WEBVTT - God and the Black Death, Part 1

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Stuff to Blow Your Mind, the production of

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<v Speaker 1>My Heart Radio. Hey you welcome to Stuff to Blow

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<v Speaker 1>your Mind. My name is Robert Lamb and I'm Joe McCormick.

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<v Speaker 1>And today Hey, it's the Diseases and the Heavens. Because

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<v Speaker 1>rob you recently said, Hey, would you be interested in

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<v Speaker 1>doing an episode or two on the interactions between plague

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<v Speaker 1>pandemics of the past and God and religious interpretations. And

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<v Speaker 1>I was like, wow, yeah, that sounds really interesting. But Robert,

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<v Speaker 1>I gotta admit, this is one of those topics where

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<v Speaker 1>something sounds really interesting with then as soon as you

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<v Speaker 1>start getting into it, you realize, oh, no, it's one

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<v Speaker 1>of those word the more I read, the less I know. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>That is definitely the case with the historical scholarship on

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<v Speaker 1>religious responses to to the plague this it seems like

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<v Speaker 1>this is a really complicated area of research. Yes, i'd

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<v Speaker 1>say a complicated area of research and also a robust

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<v Speaker 1>and thriving area of research. And I think that's something

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<v Speaker 1>that I might surprise some listeners out there to know

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<v Speaker 1>that like the Black Death and the study of the

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<v Speaker 1>Black Death and our attempt to understand uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>things like mortality rates and how it's spread, and and

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<v Speaker 1>then how people responded to it, and it's and its

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<v Speaker 1>effects short term and long term. You might think that

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is a matter of the history books.

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<v Speaker 1>This is something that has been settled for decades, if

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<v Speaker 1>not centuries, and there's perhaps very little, like just some

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<v Speaker 1>fine tuning of the research these days. But it's not

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<v Speaker 1>the case. There's a lot of work that goes on

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<v Speaker 1>in this area of study, and there's still exciting stuff

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<v Speaker 1>coming out. I mean, you go back a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>decades and it seems like a lot of what people

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<v Speaker 1>were arguing about was whether or not plague was caused

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<v Speaker 1>by plague. Yeah, and I remember this. Uh. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think I ever wrote anything specifically for how Stuff Works

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<v Speaker 1>dot com about the Black Death. Maybe I had to

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<v Speaker 1>cover it like briefly in some sort of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>like a top ten pandemics type of an article or something.

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<v Speaker 1>But I remember at the time this being the case

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<v Speaker 1>where there were these different different theories about what it

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<v Speaker 1>might have been. Was it perhaps this particular ailment or disease,

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<v Speaker 1>was it this one, or was it actually what we

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<v Speaker 1>think of as bubonic plague? Yeah, and so at least

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<v Speaker 1>I think that question is mostly settled. We can give

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<v Speaker 1>a fairly firm answer on that one today. But I

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<v Speaker 1>was just surprised how much about the plague pandemics is

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<v Speaker 1>still up in the air or has been questioned or

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<v Speaker 1>is still controversial. Uh, And and how often a fact

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<v Speaker 1>you thought you knew about it might not actually be correct.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, so I was also wondering, like, how did

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<v Speaker 1>you get interested in this? What what made you want

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about the Black Death and and the powers

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<v Speaker 1>of God? Oh? Well, I think part of it was

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<v Speaker 1>I was I picked up and burcos the Name of

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<v Speaker 1>the Rose again when I was reading through through that,

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<v Speaker 1>and I was reminded about how it's it's mentioned that

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<v Speaker 1>brother William eventually dies in the plague or is lost

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<v Speaker 1>in the plague, and like knowing that the egg is

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that comes the Black Death specifically, uh, is

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that comes after the events of the novel

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<v Speaker 1>and um, And so sometimes that, you know, makes me

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<v Speaker 1>think about the world that is described in that book

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<v Speaker 1>and and how how it's going to fare against a

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<v Speaker 1>threat like this. And then of course it goes without saying, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're we're recording this, researching this during uh

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<v Speaker 1>an ongoing global pandemic, and so I think it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>something that has been on a lot of people's minds.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of people have turned their minds back to

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<v Speaker 1>historical plagues. Um Now, of course, in fighting this pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen, we we have a number of tools not

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<v Speaker 1>available to humanity during the late Middle Ages. We know

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<v Speaker 1>what actually causes the illness we're facing, we're able to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out how it works, and we have both treatments

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<v Speaker 1>and most marvelous of all vaccines that we can use.

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<v Speaker 1>And speaking of vaccines, go get vaccinated against COVID nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>if you have the ability to do so, and if

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<v Speaker 1>you're not sure, talk to a medical doctor and find

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<v Speaker 1>out what you need to know from them. So obviously

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<v Speaker 1>there were no vaccines in the time of the of

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<v Speaker 1>the Black Death in the fourteenth century outbreak of of

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<v Speaker 1>the plague. But also there really weren't any treatments. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>if you get plague today, we know today that it

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<v Speaker 1>is a bacterial infection and if caught early, it can

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<v Speaker 1>be treated pretty effectively with antibiotics. I mean back at

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<v Speaker 1>the time of the Black Death there there there really

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<v Speaker 1>were not effective interventions at all. Yeah, it's it's really

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<v Speaker 1>kind of staggering to to think about it, to think

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<v Speaker 1>about to imagine a time right before the Black Death,

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<v Speaker 1>and just think about what a mismatch this was medieval

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<v Speaker 1>societies versus a deadly contagious disease caused by UH an

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<v Speaker 1>invisible bacterium. The disease, on one hand, you might say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, understands its human adversaries to a certain extent,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, UH, and not that it has a will

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<v Speaker 1>or an intelligence, but it gets in there and it

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<v Speaker 1>does its thing. The humans on the other hand, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they have the gift of reason, certainly, they have technology

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<v Speaker 1>and society, but they lack a germ theory of disease.

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<v Speaker 1>They don't really know how the enemy in this case,

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<v Speaker 1>the Black Death, how it functions, or even truly what

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<v Speaker 1>it is. So they're blind in many ways. And on

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<v Speaker 1>top of that, they have leaned into a supernatural understanding

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<v Speaker 1>of the world. They believe in gods and saints and

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<v Speaker 1>demons and miracles, and they trust in religious organizations and

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<v Speaker 1>religious authorities or in many cases powers that are ordained

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<v Speaker 1>by religious authorities. Another way of looking at things in

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<v Speaker 1>this scenario is that in some ways, you have humanity

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<v Speaker 1>stranded between two unseen worlds, be at least partially invisible

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<v Speaker 1>world of disease and then the invisible world of religion.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh So, you know, it's like, this is the matchup.

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<v Speaker 1>How will these religious organizations and authorities respond to the

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<v Speaker 1>Black Death? What chance do they have? And so in

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<v Speaker 1>this episode, in the whatever episode or episodes follow it. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I thought we might get into that a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>and talk about how imperfect societies respond to what is

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<v Speaker 1>in many ways, you know, a perfect pathogen with a

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<v Speaker 1>focus on on religion. But before we get into the

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<v Speaker 1>religious stuff, we will have to talk about just like

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<v Speaker 1>what was the Black Death? Uh as far as we

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<v Speaker 1>understand it? Okay, Well, I guess we should start with

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<v Speaker 1>that question. What do we think we know today about

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<v Speaker 1>the nature of this disease? So first of all, let's

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<v Speaker 1>just talk about like what do we mean we mean

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<v Speaker 1>the Black Death versus like other plagues? Right, So, historians

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<v Speaker 1>generally consider the Black Death to have lasted from around

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<v Speaker 1>thirteen forty six uh ce obviously to thirteen fifty three

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<v Speaker 1>throughout Afro Eurasia, more or less on the heels of

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<v Speaker 1>the Great Famine of thirteen fifteen through thirteen seventeen. And

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<v Speaker 1>this this will become important in a bit. But now

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<v Speaker 1>one thing that's important to consider, and this is true

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<v Speaker 1>of of multiple cases of plague pandemic in the world

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<v Speaker 1>that we'll talk about in just a set can The

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<v Speaker 1>black Death is a term is sometimes applied to this

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<v Speaker 1>sort of initial outbreak that has been widely studied as

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<v Speaker 1>having happened and say like uh, Europe in the Middle East,

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<v Speaker 1>around the Mediterranean beginning around thirty six or forty seven,

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<v Speaker 1>and then continuing for some years after that. But each

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<v Speaker 1>of these pandemics is not contained to just a few years.

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<v Speaker 1>There are these recurrent waves. So there will be an

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<v Speaker 1>initial wave of infection and then it just and then

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<v Speaker 1>it sort of goes away for a while within a

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<v Speaker 1>certain region, but then there will be subsequent outbreaks throughout

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<v Speaker 1>different regions over the following uh centuries really in the

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<v Speaker 1>case of the one that begins in the fourteenth century

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<v Speaker 1>and uh and one of the papers I was looking

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<v Speaker 1>at was was calling these recurrent waves. Yeah, yeah, So

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<v Speaker 1>it's important to realize that the Black Death of the

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<v Speaker 1>fourteenth century, it's not thought to be the first great

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<v Speaker 1>outbreak of playing in the Old world. The Plague of

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<v Speaker 1>Justine In occurred between UH five forty one and five

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<v Speaker 1>forty nine see. And it was also not the last

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic of plague, as major outbreaks would occur throughout the

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<v Speaker 1>fourteenth and seventeen centuries, including the Great Plague of London

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<v Speaker 1>in sixteen sixty five and sixteen sixty six. But the

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<v Speaker 1>fourteenth century outbreak is what is generally referred to when

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about the Black Death, a pandemic that claimed

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<v Speaker 1>the lives of between seventy five and two hundred million

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<v Speaker 1>people and reshaped society for the survivors. I've seen drastically

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<v Speaker 1>different estimates of what percentage of people within certain regions

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<v Speaker 1>the Black Death killed. So I think this is not

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<v Speaker 1>a settled question. It's something that has to be you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not like there were just like there was a

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<v Speaker 1>census of people and you can chart everyone who died.

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<v Speaker 1>Has this is a number that has to be established

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<v Speaker 1>through estimates. But like in on cases, you have good

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<v Speaker 1>data to go on. You know, you can look at

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<v Speaker 1>essentially death rolls from certain certain regions and certain time periods,

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<v Speaker 1>and then some work has been done in me in

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<v Speaker 1>in examining cemeteries and the like. Yeah, exactly, as a

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<v Speaker 1>one figure I looked at for the Black Death said

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<v Speaker 1>that the Black Death and its recurrent waves may have

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<v Speaker 1>wiped up somewhere between one third to two thirds of

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<v Speaker 1>the population of Europe. Anyway you shake it, a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people died. I mean, you know, in any variants

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<v Speaker 1>in the numbers doesn't really take away from just how

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<v Speaker 1>how brutal this was. Now, one source I was looking

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<v Speaker 1>at and all of this was the The Anthropology of

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<v Speaker 1>Plague by Sharon in de Witt, published in Pandemic Disease

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<v Speaker 1>in the Medieval World, And this was from One of

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<v Speaker 1>the things that DeWitt talks about is the idea that again,

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<v Speaker 1>this this particular outbreak of plague, the Black Death, is

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<v Speaker 1>following a period of rapid population growth and plenty due

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<v Speaker 1>to warm climates and advancements in agriculture. When the warm

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<v Speaker 1>period ended, however, there were ripples throughout Europe. There was

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<v Speaker 1>less food. Uh, there was famine, There was a you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's an abundance of labor under a feudal system. So

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<v Speaker 1>most people during this time experienced a decline in their

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<v Speaker 1>standard of living. Non plague illness and malnutrition. Uh was

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<v Speaker 1>was running rampant, and so there's this this strong argument

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<v Speaker 1>to me, may the do it writes about it length

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<v Speaker 1>that this put made them even more susceptible to this

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<v Speaker 1>new disease or this new outbreak of a disease that

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<v Speaker 1>had previously ravaged parts of the region. Yeah. And and

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<v Speaker 1>this has been another major trend in writing over say

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<v Speaker 1>the past hundred years about the about the Black Death

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<v Speaker 1>of the fourteenth century and its recurrent waves. What what,

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<v Speaker 1>how exactly does that get situated within the broader social, economic,

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<v Speaker 1>and cultural context of the time which had occurred, What

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<v Speaker 1>what led to it, what exacerbated it, and what changes

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<v Speaker 1>did it bring about? Because it's widely believed that I

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<v Speaker 1>guess we're not going to get super deep into these

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<v Speaker 1>particular historical theories, but there have been a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>theories about what rolled the Black Death may have played

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<v Speaker 1>and say, revolutionizing the economic history of Europe, and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>did it in some way trigger changes that might lead

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<v Speaker 1>to things you associate with the Late Middle Ages or

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<v Speaker 1>the Renaissance exactly? Yeah, And you know, I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's also one of these things where you look at

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<v Speaker 1>some of the older scholarship, or if you just look

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<v Speaker 1>at sort of generalized um, you know, summaries of the

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<v Speaker 1>Black Death, you know, and it's often pointed out, well,

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<v Speaker 1>this affected everybody. It didn't matter what level of society

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<v Speaker 1>you were you were at, and to to a to

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<v Speaker 1>a large extent, that is true. I mean, people died

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<v Speaker 1>at every every level of society. And there's this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of idea that you know, the Black Death is it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's you know, you get into these religious ideas of

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<v Speaker 1>the judgment of humanity and it seems like it's just

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<v Speaker 1>everybody is is suffering equally. But uh, does that hold

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<v Speaker 1>up if we start looking at different populations, be at

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<v Speaker 1>things like population density or dealing with you know, large

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<v Speaker 1>portions of the population that are malnourished and so forth. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>here's a is a quote from de Witt in that

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<v Speaker 1>article I mentioned quote. The very high levels of Black

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<v Speaker 1>death mortality and the results from hazard analysis, which indicate

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<v Speaker 1>that this mortality was selective and targeted frail people of

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<v Speaker 1>all ages, means that the epidemic might have exerted a

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<v Speaker 1>strong selective force on the northern population, removing the frail

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<v Speaker 1>list unhealthiest individuals on a very large scale. You have

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:26.920
<v Speaker 1>the post Black death population included individuals who were exposed

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.840
<v Speaker 1>to and survived the Black Death. This episode of selection

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 1>might at least in part, explain the very rapid apparent

0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:37.679
<v Speaker 1>changes in medieval plague epidemiology. These changes include the apparent

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:43.400
<v Speaker 1>decline and plague mortality as described in contemporaneous historical documents. Okay,

0:12:43.400 --> 0:12:46.559
<v Speaker 1>so what's she getting at their um, So she's getting

0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 1>into this, you know this idea that Okay, so that

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 1>the plague hits, it wipes out a lot of people,

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:53.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people that at at at all levels

0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:57.400
<v Speaker 1>of society and all ages that may have been extra

0:12:57.440 --> 0:13:00.600
<v Speaker 1>susceptible to the ravages of the disease. But then afterwards

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:04.200
<v Speaker 1>you perhaps have have a certain resistance in the survivors.

0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:06.400
<v Speaker 1>But then she also points out that, on the other hand,

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 1>patterns of human plague deaths might reflect the disease dynamics

0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 1>of nearby animal host populations, which can influence exposure of

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 1>humans to plague. And we'll get we'll get into more

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:20.560
<v Speaker 1>of like what that means later about about about the

0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:24.040
<v Speaker 1>disease dynamics and animal hosts. But but you know, it

0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>also might mean that survivors were in better shape to

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:30.680
<v Speaker 1>survive the plague and or had better access to nutrition

0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:35.000
<v Speaker 1>or standard of living in the years after the Black

0:13:35.040 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>Death had had really ravaged the population. Because after the

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Black Death, there's this idea that you ultimately end up

0:13:41.760 --> 0:13:46.199
<v Speaker 1>with potentially more sustainable population, potentially and improved gene pool

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>with possible resistance to the plague. The feudal system was

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:53.000
<v Speaker 1>was weakened by all of this, potentially paving the way

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.160
<v Speaker 1>for further changes. Um This is a direction a lot

0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 1>of the scholarship goes in. Yet, what what does it

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:03.959
<v Speaker 1>due to the world that allows a certain amount of

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 1>a rapid change to take place? Um or introduces new

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:14.000
<v Speaker 1>changes that could occur at the you know, the socioeconomic level, etcetera. UM.

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:15.480
<v Speaker 1>Of course, on the other hand, I think we have

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 1>to be careful about getting into that, you know, that

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of uh, what doesn't kill you makes your stronger

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:22.840
<v Speaker 1>idea that like, you know, the plague was good. It

0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:25.840
<v Speaker 1>just it strengthened everybody has and made a better world because, uh,

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>in the words of Conan O'Brien, what doesn't kill you

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:32.520
<v Speaker 1>almost kills you. So it was still a period of

0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:35.720
<v Speaker 1>great suffering and death. I meant to an extent that

0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:38.320
<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's difficult to imagine. And of course that

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>is going to have, um have an effect on the

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>survivors that goes beyond just you know as any kind

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:48.240
<v Speaker 1>of like fitness that results any kind of resistance to

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>to illness, or an improvement in your access to UM,

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, to to a higher standard of living. Right,

0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>So you shouldn't be lured into thinking like, oh, well,

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 1>if after the plague the people who were of tended

0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 1>to have a hired resistance to disease and may have

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 1>there may have been some economic benefits for them, that

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean like the plague was a good thing, right, right,

0:15:08.920 --> 0:15:11.680
<v Speaker 1>And I mean, plus, there's a lot of a lot

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 1>of great data on just how events of this nature.

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's a lasting effect of say malnutrition on

0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 1>on one's descendants that sort of thing. So to be clear,

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:25.880
<v Speaker 1>plague bad, plague, plague very bad. I think I think

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:27.880
<v Speaker 1>that is one of the firm facts we can we

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:37.960
<v Speaker 1>can say consensus on that. Now, what was the plague? Well, uh,

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 1>as we mentioned earlier, there were various alternative theories and hypotheses.

0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I guess they're still technically are alternative theories

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 1>and hypotheses, but none of them have enough support to rival.

0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:52.840
<v Speaker 1>They now commonly agreed upon understanding that the plague in

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:56.320
<v Speaker 1>question was bubonic plague caused by the plague bacterium your

0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Cinea pestis. Yeah, so it seems like in the late

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 1>twe aeth in early twenty first century, there was some

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 1>of this academic debate about the infectious agent driving the

0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:07.680
<v Speaker 1>black death. But yeah, I agree, it does seem like

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 1>it is a pretty firm matter of consensus now that

0:16:10.760 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 1>that the black death beginning in the fourteenth century was

0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>caused by your Cinea pestis, and that bacterium that that

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 1>bacillus was is something that we've known about since the

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 1>year eighteen ninety four, when it was discovered I think

0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>by two different researchers pretty much simultaneously. One was Kitasato

0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Shibasaburo of Japan and the other was Alexander Yeerson of France.

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 1>So I think from his name Yrson, you get your Cinea,

0:16:35.720 --> 0:16:39.840
<v Speaker 1>the genus name of the bacterium that causes the plague. Uh.

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:42.200
<v Speaker 1>And so this was around the year eighteen ninety four,

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 1>which was also the time of the eighteen ninety four

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:47.680
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong outbreak of plague, which was a major part

0:16:47.720 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 1>of the Third plague pandemic. You mentioned that there there

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>have been three major plague pandemics in history that we

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:58.360
<v Speaker 1>know about, the Plague of Justinian beginning in the sixth century,

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:01.320
<v Speaker 1>then the Black Death began in the fourteenth century, and

0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 1>then this more recent one from the from the nineteenth

0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>and twentieth century, right, and they've been There's been been

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:10.359
<v Speaker 1>some other stuff sprinkled around in there as well, but

0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 1>those are the big ones. Now. You're cine epestis, As

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 1>the CDC points out, it has a place in nature,

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 1>even in the modern world, even in North America. Uh,

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:23.480
<v Speaker 1>your seny epestis is transmitted by fleas to a variety

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:26.800
<v Speaker 1>of rodents. Uh that certainly in these rodents certainly include

0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:31.600
<v Speaker 1>the rat, but they also include squirrels, chipmunks, vols, and rabbits.

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:35.679
<v Speaker 1>This situation is is relatively stable, it's thought, with the

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:41.240
<v Speaker 1>bacteria circulating at low rates and without excessive mortality again

0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>in these rodent populations. Yeah, so as with the number

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 1>of zoonotic diseases, humans are not not the natural host

0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:52.679
<v Speaker 1>of this bacterium. You're sinning epestis, your cine Epestis lives

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.119
<v Speaker 1>in this natural cycle, I think it's sometimes called the

0:17:55.200 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Sylvan cycle, traveling between the bodies of fleas and small

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:03.040
<v Speaker 1>mammals generally rodents like rats, like you say, And then

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the bacteria multiply within the gut of the flea, and

0:18:07.080 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>then when the flea bites a rat host to suck

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:12.159
<v Speaker 1>its blood, it sort of spits up some of the

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:16.080
<v Speaker 1>infectious bacteria in its gut into the rat and can

0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.399
<v Speaker 1>infect a new rat host. But of course sometimes infectious

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>microbes can jump from their natural host species to another,

0:18:23.560 --> 0:18:26.000
<v Speaker 1>like humans, and and this is where you get zoonotic

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>diseases like plague. I was actually reading an article in

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:33.199
<v Speaker 1>Scientific American. I think it wasn't originally in SIME. It

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:35.880
<v Speaker 1>was a reprint from Quanta, but it was by an

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:40.920
<v Speaker 1>author named Carrie Arnold from that was covering a study

0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>published in Nature Communications in about the evolution of this

0:18:45.960 --> 0:18:50.120
<v Speaker 1>bacterium of your Cineopestis, which causes the plague uh. And

0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 1>the paper was by Zimbler at All called early emergence

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>of your cine Epestis as a severe respiratory pathogen. And

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:00.959
<v Speaker 1>so the authors were looking into the question of where

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>did your Cinea Pestis come from and how did it

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:07.159
<v Speaker 1>become so virulent? And so they write in their abstract

0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 1>as follows. We showed that the acquisition of a single

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 1>gene encoding the protease p l A. I think I'm

0:19:14.520 --> 0:19:16.640
<v Speaker 1>not sure if that's pronounced play or plot, but it's

0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:20.399
<v Speaker 1>p l A. P l A was sufficient for the

0:19:20.440 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 1>most ancestral, deeply rooted strains of why Pestis to cause

0:19:24.480 --> 0:19:27.680
<v Speaker 1>neumonic plague. And we'll get more into the different varieties

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:31.480
<v Speaker 1>in a moment, indicating that why Pestus was primed to

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 1>infect the lungs at a very early stage in its evolution.

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>As why Pestists further evolved, modern strains acquired a single

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:44.840
<v Speaker 1>amino acid modification within p l A that optimizes protease activity.

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>While this modification is unnecessary to cause neumonic plague, the

0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:53.720
<v Speaker 1>substitution is instead needed to efficiently induce the invasive infection

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:58.160
<v Speaker 1>associated with the bubonic plague. These findings indicate that why

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:01.359
<v Speaker 1>Pestis was capable of causing new monic plague before it

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>evolved to optimally cause invasive infections in mammals soneumonic plague.

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:09.960
<v Speaker 1>The version in the lungs is is, as we'll explain

0:20:10.000 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 1>it a bit, the most deadly form of your cineopestis infection.

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 1>But but it has probably existed longer than the bubonic

0:20:18.080 --> 0:20:21.640
<v Speaker 1>form of infection. But once the bacteria evolved the ability

0:20:21.720 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 1>to cause the bubonic plague, the main version of the

0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:29.440
<v Speaker 1>disease associated with the black death, the disease function of

0:20:29.480 --> 0:20:33.359
<v Speaker 1>this bacterium was in a sense probably optimized for maximum

0:20:33.400 --> 0:20:37.639
<v Speaker 1>infectious potential. And then this this article by Carry Arnold

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 1>quotes a microbiologist from Northern Arizona University at Flagstaff named

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 1>Paul Kim who mentions that with your cine apestis quote,

0:20:48.080 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>a single bacterium can cause disease in mice. It's hard

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>to get much more virulent than that. Uh, and so

0:20:56.160 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 1>that that's an incredibly infectious agent. That's if you're trying

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to set up like a thunder dome of bacteria, it

0:21:02.080 --> 0:21:04.760
<v Speaker 1>seems like you're sine epestis could be a sort of

0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:11.080
<v Speaker 1>infecting champion. If a single bacterium can can cause this disease. Well, yeah, so,

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:14.040
<v Speaker 1>as like we said that the idea is in in

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the natural model, it's just um, your cine epestis and

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.720
<v Speaker 1>these rotents but then these complications occur, so for starters,

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.240
<v Speaker 1>sometimes for different reasons, the death rate in the desired

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:28.359
<v Speaker 1>rodent hosts population goes up and the fleas have to

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:32.560
<v Speaker 1>go somewhere else. UM. And other times you have you know,

0:21:32.600 --> 0:21:36.400
<v Speaker 1>people coming into close contact with these animals, with these fleas,

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:39.960
<v Speaker 1>and we see these these these spreading events occur, and

0:21:40.040 --> 0:21:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the flea still has to feed, so it might move

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:45.720
<v Speaker 1>on to other animals, including domestic animals and ultimately human

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 1>beings as well. Now humans can acquire it from handle

0:21:49.720 --> 0:21:53.560
<v Speaker 1>handling the bodies and pelts of infected animals. UM. Dogs

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 1>are apparently less likely to become ill, but can still

0:21:56.520 --> 0:22:01.600
<v Speaker 1>bring the fleas into close proximity with human beings. Interestingly enough,

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:04.600
<v Speaker 1>cats typically become very ill with it, and they can

0:22:04.680 --> 0:22:09.199
<v Speaker 1>also directly infect humans through their cough if they if

0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:11.920
<v Speaker 1>they have the plague. Did you see anything? I feel

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:15.200
<v Speaker 1>like I saw a headline somewhere recently about about an

0:22:15.240 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>outbreak of plague among mountain lions in North America. Do

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you know what I'm talking about? I did not see

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:24.200
<v Speaker 1>that article, but I mean, based on this information about cats,

0:22:24.200 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 1>it sounds like it could be very destructive. Okay, yeah,

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:28.879
<v Speaker 1>I just checked that I was remembering this right. This

0:22:29.200 --> 0:22:31.639
<v Speaker 1>was from a couple of articles from April of last

0:22:31.680 --> 0:22:36.160
<v Speaker 1>year in that found that in Yellowstone and Yellowstone National

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:38.679
<v Speaker 1>Park in the United States, Uh, there has been an

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>outbreak of plague that has been killing cougars in the park. Strangely,

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 1>this does kind of connect to, uh, some stuff I've

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>read about. So it's pretty rare for people to get

0:22:51.320 --> 0:22:53.720
<v Speaker 1>to get plague in the United States today, but it

0:22:53.760 --> 0:22:56.040
<v Speaker 1>does happen, and sometimes some of the cases I've read

0:22:56.080 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 1>about it happening were from contact people had with animals

0:22:59.840 --> 0:23:04.600
<v Speaker 1>in parks in like wildlife refugees. Yeah. Yeah, close proximity

0:23:04.640 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 1>to these animals definitely is is one of the driving

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 1>driving forces in those those spreads. Now we should we

0:23:11.040 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 1>should stress that with these these modern outbreaks generally they

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:18.520
<v Speaker 1>don't do not spread as fast, uh, and then ultimately

0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:22.960
<v Speaker 1>we're better able to treat these infections today. But yes,

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:25.879
<v Speaker 1>to be clear, the way plague tends to spread to

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:29.959
<v Speaker 1>human beings and includes flea bites, contact with contaminated fluids

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 1>and tissues, and infectious droplets, and this sort of goes

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:36.840
<v Speaker 1>along with that. There are three main different versions of

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>the disease. So they're all caused by the same bacterium.

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:43.239
<v Speaker 1>They're all your cine epestis. But depending on how you

0:23:43.320 --> 0:23:47.119
<v Speaker 1>get infected, you can have different manifestations of disease within

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:50.280
<v Speaker 1>your body. And the most most common version is the

0:23:50.280 --> 0:23:53.000
<v Speaker 1>one you probably read about in school. It's the bubonic plague,

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>the one that begins with probably some kind of bite

0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 1>from a from a parasite like a flea in the skin,

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>and then can eventually infect the lymph nodes. It causes

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:05.879
<v Speaker 1>swelling of the lymph nodes. You get these these bulbs

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:08.720
<v Speaker 1>known as bo bos, and this also comes with like

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 1>very severe flu like symptoms. But then there are these

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:14.560
<v Speaker 1>other less common versions of the plague disease that have

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 1>their own characteristics, such as septicemic plague which derived which

0:24:19.119 --> 0:24:22.240
<v Speaker 1>comes from an infection of the blood, and neumonic plague,

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:25.400
<v Speaker 1>which is an infection of the lungs. And that one is, uh,

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>from everything I read, pneumonic plague is the worst one

0:24:28.320 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 1>of all. Yeah, I mean they are varying um infection stats.

0:24:33.040 --> 0:24:35.159
<v Speaker 1>I was looking at on the three and you know,

0:24:35.160 --> 0:24:36.880
<v Speaker 1>it kind of depends. I think I know who you're

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>looking at. But but certainly, yes, certainly the pneumonic plague

0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:44.680
<v Speaker 1>is is pretty bad. But I guess one question this

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>gets us to is the question of what are the

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 1>mechanisms of transmission? How was the plague actually spread in

0:24:52.200 --> 0:24:58.119
<v Speaker 1>especially in these giant outbreaks and pandemics from long ago. Yeah,

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:03.360
<v Speaker 1>so the way it's spreading, you're gonna have different speeds involved, right, So, um,

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:06.160
<v Speaker 1>the speed at which it tends to spread when it's

0:25:06.160 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 1>based on flea transference is going to be different than

0:25:08.640 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the way it seems to spread if it's based on

0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 1>droplets in the air of people coughing and close proximity

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to one another. So you read you read some of these, uh,

0:25:16.920 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>these various ideas about what was happening with the with

0:25:19.520 --> 0:25:22.439
<v Speaker 1>the Black Death, how was plague spreading? And one idea

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:26.399
<v Speaker 1>that you you see is that well, perhaps it was

0:25:26.440 --> 0:25:32.040
<v Speaker 1>spreading rapidly because it was primarily due to these droplets

0:25:32.280 --> 0:25:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and it was a largely pneumatic plague that was really

0:25:35.000 --> 0:25:39.040
<v Speaker 1>wiping people out. Um. And if if that were true,

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:40.880
<v Speaker 1>it would it would kind of be ironic, I guess,

0:25:40.920 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 1>because what do we think of when we think of plague. Uh,

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.359
<v Speaker 1>we often think of plague doctors, right, we think of

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:49.359
<v Speaker 1>those uh, those outfits with the the you know, the

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:53.119
<v Speaker 1>big robe and the long bird like beak and the

0:25:53.160 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>big hat and the staff. Um uh. And then when

0:25:57.600 --> 0:25:59.359
<v Speaker 1>the staff of the idea being that it's you know,

0:25:59.480 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 1>to garments, but also perhaps to distance yourself from someone else. However,

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:07.880
<v Speaker 1>always worth remembering that the plague doctor outfits and mask

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:11.600
<v Speaker 1>I do not believe we're introduced until later in the

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:14.800
<v Speaker 1>seventeenth century, and wouldn't so even if this was a

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:18.480
<v Speaker 1>design that was out there, you know this, and there's

0:26:18.520 --> 0:26:21.960
<v Speaker 1>some disagreeance on how much it was actually used, but

0:26:22.040 --> 0:26:24.760
<v Speaker 1>it certainly would not have been used during the Black

0:26:24.800 --> 0:26:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Death itself. It would have been subsequent plagues. Well, yeah,

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 1>it would be some of the recurrent waves from that

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:33.480
<v Speaker 1>ongoing pin to make that begin in the fourteenth century, right,

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:35.439
<v Speaker 1>And and then of course the other question would be

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:39.080
<v Speaker 1>what would it have worked you know, um, well, ultimately

0:26:39.080 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 1>the design of those later plague doctor masks, it was

0:26:42.080 --> 0:26:45.640
<v Speaker 1>more about purifying bad air and keeping bad air from

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:49.240
<v Speaker 1>touching your skin. So uh, you know, you could make

0:26:49.240 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 1>a case for it might have helped in some ways,

0:26:52.280 --> 0:26:56.400
<v Speaker 1>but not for the reasons president in the design. You know. Yeah,

0:26:56.680 --> 0:26:59.399
<v Speaker 1>one thing that's kind of difficult to understand. I've been

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:02.360
<v Speaker 1>reading about the for example, in one paper looking at

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>um recent scholarship comparing the responses of religious communities of Christians, Muslims,

0:27:10.119 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 1>and Jews around the Mediterranean at the time. Uh, and

0:27:14.800 --> 0:27:17.080
<v Speaker 1>what what For example, the question of like, what they

0:27:17.119 --> 0:27:20.879
<v Speaker 1>thought about the idea of contagion, you know, was it

0:27:21.000 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>was contagion within the epidemiological vocabulary of people at the time.

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.600
<v Speaker 1>And it seems like too, even though they didn't have

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 1>a germ theory of disease, like they didn't understand fully

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:38.040
<v Speaker 1>that diseases were being caused by tiny, you know, life

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>forms that were replicating within their bodies. There were some

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:45.800
<v Speaker 1>people who had some form of an idea of contagion. Uh,

0:27:45.800 --> 0:27:49.480
<v Speaker 1>though the the transmission mechanism itself might have been obscure

0:27:49.520 --> 0:27:51.960
<v Speaker 1>to them. There were people who thought like, well, you

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:55.600
<v Speaker 1>can observe that plague tends to proliferate within a building,

0:27:56.440 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 1>so people within a house, then everybody else in the

0:27:59.400 --> 0:28:01.679
<v Speaker 1>house starts to get plague. And then if you go

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>to a place where there's a lot of plague, you're

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:05.919
<v Speaker 1>more likely to get plague. And so that might have

0:28:05.960 --> 0:28:08.680
<v Speaker 1>been explained in terms of something like miasthma theory, where

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 1>you might think, well, they're just bad vapors around there,

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:13.679
<v Speaker 1>and if they get into you, maybe if you breathe

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:16.399
<v Speaker 1>them or they get on your skin, those will harm you.

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:18.679
<v Speaker 1>But I think there was also an idea that maybe

0:28:18.760 --> 0:28:21.920
<v Speaker 1>sometimes sick people have some kind of particles coming off

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:24.760
<v Speaker 1>of them, and you want to prevent those particles from

0:28:24.760 --> 0:28:27.159
<v Speaker 1>touching you, And so this might have inspired some of

0:28:27.200 --> 0:28:29.919
<v Speaker 1>these full body coverings. You see what the plague doctor

0:28:29.960 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 1>outfits that, you know, you would have big coverings that

0:28:33.040 --> 0:28:35.800
<v Speaker 1>might have been covered in some kind of waxy substance

0:28:35.880 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 1>or something to try to really keep stuff out, and

0:28:37.800 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>then you tuck it all in, like you tuck your

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 1>shirt in, and you tuck your gloves in and everything

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:45.240
<v Speaker 1>to kind of just prevent stuff from getting on you.

0:28:45.520 --> 0:28:48.120
<v Speaker 1>And even if they didn't have a germ theory of disease,

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>that in itself might have been quite useful in um

0:28:51.680 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 1>in keeping out various vectories of infection that we can

0:28:55.560 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 1>talk about in a second. Yeah, but then again it

0:28:58.880 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>can you can also use this of the same logic

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 1>to then to make judgments like, well, plague is here,

0:29:05.160 --> 0:29:07.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't want plague. We should all go over here

0:29:07.960 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll be safe. Yeah. Yeah. So so ultimately

0:29:11.960 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 1>without really knowing your enemy in this case, really knowing

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 1>what it is you're up against and sort of the

0:29:17.000 --> 0:29:20.600
<v Speaker 1>rules that it adheres to, you know, there's also there's

0:29:20.600 --> 0:29:23.280
<v Speaker 1>still a lot of guesswork involved, and sometimes you're kind

0:29:23.320 --> 0:29:26.680
<v Speaker 1>of accidentally or maybe not quite accidentally, I mean, making

0:29:26.720 --> 0:29:30.000
<v Speaker 1>some leaps based on logic, getting to some level of

0:29:30.080 --> 0:29:33.440
<v Speaker 1>understanding about what you're dealing with and how disease works,

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 1>but in another case is missing it. Yeah, that's right,

0:29:36.360 --> 0:29:38.160
<v Speaker 1>And it's still like it still seems like there is

0:29:38.200 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 1>actually still a good bit of scientific controversy over what

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:46.760
<v Speaker 1>are the primary routes of transmission for plague at various

0:29:46.800 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 1>times in places um the sources I've been looking at.

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:53.800
<v Speaker 1>So it seems like the more classical understanding was that

0:29:54.360 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>people were mostly infected with plague by proximity to what

0:29:58.920 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 1>are called commenced old rodents. Uh. Commencel comes from I

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:06.200
<v Speaker 1>think the term term four sharing a table together, sharing

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:10.000
<v Speaker 1>meals together. That commence al rodents would be like rats

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 1>living in or near your house, and that those rats

0:30:13.880 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>would get in a plague infected fleas on them and

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:20.520
<v Speaker 1>then from the rats, the fleas would jump to humans

0:30:20.560 --> 0:30:24.440
<v Speaker 1>and bite them, and those bites would develop into bubonic plague.

0:30:24.880 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 1>And then, of course sometimes bubonic plague can turn into

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 1>pneumonic plague, so you can have so this is a

0:30:32.560 --> 0:30:37.120
<v Speaker 1>little confusing, but you can have primary pneumonic plague where

0:30:37.120 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>the infection route is inhaled droplets that infect the lungs.

0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:43.520
<v Speaker 1>So if somebody like coughs neumonic plague and then you

0:30:43.600 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 1>inhale it, that you can get primary pneumonic plague, or

0:30:46.560 --> 0:30:51.440
<v Speaker 1>you can have secondary pneumonic plague where you're first infected

0:30:51.560 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>with the common form of the disease, the bubonic plague,

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 1>and then that progresses in the body and develops into

0:30:58.080 --> 0:31:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the lung infection into pneumonic plague, and then you can

0:31:01.000 --> 0:31:03.959
<v Speaker 1>spread it to others through droplets, through coughing or whatever,

0:31:04.600 --> 0:31:05.960
<v Speaker 1>and of course the people who got it that way

0:31:05.960 --> 0:31:09.000
<v Speaker 1>would have primary pneumonic plague. And again pneumonic plague is

0:31:09.200 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>uh extremely deadly and in fact, to introduce a study

0:31:13.480 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 1>I was going to mention next. So there was a

0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:20.560
<v Speaker 1>study published in p N A. S by Katherine ar

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>Deane at All called human ectoparasites and the spread of

0:31:24.360 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 1>plague in Europe during the second pandemic, and the authors

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:30.280
<v Speaker 1>they're writing about the different forms of plague, they write

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 1>that quote, secondary neumonic plague develops in an estimated twenty

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>cent of bubonic cases. Uh, and this creates potential for

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:42.160
<v Speaker 1>primary pneumonic spread, even if it is not the dominant

0:31:42.160 --> 0:31:45.760
<v Speaker 1>transmission route. So they're not saying that the plague was

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:50.200
<v Speaker 1>primarily spread via droplets coughed by people who had pneumonic plague,

0:31:50.280 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 1>but that can be one way that the plague spreads.

0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:56.240
<v Speaker 1>So maybe like twenty of the people who get bubonic

0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:58.800
<v Speaker 1>plague eventually end up with pneumonic plague and then when

0:31:58.800 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 1>they're coughing, it's going all over the place. But anyway,

0:32:01.960 --> 0:32:04.280
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to talk about this study itself by by

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:10.000
<v Speaker 1>Dean at All from because this offered some evidence, some

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:14.440
<v Speaker 1>evidence based on epidemiological modeling to try to solve the

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 1>question of what was the primary route of transmission for

0:32:17.480 --> 0:32:21.040
<v Speaker 1>plague in various places and times. So there's this consensus

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 1>that yes, the Black Death was caused by your cinea

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:29.040
<v Speaker 1>pestis primarily manifesting in the bubonic plague form, and this

0:32:29.160 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>is backed up by multiple lines of evidence including DNA

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:37.000
<v Speaker 1>analysis of remains from places like plague cemeteries. But there

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 1>are still these remaining questions about which route of transmission

0:32:41.080 --> 0:32:43.720
<v Speaker 1>was the most responsible for the horrible outbreaks we see

0:32:43.760 --> 0:32:47.160
<v Speaker 1>chronicled in Europe, Africa and Asia. Now just once again,

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:49.920
<v Speaker 1>some of the previously known major ways that a person

0:32:50.000 --> 0:32:53.400
<v Speaker 1>could become infected with with plague would be first of all,

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 1>being bitten directly by a flee from a disease carrying rat,

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:00.920
<v Speaker 1>and then the second would be inhaling droplets from a

0:33:00.960 --> 0:33:04.560
<v Speaker 1>person infected with the pneumonic version of the disease. But

0:33:04.840 --> 0:33:08.560
<v Speaker 1>there are some reasons for doubting either of these methods

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:12.080
<v Speaker 1>was the primary route of transmission for most plague infection

0:33:12.120 --> 0:33:14.640
<v Speaker 1>in the second pandemic. And I think some of these

0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:18.000
<v Speaker 1>doubts come in the form of a lack of direct

0:33:18.080 --> 0:33:21.719
<v Speaker 1>evidence for examples, as the authors here say that, you know,

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:24.280
<v Speaker 1>if you were to have a lot of plague coming

0:33:24.320 --> 0:33:28.280
<v Speaker 1>directly from rats to humans, you would probably expect to

0:33:28.320 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 1>see physical remains indicating huge rat die offs, what they

0:33:32.600 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 1>called rat falls, and they say that that we don't

0:33:35.600 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>actually have that. And then the other thing is circumstantial

0:33:38.760 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 1>analysis like the spread of plague was often very rapid

0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in a way that the authors argue can be difficult

0:33:44.880 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 1>to explain given given either one of the preceding vectors,

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:53.800
<v Speaker 1>so say, from directly from rats to humans or droplets

0:33:53.800 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 1>from the pneumonic plague. And one problem with spread via

0:33:57.000 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>the pneumonic plague is actually that with pneumonic plague tend

0:34:01.440 --> 0:34:04.920
<v Speaker 1>to get very sick and die extremely fast, and this

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:10.040
<v Speaker 1>sexually limits its transmission disease. A disease that kills its

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:13.600
<v Speaker 1>host very very quickly can actually be less likely to

0:34:13.640 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>spread because it's so deadly, right, And this is something

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.240
<v Speaker 1>that's been driven home about it and the current pandemic

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:22.520
<v Speaker 1>with with COVID nineteen is that it it's it doesn't

0:34:22.560 --> 0:34:24.719
<v Speaker 1>kill people off immediately, it allows for this kind of

0:34:24.719 --> 0:34:27.240
<v Speaker 1>spread and can and then that's one of the reasons

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:30.200
<v Speaker 1>we're in the place we are now. But in this paper,

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the authors here explore a third alternative which they didn't invent.

0:34:34.360 --> 0:34:37.799
<v Speaker 1>This is something that has been hypothesized and debated in

0:34:37.800 --> 0:34:41.440
<v Speaker 1>in previous research, but they're exploring and trying to model

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:46.520
<v Speaker 1>this third alternative, which is human to human transmission through

0:34:46.600 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>the intercession of human ectoparasites. These would be things like

0:34:52.680 --> 0:34:56.040
<v Speaker 1>fleas and lice, but not jumping off of an infected

0:34:56.160 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 1>rat and biting a human and then infecting them. Instead

0:35:00.000 --> 0:35:05.799
<v Speaker 1>had specific human ectoparasites like human fleas or pulex irritants

0:35:06.000 --> 0:35:10.840
<v Speaker 1>or human body lice or known as peddiculous humanis humanis,

0:35:11.440 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 1>And so the idea here would be that there might

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 1>be some initial infection case that would come from a

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:20.680
<v Speaker 1>wild animal reservoir, but then once it is in humans,

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:24.440
<v Speaker 1>human ectoparasites like the fleas and lice living on human

0:35:24.520 --> 0:35:28.960
<v Speaker 1>bodies would bite the infected human and then carry the

0:35:29.000 --> 0:35:32.479
<v Speaker 1>infection and then go bite another human and infect them.

0:35:32.960 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 1>So the primary responsibility would would look more like a

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:40.440
<v Speaker 1>human to human direct spread versus something that is that

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:44.360
<v Speaker 1>is mediated by by a rat reservoir. So we're basically

0:35:44.360 --> 0:35:47.640
<v Speaker 1>talking about an all new loop that develops like not

0:35:47.640 --> 0:35:50.960
<v Speaker 1>not the the rat and rat parasite loop, but a

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:54.120
<v Speaker 1>human and human parasite loop. Right. And I want to

0:35:54.120 --> 0:35:56.839
<v Speaker 1>be very clear that this this one study here does

0:35:56.880 --> 0:35:59.120
<v Speaker 1>not mean like the question is settled and it was

0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:02.040
<v Speaker 1>definitely the human ectoparasites. I think there's still a lot

0:36:02.040 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 1>of open questions and plenty of room for debate about

0:36:05.160 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 1>what were the main transmission vectors in these different places

0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 1>in times during the Second Plague pandemic. But UH, the

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:14.440
<v Speaker 1>authors here at least found is one line of evidence

0:36:14.480 --> 0:36:19.440
<v Speaker 1>in favor of the human ectoparasites hypothesis. UH that this

0:36:19.560 --> 0:36:22.960
<v Speaker 1>evidence was they ran simulations of epidemics based on the

0:36:23.040 --> 0:36:26.040
<v Speaker 1>three different transmission vectors and what could be known about

0:36:26.080 --> 0:36:28.080
<v Speaker 1>them about like how fast you would expect them to

0:36:28.120 --> 0:36:30.120
<v Speaker 1>spread and what the mortality would be and all that.

0:36:30.200 --> 0:36:34.960
<v Speaker 1>So they created these mathematical models for spread by primarily

0:36:35.120 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 1>pneumonic droplets people getting pneumonic plague and then coughing and

0:36:39.080 --> 0:36:42.960
<v Speaker 1>infecting other people, and then flea bites directly from rats

0:36:43.400 --> 0:36:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and then spread via human ectoparasites. And they compared these

0:36:47.680 --> 0:36:52.200
<v Speaker 1>models together um based on existing data about mortality rates

0:36:52.239 --> 0:36:55.200
<v Speaker 1>from nine known locations of plague outbreak in Europe during

0:36:55.200 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 1>the Second pandemic, and according to their model, the human

0:36:58.239 --> 0:37:01.239
<v Speaker 1>ectoparasites spread fit the day DA better than the other

0:37:01.400 --> 0:37:03.719
<v Speaker 1>methods of spread did. So they think this is one

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:06.840
<v Speaker 1>good line of evidence that the primary way plague was

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:09.680
<v Speaker 1>spread at this time was via these human ectoparasites. It

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:13.360
<v Speaker 1>was human to human but primarily from little things getting

0:37:13.360 --> 0:37:15.880
<v Speaker 1>on you that bite you and then jump to another

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:19.600
<v Speaker 1>person and and bite them. And even if few people

0:37:19.600 --> 0:37:21.520
<v Speaker 1>so again, we we don't know that this is correct,

0:37:21.560 --> 0:37:23.680
<v Speaker 1>but it's an interesting idea, and it makes me think

0:37:23.680 --> 0:37:27.080
<v Speaker 1>about how even though few if any people would have

0:37:27.200 --> 0:37:30.640
<v Speaker 1>understood the vectors of the disease in this way at

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:33.440
<v Speaker 1>the time, Uh, it doesn't make me think about how

0:37:33.480 --> 0:37:36.480
<v Speaker 1>if you read plague treatises and people writing about the

0:37:36.520 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 1>plague at the time, I recall a lot of things

0:37:39.280 --> 0:37:45.640
<v Speaker 1>mentioning clothes like infected clothes and bedclothes of the deceased,

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and and the idea of you know, touching the things

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:51.879
<v Speaker 1>they wore and all that being being dangerous, and that

0:37:51.880 --> 0:37:54.000
<v Speaker 1>that makes me wonder if I'm remembering that right, I mean,

0:37:54.000 --> 0:37:56.520
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't make me wonder if there is, in a

0:37:56.560 --> 0:37:59.400
<v Speaker 1>way something people are picking up about places where you

0:37:59.480 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 1>might expect to find the ectoparasites of infected people. Yeah, yeah,

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:05.839
<v Speaker 1>that's a good point. I mean, on the other hand,

0:38:06.360 --> 0:38:09.400
<v Speaker 1>if these were people suffering from extreme flu like symptoms,

0:38:10.080 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 1>it also made might might make sense to steer clear

0:38:12.520 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 1>if their their their garments and their their sheets and

0:38:15.560 --> 0:38:20.280
<v Speaker 1>so forth for other reasons, because of potential fluids and whatnot.

0:38:20.640 --> 0:38:23.880
<v Speaker 1>Now I saw some some coverage of this particular study.

0:38:23.920 --> 0:38:25.600
<v Speaker 1>I think one of them had a headline that was

0:38:25.680 --> 0:38:29.440
<v Speaker 1>essentially something like rats are off the hook for the

0:38:29.560 --> 0:38:32.000
<v Speaker 1>Black Death. Uh, come on, do you think do you

0:38:32.000 --> 0:38:34.880
<v Speaker 1>think that's fair? I mean, I guess I get halfway

0:38:34.880 --> 0:38:36.680
<v Speaker 1>fair if you're trying to be cute. I mean, of course,

0:38:36.840 --> 0:38:39.440
<v Speaker 1>given the understanding that it's not just like one study

0:38:39.480 --> 0:38:41.400
<v Speaker 1>and then you're done with the subject, like you know,

0:38:41.560 --> 0:38:44.200
<v Speaker 1>you're you're building a base of knowledge, and you'd see

0:38:44.200 --> 0:38:46.880
<v Speaker 1>how this would compare to other lines of evidence for

0:38:46.960 --> 0:38:49.160
<v Speaker 1>and against the idea. But even then I think it

0:38:49.200 --> 0:38:52.200
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be fully rats are off the hook because I

0:38:52.200 --> 0:38:55.000
<v Speaker 1>if I'm understanding this idea correctly, I think it would

0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:57.239
<v Speaker 1>still be the idea that there is, of course a

0:38:57.320 --> 0:39:00.800
<v Speaker 1>natural rodent reservoir, and this is where you're sending Epestis

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:04.440
<v Speaker 1>lives in its standard cycle, it's cycle in the wild,

0:39:04.840 --> 0:39:06.640
<v Speaker 1>and so at some point the jump would have had

0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:09.279
<v Speaker 1>to happen. You would just say that rats are not

0:39:09.440 --> 0:39:15.000
<v Speaker 1>primarily the thing carrying it to each person who gets infected. Right,

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:24.000
<v Speaker 1>thank thank So, it seems like we know, second plague

0:39:24.000 --> 0:39:27.839
<v Speaker 1>pandemic almost definitely was your cine epestis, you know, hitting

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:32.000
<v Speaker 1>people primarily in the bubonic disease form. But there are

0:39:32.000 --> 0:39:35.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of interesting, still as yet unsettled questions out

0:39:35.560 --> 0:39:40.120
<v Speaker 1>there about it, how exactly it worked, and research goes on. Yeah,

0:39:40.160 --> 0:39:42.359
<v Speaker 1>and then you know, there's so many different factors when

0:39:42.360 --> 0:39:45.360
<v Speaker 1>you start looking at you know, what causes uh, um,

0:39:45.480 --> 0:39:49.359
<v Speaker 1>plague episodics and and outbreaks. Uh. You know, you have

0:39:49.360 --> 0:39:51.400
<v Speaker 1>so many different factors to take into account, like like

0:39:51.480 --> 0:39:55.320
<v Speaker 1>higher high rates of death among reservoir rodent species, climate

0:39:55.360 --> 0:39:59.080
<v Speaker 1>related factors, you know, cooler summers following wet winners. That

0:39:59.120 --> 0:40:02.840
<v Speaker 1>seems to be a factor as well that I've seen highlighted. Um.

0:40:02.920 --> 0:40:04.719
<v Speaker 1>And then you can also throw in things like high

0:40:04.760 --> 0:40:09.600
<v Speaker 1>density human populations, uh, you know, multiple rodent types living

0:40:09.640 --> 0:40:13.920
<v Speaker 1>within that population and so forth. Um. But one of

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:15.920
<v Speaker 1>the big questions that often comes up is Okay, well

0:40:15.920 --> 0:40:18.640
<v Speaker 1>where did it actually come from? Which you know, in

0:40:18.680 --> 0:40:22.360
<v Speaker 1>some in some ways that's a loaded question because, like

0:40:22.400 --> 0:40:25.080
<v Speaker 1>I said, you can you can in North America, you

0:40:25.120 --> 0:40:28.399
<v Speaker 1>can essentially like wander out into the wilderness and there

0:40:28.400 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 1>will be plague somewhere out there. Their rodent reservoirs um

0:40:31.960 --> 0:40:34.839
<v Speaker 1>all over the place for it. But in terms of

0:40:34.920 --> 0:40:38.840
<v Speaker 1>like this particular outbreak of the you know, the Black Death, Uh,

0:40:39.000 --> 0:40:40.920
<v Speaker 1>there's been a lot written on it. I was reading

0:40:41.360 --> 0:40:45.640
<v Speaker 1>was the Black Death in India and China by George D. Sussman. Uh.

0:40:45.760 --> 0:40:48.560
<v Speaker 1>This was published in the Bulletin of History of Medicine

0:40:48.600 --> 0:40:52.160
<v Speaker 1>in twenty eleven, and in the author first explore some

0:40:52.200 --> 0:40:55.480
<v Speaker 1>of the early understandings about the geographic origins of the

0:40:55.480 --> 0:40:59.200
<v Speaker 1>affliction and then moves on into other areas. So there

0:40:59.239 --> 0:41:01.680
<v Speaker 1>was apparently an under standing in the fourteenth century, evident

0:41:01.719 --> 0:41:06.600
<v Speaker 1>in the writings of fourteen century Italian lawyer Gabrielle de

0:41:06.719 --> 0:41:10.400
<v Speaker 1>Musis that the Black Death had struck throughout the known world,

0:41:10.440 --> 0:41:14.440
<v Speaker 1>that it was an international crisis, perhaps of biblical proportions

0:41:14.760 --> 0:41:17.760
<v Speaker 1>as play, and it was hitting places so far away

0:41:18.000 --> 0:41:20.640
<v Speaker 1>that they were almost mythical, that even those places were

0:41:20.680 --> 0:41:24.200
<v Speaker 1>struggling with plague. And then he goes on to mention,

0:41:24.320 --> 0:41:25.799
<v Speaker 1>so a lot of the scholarship that we have comes

0:41:25.800 --> 0:41:28.399
<v Speaker 1>from the Christian in the Islamic worlds Uh. He goes

0:41:28.400 --> 0:41:32.960
<v Speaker 1>on to mention fourteenth century poet Uh even al Lardi,

0:41:33.960 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 1>who was situated I believe in Aleppo, which is in

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:41.040
<v Speaker 1>modern day Syria, and he spoke with merchants who had

0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:44.399
<v Speaker 1>traveled and observed the plague elsewhere, and he himself would

0:41:44.440 --> 0:41:48.040
<v Speaker 1>die of the plague in thirteen forty nine. But he

0:41:48.120 --> 0:41:51.360
<v Speaker 1>wrote that the pandemic had begun in northern Asia, in

0:41:51.440 --> 0:41:54.759
<v Speaker 1>what he called the land of darkness. Quote China was

0:41:54.800 --> 0:41:58.279
<v Speaker 1>not preserved from it, nor could the strongest fortress hinder it.

0:41:58.640 --> 0:42:01.600
<v Speaker 1>The plague afflicted the Indians in India. It weighed upon

0:42:01.680 --> 0:42:05.080
<v Speaker 1>the send it sees with its hand, and ensnarled even

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:08.440
<v Speaker 1>the land of the Ozbeks. How many backs did it break?

0:42:08.719 --> 0:42:11.960
<v Speaker 1>In what is Transoxiana, That, by the way, is an

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:15.960
<v Speaker 1>ancient name for lower Central Asia. And then he continues,

0:42:16.040 --> 0:42:19.400
<v Speaker 1>the plague increased and spread further. But of course, as

0:42:19.400 --> 0:42:21.479
<v Speaker 1>we'll discuss here, you know, this was a time during

0:42:21.520 --> 0:42:23.960
<v Speaker 1>which there was no germ theory of disease. This bit

0:42:24.000 --> 0:42:27.600
<v Speaker 1>from alardi Uh comes close to capturing the feel of

0:42:27.360 --> 0:42:31.160
<v Speaker 1>an actual pandemic. But there's obviously something lacking here, and

0:42:31.200 --> 0:42:34.200
<v Speaker 1>it would be lacking for some time in human attempts

0:42:34.239 --> 0:42:38.600
<v Speaker 1>to understand the Black Death's origins. Now, Suspen points to

0:42:38.719 --> 0:42:43.640
<v Speaker 1>German medical historian JFC Hecker, and he writes in eighteen

0:42:43.640 --> 0:42:47.279
<v Speaker 1>thirty two of it extending out of China, but he

0:42:47.320 --> 0:42:49.840
<v Speaker 1>links this to a number of alleged events in this

0:42:49.960 --> 0:42:52.960
<v Speaker 1>part of the world around thirteen thirty three, things like

0:42:53.040 --> 0:42:57.200
<v Speaker 1>earthquakes and locusts um a falling meteor, and he then

0:42:57.239 --> 0:42:59.319
<v Speaker 1>goes on to discuss it in very much the sort

0:42:59.320 --> 0:43:04.080
<v Speaker 1>of context of miasthma theory. He describes it as a quote,

0:43:04.200 --> 0:43:08.200
<v Speaker 1>a progressive infection of zones both above and below the

0:43:08.200 --> 0:43:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Earth's surface that sweeps east to west. So again, not

0:43:11.680 --> 0:43:14.200
<v Speaker 1>an understanding of something that will travel from person to

0:43:14.280 --> 0:43:18.160
<v Speaker 1>person or via rodents or any any you know, anything

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:21.280
<v Speaker 1>like we know now, but rather a kind of bad

0:43:21.320 --> 0:43:24.920
<v Speaker 1>air fall out sweeping across Eurasia. And in the absence

0:43:24.960 --> 0:43:27.040
<v Speaker 1>of other types of explanations, you could see how that

0:43:27.080 --> 0:43:28.560
<v Speaker 1>would make a lot of sense. I mean, it could

0:43:28.600 --> 0:43:32.600
<v Speaker 1>pretty neatly match the observed history of the progression of

0:43:32.760 --> 0:43:37.760
<v Speaker 1>the disease. Yeah. Now, Susmen eventually concludes that the Black

0:43:37.800 --> 0:43:41.000
<v Speaker 1>Death might not have visited China or India during the

0:43:41.040 --> 0:43:44.200
<v Speaker 1>fourteenth century, And then again, I mean, we can't say

0:43:44.280 --> 0:43:47.080
<v Speaker 1>with degree of certainty. He just says that it seems

0:43:47.120 --> 0:43:49.480
<v Speaker 1>like this might have been not in the case, though

0:43:49.640 --> 0:43:54.200
<v Speaker 1>it would hit China and India in later centuries. UH.

0:43:54.239 --> 0:43:57.440
<v Speaker 1>There's a great deal of European focused material on plague

0:43:57.440 --> 0:43:59.759
<v Speaker 1>as well as a tradition of saying that it emerged

0:44:00.239 --> 0:44:03.440
<v Speaker 1>in China, and it seems like the third plague pandemic

0:44:03.480 --> 0:44:05.719
<v Speaker 1>of the eighteen hundreds may have begun there. But it's

0:44:05.840 --> 0:44:08.319
<v Speaker 1>it's hard to trace the second plague pandemic, the Black

0:44:08.360 --> 0:44:14.279
<v Speaker 1>Death with accuracy. UH. European and Middle Eastern UH epidemics

0:44:14.320 --> 0:44:17.680
<v Speaker 1>can be traced to Crimea in thirteen forty six, but

0:44:17.800 --> 0:44:21.080
<v Speaker 1>before that, UH, it's it's hard to say. Accounts vary

0:44:21.239 --> 0:44:24.680
<v Speaker 1>from in or near China to the Mongolian step to

0:44:24.800 --> 0:44:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Central Asia. I've seen Kurdistan and Iraq brought in brought

0:44:29.080 --> 0:44:31.600
<v Speaker 1>up in an older paper I think from ninety seven

0:44:31.600 --> 0:44:35.200
<v Speaker 1>by Norris um. So at any rate, it remains disputed,

0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:39.239
<v Speaker 1>though you'll find science headlines, especially from around twenty say

0:44:39.280 --> 0:44:42.200
<v Speaker 1>things like the origins of the Black Death traced back

0:44:42.239 --> 0:44:46.479
<v Speaker 1>to China. Gene sequencing has revealed, but in this they're

0:44:46.520 --> 0:44:49.920
<v Speaker 1>tracing it back two thousand years to the region, which

0:44:50.040 --> 0:44:52.839
<v Speaker 1>is accurate would position it as the cause of the

0:44:52.920 --> 0:44:57.400
<v Speaker 1>Justinian plague more specifically, and when they what they ultimately

0:44:57.440 --> 0:45:00.600
<v Speaker 1>say in that study is in or near China, which

0:45:00.640 --> 0:45:03.840
<v Speaker 1>covers a wide area of Asia. But again you'll often

0:45:03.840 --> 0:45:05.759
<v Speaker 1>find write ups of plague where they'll say, oh, it

0:45:05.800 --> 0:45:09.360
<v Speaker 1>originated in China, or originated in Mongolia, or it originated

0:45:09.360 --> 0:45:12.719
<v Speaker 1>in Central Asia. Um. And, like we said, that's one

0:45:12.760 --> 0:45:16.000
<v Speaker 1>of the things about diving into into research of the

0:45:16.000 --> 0:45:18.839
<v Speaker 1>Black Death is you go into it thinking that there

0:45:18.880 --> 0:45:22.760
<v Speaker 1>are certain like like really just just just hardcore knowns.

0:45:22.760 --> 0:45:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Some there's some solid pillars in this house of research,

0:45:26.120 --> 0:45:29.399
<v Speaker 1>and and some are, but some are not nearly as

0:45:29.400 --> 0:45:31.920
<v Speaker 1>solid as you think. You know, Rob, the whole reason

0:45:31.960 --> 0:45:33.719
<v Speaker 1>you brought this up with so we could talk about

0:45:33.719 --> 0:45:36.719
<v Speaker 1>religious responses to the second plague pandemic. We haven't even

0:45:36.760 --> 0:45:38.400
<v Speaker 1>gotten there yet, and I think we might have to

0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:41.000
<v Speaker 1>call episode one right here and come back and dive

0:45:41.080 --> 0:45:44.759
<v Speaker 1>into those religious responses in the next episode. I believe so.

0:45:44.840 --> 0:45:46.800
<v Speaker 1>But we're off to a good start. I think we've

0:45:47.280 --> 0:45:50.320
<v Speaker 1>we've we've we've highlighted what the adversary is, and the

0:45:50.520 --> 0:45:54.240
<v Speaker 1>next we'll see what the religious authorities did and tried

0:45:54.280 --> 0:45:59.240
<v Speaker 1>to do to deal with it or or allowed or permitted, etcetera. UM,

0:45:59.280 --> 0:46:01.440
<v Speaker 1>so it should be. It should be a fun discussion,

0:46:02.200 --> 0:46:04.200
<v Speaker 1>all right. In the meantime, if you would like to

0:46:04.239 --> 0:46:07.080
<v Speaker 1>write in about this episode or any other episode, do

0:46:07.160 --> 0:46:09.320
<v Speaker 1>so get in touch with us. Yeah yeah. Or you

0:46:09.400 --> 0:46:12.320
<v Speaker 1>a microbiologist who works with your cine a pestus, do

0:46:12.360 --> 0:46:13.680
<v Speaker 1>you do you want to tell us all about it

0:46:14.200 --> 0:46:16.360
<v Speaker 1>right on in? Yeah, we would. We would be delighted

0:46:16.400 --> 0:46:18.359
<v Speaker 1>to hear from you. Uh. If you want to listen

0:46:18.400 --> 0:46:20.759
<v Speaker 1>to other episodes of Stuff to Blow your Mind, you'll

0:46:20.760 --> 0:46:23.080
<v Speaker 1>find them in the Stuff to Blow Your Mind Podcast

0:46:23.160 --> 0:46:26.400
<v Speaker 1>feed with core episodes on Tuesdays and Thursdays, listener Man

0:46:26.480 --> 0:46:30.239
<v Speaker 1>on Monday, and Artifacts on Wednesday, and on Friday's we

0:46:30.320 --> 0:46:32.279
<v Speaker 1>do a little Weird how Cinema. That's our time just

0:46:32.320 --> 0:46:35.680
<v Speaker 1>to talk about a particular weird movie, and then we

0:46:35.760 --> 0:46:39.280
<v Speaker 1>run a rerun over the weekend. Huge thanks as always

0:46:39.280 --> 0:46:42.520
<v Speaker 1>to our excellent audio producer Seth Nicholas Johnson. If you

0:46:42.560 --> 0:46:44.440
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0:46:44.480 --> 0:46:46.680
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0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:49.240
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0:46:49.320 --> 0:47:00.200
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0:47:00.239 --> 0:47:02.720
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0:47:03.080 --> 0:47:05.200
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