Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice
Speaker 1: and speculation and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop
Speaker 1: into the show. Now, here's your host, Paul. Welcome to
Speaker 1: a super Bowl edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. Hopefully you
Speaker 1: hear this between Friday afternoon when this show drops in
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, and if you're listening to it after
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, then you can hear about what we
Speaker 1: got right and what we got wrong. You know, what
Speaker 1: we got right and wrong. Yeah, and if and if
Speaker 1: you wait that long, you're just not a true fan
Speaker 1: of the show. I'm gonna call you out. Yeah that's right. Yeah,
Speaker 1: we exist in three days. You get, you get three days.
Speaker 1: Actually it's only like, I don't know, forty eight hours
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Speaker 1: That's the voice of Scott Fish. I'm Paul Charge and
Speaker 1: we want to talk through the final game of the
Speaker 1: two season. This is our last time to like be forward,
Speaker 1: looking forward and predicting what's going to happen as opposed to,
Speaker 1: you know, reacting to last year, and you know we've
Speaker 1: we've broken down like a thousand games. I think that's
Speaker 1: high many games. I bet there's five hundred games in
Speaker 1: a season. It depends on how many it's talking about.
Speaker 1: Sixteen times. I'm talking about just last year sixteen times,
Speaker 1: uh six, I believe sixteen times six. I was told
Speaker 1: there will be no math sixteen times somebody I don't
Speaker 1: know how figure out. Yeah, I'm gonna go about five hundred.
Speaker 1: There's seventeen weeks in the season times sixteen games to
Speaker 1: seventy two. Nice job. Yeah, oh see, I'm still in
Speaker 1: the sixteen game schedule. Okay, alright, okay, all right, there
Speaker 1: you go. Um let's let's talk to this game. And
Speaker 1: we've got some fantasy angles for those that are better,
Speaker 1: we have some betting angles. But more broadly, what do
Speaker 1: you think it's gonna win? Okay, my head says that
Speaker 1: the Eagles should win. They are better at almost every level.
Speaker 1: They are except for the quarterback position, and they're not
Speaker 1: bad at the quarterbacks at the quarterback position. For some reason,
Speaker 1: for some reason, I actually think the Chiefs are gonna
Speaker 1: pull this one. Out. Was that reason be Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: it is, Yeah, it is the best quarterback ever played,
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. It's it's watching the Eagles last week against
Speaker 1: the forty Niners for like five straight drives, not actually
Speaker 1: doing that much. They did a lot on the ground.
Speaker 1: They couldn't get the passing game going, but also they
Speaker 1: didn't really need to. I think I think it's possible.
Speaker 1: And Jalen Hurts has not run as much since coming
Speaker 1: back from injury. It's but that he hasn't had to
Speaker 1: and he's got He's got an extra two weeks too. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you get to see. I think my theory is and
Speaker 1: I like him. I think his rushing is gonna be
Speaker 1: a big, big part of this game. Jone Hurts. I
Speaker 1: think there's no reason not to run him. I think
Speaker 1: the shoulders healed by now. He didn't have to run
Speaker 1: in the last two games because they were both blowouts.
Speaker 1: Never had so they was able to protect it. I
Speaker 1: think he I think it's game on for the running
Speaker 1: version of Jalen Hurts in the Super Bowl. You'd imagine,
Speaker 1: you'd imagine laid all out in the field. Well, yeah,
Speaker 1: what are you saving him for at this point? Nothing?
Speaker 1: It's your varsity Blues thirty minutes, to the end of
Speaker 1: your to the rest of your life, for the rest
Speaker 1: of your whatever it is. Yeah, I mean there's no
Speaker 1: guarantee you get back right. Dan Marino never got back
Speaker 1: row got right right. There's a lot of quarterbacks one
Speaker 1: attempt and missed, and so I think the rushing is
Speaker 1: going to be there. And Kansas City saw the third
Speaker 1: most quarterback rushes during the year, and they gave up
Speaker 1: the fifth most quarterback rushing yards. It certainly suggests that
Speaker 1: a bunch of teams saw susceptibility right, and they weren't
Speaker 1: even getting those rushes out of their own divisional game teams.
Speaker 1: Derek Carr wasn't doing all that running, Justin Herbert wasn't
Speaker 1: doing all that running. So I think I think there's
Speaker 1: a real there's gonna be a real opportunity for Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 1: By the way his his rushing line. If you're interested,
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half, I know I saw that.
Speaker 1: That's why I brought it up. I'm like, I think
Speaker 1: I think that this is the game he can he
Speaker 1: can get a little past. The same with a J. Brown.
Speaker 1: He has been nothing in the playoffs. Is this is
Speaker 1: a game where he finally steps up, You would think so, right,
Speaker 1: You'd think so that he's been an underutilized asset and
Speaker 1: maybe they haven't needed it. But even when the games
Speaker 1: were close in the you know, before the first half,
Speaker 1: instead of they just didn't go to a due a
Speaker 1: couple of games ago as more of a Davanta Smith game,
Speaker 1: he was maybe he was just locked up. Absolutely, So
Speaker 1: I'm on Eagles and I think it's gonna be Eagles
Speaker 1: spot plays, like, yeah, there's something there that. So the
Speaker 1: Eagles are the better running team. Offensively, they are the
Speaker 1: better past, the defense the best and everything. It's just
Speaker 1: defensive line, everything deals are better. Almost another reason why
Speaker 1: I thought Sirian he should have been like six than
Speaker 1: the head coach. Their team is just so so good,
Speaker 1: so well rounded. Howie Roseman has done an amazing job.
Speaker 1: But it helps. It helps a lot when your quarterbacks
Speaker 1: on his rookie deal, you know, and you know, good
Speaker 1: for him for being able to maximize that and bring
Speaker 1: in guys like James Bradberry and domin con Sue and
Speaker 1: you need to sign him and um Hassan Reddick and
Speaker 1: you know all the you know, all the you know,
Speaker 1: all the incredibly all the all the you know, great
Speaker 1: signings that Howie Roseman did I think the best play
Speaker 1: from a betting standpoint is Kenneth Gainwell receiving. It seems
Speaker 1: to have been every week of the playoffs, seem talked
Speaker 1: about this. Yes, yeah, he's smashing numbers every every every
Speaker 1: single week of the playoffs so far. So his first
Speaker 1: understand this. No other running back catches a pass that offense.
Speaker 1: Miles Sanders has one catch since Christmas, Boston Scott has
Speaker 1: two catches since Thanksgiving. We know that he can get
Speaker 1: but they never So if you think that Kenneth game,
Speaker 1: if you think the Eagles are going to have one
Speaker 1: completion to a running back in this game, well there's
Speaker 1: your Kenneth Gainwell ten yards right there. Yeah. Uh. And
Speaker 1: here's the thing. Kansas City gives up the most running
Speaker 1: back receptions for the second most running back receiving yards,
Speaker 1: it's a lot. Well let me tell you exactly how much.
Speaker 1: It is six and a half receptions per game for
Speaker 1: forty six yards. I I would I might actually take
Speaker 1: the under on both of those for what the Eagles
Speaker 1: get in this game, but probably enough for games to
Speaker 1: go over. I need, I need ten yards, eleven yards.
Speaker 1: They hit the overt and they give up forty six,
Speaker 1: so they can give they can be half as good
Speaker 1: and I can still double gain Well's number on this.
Speaker 1: Thank you, by the way to refrigerator Perry. Right now
Speaker 1: we have Super Bowl player props everywhere. Didn't that become
Speaker 1: a thing after his touchdown? And yeah, speaking of gain Well,
Speaker 1: I've got a buddy Mitch Moss who has he's bet
Speaker 1: gain Well as m v P. You want to guess
Speaker 1: what the odds are, It's gonna be ridiculous because we
Speaker 1: watched Jeames White have three touchdowns in a Super Bowl,
Speaker 1: and not because Brady threw him the three, but not
Speaker 1: only through him. I think it was two rushing, one receiving, maybe,
Speaker 1: but maybe it was. Maybe it's the other, maybe it
Speaker 1: was the other way. But still, what do you think
Speaker 1: the odds are? And he had the game winning touchdown,
Speaker 1: still couldn't get it? Um, I don't. I don't even
Speaker 1: have a Gainwell would have been the m v P
Speaker 1: two games ago when they rolled, when he rolled up
Speaker 1: the hundred and twenty rushing yards and chipped in a
Speaker 1: few receiving yards on top of it, it's worth a
Speaker 1: few bucks. I don't think it happens, probably not, I
Speaker 1: really I don't. I don't see much of a path
Speaker 1: outside of the quarterbacks in this one. But five bucks
Speaker 1: into I could see a Kelsey if he has some
Speaker 1: kind of monster game, but he could I can't. I
Speaker 1: can't imagine he's taking away from Homes, but I could
Speaker 1: see it happening. But where else is Mahome's gonna go?
Speaker 1: You got so Judy's running around practice like a wild man.
Speaker 1: I know Judo's hurt, Tony's hurt, Um and the other
Speaker 1: receivers aren't very good. And then you know the Eagles
Speaker 1: have got Darius Slay on the outside, They've got James
Speaker 1: Bradbury and the outside in the middle, they've got a
Speaker 1: Vonte Maddox for slot receiver stuff. It feels like there
Speaker 1: could be a dozen targets to Travis Kelsey. Yeah it
Speaker 1: could be. I think it's yeah, extremely possible. I think
Speaker 1: that's the outside shot outside of the quarterbacks. By the way,
Speaker 1: how bad do you feel for Melvin Gordon sitting there
Speaker 1: on the Chiefs practice squad. He's such a good career,
Speaker 1: well decent career this long, and he's he'll get to
Speaker 1: watch it, but at least he gets there, right, he
Speaker 1: gets to experience, and he just won't be active. I
Speaker 1: honestly think for playoffs we we need to expand, expand
Speaker 1: the rosters, have the practice squad players. Imagine if we
Speaker 1: saw what we saw an NFC championship game in the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, like, just just let everyone suit up for
Speaker 1: those games. Come on, why not? They should be able
Speaker 1: to be in uniform. Um, what do you think my
Speaker 1: Homes does here? His line is two? Oh man, I
Speaker 1: was gonna go to eight. Just off top of my head.
Speaker 1: The Eagles's played. The Eagles have played nineteen games, Eighteen
Speaker 1: of them have been under two yards eight out of nineteen,
Speaker 1: I think, well, just the past fresh alone, but no one,
Speaker 1: no one has a better yards over expected when when
Speaker 1: the play breaks down, then Mahomes. That's he's so good
Speaker 1: at that. Yeah. Um maybe like literally the best to
Speaker 1: ever play the game. Yeah. I saw. I saw a
Speaker 1: graph of it and his his line on the top
Speaker 1: was like it was like probably a third longer longer
Speaker 1: than was like abody else was like of him. Um,
Speaker 1: so I think that passers is gonna get to him,
Speaker 1: But they are so good defensively. Uh that those those
Speaker 1: defensive backs you've already mentioned a couple of times. I
Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to hold him down slightly. Um.
Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs are gonna need much more of
Speaker 1: a balanced offense than this one. The Eagles didn't face
Speaker 1: many high end quarterbacks this year. Not their fault, it's
Speaker 1: just how the schedule worked out. Faced a lot of
Speaker 1: backups they did, They faced, They faced a lot of
Speaker 1: the Davis this week. Have you ever seen a team
Speaker 1: this upset after aren't they? I get it? But man,
Speaker 1: they have you know, they're like, you know, we would
Speaker 1: have won if our quarterback had stayed healthy or whatever.
Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know, but I don't think so. The
Speaker 1: way that that game was so onside, But I just
Speaker 1: don't know. Because they could didn't have a quarterback who
Speaker 1: could pass them all, so you know, it makes it
Speaker 1: the game pretty easy. Yeah, I still don't think they
Speaker 1: would have won, But I get it. I understand it.
Speaker 1: UM get this Eagles. The average passing game against the
Speaker 1: Eagles by yards when I guess one hundred seven parts
Speaker 1: with the average passing game against the Eagles low, but
Speaker 1: that's absurd low. And then I ground up the numbers
Speaker 1: even more on average and really only one one guy
Speaker 1: excuse us, or would have been a much bigger number.
Speaker 1: On average. Quarterbacks through for twenty four fewer yards than
Speaker 1: their season long average against the Yeah, so I think,
Speaker 1: I just I don't. I don't know that Mahomes can
Speaker 1: grind out enough with Kelsey to make up for what
Speaker 1: he's gonna lose from what. I don't what I think
Speaker 1: these injured wide receivers, with these tough matchups are going
Speaker 1: to give them. What do you what do you think
Speaker 1: about the Chiefs running game? And this is a way
Speaker 1: you can beat the Egals? They're like four point six
Speaker 1: yards per specific people. Because I don't like Cily just
Speaker 1: I don't like the thought process. Is that it sounds
Speaker 1: like Ronald Jones is going to get get a few touches,
Speaker 1: and it sounds like and is definitely gonna play, which
Speaker 1: is going to be annoys everybody for you know, you
Speaker 1: know what, I bet, I bet he doesn't do any
Speaker 1: you don't think so they got such a good thing going,
Speaker 1: you know what, his last two games he was healthy,
Speaker 1: he had barely any snap. That's that's what I'm saying.
Speaker 1: That's I think it picks up right where they left up.
Speaker 1: I don't I don't think Lyde is even a factor
Speaker 1: here honestly, just then he's not. Yeah, absolutely, he's a
Speaker 1: running back. C H just don't know what he is.
Speaker 1: He's a first round draftick and I've been bitterly hurt
Speaker 1: by this one over the years. Um, but you know,
Speaker 1: then they've also got Jerick McKinnon. Obviously he was quieter
Speaker 1: in the last game, but you know over the last
Speaker 1: whatever six seven game recently, which is annoying that that
Speaker 1: that part annoys you in particular. Um, if I were
Speaker 1: I got asked if I don't like Mahomes, is there
Speaker 1: a receiver in particular I don't like? And when I
Speaker 1: say don't like, I mean just based on the betting
Speaker 1: line yards for Mahomes. Yeah, if you think he's going
Speaker 1: to be more, who's the receiver? I could couple that
Speaker 1: with Juju is sitting at forty one yards, Yeah, which
Speaker 1: is a weirdly high number for a guy who hasn't
Speaker 1: topped that line in five straight games and eight of
Speaker 1: the last time. I would not bet on that. And
Speaker 1: you know he's got the knee injury that could limit him.
Speaker 1: He could be a decoy. He could re injure. There's
Speaker 1: a lot, there's so many reasons to take the under juju.
Speaker 1: It's weird because in the offense in the preseason, they
Speaker 1: had him going deep, and early in the season they
Speaker 1: had him with more some more deep routes. But then
Speaker 1: they just shifted him back to what Pittsburgh was doing
Speaker 1: with him. And he does those little out it's eight
Speaker 1: ten yards. He's gonna need a bunch of those too
Speaker 1: to hit that. I don't see that happening. I think
Speaker 1: you're right. I wanted to good break and I've got
Speaker 1: I've got a couple of odds and ends questions I
Speaker 1: want to ask you that don't relate to the Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: So is there anything else super Bowl related you want
Speaker 1: to touch on? I don't think so. I'm looking for
Speaker 1: this in Dallas, Goddard. I feel like we're waiting for
Speaker 1: the big game. This could be the big game. We'll talk.
Speaker 1: I've got a couple of other odds and ends, fantasy
Speaker 1: odds and ends for you coming up in a second
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Scott Fish. I asked this
Speaker 1: question to Matt Harrison last week, and I want to
Speaker 1: ask you to This is very dynasy. You know you're
Speaker 1: you are you might go to Dynasty guy. Well, and
Speaker 1: so is Matt, So don't I'm not playing favorites. UM.
Speaker 1: I asked him what I think is a very tough question,
Speaker 1: and I raised this actually on Cafe n on Friday
Speaker 1: in a different non fantasy way. Should you sell high
Speaker 1: on Justin Jefferson? Now here's the case. Case goes like this,
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins is under contract for one more year. After
Speaker 1: that total unknown who knows would give you back to,
Speaker 1: you know, some newer incarnation of Christian Ponder. Next we
Speaker 1: don't know what's happening with his contract. You know, this
Speaker 1: thing could turn ugly. Who knows, you know? Next thing,
Speaker 1: we know he's in Houston. I mean, you know, you know,
Speaker 1: I don't think the Vikings would certainly don't want to
Speaker 1: get him out the door. But if they get to
Speaker 1: some impass and the Vikings they think are sitting twenty
Speaker 1: nine in money right now, right to make room for
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson's next contract is going to be it's going
Speaker 1: to it's going to be a blood letting of veterans
Speaker 1: in Minnesota. Maybe Minnesota's not for that. UM and of these.
Speaker 1: You know you always want to buy low and sell high.
Speaker 1: You already bought low on Justin Jefferson based on wherever
Speaker 1: you drafted him. This is the ultimate sell high most.
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, if you name your price, you
Speaker 1: might be the most coveted Dynasty Dynasty player that there is.
Speaker 1: Name your price right now on Justin Jefferson and I
Speaker 1: get it. I mean, I'm a guy who after the
Speaker 1: two thousand six Ladadian Humlinson season traded him for Adrian
Speaker 1: Peterson A bunch and a bunch of UM, So I
Speaker 1: get that, I get this, I get the cell high um.
Speaker 1: It really depends on your strategy and you make a
Speaker 1: lot of great points, and it is absolutely a great
Speaker 1: time to sell now on him. If you are in
Speaker 1: a position you're not going to run next year, you know,
Speaker 1: if you're if you want to get a bunch of
Speaker 1: young assets, and maybe you can, maybe you can get
Speaker 1: a Bijen Robinson and some other stuff. I'll be honest,
Speaker 1: bi Gen Robinson is probably gonna be a first or
Speaker 1: second round draft pick at this point. The way the
Speaker 1: way people are, you know what's gonna happen. How many
Speaker 1: years there has the top running back you know been
Speaker 1: a legit thing in Dynasty so many Uh, Bijon Robinson
Speaker 1: could drop to the end of the first round. Think
Speaker 1: about him on Cincinnati or Kansas City or Minnesota if
Speaker 1: we trade. Well, I saw that stuff. I've been posting that. Yeah, well,
Speaker 1: you know the Vikings sitting at twenty three and Cook's gone,
Speaker 1: I believe because it was commun Madison's at UFA. I
Speaker 1: don't know. I think they'll cut cop. See if they
Speaker 1: cut Cook, that's six mil we we had. We have
Speaker 1: a cap head of six mil on that. I can
Speaker 1: see that. I don't know if what are we replace
Speaker 1: them with ty Chandler and Kenny and uh just hope
Speaker 1: Bijan drops or it's a deep class. I suppose we
Speaker 1: can get Spears or something late um take Biggs b
Speaker 1: maybe or something. I don't know, it's Spears hyper suddenly
Speaker 1: off the it's gone crazy. Robinson. Robinson's gonna fall into
Speaker 1: some spot where he's gonna be very sexy. There's there's
Speaker 1: a zero chance, but Bejean Robinson is going to be
Speaker 1: the first player taken in drafts. Just imagine if he
Speaker 1: falls to the Chiefs or the Bengals and mixings out
Speaker 1: of the picture, which he might be then see I
Speaker 1: really I really won one. I'd be I am a
Speaker 1: Jefferson Kelsey Chase top three and like then a small
Speaker 1: gap guy. But where I was going with the Jefferson
Speaker 1: should you sell high? I'm not that guy any more
Speaker 1: In dynasty nowadays, especially if you're in a younger league,
Speaker 1: the average dynasty league is shrinking how many years they
Speaker 1: last before they fold. People are bailing on dynasty leads
Speaker 1: quicker than they ever were before. And that's why they
Speaker 1: should play an empire league. Yeah, and uh I I
Speaker 1: because so many people are trying for that young, sexy
Speaker 1: roster and let's build it over a long time and
Speaker 1: it never gets realized. I have gone to win now
Speaker 1: because you're only facing half the league. Half the half league. Yeah,
Speaker 1: the half of the other half the league is building
Speaker 1: this young roster the door. If you play win now,
Speaker 1: you have winning now. It does so I'm not that guy.
Speaker 1: I'm not selling Jefferson. I'm going to play him out
Speaker 1: for this next year or two and see how it goes.
Speaker 1: All right, I got one more sell high candidate for you, Yes, Austin, Sure,
Speaker 1: I will say what was later when I went out
Speaker 1: on the offensive line this year, so they were kind
Speaker 1: of hurt this year on the offensive line for the
Speaker 1: rushing production was troubling. His age is and he's not old.
Speaker 1: He is getting up there a little bit, yep, And
Speaker 1: he has consistently said he wants another running back in
Speaker 1: that backfield and he wants to share the duties. He
Speaker 1: wants to you know, he knows it's not good for fantasy,
Speaker 1: and he's a fantasy guy, but I think he also
Speaker 1: knows it's not good for his He wants, yeah, split back,
Speaker 1: and he wants to win. You know, if we saw
Speaker 1: his efficiency earlier in his career with Gordon there, like,
Speaker 1: I think he wants that back. So I wouldn't be
Speaker 1: surprised if they keep trying to plug that hole. All right,
Speaker 1: So what can I expect if I were to trade
Speaker 1: away both Justin Jefferson or Austin Ekeler? What is a
Speaker 1: fair return? The problem with Eckler in the Dynasty realm
Speaker 1: is people look at age and usage so highly or
Speaker 1: so you know, they look at Yeah, they're very aware
Speaker 1: of it. That Eckler, He's going to fetch you a
Speaker 1: pretty meaty sum if you're trying to if you're doing
Speaker 1: it to a win. Now, guy, I'd be much more
Speaker 1: keen to trade him than Jefferson. You couldn't get one
Speaker 1: one for You couldn't get one one b John Robinson
Speaker 1: for Austin Ekeler you might be able to I doubt it, though,
Speaker 1: I doubt it. I doubt it. So what can you
Speaker 1: get where it's what's Heckler worth? Yeah, you're you're looking
Speaker 1: at You're probably looking at a multiple piece deal where
Speaker 1: you're getting maybe a first round pick and a player
Speaker 1: that's less than Austin's caliber. And if you're trading in
Speaker 1: dynasty and you're trading Neckler, then probably means you're not
Speaker 1: trying to win this next year. You're looking at a
Speaker 1: younger you're hoping for a younger wide receiver and uh,
Speaker 1: you know, some kind of draft pick that's probably what
Speaker 1: you're hoping for. And I don't know how you're going
Speaker 1: to get it that we're talking about in a LaVey
Speaker 1: Wilson type and then hopefully add a draft pick or
Speaker 1: two do it to try to try to make it happen. Now,
Speaker 1: let's talk about Uh, let's talk about Justin Jefferson. What
Speaker 1: is should my asking price for Justin Jefferson be multiple
Speaker 1: firsts at least, right, Yeah, I mean, and by the way,
Speaker 1: I don't want the back of the first round first.
Speaker 1: I want the top of the first round, you know.
Speaker 1: I want to you know, pick one to three this
Speaker 1: year and next year. Yeah, and probably a player. Just
Speaker 1: the pure hit rates on even first round picks in Dynasty,
Speaker 1: there's you're not You're you're justin Jefferson's caliber in production.
Speaker 1: You're not trading it without multiple first and a player too. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's you just don't. All right, thanks for checking in.
Speaker 1: You'll be back next week. We're gonna write down the
Speaker 1: five things that each of us want to remember from
Speaker 1: this season next August when we're drafting. You know it's
Speaker 1: gonna be six months, such a long off season, right,
Speaker 1: so what are the things you want to be sure
Speaker 1: to remember? And then my hope is, like August, we
Speaker 1: go back to this show and we list out our
Speaker 1: things are ten, you know, if weech to five, we
Speaker 1: list out the ten and we go back to and go,
Speaker 1: oh yeah, right, I'll remember I have a superior I'm
Speaker 1: just thanks for listening, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is a
Speaker 1: production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my
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