WEBVTT - Calamos’ Kaufman, O’Donohue Spotlight Buffer ETFs

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Inside Active, a podcast about active managers that

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<v Speaker 1>goes beyond sound bites and headlines and looks steeper into

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<v Speaker 1>their processes, challenges, and philosophies and security selection. I'm David Cohne,

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<v Speaker 1>i lead Mutual fund and Active Research at Bloomberg Intelligence. Today.

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<v Speaker 1>My cost is James Seyffert, ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. James,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining me today.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, thanks for having me, David, happy to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>So in the ETF midyear Outlook, there was a section

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<v Speaker 1>on ETF issuers flocking to vaneguard free zones to snag

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<v Speaker 1>growth and revenue. One section is on buffer ETFs. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you explain what a buffer ETF is and why they're

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<v Speaker 1>called boomer candy?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean it's arguably one of, if not.

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<v Speaker 3>The fastest growing areas of the ETF market in the US. Specifically, Really,

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<v Speaker 3>anything that was providing income and with some sort of

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<v Speaker 3>downside to volatility, decreasing volatility while capturing some sort of

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<v Speaker 3>upside is doing really well.

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<v Speaker 2>And buffers are a subset of that.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, So within buffers, you what they use is they

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<v Speaker 3>use derivatives to either completely diminish the downside over a

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<v Speaker 3>specified time period, so over a year. So if you're

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<v Speaker 3>investing the SMB of five hundred the queues you name it,

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<v Speaker 3>essentially it's going to give you some sort of protection

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<v Speaker 3>on the downside by selling derivatives or buying derivatives, and

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<v Speaker 3>they're gonna sell derivatives on the upside, basically going to

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<v Speaker 3>cap your exposure. So what they're doing is they're going

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<v Speaker 3>to protect you at some to some level and downside

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<v Speaker 3>in some cases to one hundred percent of your downside

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<v Speaker 3>over a given time period. But in order to do that,

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<v Speaker 3>you're going to have capped upside, so say nine percent

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<v Speaker 3>right now in the current interest rate and environment. Well

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<v Speaker 3>we can get into some of the more fine details there,

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<v Speaker 3>but essentially what it's due if you're in an investor,

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<v Speaker 3>you're protecting yourself a little bit and getting the upside.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe not the full upside, but it still looks pretty

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<v Speaker 3>good and it's very defined. So this is very synonymous

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<v Speaker 3>with like covered call products, where people are selling options

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<v Speaker 3>on the overs on the upside in order to get

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<v Speaker 3>income from selling those derivatives, and basically you're going to

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<v Speaker 3>get decreased fall that income is going to protect you

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<v Speaker 3>a little on the downside, but you don't know exactly

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<v Speaker 3>how that's going to play out. With these buffer products,

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<v Speaker 3>it's a lot more defined. And boomers, we say boomer

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<v Speaker 3>candy because the people who are retired, that people are

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<v Speaker 3>entering retirement, really care about that income piece and that

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<v Speaker 3>downside protection and this is just like.

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<v Speaker 2>It speaks to them very very well.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's why things are selling very well, particularly for

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<v Speaker 3>people who maybe are scared to go in the market

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<v Speaker 3>fully don't want to take risk of full volatile of

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<v Speaker 3>volatility of the stock market.

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<v Speaker 2>This kind of speaks to them well.

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<v Speaker 1>Speaking of buffer ETFs, we have Matt Kaufman, head of

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<v Speaker 1>ETFs for Kalamos, and David o'donahue, co head of Alternative

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<v Speaker 1>Strategies and head portfolio manager for the al the most

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<v Speaker 1>structured protection ETFs with us. Matt Dave, thanks for coming

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast.

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<v Speaker 4>Thanks for having us.

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<v Speaker 2>Good to be here.

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<v Speaker 5>Thanks, good to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>Well let's start with Matt. Can you tell us how

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<v Speaker 1>you got your start in ETFs and what it was

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<v Speaker 1>like in the beginning years of the ETF.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure, yeah, happy to I started my ETF career at

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<v Speaker 4>power Shares in the early days. The interesting story there is.

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<v Speaker 4>Your power Shares got its exemptive relief from a we'll

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<v Speaker 4>say an unnamed Chicago based asset manager who had one

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<v Speaker 4>of the only exemptive reliefs in the country.

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<v Speaker 2>At the time.

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<v Speaker 4>There were only a few out there that the SEC

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<v Speaker 4>had granted. I think the statement that they had made

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<v Speaker 4>was they thought all the good indexes were taken. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>the S and P five hundred was taken, the NASDAQ

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<v Speaker 4>one hundred was was an ETF, and so the diamonds

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<v Speaker 4>was out there, and so they didn't think there was

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<v Speaker 4>much more room for growth in the ETF space. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>I say that kind of jokingly, but you know, the

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<v Speaker 4>same is true here today. There's still a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>innovation that can be had in the ETF world. But

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<v Speaker 4>you know, when I was at power Shares there we

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<v Speaker 4>launched well over one hundred ETFs building out the smart

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<v Speaker 4>beta et F space. Most of the products were all

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<v Speaker 4>market cap weighted back then, and so we were delivering

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<v Speaker 4>smart beta type ETFs, delivering thematic ETFs, you know, bringing

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<v Speaker 4>some of the first ETFs to market to bring access

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<v Speaker 4>to spaces that investors just couldn't get get a hold of.

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<v Speaker 4>But the ETF rapper really served to deliver that. So

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<v Speaker 4>that's that's really where I cut my teeth, and ETFs

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<v Speaker 4>learned a lot, you know about launching product, marketing products

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<v Speaker 4>and working with financial advisors. It was a phenomenal opportunity.

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<v Speaker 4>And then you know, power Shares sold to Investo, a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of the partners retired, and I went over to

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<v Speaker 4>an actual real consulting firm, which you know was you know,

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<v Speaker 4>not in ETFs whatsoever. But you know, we learned a

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<v Speaker 4>lot about risk management there, which we can touch on,

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<v Speaker 4>but you' I'll stop there and pass it back over

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<v Speaker 4>to you.

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<v Speaker 1>Well that was great, now, David's your turn.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah. You know, I got started in the business and

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<v Speaker 5>interested investing in college. I was a finance major, and

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<v Speaker 5>like a lot of eighteen to twenty twenty two year olds,

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<v Speaker 5>I had no idea what that actually meant and what

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<v Speaker 5>to do with it. But I was lucky enough to

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<v Speaker 5>get a job offer from a hedge fund that specialized

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<v Speaker 5>in convert arb, which I think I had you know,

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<v Speaker 5>one page and one book and one class about up

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<v Speaker 5>until that point. But you know, it's interesting. It was

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<v Speaker 5>you know, good hedge fund, good comp you know, it

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<v Speaker 5>was actually local to where I grew up, so it

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<v Speaker 5>was a great opportunity, so I jumped at it. And

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<v Speaker 5>interesting side note to that, when I started, I accepted

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<v Speaker 5>the offer and was still in college. They sent me

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<v Speaker 5>two books to read to get up to speed, and

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<v Speaker 5>one was McMillan's book and Options, which I think is still,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, one of the go to option books. And

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<v Speaker 5>the other was John Callamos's book on Convertibles, And so

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<v Speaker 5>it was interesting. You know, it was exciting to join

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<v Speaker 5>up with Calum most years later because you know, he

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<v Speaker 5>legitimately wrote the book on convertible. But you know, convertibles

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<v Speaker 5>is kind of a blend of bonds and options, and

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<v Speaker 5>so everything that goes into valuing a bond, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>interest rates, coupons, credit spreads, and everything that goes into

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<v Speaker 5>valuing an option, you know, strike price, stock price, applied volatility,

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<v Speaker 5>interest rates again, you know, all of that comes together

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<v Speaker 5>and there's just so many moving parts, and when you

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<v Speaker 5>add in hedging and shortening stock and CDs and bond hedges,

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<v Speaker 5>there's just it's a big puzzle, you know, and trying

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<v Speaker 5>to solve for the inefficiencies. And then you know, when

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<v Speaker 5>you add in the cell side interaction and you know,

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<v Speaker 5>I spotted this opportunity. Can I find somebody that actually

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<v Speaker 5>has these bonds and while they sell them to me,

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<v Speaker 5>and can I negotiate a better price. All of that

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<v Speaker 5>was really right down the middle and kind of hooked

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<v Speaker 5>from hooked early on. And you know, I've it's been

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<v Speaker 5>the same ever since I've been I'm in my twenty

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<v Speaker 5>fourth year now running convert and option related strategies and

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<v Speaker 5>so you know, these buffer structured ETFs is kind of

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<v Speaker 5>just another step that process of making something in the

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<v Speaker 5>market I can use to move around to payoff and

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<v Speaker 5>create a structure that makes sense for people.

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<v Speaker 4>Cool.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, you know James had mentioned, you know how buffer

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<v Speaker 1>ETF's work in general, but Matt, you actually built the

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<v Speaker 1>intellectual property for defined outcome ETFs. Can you kind of

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<v Speaker 1>tell us how those work?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I had had an opportunity to have a role

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<v Speaker 4>in that. So, you know, as I went over to

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<v Speaker 4>Millman was the name of the firm, and they were

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<v Speaker 4>a large actuarial consulting firm. As I went over there,

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<v Speaker 4>it was around twenty ten, I believe, you know, interest

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<v Speaker 4>rates were remarkably low, and so what we were doing

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<v Speaker 4>was a lot of risk management strategies. We were building

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<v Speaker 4>funds that were based off of the hedging strategies that

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<v Speaker 4>we were running on the balance sheets of life insurance companies,

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<v Speaker 4>and so we saw those risk management strategies work remarkably well.

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<v Speaker 4>The interest rate environment that we were in, though, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>really forced the insurance companies to move into this risk

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<v Speaker 4>sharing model. You know, the cap rates that they could

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<v Speaker 4>deliver on a fixed indexed annuity which gives you one

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<v Speaker 4>hundred percent protection, were remarkably low. You know, that product

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<v Speaker 4>set kind of went into the grave for a while.

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<v Speaker 4>People weren't really buying fixed index annuities. The same was

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<v Speaker 4>happening on the variable annuity. The guarantees that insurance companies

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<v Speaker 4>could provide were very low because the interest rate environment

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<v Speaker 4>was low, and we saw the same instructure products with

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<v Speaker 4>the banks. You know, the cap rates were low on

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<v Speaker 4>the principle protected strategies, and so what happened and it

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<v Speaker 4>caused this move into what we would call partial principle

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<v Speaker 4>protected world in that low rate environment where instead of

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<v Speaker 4>one hundred percent protection, you know, an insurance company could

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<v Speaker 4>afford to give you something less. We could give you

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<v Speaker 4>a ten percent protection level or twenty percent protection level,

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<v Speaker 4>or you could call it a buffer, you know, ten

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<v Speaker 4>percent buffer on the S and P five hundred. Well,

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<v Speaker 4>then you could give somebody a meaningful upside cap rate.

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<v Speaker 4>And so we saw that moving through the insurance space

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<v Speaker 4>and through the banking space and really looked back. This

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<v Speaker 4>is around twenty fifteen, twenty sixteen, and we just were

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<v Speaker 4>talking one day and said, you know, you can build

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<v Speaker 4>that model very efficiently using options. We do not need

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<v Speaker 4>a balance sheet from a bank or an insurance company

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<v Speaker 4>to deliver a buffer on the S and P five hundred,

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<v Speaker 4>and so we built some intellectual property that held a

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<v Speaker 4>series of options positions that all expired on the same

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<v Speaker 4>day and could deliver the upside to a cap relative

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<v Speaker 4>to the S and P five hundred and a buffer

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<v Speaker 4>level of what we determined. And you put all those

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<v Speaker 4>in options positions, and then we developed that through a

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<v Speaker 4>series of indexes, and then we built those within unit

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<v Speaker 4>investment trusts. We built those types of strategies in annuity

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<v Speaker 4>products through variable sub accounts, and then helped build the

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<v Speaker 4>first defined outcome ETFs in the market as well. Those

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<v Speaker 4>were launched in two thousand eighteen and really set the

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<v Speaker 4>stage for the buffered ETF space. Remember we filed for

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<v Speaker 4>those products in twenty seventeen. You know, normally it's a

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<v Speaker 4>seventy five day SEC approval, you know period, and the

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<v Speaker 4>SEC will take you know, roughly thirty forty five days

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<v Speaker 4>to get back to you. They they called about two

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<v Speaker 4>hours into the filing and said, what is this. We said, oh,

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<v Speaker 4>we're replicating a structured outcome inside of an ETF And

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<v Speaker 4>they said, okay, that's what we thought you were doing.

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<v Speaker 4>We're gonna have to talk about this one, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>And it took several months back and forth to get

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<v Speaker 4>everybody comfortable with, you know, what was actually being delivered.

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<v Speaker 4>But you know, fast forward, you know, seven eight years

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<v Speaker 4>here and it's more than a fifty billion dollars space.

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<v Speaker 4>Interest rates are obviously much higher, and so I came

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<v Speaker 4>over to Calamos last year to build out the active

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<v Speaker 4>ETF business. You know, there were some SEC rule changes

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<v Speaker 4>that active ETF space is growing tremendously and so as

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<v Speaker 4>I came over, you know, we're watching that rate environment.

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<v Speaker 4>Interest rates are off of zero. You know, we're watching

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<v Speaker 4>people buy fixed index annuities again. People are trying to

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<v Speaker 4>you know, go after that five percent yield now that

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<v Speaker 4>rates are higher and their CDs and money market funds,

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<v Speaker 4>and so the space that we wanted to capture at Kalamos.

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<v Speaker 4>We didn't want to be the tenth buffer ETF provider,

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<v Speaker 4>but the capital protected ETF space, the one protection space,

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<v Speaker 4>was ripe for the taking. And so that's what where

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<v Speaker 4>we're operating in today. You know, I sat down with

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<v Speaker 4>Dave o'donna. He was one of the first people I

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<v Speaker 4>met at Calamos. I think I set up a two

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<v Speaker 4>hour meeting with Dave to talk through these you know,

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<v Speaker 4>quote buffer ETFs. He kind of super nice guy. He

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<v Speaker 4>kind of put up his hand five minutes in He's like,

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<v Speaker 4>I get it. He's like, we've been watching these. We

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<v Speaker 4>really like what what you've done. Let's roll. And so,

0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:51.199
<v Speaker 4>you know, it was a great match, you know, to

0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:54.960
<v Speaker 4>come to Calamos, you know, who's been doing risk management

0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:58.920
<v Speaker 4>for nearly fifty years. You think about John Calamos building

0:11:59.240 --> 0:12:01.960
<v Speaker 4>and writing the book on convertibles, building one of the

0:12:02.000 --> 0:12:05.840
<v Speaker 4>first convertible funds in the market, right around the same

0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:09.160
<v Speaker 4>time that options actually opened on the CBO, you know,

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:12.880
<v Speaker 4>Chicago Board Options Exchange. And so you fast forward forty

0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:16.320
<v Speaker 4>five years to today and we're still delivering risk management.

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:20.840
<v Speaker 4>We're still using options. The tools have evolved remarkably. The

0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:23.000
<v Speaker 4>flex options which we can get into you didn't exist

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.520
<v Speaker 4>till nineteen ninety three. But all that said is, you know,

0:12:25.600 --> 0:12:29.680
<v Speaker 4>Calamos was really well positioned to continue this trajectory of

0:12:29.840 --> 0:12:31.400
<v Speaker 4>risk management for investors.

0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:36.080
<v Speaker 1>So I guess this one's for Dave. How does the

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 1>structured protection strategy work in an ETF such as CPSM

0:12:41.760 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 1>or the Calamos S and P five hundred Structured at

0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 1>protection ETF?

0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:49.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's you know, at its core, it's it's simply

0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:54.400
<v Speaker 5>a product that uses a package package of options to

0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 5>create a payoff with no downside and some amount of upside.

0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.839
<v Speaker 5>You know, people people talk a lot about rising rates

0:13:01.840 --> 0:13:04.040
<v Speaker 5>and higher rates and the impact that has on fixed

0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 5>income and treasury yields, but they'd don't always think about

0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.920
<v Speaker 5>the impact that has on option pricing. You know, as

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:14.200
<v Speaker 5>I mentioned earlier, interest rates are one of the factors

0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 5>that goes in to valuing options. And you know, twenty

0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:20.959
<v Speaker 5>five basis point move here or there doesn't matter that much,

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:25.640
<v Speaker 5>but when you go from zero to five like we

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 5>did recently, it does matter a lot. And so you know,

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.200
<v Speaker 5>as Matt said, it's kind of an extension of some

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:34.800
<v Speaker 5>of the other option related strategies and hedge equity strategies

0:13:34.840 --> 0:13:37.360
<v Speaker 5>that you know we run and other people run. You know,

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 5>if we have one of our flagship funds that I

0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 5>work on as our market neutral income fund, which is

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 5>really a fixed income alternative, but it has a hedged

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.839
<v Speaker 5>equity sleeve. And so you think about the impact on

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:53.880
<v Speaker 5>rates have on option prices. When rates are higher, call

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:57.200
<v Speaker 5>prices are higher and put prices are lower. And so

0:13:57.520 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 5>you know, setting up a hedge hedging out exposure. You

0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:02.520
<v Speaker 5>can buy a put and sell a call, and that

0:14:02.559 --> 0:14:07.320
<v Speaker 5>hatches out your exposure. When you have zero interest rates,

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.720
<v Speaker 5>that put costs you more than you get for selling

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:14.440
<v Speaker 5>a call. Specifically, you mentioned you know CPSM and one

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 5>year SMP options. You know, you had to pay more

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:20.560
<v Speaker 5>for an at the money put than you'd get for

0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 5>that call. So you were paying to hedge. You know,

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 5>fast forward to five percent risk free or five and

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 5>a quarter risk free. Now you're getting paid to hatch.

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 5>That put costs you less than you're taking in for

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.080
<v Speaker 5>the call. You can actually almost buy two puts for

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 5>every call you sell, and so for our market neutral fund,

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:41.360
<v Speaker 5>which is more of the fixed income alternative. We're buying

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 5>that put, selling that call, taking the extra money as income,

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 5>and that kind of creates that steady, stable return that

0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 5>you expect out of bonds. If you move a step

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:56.440
<v Speaker 5>further to hedge equity, instead of taking that extra money,

0:14:56.640 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 5>you can use that ratio to create a positive a symmetry.

0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 5>You know right now you can actually if you buy,

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 5>you can buy point sixty five puts for every point

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 5>three to five calls you sell. And if you own

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 5>the underlying and do that, you set up a structure

0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:14.880
<v Speaker 5>where you get sixty five percent of the upside and

0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 5>only thirty five percent of the downside. And you know

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 5>that's attractive for people who want to have equity exposure,

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 5>not capped upside, and are willing to take some risk.

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 5>But then we took it another step further, and this

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 5>is where you know Matt came in. You know, this

0:15:29.520 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 5>is something we've been looking at already, is well, what

0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 5>if you want no downside? You know what can I

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:38.800
<v Speaker 5>do then? And so instead of having that thirty five

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 5>percent downside, we took that to zero. You buy full

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 5>put protection. You know what can I get you know

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 5>I can. I don't have to sell you know, one

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 5>call to pay for it. Or what what we do

0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 5>when a lot of people do is instead of selling

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:53.560
<v Speaker 5>a lower amount of at the money calls, we move

0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 5>that call strike up and it becomes you know, how

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 5>high a call strike can I sell to pay for

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 5>the cost of that put. And that's really how these work.

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:07.680
<v Speaker 5>You're taking advantage of that dynamic of option pricing where

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 5>the you know, the put costs less than the call

0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 5>and using that to create that package where you have

0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 5>full put protection. You know, we own full at the

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:18.680
<v Speaker 5>money put protection. That's how you can protect people and

0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 5>give them one hundred percent downside protection and we don't

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 5>have to sell and at the money call to pay

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 5>for that. And you know we can sell a higher

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:29.080
<v Speaker 5>you know, farther out of the money call and give

0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:32.400
<v Speaker 5>people some amount of upside. And you know that's really resonated.

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:35.440
<v Speaker 5>You know, each of those each of those structures is

0:16:35.520 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 5>leaning in. Each of those funds is leaning on that

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:40.480
<v Speaker 5>same option dynamic, but it's doing it with a different

0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 5>end use for a different investor base. And I think

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 5>you know, this has has been a natural fit, as

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 5>James mentioned, for a lot of people you know. You know,

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 5>my dad included who you know, wanted exposure to the markets,

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 5>loved being in the markets, but just was so scared

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:59.160
<v Speaker 5>of a down forty percent, you know, and he couldn't

0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 5>take that. And so you know, it fits for a

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:03.200
<v Speaker 5>lot of people, this new structure.

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:07.520
<v Speaker 3>Sticking along the lines of what you were just talking about,

0:17:07.600 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 3>can you get into a little bit more about the

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 3>of the specifics of like how that cap is determined.

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:13.159
<v Speaker 3>You talk about you have to sell the put get

0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 3>the one hundred percent, but like what factors go into

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:17.679
<v Speaker 3>determining what that cap is going to be?

0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, simplistically, as I mentioned, it's just what call,

0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 5>what how far up that strike is that we need

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 5>that we can sell to fully fund the puts. Basically

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 5>there's a little bit of extra things in there. You know,

0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:34.000
<v Speaker 5>that zero strike doesn't trade exactly at intrinsic you know,

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:35.800
<v Speaker 5>and all of that. But but basically we want to

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:39.200
<v Speaker 5>make that that package cost zero so at the end

0:17:39.200 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 5>of that one year outcome period, if the market is

0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 5>flattered down, you still have your your same investment.

0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 4>I would say. One of the ways that we explain

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:51.080
<v Speaker 4>this to our advisors who they use this analogy when

0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 4>they're talking to their clients. Just to make it really

0:17:52.920 --> 0:17:55.400
<v Speaker 4>simple for them is just to pretend like I give

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:59.359
<v Speaker 4>you one hundred dollars and then we can recreate that exposure. So,

0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 4>you know, if we one hundred dollars, we're going to

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:04.600
<v Speaker 4>take about ninety eight of those dollars to buy our

0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 4>participation layer, which will give you the upside and downside

0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:11.480
<v Speaker 4>exposure of the S and P five hundred and you know,

0:18:11.520 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 4>the technically it's a deepen the money or a near

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 4>zero strike call. Like Dave said, the next layer, we're

0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:20.440
<v Speaker 4>going to spend four dollars on an at the money

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.880
<v Speaker 4>put and so that's going to be paying off all

0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:25.440
<v Speaker 4>along the way, you know, as the market goes down.

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:28.000
<v Speaker 4>And so if you've been following along, we've spent ninety

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:32.000
<v Speaker 4>eight on your participation leg, four dollars on your put leg,

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:34.800
<v Speaker 4>so we've overspent. We've spent one oh two. And that's

0:18:34.840 --> 0:18:37.200
<v Speaker 4>where the you know, no free lunch comes into play.

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:40.520
<v Speaker 4>So to bring that back to one hundred dollars, we're

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 4>going to sell off enough upside to collect two dollars

0:18:44.359 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 4>worth of premium and whatever the out of the money

0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:49.960
<v Speaker 4>strike prices of that call that we have to sell

0:18:50.119 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 4>is to collect two dollars, determines your upside cap and

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 4>so that's where the cap comes from. So right now,

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 4>that caps you know, around eight to nine percent, depending

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 4>on the underlying re and saaset.

0:19:00.640 --> 0:19:01.160
<v Speaker 5>That you use.

0:19:01.760 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 3>So if we're at that eight to nine percent right now, like,

0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:08.120
<v Speaker 3>how will I mean everyone's expecting rates to fall? First

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 3>cuts are likely coming in September. How much of an

0:19:11.320 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 3>impact will falling interest rates have on like how high

0:19:14.680 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 3>that cap is going to be or how low that

0:19:16.359 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 3>cap is going to be?

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 4>For Yeah, Dave can check my math here, but you know,

0:19:20.000 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 4>roughly you can expect that we'll deliver about twice the

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 4>one year risk free rate. And so if rates settle

0:19:26.040 --> 0:19:28.240
<v Speaker 4>let's say long term average one year risk free rate

0:19:28.280 --> 0:19:31.080
<v Speaker 4>around three percent, you'll see a cap rate on the

0:19:31.160 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 4>SMP of around six percent, maybe a little higher for Nasdaq.

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:35.520
<v Speaker 2>And then the.

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 4>Russell has a little more volatility, but still a good

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.600
<v Speaker 4>a good dev yield, and so the Russell cap will

0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 4>be a little bit higher still, but comparing to like

0:19:44.080 --> 0:19:47.119
<v Speaker 4>your alternative, let's compare to your CD or a bond.

0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:49.719
<v Speaker 4>You know, if you bought a CD at the one

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:52.159
<v Speaker 4>year risk free rate of three percent. You're going to

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 4>collect that guaranteed three percent, but then you're going to

0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:58.600
<v Speaker 4>pay tax, you know, ordinary income tax on that three percent,

0:19:59.080 --> 0:20:01.280
<v Speaker 4>so you're three will turn and into about two percent,

0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:04.439
<v Speaker 4>depending on your tax bracket. So the opportunity would be

0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 4>to turn in that guaranteed two percent and own the upside.

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:11.640
<v Speaker 4>Tie your cash to the upside of an equity market.

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:13.639
<v Speaker 4>In this case, you get up to six percent in

0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 4>our example, but then that money grows and stays in

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.320
<v Speaker 4>the ETF. It can grow tax deferred, and then you

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:23.239
<v Speaker 4>pay long term capital gains rates at the end. So

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 4>no matter how low rates go, you're still going to

0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:29.520
<v Speaker 4>have something meaningful over the risk free rate. So if

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 4>it's a bond alternative, you're going to be your opportunity

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:35.280
<v Speaker 4>is going to be a lot more significant than just

0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:37.679
<v Speaker 4>owning that bond out right. And then if rates are

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 4>you know that three to five percent range, which is

0:20:39.440 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 4>where we're at today I think four fifties last time

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:45.760
<v Speaker 4>I checked, then you're going to have upside near the

0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 4>average historical return of the S and P five hundred.

0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 4>So it is a very good trade off there as well.

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 4>But they feel free to correct anything I think we

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:54.360
<v Speaker 4>got it there.

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:57.399
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, No, I mean I think as you mentioned, I

0:20:57.440 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 5>mean we you know, for our market neutral income fund,

0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:02.440
<v Speaker 5>we raise a ton of money when rates were zero

0:21:02.560 --> 0:21:04.880
<v Speaker 5>because people we were able to kind of consistently give

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:07.760
<v Speaker 5>a four to six percent return and you know, you forget,

0:21:07.760 --> 0:21:09.760
<v Speaker 5>but that was really in the sweet spot for a

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 5>lot of people. So I think it'll be interesting to see,

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:14.639
<v Speaker 5>you know, these products didn't exist really then, and so

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 5>if we get not that anybody's expecting to get back

0:21:16.800 --> 0:21:18.919
<v Speaker 5>down to you know, rates of zero. But you know,

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 5>if we if we really have a pullback on rates,

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:24.240
<v Speaker 5>you're going to see those caps come down, as Matt mentioned,

0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 5>But I still think it is an interesting alternative for

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 5>a lot of people. So we'll see, we'll see how

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 5>they react to that. And as Matt said, it probably

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:35.120
<v Speaker 5>transitions a little bit from more of an equity alternative

0:21:35.160 --> 0:21:36.879
<v Speaker 5>to a little bit of a fixed income alternative. But

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:40.160
<v Speaker 5>potentially when you see that come down, But but it'll

0:21:40.160 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 5>be interesting to see how that that dynamic shifts.

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:44.160
<v Speaker 2>And and what what.

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 3>So we just talked about rates, like is there anything

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:49.600
<v Speaker 3>else that's as impactful as rates and figuring out is.

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:53.720
<v Speaker 5>Implied volatility matters, and and really more specifically, skew matters,

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 5>you know, because what the volatility of that call you're

0:21:56.840 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 5>selling relative to the volatility that puts you're buying matters,

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 5>and so that will change it in generally flat skew

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 5>is a little bit better and lower ball is a

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:11.040
<v Speaker 5>little better so for creating that cap, so that that

0:22:11.080 --> 0:22:14.040
<v Speaker 5>will matter a little bit, but rates is kind of

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:16.320
<v Speaker 5>the bigger driver of it.

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 3>Great, And then how much of this is like you

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 3>just talked like you're basically going to spend those two

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:24.159
<v Speaker 3>dollars no matter what you have to do to offset that,

0:22:24.200 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 3>But like how much of that is automated? Like are

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:28.640
<v Speaker 3>you putting it out for people to bid on it?

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:30.719
<v Speaker 3>Like what is the actual process? How much of it

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:32.399
<v Speaker 3>is like passive in a way, and how much of

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:34.800
<v Speaker 3>it is like actually somebody out there actively trying to

0:22:34.800 --> 0:22:36.720
<v Speaker 3>get the best deal you can to get the highest cap.

0:22:38.080 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. I think in terms of the active ETF space,

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:47.359
<v Speaker 4>we see a lot of buffer and capital protected ETFs

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:50.480
<v Speaker 4>filed is active, and so I think the important point

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:54.600
<v Speaker 4>to note here is that if ETF filed is active,

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 4>simply means that it does not track an index, and

0:22:57.840 --> 0:23:01.680
<v Speaker 4>so a lot of these ETFs are filed as active ETFs,

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 4>but they don't track an index per se. They actually

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:08.440
<v Speaker 4>they track an underlying reference asset, and so there's a

0:23:08.560 --> 0:23:11.639
<v Speaker 4>legal framework there as far as understanding goes. But you know,

0:23:11.680 --> 0:23:14.560
<v Speaker 4>there's a lot of active ETFs that trade every single day.

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:18.880
<v Speaker 4>They're always moving around discretionarily. But for these types of ETFs,

0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 4>the goal is to deliver the upside to a cap

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 4>with a built in protection level over that one year

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:29.760
<v Speaker 4>outcome period. And so the trading happens really once a

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:33.760
<v Speaker 4>year where we enter into these options positions, those positions

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:37.159
<v Speaker 4>are set and then they trade that package all throughout

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:39.800
<v Speaker 4>the whole next year. And so as people get in

0:23:39.880 --> 0:23:42.439
<v Speaker 4>and out of those products, they can go to our

0:23:42.440 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 4>website and you can see exactly what your outcome would

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.120
<v Speaker 4>be if you were to buy today. And so we're

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 4>seeing a lot of active traders use these products. It's

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:53.960
<v Speaker 4>in a tactical or an active way to get in

0:23:54.040 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 4>and out and finding opportunities there. But as far as

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 4>the active management goes, you know, there's certainly a process

0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:04.400
<v Speaker 4>on day one to bid out that that options package

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:07.199
<v Speaker 4>get the best cap rate possible. But then once that

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:09.360
<v Speaker 4>trade is set, it really is set for the life

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:10.120
<v Speaker 4>of the product.

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:14.240
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, there's a little bit of cash management and managing

0:24:14.280 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 5>that cash drag versus you know, paying fees and a

0:24:17.440 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 5>few things we kind of have to do along the

0:24:19.119 --> 0:24:23.080
<v Speaker 5>way potentially, But the create redeemed process actually runs pretty smooth.

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:25.760
<v Speaker 5>You think about the market makers out there making markets

0:24:25.760 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 5>in it. Eventually he gets short enough that he goes

0:24:28.320 --> 0:24:33.400
<v Speaker 5>to the AP authorized participant to create more. They come

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 5>to us. It's cash creates. They give us cash, we

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:39.560
<v Speaker 5>farm out. That trade goes out to I think five

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:43.879
<v Speaker 5>different counterparties who bid on it, you know, best price

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:47.560
<v Speaker 5>gets it. The cool thing is that that trade prints

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:50.400
<v Speaker 5>at the close of the market and so those prices

0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:53.119
<v Speaker 5>are used to set the NAV for that day, which

0:24:53.160 --> 0:24:56.600
<v Speaker 5>is where how you know, what determines how much money

0:24:56.600 --> 0:24:59.359
<v Speaker 5>comes in for that create. So it all works pretty

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 5>pretty small than seamless, you know. So better prices or

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:06.360
<v Speaker 5>package on that option package isn't going to change your

0:25:06.359 --> 0:25:08.719
<v Speaker 5>cap over the course. It's just going to change your

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:11.919
<v Speaker 5>NAV and your price. So the investor doesn't really have

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.000
<v Speaker 5>to worry about any of that. All they have to

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 5>worry about is what price am I buying it at?

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:18.639
<v Speaker 5>And you know, if you're buying it a little bit

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:20.920
<v Speaker 5>above the starting price or below the starting price, that's

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:24.439
<v Speaker 5>going to change your cap and your downside protection levels.

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:27.280
<v Speaker 5>But you can make that determination for yourself, and as

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:28.880
<v Speaker 5>Matt said, you can go to our website and see

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:31.119
<v Speaker 5>exactly what you know. Here's the price and here's what

0:25:31.240 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 5>the indexes and what does that mean for me today?

0:25:34.320 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So, Matt, so we talked at the beginning like this,

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:40.160
<v Speaker 3>we refer to these types of strategies as boomer candy.

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 3>People that are retired or near retirement tend to love these.

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:45.960
<v Speaker 3>But Matt also spoke about like people using these tactically

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:48.960
<v Speaker 3>in some ways. I guess who are the end clients? Like,

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:50.760
<v Speaker 3>what can you talk about like the buckets of your

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:52.880
<v Speaker 3>what you're seeing and how these things are being used

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 3>from your point of view.

0:25:54.320 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think Eric made a great comment about boomer candy.

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:01.960
<v Speaker 4>I thought that was, you know, aptly put. We're seeing

0:26:02.000 --> 0:26:05.600
<v Speaker 4>people use this for I would call safe money, you know,

0:26:05.640 --> 0:26:09.000
<v Speaker 4>whether that's shorter term money that people might have a

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:11.879
<v Speaker 4>need for and you know, one two years out, but

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:15.360
<v Speaker 4>being able to tie their cash to the equity markets

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:19.800
<v Speaker 4>and get that upside potential with no downside risk over

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:22.119
<v Speaker 4>the outcome period, you know, opens up a lot of

0:26:22.160 --> 0:26:25.400
<v Speaker 4>doors for folks. So people who might be looking at

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:30.320
<v Speaker 4>CDs or capital protected structured notes, fixed index ainuities are

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:35.679
<v Speaker 4>looking at these products as tax advantaged alternatives. And then

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:38.880
<v Speaker 4>we're also seeing people de risk their equity exposure today

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 4>using these types of products. So if you were to

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:44.480
<v Speaker 4>move into one hundred percent protection ETF, you know, you

0:26:44.520 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 4>would obtain that one hundred percent protection, But if you

0:26:46.840 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 4>just moved a portion of your equities in, you can

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:51.880
<v Speaker 4>see how as an advisor, you can work with your

0:26:51.920 --> 0:26:55.600
<v Speaker 4>client to determine exactly how much risk do you want

0:26:55.640 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 4>to take over the next you know, six months, twelve months,

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:01.719
<v Speaker 4>whatever that is, and you can dial that in exactly.

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 4>So let's say you want to take half your equity

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 4>risk off the table. Well, now i can move half

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:11.880
<v Speaker 4>my equities into a structured protection ETF, and now I've

0:27:11.920 --> 0:27:16.119
<v Speaker 4>got fifty percent downside protection because I've moved half my

0:27:16.160 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 4>equities in, but that zero to call it nine ten

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:23.920
<v Speaker 4>percent upside, you're still going to capture one hundred percent

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:26.840
<v Speaker 4>of that move because you've got that upside to a

0:27:26.880 --> 0:27:29.640
<v Speaker 4>cap and then above the cap instead of being capped out,

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:32.640
<v Speaker 4>you're going to capture fifty percent of every move above

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:35.959
<v Speaker 4>the cap. So we're seeing advisors use this as an

0:27:35.960 --> 0:27:39.600
<v Speaker 4>equity risk management tool, portfolio risk management tool. And then

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 4>to speak, you know, directly to the Boomer Candy comment,

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:47.439
<v Speaker 4>retirees are using these in a big way. You know,

0:27:47.440 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 4>there's institutions that have similar spending mandates, like pension plans,

0:27:51.960 --> 0:27:55.600
<v Speaker 4>and so the way that retirees are using these, you know,

0:27:55.640 --> 0:27:58.719
<v Speaker 4>they have to solve for a number of risks that

0:27:58.760 --> 0:28:00.679
<v Speaker 4>they see in retirement, and a lot of them are

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 4>largely financial. There's longevity risk, you know, being able to

0:28:04.320 --> 0:28:09.879
<v Speaker 4>outpace you know, or outlive there spending. There's inflation risk,

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:13.720
<v Speaker 4>the ability to actually out earn the inflation rate is

0:28:13.760 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 4>a huge risk for retirees. You know, like folks like

0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:19.280
<v Speaker 4>us are working. We can still get pay adjustments and

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 4>you know, can help pay for ourselves. But if once

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:24.240
<v Speaker 4>you're retired, you're locked in. You might get a Social

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.800
<v Speaker 4>Security adjustment, but you've got to be in the equity

0:28:26.840 --> 0:28:29.959
<v Speaker 4>markets if you want to outpace inflation. And so this

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:34.359
<v Speaker 4>gives retirees an opportunity to outpace inflation over time, but

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:37.760
<v Speaker 4>do so with very little risk. The volatility on these

0:28:37.800 --> 0:28:40.480
<v Speaker 4>strategies is in the low single digits. It's like two

0:28:40.480 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 4>to three percent. And then the volatility piece is big

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:47.560
<v Speaker 4>for retirees. You know, if you're younger, you can afford

0:28:47.640 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 4>to wait out the storms, ride out all of the

0:28:50.200 --> 0:28:53.880
<v Speaker 4>volatility in the markets. But as you age, you know,

0:28:53.920 --> 0:28:56.840
<v Speaker 4>you shorten your time horizon. You've got to have more

0:28:56.880 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 4>safety to your money. And so this really allows or

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.920
<v Speaker 4>tirees to solve for all three of those risks in retirement.

0:29:05.760 --> 0:29:08.120
<v Speaker 2>And then along what we're talking about here.

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:10.320
<v Speaker 3>So if you're taking David, you kind of hinted at this,

0:29:10.400 --> 0:29:12.000
<v Speaker 3>you said some if rates go I think you said,

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:13.640
<v Speaker 3>if rates go down, this might become more of a

0:29:13.680 --> 0:29:16.600
<v Speaker 3>bond alternative. But if we're looking at like a sixty

0:29:16.640 --> 0:29:18.600
<v Speaker 3>forty portfolio, you gave a great example of like somebody

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:20.400
<v Speaker 3>who wants to de risk their equity side. But like,

0:29:20.640 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 3>are people actually taking this from like like I said,

0:29:23.160 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 3>in standard sixty forty? Are they taking it from the equity?

0:29:25.360 --> 0:29:27.200
<v Speaker 3>Are they taking it from the fixed income. When I

0:29:27.240 --> 0:29:29.760
<v Speaker 3>first started hearing about these like five ish years ago,

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 3>I heard some people saying, like, well, bonds are yielding

0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.240
<v Speaker 3>zero percent, So I'm basically doing this as a bond alternative.

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:38.080
<v Speaker 2>How are you seeing advisors do this?

0:29:38.160 --> 0:29:41.080
<v Speaker 3>Are they putting it in a portfolio as again like

0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:44.320
<v Speaker 3>you talked about to decrease the risk and equities? Are

0:29:44.360 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 3>they doing it to juice up their fixed income? Are

0:29:46.360 --> 0:29:48.560
<v Speaker 3>you seeing both like? And then how do you see

0:29:48.560 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 3>that changing if rates do go down as you were

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:51.840
<v Speaker 3>talking about before, David.

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean I think a lot of people you

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 5>know right now it's Matt probably is a better idea

0:29:58.000 --> 0:30:02.040
<v Speaker 5>of the end client, but it's it's at you know,

0:30:02.120 --> 0:30:07.320
<v Speaker 5>alternative to CDs and you know, treasuries and whatever for

0:30:07.440 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 5>the for the you know, the lower risk clients. I

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:13.920
<v Speaker 5>think at the advisor level, it's more coming out of

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 5>equity right now. It's as Matt said, people you're using

0:30:17.480 --> 0:30:19.480
<v Speaker 5>it to dial up and down risk. We had a

0:30:19.480 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 5>big call with a client who ended up being a

0:30:23.480 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 5>bigger investor in one of the series and they wanted

0:30:26.680 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 5>to make a tactical bet on that underlying index, and

0:30:30.480 --> 0:30:33.720
<v Speaker 5>but they were concerned about, you know, a bigger move

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.400
<v Speaker 5>to the downside, right, you know, having that negative skew,

0:30:36.520 --> 0:30:38.480
<v Speaker 5>like if we think it's going to go up, but

0:30:38.480 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 5>if it doesn't go up, and this really is a

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:42.880
<v Speaker 5>change of timing. We're worried about it being a bigger

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:46.040
<v Speaker 5>move down, and so they used it to tactically make

0:30:46.080 --> 0:30:48.239
<v Speaker 5>that bet. And so I think for advisors you're going

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:51.200
<v Speaker 5>to have more tactical equity uses, and then for the

0:30:51.240 --> 0:30:54.760
<v Speaker 5>retail clients you're going to have more. I just want safety,

0:30:55.200 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 5>and you know, I don't want four per As Matt said,

0:30:57.760 --> 0:31:00.640
<v Speaker 5>if you do the math on treasuries after paying ordinary

0:31:00.640 --> 0:31:03.040
<v Speaker 5>income on it, you know, and you compare that to

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 5>the potential outcome here and the tax advantages of an ETF,

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:08.520
<v Speaker 5>that's more of the trade offs I think people are

0:31:08.520 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 5>looking at on the retail side.

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:14.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. I think when interest rates we're low, you know,

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:17.440
<v Speaker 4>people struggled to use fixed income for risk management and

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:21.240
<v Speaker 4>for income purposes. The light bulb moment for a lot

0:31:21.240 --> 0:31:25.720
<v Speaker 4>of advisors is when they realize that you can use

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 4>equity growth for providing income. You know, you don't have

0:31:29.960 --> 0:31:32.040
<v Speaker 4>to just look at what's the yield number that I'm

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.960
<v Speaker 4>earning on this as far as income. But if you

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:39.720
<v Speaker 4>can use protected equities or the structured protection equity, something

0:31:39.760 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 4>with a built in protection mechanism, well, now you can

0:31:43.320 --> 0:31:47.080
<v Speaker 4>use the equity markets for risk management, because now you've

0:31:47.080 --> 0:31:49.880
<v Speaker 4>got products that can deliver the risk management you're looking for.

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:52.960
<v Speaker 4>And if you can ride that equity growth up to

0:31:53.160 --> 0:31:57.000
<v Speaker 4>nine ten percent cap and then pay yourself from that growth,

0:31:57.480 --> 0:31:59.040
<v Speaker 4>you know you're you're going to be able to do

0:31:59.120 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 4>over time a lot better than just a yield from

0:32:02.400 --> 0:32:05.320
<v Speaker 4>you know, a bond that you might get. So when

0:32:05.360 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 4>we talk to advisors, you know, it's not necessarily an

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 4>either or you know, do I take this from equity?

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:13.400
<v Speaker 4>Do I take it from fixed income? But the light

0:32:13.440 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 4>bulb moment really goes off for advisors when they realize

0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 4>they can now use, you know, more of their equity

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:22.640
<v Speaker 4>sleeve to help generate income. And it's a much more

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:25.080
<v Speaker 4>tax efficient way to do it than just to take

0:32:25.120 --> 0:32:27.760
<v Speaker 4>a take a yield coupon that's being kicked off to

0:32:27.800 --> 0:32:30.200
<v Speaker 4>you and then paying ordinary income rates on it. Here,

0:32:30.320 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 4>if you hold it for a year, then you start

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:35.240
<v Speaker 4>paying yourself from that growth. You're generally going to earn

0:32:35.720 --> 0:32:38.440
<v Speaker 4>more and you're going to be paying long term capital

0:32:38.480 --> 0:32:41.160
<v Speaker 4>gains rates, which is which is more more times than

0:32:41.200 --> 0:32:41.640
<v Speaker 4>not better.

0:32:42.640 --> 0:32:45.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. So I mean, right now, from my point of view,

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 3>for anyone listening, they're probably like all right, this sounds

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:48.720
<v Speaker 3>too good to be true, and I think there are

0:32:48.800 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 3>a few things that we should talk about like the

0:32:50.360 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 3>pros and cons here.

0:32:51.320 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 2>Like so, like what is the catch? Here?

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:55.320
<v Speaker 3>Is the catch that you're just capped and over the

0:32:55.360 --> 0:32:58.120
<v Speaker 3>long term you're definitely going to underperform. Like what other

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 3>catches are there that you would basically warn people about

0:33:01.280 --> 0:33:03.000
<v Speaker 3>when they're trying to use these products so they know

0:33:03.040 --> 0:33:04.080
<v Speaker 3>what they're getting themselves into.

0:33:05.280 --> 0:33:09.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So personally, I view this more as opportunity costs

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:12.200
<v Speaker 4>than risk. You know, these products have been in the

0:33:12.240 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 4>market for quite some time. They've withstood several tests. You know,

0:33:16.040 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 4>we had one at the beginning of August again, market

0:33:18.360 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 4>was down, you know, six percent, the structured protection ETFs,

0:33:22.920 --> 0:33:24.840
<v Speaker 4>you know, the August series was down I think eighty

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:28.760
<v Speaker 4>basis points. So that the protection is holding up even

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 4>intra period. It's not just over the outcome period. But

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:35.000
<v Speaker 4>with that at the money put you're getting protection all

0:33:35.040 --> 0:33:39.200
<v Speaker 4>along the way. So we're seeing these products work extremely well.

0:33:39.560 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 4>I think when you you know, when you're building risk

0:33:42.520 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 4>managed products, if you if you're building technology products, you

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:48.480
<v Speaker 4>can build the beta version. You know, you can put

0:33:48.520 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 4>out AI and try to generate the image of somebody's

0:33:51.360 --> 0:33:53.400
<v Speaker 4>face and the eye you know, I looks crooked and

0:33:53.440 --> 0:33:55.640
<v Speaker 4>the noses off. But it's like, Okay, I'm going to

0:33:55.680 --> 0:33:57.960
<v Speaker 4>build the next version. But like, you can't do that

0:33:58.080 --> 0:34:01.320
<v Speaker 4>with financial services products, like you have to innovate and

0:34:01.360 --> 0:34:04.080
<v Speaker 4>you have to innovate with security. And we spent a

0:34:04.120 --> 0:34:06.880
<v Speaker 4>lot of time making sure that these were built the

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:09.319
<v Speaker 4>right way, in a way that works, in a way

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:12.520
<v Speaker 4>that you know, retirees and pension plans and folks can

0:34:12.560 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 4>trust that they will work going forward. One of the

0:34:16.520 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 4>main things that help these work efficiently is the use

0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:22.080
<v Speaker 4>of the flex options. So you know, we use flex

0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:25.040
<v Speaker 4>options on some of the most liquid markets in the world,

0:34:25.160 --> 0:34:27.640
<v Speaker 4>the S and P five hundred, the Nasdaq one hundred.

0:34:27.960 --> 0:34:30.880
<v Speaker 4>We don't build these on you know, ill liquid reference

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:33.560
<v Speaker 4>assets that you know might price well or give you

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:36.120
<v Speaker 4>a good cap, but may not actually trade well in

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:40.360
<v Speaker 4>real time, And so we build these on very liquid markets.

0:34:40.719 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 4>But we use the flex space because it allows us

0:34:42.960 --> 0:34:46.480
<v Speaker 4>to customize those options. We can choose the exact strike

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:50.200
<v Speaker 4>prices that we need, the expiration, the style which we

0:34:50.239 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 4>didn't get into here, but we want them to be

0:34:52.040 --> 0:34:55.319
<v Speaker 4>European style, not American style, so they all expire on

0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:57.719
<v Speaker 4>the same day and don't get called away along the way.

0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:01.160
<v Speaker 4>So all that work has gone into this, you know,

0:35:01.280 --> 0:35:04.759
<v Speaker 4>call it eight years ago or so, and people are

0:35:04.800 --> 0:35:08.560
<v Speaker 4>benefiting from that today. So the opportunity costs in would

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:10.640
<v Speaker 4>be that you're capped out on the upside, like there

0:35:10.680 --> 0:35:12.960
<v Speaker 4>is no free lunch. We're selling that out of the

0:35:13.000 --> 0:35:16.160
<v Speaker 4>money call in order to fund the protection level. So

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:19.200
<v Speaker 4>those are the trade offs that you can think about.

0:35:19.520 --> 0:35:21.200
<v Speaker 4>But you know, as far as like, as far as

0:35:21.239 --> 0:35:25.400
<v Speaker 4>actual risks, the counterparty for these options is the Options

0:35:25.400 --> 0:35:28.960
<v Speaker 4>Clearing Corporation. It's a too big to fail organization of

0:35:29.120 --> 0:35:33.080
<v Speaker 4>financial market utility as it designated by the Dodd Frank Act,

0:35:33.120 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 4>and so the occ would need to fail for there

0:35:35.680 --> 0:35:38.360
<v Speaker 4>to be some sort of liquidity, you know, crisis in

0:35:38.400 --> 0:35:40.319
<v Speaker 4>these types of products. But Dave, I don't know if

0:35:40.360 --> 0:35:41.319
<v Speaker 4>you have anything else to add there.

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 2>No.

0:35:41.680 --> 0:35:44.480
<v Speaker 5>I think it was interesting when we first announced this, James,

0:35:44.560 --> 0:35:46.800
<v Speaker 5>and you know, there was a couple of stories about it.

0:35:46.800 --> 0:35:50.440
<v Speaker 5>It was amazing that the the comments where you know,

0:35:50.640 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 5>first was this is too good to be true. There's

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:54.680
<v Speaker 5>you know, it's got to be something hidden in there

0:35:54.719 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 5>that these guys are stealing from you, whatever it is,

0:35:57.239 --> 0:35:59.719
<v Speaker 5>and then there's the equal there's not equal, there's less

0:35:59.800 --> 0:36:01.880
<v Speaker 5>of them. But there was a people out there saying, no,

0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:04.600
<v Speaker 5>this is just a simple option trade. You know, you

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 5>could do this, and you know, and so having both

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:09.360
<v Speaker 5>of those spectrums that this is pretty simple and also

0:36:09.400 --> 0:36:11.400
<v Speaker 5>too good to be true, I thought was pretty pretty

0:36:11.440 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 5>interesting and probably a pretty good sign we were on

0:36:13.320 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 5>the right track. But really it's it's closer to the

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:20.680
<v Speaker 5>other side. I mean, there's nothing that incredibly complex about

0:36:20.680 --> 0:36:24.359
<v Speaker 5>these structures. It's just something that's really hard to do

0:36:24.480 --> 0:36:27.399
<v Speaker 5>for retail or even an advisor. You know, you need

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:30.799
<v Speaker 5>an institutional options presence. You need the ability to do

0:36:30.840 --> 0:36:32.880
<v Speaker 5>the flex contracts, you need the ability to put it

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 5>in that ETF wrapper to get all of the benefits,

0:36:36.200 --> 0:36:39.120
<v Speaker 5>tax benefits and other benefits of that. And so having

0:36:39.200 --> 0:36:41.959
<v Speaker 5>the capabilities, the institutional capabilities to put all of those

0:36:42.000 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 5>together and trade it, and the relationships to be able

0:36:45.000 --> 0:36:46.759
<v Speaker 5>to farm it out and get good pricing on that

0:36:46.880 --> 0:36:48.759
<v Speaker 5>and all of that. You know, that's something that you know,

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:52.360
<v Speaker 5>just retail and even advisors can't just can't do on

0:36:52.400 --> 0:36:55.560
<v Speaker 5>their own. But you know, it's something that we you know,

0:36:55.680 --> 0:36:59.160
<v Speaker 5>somebody with eight institutional option capabilities can do and so

0:36:59.280 --> 0:37:02.560
<v Speaker 5>you know, there's no there's no you know, inherent risks

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:05.680
<v Speaker 5>and leverage and you know, anything that's really going to

0:37:05.719 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 5>create any issues. It's it's a pretty simplistic option structure.

0:37:09.160 --> 0:37:11.640
<v Speaker 5>It's just having the ability to create that and get

0:37:11.680 --> 0:37:14.120
<v Speaker 5>pricing on that that works and all and and be

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:15.840
<v Speaker 5>able to put it in that et F rapp or

0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:19.680
<v Speaker 5>that's really you know the thing that that that we

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:22.640
<v Speaker 5>can provide that that you know people can't provide for themselves.

0:37:23.360 --> 0:37:26.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think if the OCC fails, the least.

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:29.440
<v Speaker 3>Of your concerns is going to be what happened to

0:37:29.480 --> 0:37:31.520
<v Speaker 3>the structured product structured product.

0:37:31.280 --> 0:37:32.200
<v Speaker 2>ETF I invested in.

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:33.839
<v Speaker 3>So, I mean, this is just a trend that we've

0:37:33.840 --> 0:37:35.520
<v Speaker 3>seen that a lot of a lot of ETFs and

0:37:35.520 --> 0:37:37.040
<v Speaker 3>what a lot of the growth we're seeing is it's

0:37:37.080 --> 0:37:39.319
<v Speaker 3>packaged trades. And as far as I'm concerned, this is

0:37:39.440 --> 0:37:43.040
<v Speaker 3>just etfizing structured products. And that's that's the overarching trends

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:45.400
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing with these buffer products. And the one thing

0:37:45.440 --> 0:37:48.239
<v Speaker 3>I wanted to go back to is something that Matt

0:37:48.280 --> 0:37:50.920
<v Speaker 3>said talking about the outcome period these things like they

0:37:50.920 --> 0:37:52.839
<v Speaker 3>give you a hundred percent protection over the outcome here,

0:37:52.840 --> 0:37:54.320
<v Speaker 3>and he talked about the fact that it was slightly

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:56.320
<v Speaker 3>down in August, and that's because that's not over the

0:37:56.360 --> 0:37:59.120
<v Speaker 3>full outcome period. So I think that's the that might

0:37:59.160 --> 0:38:00.840
<v Speaker 3>be another catch that people need to make sure they

0:38:00.920 --> 0:38:02.160
<v Speaker 3>understand before they go into this.

0:38:02.719 --> 0:38:04.879
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, for sure they are going to move they will

0:38:04.920 --> 0:38:07.160
<v Speaker 5>move down a little bit early. Like you said, if

0:38:07.200 --> 0:38:09.759
<v Speaker 5>you wait, If you wait, you can kind of you

0:38:09.800 --> 0:38:11.879
<v Speaker 5>will get that back, but there is a little bit

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 5>of mark to market risk. I think the interesting thing

0:38:14.400 --> 0:38:17.359
<v Speaker 5>versus structured products, though, as you mentioned, is that if

0:38:17.400 --> 0:38:20.719
<v Speaker 5>you ideally you wait for the entire outcome period, right,

0:38:20.800 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 5>that's where you're going to get that full protection. That's

0:38:22.800 --> 0:38:25.480
<v Speaker 5>where you're going to get that full cap. But you

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:28.480
<v Speaker 5>also don't have to you know, these are really liquid

0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:32.120
<v Speaker 5>and pretty tight bit das spreads, and you know, yeah,

0:38:32.200 --> 0:38:34.319
<v Speaker 5>it was down a little bit with the market down,

0:38:34.360 --> 0:38:36.200
<v Speaker 5>but you know you could get out at that point,

0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:40.120
<v Speaker 5>versus structured products, which are you know, a lot tougher

0:38:40.360 --> 0:38:42.319
<v Speaker 5>to get out and a lot less liquidity along the way.

0:38:42.360 --> 0:38:44.560
<v Speaker 5>And so I think that is you know, it's having

0:38:44.560 --> 0:38:46.520
<v Speaker 5>a little bit of that mark to market movement is

0:38:46.520 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 5>a little bit of a downside, but when you compare

0:38:48.719 --> 0:38:50.720
<v Speaker 5>it to kind of some of the other structured products,

0:38:50.719 --> 0:38:53.600
<v Speaker 5>it's the liquidity that you can get if you do

0:38:53.760 --> 0:38:57.400
<v Speaker 5>want to monetize it is still it's still more of

0:38:57.400 --> 0:38:58.319
<v Speaker 5>a pro in my mind.

0:38:58.960 --> 0:39:02.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's also way more opaque, often much higher fees.

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:04.640
<v Speaker 2>So I mean, I would say this, in my view,

0:39:04.680 --> 0:39:05.080
<v Speaker 2>this is better.

0:39:05.120 --> 0:39:07.040
<v Speaker 3>It's just you can't customize it quite as much as

0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:09.200
<v Speaker 3>you could with a structure product. That's the only the

0:39:09.560 --> 0:39:12.560
<v Speaker 3>main difference in my mind. I've asked a lot of questions,

0:39:12.600 --> 0:39:15.520
<v Speaker 3>so I'll pass it over to David the mainos to

0:39:16.000 --> 0:39:17.800
<v Speaker 3>come back and ask them more important questions.

0:39:18.360 --> 0:39:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Well, actually, you know, we're kind of hitting our time limit,

0:39:21.120 --> 0:39:23.680
<v Speaker 1>but I do have one question for the both of you.

0:39:24.480 --> 0:39:27.560
<v Speaker 1>First we'll start with Dave. Any prediction for the future

0:39:27.600 --> 0:39:28.920
<v Speaker 1>of back to ETFs.

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:32.319
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I think you know, once you get

0:39:32.360 --> 0:39:36.560
<v Speaker 5>more people comfortable with the structures, you know you're going

0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 5>to continue to see it grow. And I said, there's

0:39:38.640 --> 0:39:41.880
<v Speaker 5>still you know, the flexibility and you know the benefits

0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:45.120
<v Speaker 5>of that ETF structure, whether it's tax or just liquidity

0:39:45.200 --> 0:39:46.960
<v Speaker 5>or all the things. We kind of touched on today.

0:39:47.560 --> 0:39:50.360
<v Speaker 5>You know, it's still simpler for a lot of people

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:53.480
<v Speaker 5>to get exposure through an ETF than it is to

0:39:53.760 --> 0:39:56.160
<v Speaker 5>you know, to buy the underlying assets, whatever they may be,

0:39:56.560 --> 0:39:59.240
<v Speaker 5>or the o underlying structures, so you know, they're they're liquid,

0:39:59.280 --> 0:40:02.359
<v Speaker 5>they're low cost, they you know, have tax advantages. So

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:04.600
<v Speaker 5>I think you're going to continue to see the space grow.

0:40:05.800 --> 0:40:07.440
<v Speaker 1>How about you, Matt any predictions.

0:40:08.400 --> 0:40:11.600
<v Speaker 4>I think the future is bright, and I think the

0:40:11.640 --> 0:40:16.120
<v Speaker 4>potential is massive. You know, we talked at the beginning

0:40:16.120 --> 0:40:19.319
<v Speaker 4>of this episode about where the ETF space was in

0:40:19.360 --> 0:40:21.719
<v Speaker 4>the early two thousands. You know, it was in the

0:40:22.160 --> 0:40:24.520
<v Speaker 4>maybe a couple hundred billion in assets, and you look

0:40:24.560 --> 0:40:27.920
<v Speaker 4>at today, we're in about thirteen trillion in global assets.

0:40:28.800 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 4>It's a massive number. If you look at a mature

0:40:31.640 --> 0:40:34.840
<v Speaker 4>space like the mutual fund space, you know, there's about

0:40:34.920 --> 0:40:39.200
<v Speaker 4>thirteen trillion and passive assets and a similar number in

0:40:39.320 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 4>active assets. And then if you take that stacked bar

0:40:42.640 --> 0:40:46.560
<v Speaker 4>chart over to the ETF world, you see about let's

0:40:46.560 --> 0:40:49.760
<v Speaker 4>call it twelve and a half trillion in passive assets,

0:40:50.320 --> 0:40:53.120
<v Speaker 4>and then that active slice of that top bar is

0:40:54.160 --> 0:40:57.360
<v Speaker 4>six seven hundred billion. It's extremely small, and so I

0:40:57.400 --> 0:41:00.160
<v Speaker 4>think over the next you know, ten years, we're going

0:41:00.200 --> 0:41:02.680
<v Speaker 4>to see that five hundred billion dollar piece of that

0:41:03.200 --> 0:41:06.839
<v Speaker 4>bar grow to in my mind, probably close to ten

0:41:06.920 --> 0:41:10.280
<v Speaker 4>trillion dollars. I think it's a massive opportunity as people

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:13.560
<v Speaker 4>see the tax benefits and all of the efficiencies of

0:41:13.600 --> 0:41:17.000
<v Speaker 4>the ETF wrapper. You know, one thing to note is,

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:19.520
<v Speaker 4>you know, we didn't see a ton of outflow from

0:41:19.560 --> 0:41:21.759
<v Speaker 4>the mutual funds. I mean they're saying some, but you know,

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:24.560
<v Speaker 4>not a ton. That's still twenty six trillion dollar space,

0:41:25.160 --> 0:41:27.719
<v Speaker 4>and so I think that the the ETF space is

0:41:27.760 --> 0:41:30.360
<v Speaker 4>only going to continue to grow. And then it's in

0:41:30.440 --> 0:41:33.480
<v Speaker 4>terms of the structured you know note space and the

0:41:33.480 --> 0:41:37.360
<v Speaker 4>structured ETF space. If you look around the world, a

0:41:37.440 --> 0:41:41.640
<v Speaker 4>lot of families invest via structured products, and they do

0:41:41.760 --> 0:41:44.800
<v Speaker 4>it through the bank channels because that's how families invest

0:41:44.800 --> 0:41:46.880
<v Speaker 4>their money, and so they get put into structured products

0:41:46.920 --> 0:41:50.440
<v Speaker 4>and they're good products. But in the US, families use

0:41:50.520 --> 0:41:54.600
<v Speaker 4>financial advisors, and so we are building tools and efficient

0:41:54.640 --> 0:41:58.040
<v Speaker 4>tools that advisors are very used to using, and now

0:41:58.080 --> 0:42:02.480
<v Speaker 4>putting the structured outcome and those payoff profiles inside of

0:42:02.520 --> 0:42:06.520
<v Speaker 4>the ETF wrapper, which gives advisors access to these types

0:42:06.520 --> 0:42:08.480
<v Speaker 4>of products. And so I think again, we're in the

0:42:08.640 --> 0:42:15.279
<v Speaker 4>very early days of advisors using structured outcomes for families

0:42:15.360 --> 0:42:18.840
<v Speaker 4>in the United States. So it's a massive space globally,

0:42:19.200 --> 0:42:21.560
<v Speaker 4>and I think we're just getting started in the US.

0:42:21.960 --> 0:42:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Well, it should be exciting to watch. Matt and Dave

0:42:24.640 --> 0:42:26.759
<v Speaker 1>thank you for joining me today, and James, thank you

0:42:26.800 --> 0:42:29.440
<v Speaker 1>for being my cost until our next episode. This is

0:42:29.520 --> 0:42:31.120
<v Speaker 1>David Cohne with Inside Active