold Palmer Invitational, another signature events

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Speaker 1: on the PGA Tour. Maybe we'll even sneak in a

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Speaker 1: few picks for the other PGA Tour event this week,

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Speaker 1: the Puerto Rico in Puerto Rico Open. But first, Paul mcbraer,

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Speaker 1: let's quickly recap the twenty twenty six Cognizant Classic. Forever

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Speaker 1: to be known as Shane Lowry's Waterloo. The big Irishman

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Speaker 1: was one of the few world class players last week

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Speaker 1: in a very weak field. Lowery lives in Palm Beach, Florida.

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Speaker 1: The tournament was right in his backyard and with three

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Speaker 1: holes left, Lowery seemed to have the tournament in the

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Speaker 1: palm of his hands. He'd worked his way to the

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Speaker 1: top of the leaderboard with a sixty three on Saturday

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Speaker 1: and was playing some splendid golf on Sunday. He was

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Speaker 1: five hunder power over a five hole stretch from the

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Speaker 1: ninth to the fourteenth holes, starting with a chip and

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Speaker 1: birdie on the ninth, followed by an eagle on the

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Speaker 1: par five to tenth, But then came the infamous bear trap,

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Speaker 1: the three hole stretch from the fifteenth hole to the

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Speaker 1: seventeenth hole. Lowry made a routine par on the par

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Speaker 1: three fifteenth, then stepped to the sixteenth he with the

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Speaker 1: three shot lead. The sixteenth is a par four with

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Speaker 1: water down the right side of the hole and in

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Speaker 1: front of the green. Most players take less than driver

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Speaker 1: off the tee to take the water out of play,

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Speaker 1: and no one had found the water on Sunday until

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Speaker 1: Shane Lowry flared his tee shot into the drink. After

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Speaker 1: a penalty, he had to place third shot into the fairway,

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Speaker 1: then he badly pulled his fourth shot into a bunker,

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Speaker 1: left himself with the difficult shot. He actually had a

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Speaker 1: great play from the bunker to get within about three

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Speaker 1: feet and he made the putt for a double bogie,

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Speaker 1: so he was still in decent shape at that point.

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Speaker 1: But just ahead of him, Bo Nico Etchivaria was playing

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Speaker 1: the par three seventeenth, now just one shot off the

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Speaker 1: lead seventeenth, another tricky par three over water, and at

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Speaker 1: Chavaria hit a fade off the tee that looked like

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Speaker 1: it might be wet. Seemed like he had a kind

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Speaker 1: of fat too, but Nico's bald just barely cleared the

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Speaker 1: water with no more than an inch or two to spare,

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Speaker 1: it seemed, and one up beneath the hole, just ten

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Speaker 1: feet away, and he rolled in the bird.

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Speaker 2: He putt to Ty Lowry.

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Speaker 1: Then Big Shane stepped to the seventeenth tee and hit

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Speaker 1: yet another terrible shot that was bound for the water

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Speaker 1: the minute it left the club face. Lowry double bogie

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Speaker 1: that hole. When at Chiavaria parted the power five eighteenth,

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Speaker 1: Lowery needed an eagle just to force a playoff. Hit

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Speaker 1: a good drive, but his approach shot from two hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty one yards out found a bunker, and Larry

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Speaker 1: was unable to hold the bunker shots. He finished with

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Speaker 1: a part to fall into a three way tie for third,

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Speaker 1: and Nico Etchevaria, who missed the cut in his first

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Speaker 1: three events of twenty twenty six and had only made

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Speaker 1: one cut in his first five starts of the year,

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Speaker 1: got the third victory of his career, his first since

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Speaker 1: the twenty twenty four Zozo Championship. Bo your thoughts in

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Speaker 1: a wild finish at the Cognizant Classic.

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Speaker 3: It didn't really go down like I thought it would.

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Speaker 3: We got some unsteady, unsteady weather. There was threats of

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Speaker 3: thunderstorms the whole tournament except for Sunday. We really didn't

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Speaker 3: get any moisture to soften the course up. We got

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Speaker 3: a little bit of wind on Sunday, but that was

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Speaker 3: about it. It was mostly calm. It was eerily calm

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Speaker 3: wins for PGA National and they overseeded the grass again,

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Speaker 3: so the putting greens putted more true. It was less

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Speaker 3: of a Bermuda challenge as it was an overseated poa

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Speaker 3: Rye mix and it just was easier for this field

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Speaker 3: and it was still had some teeth for sure. But

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Speaker 3: I definitely did not see Shane Lowry winning it. I

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Speaker 3: didn't bet on it. I bet on Shane Lowry to

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Speaker 3: win this tournament back in twenty twenty two when the

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Speaker 3: weather hit on Sunday and Stepstraka came from out of

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Speaker 3: nowhere to win and snatched the victory from Shane Lowry.

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Speaker 3: I thought he was snake bit since then. I think

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Speaker 3: some of that kind of crept into his mind because

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Speaker 3: nobody was even anywhere close to as far right as

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Speaker 3: he was on sixteen, not even close. He was thirty

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Speaker 3: yards right of everybody else in the field on Sunday

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Speaker 3: on number sixteen in the water, not even close to

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Speaker 3: where he was aiming. He also had a topped drive

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Speaker 3: earlier on Sunday's round that barely cleared the water on

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Speaker 3: the left that nobody was even it wasn't even in play.

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Speaker 3: He almost took out some waterfowl that were hanging out

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Speaker 3: there in peace and harmony the entire day until Shane

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Speaker 3: Lowry got to the t hit a basically a scream

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Speaker 3: and worm burner up the left side. Got lucky that

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Speaker 3: that wasn't a penalty shot. He was all out of

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Speaker 3: sorts off the tee. Kind of recovered because he has

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Speaker 3: a great approach game, great chipping game, he just didn't

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Speaker 3: have enough to win. I think he still feels snake

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Speaker 3: bit and now more than ever, he might never win

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Speaker 3: this tournament, even though he lives right there and if

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Speaker 3: he feels comfortable going out there and shooting sixty three,

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Speaker 3: I just don't know that this is a tournament that

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Speaker 3: he'll ever win. And it was heartbreaking because I had

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Speaker 3: him in my one and done. I didn't think he

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Speaker 3: would win, but I definitely was going to take that

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Speaker 3: one point seven million from me on the on the

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Speaker 3: one and done. But yeah, just Nko was good all

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Speaker 3: all week. Even when he wasn't making putts, his putts

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Speaker 3: were true and they looked like they could all go in.

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Speaker 3: He's a great putter. In his approach game was good enough,

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Speaker 3: good enough, and it was It's just a really weird tournament.

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Speaker 3: I was not expecting any of it to go that way. Uh,

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Speaker 3: And so that's kind of why I was pretty conservative

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Speaker 3: with my betting last week. I did a buckshot approach

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Speaker 3: and none of those buckshots went anywhere close to the target.

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Speaker 3: Kind of like Shane Lowry off the tea on Sunday sometimes. U.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, sometimes when Shane is in contention, it just seems

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Speaker 1: like that's when he comes out with some indifferent golf

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Speaker 1: and the minute he got that lead up to three,

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Speaker 1: I'm like, oh wow, maybe he's gonna make this look easy. Nope, nope,

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Speaker 1: not at all. I almost forgot about that ball. That's weird,

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Speaker 1: screaming low ball. He didn't top it, but it was

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Speaker 1: like a a low slice, a low fade.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he hit it pretty much off the hozzle of

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Speaker 3: the driver, the bottom under the hozzle, so it was

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Speaker 3: a top and a hozzle off the driver, which are

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Speaker 3: more forgiving than ever before. But if that was with

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Speaker 3: any other driver other than today's technology, that would have

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Speaker 3: been in the drink in front of him or not

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Speaker 3: even made it off the tea box. And here, for

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Speaker 3: the eighth consecutive year at the Cognisant Slash Honda Classic

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Speaker 3: is the winner of the tournament was under par on

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Speaker 3: Sunday through the bear trap. And they showed that graphic

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Speaker 3: when Shane Lowry got to the fifteenth tee and he

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Speaker 3: made par on fifteen and I was saying, Okay, maybe

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Speaker 3: maybe he goes par par par because he's just got

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Speaker 3: a three shot lead and he breaks that streak. Well, no,

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Speaker 3: he goes four over on the bear trap and Niko

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Speaker 3: et Saveria ends up going par par Birdie on the

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Speaker 3: bear Trap and now it's eight years in a row.

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Speaker 3: The champion of the Honda Slash Cognizant has gone under

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Speaker 3: par on the bear Trap on Sunday to win.

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Speaker 2: That is wild.

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Speaker 1: Now we get another signature event Boa, the third in

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Speaker 1: the last four weeks. That means a high powered field

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Speaker 1: of seventy two players at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Field

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Speaker 1: will be trimmed to fifty players plus ties after two

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Speaker 1: and I think anyone within ten shots of the lead.

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Speaker 2: The host courses, bay.

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Speaker 1: Hill in Orlando, Florida challenging venue to say the least

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Speaker 1: to par seventy two, measuring seven four hundred and sixty

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Speaker 1: six yards and as with PGA and National last week,

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Speaker 1: there is a lot of water on Bayhill. It comes

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Speaker 1: into play on nine holes. The rough at bay Hill

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Speaker 1: thick and chewy. They're plenty of bunkers. Bayhill also features big,

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Speaker 1: fast Bermuda greens. The par threes at Bayhill average about

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Speaker 1: two hundred and sixteen yards, shortest of them as one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety nine yards. Five of the par fours

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Speaker 1: measures four hundred and fifty eight yards are longer. This

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Speaker 1: is a big Boys Course, and now the forecast is

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Speaker 1: calling for temperatures in the mid eighties for most of

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Speaker 1: the tournaments, with winds in the ten to fifteen mile

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Speaker 1: an hour range all three days, so conditions should be dry.

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Speaker 1: In fact, I don't think they're expecting any significant rain

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Speaker 1: in Orlando all week both so those Bayhill Greens could

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Speaker 1: be lightning fast. Russell Henley is the defending ARLD Palmer

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Speaker 1: Invitation Champion. He finished eleven under par to beat Colin

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Speaker 1: Moore Kawa by one shot last year. Scotty Scheffler ran

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Speaker 1: away with this event in twenty twenty four when he

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Speaker 1: finished fifteen under par, five shots clear of the field.

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Speaker 1: Kirk Kittiyama bo your guy won in twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: finishing nine under par, and Scotty Scheffler.

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Speaker 3: I was the only guy that had Kirk Kittyama that year.

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Speaker 3: Two hundred and fifty to one. That was That was

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Speaker 3: my magnum opus of golf betting was that was my

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Speaker 3: second year of golf betting, and I hit Kirk. I

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Speaker 3: hit my friend in a tournament he had no business

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Speaker 3: competing in. At two hundred and fifty to one. He

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Speaker 3: beat John ROMs. Scotty Scheffler pretty much held the entire

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Speaker 3: top five in the world, was chasing him down down

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Speaker 3: the stretch on Sunday, and he pulled it out. So

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Speaker 3: star studded Yes, Katy twenty twenty three bay Hill, that

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Speaker 3: was that was some good memories right there.

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Speaker 1: He squeezed it in in between a pair of Scotti

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Speaker 1: Scheffler wins because Scotti also won in twenty twenty two

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Speaker 1: in an absolute blood bath at bay Hill when the

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Speaker 1: winning score was just five under par So, bo, what's

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Speaker 1: it gonna take to conquer bay Hill this week?

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Speaker 3: It's gonna take some great entire bag play. It helps

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Speaker 3: to have driving distance, It really helps to have a

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Speaker 3: great recovery game. Because you mentioned this rough last week.

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Speaker 3: We had tough approach shots, lots of water around the greens,

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Speaker 3: lots of peril. This course is just like that, except

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Speaker 3: for if you missed the fairway at bay Hill, you're

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Speaker 3: not gonna get an out. You're not gonna be able

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Speaker 3: to score the way you do. If you miss the

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Speaker 3: fairway at PG National, you missed the fairway at bay Hill,

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Speaker 3: that's it. You're gonna make bogie or worst. Guaranteed, the

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Speaker 3: course is long, the rof is long and chewy, Like

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Speaker 3: you said, extremely tough to get a good lie if

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Speaker 3: you missed the fairway here. And if you're a good

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Speaker 3: long iron play, you have good approach game from outside

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Speaker 3: of two hundred yards, and you also can get out

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Speaker 3: of trouble if you're off wayward from over two hundred yards.

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Speaker 3: And then you have to be able to put on

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Speaker 3: fast Bermuda greens that are gigantic. These are huge green complexes.

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Speaker 3: They have tons of undulation, they're lightning fast, big big breaks.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna roll true, but you're gonna be challenged. Every

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Speaker 3: single shot on this golf course matters to themost importance.

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Speaker 3: So whoever's gonna win is gonna be It's gonna be

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Speaker 3: up here. That's the fifteenth club between the ears. It's

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Speaker 3: gonna take everything in more a lot of fortitude. And

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Speaker 3: that's why you see guys like Scottie Scheffler winning here twice.

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Speaker 3: I think Tiger Woods won here eight times. That's pretty good.

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Speaker 3: It seems like the guys who have the strongest mental

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Speaker 3: game under pressure tend to win here. Russell Henley also

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Speaker 3: another part of that, because every time you see Russell

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Speaker 3: Henley in condition content, you don't really see him choke.

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Speaker 3: I like guys that are are are have that winning pedigree,

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Speaker 3: who are finishers.

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Speaker 1: And it does seem like this is a course that

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Speaker 1: just suits certain guys. I think it's the third most

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Speaker 1: predictive course on the PGA Tour, same guys over and

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Speaker 1: over again. I mean Tiger was obviously one of them.

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Speaker 1: Bayhill suited his eye. But remember Matt every Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think he went back to back and not exactly a

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Speaker 1: household name, but he went back to back at bay Hill,

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Speaker 1: and I want to say twenty fourteen, twenty fifteen.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and the first time he was five hundred to one,

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Speaker 3: he was nowhere to the top of the board.

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Speaker 1: Sean O'Hare was another guy who was kind of a

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Speaker 1: marginal tour pro who always seemed to show up at

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Speaker 1: bay Hill. So there are certain guys who just seem

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Speaker 1: to fit this course. And we will certainly have more

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Speaker 1: on that in just a second before we get to

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Speaker 1: the odds for the Genesis Invitational. I just want to

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Speaker 1: Let's get to the odds for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

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Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler is the favorite of plus three hundred, Rory

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Speaker 1: McElroy's plus nine sixty. Tommy Fleetwood is plus seventeen fifty

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Speaker 1: Xanderschoffley plus twenty two point fifty. Matt Fitzpatrick is twenty

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Speaker 1: six to one. Hedeki Matsiama and Russell Henley are thirty

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Speaker 1: to one, Kalama Morikawa thirty one to one, Cameron Young

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Speaker 1: and Seawoo Kim are thirty two to one. Robert McIntyre

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Speaker 1: and Patrick Cantley are thirty three to one. And I

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Speaker 1: know some of these odds have changed a little bit.

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Speaker 1: And I got these late this afternoon, Monday bo and

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Speaker 1: now it's Monday night. I know some of these numbers

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Speaker 1: have drifted or shortened. Yeah, is this a Scottie week,

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Speaker 1: a Rory week? Neither Bau or is there anyone else

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Speaker 1: from this group who interests you?

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Speaker 3: There's a couple guys here. Obviously you have course history,

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Speaker 3: winning history. With Scotty Scheffler, I don't know if he's

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Speaker 3: that sharp year. His iron play has been the weakness

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Speaker 3: of his game this season so far. What's up with that?

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Speaker 3: Like the ought of all the things, we'd expect Scotty

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Speaker 3: Scheffler to be a little bit of skew and wayward

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Speaker 3: with his iron shots is the last thing I would

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Speaker 3: guess for him? This course doesn't really favor a player

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Speaker 3: coming in scuffling with his strongest feature. Usually his attributes

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Speaker 3: are usually fit here perfectly, that the long iron play.

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Speaker 3: At this point at plus three hundred, I just can't

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Speaker 3: bet Scotty. I would love to, but I just don't

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Speaker 3: see it. In this elevated field. You have of extremely

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Speaker 3: strong field, you're not going to get mad every coming

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Speaker 3: out of the woodwork here at five hundred and one,

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Speaker 3: because there's just not enough players in the field for that.

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Speaker 3: But Scotty Scheffler at plus three hundred, it's a little

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Speaker 3: steep to ask for a guy that we have been

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Speaker 3: really scuffling and scuffling for him. Still top ten most

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Speaker 3: of the time, top five. But I'm going to bet

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Speaker 3: Rory macleroll here at plus nine sixty. He's number one

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Speaker 3: in my model over Scotty because of his long iron play,

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Speaker 3: because of the advantage he gets from his distance, the

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Speaker 3: fact that on a big boy golf course your words,

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Speaker 3: my words too, I'm sharing it is he's going to

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00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,640
Speaker 3: be hitting shorter clubs into these greens, these fast greens

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Speaker 3: that you have to be close to the pen on

295
00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,520
Speaker 3: or you're looking at three putt avoidance coming into play

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00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,400
Speaker 3: three put avoidance is not usually something I look at

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00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 3: here because if you're not close enough to pin, you're

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Speaker 3: not going to score well anyway. Rory McIlroy's going to

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Speaker 3: be closer to the pin than most players because he

300
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Speaker 3: simply bombs it out there farther, has a better yardage book,

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Speaker 3: and he puts well in Bermuda. This is a type

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Speaker 3: of golf course where Rory McElroy can dominate. Will he

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Speaker 3: will will have to see. I think he's He's every

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Speaker 3: bit as popular as Scotti Scheffler when it comes to

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00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:53,280
Speaker 3: how I'm looking at my stats and to get three

306
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Speaker 3: times better odds, four times almost better odds, I'll take

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Speaker 3: that and run. I'm also going to look a Hideki

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Speaker 3: mont Seyama at plus three thousand thirty to one for

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Speaker 3: a guy of his caliber, especially with his ability with

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Speaker 3: the around the green game and iron play. If he

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Speaker 3: can get his driver woes to kind of straighten out

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00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:15,360
Speaker 3: a little bit, it doesn't take much if you get

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Speaker 3: his his his off the tea game straightened out. This

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00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:21,399
Speaker 3: guy is just as good as anybody in this field

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Speaker 3: at winning tournaments on tougher golf courses. We saw it

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Speaker 3: at Rivier last year where he just or two years

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Speaker 3: ago where he completely blitz the field on Sunday where

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Speaker 3: nobody else was on the on the course making birdies

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Speaker 3: and he shot sixty three. So this is the kind

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Speaker 3: of place where if Hitecki's right, I'm gonna I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: ride him.

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Speaker 1: Just to circle back to the big two for a second.

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Speaker 1: So Scottie Scheffler five career appearances at Bayhill, two wins,

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Speaker 1: three top fives, five top fifteens. Pretty good track record.

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Speaker 2: Not bad at all.

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Speaker 1: Has it won since the American Express back in January,

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Speaker 1: but did have a pair of top fives and three

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Speaker 1: starts on the West Coast Swing all time amongst players

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Speaker 1: in this field. He leads the field in strokes gain

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Speaker 1: per round at bay Hill two point five to seven

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Speaker 1: per round, second Rory McElroy at two point one two

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Speaker 1: strokes gain per round at bay Hill.

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Speaker 2: Over the last nine years.

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00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: Rory has four top fives at the Arnold Palmer Invitational,

335
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Speaker 1: eight top fifteens. So yeah, two guys who have shown

336
00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:30,359
Speaker 1: some aptitude on this course. Wouldn't have been cool if

337
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:32,640
Speaker 1: we got a two way battle between the big guns.

338
00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,240
Speaker 1: But if they're not going to get those guys, it

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Speaker 1: could it could Tommy Fleetwood short odds for him too.

340
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 1: His precision ball striking would seem to make him a

341
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 1: good fit for this course, but he's only had one

342
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Speaker 1: top five finish at the Arnold Palmer. He finished third

343
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Speaker 1: and twenty nineteen. Otherwise his best finished was tenth. Matt

344
00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:55,280
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick had a run a four straight top tens at

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Speaker 1: the Arnold Palmer from twenty nineteen to twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 1: including a runner up finish in twenty nineteen, but in

347
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:09,159
Speaker 1: three appearances since fourteenth missed Cutts twenty first bo Russell

348
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 1: Henley defending champion and finished fourth here two years ago.

349
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Speaker 1: Henley is usually excellent putting on Bermuda greens. He also

350
00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 1: ranks inside the top thirty this season and scrambling and

351
00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:24,880
Speaker 1: strokes gained an approach. Russell Henley always has my attention

352
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Speaker 1: on Bermuda putting surfaces.

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Speaker 3: Both he's very live here, very live here.

354
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Speaker 2: Very live indeed.

355
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Speaker 1: And one more guy I want to ask you about, so,

356
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 1: Colin Morikawa comes in hot one at Pebble Beach three

357
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,800
Speaker 1: weeks ago, follow that up with a seventh at the Genesis.

358
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Speaker 1: Morikawa's was the runner up to Henley at bay Hill

359
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:50,600
Speaker 1: last year, but typically not that great a wind player.

360
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,280
Speaker 1: So how do you feel about Colin Morikawa this week?

361
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:58,000
Speaker 3: I don't know that he can make enough up and

362
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 3: downs on this golf course to win. Will he be there? Probably?

363
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 3: I think he'll Probably he's a safe bet to get

364
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,560
Speaker 3: top ten year. I really do feel that way. But

365
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 3: with the way this field is shaping up, he's he's

366
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,959
Speaker 3: in a different class. Now. You win at Pebble Beach

367
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 3: the same year you're going to bay Hill, you're gonna

368
00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 3: have a little bit more attention on you. I don't

369
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,399
Speaker 3: know that his short game is quite good enough. He

370
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,120
Speaker 3: really was on a heater last year here last year

371
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,639
Speaker 3: and Russell Henley just took it from him. He couldn't

372
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 3: quite make enough putts last year, and he almost got

373
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,359
Speaker 3: lucky with the short game last year where he was

374
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 3: bailed out by making some of the longer par putts,

375
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:37,600
Speaker 3: and then he couldn't buy a birdie putt to save

376
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 3: his life down the stretch last year, which is why

377
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,439
Speaker 3: Henley won. I do think he'll be top ten. I

378
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,639
Speaker 3: don't think he has quite enough to win here in

379
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 3: this field being so strong.

380
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 1: I'm with you, it's I think putting is going to

381
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,000
Speaker 1: be key this week. I think the ships are going

382
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,640
Speaker 1: to be difficult chipping to three.

383
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 3: Butt avoidance might come into play for Colin war Kawa.

384
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:00,040
Speaker 3: Let's say that.

385
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I probably should have had a disclaimer when

386
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: I was talking about the weather forecast ten to fifteen

387
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 1: miles an hour. But like in Florida, you just never know, man,

388
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 1: it could be much breezier than that. All right, let's

389
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 1: look at more of the odds. We've got Ben Griffin

390
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: at thirty six to one, Harris English at thirty seven

391
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,960
Speaker 1: to one, Victor Hovelin and Jake Knapp at thirty eight

392
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:23,000
Speaker 1: to one, Ludwig Oberg at forty to one, Chris godd

393
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 1: her up in Sam Burns at forty two to one, bos,

394
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,080
Speaker 1: Guy Kirk Kidiyama at forty four to one, Ricky Fowler

395
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 1: forty five to one, Maverick McNeely and Justin Rose at

396
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 1: forty seven to one, Adam Scott minwoo Lee are forty

397
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 1: eight to one, and poor Shane Lowry trudges into bay

398
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,160
Speaker 1: Hill at forty nine to one.

399
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 2: Who do you like from this group?

400
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:46,399
Speaker 3: Bo? Yeah, So Ben Griffin way too short. Harris English

401
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 3: has no business even being in this tier. Hoveland is

402
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:54,160
Speaker 3: very interesting because his long iron game is spectacular, Oberg,

403
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 3: I don't trust yet because he has been scuffling for

404
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 3: about a year now. And the one guy that's interesting

405
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,120
Speaker 3: that I might bet on I haven't yet is Chris

406
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,879
Speaker 3: Gotter up red hot two wins already this season and

407
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:10,639
Speaker 3: has the distance, has the iron game? Can his short

408
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 3: game hold up on a course like this? It's a

409
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,640
Speaker 3: different ballgame playing the course he sees one at than

410
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,920
Speaker 3: what he's going to face at bay Hill, but he's

411
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,119
Speaker 3: got the talent to do it. Chris Gotrup is a

412
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 3: rising star in this sport and I wouldn't be surprised

413
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 3: if he was there. I am going to bet on

414
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:30,160
Speaker 3: Kirk Kittiyama because if there's a course made for Kirk Kidiyama,

415
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,639
Speaker 3: it is bay Hill. He excels and wins. He excels

416
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 3: on long, big boy golf courses that forced you to

417
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 3: hit long approach shots. That's his game. He's a grinder,

418
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 3: he's a competitor, and he's amazing from two hundred plus

419
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 3: yards out and this season he's been putting the lights

420
00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:50,440
Speaker 3: out by his standards, So don't be fooled. Forty four

421
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:53,679
Speaker 3: to one is not too short for Kirk Kittyama this

422
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 3: season because he seems to be a different player in

423
00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 3: twenty twenty six than we've seen in the past. He

424
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,920
Speaker 3: also has some good vibes, going as a two hundred

425
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 3: and fifty to one winner just three years ago. The

426
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 3: rest of this field, I mean, I won't dig in

427
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 3: on Shane Lowry too bad, but I don't think he

428
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 3: has any chance of winning in this tournament.

429
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, even though he finished seventh here last year in

430
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: third and twenty twenty four and lives in Florida and

431
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,399
Speaker 1: generally plays the Florida course as well, and it's a

432
00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 1: good win player Like, there are things that add up

433
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 1: for Shane Lowry, but man, I just don't want to

434
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 1: jump on that bandwagon while it's still smoldering from the crash.

435
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,360
Speaker 3: Last week rerecords.

436
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 1: I share your interest in Victor Hoveland and Chris got

437
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,640
Speaker 1: her up. I mean, Hoveland just such a phenomenal ball striker.

438
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 1: I don't really care that he was outside the top

439
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:50,360
Speaker 1: forty in the two California events he played, and he's

440
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 1: had some success at the Arnold Palmer runner up finish

441
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, top ten and twenty twenty three

442
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,880
Speaker 1: and got her up. So yeah, he won the Sony Open,

443
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 1: won the Phoenix Open. He's never played the Arnold Palmer

444
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 1: Invitational before.

445
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 2: And his ball striking has been good this season.

446
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,919
Speaker 1: We know he can vomit, but he is outside the

447
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 1: top one hundred and driving accuracy, which frightens me a

448
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 1: little bit. This week bo in that rough and he's

449
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 1: also outside the top one hundred in strokes gained putting,

450
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 1: which is a little worriedsome What about do you have

451
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:27,440
Speaker 1: any interest in Jake Knapp, who has finished no worse

452
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 1: than eleventh in any of the five PGA Tour events

453
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,560
Speaker 1: he's played in twenty twenty six. He's only had one

454
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:35,919
Speaker 1: other Arnold Palmer appearance. He was fifty seventh in twenty

455
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 1: twenty four. But man, this guy fourth in strokes gained putting,

456
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: third and strokes gained total this year.

457
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, And when you filter for all courses, he's up

458
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 3: in the top ten of everything you run, and it

459
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 3: shows he's finished no worse than eleventh than any event.

460
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 3: If you filter for anything on the difficulty scale, he

461
00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,119
Speaker 3: goes to the very bottom. This is not a this

462
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 3: is not an easy golf course. This is among the

463
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 3: top five toughest golf courses on the PGA Tour, and

464
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:06,840
Speaker 3: so Jake Napp is off the board.

465
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's another guy who's not going to hit every

466
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 1: fair way, and that's one day.

467
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 3: I think Jake Napp will be able to handle these

468
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,479
Speaker 3: big boy courses up to the level that he can play.

469
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 3: But right now, I just think he's a little bit

470
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 3: green behind the ears when it comes to playing Bayhill

471
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,959
Speaker 3: and going toe to toe with the big dogs that

472
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 3: come and play these courses for fun.

473
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 1: Agreed, We'll talk long shots in just a moments, but first.

474
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,920
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475
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:43,280
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476
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477
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478
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:55,040
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483
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: So we've only talked about a third of the field

484
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: or so. We've got a lot of players with odds

485
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,879
Speaker 1: of fifty to one or longer. Is there anyone worth

486
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: a flyer ball?

487
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 3: How about making his twenty twenty six debut. Justin Thomas

488
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 3: ball striker extraordinaire, good short game, streaky putter. We've seen

489
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 3: Justin Thomas at the very top of the mountain, We've

490
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 3: seen him down in the lowest valley. This is his

491
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 3: first his first opening salva of twenty twenty six, coming

492
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 3: off surgery. I think he's going to be surprisingly good here.

493
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 3: This is a golf course that fits his game perfectly.

494
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 3: I think there's a reason why he marked Bayhill as

495
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 3: his first event. He wants to get off to a

496
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 3: great start. I don't know that you want to invest

497
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 3: a ton in him at fifty to one outright, but

498
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 3: top five, top ten you can. You can dabble. I'm

499
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 3: not saying go crazy for JT at fifty to one,

500
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 3: but I do want to see what he does, and

501
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:10,719
Speaker 3: I do want to root for him when he does it.

502
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,399
Speaker 3: I do think that he was number three in my model,

503
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,960
Speaker 3: by the way, going super duper filtered last twenty four rounds.

504
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 3: All these all these metrics I'm looking at this is

505
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 3: this is justin Thomas's course to really show what he's

506
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 3: been working on since he had his injury last year.

507
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,439
Speaker 3: Another guy kind of on the rise of this season.

508
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 3: We've seen Peerson Cooty on the top of a lot

509
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 3: of leaderboards this season. Another guy who's a great long

510
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,920
Speaker 3: iron player, great bomber off the tee, and a much

511
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 3: improved short game. This is a This is a kind

512
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 3: of guy where you know, Jake Napp might be shorter odds,

513
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 3: but he's he's what we Pearson Cooty is who we

514
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 3: want Jake Napp to be. Peerson Cooty is the rising

515
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,160
Speaker 3: star this year. Jake Napp won a couple of years

516
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,239
Speaker 3: ago and kept it going. Pearson Cooty is making that

517
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 3: rise this season, and I think he has the game

518
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 3: to show up at this place. Fifty eight to one,

519
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,680
Speaker 3: a little short. I'm not looking to invest a lot,

520
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 3: but I do want to see Pearson Coodie at Bayhill

521
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 3: do what he does, which is light the scoreboard up

522
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:15,919
Speaker 3: in both directions. And then finally I'm going to go

523
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:22,399
Speaker 3: with the big Kiwi Ryan Fox, funky swing, bomber, great great,

524
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 3: great ball striker and honestly an underrated short game. He

525
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 3: was number four in my model overall, behind Rory Scottie

526
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 3: and JT. That's Ryan Fox at one hundred and twenty

527
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 3: to one in a small field, probably gonna make the

528
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 3: cut because very few will miss the cut, and Ryan

529
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,640
Speaker 3: Fox has all the firepower that you want from a

530
00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 3: long shot at Bayhill, which is long off the tee,

531
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 3: good with long irons and an adequate short game, he

532
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 3: can make a lot of birdies on a tough golf course.

533
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 3: So I'll take Ryan Fox.

534
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 2: Interesting.

535
00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 1: Now, I'm not betting Keegan Bradley, but it's worth noting

536
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 1: that he's fifty four to one and Captain America's finished

537
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 1: eleventh or better at bay Hill in four of the

538
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 1: last five years, so he's one of those guys who

539
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 1: seems to like this course quite a bit. Speaking of

540
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: horses for courses, bo Corey Connors seventy six to one.

541
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: I know Connors is off to a pretty terrible start

542
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, but he's finished top five at

543
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: the Arnold Palmer in two of the last five years

544
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 1: and had finished top twenty one in five straight years.

545
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: So seventy six to one I'm intrigued. He's still an

546
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,200
Speaker 1: excellent ball striker. We know about the putting, it's not

547
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 1: what you want. And you mentioned Justin Thomas as a

548
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 1: guy making his twenty twenty six debut coming back from

549
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 1: an injury. Well, Sung Jim has not played in a

550
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 1: tournament since October. He's been dealing with a wrist injury.

551
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 1: He's making his first start of the year at bay

552
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 1: Hill and he comes in at one hundred and twenty

553
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 1: to one bow over the last first.

554
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 3: Time, missing a fairway with that wrist in this rough.

555
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 1: Gotta hope that the wrist is one hundred percent, But

556
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 1: I will tell you ball over the last seven years,

557
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 1: Song Jim has finished no worse than twenty first at Bayhill,

558
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 1: and he had back to back third place finishes in

559
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen and twenty twenty.

560
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 3: Connor's ohmutt is interesting. Connors is interesting because he came

561
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 3: up in the top end of my model because out

562
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,560
Speaker 3: of all the surfaces, Bermuda is his strongest, and so

563
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 3: he was even in the green for putting on Bermuda

564
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 3: on fast Bermuda greens. So I will say Corey Connor's

565
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 3: what scared me off was his recent form being absolutely atrocious.

566
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 3: But he did pop for me, so I will give

567
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 3: you credit for putting him on the show because Corey

568
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 3: Connor's if he does something, you're gonna look like a genius.

569
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 1: All these guys from cold, non American climates come to

570
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,920
Speaker 1: Florida and thrive on Bermuda. Corey Connors the Canadian, You've

571
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 1: got Rory and shit from Ireland. Interesting, well, my hard

572
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 1: rock bet of the week is Russell Henley at thirty

573
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: to one.

574
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 2: You know my rule.

575
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: Russell Henley is playing a tournament at a course with

576
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: Bermuda greens.

577
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 2: He's in auto bet for me. What is your hard

578
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 2: rock bet of the week.

579
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 3: I'm gonna see your Russell Henley at thirty to one

580
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 3: and match it with Hideki Matsiyama at thirty to one.

581
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 3: Let's go dukes, dukes up head to head thirty to

582
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 3: one hard rock bets of the Week. And if you

583
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,360
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584
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 3: been a better time. New sign ups could double their

585
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 3: winnings on their first ten bets max of fifty dollars.

586
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 3: That's right. If you would have won a hundred bucks

587
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 3: on your bet, make it two hundred. The hard Rock

588
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589
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,560
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590
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596
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598
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599
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:19,640
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600
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,880
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601
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 4: Concerned about gambling in Florida call one eight three three

602
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 4: play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you know

603
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,200
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604
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605
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Speaker 4: In Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

606
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 1: So what does the rest of your betting card look like?

607
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,760
Speaker 1: Besides the Hideki bat.

608
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 3: Sot Rory plus nine sixty Hideki plus three thousand, Kittayama

609
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 3: plus forty four hundred, I'm on full ladder on North

610
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 3: cal Chico, California. K Kitty Yama, He's just he's he's

611
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 3: locked in, he's ready to go, and Justin Thomas fifty

612
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 3: to one, Pearson Coody fifty eight to one, and Ryan

613
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 3: Fox a big Kiwi at one hundred and twenty to one.

614
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: So this is probably my funkiest betting card of the

615
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 1: season so far. I've only got three outrights. I've got

616
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 1: Handley at thirty to one, Nikolai Hoyguard at sixty three

617
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 1: to one. We haven't talked about him yet, but he's

618
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 1: been in really good form lately, and his strong showing

619
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 1: last week at the Cognizant Classics suggests that he's capable

620
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 1: of conquering Florida courses in breezy conditions. I'm also placing

621
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: a very small bet on Sung JM at one hundred

622
00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: and twenty to one, very small, and I'm betting Sung

623
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 1: j for a top five at fifteen and a half

624
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: to one. I'm betting Corey Connors for a top ten

625
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 1: at plus four fifty five, and bo I am betting

626
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: a rare parlay two legs with a top five for

627
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 1: Rory and a top ten for Corey Connors that would

628
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 1: pay sixteen to one.

629
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 3: We got you on sicko mode, Pat.

630
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 2: I'm in siico mode for sure.

631
00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: That's, you know, just looking for a way to you know,

632
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 1: juice up the Corey conner.

633
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 3: It only took me a few years to corrupt you

634
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 3: completely into degeneracy. So there you go.

635
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,560
Speaker 1: Now, before we get to the one and don competition,

636
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 1: which I frankly want to put off for as long

637
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 1: as possible, there's another PGA Tour event this week, the

638
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 1: Puerto Rico Open. Is there anyone you're looking to bet

639
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 1: in that event?

640
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 3: Bow, I've talked about how tong Lee on the show

641
00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 3: already the season. This is a weaker field. Obviously the

642
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 3: top eighty guys are going to be in Orlando, but

643
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 3: how tong Lee is at twenty five to one, I

644
00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 3: really like his talent in this field. I also like

645
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,560
Speaker 3: the talent of rookie David Ford, the North Carolina Tar

646
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,399
Speaker 3: heel Lefty. He's the guy that hold out for three

647
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:44,320
Speaker 3: consecutive holes after quad bogieing the hole before that last week.

648
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:47,920
Speaker 3: He's just exciting to watch. I love watching Lefty's play

649
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,759
Speaker 3: golf on the PGA Tour. He's at forty five to one,

650
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 3: which it's crazy to me. And then finally another norcl

651
00:34:56,440 --> 00:35:00,439
Speaker 3: guy prior to the Bay Area Isaiah Celinda Bomber great,

652
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,400
Speaker 3: great off the tea game, and Puerto Rico is a

653
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 3: it's a it's at a resort, so you're gonna if

654
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 3: you're good off the tee, like how tong Lee and

655
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 3: David Ford are. Isaiah Celinda just as good off the tee,

656
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 3: if not better than those two. He's going off at

657
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty five to one, so I will

658
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 3: be betting on him, so that, yeah, Puerto Rico is

659
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 3: going to get some exposure from me.

660
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 2: Yeah.

661
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 1: Bo Harder Rock Bet Illinois has Maddy Schmidt at fifty

662
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 1: to one. He's finished top ten in Puerto Rico the

663
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: last two years and he's coming off at top ten

664
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:33,320
Speaker 1: at the Cognizant Classics, So yeah.

665
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:36,279
Speaker 2: I'm good to bet him. Can you can you talk

666
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 2: me to Blades Brown at one hundred to one.

667
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 3: Pat, you should bet Blades Brown at one hundred to one.

668
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 2: Should I?

669
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 1: You liked him last week and this is uh, you know,

670
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:48,319
Speaker 1: this is a softer field, and one hundred to one

671
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:49,399
Speaker 1: kind of like it.

672
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 3: I can talk you into that. Yeah's it wouldn't take much.

673
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,719
Speaker 3: Blades Brown is talented and and yeah, one hundred to one.

674
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 3: It's just like the Cylinda bed. It's you're betting on

675
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 3: the talent showing up at a course where if he

676
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 3: can make enough birdies you can win.

677
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 1: Now, for the one and done competition, BO had Shane

678
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: Lowry last week. He should have banked one point seven

679
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 1: million for the win. Instead, Lowry fell into a three

680
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 1: way tie for third, and Bow had to settle for

681
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 1: seven hundred and twenty six four hundred dollars.

682
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 2: I'd Ryan Gerard. I'd Ryan Girard.

683
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 1: He finished tied for twenty third, good for seventy seven

684
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,319
Speaker 1: six hundred dollars. BO is swabbing the deck with me.

685
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: So far, he is more than five point two million

686
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,760
Speaker 1: dollars in winnings. I am languishing far behind it about

687
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 1: one point five million. I pick first this week, Bo,

688
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:43,439
Speaker 1: It's a signature event, big money and I'm going all in.

689
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 2: On Russell Henley this week. Russell Henley is the pick.

690
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 2: Who are you taking?

691
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 3: I am shocked not I am going to go with

692
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 3: my guy from the whole, the whole show Hideki Matsiama.

693
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,319
Speaker 3: He's gonna get my He's gonna get my one and done.

694
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 1: This week the head to head battle of thirty to

695
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 1: one selections. Yep, that's all for this week's Betting Pros

696
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:09,040
Speaker 1: PGA podcast. We hope you'll be back next week for

697
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 1: our betting preview of the unofficial fifth Major, The Players Championship.

698
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 2: Until then, so long everyone.

699
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

700
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,320
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

701
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,759
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702
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,640
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703
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:31,400
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704
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros