1
00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:18,200
Speaker 1: The volume all right, time for our weekly three Points segment,

2
00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,520
Speaker 1: brought to you by Chase Freedom Unlimited. How do you

3
00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:23,640
Speaker 1: cash back now? So, for those of you guys who

4
00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:26,160
Speaker 1: don't remember from last week this particular segment, what I'm

5
00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:29,360
Speaker 1: gonna do is I'm gonna target specific matchups that I'm

6
00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:32,440
Speaker 1: watching in three series here in the first round. Now.

7
00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:36,239
Speaker 1: Of our eight first round series, five of them are

8
00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:39,199
Speaker 1: either three to one or over, So we are going

9
00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,160
Speaker 1: to focus on the other three series that are all

10
00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:46,360
Speaker 1: still being contested relatively evenly. The Lakers are up to

11
00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,880
Speaker 1: one on the Grizzlies, the Warriors are tied to two

12
00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,199
Speaker 1: with the Sacramento Kings, and the Miami Heat have a

13
00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:54,920
Speaker 1: two to one lead over the Milwaukee Bucks with Giannison

14
00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,360
Speaker 1: Tena Kompo returning tonight. So we're gonna focus on those

15
00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:01,160
Speaker 1: three series. Let's start with Warriors King series tied to two.

16
00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:05,000
Speaker 1: Both teams are really struggling to contain the opposing star.

17
00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,840
Speaker 1: Both Dearon Fox and Steph Curry are averaging thirty two

18
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,640
Speaker 1: points per game in the series. So to me the

19
00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,119
Speaker 1: major matchup down the stretch in these final three games

20
00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:17,319
Speaker 1: three game series first one to win, two, two, of

21
00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,200
Speaker 1: the games in Sacramento. Who's gonna be able to get

22
00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,240
Speaker 1: stops on the opposing star? I think in large part

23
00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,440
Speaker 1: over the course of the series. As you've seen the

24
00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,600
Speaker 1: Warriors when they go on their run in the middle

25
00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,520
Speaker 1: of the fourth quarter last night, it's Steph Curry doing

26
00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,479
Speaker 1: everything late in the game when the Kings get back

27
00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,480
Speaker 1: into it to buy themselves a chance with the Harrison

28
00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:39,360
Speaker 1: Barnes three on the left wing to win the game,

29
00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,880
Speaker 1: it's Darn Fox doing everything and getting where he wants

30
00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:47,080
Speaker 1: to on the floor. Whoever ends up getting consistent stops

31
00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,800
Speaker 1: against the opposing Star is going to win this series

32
00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:52,360
Speaker 1: in my opinion. So let's take a look at it

33
00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,640
Speaker 1: from both sides. Let's start with the Warriors guarding Fox. Now.

34
00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,720
Speaker 1: I expected them to go heavy into Gary Payton the

35
00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,000
Speaker 1: second in this series. They have not done so. As

36
00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:02,559
Speaker 1: a matter of fact, if you guys remember I talked

37
00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,320
Speaker 1: a lot about a specific lineup that they used in

38
00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:08,120
Speaker 1: Game one. In Game two that worked well, and that

39
00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:12,040
Speaker 1: was Stephen Clay with Gary Payton, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green.

40
00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:14,840
Speaker 1: That lineup was plus five per one hundred possessions and

41
00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,960
Speaker 1: just under forty possessions in the first two games, both

42
00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,040
Speaker 1: on the road, and I thought that was the lineup

43
00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,640
Speaker 1: that they would end up going to, especially in clutch

44
00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:25,520
Speaker 1: situations in this series. Instead, they have not done that.

45
00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:28,360
Speaker 1: They did not use that lineup at all in the

46
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,240
Speaker 1: two home games. As a matter of fact, they went

47
00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:31,840
Speaker 1: with a lot of Jordan Poole, and then when Jordan

48
00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:34,480
Speaker 1: Poole started struggling and had that bad turnover late in

49
00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,000
Speaker 1: the game last night, they ended up going with Kevon

50
00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,880
Speaker 1: Looney down the stretch, going big and ended up working

51
00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:43,280
Speaker 1: out they got to win. They've been doing in on

52
00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,359
Speaker 1: ball situations, they've been going with Draymond Green on deer

53
00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,560
Speaker 1: and Fox and having Andrew Wiggins Garden Malik Monk. Now,

54
00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:52,600
Speaker 1: they've been trying Draymond Green guarding deer and Fox with

55
00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,920
Speaker 1: some success since all the way back when they were

56
00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,120
Speaker 1: playing in November, so that matchup has actually worked okay

57
00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:00,639
Speaker 1: with them. But here's why I like to see them

58
00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,960
Speaker 1: use Gary Payton more. First of all, they flat out

59
00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,720
Speaker 1: don't need Jordan Poole's offense with that group last night,

60
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:09,880
Speaker 1: even though he did make a lot of plays throughout

61
00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,680
Speaker 1: the game. Down the stretch of the game, not so much.

62
00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,320
Speaker 1: I thought he took a bad three, he'd left a

63
00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,200
Speaker 1: pull up mid range jump shot way short of the rim,

64
00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:23,320
Speaker 1: had that really bad turnover to Klay Thompson in the corner.

65
00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,840
Speaker 1: His execution issues actually become an even bigger problem on

66
00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,919
Speaker 1: that stage. So I understand going defense with that group,

67
00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,000
Speaker 1: but instead of Kevon Looney, I would go with Gary Payton.

68
00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,520
Speaker 1: And the main reason why is transition cross matches. So

69
00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,160
Speaker 1: you know, the Warriors in general, they're gonna take a

70
00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:41,760
Speaker 1: lot of threes, right, And when you take a lot

71
00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,280
Speaker 1: of threes, they lead to a lot of long rebounds.

72
00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:46,520
Speaker 1: And they also have a lot of guys who like

73
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,160
Speaker 1: to attack the offensive glass, and so as a result

74
00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:51,480
Speaker 1: of that, a lot of times they're giving up transition

75
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:55,600
Speaker 1: opportunities the other way. And you know, transition defense is

76
00:03:55,680 --> 00:04:00,000
Speaker 1: about stopping that first action right, or stopping that first basket,

77
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,960
Speaker 1: like the runout for a layup, or the runout drop

78
00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:04,920
Speaker 1: off for a guy in the corner for three, or

79
00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,160
Speaker 1: the trailer for the three. You want to stop that

80
00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,280
Speaker 1: action and force them to play in the half court.

81
00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:13,840
Speaker 1: But transition defensive principles are just get back and grab somebody.

82
00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,320
Speaker 1: You're not running back to your matchup it's every man.

83
00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,839
Speaker 1: It's every man just needs to sprint back and then

84
00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,440
Speaker 1: spread out from there. And so a lot of times

85
00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,479
Speaker 1: like whoever's the first guy back is going to pick

86
00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,520
Speaker 1: up the ball, and then whoever the second guy is

87
00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,320
Speaker 1: back is gonna grab the second guy. So you end

88
00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,000
Speaker 1: up with all these cross matches, and whoever's supposed to

89
00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,120
Speaker 1: be guarding Darren Fox might not be. He might be

90
00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:38,000
Speaker 1: guarding someone else, or vice versa. Having three guys in

91
00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,800
Speaker 1: the lineup that can guard deeron Fox instead of two.

92
00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:45,359
Speaker 1: So having Draymond, Gary Payton, and Andrew Wiggins together that I

93
00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,200
Speaker 1: believe gives you a much better chance of keeping a

94
00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,160
Speaker 1: good defensive player on the Aaron Fox. Not to mention

95
00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,360
Speaker 1: that Stefan Clay have both held up pretty well defensively

96
00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:57,000
Speaker 1: in the series and switches when they've needed to. So

97
00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,200
Speaker 1: I just think that gives you a much better chance

98
00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:01,600
Speaker 1: of g stops. So, if we're up to me, I'd

99
00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:03,440
Speaker 1: like to see the Warriors play a little bit more

100
00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:06,400
Speaker 1: Gary Payton as they had on the road into Sacramento.

101
00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,880
Speaker 1: Now on the King's Front, when they're dealing with Steph,

102
00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,520
Speaker 1: they're having the most success with Davion Mitchell on the floor.

103
00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,680
Speaker 1: Dearn Fox has done okay guarding Steph. The problem is is,

104
00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:17,680
Speaker 1: like you saw in that final possession where you got

105
00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,719
Speaker 1: that wide open floater, the one he missed right before

106
00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,279
Speaker 1: the Harrison Barnes shot, he just can go right around

107
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,680
Speaker 1: Dearon Fox because he's got a lower center of gravity

108
00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:29,120
Speaker 1: and Steph is actually like a deceptively pretty strong dude, right,

109
00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,320
Speaker 1: And Davion Mitchell has a lower center of gravity than

110
00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:34,920
Speaker 1: Steph and can beat him to spots, and so he

111
00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,920
Speaker 1: really needs screens and pump bakes and things like that

112
00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,240
Speaker 1: to shake free of him. He actually makes Steph work

113
00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,600
Speaker 1: much much harder, but similarly to the Gary Payton thing,

114
00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,200
Speaker 1: although not to the same extent. Mike Brown hasn't played

115
00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,360
Speaker 1: him a ton. He's played under one hundred minutes in

116
00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,320
Speaker 1: this series, and you saw last night he was kind

117
00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:55,440
Speaker 1: of going back and forth between between playing Keegan Murray

118
00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 1: or Davion Mitchell down the stretch. And I didn't think

119
00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,920
Speaker 1: it was a coincidence that it was like, Okay, we

120
00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,400
Speaker 1: got Keegan Murray on the floor with Davion Mitchell on

121
00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:06,360
Speaker 1: the bench, and Steph goes off right scores all these baskets, right,

122
00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 1: under three minutes left, Mike Brown brings on Davion Mitchell.

123
00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:14,080
Speaker 1: Steph doesn't score for a while, and actually Davion does

124
00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,719
Speaker 1: a really nice job then down in the final minute,

125
00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,240
Speaker 1: Mike Brown goes back to Keegan Murray takes Davion Mitchell out.

126
00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,280
Speaker 1: Darren Fox is guarding Steph and Steph goes right around

127
00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,160
Speaker 1: him and gets a wide open float that he ended

128
00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,560
Speaker 1: up missing, but was one of his best looks of

129
00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,479
Speaker 1: the night, in a shot that Steph hits like sixty

130
00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:33,960
Speaker 1: percent of the time. And so I would like to

131
00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,800
Speaker 1: see them just kind of lean on Davion Mitchell a

132
00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,839
Speaker 1: little bit more. I understand the advantage of Keegan Murray, right,

133
00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:43,400
Speaker 1: It's about Kegan Murray at a great shooting night. He's

134
00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:46,800
Speaker 1: being guarded more closely. You're creating spacing. But Deeron Fox

135
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,880
Speaker 1: and Malik Monk both in particular, are kind of just

136
00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,680
Speaker 1: shot hunting. They're not looking to pass a ton when

137
00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:53,080
Speaker 1: they're getting downhill. As matter of fact, that was a

138
00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:54,880
Speaker 1: big problem for them in the fourth quarter as they

139
00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:57,719
Speaker 1: were forcing shots over Andrew Wiggins and getting blocked, or

140
00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,799
Speaker 1: Milik Monk barreling down the floor in transition forcing something

141
00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,560
Speaker 1: to the rim. Those guys are kind of tunnel vision

142
00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:07,360
Speaker 1: right now, So I'm not worry necessarily about them beating

143
00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,479
Speaker 1: you with the pass. Even on the play where Harrison

144
00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,559
Speaker 1: Barnes got the wide open three was because Dearn Fox

145
00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,080
Speaker 1: literally had nowhere else to go at that point, and

146
00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,920
Speaker 1: so I'd like to see them play a little bit

147
00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:21,200
Speaker 1: more Davion Mitchell understanding that even if Golden State helps

148
00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:22,880
Speaker 1: off of him, it's not like they were gonna make

149
00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:26,480
Speaker 1: those passes to those shooters to begin with. Again, we

150
00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,440
Speaker 1: gotta separate shot quality from results in a small sample size,

151
00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 1: if you play really great defense, a guy might make

152
00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,800
Speaker 1: a shot. But in three games and three clutch situations,

153
00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:38,880
Speaker 1: there's gonna be dozens and dozens of possessions, and the

154
00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:42,960
Speaker 1: team that creates better shots is probably going to win.

155
00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,760
Speaker 1: And so getting the right defensive personnel out there to

156
00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:47,440
Speaker 1: make the shots more difficult, I think is going to

157
00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:50,800
Speaker 1: go a long way towards swinging the outcome. All right,

158
00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:53,560
Speaker 1: Moving on to heat Bucks, I think Giannis needs to

159
00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:56,720
Speaker 1: come back and guard Jimmy Butler. Now I talked a

160
00:07:56,760 --> 00:08:00,200
Speaker 1: lot about this in a show or two shows go.

161
00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:04,840
Speaker 1: If I remember correctly about this idea, that. I'm not

162
00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,640
Speaker 1: worried about the bucks at all until Jannis said he

163
00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,560
Speaker 1: wasn't going to play in Game four, which didn't happen.

164
00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,320
Speaker 1: I saw a report this morning that Yanni's plans on

165
00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:13,720
Speaker 1: playing tonight, big shock. They fell down to one in

166
00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:15,280
Speaker 1: the series. I think that he would have played in

167
00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:18,760
Speaker 1: Game three if they were in a worse predicament. But

168
00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,320
Speaker 1: they had just won in dominating fashion in Game two

169
00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:24,360
Speaker 1: without Yannis, and so I think they thought they could

170
00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:26,960
Speaker 1: go get Game three without Yannis, and now they realize

171
00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,880
Speaker 1: that they can't. They've got to play him to beat Miami.

172
00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,400
Speaker 1: And Miami's in a very interesting predicament now because Victor Oladipo,

173
00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:39,400
Speaker 1: in some very tragic news, has has ruptured his ptel

174
00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,640
Speaker 1: attendant in his left knee, so he's obviously not going

175
00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:43,800
Speaker 1: to play anymore in this series. Tyler Harrow has broken

176
00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,440
Speaker 1: his hand. They're going deep into the bench to guys

177
00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:49,240
Speaker 1: like Duncan Robinson, right, So, like we're in a situation

178
00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:51,680
Speaker 1: now where Miami just does not have a lot of

179
00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,160
Speaker 1: shot creation. But Jimmy Butler has been phenomenal in this series.

180
00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,079
Speaker 1: He's averaging thirty points per game, shooting sixty percent from

181
00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,320
Speaker 1: the field sixty seven percent from three and a three

182
00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,280
Speaker 1: to one assist to turnover ratio has eighteen assists to

183
00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:08,520
Speaker 1: just six turnovers. Now, Mike Budenholzer typically likes to put

184
00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,960
Speaker 1: Giannison help, so even when Jannis has been healthy in

185
00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:15,559
Speaker 1: this series, they've tucked him on Gabe Vincent and had

186
00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,520
Speaker 1: a Drew Holliday guard Jimmy Butler and Drew Holliday is

187
00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:22,440
Speaker 1: one of the all time great defensive players in this league,

188
00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:27,319
Speaker 1: but he has typically struggled, especially in uber physical environments

189
00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:30,040
Speaker 1: against the bigger, stronger wings in the league. I've seen

190
00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:34,640
Speaker 1: guys like Lebron give Drew Holiday problems. I've seen guys

191
00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,400
Speaker 1: like Jimmy Butler give Drew Holiday problems over the years.

192
00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,280
Speaker 1: And in this game, he was scoring on him in

193
00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:41,440
Speaker 1: the post, shooting over the top of him, beating him

194
00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:44,600
Speaker 1: off the dribble. He's just too big and strong for

195
00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,440
Speaker 1: a guy like Drew Holliday. Unfortunately, he's been way too

196
00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,600
Speaker 1: comfortable in this series. He's not bothering him enough. Now.

197
00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:54,920
Speaker 1: The idea there is Bud likes to keep Jannis and

198
00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:58,120
Speaker 1: help because Giannis is a devastating low man help defender,

199
00:09:58,160 --> 00:09:59,560
Speaker 1: and there is a lot of value to that in

200
00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,920
Speaker 1: the defense, but specifically with a heat team like this,

201
00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,520
Speaker 1: where if you cut the head off the snake, if

202
00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:07,920
Speaker 1: you can get Jimmy Butler to start struggling, this team

203
00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:11,080
Speaker 1: will not be able to score and you can quickly

204
00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:13,440
Speaker 1: rip off three wins and end this series in six

205
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:18,679
Speaker 1: games if you can control Jimmy Butler. Secondly, Jiannis has

206
00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,439
Speaker 1: guarded guys like this really well in his career. We've

207
00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:23,880
Speaker 1: talked a lot this season. There was one of my

208
00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:25,880
Speaker 1: favorite games this year was a win by the Bucks

209
00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:28,120
Speaker 1: over the Clippers. Or down the stretch of the game,

210
00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:31,240
Speaker 1: Yannis switched on to Kawhi Leonard and locked his ass

211
00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:36,959
Speaker 1: up those big forwards. He's too strong. He can absorb

212
00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:40,360
Speaker 1: that contact in the chest without giving up position, and

213
00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,840
Speaker 1: then when he needs to close ground to contest, he's

214
00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:48,720
Speaker 1: got the length to contest. So, like Drew on, Jimmy's

215
00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:54,360
Speaker 1: just not working. Specifically having Giannis on Jimmy as a

216
00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,120
Speaker 1: matchup that I believe he can win, and I'm not

217
00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,600
Speaker 1: concerned as much about the help defense part, as long

218
00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:02,920
Speaker 1: as you can contain Jimmy, just because there's not enough

219
00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:08,000
Speaker 1: skill on the floor. Finally, it is smarter tactically, in

220
00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,200
Speaker 1: my opinion, to keep Giannis closer to the ball. One

221
00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,400
Speaker 1: of the problems with putting Giannis and help in this

222
00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:18,520
Speaker 1: particular series is Eric Spolsh has a very clear strategy here.

223
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,680
Speaker 1: It's we've got Bam and Jimmy, and it's three shooters

224
00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,280
Speaker 1: around them at all times, three guys that are dead eye,

225
00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:31,440
Speaker 1: knockdown shooters. And so by putting Janis in help, he's

226
00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:35,320
Speaker 1: being pulled further away from the rim. Now in a

227
00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,240
Speaker 1: let's protect like bread and butter the Jimmy Bam pick

228
00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,760
Speaker 1: and roll. Now you're asking either Yiannis to chase over

229
00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,319
Speaker 1: the top of screens or to switch brook Lopez out

230
00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:49,120
Speaker 1: onto the perimeter. But again, bam Adebayo is continuing to

231
00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:55,839
Speaker 1: demonstrate a struggle offensively to be aggressive and dangerous when

232
00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,840
Speaker 1: he has the ball in his hands. So I would

233
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:02,640
Speaker 1: even just switch that brook Lopeziani's action with the Jimmy

234
00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:05,480
Speaker 1: bampick and roll have Brooke Press up a little bit,

235
00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,439
Speaker 1: and now you have giannison help, except for he's in

236
00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:11,600
Speaker 1: help in a situation on bam Adebayo where he's close

237
00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:15,840
Speaker 1: to the rim. So specifically, from a tactical perspective, Putting

238
00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:20,120
Speaker 1: Giannis on Jimmy in isolations keeps him close to their

239
00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,520
Speaker 1: most dangerous offensive player, and in pick and roll situations

240
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:25,400
Speaker 1: helps him to stay closer to the rim. I think

241
00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:29,360
Speaker 1: that is the right strategy. And again, with Tyler Harrow

242
00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,040
Speaker 1: and Victor Oladipo out cut the head off the snake,

243
00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:35,160
Speaker 1: this team will not be able to score all right. Lastly,

244
00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:39,600
Speaker 1: before we get out of here, our third point moving

245
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:43,280
Speaker 1: forward to Lakers Grizzlies. Can the Lakers play with consistent

246
00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,680
Speaker 1: focus and energy? I believe that the Lakers are a

247
00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:50,120
Speaker 1: much much better team than the Memphis Grizzlies. I believe

248
00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,959
Speaker 1: that going into the series. The reason I picked the

249
00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,199
Speaker 1: Lakers in six is because they have a tendency to

250
00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,560
Speaker 1: play with inconsistent effort. But when they have played hard,

251
00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:01,200
Speaker 1: I think they've been the much better. Game one, they

252
00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:03,960
Speaker 1: dominated the glass forty five to thirty four, and rebounds.

253
00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,800
Speaker 1: They got way better shots. They shot six percent better

254
00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:08,920
Speaker 1: from the field. I didn't think that was just a

255
00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 1: shot variance type of game. I thought the Lakers looked

256
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,280
Speaker 1: like a better team throughout the game. Then the first

257
00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,280
Speaker 1: quarter of Game three, they outrebounded Memphis twenty to twelve.

258
00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,800
Speaker 1: They made fourteen field goals in that quarter, compared to

259
00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:23,479
Speaker 1: just three for Memphis, and they forced them into six turnovers.

260
00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:28,680
Speaker 1: In the series, the Lakers have made eighteen shots per

261
00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,800
Speaker 1: game in the restricted area and have held the Grizzlies

262
00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,439
Speaker 1: to just thirteen point seven made shots in the restricted

263
00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,680
Speaker 1: area per game, which is massively inflated by them just

264
00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:42,280
Speaker 1: letting John Morant run a layup line in the first

265
00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:44,600
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter of Game two or Game three.

266
00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:49,640
Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, in the regular season, Memphis

267
00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,920
Speaker 1: averaged nineteen point three makes in the restricted area per game,

268
00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,240
Speaker 1: which ranked seventh in the league, and the Lakers have

269
00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:59,040
Speaker 1: brought them down from nineteen point three to thirteen point seven,

270
00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,920
Speaker 1: basically shutting off the rim from them. I think the

271
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,240
Speaker 1: Lakers are bigger. I think they're stronger. I think they're

272
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,440
Speaker 1: more skilled. I think their stars are better. I think

273
00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,400
Speaker 1: their role players are better. I think they're just better.

274
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:12,640
Speaker 1: But every single time they've taken a position of advantage

275
00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:17,120
Speaker 1: in the series, they've relaxed. They controlled Game one and

276
00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,520
Speaker 1: then immediately laid an egg in Game two against them

277
00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:23,640
Speaker 1: without jow which without John. Defensively, if they were locked in,

278
00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,400
Speaker 1: they would have held them in the sixties or at

279
00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,400
Speaker 1: least in the seventies or eighties. If they gave two

280
00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,200
Speaker 1: and a half quarters of solid effort, Nope, mailed it in,

281
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,920
Speaker 1: got beat. Then they dominate the first quarter of Game two.

282
00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:37,600
Speaker 1: I tweet right after the quarter expect them to do

283
00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:39,800
Speaker 1: the bare minimum the rest of the game. They do,

284
00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,000
Speaker 1: they barely win by ten points. As a matter of fact,

285
00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,440
Speaker 1: I think the Lakers will beat the Grizzlies. I feel

286
00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:47,680
Speaker 1: very confident about that, but it is a question of

287
00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,000
Speaker 1: how long it will take. And like I said last night,

288
00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,760
Speaker 1: this specific tendency of Theirs to let their foot off

289
00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:54,560
Speaker 1: the gas I think could get them beat as soon

290
00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:59,520
Speaker 1: as next round against Golden State and Sacramento. But specifically

291
00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,120
Speaker 1: within this series, the difference between the Lakers winning in

292
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,360
Speaker 1: five or winning in six is gonna come down to

293
00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:07,800
Speaker 1: that consistency of effort. And I believe it's very important

294
00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,920
Speaker 1: for them to win this series quickly because Golden State

295
00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:14,280
Speaker 1: Sacramento very well might go seven. Even if the Warriors

296
00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,880
Speaker 1: won Game five. Sacramento is a dangerous team to come

297
00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:19,400
Speaker 1: into Golden State and win Game six. They just damn

298
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:23,520
Speaker 1: near beat them in Game four. As a matter of fact,

299
00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,440
Speaker 1: I'd say odds are that series goes seven. I picked

300
00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,400
Speaker 1: Warriors in six. I'm gonna stick with it, but I

301
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:30,520
Speaker 1: wouldn't be the least bit surprised if it went seven.

302
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,640
Speaker 1: So if that series goes seven and you can beat

303
00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:37,600
Speaker 1: Memphis in five that as a matter of fact, I

304
00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 1: believe that Game five would be on Wednesday, right, So

305
00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:48,440
Speaker 1: for Warriors Kings, we have their game their Game five

306
00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,640
Speaker 1: is also on Wednesday, So that means that their Game

307
00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,800
Speaker 1: six would be on Friday, and their Game seven would

308
00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:55,960
Speaker 1: be on Sunday, which would mean that Game one of

309
00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:59,400
Speaker 1: the following series would stay start no earlier than Tuesday

310
00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:01,920
Speaker 1: if the series went to seven games, and would start

311
00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:04,800
Speaker 1: Sunday if it ended in six. So if you end

312
00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 1: the series in five games, if you win on Wednesday,

313
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:14,120
Speaker 1: then you are guaranteed Thursday, Friday, Saturday off. That's three days,

314
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:18,560
Speaker 1: three full days, a day to completely rest their bodies,

315
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:21,440
Speaker 1: a light day to schematically go over what they want

316
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:23,520
Speaker 1: to do in round two, and then maybe a hard

317
00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:28,240
Speaker 1: practice day of the day before the game. That's that's

318
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:31,000
Speaker 1: the worst case scenario if you close the series out

319
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,600
Speaker 1: in five. If you close the series out in five

320
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:37,320
Speaker 1: and King's Warriors goes to seven, you're not playing until

321
00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:43,160
Speaker 1: Tuesday at the earliest, so you're guaranteed Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday,

322
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:47,280
Speaker 1: Monday off. That's five full calendar days at a minimum

323
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,320
Speaker 1: if the Grizzly. If the Warriors Kings series goes seven,

324
00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 1: and you're dealing with two superstars that wholly represent the

325
00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,840
Speaker 1: ceiling of your team that are coming off of foot injuries,

326
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:04,080
Speaker 1: one of them stress related, the other a ligament tear

327
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:09,600
Speaker 1: that was also stress related. So it's vitally important for

328
00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:11,960
Speaker 1: the Lakers to close this series out quickly, and that's

329
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,000
Speaker 1: why I think it's such an important matchup in this series.

330
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:17,679
Speaker 1: My three points were brought to you by Chase Freedom Unlimited.

331
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:21,760
Speaker 1: Earned five percent on travel purchase through Chase, three percent

332
00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,439
Speaker 1: on dining including takeout, three percent at drug stores, and

333
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:29,359
Speaker 1: one point five percent on everything else. How do you

334
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:31,640
Speaker 1: cash back? All right, guys, that is all I have

335
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,399
Speaker 1: for today. As always, as sincerely appreciate your guys' support.

336
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,200
Speaker 1: We will be back live on AMP after the final

337
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,159
Speaker 1: buzzer of Lakers Grizzlies later tonight to break down that

338
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 1: game as well as Game four between the Bucks and

339
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:54,040
Speaker 1: the Heat. I appreciate you guys, I'll see you later tonight.

340
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 1: The volume