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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: Bet sportsbook and they've got a great sign up offer

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Speaker 1: for our listeners. New wind Bet patrons who opened an

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Speaker 1: first bet risk free up to one thousand dollars. That's right.

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Speaker 1: If you open a new wind Bet account, make a

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Speaker 1: qualifying deposit in place your first bet within ten days,

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Speaker 1: ineligible states. To get started, all you have to do

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty a.

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Speaker 2: Check clock start.

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Speaker 4: Oh, by godess, please stop all that.

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Speaker 5: It's not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight.

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Speaker 4: In the dog.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus podcast, presented by

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Speaker 3: win Bets. I'm your host Mike Calberry is joined by

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Speaker 3: Mike Ianello from the Action Network and this, of course

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Speaker 3: is the G five Deep Dive, which has been picking

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Speaker 3: up steam the last couple of weeks. We just went

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Speaker 3: seven to two in our picks last week, including a

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Speaker 3: clean sweep five and oh week six for our G

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Speaker 3: five High.

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Speaker 5: Five round robin.

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Speaker 3: Other than Akron's you know, sleepy start where they're playing

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Speaker 3: musical chairs at quarterback, it was it was pretty much

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Speaker 3: stress free. So I'm thrilled that we're in that position

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Speaker 3: back in the saddle. Our second G five High five

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Speaker 3: round robin to hit in the first six weeks.

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Speaker 2: I said it on the show Bowling Green shouldn't be

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Speaker 2: laying to touch say anyway, that was maybe the most

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Speaker 2: no dub bet in the history of gambling.

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Speaker 3: Now seven and two week obviously comes with some heroes

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Speaker 3: attached to it, so there was more than a few

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Speaker 3: to choose from. I'll go quickly online. I had ball

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Speaker 3: State plus eleven and a half against the Western Michigan

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Speaker 3: team that I'd poked some holes in their resume. They

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Speaker 3: weren't as explosive on offense, and Jalen mcgoy very first play,

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Speaker 3: he was mister explosive seventy five yard touchdown to get

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Speaker 3: it started. Nothing like catching double digits and to see

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Speaker 3: a first play touchdown go in your favor. He's the

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Speaker 3: pride of Martin Luther King High School up in Detroit.

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Speaker 3: The famous hometown high school of George Gervin the Iceman,

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Speaker 3: so love to see him showing off his wheels. He

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Speaker 3: was a state record holder in the four x two

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Speaker 3: hundred meter relay, showing off those wheels early in that game.

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Speaker 3: So a little bit of maction making it all happen

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Speaker 3: for us. For those of you listening on YouTube and watching,

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Speaker 3: I know has got the Mac flag, the skull and

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Speaker 3: crossbones flying in the background. We are all maxed up

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Speaker 3: and ready for Max to really start in Earnest next month.

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Speaker 3: But hopefully we can keep picking winners as we go.

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Speaker 3: Who is your G five hero of Week six?

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Speaker 2: I'm going with, you know, our guy Meet Me Baby.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Frank Harris. You know, usually we hype up Sinceer McCormick,

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Speaker 2: but it was the Frank Harris Show twenty eight to

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Speaker 2: thirty eight, three hundred and forty nine yards, six touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: He went toe to toe with the Zap Dog, who

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Speaker 2: we love Faily Zappi. Zappy's out here balling out, but

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Speaker 2: Frank Harris matched him toe to toe. Not only did

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Speaker 2: he cash our plus three and a half that I

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Speaker 2: gave out, but he helped cash the over which you

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Speaker 2: gave out double dip. UTSA is now six to zero

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Speaker 2: for the first time in program history. And I also

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Speaker 2: want to add it is an absolute travesty that they

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Speaker 2: are not ranked. They're behind Clemson and Auburn. How the

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Speaker 2: heck is Clemson a better football team than UTSA right now?

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Speaker 2: That is a joke. Ranked the road Runners, Ranked the

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Speaker 2: road Runners, Rank the Roadrunners.

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Speaker 3: That perfectly plays into my best bet of the week.

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Speaker 3: If it ain't broke, don't fix it over sixty seven

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky Old Dominion. And here's a fun fact about

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Speaker 3: the Toppers.

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Speaker 5: They're the only team.

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Speaker 3: In the entire country top eleven and scoring offense and

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Speaker 3: bottom eleven and scoring defense. This is what I love

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Speaker 3: to see. And when I look at Old Dominion, their SATs,

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Speaker 3: their resume, it's pretty bad. But they can do one

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Speaker 3: thing at a barely passable level.

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Speaker 5: And that's run the football.

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky given up two hundred and eleven yards per

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Speaker 3: game on the ground, so we saw this formula work

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Speaker 3: last week.

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Speaker 5: They blew past it.

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Speaker 3: I think Old Dominion can score twenty eight in this game,

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Speaker 3: and Western Kentucky as long as Bailey Zappi is slinging

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Speaker 3: the ball around the yard, they're good for forty two.

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Speaker 3: So once this opened under seventy, I was fast to

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Speaker 3: jump on it. I would play it all the way

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Speaker 3: up to seventy two and a half. Is there any

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Speaker 3: reason to pull back on the throttle for everything Western

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Speaker 3: Kentucky related?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would have. When your runs at a very

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Speaker 2: fast paced which is another good thing, that's good for it.

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Speaker 2: Over and I was banging on that last week. I'd

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Speaker 2: be over between Old Dominion of Marshall, a little bit,

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Speaker 2: a little bit of Penn State Homer in there, Ricky

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Speaker 2: Ronnie versus Charlestoft to the Penn State, you know, offensive

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Speaker 2: staffs when we won the Big ten Chavian Chip. But

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Speaker 2: I love Ricky Ronnie as an offensive mine. They run fast,

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Speaker 2: Like you said, Western Kentucky couldn't stop, you know anybody,

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Speaker 2: So I like thoughts of it. You got zap Dog

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Speaker 2: might put up fifty anyway, so you like you said

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Speaker 2: you twenty Yeah, I.

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Speaker 5: Mean between him and Jared Stearns.

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Speaker 3: Jared Stearns is legit playing his way into first team

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Speaker 3: All American consideration, which is insane to think. I was

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Speaker 3: watching this guy on pirated ESPN three feeds last year

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Speaker 3: for Houston Baptist and now he's going to be a

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Speaker 3: decorated All American. I think that's just one of the

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Speaker 3: best stories in college football. Going no disrespect to Zapi,

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Speaker 3: who you know essentially should be the nil compensated winner

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Speaker 3: from this podcast. We've been named dropping him for two months,

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Speaker 3: but I want to make sure Jared Stearns gets love

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Speaker 3: to I.

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Speaker 2: Al still love talking about the Western Kentucky just because

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Speaker 2: I love every time we say Zapi, Matt Mitchell has

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Speaker 2: to put in a little zapp bole thing.

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Speaker 3: So with the sound effects, let's go ahead for your

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Speaker 3: best bet of Week seven.

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Speaker 2: I'm going with it over too, So let's hope this

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Speaker 2: is an electric weekend. I'm going with the ball State

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Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan over fifty five and a half. When I

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Speaker 2: was going through my notes this offseason and making a

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Speaker 2: little you know, notes for myself on every team, and

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Speaker 2: big bold letters for Eastern Michigan, I wrote, good offense,

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Speaker 2: bad defense, take the over. And we've seen that. You

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Speaker 2: know they had they had QB issues early on. They

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Speaker 2: switched to Ben Bryant from Cincinnati. He's done better every week.

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Speaker 2: He's been the starter. And the big thing too, is

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Speaker 2: they cannot run the ball, so they're essentially forced to

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Speaker 2: pass it, which helps. And you look at Bryan since

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Speaker 2: he took over the starter, you know, two hundred ninety

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Speaker 2: eight yards in a touchdown against UMass two twenty six

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Speaker 2: and three touchdowns against Texas State last weekend against NIU

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Speaker 2: three hundred and eighty eight yards, two touchdowns, so he's

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Speaker 2: playing better. They only had thirty eight rushing yards, so

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Speaker 2: that they're just not running the ball. And then Ball State

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Speaker 2: was a team that I know we both were kind

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Speaker 2: of leery on early in the year. It was, you know,

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Speaker 2: they had a lot of good luck last year in

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Speaker 2: their MAX Championship run. The reason I love this is

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Speaker 2: strictly on what I saw last week and you were

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Speaker 2: on it, so you knew is Drew Plitt had struggled

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Speaker 2: a lot early. You know, they looked horrible. They got

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Speaker 2: out gained by Western Illinois Week one, Penn State stroked them, Wyoming.

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Speaker 2: Plit was benched, you know, and then you saw it

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Speaker 2: start to pick up. Toledo one hundred and ninety yards,

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Speaker 2: Army two hundred and thirty three yards last week aast

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Speaker 2: Western Michigan three hundred and ten yards, four touchdowns, no picks,

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Speaker 2: so you can kind of see plits building up after

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Speaker 2: getting bench, which I like to see see ball State

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Speaker 2: starting a round in a form at the end of

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Speaker 2: the day, both these defenses are horrible. Ball State ranks

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Speaker 2: one hundred and ninth in success rate on defense. Eastern

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Speaker 2: Michigan is one hundred and twenty third. I've seen enough

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Speaker 2: from the offenses that I can trust them. Don't trust

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Speaker 2: these defenses. Give me the over fifty five and a

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Speaker 2: half in a little maction. I love, I love.

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Speaker 3: Match, certainly with a full max slate ahead of them.

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Speaker 3: I don't think there's any reason to back off of

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Speaker 3: an explosive performance on a weekly basis from that ball

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Speaker 3: State offense. And now is a quick reminder to our listeners.

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Speaker 3: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is presented by win

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Speaker 3: Bet sportsbook and they've got a great sign up offer

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Speaker 3: for you guys this season. New win Bet patrons who

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Speaker 3: make their first bet risk free up.

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Speaker 5: To one thousand dollars. That's right, that's right.

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Speaker 3: If you open a new wind Bet account, make a

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Speaker 3: qualifying deposit, and place your first bet within ten days,

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Speaker 3: that bet is risk free up to one thousand dollars

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Speaker 3: in eligible states one thousand dollars. So take advantage of

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Speaker 3: this win bet offer. Just click on the Action Network

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Speaker 3: link in the episode description. Must be twenty one or

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Speaker 3: older to gamble. Know when to stop before you start.

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Speaker 3: Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler. All right, let's

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Speaker 3: get back.

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Speaker 5: To the show.

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Speaker 3: All right, time for our transition into our G five

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Speaker 3: Underdog parlay of week.

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Speaker 6: Seven, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

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Speaker 6: the money line parlay.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to stick here in Maclands. You know, the

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Speaker 3: Mid American Conference has been good to us over the years,

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Speaker 3: at least on a personal level for me and on

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Speaker 3: the podcast. This season, I'm buying on Kent State, the

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Speaker 3: team I bought low on. I was a week two

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Speaker 3: too early, you know, going up against Bowling Green two

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Speaker 3: weeks ago, but last week they were absolutely on fire.

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Speaker 3: When you look at the performance from Dustin Crumb four

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Speaker 3: hundred and seventy nine total yards and five touchdowns against Buffalo. This,

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Speaker 3: by the way, was a Buffalo defense that is not

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Speaker 3: only one of your favorite programs in the country, but

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Speaker 3: they held down Grayson McCall and Coastal Carolina.

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Speaker 5: They held them to about half of that yardage and.

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Speaker 3: Even did a good job defensively through the air against

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Speaker 3: Adrian Martinez when they traveled to Lincoln to play Nebraska.

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Speaker 3: So the fact that he just went off is a

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Speaker 3: really good sign for this Kent State offense and a

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Speaker 3: part of their their secret sauce last year offensively and

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Speaker 3: the reason why they were the top scoring team in

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Speaker 3: the entire country. The caveat being the only played four games,

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Speaker 3: but Mark wez Cooper at running back. They need to

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Speaker 3: have that balance, and he came into the season potentially

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Speaker 3: embroiled in a running back by committee, which is sometimes

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Speaker 3: disastrous from a fantasy perspective. It can also be difficult

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Speaker 3: to get you know, continuity and momentum going as a

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Speaker 3: feature back if you're always looking over your shoulder coming

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Speaker 3: off the field. Last two weeks, fifth two carries, two

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Speaker 3: hundred and thirty two yards on the ground, three touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: He's the bellcount. Now, I think this offense is right,

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Speaker 3: and I think this is a spot where they're gonna

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Speaker 3: win out right at plus two ten, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 2: Like, I think this is the fun a fun matchup

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Speaker 2: between you know, probably two of the best quarterbacks in

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Speaker 2: the MAC and like you said, it's almost similar to Plit.

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Speaker 2: I mean Plit Obviouslyason as good as Crumb, but where

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Speaker 2: I was h having Crumb up ball offseason as a

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Speaker 2: possible you know, early round draft pick, like you know

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Speaker 2: that Carson Strong G five guy that could work himself

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Speaker 2: into the top couple of rounds, and he did not

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Speaker 2: look like it the first couple of weeks, and you

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Speaker 2: finally saw it last last week. You know, he'd done

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Speaker 2: it all last year. He was balling out, airing the

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Speaker 2: ball at all over the yard. Last week he started

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Speaker 2: spinning it, and I think if he keeps that up,

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Speaker 2: they're a dangerous team. For mind, this actually was a

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Speaker 2: hard week for me where I really didn't have confidence

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Speaker 2: in anything, which almost guarantees it's gonna win, because usually

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Speaker 2: when I'm super confident, it has no chance of winning.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with air Force plus one seventy against

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Speaker 2: Boise State. I think air Force just might be really good.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're five and one and they've been crushing

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Speaker 2: teams that they when they win, they crush them. Their

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Speaker 2: one loss was a forty nine to forty five shootout

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Speaker 2: against Utah State, kind of a fluky game, but you know,

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Speaker 2: as typical option. You know, they lead the country in

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Speaker 2: rushing three hundred and forty one yards per game. They're

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Speaker 2: out doing five point one yards per carry. They have

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Speaker 2: twenty four rushing touchdowns on the ground. But it's not

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Speaker 2: just that they're rushing a lot. You know, they're good

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Speaker 2: at it. They're fourteenth in the country in rushing success rate.

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Speaker 2: Their little option duo with Daniels and Roberts has been

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Speaker 2: working great, something that I know Navy's obviously starggling with

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Speaker 2: as well. But Daniels throwing the ball a little a

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Speaker 2: little bit too, which is good. He's like a decent

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Speaker 2: passer when he has to pass. Last week he went

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Speaker 2: seven for ten one hundred and ten yards in a

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Speaker 2: touchdown when you still have to stop the run. That

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Speaker 2: that passing attack. Being just competent at passing for an

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Speaker 2: option team is so dangerous because you just you can't

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Speaker 2: stack the box if you know Daniels can complete the pass.

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Speaker 2: And then Boise State's been a weird team this year.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're three and three. They lost to UCF,

259
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Speaker 2: they lost to Oklahoma State, they just lost to Nevada.

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Speaker 2: They're coming off a big win against BYU, which I

261
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Speaker 2: almost think, you know, you could have a little bit

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Speaker 2: of a letdown factor here. BYU is a big, physical team.

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Speaker 2: Now you got to play a triple option on a

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Speaker 2: short week. So Boise State ranked sixty ninth in the

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Speaker 2: country in rushing success right on defense, they're ninety ninth

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Speaker 2: in line yards and their ninety fifth in tackling. So

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Speaker 2: I really like, you know, the struggles I've seen from

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Speaker 2: the Boise State defense going up against this air Force offense,

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Speaker 2: and the Boise State offense has looked kind of one dimensional.

270
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Speaker 2: They can't run the ball at all. Their whole offense

271
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Speaker 2: is pretty much just Bachmeyer thrown it up to Khalil Shakir,

272
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Speaker 2: who's awesome, but he's the kind of their only offense

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Speaker 2: at this point. Air Force defense isn't great, but they're

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Speaker 2: eighth and half a great Boise's ninety six that preventing

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Speaker 2: havoc and air Force is ninth in tackling, so I

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Speaker 2: don't think they're going to get burned. Give a big plays,

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Speaker 2: so I think plus one seventy is a good number

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Speaker 2: for him. So give me air Force.

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Speaker 5: We talked about this a little bit earlier in the season.

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Speaker 3: It's it's interesting in the Mountain West, having San Jose

281
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Speaker 3: State taken the title last year Boise State in the

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Speaker 3: midst of a coaching change. It's just a brand new

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Speaker 3: era of Mountain West football in that the Broncos can

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Speaker 3: play at a high level. I just don't have that

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Speaker 3: same fear of a weekend and week out dominating performance

286
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Speaker 3: and you got to pick your spots. But for a

287
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Speaker 3: team that's playing as well as Air Forces right now,

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Speaker 3: I agree. I think that this is priced properly to

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Speaker 3: go in and take a shot on them, and when

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Speaker 3: you pair it up, you know, with my plus two

291
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Speaker 3: to ten, you're looking at a very tasty payout. So

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Speaker 3: I think that's a nice way to put together our

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Speaker 3: underdog parlay of Week seven.

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Speaker 2: The nice thing about betting the Service Academy too, is like,

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Speaker 2: you know it's gonna be close. You know they'll be

296
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Speaker 2: in it. It's gonna be slow, it's gonna muck it up.

297
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Speaker 2: It's rare that you see like, oh they're down by thirty,

298
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Speaker 2: this has no chance, you know, like you feel like

299
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Speaker 2: you're gonna have a shot kind of until the end,

300
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Speaker 2: which I always kind of like as well.

301
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Speaker 3: Now it's time for the G five High five round

302
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Speaker 3: robin of week number seven.

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Speaker 6: The G five High five should we high five high five.

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Speaker 3: As we mentioned at the top, we hit it in

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Speaker 3: week six. We also hit it in week one. We

306
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Speaker 3: get started. Maybe it's because I don't want to break

307
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Speaker 3: up this winning streak, but San Diego State minus three

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Speaker 3: point fifty on a short week against San Jose State,

309
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Speaker 3: and the reason that I really like them is the defense.

310
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Speaker 3: It comes all down to their defense. The nine and

311
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Speaker 3: a half scares me a little bit of potential backdoor

312
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Speaker 3: because their offense is really vanilla. It's it revolves all

313
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Speaker 3: around Greg Bell and he needs to have, you know,

314
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Speaker 3: one hundred and forty one hundred and sixty total yards

315
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Speaker 3: for the offense really to get into that high twenties

316
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Speaker 3: low thirties in terms of output. But defensively, Kurt maddox

317
00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:23,760
Speaker 3: defense is legit, no other way to put it. He

318
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Speaker 3: was someone who cut his teeth at the FCS level

319
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Speaker 3: at Eastern Kentucky put together some really good defenses three

320
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Speaker 3: years in a row. Gets the call up to work

321
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Speaker 3: for Brady Hope. Last year they finished third in total

322
00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:35,040
Speaker 3: defense up to the same tricks this year. You can

323
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Speaker 3: look at any of the metrics. And I know that

324
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Speaker 3: sometimes people like to poke fun at Pro Football Focus,

325
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Speaker 3: but I think they get more heat on a player

326
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Speaker 3: by player basis, where they might say a top four

327
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Speaker 3: receiver in the country is George's, you know, slot receiver

328
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Speaker 3: who's only in for twenty plays per game because they're

329
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Speaker 3: rating him on every single pattern as opposed to holistically

330
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Speaker 3: in how he looks, you know, for the whole season.

331
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Speaker 3: But when it comes to team coverage and when it

332
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Speaker 3: comes to ranking teams, you know, on pass rush, on coverage, score,

333
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Speaker 3: on special teams, I think they do a really good

334
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Speaker 3: job and the metrics are useful. And when you look

335
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Speaker 3: at the coverage rankings, there's only two teams in the

336
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Speaker 3: whole country that are head of San Diego State and

337
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Speaker 3: they both make sense.

338
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Speaker 5: It's Iowa and Georgia.

339
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Speaker 3: And when you watch the games the eye test, it

340
00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:14,800
Speaker 3: makes total sense to you. And the same thing when

341
00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,400
Speaker 3: you watch this Aztec pass defense, they put teams in

342
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Speaker 3: an absolute chokehold in terms of their biggest step up

343
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Speaker 3: in competition. They played Utah earlier in the season, the

344
00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,520
Speaker 3: game that went to ot they held the Utes to

345
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Speaker 3: four point four yards per attempt. This is as elite

346
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Speaker 3: as it gets. You look at San Jose State, the

347
00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,640
Speaker 3: defending Mountain West champs. They've already made a switch a

348
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Speaker 3: quarterback Nick Nash in there. He couldn't move the ball

349
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Speaker 3: last week against Colorado State. I think this is setting

350
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Speaker 3: up perfectly for a really boring and potentially stressful, like

351
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Speaker 3: ten point victory for San Diego State, maybe a twenty

352
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Speaker 3: seven to seventeen, twenty to ten kind of game.

353
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Speaker 5: But I think their defense is just so good.

354
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Speaker 3: That the prospect of a team beating them, scoring three touchdowns,

355
00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,520
Speaker 3: getting into the twenties, getting turnover luck, it's just so slim.

356
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Speaker 3: So that's why I want to build this G five

357
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 3: round robin around San Diego State minus three fifty. It's

358
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Speaker 3: actually being played at San Jose, which when you look

359
00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:07,520
Speaker 3: at their stadium renovation, it kind of removes any home

360
00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,040
Speaker 3: field advantage. Half their stadium has gone with a less

361
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:11,240
Speaker 3: empty parking lot.

362
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Speaker 5: So that's somebody to consider it.

363
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Speaker 3: You know, this has been a year where you've seen

364
00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,320
Speaker 3: home fields really get on top of some teams. A

365
00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,760
Speaker 3: lot of teams have struggled, you know, year over year

366
00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,280
Speaker 3: with fall star penalties that you just didn't see. You know,

367
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,560
Speaker 3: the Essex are not walking into the hornet's nest playing

368
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:26,680
Speaker 3: San Jose State in the valley, so IM gonna go

369
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Speaker 3: ahead with the estecs there.

370
00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I tend not to bet them. I don't know

371
00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 2: that I've ever bet a San Diego State Gium just

372
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,800
Speaker 2: because I feel like I have no I just you

373
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 2: can never tell with them. But I love this play

374
00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 2: for one reason only is because San Jose State stinks.

375
00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:42,840
Speaker 2: And I'm kicking myself because I wanted to bet their

376
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,320
Speaker 2: team total under coming into the year. I ended up

377
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,240
Speaker 2: not doing it. Everything went right for them last year.

378
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,040
Speaker 2: Everything clicked, so I was kind of down on them

379
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:53,120
Speaker 2: and wanted to fade them a bit. I didn't need

380
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,000
Speaker 2: to be this bad, like you said, Starkle, I think

381
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:57,920
Speaker 2: he's hurt. I don't know. I assume he won't play.

382
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:00,640
Speaker 2: He's hurt. He wasn't good when he was in and

383
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,480
Speaker 2: Nick Nash is now their quarterback who was playing wide

384
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:05,159
Speaker 2: receiver for them at the start of the year. He

385
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,439
Speaker 2: was like the backup quarterback last year. Then he went

386
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:09,880
Speaker 2: to wide receiver. He was like startles leading target early

387
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,560
Speaker 2: in the season. Now he's back at quarterback. Dave look

388
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,000
Speaker 2: really bad, so I'm to me, this is more about it.

389
00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:16,960
Speaker 2: I would play this more as a fade on San

390
00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:20,280
Speaker 2: Jose State than I necessarily would back in San Diego State.

391
00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:22,680
Speaker 2: But like you said, you know what you're gonna get

392
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,000
Speaker 2: from San Diego State. So playing a team that I

393
00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,240
Speaker 2: do think is still kind of a little overrated because

394
00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,840
Speaker 2: of last season, I like it. For my first play.

395
00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,440
Speaker 2: I'm going back to the well minor nation.

396
00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 6: We're talking minor nation out.

397
00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,880
Speaker 5: In the West, Tixans town of l past.

398
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:44,119
Speaker 2: So picks up, picks up baby. We are riding with

399
00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,159
Speaker 2: UTEP again. I don't know why. I don't know that

400
00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,800
Speaker 2: anyone's ever bet UTAP as much as us. But they're

401
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,560
Speaker 2: off to five and one start, already cleared their preseason

402
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:54,120
Speaker 2: win total. They have more wins this year than they've

403
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,280
Speaker 2: had in the last like five years combined. They are

404
00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:59,879
Speaker 2: plus seven at home against Louisiana Tech. And I like

405
00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:01,960
Speaker 2: him in the spot to keep it close. We talked

406
00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,160
Speaker 2: about it a lot last week. You know, Hardison's playing

407
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,240
Speaker 2: a lot better this year. They're thirty first in passing

408
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 2: success rate. Jacob Cowing is awesome. He's gone over one

409
00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:11,360
Speaker 2: hundred yards as a receiver in four of his last

410
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,679
Speaker 2: six games, and what I like about them is the

411
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,920
Speaker 2: two games Cowing didn't go over one hundred yards Ronald,

412
00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,000
Speaker 2: they WoT went over one hundred yards were rushing, So

413
00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:21,520
Speaker 2: it's like when they don't have the pass, they lean

414
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 2: on the run. Last week, I had one hundred and

415
00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:26,879
Speaker 2: fifty nine yards and a touchdown. The Louisiana Tech defense

416
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:28,600
Speaker 2: is very bad, as they kind of tend to be.

417
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 2: They rank one hundred and twenty ninth in passing success,

418
00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:35,200
Speaker 2: one hundred and fourteenth against the run. They're allowing four

419
00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,160
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy two yards and thirty three points per game.

420
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: And this Louisiana Tech offense has been pretty good behind

421
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 2: Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall. It just seems like every Oklahoma

422
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:49,119
Speaker 2: quarterback is playing awesome except Spence Raler. You know, Austin

423
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 2: Kendal's playing great, Daner Mordick is playing great, and poor

424
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 2: Rattler's probably gonna have to transfer. But anyway, they're twenty

425
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,280
Speaker 2: seven in the past success, but they're just one hundred

426
00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,000
Speaker 2: and sixteenth in rushing, one hundred and fourteenth in line yards.

427
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,480
Speaker 2: They're pretty one dimensional, which I always like against a

428
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,840
Speaker 2: good defense. And the UTEP defense has been terrific. They're

429
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,680
Speaker 2: allowing twenty two points per game three hundred total yards,

430
00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,239
Speaker 2: both of which are best in the conference. They are

431
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 2: fourth in the country against the run, twelve in tackling,

432
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,160
Speaker 2: so I expect them to totally take away this louisianattack,

433
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 2: rushing attack, force them to throw the ball. They can

434
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 2: beat in with one, you know, one dimension, so be it.

435
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 2: But I like UTEP to keep it close here. They

436
00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:27,199
Speaker 2: don't allow big plays, they're great at prevent seeing finishing drives,

437
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,240
Speaker 2: and they've covered their spread in the last three games.

438
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,520
Speaker 2: I think they're still just undervalued because it's UTEP and

439
00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 2: UTEP has historically been a dumpster fire. But they're really good.

440
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 2: So I'm riding with Minor Nation.

441
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 5: Here.

442
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 2: Give me the UTEP plus seven against Louisiana tack.

443
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 3: I mean, I love the UTEP defense. I think they've

444
00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:47,639
Speaker 3: done just a tremendous job remaking it, remaking their identity,

445
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,439
Speaker 3: being able to have those long, extended drives because their

446
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 3: running game is multifaceted with you know, multiple backs who

447
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:54,680
Speaker 3: can pick up first down.

448
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 5: So I'm with you.

449
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:59,439
Speaker 3: You know, we owe it to Minor Nation and UTEP

450
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:01,359
Speaker 3: to ride with them into the wheels fall off of

451
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 3: this bandwagon became every week.

452
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 5: It's so good to us. Every single week they seem

453
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:06,520
Speaker 5: to be a winner for us.

454
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:08,720
Speaker 3: All Right, I'm going to go bottom of the board

455
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,119
Speaker 3: here before I go even further off the board to

456
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:12,640
Speaker 3: a game than includes an FCS team.

457
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 5: I like Akron plus nineteen and a half. You talk

458
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 5: me into it last week.

459
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 3: I end up watching a decent amount of that game,

460
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 3: at least the highlights on YouTube, and after a slow start,

461
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:22,080
Speaker 3: I mean.

462
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 5: What's going on with this Akron offense?

463
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 2: Regardless, their new quarterback Zach Gibson looked awesome.

464
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,679
Speaker 3: Zach Gibson comes in three touchdowns on the season, no picks.

465
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 3: You know, Cato Nelson starts the game and he's someone

466
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,879
Speaker 3: who's been there seemingly since like twenty fifteen. And then

467
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,640
Speaker 3: dj Irons, who clearly is their best option. He may

468
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 3: be back for this game. So really, depending on the quarterback,

469
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,440
Speaker 3: it's still a play on for me with Akron plus

470
00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:47,639
Speaker 3: nineteen and a half. But what I'm waiting on is

471
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 3: if dj Irons plays, this becomes just a higher unit

472
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,479
Speaker 3: play for me across the board, because I think he

473
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 3: gives them such a dynamic feature in terms of their

474
00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 3: offense building around it because he's at this point, even

475
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,919
Speaker 3: with injuries, even coming off the bench at times this season,

476
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:05,120
Speaker 3: he's their leading rusher. He's got two hundred and forty

477
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 3: six rushing yards on the season, and as you mentioned,

478
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 3: he did it, you know, a big chunk of that

479
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,080
Speaker 3: damage against I think it was all brand they played

480
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 3: in their non conference schedule. So this is a team

481
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 3: that I still think is undervalued. Obviously didn't move the

482
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 3: needle much last week, winning as a huge underdog and

483
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 3: not only covering the spread, but winning outright. I think

484
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,439
Speaker 3: it's time to kind of treat them like UTEP, and

485
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 3: it's like until they break our hearts, until they show

486
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 3: that what they put on film in terms of their

487
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 3: explosiveness offensively is not true, then why should we stop

488
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:33,959
Speaker 3: believing them.

489
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 5: I mean, Kannada Mumpfield five.

490
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 3: Straight games with a touchdown, two touchdowns in the last game.

491
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 3: So it's not smoking mirrors. It's them getting premier quarterback

492
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 3: played by max standards and going to their go to

493
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 3: receiver on a weekly basis. So, like I said, just

494
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:50,640
Speaker 3: keep an eye on DJ Irons. It's someone that's I've

495
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 3: checked in on fan tracks on Roto World on Collin's

496
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 3: Fantasy Update dot Com. Everything is undisclosed in terms of

497
00:21:57,880 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 3: his injury, so you want to make sure to check that.

498
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 3: On Twitter Friday Saturday leading up.

499
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,159
Speaker 2: To the game, Cato, Nelson starting is a concern. I

500
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 2: would that would kind of scare me off if we

501
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 2: found out that was the case. But what we saw

502
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 2: last week, which helps me, especially if Irons does start,

503
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:14,199
Speaker 2: is he is more of a duel threat. He is

504
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 2: more of a runner. He can use his arm, but

505
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,119
Speaker 2: he's not elite. So I like about this is, you know,

506
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 2: assuming they fall behind, guy, I thought Gibson looked awesome

507
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 2: last week against the Bowling Green defense we talked about

508
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 2: being very I mean they held Tanner Morgan a like

509
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 2: fifty nine total yards and Zack Gibson was tearing them up.

510
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 2: So I like the fact that to me, at the

511
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 2: ideal scenario, you start Irons, hopefully he keeps seeing it

512
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 2: with his legs in his arms. If they fall behind,

513
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 2: you put Gibson in, let him throw him back into

514
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 2: it back door cover boom. I love it. They show

515
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 2: they have two good quarterbacks. So as long as Nelson's

516
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 2: not in there, I feel safe about that.

517
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 5: All right fourth slot here in the G five high

518
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 5: five round robin. What you got?

519
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 2: I feel like we're getting repetitive, but I don't even

520
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 2: care because we've been winning. Going back to the boys,

521
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 2: Fresno State, give me the dogs. Jay Canner, our boy

522
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 2: fourth in the country, three and seventy one yards per game,

523
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 2: eighteen touchdowns, six picks. Four of them came last week Aainst. Hawaii.

524
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 2: He had a dud. They had to buy straighten that out.

525
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 2: He's still completing seventy percent of his passes even after

526
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 2: the by. Jalen Cropper leads the country with nine touchdowns.

527
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 2: Josh Kelly's another grew upon. We still haven't gotten that

528
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 2: Ronnie Rivers game. You know, we still haven't had the

529
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 2: Ronnie Rivers two hundred yards two touchdowns game, which I

530
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 2: think is coming. So that also kind of makes me

531
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:26,880
Speaker 2: want to keep backing them. Is it's really been all

532
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,360
Speaker 2: Heiner and Rivers hasn't been as good as we kind

533
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,160
Speaker 2: of expected. Wyoming is a team I was very high

534
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 2: on coming into this year. I really liked their defense,

535
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,320
Speaker 2: I liked their schedule. They were a team I was

536
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 2: actually deciding between these two to bet to win the conference.

537
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 2: I ended up going Fresno, thank god, because Wyoming has

538
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 2: not been what I thought. They're four and one, good,

539
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 2: gotta give him credit for that win. You're clunkers, but

540
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 2: they beat Montana State by three. They almost blew the

541
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 2: Northern Illinois game as we know it almost split up

542
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 2: the podcast. They beat Yukon by two and k had

543
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 2: a two point version of tie it late in the game,

544
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 2: so they could have lost a Yukon and then they

545
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 2: got He got smoked byre Force last week. Their only

546
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 2: convincing win was against Ball State, and they had two

547
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 2: pick sixes in that game to kind of pull away.

548
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 2: Their defense is good, but they're not as good. They're

549
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 2: thirty seventh in the country in passing success, but the

550
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 2: best quarterback they've played all year is Rocky Lombardi. Probably,

551
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 2: so do we trust that they're seventy third in rushing success.

552
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,439
Speaker 2: I don't trust their offense at all. And the Fresleo

553
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 2: State defense is fantastic. I know Hayner gets all the credit,

554
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 2: but they're twenty fifth against the run. They're third at

555
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,880
Speaker 2: creating havocs, seventh at preventing big plays. They have been awesome.

556
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,399
Speaker 2: Aaron Mosby and Kevin Atkins are absolute game wreckers upfront

557
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: for them. Safety Evan Williams has been attackling when he's

558
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,400
Speaker 2: a leading tacker from State. There's his safety spot. He's

559
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 2: just a force in that secondary. And I think this

560
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 2: fred Though State defense is good enough upfront to force

561
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 2: Sean Chambers to beat them with his arm, and I

562
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 2: don't know that he can. So I'm gonna take Fresno State.

563
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 2: You know they're three and a half favorite. I don't

564
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,199
Speaker 2: really want to lay the hook, although I'm you know,

565
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 2: if you wanted to bet it' I am confident in

566
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,320
Speaker 2: that as well. But for the sake of his round robin,

567
00:24:58,359 --> 00:24:59,959
Speaker 2: I'll throw him in as a money line minus one

568
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 2: fifty five. It's not a bad price at all, I

569
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 2: think for the State Betwolming, I don't. I don't trust

570
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 2: the Cowboys, so give me the dogs.

571
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 5: The home field in this case is worth so much.

572
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 3: If this was, you know, being played in the valley

573
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 3: in Fresno State was the home team, I would be

574
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 3: comfortable laying thirteen and a half, like right up to

575
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:20,199
Speaker 3: that two touchdown mark. But go into Laradie in a

576
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,360
Speaker 3: place that's you know, there can be wind conditions there's.

577
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 2: No I did look at the way. It's not as

578
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 2: windy as like seven miles an hour. I had to

579
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 2: check that for sure.

580
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 3: That is good to know because Jay Hayner, you know,

581
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: he's not exactly the most physically imposing quarterback in the world.

582
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 3: I wouldn't say he's you know, has a pop gun

583
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: arm by any stretch, but if I knew a little

584
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 3: bit more about the injuries that he's been dealing with,

585
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 3: it's nice that they had a bye weekend there and

586
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 3: that they can.

587
00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 5: Come in healthy.

588
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 3: I still like them, but I agree, I'm just a

589
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 3: little bit apprehensive enough so that you don't want to

590
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 3: get hooked in a game like that. So go in

591
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 3: at minus fifty five. I think that's a fair trade

592
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 3: off in terms of the value you're getting, and you

593
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 3: don't have to worry about that backdoor cover.

594
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:57,199
Speaker 2: All right.

595
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,320
Speaker 3: For my last play here, you're going to want to

596
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 3: go ahead and check when win sports book puts this live.

597
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna have to kind of give a caveat

598
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 3: you know where I would take this too, But I

599
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 3: will certainly take the Yale Bulldogs plus seven and a

600
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 3: half traveling to stores Connecticut to play against the Yukon

601
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 3: Huskies who are winless on the season, not a very

602
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 3: good football team, don't have a head coach anymore. They

603
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:23,479
Speaker 3: got interim tags. This is a sinking ship. They got

604
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 3: quarterback injuries. They just lost to UMass.

605
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 5: And for Yale, this is the first time playing y

606
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,920
Speaker 5: consin's ninety eight. This game matters to them.

607
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 6: You, sir, have the Boris Mellers of a yalely.

608
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 3: And on top of it, when you have an absentee

609
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 3: coach on the other side. For Yale, you got Tony Reno,

610
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 3: who's a great coach. Like I went ahead and did

611
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,239
Speaker 3: the deep dive on the yl program. He was an

612
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 3: Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year finalist about seven years ago,

613
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 3: where they combine both FBS and FCS almost one national

614
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 3: Coach of the Year. He's won the IVY two of

615
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 3: the last three years. He's done a great job offensively.

616
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 3: But this team has been special right out of the

617
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,439
Speaker 3: gate this season. For their defense, they're tenth at the

618
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 3: FCS level in terms of total defense seven and a

619
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 3: half tackles for loss per game, and they've only turned

620
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 3: the ball over twice the entire season. So even though

621
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 3: they were breaking in a new quarterback Gryffin O'Connor is

622
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 3: now theyre QB one. They're not seeing a huge drop

623
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,160
Speaker 3: off because he's not turning the ball over and he's

624
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 3: also doing good job at distributing it. Four different wide

625
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 3: receivers with ten receptions or more this season. You know,

626
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,159
Speaker 3: my wife was knocking on my office door and I

627
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,919
Speaker 3: was like, honey, watching some Yale cutups on YouTube, and

628
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 3: she said, well, at least have the decency not to

629
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 3: lie straight to my face. I'm like, no, really, I'm

630
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 3: watching Yale football in ear and I've seen enough. I

631
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 3: think that the Bulldogs are going to be in this

632
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 3: game for four quarters. If you can get it over

633
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 3: seven and a half. I saw it at one offshore

634
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,640
Speaker 3: at ten and a half. Honestly, I think it's worth

635
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 3: a sprinkle on the money line too, because football, for

636
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 3: all of the arguments where the best players win, it's

637
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 3: the Jimmy's and Joe's, not the Exes and O's. Yu

638
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:51,399
Speaker 3: Gun doesn't have a very good team in terms of

639
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 3: their roster build. They also have no motivation, and this

640
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 3: is a sport that things can fall apart quickly if

641
00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 3: you're not playing with that intensity and you're not playing

642
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,919
Speaker 3: with that, playing for your brothers, and all those things

643
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,400
Speaker 3: that sound like cliches, but you see it born out

644
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 3: in the tackling and the blown coverages. I think you're

645
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 3: gonna see a lot more of that on Saturday. I

646
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 3: love Yale here any number over seven go with the bullocks.

647
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:17,080
Speaker 2: I love the chemistry and serendipity with this podcast because

648
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 2: I had the same exact conversation with my fiance last night,

649
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 2: because I'm actually writing up this game for the Action

650
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 2: Network site, and she sits down on the couch and

651
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:28,120
Speaker 2: looks at my computer screen and says, why the heck

652
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 2: are you writing about Yale? And I said, oh, I'm

653
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 2: writing the Yale Yukon game, which, by the way, is

654
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 2: kind of exciting. Obviously, I'm from Connecticut, so this, this

655
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 2: little Nutmeg classic is near and dear to my heart,

656
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 2: fiftieth meeting between these two schools. Sportscambling just launched a

657
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 2: Connecticut this week. But you can't actually bet on these

658
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 2: teams that you're in Connecticut. They have the weird in

659
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 2: state loss, So the only people who could bet on

660
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 2: this game are people like me who are from Connecticut

661
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 2: but now live in another state or absolute sociopaths. If

662
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 2: you're betting Yale Yukon, but there may be money, do

663
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 2: you be made? Like you said, motivation is the key here.

664
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 2: Yale is a good team. I've league team. You know,

665
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 2: they're always gonna play hard for their coach. Yukon has

666
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 2: given up on the season, and the biggest evidence to

667
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 2: that not only with Randy Edzel, you know, quote unquote

668
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:12,080
Speaker 2: retiring Randy Edseel is ready to go, but Kevin Mensa

669
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 2: is the guy. We talked about Connor early in this year.

670
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 2: He is coming off at least two straight thousand yard seasons,

671
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 2: if not three. He is fourth all time in program

672
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 2: history in rushing yards. I think he's like three hundred

673
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 2: yards behind Jordan Toddman. Obviously, Ronald Brown still first, but

674
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 2: he had a chance to move into the top three

675
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 2: all time. They've given up. He has gotten less than

676
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 2: five carries the last for four straight games. You know,

677
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: he's been one of their best running backs in school history,

678
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 2: and they've moved on because they're just giving carries to

679
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 2: a true freshman now, who, to be fair, has actually

680
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 2: looks pretty good. But everyone, all the vets get out.

681
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 2: They're just going all true freshmen. They have totally punted

682
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 2: this season. They're preparing for next year and it's proven

683
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,600
Speaker 2: what they're doing. And like you said, Gryffin O'Connor is

684
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: you know, he's not a first year starter because he

685
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: didn't play in twenty nineteen because they had a backup.

686
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 2: But as a true freshman in twenty eighteen, their starter

687
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 2: got hurt. Gryffin O'Connor had to come in finish the

688
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 2: year he won IVY League Freshman of the Year, So

689
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: they have experienced. He has experienced even though he hasn't

690
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 2: really played in the last two years. Obviously, both these teams

691
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 2: opts out of last season. Gimme Yale, as Eric Matthews

692
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 2: would call it Yale, but gimme Yale. I love the

693
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 2: Bulldogs here back to back Bulldog picks too.

694
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 5: I mean, come for the Western Kentucky.

695
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 3: You know, hot talk, all that Bailey Zappi lightning bolt zing,

696
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 3: zing zing, and stay for the deep cuts on Yale football.

697
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 3: And really on Saturday, go ahead, make yourself a New

698
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 3: Haven style pie, get that little stinger in the middle

699
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 3: of the pizza. Maybe some spicy honey, do whatever you

700
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 3: got to do to get into the nutmeg flavor.

701
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 5: Of the season.

702
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 3: Happy that we're putting a bow on this round robin

703
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 3: with a Yale FCS eight and eight play you.

704
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 2: Get enough Frank Pepe's in you. You don't care who

705
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: wins this game, all right. So to recap our picks quick.

706
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 2: For the best bets, we are going with Western Kentucky

707
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 2: Old Dominion over sixty seven and Ball State Eastern Michigan

708
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,959
Speaker 2: over fifty five and a half. For our money long

709
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 2: underdog parlay, we are going with Kent State plus two ten.

710
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 6: The Kent State Golden Flashes.

711
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: You go be kidding me, now, this is peak maction.

712
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: It is peak maction, and Air Force plus one seventy.

713
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 6: The Air Force Falcons.

714
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 2: I mean you combine those it pays out plus seven

715
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 2: thirty five. And for the G five high five round robin,

716
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 2: we are going with San Diego State moneyline minus three

717
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 2: point fifty the.

718
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 6: San Diego State AZTECS.

719
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 2: Yale plus seven and a half.

720
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 6: Our students are highly entitled voices.

721
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 5: And handsome Dan the mascot.

722
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 2: Akron plus nineteen and a half, zips, Minor Nation UTEP

723
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 2: plus seven picks up and Fresno State money line minus

724
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 2: one fifty five.

725
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 6: The Fresno State Bulldogs.

726
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 3: All right, that is it for us this week on

727
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 3: the Group of five Deep Dive under the Big Bets

728
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 3: on Campus. Banner really excited to put together another week

729
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 3: of plays for you. And as a reminder, Thursday night

730
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 3: into Friday morning, Stucky and Colin are discussing the entire slate,

731
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 3: not just Yelle versus Yukon. I'm sure that they'll touch

732
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 3: on that as well, but they're going all the way

733
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 3: up to the number one team in the country, so be.

734
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 5: Sure to catch them.

735
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 3: And as always, next week you can tune in for

736
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 3: Sources with Brett McMurphy. We're just churning out content here

737
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 3: at the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. Happy to serve

738
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 3: you for Mike Ianello on Mike Calvary's this has been

739
00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 3: an Action Network production.

740
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 5: Thanks so much,