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Speaker 1: You're about to listen to the Late Round Fantasy Football show,

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Speaker 1: which originally aired on YouTube. If you'd like to catch

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Speaker 1: the show live this offseason, you can head to the

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Speaker 1: Late Round Fantasy Football YouTube channel YouTube dot com. Slash

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Speaker 1: at Late Round FF will be live each Wednesday at

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Speaker 1: newon Eastern without further ado, here's this week's.

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Speaker 2: Episode, Welcome In.

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Speaker 3: Welcome In.

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Speaker 4: David Kitchen ak a draft guide formatter with JJ zach

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Speaker 4: Reeson aka.

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Speaker 3: Draft Guide do it All or basically, I.

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Speaker 1: Just hope that it comes out when people read it.

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Speaker 1: How much time was spent on this thing. The amount

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Speaker 1: of messages I've sent Kitchen at like like one in

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Speaker 1: the morning over the last month has been pretty crazy.

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Speaker 5: Happened last night with Brandon.

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Speaker 1: I was sending him some messages last night.

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Speaker 3: Last night, actually thirty your time.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And it's not it's not me saying I need

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Speaker 1: you to respond right now, but it's like this is

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Speaker 1: this is like something we got to deal with tomorrow morning,

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Speaker 1: right and it's just top of mind for me to

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Speaker 1: think about right now. And I hope, I look, I

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Speaker 1: hope it comes out, uh, you know, looking good in

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Speaker 1: the end, and that people appreciate it. And that's how

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Speaker 1: it's been historically, and I really appreciate that. But uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, it's it's a couple.

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Speaker 5: Of days away.

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Speaker 1: If you pre ordered, it'll be out tomorrow night. We

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Speaker 1: do that all the time. It's not even like a

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Speaker 1: secret anymore.

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Speaker 3: Oh boy, outside of the bag.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so it'll be out July ninth night, right, so, uh,

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Speaker 1: be prepared for that. I don't know what time exactly.

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Speaker 1: We technically are not finished yet. There's still some stuff

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Speaker 1: that I want to add and change, you know before

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Speaker 1: you know that that shot clock exps.

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Speaker 4: But and the shot clock it's like a rebound. The

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Speaker 4: shot clock will reset every week because we're sending a

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Speaker 4: update every week. We're just getting all the offensive boards.

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Speaker 4: There's what nine of them something like that updates.

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Speaker 1: So well, uh yeah, we uh I'm excited for it

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Speaker 1: all to happen. You know, I'm not having to destroy

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Speaker 1: myself at this point anymore, which feels good. I got

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Speaker 1: vacation next week, which I'm excited about. So we will

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Speaker 1: not have a late round show next week. We should

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Speaker 1: throw that out there that we're not going to do

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Speaker 1: the show next week. You know, got got some stuff

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Speaker 1: done today, I got my ears cleaned. You ever get

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Speaker 1: your ears cleaned?

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Speaker 3: Oh?

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Speaker 4: I thought you were gonna say you get your ears lowered,

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Speaker 4: because we got some uh people in the chat saying

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Speaker 4: your your fresh cut is looking good.

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Speaker 5: A haircut for a while for a while. What did

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Speaker 5: you say?

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Speaker 3: You get your ears cleaned? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I get my ear once a year, basically like where

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Speaker 1: they put water in and like chalg it.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, but this, this is this is a much this.

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Speaker 1: I go to an E n T once a year

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Speaker 1: to get my ear wax taken out because my ear

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Speaker 1: canals are so awful, and so I did that. I

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Speaker 1: did it today because I'm about to go on vacation.

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Speaker 1: I can't be underwater with my kids playing in the

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Speaker 1: pool and then the and at the beach and in

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Speaker 1: the ocean with ear wax all through my ear.

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Speaker 4: All the things that I thought would be discussed on

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Speaker 4: this show that was not one of them.

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Speaker 5: And then I came home, Yeah, this is my morning.

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Speaker 1: Talk to Brandon a little bit about some market score stuff,

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Speaker 1: got my ear well, drop the kids off first, talk

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Speaker 1: to Brandon about some market score stuff. Went and I

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Speaker 1: got my ears cleaned like a freaking dog, and then

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Speaker 1: got home and did a did a hit ride on Peloton.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I did on Peloton today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: there were I was in a class a hit hit

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Speaker 1: hit in hills class. So I just wanted to do

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Speaker 1: a twenty minute, like all out kind of sprint type class, right,

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Speaker 1: And I was in there with eighty one other people

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Speaker 1: and at the end, I'm like, there's one person ahead

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Speaker 1: me and I can't let this happen. And so the

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Speaker 1: final forty seconds of this ride, I passed this person

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Speaker 1: in terms of output and I high five to them as.

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Speaker 3: I did it. Oh yeah, yeah, it felt pretty good.

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Speaker 3: I needed it.

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Speaker 5: I needed a w like that, you know, I just

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Speaker 5: needed it.

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Speaker 4: It's kind of petty, all right. We did talk about

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Speaker 4: the draft guide. I mean there is two hundred and

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Speaker 4: we I formatted some stuff last night. JJ. So it's

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Speaker 4: not two under senty five, it's who are seventy four?

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Speaker 4: Two unders twenty four pages?

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Speaker 1: Actually two seventy two now because I removed another couple

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Speaker 1: of things. Okay, but it might be added. It'll probably

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Speaker 1: be around two to seventy four.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and again we're gonna be adding.

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Speaker 4: Uh. There will be an update tracker within the guy

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Speaker 4: where you can see all of the updates that are

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Speaker 4: being in there, and then you know as far as

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Speaker 4: how you can get it. You can purchase it at

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Speaker 4: lateround dot com or you can go to late Round

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Speaker 4: dot com and get the all Access membership and that

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Speaker 4: includes a Draft Guide WHI be in your downloads section

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Speaker 4: in the member hub.

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Speaker 5: One thing, one thing I want to add.

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Speaker 1: I think we should just shout this out right now

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Speaker 1: with the all access stuff, because we've gotten so many

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Speaker 1: people asking questions about it, and I think it's just

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Speaker 1: easy to blanket statement it here. When you sign up

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Speaker 1: for the all access here, you get it for three

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty five days. It's not a season the

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Speaker 1: season type thing. It's not that you get it and

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Speaker 1: it ends January first because it's a new year.

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Speaker 5: So if you sign up today, you will have it.

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Speaker 1: For three hundred and sixty five days, which means you

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Speaker 1: get the Prospect Guide next year. That's part of it,

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Speaker 1: and you would hypothetically potentially get a draft guide again

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Speaker 1: next year, but you wouldn't get any the updates, et cetera,

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Speaker 1: et cetera.

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Speaker 5: So it's like you got to you know you.

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Speaker 3: Can if you canceled. This is what you're saying.

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Speaker 1: Right if you have to cancel, but hopefully you wouldn't, right. Hey,

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Speaker 1: that's that's that's the point.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's what you know.

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Speaker 4: People could theoretically, you know, quote unquote gain the system

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Speaker 4: by purchasing an all Access now to try to get

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Speaker 4: the Draft Guide next year. But it's up to us

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Speaker 4: to make sure they continue getting value, right exactly.

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Speaker 5: I'm not concerned about that.

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Speaker 1: The other thing too, is that people are like, hey,

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Speaker 1: I want to sign up for all Access, but I

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Speaker 1: already bought the Prospect Guide when it was Prospect Guide season. Well,

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Speaker 1: just you guys know, you get next year's Prospect Guide

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Speaker 1: if you sign up right now for all Access, because

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Speaker 1: it's a one year thing, so you would get the

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Speaker 1: Prospect Guide for next year.

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Speaker 5: It's all part of it.

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Speaker 1: You would obviously get the Prospect Guide for this year,

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Speaker 1: which some already have had, but you are buying into

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Speaker 1: the Prospect Guide for next year as well. It's not

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Speaker 1: that you're just getting the twenty twenty six version of

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Speaker 1: those guys.

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Speaker 3: Correct.

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Speaker 4: When to give a shout out to our sponsor, Draft Kings,

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Speaker 4: they have the Draft one, Get one, I mean with

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Speaker 4: July there's a lot of best ball stuff happening just

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Speaker 4: because you're waiting for redraft. It's a good time to

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Speaker 4: kind of get in there. So draft one, get one.

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Speaker 4: As far as the Millie goes, you can use promo

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Speaker 4: code late round. There's also a link in the description.

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Speaker 4: So we appreciate draft kings. And speaking of drafting's best fault, JJ,

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Speaker 4: you're doing streams. I'll be doing some streams next week

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Speaker 4: while you're out. As far as live drafts, so subscribe

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Speaker 4: to the YouTube channel.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, we could. Uh, I'll maybe do one, maybe do

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Speaker 5: one today. I shouldn't have said that.

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Speaker 3: No, don't do it today, just do it tomorrow. Do

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Speaker 3: it tomorrow.

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Speaker 5: I'll do one tomorrow. I'll do one tomorrow. Guys, so

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Speaker 5: be on the lookout.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, yeah, that's why you turn on notifications. All right, JJ,

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Speaker 3: let's get into it. We got some news for this week,

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Speaker 3: today's fantasy news. Okay, I would not be doing my

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Speaker 3: job if I did not say the biggest news would

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Speaker 3: be the draft.

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Speaker 4: Guys coming out again July tenth, JJ, let out of

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Speaker 4: the bag July ninth.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if that's is that the biggest news

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Speaker 1: in the fantasy space though, after after what went down today,

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Speaker 1: Josh Norris and our Josh.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, there are some big news. I I meant to

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Speaker 4: talk to you about it beforehand. So why should we

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Speaker 4: do this because not just that, also Peter Shinky, who

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Speaker 4: is one of my favorite people in the space, it's

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Speaker 4: now the CEO of Fantasy Life. And then today they

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Speaker 4: announced that Josh and Hayden are going to be at Yahoo.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: And the thing is, like, you can look at our

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Speaker 1: Twitter exchange right now. But like I after I had

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Speaker 1: left my old job, I was with FanDuel and they

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Speaker 1: had sponsored the show for a little while. I did

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Speaker 1: a year with Underdog. They had sponsored a show, and

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Speaker 1: obviously we've loved the last two. This is the second

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Speaker 1: year with DraftKings and it's been awesome, you know, doing

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Speaker 1: stuff with DraftKings, and hopefully it continues. But because of

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Speaker 1: other priorities, there really hasn't been that much opportunity to

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Speaker 1: work with Josh and Hayden. And I'm friends with both

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Speaker 1: of them, you know, Josh and I especially go way back,

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Speaker 1: and so I'm very excited that hopefully I'll be able

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Speaker 1: to you know, we'll be able to do more collabs

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Speaker 1: and stuff moving forward. Yeah, but congrats to them too.

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Speaker 1: That's that's the most important thing. They're they're two very

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Speaker 1: very good people, and they're really good at their job.

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Speaker 1: And I'm really happy that, you know, despite some moves

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Speaker 1: that went on at that half PPR company that uh,

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Speaker 1: that they were able to land on their feet and

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Speaker 1: have what seems like a really awesome gig.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, some great people there at Yahoo. Uh.

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Speaker 4: You know, we've got the Fantasy Football Expo coming up

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Speaker 4: and Matt Harmon is he tweeted out that he's going

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Speaker 4: to be at the Xbox. He was last year, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: maybe get some smoothies before Harmon.

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Speaker 1: Harmon and I every year at the expo were like,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you joined us last year, but we him

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Speaker 1: and I because we him and I basically like do

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Speaker 1: the same events because we're on like, you know, we

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Speaker 1: do like the King's Classic, and we go to some

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Speaker 1: of the fan related events and stuff. And I have

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Speaker 1: my car and he doesn't, and so I just show

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Speaker 1: fir him around. And you were you were part of

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Speaker 1: that experience last year with your first year at the expo.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and we go to a smoothie place.

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Speaker 5: But no, it's not it's fine. It's fine.

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Speaker 4: It's like a chain smoothie place that had some fruit

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Speaker 4: flies last year.

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Speaker 1: Canton, Ohio. What do you expect from Canton, Ohio? No

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Speaker 1: offense to all the.

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Speaker 4: You know, please, let's not offend anybody. Let's get into

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Speaker 4: the first big I don't know, it was big. It

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Speaker 4: was big for me as a Eli Stowers fan boy

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Speaker 4: and someone who has plenty of bags hit the Stours.

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Speaker 4: Eli is the headline here because it appears that he

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Speaker 4: is like way behind the picking order of tight end

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Speaker 4: and this might be some good news for Dallas Goddard

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Speaker 4: as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, we'll see, We'll see what ends up happening.

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Speaker 1: This isn't uncommon for tight ends. But also, you know,

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Speaker 1: I do want to throw out there that a lot

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Speaker 1: of people saw Stours as a better prospect. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: we have no idea what's going to go on. I'm

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Speaker 1: just giving you guys the take of like what we

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Speaker 1: at late Round saw with these prospects during during draft season,

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Speaker 1: because a lot of you guys weren't even around during

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Speaker 1: draft season. But from a prospecting standpoint, the model did

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Speaker 1: like Kenyan Sadik quite a bit more than Eli Stowers.

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Speaker 1: Like it wasn't this interchangeable thing. Where uh Stowers was

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Speaker 1: clearly better. I thought Sto Wars was a really good

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Speaker 1: prospect and that, you know, when you look at like

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Speaker 1: production and athleticism, really not that far off if at all,

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Speaker 1: from Kenyan Sadik. But I would also say that you

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Speaker 1: have to factor in draft capital to some degree, and

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Speaker 1: so we did, like Sadik. More now, Sadiq hasn't been

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Speaker 1: able to find the field because he had to hernia surgery,

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Speaker 1: so we'll see what happens with all of that. But

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Speaker 1: yest Ours is dropping a ton in Best Ball right now.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind twentieth round Eli Stowers on DraftKings. Whenever

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Speaker 1: you have like a Jalen Hurts team, you know, like,

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Speaker 1: I think that's still totally defensible and fine because you

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Speaker 1: could not only get it in a four quarterback build

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Speaker 1: or sorry, four tight end build, but you could also

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Speaker 1: get you know, you're getting that correlation. You could see

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Speaker 1: a spike towards the end of the year as he

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Speaker 1: gets more acclimated to the game and such. So I'm

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Speaker 1: not like overly shocked by by you know, the reporting

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Speaker 1: and stuff. I also feel like maybe some of the

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia reports are not just have not been as bollish

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Speaker 1: on the rookies as much, and they're just being more

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Speaker 1: realistic as some other reports would be because rookies do

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Speaker 1: tend to be a little bit slower to get going,

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Speaker 1: you know, Like there's a lot of talk about Dontavian

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Speaker 1: Wicks playing ahead of Mikayle Lemon, and I think that's

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Speaker 1: could happen.

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Speaker 5: Very easily to start the season.

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Speaker 1: But we as fantasy managers have to think about not

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Speaker 1: just the start of the season, but how that season

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Speaker 1: might unfold. So yeah, I mean, like stours isn't something

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Speaker 1: that you should really care about from a redraft perspective

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Speaker 1: right now, a season long perspective, and then best ball,

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Speaker 1: if you want to throw that dart for a stack,

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Speaker 1: I still think it's it's viable.

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Speaker 3: Okay. Next item is the headline ties or like kissing

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Speaker 3: your Kirk Cousins. You ever heard the dadage ties like

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Speaker 3: kissing your cousin?

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Speaker 1: No, that sound sounds like a Tennessee thing, like like

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Speaker 1: I grew up in Tennessee type type adage.

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Speaker 3: Nobody wins, nobody loses.

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Speaker 4: But according to the Athletic Sam Warren, Cousins took all

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Speaker 4: the first team reps in offseason practices, looks like he

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Speaker 4: might be the starter there, Like what if he just

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Speaker 4: plays the whole season?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's possible, but unlikely just because this

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Speaker 1: is not an abnormal situation for rookie quarterback to find

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Speaker 1: himself in. And every single year we do this and

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Speaker 1: the rookie quarterbacks starting by week seven. You know, I

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Speaker 1: still think Mendoza is gonna play this year because because

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Speaker 1: Vegas is more than likely not gonna be competitive, and

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Speaker 1: when they're not competitive, then we're gonna see Mendoza.

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Speaker 5: Now that being said, if.

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Speaker 1: Your expectation is that Mendoza is gonna be starting for

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Speaker 1: Vegas Week one, I think that's probably not gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: I think Kirk Cousins will be under center for them

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Speaker 1: to start the year. But uh yeah, I mean, like

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Speaker 1: I'm not I don't have these visions of the Raiders

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Speaker 1: being competitive this year. So we're gonna see Mendoza eventually,

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Speaker 1: and typically when that's the case, we see them sooner

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Speaker 1: than we think. It's just the way that you know,

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Speaker 1: there's there's pressures that come with it, and there's you know,

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Speaker 1: it's all like Cousins is unbelievable and like you can't

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Speaker 1: miss type talent, So I wouldn't be shocked if we

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Speaker 1: see Mendoza, you know, and like from like that week

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Speaker 1: six to ten Ranche. I don't know when their bye

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Speaker 1: week is though, because it's typically a point in time

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Speaker 1: when we would see that switch. It looks like week thirteen,

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Speaker 1: So it's that's not very convenient for you know, Mendoza

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Speaker 1: per se. But at the very least I think he's

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Speaker 1: going to be starting by the time that that by.

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Speaker 3: A week happens.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it would be a playoff, fancy playoff starter, definitely

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Speaker 4: not in real life playoffs. Dan Duggan in The Athletic

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Speaker 4: he wrote an article previewing the Giants team camp and

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Speaker 4: he says that Tracy has an undefined role. So the

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Speaker 4: headline here is Tracy needs a dtr a defined a

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Speaker 4: relationship BO.

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Speaker 3: Maybe not the RB two there in New York.

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Speaker 5: I mean that would be pretty surprising.

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Speaker 1: It's a brand new, you know, uh coaching staff system,

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Speaker 1: et cetera. Tracy has more explosion than the other guys

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Speaker 1: in that backfield. The one thing I'll say about him though,

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Speaker 1: and look, I'm a truther, like I liked him coming out.

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Speaker 1: I was in I was in on him, you know,

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Speaker 1: his rookie season and and uh and so on. But

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Speaker 1: I think that we have to be realistic in that,

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Speaker 1: Like there are players like him who come out as

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Speaker 1: these tweeeners who look really good as pass catchers because

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Speaker 1: they were wide receiver converts, but that doesn't mean that

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Speaker 1: they're necessarily good pass catchers at the NFL level or

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Speaker 1: automatically means the good pass catchers at the NFL level.

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Speaker 1: Tyrone Tracy has not been that efficient as a pass

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Speaker 1: catcher and Cam Skataboo last year, which, by the way,

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Speaker 1: spoiler alert, you know, just a little tease, I have

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Speaker 1: Cam Skataboo as a player to target in this year's draft.

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Speaker 3: Guy.

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Speaker 5: I think that.

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Speaker 1: In season long leagues where you can get him in

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Speaker 1: like the late fourth, let's say, fifth round or something.

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Speaker 1: Because of this injury, if he were completely healthy and

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Speaker 1: we I had this conversation with nez On' becoming a

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Speaker 1: best ball bro, but if camp Scatabu were completely healthy,

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Speaker 1: he'd be like a round two three turn.

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Speaker 5: Type player based on his usage last year and based

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Speaker 5: on how.

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Speaker 1: He was scoring over nineteen BPR points per game before

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Speaker 1: the injury happened last year and after week one where

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Speaker 1: he just didn't get that much run. And if you

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Speaker 1: think about the mentality that you know harbab brings, it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be more of that, like hard nosed physical style

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Speaker 1: of play. And I mean Camp Scataboo. There's no player

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Speaker 1: in the league at running back that fits that more.

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Speaker 1: So I think that as long as he's fine enough,

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Speaker 1: even if he's ninety percent, he's gonna get a big

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Speaker 1: workload in my opinion. The Tyrone Tracy thing though, is

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Speaker 1: like I think he compliments Cam Skataboo really well, so

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Speaker 1: I still think he's gonna end up being RB two.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean, like I think that this just

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Speaker 5: makes me feel even.

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Speaker 1: A little bit more bullish about Skataboo and what they're

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Speaker 1: how they're feeling about him and what that could look

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Speaker 1: like this season.

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Speaker 4: Okay, next is the Woody Buzz little toy story words there.

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Speaker 3: Cute, Yeah, thank you.

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Speaker 4: Woody Marks is getting used to his role as a

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Speaker 4: third down pass catching guy, working on receiving and returning kicks.

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Speaker 4: I'm not sure how this how this plays into the

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Speaker 4: RB two stuff that you've been talking about.

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Speaker 1: JJ, I really didn't think that I would be in

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Speaker 1: at all or higher than the market on David Montgomery.

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Speaker 5: And I'm not in Best Ball.

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Speaker 1: I haven't really drafted that much David Montgomery in Best

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Speaker 1: Ball this season. I have, I've drafted some, but I'm

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Speaker 1: probably gonna be at like, you know, for Best Ball

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Speaker 1: bros out there, like three percent David Montgomery, you know,

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Speaker 1: nothing substantial. But it's really odd because I feel like

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Speaker 1: David Montgomery is the kind of player that would look

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Speaker 1: really good in the season long world where ADP would

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Speaker 1: really favor him, just because he's a player who is

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Speaker 1: projected to get a lot of volume, even though maybe

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Speaker 1: the talent level isn't like obscene and it's not like

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Speaker 1: an unbelievably great environment. Although I do think that the

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Speaker 1: offensive line is gonna be better for Houston this year.

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Speaker 1: But I'm like three I'm like three spots above market

382
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Speaker 1: season long market with my my David Montgomery rank right now.

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Speaker 1: So that was a little odd and I want to

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Speaker 1: at least throw that out there. It makes me feel,

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Speaker 1: you know, with the woody marks stuff like in the end,

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Speaker 1: when we look back on this season, I think that

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Speaker 1: there is at least a chance I'm not saying we're

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Speaker 1: projecting it that way, that he is just expensive Leaquin Allen,

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Speaker 1: you know, like, I think that that's like a range

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Speaker 1: of outcomes possibility for what he marks, because he he

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Speaker 1: did not go read his prospect profile in the Prospect

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Speaker 1: Guided last year. Nothing about his profile screamed belcow back, right,

393
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Speaker 1: and you know, he was kind of by default as

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Speaker 1: to why he was getting some of that work last year.

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Speaker 1: And then they go out and they get David Montgomery.

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Speaker 1: And we know Montgomery can handle a big workload and

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Speaker 1: he's not the sexiest back, but David Montgomery is the

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Speaker 1: guy that if you you know, need to hit a

399
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Speaker 1: single or a double, you can get a single or double.

400
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 1: You're not going to hit a home run with David

401
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:17,840
Speaker 1: Montgomery more than likely, right, But sometimes that's okay for

402
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 1: certain team builds, you know. And so that's why I

403
00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: think the ranking is showing what it's showing. But I

404
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,720
Speaker 1: just am not impressed by Woody marks as like a runner.

405
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Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, like his pass catching chops were

406
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 1: very real in college and they just for whatever reason,

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00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,439
Speaker 1: didn't really deploy him that way last year. And so

408
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,399
Speaker 1: I'm not that surprised that like they're seeing that vision

409
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 1: now because that's the kind of player that Woody marks is.

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00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 4: The kickoff return gives me a little bit of concern

411
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Speaker 4: just because it seems like he was in the Blue

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Speaker 4: tent every week last last year.

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Speaker 5: It's like the Deontay Johnson thing.

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Speaker 1: It's like every single time Deontay Johnson had a game,

415
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Speaker 1: he would get hurt on like the first drud Jalen

416
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 1: Wattles kind of like that too. But Woody Marx last

417
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 1: year was it was crazy. I think someone did the

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00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 1: analysis in like eight of the of their games or something.

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Speaker 5: He found himself in the blue tent at one point.

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Speaker 5: It was it was wild.

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Speaker 3: Okay, uh.

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Speaker 4: Moving on to another potential RB two snip Snap Chris

423
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Speaker 4: Rodriguez saw beat beat reporters saying that he expects Chris

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Speaker 4: Rodriguez to carve out a big role. That was the

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Speaker 4: headline and wrote a world I just I don't know.

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Speaker 3: This train. This Chris Rodriguez base Shall Tuton train, I don't.

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Speaker 3: I don't know where it leads to JJ.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well all roads generally lead to base Shall Tutin.

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Speaker 5: I'll say that first look.

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00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: I sent this tweet whenever the Chris Rodriguez buzz in

431
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,440
Speaker 1: the Fantasy space was starting. After that signing where people

432
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Speaker 1: were like, you know, it was very much at that

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Speaker 1: point like, oh, I'm I like Chris Rodriguez more than

434
00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,159
Speaker 1: ba Shall Tutin, you know, is very much a split. Now,

435
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 1: obviously we see ADP right now where I think ADP

436
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: where Chris Rodriguez goes totally fine. I've taken them in

437
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 1: Best Ball drafts like I think it's it's a fine

438
00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:12,400
Speaker 1: spot when you consider the offensive environment. I think base

439
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 1: Shall Tutin is in a fine spot. Tutin's actually even

440
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,920
Speaker 1: more appealing in season long for the record, when you

441
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 1: look at season long ADP versus what we're seeing within

442
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 1: Best Ball. Well, that being said, and I'm gonna say

443
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 1: the same thing about a player that we're going to

444
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 1: talk to or talk about in a second, but you

445
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 1: have to beware of beat reports when it comes to

446
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 1: the running back position because oftentimes they're so much more

447
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 1: focused on attempts than they are targets and looks out

448
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:41,400
Speaker 1: of the backfield through the air.

449
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 5: And as Goadula pointed out on the show on.

450
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: The RB two rebirth that we did, you know a

451
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 1: couple of days ago, a target is so much more

452
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,399
Speaker 1: valuable than a rush atempt at the running back position

453
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: in fantasy football, we're talking like two two and a

454
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 1: half times as valuable as a rush attempt is. And

455
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 1: so when a the reporter says, this guy's gonna get

456
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 1: a lot of work, Okay, well what does that work

457
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,680
Speaker 1: actually look like when you're looking at like weighted opportunity

458
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 1: from a fantasy football perspective. And with Chris Rodriguez, I

459
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 1: still have the exact same take that I had after

460
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:18,120
Speaker 1: he signed there, which is the dude does not catch passes.

461
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 5: He didn't do it in college, he has not done

462
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:21,400
Speaker 5: it in the NFL.

463
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 1: And I did a mailback episode and I looked back

464
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 1: at players who started their first few years in their

465
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 1: NFL career with fewer than twenty receptions, fewer than ten

466
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 1: receptions and very rarely, I mean where he's at reception wise.

467
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 1: We don't see players pan out and give us like,

468
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:41,159
Speaker 1: you know, legitimate RB two seasons. But even at like

469
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: twenty receptions across the first three years, I think it

470
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 1: was like we had like mark Ingram at one point

471
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,679
Speaker 1: do something like that where you know, like like he

472
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 1: didn't he started off a little bit cold with his

473
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 1: reception totals and then you know, became something relatively significant

474
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:02,760
Speaker 1: in fantasy football. But like Rodriguez has played three NFL

475
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: seasons and he has six.

476
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 5: Receptions, Like it is.

477
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 1: You can say what you want about Liam Cohen and

478
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,919
Speaker 1: his tie to him, But like I said on this show,

479
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 1: when the JK. Dobbins reports were coming out, saying that

480
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,640
Speaker 1: the Jags wanted JK Dobbins to me, that says Chris

481
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 1: Rodriguez wasn't a priority for the Jags this offseason and

482
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 1: he was a backup plan because they wanted JK. Dobbins

483
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,919
Speaker 1: to compliment base Jall Tooton, which makes sense because it's

484
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 1: another early down guy who hasn't proven to be anything significant.

485
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 5: As a pass catcher.

486
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 1: And so I still think that the upside which is

487
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 1: what we should be chasing, especially in season long, where

488
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 1: you can make up for the mistake and such like.

489
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:46,120
Speaker 5: It's a little bit different in best ball.

490
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 1: If you want to say the opportunity cost is really big,

491
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: I'll just take a little bit of a safer option

492
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: in that round five range.

493
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 5: Fine, that's fine.

494
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,880
Speaker 1: I'm not like massively high on Tuton in best ball,

495
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 1: but I think in season.

496
00:23:58,160 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 5: Long, you just go for it.

497
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 1: You go for the guy who has has a legitimate

498
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 1: top fifteen running back upside in fantasy football, which is

499
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 1: what base Shall Tuton has, and you're drafting him as

500
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,920
Speaker 1: a high end RB three in season long like across

501
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 1: every platform. So, uh, Rodriguez is fine. But as I said,

502
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: when this signing happens, drafting Chris rodri preferring Chris Rodriguez

503
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,439
Speaker 1: over base Shall Tutan is it's a five condom choice.

504
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 5: That's That's what I had tweeted.

505
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 3: All right.

506
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,639
Speaker 4: From that to this Ben Solak, who's we get to

507
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:41,200
Speaker 4: meet at the Super Bowl? Great at ESPN, he had

508
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 4: his breakout canits for each team and there are.

509
00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 3: Some tight ends on this list.

510
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 1: Oh here we go. I let me guess one of them.

511
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 1: Can I just guess one of them? Because that is

512
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: why you're bringing it up?

513
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 5: Ready, ready, gunner Helm is one of them.

514
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,439
Speaker 3: There are three. Gunner Helm is one of them. I

515
00:24:58,440 --> 00:24:59,880
Speaker 3: did not you see on this list.

516
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 4: So it's highlighted in orange because the one I wanted

517
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 4: to talk about was Eric All for Cincinnati.

518
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 3: It kind of surprised me.

519
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 5: It's interesting, yeah.

520
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, said that he's kind of a big, explosive tight

521
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:18,919
Speaker 4: end and he out snapped is Sicky in five of

522
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,200
Speaker 4: the nine games last year and looked for him to

523
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:26,120
Speaker 4: coming off injury to kind of be in in that role.

524
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 3: Also, A. J.

525
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,679
Speaker 4: Barner was the third tight end, but yes, JJ gunner

526
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 4: Helm was on that list.

527
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,400
Speaker 1: So yeah, well the Eric Also Eric all didn't play

528
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,800
Speaker 1: last him in twenty twenty four is rookie season because

529
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: he got hurt and then just didn't play last year.

530
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:46,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, like I understand the They also drafted I

531
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 1: can't remember the tight end off the top of my

532
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: head right now, but a guy that the Model didn't

533
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: really mind that much from what Hibner wasn't. No, that

534
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:58,679
Speaker 1: was the Ravens anyway, but they did get somebody. I'm

535
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 1: just I'm just blanking right now. I mean a brain

536
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 1: fart live on air. Uh, But yeah, I mean, like

537
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:05,679
Speaker 1: I think the Eric All one is a little bit

538
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:06,320
Speaker 1: of a deep cut.

539
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:08,200
Speaker 5: We'll see what happens with him returning.

540
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,159
Speaker 1: I still think Kasicki will probably be more of the

541
00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 1: primary pass catching tight end, but in dynasty leagues, like

542
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,439
Speaker 1: don't forget about them in deep ones and deep yeah injuries,

543
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: that's right, injuries, jack, Yeah, But in like, the Model

544
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 1: didn't really mind him that much based on on where

545
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 1: that draft capital was, But yeah, that's a that's a

546
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 1: very interesting name that no one in the fantasy space

547
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: is currently like I've been. I have him on a

548
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 1: lot of Dynasty rosters, Eric All, I've just been kind

549
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 1: of stashing him, but I've even dropped him. I dropped

550
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,440
Speaker 1: him in one because I just needed space and there

551
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 1: just wasn't that available for me. And you know, it

552
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 1: was a little bit shallower. So I would be kind

553
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:50,120
Speaker 1: of upset from that perspective if Eric Hall breaks out.

554
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:55,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, we did have a good profile yet Scott said,

555
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 4: holy undertaker meme to all my air called Dynasty bags.

556
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:00,479
Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly comes out.

557
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 1: That was not a name that I expected to like.

558
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,080
Speaker 1: Like a Gunner Hell makes sense, you know, the A J.

559
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 5: Barner.

560
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 1: You know, he had a role last year, and he

561
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 1: makes sense because I think Seattle's gonna throw it a

562
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:12,199
Speaker 1: little bit more and stuff. But Eric All is a

563
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 1: deep cut and that's why we like That's why we

564
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 1: like Solacs because he's he's thinking a little bit deeper

565
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:18,200
Speaker 1: than most.

566
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 4: Speaking of tight ends, Craft, Tucker Craft might be ready

567
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 4: for training camp, not just week one, but training camp.

568
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 4: If so, that would be welcome news to Packers fans

569
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 4: and just Green Bay offense fans for fantasy, I.

570
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 1: Think I have Craft a tight end five right now,

571
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,159
Speaker 1: right after the big four. I have him, and then

572
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 1: Fannin and Pitts and Laporta you know after, you know

573
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,120
Speaker 1: as the next four.

574
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:51,679
Speaker 5: But look, Kraft is one of those players where you

575
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 5: definitely can't assume regression for him because he might just

576
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 5: be George Kittle, light like and light right like. He

577
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 5: just he might be one of those guys it's just

578
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 5: really good in you yards per target, just amazing after

579
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,159
Speaker 5: the catch, and I think in this environment there's a

580
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,719
Speaker 5: lot to like about that. The one downside.

581
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 1: Risk with Tucker Craft is the Packers often don't get

582
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:21,159
Speaker 1: their pass catchers enough routes, and I'm a little bit afraid,

583
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 1: like that's one of the main reasons I think Trey

584
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: McBride is scary this year because he ran so many

585
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 1: routes last year and without those routes, Like if I

586
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 1: did some analysis in the draft guide with this, but

587
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:35,800
Speaker 1: if this is just a general idea of like why

588
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 1: we care about routes run, you know at tight end,

589
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 1: especially because tight end is one where tight ends are

590
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: not running routes on ninety five percent of the dropbacks

591
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: that frequently, and so like Trey McBride last year, if

592
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 1: you were to regress and take down his routes run

593
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: number to just the number two tight end in the league,

594
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 1: which I think was Travis Kelce and routes run, he

595
00:28:57,600 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 1: would have scored like three and a half fewer PPR

596
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 1: points game Trey McBride based on his Fantasy points per

597
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 1: route run numbers.

598
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 5: And so there's a lot.

599
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: To buy into from a route's run perspective and the

600
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,959
Speaker 1: way Green Bay runs their offense. It's a little bit

601
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 1: scary with Tucker Craft and he's coming off the injury

602
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: still and maybe they limit him a little bit to

603
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:22,040
Speaker 1: ramp up to start the year, but he's a beast.

604
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 1: I don't think you should be fading Tucker Craft like

605
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm not like hardcore in you know, but

606
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 1: I'm not out on Craft this year.

607
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 5: I think he's fine. Where he goes shout.

608
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 3: Out to Zayn Denanni. We've talked about him on the.

609
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 4: Show, but he had a couple of good tweets where

610
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 4: he takes a look at like the insiders and what

611
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 4: they're saying and brings it to the masses.

612
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 3: On x Donani zayn is is his handle there on X.

613
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 4: But he said the TLDR and the Vikings running back

614
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 4: Jordan Mason Aaron Jones, that this is Jordan Mason's back

615
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 4: build and Aaron Jones will mainly spell and eat in

616
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 4: two pass owns. Yeah, that's that's a big revelation for us.

617
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, look, I had Aaron Jones.

618
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 1: I've made that gap in my rankings so much smaller

619
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 1: as the weeks have gone on the summer if people

620
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 1: have been kind of monitoring that, and I actually right

621
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 1: now in half PPR have Jordan Mason a little bit

622
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: ahead of Aaron Jones. And this is I've been very

623
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 1: anti Jordan Mason historically. The reason this is different than

624
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,600
Speaker 1: the Chris Rodriguez situation is because you have a potential

625
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 1: ascending talent. I'm not saying it's a lock, but a

626
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 1: potential ascending talent in base Shall Tuton that Chris Rodriguez

627
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: is competing with versus a guy in Jordan Mason who's

628
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 1: competing with an aged you know, uh, Aaron. I I

629
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 1: love Aaron Jones, but an aged Aaron Jones who might

630
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: not be able to carry a big workload. And there

631
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 1: are way more question marks about Jones than there is

632
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: bay Shall Tuton. So there's a lot bigger of a

633
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 1: discrepancy in the talent that they're competing with.

634
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 5: And then you look at Demon.

635
00:30:55,920 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 1: Claiborne, who they drafted, and Claiborne is someone that and

636
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:01,920
Speaker 1: I talked about this on becoming a best ball bro

637
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 1: if anyone listens to that, I'm just kind of reiterating

638
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: what I said there. But Claiborne is more of an

639
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones type back where he's you know, Jones is

640
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 1: bigger than Claiborne, but Claiborne's undersized and he's speedy, and

641
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 1: he's a I mean not that Jones is like this

642
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: like hyper speed guy and super agile, but he's very

643
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 1: good as a receiver. And Claiborne is a receiving back

644
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:27,959
Speaker 1: that that's really what teams were looking at him for

645
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 1: and why they likely drafted him. He's not this like

646
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: bellcal type back. And so just by default, I think

647
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: Jordan Mason could easily walk into two hundred carries this

648
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: year because this backfield, like, I think that we're gonna

649
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 1: see Minnesota with better game scripts because they no longer

650
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 1: are going to use JJ McCarthy. The offense should just

651
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 1: be better in general. That could just lead to more

652
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 1: running back volume, and that could lead to Jordan Mason

653
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 1: getting more work. And you know, this is not the

654
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 1: type of running back that I typically draft in season long,

655
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: so this is definitely more of a best ball take.

656
00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,520
Speaker 1: You know, people get this backwards a lot where they

657
00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: think that like better and best ball means the players

658
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 1: who are just really high ceiling, but it's really you're

659
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,600
Speaker 1: just buying points in different parts of the draft. And

660
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: I think right now where Jordan Mason is going, you're

661
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 1: attaching him to what could be a good offense given

662
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell, and you know Kyler Murray being there.

663
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 5: And then on top of it, and it's a double

664
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:17,040
Speaker 5: ditch round pick.

665
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 1: And on top of that, you know right now, even

666
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 1: on a full PPR platform, that Jordan Mason is gonna

667
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 1: see work like, he's gonna get some production.

668
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 5: He's probably gonna have some spiked weeks.

669
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 1: And you know, I don't think he's a good pass

670
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 1: catcher because he's never proven to be a good pass catcher,

671
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 1: so I don't want to project that, but I do

672
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 1: think that maybe he could see a modest bump.

673
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,800
Speaker 5: In target share just based on what they have competition wise.

674
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 1: So I'm having I'm a little bit more open minded

675
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 1: that because I think what I've done in the past

676
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 1: is completely from a process perspective, is completely close off

677
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 1: this kind of archetype, despite it that the cost being appealing.

678
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,720
Speaker 1: Right last year, I didn't I faded George Mason because

679
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 1: his cost was like round seven. It was way too

680
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,520
Speaker 1: expensive for a guy who didn't catch passes. But now

681
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: it's like round eleven, round twelve, if not later in

682
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 1: season long leagues. And this is where I just should

683
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,719
Speaker 1: no longer have a hard stance about fading a player

684
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 1: because there is still an out where he sees a

685
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 1: seven percent target share, a six percent target share, and

686
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: maybe he just runs hot on the ground and he

687
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 1: has a decent amount of rushing touchdowns, and he's a

688
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 1: Javonte Williams type, right, Like, That's what I made the

689
00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 1: mistake of with Javonte Williams last year was this very

690
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:37,479
Speaker 1: similar ish archetype and profile. And you know, Javonte Williams is

691
00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: better in pass pro and a better receiver and had

692
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 1: a better backbone as a prospect.

693
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 5: But Jordan Mason's.

694
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 1: Done something in the NFL, and so I'm trying not

695
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 1: to like hardcore fade this. I'm actually to this point

696
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 1: like I'm higher than the market on Jordan Mason, and

697
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 1: I never thought that would be the case.

698
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 5: But I'm just playing the cost game. I'm playing the

699
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:56,320
Speaker 5: ADP game here.

700
00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 3: Okay.

701
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 4: On the last news item is again the talking point

702
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 4: between running backs. Something that we're looking for this is

703
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 4: Zane's take on what to watch in camp said, it

704
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:17,719
Speaker 4: sounds like there's a shot for Trayvon Henderson to earn

705
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:21,840
Speaker 4: more versus Ramondre Stevenson. So basically they're gonna be splitting reps.

706
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 4: But something to watch for in camp is how they

707
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 4: do it, because there's an opportunity for Trayvon to begin

708
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:28,399
Speaker 4: to take over.

709
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:33,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, my stance on this is I think ADP's already

710
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:37,600
Speaker 1: reflected this, so it doesn't really change that that much.

711
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,680
Speaker 1: You know, I think Remondre is the better value between

712
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 1: the two, just because there's a bigger opportunity cost with

713
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 1: with Travion, and you know, you can look at where Ramondre.

714
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 5: Goes in Best Ball. He's even cheaper and season long.

715
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,359
Speaker 1: Just based on some of the ADP sources that I've

716
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 1: been looking at because in the draft guid I'm really

717
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,760
Speaker 1: trying to pinpoint like, hey, if you drafting on ESPN,

718
00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 1: you know, Quentin Johnson right now is past wide receiver

719
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 1: fifty on ESPN, which is crazy me.

720
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:00,879
Speaker 4: Uh.

721
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: And then you know, same thing with with like Yahoo

722
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,919
Speaker 1: or wherever you're playing. I'm trying to call that out

723
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:10,799
Speaker 1: on here. Every time I say Yahoo Kitchen, Kitchen loves

724
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 1: to smirk and be like, you did it again.

725
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: You said it that time you say, oh.

726
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 5: I try to now now I now I just play

727
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 5: into the bid.

728
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 1: But uh, but yeah, over on Yahoo, Ramondre, you know

729
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 1: might or uh, you know, you might see different ADPs.

730
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 1: And then I'm trying to reflect that in the uh

731
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 1: in the draft guide.

732
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean.

733
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 1: Look, I think the report when I was looking at

734
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 1: it was very mostly like, hey, if Trayvon Henderson gets

735
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:38,279
Speaker 1: better at the things that he was bad at last year,

736
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 1: he's gonna get more work.

737
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,080
Speaker 5: And I think we all know that, right. But in

738
00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 5: the end, uh, you know what will go down.

739
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 1: Is there's still gonna be probably a shorter leash than

740
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 1: we would like with Henderson.

741
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 5: I'm I'm not betting on the.

742
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 1: Henderson breakout to happen this year. But I'm definitely not

743
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 1: against drafting him. You know, I'm just very neutral with

744
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:01,759
Speaker 1: my Henderson's stance. I like I like Remandre because you know,

745
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,879
Speaker 1: New England's going to face a tougher schedule and when

746
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 1: that happens, they're gonna want somebody. And if they have

747
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:09,360
Speaker 1: more negative game scripts, you know, you might think, oh,

748
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 1: get the dynamic pass catching Henderson out there. But Ramandre

749
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:16,839
Speaker 1: Stevenson is is safer in pass pro and he's you know,

750
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 1: capable of playing that role, and so I think that

751
00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 1: they might just lean on that, especially early on in

752
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 1: the season. You know, maybe it starts to transfer and

753
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:27,600
Speaker 1: move and trade me on's direction as the season goes on,

754
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:30,319
Speaker 1: But that's when you can maybe, you know, like if

755
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 1: you listen to fifteen transactions, we can maybe make some

756
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 1: deals and flip remandree at the at the right time.

757
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 3: Okay, let's get into today's data. Today's data.

758
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 4: All right, we've got positional rank change between scoring settings.

759
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 3: JJ tell us what we're looking at here.

760
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 1: Every year, we get tons and tons of emails from

761
00:36:57,200 --> 00:37:00,399
Speaker 1: people in August in late July and they're like, hey,

762
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,840
Speaker 1: did your draft guide give us full PPR rankings or

763
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 1: half PPR rankings or both. And my stance is always, guys,

764
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:12,360
Speaker 1: you're overrating the difference between full and half PPR.

765
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 5: You just are right.

766
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,320
Speaker 1: Not only are these numbers, looking at it in hindsight

767
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 1: where Jamal williams seventeen touchdown season is captured in this data,

768
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,799
Speaker 1: so obviously that was a really funky, weird season. When

769
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:30,919
Speaker 1: we're projecting, we see very very little difference from half

770
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,799
Speaker 1: to full PPR. Obviously from full to standard you're gonna

771
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:36,719
Speaker 1: see more of a difference. But if you do half

772
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 1: PPR rankings and if you're looking at half PPR rankings,

773
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 1: what this shows you is that when you look at

774
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 1: running backs from half to full PPR in the way

775
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 1: that they actually performed, I'm not looking at projections. I'm

776
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 1: looking at how they actually performed. Thirty two percent of

777
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:54,160
Speaker 1: them don't see a rank change when they finished in

778
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 1: the top twenty fourth the position. They don't see a

779
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: rank change in PPR points per game versus half PPR

780
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,440
Speaker 1: points per game thirty two percent of them do. Another

781
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 1: thirty two percent only see a change in positional finish

782
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,439
Speaker 1: of one or of just one spot. So they could

783
00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 1: let's say they finished as RB seventeen and full PPR leagues,

784
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 1: that means they would be either RB sixteen or RB

785
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 1: eighteen in half APR leagues.

786
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:19,240
Speaker 5: That's what that's saying.

787
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,240
Speaker 1: And as you go down further and further, very rarely

788
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 1: are these players really shifting in their overall rank from

789
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 1: one scoring setting to the next. It just doesn't happen

790
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: very frequently whatsoever. And that only diminishes when you look

791
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 1: at top twelve and top six. So this is looking

792
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 1: at top twenty four running backs and wide receivers in.

793
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:38,879
Speaker 5: Top twelve tight ends.

794
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,319
Speaker 1: If you look at top twelve running backs and wide

795
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 1: receivers and top six tight ends, that gap is even

796
00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:46,479
Speaker 1: smaller because there's less of variation with those those types

797
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:51,360
Speaker 1: of players. So don't focus so heavily on scoring changes

798
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:54,240
Speaker 1: from half to full PPR. Understand if there are funky

799
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 1: scoring rules in your league, I'm not saying, don't pay

800
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 1: attention to that. But the bigger deal is the supply

801
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 1: and demand and stuff. It's are you in a super

802
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:03,240
Speaker 1: flex league?

803
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 5: Are you look? You know, do you have four flex spots?

804
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 3: You know?

805
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 1: Like, what what is the what is the actual demand.

806
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 5: For these positions?

807
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:12,320
Speaker 1: Don't worry so much about if it's full or half PPR,

808
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 1: because again we're looking at this in hindsight. With these charts,

809
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 1: this is saying this is what happened. When you're actually

810
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:22,080
Speaker 1: projecting what's going to happen between full and half PPR,

811
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 1: the ranking changes really are not significant from one position

812
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 1: to the next.

813
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:31,520
Speaker 3: Okay, let's get on to the main event. It's the

814
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 3: late round, main event.

815
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 4: Okay, we've got bounce back candidates first on the lists.

816
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 3: Mister Ashton Genty.

817
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,279
Speaker 1: I want to be clear these bounce back candates and

818
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: the way that I approach this is I looked at

819
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:49,879
Speaker 1: players who did not perform well versus expectation last year,

820
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 1: and by expectation, I'm looking at only relevant fantasy weeks.

821
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 1: So I removed the final, so Week eighteen's not part

822
00:39:57,080 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: of this equation. And so again adp expectation and you

823
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 1: have a history of where these guys are drafted and

824
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:05,840
Speaker 1: how many PPR points per game. We expect players to

825
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 1: score based on where they were drafted. That's just done

826
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 1: through regression analysis, and then how a player actually scores,

827
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 1: we can compare that to their expectation to see how

828
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 1: they played above or below expectation, and so Ashton Genty

829
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 1: last year he played two point four PPR points per

830
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: game below expectation. Now there are other people in the

831
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,240
Speaker 1: fantasy space that do this, now that that look at,

832
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,040
Speaker 1: you know, ADP expectation. They could be doing it in

833
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 1: a slightly different way where their formulas and their regression

834
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,880
Speaker 1: analysis is just slightly different, Like their sample sizes are different,

835
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: their their way, their formulas are different.

836
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 5: Everyone's gonna do it a little bit differently.

837
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:41,719
Speaker 1: And so you know, you might see someone else be

838
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 1: tweeting about this and it's like, oh, but this one

839
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 1: says that Ashon Genty only played two points below expected,

840
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,800
Speaker 1: and it's okay, like that, I get. It's the general

841
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: idea here that we're that we're you know, looking at

842
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:56,839
Speaker 1: So Ashen Genty played to two point four PPR points

843
00:40:56,840 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 1: per game below expected last year, he had three point

844
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 1: seven yards per carry, but he posted the second lowest

845
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:06,360
Speaker 1: yards before contact per a tenth last year because that

846
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 1: offensive line was terrible. It was thirtieth the courter of

847
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 1: PFF run blocking. Now they get Colton Miller back, Tyler

848
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,919
Speaker 1: Linderbaum is there at center. I think the offensive line

849
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:17,480
Speaker 1: is gonna look a lot better. And if you look

850
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:20,080
Speaker 1: at what is sticky from rookie sea, I mean really

851
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:23,240
Speaker 1: any season to the next season, but rookie season stuff.

852
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 1: For these running backs, volume is so much of a

853
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 1: bigger deal than efficiency is in terms of predictiveness. Since

854
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:33,360
Speaker 1: twenty eleven, only Saquon Barkley hid an eighty percent running

855
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 1: back rush are and had just as high of a

856
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 1: target share as Ashton Genty as a rookie running back.

857
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 1: And not only that, Ashton gent right now is the

858
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 1: RB four within market Score. Market Score really likes him too.

859
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 1: So all of that being said, you're gonna be able

860
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,439
Speaker 1: to get Ashton Genty on some fantasy platforms at RB

861
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 1: eight this year based on ADP and I am in

862
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 1: at that cost. I think that he is in the

863
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 1: same tier as James Cook and Jonathan Taylor right now.

864
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 4: Okay, next on the list Ladd McConkie. So Lady talk

865
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 4: about Ladd on this show. So I'm glad that he's here.

866
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I feel like there's there.

867
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 1: I thought I was going to be one of the

868
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 1: big bowls for Lad this year, you know, one of

869
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 1: the people that were really high on him.

870
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 5: But there's so many people that.

871
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 1: Just love Lad, like are obsessed with Lad, and I'm

872
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,080
Speaker 1: more in and out in total spoiler alert. But he

873
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,960
Speaker 1: played four point three points per game below expected.

874
00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 5: Last year.

875
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 1: He saw his targets per out run go from twenty

876
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 1: three percent to nineteen percent. He saw his target share

877
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 1: go from twenty four percent to twenty one percent. But

878
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 1: here's the thing, Mike McDaniel's in LA now. I'm buying.

879
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 1: I think everyone should buy into what this offense could do.

880
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 1: We're gonna see fewer three wide receiver sets and multi

881
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 1: wide receiver sets like that because of this McDaniel offense.

882
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,840
Speaker 1: It's not necessarily tight end heavy, but they'll use a

883
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 1: full back and they'll that'll lose a wide receiver on

884
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 1: the field, and when that happens, usually the wide receivers

885
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 1: on that team end up seeing better efficiency. So if

886
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 1: Ladd can hit a twenty four percent target shair again

887
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 1: in this offense, he should pay off.

888
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 5: So I'm more in and out with Ladd McCaughey right now.

889
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 1: Even though those numbers from last year, I didn't even

890
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 1: post his first downs per hour run right which is

891
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 1: really really glaring. It was like under seven percent. So

892
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,000
Speaker 1: there's a lot of scary previous season numbers with Ladd.

893
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:24,399
Speaker 1: But if you look at the bigger picture, I think

894
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:25,640
Speaker 1: that he's he's still a good pick.

895
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:30,279
Speaker 3: His next guy could could help some.

896
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 4: He could also hurt you as a as a fellow

897
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker owner. He's now in this new on this

898
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:39,840
Speaker 4: new team. He's the next bounce back candidate.

899
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 1: Yes, he played about two points per game below expected

900
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 1: last year. Obviously it's because he split a backfield with

901
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 1: Zach Sharbonnay and and look, you can, you can yell

902
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 1: at the Seattle coaching staff all you want.

903
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:52,839
Speaker 5: I don't understand this.

904
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:55,880
Speaker 1: The like people doing that when they won the freaking

905
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and it was largely it was largely because

906
00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 1: they lost Zax Sarbona and Kenneth Walker was fresh, you know, like, like,

907
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: how can you fault how they handled that backfield last

908
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 1: year given what we saw go down. If anything, they

909
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 1: handled it flawlessly and perfectly right because Sharbonay eventually goes

910
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:15,759
Speaker 1: down and they're like, oh, we have a more fresh

911
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker. Oh, by the way, he won Super Bowl MVP.

912
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:21,600
Speaker 1: You guys, Okay, So let's get over this idea of

913
00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 1: complaining about how they deployed their running back room just

914
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 1: because of your fantasy team. So he played two points

915
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:29,840
Speaker 1: per game below expected. He split that back field Zach Sharbonay.

916
00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: There's easier competition in Kansas City for sure versus Zach

917
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 1: sharpennayause you have Amri de Mercado and Emma Johnson. The

918
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:41,680
Speaker 1: fear with Kenneth Walker is the pass catching. It's not

919
00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:43,319
Speaker 1: that he can't do it, it's not that he's not

920
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:46,160
Speaker 1: efficient doing it. It's that will a team in this

921
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:49,640
Speaker 1: case Kansas City deploy Kenneth Walker in the way for

922
00:44:49,719 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 1: him to truly be a mid range RB one, you know,

923
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,280
Speaker 1: like you're drafting him RB.

924
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:56,959
Speaker 5: Ten, let's say, and.

925
00:44:57,520 --> 00:44:59,480
Speaker 1: Will he be able to finish an RB six, you know,

926
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:01,360
Speaker 1: because that's the to kind of increase an uptick that

927
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 1: you want. I think it's possible, which is why I'm

928
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 1: more neutral with Kenneth Walker. But Emmitt Johnson and a

929
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 1: Mari de Mercado are both pass catching BAX like, they

930
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:13,399
Speaker 1: both can play that role, and that's a little bit scary.

931
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 1: Especially Kenneth Walker hasn't been above an eight percent target

932
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 1: share in all but one season of his career, and

933
00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:25,399
Speaker 1: so oddly and best ball, I've been more out than

934
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 1: in with Walker just because of where his co he

935
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:30,399
Speaker 1: goes with the one two turn on draftings right now,

936
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: but if you look at season long ADP, he's outside

937
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 1: of the top twelve running backs on almost every platform.

938
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: This is why it's so important right now for analysts

939
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:43,800
Speaker 1: to not assume best ball is the way that season

940
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 1: long is going to go. And I'm trying to make

941
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 1: a point this year more than ever to draw that

942
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:53,799
Speaker 1: line and make that distinction with these players because I'm

943
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,360
Speaker 1: fine with drafting Kenneth Walker in season long based on

944
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:58,840
Speaker 1: where he goes and season long, it's a lot harder

945
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 1: for me to take him over some of the running

946
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,279
Speaker 1: backs I just like slightly more, you know, than him,

947
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: Like I've seen him go ahead of Ashton Gents. I'm

948
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 1: taking Ashon Genzy ahead of Kenneth Walker, like I like

949
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:10,560
Speaker 1: him more than Kenneth Walker. But at RB fifteen on

950
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:12,960
Speaker 1: some of these platforms, Yeah, I'll take him at RB fifteen,

951
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 1: That's fine.

952
00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 4: Okay, this next one, I'm really hoping he bounces back,

953
00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:22,840
Speaker 4: like really hoping, and that is Lamar Jackson ratings.

954
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:25,280
Speaker 1: Look so he Yes, he played four point three points

955
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:26,360
Speaker 1: per game below expected.

956
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 5: He was not great last year. Here's the thing though.

957
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 1: Okay, look at his rushing points per game by year.

958
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 1: I have it listed here. The good news is that

959
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:38,200
Speaker 1: this looks like an outlier season. Three point six is

960
00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 1: the latest, is just going in order. I should have

961
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:42,799
Speaker 1: put the year next to these numbers, but I didn't.

962
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 1: The bad news is it's kind of kind of going

963
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 1: down a little bit, you know, the the rushing numbers, Like,

964
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 1: I don't think that we're gonna see that nine point

965
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:53,200
Speaker 1: per game rushing season from Lamar anymore.

966
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 5: But he should be able to get back to six

967
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 5: or seven.

968
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: You know, he should be able to give you the

969
00:46:57,960 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: numbers that he used to you know, there you go,

970
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 1: numbers that that we used to see. You got a

971
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:05,719
Speaker 1: new offensive coordinator, you know, he doesn't have that hamstring issue.

972
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 1: I've been drafting Lamar and best Ball, you know, season long.

973
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:10,480
Speaker 1: I thinks is a little bit different. But I think

974
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,240
Speaker 1: the gap between Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson and ADP

975
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 1: in general is just a little bit too wide.

976
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 5: See this, JJ, There you go, Lamar.

977
00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:20,720
Speaker 3: That's Lamar.

978
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:21,760
Speaker 5: Shout out, Jamie.

979
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:24,839
Speaker 3: Shout out Jamie. Hope to see him in Can again

980
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:25,319
Speaker 3: this year.

981
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 4: Okay, let's go to the next one, and we've talked

982
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:29,359
Speaker 4: about him.

983
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 3: Also, it's DJ Moore.

984
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:34,479
Speaker 1: I see the upside case with DJ Moore for sure.

985
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 1: I think the fit with Josh Allen's great. He's he's

986
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 1: an improviser. DJ Moore is, and obviously Josh Allen is too.

987
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:42,239
Speaker 1: It's just really hard for me to look at what

988
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 1: he's done the last two years and feel really good

989
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:48,040
Speaker 1: about this profile amongst other wide receivers in that range

990
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:49,680
Speaker 1: that are just really good, you know, there's just a

991
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:52,920
Speaker 1: really good competition there. He's had a sub seven percent

992
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 1: first downs perrout run rate and back to back seasons

993
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,319
Speaker 1: that's a really bad number for a guy that's gonna

994
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: be drafted in the top thirty at the position. He's

995
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:02,839
Speaker 1: been below a one point five yards perrout run rate

996
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 1: back seasons, which is also very bad. I mean, the

997
00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:10,839
Speaker 1: trends for players like this have not been friendly whatsoever.

998
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,799
Speaker 1: I like the pairing with Josh Allen hypothetically. I just

999
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:17,480
Speaker 1: don't know if DJ Moore is the player that people

1000
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:18,319
Speaker 1: think that he is.

1001
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:20,440
Speaker 5: So overall, I've been out.

1002
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 3: Okay, Brian Thomas Junior next on this list.

1003
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:28,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, so again another spoiler.

1004
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: I think Parker Washington at his ADP and season long

1005
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:34,480
Speaker 1: is way more attractive than Brian Thomas, but you don't

1006
00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: get that same kind of discount in Best Ball, so

1007
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 1: it's a little bit different. But Brian Thomas played six

1008
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:42,280
Speaker 1: and a half points per game below expected last year.

1009
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: The one thing that's really interesting is that his air

1010
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 1: yards per game really didn't change year over year. He

1011
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:49,480
Speaker 1: just didn't convert the same way that he did as

1012
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 1: a rookie.

1013
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 5: Was that a mac Jones thing?

1014
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe they played some role, but he definitely didn't

1015
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 1: make the big plays that he did, the splash plays

1016
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,440
Speaker 1: that he did as a rookie, and that led to

1017
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:03,080
Speaker 1: a seven percent first downs per out run rate and

1018
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:05,359
Speaker 1: a one point five zero yards per out run, both

1019
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,720
Speaker 1: pretty poor numbers for Brian Thomas.

1020
00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:08,280
Speaker 5: Last season.

1021
00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:10,239
Speaker 1: He also saw his target show go from about twenty

1022
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:13,720
Speaker 1: five percent to nineteen percent. It's a good environment though

1023
00:49:14,040 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 1: there's a lot of positive vibes. He did do what

1024
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:18,799
Speaker 1: he did his rookie season, and he was hurt last year.

1025
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 1: So because of all of that, I'm more neutral with

1026
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,920
Speaker 1: Brian Thomas. I think he's easier to draft in Best

1027
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 1: Ball though than he is in Season one.

1028
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:29,320
Speaker 4: All right, Next one had a touchdown in the playoffs,

1029
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:31,000
Speaker 4: but aside from that, not very much.

1030
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 3: Matthew Golden the Packers.

1031
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,240
Speaker 1: I mean, we talked about Golden with the the market

1032
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,799
Speaker 1: score stuff in his top comp being sky Moore, which

1033
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:40,719
Speaker 1: I think is like kind of a reasonable comp for

1034
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 1: him to have.

1035
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:44,320
Speaker 5: I think that there's still some upside there for sure,

1036
00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:45,760
Speaker 5: like it could click.

1037
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,400
Speaker 1: It might have just been a rough season, and we've

1038
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:51,200
Speaker 1: seen that at times at wide receiver with these rookies.

1039
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,040
Speaker 1: But he had a one point three to five yards

1040
00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 1: per out run rate, a six percent first downs per

1041
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:57,759
Speaker 1: out run rate. He had a questionable prospect profile on

1042
00:49:57,840 --> 00:49:59,879
Speaker 1: top of that. This is one of those players were

1043
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:04,239
Speaker 1: if he had a good prospect profile and he had

1044
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:08,200
Speaker 1: a bad first season, I would be in still at

1045
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 1: this cost. But because I didn't, I wasn't in love

1046
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,800
Speaker 1: with him as a prospect. I'm mostly out Matthew Golden,

1047
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 1: despite like, like, I don't think his ADP is that unreasonable.

1048
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:20,839
Speaker 1: So I don't want to say like totally out, but

1049
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 1: but I am probably mostly out with Golden this year.

1050
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:27,880
Speaker 3: Okay, Saquon is next on this list.

1051
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 1: Three and a half points per game below expected last

1052
00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:33,960
Speaker 1: year for Saquon and that's largely driven by I mean,

1053
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 1: Kevin Matula.

1054
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 5: Sucks like he's still bad.

1055
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 1: I Mean, I've I've said it so many times in

1056
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 1: the show this offseason, but like, I really do think

1057
00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:44,239
Speaker 1: the Eagles are gonna be a lot better this year.

1058
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:46,960
Speaker 5: Last year one of the big reasons.

1059
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 1: And now there is some fear with Saquon that this

1060
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,120
Speaker 1: could just be the turning point of his career and

1061
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:53,600
Speaker 1: he's just not as explosive as he used to be.

1062
00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 1: He hit a one point four percent twenty plus yard

1063
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:57,279
Speaker 1: run rate last year, which was the worst of his

1064
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: career by like a decent margin.

1065
00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:02,480
Speaker 5: And so there is that fear for sure with Saquon.

1066
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:05,799
Speaker 1: But if you look at his his base usage, he

1067
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,240
Speaker 1: actually had a better running back rush, air and target

1068
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:12,120
Speaker 1: share year over year in this offense versus that Super

1069
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:15,200
Speaker 1: Bowl winning year he had two years ago. So I'm

1070
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:18,320
Speaker 1: I'm kind of neutral with Saquon at this point. I

1071
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 1: think he's fine at that one two turn area. There's

1072
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:23,960
Speaker 1: just just so many good running backs that you can

1073
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 1: choose from there that I don't want to be especially

1074
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:29,760
Speaker 1: overweight on a player like him coming off the season

1075
00:51:29,800 --> 00:51:30,479
Speaker 1: that he came off.

1076
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:35,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, as someone who's had the eleven or twelve spot

1077
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:37,600
Speaker 4: on DK more times than not.

1078
00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 3: I feel like I have.

1079
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:44,879
Speaker 4: Too much Saquon Yeah bags right now, all right, last,

1080
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 4: but for my expectation, not least mister Justin Jefferson.

1081
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:54,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, so the crazy Hill teams last year, I mean,

1082
00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 5: he killed, he did, he did.

1083
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 1: He played six point one PPR points per game below expected.

1084
00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:00,680
Speaker 1: I mean, he was one of the worst Fantasy football

1085
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,880
Speaker 1: picks last season in the end, but his you know,

1086
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:05,840
Speaker 1: his usage was still there. It's just that they couldn't

1087
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 1: convert and they had really bad quarterback play. And the

1088
00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:12,360
Speaker 1: crazy thing is that Justin Jefferson, despite his lofty expectation,

1089
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,560
Speaker 1: he's been a top ten wide receiver since his rookie

1090
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:19,360
Speaker 1: year in ADP. Despite that, he's played below ADP expectation

1091
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 1: just once throughout his career, which was last year, which

1092
00:52:23,080 --> 00:52:24,799
Speaker 1: is kind of crazy, like that just goes to show

1093
00:52:24,840 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 1: how good and dominant he's been. Last year was the

1094
00:52:27,960 --> 00:52:31,320
Speaker 1: first time his yards per out run fell below two

1095
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:35,280
Speaker 1: point five. Two point five, you guys, is like an elite,

1096
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:38,839
Speaker 1: elite yards perrout run season. Last year was the first

1097
00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:41,359
Speaker 1: time it fell below that point. I don't think Justin

1098
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,160
Speaker 1: Jefferson just forgot how to play football. I don't think

1099
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 1: that that's a reasonable thing to expect or say. And

1100
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 1: then you get Kyler Murray, who's going.

1101
00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 5: To step in.

1102
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 1: And we've seen Kyler support you know, DeAndre Hopkins in

1103
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:53,279
Speaker 1: the past and such like.

1104
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:54,359
Speaker 5: It's not like it's this.

1105
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 1: Thing that he can't do, even though there's a chance

1106
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,319
Speaker 1: that he's not nearly as good as you know, what

1107
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:03,280
Speaker 1: we're hoping. So right now, my verdict for Justin Jefferson

1108
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 1: is neutral, just because he's being drafted high still right like,

1109
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 1: he's still a high draft pick. But I'm totally fine

1110
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:13,520
Speaker 1: with drafting Justin Jefferson this year. I like the Minnesota offense.

1111
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 1: I really like Kyler Murray as a pick, and so

1112
00:53:16,640 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 1: I'm I'm you know, you could maybe argue I'm more

1113
00:53:19,520 --> 00:53:21,520
Speaker 1: in and out, but I wouldn't be worried about what

1114
00:53:21,520 --> 00:53:24,319
Speaker 1: we saw from Justin Jefferson in twenty twenty five.

1115
00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:31,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, it's hard to imagine quarterback play.

1116
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:33,919
Speaker 3: Being worse than it was last year.

1117
00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:37,840
Speaker 1: Horrible, although oddly, I mean, this is gonna be a

1118
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:41,760
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams stray, but Caleb Williams had a worse completion

1119
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:44,040
Speaker 1: rate over expected than JJ McCarthy last year.

1120
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:48,160
Speaker 3: Last year, Kay Williamson last year.

1121
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:51,440
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams had a worse completion rate over expected.

1122
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:53,680
Speaker 5: The JJ McCarthy.

1123
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:57,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's hope this Vikings offense just gets back to

1124
00:53:57,640 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 4: what it did, what it has been doing in the past,

1125
00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 4: and Jefferson becomes an elite fantasy option again.

1126
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:06,839
Speaker 3: That's what I'm hoping. All right, let's let's wrap this up.

1127
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:16,400
Speaker 4: Okay, Just a reminder that's the Draft Guide coming out

1128
00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 4: on Thursday night, and you can get it by going

1129
00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 4: to lateroad dot com. You can become an All Access

1130
00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:26,399
Speaker 4: member and have it included in your membership as well

1131
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:29,799
Speaker 4: as the twenty twenty six Prospect Guide, and you would

1132
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:32,320
Speaker 4: also be in the twenty twenty seven Prospect Guide.

1133
00:54:33,600 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 3: Sign up for the newsletter.

1134
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:37,400
Speaker 4: Freandane Gadoula has been doing a great job with the

1135
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:40,600
Speaker 4: midweek stuff. I've got the end of week stuff where

1136
00:54:40,640 --> 00:54:42,480
Speaker 4: we kind of recap what's been happening a little bit

1137
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:45,640
Speaker 4: behind the scenes for late round. And then again, if

1138
00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 4: you missed it at the beginning, we are not going

1139
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 4: to have this show next week. JJ is taking a

1140
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:55,640
Speaker 4: much deserved vacation. JJ final thoughts.

1141
00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 5: Look, you know I'm excited for the draft guy to

1142
00:54:58,880 --> 00:54:59,239
Speaker 5: go out.

1143
00:54:59,600 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys enjoy it, and I am equally excited

1144
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:06,640
Speaker 1: to be chilling with the family at the beach.

1145
00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:10,800
Speaker 3: There you go. How's your Scott Fishball team. By the way, I'm.

1146
00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:12,839
Speaker 5: Only two rounds in. I'm in the one twelve spot.

1147
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: I'm in the twelve spot, and I drafted Justin Jefferson, who.

1148
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 5: We just talked about.

1149
00:55:17,360 --> 00:55:20,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, uh, and Trey McBride, who I'm not even like,

1150
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:22,439
Speaker 1: I'm not high on McBride at all this year versus

1151
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:25,759
Speaker 1: the market, but the scoring settings really do favorite tight ends.

1152
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:28,919
Speaker 1: And he you know, he technically he was like five

1153
00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:31,080
Speaker 1: spots below ADP where I drafted him, so I just

1154
00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:31,800
Speaker 1: got him.

1155
00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:33,879
Speaker 4: Whenever I sign up for Scott fish Ball, he gives

1156
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:36,400
Speaker 4: you the option to select your your draft spot, and

1157
00:55:36,400 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 4: I just select first overall.

1158
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:39,040
Speaker 3: Just yeah.

1159
00:55:39,080 --> 00:55:42,319
Speaker 1: I actually forgot to join a league this year, and

1160
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:45,319
Speaker 1: Scott put me in the perfect dark league and then

1161
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,680
Speaker 1: he made me the twelve spot because I had forgotten.

1162
00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:53,920
Speaker 1: And he knows that analysts, you know, like, I love

1163
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:56,120
Speaker 1: Scott fish Ball every year and I pay attention to

1164
00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:57,440
Speaker 1: the drafts and stuff like that. But he's like, it's

1165
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 1: always easiest because you know you're busy and you'll have

1166
00:56:00,120 --> 00:56:02,080
Speaker 1: you can make two picks right in a row like that.

1167
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:03,080
Speaker 5: But I had seen him.

1168
00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:06,839
Speaker 1: I saw him at the Charlotte SFB event and because

1169
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:08,920
Speaker 1: he was there this year, and I was like, did

1170
00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:12,600
Speaker 1: you put me in the Perfect Dark Division or league?

1171
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:14,520
Speaker 1: And he was like yeah. He was like I went

1172
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:16,640
Speaker 1: through and saw the people who hadn't claimed the league yet,

1173
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:18,759
Speaker 1: and you were the only person that I matched. You know,

1174
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:20,480
Speaker 1: other people will match for him, like you know, do

1175
00:56:20,560 --> 00:56:22,360
Speaker 1: that job for him, but he just decided to do

1176
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:22,719
Speaker 1: it for me.

1177
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:23,480
Speaker 3: In particular.

1178
00:56:23,960 --> 00:56:29,640
Speaker 4: I'm in the Halo League, so I chose Gibbs first overall.

1179
00:56:29,680 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 4: But I feel like, first four picks you could have

1180
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 4: gone really anyone, and it hasn't come back around to me,

1181
00:56:35,000 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 4: So that's fun again. Fantacy Cares is the nonprofit that

1182
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,600
Speaker 4: Scott has that it benefits from Scott fish Bull if

1183
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:47,239
Speaker 4: you haven't checked that out. We love Scott and hope

1184
00:56:47,239 --> 00:56:50,560
Speaker 4: to see him in cann at the Ffxpo. We appreciate though,

1185
00:56:50,600 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 4: everyone for tuning in for liking comment. I saw one

1186
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:56,600
Speaker 4: guy who was like commented earlier, was like, Hey, I

1187
00:56:56,640 --> 00:56:59,320
Speaker 4: love that you guys talk about personal stuff on this show,

1188
00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 4: and then then you get into the actual fantasy content.

1189
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:05,680
Speaker 4: Slam the key, so shout out or appreciate his shout out,

1190
00:57:06,120 --> 00:57:08,920
Speaker 4: and again we just appreciate everyone and we'll see you

1191
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 4: next time here on the Late Brown Fantasy Football a