1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: What's going on, everybody? Scott Bagman here for Betting Pros 2 00:00:03,520 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: to give you my favorite picks and props for Week eleven. Yes, 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: week eleven of the college football season. We are moving 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: downhill fast here, aren't we? Before we review Week ten 5 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: and get into the week eleven picks, let me just 6 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: remind everybody if you are looking to up your game 7 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: in sports betting, you can join our exclusive sports betting 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: discord community at bettingpros dot com s last chat. Not 9 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: only can you connect with expert handicappers who provide free 10 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, player props, live betting, 11 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: and more, but now you can also participate in our 12 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: weekly community picks. You can cast your vote and see 13 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,520 Speaker 1: how your pick stack up against the experts every week 14 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: and track your success. All right, let's go over Week ten. 15 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 1: Not one of my better weeks, not the worst week ever. 16 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: We did get the hard rock better of the week. 17 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 1: I had more money on that one than the others. 18 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: The Tennessee Oklahoma over fifty five and a half. So 19 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: a little bit of drama in that game. A tier 20 00:00:57,520 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: took a knee at the one or no. The running 21 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 1: back took a knee at the one. Looked like they 22 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: were gonna maybe try to run the clock out. They 23 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: scored a touchdown on the next play. Tennessee scored a touchdown, 24 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: then try to get the on side kick. But we 25 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,199 Speaker 1: sailed past the over in that one. Luckily, so got 26 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: that one no issues. We didn't get Penn State Ohio 27 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: State first quarter over. It was nine and a half. 28 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: I really thought, coming off by weeks, maybe we could 29 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: get this done. But Penn State's offense was rough. We 30 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: did get the score that we needed forty five seconds 31 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: into the second quarter, so frustrating, did not hit this bet. 32 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: North Texas Navy over sixty five and a half. Look, 33 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: hands up, straight up wrong on this one. This is 34 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: not a the last one. Maybe the process was good, 35 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: the results were bad. This one. Nothing was good here. 36 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 1: North Texas tackled very well, maybe was able to run 37 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: the ball a little bit. North Texas played bended, but 38 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: don't break. Didn't allow them to score touchdowns and that 39 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: was that. This game was more lopsided than this thirty 40 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: one to seventeen final. Ole miss did'd cover for US 41 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: twelve and a half versus South Carolina. South Carolina just 42 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: having a rough year. That was thirty to fourteen. That 43 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: final we split the Iowa State Arizona State. We got 44 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 1: the under forty eight and a half game total, but 45 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:16,399 Speaker 1: we did not get the under on the team total. 46 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: For Arizona State, they did score twenty four points even 47 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: with their number one running back, wide receiver and quarterback 48 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: all down. Somehow they managed twenty four points in this 49 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: game and a dub so big ups Arizona State. 50 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 2: Here. 51 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: Lots of injuries for Iowa State. Georgia minus seven and 52 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: a half First Florida. Another frustrating one where Georgia nelt 53 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: at the one to run out the clock when Gunnersockton 54 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: was walking into the end zone to cover for us, 55 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: just the way the cookie crumbled sometimes. That one was 56 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: another process over results, but who cares? We lost money. 57 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: Arizona minus three and a half. This was kind of 58 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 1: a Vibes pick that I don't usually have. But Colorado 59 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: looks like they have quit completely on Dion Deon may 60 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 1: be quitting on Colorado pretty soon here. I mean, at 61 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: this point, your kids aren't playing here anymore, the job 62 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 1: is terrible, you have health issues. I don't know why 63 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: he would stick around, so I don't know, I think 64 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: they're I think Colorado picking against Colorado is gonna be 65 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: pretty popular at the end of the season. Here and 66 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: Washington State minus three and a half at Oregon State 67 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 1: one of the most frustrating games I've really ever seen, 68 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: and this game was ten to seven. Washington State just 69 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: blew opportunity after opportunity, specifically at the end of the 70 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: game where they instead of going for a touchdown on 71 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 1: the road in the rain to win this game, they 72 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: ran a two yard out at like the eight or 73 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: six or something. It was like almost five yards away 74 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: from the end zone. They could have taken a shot, 75 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 1: could have taken two shots, but instead they decided to 76 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: try and kick the field goal in the rain on 77 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: fourth down. Whift it college kickers, it's the way it goes. 78 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: So we couldn't even get to overtime to lose that bet. 79 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: We lost it in regulation. So four and five on 80 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: the week there, making me forty and forty eight on 81 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 1: the season, So one game over five hundred were so 82 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: wu of money, but cutting it close here props same thing, 83 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: four and five, making me fifty and forty nine in 84 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: the season here, So one game over on props, one 85 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: game over on picks over is what I like. Though 86 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: Kansas State avery Johnson their quarterbacks score. John Matier did score, 87 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: but DeShawn Bishop did not score for Tennessee. So two 88 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: out of three touchdown calls for the Props maeva one 89 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: and a half passing touchdowns zero against Nebraska. They played 90 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: great defense in that game and Miavia was awful, so 91 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 1: he didn't throw a touchdown. We missed Drake Lindsay by 92 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: ten yards. Eleven yards here one hundred and ninety seven. 93 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 1: We need two hundred and eight and a half. Texas 94 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 1: Tech Baron Morton half an interception. He did get that. 95 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:46,720 Speaker 1: We got that one. We didn't get the running back 96 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 1: ones Raskono over fifty and a half at Colorado. They 97 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: were up so big, so fast, they just use a 98 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: bunch of different running backs in that game. Kirby Voorhe's 99 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 1: couldn't find rushing room. It's the only good defensive game 100 00:04:56,640 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: I've really watched Oregon State play this year. Half rush 101 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 1: yards was the total he got forty six, but we 102 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: sailed over on Brendan Thompson for Mississippi State with one 103 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: hundred and seven receiving yards when his total was sixty 104 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: four and a half. So let's go ahead and dive 105 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: into these week eleven picks here, and we are going 106 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: to start with Penn State team total under sixteen and 107 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:25,239 Speaker 1: a half versus Indiana. The safest bet, in my opinion, 108 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: is going to be for this game the under team total. 109 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,160 Speaker 1: Indiana can put up some points, so I don't want 110 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: to go under for the game total. But I mean, 111 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: Oregon at home is really the only team to score 112 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: more than fifteen points against the Hoosiers so far this season. Odie, 113 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: you put up two long touchdowns for fourteen points. Oregon 114 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:48,160 Speaker 1: had a pick six in that game when they scored 115 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: twenty as well, so really they only scored thirteen offensive 116 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: points and Iowa put up fifteen points, but two was 117 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: on that safety that we mentioned before. Rip seth losing 118 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: that bet, I've never seen it more frustrated. So we're 119 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: gonna go Penn State team total under sixteen and a half. 120 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: The offense looks pathetic right now. Indiana is closer to 121 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: Ohio State than they are too Penn State. In my opinion, 122 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: they look great right now and deserve to be the 123 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 1: number two team in the country. I think they're going 124 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 1: to prove that in this game as well. Mississippi State 125 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 1: plus five and a half in the first half versus Georgia. 126 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: This is I'm not the biggest trends person, but the 127 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: way that we've seen Georgia kind of either it's like 128 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: one half they're going to slow roll. It seems. Last 129 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: week in the Cocktail Party was the first half. They 130 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: were terrible. They had to come back. But Mississippi State 131 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: has been playing some great first half as well. They 132 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: were tied at seventeen with Tennessee at half. They're up 133 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,799 Speaker 1: by ten against Texas at the half. The only SEC 134 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: opponent that had them by more than five and a 135 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: half points was Florida thirteen to seven at half time, 136 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: and they pulled that game within two points. So give 137 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: me Mississippi State plus the five and a half in 138 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: the first half. I think we can make that one happen. 139 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: We're going to go over forty eight and a half 140 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 1: in Texas A and M Missouri. I know this one 141 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: is dicey, but what I am depending on here is 142 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: the fact that we did just see Texas A and 143 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: M give us some points to Arkansas and some yards 144 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: and they really did it on the ground. And this 145 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: is in your one of your best rushing offenses in 146 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: the country and they're back playing at home after two 147 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: tough road games here. I think the Aggies can score 148 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: on anyone, so I think they're gonna do that. Missouri's 149 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: defense has been good. I think I'd take Missouri plus 150 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: the points is my lean. But my pick is gonna 151 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 1: be Texas A and M and Missouri over forty eight 152 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: and a half. We are counting on Zollars here to 153 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: make some big throws, but I don't know. I think 154 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: Boprabulah wasn't great at throwing the ball this year. He 155 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 1: wasn't doing an awesome job. So I'll take some mistakes 156 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 1: from Zalors as long as it gets us. Mistakes from 157 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: Zalor should lead to points for him, it should lead 158 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: to points for Texas A and M anyway, So I 159 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: just want points in this game. I don't care how 160 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: we get him. I think a M is definitely gonna score. 161 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: We just need Missouri to be okay in this run game, 162 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: and I think they will be. We're gonna take Auburn 163 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: team total under nineteen and a half at Vanderbilt and 164 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: Ashton Daniels is gonna start, and man, if you thought 165 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold was bad. Who this dude has not been good. 166 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: He was not that much fun to watch. But Auburn, 167 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: you know, they put up thirty three on Archie. But 168 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: other than that, it's seventeen against Missouri, ten against Georgia, 169 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: ten against A and M, seventeen against Ou and then 170 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 1: obviously they bottomed out last week before they fired Hugh 171 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: Freeze with three against Kentucky. I just really really do 172 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:41,439 Speaker 1: not like this game here for Auburn, specifically with Daniel 173 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: starting a quarterback, the weapons should make them dangerous, one 174 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 1: of the better rosters in the country. This is why 175 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: Hugh Freeze has been fired. They have nothing on offense 176 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 1: right now. So let's go with under nineteen and a 177 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: half for the Auburn Tigers. We're gonna go to Florida 178 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:02,199 Speaker 1: minus three and a half at Kentucky. Kentucky, they had 179 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 1: covered the spread against Ole, miss they covered against Texas, 180 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:08,199 Speaker 1: so you kind of thought, oh, maybe there's some home 181 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:12,199 Speaker 1: cooking here for this Kentucky team. No, I mean Tennessee 182 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: shut that up fifty six points, five hundred and forty yards, 183 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: all in less than twenty four minutes of possession. So 184 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: Lagway last year had to complete seven passes in this 185 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: game in Gainesville, Jane barrush for five touchdowns and the 186 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: Gators won forty eight to twenty. I think they have 187 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: Kentucky's number, and I think even with a less than 188 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 1: stellar performance, Florida can win this game by more than 189 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: three and a half points. But I think if you 190 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: get everything that you're asking for and then some Florida 191 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: is going to crush Kentucky. So we've seen Kentucky bow up, 192 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,679 Speaker 1: we've seen them give up. So this is a very 193 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: check on high team under Bob Stoops, so we will 194 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 1: see what happens there. We're going to go with the 195 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 1: Purdue team total under nine and a half first Ohio 196 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: State as well well as the game total under forty 197 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: eight and a half. And I worry more about the 198 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: game total to stay under because of what Ohio States 199 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: offense can do. But I mean, I think Purdue minus 200 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: eight and a half like even if So let's say 201 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,320 Speaker 1: they score that touchdown late right, they're coming back and 202 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: they go for two. This hook on the eight and 203 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: a half gives us that leeway, which we did almost 204 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: lose when they played Illinois because they went for two 205 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: and didn't get it when our total was sixteen and 206 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 1: a half. So I like this because I just don't 207 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 1: expect Purdue to move the ball very well. Ohio States 208 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 1: defense has been smothering for every single team this year. 209 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: I know that the worry is that the Buckeyes do 210 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 1: all of the team the game total themselves, but they 211 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 1: play at a very slow pace one hundred and twenty six. 212 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 1: We've seen them, you know, as they say, play with 213 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 1: their food a little bit as well, and they've been 214 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 1: favorites by twenty five points or more three times and 215 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: two of those games have gone under. I just think 216 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: the incredibly slow pace that the Buckeyes play at is 217 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: going to keep this game under. And I like the 218 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 1: team total under for Perdue. And it's not crazy juice. 219 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: We did see. The one against Wisconsin was just crazy 220 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: crazy chews. Two more to go through here, Virginia Mine 221 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: six and a half versus wake Forest. Look. Wake Forest 222 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 1: is a good team and a really good defense in particular, right, 223 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 1: so I understand the trepidation for this bet. But what 224 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 1: Virginia does really well is they rush the passer really well. 225 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 1: And the quarterback for wake Forest Ashford is really, really, 226 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: really bad under pressure. I think they're gonna hit him. 227 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna make a bunch of mistakes and 228 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,720 Speaker 1: I think that's where Virginia can take advantage. Wake Forest 229 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: is a strong team. We saw them beat SMU at SMU. 230 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: This is a better team than expected coming into this year, 231 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: specifically on defense. I just do not trust them to 232 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: hang with Virginia in this game. Virginia is a legit 233 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: ACC title contender here, and then look, let's roll them 234 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: bones again. Let's just pick on Colorado on quipwatch here. 235 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 1: It's West Virginia's at home. That's a tough place to 236 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 1: travel to. It's not a good team this year. They're 237 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: a six point favorite in this game against Colorado, who 238 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 1: just got murdered by Arizona. And I don't think Arizona 239 00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: is that good this year. So we are going to 240 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: pick on Colorado again. We're gonna take West Virginia in 241 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:26,079 Speaker 1: this game and lay the six points before we get 242 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: to the props. I mean, let you guys know that 243 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 1: you can track your bets. You can stay accountable and 244 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: level up by downloading the Betting Pros app with Sportsbooks Sinc. 245 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 1: You can automatically track your bets across all major sportsbooks 246 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 1: in one spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by sport 247 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: and bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays. You 248 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: can create custom betting systems to find winning trends and 249 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 1: profitable opportunities. Get a seven day free trial of Betting 250 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: Pros Premium by using code Juice juiice and activating your 251 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: trial on the upgrade screen. All right, we got props. 252 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you the hard rock bet of the 253 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 1: week and then we will review everything. So week eleven props. 254 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go touchdown heavy this week. We're gonna pick 255 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,199 Speaker 1: on Colorado again. We're gonna go West Virginia running back 256 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 1: Dure Hubbard to score against Colorado again. Colorado's on quick watch. 257 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,959 Speaker 1: Arizona put over fifty points on them last week. I 258 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 1: think we can get this one. I did tell you 259 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,200 Speaker 1: guys about how in that game against Kentucky last season, 260 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 1: Jane Boss scored five touchdowns. Let's have him score one 261 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:33,079 Speaker 1: in this game. Sure, I'm sure they're gonna want to 262 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: tee off on him and make sure that he doesn't 263 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: beat them single handedly like he did last year. He 264 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:41,600 Speaker 1: can get in the end zone once. I'm gonna bank 265 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,719 Speaker 1: on this Missouri run game at home. Amaud Hardy one 266 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 1: of the better running backs. I can't contemplated the rushing total, 267 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: but it's still very, very high for him. Even after 268 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,720 Speaker 1: some rougher performances on the road, it's still like ninety 269 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 1: and a half. Let's just take the touchdown on this one. 270 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: Then I have two wide receiver ones for you, Jeremi 271 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: Smith at Purdue. I mean, the dude could do no wrong. 272 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 1: Snatch one out of the air like he was Victor 273 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: Webbin Yama last week. Unbelievable. I think he scores again 274 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 1: and Skyler Bell versus Duke. Duke has a banged up 275 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 1: secondary and Skyler Bell is just getting fed. I couldn't 276 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: find his reception prop anywhere because it's going to be 277 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 1: an insane number this week. So let's say that he 278 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 1: gets in the end zone this week. As far as 279 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: yardage and passing touchdowns, we're gonna go over a half 280 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: a passing touchdown for Scotty Fox, the quarterback for West Virginia. Again. 281 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: We're going to continue to pick on Colorado in any 282 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 1: way with we can. Maryland quarterback MALIEK. Washington over one 283 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 1: and a half passing touchdowns at Rutgers. I think that 284 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: game is going to be pretty high scoring. The number 285 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 1: was a little too high for me to get there. 286 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: But I do like this prop for my guy, Malik Washington. 287 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 1: He's been a lot of fun. I know our boy 288 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: wormly agrees with us. Big Maryland fan Auburn quarterback Ashton Daniels. 289 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna go over half an interception for him at Vanderbilt. 290 00:14:56,800 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 1: I don't think he's very good. I think there's possibility 291 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 1: he gets mentioned in this game would be after a pick, 292 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: so maybe they go back to Jackson Arrel. I'm gonna 293 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: take Harlem Barry the running back for LSU to go 294 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: over forty five and a half rush yards at Alabama, 295 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: and look, Alabama's run defense hasn't been great this year. 296 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: And also I forgot to mention the caveat here it's 297 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: rush plus receiving yards because rushing yards and receiving yards 298 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: were the exact same number. Don't know why that was, 299 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 1: but we'll take it. If you're gonna give me another 300 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 1: out in this bet, I will absolutely take it. So 301 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: forty five and a half. But they didn't run a 302 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: lot last week because they were just getting massacred by 303 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: a and m but when they did run, they were 304 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: running at like seven point nine yards per clip, six 305 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: point eight yards per clip between both their running backs 306 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: here at LSU, So I think Carlan Berry is the 307 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: primary ball carrier carrier can do this this week. And 308 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 1: then TCU wide receiver Rickmancalcer over eighty and a half 309 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: receiving yards against Iowa State. Iowa State Secondary is beat up. 310 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 1: We saw them get you know, kind of embarrassed last week, 311 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: so I think we are going to easily sail pass 312 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: that one. So let's get to the hard rock bet 313 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 1: of the week, which is going to be Washington minus 314 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: eleven and a half at Wisconsin. And look, I know 315 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 1: Wisconsin's at home. I expect things to get better there. 316 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 1: The end of this schedule is burutal for the Badgers, 317 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: and including this game, they cannot move the ball. This 318 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: has been just the problem for Washington for Wisconsin all year. 319 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: Washington's going to be able to move the ball, even 320 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 1: on the road. The defense for Wisconsin is good, but 321 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 1: they're going to go three and out. They're going to 322 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: give Washington short field. So this is not like playing Michigan, right. 323 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 1: I was a little ambitious when I took Washington on 324 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: the road at Michigan. I get it. I lost that 325 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 1: game going away. Washington didn't look good. Wisconsin's defense is 326 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 1: pretty good, it's not as good as Michigan, and they 327 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 1: have nothing on offense this year. And now you're gonna 328 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 1: have to contend with Demon Williams, Jonah Coleman, and Denzel Boston. 329 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: Good luck covering eleven and a half when you cannot 330 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: move the ball. It's gonna be probably back to Danny 331 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 1: O'Neill this week. I don't mind another underplay on Wisconsin, 332 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,399 Speaker 1: but the juice is still awful. So we're gonna go 333 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 1: just picking on some of these teams giving up at 334 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 1: the end of the year. There's been a lot of 335 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: you know, I don't think Wisconsin has quit, but there's 336 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:35,439 Speaker 1: been a lot of rumors about Luke Fickle being fired. 337 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 1: And know the fans don't like what he's doing in 338 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: particular and recruiting because he's not concentrating on the state 339 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 1: of Wisconsin like past Wisconsin coaches have. And I don't 340 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: think he's longing for this job. This has been a 341 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 1: job rumored for Brian Kelly. But regardless of that, X's 342 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: knows Wisconsin cannot move the football. Washington's going to be 343 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 1: able to score at least I would say twenty eight 344 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,360 Speaker 1: points in this game. I do not know in what 345 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 1: world Wisconsin covers. It would have to be probably defensive 346 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 1: touchdowns and some crazy big plays or something like that. 347 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 1: I mean, anything can happen. It's betting, right. I've been 348 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 1: humbled in more ways than one betting, but I love 349 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 1: this bet. I think Washington rolls right over the Badgers. 350 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: We're going to continue to pick on the teams that 351 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:23,080 Speaker 1: have paid us out this year. Before I review everything, 352 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:24,880 Speaker 1: let me just tell you guys that today's shows brought 353 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 1: to you by our presenting sponsor, the hard Rock Bet. 354 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 1: This is our last show of the week before Sunday. 355 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:32,880 Speaker 1: So if you're looking for more insights on week nine, 356 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 1: you can just check the hard Rock Bets. Thatt's up 357 00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: right there in the app. Let me give you some 358 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,360 Speaker 1: of these. Dallas has won fourteen in a row as 359 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 1: favorites following a loss. Indianapolis is on a twelve game 360 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:49,560 Speaker 1: winning streak as favorites against the AFC. Josh Jacobs has 361 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 1: scored a touchdown in twelve straight games against the NFC. 362 00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: Tennessee has gone eleven games without covering the spread. At home, 363 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: Seattle has won ten in a row as road favorites. 364 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: You can check all of these and more right there 365 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,040 Speaker 1: in the hard Rock Bet app on the hard Rock 366 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 1: bet stats hub and look. If you still haven't placed 367 00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: your first bet on hard rock Bet, it's not too late. 368 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: You could place your first five dollars and if it wins, 369 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 1: you will score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus 370 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: bets on top of your payout. Download the hard rock 371 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 1: Bet app and make your first deposit today. 372 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 2: Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by 373 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 2: the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by the 374 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 2: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. 375 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 3: In other states. 376 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 2: Must be twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 377 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,439 Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 378 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,160 Speaker 2: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 379 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 2: eight eight Admit it In Indiana if you are somebody 380 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 2: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 381 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:45,920 Speaker 2: one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called 382 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 2: one hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 383 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: All right, reviewing what we have four week eleven picks, 384 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: we are going with penn State team total under sixteen 385 00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: and a half, Mississippi State plus five and a hal 386 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,160 Speaker 1: half first half for Georgia, Texas, A and M at 387 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 1: Missouri over forty eight and a half. Auburn team total 388 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,600 Speaker 1: under nineteen and a half are hard rock bet of 389 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,680 Speaker 1: the week is the Washington Huskies minus eleven and a 390 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: half at Wisconsin, Florida minus three and a half at Kentucky. 391 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 1: We're gonna double down on Ohio State at Purdue under 392 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 1: the team total forty eight and a half under the 393 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 1: team total for Purdue eight and a half, Virginia minus 394 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,560 Speaker 1: six and a half first, Wake Forest and WVU West 395 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 1: Virginia minus six first Colorado Props five touchdown calls the 396 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: or A Hubbard versus Colorado, the West Virginia running back, 397 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: Florida running back Jane Baw against Kentucky, Amaud Hardy the 398 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,120 Speaker 1: running back for Missouri against A and M. Ohio State 399 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: wide receiver Jeremiah Smith at Purdue and Yukon wide receiver 400 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 1: Skylar Bell versus Duke. Then are other props over half 401 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: a passing touchdown for Scotti Fox West Virginia quarterback Maryland 402 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,120 Speaker 1: quarterback in the leak Washington over one and a half 403 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 1: at Rutgers Auburn Ash quarterback Ashton Daniels for now over 404 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: half in interception at Vanderbilt. LSU running back Carlan Berry 405 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 1: over forty five and a half combined rushing and receiving 406 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: yards against Alabama and TCU wide receiver Eric mcowsor over 407 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 1: eighty and a half receiving yards against a banged up 408 00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 1: secondary in Iowa State. That is it for me. You 409 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 1: can follow me on the Twitter app Bogman Sports. Good 410 00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 1: luck and I'll see everybody next week. Take it easy. 411 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,680 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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