1
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:15,240
Speaker 1: That'd be Monday.

2
00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:18,000
Speaker 2: Everybody, How are you Welcome in to another episode of

3
00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:20,959
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports

4
00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,640
Speaker 2: Talk met to follow me across all socials, and thank

5
00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:25,599
Speaker 2: you for being here.

6
00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,080
Speaker 1: Why Well, the.

7
00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,480
Speaker 2: Monday after the Super Bowl is one of those days

8
00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:34,639
Speaker 2: where like either you got killed yesterday or you are

9
00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,400
Speaker 2: jumping for joy because you're flush, and either you're taking

10
00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:41,040
Speaker 2: your winnings and going out to dinner or you're never

11
00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:43,440
Speaker 2: betting again. Like this is one of those days in

12
00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,280
Speaker 2: the book. There's just not a lot going on. There's

13
00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,000
Speaker 2: three college basketball games. We're gonna bet today because we

14
00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,880
Speaker 2: bet every day. But I appreciate you guys coming back

15
00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:55,560
Speaker 2: here following the super Bowl. There's a big push to

16
00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,920
Speaker 2: like have the Monday after the super Bowl be a holiday.

17
00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,720
Speaker 2: I can't say I disagree with that. Given how many

18
00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,479
Speaker 2: people are on the Strip right now doing crazy things.

19
00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:07,160
Speaker 2: Some of those people have to go to work tomorrow,

20
00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:09,080
Speaker 2: not all of them, but some of them will have

21
00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:11,200
Speaker 2: to get on a plane and fly home tomorrow. Some

22
00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,800
Speaker 2: of them will be missing that plane. Somebody knocked over

23
00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,800
Speaker 2: a light stand on the Strip tonight caused a massive

24
00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:21,560
Speaker 2: traffic jam, but congratulations to the Casey Chiefs. That loss

25
00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,640
Speaker 2: pretty much killed the official plays on the day. If

26
00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:26,360
Speaker 2: the Niners had won that game, it would have been

27
00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,160
Speaker 2: a profitable day. We got both kicking props right. We

28
00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:31,479
Speaker 2: got the plus one ninety on the ball being down

29
00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:33,800
Speaker 2: inside the five yard line, we got that right. We

30
00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:36,160
Speaker 2: got the longest field goal right. We got the under

31
00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,679
Speaker 2: sixteen and a half right on Deebo Samuel. We got

32
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:42,240
Speaker 2: the teaser right, but we got the It was trending

33
00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,360
Speaker 2: for that ninety to one twenty four to twenty final.

34
00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,560
Speaker 2: It was trending in that direction for a lot of

35
00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:49,960
Speaker 2: the second half. Thought we might have got that, but

36
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,600
Speaker 2: we didn't get that. We didn't get the other one

37
00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,040
Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty one right. I didn't at the

38
00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,360
Speaker 2: official predat that was a half a unit down there.

39
00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:58,760
Speaker 2: Niners lose the game, do not cover the one and

40
00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,640
Speaker 2: a half. So we lost one point one units there.

41
00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:03,840
Speaker 2: And then the one big prop bet that I laid

42
00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,440
Speaker 2: one point five units on is the shortage touchdown. I

43
00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:09,280
Speaker 2: cannot believe that nobody got inside. No one really got

44
00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,080
Speaker 2: to the end zone at all in that game. I

45
00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:14,600
Speaker 2: mean it was it's amazingly it stayed under forty seven

46
00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:18,000
Speaker 2: and a half. If you played forty seven early, you pushed,

47
00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:20,920
Speaker 2: But forty seven and a half is where the number

48
00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,639
Speaker 2: closed and the game fell. You know, if you look

49
00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,840
Speaker 2: at the number of points, forty seven points being scored

50
00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,880
Speaker 2: twenty five to twenty two, right, so falls forty seven.

51
00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:33,640
Speaker 2: That's crazy. But the money line, the price is the

52
00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:36,079
Speaker 2: in game. I mean, the books got annihilated. You guys

53
00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,200
Speaker 2: went crazy. Even I took the Chiefs plus three and

54
00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,560
Speaker 2: a half live right, I got that bet right. Took

55
00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:43,440
Speaker 2: a bunch of different things off the live stream that

56
00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,359
Speaker 2: I got wrong, like a lot of the bets I

57
00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:50,760
Speaker 2: was piggybacking off off the live stream, the mahomes and

58
00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:56,720
Speaker 2: the Mahomes anytime touchdown and the Kelsey MVP a couple

59
00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,560
Speaker 2: other ones. I missed the national anthem I threw out there.

60
00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:01,400
Speaker 2: I missed on that, and then I missed on the

61
00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:03,720
Speaker 2: coin flip like just for like you know, like bare

62
00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,120
Speaker 2: minimum bets, like just for fun, just it haves up

63
00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:09,080
Speaker 2: and on it nothing serious. But why I wound up

64
00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,280
Speaker 2: down a little bit, I think, and I mean very

65
00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,280
Speaker 2: very little. I think I ended up down like I

66
00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,760
Speaker 2: don't know, like less than a half a unit personally

67
00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,960
Speaker 2: on the day, but I did officially the down point

68
00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:24,040
Speaker 2: seventy five. I think that's my math. I think that's right.

69
00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:27,280
Speaker 2: Down point seventy five units for the Super Bowl, which

70
00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:29,760
Speaker 2: isn't great, but it's not horrible. Given how hot I

71
00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,880
Speaker 2: was during the week, that's not that big of a deal.

72
00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:36,480
Speaker 1: We still had a massive winning week. But we end football.

73
00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,320
Speaker 2: The NFL was not nearly as profitable as college we

74
00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 2: end the NFL. By my account, it looks like we're

75
00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,120
Speaker 2: going to end somewhere up around five units for the

76
00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:50,240
Speaker 2: NFL for the entire year, which is not outstanding. I'll

77
00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:52,920
Speaker 2: give you that, but it's profitable, Okay, over a whole year,

78
00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,680
Speaker 2: it's profitable. College football is really where we made our mark.

79
00:03:56,760 --> 00:04:01,520
Speaker 2: We finished up thirteen point seventy five units in college football,

80
00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:05,040
Speaker 2: so we wound up if you can find both football

81
00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:09,200
Speaker 2: seasons really really good, good run for us, really really

82
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,160
Speaker 2: good over eighteen units, or sorry, over twenty three units

83
00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,600
Speaker 2: rather for football. So look, you go an entire fall,

84
00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,159
Speaker 2: you're going up over twenty three units. You just can't.

85
00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,200
Speaker 2: You can't get angry about that. You got to be

86
00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:25,680
Speaker 2: excited about about that happening. And oh no, sorry, that's

87
00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,520
Speaker 2: what's wrong. I was up eighteen sur eighteen point.

88
00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:29,279
Speaker 1: Three five units.

89
00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,440
Speaker 2: We were up what did I say, eighteen over eighteen

90
00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,239
Speaker 2: units in college football. If you combine that with the NFL,

91
00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:38,200
Speaker 2: we're up over twenty three units for football. So we

92
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,440
Speaker 2: have two hundred days until the next college football game

93
00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,640
Speaker 2: kicks off. So buckle up with a lot of basketball.

94
00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,560
Speaker 2: Buckle up with a lot of hockey. Baseball Opening day

95
00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,039
Speaker 2: rapidly approaching for us. Our next big event will be

96
00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,800
Speaker 2: March Madness. We've got four future wagers going in already,

97
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,159
Speaker 2: more to come for that. But college basketball is going

98
00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:00,960
Speaker 2: to get us through here. And I got three bets

99
00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,520
Speaker 2: for us going in college basketball. I have no idea

100
00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:07,080
Speaker 2: how hot I'm going to continue for this week. My

101
00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,600
Speaker 2: gut tells me that the day off yesterday will probably

102
00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,480
Speaker 2: cool off the run in college basketball. I got a

103
00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:15,560
Speaker 2: bunch of dms for you guys going, like, where's the

104
00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,760
Speaker 2: college basketball plays? I wasn't bet in college basketball. I

105
00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:20,920
Speaker 2: didn't even look at college basketball yesterday, So it was you.

106
00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,320
Speaker 2: That was just not something that I was going to do.

107
00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:25,400
Speaker 1: But I mean, I.

108
00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,239
Speaker 2: Apologize fore people don't like football. It was the Super Bowl,

109
00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:31,359
Speaker 2: so I was going to bet heavy on football, but

110
00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,280
Speaker 2: college basketball we go back into it. So far in

111
00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:38,520
Speaker 2: twenty twenty four we are forty two and thirty up

112
00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:42,640
Speaker 2: twelve point two units. That is a fifty eight point

113
00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:46,600
Speaker 2: three percent win percentage so far here in college basketball.

114
00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,000
Speaker 2: Three bets for us going here tonight. But before I

115
00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:50,839
Speaker 2: give you the plays, let me tell you about Omaha

116
00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:55,120
Speaker 2: Steaks dot Com and a new offer for Omaha Steaks.

117
00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:57,960
Speaker 1: Omaha Steaks, but they've been with us for a while.

118
00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,240
Speaker 2: Okay, But if you guys are making money, if I

119
00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:03,159
Speaker 2: helped you last week with college basketball, here's one way

120
00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:07,520
Speaker 2: to go and help the podcast to ensure delicious Omaha

121
00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,359
Speaker 2: Steaks favors are always on hand, Olmaha Steaks is offering

122
00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:16,560
Speaker 2: the all new subscription program. It's the subscription program that

123
00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:20,000
Speaker 2: puts you in control. You choose the foods, you choose

124
00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,840
Speaker 2: the quantities, and you choose the frequency. Enroll today at

125
00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:28,080
Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot Com, slash Juice and lock in an

126
00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:34,360
Speaker 2: extra ten percent off every subscription order you get, plus

127
00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:41,719
Speaker 2: four free Omaha Steak burgers on all recurring shipments for life.

128
00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:45,520
Speaker 2: For life, that's up to two hundred and eighty seven

129
00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:49,320
Speaker 2: dollars in value, and with every third shipment, as a

130
00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,760
Speaker 2: thank you for subscribing, they're going to send you a

131
00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:56,680
Speaker 2: free gift valued at nineteen ninety nine or more twenty

132
00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,520
Speaker 2: bucks or greater. If you're going on vacation, you got

133
00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:03,200
Speaker 2: to skip a mone easy, change their selections, pause the program,

134
00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:03,840
Speaker 2: or cancel it.

135
00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:04,479
Speaker 1: Any time.

136
00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,040
Speaker 2: When Omaha Steaks says you're in control, they mean it

137
00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,120
Speaker 2: that you are in control. With Omas Steaks, every purchase

138
00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,440
Speaker 2: is backed by their unconditional money back guarantee. Simply go

139
00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,240
Speaker 2: to Olma Steaks dot com slash juice and lock in

140
00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:20,160
Speaker 2: your price and get that extra ten percent off every

141
00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:23,920
Speaker 2: subscription order and you get those free burgers for life.

142
00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:27,400
Speaker 2: Convenience has never tasted so good. Enrolled today at Omas

143
00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,880
Speaker 2: Steaks dot com slash Juice and subscribe to Perfection. Minimum

144
00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:36,600
Speaker 2: purchase may be required omah Steaks dot com slash Juice.

145
00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:38,680
Speaker 1: All Right, three games.

146
00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 2: Let's first by talking about wake Forest at Duke. Wake

147
00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:47,800
Speaker 2: Forest has been dreadful on the road this year. ATS.

148
00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,480
Speaker 2: They are three and seven ATS on the road this season,

149
00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:55,000
Speaker 2: they're six to five and one in the ACC, but

150
00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,480
Speaker 2: nine to three and one at home.

151
00:07:58,000 --> 00:07:59,600
Speaker 1: They're much different on the road.

152
00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,080
Speaker 2: Last time out at home against MC State, they won,

153
00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,520
Speaker 2: but they didn't cover. On the road against Georgia Tech,

154
00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:07,840
Speaker 2: they killed them, won by twenty nine points at five

155
00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,160
Speaker 2: point favorites. But then you start looking at what happened

156
00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,960
Speaker 2: previously on the road at pitt lost by five on

157
00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,960
Speaker 2: the road at North Carolina lost by twenty one on

158
00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:19,800
Speaker 2: the road at NC State lost by seven on the

159
00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:22,960
Speaker 2: road against Miami Sorry against Florida State lost by five.

160
00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,800
Speaker 1: Not good. They've covered one time.

161
00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:31,200
Speaker 2: In their last one two three four five road games

162
00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:35,760
Speaker 2: one in four ats Duke, on the other hand, just

163
00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:39,360
Speaker 2: blew out Boston College at home, laying twelve and a half.

164
00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,319
Speaker 2: They won by fifteen. Against nor Dame laid by seventeen,

165
00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:45,959
Speaker 2: they won by eighteen. That was on the heels of

166
00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,400
Speaker 2: their loss in North Carolina where they were four and

167
00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:51,200
Speaker 2: a half point home dogs and they lost by nine,

168
00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:54,080
Speaker 2: sorry road dogs, rather than they lost by nine. They

169
00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,880
Speaker 2: won on the road to VA Tech beat them against Clemson.

170
00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,120
Speaker 2: They won the game, but they didn't cover seven and

171
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,400
Speaker 2: a half point number, and they won by one. Against

172
00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,600
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh they lost the game outright. That was the shocker

173
00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:08,120
Speaker 2: of the ACC schedule going wait, what happened laying twelve

174
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,240
Speaker 2: and a half. They lost by four. Don't think that's

175
00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:15,640
Speaker 2: going to happen again here to Duke. Now, if you

176
00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:17,719
Speaker 2: look at what's going on here for wake Forest, they've

177
00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:19,920
Speaker 2: won three games in a row. They won a road

178
00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,439
Speaker 2: game against Georgia Tech eighty to fifty one on the

179
00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:26,320
Speaker 2: road Pittsburgh, North Carolina, NC State, and Florest State. As

180
00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:29,320
Speaker 2: we talked about all losses. They lost to Georgia early

181
00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:32,839
Speaker 2: in the year, lost to Utah and LSU on neutrals.

182
00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,319
Speaker 2: KEMPOM has this as a six point win for Duke.

183
00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,760
Speaker 2: But the real big problem I think for wake Forest

184
00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,480
Speaker 2: is just going to be stopping Duke's offense. Duke is

185
00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,440
Speaker 2: eighth in efficiency, twenty ninth in effective field goal percentage

186
00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 2: twenty ninth and three point percentage, forty first in two

187
00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,360
Speaker 2: point percentage. Wake Forest's defense is dramatically It's not bad,

188
00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:56,880
Speaker 2: it's just dramatically different. Forty seventh in efficiency defensively, fifty

189
00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,959
Speaker 2: fifth in effective field goal percentage seventy fourth, and three

190
00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,000
Speaker 2: point defense seventy fifth and two point defense.

191
00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:05,160
Speaker 1: You know, just not great.

192
00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,520
Speaker 2: I just think Duke's offense is too good, and Duke

193
00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:09,920
Speaker 2: defensively is good enough. I know wake Forest's offense is

194
00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:11,840
Speaker 2: pretty good. They do score a lot that they're a

195
00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,439
Speaker 2: team that does look to, you know, shoot the three.

196
00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:16,800
Speaker 2: They get thirty two percent of their points from behind

197
00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,400
Speaker 2: the three point line. They only get less than half

198
00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:22,200
Speaker 2: their points from inside the two points of the arct

199
00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:25,319
Speaker 2: two points. That's two hundred and thirty ninth in college basketball.

200
00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,160
Speaker 2: A little bit surprising there. They do get to the

201
00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:30,240
Speaker 2: free throw line quite a bit. But this is a

202
00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,200
Speaker 2: team for Duke at home. I have a hard time

203
00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,880
Speaker 2: fading Duke at home given what they have done recently.

204
00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:41,200
Speaker 2: Duke is eight and six ats. They are three and

205
00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 2: two over the last five. They've covered the last two.

206
00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:48,120
Speaker 2: They're playing really, really well. I'm gonna lay the seven points.

207
00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,040
Speaker 2: It's a little bit more than what Ken Palm has

208
00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,520
Speaker 2: it at Kemp Pullmans that six point win. But I

209
00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:54,960
Speaker 2: think given what Duke has done and that Carolina loss

210
00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:57,679
Speaker 2: on the road really scares me for wake Forest. They

211
00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:01,280
Speaker 2: went to North Carolina lost by twenty one. Going to

212
00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:05,680
Speaker 2: Duke could be a similar situation here, in particular, after

213
00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,840
Speaker 2: the two blowout wins against Boston College and Notre Dame.

214
00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,280
Speaker 2: I'm going to bet the streak here two games, double

215
00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,920
Speaker 2: digit lines covered them both for Duke. I'm going to

216
00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,240
Speaker 2: lay the seven Duke minus seven up against Wake Forest

217
00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 2: for one point one units.

218
00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:21,320
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Big twelve.

219
00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:25,360
Speaker 2: TCU in West Virginia at KEMPOM has this as a

220
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:29,880
Speaker 2: thirteen point win for TCU at home. West Virginia is

221
00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:34,439
Speaker 2: god awful on the road. They're two and seven ats.

222
00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,280
Speaker 2: They're three and seven in the Big twelve. In their

223
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,839
Speaker 2: last game on the road against Texas, they lost by

224
00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:44,520
Speaker 2: thirty six points. Ouch, there were thirteen point dogs, lost

225
00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,319
Speaker 2: by thirty six. They were at home against BUYU, they

226
00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,959
Speaker 2: were catching seven. They lost by thirteen. They did beat Cincinnati,

227
00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,079
Speaker 2: someone of a shocker, but the one on the road

228
00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:54,120
Speaker 2: to Oklahoma.

229
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:54,839
Speaker 1: State lost by four.

230
00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,360
Speaker 2: Didn't cover against UCF on the road, catching seven and

231
00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:02,040
Speaker 2: a half, lost by thirteen teen. They went to Oklahoma

232
00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,880
Speaker 2: as twelve and a half point dogs, they lost by fourteen.

233
00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,839
Speaker 2: They went on the road to Houston, catching twenty, they

234
00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:11,400
Speaker 2: lost by thirty four. They are not good away from home.

235
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,000
Speaker 2: They're just not the same team. And I'm not saying

236
00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:17,080
Speaker 2: TCU is outstanding at home, but they are seven and five.

237
00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,360
Speaker 2: They've not covered in their last two games. They lost

238
00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,319
Speaker 2: at Iowa State at eight point. Dogs lost by twelve.

239
00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,880
Speaker 2: Home against Texas, laying four and a half, lost by eleven.

240
00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,760
Speaker 2: That's the only time. If you just look at just

241
00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:33,480
Speaker 2: performances and how they've played at home, TCU is ten

242
00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:36,520
Speaker 2: and two this year at home, while they're six and

243
00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,199
Speaker 2: five on the road. West Virginia is zero to nine

244
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,960
Speaker 2: this year away from home. They have yet to win

245
00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:48,040
Speaker 2: a game away from home Texas BYU, Oklahoma State, UCF, Oklahoma,

246
00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:55,760
Speaker 2: Kansas State, Houston, Ohio States, U Mass Semi. All games

247
00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,400
Speaker 2: that they've lost on the road. They are not a

248
00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:00,720
Speaker 2: good team away from home by any means. The number

249
00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:01,560
Speaker 2: is twelve and a half.

250
00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:02,080
Speaker 1: I get it.

251
00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,079
Speaker 2: It's a big number, okay, But I'm gonna go and say,

252
00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:07,880
Speaker 2: you know what, after what has happened these last two games,

253
00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,640
Speaker 2: losing back to back games to Texas and Iowa State,

254
00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,480
Speaker 2: this is a big bounce back spot for TCU, a

255
00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,560
Speaker 2: chance to get the ship righted against a team they

256
00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,960
Speaker 2: should whip up on. Twelve and a half. Big number,

257
00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:21,120
Speaker 2: but I think they can cover it here at home.

258
00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:23,679
Speaker 2: They're laying four against Sexas Tech, and they won by

259
00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:27,360
Speaker 2: seven in there before they lost by at home to

260
00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:29,719
Speaker 2: Texas laying four and a half and lost by eleven.

261
00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,480
Speaker 2: I think TCU. I'll go with kem Pom here. Kemp

262
00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:35,000
Speaker 2: Pom has it as a thirteen point win. I'm laying

263
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,960
Speaker 2: twelve and a half. TCU minus twelve and a half

264
00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:41,720
Speaker 2: at home, big home favorite, I'm gonna lay it. And

265
00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:46,000
Speaker 2: then finally, Texas Tech at home against Kansas, they are

266
00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:50,040
Speaker 2: laying two points. Texas Tech is twelve and one straight

267
00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:55,040
Speaker 2: up at home this season, straight up, Okay. Their only

268
00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,760
Speaker 2: home loss this year was to Cincinnati. It was a

269
00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:01,880
Speaker 2: bit of a shocker, seventy five seven. They have this

270
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:08,280
Speaker 2: as a one point loss to Kansas. I can't really

271
00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:14,360
Speaker 2: buy this now. Texas Tech is a team that on

272
00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:19,680
Speaker 2: paper need they need this. Kansas on the road this

273
00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:26,280
Speaker 2: year has been somewhat suspect. ATS on the road. Kansas

274
00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,520
Speaker 2: on the road this year is four and seven ATS.

275
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:34,320
Speaker 2: Texas Tech is six and seven at home ATS. Kansas

276
00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:39,760
Speaker 2: is five and six for against ATS against the Big twelve.

277
00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:44,000
Speaker 2: Texas Tech is four five and one, but they haven't

278
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 2: covered in four straight games. But they've won every game

279
00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:52,720
Speaker 2: at home but one, and I mean they've had some

280
00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:56,360
Speaker 2: big wins. They beat Kansas State they beat Oklahoma State,

281
00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:01,520
Speaker 2: they went and beat BYU, they beat U. They've had

282
00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 2: some big wins at home. They're a different team at

283
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,760
Speaker 2: home than they are on the road. And so you

284
00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:11,960
Speaker 2: look at KU lost at Kansas State. They've lost at

285
00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,480
Speaker 2: Iowa State, they lost at West Virginia, they lost at

286
00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:18,640
Speaker 2: Central Florida. They're six and five straight up four and

287
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:22,440
Speaker 2: seven ats. They're not the same team on the road.

288
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:26,600
Speaker 2: KU is susceptible. KU can get beat and Texas Tech

289
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:31,040
Speaker 2: absolutely needs this. KU could be a one seed, but

290
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:36,280
Speaker 2: maybe not. The numbers only two. I think Texas Tech can.

291
00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:36,640
Speaker 1: Win this game.

292
00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,600
Speaker 2: Outright there are I'm gonna say the books are right here.

293
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:43,160
Speaker 2: Something tells me Texas Tech here and maybe you'll get enough,

294
00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,280
Speaker 2: maybe the money will come in on Kansas Okay, you

295
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 2: might very well see it. But Texas Tech can shoot.

296
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,400
Speaker 2: Their offense is thirteenth in efficiency, fifty fourth in effective

297
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:56,400
Speaker 2: field goal percentage. They're twenty fifth and three point percentage

298
00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,360
Speaker 2: or one hundred and seventeenth and two point percentage. KU's

299
00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 2: defense is one hundred and twenty fourth and three point defense.

300
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,360
Speaker 2: If Texas Tech hits their threes in Playing in Lubbock

301
00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 2: is hard. It's a middle of nowhere. It's a really

302
00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:10,880
Speaker 2: hard place to go out and play, and there are

303
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,160
Speaker 2: a lot of teams go out there and lose, and

304
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:16,200
Speaker 2: it's impossible to win on the road in the Big Twelve.

305
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:17,400
Speaker 1: It really is.

306
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,640
Speaker 2: It's one of the most craziest years we've ever seen,

307
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 2: how hard it is to win on the road in

308
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 2: the Big Twelve. And Lubbock, Texas is a really tough

309
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,320
Speaker 2: place to play. I'm gonna lay the two. I'm gonna

310
00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,560
Speaker 2: lay the home favorite Texas Tech minus two against KU

311
00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:35,040
Speaker 2: take the home favorite. Someone of a shocker. I think

312
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 2: money will come on Kansas, Okay. I would very the

313
00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 2: Ken Pom number being KU wins by one. There's three

314
00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:42,800
Speaker 2: points of value there. I think people will bet Kansas,

315
00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:44,520
Speaker 2: and I think you probably get a better number than me.

316
00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:46,080
Speaker 2: Maybe you want to wait and get an in game

317
00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 2: number at some point, but pre flop, I'm gonna lay

318
00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:50,960
Speaker 2: the two points with Texas Tech here for one point

319
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:54,760
Speaker 2: one units. All right, I'm not gonna keep rolling like this,

320
00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:57,200
Speaker 2: I tell you right now. I'm gonna cool off at

321
00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,000
Speaker 2: some point, but we're gonna keep running here with college basketball.

322
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:01,560
Speaker 1: Three bets for us here tonight.

323
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,240
Speaker 2: Duke minus seven at home, TCU minus twelve and a

324
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 2: half at home Texas Tech minus two at home. We

325
00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 2: go with a favorite Monday. Favorites at home Monday for us,

326
00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,320
Speaker 2: Here for the Daly Juice Podcast. MI name is Matt

327
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:19,159
Speaker 2: Parologic guys and follow me across all socials. It is

328
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:22,919
Speaker 2: the Deli Juice Podcast. Each and every single day. Congrats

329
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,359
Speaker 2: to the chiefs, Congrats to chief backers, chief betters. Hopefully

330
00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 2: you guys had some fun with your winnings. Hopefully you

331
00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:32,040
Speaker 2: guys stayed safe. But congrats to Casey. Dynasty. Yes, I'll

332
00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,320
Speaker 2: say it, Robby, want me to say it. Yes, is

333
00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 2: a dynasty.

334
00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:38,879
Speaker 1: Go have another one. Patriots had two. That's the first.

335
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:41,479
Speaker 1: Do it without Kelsey.

336
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:44,399
Speaker 2: A lot of things will get into later about arguing

337
00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,960
Speaker 2: about Brady versus Mahomes. It's not even a fair conversation

338
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 2: at the moment, by the way, not fair to Patrick Mahomes.

339
00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:53,359
Speaker 2: Not even close to being fair to Patrick Mahomes. Seven

340
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,879
Speaker 2: to three. Okay, it's got a ways to go. But

341
00:17:55,960 --> 00:18:01,240
Speaker 2: Mahomes is an all time great, incredible player. Incredible everyone's

342
00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:05,520
Speaker 2: saying he's better than Brady. Come on, bro, like, how

343
00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,600
Speaker 2: old are you must be? Sub thirty five? If you're

344
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 2: gonna say that, because come on, bro, Patriots had two dynasties,

345
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 2: not one, but this is a dynasty. Congrats to the Chiefs.

346
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 2: Should be a whole lot of Taylor and Travis crap

347
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 2: for the next forty eight hours and then it's gone,

348
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:23,240
Speaker 2: Thank goodness.

349
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:24,520
Speaker 1: Enjoy your Monday.

350
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,399
Speaker 2: The Daily Youth podcast every single morning, being brought to

351
00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:43,639
Speaker 2: you by Olma Steaks dot Com.