1 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:13,119 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three 2 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: sixty five. 3 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 2: We are part of the Action Network. 4 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week five Sunday Recap episode. I 5 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: am Chad Millman and I am joined by my bff, 6 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: my companion, Mi cam. 7 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 2: Padre, my co host, Professional. 8 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: Better, Simon Hunter, Ellosyman. 9 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 3: Hey, Chad, how are we doing? Brother? 10 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: My voice is a little scratchy at the end of 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:40,880 Speaker 1: the day today, A couple of yells. 12 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 2: But dude, we had a thrilling early window. No joke. 13 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: Those three games we won in that window, which was Indy, Atlanta, 14 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh, all came down to the final couple of minutes. 15 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: All of them had turnovers, safeties, touchdowns, penalties, all of 16 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: it that could have heard us. Instead they all went 17 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 1: our way. I chuck it up to luck and preparation. Simon, 18 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 1: we are three and one on the day, the Niners 19 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: being one of our biggest bets of the year. 20 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 2: Later tonight, how are you feeling? 21 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 4: Feeling pretty good? I'm feeling I'm like the same as you. 22 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 4: It feels like we got lucky, Like a lot of 23 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 4: the bets. 24 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 3: Definitely broke our way. 25 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 4: But whenever you're you know the guy you're betting on, 26 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 4: Like Richardson goes down, we have Minch. You come in 27 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,119 Speaker 4: and we're still able to somehow cover that number. Feel 28 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 4: pretty lucky when me and you wouldn't switch out any 29 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 4: picks because we want to keep Atlanta and that was 30 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 4: a good number. And at landed literally right on two, 31 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 4: which is crazy because it's like Chris, Chris was able 32 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 4: to cover his two and a half. We're able to 33 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 4: cover our one and a half. That's always pretty nice. 34 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 4: But me and you said before a game on that 35 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh game is like you just play the number. Forget 36 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 4: all the bs, all the other stuff, everything you're breaking 37 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 4: down all the logic to try to make of the 38 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 4: stupid sport we call football. That was just the classic 39 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 4: you take the number. Little things have to break our 40 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 4: way and they did. Like that game, we felt dead. 41 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 4: I mean, I don't know about you. I felt dead 42 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 4: that whole first half. It was like that offense had nothing, 43 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 4: Kenny had nothing. Classic example of momentum, like they get 44 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 4: that block, bunt flip the momentum of the game somehow. Again, 45 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 4: we were a down ten eight with the Ravens had 46 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 4: the ball getting ready to score at least kick a 47 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 4: field goal and the whole game flips. We get the 48 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 4: pick in the end zone and we ever we end 49 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 4: up Pittsburgh outright winning seventeen to ten. 50 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 1: So yeah, we're gonna we're gonna get into that game. 51 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: We're gonna get We're gonna get into that game a 52 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: little bit deeper. Incredible Sunday for convince me this morning. 53 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: If you're not watching our pregame show What Is Wrong 54 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,359 Speaker 1: with You, catch it at eleven am Eastern on Actions 55 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: YouTube page or in the Action app. 56 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: Simon, you nailed. 57 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: Your player prop, which was you had Devon Chen anytime 58 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: touchdown stuck. He had Bijon anytime touchdown. You had the 59 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: Texans Falcons under, Raybon had the Baltimore Steelers under he 60 00:02:58,000 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: had Texans plus two and a half. 61 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 2: It was it was awesome. 62 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 4: You got that right. So you got that right. 63 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 2: So got that right. Plus we did pretty well. 64 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: We got our foxhoil right, we got our big balls right, 65 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: we got our executive decision right. As a reminder, the 66 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three six five. Bet 67 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: three six five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you get 68 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: more boosts with them than with anyone else. 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Gambling problem 79 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: called one eight hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, 80 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: Ohio and Virginia or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. 81 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: Terms and conditions and restrictions apply. By the way, talk 82 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: about Bet three six five super boosts. I do videos 83 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: for Bet three six five every Wednesday. They asked me 84 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: to run down best bet, same game parlay, money line parlay, 85 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: my same game parlays hit for the past two weeks. 86 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 1: This week it was Lions team total I think over 87 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: twenty and a half. It was Aiden Hutchinson sat anytime 88 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,799 Speaker 1: sack and David Montgomery anytime touchdown. 89 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 2: How about that, how do a good day. 90 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 1: As a reminder, you can get you every episode of 91 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: the Favorites live on our YouTube paid for those subscribing 92 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 1: or those enjoying on YouTube. Don't forget to give us 93 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: a like. Subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. 94 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: All right. 95 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: We had Pittsburgh plus three and a half in the contest. 96 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 1: It closed at four and a half. We had Atlanta 97 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 1: minus one and a half in the contest. It closed 98 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 1: at two and a half. We had Indy plus two 99 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,359 Speaker 1: and a half. We're going to get deeper into that game. 100 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: We had Denver minus two and a half. You get 101 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: what you deserve when you bet on the Broncos or 102 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 1: the Jets for that matter. 103 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 2: We have San. 104 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 1: Francisco minus three and a half remaining. I would say, simon, 105 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: the biggest game that we considered that we passed on 106 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: in the contest was Saints plus one and a half, 107 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 1: which was my exac decision this week. And the contest 108 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: is interesting, right and part of the spine of our 109 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: show is doing this contest. We got twelve thousand people 110 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: that signed up for it. We want to do it 111 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 1: well in the contest, and last week we were five 112 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: and zero. This week we're three and one, but we've 113 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: changed our strategy a little bit. The contest lines are dynamic, 114 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: so they're always changing. But once you lock, you're locked. 115 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 1: So you could lock on Thursday and if you are 116 00:05:57,520 --> 00:05:59,559 Speaker 1: happy with your numbers, you keep those. 117 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 2: But if you decide you. 118 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: Want to change, then you got to change everything and 119 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: go with any number that's available in the contest. So 120 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 1: we this morning were starting to you know, we locked 121 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: our games on Thursday, and then this morning we were 122 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 1: looking at the numbers. Pittsburgh was at four and a 123 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 1: half and New Orleans was at one and a half. 124 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 1: We liked both those a lot, but Atlanta had moved 125 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: to two and a half and I think, uh, and 126 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 1: we didn't like that, and Denver had moved to two 127 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 1: and a half. Denver had been at one and a half, 128 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: so we decided to stay where it was. I feel 129 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 1: like I'm okay with that at the end of the day. 130 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll never complain about three and two week if 131 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 4: if we don't cover at four houris to night. But 132 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:40,360 Speaker 4: we have to still have a chance at four and one, 133 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 4: So talk all the time. The goal is I know 134 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 4: it sounds boring, but the goal every week is three 135 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 4: and two, and that's that's been good to us. The 136 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 4: one year we finished in the top twenty five, that's 137 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 4: pretty much where we averaged. 138 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: You. 139 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 4: I think we went sixty two percent. Last year we 140 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 4: won sixty three percent. But like our own tournament here, 141 00:06:57,560 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 4: there are so many people. We only finished top one 142 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 4: hund even though we did better the year before. It's 143 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,359 Speaker 4: just when you're in these huge contesters, just it's just 144 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 4: really hard to get to the top. 145 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 3: So, uh yeah, three and two, three and four and one. 146 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,119 Speaker 4: That's that was the goal hopefully today and uh still 147 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 4: still Fredy probably confidence this forty nine ers team. So yeah, 148 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 4: got again. We'll dive into the games here. But I 149 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 4: felt like, yeah, Denver terrible read. But the other games, 150 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 4: like we really did talk about how we predicted how 151 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 4: to play out, and they kind of all did the 152 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 4: way we predicted. The only one that really shocked me 153 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 4: was that drive by CG at the end of that 154 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 4: Houston game, Like that was incredible where the kid did nothing, 155 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 4: couldn't again in the end zone all game and then 156 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 4: with all the pressure, everything going against them down six, 157 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 4: gets the ball drives. 158 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 3: The whole field. 159 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 4: What can you say about this kid from Houston just 160 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 4: just incredible as poise and everything just through five games 161 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 4: into the season. 162 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: All right, well, let's talk about that game for a minute, 163 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: because Atlanta, when we talked about this game last Sunday, 164 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: the line was three and a half and we immediately said, 165 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: we'll wait until this gets under three. And the wise 166 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: guys came in and they bet CJ. Stroud, and they 167 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:06,400 Speaker 1: bet this number under three and a half. They bet 168 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 1: under three. 169 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 2: It got down to one. 170 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: I bet it at one and a half on the 171 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: way back, and then it started going back up. 172 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 2: And the wise guys loved CJ. Stroud. 173 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: And this was like there were a couple of fifty 174 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: to fifty games and we happened to be on the 175 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 1: right side of both of them, but this one was 176 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: dividing the betting community because of CJ. Stroud, who was 177 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: great in the game. Like that last drive. What did 178 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: you see in that last drive which put the Texans 179 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: ahead with less than two minutes left. 180 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 4: I mean, I just saw a guy that just didn't panic, 181 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 4: Like even when they're in these third I mean that 182 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 4: touchdown might have been on third and nine, Like he 183 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 4: kept getting these long third down positions and he just 184 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 4: never really seem phase by it, and it's like it's 185 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 4: just crazy. You see these other guys like Mac Jones 186 00:08:57,520 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 4: who looks totally lost, and these other guys in the 187 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 4: league that are like they've been in it for a 188 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 4: long time. They look completely lost, where this kid doesn't 189 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:05,680 Speaker 4: have an all star cast around him. I mean, he 190 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 4: just got back his starting tackle this week. He's been 191 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 4: doing this weekend week out, and what I predicted about 192 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 4: the game came true, where it's like this kid's going 193 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 4: to struggle, like the film's out on him. The defenses 194 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 4: are taking away the things he wants to do, and 195 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 4: he did for three and a half quarters. The kid 196 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 4: couldn't play it together. But you saw in that drive 197 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 4: what makes him so great, which is just the accuracy, 198 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 4: his commness in the pocket, making the right reads and 199 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 4: still no turnovers. It's crazy to watch me now. So 200 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 4: that's why I feel really lucky we got the best 201 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 4: of the number when we covered the number, just because 202 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 4: that was the right spot, like we were fading a 203 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 4: rookie on the road after he's looked lights out again. 204 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 4: We'll talk about this upcoming week. I don't know if 205 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 4: we have to do it again, but the public is 206 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 4: just totally in love with this kid and this Houston team. 207 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 4: I mean, he just keeps covering them for them. So 208 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 4: definitely depends what side of the line you're on, but 209 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 4: if you're on that Houston side, you're feeling pretty happy today. 210 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, there's some already some numbers that I'm interested in 211 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:05,439 Speaker 1: that we're going to talk about later in the show, 212 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 1: some early leans. But this game was insane, like the Falcons. 213 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: You know, we had previewed in the Favorites film session 214 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: talking about the Falcons running game, and today Desmond Ridder 215 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: was brilliant, Like I don't know where that came from, 216 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: but he was throwing darts down the scene. 217 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 2: He was making the right plays. 218 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 1: To be honest, the only reason the Falcons the Texans 219 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 1: were even in that game is because of back to 220 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: back fumbles on back to back drives when in the 221 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: second one the Falcons were knocking on the red zone 222 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 1: and so they tried to give this game away in 223 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: every possible way. 224 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 2: Like Desmond Ritter was was lights out. 225 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 1: He's now undefeated at home in college, in the NFL, 226 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: and in high school. 227 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 3: I think again, I just felt lucky. 228 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 4: The guy had seven points in the first half, like 229 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 4: Thank god the defense held three field goals. 230 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 3: We really escaped on that one. 231 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 2: All right, another game which actually I never felt nervous about. 232 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 2: Last week. 233 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 1: We loved Indie when it opened minus one and a half. 234 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 1: And on the Thursday show, Simon, you made a big 235 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,839 Speaker 1: show of praising me for a call that I made, 236 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:20,079 Speaker 1: and you're like, I'm giving Chads flowers. I can't remember 237 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 1: what the game was, so I must return the favorite 238 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: this time. Last week I might have been leaning Titans 239 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: and you very politely walked me back. Some people might 240 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 1: have said it sounded like you were. 241 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 2: Mean to me, but you weren't. 242 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: And because you are very thoughtful, you in the middle 243 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: of our epic runs today you slacked me in Matt 244 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,319 Speaker 1: Mitchell and told him to pull a clip of how 245 00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:51,480 Speaker 1: you said to me to walk to not like the 246 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 1: Titans this week. 247 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 2: Mitchell will drop it in the show. 248 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,559 Speaker 1: So you said you thought we'd be fading Mike Vrabel 249 00:11:59,040 --> 00:11:59,559 Speaker 1: this week. 250 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 2: Here's the problem. They're a one point dog at Indy. 251 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's why you're fading them, Chad. You think that's 252 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 3: a good number. You're getting good value there. 253 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 2: I don't feel anything that line, come. 254 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 4: On, That line stinks tell me, well, let the public 255 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 4: bet it. We'll get the Colts as a dog. Like 256 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:18,959 Speaker 4: people are gonna come in like you, they're gonna take 257 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:19,680 Speaker 4: Tennessee here. 258 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:22,719 Speaker 1: Ahh, I'm not doing anything yet. Don't be mean to 259 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 1: me on Sunday nights just because you haven't slept for days. 260 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 2: All praise to you. 261 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 1: You nail this because we betted at one and a 262 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: half when the culture matters one and a half, and 263 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: then we bettered again when the cults were dogs all 264 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 1: the way up to two and a half. The entire 265 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 1: world was against us in this one. 266 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 2: This was our Foxhole. Well done, Simon Hunter. 267 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, another game that took a year off my life, 268 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 4: Like I hate sometimes you hate this job. And that's 269 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 4: one of them where it's like Richardson goes down. I 270 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 4: have a ton of money tied to this game, and 271 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 4: I might have been the opening drive. Tell you're going 272 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 4: right down the field score a touchdown. I'm just like, 273 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 4: well that's how it goes like. 274 00:12:58,760 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 3: That was a terrible read. 275 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:04,439 Speaker 4: But luckily Minshew makes big throws and man. 276 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:05,959 Speaker 3: Is there a better backup in football? Right now? 277 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 4: The kid's got two wins, you know, wins that Ravens 278 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 4: game wins this game, and you know you gotta be 279 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 4: feeling pretty good if you're a Colts van because it 280 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 4: seems like Richard's not that hurt, so able to get 281 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 4: the win. Hopefully he's back in a week or two, 282 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 4: and you know, you just had some bad luck. People 283 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 4: want to say his injury prone and everything like that. 284 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 4: I mean, the one play was stupid. He fell on 285 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 4: his back, he hit the back of his head, got concussion. 286 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,079 Speaker 4: This play was just the same old big d tackle 287 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 4: landed on his shoulder when he took him to the ground, 288 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 4: and that those injuries are gonna happen in football. So 289 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 4: for the Colts, I hope he does come back soon 290 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 4: because you can see that running style when you have 291 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 4: to account for the quarterback that just takes the defender away. 292 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 4: I don't think it was Taylor had a big day either. 293 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 4: I think it was Moss at the really good day 294 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 4: for the Colts team. 295 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 3: So yeah, it feels good, Chad. 296 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 4: That we always preach it if you if you like 297 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:56,719 Speaker 4: a number that's bad and it keeps moving against you, 298 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 4: you just keep betting all the way. You just trust 299 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 4: the model, trust the number. And couldn't get enough of 300 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 4: those two and a half, So they just stuck there 301 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 4: all weekend anyone wanted to, and people came in on 302 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 4: that Titans team and we just we said it last week, 303 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,000 Speaker 4: that line just stunk. So Phil's going to be on 304 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 4: the right side of that one. 305 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 2: I will tell you. 306 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,719 Speaker 1: I made a note in my notebook here while I 307 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: was watching the game of how I felt when Anthony 308 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 1: Richardson went out and Gardner Minshew came in, and I wrote, 309 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: I'm actually not that concerned. I felt like that the 310 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 1: Colts were playing really well, and they played with the 311 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: level of confidence that they haven't played with in the 312 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 1: past when Frank Reich was the coach and Shane Steichen 313 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: and Gannon two we've talked about this in Arizona, like 314 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 1: those two Philadelphia coordinators. They got their guys playing, and 315 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: you know, it didn't work out for the Cardinals Today. 316 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: Another game I'm glad we passed on because I was 317 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: so tempted each day to bet the Cardinals and just 318 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: stayed away from it, and also was nervous about the Bengals. 319 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 2: But the Colts like they play hard. 320 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 1: Their linebackers. Who's leading Franklin, I think as his name is, 321 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: who's leading the league? 322 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 2: In tackles. 323 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 1: They're a really interesting team. I'm not I'm fascinated by 324 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 1: this team. 325 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, they're a fun team, but they're definitely a team 326 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 4: it's hard to get a read on, Like a lot 327 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 4: of people say they just can't really get a read. 328 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 3: On this team. 329 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 4: That's why I went to Tennessee, and I totally get that. 330 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 4: But I feel like I do have a good read 331 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 4: on this team. I kind of get what they're good at, 332 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,960 Speaker 4: what their strains are, and what the weaknesses are. And 333 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 4: you know, I'm not here to give away all the secrets, 334 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 4: but if I come in so hard at someone, then 335 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 4: they're trying to go to the other side where it's like 336 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 4: there's just something fishing about a line. You know, it's 337 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 4: usually a little indicator. Again, I don't at least Sunday shows. 338 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 4: It's tough because I don't have any data right, nothing's 339 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 4: running the model. Me and Ched are just coming on 340 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 4: here reacting to a live show, reacting live to the line. 341 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 4: So that's why it's like, yeah, I might not have 342 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 4: been dead on about my colts take whatever I said 343 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 4: Sunday night, but I do know. By Tuesday, I was like, 344 00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 4: this is a game, We're going to be all over 345 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 4: So yeah, that's nice. Where my Thursday show, I was 346 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 4: like scared because like the line moved totally against us, 347 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 4: but totally worked out. We just took the value in 348 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 4: never a doubt in the plus two and a half. 349 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 2: Well, it was also fun this week because. 350 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 1: I felt so stupid on Sunday night when I said 351 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 1: I was leaning Titans and You're like, I don't. 352 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 2: Know if you want to do that. 353 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: And by the end of the week after you had 354 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 1: done Anthony Richardson in the Favorites film room and broken 355 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: him down, and even by Thursday afternoon when we were 356 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:38,440 Speaker 1: doing the podcast and everybody else was on the Titans, 357 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: you were like, oh, I don't know, I'm getting a 358 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: litle nervous, but I'm like, you know what, I'm fully 359 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 1: convinced the Titan I mean, the Texans the Colts are 360 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: the right side. Because you had swayed me so aggressively, 361 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: I'll ask you one question, though, what are they good at? 362 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 2: I watched that whole. 363 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 1: Game and I cannot figure out why they keeping other 364 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: than they make their aggressive. 365 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 2: I think Shane Stikeen is really good coach and make. 366 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, you say great play calling. 367 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:11,240 Speaker 4: Lie That's what it is, right, Yeah, game in like 368 00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 4: their situational awareness where he just calls really smart plays 369 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 4: on third and fourth, like yep, you know, they just 370 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 4: get themselves in short businesses and you know, I know how. 371 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 3: I don't know how much they paid Taylor, but if 372 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 3: they can make. 373 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,679 Speaker 4: That work, that run scheme with him Moss and Richardson 374 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 4: when he comes back, that's that's the thing I like 375 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 4: about that team where it's like we already know the 376 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 4: kids are arm talent, it's it's the running stuff that 377 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 4: really brings it up. So so the offense changed when 378 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 4: Minshew came in. It's even if he's out next week, Richardson, 379 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 4: I still wouldn't be terrified. I don't know what the 380 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 4: Colts number is right now, but I mean we'll talk 381 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 4: about them. They might not be a team m'd be 382 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 4: scared off of if it is Minshew. 383 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: Three years, forty two million, by the way, is what 384 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 1: they paid Jonathan Taylor. 385 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 2: So but you're right, it's the play. 386 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 1: Calling and I made a note of that, like Stiking 387 00:17:56,960 --> 00:18:00,199 Speaker 1: is is a little bit like Mike Rabel. He he 388 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 1: makes the interesting, right risky call at the right time, 389 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,199 Speaker 1: and because he's so consistent about how he's going to 390 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: make those calls, and they clearly practice these kinds of things. 391 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 1: The team believes it right, and so they're converting at 392 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 1: a higher level on the plays that make the game. 393 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 1: If there's six or seven plays in a game, they're 394 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 1: converting at a higher level because he's got them in 395 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: a position to do that. It's interesting you talk about 396 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 1: continuing to bet a game when you believe in the number. 397 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,680 Speaker 1: I did that with the Colts. I did a lot 398 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: with the Steelers this week. Bet him at three and 399 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,400 Speaker 1: a half, bet him at four, Bet him again at 400 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:40,159 Speaker 1: four and a half. Bet the under Like initially we 401 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: were nervous about this game, and then we saw all 402 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: the numbers that Evan was giving us. Tomlin is an 403 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 1: underdog throughout his career. Tomlin is an underdog in this series, 404 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 1: the underdog generally in this series. Lamar as a favorite, 405 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 1: not being very good like again and again and again, 406 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 1: ended up having, you know, for me, an uncomfortable amount 407 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 1: of money on this game, and it was fucking zany. 408 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's nice when you can kind of not I 409 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,160 Speaker 4: don't want to call it lazy betting, but it's kind 410 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 4: of lazy, Like me and Chad pretty much said it 411 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,239 Speaker 4: where it's like, we don't have a choice. We've been 412 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 4: betting this exact spot ever since me and Chad started 413 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 4: working together. We just always take the dog, especially if 414 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,159 Speaker 4: it's over three and a half every time, and people 415 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,399 Speaker 4: complained about it, They're like, there's more to it. You 416 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:34,880 Speaker 4: can't just bundy bet these trends. I hate it too, people. 417 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 4: You think I like it when people can just lazily 418 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:38,160 Speaker 4: be like, no, you take the dog on the under. 419 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:39,160 Speaker 3: It's annoying. 420 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 4: I agree, but it wins and we just keep doing it. 421 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 4: You can go through all the previous times these teams 422 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 4: are played and what the scores were like. It sounds crazy, 423 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 4: but it's just history continually to repeat itself, and that's 424 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 4: what we happen in this game. So I had totally 425 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 4: given up ten to three. Kenny Pickott could not do 426 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 4: a single thing. I was saying what all you guys 427 00:19:58,760 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 4: were saying. I was like, that was such a stud 428 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 4: cod bet this. This offense is broken. This team has 429 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 4: no heart, they have no desire. And the magic happened 430 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 4: and they totally flipped, and me and Chad Simar are 431 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 4: sitting here on a money line winner on Pittsburgh and 432 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 4: I just came with there won seventeen to ten. Football 433 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:16,159 Speaker 4: is just really stupid sometimes, and that's why you just 434 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 4: you bet the number of people like we gave you 435 00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:19,400 Speaker 4: the trends. 436 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 3: Everything is there next year. 437 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 4: If this opportunity pops up again, even if it's a 438 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 4: Raven's a three and a half, you already know what 439 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:28,480 Speaker 4: me and Chad are gonna do. We're gonna take the 440 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 4: dog in this position. So yeah, love when the numbers 441 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 4: hit like that. 442 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:32,680 Speaker 3: Chad. 443 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 1: I made a note in the middle of this game 444 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:39,719 Speaker 1: two things. One, George Pickens is the only offensive weapon. 445 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: And then in the last in the last four minutes, 446 00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,119 Speaker 1: he made every catch that mattered. And then I wrote, 447 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: the only way the Steelers cover this game is a 448 00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,400 Speaker 1: big play that gives them a short field and then 449 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 1: fucking chaos, like there was a they had the block punt, 450 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 1: they had, there was the safety, then they had the fumble. 451 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 1: The Steelers had the fumble, I think it was on 452 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 1: the return kick for the safety. And then the Ravens 453 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: are driving and they have the miraculous Joey Porter junior 454 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: interception in the end zone, and then can you Pickett 455 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: hitch George Pickens for a bomb, Like, are you freaking 456 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 1: kidding me that they won this game? That it is 457 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 1: somehow simon. The Steelers are tied with the Ravens at 458 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 1: three and two for first place in the AFC North. 459 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 1: The Colts are three and two and contending in the 460 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 1: AFC South. What in the be jeesus is happening here? 461 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 3: Yeah? And uh, you know. 462 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:50,080 Speaker 4: Again, I have no idea how the rest of the 463 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,440 Speaker 4: season is going to go. But there's always times where 464 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,439 Speaker 4: I feel bad for the fan bases. I feel horrible 465 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 4: for the Raves. They're about to be three to ozho 466 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 4: in their division, all games won, all the road and 467 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 4: it just all fell apart there at the end, Like 468 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,359 Speaker 4: you're up ten eight with the ball and your your 469 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 4: opponent's red zone. It's just football, so sickening, Like it's 470 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 4: the sickest. That's why we make these bets. Like, yeah, 471 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 4: do I feel an idiot when we're gonna talk about Denver? 472 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 4: I feel like a fucking idiot. Yeah, that was horrible bet. 473 00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 4: Horrible read. That's life betting bad teams. If I had 474 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 4: a model that told me they're gonna fumble the ball 475 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 4: three times, probably would have faded Denver probably would have 476 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 4: been the right read. So this is life betting bad 477 00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 4: teams like they're gonna do sloppy, shitty stuff, and that 478 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,119 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh one had all the makings of I don't know 479 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:34,600 Speaker 4: how they're gonna get to this number, but they're gonna 480 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 4: somehow get to it. 481 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 3: And that's just a great feel when those numbers work out. 482 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:38,639 Speaker 2: All right. 483 00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: So you mentioned Denver. That's the one game that we lost. 484 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 1: We had Denver minus two and a half in the contest, 485 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: and I could see why, like we were just fading. 486 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:48,719 Speaker 2: Zach Wilson. 487 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: I was a little surprised this was your best bet 488 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 1: of the day and convinced me that you went with 489 00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: this instead of New Orleans or something else, Like we 490 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 1: had talked about New Orleans all week, and like we 491 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: were so in on yours, and you know, we Max 492 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 1: Jones is terrible. We knew that before this game we 493 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 1: were and we knew Matthew Judown was out and Christian 494 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: Gonzalez was out and look the Broncos, two truly incompetent teams. First, 495 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 1: have safety for the Jets against the Broncos, Jets couldn't 496 00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: spike the ball for a field goal at the end 497 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:26,240 Speaker 1: of the half from inside the Broncos five. The Denver 498 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,720 Speaker 1: d gave up a massive touchdown run to Breis Hall, fumbled, 499 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:32,359 Speaker 1: the Jets fumbled two punts, on one of them the 500 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,640 Speaker 1: Broncos recovered and then fumbled it right back. The Jets 501 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 1: throw a pick six in a pick in the end 502 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: zone when they could have closed the game out, and 503 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,320 Speaker 1: then the Broncos fumbled for a scoop and scorer for 504 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: the Jet to seal it. 505 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:46,160 Speaker 2: Like I'm so glad it's over. 506 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, and it sucks. So probably the bed Denver again 507 00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 3: next week. 508 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 4: But honestly, no regret. Its like I played a number there. 509 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 4: My read on Wilson was pretty true. I mean it 510 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 4: was thirteen eight a halftime, and you know, Sean Payton, 511 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 4: this this guy I do high in high regards. His 512 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:05,879 Speaker 4: offense came out had four to three and outs in 513 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,119 Speaker 4: the second half. Like you're not gonna win any games 514 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 4: like that. I don't care who you're playing against. And 515 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:13,679 Speaker 4: unfortunately it didn't really matter what Zach Wilson did. They 516 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 4: had the running game working, and I think Hale the 517 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,200 Speaker 4: run you're talking about was their first or maybe second 518 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 4: possession of the second half. He just broke a long 519 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 4: one for a touchdown and kind of kind of sealed 520 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 4: our fate. Just too many turnovers by the Broncos. So yeah, 521 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:30,640 Speaker 4: the afternoon games weren't kind of me like, even even 522 00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 4: though we didn't have it in there, I had a 523 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 4: decent amount on that Vikings not three and a half 524 00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 4: but the four and a half, and it was just like, 525 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,159 Speaker 4: you know, one of those days where you play the 526 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 4: numbers and it felt like a good read, but it 527 00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,919 Speaker 4: clearly was it. The Chiefs for the better team all day. 528 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 4: Even when Kelsey went out, their offense still didn't miss 529 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 4: a beat. So they're just gonna come to the territory 530 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,119 Speaker 4: betting bad teams. They're not always gonna get there for you. 531 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 3: It's just how it goes. 532 00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually didn't hesitate at all on the Broncos. 533 00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 1: I felt like, yeah, makes sense, like the numbers right, 534 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,879 Speaker 1: less than a field go. The Jets haven't proven it 535 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 1: yet now they have, like Zach Wilson was better for 536 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 1: two weeks in a row. Simon, I want you and 537 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 1: I want everybody listening to make Little Caesars, which is 538 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: the official pizza sponsor of the NFL, part of your 539 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 1: game day, Simon can Little Caesars calm you down after 540 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 1: a tough loss on game day? 541 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, it can. 542 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 2: You can calm anyone down. 543 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 1: Order online during our Pizza Pizza pre game one hour 544 00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 1: before NFL games and get ready for some football and fun. 545 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza or pick the toppings 546 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 1: you crave. Simon what percentage of a pizza surface should 547 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 1: be covered in. 548 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 2: Toppings, all but the crust, All but the crust. 549 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,360 Speaker 1: That is, basically, it's like the one hundred and two 550 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 1: yard run back. That's how much toppings Simon wants covering 551 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 1: the top of the pizza. 552 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 2: However you handle your Little Caesars, you win. 553 00:25:56,240 --> 00:26:00,280 Speaker 1: And speaking of winning, everyone scores with convenient delivery or 554 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 1: our in store pizza portal pickup. So grab some friends 555 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: and enjoy a few slices during the game. All right, 556 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 1: to recap our foxlaw was Indie plus two and a 557 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: half check Big Balls Bet of the Week, Pittsburgh plus 558 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: four check EXAC decision New Orleans. 559 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 2: Plus one and a half. 560 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:24,040 Speaker 1: When Simon says Atlanta minus two, all right, that push, 561 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: but if you were really listening, you should have you 562 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: should have gotten it at minus one and a half. 563 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 1: Our round Robin. We had Pittsburgh we won. We had 564 00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 1: Indy we won. We had the Rams we lost. We 565 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: had Minnesota we lost. We had Arizona we lost. 566 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:40,120 Speaker 2: So two out of the five. 567 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,439 Speaker 1: For those joining live right now, our Sunday Night Football 568 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: lean Simon, You and I are overloaded on San Francisco 569 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,719 Speaker 1: minus three and a half. It's the remaining bet of 570 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:58,120 Speaker 1: our phaves five to hopefully go four and one. Give 571 00:26:58,160 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: people a little bit of a rundown on why you're 572 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 1: still liking San Francisco. 573 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,000 Speaker 4: I mean, we had a bunch of reasons, but the 574 00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,119 Speaker 4: biggest one is we just we'd like this matchup for 575 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:08,040 Speaker 4: the forty nine ers. 576 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,120 Speaker 3: You know, situationally, they they should win this game. 577 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,160 Speaker 4: They're the better team right now, they're the healthier team 578 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,960 Speaker 4: looking at this matchup. Offensively, we think they're gonna be 579 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:19,439 Speaker 4: able to run the ball against Dallas. And you know, 580 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,600 Speaker 4: I said a lot of questions about Dallas right now, 581 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 4: so it's not too shocking. The number has not moved 582 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:26,439 Speaker 4: at all. If they just hang up there, it's just 583 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 4: stayed there all week. You know, me and Chad normally 584 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 4: would always be on the dog in this spot, but 585 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,439 Speaker 4: the forty nine Ers is a home favorite tends to 586 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,919 Speaker 4: go pretty chalky, so it's been a pretty good week 587 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,800 Speaker 4: for Chalk. I think the number one bet between bets 588 00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 4: and tickets was Miami. They covered outright, was never really 589 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,520 Speaker 4: a sweat, even though they threw a pick six the 590 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,680 Speaker 4: other other end zone, and Detroit, another team most publicly 591 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:55,680 Speaker 4: bet team Double Ditch Dog covered. So hopefully the chalk'sman 592 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 4: keeps going good, Chad, and we get another one here 593 00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 4: to close out Sunday night and. 594 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 2: Go for him. 595 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,280 Speaker 1: Evan, I wonder if you could type this into the 596 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: chat while I'm saying a couple more things about this game, 597 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,600 Speaker 1: But I do wonder did the Giants end up going 598 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 1: below that twenty percent or fifteen percent betting threshold. I 599 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 1: do feel like with this Niners game, until this morning, 600 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 1: I'm convinced me I hadn't heard anyone tell me why 601 00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 1: they liked the Cowboys other than feeling like the teams 602 00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: are evenly mashed and they're getting the hook, which to 603 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:29,879 Speaker 1: me wasn't enough because I actually feel like the Niners 604 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,199 Speaker 1: have a better coach, better scheme, better offense, equal defense 605 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 1: at worst. 606 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:35,560 Speaker 2: Stucky had a little bit more. 607 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: Logic about not believing in the Niners rush defense, but 608 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:45,480 Speaker 1: against the spread, Shanahan is above five hundred as a 609 00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: fave of more than three at home. McCarthy and Deck 610 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: together are above five hundred against the spread when they 611 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 1: are dogs of. 612 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 2: Three or more on the road. 613 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,720 Speaker 1: The only stat that stood out to me, which I 614 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,440 Speaker 1: think plays into sort of how we think of the 615 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:04,160 Speaker 1: Cowboys and dak as a team that tends to choke, 616 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 1: is he is twenty and five straight up in night 617 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: games during his career when he's a favorite, and three 618 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 1: and seven when he's a dog. So this is not 619 00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: a spot that he tends to win. Forget about covering. 620 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:18,680 Speaker 1: He doesn't tend to win in this. 621 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 2: Spot all right. Tomorrow night we got the Packers visiting 622 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Raiders. We previewed this. 623 00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: In the show last week. I think at the time 624 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: the Raiders were one point underdogs. Now they're two point favorites. 625 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: I don't love betting on a team when it swings 626 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:43,200 Speaker 1: from underdog to favorite. The trends are against us. How 627 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 1: are you feeling about this? 628 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, game, we talked a little bit about two and 629 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 4: a half. They're plus two and a half on Tuesday. 630 00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,480 Speaker 4: The Lions are running by the time we do the 631 00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 4: show Thursday, and it was announced Jimmy would be the 632 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 4: starter got two and a half. I think there got 633 00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 4: the minus two and a half. Now it's settled at 634 00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 4: minus two. I'm with Chad like I still probably would 635 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 4: bet on the Raiders. I probably still will, but totally 636 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 4: get if you don't like this summer you just want 637 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 4: to skip. I just it's hard for me to back 638 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 4: level on the road against a Raiders team. It's just 639 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 4: desperate here for a win. So I'll take the tick 640 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 4: the home favorite here at minus two. 641 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: Simon, can you name the fastest growing ticketing app in 642 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: the United States? 643 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 3: Game Time? 644 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 2: That's right, it's. 645 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,280 Speaker 1: A sponsor, game Time. I love game Time for two reasons. 646 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 1: One they sponsored this show, thank you very much. But 647 00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,240 Speaker 1: number two, I actually use game Time to buy tickets. 648 00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 1: You guys have heard me talk about it so many times, 649 00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: as recently as telling my wife to buy tickets for 650 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 1: a Michigan football game through game Time. It is an 651 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 1: amazing product. They've got amazing last minute deals on all 652 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college football games. Speaking 653 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 1: of which, I'm actually going to open game Time right 654 00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 1: now from my house. I'm looking at it I can 655 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:02,760 Speaker 1: see games. Look, I can go see the Jets next week, 656 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,600 Speaker 1: or I can go see the New York Knicks preseason 657 00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: basketball less than eighty bucks. I catu see the Brooklyn 658 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: Nets preseason basketball for ten bucks. Whatever you need, no 659 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 1: matter where you live, download the game time app. Get 660 00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,480 Speaker 1: out have some fun this week. Go sweat your bets 661 00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:24,680 Speaker 1: live and in person, and you can redeem code favorites 662 00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again. 663 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 1: Just download the app and enter code favorites for twenty 664 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: dollars off last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. All right, 665 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 1: Week six, we're looking at some lines on bet three 666 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 1: six five right now, Simon, I wrote some down that 667 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:44,040 Speaker 1: I thought might be early leans for US buys next week. 668 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 2: Are the Packers. 669 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 1: And the the AFC North leading Pittsburgh Steelers. 670 00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 2: They're Juggernaut shut them down. First game. 671 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 1: I looked at Titans plus four and a half hosting 672 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 1: the Ravens'. 673 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,239 Speaker 4: It stinks, but I'll take it because I do think 674 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:07,720 Speaker 4: it's going to drop. But first glance, I'm just like why, 675 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:09,440 Speaker 4: and the why in the world is just so high 676 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,440 Speaker 4: that this should be three three and a half at 677 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,480 Speaker 4: most it's foreign, right, So I'll take the value and 678 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:16,360 Speaker 4: for me and chatter walk into a trap, will buy 679 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 4: out of it. But I got to take that early 680 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:18,960 Speaker 4: value on Tennessee. 681 00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 2: But why do we think it would be that right now? 682 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 3: I don't know. 683 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,040 Speaker 4: It's a weird line. I do not get it because 684 00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 4: I don't know all the respect given of this Ravens team. 685 00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 4: And yeah, Tennessee played bad, but that's kind of how 686 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 4: divisional games go, right, And that's why I feel the 687 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,479 Speaker 4: same with the Ravens, where it's like maybe this is 688 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,239 Speaker 4: we're reacting to the Ravens and they're not as bad 689 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:43,160 Speaker 4: as we perceive right now, or it's Tennessee now as 690 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,120 Speaker 4: good as we perceive. But four and a half, that's 691 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,520 Speaker 4: that's a huge number for this Ravens team to be catching. 692 00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,040 Speaker 4: So I'll walk into it right now with you chatd, 693 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:51,160 Speaker 4: I'll grab the four and a half. 694 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,480 Speaker 1: Well, I'm seeing it drop a little bit, so what 695 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:55,160 Speaker 1: do we think about? What do we think of it 696 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:55,640 Speaker 1: at four? 697 00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:59,200 Speaker 4: Yes, still grabbing, Like to me, it should be three, 698 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 4: Like that's that number makes sense here. So it's I'm 699 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 4: happy it's dropping because at least the smart money's coming 700 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 4: in on Tennessee. But like, what a weird number to 701 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 4: hang by the sports book. 702 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 2: It's so strange. 703 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: I don't get it. I totally don't get it. 704 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 3: Grab it, grab it. 705 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:19,440 Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm hitting it right now because geez, Louise, 706 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:20,440 Speaker 1: that makes no sense. 707 00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:21,960 Speaker 2: We love Rabel in this spot. 708 00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,880 Speaker 1: And I will say, like Tannehill is getting the ball 709 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 1: off faster than any player in the NFL right now, 710 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,040 Speaker 1: and when he's in, like DeAndre Hopkins was amazing today. 711 00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: So there were moments where it was not going to 712 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: be easy to win that game. As an Indian in Indianapolis. 713 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:41,720 Speaker 1: Colts better, all right, another game. I looked at Denver 714 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:43,959 Speaker 1: plus ten and a half a Kansas City on Thursday night. 715 00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,680 Speaker 3: We can do it. We always lose this bet. Though, 716 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 3: we lose this bet every time. 717 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:53,040 Speaker 4: We make this bet every time, doesn't matter if it's Lock, 718 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:54,560 Speaker 4: doesn't matter, if it's Wilson. 719 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 3: We bet. 720 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 4: We bet every time I do the show with you chat, 721 00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:02,120 Speaker 4: we take this number, and we somehow, we somehow always die. 722 00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:02,440 Speaker 3: Yes. 723 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 4: I don't know if em will have the numbers for 724 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 4: us by Tuesday, but I promise you. 725 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 3: We take this number every time. 726 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:11,560 Speaker 4: We take them here every time, and it just never 727 00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 4: works out for us, but we're suckers to it. I 728 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 4: saw it too, and it's like the same massive number 729 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:19,320 Speaker 4: for a Thursday night on a short week. 730 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 2: Like Mahomes does not cover this number. 731 00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:28,240 Speaker 1: It's too big, I know, And honestly, it's entirely possible 732 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:31,640 Speaker 1: the number goes higher based on what's happening today. 733 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:33,719 Speaker 3: Yeah. 734 00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,759 Speaker 4: I don't know if it goes higher though, because like 735 00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,520 Speaker 4: the pros will take this again a ten and a half. 736 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:39,239 Speaker 3: Are you kidding me? 737 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:42,919 Speaker 4: This is insane. This number is insane. So we will 738 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 4: take this number and we will lose this every time. 739 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 3: Chat. It's just it's it's truly history repeat itself. 740 00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:50,400 Speaker 4: Me and Chat can't help it. The books know it. 741 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 4: The public gets fat off Mahome somehow every time it 742 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,319 Speaker 4: is a double digit favorite against Denver. I don't get it, 743 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 4: but we have to. We have to bet the stumber 744 00:34:58,600 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 4: number and I hate it. 745 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 2: Look aheadline on this with seven. 746 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,279 Speaker 3: Oh shit, yeah, so that's insane. 747 00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,960 Speaker 2: Come on, we're betting this game, all right? 748 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,880 Speaker 3: Sometimes Thank god, we can't put this in contest. 749 00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 1: Though, Oh god, no, there's no way, all right, what 750 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:21,200 Speaker 1: about Indy this week? And if I skip a game, 751 00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 1: if I get a game that, like you haven't thought 752 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,400 Speaker 1: about yet, please interrupt me. 753 00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 3: Now, I grabbed India five. It's running. 754 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,800 Speaker 4: It's already four and a half four at some books, 755 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:32,640 Speaker 4: so it's just another number I'm gonna grab now. Let 756 00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:34,839 Speaker 4: the week play out, see who the quarterback is, and 757 00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 4: if it moves against being Chad, maybe we'll get out. 758 00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 4: But I'll just take the early value here on the 759 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:42,879 Speaker 4: Colts team that you know, Chad said it like there's 760 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:44,480 Speaker 4: there's a little bit of magic to this team. They 761 00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:48,160 Speaker 4: just play really hard, They're really well coached. I don't 762 00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,200 Speaker 4: really know if the Jaguars are good at They've just 763 00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,040 Speaker 4: been in England for two weeks. Like this is just 764 00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:56,600 Speaker 4: a really strange team that I'm not going to overreact 765 00:35:56,600 --> 00:35:58,239 Speaker 4: to them beating the Bills today because a lot goes 766 00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 4: into that. The Bills just got out slow, kind of 767 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,719 Speaker 4: sawd you know, Josh Allen get it together by the 768 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:03,400 Speaker 4: second half. 769 00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:04,040 Speaker 3: But it was just too late. 770 00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:06,839 Speaker 4: So uh yeah, the grab the four and a half 771 00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,000 Speaker 4: another game. We'll just grab it now if we need 772 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:10,960 Speaker 4: to go, buy out of the position. But this is 773 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,480 Speaker 4: one of the first bets I made before you jumped 774 00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 4: on a five. 775 00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 2: All right, Well, I'm glad I'm seeing the same thing 776 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:23,719 Speaker 2: as you are. Seattle plus three, Seattle plus three, who 777 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 2: are they playing? I wrote the number down, but I forgot. 778 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 3: To playing the Bengals. 779 00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:29,520 Speaker 4: It's already gone, so we can keep it moving because 780 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:31,280 Speaker 4: I'll probably be at the Bengals at two and a half. 781 00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 4: But I got where youre coming from. I liked it 782 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:35,320 Speaker 4: at three, but it's already two and a half in 783 00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 4: a lot of books, so I might end up on Bengals. 784 00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:39,359 Speaker 4: They just they looked like they got it right today 785 00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 4: with Joe and his deep ball to Jamar Chase. 786 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:43,759 Speaker 3: Looks so much better, all right. 787 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:45,879 Speaker 1: The last one that I was looking at, which made 788 00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:47,360 Speaker 1: me sick, but I had to think about it for 789 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,480 Speaker 1: a second. New York Giants plus fourteen and a half 790 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:54,839 Speaker 1: against the Buffalo Bills. 791 00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:56,879 Speaker 3: It's the same thing with Miami last week. 792 00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 4: When do I ever take a public team double digits 793 00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 4: getting ty be's a nine percent of the tickets? 794 00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:01,879 Speaker 1: Never? 795 00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:04,279 Speaker 4: But I just did with Miami because I just felt 796 00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 4: like the line was too overrated because the Giants defense. 797 00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 4: I don't think the books have caught up to it. 798 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:10,239 Speaker 4: I don't know if I don't think they know it 799 00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 4: a great. How banged up this team is offensively and defensively, 800 00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:16,160 Speaker 4: so I can't get there. But when the hardest game 801 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 4: isn't happen with right now, we'll just touch on it 802 00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,919 Speaker 4: real quick. Yeah, is Cleveland forty nine ers? It's it's 803 00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:22,520 Speaker 4: plus three for Cleveland? 804 00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:24,319 Speaker 3: What the fuck? Like? 805 00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,319 Speaker 4: Automatically, I bet the forty nine ers heer just in 806 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 4: case they do blow out the Cowboys tonight, and this 807 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,880 Speaker 4: could easily get up to minus four. But another weird 808 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 4: number spooks the hell out of me. Just thrown a 809 00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,520 Speaker 4: little bit on the forty nine erser in case they 810 00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:42,319 Speaker 4: do win big tonight. But the strangest number, like the 811 00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,720 Speaker 4: respect they have for Cleveland right now is pretty obvious, 812 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 4: Like yes, they're they're inviting you to come in right 813 00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:49,840 Speaker 4: now and take forty nine ers, so be careful. I 814 00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:51,560 Speaker 4: know it's a sucker is better now and walking into it. 815 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,919 Speaker 4: I'm just hoping me and chatter are right about tonight 816 00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 4: fortynineers winning cover the number goes up to four, then 817 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,040 Speaker 4: I have good value. But don't be shocked if me 818 00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:01,080 Speaker 4: and Chatted up on Cleveland next week. It just it 819 00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 4: just looks like one of the games that will be 820 00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:06,200 Speaker 4: an Island taking. But this is a stinky number of 821 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:08,360 Speaker 4: minus three right now. I'll take a little bit on 822 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:09,279 Speaker 4: this forty nine ers team. 823 00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 1: It's stinks, Simon, I'm telling you right now with stinks. 824 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,440 Speaker 1: So what I missed? Did I miss any of the 825 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:17,240 Speaker 1: lines that you might have hit already? 826 00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:22,239 Speaker 3: Uh? No, one's gonna bet it. 827 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,080 Speaker 4: The only other bet I made so far is Tampa 828 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,600 Speaker 4: Bay box the plus three right now against the lines. 829 00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:29,759 Speaker 4: It's just a fade off the lines of the most 830 00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,439 Speaker 4: type team of football right now. I like to fay 831 00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 4: golf on the road after that kind of when outdoors. 832 00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 4: I fucking hate it too. I get it. You're just like, 833 00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:40,160 Speaker 4: why am I doing this right now? You can wait 834 00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,800 Speaker 4: if you want. I'm just grabbing a case the professional 835 00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:45,799 Speaker 4: money comes in on it. But Tampa, it's a it's 836 00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,319 Speaker 4: a nice home dog spot to fade this Lions team. 837 00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:49,440 Speaker 3: So it sucks. 838 00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:50,839 Speaker 4: I hate that we got to do it, but I'm 839 00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,799 Speaker 4: taking the three right now just in case it drops down. 840 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,360 Speaker 1: No, you're right, I looked at that one and sort 841 00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,239 Speaker 1: of ran over it and had I had that's hard. 842 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:04,799 Speaker 1: I had ulterior motives for it, partially because preview I'm 843 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,920 Speaker 1: thinking about something with the Lions for our film session 844 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 1: for the Favorites, and I'm like, do I want to 845 00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,440 Speaker 1: be talking about a team that I might want to 846 00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 1: be betting against on that? Yea? So so I was debating, 847 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:18,919 Speaker 1: like where am I going to land? 848 00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 2: So I wanted to figure that out. I want to 849 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:22,799 Speaker 2: figure that out first all. 850 00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 3: I think it's going to go up. Honesty, I think 851 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,080 Speaker 3: I'll go three and a half four if you want 852 00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:27,359 Speaker 3: to wait. 853 00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:30,279 Speaker 1: But I do want to wait. I mean, I liked 854 00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:31,879 Speaker 1: the bucks here and I feel I just. 855 00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 3: Want people to understand that's a game we're probably going 856 00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 3: to be on. 857 00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:38,839 Speaker 1: Yes, I one hundred percent agree, totally agree. All right, 858 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:42,200 Speaker 1: So just to be clear, we hit the Titans that 859 00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:47,720 Speaker 1: was about four and a half, actually four running Denver, 860 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 1: we hit a plus ten and a half, even though 861 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:51,759 Speaker 1: we know we're going to get killed, just for a 862 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:56,799 Speaker 1: little taste. Don't listen, it's Sunday night, don't overload. This 863 00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 1: is about getting the best of the number, right, and 864 00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:03,200 Speaker 1: we're like, just know that you might have to play 865 00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 1: ugly numbers sometimes and we bet. 866 00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,400 Speaker 4: And sometimes it doesn't even matter, Like Chad didn't get it, 867 00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:10,440 Speaker 4: but I was on Arizona plus four and a half. 868 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 4: I played back small in the Bengals of two and 869 00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:14,839 Speaker 4: a half, but like my real bet was Cardinals four 870 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,840 Speaker 4: and a half, had a great number, felt great all week, 871 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,799 Speaker 4: got smashed. So it's like sometimes it doesn't matter if 872 00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:21,920 Speaker 4: you get the best number. 873 00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 1: Right, and we like Indie plus five. I'm actually seeing 874 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:27,960 Speaker 1: some five and a half's out there, simon. So if 875 00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 1: you can get it, get it. 876 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:35,160 Speaker 2: All right. As a reminder, the Favorite podcast is presented 877 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,120 Speaker 2: by Bet three six five. 878 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you 879 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,600 Speaker 1: get more boosts with them than with anyone else. Every 880 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,400 Speaker 1: day they power up the odds on hundreds of bets 881 00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:48,719 Speaker 1: to give you a chance to win more. Bet three 882 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 1: six y five boosts specific markets, your winnings and even parlays, 883 00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 1: and they don't stop there. Keep an eye out for 884 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 1: their biggest and best odds with the incredible super boost. 885 00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,719 Speaker 1: Check the boosts and see why it's never ordinary at 886 00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one and over 887 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,520 Speaker 1: in states, also eighteen and over in Kentucky and present 888 00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 1: in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling 889 00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:21,520 Speaker 1: problem Call one eight hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, 890 00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:25,320 Speaker 1: and Virginia, or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. 891 00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:30,320 Speaker 1: Terms and conditions and restrictions apply. Catch our next episode 892 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:34,480 Speaker 1: live on Tuesday one five pm Eastern on Action Network 893 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:38,680 Speaker 1: YouTube channel and on app on amp, covering the entire 894 00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:45,040 Speaker 1: NFL Week six board. Download us from Apple, podcasts from 895 00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 1: Spotify wherever you get your podcasts, Rate review, subscribe, weve 896 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,520 Speaker 1: us five stars. State whatever you want. For Simon Hunter, 897 00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:56,239 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. We will see you on Tuesday. 898 00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:57,239 Speaker 1: Love you. 899 00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,359 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 900 00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,560 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 901 00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,520 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 902 00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:15,400 Speaker 1: hundred gambler