1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: P and L is brought to you by proper Cloth, 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: a leader in men's custom shirts, with proprietary smart sized 3 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: technology and top rated customer service. Ordering a custom shirt 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: has never been easier. Visit proper cloth dot com to 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: order your first custom shirt today. Welcome to the Bloomberg 6 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,599 Speaker 1: P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox. Along with my 7 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we bring you the 8 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for you and your money, 9 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: whether you at the grocery store or the trading floor. 10 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: Find the Bloomberg P and L Podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud 11 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 1: and at Bloomberg dot com. Tesla reported earnings yesterday after 12 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 1: the bell and what they delivered up was very pleasing 13 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,480 Speaker 1: to traders, at least initially in after hours, but they've 14 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: kind of backed away from some of those bets now. 15 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: I want to bring in somebody who knows much more 16 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: about this than I do, Liam Denning. He is a 17 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: Bloomberg gad Fly columnist, and you wrote a column that 18 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 1: highlighted one number in particular, nine hundred and seventy million dollars. 19 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: That's the amount of cash the Tesla burned through in 20 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: the last three months of two thousand sixteen. So what 21 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 1: was your biggest takeware? Was this your biggest takeaway from 22 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: from the Tesla earnings? I mean, yeah, that's really the 23 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: only number that that counts with Tesla any any time. 24 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: I mean the earnings themselves. They were distorted this quarter 25 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: by the acquisition of Solar City UM. And in any case, 26 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: whether Tesla beats earnings MSS earnings, there is zero correlation 27 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: between that and what happens to the stock price the 28 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: next day. I've gone back and checked it. There's none. 29 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 1: Why because the key issue here is UM is Tesla's 30 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: cash flow and its ability to realize this ever expanding 31 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: vision that Elon Musk lays out. If you look at 32 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 1: any valuation model for Tesla, most of the value resides 33 00:01:57,160 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 1: in what people expect it to be doing. You know, 34 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: five of our ten years from now, you know, whether 35 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: it's producing millions of vehicles or you know, installing solar 36 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: roofs or building its fifth giga factory. The the constant 37 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 1: need for cash necessitates a strong message of growth and transformation. 38 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: And that's kind of what I meant when I said, 39 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 1: you know, investors take Elon Musk seriously. They don't take 40 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: him literally, that's a good that's a good distinction to make. Liam. 41 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: I was looking at the f A page because I 42 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: love it of Tesla, and I note the free cash 43 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: flow has a wonderful minus sign next to it. As 44 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: you just mentioned, at least for the year one point 45 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: four billion. As a matter of fact, how much is 46 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 1: there any estimate how much they're going to need? Um? Well, 47 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: it's you know, it's looking like they're gonna need a 48 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: lot well not a lot of god, but I mean 49 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: are we talking? I mean because obviously you know, Well, 50 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: the reason that the reason it's interesting also is because 51 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: Elon Musk of course owns what about of the company, 52 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: So what is what is the most what he wants 53 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: is probably most likely to happen. Well, the way to 54 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: think about it is this, so, um, you know, revenue 55 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: cash flow, Yeah, but cash flow from operations in the 56 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: last quarter was about minus you know, four hundred someone 57 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: between four hundred and five hundred million UM. Their guidance 58 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: for CAPEX just for the first half of this year 59 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: is somewhere between two and two and a half billion, 60 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: So that means net net they're probably going to burn 61 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: through I would say somewhere between two and a half 62 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 1: and three and a half billion in the first half 63 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: of the year. And that kind of makes sense because 64 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: they're about to launch the Model three, which is there 65 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: they're kind of mass market ev that's where they try 66 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 1: and get from producing you know, eight thousand cars a 67 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: year up to more like five or six thousand. Well, 68 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: let me just offer this note. This comes from our 69 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: colleague Corey Johnson, who you know, coming up on a 70 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Markets PM, he said. A year ago. Chief executive 71 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: Elon Musk stated on their Q four earnings call that 72 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: quotes something I'm personally quite excited about is that we 73 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 1: expect to be positive cash flows starting next month and 74 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: then continuing into Q two and beyond. Well, analysts don't agree. 75 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the expectation for fiscal year two thousand, 76 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 1: seventeen h that was a year ago, all right, Well, 77 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 1: that didn't didn't come looking at a sort of an 78 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: expectation among analysts of negative basically a hundred and seventy 79 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: billion dollars, right, Um, But I would go back to 80 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: the original message, which is that none of it matters, 81 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: which is right, you know, he can say whatever. He 82 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 1: was missed. Sales forecast its original sales guidance for the 83 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 1: last three years running, and it's got a market cap 84 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,479 Speaker 1: which is almost the same as as awards. That will 85 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: give them the wherewithal to go out and sell more equity, 86 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: to raise more money. And as long as they keep 87 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: pushing out a message of growth and transformation, and as 88 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: long as enough investors believe in it, then they can 89 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: keep raising money to keep pushing towards it. Okay, So 90 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: what could happen to disrupt this virtuous chain of events? Okay, 91 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 1: so it's hard to say specifically, but I think what 92 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: would have to happen is some sort of real disruption 93 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: to something like the Model three. Now it's looking like 94 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 1: the guidance for the Model three's production, I mean that 95 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,840 Speaker 1: looks pretty shaky to me. The numbers that they were 96 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 1: putting out last night. We haven't even seen a fully 97 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 1: functioning pre production model yet. Doesn't look like we're gonna 98 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: see one before production is supposed to start in July. 99 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: So if some if there was some real setback to that, 100 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 1: then I think that might shake people's confidence. I think 101 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,919 Speaker 1: the other thing is as time rolls on, we're seeing 102 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: more competitors like GM for BMW launched their own electric vehicles. 103 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 1: I mean, GM has pretty much beaten Tesla to the 104 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: punch with the Bolt, which is going to be the 105 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: main competitor to the Model three. And I think over time, 106 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: although right now Tesla is seen as the force for 107 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 1: change in the auto's market, at some point there is 108 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: going to be the reality of having lots of other 109 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: competitors who are also able to offset their risk with 110 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 1: other cars producing their own electric vehicles. Thank you very much, 111 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: Liam Denning, Bloomberg Gadfly columns. Shares of Tesla data about 112 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: five and a half percent. I want to turn to 113 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: Krishna Mamani, chief investment officer at Oppenheimer Funds UH, to 114 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 1: talk a little bit about what are you seeing in 115 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 1: the bar market specifically. I want to start Krishna with 116 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 1: comments that we heard today from US Treasury Secretary Steve 117 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 1: Minution basically expressing great interest frankly and issuing longer dated 118 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: US treasuries. This would be the fifty year or possibly 119 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: even a hundred year UH treasuries. What's what's your feeling 120 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 1: on this? Do you think this is realistic? I think 121 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: from a demand perspective, so in any policy change, you 122 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: have to kind of focus on whether there will be 123 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 1: some buyer for the security. But you're a buyer, right, 124 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: I'm a buyer, and I think there are lots of 125 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: people who are buyers of really long bonds special fuer quality. 126 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: So you would buy a fifty year US treasure absolutely, 127 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: because if you if you have really long term liabilities 128 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: that you're looking to extinguish and extinguished with really high 129 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: quality assets, there really isn't a better instrument available. So 130 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 1: do you have a sense of what premium you would 131 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: need for a fifty year treasury over a thirty year 132 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: treasury or a ten year treasury in order to make 133 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: it worthwhile? So I guess would be that that premium 134 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:06,400 Speaker 1: is probably smaller than most of us anticipate. And the 135 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: reason for that is because the the convexity characteristics which 136 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: is a technical term to say the the the price 137 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 1: appreciation and appreciation qualities of really long bonds is very 138 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: good and from a from a liability extinguishment standpoint, the 139 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: demand is quite solid. So I think that premium would 140 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: be much less than what we think uh it would be, 141 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: and much less than what the differences between ten years 142 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 1: and thirty years today. As much as I would like 143 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 1: to say that I'm going to be around in fifty years, 144 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 1: I got to say that there are chances that I 145 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: might not. So why would you buy something that is 146 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: going to be subject to the vagaries of inflation, global instability? Uh, 147 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: in order to satisfy a current And I don't mean 148 00:08:57,040 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 1: you personally, but I mean to satisfy a current and 149 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 1: hole in the portfolio because number one, you can't think 150 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: of anything better to buy. Second, you need to keep 151 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:08,959 Speaker 1: your job, and no one's gonna fire you for buying 152 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: us treasuries. You're gonna say, here, I bought them. It 153 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 1: matches our liability. But you know, I'm not gonna be 154 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 1: around when this thing blows up. So that's that's funny 155 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 1: that you say that. But you you you have to recognize, 156 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: uh that while you and I may not be around 157 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 1: in fifty years, there are pension plans. No, no, no, 158 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 1: I got I. I understand all that. But I mean, 159 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 1: if you're to tell me that you were to buy 160 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 1: a thirty year let's say it's thirty years right now 161 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 1: at three percent, you mean to tell me that in 162 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: thirty years you're not going to take a hit in 163 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 1: terms of what it is. Maybe your new customer base 164 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: wants in terms of a return, because if you're an 165 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 1: insurance company, you're matching future liabilities future new customers. Sure, so, 166 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: but I today I have some liabilities that I need 167 00:09:56,120 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: to fund and demonstrate to the accountants that my liability 168 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: is fully funded. So you're limited in what you can exactly. Okay, alright, Well, 169 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,719 Speaker 1: moving moving on to something else that Minution said. He 170 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 1: said that he thinks it's completely feasible that the U 171 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: S should see three percent or even higher growth. That's 172 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: up from two rate or less. Frankly, now, first of all, 173 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: do you agree with this assessment? And second of all, 174 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:23,199 Speaker 1: if this is true, what bond is going to get 175 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: hit hardest? So I I think that's that's really more 176 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:31,840 Speaker 1: hope than reality in my view. Alright, And so you 177 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 1: don't think that's true in the current environment, The likelihood 178 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: that we get to higher than three percent growth rate 179 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: anytime soon, I'm not holding my breath, you know. It's 180 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 1: it's not it's not to say that it couldn't happen, 181 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: but for it to happen, a whole lot of policy 182 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: initiatives have to come into play. And policy initiatives like 183 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: significantly higher level of fiscal deficit, which I don't think 184 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:01,079 Speaker 1: the Republican administration, at least the Republican Congress is really 185 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: very much in the mood mood to do without that. 186 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: The likelihood that we get three percent, in my mind, 187 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: is virtually zero. And yet you do still think that 188 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: benchmark borrowing costs in the US will rise enough to 189 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: legitimize or justify uh favoring leverage loans or other floating 190 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: rate debt correct well, so the floating rate debt market 191 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: is really not just about your view on where rates 192 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: are going. That certainly helps, but I think what you 193 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: have to factor in is the fact that floating rate 194 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: yields are comparable to high yield yields, and therefore the 195 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 1: the end they are senior. So the downside in loans 196 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,840 Speaker 1: is significantly less than what it is in high yield bonds, 197 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 1: and as a result, I think in the current market environment, 198 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: loans is the best asset class in all of all 199 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: of credit. Having said that, you know the interest rate 200 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: component of loans is a side benefit rather than the 201 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: primary driver of the value and loans, thank you very much, 202 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 1: very interesting. Christian Memony is the chief investment officer at 203 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,840 Speaker 1: Oppenheimer funds uh. He is based here in New York 204 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: and joining us in our eleven three OHD studios. Thank 205 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 1: you very much for being here. P and L is 206 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,199 Speaker 1: brought to you by proper Cloth, the leader in men's 207 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 1: custom shirts. At proper cloth dot com, ordering custom shirts 208 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: has never been easier. Create your custom shirt size by 209 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: answering ten easy questions, select from over five d fabrics 210 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: to suit your personal taste. Shirts start from eighty five 211 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: dollars and are delivered in just two weeks with proper 212 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 1: Cloths perfect fit guarantee. Remakes are completely free and expert 213 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: staff are standing by to help. For premium quality, perfect 214 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: fitting shirts, visit proper cloth dot com Custom shirts made smarter. 215 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:09,839 Speaker 1: When you think of appliances, Lisa Bramwitz, do you think 216 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 1: of J. C. Penny? Yes, I do you do? I 217 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:16,079 Speaker 1: do well. I'm glad you do because this was a 218 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 1: category that they well, they exited at one point and 219 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 1: now um they are back in the world of appliances, 220 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,199 Speaker 1: so you must have a very good memory. Here to 221 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: tell us more. Craig Johnson, President Customer Growth Partners. They're 222 00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:31,960 Speaker 1: based in New Canaan, Connecticut. Craig, always a pleasure. Thanks 223 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:34,199 Speaker 1: for coming into the studio, tell us about j C. 224 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: Penny and whether there is any way they can offset 225 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: that weak store traffic and also the negative soft apparel 226 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,559 Speaker 1: trends that a lot of retailers are facing. Well, him 227 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: and Lisa, great to be with you all today. Um, yeah, 228 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: j C. Penney has been doing a lot better under 229 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: the still fairly new CEO, Robert Allison. Uh, he came 230 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 1: out of out of home Depology, you might recall, and 231 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 1: so he knows a lot about major appliances now. Um, 232 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: they extualed the major pints is like thirty plus years ago, 233 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: but they've always been in small pints is kitchen, the 234 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:12,000 Speaker 1: pints as and so forth. Um, and so they're looking 235 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: that is one of the things they're looking at to 236 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: increase the productivity of the store floor. The floor is 237 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: still jc pnny stores are still way under productive where 238 00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 1: they used to be some years back. And they're working 239 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: on the Internet. That helps. They're doing much better on 240 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:28,160 Speaker 1: that than they used to be. I used to do. 241 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 1: And um, major plinants is is not gonna be a 242 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: panacea because for major appliances, I would argue a little 243 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 1: bit there at least it's not it's not top of 244 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: mind for most customers. Most major plants sales are what 245 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 1: are known as duress sales when the old unit conks out. 246 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: When the old unit conks out, you're probably gonna go 247 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: to Loads, which is number one in market share. Maybe 248 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: Sears Home Depot or best Buy. J. J. Penney just 249 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 1: doesn't pop up, then Greg just zooming out a little bit. 250 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 1: This is peak earnings week for the retailers, and it 251 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: comes at a time when a lot of people are 252 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 1: writing off retailers as uh soon to be victims of 253 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: the Amazon boom and the online move to shopping. And 254 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: yet we're seeing Beats Coals this morning beat expectations. We 255 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 1: saw Macy's beat expectations earlier this week. Does this point 256 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: to signs of recovery in your opinion? Well, the fact 257 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: that they beat pretty dour expectations doesn't always bode well. 258 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: In other words, it's it's maybe a moral victory at 259 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 1: most best to have only negative two point comps as 260 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: calls we boarded they can get right right exactly. But 261 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: I distinguished between the department store sector and the apparel sector, 262 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: which have been the most troubled, and department stores are 263 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 1: mostly apparel and accessory stores mostly for women that you 264 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: will have a home section and so forth. But it's 265 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: mostly apparel, and that whole sector is declining. It's so 266 00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: much slower share of market that used to be department 267 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: sto as a generation ago. Um Uh used to have 268 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,800 Speaker 1: ten percent of the retail market. Now it's sounded one 269 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 1: point six. So you do the math. That is not 270 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: that is not a good thing. But other parts of 271 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: retail off price apparel, such as t j X, which 272 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 1: had fairly decent numbers, Ross and Burlington, which is reported 273 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: in the next you know week ten days, they'll do 274 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: very very well. Um and and there's been a major 275 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: rotation to home um, whether it's home improvement or the 276 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 1: homeport instance. Players w Wayfair just reported this morning, did 277 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: you know very strong numbers not make any money by 278 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: the report of the strong top line tell us about 279 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: I gotta go to l brands. I know that the 280 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: results are already out, so I was just watching to 281 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: talk about Victoria's secret. Well, I just don't know. I mean, 282 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: here's the stock. It's down at sixth the body works, 283 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: I see good, thank you down six Uh. They don't know. 284 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: They they've got their own stores. Obviously a brand but 285 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: I mean, is this the story that is this like 286 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 1: a business that's going to be around in five years 287 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: in the same format somehow, I think the market for 288 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: intimatewear or innerwears calling it these days, I suspect that's 289 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: gonna be around for a while. The difference is is 290 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: that Victoria's Secret uh, as apart from Bath and Bodyworks, 291 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,439 Speaker 1: which is you know, different little bit of different animals. 292 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:21,399 Speaker 1: But for the for Vicky, um, we believe that it's overexpanded. 293 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: It kind of breathed, was breathing its own exhaustumes too much. 294 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: And any good retail you have, even if you have 295 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,679 Speaker 1: a great concept, you don't want to make it so 296 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,919 Speaker 1: it's totally ubiquitous. So there's one on every corner because 297 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 1: you'll you'll overserve the market. And right now the market 298 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 1: for for for intimate underwear is uh, it's you know, 299 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 1: it's modestly growing, but it's not rampant. Well and also 300 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:49,879 Speaker 1: didn't Victoria's Secret come under some fire for not having 301 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 1: big enough sizes for some clients and there was some 302 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:56,199 Speaker 1: discussion about should they have should they cater to a 303 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 1: larger population. Does that matter to you at all or 304 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: is that sort of just a relevant kind of side show. Well, 305 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 1: the the size of the average woman has over the 306 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 1: last generation has increased, and uh, the full figured woman 307 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: does have a market, and right now that's a little 308 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 1: bit underserved, we believe. And so Victoria's secret, you know, 309 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: it's the image of Victoria's sacred is maybe you know, 310 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: a little thinner, younger, et cetera. But there's a ton 311 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: of women that may need, you know, a little bit 312 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 1: larger sizing, and there we believe they're a little bit undeserved. Craig, 313 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 1: you said that you just returned from a trip to Chicago. 314 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: I know you spent a lot of time on the 315 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: road actually checking out the retail operations. What can you 316 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 1: tell about what's going on in the middle of the 317 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: country in Chicago, Well, he was, you know, we have 318 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 1: a team of eighteen people. We've been doing this for 319 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: years across the country. They go about to about ninety 320 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 1: major venues um and I like to travel myself and 321 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 1: native Chicago's I remember Marshall Fields in its better days, 322 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: and so you remember the chocolate, the mints, I guess 323 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,399 Speaker 1: the Franco mits where which macis. I believe they just 324 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: sold that the great thing and so um. Retail in 325 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: the rest of the country is doing, you know, kind 326 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,680 Speaker 1: of much better than the pundits think because the headlines 327 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 1: are all around the department store as the well known 328 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:19,880 Speaker 1: names and departments are a sector is tanking, it's it's 329 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,360 Speaker 1: a it's a near free fall. Now there's a role 330 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: for department stores, but they have to rethink and reconceptualize 331 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,440 Speaker 1: really what they are. But what you see in Chicago, 332 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 1: can you tell us, I mean any are there any 333 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 1: retail concepts that are new that we need to pay 334 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,879 Speaker 1: attention to? One of them, just as expanding rapidly is 335 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 1: a warby Parker, the the the eyeglass maker, and they 336 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 1: have I was in their stores on North Rush Street 337 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 1: and it's great. Locations like Catty Corner from an urban outfitters, 338 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 1: you know, sort of serve a little bit of the 339 00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: same customers and so forth. And so they now have 340 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: a couple of locations physical location. Because this is a 341 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:55,679 Speaker 1: retailer that started online. Classes. Yeah, but they started online 342 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,880 Speaker 1: and now they're now they're rapidly going to building out 343 00:19:59,920 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: a store fleet. Craig Johnson, thank you so much for 344 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 1: joining us. Craig, uh, it sounds like they're eighteen people 345 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,480 Speaker 1: go around secretly shopping for for for their business. I 346 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,919 Speaker 1: love it. Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners in 347 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:29,119 Speaker 1: New Canaan at Connecticut Well pim Fox. We heard quite 348 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 1: a bit this morning from US Treasury Secretary UH Steve Minution. 349 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: Now that he has been confirmed, he is making the 350 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,440 Speaker 1: rounds and giving some sense of what his priorities will 351 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 1: be over the next couple of years. I want to 352 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:48,160 Speaker 1: bring in Salaha Moson, she is a Bloomberg News reporter, 353 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 1: to talk a little bit about what we've learned about 354 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 1: manutions policies. So, Sala, let's first start with the longer 355 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 1: dated US Treasury since this is moving markets and causing 356 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: a quarter into some traders. This is what's causing the 357 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: yield curve to steep in somewhat today. Um, what exactly 358 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 1: did he say about the U s issuing fifty one 359 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: hundred year treasuries? So the Secretary Minution said that the 360 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 1: Treasury will explore issuing longer term debt maturities. As you said, Um, 361 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: he said that with rates seen historically low for some 362 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,400 Speaker 1: time to come, it is time to seriously explore whether 363 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: Treasury should be issuing these bonds. Well, what is the 364 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 1: likelihood that this will happen? Who does he have in support? 365 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: You know, there are a few members in Congress who 366 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 1: have asked about this in the last year, uh and 367 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 1: including some Democrats, But so far in the Senate there 368 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,199 Speaker 1: hasn't been a lot of movement on this. It's not 369 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 1: clear that he would actually even need congress um full 370 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: support to do this, But I think for now it's 371 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:55,400 Speaker 1: more just the sake, a question of asking market participants 372 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: and investors what they think and then going from there. 373 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 1: You know, one thing that I found interesting both today 374 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: as well as yesterday, there was an article about Treasury 375 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: Manution in the Wall Street Journal where he talked about 376 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:11,080 Speaker 1: the dollar policy and that the strong the strong dollar 377 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: is a good reflection on the US over the long term. 378 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,560 Speaker 1: That seemed to go in contradiction to what President Trump 379 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:20,200 Speaker 1: had said about the dollar being too strong. He also 380 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 1: said today that there is no urgency to brand China 381 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 1: a currency manipulator. How much is Treasury Secretary Manution in 382 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 1: sync with President Trump? You know, it's hard to know, um, 383 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 1: when something might come out on a tweet and where 384 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,880 Speaker 1: the signaling there might when it might shift, um. But 385 00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: you know, we have seen some clear signals from Trump 386 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:48,160 Speaker 1: himself where he is softening on his views of China. UM. 387 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 1: That started after the elections and it's continued as he 388 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 1: has become president. UM and Manution is pretty much echoing that. 389 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: But this is new that you know, no announcement will 390 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 1: come before April, and that means that they are looking 391 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:05,159 Speaker 1: to the traditional mechanisms to investigate whether they should be 392 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: labeling them now or or how they can start raising 393 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: any alarms before they would actually formally designate them. It 394 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: just shows that we're not going to do this haphazardly. 395 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 1: We're gonna look to what existing established mechanisms. We have 396 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: to do this now, Sala. Earlier, President Trump spoke about 397 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 1: the United states is economic relationship with Mexico, and did 398 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:31,400 Speaker 1: he reference that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is in 399 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:36,120 Speaker 1: Mexico today beginning that relationship. What if you could speak 400 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: a little bit about what you know about repealing or 401 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:43,680 Speaker 1: changing or reforming NAFTA. You know, right now it looks 402 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,960 Speaker 1: like a very strong initiative to start, like a ninety 403 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 1: day review of the law has not started. Um, it 404 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 1: looks like they're still in the talking mode. Let's connect 405 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 1: with all of our counterparts and see what we hear 406 00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,399 Speaker 1: back as the rest of the world kind of starts 407 00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,959 Speaker 1: to re adjust to the US's new trade stance. You know. 408 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 1: One other aspect of Minutions comments earlier today was his 409 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: expectations for the growth rate in the US. He said 410 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: that it was completely reasonable to expect a three percent 411 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: or higher growth rate. Did he give any idea of 412 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:22,160 Speaker 1: what he thought would push growth to that rate, which 413 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: we have not seen for years. Yeah, So he stuck 414 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: to the party line that it is tax cuts and 415 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:34,119 Speaker 1: cutting regulations that will unlock this economic growth of at 416 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 1: least three percent. Mission did say today on TV and 417 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 1: a scene LEAs the interview that he doesn't expect that 418 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:41,720 Speaker 1: to really feed into the economy until the end of 419 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: next year. But that's why they want to get started 420 00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: on this sooner rather than later, just so that that 421 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 1: can start showing up in the economy. Now. Recently, I believe, 422 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 1: you know, there was a G twenty meeting, and this 423 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: was at a time when I believe the Secretary of 424 00:24:56,320 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 1: the Treasury had just been installed, and I'm wondering if 425 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:03,159 Speaker 1: you could just give us the reaction to some of 426 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 1: those UH from the Foreign UH Finance chiefs about Stephen 427 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:12,600 Speaker 1: Manuchition and about the US policy. So the next twenty 428 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: meeting is in Germany in mid March UM, and what 429 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 1: we had was a leadership gap at Treasury that was 430 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:25,879 Speaker 1: longer than before between administrations, So the Treasure secretary counterparts 431 00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:27,959 Speaker 1: around the world had no one really to pick up 432 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: and call as they heard Trump and his advisors, including Manuchian, 433 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:36,360 Speaker 1: making comments about bilateral trade issues and currencies that were 434 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: moving markets. Um. So as soon as Minuition was installed, 435 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,679 Speaker 1: we saw that within half a day we had his 436 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: German counterpart UH talking about saying, you know, be careful 437 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:50,000 Speaker 1: how you talk about cutting regulations because they don't want 438 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 1: a race to the bottom of the very regulations that 439 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: were put in place two Uh sort of keep another 440 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:59,199 Speaker 1: financial crisis from happening. And then shortly after that we 441 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:04,479 Speaker 1: heard from Japan's pair also about how Minution should be 442 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,239 Speaker 1: cautious and careful in remarks about the yen. And that 443 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 1: kind of comes from Trump's comments that China and Japan 444 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 1: are playing in currency markets. Although you know, aside from 445 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 1: just the big Dodd Frank rollback which some people are expecting, 446 00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:22,479 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary Minution could have a much more direct effect 447 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,360 Speaker 1: on rolling back some of these regulations. Correct, I mean 448 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 1: he could potentially direct the Federal Reserve of the o 449 00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 1: c C or work with f STOCK, uh this Financial 450 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 1: Stability Committee to potentially ease certain sort of de facto 451 00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,880 Speaker 1: policies that are that are just basically governed by guidance. Right. 452 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 1: That's right. He is as treasure Secretary's ahead of f STOCK, 453 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,640 Speaker 1: and so it's up to him if he decides to 454 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: put some different issues on the backboard burner and re 455 00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: prioritize that is one way to sort of start loosening regulations. 456 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,479 Speaker 1: Like what types of things you're talking about, I mean, 457 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,720 Speaker 1: it's hard to say. Right now. He seems very focused 458 00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 1: on doing anything he can to help small and medium 459 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,399 Speaker 1: businesses grow investment. They said for a long time that 460 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 1: small community banks aren't able to make loans that really 461 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: are a part of a large part of the economy 462 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,320 Speaker 1: and are holding back part of growth according to their 463 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 1: base case, because they are kind of weighed down by regulation. 464 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: And if they can loosen that up and make it 465 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 1: easier for these smaller banks to operate, then you know 466 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,119 Speaker 1: that's they're going to aim for. First. I wonder if 467 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 1: you just give US about twenty seconds on the euro. 468 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,840 Speaker 1: On the Euro, you know, we did hear from Peter Navarro, 469 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 1: who is the Trade Council Director at the White House, 470 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:36,280 Speaker 1: that Germany does have a large trade imbalance with the 471 00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 1: US and that was kind of, you could say, a 472 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 1: soft attack to the on the Euro. Now, we haven't 473 00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 1: heard a lot on Europe. UM. I know that UM 474 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: in Germany. Merkel is often seen or heard talking about 475 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,399 Speaker 1: an interview that Trump did many years ago where he 476 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:57,880 Speaker 1: says that maybe Mercedes should be pariffed, and you kind 477 00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,439 Speaker 1: of wonder if she is now kind of darting to 478 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,959 Speaker 1: gird herself to maybe be a weary of a trade war. 479 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: Well that and uh in a coming election. I want 480 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,800 Speaker 1: to thank you very much, Salleja most Economy Treasury reporter 481 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:15,320 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg News giving us details about the new Treasury 482 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:26,080 Speaker 1: Secretary Stephen. This is Bloomberg. Thanks for listening to the 483 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,399 Speaker 1: Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and listen 484 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 1: to interviews at iTunes, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. 485 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:38,360 Speaker 1: I'm pim Fox. I'm out there on Twitter at pim Fox. 486 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 1: I'm out there on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one 487 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on 488 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. P and L is brought to you by 489 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: proper Cloth, a leader in men's custom shirts, with proprietary 490 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,520 Speaker 1: smart sized technology and top rated customer service. Ordering a 491 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: custom shirt has never been easier. Visit proper cloth dot 492 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 1: com to order your first custom shirt today