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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Throwing in.

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Speaker 1: So we're saying it's a cash touchdown that.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money, all right. It is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate kabai.

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Speaker 4: If you want to pay.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 5: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast. We are presented by FanDuel.

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Speaker 5: I'm your host, Brendan glass Sheen. Today's episode NFL Best

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Speaker 5: Bets for Super wild Card Weekend.

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Speaker 2: That's right, playoffs. Playoffs are here.

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Speaker 5: We've got six games this weekend, two Saturday, three on Sunday,

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Speaker 5: Monday Night football featuring Bucks and Cowboys. The usual crew

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Speaker 5: in the house, Brandon Anderson, Vegas Refund, Luke Swain, and

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Speaker 5: Jill Gallant Fella's home and road teams. In the regular

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Speaker 5: season fifty percent exactly against the spread. Unders had their

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Speaker 5: best year in close to, yeah, three decades, the best

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Speaker 5: year for Unders. And we'll hear more from Evan Abrams

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Speaker 5: coming up. We're trying to continue to stay above five

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Speaker 5: hundred as far as our best bets record for the season.

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Speaker 5: As a reminder, you can follow along in the Action

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Speaker 5: app by following Action Network NFL picks. I mentioned Evan Abrams,

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Speaker 5: He's the director of research.

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Speaker 2: You're at Action.

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Speaker 5: He's got some of his favorite stats and trends to

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Speaker 5: share heading into the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Evan, You're first, Let's go.

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Speaker 4: Thanks guys. All right, So, in honor of Wildcard weekend,

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Speaker 4: let's talk some long shots. So this season, the Jaguars

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Speaker 4: at one hundred and fifty to one, the Giants at

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Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty to one, and the Seahawks at

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Speaker 4: two hundred to one, we're the three longest team in

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Speaker 4: terms of odds to make the playoffs. Twenty twenty two

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Speaker 4: and twenty seventeen are the only two seasons since nineteen

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Speaker 4: seventy seven where three teams at one hundred to one

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Speaker 4: are higher to win the Super Bowl all made the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: Let's take a look at teams in the wild card

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Speaker 4: round who failed to make the playoffs the year before,

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Speaker 4: who are facing a team who actually did make the

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Speaker 4: playoffs the year before, so inexperienced versus experience this year

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Speaker 4: that Seattle, Miami, and Baltimore. Those such teams are twelve,

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Speaker 4: twenty eight and one thirty percent against the spread. Over

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Speaker 4: the last twenty years, Seahawks forty nine Ers. The forty

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Speaker 4: nine Ers have won ten consecutive games straight up entering

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Speaker 4: their wild card game this weekend. In the last twenty years,

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Speaker 4: fifteen teams that played a playoff game on a ten

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Speaker 4: plus game straight up win streak. Those teams seven and

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Speaker 4: eight straight up and an atrocious two to thirteen against

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Speaker 4: the spread. Chargers Jaguars. If you're curious how hot Jacksonville

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Speaker 4: is heading into this weekend, the Jaguars have won five

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Speaker 4: consecutive games straight up for the first time since December

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Speaker 4: of two thousand and five. For some perspective, that was

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Speaker 4: Jimmy Smith's last season in Jacksonville. Long time ago Giants

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Speaker 4: Vikings Daniel Jones has excelled exponentially on the road as

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Speaker 4: an underdog in his career unreal numbers here, so on

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Speaker 4: the road, he's seventeen and seven against the spread. As

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Speaker 4: an underdog, he's twenty six and fifteen against the spread,

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Speaker 4: and as a road underdog he's sixteen and five against

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Speaker 4: the spread. For some perspective, in the last twenty years,

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Speaker 4: all three of those stats, Daniel Jones is in the

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Speaker 4: top ten of all quarterbacks, which is about two hundred

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Speaker 4: and sixty in total. The Giants finished the regular season

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Speaker 4: thirteen and four against the spread. They were the most

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Speaker 4: profitable team against a spread in the NFL this year.

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Speaker 4: The general question would be how do those teams perform

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Speaker 4: in the playoffs. So five teams since two thousand have

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Speaker 4: led the NFL in ATS profitability with thirteen ATS wins.

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Speaker 4: Two won the Super Bowl, the two thousand and three

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Speaker 4: and twenty sixteen Patriots. The other three all lost in

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Speaker 4: the wildcard round Dolphins Bills. The temperature for Miami and

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Speaker 4: Buffalo this weekend in Buffalo is projected to be around

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Speaker 4: thirty degrees. The experience in freezing temperatures are vastly different.

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Speaker 4: Josh Allen twelve and two straight up, eight three and

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Speaker 4: three against the spread in his career. He's won ten

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Speaker 4: in a row straight up since it started the twenty

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Speaker 4: twenty season. Miami, on the other hand, their seventeenth game

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Speaker 4: over the last twenty years in freezing temperatures. The Dolphins

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Speaker 4: are five and eleven straight up. They've lost ten in

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Speaker 4: a row straight up dating back to twenty eleven Ravens Bengals.

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Speaker 4: So how much does Lamar Jackson actually mean to the

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Speaker 4: Ravens offense since losing Lamar. Here are the Ravens point

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Speaker 4: totals sixteen, thirteen, seventeen, three, sixteen and ten. The Ravens

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Speaker 4: have scored seventeen points or fewer in six consecutive games

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Speaker 4: for the first time since two thousand and five. Led

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Speaker 4: by Kyle Boehler, Jamal Lewis and Derek Mason talk about

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Speaker 4: old school Cowboys Bucks. Dak Prescott is owen four against

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Speaker 4: the spread in his career in the playoffs, dating back

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Speaker 4: twenty years. In our bet Labs database, he joins Andy

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Speaker 4: Dalton and Carson Palmer as the only three quarterbacks owen

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Speaker 4: four ats are worse than the playoffs. As with everything,

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Speaker 4: there's two sides to each coin. Tom Brady has played

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Speaker 4: three playoff games with the Bucks as underdogs. All three

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Speaker 4: times the line got smaller for Brady during the week

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Speaker 4: and the Bucks won and covered, just like it's happening now.

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Speaker 4: But this season the Bucks are oh and three straight

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Speaker 4: up and own three against the spread as underdogs. I

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Speaker 4: guess we'll see Enjoy the slate, everyone, and let's cash

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Speaker 4: some slips.

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Speaker 5: Okay, good stuff from Evan Abrams and let's get into

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Speaker 5: the picks. Brandon Anderson, you're up first, my friend, what

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Speaker 5: do you have for us?

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Speaker 6: Let's go right back where we left off Sunday night.

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Speaker 6: Let's go to our hot read from Sunday. I like

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Speaker 6: the Chargers then at Jacksonville. I like them still now

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Speaker 6: we got it at minus two. I think on Sunday

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Speaker 6: night it dipped all the way down to minus one

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Speaker 6: and a half, even a one at some books. We're

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Speaker 6: back up to two and a half right now. I

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Speaker 6: don't think we're gonna get to three, but I go

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Speaker 6: ahead and grab this now before we get there. Obviously

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Speaker 6: a key number, and again to recap the position from Sunday,

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Speaker 6: it's all about the matchups here. The big strength for

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Speaker 6: the Jaguars is the passing offense. That's what they've really

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Speaker 6: accomplished well well. Chargers passing defense is number two since

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Speaker 6: the bye week by DVOA, so that's a good offsetting

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Speaker 6: the strength. But on the flip side, Jaguars passing defense

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Speaker 6: is bottom five for the season. Chargers' numbers they're not

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Speaker 6: all that great a lot of the advanced metrics. That's

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Speaker 6: because they've been really unhealthy for most of the season

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Speaker 6: and I know Week eighteen all the Shenanigans, but mostly

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Speaker 6: this is a pretty healthy version of the team. Justin

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Speaker 6: Herbert is hot, healthy, Keenan Allen is healthy, and that's

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Speaker 6: important more so than Mike Williams. I think the Chargers

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Speaker 6: are going to have a field day of passing all

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Speaker 6: over this defense here, and I think their pass defense

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Speaker 6: will really limit Jacksonville. So that was the hot recase.

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Speaker 6: Then I dug a little more into it, so we remember,

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Speaker 6: I think back in Week three, Chargers play the Jaguars

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Speaker 6: and Jacksonville just crushed them thirty eight to ten. Well,

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Speaker 6: so what do we do with that? You look back

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Speaker 6: at it, So I look back at my notes. Justin

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Speaker 6: Herbert was playing on a short week with injured ribs

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Speaker 6: that game. We didn't even know if he would be playing.

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Speaker 6: Rayshaun Slater, the left tackle, left me game. So now

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Speaker 6: you lose your star blocker. He's practicing. By the way,

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Speaker 6: Corey Linsley was out, star center, j C. Jackson was out,

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Speaker 6: Keenan Allen was out. Joey Bosa played thirteen snaps then

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Speaker 6: he was out. You just have to throw that game out.

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Speaker 6: That's so many key players out or leaving in the

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Speaker 6: middle of the game that you just can't take a

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Speaker 6: lot away from it, so I don't worry too much

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Speaker 6: from it. Jacksonville when they played let's call them real

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Speaker 6: teams this year aka not their terrible division right, they

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Speaker 6: faced defensively the easiest schedule of any team in the

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Speaker 6: NFL by DVOA. Six times this year they faced an

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Speaker 6: offense top half of the league. They're two and four,

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Speaker 6: they won an overtime, they won a one point game,

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Speaker 6: but most importantly, in those six games, they allowed thirty

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Speaker 6: points a game versus fifteen and a half in all

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Speaker 6: the other games, and their defense by DVA ranked thirty

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Speaker 6: first in the NFL both overall and against the pass.

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Speaker 6: So I think this is a spot where the Chargers

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Speaker 6: exposed jackson a little bit as the young upcoming team.

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Speaker 6: A trend that I noticed this week. If you just

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Speaker 6: look at who is the home team in wild card weekend.

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Speaker 6: If that team made the playoffs last year, the trend

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Speaker 6: says we should back them. If they missed like Jacksonville did,

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Speaker 6: the trend says we should fade that team. In the

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Speaker 6: last two decades, those teams are twenty eight and twelve.

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Speaker 6: If you back the Chargers here against the Jaguars as

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Speaker 6: a team that missed last year against the spread. So

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Speaker 6: I like the Chargers. I like them Sunday. As I

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Speaker 6: dug into it this week, I just liked it more

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Speaker 6: and more. It's my favorite bet of the week.

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Speaker 5: Chargers seven and two against the spread on the road

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Speaker 5: this year, third best team in the NFL on the

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Speaker 5: road against the spread this season. When it comes to profitability,

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Speaker 5: we'll find out what Justin Herbert is made of on

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Speaker 5: the road as an underdog. He's been good part but

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Speaker 5: this week, of course he's a favorite where he's five

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Speaker 5: hundred against the spread for his career. Making his playoff

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Speaker 5: debut onto Luke Swayne. What do you have first pick?

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Speaker 1: So my first one is going to be the Chargers

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Speaker 1: as well, which right now I believe they're laying two

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Speaker 1: and two and a half, which really this is just

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Speaker 1: tinkering around based off of I think the Mike Williams

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Speaker 1: injury news, which it seems like he's trending in the

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Speaker 1: right direction in terms of playing Saturday. No idea why

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Speaker 1: he didn't practice yesterday. I was honestly very surprised, so

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Speaker 1: definitely waiting to see if you practice today tomorrow but

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Speaker 1: everything we're hearing is Mike Williams to be playing Joey

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Speaker 1: Bosa full participant, so he's gonna be playing daily. Playing

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Speaker 1: as starters last week was definitely a highly critsized move,

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Speaker 1: but looks like he might have gotten away with murder.

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Speaker 1: To be honest, where this is just like Pratt. It

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Speaker 1: took a lot of my points, and I agree with

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Speaker 1: everything he just said. Jack's right now. Market expectation is

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Speaker 1: at its peak five game winning streak. But if you

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Speaker 1: look at the quarterbacks that they've played in the last

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Speaker 1: five games, you got Ryan Tannehill ago, which that game

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Speaker 1: didn't go very well. You got Dak Prescott, who is

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Speaker 1: looking worse and worse as the weeks progress, or a

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Speaker 1: perception of Dak in that game it's a lot different

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Speaker 1: than what it is today. And then you got then

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Speaker 1: this is just what this is like the Gauntlet of

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Speaker 1: Offal where you got Zach Wilson, Davis Mills, Josh Dobbs

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Speaker 1: and now they're in the playoffs. So like of any

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Speaker 1: of those quarterbacks, I guess you could argue Dak maybe

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Speaker 1: he's going to throw an interception one hundred times, where

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Speaker 1: none of those qbs are justin Herbert, like anything close

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Speaker 1: to Justin Herbert, and we are going up a stepping

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Speaker 1: class against a pass defense where this is really a

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Speaker 1: pass funnel. No one wants to run on this Jags

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Speaker 1: defense right now, and it just sets them up for failure.

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Speaker 1: Like this past defense is so bad and they are

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Speaker 1: just an absolute sieve. And I, like Brandon said, there

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Speaker 1: strength of schedule in terms of defenses like towards like

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Speaker 1: the bottom of the league, which a lot of that

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Speaker 1: has to do with the division they're in. But if

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Speaker 1: you were looking at Justin herbert past attempts props, bet

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Speaker 1: the over love those. But like everything Brandon said, this

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Speaker 1: is just a Jacks perceptional perception line way like at peak.

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Speaker 1: And I see the Chargers who are very healthy right

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Speaker 1: now relative to the rest of the season, I'm spanking them,

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Speaker 1: to be honest. If you were like the only advantage,

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Speaker 1: it's a pretty I guess you could say pretty big advantages.

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Speaker 1: The coaching move. I guess you could say Patterson is

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Speaker 1: of the elite. Staley last year we thought it was elite.

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Speaker 1: This year, we think he's awful. But I love betting

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Speaker 1: the Jackson Jacksonville, Like as we've been saying on this podcast,

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Speaker 1: like weird things happened there, but I just couldn't find

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Speaker 1: a reason, which like it's just Chargers were like the

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Speaker 1: first one that I looked at. Done. If you are

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Speaker 1: scared of Mike Williams being out bet the money line.

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Speaker 1: It's a playoff game. It is what it is.

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Speaker 5: Brandon Staley said earlier in the week he expects Williams

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Speaker 5: to practice at some point and they need good resis

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Speaker 5: else of course from the MRI, this was a good

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Speaker 5: nugget from the NFL. Heenan Allen and Mike Williams when

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Speaker 5: they're healthy together in four games where both have played

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Speaker 5: fifty plus snaps fifty plus percent of the snaps, Chargers

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Speaker 5: four to zero.

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Speaker 2: Justin Herbert number.

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Speaker 5: One completion percentage in the league, just shy a seventy

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Speaker 5: four percent different looking team when both of those guys

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Speaker 5: are out there and his Brandon mentioned Keenan Allen was

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Speaker 5: not not active when they met way back when early

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Speaker 5: in the season and.

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Speaker 2: Justin Herbert was hurt. Got to throw that out the

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Speaker 2: throat in the trash can. Is the moral there?

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Speaker 7: Okay, you're on to Jill Galot your first pick. Yeah,

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Speaker 7: I'm going to go with a Saturday game. But I'm

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Speaker 7: going to move to the Seahawks and Niners, and I'm

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Speaker 7: going to take in any time touchdown bet and I'm

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Speaker 7: going to take George Kittle at plus one fifty. And

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Speaker 7: Kittle surprisingly has eleven touchdowns this year. He's never had

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Speaker 7: more than six in a season, but he's just been

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Speaker 7: red hot. With brock perty at quarterbacks seven touchdowns in

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Speaker 7: his last four games. It's tied for third in the

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Speaker 7: NFL for the eleven touchdown mark. Now, the last time

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Speaker 7: the forty nine Ers faced Seattle, Kittle went off four

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Speaker 7: catches two touchdowns, and he has caught now four touchdowns

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Speaker 7: in his last two games against the Seahawks. Seattle, as well,

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Speaker 7: has graded out as the worst DVOA team versus tight

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Speaker 7: ends this season. They've allowed eight touchdowns to the position

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Speaker 7: and a shit ton of receiving yards and catches. Now

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Speaker 7: back to the party connection. In six games with brock

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Speaker 7: Purty at quarterback, Kittle has twenty four catches, thirty five targets,

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Speaker 7: and seven touchdowns. He has been the guy for brock

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Speaker 7: Purty in this offense. Now, I expect the forty nine

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Speaker 7: Ers to run the ball most of the game. Especially

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Speaker 7: with their getting Deebo Samuel back. But the purty Kittle

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Speaker 7: connection is just undeniable. And if they're facing a Seahawks

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Speaker 7: team that has just been so susceptible to tight ends,

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Speaker 7: I have got to ride this. So I'm taking George

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Speaker 7: Kittle for an any time touchdown At plus one.

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Speaker 5: Fifty, you said thirty five targets with perty a quarterback

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Speaker 5: for Kittle? Do you know how many of those are

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Speaker 5: in the red zone?

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Speaker 1: That would be twelve? Wow? Oh, he just absolutely knew that.

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Speaker 1: I love that.

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Speaker 5: I kind of figured he did, Jill Luke, so that's

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Speaker 5: why I went to the follow up and put him

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Speaker 5: on the spot. But if my math is correct, that's

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Speaker 5: more than a third of his targets are coming in.

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Speaker 2: The red area, which is very score touchdowns. Lukey had

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Speaker 2: something and question Joe.

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Speaker 1: In times like this is the long game, like the

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Speaker 1: weather could be an absolute debacle, where does the weather

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Speaker 1: improve your thoughts on going to kill where it's like

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Speaker 1: the conditions are so bad that you would think that

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Speaker 1: he's going to take the easy dump off to which

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Speaker 1: are going to be the tight end or to just

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Speaker 1: make you my worry.

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Speaker 7: No, if anything, it steers me more towards Kittle because

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Speaker 7: of the A dot being a little bit lower comparatively

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Speaker 7: to say, like Brandon to Ayuk or maybe a Juwan Jennings.

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Speaker 7: So that's kind of been the issue, is that the

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Speaker 7: slot has really been an issue for the Seahawks all year,

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Speaker 7: and most of those times when it's a throat of

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Speaker 7: the slot, it's usually a very quick pass, maybe to

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Speaker 7: the knees, you know, to make sure there's no interceptions.

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Speaker 7: So I still like Gettle in this spot, especially if

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Speaker 7: the weather is poor, But I can understand the trepidation

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Speaker 7: of whether or not you'd be considering him just because

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Speaker 7: of the bad weather.

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Speaker 1: If I got to throw it at some point.

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Speaker 5: So forecast is calling for rain and clouds in San

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Speaker 5: Francisco on Saturday, temperatures in the fifties, high of fifty seven.

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Speaker 2: A low of fifty And that's your weather report from

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Speaker 2: the host today.

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Speaker 1: Don't get always rains in San Francisco, like in the

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Speaker 1: prime spots. I'm on the night football or whatever, it's raining.

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Speaker 1: And then on Sunday and it looks like the nicest whatever, like.

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Speaker 6: Seattle come into town. If Seattle is in town, you

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Speaker 6: got to bring the rain with them. Seattle Island is

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Speaker 6: bringing the weather on the road, or.

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Speaker 5: If anything, it helps the island drift even more there, Brandon,

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Speaker 5: So I would be careful for what you're asking for.

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Speaker 5: Let's go back to Brandon's second round of picks.

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Speaker 6: What do you got, Well, I'm gonna go to my

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Speaker 6: Vikings game here, So I'm going to go with a

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Speaker 6: Giants Vikings one score game. And here's what I mean

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Speaker 6: by that. We'll explain a couple of different ways you

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Speaker 6: can play this. At fan duel. You can play Giants

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Speaker 6: plus six and a half and Vikings plus six and

321
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Speaker 6: a half in the same game, parlay at plus one

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Speaker 6: thirty three. So I'm looking for either team to win

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Speaker 6: by less than seven. Look, one score games is what

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Speaker 6: these teams do. The one thing we know about the

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Speaker 6: Vikings and the Giants they just played a month ago,

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Speaker 6: and the whole game it was a one score game

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Speaker 6: the entire way. It never straight past a one score game.

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Speaker 6: The stats are pretty even. We literally had a walk

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Speaker 6: off franchise record field goal for the Vikings. We talked

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Speaker 6: about one score game back then a month ago. I

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Speaker 6: think this is a matchup between pretty even, pretty lucky

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Speaker 6: to be here sort of teams. We've thought that all

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Speaker 6: season about them. Kind of what drove me here is

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Speaker 6: I've bet kept you know, Ben in the lava. We

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Speaker 6: try to figure ot, Okay, who do I like here?

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Speaker 6: Do it? Do I trust my Vikings? As a fan?

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Speaker 6: Do I look at the Giants thirteen and four, ats

338
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Speaker 6: best in the league. It's very even matchup. I can't

339
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Speaker 6: decide Daniel Jones awesome as a road underdog, as you

340
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Speaker 6: heard from Evan Abrams. But Daniel Jones debut quarterback in

341
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Speaker 6: the playoffs. That's never a good thing. Giants terrible against

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Speaker 6: the run, but the Vikings are last running the ball

343
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Speaker 6: down the stretch. Both teams can't play special teams, both

344
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Speaker 6: plays bad defense, low variance. They're just stuck that way.

345
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Speaker 6: It's like, I can't figure out what the edge is here. Honestly,

346
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Speaker 6: it's a gift for either one of these teams to

347
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Speaker 6: get to move on to the next round of the playoffs.

348
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Speaker 6: And I think that the gift is to whoever gets

349
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Speaker 6: to play them San Francisco or Philadelphia next round, the

350
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Speaker 6: late Christmas gift to them. But it brought me all

351
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Speaker 6: back to Hey, look, I just think these teams are

352
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Speaker 6: pretty evenly matched. And we've seen them play this out

353
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Speaker 6: all season so far this year between them, they have

354
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Speaker 6: Vikings and Giants twenty four one score games between them

355
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Speaker 6: this year twenty four. You know when we play thirty

356
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Speaker 6: four games, so Vikings eleven to zero in those games,

357
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Speaker 6: Giants eight four and one. So again I mentioned there's

358
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Speaker 6: a few ways you can do this. At FanDuel. You

359
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,480
Speaker 6: can play this same game parlay plaus six and a

360
00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 6: half both sides put that together. Some places you can

361
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Speaker 6: play what's called like a try bet, where you get

362
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Speaker 6: maybe a five or less margin plus one eighty. Now

363
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:11,720
Speaker 6: you're losing a little points there. You lose the six

364
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Speaker 6: and six matters. We've seen that outcome a little bit

365
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Speaker 6: at FanDuel. If you want to widen your margin, you

366
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:18,960
Speaker 6: could go with eight and a half either way, so

367
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Speaker 6: you get the true one score. And the Giants did

368
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Speaker 6: have I think like four eight point games this year.

369
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Speaker 6: You do that minus one thirty seven, so you got

370
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Speaker 6: some options. I just think it stays close. I think

371
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:34,359
Speaker 6: it's an even wonky, weird, strange outcome game. I do,

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Speaker 6: by the way, like TJ. Hockkinson here, Jill, you had

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Speaker 6: a touchdown or a prop for a tight end. I

374
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Speaker 6: love Hockinson over four and a half reception. That's my

375
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Speaker 6: top prop of the week. He's been over that in

376
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:49,560
Speaker 6: seven of nine full Minnesota games. Last time, these guys

377
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,640
Speaker 6: played thirteen catches, one hundred and nine yards and two scores,

378
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Speaker 6: and the Giants are second the worst against tight ends,

379
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Speaker 6: only better than the Seahawks. So let's fade all these

380
00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:02,160
Speaker 6: bad tight end defenses. But let's go with Giants Vikings

381
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Speaker 6: one score game plus one to thirty three.

382
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Speaker 2: Creative. I like it.

383
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Speaker 5: There's another note from Evan abrams in our in his

384
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,160
Speaker 5: action right up, the Vikings are third in the NFL

385
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 5: with a plus nine turnover margin on drives that have

386
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,640
Speaker 5: started in the fourth quarter or overtime. That game script

387
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,919
Speaker 5: sets up for the Giants, but it also speaks to

388
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Speaker 5: your point.

389
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Speaker 2: The Giants have been lucky as well. But yeah, the.

390
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Speaker 5: Vikings third in the NFL with a plus nine turnover

391
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Speaker 5: margin on drives that start in the fourth quarter. Never

392
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Speaker 5: mind the point differential for this team that's under zero

393
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Speaker 5: or below zero, They're getting all the luck to begin

394
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Speaker 5: the fourth quarter. More Over, Jillie had thoughts.

395
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Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm just gonna mention with Brandon about why reiterating

396
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 7: kind of what he is saying about why Hawkinson is

397
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 7: such a solid bet, either for perceptions but also touchdowns

398
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:52,639
Speaker 7: is that the Giants defense is one of the more

399
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:56,159
Speaker 7: predictable defenses. They play the most man coverage in the

400
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,159
Speaker 7: NFL of any defense, so guys like a Hawkinson are

401
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,199
Speaker 7: able to slip that Hawkinson doesn't really do as well

402
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 7: against zone as he would against man's. Same thing for Jefferson.

403
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 7: Seeing Jefferson right now at plus one ten for an

404
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 7: anytime touchdown pretty solid value as well.

405
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 5: Hawkinson plus two to ten on FanDuel anytime touchdown score.

406
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Speaker 2: Luke's up next second pick for the weekend.

407
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Speaker 1: My second one is going to be Giants plus three.

408
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Speaker 1: It's Brandon's Vikings, where it's the same argument that we've

409
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Speaker 1: been making against the Vikings the entire season. And I

410
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 1: think the Giants are becoming a pretty popular pick where

411
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,399
Speaker 1: when they got like I think three games that I

412
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 1: have close spreads, so a lot of the popularity is

413
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 1: going to be on a couple of sides in these

414
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 1: like small spread games. But three weeks ago, this line,

415
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 1: like my tremidation is three weeks ago, this line was

416
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 1: four and a half four when they played where now

417
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,440
Speaker 1: it's three, which I do feel like three is a

418
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 1: little bit more fair. But we just have a Vikings

419
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 1: offensive line that is in shambles and we have a

420
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: like I think they might get Brad Burry back and

421
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 1: trending in the right way, but like still like the

422
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 1: guards that they have or rants at the bottom of

423
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: the league. It's just a debacle and the Giants Martin

424
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 1: Neal is gonna blitz a shit out of him. And

425
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 1: then you got Dexter Lawrence. Like when we were when

426
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 1: I was betting this three weeks ago, I took the

427
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 1: Giants for exactly the same reason I'm doing it right now.

428
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 1: This de Lion's gonna eat them. They're gonna be in

429
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins face early and often. That did rattle him.

430
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 1: It looked like the last game and this Vikings like

431
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 1: they have these stars that I think they have a

432
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 1: lot of fantasy football stars. I'm not sure if they

433
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: have a lot of stars that are actually good football players.

434
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 1: Jefferson's gonna get his They shut him down somewhat, I

435
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,439
Speaker 1: guess relatively a couple of weeks ago, would I think,

436
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 1: But it's either way. Yeah, he did score where like

437
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 1: he's gonna get his but at the same time, like

438
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:48,479
Speaker 1: Cousins isn't gonna be able to get it to him

439
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,880
Speaker 1: when he wants to. Where in that game they didn't

440
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 1: have Zavie McKinney, they didn't have a Dory Jackson three

441
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 1: to go. Those two guys matter and they are going

442
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,200
Speaker 1: to be back. And this is just a Giants team

443
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 1: that I think Daniel Zone is gonna make plays verified

444
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 1: for the first start trend because that actually feels like

445
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 1: a thing. But at the same time, there are things

446
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 1: working against Kirk Cousins as well, whether it's the prime

447
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 1: time angle, which I think is just a total mush

448
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 1: media angle that everyone hates on him for. But like

449
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 1: the Giants are can't win this game, and the Viking

450
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,399
Speaker 1: is just like Vikings are lucky, the Vikings have a

451
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: negative win margin whatever that is, Like everything, Yeah, I'm sorry,

452
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 1: I'm just like it's just I feel like a broken record,

453
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 1: everyone going against the Vikings and like it's still the

454
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 1: same case even though everyone is on it. And I

455
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 1: think for two weeks every Giants fan I have been

456
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 1: talking to is like, we got so lucky, like we're

457
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,120
Speaker 1: gonna we got the Vikings, which like, I hope they're

458
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 1: not jinxing it, but at the same time, like they're right,

459
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: Like we've been waiting for this, and the Giants can win.

460
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones can make place. He's playing above his head.

461
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 1: He's earned himself a contract next year is going to

462
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 1: shred him. They have no receivers, but that hasn't seemed

463
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 1: to matter. And it's just a Vikings team that are

464
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: a bunch of fantasy football stars that they're weaknesses play

465
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,719
Speaker 1: to the giants strengths in terms of defense. So yeah,

466
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: Giants plus three.

467
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 6: So justin Jefferson, fancy football star who may or may

468
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 6: not be good at football, was limited shut down twelve catches,

469
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 6: one hundred and thirty three yards in a touchdown last year.

470
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 1: I was there was a game in that. I was like,

471
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,560
Speaker 1: I said that there was a game in that, like

472
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 1: with then I go.

473
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,240
Speaker 6: Week or two that he got the Packers game he got,

474
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 6: he got taken out in the Packers.

475
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 1: And he's which is actually and that makes me like

476
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 1: that's good for this argument because he still went off

477
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 1: and they still like Giants still covered well, but Dalvin

478
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: looks like a shell, Like I think he's.

479
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 6: Covered in Yeah, the Giants are I think dead last

480
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 6: or second to last against wide receiver ones as well.

481
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 6: So I think Jefferson has a big game. I might

482
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 6: look for an alternate over there, But like you said,

483
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,640
Speaker 6: that didn't matter last game. The Vikings still barely got

484
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:57,119
Speaker 6: over the line. Like as a Vikings fan, I tend

485
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 6: to just not really do much on their playoff games

486
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 6: because I just don't trust my rational fan side, irrational

487
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 6: fans side, I should say, But in my notes, here's

488
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,679
Speaker 6: what I have. It's literally what you just said. I

489
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 6: think Dexter Lawrence and Thibodeau and o Jalari are just

490
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 6: going to destroy the offensive line. I'm very worried for that.

491
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 6: As a fan, I think McKinney and Adore Jackson back

492
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 6: is huge. And then one other thing. These teams just

493
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 6: played a month ago. I don't really feel like Kevin

494
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 6: Occownell has shown us that much as a coach. Brian

495
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 6: Davile has shown us a lot as a coach. He's

496
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 6: going to have all the stops here, He's going to

497
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,880
Speaker 6: have the trick play. They just saw this defense Minnesota

498
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 6: is another very vanilla defense, very predictable week to week.

499
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 6: Wink Martindale just saw Kerk Cousins knows how to get

500
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 6: to him, So I think New York is going to

501
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 6: have a real coaching advantage and really win in the trenches.

502
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,160
Speaker 6: And yeah, the other thing too, I would say Giants

503
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,160
Speaker 6: plus nine if you tease, that's my favorite teaser leg

504
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 6: of the weekend. Tough lines this week, but I think

505
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 6: that's a really strong teaser leg that basically that's kind

506
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,360
Speaker 6: of back to my one square thing. Giants just have

507
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 6: to keep but within a score or I think they

508
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,199
Speaker 6: may well win out right. And if you do like

509
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,639
Speaker 6: the Giants here, you should like the Eagles futures because

510
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,120
Speaker 6: the Giants get to play the Eagles most likely after that.

511
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 2: It's so true.

512
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 5: Though we discussed this game, we just talked about Jacksonville

513
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 5: and Los Angeles, and much has been made of Brandon

514
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,879
Speaker 5: Staley and his decision making. Kevin O'Connell hasn't been in

515
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 5: the news because his team keeps winning.

516
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 1: It's easy to.

517
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 5: Dodge those questions when you're winning games. And the Vikings

518
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 5: will put their fifteen straight wins as a favorite on

519
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 5: the line. Their last loss is a favorite was against

520
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 5: the Lions December fifth, twenty twenty one. Brands like why

521
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 5: you're sharing that with me.

522
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 6: That's terrible. Never ever share that stat again. I don't

523
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 6: want to hear it.

524
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 1: I have a comparison. It's not even I got everyone

525
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: everyone was fading TCU and Cotch football yet because they

526
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,760
Speaker 1: were like the lucky team, and personally I was always

527
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:53,120
Speaker 1: comparing to Tasy, to the Vikings, like even both where

528
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 1: purple and like the luck clearly ran out. I'm not

529
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 1: saying that the Giants are the Georgia of football, but

530
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,120
Speaker 1: like the lock ran out and like we saw who

531
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 1: they really were, and this could be that moment when

532
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:08,240
Speaker 1: it all like matters, So fucking a better day, to

533
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 1: be honest, But.

534
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 6: Like I think, I think one of these teams ends

535
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 6: with a close loss and then the other one loses

536
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,399
Speaker 6: by like twenty five next two weeks, so it's not

537
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 6: going to be a pretty either way.

538
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: You go here, Hey, Giants hung around with the Eagles

539
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:23,959
Speaker 1: last week.

540
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:24,640
Speaker 2: Backups?

541
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 5: Yeah, sixteen sixteen and a half point underdogs. Jill your

542
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 5: second pick. I'm looking forward to this one because you've

543
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 5: had your eyes on this player now for the last

544
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 5: few weeks and the numbers juicy.

545
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,919
Speaker 7: Yeah, and it's I'm moving right to Sunday for Bills Dolphins,

546
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 7: and what I thought was going to be a fun

547
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,879
Speaker 7: matchup until I realized that two is not playing and

548
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 7: now Skyler Thompson is going to be playing, so it

549
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 7: most likely will be a Bill's route. So I am

550
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 7: going to be betting Dawson Knox anytime touchdown at plus

551
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 7: two twenty. Knox has scored a touchdown four straight games

552
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 7: through for me last week versus the Patriots. He also

553
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:03,840
Speaker 7: came through for maybe last time they played the Dolphins

554
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 7: when they hosted him in that snowball game in mid December.

555
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 7: So the Dolphins, we're getting a Dolphins team that ranks

556
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 7: bottom five and DVAWA versus tight ends. They've also given

557
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 7: up the fourth most touchdowns of tight ends with ten.

558
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 7: And the pricing is kind of why we have to

559
00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 7: keep betting Dawson Knox because he has now been over

560
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 7: plus I just don't get the pricing of why he's

561
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 7: still over plus two hundred. I've always been vocal about

562
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 7: if he's over plus two hundred, he's an auto bet.

563
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 7: So he's been over plus two hundred now this season

564
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 7: for an any time touchdown in nine games, and he

565
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 7: has scored all six of his touchdowns in that span

566
00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 7: when it's over plus two hundred. He's also been a

567
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 7: pretty strong red zone threat. He's not first on the

568
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 7: team in red zone targets, that obviously goes to Stefon

569
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,720
Speaker 7: Diggs and Gabe Davis, but five of his six touchdowns

570
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 7: have been scored within the red zone. He's also shown

571
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 7: that he's a proven playoff performer. If you go through

572
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 7: his game logs, he has scored four touchdowns in six

573
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 7: playoff games and three in four home playoff games. So

574
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 7: Dawson knocks for me. If you keep giving it to

575
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 7: me over plus two hundred, it's an auto bed every time.

576
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 1: So let's go.

577
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 5: Could you give a Devil's Advocate answer as to why

578
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 5: he's at that price pecking order?

579
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 7: So when you've got Josh Allen at plus one thirty,

580
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 7: you've got Stefan Diggs around plus one oh five, then

581
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 7: you've got Gabe Davis at plus one ten, then you've

582
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 7: got Singletary there as well. They just can't put every

583
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 7: guy at plus one ten because the implied probability doesn't

584
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,840
Speaker 7: make sense, so somebody has to drop in that spot.

585
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 7: Also the fact that this could be a blowout pretty quickly.

586
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 7: The game might be over by halftime and the Bills

587
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 7: might just need go down.

588
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 1: On a knee for the whole second half.

589
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 5: True, he is a pass catcher, and you have to

590
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 5: throw the ball, and if you have a lead, you

591
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 5: don't have to throw the ball as much.

592
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 2: So that adds up.

593
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 5: Hey, onto the last round of picks, we're going to

594
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 5: go to Luke first to take us home.

595
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 1: I'm going to go with the Buccaneers plus two and

596
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 1: a half right now. It might get to three by Monday.

597
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 1: I don't think you're really risking much waiting. I think

598
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: it's going to be two and a half. Three probably

599
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 1: stays at two and a half. This thing really isn't

600
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 1: going to move. There's no huge injuries. I don't think

601
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 1: on the cuss, but I mean this is the I mean,

602
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 1: the entire world is fading the Cowboys right now, and

603
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 1: I think, honestly, deservingly so. Dak has looked awful, Like

604
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 1: everything about this Cowboys team is just going in the

605
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 1: wrong direction. There's strengths play to the Bucks strengths. We're

606
00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 1: getting Vita ve Back, We're getting the cornerback. I'm sure

607
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 1: Brand will remember his name. I can't think of him

608
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 1: above to my head. But like this Bucks team looked

609
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 1: when they needed to win last week, Tom Brady was

610
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 1: throwing the ball and they were being aggressive. Things were happening,

611
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 1: and you pray to God that left which is going

612
00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 1: to do it again, which is a huge ask, but

613
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: just like trusting him in general, but if he puts

614
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 1: this ball in Brady's hands and he lets Brady rip it,

615
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: his Dallas secondary is so bad, like and honestly, it's

616
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 1: been so bad of recent weeks that their ranking is

617
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: probably better than it actually is, where if you just

618
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,000
Speaker 1: look at it, the last couple of weeks are definitely

619
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 1: the worst. Like they just they just have it. Like

620
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 1: the second corner is the body at this point, like

621
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 1: it could be me. Like it like like that's who

622
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: they have and that's what's Brady's gonna be thrown against.

623
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: And like this is at home against a struggling deck

624
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 1: that there's just nothing about this Cowboys team I can trust.

625
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 1: Every time I've bet the Bucks this year, I've told

626
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: I've literally told myself that they're blacklisted. So here we

627
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 1: go again. But like this just is a different spot.

628
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 1: Feels like it's a corner they've turned going against a

629
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 1: Cowboys team that Brady has their number, and yeah, I

630
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: mean it's just like you just have to do it.

631
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 1: Like I've seen people like the Cowboys, and I feel

632
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 1: like they're just trying to go against the grain thinking

633
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 1: that and they're betting on the Cowboys on a team

634
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 1: that they who they can be, not what they are currently,

635
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 1: and that's just silly to me. Yeah, Bucks plus two

636
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 1: and a half line is really not going to move.

637
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait see if you can go to three.

638
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 1: But yeah, either one money line or whatever.

639
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 5: Brady was miked up during the second half of the

640
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 5: regular season finale and he and Mike Evans were sharing

641
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 5: how he's six.

642
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,000
Speaker 2: And oh against the Bucks. Tom, you did yourself short.

643
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 2: You're seven and z against the Bucks in your career.

644
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 5: The corner you're thinking of is Anthony Chesley, who got

645
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 5: placed on injured reserve the other day.

646
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, Cotton Davis, you to that.

647
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 5: Oh okay, Well they put another corner on IR like yesterday.

648
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 1: So shout out to Anthony Chesley.

649
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 5: And they've the Bucks the corresponding moves. They've promoted a

650
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 5: linebacker and they've signed rookie Deron Lowe to the practice squad. Oh, boy,

651
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 5: but this feels like a game too that can be

652
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 5: won by slot receivers. So Godwin of Tampa and if

653
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 5: Dak doesn't turn the ball over, can he get it

654
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 5: to Noah Brown and or Ceedee Lamb in the slot? Brandon,

655
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 5: you're next, and you're on the same page as.

656
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 1: Look I am.

657
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 6: Yeah to your point, Brandon Dallas is dead last by

658
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 6: DVA against wide receiver two. So I do think Godwin

659
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 6: has a big game in the slot here. I'm with Luke.

660
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 6: I'm gonna be on the Bucks plus two and a

661
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 6: half like Luke, I'm gonna wait. I have not put

662
00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 6: it in the app yet because I think we might

663
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 6: get back to the three here. Early in the week

664
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 6: and I started to research here, all my trends were

665
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 6: popping Tampa, Tampa, Tampa, and I was like, please, God,

666
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 6: not Tampa. All season long, I've been dumping on Brandon

667
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 6: Staley and Joe Lombardi and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and

668
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 6: now here I am on playoff best bets and those

669
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 6: are my two picks.

670
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 5: Oh oh, hold on, hold on, before you keep going,

671
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 5: who did you compare Tom Brady.

672
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 6: To Tim Tebow? And guess what Tim Tebow won? His

673
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 6: playoff game, the first one as a home playoff underdog.

674
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 6: In one of the spots here that popped for my trends.

675
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 6: So let me start with some of the trends I

676
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 6: mentioned earlier in the podcast. The Jaguars are the home

677
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 6: team that didn't make the playoffs last year. Well, home

678
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 6: teams in this round that did make the playoffs twenty

679
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 6: five twelve and three against the spread sixty eight percent. Basically,

680
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 6: what that's telling us is, if you made the playoffs

681
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 6: last year and then you have a home game now,

682
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 6: so you won your division, you're good. And we get

683
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 6: a little too much recency bias on what's your win

684
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 6: last record, and we kind of forget at this point

685
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 6: of the year all of those you know, early in

686
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:21,480
Speaker 6: the season, the weird fluky wins and the lucky bounds

687
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:23,840
Speaker 6: and the walk of field goal that all played in

688
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:27,320
Speaker 6: everyone's zero and zero now and we know the Buccaneers

689
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 6: are good, and week one we're kind of back to

690
00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 6: where we started here. Nineteen to three, the Cowboys got

691
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 6: held under two hundred and fifty yards three point eight

692
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,720
Speaker 6: yards of play. The Bucks defense really played them well,

693
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,840
Speaker 6: and I think that that holds up here. Tampa Bay's

694
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 6: defense is actually number one in drive success rate. The

695
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 6: Cowboys offense are only twenty fourth in that. So basically

696
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 6: what that's telling you is Dallas has to try to

697
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 6: do these long, grinding out drives and we've seen it

698
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 6: all year, right A JO can confirm as a fan,

699
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 6: we force feed the ball to Zeke and we run, run, run.

700
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 6: We have to establish the run. These are the two

701
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 6: most run heavy teams left in the playoffs. I think

702
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 6: Monday is going to be agonizing to watch as a

703
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 6: fan or neutral because the one thing these teams do

704
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 6: well defensively, especially is stop the run. But I think

705
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 6: we're just going to keep feeding the run game, feeding

706
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 6: the run game on both sides. But like Luke said,

707
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:25,919
Speaker 6: which side's going to go to the quarterback first? Well,

708
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,480
Speaker 6: probably the one with the goat tibo or not. I

709
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 6: know who Tom Brady is. I like Brady over forty

710
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 6: two and a half attempts here. That's eleven of the

711
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 6: last thirteen games he's done. That set the record for

712
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:40,759
Speaker 6: past attempts this year. So I think Brady gets to

713
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,839
Speaker 6: open it up and take control. Look it's Byron Left

714
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 6: rich Ard Tom Brady who gets control in the big

715
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,359
Speaker 6: playoff game, Brady's gonna take over, and I think they

716
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 6: get going box against good teams this year have actually

717
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,959
Speaker 6: played better. If you look at eight games against teams

718
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 6: that have at least eight wins like them, they're only

719
00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:00,160
Speaker 6: two and six, but by DVA their ninth best in

720
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:03,400
Speaker 6: the NFL Top ten offense and defense in those games.

721
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:06,360
Speaker 6: This is the healthy version of the team. The offensive

722
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 6: lines getting healthy. Even Ryan Jensen is practicing now the

723
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 6: Star center, so I think that could help. And the

724
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 6: one thing Dallas on defense is really great at is

725
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 6: that pass rush. Tom Brady gets the ball so fast

726
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 6: that that doesn't even really affect him anyway. So they're

727
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,759
Speaker 6: going to get the ball out to all those playmakers

728
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,359
Speaker 6: who finally are healthy. And then just a couple more

729
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,600
Speaker 6: trends to throw on here. I've got a trends piece

730
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,600
Speaker 6: up for Wildcard trends. Four of my seven trends on

731
00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 6: there all checkof for the Bucks. They're the slam dunk

732
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 6: pick from that one. Teams in the Wildcard around five

733
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 6: hundred or below eight and one against the spread eighty

734
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 6: nine percent in the last two decades, including six and

735
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 6: three straight up. One of those t bow games there

736
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:50,319
Speaker 6: teams are fifteen percent worse by win rate or or

737
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 6: more six h to one against the spread, and then

738
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:55,120
Speaker 6: you know all the Brady and DAK numbers. DAK has

739
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 6: never covered in the playoffs. Zero to four Brady has

740
00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:00,719
Speaker 6: an underdog in the playoffs, three to zero ats and

741
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 6: straight up Brady since twenty fourteen, undefeated straight up as

742
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 6: a three point underdog er last twenty two, seven and

743
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:12,880
Speaker 6: two against the spread in those games lifetime. So I

744
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 6: just think this is the spot for Tom Brady. I'm

745
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 6: gonna take the spread because I think that they could

746
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,160
Speaker 6: lose by field goal or lose by one or two.

747
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,200
Speaker 6: I think that's very much in the range of outcomes.

748
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 6: So I'm gonna stay away from the money line myself.

749
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 6: Another teaser spot, My favorite teaser is that Giants Bucks

750
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 6: teaser I mentioned. If you get Bucks plus eight and

751
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 6: a half, Brady in playoff lifetime is forty three and

752
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 6: four against that number. So that's a pretty good look

753
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,360
Speaker 6: in teaser slot there. So I'll take the Bucks plus

754
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:40,919
Speaker 6: two and a half.

755
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:43,359
Speaker 5: Okay, So I've got a news nugget here that will

756
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 5: go to Jill Todd Bowle spoke today Carlton Davis on

757
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 5: the shoulder bowl said he's good to go. He did

758
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 5: return to practice for the first time today. Good to

759
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,760
Speaker 5: go the words out of Todd Bowles's mouth today.

760
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:55,880
Speaker 2: I've known Jill Gallant now for a.

761
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 5: Few months, and I'm starting to think and it's added

762
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:00,799
Speaker 5: up to me now at this point in the year,

763
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,479
Speaker 5: if we ever find out what Jill's cause of death

764
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 5: will be, it will just be Cowboys because what he's

765
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 5: about to do now is just You're a different kind

766
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 5: of person here, my friend.

767
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:13,960
Speaker 7: Yeah, this Brendan is the emo hedge, and I think

768
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:16,479
Speaker 7: this is the only thing you can make in this game,

769
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:19,160
Speaker 7: and that is Buccaneers money line at plus one twenty.

770
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 7: I'm a Cowboys fan, I have no problem mentioning it.

771
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 7: But I also am realistic and the Cowboys defense is

772
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 7: falling apart. It was very turnover reliant. They did lead

773
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,360
Speaker 7: the league in turnovers forced, but they were second in

774
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,440
Speaker 7: turnover differential behind the forty nine ers. But they're just

775
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,880
Speaker 7: getting gashed on the ground and the air now, like

776
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 7: the Cowboys defense has given up the most passing touchdowns

777
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:41,760
Speaker 7: to wide receivers this season.

778
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 1: And now I'm.

779
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 7: Gonna be going to New York, going to action studios

780
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 7: and there's gonna be a camera on me during this game.

781
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:49,799
Speaker 1: You know it's gonna end up bad.

782
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 7: You know I'm gonna be sitting there sobbing in the corner,

783
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 7: and you know the inevitable unsolicited Dak pick is coming

784
00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:58,240
Speaker 7: right in your DMS.

785
00:38:58,680 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 1: It's coming.

786
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:01,879
Speaker 7: That's why you know, because FanDuel has it right now

787
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,200
Speaker 7: at minus one eighty for Dak to throw an interception.

788
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 7: I track the interception props all year. He has never

789
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,319
Speaker 7: been above minus one twenty. So just to let you

790
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 7: know the confidence in the sportsbook that that is happening,

791
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,839
Speaker 7: because he's also thrown an interception in seven straight games,

792
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,320
Speaker 7: nine of his last ten. Overall, he's the most profitable

793
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 7: quarterback of the season four interception props.

794
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 1: If you would just.

795
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 7: Bindly bet him one unit every game, you'd be up

796
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 7: eight point two units of profit. Now we're just looking

797
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 7: at trends like the Cowboys, and again, if you want

798
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 7: to talk about heartache, they haven't won a road playoff

799
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 7: games since nineteen ninety three. They've lost eight straight road

800
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 7: playoff games. And now you're facing Tom Brady with his

801
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 7: career in the NFL playoffs at thirty five and twelve

802
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 7: straight up. He's only been a home dog once and

803
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 7: that was to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl that

804
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 7: they won handily. Brady is seven and oh versus the

805
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 7: Cowboys three and oh straight up versus the Cowboys. When

806
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:53,319
Speaker 7: Dak is the quarterback, We're talking about a little more

807
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 7: recency results, Like I'm already pre mad at the loss

808
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 7: and the game hasn't even been played yet.

809
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,719
Speaker 1: Act like the last week against the Commanders, like the

810
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: it was like an out or whatever, and the Commander's

811
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: corner just hit his chest and went off like, Okay,

812
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: he just got away with a pick six. Then the

813
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:15,759
Speaker 1: very next play he throws the exact same pass and

814
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 1: he picks it off for a touchdown, where like that

815
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 1: is like a level of like being broken that like

816
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,480
Speaker 1: like you made a mistake, you don't do that again.

817
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: And he it was and he did the very next play.

818
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 1: He's good. It's just it's something is off.

819
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 5: And some of it isn't all on him, like the

820
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:35,920
Speaker 5: coaching call I thought at the end of the Jacksonville

821
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 5: game to throw it the way they did there in

822
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:41,680
Speaker 5: a must have situation, in a short yardage situation, McCarthy

823
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 5: hung him out to dry even I think one of

824
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:46,239
Speaker 5: the picks in the Tennessee game that Thursday night game

825
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 5: was a tipped bawl.

826
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:54,160
Speaker 7: So of course, but Okay also goes on for him. Yeah,

827
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:57,799
Speaker 7: the people who he's throwing picks to commanders bottom five

828
00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:01,880
Speaker 7: an interceptions force the Giants. They only had six interceptions

829
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:03,359
Speaker 7: all year, two of them on deck.

830
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 5: The end of Jill means the end of today's podcast,

831
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 5: and we'll leave on that note. Let's let's recap the

832
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,240
Speaker 5: picks and then we'll get out of here. Brandon Anderson

833
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,799
Speaker 5: is on Chargers minus two and a half. He likes

834
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:19,799
Speaker 5: Minnesota and the Giants a one score game, same game

835
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 5: parlay over at Fandel.

836
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:22,719
Speaker 2: You can find it.

837
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 5: You have to do some digging, but essentially you're taking

838
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:27,439
Speaker 5: the Giants plus six and a half the Vikings plus

839
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 5: six and a half. Parlay that to plus one thirty three,

840
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 5: and he's on Bucks plus two and a half. Luke

841
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 5: is on the Chargers as well, minus two and a half,

842
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 5: Giants plus three, Tampa plus two and a half. Jill

843
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,719
Speaker 5: Goalot with not one but two anytime touchdown picks. He

844
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:45,400
Speaker 5: likes George Kittle against the Seahawks at plus one fifty

845
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:48,680
Speaker 5: Dawson Knox. He's over that plus two hundred number at

846
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 5: plus two twenty, and Jill is really twisting the knife

847
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 5: in himself with bucks plus one twenty. He already thinks

848
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 5: the game already happened, So Jill just won get some

849
00:41:58,960 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 5: some cash on.

850
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 2: The bar plus one twenty pick that will do it everybody.

851
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 5: Here on the Action Network Podcast, we are presented by

852
00:42:05,600 --> 00:42:09,800
Speaker 5: FanDuel our NFL Super Wildcard Weekend Best Bets episode. Thanks

853
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 5: to Brandon Anderson, Joe Glant, Luke Swain for joining me.

854
00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:14,320
Speaker 5: I'm Brendan glas Sheen. Best of luck with your bets

855
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,240
Speaker 5: this weekend. We'll see you for the recap episode on

856
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,240
Speaker 5: Monday night. We'll do it Monday night, Tuesday morning, whatever

857
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 5: works for you. We'll talk to you once the weekend ends.

858
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 3: Here on the Action Network Podcast.

859
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

860
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 5: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

861
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 5: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

862
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:51,240
Speaker 5: hundred Gambler