1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 2: As we welcome now are Bloomberg TV and radio audiences 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 2: to parse this report on. Please to say, we welcome 4 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 2: Acting Labor Secretary Julie Sue. And let's just go through 5 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:17,600 Speaker 2: some of the numbers here. I know you're well aware 6 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 2: of what happened at age thirty, But the unemployment rate 7 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: it actually edged down to four point two percent. That 8 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 2: was its first decline in five months. Payrulls only rose 9 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,479 Speaker 2: by one hundred and forty two thousand jobs. That leaves 10 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: the three month average at the lowest since mid twenty twenty. 11 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 2: So job's growth, and it is growth, it's weakening. Is 12 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 2: that a concern for the administration two months away from 13 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 2: the election? 14 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: Hi, it's good to be here with you. I would 15 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: say that this is another job report that indicates that 16 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: we are continuing to see stable growth. It's jobs numbers 17 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,279 Speaker 1: are still up, the unemployment rate take down slightly, as 18 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: you've already mentioned, labor force participation remains steady, earnings are up. 19 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: You know, this is a continued sort of the steady 20 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: transition to an economy in which we're continuing to see 21 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: people come into labor market and find jobs, and you 22 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 1: know it's a transition to more stability. 23 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: And I know that you're not going to opine on 24 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 2: what the FED should do from here, but of course 25 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: the concern is out there that we could see this 26 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,479 Speaker 2: weakening turn into a real deterioration if we don't see 27 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: the FED lower interest rates from here, the current policy rate. 28 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 2: Do you think that that's out of step with the 29 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:33,399 Speaker 2: economic reality in the labor market? 30 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: No, I mean, and you're right, we don't comment on 31 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: what the Fed will do. But again, I think overall, 32 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: this is another month of many months in which I've 33 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: come here and we've talked about how we continue to 34 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: see job growth. Right, the numbers are still up. We're 35 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:56,919 Speaker 1: continue to see growth in various industries. We see construction, healthcare, leisure, 36 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: and hospitality. 37 00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 2: Right. 38 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: These are all signs of an economy reaching a normal, steady, 39 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: stable state. And we want to continue to create the 40 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:13,359 Speaker 1: investments that are leading to this kind of job creation. 41 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: And the President will be traveling to Michigan later today 42 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: to announce an executive order that is ensuring that we're 43 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: not just counting the number of jobs, we're also making 44 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: sure that these jobs are good jobs where families can 45 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: get ahead, where people can make a steady income, where 46 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: they can retire with dignity. And so these are all 47 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: part of the economy that the President promised when he 48 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: came to office, and the economy that these numbers reflect well. 49 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 2: Building on that, Julie, let's take a look at the 50 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: specifics at the sector level. Because you take a look 51 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 2: at the manufacturing industry, it lost twenty four thousand jobs. 52 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 2: The estimate had been for a reduction of two thousand jobs, 53 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 2: and actually the last three or four reports, I believe 54 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 2: that sector has shed jobs. So what's the current view 55 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 2: on why employment in manufacturing has been weakening? 56 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 1: So I would say cumulatively, again, the number of manufacturing 57 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 1: jobs created since the Bidenhairs administration began is over seven 58 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,639 Speaker 1: hundred thousand jobs. This is also part of the promise 59 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: that we will make things in America again, from semiconductors 60 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:19,079 Speaker 1: to electric vehicle batteries. The idea is that American workers 61 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: are the best in the world and they can and 62 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 1: should be making things. The investments that are going into 63 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 1: communities are also using American made steel by American union 64 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: workers and raw materials mined by American union workers. And 65 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: so you know, the the the the job growth that 66 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: we have seen, which again was not promised. Most people 67 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: predicted that it would not happen the way that it has. 68 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: UH is not happening by accent. It's happening because of 69 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: real investments and a commitment to job growth. So when 70 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: you look at the overall trends, manufacturing has gone up 71 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: since the President came to office, A construction had UH 72 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: significant growth over this last month. And that is also 73 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: no accident. 74 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: And I also want to get your perspective, of course, 75 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 2: on some snaff foos if you want to call them, 76 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 2: that that have happened at the Bureau of Labor Statistics 77 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: when it comes to data releases, because there have been 78 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 2: a lot of questions about fair access and distribution of 79 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 2: economic data, fallowing of course the February super users incident. 80 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 2: We had the early release of inflation data in May, 81 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 2: and then last month there was that delay to the 82 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 2: payroll revisions figures last month. What steps is the BLS 83 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 2: explicitly taking to address those missteps? 84 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: So the BLS has addressed those head on. We obviously 85 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: believe in transparent and timely release of data to everybody. 86 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: That is why I come on that is why we 87 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: release the data each month the way that we do, 88 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: and so the BLS has attacked those issues head on 89 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: to ensure that they do not happen again. You know, 90 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: the fact that some of the information came out in 91 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: you know, not in the way that we exactly would 92 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: have liked in terms of their timing of release, certainly though, 93 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 1: doesn't take away from the fact that this data remains 94 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: the gold standard for how we judge the health of 95 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: our economy, how we look at you know, job growth, 96 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: the unemployment rate, and and and changes to industries when 97 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: it comes to the labor market. 98 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 2: Well, Secretary, I'd love to get a little bit more 99 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 2: detail on what that looks like that head on addressing 100 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 2: I mean, are you considering going back to lock ups? 101 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,159 Speaker 2: Are you potentially firing people here or hiring more? What 102 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 2: does that look like? 103 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: I mean, we've definitely put in place, you know, to 104 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: the extent that some of them were technical issues, right 105 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: addressing those issues again, we are absolutely committed to timely 106 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: and uniform release of data. You know, each of these 107 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: incidents were really you know, different, but we are taking 108 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: a systematic look at how to make sure that they 109 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 1: don't happen in. 110 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 2: The future, and while I still have you, I am 111 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:02,160 Speaker 2: I asked about higher specifically because I spoke to former 112 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 2: Fed economists Claudia Sam the day after that payroll revision 113 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,359 Speaker 2: slay and see me at the point that the BLS 114 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 2: is underfunded, and of course our reporting and other news 115 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 2: agencies have reported something similar. So I'll put that question 116 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 2: to you, does the BLS need a bigger budget? 117 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, certainly nobody wants to see all 118 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: parts of the Department of Labor adequately funded for the 119 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 1: important work that we do than I. But I'll also 120 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: say to that question about the Psalm rule and what 121 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: it means, you know, a lot of that is about 122 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 1: looking at historical data to judge what is happening now. 123 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: And I think what we've seen is that what's happened 124 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: before isn't necessarily a good gauge for what is going 125 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 1: on here today. Right the post pandemic economic recovery, the 126 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: historically low levels of unemployment for such a long period 127 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: of time, and the investments that are being made that 128 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: have really shaken up the job market in positive ways, 129 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: and so overall, the many indicators are continuing to show 130 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: that we are the economy is growing and the economy 131 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,840 Speaker 1: is strong, and either way, obviously it's important for us 132 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: to keep on reporting the facts as they come out. 133 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 2: Secretary, really appreciate you taking the time on what I 134 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 2: know is a busy morning. Our big thanks, of course, 135 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 2: Acting Labor Secretary Julie Sue