1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: If you're trying to understand prices in today's day and age, 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: you have to understand both markets and politics because the 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: undercurrents are systemic, whether it comes to energy, electricity, natural gas, oil, 4 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 1: we're talking about bitcoin, even gold today, they're being driven 5 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: by more than just market factors and understand this is 6 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 1: the key to surviving this. Today, I'm sitting down with 7 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: Marty Benn. He is the host of TFTC. He's been 8 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 1: creating content for over a decade on the financial markets, 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: in the bitcoin space and the energy sector, and we're 10 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: going to dive deep into all of things happening around gold, 11 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:37,840 Speaker 1: around bitcoin, around energy, around prices and the system that's 12 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: pushing the prices. So it's a great conversation with Marty, 13 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: one I've been looking forward to for a really long time. 14 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: So let's got to just jump right into it, all right, Marty, 15 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: thanks for joining today. Good to see you. I want 16 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: to start with something tangible, So we were just talking 17 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 1: about a chart that Chi Moth had posted on Twitter. Today, 18 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: I'll have my producer put it up on the screen, 19 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: and they showed how some states are pain way more 20 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,319 Speaker 1: for the same basic inputs. So when you think about it, 21 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: from like a system's explanation. I mean he's showing red 22 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: versus blue, But like, what do you think about policy 23 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: mechanisms that drive these prices? 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 2: I think, I mean, just looking at the chart, I 25 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 2: have it up in my another monitor here. Obviously, California 26 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 2: dark blue, New York darkish blue, Massachusetts connectic and New 27 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 2: England very blue. And I'll ask in Hawaii, I'll give 28 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: them a break because they're relatively remote areas, but it's 29 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 2: really I mean state regulations. I know New York especially, 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 2: I mean they have the double whammy where they have 31 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: incredible resources under the ground in natural natural gas, but 32 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 2: they refuse to allow industry to drill for it and 33 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: pipe it to where it could be turned into electricity. 34 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 2: They famously shut down the Indian Point nuclear facility that 35 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: was on the Hudson, which was providing reliable electricity to 36 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: Manhattan for decades. Yeah, I think it all comes down 37 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: to policy. And obviously in California, I mean, you have 38 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,359 Speaker 2: a situation where you're not allowed to use coal power. 39 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 2: You have abundant oil and gas resources under the earth 40 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: in that state too, but it's really hard to get 41 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 2: drilling permits and build it to market. So it's a 42 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 2: state manufactured high energy prices because they won't let the 43 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 2: free market actually flourish. 44 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's hard. It's hard not to make 45 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: it a political conversation when you can see the demarcation 46 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: of the political lines so apparent like this in the 47 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: in this case, yeah, in California. Here in Orange County, 48 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: I mean like Huntington Beach, Surf City, USA, Like there's 49 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 1: still oil rigs, Like you drive around and they still 50 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: have oil rigs pumping, but it's all pretty much been 51 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: driven out of the state. It's crazy. 52 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:51,239 Speaker 2: I've got a friend, Mike, Mike Umbro who's in California. 53 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 2: I free out Watch County, but he's been trying to 54 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 2: get a drilling permit for oil for i think the 55 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: better part of a decade now, and they're making him 56 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 2: run all these like lizard surveys and nonsensical ecological permitting 57 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 2: requirements that make it impossible to actually tap into your resources. 58 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's crazy. I watched part of Trump's address to 59 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:13,839 Speaker 1: Davos yesterday. I don't know how much you got through 60 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 1: on that, or if at all, but he was talking 61 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 1: about how he's driving gas prices down across the country. 62 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: And he thinks he'll get him below two dollars a gallon, 63 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 1: you know, like he did, he said, like in his 64 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: first term. But here in California you see like six 65 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: dollars seven dollars gas in some places. So it's like, 66 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: from a federal standpoint, if we if we have more 67 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: oil and we have more natural gas, you would expect 68 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: the prices to come down, and we're producing more oil 69 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: and gas than ever before. But in California and natural 70 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: gas prices are up like four or five times. 71 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's funny, Mike Umbros, he's trying to drill 72 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 2: in Kern County and now being refreshed of like conversation 73 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 2: in California, especially as it's frustrating because you have all 74 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 2: those good oil and gas resources under the air there 75 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 2: and the inability to actually tap into those is driving 76 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: the state of California to import oil and gas from 77 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 2: countries like Ecuador, where their ecological processes are much more 78 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 2: disastrous for the environment. And then on top of that, 79 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 2: you're shipping oil and gas on large on large ships 80 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 2: through the ocean, which has consequences for that for that environment. 81 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 2: So it's just complete abdication of common sense. If you will, 82 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:37,239 Speaker 2: and then you get into the whole requirements for wind 83 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 2: and solar. And I know for a fact that they're 84 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 2: piping in electricity from Wyoming as well, which is they'll 85 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 2: be produced as coal in Wyoming and they'll transmit it 86 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 2: to California. But since it's not being produced in California, 87 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 2: it's technically clean. It's just insane. And then you were 88 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 2: describing the mandate that you can't build any new homes 89 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 2: with natural gas doves or natural gas, uh sort of. 90 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: Gas burning logs. I was telling you about we couldn't 91 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 1: get gas burning logs in California. 92 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,719 Speaker 2: And then like, so you're just increasing the electric electricity 93 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 2: burden on the on the grid as well, because you 94 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,240 Speaker 2: have to go all these electric power stoves and other 95 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 2: utilities that could be powered by natural gas or something 96 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 2: like that. And so you're just increasing the burden on 97 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,840 Speaker 2: the grid and then preventing yourself from actually producing more 98 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 2: electricity because of some environmental concerns that are being proven 99 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 2: to be completely asinine. As you're mentioning Trump, I think 100 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 2: that was one of his big points to make, is 101 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 2: the abject failure of net zero carbon goals and climate hysteria. 102 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 1: Generally he called it out pretty strong. I mean, he 103 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: had some pretty strong words about the green climate scam. 104 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 1: I think he called and called it, talked about Germany 105 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: committing suicide by shutting down all their nuclear reactors, although 106 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,600 Speaker 1: not the new chancellor, he's trying to bring it back. 107 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: He kind of made sure to say that the new 108 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: guy's kind of got to figure it out. But yeah, 109 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: he was, he was, he was. He was pretty blunt. 110 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 1: I don't think a lot of people like that. That's 111 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: kind of another rabbit hole. I was just gonna say, like, uh, 112 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: it's pretty interesting to see that. You know, he's if 113 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 1: you listen to him. I mean, he was just slamming this, 114 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: this globalist agenda. Why would you sacrifice your own national 115 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 1: security Germany be dependent on Russia and then try to 116 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 1: fight a war with them, which obviously doesn't make any sense. 117 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 1: Brent Johnson I saw he said, like like imagine like 118 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 1: the ancient Greeks like offshoring their sword manufacturing to their 119 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: enemy kind of a thing. But then with all of that, 120 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: like apparently the globalists don't like that, and now like 121 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: Mark Karney and Canada and all those people, now they 122 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: just want to align with China. 123 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 2: So I guess. 124 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: China's better than like interesting. 125 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 2: China spending a lot of money. They'll come in and 126 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 2: build your Belt and Road initiative if you have it. 127 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 2: And it is a yeah, I was saying before we 128 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: hit record, it's a very interesting inflection point we find 129 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 2: ours in in terms of how fraid the geopolitical situation 130 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 2: is becoming. And I mean it was. It's been funny 131 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 2: observing the reactions to all the speeches coming out of 132 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 2: Davos this week, whether it's Donald Trump's, Howard Lutnix, Scott descent. 133 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 2: I saw Governor Newsom it was on a fireside chat 134 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 2: this morning. But it's like it's one movie or it's 135 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 2: like one screen but two different movies. The reactions are 136 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 2: on the polar opposite ends of the spectrum. Depending on 137 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 2: where you lean politically. You have a complete opposite reaction 138 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 2: to other people. Because me personally, I wash what Lutnick 139 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 2: dissent Trump Elon Musk earlier today on stage, and the 140 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 2: way that opposserby Jamie Diamond even called out the globalists. Yeah, 141 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 2: even yeah, Larry Fink even had about face now that 142 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 2: he's the head of the wef He even said like, hey, 143 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 2: people aren't picking up our message, and I think it's 144 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 2: an important This is an important week for the World 145 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 2: Economic Forum. I think it should go away. But I 146 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 2: think the fact that the Trump administration and some business 147 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 2: leaders in the US Brian Armstrong was standing up for bitcoin, 148 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 2: it was an important message to send, like, hey, we're 149 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 2: not going down this road of hollowing out our domestic 150 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,680 Speaker 2: manufacturing base and exporting dollars for the sake of having 151 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: the world reserve currency. Like our people are struggling and 152 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 2: we really want to bolster the domestic economy. And I 153 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 2: think the CENT particularly at a very optimistic message, which 154 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 2: is like grow, baby, grow, we can all do this together. 155 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: There's a way to individually strengthen our domestic economies and 156 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,679 Speaker 2: the lives of the quality, quality of lives of our 157 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 2: citizens and still work together. We don't need to go 158 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 2: down the road of pure globalism. You will own nothing 159 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 2: and be happy. It's obviously not working for people. 160 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:56,839 Speaker 1: Yeah. When I listened to Trump talk, he was talking 161 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,560 Speaker 1: about how kind of the same like abundance mindset. He 162 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: was like, hey, when the US does good, everybody does good. 163 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 1: Like it's not like, hey, we want to do good, 164 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: so you can suffer. He's like, no, like, let's all 165 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: do good together as opposed to let's all go suffer together. 166 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: I prefer that. And and I saw Howard Lutnik, who 167 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: sounded amazing. I mean, he's he's so smart, what a 168 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: patriot too. But like al Gore was like trying to 169 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 1: like call him out from the back of room. I 170 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: don't know if you saw that. Al Gore was like heckling him, 171 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 1: like seriously. I think Howard said something like how many 172 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: drinks have you had or something like It's like crazy, 173 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 1: It's like it's like child's playing. But you mentioned Brian 174 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 1: Armstrong is over there, and he's doing a pretty good 175 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: job sort of standing up for you know whatever. We 176 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: don't want to call it sor but the crypto industry, 177 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:51,199 Speaker 1: if you will, let's call it like the freedom to 178 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: choose what we want for money. And specifically in the US, 179 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: we passed the Clarity Act and the Genius Act, and 180 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: it seems the Trump administration, bacent, et cetera, really want 181 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: to see stable coins grow. They want for many reasons. 182 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,959 Speaker 1: Congress signed it, Trump signed it, and now the banks 183 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 1: are fighting it. Right, That's the way it seems to me. 184 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 1: So what do you think about the Trump administrationcent pushing 185 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 1: stable coins? First of all, and then let's kind of 186 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 1: get into like why are the banks fighting it. 187 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 2: I mean, the argument that we'll hear for why they're 188 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 2: pushing it is twofold. They want to be innovative, which 189 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 2: I think is earnest. And the second is it's going 190 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 2: to help bolster the treasury market because these stable coin 191 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 2: issuers the need to hold cash like short term debt instruments, 192 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 2: which are typically US treasuries, bills and notes. And I 193 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:48,959 Speaker 2: think it's a good narrative, but like, is it actually 194 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 2: going to be able to plug the whole of treasury 195 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 2: demand if foreign nations are dropping treasuries for other assets 196 00:10:56,600 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 2: like gold and silver. Maybe not. But the other reason, 197 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 2: I think they just want to look tech forward, which 198 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 2: I think makes sense. And obviously I'm a bitcoiner and 199 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 2: I think bitcoin is the best money and it's what 200 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 2: you should save your money. And I don't really think 201 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 2: there's a pressing need for stable coin adomption amongst American citizens. 202 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 2: We have a pretty robust banking and fintech infrastructure that 203 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 2: works pretty well right now. There are certainly marginal user 204 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:29,199 Speaker 2: experience benefits that come with stable coins. But yeah, I 205 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 2: think they just want to look tech forward, that they're 206 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 2: being innovative. I do think they would hope that stable 207 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: coins get to a market cap that it could actually 208 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 2: begin to materially plug the whole of treasury demand as 209 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 2: FEIM buyers ditch treasuries for other assets. But to the 210 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 2: bank's point, like it is interesting watching this battle over 211 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 2: the market structure Act, particularly around the ability of stable 212 00:11:56,520 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 2: coin issuers to pass on the yield they generate from 213 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 2: holding short term treasuries to the end user. The banks 214 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:07,599 Speaker 2: do not want them, Yeah, which is just comical, and 215 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 2: I wonder if it will create this this gridlock and 216 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 2: an impasse that they can't get over. Because if stable 217 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,679 Speaker 2: coins are able to offer this, and you have relatively 218 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 2: high yield saving accounts, they can simply download on your 219 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:30,400 Speaker 2: phone and transfer your your Federal Reserve banking system dollars 220 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 2: in the stable coins and get three to four percent 221 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 2: interest for just holding a stable coin in the wallet. 222 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 2: That's going to be a very very strong shot across 223 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 2: the bow the banking industry, which is not sharing the 224 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 2: yield of their treasury instruments with their end users. 225 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 1: Let's Let's break that down a little bit. So what 226 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 1: you're saying is that they sort of want the world 227 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: to buy dollars. So then you know Scott is Sent's 228 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: job is to get people to buy treasuries, like that's 229 00:12:56,280 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: his job. He's a treasury salesperson. But we may see Venezuela, Argentina, Lebanon, Peru, 230 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 1: whatever I ran, moving to US dollar stable coins, it's 231 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: not a big representation of buyers. So it's still not 232 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,319 Speaker 1: enough demand for the treasuries, is what you're. 233 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 2: Kind of saying. 234 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 1: Every day we see headlines about inflation and dead and 235 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 1: diminishing control over our own money. 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Q four to twenty twenty five should 261 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 2: come out probably next week or the week after. But 262 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 2: as at the end of Q three twenty twenty five, 263 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:49,560 Speaker 2: Teather just surpassed South Korea as the seventeenth largest holder 264 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 2: of US treasuries in the world, which is pretty crazy 265 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 2: to think a company with less than two hundred employees 266 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 2: having that much impact on the treasury mark. But if 267 00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 2: you look at the treasure distribution of treasury ownership amongst 268 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 2: countries and individual actors, it's a pretty steep decline. So 269 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 2: seventeen it's certainly nothing to scoff at and something that 270 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 2: Teler should probably be proud about, but it's still nowhere 271 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 2: near the amount of vallon that would be needed to 272 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:21,880 Speaker 2: plug a hole if you have countries like Japan and China, or. 273 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 1: I mean you got Scottisent says he thinks it can 274 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 1: get to three trillion by twenty thirty, which would pick 275 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: up all of China, all of Japan. It could just 276 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: absorb that if they could get to that level. I think, yeah, certainly, 277 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 1: maybe that's more like a marginal buyer. But you also 278 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 1: mentioned like maybe there's really no need for a US 279 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: resident to own a stable poin the US is only 280 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: four percent of the world, but we are abnormally a 281 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 1: large part of the of the GDP of the world. 282 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: But to the point that you're making like we already 283 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:54,840 Speaker 1: have a stable point, right, Like I already transacted with 284 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 1: my debit card credit card anyway, and it's a dollar. 285 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: But I think what's interesting is if I'm Walmart and 286 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: I'm running seven hundred billion dollars of transactions per seven 287 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 1: hundred billion per year, and I'm paying call it three 288 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: or four percent to process those transactions, if my merchants 289 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:18,640 Speaker 1: would come in and pay with stable coins and I 290 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: could put three or four percent of seven hundred billion 291 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: to my bottom line, I kind of want my people 292 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 1: to use stable coins, if I'm Walmart or Amazon or whatever. 293 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 1: So I think maybe from a consumer standpoint, maybe there's 294 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 1: not a big push for stable coins, but I think 295 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 1: from the merchant side, they're going to push that hard. 296 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 2: I agree, and it'll be interesting to see if that 297 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 2: actually scales, right because these stable coins right now they 298 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 2: run on a number of different blockchains, Slona, tron, Ethereum, 299 00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 2: and we've seen it on Ethereum specifically, And I think 300 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 2: if it reaches the scale of three six trillion dollars, 301 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,160 Speaker 2: whatever it may be by twenty thirty, twenty three five, 302 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 2: that's gonna be a lot of volume flowing through these blockchains, 303 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 2: despite the fact that fees are relatively low. Now, who's 304 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:08,679 Speaker 2: to say that if you flood these blockchains with a 305 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 2: ton of transaction volume that fees won't rise in the future. 306 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 2: I think that's yet to be determined. That could eat 307 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 2: into the savings on fees that they have. Is why 308 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:22,399 Speaker 2: I think like bitcoin overlighting the way Lightnings designed with 309 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 2: instant settlement. It's not to say that fees will be 310 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 2: as low as they are now forever, but I think 311 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 2: the scalability of that second layer protocols is definitely more 312 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,439 Speaker 2: And so like these apps like Strike which allowed easily 313 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 2: interchange dollars for bitcoin and pay bitcoin invoys cash Uptress 314 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 2: launch that feature, I could see that being a better 315 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:48,880 Speaker 2: savings mechanism for end merchants at the end of the day. 316 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 2: But yeah, I think they could. I think they're trying 317 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:57,239 Speaker 2: to push stable coins on on the masses. And the 318 00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:01,400 Speaker 2: one thing I would just warn't everybody about it's like, hey, 319 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: the marketing is like, hey, we don't want to see BDC. 320 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 2: We want a free market of cryptocurrencies, if you will, 321 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 2: and stable coins being one of the ones that we 322 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 2: really want to support. But I think be careful what 323 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 2: you wish for in terms of stable coins, specifically because 324 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 2: the way they operate there issued by central issuers who 325 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 2: have the ability to freeze and prevent you from moving money. 326 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, sort of making sure that the public knows that. 327 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 1: And there's a lot of confusion around this. It seems 328 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:39,119 Speaker 1: obvious to me, but stable coins are not censorship resistant money. 329 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 1: They're centralized, they're controlled. They can be frozen any given time, 330 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: and you can see what just happened in Venezuela to 331 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 1: see exactly how that worked. 332 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:48,880 Speaker 2: So they freeze like one hundred and twenty seven million 333 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 2: or something. 334 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's obviously, I mean it should be obvious. 335 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: But they are issued by a common issuer and they 336 00:18:56,600 --> 00:19:00,199 Speaker 1: hold the dollar of your dollar in custody, so you 337 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 1: can't fork it. You can't have a decentralized stable cooin 338 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 1: because you can't fork it. You can't create additional dollars 339 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 1: out of thin air. So I think that should go. Certainly, 340 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 1: it should. People need to understand that. But I think 341 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: is it really any more risky than using the dollar 342 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 1: that we have today anyway? I mean, bankou's get freeze 343 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 1: frozen all the time, right. 344 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:22,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, And I would again go back to like 345 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:28,199 Speaker 2: I do think there are material ux inefficiency improvements. Yeah, 346 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:31,239 Speaker 2: when using stable coins over incoming dollars. The one thing 347 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:34,199 Speaker 2: I look out for for Genius Act for the Genius 348 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,439 Speaker 2: as specifically, and something that could throw a wrench in 349 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 2: Percents plan, or not that it's percents plan, but people 350 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 2: who believe that via regulatory clarity, we're gonna see it 351 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 2: this explosion a stable coin adoption. I think it's very 352 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 2: important to understand how Teather has gotten as big as 353 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 2: it has, and it's because it operated in the gray market, 354 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:59,719 Speaker 2: where people without licenses or source security numbers and other 355 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 2: kind trees or bank accounts could download a piece of 356 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 2: software and accept USDT could accept the Tether stable coin 357 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 2: rather trivially. And it's still not clear to me, but 358 00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:13,159 Speaker 2: the way the Genius Act was written, it looks like 359 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:16,720 Speaker 2: they're going to sort of try to force kyc AML 360 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 2: registration compliance on the stable coin providers. And it's not 361 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 2: clear to me because I think it may be for 362 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:29,280 Speaker 2: US issuers only. But Tether's success to date has been 363 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,160 Speaker 2: the fact that they've been able to export the dollar 364 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 2: globally because they've created the user experience where somebody could 365 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 2: download a wallet and receive Teather without having to go 366 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: through any of that kyc AML. You could curb stable 367 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 2: coin adoption outside of the United States. If you have 368 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 2: this KYC AML compliance rules applied to non US citizens, 369 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 2: where they could find themselves in the situation where they 370 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 2: download the app, theyre asked to put in a license, 371 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: a passport, whatever it may be, and they simply don't 372 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 2: have it, so they can't download the app, and therefore 373 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 2: they can't participate in the dollar economy in the stable 374 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 2: coin row. 375 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:11,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a really good point when you look, I 376 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 1: guess you'd have to kind of go back to understanding 377 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,160 Speaker 1: why does the administration want stable coins? And if it's 378 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,160 Speaker 1: truly kind of to the point that we said, like, hey, 379 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 1: bring the world on to the dollar standard to buy 380 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 1: dollars to then thereby by. 381 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 2: The US treasuries. 382 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,119 Speaker 1: If really we want to get the rest of the 383 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: world on it, then then you can't have KYC. The 384 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:30,480 Speaker 1: rest of the world can't pass KYC. They don't have 385 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: the documentation. They just had to flee Syria. You know, 386 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 1: they were born in a country that has whatever the 387 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: case may be. So if they really want to bring 388 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: the world on to dollars, they can't have KYC. If 389 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 1: they put the KYC, then it shoots themselves in the 390 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 1: foot and they can't bring the world on. 391 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that I was actually at a Bitcoin Policy 392 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 2: Institute event last year, I think last June in Palo 393 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:56,000 Speaker 2: or dno CEO of Tether was there, and it's basically 394 00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,919 Speaker 2: explaining how they attain their success and they have a 395 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 2: pretty strong ground game, like they get on the ground 396 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:05,360 Speaker 2: in these developing economies and teach people how to download 397 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 2: stable coin walllets and accept and send stable coins. And 398 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 2: he basically said, we're not the only people on the 399 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 2: ground in these areas. You have people who are pushing 400 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 2: the digital you want on the ground to try to 401 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,919 Speaker 2: do the same thing that we are. And so his 402 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 2: point was like, hey, we've had a lot of success. 403 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 2: Our hearts are in this for the right reason. When 404 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 2: they launched Tether, they didn't even think there was going 405 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 2: to be a product market fit. He said, we thought 406 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen there maybe be one hundred million dollar 407 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,440 Speaker 2: market cap. They sort of stumbled into a massive success 408 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,879 Speaker 2: and they've done a really good job at executing and 409 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,200 Speaker 2: expanding that product and getting into the hands. I think 410 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:44,560 Speaker 2: he said there was four hundred million Tether wallets that 411 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 2: exist out there. And so that talking about dollar dominance 412 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 2: and going BX to this KYC thing, if that's truly 413 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 2: your end goal is to make sure that dollars remain 414 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,479 Speaker 2: the predominant currency, not only in the US but outside 415 00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 2: of it. Yet, I think you have to recognize these 416 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 2: these nuances and the fact that you're not the only 417 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 2: one on the ground trying to pitch your currency. The 418 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 2: Chinese are out there and others as well. 419 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a good point. It's an interesting point though, 420 00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 1: because typically you would think about the dollar success not 421 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:19,119 Speaker 1: just as reserve currency, but it's a payment network, right. 422 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: Network effects have played out for sure, But part of 423 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 1: the reason why, maybe other accounts and maybe some of 424 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,160 Speaker 1: the dollar bulls would tell us that there's no replacing 425 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 1: the dollar because there's not the network those of corresponding banks. 426 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 1: But you don't have the open capital market, so like 427 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:38,160 Speaker 1: nobody's gonna trust Chinese currency. They can't allow that to float, 428 00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: they can't have that open And so then it seems 429 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 1: pretty easy to understand. The more I try to restrict it, 430 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:48,920 Speaker 1: the less people could use it. So yeah, I guess 431 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: the US is going to have to find themselves deciding 432 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 1: which one they want. Do they want the dollar to 433 00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: flourish and allow it to continue to freely trade or 434 00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 1: do they want to restrict it now. One thing I 435 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 1: would say is years ago, I was working with a 436 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:05,600 Speaker 1: client and he was a really high level consultant to 437 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 1: a bunch of different companies, and one of his clients 438 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:13,119 Speaker 1: was the US Treasury, And so this is somebody I 439 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 1: was working with firsthand. He was working with the Treasury firsthand. 440 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: So it's not a telephone game here. But he went 441 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 1: and met with the Treasury and they were building several 442 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: new facilities around the United States, and they're building them 443 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,439 Speaker 1: to print to print dollars, and they're building them right 444 00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 1: at airports. And he's a bitcointer, so he was like, 445 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 1: I thought the dollars sort of winding down and digital currencies, 446 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 1: and like, why are you expanding, Why are you building 447 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 1: multiple facilities multiple to print more dollars? And they're like, 448 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: oh no, no, no, no, no. The demand for dollars they're never 449 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,440 Speaker 1: even stronger. But they're building them on airports because they're 450 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: shipping the dollars out to other countries, right, But that's 451 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:50,560 Speaker 1: all non kyc. 452 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 2: Now, it's cash. I mean, we found this out with 453 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,120 Speaker 2: the Smali fraud in Minnesota. It seems like they were 454 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 2: I don't know if the Treasury built built one of 455 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,639 Speaker 2: these facilities outside the Minneapolis airport. But it seems like 456 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 2: that was one of the mechanisms for them to get 457 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 2: money out of the US and into Somalia was cash. 458 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:11,199 Speaker 1: Is that how they were doing it? 459 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 2: Cash? 460 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: I didn't hear that part. 461 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:18,240 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean there's been multiple report I mean yeah, 462 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 2: like Duffel bags full of cash. Wow, millions and millions 463 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:23,920 Speaker 2: of dollars over the course of a decade. 464 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 1: Duffel bags of cash. It's pretty hard to get cash 465 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: out of the country. A lot of airports. I see 466 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 1: they have dogs that are trained to sniff for cash. 467 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 1: That's pretty interesting. That's a whole other point that I 468 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:36,680 Speaker 1: want to come back to about the fraud that we're 469 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 1: dealing with. But if we just stick on stable coins 470 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 1: for a minute, So if I give them a dollar, 471 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,479 Speaker 1: they give me a stable point token back in return. 472 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 1: It's not decentralized, it's not sensual resistant. There's reasons why 473 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 1: you may or may not want to use that. But 474 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 1: now that company is, to your point, like Teather is 475 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 1: now buying treasuries, they're earning a yield on that. Why 476 00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,680 Speaker 1: not share some of that yield with us? Right? That's 477 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,200 Speaker 1: kind of sticking point that the banks are having right now. 478 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 1: But why why are the banks so opposed to that? 479 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: Is it as simple as it creates competition for them, 480 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:11,879 Speaker 1: or is it something bigger? 481 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 2: The way I understand is they're taking the yield from 482 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 2: their treasuries and then they're putting it in overnight markets 483 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 2: and they're levering up five to ten x to try 484 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:25,120 Speaker 2: to make profits trading markets. I think it's as simple 485 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 2: as that, and I had it described to me. I 486 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,640 Speaker 2: was actually in DC last week at another Bitcoin Policy 487 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 2: Institute event to launch of their new office at pub Key, 488 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 2: and there are some people within the government there and 489 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 2: this was the day the market Structure bill sort of 490 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 2: fell apart, and we got obviously, that was the topic 491 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,159 Speaker 2: d jure during the during the event that night, and 492 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 2: we got on this topic of why don't the banks 493 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:53,120 Speaker 2: want to share the yield? And number one, that leverage 494 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 2: situation was explained to me. And then number two, if 495 00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,360 Speaker 2: they do it, like banks have to just become much 496 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:03,440 Speaker 2: more risk of and more narrow. And so the way 497 00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 2: it was described to me, it's like banks like JP 498 00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,600 Speaker 2: Morgan back in America City would actually be fine, they 499 00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 2: would survive, but community banks would would actually suffer because 500 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 2: they depend heavily on being able to take risk in 501 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 2: these overnight markets to eke out profits. And so yeah, 502 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,919 Speaker 2: there is like a dynamic at play here, just like 503 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 2: a structural dynamic where just the edifice of the banking 504 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,159 Speaker 2: system has been built up in this way over the 505 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,159 Speaker 2: course of decades, and you have a lot of leverage 506 00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,199 Speaker 2: in the system, and the ability to unwind that is 507 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:37,480 Speaker 2: not straightforward or easier will come without pain, right, And 508 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 2: so I think there is some sort of existential risk 509 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 2: to a part of the banking system, but just because 510 00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 2: of how they've become comfortable with leveraging the yield from 511 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 2: these treasuries. 512 00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's what Brian Armstrong from coinbase was 513 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: trying to point out. And he's like, it's not because 514 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 1: they think it's risky. Their model is risky. And so 515 00:27:57,119 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 1: what he pointed to specifically was the fractional reserve nature 516 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 1: of the bank. So I think it's more than just 517 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: they don't want to share some of the rewards, right, 518 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 1: So like if I give if I deposit my money 519 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 1: to the bank, I'm now an unsecured creditor to the bank, 520 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 1: and then they're making money by loaning that money back out. 521 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 1: But that's the simple part. But the reality is the 522 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 1: entire business model is built off fractional reserve. And so 523 00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: then they loan that money back out at five years, 524 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,439 Speaker 1: seven years, ten years, thirty years, and so then you 525 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:28,639 Speaker 1: have like that mismatched duration duration mismatch, right, And so 526 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 1: if I can just custody my own money, my own 527 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:36,639 Speaker 1: stable coin, or I could move it over to whoever 528 00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: tether and they paid me a couple points on that, 529 00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:46,240 Speaker 1: it completely destroys the entire fractional reserve banking system because 530 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,960 Speaker 1: if they don't have our unsecured deposits, then they can't 531 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:51,160 Speaker 1: they can't fractionally reserve. 532 00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 2: It, right, Yeah, And this is this is a similar 533 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 2: situation we found in a custodia bank, Kaitlin Lowns Bank Alwyoming, 534 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,960 Speaker 2: which for the longest time couldn't get a FED master 535 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 2: account because they were running a full reserve bank. They 536 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 2: were marketing themselves as a full reserve bank. And obviously 537 00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,800 Speaker 2: the FED and the Treasury made a bunch of excuses 538 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 2: in the UCC for why they couldn't issue a master 539 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 2: account to Custodia, But at the end of the day, 540 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:22,479 Speaker 2: it was really because once you have a full reserve 541 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 2: bank in the system, that provides an opportunity for you 542 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 2: to store your money in a full reserve bank and 543 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 2: not a fractional reserve bank. You're going to see deposits 544 00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 2: flood to that because people don't want banks taking that 545 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 2: much risk with their money. So this is just the 546 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:41,600 Speaker 2: resurging of a problem that Custodia went through as well. 547 00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,840 Speaker 2: And it's funny too, because you know it loves this 548 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 2: the most, is Tether, because Tether sort of got It's 549 00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 2: actually comical to me they've gotten out sort of the 550 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: unscathed from a narrative perspective, because this is their whole 551 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 2: business model. They issued a stable coin, take the cash, 552 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 2: buy treasuries, and then they just rake the yield onto 553 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 2: their palace. Cheat is profit and so like, they've never 554 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 2: shared yield. But now you have like Circle and coin 555 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,200 Speaker 2: based coming out trying to think of a value add, 556 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 2: value added product line that could add to their exchanges, 557 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 2: which is yield sharing of the stable coin revenue from 558 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 2: holding treasuries, and it's being dragged out in for the light. 559 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it would disrupt their business model, but 560 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,920 Speaker 1: I think they'd probably trade that out for being, you know, 561 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 1: one of the most widely recognized, legally compliant companies out there. 562 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: Teather also has a big benefit, which I guess a 563 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 1: lot of banks do. There's a lot of uproar. I'm 564 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 1: sure you saw in California they passed a law where 565 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: they can just seize your bitcoin, which is sort of 566 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,920 Speaker 1: like a bunch of made up hoopla. It's it's accounts 567 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 1: they get abandoned, you know, the state takes those over. 568 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 1: But Tether specifically, you know, people lose track of their 569 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 1: crypto accounts all the time and Teather doesn't really know, 570 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 1: but they estimate that maybe up to like six billion 571 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: dollars has been like. 572 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 2: It's just lost lost the private key. 573 00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, law no different than Starbucks is sitting 574 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:10,960 Speaker 1: on billions of dollars in their little Starbucks app and 575 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,960 Speaker 1: people forget that as well. But like, yeah, six billion 576 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 1: dollars that they made just you know, they it's not theirs, 577 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:18,479 Speaker 1: but they can earn yield on it. 578 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:18,760 Speaker 2: You know. 579 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's kind of interesting. But I think, you know, 580 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,240 Speaker 1: she why wouldn't they pay you a couple of points back, well. 581 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 2: Especially a Tether scale, like they can afford it, Like 582 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,520 Speaker 2: I said, they have a team of less than two 583 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 2: hundred people. It's not like their overhead is obscenely expensive 584 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 2: for a company doing as much profit as they are. 585 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: Now, what's interesting is is the Stable Cooin Bill, the 586 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: Genius and the Genius Act. It was signed by Congress, 587 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,480 Speaker 1: it was it was signed by President Trump, and now 588 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 1: the banks are trying to fight it, like, isn't it 589 00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 1: isn't a little bit too late, Like the cows have 590 00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,240 Speaker 1: already left the barn, so to speak. So you know, 591 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 1: I know you've talked about like who rights the draft, 592 00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: who lobbies, like who gets the carts? I mean, do 593 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 1: you think the banking industry, the lobby groups, is strong 594 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:09,120 Speaker 1: enough to sort of overturn laws that have already been 595 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:10,400 Speaker 1: signed by Congress and the president. 596 00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,600 Speaker 2: You know, the birdies I have on the Hill. That's 597 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 2: That's what they've been signaling to me in the last month, 598 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 2: is that the banking lobby has stepped in, yeah, and 599 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 2: throwing their weight around. They're leading in the center to 600 00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 2: warn and fear mongering about terrorists, financing and all that 601 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 2: to really try to curb this. 602 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 1: It's funny because when Biden was still in office, the 603 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 1: banks were pressuring the sec to overturn the bulletin that 604 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: prevented banks from using custody or custody and crypto. So 605 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 1: then as soon as Trump took office, he overturned that 606 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 1: to allow the banks to get into it. So now 607 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: they got what they wanted, and now they don't really 608 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 1: want it. Well, we want it, but just don't pay yield. 609 00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:00,840 Speaker 2: They want their regulatory mode. They're trying to box everybody out. 610 00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,400 Speaker 2: I think now the posture is, Okay, we want this, 611 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 2: but we want to own it too. I think we 612 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:10,200 Speaker 2: don't want these upstart crypto companies playing in our playing 613 00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,160 Speaker 2: in our pool. Yeah, if you will, So. 614 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: Let's talk about that, the boxing them out, so to speak. 615 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:19,200 Speaker 1: So a lot of people fear that bitcoin is getting 616 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 1: too institutional. It's you know, the black rocks are obviously 617 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:27,080 Speaker 1: building ETFs and the bitcoin treasury companies, and you know, 618 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:31,040 Speaker 1: now the government wants to buy it. You know, how 619 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 1: do you look at that? Like, for me, from like 620 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,719 Speaker 1: a bitcoin lens, like bitcoin was always going to take 621 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 1: over the world, so of course every business and government 622 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,480 Speaker 1: would use it at some point. But now we have 623 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 1: people afraid that businesses and governments are using it. How 624 00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:48,440 Speaker 1: do you balance those two things. Governments will never stop 625 00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 1: printing money, so inflation it's not going away. 626 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:51,880 Speaker 2: Now. 627 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,560 Speaker 1: If your money's not earning at least ten percent a year, 628 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,640 Speaker 1: you're losing purchasing power. That's why I talk about bitcoin. 629 00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 1: It's the number one way to beat inflation and cure 630 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 1: your future. And the question I get asked almost every 631 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 1: day is where do you buy your bitcoin? 632 00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 2: Now? 633 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 1: For years, I've personally use River dot Com and I 634 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 1: only take on sponsors that I use and I trust, 635 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:14,799 Speaker 1: and I trust them because River's bitcoin only. They have 636 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:17,680 Speaker 1: one hundred percent reserve, and they keep your bitcoin safe 637 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 1: in cold storage with no middlemen, and you can actually 638 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 1: talk to a real person, a US based support, dedicated manager. Now, 639 00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,520 Speaker 1: try getting that peace of mind from coinbase. Of course 640 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: you can't now the perks. If you set up auto buys, 641 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,959 Speaker 1: you can pay zero fees plus instead of you're bank 642 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,400 Speaker 1: paying you, you know, zero point four percent on cash, 643 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:42,080 Speaker 1: River pays you three point seven five percent on cash 644 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,880 Speaker 1: paid in bitcoin. So if you're ready to build your 645 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,640 Speaker 1: bitcoin position with confidence, go to River dot com, slash 646 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 1: mark Moss and get up to one hundred dollars in 647 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: bitcoin when you sign up. Because freedom starts when you 648 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 1: own your money, and your money starts with bitcoin. 649 00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,760 Speaker 2: I think exactly what you said is some I believe 650 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,319 Speaker 2: for my entire time in bitcoin over a decade now, 651 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:07,440 Speaker 2: which is like, hey, bitcoin is the best money in 652 00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:13,160 Speaker 2: the world. It is truly distributed, decentralized, and possible to control. 653 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,759 Speaker 2: There's going to be demand for it from everybody eventually, 654 00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:20,279 Speaker 2: and so it does not surprise me that institutions are 655 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:21,920 Speaker 2: stepping in and trying to get exposure to it. They 656 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,400 Speaker 2: sat on the sidelines and watch the best performing asset 657 00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 2: over the course of thirteen years do its thing without them, 658 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:30,920 Speaker 2: and obviously these people are profit driven. At the end 659 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,319 Speaker 2: of the day, I'm driven by greed, which isn't a 660 00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:37,959 Speaker 2: bad thing, and they want They decided Okay, this doesn't 661 00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,080 Speaker 2: seem like this is going away. We should definitely benefit 662 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:44,359 Speaker 2: from this ourselves, and so it's not shocking. I don't 663 00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 2: think it's detrimental to the long term viability of bitcoin 664 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:53,359 Speaker 2: as a neutral, reserve, distributed sovereign asset. But with that 665 00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 2: being said, I do think people have to stay vigilant 666 00:35:56,440 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 2: and make sure that we have the ability to write 667 00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 2: open source software and self custody bitcoin if we so 668 00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 2: choose and I think that's a big part of the 669 00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 2: Market Structure Bill as well, is making sure that we 670 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:15,759 Speaker 2: have those abilities. And so I think it is uncomfortable 671 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,279 Speaker 2: for a lot of people, particularly early bitcoiners, to see 672 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:23,279 Speaker 2: Larry Fink and Michael Sailor coming to bitcoin in a 673 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,720 Speaker 2: big way over the last five years. But as you said, 674 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:31,239 Speaker 2: like this should be expected, but do not get complacent. 675 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:34,640 Speaker 2: Make sure that you're standing up for property rights in 676 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 2: the digital age and the ability of open source software 677 00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:42,160 Speaker 2: contributors the right code that makes it easy for individuals 678 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,520 Speaker 2: to self custody, send them receive a bitcoin. 679 00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:50,080 Speaker 1: So then you don't see Michael Sailor getting three, five, seven, 680 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 1: ten percent of the bitcoin supply or black crots i 681 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:54,680 Speaker 1: bit doing the same thing. You don't necessarily see that 682 00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,400 Speaker 1: as being a major failure point maybe or a point 683 00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:02,839 Speaker 1: of it's more about the laws that would get put 684 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,240 Speaker 1: in place that would prohibit the way that we use bitcoin. 685 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,520 Speaker 2: The latter is certainly bigger concern to me, but that's 686 00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 2: not to say that the former couldn't introduce market disruptions 687 00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:18,640 Speaker 2: like if like obviously if Michael Sailor, I mean, I 688 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,839 Speaker 2: think strategy presents a bigger risk than ibit. I mean 689 00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:23,759 Speaker 2: ibit at the end of the day, Yes, everybody, you 690 00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 2: see the headlines black Rock bought five hundred bitcoin today, 691 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:29,439 Speaker 2: but really, at the end of the day, they're buying 692 00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:33,800 Speaker 2: bitcoin on behalf of individual customers. So the ownership distribution 693 00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:38,640 Speaker 2: within Blackrock is way larger than Strategy as a singular 694 00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:43,080 Speaker 2: bitcoin treasury company. And I'm not saying that Michael Sailor 695 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 2: will ever do this, but it is possible. Like I think, 696 00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,080 Speaker 2: that's more of a systemic risk, not a systemic risk, 697 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,239 Speaker 2: but more of a potential disruptive risk, particularly for the 698 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:54,600 Speaker 2: price if for some reason or another they were either 699 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:57,400 Speaker 2: forced or decided for some reason to sell their bitcoin. 700 00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,920 Speaker 2: That would hurt if you have seven hundred thousand bitcoin, yeah, 701 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 2: getting sold in one fell swoop. But as the market 702 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,920 Speaker 2: cap goes up, that risk becomes more diminished. Yeah. We 703 00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:11,880 Speaker 2: saw that last year with I think Galaxy reported that 704 00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:16,279 Speaker 2: they did in eighty thousand bitcoin sale over the course 705 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,040 Speaker 2: of a few days and the price barely went down 706 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,400 Speaker 2: a few percent. Yeah, So as the market cap goes up, 707 00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:27,759 Speaker 2: the risk of incredible price disruption from micro strategy dumping decreases. 708 00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:30,960 Speaker 2: There would obviously be some some narrative blow if that 709 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,040 Speaker 2: were to happen to But if you compare like Strategy 710 00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:39,000 Speaker 2: and I BIT, I think it's certainly higher. The risk 711 00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:40,960 Speaker 2: is higher with Strategy. I don't think Michael Sailor ever, 712 00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:43,480 Speaker 2: I believe him when he says he's never selling his bitcoin. 713 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,399 Speaker 1: If even if he died and somebody new took over 714 00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:49,960 Speaker 1: control of Strategy and they're like, this is the stupidest 715 00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:52,320 Speaker 1: thing we're doing, Like we're going to unwind this position, 716 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 1: so let's just whatever hypothetically say that happened. It would 717 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:02,160 Speaker 1: be completely asinine and most likely to see I would 718 00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:05,120 Speaker 1: find themselves in jail for breaking their friditioniary duty if 719 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:09,400 Speaker 1: they market sold that bitcoin. So like, even if that 720 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,400 Speaker 1: were to happen, it's not going to dump that in 721 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,000 Speaker 1: a day, Like they don't want the slippage selling down. 722 00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:16,239 Speaker 1: They don't want to like destroy their asset based So 723 00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:19,360 Speaker 1: even if they wanted to unwind it, they would they 724 00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 1: would sell that in orderly fashion. The only way it 725 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 1: would probably be detrimental is if some hostile actor tried 726 00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: to take it over to crash the price momentarily. So 727 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:31,160 Speaker 1: it seems like it seems like the risk, the potential 728 00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 1: risk is slim to none. 729 00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:36,760 Speaker 2: On that, I'd say, yeah, I would agree. 730 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:38,640 Speaker 1: And then if you look at traditional assets, I mean, 731 00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,040 Speaker 1: like you have three companies that make up like eighty 732 00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,400 Speaker 1: five percent of all equity ownership. 733 00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:48,000 Speaker 2: Like and it's and then even with that, like you 734 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:52,359 Speaker 2: have seven companies driving most of the equity returns as well, right, 735 00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:55,239 Speaker 2: not like concentration of ownership, a concentration of returns. 736 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,800 Speaker 1: The concentration gold ownership. So like the concentration of bitcoin 737 00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:02,080 Speaker 1: ownership is small, and unlike the equity ownership. What Blackrock 738 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,360 Speaker 1: is able to do even though they buy those equities 739 00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:08,080 Speaker 1: on behalf of their customers, they take the votes, but 740 00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 1: Big onoin has no votes. 741 00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:14,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean yeah if they like I mean 742 00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:17,000 Speaker 2: worst case scenario, if they wanted to vote on like 743 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 2: a protocol change, it would have to get coinbase to 744 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:24,279 Speaker 2: move all the bitcoin the custoding on behalf of Blackrocks customers, 745 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:26,600 Speaker 2: and it would be a logistical nightmare. 746 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. Us jump to another topic. I want to jump to. 747 00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:31,239 Speaker 1: We kind of throughout earlier. It was some of that 748 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,560 Speaker 1: some of the fraud that we've seen you mentioned Minnesota, 749 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:37,280 Speaker 1: but it's being uncovered all over all over the country 750 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:41,800 Speaker 1: right now. And we sort of have like I think 751 00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 1: this like escalating situation going on. And I think when 752 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,200 Speaker 1: Elon Musk moved into DOGE and he started exposing where 753 00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,759 Speaker 1: a lot of this money went, it was like it 754 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:53,920 Speaker 1: was really punching the gut for a lot of people. 755 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,399 Speaker 1: And I think it's like, you know, Mike Green put 756 00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:00,200 Speaker 1: out that amazing piece of information that was like the 757 00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:02,480 Speaker 1: new poverty line is whatever, one hundred and forty hundred 758 00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars, and so people are breaking, people can't afford. 759 00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,320 Speaker 1: They don't understand that the money printing has caused the inflation. 760 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:13,240 Speaker 1: They understand they're barely getting by, but they're doing their best, 761 00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:16,440 Speaker 1: they're working hard. But then when Elon Must you know, 762 00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,640 Speaker 1: uncovers like USA and shows us where that fraud is, 763 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, it's like what okay, But like 764 00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:24,840 Speaker 1: let's soldier on and hopefully they're going to do something. 765 00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:27,080 Speaker 1: And then back to the Migreen post, one of the 766 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:31,360 Speaker 1: biggest problems for the average person is the childcare. I 767 00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 1: think it was it was like thirty two thousand a year, 768 00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:36,440 Speaker 1: So like one of the biggest burdens a US taxpayer 769 00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:40,080 Speaker 1: has is childcare. And then we find out all the 770 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 1: fraud is happening in childcare. I mean, if that, like, 771 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,160 Speaker 1: isn't the straw that breaks the camel's back. I'm not 772 00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,000 Speaker 1: sure what it is, but what's your take on that. 773 00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:52,560 Speaker 2: Wrote a newsletter about this, tweeted about it like it's taxation. 774 00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:56,840 Speaker 2: Is the humiliation ritual? Yeah, it's like, to your point, 775 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:02,120 Speaker 2: the American worker, if you're not well off enough and 776 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,560 Speaker 2: you need both parents to be in the workforce, you 777 00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:08,000 Speaker 2: have to pay for childcare. And I think it's just 778 00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:13,960 Speaker 2: not only humiliating but insulting that we have these government 779 00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:17,879 Speaker 2: programs and Medicaid and Medicare that are just ending out 780 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,799 Speaker 2: billions upon billions, trillions of dollars of the course of 781 00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:25,240 Speaker 2: years to these programs for people to set up daycare 782 00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:29,040 Speaker 2: centers that aren't being used to actually watch over kids. 783 00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:34,280 Speaker 2: And not only that, it seems like immigrants, both legal 784 00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:39,520 Speaker 2: and illegal, are getting preferential treatment in terms of access 785 00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:43,759 Speaker 2: to those federal dollars. Like you said, Minnesota's just the 786 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:45,879 Speaker 2: tip of the iceberg. The daycare centers just the tip 787 00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,080 Speaker 2: of the iceberg. You have these hospice centers that are 788 00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:54,800 Speaker 2: being uncovered as completely fraudulent. You have the transportation companies 789 00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 2: that are supposed to be driving people around to these 790 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:01,759 Speaker 2: medical centers, completely fraudulent obviously of the H one B 791 00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:08,279 Speaker 2: system which is being completely manipulated and taking advantage of. 792 00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:13,880 Speaker 2: And again, I mean, many people don't like to hear this, 793 00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,360 Speaker 2: but it seems like it's objectively true based off of 794 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,040 Speaker 2: a lot of the reporting that is coming out. You 795 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:23,240 Speaker 2: have Steve Robinson who's doing a similar investigation in Maine 796 00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 2: that Nick Shirley did in Minnesota, and it's a lot 797 00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 2: of immigrants, and it seemed pretty clear that there is 798 00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:34,160 Speaker 2: a system that's been set up to set up these 799 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 2: sort of federal grant programs funnel them towards humans, Health 800 00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:44,680 Speaker 2: and Human Service, Medicaid, Medicare, and again immigrants are getting 801 00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:48,880 Speaker 2: preferential treatment. And then they're taking that money, usually not 802 00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:51,840 Speaker 2: doing in most cases, not doing what they're supposed to 803 00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,480 Speaker 2: be doing with that money by setting up a legitimate business. 804 00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 2: They're buying houses, they're buying cars, setting it off shore 805 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,960 Speaker 2: through the Minneapolis airport, and I'm sure many others. And 806 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:06,799 Speaker 2: then they're funneling some money back to politicians. And it 807 00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 2: seems like there is a scheme going on where the 808 00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:16,520 Speaker 2: American taxpayer money is being taken legal immigrants or being 809 00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:19,200 Speaker 2: given money so that they can live a lifestyle, take houses, 810 00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:22,640 Speaker 2: take cars, drive up the cost of necessary goods for 811 00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:26,840 Speaker 2: everybody else, and then they're funneling money back to Democrats 812 00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:29,400 Speaker 2: and then voting for them on top of it to 813 00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:32,600 Speaker 2: sort of exacerbate that cycle, to ensure that it continues. 814 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:36,520 Speaker 2: And it's completely insane, and again it's a humiliation ritual 815 00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,560 Speaker 2: and sad not sad. The frightening part about it is 816 00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:45,040 Speaker 2: you have to wonder, like how much of the system, 817 00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:48,760 Speaker 2: like how much to what degree is the system dependent 818 00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:52,040 Speaker 2: on like this fraud continuing to be enabled because at 819 00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:54,399 Speaker 2: the end of the day, this money is being taken 820 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:59,399 Speaker 2: from taxpayers, it's being printed or being raised via debt, 821 00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:02,120 Speaker 2: via treasure auctions and push towards these things. But at 822 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:03,720 Speaker 2: the end of the day, these people are buying houses, 823 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:07,480 Speaker 2: buying cars, buying food, They're sending their kids to skulls, 824 00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:09,880 Speaker 2: so they are spending money throughout the economy. So how 825 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 2: much of the economy is dependent on this fraudulent sort 826 00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:16,759 Speaker 2: of racket that's being uncovered? And like, if you were 827 00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:20,680 Speaker 2: to essentially just rip away all the fraud at once, 828 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:24,800 Speaker 2: what effect would that have on GDP on the economy 829 00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:29,040 Speaker 2: will be best thrown immediately into a recession or depression? Yeah, 830 00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:31,360 Speaker 2: and that's that's the scary part. It's like, can you 831 00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,960 Speaker 2: not stop it because the system is dependent on the flows. 832 00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:38,400 Speaker 1: When you say it's like a humiliation ritual. So it's like, 833 00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:42,160 Speaker 1: I'm being humiliated because like, I'm working so hard, you're 834 00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:44,480 Speaker 1: taking my money, which makes it even harder. I'm not 835 00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:46,279 Speaker 1: living the life that I should. I don't have my 836 00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:50,239 Speaker 1: American dream. But then I see these immigrants getting the 837 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,400 Speaker 1: benefit of it and getting to live with the go 838 00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:55,520 Speaker 1: on TV with my two thousand dollars glasses or whatever, 839 00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,040 Speaker 1: and so that's like sort of the humiliation ritual, like 840 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,680 Speaker 1: I'm being put down trying to abide by the rules, 841 00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:03,279 Speaker 1: watching these other people sort of get ahead off of 842 00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 1: my hard earned money. 843 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:10,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, totally. I mean, I think the most effective way 844 00:46:10,080 --> 00:46:13,359 Speaker 2: I've heard this explain if you think about like how 845 00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:16,120 Speaker 2: much we paying taxes thirty to forty percent, so you 846 00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:18,360 Speaker 2: work three to four months out of the year. 847 00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:20,040 Speaker 1: Fifty percent in California and New York. 848 00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, fifty So you work six months out of the year, 849 00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:27,040 Speaker 2: six months of your work out of the year is 850 00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 2: dedicated towards funding these programs that are just going to 851 00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:33,160 Speaker 2: people who don't seem to be working at all. 852 00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:36,600 Speaker 1: And then and then, I mean, you know, and in 853 00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,080 Speaker 1: Minnesota specifically, or in the Somali case, I believe it 854 00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,239 Speaker 1: was seventy eight percent of them that have been in 855 00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:46,360 Speaker 1: the country for more than ten years are still on welfare. 856 00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:49,200 Speaker 2: I think it was eighty percent, eighty one percent. 857 00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, So it's like that's this humiliation ritual. It's like, 858 00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:54,960 Speaker 1: we're working so hard, we're trying to get by. I'm 859 00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:58,080 Speaker 1: scrubbing toilets, I'm turning pipe, some waiting tables, whatever it 860 00:46:58,160 --> 00:47:00,560 Speaker 1: may be, and these people they don't even have a 861 00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:02,360 Speaker 1: job after ten years of coming to the country. 862 00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:05,839 Speaker 2: And that's the saying, Like the it's I think it's 863 00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:08,080 Speaker 2: getting easier to have this conversation because people are getting 864 00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:11,320 Speaker 2: so fed up. But it's very easy to race bait 865 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:16,280 Speaker 2: during these conversations and just paint people with the labels 866 00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:19,000 Speaker 2: of xenophobe, racist, nationalists, whatever it may be. But at 867 00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:20,600 Speaker 2: the end of the day, at brass Tax, it comes 868 00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:25,200 Speaker 2: down to like fairness. Yeah, Like there is an explicit 869 00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:29,160 Speaker 2: contract between US citizens and the federal government I'm going 870 00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:32,200 Speaker 2: to pay you taxes and you're supposed to do You're 871 00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,440 Speaker 2: supposed to make sure the roads are working, that healthcare 872 00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:38,400 Speaker 2: system works, that we have a banking system, whatever it 873 00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:41,279 Speaker 2: may be. Like, I'm going to work. You're supposed to 874 00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:43,680 Speaker 2: protect me and protect our borders and work in my 875 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:47,920 Speaker 2: best interest, and for that, I will siphon off a 876 00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:49,799 Speaker 2: little bit of my paycheck. Because it hasn't always been 877 00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,359 Speaker 2: that way, but that we've been conditioned, particularly in this 878 00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,640 Speaker 2: day and age over the last fifty years, that that 879 00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:58,040 Speaker 2: is the social contract and they are not upholding they're 880 00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:02,000 Speaker 2: end of the social contract. In fact, there abhorrently abusing 881 00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:06,120 Speaker 2: it to the point where it's materially detrimental to the 882 00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:09,800 Speaker 2: quality of life of American citizens. Yes, we're actually born here, Yeah, 883 00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:13,880 Speaker 2: and would like to be able to work a good job, 884 00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:16,120 Speaker 2: raise a family, and just live in peace. 885 00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean for the declaration of Independence, the government 886 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:22,600 Speaker 1: is there too uphold our God given rights of life, liberty, 887 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:26,880 Speaker 1: and property. And so if they're not protecting my life, 888 00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,200 Speaker 1: like we see a lot of violence happening, they're not 889 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,839 Speaker 1: protecting my property, they're stealing a property, then that's that's 890 00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:34,640 Speaker 1: in violation of that social contract. Uh and and I 891 00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:36,239 Speaker 1: don't want to I don't want to beat this point 892 00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:38,000 Speaker 1: into the ground. I think it's it's pretty evident. But 893 00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:40,040 Speaker 1: I'm just curious. You know, you've been in media for 894 00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:42,560 Speaker 1: a long time now, obviously with with all the things 895 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,080 Speaker 1: that you're doing, by the way, you've done such a 896 00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:48,200 Speaker 1: great job with really building TFTC back up and turn 897 00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,600 Speaker 1: into media companies. A good job on that. But as 898 00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 1: somebody who's been doing this for a long time and 899 00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:56,040 Speaker 1: source of seeing what Nick Shirley did and now you know, 900 00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:58,800 Speaker 1: all the want to be copycats like that, et cetera, 901 00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:01,000 Speaker 1: and then you know sort of wore out with the 902 00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:02,879 Speaker 1: rage bait and all that. I mean, do you think 903 00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:04,960 Speaker 1: this is like a defining moment that could really like 904 00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:06,080 Speaker 1: change this situation? 905 00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:10,920 Speaker 2: I should hope so. And I do think. I mean, 906 00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:15,920 Speaker 2: I just noticed it in my interactions with people in 907 00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:18,440 Speaker 2: my immediate network who aren't as online as me, And 908 00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:20,960 Speaker 2: I think this story has broken out. There's just been 909 00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:24,560 Speaker 2: like a fan like Ah Smalley, immigrants taking the money right, 910 00:49:24,560 --> 00:49:26,279 Speaker 2: like jokes like that, and like so I think people 911 00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:29,480 Speaker 2: are becoming more aware of it. I think the economic 912 00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:32,440 Speaker 2: stress of the time, like the inflation we suffered after COVID, 913 00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:35,360 Speaker 2: all the job destruction, particularly of the middle class that 914 00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,759 Speaker 2: happened after COVID. I think people are getting to a 915 00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:40,800 Speaker 2: breaking point where it's like, hey, something's got to happen. 916 00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:42,680 Speaker 2: And I mean you can see it in the polls too, 917 00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:45,719 Speaker 2: particularly for people who voted for Trump. They don't think 918 00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 2: he's doing enough. Yeah, Like they want him to be 919 00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:52,200 Speaker 2: more aggressive for this immigration policy. They want him to 920 00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:56,640 Speaker 2: be more aggressive in terms of holding people to account, 921 00:49:56,680 --> 00:50:02,239 Speaker 2: like Governor Waltz or ag Keith ELL's yeah in Minnesota specifically. Yeah, 922 00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:06,440 Speaker 2: And there is a large subsect of the country, many 923 00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 2: of which voted for Trump, the majority of the country 924 00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:12,480 Speaker 2: that wants him to do more and is fed up. 925 00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:15,040 Speaker 2: And so I do think we are at a critical 926 00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:19,239 Speaker 2: tipping point. And that's the other thing though, too, Like 927 00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,320 Speaker 2: we're talking about independent media, what you're doing, what I'm doing. 928 00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:26,960 Speaker 2: I think this the aftermath and Nick Shirley, what's going 929 00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:31,480 Speaker 2: on with the ice protest in Minnesota is an incredible 930 00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:35,440 Speaker 2: case study in media manipulation because I'm sure you've seen it, 931 00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,880 Speaker 2: Like President Obama gave Tom Heym saw that. 932 00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:40,040 Speaker 1: I was just thinking of that. 933 00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:44,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, the head of the head of ICE a medal 934 00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:48,440 Speaker 2: in twenty twelve for how good he did, how good 935 00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:51,520 Speaker 2: of a job he did deporting illegal immigrants, And in 936 00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:55,160 Speaker 2: twenty twelve he deported twice as many illegal immigrants as 937 00:50:55,160 --> 00:50:57,759 Speaker 2: he did in twenty twenty five. And they're just this 938 00:50:57,800 --> 00:51:01,479 Speaker 2: whole media narrative this time around where what he's doing 939 00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:05,360 Speaker 2: is bad and he's not even doing his job. I 940 00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:06,840 Speaker 2: won't say he's not doing his job as good, but 941 00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:09,319 Speaker 2: he's not even deporting as many people as he did 942 00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:12,879 Speaker 2: in twenty twelve. So there's just like a complete inversion 943 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:17,719 Speaker 2: of reality, all from media fearmongering. 944 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:20,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean even Joe Rogan is on that. I 945 00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:23,960 Speaker 1: mean even he is. I'm surprised that his takes on that. 946 00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:27,319 Speaker 1: And you know, the media can spin it however they want, 947 00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:33,600 Speaker 1: and you know they prey upon, you know, our emotions 948 00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:35,920 Speaker 1: or whatever, and so of course it's terrible and you 949 00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:39,120 Speaker 1: see fans getting broken apart in all those things. But 950 00:51:40,600 --> 00:51:42,920 Speaker 1: it'll be interesting to see how that changes, I guess, 951 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,480 Speaker 1: but again we'll see. Well, I don't want to I 952 00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:48,560 Speaker 1: don't want to spend too much some of that. I 953 00:51:48,600 --> 00:51:50,719 Speaker 1: want to finish it back kind of going back to 954 00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:54,239 Speaker 1: bitcoin you know, one of the things we talked about 955 00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:56,440 Speaker 1: sort of like the financialization that's happening and some of 956 00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:58,480 Speaker 1: the risks that's posed. We talk about the stable coins 957 00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:01,680 Speaker 1: and sort of being this maybe inter am medium of exchange, 958 00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:03,520 Speaker 1: but I want to go back to bitcoin in the 959 00:52:03,520 --> 00:52:06,080 Speaker 1: medium exchange and the rails that are going on there. 960 00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 1: A lot of people are thinking that bitcoin could sort 961 00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:12,840 Speaker 1: of be captured as like the store of value asset 962 00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:14,880 Speaker 1: and maybe it'll just succeed there. Maybe I'll buy it 963 00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:17,360 Speaker 1: through my stockbroker account or be in my retirement account 964 00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:20,400 Speaker 1: that my financial advisor manages for me, but then gets 965 00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:24,840 Speaker 1: blocked from being a medium of exchange. I guess number one, like, 966 00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:28,440 Speaker 1: do you think that's actually possible? Could it be just 967 00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:31,000 Speaker 1: moved into an SOB and still not be an MOE 968 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,200 Speaker 1: and then like what's being done to like really kind 969 00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,600 Speaker 1: of protect and build that MOE status of it. 970 00:52:38,960 --> 00:52:41,480 Speaker 2: I mean, anything's possible. So yeah, it's totally possible that 971 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:44,480 Speaker 2: for some reason or another Bitcoin gets pigeonholed as a 972 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:48,040 Speaker 2: store of value and people refuge either refuse or prevented 973 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,320 Speaker 2: from using as a medium exchange. Is that going to happen? 974 00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:52,239 Speaker 2: Is that happening no, I don't think so. I think 975 00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:57,839 Speaker 2: the rails that exists today to use bitcoin and media 976 00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:00,719 Speaker 2: as a medium of exchange or longer than they've ever 977 00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:03,440 Speaker 2: been the maturing at a quicker pace than they've ever 978 00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:08,080 Speaker 2: been maturing. And most importantly, I think more and more 979 00:53:08,120 --> 00:53:12,080 Speaker 2: people are demanding to get paid in bitcoin. I've noticed 980 00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:16,080 Speaker 2: this independently at TFTC. We have some contractors that do 981 00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:20,160 Speaker 2: work for us and pretty larly around YouTube stuff, and 982 00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:23,239 Speaker 2: I was not expecting them to be bitcoiners, but a 983 00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:26,080 Speaker 2: couple on the first invoices they send me were bitcoinner yess, 984 00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:30,880 Speaker 2: just pay me in bitcoin. Secondly, obviously we had Squares 985 00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:35,960 Speaker 2: roll out at their point of sale terminal. Any Square merchant, 986 00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:38,400 Speaker 2: four million of them across the United States can easily 987 00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:43,200 Speaker 2: turn on the bitcoin function and begin to accept bitcoins 988 00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:47,080 Speaker 2: payment and save on those interchange fees that exist with 989 00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:52,719 Speaker 2: credit and debit card systems. And then I think one 990 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:56,759 Speaker 2: thing that's not talked about enough, and this is a 991 00:53:56,760 --> 00:54:00,200 Speaker 2: bit of a theory that I have and a prediction, 992 00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:02,719 Speaker 2: and it'll take some time to play out. But if 993 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 2: this agentic economy does continue to mature and we get 994 00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:12,640 Speaker 2: past the point of individual humans using agents to do 995 00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:17,799 Speaker 2: rather rudimentary tasks for them, and things evolve to the 996 00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,600 Speaker 2: points where these agents will go in complete economic tasks. 997 00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:25,040 Speaker 2: Have to go out and buy goods and services on 998 00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:27,239 Speaker 2: the web, So you want to send your agent out 999 00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:29,840 Speaker 2: to buy you a plane ticket. That's a big conversation 1000 00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:31,680 Speaker 2: right now is like what money are they going to use? 1001 00:54:31,719 --> 00:54:35,239 Speaker 2: And you have companies like Stripes that are working in 1002 00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:40,040 Speaker 2: collaboration with stable coin companies and others trying to create 1003 00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:45,720 Speaker 2: like a unified API system that can load up agents 1004 00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,480 Speaker 2: with stable coin walllets. I think the banks are working 1005 00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:52,239 Speaker 2: on something similar, maybe not with stable coin walls, but 1006 00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,160 Speaker 2: with like a Zel like program. But I think at 1007 00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:57,600 Speaker 2: the end of the day, it's going to be Bitcoin 1008 00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:01,319 Speaker 2: over the Lightning network or cash. And so there's a 1009 00:55:01,360 --> 00:55:06,160 Speaker 2: company that recently launched called money dev Kit, founded by 1010 00:55:06,200 --> 00:55:09,920 Speaker 2: Nick Slaney and another gentleman whose name is escaping me. 1011 00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:13,040 Speaker 2: But Nick comes from the Block family of companies. He 1012 00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:18,040 Speaker 2: helped build BICKI, he helped build blocks c equals Lightning Node. 1013 00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:19,880 Speaker 2: I think he worked at cash app on some products 1014 00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:24,359 Speaker 2: as well, so we understand the sumer consumer applications very well. 1015 00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:27,719 Speaker 2: And he's building money DevKit, which is essentially the ability 1016 00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:30,600 Speaker 2: to know if you're vibe coding, spin up a non 1017 00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:34,680 Speaker 2: custodial Bitcoin wallet and begin receiving and sending payments in 1018 00:55:34,760 --> 00:55:39,560 Speaker 2: five minutes. And if you think of the aegentic economy 1019 00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:43,200 Speaker 2: emerging in the UX of an agent spinning up a wallet, 1020 00:55:43,239 --> 00:55:47,040 Speaker 2: whether it's a stable coin wallet or a Bitcoin wallet, 1021 00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:48,879 Speaker 2: I think we're going to choose the bitcoin wallet because 1022 00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:50,799 Speaker 2: UX is going to be easier because, again going back 1023 00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:54,600 Speaker 2: to kyc AML, if you just have an agent, you're like, hey, 1024 00:55:54,719 --> 00:55:57,200 Speaker 2: I need you to figure out how to receive and 1025 00:55:57,239 --> 00:56:00,600 Speaker 2: then send money as you're going about your day to 1026 00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:03,279 Speaker 2: day work for me, they can be like, Okay, let 1027 00:56:03,320 --> 00:56:05,560 Speaker 2: me check the Stripe API. Okay, you don't have a 1028 00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:08,479 Speaker 2: Stripe account. Someone needs you to get a stripe put 1029 00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:11,839 Speaker 2: in all your EI and information in that and then 1030 00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:15,279 Speaker 2: get me An API too can do that, or it 1031 00:56:15,360 --> 00:56:17,160 Speaker 2: can do the research on his own. This thing money 1032 00:56:17,160 --> 00:56:19,480 Speaker 2: dev kit exists where I can spin up a Bitcoin 1033 00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:23,120 Speaker 2: wallet and begin receiving payments within five minutes. And so 1034 00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:26,680 Speaker 2: it's maybe a hair brain theory, but I think just 1035 00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:30,480 Speaker 2: from a pure UX perspective of the ability for an 1036 00:56:30,520 --> 00:56:34,160 Speaker 2: agent to spin up a Bitcoin wallet begin receiving and 1037 00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:37,640 Speaker 2: sending payments in a very short amount of time is 1038 00:56:37,680 --> 00:56:41,000 Speaker 2: going to be a massive boon for bitcoin as a 1039 00:56:41,000 --> 00:56:45,040 Speaker 2: meetium of exchange, and that'll be the machine to machine world. 1040 00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:47,840 Speaker 2: But then on top of that, I think as inflation, 1041 00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:51,520 Speaker 2: if inflationary pressures persist, maybe not here in the United States, 1042 00:56:51,520 --> 00:56:53,480 Speaker 2: but in other areas, people are just going to demand 1043 00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:58,040 Speaker 2: better money. And I think that is continuing to happen. 1044 00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:01,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think the value and medium exchange continues 1045 00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:03,799 Speaker 1: to get broken apart. So even if I still want 1046 00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:05,920 Speaker 1: to continue to transact on dollars, I still want a 1047 00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:09,080 Speaker 1: better store value just to go back to that agent thing. 1048 00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:13,279 Speaker 1: So I didn't go to Meena this year. The year before, 1049 00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:15,120 Speaker 1: so I was December twenty twenty four. I gave the 1050 00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:17,880 Speaker 1: closing keynote there and I used a couple different charts, 1051 00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:20,720 Speaker 1: one of which is this evolutionary process of money where 1052 00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,040 Speaker 1: it goes from a collectible store value and medium exchange 1053 00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,160 Speaker 1: to the unit of account. And then I overlaid that 1054 00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:29,080 Speaker 1: to a technolological revolution cycle fifty year cycle, four phases, 1055 00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:31,640 Speaker 1: and I mapped out that I think bitcoin would hit 1056 00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:34,960 Speaker 1: the medium exchange phase between twenty thirty to twenty forty, 1057 00:57:35,000 --> 00:57:37,800 Speaker 1: and I said in that presentation the main driver would 1058 00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:42,479 Speaker 1: be agents doing that, and for many of the reasons 1059 00:57:42,480 --> 00:57:45,400 Speaker 1: that you already given, but also because they're going to 1060 00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:50,000 Speaker 1: need something programmable. So obviously with bitcoin you could you know, 1061 00:57:50,080 --> 00:57:52,000 Speaker 1: put some smart contracts on it something like that if 1062 00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,439 Speaker 1: you needed. But also if you think about like when 1063 00:57:54,560 --> 00:57:57,479 Speaker 1: agents are working more and non autonomously and they're hiring 1064 00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:01,360 Speaker 1: other agents, how much would they charge for that, Well, 1065 00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:04,920 Speaker 1: their costs are compute and energy, so it makes sense 1066 00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:09,040 Speaker 1: they'd want to energy money to offset their energy costs directly. 1067 00:58:09,200 --> 00:58:09,400 Speaker 2: Right. 1068 00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:11,480 Speaker 1: They don't need FIAT for anything, right, they have to 1069 00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:14,360 Speaker 1: offset that. So yeah, I agree with you. I think 1070 00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:17,760 Speaker 1: it's coming. It's not failed. It's just it's just an 1071 00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:21,120 Speaker 1: evolutionary process. We're not there yet, but man, the rate 1072 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:24,000 Speaker 1: the agents are progressing at this at this rate right now. 1073 00:58:24,120 --> 00:58:27,320 Speaker 1: Maybe I'm thinking too far out. Maybe it's going to 1074 00:58:27,360 --> 00:58:28,160 Speaker 1: happen much quicker. 1075 00:58:29,400 --> 00:58:32,720 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean this is just anecdotally, but if 1076 00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:36,720 Speaker 2: I were to open up my podcasting two point zero app, 1077 00:58:36,800 --> 00:58:39,040 Speaker 2: like I could show you streams of people setting me 1078 00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:42,600 Speaker 2: bitcoin over the Lightning network literally every hour of every day. Yeah, 1079 00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:48,200 Speaker 2: we'll probably receive over a thousand transactions every while just 1080 00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:51,360 Speaker 2: from the podcast alone. And then Matt and I just 1081 00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:54,560 Speaker 2: did rabbit Hole recap or live stream where we live 1082 00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:58,600 Speaker 2: stream to noster Now and that has embedded bitcoin tipping 1083 00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:02,000 Speaker 2: it as well. And we just made two hundred dollars 1084 00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:04,560 Speaker 2: talk shooting the ship for an hour in bitcoin. So 1085 00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:06,640 Speaker 2: that's like, that's bitcoin as a media make shame. Yeah, 1086 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:10,280 Speaker 2: people sending it from their walletcar wallet. Yeah, I love it. 1087 00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:12,760 Speaker 1: Well, let's let's wrap it up. I'm gonna ask you 1088 00:59:12,800 --> 00:59:18,280 Speaker 1: one last question. So you mentioned earlier stained vigilant about bitcoin. 1089 00:59:18,400 --> 00:59:23,200 Speaker 1: So is there a point where bitcoin has reached escape 1090 00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:26,920 Speaker 1: velocity and it is too big to fail, it too 1091 00:59:26,920 --> 00:59:29,520 Speaker 1: big to try to anchor back down, or are we 1092 00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:30,880 Speaker 1: always going to need to stay vigilant. 1093 00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:35,720 Speaker 2: I think we're always gonna need to stay vigilant. But 1094 00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:38,560 Speaker 2: I do think there is a point where we reached 1095 00:59:38,680 --> 00:59:42,240 Speaker 2: escape velocity, Like because here's a scenario can play it. 1096 00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,760 Speaker 2: We really we reach escape velocity. Bitcoin's out in the wild. 1097 00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:49,560 Speaker 2: We're using it like crazy, and we take for granted 1098 00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:54,880 Speaker 2: at posts escape velocity that it is working and doing 1099 00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:56,920 Speaker 2: its thing and as beautiful at it as it is, 1100 00:59:56,920 --> 00:59:59,680 Speaker 2: because it has certain properties, and this is a problem 1101 00:59:59,760 --> 01:00:03,479 Speaker 2: for like generations after us, like thirty forty years from now. 1102 01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:08,560 Speaker 2: People just don't understand how bitcoin works and why it's important, 1103 01:00:08,560 --> 01:00:11,080 Speaker 2: so they don't understand the need to actually make sure 1104 01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:15,160 Speaker 2: they're doing things the right way, running nodes, self custody, 1105 01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:17,880 Speaker 2: all that. So I think you get both. You can 1106 01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:19,760 Speaker 2: get escape velocity. You can have this period of time 1107 01:00:19,800 --> 01:00:24,360 Speaker 2: where you have a golden era of bitcoin and people 1108 01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:27,800 Speaker 2: doing it right. But if you don't impart the knowledge 1109 01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:34,000 Speaker 2: into your progenny in their progeny, that you could find 1110 01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:36,800 Speaker 2: yourself in a situation decades from now where Bitcoin's core 1111 01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:42,919 Speaker 2: properties have been perturbed and eroded because people don't care. 1112 01:00:43,000 --> 01:00:47,240 Speaker 2: I think Greg Maxwell, the bitcoin developer, put it very well. 1113 01:00:47,360 --> 01:00:49,480 Speaker 2: I think over a decade ago when he was posed 1114 01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:52,280 Speaker 2: this question on I believe Reddit or bitcoin talk dot org. 1115 01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:56,920 Speaker 2: Complacency is Bitcoin's biggest risk in the long run. So 1116 01:00:56,960 --> 01:01:00,840 Speaker 2: the way to combat complacency is staying vigilant. Yeah, and 1117 01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,280 Speaker 2: I agree it exists on the protocal level, and then 1118 01:01:03,280 --> 01:01:06,200 Speaker 2: on the social layer. Yeah. I mentioned Bitcoin Policy Institute 1119 01:01:06,240 --> 01:01:08,560 Speaker 2: a couple of times. I think what they're doing on 1120 01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:12,160 Speaker 2: the social layer, particularly as it pertains to this intersection 1121 01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:16,480 Speaker 2: of bitcoin and US government policy is extremely important too. 1122 01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:19,800 Speaker 2: Like I know, I don't like the government. I've been 1123 01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:23,160 Speaker 2: talking a lot of shit on the government during this episode. 1124 01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:29,840 Speaker 2: But I think if you do engage, engage earnestly, smartly, 1125 01:01:30,120 --> 01:01:32,920 Speaker 2: they will listen to you. And I think efforts like 1126 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:39,160 Speaker 2: those by the Bitcoin Policy Institut, Coin Center and Bitcoin 1127 01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:43,880 Speaker 2: Voter Project they're actually having material positive effects on the 1128 01:01:43,920 --> 01:01:47,800 Speaker 2: conversation around bitcoin on Capitol Hill, So that's important as well. 1129 01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:51,760 Speaker 1: On the social side, you have to stay involved. Good, good, 1130 01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:53,720 Speaker 1: good point. All right, we're going to wrap it up 1131 01:01:53,760 --> 01:01:57,600 Speaker 1: with that, Marty, thanks so much. Been fun, Mark, It's 1132 01:01:57,600 --> 01:01:58,480 Speaker 1: always a pleasure, sir,