WEBVTT - Super Bowl Edition 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:04.000 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.120 --> 0:00:09.480 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:09.720 --> 0:00:13.240 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice 0:00:13.280 --> 0:00:16.520 and speculation and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop 0:00:16.560 --> 0:00:22.360 into the show. Now, here's your host, Paul. Welcome to 0:00:22.400 --> 0:00:26.319 a super Bowl edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. Hopefully you 0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:29.920 hear this between Friday afternoon when this show drops in 0:00:30.080 --> 0:00:32.520 the Super Bowl, and if you're listening to it after 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:33.839 the Super Bowl, then you can hear about what we 0:00:33.880 --> 0:00:35.360 got right and what we got wrong. You know, what 0:00:35.440 --> 0:00:37.639 we got right and wrong. Yeah, and if and if 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:39.479 you wait that long, you're just not a true fan 0:00:39.520 --> 0:00:41.800 of the show. I'm gonna call you out. Yeah that's right. Yeah, 0:00:41.840 --> 0:00:44.240 we exist in three days. You get, you get three days. 0:00:44.280 --> 0:00:47.240 Actually it's only like, I don't know, forty eight hours 0:00:47.280 --> 0:00:50.400 of listening times should be very important, sitting next to 0:00:50.479 --> 0:00:55.800 your whatever device, refreshing, refreshing, refreshing your podcast all the time. 0:00:55.840 --> 0:00:58.040 That's the voice of Scott Fish. I'm Paul Charge and 0:00:58.560 --> 0:01:02.720 we want to talk through the final game of the 0:01:03.560 --> 0:01:06.880 two season. This is our last time to like be forward, 0:01:07.200 --> 0:01:10.479 looking forward and predicting what's going to happen as opposed to, 0:01:10.720 --> 0:01:13.320 you know, reacting to last year, and you know we've 0:01:13.360 --> 0:01:17.280 we've broken down like a thousand games. I think that's 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:21.480 high many games. I bet there's five hundred games in 0:01:21.480 --> 0:01:24.800 a season. It depends on how many it's talking about. 0:01:24.880 --> 0:01:28.399 Sixteen times. I'm talking about just last year sixteen times, 0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:33.560 uh six, I believe sixteen times six. I was told 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:36.240 there will be no math sixteen times somebody I don't 0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:41.720 know how figure out. Yeah, I'm gonna go about five hundred. 0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:46.240 There's seventeen weeks in the season times sixteen games to 0:01:46.480 --> 0:01:48.880 seventy two. Nice job. Yeah, oh see, I'm still in 0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:52.600 the sixteen game schedule. Okay, alright, okay, all right, there 0:01:52.640 --> 0:01:56.000 you go. Um let's let's talk to this game. And 0:01:56.160 --> 0:01:58.840 we've got some fantasy angles for those that are better, 0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:02.400 we have some betting angles. But more broadly, what do 0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:08.640 you think it's gonna win? Okay, my head says that 0:02:08.919 --> 0:02:13.040 the Eagles should win. They are better at almost every level. 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:15.600 They are except for the quarterback position, and they're not 0:02:15.639 --> 0:02:21.080 bad at the quarterbacks at the quarterback position. For some reason, 0:02:21.320 --> 0:02:24.200 for some reason, I actually think the Chiefs are gonna 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:26.280 pull this one. Out. Was that reason be Patrick Mahomes 0:02:26.400 --> 0:02:29.480 it is, Yeah, it is the best quarterback ever played, 0:02:29.560 --> 0:02:33.320 Patrick Mahomes. It's it's watching the Eagles last week against 0:02:33.360 --> 0:02:36.240 the forty Niners for like five straight drives, not actually 0:02:36.280 --> 0:02:38.480 doing that much. They did a lot on the ground. 0:02:38.520 --> 0:02:40.920 They couldn't get the passing game going, but also they 0:02:40.919 --> 0:02:44.920 didn't really need to. I think I think it's possible. 0:02:45.240 --> 0:02:47.960 And Jalen Hurts has not run as much since coming 0:02:47.960 --> 0:02:50.359 back from injury. It's but that he hasn't had to 0:02:50.760 --> 0:02:53.200 and he's got He's got an extra two weeks too. Yeah, 0:02:53.280 --> 0:02:55.920 you get to see. I think my theory is and 0:02:56.120 --> 0:02:57.919 I like him. I think his rushing is gonna be 0:02:57.960 --> 0:03:00.760 a big, big part of this game. Jone Hurts. I 0:03:00.800 --> 0:03:03.560 think there's no reason not to run him. I think 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:06.399 the shoulders healed by now. He didn't have to run 0:03:06.480 --> 0:03:08.720 in the last two games because they were both blowouts. 0:03:09.160 --> 0:03:11.400 Never had so they was able to protect it. I 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:13.840 think he I think it's game on for the running 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:16.959 version of Jalen Hurts in the Super Bowl. You'd imagine, 0:03:17.040 --> 0:03:19.320 you'd imagine laid all out in the field. Well, yeah, 0:03:19.360 --> 0:03:21.359 what are you saving him for at this point? Nothing? 0:03:21.639 --> 0:03:24.160 It's your varsity Blues thirty minutes, to the end of 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:26.400 your to the rest of your life, for the rest 0:03:26.440 --> 0:03:28.600 of your whatever it is. Yeah, I mean there's no 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:33.280 guarantee you get back right. Dan Marino never got back 0:03:33.800 --> 0:03:40.440 row got right right. There's a lot of quarterbacks one 0:03:40.480 --> 0:03:42.960 attempt and missed, and so I think the rushing is 0:03:43.000 --> 0:03:46.080 going to be there. And Kansas City saw the third 0:03:46.240 --> 0:03:49.720 most quarterback rushes during the year, and they gave up 0:03:49.920 --> 0:03:54.160 the fifth most quarterback rushing yards. It certainly suggests that 0:03:54.200 --> 0:03:57.760 a bunch of teams saw susceptibility right, and they weren't 0:03:57.760 --> 0:04:00.280 even getting those rushes out of their own divisional game teams. 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:03.480 Derek Carr wasn't doing all that running, Justin Herbert wasn't 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.640 doing all that running. So I think I think there's 0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:09.480 a real there's gonna be a real opportunity for Jalen Hurts. 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:11.640 By the way his his rushing line. If you're interested, 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:13.600 forty nine and a half, I know I saw that. 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:15.520 That's why I brought it up. I'm like, I think 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:17.479 I think that this is the game he can he 0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:19.359 can get a little past. The same with a J. Brown. 0:04:19.480 --> 0:04:21.960 He has been nothing in the playoffs. Is this is 0:04:22.000 --> 0:04:24.360 a game where he finally steps up, You would think so, right, 0:04:24.680 --> 0:04:27.320 You'd think so that he's been an underutilized asset and 0:04:27.360 --> 0:04:30.880 maybe they haven't needed it. But even when the games 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:33.200 were close in the you know, before the first half, 0:04:33.200 --> 0:04:35.280 instead of they just didn't go to a due a 0:04:35.320 --> 0:04:37.279 couple of games ago as more of a Davanta Smith game, 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:41.080 he was maybe he was just locked up. Absolutely, So 0:04:41.240 --> 0:04:43.239 I'm on Eagles and I think it's gonna be Eagles 0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:48.400 spot plays, like, yeah, there's something there that. So the 0:04:48.400 --> 0:04:52.800 Eagles are the better running team. Offensively, they are the 0:04:52.880 --> 0:04:56.719 better past, the defense the best and everything. It's just 0:04:58.440 --> 0:05:02.120 defensive line, everything deals are better. Almost another reason why 0:05:02.120 --> 0:05:04.400 I thought Sirian he should have been like six than 0:05:04.480 --> 0:05:08.440 the head coach. Their team is just so so good, 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:11.360 so well rounded. Howie Roseman has done an amazing job. 0:05:11.400 --> 0:05:13.440 But it helps. It helps a lot when your quarterbacks 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:15.880 on his rookie deal, you know, and you know, good 0:05:15.880 --> 0:05:17.720 for him for being able to maximize that and bring 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:20.000 in guys like James Bradberry and domin con Sue and 0:05:20.040 --> 0:05:23.000 you need to sign him and um Hassan Reddick and 0:05:23.040 --> 0:05:24.159 you know all the you know, all the you know, 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:27.159 all the incredibly all the all the you know, great 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:32.719 signings that Howie Roseman did I think the best play 0:05:32.800 --> 0:05:37.480 from a betting standpoint is Kenneth Gainwell receiving. It seems 0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:40.640 to have been every week of the playoffs, seem talked 0:05:40.680 --> 0:05:44.960 about this. Yes, yeah, he's smashing numbers every every every 0:05:45.000 --> 0:05:48.840 single week of the playoffs so far. So his first 0:05:48.960 --> 0:05:52.120 understand this. No other running back catches a pass that offense. 0:05:52.160 --> 0:05:56.200 Miles Sanders has one catch since Christmas, Boston Scott has 0:05:56.240 --> 0:06:00.880 two catches since Thanksgiving. We know that he can get 0:06:01.200 --> 0:06:06.160 but they never So if you think that Kenneth game, 0:06:06.279 --> 0:06:08.800 if you think the Eagles are going to have one 0:06:08.960 --> 0:06:12.279 completion to a running back in this game, well there's 0:06:12.279 --> 0:06:15.920 your Kenneth Gainwell ten yards right there. Yeah. Uh. And 0:06:16.160 --> 0:06:19.360 here's the thing. Kansas City gives up the most running 0:06:19.360 --> 0:06:23.839 back receptions for the second most running back receiving yards, 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:26.280 it's a lot. Well let me tell you exactly how much. 0:06:26.279 --> 0:06:28.960 It is six and a half receptions per game for 0:06:28.960 --> 0:06:32.200 forty six yards. I I would I might actually take 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:34.599 the under on both of those for what the Eagles 0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.000 get in this game, but probably enough for games to 0:06:37.080 --> 0:06:39.599 go over. I need, I need ten yards, eleven yards. 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:41.720 They hit the overt and they give up forty six, 0:06:42.120 --> 0:06:43.640 so they can give they can be half as good 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:46.560 and I can still double gain Well's number on this. 0:06:47.640 --> 0:06:50.920 Thank you, by the way to refrigerator Perry. Right now 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:55.400 we have Super Bowl player props everywhere. Didn't that become 0:06:55.400 --> 0:07:01.160 a thing after his touchdown? And yeah, speaking of gain Well, 0:07:01.200 --> 0:07:04.679 I've got a buddy Mitch Moss who has he's bet 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:08.840 gain Well as m v P. You want to guess 0:07:08.880 --> 0:07:11.080 what the odds are, It's gonna be ridiculous because we 0:07:11.120 --> 0:07:14.840 watched Jeames White have three touchdowns in a Super Bowl, 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:18.280 and not because Brady threw him the three, but not 0:07:18.320 --> 0:07:21.120 only through him. I think it was two rushing, one receiving, maybe, 0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:22.960 but maybe it was. Maybe it's the other, maybe it 0:07:23.040 --> 0:07:24.880 was the other way. But still, what do you think 0:07:24.920 --> 0:07:27.320 the odds are? And he had the game winning touchdown, 0:07:27.400 --> 0:07:31.160 still couldn't get it? Um, I don't. I don't even 0:07:31.160 --> 0:07:35.640 have a Gainwell would have been the m v P 0:07:35.840 --> 0:07:39.000 two games ago when they rolled, when he rolled up 0:07:39.040 --> 0:07:41.600 the hundred and twenty rushing yards and chipped in a 0:07:41.640 --> 0:07:43.800 few receiving yards on top of it, it's worth a 0:07:43.840 --> 0:07:46.640 few bucks. I don't think it happens, probably not, I 0:07:46.680 --> 0:07:49.000 really I don't. I don't see much of a path 0:07:49.040 --> 0:07:51.840 outside of the quarterbacks in this one. But five bucks 0:07:51.840 --> 0:07:54.160 into I could see a Kelsey if he has some 0:07:54.240 --> 0:07:56.760 kind of monster game, but he could I can't. I 0:07:56.800 --> 0:07:59.000 can't imagine he's taking away from Homes, but I could 0:07:59.000 --> 0:08:01.360 see it happening. But where else is Mahome's gonna go? 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:10.440 You got so Judy's running around practice like a wild man. 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:16.480 I know Judo's hurt, Tony's hurt, Um and the other 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:19.360 receivers aren't very good. And then you know the Eagles 0:08:19.360 --> 0:08:22.400 have got Darius Slay on the outside, They've got James 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:24.760 Bradbury and the outside in the middle, they've got a 0:08:24.800 --> 0:08:28.760 Vonte Maddox for slot receiver stuff. It feels like there 0:08:28.800 --> 0:08:33.200 could be a dozen targets to Travis Kelsey. Yeah it 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:36.720 could be. I think it's yeah, extremely possible. I think 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:40.840 that's the outside shot outside of the quarterbacks. By the way, 0:08:40.960 --> 0:08:43.520 how bad do you feel for Melvin Gordon sitting there 0:08:43.520 --> 0:08:46.920 on the Chiefs practice squad. He's such a good career, 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:49.959 well decent career this long, and he's he'll get to 0:08:50.000 --> 0:08:52.480 watch it, but at least he gets there, right, he 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:54.839 gets to experience, and he just won't be active. I 0:08:55.240 --> 0:08:58.559 honestly think for playoffs we we need to expand, expand 0:08:58.559 --> 0:09:02.280 the rosters, have the practice squad players. Imagine if we 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:04.320 saw what we saw an NFC championship game in the 0:09:04.400 --> 0:09:07.680 Super Bowl, like, just just let everyone suit up for 0:09:07.960 --> 0:09:12.600 those games. Come on, why not? They should be able 0:09:12.640 --> 0:09:15.599 to be in uniform. Um, what do you think my 0:09:15.679 --> 0:09:20.800 Homes does here? His line is two? Oh man, I 0:09:20.840 --> 0:09:22.840 was gonna go to eight. Just off top of my head. 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:28.920 The Eagles's played. The Eagles have played nineteen games, Eighteen 0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:34.160 of them have been under two yards eight out of nineteen, 0:09:34.360 --> 0:09:38.440 I think, well, just the past fresh alone, but no one, 0:09:38.640 --> 0:09:42.720 no one has a better yards over expected when when 0:09:42.760 --> 0:09:45.760 the play breaks down, then Mahomes. That's he's so good 0:09:45.760 --> 0:09:49.160 at that. Yeah. Um maybe like literally the best to 0:09:49.200 --> 0:09:52.440 ever play the game. Yeah. I saw. I saw a 0:09:52.480 --> 0:09:55.079 graph of it and his his line on the top 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:58.240 was like it was like probably a third longer longer 0:09:58.280 --> 0:10:04.480 than was like abody else was like of him. Um, 0:10:04.520 --> 0:10:06.760 so I think that passers is gonna get to him, 0:10:06.760 --> 0:10:10.600 But they are so good defensively. Uh that those those 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:13.440 defensive backs you've already mentioned a couple of times. I 0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:16.640 think they're gonna be able to hold him down slightly. Um. 0:10:16.960 --> 0:10:18.800 I think the Chiefs are gonna need much more of 0:10:18.840 --> 0:10:22.160 a balanced offense than this one. The Eagles didn't face 0:10:22.280 --> 0:10:25.559 many high end quarterbacks this year. Not their fault, it's 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:27.480 just how the schedule worked out. Faced a lot of 0:10:27.520 --> 0:10:29.920 backups they did, They faced, They faced a lot of 0:10:29.920 --> 0:10:33.840 the Davis this week. Have you ever seen a team 0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:38.560 this upset after aren't they? I get it? But man, 0:10:38.640 --> 0:10:42.160 they have you know, they're like, you know, we would 0:10:42.160 --> 0:10:44.480 have won if our quarterback had stayed healthy or whatever. 0:10:44.720 --> 0:10:46.719 Maybe I don't know, but I don't think so. The 0:10:46.760 --> 0:10:48.800 way that that game was so onside, But I just 0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:50.760 don't know. Because they could didn't have a quarterback who 0:10:50.800 --> 0:10:52.199 could pass them all, so you know, it makes it 0:10:52.240 --> 0:10:54.520 the game pretty easy. Yeah, I still don't think they 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:56.679 would have won, But I get it. I understand it. 0:10:57.400 --> 0:11:02.240 UM get this Eagles. The average passing game against the 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:12.560 Eagles by yards when I guess one hundred seven parts 0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:18.320 with the average passing game against the Eagles low, but 0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:20.840 that's absurd low. And then I ground up the numbers 0:11:20.840 --> 0:11:24.160 even more on average and really only one one guy 0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:26.240 excuse us, or would have been a much bigger number. 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:31.000 On average. Quarterbacks through for twenty four fewer yards than 0:11:31.040 --> 0:11:36.080 their season long average against the Yeah, so I think, 0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:38.719 I just I don't. I don't know that Mahomes can 0:11:38.840 --> 0:11:42.000 grind out enough with Kelsey to make up for what 0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:44.560 he's gonna lose from what. I don't what I think 0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:47.200 these injured wide receivers, with these tough matchups are going 0:11:47.240 --> 0:11:49.800 to give them. What do you what do you think 0:11:49.800 --> 0:11:53.440 about the Chiefs running game? And this is a way 0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:55.960 you can beat the Egals? They're like four point six 0:11:56.000 --> 0:12:00.120 yards per specific people. Because I don't like Cily just 0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:02.640 I don't like the thought process. Is that it sounds 0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:05.680 like Ronald Jones is going to get get a few touches, 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.280 and it sounds like and is definitely gonna play, which 0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:11.920 is going to be annoys everybody for you know, you 0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:14.440 know what, I bet, I bet he doesn't do any 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.320 you don't think so they got such a good thing going, 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:20.080 you know what, his last two games he was healthy, 0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:22.360 he had barely any snap. That's that's what I'm saying. 0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:24.240 That's I think it picks up right where they left up. 0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:26.280 I don't I don't think Lyde is even a factor 0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:35.000 here honestly, just then he's not. Yeah, absolutely, he's a 0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:38.080 running back. C H just don't know what he is. 0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:42.480 He's a first round draftick and I've been bitterly hurt 0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.960 by this one over the years. Um, but you know, 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:50.000 then they've also got Jerick McKinnon. Obviously he was quieter 0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:52.520 in the last game, but you know over the last 0:12:52.559 --> 0:13:00.720 whatever six seven game recently, which is annoying that that 0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:05.960 that part annoys you in particular. Um, if I were 0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.200 I got asked if I don't like Mahomes, is there 0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:12.600 a receiver in particular I don't like? And when I 0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:14.959 say don't like, I mean just based on the betting 0:13:14.960 --> 0:13:18.600 line yards for Mahomes. Yeah, if you think he's going 0:13:18.679 --> 0:13:21.440 to be more, who's the receiver? I could couple that 0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:25.040 with Juju is sitting at forty one yards, Yeah, which 0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:26.960 is a weirdly high number for a guy who hasn't 0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:29.880 topped that line in five straight games and eight of 0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:32.880 the last time. I would not bet on that. And 0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:35.200 you know he's got the knee injury that could limit him. 0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:37.360 He could be a decoy. He could re injure. There's 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.679 a lot, there's so many reasons to take the under juju. 0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:43.360 It's weird because in the offense in the preseason, they 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:46.360 had him going deep, and early in the season they 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.959 had him with more some more deep routes. But then 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:51.280 they just shifted him back to what Pittsburgh was doing 0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:53.800 with him. And he does those little out it's eight 0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:56.520 ten yards. He's gonna need a bunch of those too 0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:58.959 to hit that. I don't see that happening. I think 0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:00.720 you're right. I wanted to good break and I've got 0:14:01.040 --> 0:14:03.400 I've got a couple of odds and ends questions I 0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.080 want to ask you that don't relate to the Super Bowl. 0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:07.760 So is there anything else super Bowl related you want 0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:10.520 to touch on? I don't think so. I'm looking for 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.840 this in Dallas, Goddard. I feel like we're waiting for 0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:16.120 the big game. This could be the big game. We'll talk. 0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:17.920 I've got a couple of other odds and ends, fantasy 0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:19.360 odds and ends for you coming up in a second 0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:30.240 Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Scott Fish. I asked this 0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.880 question to Matt Harrison last week, and I want to 0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:35.080 ask you to This is very dynasy. You know you're 0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:38.720 you are you might go to Dynasty guy. Well, and 0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:42.000 so is Matt, So don't I'm not playing favorites. UM. 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:44.280 I asked him what I think is a very tough question, 0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:47.760 and I raised this actually on Cafe n on Friday 0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:53.960 in a different non fantasy way. Should you sell high 0:14:54.680 --> 0:15:01.200 on Justin Jefferson? Now here's the case. Case goes like this, 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:04.560 Kirk Cousins is under contract for one more year. After 0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:07.000 that total unknown who knows would give you back to, 0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:11.760 you know, some newer incarnation of Christian Ponder. Next we 0:15:11.760 --> 0:15:14.080 don't know what's happening with his contract. You know, this 0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:16.720 thing could turn ugly. Who knows, you know? Next thing, 0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:19.160 we know he's in Houston. I mean, you know, you know, 0:15:19.200 --> 0:15:21.160 I don't think the Vikings would certainly don't want to 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:22.640 get him out the door. But if they get to 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:24.880 some impass and the Vikings they think are sitting twenty 0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:28.000 nine in money right now, right to make room for 0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:32.000 Justin Jefferson's next contract is going to be it's going 0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:35.280 to it's going to be a blood letting of veterans 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:41.840 in Minnesota. Maybe Minnesota's not for that. UM and of these. 0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:43.520 You know you always want to buy low and sell high. 0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:45.520 You already bought low on Justin Jefferson based on wherever 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:48.080 you drafted him. This is the ultimate sell high most. 0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:49.800 I mean, you know, if you name your price, you 0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:55.400 might be the most coveted Dynasty Dynasty player that there is. 0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:59.720 Name your price right now on Justin Jefferson and I 0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:01.640 get it. I mean, I'm a guy who after the 0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:04.840 two thousand six Ladadian Humlinson season traded him for Adrian 0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:07.880 Peterson A bunch and a bunch of UM, So I 0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.760 get that, I get this, I get the cell high um. 0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:12.720 It really depends on your strategy and you make a 0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:15.160 lot of great points, and it is absolutely a great 0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:19.040 time to sell now on him. If you are in 0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:21.240 a position you're not going to run next year, you know, 0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:23.480 if you're if you want to get a bunch of 0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:25.720 young assets, and maybe you can, maybe you can get 0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:29.000 a Bijen Robinson and some other stuff. I'll be honest, 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:30.800 bi Gen Robinson is probably gonna be a first or 0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:32.960 second round draft pick at this point. The way the 0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:35.160 way people are, you know what's gonna happen. How many 0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:37.480 years there has the top running back you know been 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:41.760 a legit thing in Dynasty so many Uh, Bijon Robinson 0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:43.320 could drop to the end of the first round. Think 0:16:43.360 --> 0:16:47.920 about him on Cincinnati or Kansas City or Minnesota if 0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:53.320 we trade. Well, I saw that stuff. I've been posting that. Yeah, well, 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:56.280 you know the Vikings sitting at twenty three and Cook's gone, 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.120 I believe because it was commun Madison's at UFA. I 0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:02.120 don't know. I think they'll cut cop. See if they 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.840 cut Cook, that's six mil we we had. We have 0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:06.960 a cap head of six mil on that. I can 0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:08.600 see that. I don't know if what are we replace 0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:12.520 them with ty Chandler and Kenny and uh just hope 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:15.320 Bijan drops or it's a deep class. I suppose we 0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:18.960 can get Spears or something late um take Biggs b 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:21.959 maybe or something. I don't know, it's Spears hyper suddenly 0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:27.720 off the it's gone crazy. Robinson. Robinson's gonna fall into 0:17:27.840 --> 0:17:30.880 some spot where he's gonna be very sexy. There's there's 0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:34.200 a zero chance, but Bejean Robinson is going to be 0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:39.760 the first player taken in drafts. Just imagine if he 0:17:39.800 --> 0:17:43.120 falls to the Chiefs or the Bengals and mixings out 0:17:43.119 --> 0:17:46.000 of the picture, which he might be then see I 0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:49.639 really I really won one. I'd be I am a 0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:53.879 Jefferson Kelsey Chase top three and like then a small 0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:57.920 gap guy. But where I was going with the Jefferson 0:17:58.160 --> 0:18:00.680 should you sell high? I'm not that guy any more 0:18:00.720 --> 0:18:03.960 In dynasty nowadays, especially if you're in a younger league, 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.639 the average dynasty league is shrinking how many years they 0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:11.240 last before they fold. People are bailing on dynasty leads 0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:13.600 quicker than they ever were before. And that's why they 0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:18.040 should play an empire league. Yeah, and uh I I 0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.800 because so many people are trying for that young, sexy 0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:24.360 roster and let's build it over a long time and 0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:26.639 it never gets realized. I have gone to win now 0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:31.000 because you're only facing half the league. Half the half league. Yeah, 0:18:31.000 --> 0:18:32.959 the half of the other half the league is building 0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:36.480 this young roster the door. If you play win now, 0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:42.160 you have winning now. It does so I'm not that guy. 0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.280 I'm not selling Jefferson. I'm going to play him out 0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:46.200 for this next year or two and see how it goes. 0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:52.520 All right, I got one more sell high candidate for you, Yes, Austin, Sure, 0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:55.680 I will say what was later when I went out 0:18:55.720 --> 0:18:57.640 on the offensive line this year, so they were kind 0:18:57.640 --> 0:18:59.480 of hurt this year on the offensive line for the 0:18:59.560 --> 0:19:03.040 rushing production was troubling. His age is and he's not old. 0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:06.000 He is getting up there a little bit, yep, And 0:19:06.080 --> 0:19:09.240 he has consistently said he wants another running back in 0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:12.600 that backfield and he wants to share the duties. He 0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:15.119 wants to you know, he knows it's not good for fantasy, 0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:17.359 and he's a fantasy guy, but I think he also 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:21.520 knows it's not good for his He wants, yeah, split back, 0:19:21.560 --> 0:19:24.120 and he wants to win. You know, if we saw 0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:26.879 his efficiency earlier in his career with Gordon there, like, 0:19:27.080 --> 0:19:29.760 I think he wants that back. So I wouldn't be 0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:32.040 surprised if they keep trying to plug that hole. All right, 0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.760 So what can I expect if I were to trade 0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:39.920 away both Justin Jefferson or Austin Ekeler? What is a 0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:43.600 fair return? The problem with Eckler in the Dynasty realm 0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:46.480 is people look at age and usage so highly or 0:19:46.560 --> 0:19:49.439 so you know, they look at Yeah, they're very aware 0:19:49.440 --> 0:19:52.439 of it. That Eckler, He's going to fetch you a 0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:54.760 pretty meaty sum if you're trying to if you're doing 0:19:54.800 --> 0:19:56.720 it to a win. Now, guy, I'd be much more 0:19:56.800 --> 0:19:59.920 keen to trade him than Jefferson. You couldn't get one 0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:02.480 one for You couldn't get one one b John Robinson 0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:06.080 for Austin Ekeler you might be able to I doubt it, though, 0:20:06.119 --> 0:20:08.040 I doubt it. I doubt it. So what can you 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:11.879 get where it's what's Heckler worth? Yeah, you're you're looking 0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.760 at You're probably looking at a multiple piece deal where 0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:17.399 you're getting maybe a first round pick and a player 0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:21.199 that's less than Austin's caliber. And if you're trading in 0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:23.719 dynasty and you're trading Neckler, then probably means you're not 0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:26.040 trying to win this next year. You're looking at a 0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:30.480 younger you're hoping for a younger wide receiver and uh, 0:20:30.560 --> 0:20:32.280 you know, some kind of draft pick that's probably what 0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:35.320 you're hoping for. And I don't know how you're going 0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:37.919 to get it that we're talking about in a LaVey 0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:40.840 Wilson type and then hopefully add a draft pick or 0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:44.080 two do it to try to try to make it happen. Now, 0:20:44.160 --> 0:20:48.320 let's talk about Uh, let's talk about Justin Jefferson. What 0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:51.440 is should my asking price for Justin Jefferson be multiple 0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:57.120 firsts at least, right, Yeah, I mean, and by the way, 0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:59.560 I don't want the back of the first round first. 0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:02.199 I want the top of the first round, you know. 0:21:02.240 --> 0:21:04.199 I want to you know, pick one to three this 0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:07.040 year and next year. Yeah, and probably a player. Just 0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:10.240 the pure hit rates on even first round picks in Dynasty, 0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:15.560 there's you're not You're you're justin Jefferson's caliber in production. 0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:19.320 You're not trading it without multiple first and a player too. Yeah, 0:21:19.359 --> 0:21:22.560 it's you just don't. All right, thanks for checking in. 0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:25.320 You'll be back next week. We're gonna write down the 0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:28.720 five things that each of us want to remember from 0:21:28.760 --> 0:21:31.880 this season next August when we're drafting. You know it's 0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:34.720 gonna be six months, such a long off season, right, 0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:35.920 so what are the things you want to be sure 0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:37.760 to remember? And then my hope is, like August, we 0:21:37.800 --> 0:21:40.240