1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:11,559 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 2: A single best idea A four hour broadcast today. What 3 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 2: a set of conversations given the newsflow. As Lauri Calvicina said, 4 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 2: she was celebrating her mother's day and the world paused 5 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: and turned upside down about four pm Sunday, Wall Street time, 6 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 2: and on we went, and on we went. Today. We 7 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 2: blew up the show two or three times. It was 8 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 2: just great to start strong with Jeffrey Ewitt BNY really 9 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 2: quite exceptional at pulling together equities, bonds, currencies, commodities sent 10 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 2: most of the time in talking to him about tariffs. Here, Jeffrey, 11 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: you unchanged American exceptionalism. 12 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 3: US exceptionalism means you buy stocks, You buy US stocks, 13 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 3: you buy US bonds, and you buy the dollar. We 14 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 3: think that the only thing which may decorrelate slightly or 15 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 3: not just be as full on is on the dollar side. 16 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 3: So to compensate for maybe a little bit more risk 17 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 3: premia due to the recent uncertainty, is a softer dollar. 18 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 3: But again, this shouldn't be seen as a bad thing. 19 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,479 Speaker 3: A it's something that the Trump administration, perhaps on and off, 20 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 3: has been talking about. But b what if US companies 21 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 3: become exporters as well, then you can benefit from that 22 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 3: FX earnings translation that Europe, Switzerland, you know, Japan and 23 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 3: even China Asia they always look for So that correlationshift 24 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 3: is perhaps taking place. But don't read it as a 25 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: negative for US exceptionalism, at least not yet. Let's say, 26 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 3: if US companies can adapt, I. 27 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: Would suggest a different type of uncertainty on this day 28 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 2: versus seven days ago or seven months ago. Jeffrey, you 29 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 2: with being why what approves you have? Hugh von steinis 30 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 2: with us. He was with us, and then I think 31 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 2: he went to Milton Institute out in LA and was 32 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 2: back again in New York City today. So we spoke 33 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 2: to the vice chairman of Oliver Wyman with all of 34 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 2: his respective on continental banking and finance, and of course 35 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 2: QVA and Steinas and the exceptional turmoil of his United Kingdom. 36 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 4: The great advantage of the UK for many years was 37 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 4: it was mid atlantic. It had didn't have quite the 38 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:18,519 Speaker 4: US growth rate, but it certainly was growing faster than Europe. Unfortunately, 39 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 4: since the financial crisis were particularly since Brexit, we've lost 40 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 4: that UK exceptionalism. In fact, in a way we were 41 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:27,519 Speaker 4: exceptional compared to Europe and now where we've actually the 42 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 4: end of UK exceptionalism in twenty sixteen was really the 43 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 4: right and actually my Prime Minister m Carney was correct. 44 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 4: The Brexit was economically, at least put to one side, 45 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 4: politically a poor decision. So I think that we're trying 46 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 4: to get our act together again. I think one thing 47 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:45,679 Speaker 4: that the President here has really shon a light on 48 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 4: is like the terms of trade internationally. The UK's terms 49 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 4: of trade with its nearest counterpart is now poorer. So 50 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 4: is there a way to put the politics one side 51 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 4: improve trade relationships? And if you want to us of 52 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 4: a hail mayor, it would be if Canada wants to 53 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,799 Speaker 4: actually have lower tariffs with Europe, maybe there's an opportunity 54 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 4: for Ukraine Canada UK to end into a much lower 55 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 4: tariff zone. 56 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 2: Here Von steinas of Oliver Wyman, of course the service 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 2: to the Bank of England with at the time Governor 58 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:20,920 Speaker 2: Mark Karney now doing other things in Canada. Thank you 59 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 2: so much for your attention today, particularly thank you to 60 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: Eric and our team for just blowing up the show 61 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 2: literally three four times here over the last twenty four 62 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: hours on your commute across the nation. Thank you so 63 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 2: much for your attention on Bloomberg, I should say on YouTube, 64 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: Subscribe to Bloomberg podcasts and out at YouTube podcasts. It's 65 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 2: the single best idea.