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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Friday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all socials.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com.

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Speaker 1: The url is Omaha Steaks dot com slash Juice Subscriptions

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Speaker 1: ten percent off your first order with a subscription and

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Speaker 1: free burgers for life, plus the one hundred percent money

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Speaker 1: back guarantee at omah Steaks dot com slash Juice. All Right,

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Speaker 1: I finally was able to pick the right bets to

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Speaker 1: make official. This has been my problem. I had been

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Speaker 1: hitting bets and doing not horrifically, but I was losing,

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Speaker 1: but not losing as much as the record would indicate.

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Speaker 1: Becauess I was picking the wrong games. If you bet

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Speaker 1: everything that I told you to bet yesterday, including BYU

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Speaker 1: and Creighton, you wound up four and two. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: what I went. I went four and two. Now officially

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Speaker 1: we went four and oh. We swept the board officially,

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Speaker 1: so on the official Just like my personal plays don't

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Speaker 1: count for the record, my personal losses don't count either.

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Speaker 1: So it's a four and oh up four unit Thursday. Monster,

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Speaker 1: just an absolute monster and something that absolutely was necessary

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Speaker 1: for where I have been here over the last couple

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Speaker 1: of days. It's been no fun, it's been frustrating, and

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Speaker 1: so law of averages, you know, come on out and

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Speaker 1: we wind up going and we knocking down, and you know,

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Speaker 1: we're now literally back to square one for the entire year.

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Speaker 1: For the podcast picks Okay, college basketball, we had chewed

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Speaker 1: directly back into college basketball. Actually we were down three units.

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Speaker 1: Now we're back up a unit. Okay, in college basketball,

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Speaker 1: we had just done now sixty what we're now sixty

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Speaker 1: nine and sixty five in college basketball. We just had

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Speaker 1: been ice cold coming back down NBA hit that came down.

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Speaker 1: Now we're down four point seven units in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: Now we cut into that, we're now fifteen and nineteen

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Speaker 1: in the NBA. So overall, a much needed day. Now,

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Speaker 1: does that mean we're out of the woods. No? Does

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Speaker 1: that mean I could follow my face today? Yes, But

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Speaker 1: we're gonna give you three bets here on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you about two other bets that I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna make personally, and there will be an NBA bet

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Speaker 1: either four NBA player props or one NBA play. NBA

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Speaker 1: NBA play will come at you. We hit the bucks

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Speaker 1: under two twenty. By the skin of our teeth. It

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Speaker 1: landed at two nineteen, so we got that right, which

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Speaker 1: was lucky there to knock that down. So we'll have

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Speaker 1: an NBA play on the Discord channel. Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash Chat. I'll give you a thought pick play something

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Speaker 1: total under over something, I'll have it for you or four.

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Speaker 1: NBA player props will be released at some point later

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Speaker 1: on today on the Discord channel. Do not ask me

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Speaker 1: in the morning. This will be after my other show,

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Speaker 1: so it's gonna be in the afternoon at some point

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Speaker 1: I don't know, after three or three or four o'clock Eastern. Okay,

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Speaker 1: these go posts, so don't ask in the morning. Where

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Speaker 1: are the player props? Not gonna have them for a while. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Before I give you the picks and bets and plays

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Speaker 1: for today, do you guys need a sportsbook? If you

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Speaker 1: give you one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you can bet a minus five hundred favorite.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter what you bet. If it hits, they

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Speaker 1: six five. Okay, let's start with Kentucky. Kentucky up against

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Kempom has it as a three

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Speaker 1: point win. Kempom has this as a total of one

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Speaker 1: fifty nine. The total has won sixty the number is

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Speaker 1: three and a half. So we're right there. Not as

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Speaker 1: great as we would like it to be, but Kentucky's

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Speaker 1: offense is just so darn good. A and M all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden has been playing overs. I don't really

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Speaker 1: know where or why, but they've been playing a bunch

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Speaker 1: of over games recently, they're twelve and five to the

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Speaker 1: over away from home. They've gone over in their last

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Speaker 1: three and four of five games against ole Miss. Yesterday

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Speaker 1: it was one forty one total, went over by ten points.

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Speaker 1: And the first time they played Kentucky, that game was

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Speaker 1: at home for Texas A and M. Total was one

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Speaker 1: fifty six over by thirty three points. That game went

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Speaker 1: to overtime. It was one by tex A and M

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Speaker 1: in overtime. So you know, this is a revenge spot

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Speaker 1: here for Kentucky. Kentucky has been playing really really well

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Speaker 1: of late, and they are super dangerous to win this

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Speaker 1: whole entire tournament. Kentucky on the road this year, we're

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Speaker 1: ten and three ats. They went ten and eight in

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Speaker 1: the SEC. A and M went eight and eleven in

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Speaker 1: the SEC and six and four over the last ten games.

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Speaker 1: While A and M has been hot four and one

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Speaker 1: over their last five games, but two of those games

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Speaker 1: back to back against Ole Miss. They beat him by nine,

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Speaker 1: beat him by twenty six. They beat Mississi State by six,

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Speaker 1: and they beat Georgia by fourteen. That is not the

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Speaker 1: you know, the cruck, the cream of the crop, if

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Speaker 1: you will. In the SEC Okay, it's not Kentucky, it's

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Speaker 1: not Tennessee, it's not Alabama. No disrespect to Georgia, Ole

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Speaker 1: Miss or Missippi State, but let's just call a spade

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Speaker 1: a spade here, not Florida, if you will. Okay. Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: on the other hand, just beat Tennessee on the road monster.

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Speaker 1: They beat Vanderbilt, they beat Arkansas, they beat mississ State,

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Speaker 1: they beat Alabama by twenty two points. They beat Auburn

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Speaker 1: by eleven, they beat Ole Miss by twelve. They lost

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Speaker 1: to LSU and Gonzaga, but they've been playing great basketball.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna officially lay the three and a half with

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Speaker 1: Kentucky minus three and a half for Kentucky Nashville seven

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Speaker 1: o'clock Eastern Time, six o'clock night game at the Bridgetone Arena.

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Speaker 1: But I'll also play the over one sixty. Not officially, okay,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna be on the over. The only reason

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Speaker 1: why I'm a little bit shaky is A and M

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Speaker 1: might get blown out. And if Kentucky blows out A

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Speaker 1: and M, the over will be in jeopardy. I need

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Speaker 1: A and M to score, and if they don't score

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Speaker 1: in the seventies, that could be really bad. So if

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Speaker 1: it's like an eighty five to sixty type game, Kentucky

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Speaker 1: easily covers, they blow them out, and then the game

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Speaker 1: doesn't go over. So I'm not going to make the

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Speaker 1: over official. I am going to play it, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to make an official because I don't love it.

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Speaker 1: Makes me a little bit concerned. I'd read late the

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Speaker 1: three and a half points with Kentucky. I do think

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Speaker 1: they take care of A and M here and move

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Speaker 1: on in the SEC. Kentucky minus three and a half

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Speaker 1: official for one point one units over one sixty. Don't

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Speaker 1: mind that bet either. Let's talk about Texas Tech in Houston.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we were watching this game. It was a

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Speaker 1: day game. It's now a night game. In case Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech got here by taking apart BYU, we were dead

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Speaker 1: wrong to fade them. They came out scored eighty one points,

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Speaker 1: but their game still went under. Texas Tech has gone

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Speaker 1: under five of the last six games. Four of the

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Speaker 1: last five games for Houston have gone under, including yesterday's

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Speaker 1: game against TCU, which I was thinking about betting it

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Speaker 1: in game and trying to middle it, but I kept

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Speaker 1: on thinking to myself we had hit the bottom yet

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Speaker 1: it was one sixteen, one fifteen, one fourteen. Game fell

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Speaker 1: one oh five. The total was one thirty seven. We

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Speaker 1: laid one thirty seven and a half. I mean, not

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Speaker 1: even close, under by thirty two points. Now, I don't

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Speaker 1: think that's gonna happen again here today, but the total

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Speaker 1: is one thirty two and a half. I'm gonna bet

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Speaker 1: under again because we've seen it. Against Central Florida, one

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Speaker 1: thirty two and a half went under by six and

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Speaker 1: a half points. We saw one thirty three and a

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Speaker 1: half go under by seven and a half points. Against Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: like we've just seen these sold one thirty two and

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Speaker 1: a half agains. Cincinnati went under by three and a

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Speaker 1: half points. Yes, there were some games that did go over,

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Speaker 1: but look Texas Tech played UH played a and M

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Speaker 1: or Sorry played Houston one time. Total was one twenty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. It went over by one and

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Speaker 1: a half. Houston killed him seventy seven to fifty four.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna officially bet the under. I don't want to

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Speaker 1: lay eight and a half points. It seems really heavy.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little worried about that. I do lean towards

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Speaker 1: the dog in this game, but I think Houston does win,

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Speaker 1: but the safer play is the under. I could easily

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Speaker 1: see Houston blowing out Texas Tech today. I could see

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Speaker 1: them much like BYU played great and then played horrible.

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech play is great, and they can play horrible

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Speaker 1: against Houston and they may not get any real offense going.

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Speaker 1: They only were able to muster fifty four points in

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Speaker 1: the first matchup. If Houston doesn't score a lot, we're

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Speaker 1: going under one thirty two and a half official play

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Speaker 1: under one thirty two and a half for one point

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Speaker 1: one units. I'll look to in game Houston. I would

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Speaker 1: like to get them somewhere around minus four minus five

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Speaker 1: if I can think eight and a half is a

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Speaker 1: little bit too heavy, but under one thirty two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Final game in college basketball, we're looking at

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Speaker 1: Iowa State. Iowa State and Baylor huge game, semi final

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Speaker 1: in the Big Twelve. This is going to be an

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Speaker 1: absolute war. I cannot wait to watch these two teams

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Speaker 1: go after it. Always state it's playing really really well.

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Speaker 1: Thirty to one Iowa State to win it all, I

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Speaker 1: want to bet it. We talked about it on my

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Speaker 1: other show today about the value of betting Iowa State

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Speaker 1: because they're going to make the Final four because of

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Speaker 1: their defense. I would love nothing more. I am incredibly close.

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Speaker 1: I love T. Johsonberger. He's a great guy. He's a

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Speaker 1: great family man. Our family is My daughter and his

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Speaker 1: daughter have hung out. I know his wife. I could

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Speaker 1: be happier for Iowa State and I could be happier

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Speaker 1: for T. Johsonberger if they win this game against Baylor,

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Speaker 1: and I think they'll win this game against Baylor. The

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Speaker 1: numbers two. I think Iowa State without Kansas being there,

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Speaker 1: I think they're on a collision course with Houston. Iowa

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Speaker 1: State versus Houston, they've been the two best teams in

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve for most of the year, and I

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Speaker 1: think we're going to see an unbelievable basketball game coming

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Speaker 1: up for the final for the Big Twelve. But first

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Speaker 1: we got to get there. And I just think this

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Speaker 1: is going to be too much Iowa State. And I

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Speaker 1: think Iowa State just has enough offense. They played really well.

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Speaker 1: They have so many fans that are down there that

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Speaker 1: are going to be jumping up and down and so excited.

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Speaker 1: They call it Hilton South for good reason. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's so many fans that are going to travel down

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Speaker 1: to be a part of this game. And I'm really

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Speaker 1: really curious to see how defensively Iowa State gets after

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Speaker 1: it when it comes to Baylor, because this is a

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Speaker 1: really tough team to face. Okay, Baylor is you know,

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Speaker 1: no joke. This is a six thirty start time at

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Speaker 1: te Mobile. And look the number as I'm talking to

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Speaker 1: you right now, the number just moved to one and

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Speaker 1: a half. Money coming in on Baylor. I bet two,

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Speaker 1: but I'm going to tell you to bet one and

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Speaker 1: a half. Okay, this is even better. One point thirty seven.

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Speaker 1: You know, mins one and a half. Let's come in

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Speaker 1: and take that. I know people are going to be

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Speaker 1: betting Baylor. Okay, you can bet Baylor if you want.

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Speaker 1: I like the way Iowa State's playing. This is a

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Speaker 1: one point win. According to Ken Palm, seventy one to seventy.

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Speaker 1: Baylor is a really good team. Iowa State lost on

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Speaker 1: the road seventy to sixty eight up against Baylor on

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Speaker 1: the road. That was the only time they played this year. Look,

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Speaker 1: one and a half, you're gonna give me that. I

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Speaker 1: like two, but you're gonna get a better number. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna get one and a half here we're gonna lay

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Speaker 1: the official number, Iowa State minus one and a half

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Speaker 1: up against Baylor trip to the final. I think it's

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Speaker 1: Houston versus Iowa State, and I think we're gonna be

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Speaker 1: in for an absolute awesome, awesome thing. And wow, the

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Speaker 1: Kentucky number just moved too, That just moved down to

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Speaker 1: three as well. So there you go. We'll change that up. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we'll change Kentucky the last three. This is great. You

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Speaker 1: guys are getting better numbers. As I'm taping, these numbers

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Speaker 1: are being bet and I don't mind that. Okay, Remember

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Speaker 1: I don't mind when the money comes in. On the

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Speaker 1: other side, you don't know why the money's coming in.

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Speaker 1: Are they driving it down early so when it opens

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Speaker 1: back up gets driven back up and they can get

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Speaker 1: more money down closer to tip off at a better number.

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Speaker 1: So you have no idea like, wait, Matt, that might

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Speaker 1: be I mean betting the dog. Eh not really, we

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Speaker 1: don't know that. It could be a head fake and

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Speaker 1: not be real. Kentucky minus three, let's go with it.

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Speaker 1: Iowas date minus one and a half official plays. Here

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Speaker 1: are three of them. Kentucky minus three, Iowa State minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half, Houston under one thirty two and

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Speaker 1: a half three bets all official. Now Kentucky over one

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Speaker 1: sixty personal Florida Alabama. There is no number up yet

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Speaker 1: from a total perspective for Florida and Alabama. If this

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Speaker 1: number is around one sixty, we're betting over. Not officially,

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Speaker 1: but I'm betting over like that game is not going

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Speaker 1: to go under Florida nor Bama. Bama can't play under

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Speaker 1: games to save their lives. Ninety one eighty seven is

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Speaker 1: the projected final for this game. Okay, so we're talking

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Speaker 1: about if we're in the it's gonna be in the

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Speaker 1: one seventy five range. I think, I mean, it's going

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Speaker 1: to be just a ridiculous number here. But if it's

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Speaker 1: one seventy five, one seventy six, I won't play one eighty.

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Speaker 1: But anything up to one eighty, I think you can

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Speaker 1: go ahead and bet over for Florida Alabama. But I

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Speaker 1: just think it's going to be a wild basketball game

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Speaker 1: to watch. Nothing out yet, no one, No one has

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Speaker 1: put a number yet up yet for that, which is

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Speaker 1: somewhat surprising. I don't really understand why that number has

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Speaker 1: not been put up yet. But the number has not

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Speaker 1: been put up yet for for Alabama and in Florida officially,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna have to search around try to find

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Speaker 1: when that number posts. And then on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I think at Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. Now there will be an NBA play on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel, or there'll be four NBA player props.

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Speaker 1: One of the two will be released on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel on the Juice section of the Discord channel Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash chat. Free to get in, free to

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Speaker 1: be a part of it. Okay, so officially Kentucky miss three,

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Speaker 1: Iowa State miss one and a half, under one thirty

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Speaker 1: two and a half for Houston under after yesterday, under

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Speaker 1: today up against Texas Tech, and then more bets to come. Okay,

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Speaker 1: more NBA bets to come again. I like the over

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Speaker 1: one sixty for Kentucky in their game. I like the

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Speaker 1: over for Florida and Bama. But I guess see what

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Speaker 1: the number is going to be before we actually jump

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Speaker 1: in and bett it. If you like something else, I

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Speaker 1: mean in North Carolina in game it's seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I want that number in game against pitt Okay, you

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Speaker 1: get that down on four, four and a half, five

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. I like North Carolina. Eight and

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Speaker 1: a half is just too many points for me to

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Speaker 1: lay in Ohio State plus two points. Look, no one's

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Speaker 1: playing hot, playing better in the Big Ten right now

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Speaker 1: than Ohio State. They crushed Iowa. Illinois needs to be

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Speaker 1: an opposite alert Ohio State plus four plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half, It's a decent bet. If you want something

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Speaker 1: else to jump in here, Big dig college hoops, Let's continue.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we can build upon what we just had yesterday

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Speaker 1: with the four unit win. Let's do it again here

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Speaker 1: today on a Friday. Mine's Matt Parol. Follow me because

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Speaker 1: all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. The Elijuce

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Speaker 1: podcast I was being brought to you by almosteaks dot

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Speaker 1: com