1 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: your bets. B Joey, p Joe, Pi Zapia and this 3 00:00:07,240 --> 00:00:10,560 Speaker 1: is bp NFL. Andrew Erickson and I are here for 4 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: one more regular season week. That's right, it's the best 5 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: bets for Week eighteen. Andrew and I are going to 6 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 1: try to parse through who's left, who's playing, who's playing 7 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: for something, and who's playing for nothing, and try to 8 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,799 Speaker 1: give you our best bets for a very mundy Week 9 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: eighteen as it usually is. So make sure you subscribe 10 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: to the channel no matter where you are listening to 11 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: our podcast, and of course subscribe to the YouTube channel 12 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: as well. Download the Betting Pros app so you can 13 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: bet smarter, not harder. Andrew Erickson, I know it's been 14 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: a long year here playing the game, but it's time 15 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: to play on a little bit. So give us your 16 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 1: first pick for Week eighteen for your favorite bets. 17 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: I am laying the points with the Cincinnati Bengals at 18 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,480 Speaker 2: home against the Cleveland Browns, so this line hasn't moved 19 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 2: a lot. You're gonna see most of these lines are 20 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 2: completely different from when we talked about them on Monday, 21 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 2: so I'm sure you are be able to hop on 22 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,279 Speaker 2: some CLV, but this line has stayed pretty steady with 23 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 2: the Bengals favored by a little bit more than a touchdown. 24 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 2: I just liked them in this spot to finish the 25 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 2: season strong. You know, Zach Taylor Joe Burrow. We don't 26 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 2: see this combination very often where Joe Burrow is healthy. 27 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 2: And we've seen over the last couple of weeks the 28 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals have been blowing teams. 29 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 3: Out that have been very, very inferior. 30 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 2: They won their last two games by twenty plus points, 31 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 2: beating Miami forty five to twenty one Week sixteen, Arizona 32 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: they won thirty seven to fourteen last week in Week seventeen. 33 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 2: And what do we do every single week when the 34 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: Browns are on the road, We bet against them because 35 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 2: they have been a disaster on the road, losing fourteen 36 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 2: of their last fifteen road games. They've only covered one 37 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 2: game on the road against the spread this season, and 38 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 2: it was against the Las Vegas Raiders, who we know 39 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,919 Speaker 2: have the number one overall pick in the upcoming NFL Draft. 40 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 2: So just looking at the quality of opponent the Glvelnd 41 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 2: Browns have played when they played on the road for more. 42 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: For the most part, that has not mattered, and they 43 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 2: have struggled to cover one and six against the spread 44 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 2: on the road. Again, that only cover coming against the 45 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 2: Las Vegas Raiders. Every other road loss that they've lost 46 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 2: seven points least. So I think Cincinnati, like they did 47 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: last year, even though they were kind of out of 48 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: playoff contention, they end the season on a high note. 49 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 2: I will lay the points here with the Cincinnati Bengals 50 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 2: Sdar Sanders making another start on the road, and it's 51 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,639 Speaker 2: a chance that Harold fan and Junior the number one 52 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 2: pass catch for them, doesn't even play in this game 53 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 2: because he's done with a groin injury he left last 54 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 2: week inst Pittsburgh Steelers. So give me the Cincinnati Bengals 55 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: to again end the season on a high note. 56 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 3: And what was a lost year for Joe Burrow in company? 57 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 1: All right, My first bet of the week is for 58 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears, who are looking to lock in that 59 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: number two seed in the NFC, get a home playoff game, 60 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 1: and of course get a little bit more kind of 61 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: stick the Lions on the way out here. The Lions 62 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: disappointing season, where they're gonna find themselves on the outside 63 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: looking in of the playoffs, and my preseason prediction ended 64 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: up coming true, which was you can't lose two coordinators 65 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: in offseason and make the playoffs. And the Lions didn't 66 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: make the playoffs. But the Bears are playing for something 67 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 1: this week. Ben Johnson has come out. He has been 68 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: very vocal about this and how important it is. You 69 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: want that home playoff game. It would most likely then 70 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: be against the Green Bay Packers. Now they can get 71 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: this if the Eagles lose or if the Bears win. 72 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: So the Bears kind of control their own destiny here 73 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 1: a little bit. Now, a loss paired with an Eagles 74 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: win drops the Bears to the number three seed. That's 75 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: not where they want to be. They are two and 76 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 1: a half point favorites. I think they win this football 77 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 1: game in Chicago because, of course, we love when we 78 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,239 Speaker 1: see Jared Goff go on the road. That's always a 79 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: good thing, especially playing in Chili January winter weather never 80 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: a good thing here. So I'm gonna go with the 81 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears here minus two and a half. That's my 82 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: first of the bets for Week eighteen. Andrew Rickson, what 83 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:34,519 Speaker 1: do you have next. 84 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 2: For the people so the aforementioned Eagles, they are going 85 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: to be taking on the Washington Commanders. Philadelphia is not 86 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 2: going to be playing all of its main starters, as 87 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 2: they're trying to prioritize health more than trying to move 88 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 2: up to the number two seed. Again, They're still probably 89 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: going to host a home game regardless, and we'll see 90 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 2: how things kind of shake out with the other teams 91 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: in the NFC. But it's gonna be Josh Johnson that's 92 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 2: going to be starting for the Washington Commanders. So I 93 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: do I like the Eagles laying the points here. We've 94 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 2: seen the spread move pretty dramatically. This was I think 95 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 2: Eagles minus seven on Tuesday, and now as we're recording 96 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 2: this on Friday, it is down to Eagles minus four, 97 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 2: Eagles minus three. 98 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 3: And a half. 99 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 2: I don't hate that number, but I actually like the 100 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 2: under on the game total even more. Just give me 101 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:20,039 Speaker 2: the under thirty nine points. Josh Johnson I don't think 102 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 2: is an NFL caliber starting quarterback. He is a backup 103 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 2: for a reason, and his reason he's played for twelve 104 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 2: billion teams it's because he's not very good. So I 105 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,159 Speaker 2: like the Eagles, even though they're gonna be resting some 106 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 2: of their starters. I like this game to be lower 107 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 2: scoring and going back to my favorite trend all year long, 108 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 2: the Lasso lag. After teams faced the Dallas Cowboys, who 109 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 2: we saw them play on Christmas in the game, of 110 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: course went over the total, because every time you play 111 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 2: the Dallas Cowboys, it goes over the game total. Teams 112 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 2: are two to two and eleven towards the over following 113 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: their game against the Dallas Cowboys. So Washington playing on 114 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 2: the road here against Philadelphia. Seven the eagles last eight 115 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: games have gone under the point total. I think it's 116 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,719 Speaker 2: just a classic case of hey, Eagles, get in, get out, 117 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 2: win the game, move on. Hopefully maybe they can move 118 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 2: up to the number two seed if the Bears don't 119 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 2: end up beating the Detroit Lions. But if not, hey, 120 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 2: their guys are healthy. They get another win against the 121 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,280 Speaker 2: Washington Commanders, who just a disastrous season for Washington And 122 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 2: what's the point of even starting Josh Johnson really, like, 123 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: like why not get a look at like some of 124 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 2: these other quarterbacks on the roster. I just disasterrous season. 125 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 2: Eleven of the eagles last fifteen home games have also 126 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 2: gone under the points total, so think if financial field 127 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 2: is kind of home tours the under, and that's where 128 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet this game under thirty nine points? 129 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: All right? Next one for me, New England Patriots. It's 130 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 1: a double digit number. But you know what, I watched 131 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 1: Drake May surgically carve up the New York Jets last Sunday, 132 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: and I think it's time for a repeat of that 133 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:45,599 Speaker 1: against the Miami Dolphins. Some still is recording this on 134 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,119 Speaker 1: a Friday. Some questions about who's gonna really be playing 135 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: for the Dolphins here as they close out the season. 136 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,040 Speaker 1: But it's gonna be quin Yours on the road in 137 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: thirty degree weather at the High by the Way for 138 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: the day, and New England's playing for a shot at 139 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 1: the number one seed. They're playing at four o'clock hour, 140 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: same time as Nenver Broncos. That way, nobody's scoreboard watching. 141 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: Everybody's just trying to get that w So I expect 142 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 1: the Patriots to be full tilted they try to get 143 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: that bye week and two home playoff games, even though 144 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: they've been road warriors all year. I'd like to see 145 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: the Patriots try to get that number one seed the 146 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 1: bye and have a couple of home games two to 147 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: the super Bowl. That seems like a much easier path 148 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 1: to me. Now will they get that? We shall see 149 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 1: Denver controls their own destiny. But with the Miami Dolphins 150 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: coming down in a winter time in January into Foxborough, 151 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 1: yes it's a big number, but I think New England 152 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: will win this game handily by two touchdowns. So give 153 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: me the minus ten and a half year on the 154 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: pat side, Andrew Erickson, I know I've got some more 155 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: stuff for this game, and so do you. So let's 156 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: talk about Hunter Henry because he's got some incentives I 157 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: know this week. 158 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,239 Speaker 2: Yes, I talked about this on the Fantasy Bureaus Prediction 159 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 2: show with Worm, where I wasn't laying sides here. I 160 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 2: wasn't picking sides between the Patriots Dolphins because I'm obviously 161 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: rooting for my Patriots to win. So I Patriots, our Patriots, 162 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 2: soon to be everybody's Patriots because we're all back in 163 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 2: never Patriots. So I'm going to Hunter Henry here, who 164 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 2: is a five catches away from a contract incentive of 165 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 2: sixty catches where he can earn an additional five hundred K. 166 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 2: He actually has another one at sixty five receptions. I 167 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 2: don't know if he's gonna catch that many passes in 168 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 2: this game, but he only needs five to hit his 169 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 2: first contract bonus. His receptions prop line is usually around 170 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 2: three and a half. 171 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 3: Now, they haven't. 172 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 2: Released all of the player props just because of the 173 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 2: ambiguity about what teams are doing certain players playing. I 174 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 2: know that there's some question marks about whether Steffan Diggs 175 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 2: is going to play in this game, so I think 176 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 2: that's kind of why where the books are holding out. 177 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 2: But I would expect that this line is dropped around 178 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 2: three and a half or even four receptions. I would 179 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 2: take the over on that because Henry just needs five 180 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 2: to hit that number. It's a good matchup against the 181 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins. They're allowing the second most catch to tight 182 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 2: ends this season, six point five per game. And it's 183 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 2: also considering that Minka Fitzpatrick, the safety for the Dolphins, 184 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: probably isn't going to play in this game, so Miami's 185 00:07:57,800 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 2: got a couple injuries on the defensive side of the football. 186 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 2: Hunter Henry has been the checkdown guy for Drake May 187 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 2: all year long, and if there is no stefon Diggs 188 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 2: or if he's disciplined by the team, internally, he doesn't 189 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 2: play his normal allotment of snaps. I think that Henry 190 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 2: will kind of emerge as the go to guy for 191 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: Hunter Henry in a positive matchup. So give me the 192 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 2: over on his receptions prop once it drops on hard 193 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 2: Rock bet. 194 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 1: And on that note, that brings me to my third one, 195 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna stay in this gave me a lot of 196 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: bets of this game. Drake May over two fifteen and 197 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: a half passing yards. Now, he's gone over this number 198 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 1: every single week since Week eight, except for that game 199 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:32,679 Speaker 1: against the Buffalo Bills where they put up a lot 200 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: of points and they kind of fell apart in the 201 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: second half, so it's a pretty good number. They're pretty 202 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: good spot. I do think Diggs will end up playing 203 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 1: because again, this legal stuff tends to drag on quite 204 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: a bit from the NFL perspective many many times, sometimes 205 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,199 Speaker 1: over many seasons and years. We've seen that happen as well, 206 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: So we're going to take our time on that one. 207 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:51,959 Speaker 1: But Drake May two to fifteen a half passing yards. 208 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 1: I think we will get the over on this one, 209 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: and I expect Hunter Henry, like Andrew does, to be 210 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: busy all the time all day long as well. Speaking 211 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,839 Speaker 1: of kid yourself busy, this is a great time to 212 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: keep yourself busy with our discord Bettingpros dot com slash chat. 213 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 1: It's a great place to get insights. Matt Paroltz on 214 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: there all the time answering questions. He's the big googer 215 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,320 Speaker 1: around this spot here on Betting Pros, and of course 216 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: if you're looking for insights on NBA, NFL, Major League 217 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:17,959 Speaker 1: Baseballs around the corner too. We got the college football 218 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: playoffs rocking and rolling here. Big upset last night and 219 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: Miami upset on Thursday as well. So lots of fun 220 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 1: stuff happening right now when you could be in on 221 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 1: all of it on our discord again, bettingpros dot com 222 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: slash chat. It's free, it's fun. It's a great way 223 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: to get picks, get insights, and make some cash, all right, 224 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 1: Number four on our list, Andrew, you talked a little 225 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: bit about incentives. Now I'm gonna talk about incentives. It's 226 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 1: a tough matchup here for Tony Pollard and the Tennessee 227 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: Tides against the Jags defense. However, he is just sixty 228 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:47,839 Speaker 1: six yards away from a two hundred and fifty thousand 229 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: dollars bonus, also two touchdowns away from another two hundred. 230 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna get the two touchdowns, but 231 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: I do think he gets the sixty six yards. Do 232 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 1: I think he gets a lot more than that? Probably not, 233 00:09:57,880 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 1: But the over under here is sixty six and a 234 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 1: half for him, and I'm gonna go over that number. 235 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:04,960 Speaker 1: I think he can get that. Andrew Erickson, what is 236 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:06,559 Speaker 1: your next pick for Week eighteen? 237 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:10,199 Speaker 2: I'm going to the Arizona Cardinals catching seven and a 238 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 2: half points playing at the Los Angeles Rams because I 239 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 2: think Sean mcvays a liar. Jolly honest, I don't really 240 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 2: care what he has to say about. Oh well, our 241 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 2: starters are gonna play. So are they gonna play the 242 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 2: whole game? 243 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:21,840 Speaker 3: Sean? Are they gonna play the first half? They're gonna 244 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 3: play the first quarter? 245 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 4: Like? 246 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 3: What are we gonna see? 247 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 2: Because your sample size of playing your stars in week 248 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:29,679 Speaker 2: eighteen is non existent, Like you don't care about playing 249 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: those specific players. Now there's a little bit of okay, 250 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 2: what are they playing for? Because there's a chance that 251 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 2: there's literally nothing for them to play for. If the 252 00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 2: Seattle Seahawks end up beating the forty nine ers, So 253 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 2: I think that's something to kind of keep in mind. 254 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 3: With the incentive. 255 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 2: Obviously, the Rams would like to get up to that 256 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: number five seed so that they could play the winner 257 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 2: of the NFC South, which is definitely a better draw 258 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 2: than going to you know, Philadelphia or Chicago whoever had 259 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,599 Speaker 2: that shakes out for the number two three seed, but 260 00:10:57,640 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 2: there's a chance that the Rams to him to make 261 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 2: that or have that choice. So I think that this 262 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 2: is more of a hey, I want our guys to prepare, 263 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:05,959 Speaker 2: want them to be in the mindset of, Okay, we're 264 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 2: going to win this game. And Week eighteen, it's a 265 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 2: really big deal against a divisional opponent against Arizona Cardinals. 266 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 2: But I think when push comes to shove, like he's 267 00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 2: gonna want to get his guys out of there, and 268 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 2: it wants to make sure that Matthew Stafford, DeVante Adams, 269 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:18,959 Speaker 2: offensive line, Blake korm all these guys are one hundred 270 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 2: percent healthy for when it really really matters, And this 271 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 2: game doesn't really really matter for anything. So Arizona is 272 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 2: live to cover any spread anyway because of how often 273 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 2: that they drop back to throw the football. This game 274 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 2: is being played indoors, so I like Arizona to cover here. 275 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 3: Again. 276 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 2: We've seen a lot of line movement from the week 277 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 2: of the early look Ahead line show we did on Monday. 278 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: This is the one that I still like a decent amount, 279 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 2: even though it's not as big as it once was. 280 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 2: I think it was like plus ten and a half 281 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 2: before that Monday night football game kicked off. We all 282 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: kind of thought the Rams were going to win. They 283 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,199 Speaker 2: didn't win that game, so it made Week eighteen maybe 284 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 2: a little bit more impactful for them, But I don't really. 285 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 3: See it that way. 286 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 2: So give me the Arizona Cardinals catching touchdown plus on 287 00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 2: the road here against the Rams, because don't think you're 288 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 2: going to see Matthew Stafford in the second half. 289 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you're probably right. I can't wait to 290 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: see what Andrews best bet of the week is. We'll 291 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:06,439 Speaker 1: get to that in just a second, because we got 292 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: one more to go here and this one. Sometimes by 293 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 1: the end of the year, you have to kind of 294 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:15,080 Speaker 1: throw a logic out the window, or at least learn 295 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: something from what you've seen in the season. If we've 296 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,839 Speaker 1: played seventeen weeks and you haven't learned anything, then Week 297 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: eighteen sankna teach anything. And the one thing I've learned 298 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: about the Baltimore Ravens is they don't always win the 299 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 1: games are supposed to win, and the Pittsburgh Steelers don't 300 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,080 Speaker 1: always lose the games they're supposed to lose. So what 301 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 1: happens here when you have the immovable force meets the 302 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin object. You have a situation here where the 303 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: Steelers are underdogs at home on a primetime game win 304 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,319 Speaker 1: or go home here scenario. I don't know how healthy 305 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's going to be. I can't speak to that. 306 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 1: I don't think any of us can. I saw Derek 307 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 1: Henry run amok a week ago. That was pretty impressive. 308 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 1: Got to stick with that, right, Maybe we've learned something, 309 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 1: But then again, did we have to learn that John 310 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 1: Harbaugh necessarily? I don't know what it is, but I 311 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: feel like the Ravens continue have this division the palm 312 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:04,840 Speaker 1: of their hand and continue to pass it off every 313 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: chance they get to the Pittsburgh Steelers, and I think 314 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: they're gonna do it yet again. So I'm gonna go 315 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 1: with the Pittsburgh Steelers here plus three and a half 316 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 1: against the Baltimore Ravens. This one's in Pittsburgh. We'll see 317 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: if we get TJ. Watt back for this game. It's 318 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: a huge game. I believe we probably will because the 319 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 1: impact of it, and one of these coaches is gonna 320 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: be on the hot seat. Who loses this football game, 321 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 1: that's for sure. So again, should the Ravens win, Yes, 322 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: we learned this year that that's not always the case. 323 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 1: We have and I think we're gonna see it again. 324 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: And I do not think that without DK Metcalf, the 325 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers should be in a position to win this game, 326 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 1: and somehow I think they will find a way to 327 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 1: do just that. So Laura on that. In just a moment, 328 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson, give us your last bet here of the 329 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 1: week before we get to our favorite bets of the week. 330 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 2: Sticking to the Cardinals in rams game, I'm going back 331 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 2: to Michael Wilson to go over sixty five and a 332 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 2: half receiving yards. He needs ninety three receiving yards to 333 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 2: get to a thousand yards for the first time in 334 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 2: his NFL career. 335 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:03,680 Speaker 3: What else are the Cardinals playing for here? Again? 336 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 2: Trey McBride already broke all the tight end records so 337 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 2: if anything is just hey, let's make his records even. 338 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 3: Harder to break for future tight end. 339 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 2: So let's just feed him a billion targets and the 340 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 2: next guy that also just absolutely feasts every time that 341 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,680 Speaker 2: Marvin Harrison Junior doesn't play. We're not expecting Harrison Junior 342 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 2: to play. I think he's already been ruled out after 343 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 2: he injured. I think his other heel in Week seventeen, 344 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 2: Michael Wilson has just basically turned into Jerry Rice two 345 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 2: point zero with the when Marvin Harrison Junior has missed time, 346 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 2: he has gone over sixty five and a half receiving 347 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 2: yards in three of the four games that Harrison has 348 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 2: missed completely. He's gone over one hundred and eighteen yards 349 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 2: in three of those four games. So he's been an 350 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 2: absolute monster when Harrison has been out of the lineup 351 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 2: average one hundred and twenty five yards per game without 352 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 2: Harrison Junior in the lineup. So sixty five and a 353 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 2: half receiving yards I don't think is high enough for 354 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 2: where his receiving lide should be. Given that they know 355 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 2: ninety three is that key number for him to get 356 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 2: to a thousand. I think they're going to get him there, 357 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: so take the over on sixty five and a half 358 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: alted up seventy eighty ninety six. I think ultimately they're 359 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 2: going to get into a one thousand yards. 360 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 1: All right, it's time everybody for our best bets for 361 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 1: Week eighteen, brought to you by our sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 362 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 1: Today's show is brought to you by hard Rock Bet sports 363 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: but Florida's sportsbook and the official sports book partner of 364 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: favorite Florida teams like the Jags, the Buccaneers, the Heat, 365 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 1: the Magic, and the Panthers. In Week eighteen, playoff spots 366 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 1: are on the line. If you think you know how 367 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 1: it's going to play out, then build the same game 368 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 1: partly on hard Rock Bet and turn game day into payday. 369 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: Or if you're more into the hardwood than the grid iron, 370 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 1: that you can put up the shots in the NBA. 371 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 1: College football is going on too at hard Rock Bet. 372 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: Everything's happening. Even college hoops is heating up as well, 373 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: so you can bind all your favorite football basketball bets 374 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: too if you want across a Week eighteen parly, there's 375 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: lots of fun things you could do, and if you 376 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 1: miss the start of the game, don't worry. Hard Rock 377 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: Bet has live in game betting as well, so you're 378 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 1: never too late to bet on football or hoops all 379 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 1: season long. And if you want to get a winner, 380 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: well here's what you do. This is a great offer. 381 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: You bet five bucks, you get one hundred and fifteen 382 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 1: boused bets when that bet hits only on hard Rock Bet, 383 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: and right now it's available in Florida, as I said, Arizona, Ohio, 384 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado, and Michigan. Coming 385 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: soon to more states near you. Payble and bonus bets 386 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of 387 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 1: Florida and Florida offered by the Seminal hard Rock Digital 388 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: LLC in other states. Must be twenty one plus in 389 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 390 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 1: or Virginia. Play terms of conditions apply. Concerned about gambling 391 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: in Florida, call one eight three three play wise. In Indiana, 392 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: if you are someone you know as a gambling problem, 393 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: laws help called one eight hundred and nine. With it 394 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: gambling problem called one eight hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, 395 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Andrew Erickson my best bet 396 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: of the day, I'm still going with New England Patriots 397 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: fighting for that one seed, putting a hurtin on the 398 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins in the cold North, not someplace that Dolphins 399 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: typically play very well. Rookie quarterback on the road. I 400 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: think this is going to get ugly, not quite Jets 401 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,480 Speaker 1: Patriots ugly, but I do think it will be a 402 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 1: two touchdown game at least, So give me the ten 403 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: and a half. And Andrew Rickson, what's your best bet 404 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 1: for Week eighteen. 405 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 2: I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven and a 406 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:03,080 Speaker 2: half hosting the Cleveland Browns. Just the Browns are one 407 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 2: of these teams that you just have to continue to 408 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 2: bet against when they go on the road. Their last 409 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 2: fifteen road games, they have lost fourteen of their last 410 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 2: fifteen road games, and they have failed to cover the 411 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 2: spread eleven of their last twelve road games win and 412 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 2: six against the spread on the road this season. As 413 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 2: I mentioned earlier in the show, the only time they've 414 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 2: covered on the road, Wichard dr Sanders first start against 415 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Raiders, who are holding the number one 416 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 2: draft pick in this upcoming draft to season, So they 417 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 2: beat the worst team in the NFL on the road. 418 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,760 Speaker 2: But besides that, it has been a no buoying of 419 00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 2: situation for Cleveland Owens seven against the spread after win 420 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:41,000 Speaker 2: as well, So Cleveland plucky last week beating the Pittsburgh Steelers. 421 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,919 Speaker 2: And another element to this bet, too, Joe, is there 422 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,640 Speaker 2: were so much emphasis last week put on Miles Garrett 423 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 2: and how the Steelers were going out of their way 424 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 2: to make sure that we can't let them get the 425 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 2: sack record. I think that could work opposite for the 426 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 2: Browns this week, where they're so fixated, Oh, we got 427 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,640 Speaker 2: to get make sure Miles Garrett gets that last sack. 428 00:17:58,760 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 2: We got to make sure he sacks show. 429 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 1: Oh he's gonna get it. He didn't play in the Cincinnati. 430 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 2: Bengals, Okay, But what I'm saying is if they're gonna 431 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 2: be able to do that, if they're running football effectively 432 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 2: with Chase Brown, Like what if they're going to do 433 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 2: what if he doesn't get in the first half, then 434 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,159 Speaker 2: the the other pass rushers, the other defensive players, they 435 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 2: start pressing a little bit. Maybe some of the other 436 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 2: pass rushers think, oh, I got to take some off 437 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 2: the gas here because I gotta make sure Miles Garrett 438 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 2: gets to the quarterback, not me getting to the quarterback. 439 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 3: He needs a full sack, not a half sack. 440 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,679 Speaker 2: So I just think that they're gonna be so preoccupied 441 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 2: with other things they're not gonna be try to worry 442 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 2: about winning this game, which is why I like the 443 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,440 Speaker 2: Bengals laying the points here. So yeah, I ultimately I 444 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 2: agree with you. 445 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 3: Yah. 446 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,199 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna get it, but the Bengals are 447 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 2: gonna win by more than a touchdown, So yeah, okay. 448 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:38,880 Speaker 1: Arry have it. Everybody. Remember you can put these two 449 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 1: things together on hard Rock Bet and get plus two 450 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 1: fifty two in a little parlay. Are our favorite bets 451 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 1: for Week eighteen. 452 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 4: Again. 453 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 1: You can bet five bucks, get one hundred and fifty 454 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 1: and bonus bets when you win plus your winnings only 455 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,400 Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet. This is the time to download 456 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 1: the app so you can enjoy Week eighteen and again 457 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,640 Speaker 1: all the sports even in the state of Florida. All Right, 458 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,719 Speaker 1: last one here, upset special. I'd been pretty good seven 459 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:04,240 Speaker 1: and ten on the upset specials. That's not bad. Andrew 460 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 1: ericson upset specials are tough. And I've been on a 461 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 1: streak to four in a row last couple. I'm gonna 462 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 1: finish strong here in this last one. And you know 463 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: where I'm going. I already talked about it, so I'm 464 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 1: not gonna beat the horse till it's dead. The Pittsburgh 465 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:20,399 Speaker 1: Steelers should lose this game. Baltimore Ravens are a better team. 466 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,919 Speaker 1: I think they have better talent. I think in a 467 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: lot of ways, better skill players, better situation, better pizza, 468 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 1: Papa John's, They've got everything. But for some reason, the 469 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens just have shown you who they are and 470 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,280 Speaker 1: in these games that really matter, they just cannot show up. 471 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: They just cannot do it. Should they give the ball 472 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: to Derrick Henry five thousand times? They should? If he 473 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:44,880 Speaker 1: fumbles again, will they go away from him? I don't know, 474 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,120 Speaker 1: Maybe they will. All I know is I've watched enough 475 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: Ravens football and Steelers football to know two things. Every 476 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,119 Speaker 1: time the Ravens are in a position to win a 477 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:55,399 Speaker 1: game that they should win and take a hold of 478 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,120 Speaker 1: this division, they blow it. And every time the Pittsburgh 479 00:19:58,119 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: Steelers are in a position where I go out, well, 480 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,400 Speaker 1: this is not going to go out for the Pittsburgh 481 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 1: Steelers like Detroit, like many other games that I can 482 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,399 Speaker 1: just harke him back to throughout the season. Somehow the 483 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 1: Steelers find a way and I think this will be 484 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 1: a big night with a big crowd in Pittsburgh, very 485 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,919 Speaker 1: excited to knock the Ravens out of the playoffs. So 486 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 1: give me the Pittsburgh Steelers. Shout out to you, Scott 487 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 1: bog And I don't know why I point to the sky. 488 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: He's still alive. Plus one seventy nine on the money 489 00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:26,879 Speaker 1: line for the Pittsburgh Steelers. 490 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 3: That I like this because what's the process? Say? 491 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 2: When it's you just take whoever the underdog is, and 492 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 2: that bet usually cashes every single time, and it does 493 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 2: especially with a plus three and a half where that's 494 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 2: your best bet. Yeah, they don't even have to win 495 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 2: this game to cover the spread. But I think from 496 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,680 Speaker 2: it against the spread perspective, you gotta take this year 497 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,679 Speaker 2: again is they're a home underdog, right, This is like 498 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 2: betting one on one Mike Tom and home underdog. 499 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I bet that guy and I'll get against that. 500 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 1: In recent years, even last year in the playoffs, I 501 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 1: told everybody, no, they're gonna get their ass kicked, and 502 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 1: they did in the playoffs. But this year's a little different. 503 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 1: This isn't the this isn't Russell Wilson playing quarterback either. 504 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: It's Aaron Rodgers. And this could be Aaron rodgers last 505 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 1: game too, And I don't think he wants to go 506 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,359 Speaker 1: out like that. I'm just telling you right now, inspired football. 507 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:10,639 Speaker 3: By Aaron Rodgers. 508 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:11,320 Speaker 1: Do you like? 509 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,200 Speaker 2: Is your confidence higher with the Steelers if it's against 510 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 2: Lamar and not Tyler Huntley? 511 00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 3: Or do you not? 512 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: I have no confidence in either team. Confidence is not 513 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,879 Speaker 1: the word I would use to describe my feelings about 514 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: either of these teams. I think both are gonna get 515 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 1: bounced in the first round no matter what. In the AFC. 516 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: Right you look at some of these teams like Jacksonville 517 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: playing great football, Houston playing good football. You know, the 518 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: New Englan Patriots can't lose on the road all year. 519 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 1: It's it's crazy, like I just think they're they're teams 520 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: playing good Denver Broncos obviously, but you know whoever it 521 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: ends up beating for them in this first round and 522 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: on how it's gonna shake out with the seating. 523 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:49,919 Speaker 3: Houston or Buffalo problem. 524 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,359 Speaker 1: And Josh Allen I think would beat both of these teams. 525 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: And I can always say Josh Allen because I don't 526 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 1: say the Buffalo Bills because I think that's the way 527 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 1: we should look at the Buffalo Bills. 528 00:21:58,800 --> 00:21:59,919 Speaker 3: Him and James Cook the. 529 00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 1: I think the Houston Texans would destroy either of these 530 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: two teams. 531 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,679 Speaker 3: Well, it is on the road that will be. 532 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 2: They will be at road, like whoever wins this game 533 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,960 Speaker 2: will host a home game, and gods Berg is a 534 00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:12,360 Speaker 2: They do have home deal advantage there right is one of. 535 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 3: The travel has it? 536 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,119 Speaker 1: He's in Texas have defense. 537 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:20,160 Speaker 3: Bad offensive lines. Don't travel though, is very very bad. 538 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,120 Speaker 1: Well cross that bridge next Monday here on the program, 539 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 1: because of course we'll give you the early wildcard lines 540 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 1: with Andrew Ericson and myself. That'll do it for us, 541 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson. 542 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. 543 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 2: Kids. 544 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 4: Enjoy Week eighteen. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 545 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,479 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 546 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 547 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 4: or Spotify. 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