1 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: What's up, guys, Happy Tuesday. Welcome into a new episode 2 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perult. You 3 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,760 Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all of my socials at 4 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt, and we continued last night with another 5 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: winning night. It's been a good couple of days. We 6 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 1: get Arizona, luckily they did not blow that at the end, 7 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: shows you what luck can do. Arizona gets there and 8 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 1: minus one and a half they win by three. The 9 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: Bulls and Lakers game flew over, and the NBA player 10 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: prop came in for us, So a two and one night, 11 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: up point nine units on the day, and that's good. 12 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: As we head here into a Tuesday, I'm gonna keep 13 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: the same routine here from last night. I have one 14 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: college basketball bet, I have one NBA total, and I'll 15 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: have one NBA player prop on the Betting pros app. 16 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 1: Easy to find it by downloading the Betting Pros app 17 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: and then going searching at Sports Talk Matt. Hit the 18 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: little bell so it will notify you when I post 19 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: the bet for us for the NBA player prop. As 20 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: we continue to be very good in that market, so 21 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: definitely stick around to get the Betting pros app search 22 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and I'll give you a player 23 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: prop later on today here on a Tuesday, but before 24 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: I give you the two other bets, a reminder of 25 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 1: what's going on. 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You're just gonna subscribe to the Betting 32 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel and leave a comment on this video 33 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: and if you are lucky enough to be selected come February, 34 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: we will make the announcement as who will win the 35 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: mini helmet Seahawks signed autographed Jackson Smith and Jigba helmet 36 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: mini helmet from our friends at Pristine Auction dot com. 37 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: Subscribe and comment and you are entered in to winning 38 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: that contest. Now, first play, let's talk about Alabama and Michigan. Sorry, 39 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: excuse me, Nebraska and Michigan. Confusing my team's Nebraska and 40 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: Michigan Big Ten basketball game. Okay, Ken Palm has this 41 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: as a nine point win for Michigan. This number is 42 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: ten and a half opened at eleven, was bent down 43 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:43,080 Speaker 1: to ten and a half. I just have a weird 44 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: and somewhat sneaking suspicion that Nebraska is going to get 45 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: a little bit exposed is the wrong word. They're undefeated, okay, 46 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: but I think their first loss is going to be 47 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 1: a little bit lopsided because just how good Michigan is 48 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: and the fact that Michigan hasn't covered a spread in 49 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: six games. But they've been winning these games, the last 50 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: four of them by double digits. After losing to Wisconsin. 51 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:20,279 Speaker 1: They've won by ten over Washington, ten over Oregon, fourteen 52 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: over Indiana, and twelve by Ohio State. They didn't cover 53 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 1: in any of them. So now you have the betting 54 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: trends of Nebraska covering in four of their last five 55 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: six three and one over their last ten, and really 56 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: you go back, they've covered five of their last six 57 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: and they're winning, obviously, but they're winning and covering. They 58 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: covered against Ohio State, they covered against Indiana, they covered 59 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: against Oregon, they covered against Northwestern, they didn't cover against Washington. 60 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: They won by ten. The closing line was ten and 61 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: a half. But then they go to Minnesota and they 62 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: blow out the Gophers. They were laying five and they 63 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: won by nineteen. This is the same road trip for 64 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: Nebraska here. I just look at this Michigan team and 65 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: I go, okay. This number now is ten and a half. 66 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: The spreads of the last six games for Michigan, we're 67 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:18,159 Speaker 1: twenty four, nineteen, twelve and a half, eighteen and a half, 68 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: fifteen and a half, and sixteen and a half. The 69 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 1: books want you to take Nebraska the book. The books 70 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: want you to take the Dog year because they think 71 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: that people are going to go out Nebraska's twenty or 72 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 1: nineteen and oh, Nebraska's seven and one ats on the road. 73 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: Nebraska's gonna go out there and play extremely well, and 74 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: they're catching ten and a half points. Gotta go ahead 75 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 1: and take an eight and oh straight up team plus 76 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: the points, right, they'll keep it close. Michigan is eighteen 77 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: and one, they're nine and one at home. But against 78 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: the number, Michigan's just six and four this year and 79 00:04:56,760 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 1: Nebraska's seven and one. The numbers all point toward or 80 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: it's Nebraska, and yet the number I think will climb 81 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 1: it was eleven to ten and a half. I think 82 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:09,679 Speaker 1: this number will climb. I think you'll see late money 83 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: come in here on on Michigan and just you know, 84 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: looking at the Ken Palm numbers and we can kind 85 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 1: of match them up. Michigan defensively is tremendous. Their second 86 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 1: in defensive adjusted efficiency, their second and effective field goal percentage. Defensively, 87 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 1: they are first in two point percentage defense. They're thirty 88 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: eighth in three point percentage defense. They are fifth in 89 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,559 Speaker 1: block percentage. Like defensively, Michigan is just really, really tough, 90 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 1: and Nebraska offensively has been better than expected. They're tenth 91 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: and two point percentage, ninety fifth and three point shooting. 92 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 1: But really it's their overall effective field goal percentage of 93 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: twenty being twenty third and twenty second in offensive adjusted 94 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: efficiency that really has led them to being one of 95 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: the more dominant teams in college basketball. On the flip side, 96 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 1: the Huskers haven't been horrible on defense. Twenty seventh in 97 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, eleventh in defensive efficiency. Michigan is 98 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: seventh in offensive efficiency. They are seventh in effective field 99 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: goal percentage. They are first in the country in two 100 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 1: point percentage one hundred and twenty and three point percentage. 101 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: Not great there, but they do hit their free throws. 102 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 1: You know, this is a team at home and arbor, 103 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 1: rocking environment on peacock Nebraska. I think this is their 104 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: first loss, and I think it gets away from them 105 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: a little bit. I think Michigan just is a much 106 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: better basketball team than Nebraska is. We look at I'm 107 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 1: a Creighton guy, so maybe call me a hater here. 108 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: My other play personally will be laying the two points 109 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: with Creighton on the road against Marquette. So you want 110 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: to go a full on hatred of the Huskers in 111 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 1: that rivalry, go ahead and take to take a Creighton 112 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: laying one and a half or two against Marquette, and 113 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 1: then take Michigan minus ten and a half and you 114 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 1: have a fun little anti Husker parlay if you want it. 115 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: But you know, Marquette hasn't been good this year. Marquette has. 116 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:11,679 Speaker 1: You know, they're seven and fourteen. They lost to Butler. 117 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: It's a three point win according to Kempom over Creighton. 118 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: So you know that's my personal play, but I think 119 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: officially we're going to come in here and we're going 120 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 1: to lay it with Oh sorry, that's hold on, let's 121 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: go find that that slide didn't post for some weird reason. 122 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 1: I don't know why that. There we go, there's your slide. 123 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: Michigan MI is ten and a half for one point 124 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: one units, and yes I will be involved with Creighton. 125 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:38,120 Speaker 1: Lelay the two points with the Jays on the road 126 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: against Marquette, who's just been simply awful Marquette. Let me 127 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 1: see that number for Marquette as to what Marquette ats 128 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: this season is three and nine at home ats. But 129 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 1: the Jays are just four and five and one in 130 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: four over their last five games ats. So that's why 131 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 1: the numbers only one and a half or two. But 132 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 1: I think you lay it with the Jays. Lay it 133 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: with two Creighton wins, creating covers, Michigan wins, Michigan covers 134 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: if you want a little fun parlay. But officially we'll 135 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: lay to ten and a half points with Michigan. Now, 136 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 1: this podcast is being brought to you by our friends 137 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet. They are the presenting sponsor of 138 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast. Big game is set. We're watching 139 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: New England taking on Seattle. Hard Rock Bets got all 140 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: different ways to get in on the action for next 141 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:34,599 Speaker 1: Sunday's big football game. Looking forward to getting first to 142 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:38,319 Speaker 1: New Orleans, then to San Francisco for media row. It's 143 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: going to be a ton of fun to see how 144 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 1: these two teams match up. 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Hard Rock Bet with new promos every day, 154 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 1: So download the hard Rock Bet and make your first deposit. Today, 155 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: let's go to the NBA and talk a bit about 156 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 1: a game that maybe you wouldn't have looked at. I 157 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: know I wouldn't have. But the Bucks in the Philadelphia 158 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: seventy six ers. So we were on the Bucks on 159 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: the under for their last game. But this is one 160 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: of those again, much like the Nebraska Michigan game. I 161 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: feel like the books are kind of daring us to 162 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: take the under. The total is two nineteen and a half, 163 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: which is pretty low. These two teams have played two 164 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:51,439 Speaker 1: times so far this season. The first time that Philadelphia 165 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: played in Milwaukee, the total was two twenty three and 166 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: a half and the game went over by thirteen and 167 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: a half points. The second time they played it was 168 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: two nineteen, sorry, it was two twenty one and a 169 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:05,719 Speaker 1: half and the game went under by four and a 170 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: half points, a one sixteen to one oh one win 171 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 1: for Philadelphia. The last two games for the Sixers have 172 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: gone under by six and a half points in both 173 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: against Charlotte and against New York. They lost both the 174 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: games one thirty to ninety three in one twelve to 175 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: one oh nine. The last four games and six of 176 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 1: the last seven games have all gone under for the 177 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks. However, two fourteen and a half okay, the 178 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: game against Milwaukee I sorry, against Denver went under by 179 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: twelve and a half points, but the last game before 180 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:42,679 Speaker 1: that against OKC was two twenty four and a half 181 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 1: and the game went under by a half a point. 182 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 1: For the road games, it was one twelve to one 183 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: ten against Atlanta that would have gone over to nineteen 184 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,959 Speaker 1: and then two twenty five and a half going under 185 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 1: five and a half for San Antonio. That equally, would 186 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 1: it was one nineteen one oh one would have gone 187 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 1: over to nineteen and a half. I just think this game, 188 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: this number is too low. I think the books are 189 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: daring us to bet under, and I'm gonna go the 190 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: other way. I'm gonna think, do we get offense? Like, 191 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: let's just see what happens here. Let's just see how 192 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 1: this game winds up going. I think we could see 193 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: some offense. Now. The first game did go to overtime 194 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 1: one twenty three to one fourteen, but one sixteen to 195 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: one oh one in the game in Milwaukee. I mean 196 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 1: that's under, yes, but that's right there, that's you know, 197 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 1: one bucket away, it's two seventeen. It's one bucket away 198 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: or one three point bucket away from going over to 199 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 1: nineteen and a half. This game's on NBC Peacock National, 200 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: you know National TV. Yes, Giannis is out. Joel Embiid 201 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 1: is a game time decision. Paul George is the game 202 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: time decision. If they play this number jumps, I think 203 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 1: we'll see the number climb. I think it's two nineteen 204 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:00,719 Speaker 1: and a half. I think it's where the flyer on 205 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: taking the over here and just seeing we go against 206 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 1: the graining, maybe go against the market a little bit here, 207 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,959 Speaker 1: against what our eyes are telling us. The NBA loves 208 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: doing headfakes. I'm gonna go ahead and take the over 209 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:14,679 Speaker 1: two nineteen and a half from Milwaukee and Philadelphia for 210 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,319 Speaker 1: one point one units. So we're going Michigan minus ten 211 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 1: and a half. We're going Philadelphia and Milwaukee over to 212 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,199 Speaker 1: nineteen and a half in one NBA player prop. We'll 213 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: come at you on the Betting pros app later on today. 214 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: By searching at Sports Talk Matt minus Matt Paroli, you 215 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: guys can follow me Acaus all my socials at sports 216 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. 217 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.