WEBVTT - U.S. Job Growth Quickens as Gain Outstrips Estimates

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg cloverl News. Well. Another story, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>driving markets today has to do with the monthly jobs

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<v Speaker 1>report for the month of October, which we got this

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<v Speaker 1>morning at eight thirty am Wall Street Time. US job

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<v Speaker 1>growth quickening as a gain of five and thirty one

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<v Speaker 1>thousand outstrips estimates, the best numbers that we've seen in months.

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<v Speaker 1>A leading voice that we like to go to each

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<v Speaker 1>and every month when we do get a job's report

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<v Speaker 1>is Becky Frankowitz, the president of Manpower Group North America.

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<v Speaker 1>Manpower Group is a workforce solutions company that sources, assesses,

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<v Speaker 1>develops and manages talent across eighty countries from more than

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<v Speaker 1>four hundred thousand clients. Becky, it's great to chat with

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<v Speaker 1>you again. Your your reaction to this morning's number. Yeah, Hi, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>So the morning really represented the beginning, the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>a reconciliation between American companies and American workers. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>a stimulus ended, Tim, Employers now realized they need to

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<v Speaker 1>move closer to what workers want to bring them back

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<v Speaker 1>in and it truly is wages plus. So the plus

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<v Speaker 1>is around flexibility, autonomy, you know, a focus on health

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<v Speaker 1>and well being, and a sense of purpose. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>but I do mean the beginning, because there are low

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<v Speaker 1>lights and highlights to this report, UM. You know, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the highlights are as you mentioned, strong numbers, particularly

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<v Speaker 1>in manufacturing. You know, the p m I has been

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<v Speaker 1>over sixty now for several months, which is great to

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<v Speaker 1>see hospitality leisure starting to bounce back, showing some signs

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<v Speaker 1>of healing. Women. Women were a headline today. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the labor force grew by hundred and four thousand people

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<v Speaker 1>entirely due to the increase in women and back into

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<v Speaker 1>the workforce, and of course wage growth. UM continues to

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<v Speaker 1>be a headline UM and and obviously leading to a

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<v Speaker 1>concern around inflation. And the low lights are really around participation.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's not where any of us would want

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<v Speaker 1>it to be. Um, it's hovering around a fifty year low,

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<v Speaker 1>and workers are are slowly trickling back. Yet there's more

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<v Speaker 1>that needs to be done to bring people back into

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<v Speaker 1>the workforce. But that's my summary. But does our idea

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<v Speaker 1>of participation have to change? Are not necessarily our metrics,

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<v Speaker 1>but what labor force participation at a full level looks like?

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<v Speaker 1>Does that have to change? Like FED chair Powell alluded

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<v Speaker 1>to earlier this week that some people who left the

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<v Speaker 1>labor force during the pandemic just aren't going to be

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<v Speaker 1>going back to the labor force. Well, what we know,

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<v Speaker 1>so I think it's a little early to tell that.

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<v Speaker 1>What we know is that we have people retiring early,

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<v Speaker 1>which I know you just you just spoke about, and

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<v Speaker 1>we have women that have left the workforce. So the

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<v Speaker 1>real question around you know, the retirees, the early ones

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<v Speaker 1>that retired on average two years early, is will we

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<v Speaker 1>see the resurgence of boomerang retire Probably not in the

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<v Speaker 1>next two or three or four months, tim, but six months,

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<v Speaker 1>twelve months, people take some time off and decide, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they're still young enough to participate. And on women, we

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<v Speaker 1>really need the sectors where women are overrepresented to come

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<v Speaker 1>back a little stronger, you know, encouraging on hospitality. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you saw education did not move in the right direction

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<v Speaker 1>this morning through government hiring. Um so lots of work

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<v Speaker 1>to do there. So I would say it's a little

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<v Speaker 1>early to talk about redefining participation because what we know

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<v Speaker 1>is we have a lot more jobs than we have people,

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<v Speaker 1>and people are what fuel are economic growth. Well, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk more about women because if we

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<v Speaker 1>look at the prime age women participation rate, it did

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<v Speaker 1>pick up last month, but only slightly. And I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>like you said, we have to see those sectors where

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<v Speaker 1>women are overrepresented come back more strongly. But I mean

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at you know, leisure and hospitality, that

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<v Speaker 1>sector did see a big pick up last month. So

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<v Speaker 1>so what's still holding back women from really re entering

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<v Speaker 1>the workforce. Yes, I think it's a couple of things.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, first you have to understand why women left,

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<v Speaker 1>and women left in part because the sectors that they

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<v Speaker 1>were overrepresented in were hit the hardest, hospitality and leisure, education, childcare, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's one they also left because we still I

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<v Speaker 1>say we because obviously I'm a woman, we still bear

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<v Speaker 1>um and and assume most of the housework, childcare, elder

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<v Speaker 1>care in our homes. And many opted out and said

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<v Speaker 1>now I'm a you know, I'm a full time worker

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<v Speaker 1>and a full time teacher. Something has to give and

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<v Speaker 1>opted out to stay home to help support the family.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I thinks as these sectors come back, and

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned hospitality and leisure, definitely encouraging numbers, but still

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<v Speaker 1>a on a very very low base. Um. But the

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<v Speaker 1>real tell is going to be can we invite women

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<v Speaker 1>back with the flexibility that they've now enjoyed as they've

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<v Speaker 1>opted into, you know, playing a different role in their

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<v Speaker 1>in their homes and families, and and that that really

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<v Speaker 1>leads to the need for employers to redefine flexibility. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not all about remote working, um, but we have to

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<v Speaker 1>to find flexibility to attract women back into the workforce. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>want to get your thoughts on the month months ahead,

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<v Speaker 1>because we are entering, you know, the holiday season when

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<v Speaker 1>you see a lot of businesses higher temporary workers just

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<v Speaker 1>for that season. And I mean there's been a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of consternation about what it's going to look like for

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<v Speaker 1>retailers because we have all these supply chain issues. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>curious what it's going to look like for those companies

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<v Speaker 1>that are trying to hire seasonal workers. Yeah, so you

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<v Speaker 1>use the word temporary, hiring temporary workers, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>would say, what is a temporary worker? These days? With

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<v Speaker 1>the quit right, you know, reaching record highs ever reported,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess in a lot of cases, a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>folks are temporary, depending on how you define it. But

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<v Speaker 1>it is something we're watching closely. And what we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>our clients do is over higher early and so we

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<v Speaker 1>started seeing, you know, job postings for three hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 1>people for a client versus the traditional one hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>fifty thousand they would go to higher and so we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen really the combination instead of thing I'm hiring for

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<v Speaker 1>seasonal workers, clients are saying I'm hiring and not putting

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<v Speaker 1>an end date on that. And so you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>real question is if you wanted to opt into the

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<v Speaker 1>flexibility and some additional income from a worker view, you

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<v Speaker 1>have more opportunities than ever before to opt into that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of workforce. And you know, I think the smart

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<v Speaker 1>companies are saying, hey, we just want to hire you.

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<v Speaker 1>You can opt in and out for the number of

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<v Speaker 1>hours and the length of assignment that you want to have.

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<v Speaker 1>And so, you know, the trick is that we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to have enough workers to support the growth we need

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<v Speaker 1>over you know, over the holidays. And you've seen all

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<v Speaker 1>the headlines around concerns not just for supply chain, but

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<v Speaker 1>for for productivity. Yeah. Look what Amazon just announced last

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<v Speaker 1>week that they might not even have a profitable quarter

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<v Speaker 1>as a result of the incentives that they'll have to

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<v Speaker 1>pay people to come in during the fourth quarter. Hey, Becky,

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<v Speaker 1>give us an idea of what you see in the

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<v Speaker 1>data from the companies that you work with at Manpower

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<v Speaker 1>and what we saw on the jobs report today when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes specifically to wage growth. Yeah, so we're definitely

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<v Speaker 1>seeing wage inflation. Um, you know, wages are table stakes now,

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<v Speaker 1>tim And it's so ironic if you go back twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four months. You know, right before the crisis, we were

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<v Speaker 1>all saying wages should be increasing based on the economic

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<v Speaker 1>principles of supply and demand, and they didn't, and and

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<v Speaker 1>they are now as you saw, we're up to four

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<v Speaker 1>point nine on a on an average twelve months basis

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<v Speaker 1>for wage increase. So we're definitely seeing wage increases. There's

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<v Speaker 1>never been a more effective strategy in moving the fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>dollar wage than in any of the movements we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>outside of this crisis. And so we've been encouraged by that. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we keep a close eye on on the

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<v Speaker 1>other costs that are going up around our workers because

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<v Speaker 1>if wages, you know, don't keep up with the inflationary

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<v Speaker 1>cost of goods, then we also have an imbalance, and

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<v Speaker 1>so that's important. But we're definitely seeing wage growth. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, another another hot sector I'll tell you going

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<v Speaker 1>forward because you said, you know, looking out what we

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<v Speaker 1>see UM. The headline of story, it's all around i T.

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<v Speaker 1>So i T demand for jobs and that knowledge worker

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<v Speaker 1>space of of i T is up thirty one year

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<v Speaker 1>on year, and and remember we've talked about this in

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<v Speaker 1>several reports. It continues to be on a high base,

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<v Speaker 1>not a low base. It's not the story of hospitality.

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<v Speaker 1>I T is the story of you know, step change

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<v Speaker 1>year over year, month over month growth and last month

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<v Speaker 1>in America, software developers overtook nurses as the number one

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<v Speaker 1>most in demand role in our country. So nurses have

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<v Speaker 1>moved to number two software developers and number one. So

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<v Speaker 1>I t you know, talent is definitely the driver's seat

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<v Speaker 1>in our country. Wow, I gotta think there's there's some

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<v Speaker 1>signal to take about, you know, the fact that we

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<v Speaker 1>are maybe getting out of this pandemic, the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>nurses happened overtaken. But I do want to take us

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<v Speaker 1>back to that labor force participation rate. Still scratching my

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<v Speaker 1>head about it, the fact that again it really hasn't

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<v Speaker 1>moved for months from sixty one point six per cent, Becky,

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<v Speaker 1>how does that start to get higher? What's going to

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<v Speaker 1>push it there? Well, again, at the end of stimulus,

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<v Speaker 1>I think American employers, you know, we're holding their breath

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<v Speaker 1>for you know, what I called the September sunrise on

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<v Speaker 1>a prior program, you know, hoping that when stimulus ended,

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<v Speaker 1>workers would come back in the workforce. Now, what of

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<v Speaker 1>course we know, is that's not happening in the rate

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<v Speaker 1>that anyone expected it too. And so if you step

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<v Speaker 1>back and say what's going on in the households of

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<v Speaker 1>of America, it truly is you know, a complex challenge.

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<v Speaker 1>It's safety and I know you just had the visor

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<v Speaker 1>CEOs speaking about vaccination rates, So it is safety. Cannot

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<v Speaker 1>go into work and be safe. It is increasing responsibilities

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<v Speaker 1>at home, which is primarily hardest hitting for women, but

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<v Speaker 1>impacting families. And it's also America's are saving and so

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<v Speaker 1>they're having the opportunity to you know, change their lifestyle,

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<v Speaker 1>move to new cities and often too different ways of working.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think our our hope should be rooted

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<v Speaker 1>around seasonal labor that you mentioned earlier, you know, coming

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<v Speaker 1>back on maybe a part time basis to invite people

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<v Speaker 1>back into the workforce and say, you know, come on in,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's actually okay. Becky Francowitz, President at Manpower Group

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<v Speaker 1>North America, joining us on the phone from Chicago. Becky,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for taking the time. Really appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. Well shebil new

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<v Speaker 1>coin craze is driving demand for a less than ideal

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<v Speaker 1>dog breed. Claire Valentine is a reporter for Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 1>She's covers markets and et f s, but I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's fair we can call her the dogdog reporter for

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<v Speaker 1>this story. She joins us on the phone from New

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<v Speaker 1>York City. Claire, First of all, I have to ask you,

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<v Speaker 1>was it trips to the dog park with your one

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<v Speaker 1>year old dog Riley that got your attention for this story?

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<v Speaker 1>It actually was. It was a combination of that and

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<v Speaker 1>then also seeing this she thedio coin just skyrocket recently,

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<v Speaker 1>and just with both of those sort of observations happening,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it just seemed like it was right for investigation.

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<v Speaker 1>And sure enough, when I talked with some breeders across

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<v Speaker 1>the country, they confirmed that people want the news now. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So what did the breeders tell you about the way

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<v Speaker 1>that people are getting in touch with them so much

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<v Speaker 1>more than in just a few months ago. Well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>so funny because some of these breeders that I called,

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<v Speaker 1>there's act she Beat You New Association of America. They're

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<v Speaker 1>all these national organizations, and these these are all like

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<v Speaker 1>hobby breeders. They you know, they're she beat You knows

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<v Speaker 1>have litters of three puppies at a time, and all

0:11:13.280 --> 0:11:16.640
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden people are finding them and are calling

0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:20.360
<v Speaker 1>them and on their waning list and and just lining

0:11:20.440 --> 0:11:24.400
<v Speaker 1>up to get these dogs. Can we talk about Sida

0:11:24.480 --> 0:11:27.960
<v Speaker 1>you news, because they're actually really cool. They're Japanese hunting dogs.

0:11:28.440 --> 0:11:30.280
<v Speaker 1>I have been really into them for a while and

0:11:30.320 --> 0:11:34.079
<v Speaker 1>I feel like does before before doughs. They're really cool,

0:11:35.760 --> 0:11:39.199
<v Speaker 1>always painfully. But you say in the headline they're less

0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:43.520
<v Speaker 1>than ideal dogs. Let's walk through that a little bit. Yeah,

0:11:43.800 --> 0:11:47.600
<v Speaker 1>So from talking with with the actual breeders and my

0:11:47.640 --> 0:11:51.840
<v Speaker 1>own personal experience, UM, I think the dogs they're they're

0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:56.960
<v Speaker 1>very cute and they're very athletic. Um they're sort of

0:11:57.000 --> 0:11:59.880
<v Speaker 1>aloof though is with the word that was used and

0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:06.400
<v Speaker 1>a bit catholic. Yeah, well you're speaking Katie's language. Okay,

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.600
<v Speaker 1>this is the dog for you. I know. I feel

0:12:10.640 --> 0:12:13.679
<v Speaker 1>like Katrick and a shiba, they would they would find

0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 1>if anyone, Yeah, if anyone hasn't seen Katie's dog, just

0:12:17.440 --> 0:12:20.000
<v Speaker 1>follow her on her cat excuse me, kat Rick, um,

0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:21.600
<v Speaker 1>just follow her on social media. I want to bring

0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 1>in Joel Webber, editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He's with

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:26.160
<v Speaker 1>us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. So Joel, we

0:12:26.200 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 1>talked about uh Claire at the dog park with Riley

0:12:30.840 --> 0:12:32.760
<v Speaker 1>and that being the genesis of this story. So when

0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:34.880
<v Speaker 1>she and the team brought it to you, did you

0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:38.079
<v Speaker 1>just say, yes, absolutely, this is exactly what we want

0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:40.920
<v Speaker 1>to say. Because I love this story. I will fact

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:44.439
<v Speaker 1>check that story and just say that it happened a

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 1>little differently. Oh okay, although I think Claire was the

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:52.600
<v Speaker 1>most perfect writer imaginable for it. But um, we we

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>look like the new thing like it's just been um,

0:12:57.200 --> 0:12:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, you can't look away from it, right, And

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:02.040
<v Speaker 1>it started with the doe interesting and then Ellen got

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.080
<v Speaker 1>his and and that mayde just kind of go, you know,

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:07.679
<v Speaker 1>is it just the craze kind of continued. I was like,

0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>it's got to be crossing over, right, And so that

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:13.200
<v Speaker 1>made me call Claire and I was like, hey, could

0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 1>you make some phone calls? And she was like, you know,

0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 1>this is my dream the side. So so thank you, Claire.

0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 1>But you know, Claire, UM, I know, I know I

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:27.360
<v Speaker 1>put the less than ideal dog breed um in the headline,

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.959
<v Speaker 1>but obviously that's in the beholder. Um, what are some

0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:35.719
<v Speaker 1>positive traits about this dog? The positive choice, I think

0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 1>is that it's it's very athletic. I mean, it can

0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:41.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're they were bred as hunting dogs, so

0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, in terms of running and just you know,

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 1>tearing it up with with other dogs like it can

0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:57.920
<v Speaker 1>be really fun. Um also see it's very conducive to memes. Yes, yes, definitely.

0:13:57.960 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's you know, it's it's all about

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 1>how you raise a dog and the training and that

0:14:03.000 --> 0:14:05.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of thing. So they're not always bad dogs, but

0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:07.560
<v Speaker 1>they do have some tendencies that could be you know,

0:14:07.600 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 1>as we say, less than ideal. So Claire, you're writing

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.520
<v Speaker 1>your story that it's not the first time that pop

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:15.360
<v Speaker 1>culture has driven the purchases of pets, and it makes

0:14:15.360 --> 0:14:18.200
<v Speaker 1>me think back to the nineties with Walt Disney's live

0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 1>action version of A hundred and one Dalmatians. Real puppies

0:14:21.040 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 1>were given as Christmas gifts, you write, a spike and

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 1>pupps at animal shelters after families realized though that dogs

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:29.640
<v Speaker 1>of this breed tend to bite and don't often like children.

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering when we'll know if this is a lasting

0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 1>trend or if we'll see some sort of similar activity

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to uh the excitement around Shiba. Well,

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 1>it could be you know, uh, many years away. I

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:46.000
<v Speaker 1>will say, you know, going off of the president for that.

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, my my dog Riley, who's a cocker Spaniel.

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 1>He's actually the second or the third cocker spaniel I've

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:54.880
<v Speaker 1>owned in my life. When I was young and I

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:58.360
<v Speaker 1>watched Lady in the Tramp um my my parents got me.

0:14:58.680 --> 0:15:03.680
<v Speaker 1>We had two cocker spaniels. So look at that. Yeah,

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:08.200
<v Speaker 1>it's a personal experience there and with you know, dogs, lifespands.

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 1>You know this, this could be with us for quite

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 1>a while. Next time we bring that into this story, Claire,

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:16.880
<v Speaker 1>Like you know, the cocker spaniel, there was like a

0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>whole other chapter to this story that I didn't know.

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 1>I was hoping you were going to say we were

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>going to bring a shiba into the studio. I mean,

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.360
<v Speaker 1>it could be arranged. Maybe I would like to say, yeah,

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>I you know. Now. The other thing I will say

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 1>here though, is that, um, you know, as long as

0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 1>we're on Mimi Dogs, do you know about the Benghazi

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:41.120
<v Speaker 1>ben JAZZI? Is that? That's it? Claire? Right, that's my

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 1>that's my up and comer for for what I think

0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:46.080
<v Speaker 1>is going to be the next meme dog is it?

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:50.920
<v Speaker 1>What is it? Curly tail hypoallergenic? Yeah, I don't think

0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 1>it has a coin yet, but you know, maybe able

0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 1>to start win this weekend. And well, you know, does

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:58.720
<v Speaker 1>it have cats? I mean, are you in the market?

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Is that know what you're saying. I live in a

0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 1>two bedroom with a cat, so and a husband. I'm

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.680
<v Speaker 1>not alone. So meanwhile, you know, we've got these coins

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 1>that are kind of going crazy. Claire, Um, what's um?

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>What's getting out to you in the on the coin world?

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:14.640
<v Speaker 1>And you know the other thing that was interesting here

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:17.760
<v Speaker 1>was that there are people who uh, you know, predated

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:23.760
<v Speaker 1>the meme moment right in terms of the Yeah, definitely.

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:26.240
<v Speaker 1>There are some people who you know who had Seba

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>unity before dodge coin was was created. And for them

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, it's it's pretty weird all of a sudden,

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 1>your your dog everywhere. Um. And one woman that I

0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>talked to, how does she the un and then later

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 1>found out about the uniw coin and thought, oh, that's

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>perfect for me. I'm going to invest in it. So

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of you know, each feed off the other. Um.

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, the Sheba new coin especially has just had

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 1>so much um, grassroots support on social media for it.

0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:00.720
<v Speaker 1>People are very into it. All. I gotta tell you

0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm you know, you're the editor. I'm missing a picture

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.959
<v Speaker 1>of Riley the cocker Spaniel in this piece. You know,

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:10.119
<v Speaker 1>I guess, I guess. There are many things that we

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:11.959
<v Speaker 1>could have added to this story, including you know, my

0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:14.520
<v Speaker 1>own story with but you know, you know, it doesn't

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:18.040
<v Speaker 1>all doesn't make the final car exactly. And again, this

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 1>is like a really fun story and like one of

0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 1>those ones that it was just like, oh, there's you know,

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:27.360
<v Speaker 1>the real market. You know, well, what's happening in crypto,

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:30.399
<v Speaker 1>but there's actually a real real market, which is the

0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.399
<v Speaker 1>crossover story of what's happening in with with this pretty

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:37.160
<v Speaker 1>a perfect story for Friday afternoon. You can read Claire's story.

0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:39.760
<v Speaker 1>It's featured in the new issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine.

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>It's available on newsstands and at Bloomberg dot com slash

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:45.480
<v Speaker 1>business Week. Joe Weber is editor of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:49.040
<v Speaker 1>joining us in the Bloomberg Interactive broker's studio. Claire Ballentine

0:17:49.040 --> 0:17:51.919
<v Speaker 1>markets and ets reporter for Bloomberg new She joined us

0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:59.199
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. This is Bloomberg

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:02.880
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:08.520
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. It's Bloomberg Business Week. Tim Stinofeck

0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:12.080
<v Speaker 1>and Katie Greifeld live in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.720
<v Speaker 1>in New York. SHARE's a Viser. I are by eight

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.440
<v Speaker 1>point seven percent right now after the company is saying

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:22.159
<v Speaker 1>that it's COVID nineteen pill reduced hospitalizations and deaths in

0:18:22.240 --> 0:18:25.439
<v Speaker 1>high risk patients by eight At the same time, we

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 1>are seeing shares of MODERNA down about as a result

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 1>of That's the big question is does this marking new

0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 1>stage in the fight against the pandemic. Well, let's ask

0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:36.800
<v Speaker 1>a voice that we go to each and every week.

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:39.680
<v Speaker 1>Dr Ian LUs Beder, clinical professor of Medicine at n

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:42.159
<v Speaker 1>y U Lane Owns Medical Center. He joins us on

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.880
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City. Dr LUs Bader, what

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:46.680
<v Speaker 1>were your thoughts when you saw this news from Viser

0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>early this morning, Happy Friday, Tim and Katie. I think

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 1>very good news. You know, certainly it's another addition to

0:18:55.760 --> 0:19:00.440
<v Speaker 1>the armamentarium. You know, we are seeing cases dropping. I

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:04.679
<v Speaker 1>do think over the next several months, uh kind of

0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:07.280
<v Speaker 1>de factor we're going to be seeing, you know, an

0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:10.639
<v Speaker 1>end of the pandemic. Maybe endemic, but the end of

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>a pandemic in the US obviously not globally. But the

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:18.880
<v Speaker 1>FISER pill is a protease inhibitor, and we use protease

0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:24.040
<v Speaker 1>inhibitors to treat HIV, usually in combination as well. Hepatitis

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:29.439
<v Speaker 1>C also in a combination pill. And in this particular study,

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 1>it showed that the FISER pill combined with one of

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:36.040
<v Speaker 1>the HIV pills that we use, ritonity Are, which is

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:39.080
<v Speaker 1>a protease inhibitor. All of these act in different ways

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:42.640
<v Speaker 1>to decrease viral replication. You know, it's very significant. They

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 1>did the study in twelve patients. There are some other

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 1>medications out there that are also encharging, some over the

0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 1>counter and not over the counter, some meta generic, I

0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:56.440
<v Speaker 1>should say. The Wall Street Journal also reported a few

0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago of a Lancet study with fluvoxamine, which is

0:19:59.840 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 1>an S s R I that also is encouraging. Not

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 1>quite as many patients in that study there were at

0:20:04.840 --> 0:20:08.000
<v Speaker 1>six patients. Here, it's about twelve patients. So I think

0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:12.000
<v Speaker 1>we're moving in the right direction with increased vaccinations, some

0:20:12.119 --> 0:20:14.600
<v Speaker 1>new anti viral so I think there's hope on the front.

0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>And so it's interesting I mean, obviously you're seeing visor

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 1>stocks searge today, but like Tim mentioned, you're seeing Maderna

0:20:20.600 --> 0:20:24.280
<v Speaker 1>shares down at the moment. And some of the logic

0:20:24.560 --> 0:20:27.400
<v Speaker 1>there that's been offered is that there's a pill available,

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:32.359
<v Speaker 1>people are less likely to get the vaccine in shot form.

0:20:32.840 --> 0:20:36.920
<v Speaker 1>H does that logic cold water with you? Well, Maderna

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 1>has a very deep field, you know, the the messenger

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 1>RNA vaccines are going to be used for many things.

0:20:43.640 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 1>Cancer virus is a huge number of things. So Maderna,

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 1>in my opinion as his visor, is a great company.

0:20:49.680 --> 0:20:52.880
<v Speaker 1>So I wouldn't get too excited one way or another. Um,

0:20:53.040 --> 0:20:56.760
<v Speaker 1>the reality is percent of people over sixty five have

0:20:56.840 --> 0:21:01.119
<v Speaker 1>received at least one dose of the vaccine. Fully vaccinated

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:05.960
<v Speaker 1>is of people sixty five and older, and for twelve

0:21:06.000 --> 0:21:10.160
<v Speaker 1>and older fully vaccinated, it's about six. So between natural

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 1>immunity from the forty six million cases of COVID in

0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:17.760
<v Speaker 1>the US plus vaccines. UM, I'm not sure how many

0:21:17.840 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 1>people in the US are going to need those anti

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 1>viral pills, but it doesn't matter. There's going to be

0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 1>a new pandemic. There's going to be a new virus.

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:29.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, all of this will be helpful. How much

0:21:29.160 --> 0:21:31.880
<v Speaker 1>we're really going to be using these anti viral pills

0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 1>in the next month. Uh, I don't think it's going

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 1>to be great, but it is useful to have. Certainly,

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world is going to be struggling

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:43.159
<v Speaker 1>with COVID and these may be useful against other viruses

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:45.960
<v Speaker 1>or other viruses that we deal with now epstein bar

0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>appatitis C. You know, we have to explore where else

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.960
<v Speaker 1>it will be used. So even if it's not going

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:54.879
<v Speaker 1>to be treating a lot of people in the US,

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:59.640
<v Speaker 1>there's potential worldwide. That is a really good coin. Dr

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 1>Spader and I do wonder how we get to a

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 1>level where the pandemic becomes endemic in the United States

0:22:05.760 --> 0:22:08.000
<v Speaker 1>while still a pandemic outside of the United States, and

0:22:08.000 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 1>other variants could pop up exactly good point tim as

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 1>as usually you're on the case. We don't know. Uh. Certainly,

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll have some protection in the US, both

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:24.080
<v Speaker 1>unfortunately from infection and natural immunity as well as the vaccinations.

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 1>But there is theoretically, Look, we're seeing breakthrough. You know,

0:22:27.080 --> 0:22:32.640
<v Speaker 1>we're giving alpha shops for a delta virus, and there

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:35.879
<v Speaker 1>could be another mutation as long as billions of people

0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:39.560
<v Speaker 1>have yet to be infected. There is that potential for

0:22:40.000 --> 0:22:42.679
<v Speaker 1>a new strain coming up. You know, we'll have to

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:45.360
<v Speaker 1>see what happens. Hopefully that won't be the case, and

0:22:45.440 --> 0:22:49.360
<v Speaker 1>hopefully we will have some protection both from the vaccine

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:52.879
<v Speaker 1>and or natural immunity, but we don't really know. And

0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:57.159
<v Speaker 1>so former FDI Commissioner Scott Gottlie told c NBC this

0:22:57.200 --> 0:23:00.639
<v Speaker 1>morning that you know, with these new treatments, you could

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 1>see the pandemic end in the US by January. Curious

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 1>to hear your perspective on that, whether that's a realistic

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>timeline and also what does the pandemic ending actually look like.

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:14.040
<v Speaker 1>And we should know he is on the board of FISER.

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:19.600
<v Speaker 1>That's important. Yeah, right right, No, no invested interests there. Um,

0:23:19.680 --> 0:23:22.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think just statistically we're seeing more vaccinations,

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:26.359
<v Speaker 1>unfortunately some more infections, and I think we will be

0:23:26.400 --> 0:23:29.480
<v Speaker 1>one way or another headed towards um kind of de

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:33.760
<v Speaker 1>facto close to her community, somewhere in the January February range.

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:35.680
<v Speaker 1>So I agree with him. I think in the next

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:39.119
<v Speaker 1>few months, I don't think we can pinpointed January exactly,

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 1>but somewhere in that range January February probably the latest

0:23:42.640 --> 0:23:47.040
<v Speaker 1>in March, the number of cases will be dropping really

0:23:47.080 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 1>to a very low level um, And you're right, there

0:23:50.080 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 1>may be a few spoty cases here and there, but

0:23:52.160 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 1>I think de facto, uh, it will be much much lower.

0:23:57.640 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 1>And you know, the question is do we change things,

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:01.840
<v Speaker 1>do we get rid of you know, masks, And we'll

0:24:01.880 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 1>have to figure out how much of this we carry over.

0:24:05.440 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>But I think from a psychologic point of view, people

0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:12.479
<v Speaker 1>will certainly be feeling more positive, you know, which is important.

0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Seconds lafter thirty seconds, I should say, Dr LUs Bader,

0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:18.280
<v Speaker 1>what do you think for timing for kids under the

0:24:18.359 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 1>age of five being able to get the vaccine? When

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 1>does that happen? Does it happen, especially as here in

0:24:24.320 --> 0:24:26.120
<v Speaker 1>New York and other parts of the country we did

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.919
<v Speaker 1>this week, start to see kids ages five to eleven

0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 1>get the shot. Yeah, no, I think that's happening soon.

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>Parents have to be involved in decide, you know, the

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 1>pros and cons. That's not a very high risk group

0:24:38.840 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>in terms of death and disability, but they certainly can

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:46.160
<v Speaker 1>transmit it. Um. It could be a standard in the future.

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:48.119
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we know yet. At this point. It

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:52.239
<v Speaker 1>really is an option UM, but certainly not mandatory. I

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:54.280
<v Speaker 1>think we may need to wait a little more time

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:56.159
<v Speaker 1>to just see how it works out in that group,

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 1>but certainly it's available if parents want to do it

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 1>all right. Dr In the lust Bider, clinical professor of

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:03.760
<v Speaker 1>medicine joins us each and every Friday. He's from n

0:25:03.840 --> 0:25:05.920
<v Speaker 1>y U Langones Medical Center, joining us on the phone

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>from New York City. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

0:25:11.080 --> 0:25:15.040
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messier and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

0:25:15.200 --> 0:25:19.879
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. Well, the Bloomberg Financial Innovation Summit wrapped up,

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 1>but earlier today I spoke with Zach Prince, the founder

0:25:22.560 --> 0:25:25.880
<v Speaker 1>and CEO at Block five. In this excerpt, Zach talks

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:28.840
<v Speaker 1>all about the firms bitcoin rewards credit card check it out.

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.639
<v Speaker 1>The people that are using the card are a mix

0:25:31.680 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>of cryptocurrency enthusiasts who are always looking for more ways

0:25:35.640 --> 0:25:40.560
<v Speaker 1>to earn bitcoin um and and keep growing. There you know,

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:45.120
<v Speaker 1>stack of of cryptocurrencies, but we've also seen a really

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:47.639
<v Speaker 1>interesting cohort of folks that that we refer to internally

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:51.439
<v Speaker 1>as crypto curious people. UM. These tend for us to

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:56.719
<v Speaker 1>be high earners working in the financial or technology industry. UH.

0:25:56.760 --> 0:25:58.960
<v Speaker 1>They're kind of in a U shaped geographically in the

0:25:59.040 --> 0:26:02.640
<v Speaker 1>US and in major cities on the coasts of California

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:05.960
<v Speaker 1>or the East coast or Texas or Florida. UM, they

0:26:05.960 --> 0:26:08.439
<v Speaker 1>skew younger and UH, and they spend a lot on

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:11.440
<v Speaker 1>credit cards. So you know, the average spin that we're

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 1>seeing on Block five cards right now is around five

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:17.400
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars a month. Compare that to you know, am

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:20.359
<v Speaker 1>X or Visa premium cards that are more in the

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:28.320
<v Speaker 1>two to two range per month. So we've got a young, smart, wealthy, UH,

0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:31.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, really excited consumer base. And and one of

0:26:31.400 --> 0:26:33.800
<v Speaker 1>the things we're gonna be rolling out next year that

0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm really excited about is UH is merchant offers where retailers,

0:26:38.520 --> 0:26:42.359
<v Speaker 1>UM and other types of firms that want to advertise

0:26:42.440 --> 0:26:46.800
<v Speaker 1>and promote their products to this incredibly high value UH

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:49.800
<v Speaker 1>segment of customers that use the Block five card. They'll

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:53.240
<v Speaker 1>be able to do that through offering UH incentives UM

0:26:53.320 --> 0:26:56.239
<v Speaker 1>where you know, right now the base rate is one

0:26:56.280 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent Bitcoin back on every transaction. In

0:26:59.119 --> 0:27:01.080
<v Speaker 1>your first ninety days, you're in three and a half percent.

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:03.240
<v Speaker 1>But we'll have some really citing stuff coming out early

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 1>next year, where at select merchants or you know, for

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 1>select products will get even higher raised than that. Here's

0:27:09.280 --> 0:27:10.920
<v Speaker 1>the thing, though you live in New York. I live

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>in New York. We can't actually get this card right now.

0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:15.399
<v Speaker 1>It's not available in New York. Yeah. So, so the

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:18.320
<v Speaker 1>credit card is available in in forty nine out of

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the fifty states in the US, New York is the

0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 1>only one where it's not currently available. What are the

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>conversations you're having with regulators to make it available to

0:27:27.600 --> 0:27:30.440
<v Speaker 1>New Yorkers. I imagine it's a that's an audience, that's

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a customer base you want to have. Yeah. Absolutely. UM,

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:37.639
<v Speaker 1>I can't comment too much on, uh, the the ongoing

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:39.680
<v Speaker 1>dialogue that that we're having it blocked five with a

0:27:39.760 --> 0:27:42.440
<v Speaker 1>number of regulators, uh, you know in New York. Uh

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 1>included in that. Um. But but I think we're optimistic

0:27:46.119 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 1>that the card and other products on our platform will

0:27:48.920 --> 0:27:53.160
<v Speaker 1>be available in New York sometime next year. Okay, so

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:58.760
<v Speaker 1>the first half, second half? What do you think either one?

0:27:58.960 --> 0:28:01.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm really interested in what you said about the crypto

0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:05.080
<v Speaker 1>curious who come to Block five through the rewards credit card.

0:28:05.359 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 1>Are you seeing the credit card is kind of like

0:28:07.640 --> 0:28:09.240
<v Speaker 1>a you know, for lack of a better term, a

0:28:09.320 --> 0:28:13.320
<v Speaker 1>gateway drug to get people into the Block five platform

0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:16.119
<v Speaker 1>and get people into cryptocurrency who aren't familiar with it

0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:19.400
<v Speaker 1>or don't use other platforms. Yeah. Absolutely, I mean, we

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:21.600
<v Speaker 1>we think of our kind of position in the market

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:26.240
<v Speaker 1>when compared to uh, most of the other large cryptocurrency companies,

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 1>which are exchanges. We think of ourselves as a bit

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 1>more of a wealth management type of platform, where we

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 1>want to be offering a suite of products to folks

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:36.919
<v Speaker 1>that are easy to use, that are really valuable for

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:41.360
<v Speaker 1>them to use. UM and each product can be the

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:43.560
<v Speaker 1>hook and in the first kind of acquisition of a

0:28:43.600 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>customer in and of itself. The credit card is just

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 1>the newest um iteration of that. But but yes, absolutely,

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:54.160
<v Speaker 1>the behavior that we typically see UM is someone will

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:56.680
<v Speaker 1>start with the credit card or start with our interest

0:28:56.760 --> 0:29:00.080
<v Speaker 1>account product, and then over time they'll also be trading

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.240
<v Speaker 1>or potentially taking out a loan. UH. And we really

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:06.240
<v Speaker 1>want to build that high level of engagement with our

0:29:06.280 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 1>clients and we hope that uh, you know, they'll see

0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:11.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of value out of multiple products that we

0:29:11.160 --> 0:29:13.560
<v Speaker 1>already have and products that we're launching in the future.

0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:15.479
<v Speaker 1>Be in conversations that I had with you and your

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.440
<v Speaker 1>team ahead of of this conversation today, I learned that

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 1>about five of your revenue comes from the credit card

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:25.040
<v Speaker 1>right now. How do you want that to grow? I think, um,

0:29:25.080 --> 0:29:27.320
<v Speaker 1>you know payments as a category. So the credit card

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>is our is our first product in the payments category.

0:29:30.520 --> 0:29:33.240
<v Speaker 1>We expect that to be ten to fifteen percent of

0:29:33.280 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 1>revenue by the end of next year and close tot

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:38.680
<v Speaker 1>of our overall revenue by the end of next year.

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:41.000
<v Speaker 1>By the end of next year, will likely also have

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>a debit card available UM and more payment options, especially

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>outside the US. Uh. You know, today, for our US

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:51.720
<v Speaker 1>clients they can send money to and from their bank

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 1>account and their block Fire account. But for our clients

0:29:54.480 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>outside the US, which is about thirty percent of our

0:29:57.040 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 1>client base, they're still reliant on cryptocurrent see payment rails only.

0:30:01.040 --> 0:30:04.600
<v Speaker 1>So they can send us Bitcoin, ethery um, stable coins,

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:06.520
<v Speaker 1>but but they can't send us money from their traditional

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:09.520
<v Speaker 1>bank account yet. And so payments is a big growth

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:13.600
<v Speaker 1>area for us, both in terms of products and features. Well.

0:30:13.640 --> 0:30:16.040
<v Speaker 1>That was Zach Prance, the founder and CEO at Block five,

0:30:16.120 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 1>from the Bloomberg Financial Innovation Summit. You can check out

0:30:18.600 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 1>that entire interview by going to Bloomberg Live dot com.

0:30:22.240 --> 0:30:25.520
<v Speaker 1>We talked a lot about regulation as well, Katie, because

0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the company has been in the crosshairs of regulators not

0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:29.960
<v Speaker 1>for its credit card product, although New York State it

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 1>has been, but for its interest sparing crypto account. Yeah,

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 1>and obviously that is a hot topic with regulators. I mean,

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>it's not just Block five under scrutiny right now. You

0:30:39.680 --> 0:30:42.600
<v Speaker 1>have coined based to uh, you know, really coming into

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the focus of regulators. Glad you spent a lot of

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 1>time there because I mean, every that's what everyone wants

0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to know in the crypto community and the crypto curious

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 1>what's going to happen. It seems like the US has

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:55.280
<v Speaker 1>really stepped up there. Uh, just focus on the industry

0:30:55.280 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 1>as a whole. Well, it has been remarkable to hear

0:30:57.800 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 1>how Block five has been able to capture the zeke

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:02.400
<v Speaker 1>some capture the moment, especially over the last couple of years.

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:04.360
<v Speaker 1>The companies on track this year for four hundred and

0:31:04.400 --> 0:31:08.080
<v Speaker 1>seventy five million dollars in gross revenue. The average spent

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 1>on their credit card five thousand dollars a month. Prince

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:14.080
<v Speaker 1>told me that people pay off those credit cards. They

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:17.000
<v Speaker 1>don't carry a balance. Not profitably yet though, right, not

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 1>profitably yet, getting there, getting there, all right. Yeah, it's

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:23.160
<v Speaker 1>worth between three and four billion dollars. That's the last

0:31:23.160 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 1>funding rounds a company who started like lesson five years ago.

0:31:26.000 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, crypto companies, they're so hot right now they are.

0:31:28.320 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna have more crypto later in the show with

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Michael Son and Hin at Gray Scale. In the meantime,

0:31:31.520 --> 0:31:37.960
<v Speaker 1>you're listening to Bloomberg Radio, and this is Bloomberg Business Week. Yeah,

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:40.120
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no,

0:31:40.360 --> 0:31:47.000
<v Speaker 1>this is not a toy, all right, please, I'll I

0:31:47.040 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 1>don't want to drive. Good question. This is the drive

0:31:55.960 --> 0:32:01.880
<v Speaker 1>to the Clothes on the Bloomberg Radio. It's just ten

0:32:01.920 --> 0:32:04.200
<v Speaker 1>and a half minutes away from the close of the

0:32:04.200 --> 0:32:07.280
<v Speaker 1>equity markets on this Friday, November five. Tim Stunofeck and

0:32:07.360 --> 0:32:10.880
<v Speaker 1>Kati Gratzeld live in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studios. Very

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:13.480
<v Speaker 1>pleased now to be joined by a familiar voice to

0:32:13.680 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 1>our audience. Ryan Dietrich, chief market strategist at LPL Financial,

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 1>joining us once again on the phone from Charlotte, North Carolina, Ryan,

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:23.640
<v Speaker 1>how are you, Tim? We're making new highs once again.

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:27.360
<v Speaker 1>I guess you'd say I'm gonna pretty good mood. I mean,

0:32:27.720 --> 0:32:29.840
<v Speaker 1>this is tim the seventh new all time high in

0:32:29.840 --> 0:32:31.960
<v Speaker 1>a row, assuming we closed there, which is looking like

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:35.320
<v Speaker 1>we will. This is the second time this year we've

0:32:35.320 --> 0:32:38.160
<v Speaker 1>had a seven day all time high wind streak. I

0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:42.000
<v Speaker 1>just was looking these years might sound familiar to the bowls.

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Sixty four, sixty five, and ninety seven are the only

0:32:46.560 --> 0:32:49.840
<v Speaker 1>other years in history that have seen two separate seven

0:32:49.920 --> 0:32:51.960
<v Speaker 1>day wind streaks. That all we're at all time highs.

0:32:52.040 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 1>This is just truly wait, let me make okay, So

0:32:55.760 --> 0:33:00.320
<v Speaker 1>if we finished higher today, right, we will see the

0:33:00.840 --> 0:33:03.120
<v Speaker 1>two seven day win streaks, which has only happened eight

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.600
<v Speaker 1>other times since nineteen fifty. Well, seven day win streaks

0:33:06.600 --> 0:33:08.920
<v Speaker 1>are all closed it all time highs, seven day win

0:33:08.960 --> 0:33:11.479
<v Speaker 1>streak in a row of new highs, and it happened

0:33:11.480 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 1>earlier this year, so this is the second time we've

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:15.080
<v Speaker 1>done that. So it's just, you know, there's so many

0:33:15.080 --> 0:33:16.880
<v Speaker 1>ways we can break it down, right, but that just

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:19.760
<v Speaker 1>it's just fascinating when you when you um, you see

0:33:19.760 --> 0:33:22.480
<v Speaker 1>it like that. Also, this will be the sixteenth win

0:33:22.840 --> 0:33:27.200
<v Speaker 1>winning day the past eighteen you gotta go back to May.

0:33:27.360 --> 0:33:29.560
<v Speaker 1>The last time we saw that in nineteen seventy one

0:33:29.600 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 1>before that. So just a lot of ways of saying

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 1>this is. You know, I was one of the guys

0:33:33.240 --> 0:33:35.200
<v Speaker 1>a month ago and said, you know, everybody thought about

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:37.400
<v Speaker 1>remember the rich dad poor dad guy was given all

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:39.760
<v Speaker 1>the warnings by October. We said, we just don't see it.

0:33:39.800 --> 0:33:41.640
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's a lot of strength there. Maybe Arnie

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.240
<v Speaker 1>someone better and expected there's a better mean, we thought,

0:33:44.240 --> 0:33:46.360
<v Speaker 1>But my o, my it, we are getting stretched. But

0:33:46.480 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 1>it's been a great run clearly the last you know,

0:33:48.960 --> 0:33:52.120
<v Speaker 1>several weeks here, well, Ryan's been a great run. I mean,

0:33:52.120 --> 0:33:54.360
<v Speaker 1>those are some amazing size and scopes that you just

0:33:54.600 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 1>laid out for us. I can see Tim writing them down.

0:33:56.680 --> 0:33:58.640
<v Speaker 1>But where do we go from here? Because you know

0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:02.080
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned October sees only it wasn't supposed to be

0:34:02.320 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 1>as good as it was. November tends to be pretty

0:34:05.800 --> 0:34:09.120
<v Speaker 1>good for the stock market. But if seasonals didn't hold

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:12.600
<v Speaker 1>in October, why should they in November? Yeah, Katian, interesting

0:34:12.640 --> 0:34:15.399
<v Speaker 1>about October. Um, when you live an odd number year

0:34:15.520 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>like we had, October is actually really good. What happens

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:20.799
<v Speaker 1>in an odd number year, Well nothing really because even

0:34:20.960 --> 0:34:23.839
<v Speaker 1>number years you have on elections, we were saying maybe

0:34:23.920 --> 0:34:26.399
<v Speaker 1>pre election Juter, so little strength in October made sense.

0:34:26.400 --> 0:34:28.680
<v Speaker 1>But you're right up six percent, like almost seven percent.

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:30.879
<v Speaker 1>That's a little stretch, but it is what it is.

0:34:31.160 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 1>November is the strongest month of the year, and when

0:34:33.520 --> 0:34:36.640
<v Speaker 1>you're up twenty percent for the year heading into the

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>usually strong November, it's actually never been lower going back

0:34:40.560 --> 0:34:42.720
<v Speaker 1>to World War Two, higher eight out of eight times.

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:44.719
<v Speaker 1>So let's put a bow on this. I mean, we

0:34:44.760 --> 0:34:47.440
<v Speaker 1>are stretched extremely, but what's neat about it? Those are

0:34:47.480 --> 0:34:49.719
<v Speaker 1>large caps, I mean small caps. Know everyone's bullish small

0:34:49.719 --> 0:34:52.120
<v Speaker 1>caps now, but you know, small caps with nowhere for

0:34:52.239 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 1>nine months and just broke out this week. There's a

0:34:55.120 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 1>lot of other areas that have truly mid caps just

0:34:57.280 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 1>broke out last week. So there's some areas that are saying, hey,

0:35:00.000 --> 0:35:01.719
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna take a ton for a while. Maybe small

0:35:01.719 --> 0:35:04.239
<v Speaker 1>caps take a well I'm sorry, large caps take a

0:35:04.239 --> 0:35:06.359
<v Speaker 1>well deserved break, but some of these other areas are

0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:08.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna keep it going. And that's the lifeblood of a

0:35:08.680 --> 0:35:11.880
<v Speaker 1>major secular bowl market, which we believe we're in. Different

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 1>groups get to take their turn and we think small

0:35:13.600 --> 0:35:16.440
<v Speaker 1>caps can take the turn for a while. So the question,

0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Ryan is what does this I'll tell you about where

0:35:19.560 --> 0:35:22.439
<v Speaker 1>we're going to go for the rest of the year. Yeah,

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean the rest of the year still still looks strong.

0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean again, we were extremely overstretched, yes, but again,

0:35:28.080 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, we might have a little correction, little pullback,

0:35:30.600 --> 0:35:33.359
<v Speaker 1>but again you know, November December usually strong. There's still

0:35:33.440 --> 0:35:36.280
<v Speaker 1>the tail winds of the FED and then the fiscal policy,

0:35:36.360 --> 0:35:38.600
<v Speaker 1>and and it just still looks good. And let's be honest. Okay,

0:35:38.640 --> 0:35:41.480
<v Speaker 1>what's about the market. Let's about the tommy for a second. Historically,

0:35:41.560 --> 0:35:44.800
<v Speaker 1>when you have new highs and transports and small caps

0:35:44.840 --> 0:35:48.359
<v Speaker 1>and financials, and the financial financials are flat today, yet

0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:51.040
<v Speaker 1>the tenure yields down significantly, I think that's a good thing.

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:53.840
<v Speaker 1>I think that's encouraging. I mean, these are cyclical things

0:35:53.840 --> 0:35:56.440
<v Speaker 1>that are leading us, and that's the market's way of

0:35:56.520 --> 0:35:58.439
<v Speaker 1>leading the economy. In our views, the six to nine

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:00.960
<v Speaker 1>months from now, we should have probably a lot stronger economy.

0:36:00.960 --> 0:36:03.040
<v Speaker 1>And people think we all saw that two percent GDP

0:36:03.200 --> 0:36:05.360
<v Speaker 1>print in the third quarter. That was bad, but that

0:36:05.440 --> 0:36:08.920
<v Speaker 1>was also backward looking. Stock market stan economies, better footing

0:36:08.920 --> 0:36:11.399
<v Speaker 1>than most people think here next six to nine months. Okay,

0:36:11.400 --> 0:36:13.839
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad you brought up the bond market because it's

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:16.160
<v Speaker 1>quite a move that we're seeing. I mean, the tenure

0:36:16.200 --> 0:36:19.520
<v Speaker 1>yield down eight basis points today, that's following pretty much

0:36:19.520 --> 0:36:23.600
<v Speaker 1>an eight basis point decline yesterday as well. What's going on.

0:36:23.640 --> 0:36:25.759
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm somewhat surprised to see this on a

0:36:25.800 --> 0:36:30.480
<v Speaker 1>week where the FED officially announced that yes, we are tapering. Oh,

0:36:30.480 --> 0:36:32.239
<v Speaker 1>you're right, and it's not just the US. And I'm

0:36:32.280 --> 0:36:34.400
<v Speaker 1>just looking at all the different tenure yields around the

0:36:34.400 --> 0:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>globe and they're all they're all tanking, um, you know,

0:36:37.000 --> 0:36:39.560
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's it's a unique situation. I think

0:36:39.560 --> 0:36:42.319
<v Speaker 1>it does have something to do with the central bank policy. Um,

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:44.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, in the in the past we've seen some

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:48.400
<v Speaker 1>US store squirrely, some squirrely moves after central bank decisions,

0:36:48.440 --> 0:36:51.920
<v Speaker 1>Fed interest rate decisions. But it is some somewhat perplexing

0:36:51.960 --> 0:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>with the drop in the yields were talking about, which

0:36:54.200 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 1>is yield curves in general, and it could just be um,

0:36:57.120 --> 0:36:59.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, the market is sniffing out. Okay, well, tapering

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:01.640
<v Speaker 1>is here. We don't need to readjust to what that

0:37:01.760 --> 0:37:04.160
<v Speaker 1>might mean, but to us, we're still focusing more on

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:06.719
<v Speaker 1>those earnings, which we understand a little bit more. Those

0:37:06.719 --> 0:37:09.319
<v Speaker 1>earnings were spectacular, as we all you guys have talked

0:37:09.320 --> 0:37:11.240
<v Speaker 1>to guests, talked about it. You know, over eight percent

0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of companies be came in way above expectations. Again, start

0:37:14.120 --> 0:37:16.320
<v Speaker 1>of the year, people thought spin of earnings to be

0:37:16.400 --> 0:37:18.239
<v Speaker 1>one sixty five. It's looking like it's gonna be like

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:20.280
<v Speaker 1>two oh five maybe a little more. That's like twenty

0:37:20.320 --> 0:37:23.759
<v Speaker 1>five percent higher. SMPS up about twenty for the year.

0:37:23.800 --> 0:37:27.280
<v Speaker 1>So kind of interesting how that works. Hey, I'm wondering

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:30.279
<v Speaker 1>Ryan about and you and Katie were talking about this

0:37:30.320 --> 0:37:32.799
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, but what we learned from the jobs

0:37:32.800 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 1>report today. I know earnings is what you see driving it,

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:38.799
<v Speaker 1>But do you get a better idea for the way

0:37:38.840 --> 0:37:40.840
<v Speaker 1>that the economy is recovering based on the numbers and

0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:44.080
<v Speaker 1>the revision? Yeah, I mean that the revision was nice.

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:46.080
<v Speaker 1>We all kind of assumed that after a last month

0:37:46.120 --> 0:37:48.480
<v Speaker 1>of that really low number, we assumed to be revised higher.

0:37:48.520 --> 0:37:49.960
<v Speaker 1>But I think it just makes sense in the whole

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:52.239
<v Speaker 1>idea that finally open it up, you know, a little bit,

0:37:52.280 --> 0:37:54.520
<v Speaker 1>more people are getting back to work and then things

0:37:54.600 --> 0:37:56.880
<v Speaker 1>are fairly strong and with some of the benefits that

0:37:56.920 --> 0:38:00.880
<v Speaker 1>officially ended over a month ago, approximately, people are getting

0:38:00.920 --> 0:38:03.120
<v Speaker 1>back in and then we anticial we fully anticipate the

0:38:03.120 --> 0:38:05.120
<v Speaker 1>next two months or so we should see some really

0:38:05.160 --> 0:38:07.440
<v Speaker 1>big numbers. Again, maybe we don't quit it a million

0:38:07.440 --> 0:38:09.520
<v Speaker 1>in a month, but you know, up over five hundred

0:38:09.560 --> 0:38:11.120
<v Speaker 1>thousand the next couple of months makes a lot of

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 1>sense to us. And we're still I think it's what

0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:15.040
<v Speaker 1>about four and a half million jobs away still from

0:38:15.040 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 1>where were pre pandemic. So you know, there's still that's

0:38:18.200 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 1>there's still some still still some hiring that is needed

0:38:21.640 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 1>to even get back free prandemic. This is something we've

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:25.520
<v Speaker 1>been talking about all day. Do you think those jobs

0:38:25.560 --> 0:38:28.640
<v Speaker 1>ever come back? We do, eventually, I do, But you

0:38:28.680 --> 0:38:30.480
<v Speaker 1>know what the last recession, you know how long it

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:34.080
<v Speaker 1>took seven years after the financial crisis recession for those

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 1>jobs to come back. There's one thing we've been saying

0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:37.439
<v Speaker 1>at the LFL Research to our more than our nearly

0:38:37.480 --> 0:38:40.200
<v Speaker 1>twenty thousand advisers. Don't expect these jobs to come back

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:42.879
<v Speaker 1>right away. The stock market comes back, earnings come back,

0:38:43.040 --> 0:38:46.320
<v Speaker 1>GDP comes back, but jobs historically do take a while

0:38:46.400 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 1>to come back, and they will eventually. It took seven

0:38:48.760 --> 0:38:50.359
<v Speaker 1>years last time, and I might not take that long

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:52.920
<v Speaker 1>this time, but several years could just be the playbook.

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:56.040
<v Speaker 1>And right, it's interesting to see bringing it back to

0:38:56.080 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the bond market. I lived there. Uh, interesting to see.

0:38:59.760 --> 0:39:03.480
<v Speaker 1>So clickles break Apart from yields today, I mean, obviously

0:39:03.520 --> 0:39:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the Fiser pill news really boosting some of those cyclical

0:39:06.719 --> 0:39:09.520
<v Speaker 1>sectors and the Russell two thousand, But how long can

0:39:09.560 --> 0:39:13.560
<v Speaker 1>that dynamic last? Does do yields have to rise? Or

0:39:13.760 --> 0:39:15.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, is this cyclical boost that we're seeing today

0:39:15.960 --> 0:39:19.040
<v Speaker 1>going to fade? No, we would say the cyclical boost

0:39:19.160 --> 0:39:21.719
<v Speaker 1>is not going to fade. I mean you mentioned, you know,

0:39:21.800 --> 0:39:23.960
<v Speaker 1>just the economy in general, we think is getting stronger.

0:39:23.960 --> 0:39:26.680
<v Speaker 1>That helps cyclicals, the Fiser news subcyclicals. I see small

0:39:26.719 --> 0:39:29.160
<v Speaker 1>caps once again up over two percent. Feel like almost

0:39:29.160 --> 0:39:30.920
<v Speaker 1>every day this week they've been up over two percent.

0:39:31.000 --> 0:39:32.560
<v Speaker 1>I know they haven't been, but it feels like that.

0:39:32.760 --> 0:39:35.000
<v Speaker 1>And let's not forget taxes. Right a year ago, right now,

0:39:35.040 --> 0:39:37.520
<v Speaker 1>after the election, most of us would have assumed we'd

0:39:37.520 --> 0:39:39.960
<v Speaker 1>have significantly higher taxes this time a year ago or

0:39:39.960 --> 0:39:42.200
<v Speaker 1>a year later, and here we are, we know more

0:39:42.239 --> 0:39:44.440
<v Speaker 1>spendings coming. But you know, likely we're gonna have much

0:39:44.480 --> 0:39:47.200
<v Speaker 1>lower taxes than we expected. And who does that benefit

0:39:47.239 --> 0:39:49.680
<v Speaker 1>more than anybody? The small caps. Small caps do not

0:39:49.760 --> 0:39:52.280
<v Speaker 1>like higher taxes. And now taxes are, you know, lower

0:39:52.320 --> 0:39:55.120
<v Speaker 1>than what the market anticipated just this time two months ago.

0:39:55.239 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Let's be honest, and that's another tale. And for those

0:39:57.600 --> 0:40:02.400
<v Speaker 1>cyclical areas, specifically small caps. Ryan Dietrich, chief market strategist

0:40:02.440 --> 0:40:05.080
<v Speaker 1>at LPL Financial, He joins us on the phone from Charlotte,

0:40:05.120 --> 0:40:07.960
<v Speaker 1>North Carolina. Ryan, always great to chat with you. Thank

0:40:08.000 --> 0:40:11.280
<v Speaker 1>you so much for taking the time. Thanks for listening

0:40:11.320 --> 0:40:14.799
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:17.040
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com. And you can also listen to

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:19.640
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0:40:19.760 --> 0:40:22.520
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