1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcasts podcas. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 2: All right, here we. 3 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 3: Go spreading the court. 4 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 4: Ten seconds remaining. 5 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:16,240 Speaker 1: Can just go show me up to the basket. 6 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the true for the wind. 7 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: God make a miracle. 8 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 2: I'm good up the water. Hit that one from the 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 2: parking lot. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 2: I am your host on this Monday episode, Jim Root, 11 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 2: joined by the rest of the three men. We have crew, 12 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 2: Kai McEwan and Matt Cox. We are here for our 13 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 2: weekly start of the Week episode where we walk through 14 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 2: the Monday and Tuesday slates all things betting in the 15 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 2: world of college basketball. Talking big games, big mid major games, 16 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 2: potential live dogs, some favorite favorites, some overdogs, some some 17 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: spots that we like based off set us in the schedule, 18 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 2: and then we'll recap everything we liked at the very 19 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 2: end of the show. Had a good week last week, fellas, 20 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: everybody had a nice productive record except for Matteo. But 21 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 2: that's okay, that's a little value. 22 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 4: I suck. You think I'm kept. 23 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: I'm keeping the damage minimal, though minimal minimal jabs at 24 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: least when it's the bleeding. 25 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 2: Get hot, shoot to stay hot, Madge's So that's what 26 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 2: Kai and I are doing. 27 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 4: Enthusiastic shooter, Jim. 28 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: Good god, let's get you yeah, let's get you chucking. 29 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 2: Let's get you chucking. We're gonna start with big games, fellas. 30 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 2: We got one huge one on Monday in the Big twelve, 31 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 2: and then a couple of big clashes on Tuesday as well. 32 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,760 Speaker 2: Tuesday really been a great day of basketball this season 33 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 2: with the way the SEC schedule has a line. So 34 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 2: we'll get to that in a second, but we'll start 35 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 2: with Monday. Kai, Iowa State on the second leg of 36 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: the Arizona road trip. They forked the forks up Sun 37 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 2: Devils on Saturday. I believe they were down by two 38 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 2: and then they won by fifteen as a eleven point 39 00:01:56,880 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: or ten point road favorite. Now they go down to Tucson, Arizona, 40 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: about two and a half hour drive travel. Not much 41 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 2: of a big deal here. Elon Chilovich still out for 42 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 2: the Cyclones. Ken Palm has thrown US Iowa State minus too. Kai. 43 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 2: We actually probably do have opening lines as. Let's keep 44 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 2: an eye on that. What do you think with this 45 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 2: game of cyclones on the road. 46 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 3: Gosh, Jim, you know, I lean towards Iowa State. As 47 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 3: you said, not a lot of travel here. I think 48 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:27,399 Speaker 3: the mom Chilovich absence has not been a big deal 49 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 3: for Iowa State because they have Curtis Jones, who has 50 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 3: become an All American before our eyes. More minutes for 51 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 3: him is not a bad thing, and I just think 52 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 3: they don't really need mom Chilovich's presence. 53 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 4: He brings a lot of scoring. 54 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 3: I don't think he moves the needle a ton defensively, 55 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 3: so Iowa State theoretically plays better defenders. They sell a 56 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 3: bunch of scoring. This team is a top five team 57 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 3: for me in the country. Title contender for sure. Arizona 58 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 3: very good team, Matthew. They've done very well on Big 59 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 3: twelve play, but I don't think they're quite Ioways say 60 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 3: it's caliber. So with the load travel here, with the 61 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 3: low spread based taking iOS hit to win this game, 62 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 3: I think it is one and a half most places 63 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 3: on the opener, I like the Clones, Matthew to get 64 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 3: it done. 65 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would say minus one basically everywhere, A total 66 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: one to fifty two for those interested. Feels like that's 67 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: a you know, once upon a time that was an 68 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: Ioways State underfield, but Iowa State scores one hundred now 69 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 1: on occasion, so I gotta kind of change your perception. 70 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: And Jim, that's what's been so impressive is like they've 71 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: used these offensive bursts to escape lay in games against 72 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: Arizona State, even at Colorado, and they were kind of 73 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: indicy with the Buffaloes to start, like they had these 74 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,399 Speaker 1: that late spurt. I like Arizona here looking at Bart 75 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: Torovik's tool time filter snapshots since w or sorry January fifth, 76 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: which is basically like the first day post the Christmas 77 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: break return week, like the first real starting conference play 78 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: Arizona minus three, and I've been playing really well. I 79 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: think they've really kind of gotten off some of the 80 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: I don't know, I guess rolling consistency. 81 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 4: But this comes down to Caleb Love. Right. 82 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: You don't want to ever bet big, big US dollars 83 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: on Caleb Love, but I do think this is a 84 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 1: good Caleb Love game. So I'm going to ride the 85 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: Zona mojo. And I'm not afraid of Iowa State. I'm 86 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: not scared of them. 87 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 4: They're awesome. I'm not scared of. 88 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 2: I'm afraid of them in the second half. Matt As, 89 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 2: you're kind of mentioned it. Yeah, they first year like 90 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: a gas pedal where they accelerate. But yeah, I mean 91 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 2: they only put up fifty seven at West Virginia on 92 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 2: the road. Tough environment, really good defensive team. Arizona's not 93 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 2: quite West Virginia defensively, but they're both top thirty defenses. 94 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: I think they could maybe frustrate the really potent backcourt 95 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 2: of Iowa State. I would say it's also gotten a 96 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,559 Speaker 2: lot of production from Josh Jefferson as a passer. They 97 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 2: play through him a bunch. I kind of trust Arizona's 98 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 2: forwards to have the athleticism and mobility to move with 99 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 2: him and not give him as many opportunities. I actually 100 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 2: lead to Arizona here as well. Again, basically a toss 101 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 2: up coin foot type game here. But I think Houston 102 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 2: leaves Tuesday with a two game lead in the Big 103 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 2: Twelve after they survived at Kansas. 104 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: So I think Iowa robbery and Lawrence. 105 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, crazy, crazy game. They're point four percent chance to win. 106 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 4: Houston had well Arizona b eight and one. Though, Jim right, 107 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 4: maybe you. 108 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 2: Know what guy great call, I forgot that Arizona's right now. 109 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 4: About those cats? 110 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, uh, the the schedule that's stiffened for Arizona starting 111 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 2: now though, so we'll see if they're able to stay 112 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 2: right up there. But that's the big one Monday, we 113 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 2: will shift to Tuesday. We're also in the Big twelve. 114 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 2: Baylor is on the second leg of a road trip. 115 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 2: There's this the elevation trip. Now they take on BYU. 116 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 2: Who Boy, Maddie. The Cougars gave Cincinnati the business late 117 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 2: late Saturday night. Not sure how many people stayed up 118 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 2: to watch that game, but it was a just a 119 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 2: trouncing by the host Cougars. So they're starting to look better. 120 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 2: Yegor Demon's starting to really round into form his potential 121 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 2: lottery pick. Baylor again on that back end of the 122 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:46,359 Speaker 2: elevation trip, not as much travel, but there is the 123 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:50,279 Speaker 2: elevation factor. In terms of conditioning, we are looking at 124 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 2: a market price of I keep looking at Kenpom lines. 125 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 2: I forget we have real lines. No, this is Tuesday, 126 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 2: so we don't. We don't have lines b YU minus 127 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:59,080 Speaker 2: three per Kenpom Matthew. 128 00:05:58,880 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: And. 129 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 4: I feel like that should probably be close to what 130 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:03,160 Speaker 4: it is. 131 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: I doubt there's like any major shade here like Baylor 132 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 1: or BYU or not one of these teams where kim 133 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: Pom's just way off from the market perception. So I 134 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: think it's a pretty good projection. The second leg of 135 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,679 Speaker 1: the altitude thing has me intrigued. I just backed Utah 136 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: stupidly against Baylor Kai who was shorthanded yet again. But 137 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 1: Baylor again sort of I think just outclassed Utah in 138 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 1: terms of just talent. I would say, I don't know 139 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: if they have that edge here against BYU, and I 140 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:28,479 Speaker 1: like what Kevin Young talked about after their win against Cincinnati, 141 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 1: like they've really opened up their offense a little more. 142 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: They're not running as many like pick and roll continuity 143 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: stuff that've actually kind of just allowed more freedom. I 144 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: think with the return of Demon and the return of Saunders, 145 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 1: there's sort of this new chapter of BYU season forming, 146 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 1: and I'm kind of into it. So I think in 147 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: the spot here, I'm probably gonna be stubborn. I will 148 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: probably fade Baylor again just on the lack of depth 149 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: that altitude second leg and just sort of the good 150 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: mojo I'm getting from BYU right now. 151 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I have a really hard time deciphering what BYU 152 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 3: is the result. I mean, they blew sense out, Yes, Bearcats. 153 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 3: Now it was five for twenty eight from three versus 154 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 3: fifteen for twenty four from three. I mean the three 155 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 3: point discrepancy there Bou Cincinnati was insane. Bou hasn't beaten 156 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 3: any good teams. They have no wins against the top 157 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 3: fifty team right now in Kim Palm. A little bit bizarre, 158 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 3: But as a Baylor backer against Utah, I do lean 159 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 3: towards BYU on this second leg. I didn't think the 160 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 3: roach injury was a huge deal in a one game setting. 161 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 3: I think they are fantastic players despite their depth, But 162 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 3: on a road trip with elevation, I think the five 163 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 3: six man rotation does hurt Baylor quite a bit. 164 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 4: And Bo, you can really score? Can you can really score? 165 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 4: I'm not really intimiated by Baylor's defense. 166 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 3: They tend to get smoked from outside, and I think 167 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 3: the all you can keep their shooting going at least 168 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 3: one more game here. I don't think the market's going 169 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 3: to do as many favors here, Jim. I think the 170 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 3: market will be all over Bou as well. But if 171 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 3: it's three, I think I'd be taking the Kougs. 172 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, with you Kai. The shorthanded thing second leg of 173 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 2: elevation is where it really gets me if no love, 174 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 2: no roach, really playing six guys Asimota hasn't been that 175 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 2: much of a contributor as the seventh man for Baylor, 176 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 2: so they're really reliant on that top six. And they 177 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 2: do have the advantage of Edgecombe emerging into like superstardom, 178 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 2: fifty one points over his last two games, super efficient, 179 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: looking like the draft pick that he's gonna certainly be. 180 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 2: He and Demon really both shining on NBA draft boards. 181 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 2: But I don't like shorthanded second leg at elevation against 182 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 2: a young team that I think is trending up. And 183 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 2: that's that's where by use at right now. So sticking 184 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 2: with the home team is in the big twelve for me, 185 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 2: there's that's the leans, not ones I'm gonna lock in. 186 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 2: But on the big slate, those the top two. 187 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: Probably a good live betting game just to add in 188 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: their gym. Both teams gonna play some zone like a 189 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 1: ton of threes both ways. Presumably I meant both teams 190 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: are gonna shoot upwards of twenty lost triples in this one. 191 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 2: So in the SEC the big one this week Kentucky 192 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 2: at Tennessee, both teams off rather frustrating loss. Tennessee might 193 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 2: feel like it's slipped away a little bit at Auburn, 194 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 2: big three from Miles Kelly in the corner clinched that 195 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 2: one for the Tigers. In Kentucky, the defense has just 196 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 2: been a problem. They got down fourteen at halftime against Vandy, 197 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 2: made a huge surge, got up seven. I think kind 198 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 2: of gave it back away again. The Commodore stole it 199 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 2: from so two teams that have recently lost at Vandy, 200 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 2: I think they both got court stormed by the Commodos 201 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 2: Kai Tennessee laying nine in this one. Per Ken Palm. 202 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 2: Andrew Carr's injury is looming large here. Whether he's back 203 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 2: or out, we're not sure of yet as we record. 204 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:36,839 Speaker 2: What do you think? 205 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 3: I think he matters. I think Andercar definitely matters in 206 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 3: this game. I'm more so confused why Kentucky played such 207 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 3: a low possession game against Vanderbilt. Maybe that's Mark Beynson 208 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 3: for Bandy coming in with a game plan of hey, 209 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 3: we're not going to run with Kentucky. Very smart six 210 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 3: some possessions. Most scoring game shocking to me. I actually 211 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:58,080 Speaker 3: included Kentucky pending car status in a live dog section 212 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 3: as well, because I think this team can beat any 213 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 3: and I still think they're a very high variance team, 214 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 3: high powered offensively. Yes, their defense is blown this season, 215 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 3: but the way they shoot, the highest percentage of points 216 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 3: in the conference come from threes. Kentucky, we know they 217 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 3: can all shoot tons of firepower. I've seen this team 218 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 3: at their best. It is on par with the best 219 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 3: teams in the country. 220 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 2: Now. 221 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 3: Tennessee's defense fantastic, great coach, great program. Every single year 222 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 3: they're tough on toughest nails on d. But I think 223 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 3: Kentucky can pull a Haymaker here, Matt and take it 224 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 3: out right. Nine points to certainly something I would bet 225 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 3: for Kentucky's way. Again, the car status does loom large. 226 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I felt, you know, Kentucky's a team that I think, again, 227 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,959 Speaker 1: this is one where we probably I would be shocked 228 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: if it's nine. I think it's going to be close 229 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: to really seven. But I don't know, man Tennessee. I mean, 230 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: if I were odds maker, I looked at what they 231 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,559 Speaker 1: just did at Auburn, pretty damn impressive, Like Auburn's been 232 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: eminstrating teams at home, and they were you know, basically 233 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: from what I thought outplayed Auburn for most of. 234 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:56,320 Speaker 4: That game was ugly game. 235 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 1: Both teams can make any shots, but I think Tennessee's 236 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 1: defense actually dictated that game for most of the way. 237 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 4: At home, they're a different beasts. 238 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 2: Man. 239 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:06,320 Speaker 1: I know Kentucky's offense is high octane, but I saw 240 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: a good beat tweet someone that said, just at some 241 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:12,079 Speaker 1: point throughout the game, Tennessee decides you're not going to 242 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: score for like ten minutes, and that's what they do. 243 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,440 Speaker 1: And I think against Kentucky they can even have those, 244 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 1: They can even instill a five minute drought. 245 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 4: That might be the difference here. 246 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 2: I don't know. 247 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 4: Just gon a tough one, Jim. It'sn be a number 248 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 4: thing for me. 249 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 1: I probably won't stay away unless it's like Tennessee minus 250 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: five or Kentucky plus ten. 251 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 4: I bet it'd fire falls somewhere in between. 252 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 2: Now, yeah, I would imagine it'll settle in the middle 253 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 2: of that range. It really is strength on strength. Tennessee 254 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 2: not up to the number one defense per Kenpom. Is 255 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 2: no longer Houston's honor up there. It's not Duke Tennessee 256 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 2: holding Auburn to fifty three points I think had a 257 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 2: big reason to do with that. And then Kentucky top 258 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 2: five offense like kis, they're so high variants. They give 259 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 2: up a lot of threes, they take a lot of threes, 260 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 2: so you get some kind of wild swing. It's another 261 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: possible live betting game here that I think there's some 262 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 2: potential for that. A note on Carr if he is out, 263 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 2: he is the highest net rating player on Kentucky. He 264 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 2: has the highest net rating, so the most impactful. The 265 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: defense is ten points better per one hundred possessions. When 266 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 2: he plays, it's already not good, so when you're lowering 267 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,319 Speaker 2: it from that already shaky bassline, that would be why 268 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 2: Kentucky is dead last in the league in efficiency on 269 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 2: the eventsive end, two point percentage defense and turnover rate. 270 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 2: They don't make you uncomfortable at all. It's just kind 271 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,160 Speaker 2: of a conservative style and teams are knocking down shots 272 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:27,959 Speaker 2: against them. So all of that said, I think maybe 273 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 2: there's something to the volatility of the outcome with the shooting, 274 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 2: and maybe you want to go for a money line, 275 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 2: but with Matt where like, unless it's an egregiously wide 276 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 2: number variants from from what Ken Pom and Bart torvit 277 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 2: are saying, I probably won't bet that game. 278 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: I just hate trusting Tennessee's offense to lay points like 279 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 1: against good teams. It's just it's it's a it's an 280 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 1: offense that looks not good against good teams. 281 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:55,719 Speaker 2: Agreed, Matthew agreed. The last one to discuss here, and 282 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 2: maybe doesn't even belong here with the way these teams 283 00:12:58,040 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 2: are playing right now, but we'll give them the benefit 284 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 2: of the out. I'm calling it a loser leaves Town 285 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 2: game here, un c at Pitt acc two teams that 286 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 2: have really been struggling. They both survived on Saturday, You 287 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 2: and Ce Matthew a great escape against Boston College's twenty 288 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: point favorites who that would have been a disastrous loss 289 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 2: for the Heels. And then Pitt gets a road win 290 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 2: at Syracuse to get off the schneid and the losing streak, 291 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 2: but really have not looked sharp. Ken Pom thrown us 292 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 2: a shrug line of Pitt minus three. Basically, the home 293 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:33,199 Speaker 2: court is the difference between these two. Which one are 294 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 2: you going to back here? If you have to do 295 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:36,679 Speaker 2: it on either side. 296 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: I kind of lean toward Pitt. Of note Jalen Washington 297 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 1: got hurt very end of that UNC game against BC, 298 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: and the whole story was how badly beaten they were 299 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: inside by BC chas Vanny was a beast inside and 300 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: the UNC had no count for him. And then Washington 301 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 1: went out late in the game. You got to think, Okay, well, 302 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 1: what are they going to do against Well, I mean 303 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 1: Pitt's front line not exactly gonna pound you at the rim, 304 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: but still the lack of into your rim for action 305 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 1: has been a problem all year for you. And see, Kay, 306 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: I have no idea on this game. I dont know 307 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,200 Speaker 1: if I can trust either team. I probably trust Pin 308 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: a little bit more. As an aside, I will be 309 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: fading Boston College every game the rest of the year. 310 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 1: In that game is and I have embarrassing giveaway, and 311 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 1: I think is a type of loss. It's like, if 312 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: we can't hold onto this little little glimmer of joy, 313 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: our entire season is just a waste. So just a 314 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 1: slight betting angle as a tangental throw. And then so 315 00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: I have no profound takes on this. 316 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 3: One shred of dignity, I think is what you're searching 317 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 3: for there for BC. Yeah, but both these teams suck. 318 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 3: I want none of these teams in the tournament. I'm 319 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 3: so disappointing what Pitt has become in conference play. Having 320 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 3: said that, missus Pitt for me, this game number one, 321 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 3: You and c has been getting extremely lucky in conference play. 322 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 3: Twenty seven percent from three is what the opponents are shooting. 323 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 3: That's not sustainable. Pit much better team at home. And 324 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 3: here's UNC's last few games on the road here at 325 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 3: AC play. Lose to Wake Forest, you beat NC State 326 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 3: by two, not a good team. You beat Notre Dame 327 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 3: by one, should have lost that game, got fortunately got 328 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 3: fouled on the three late, and you've got smoked by 329 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 3: Louisville on the road. Not a good road team. I 330 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 3: think Kado is kind of put in hell against Leggett 331 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 3: and Low the guards pressuring him. 332 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 4: This is Pitt for me. Go Panthers. 333 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. The Washington injury looms large too. I just am 334 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 2: not a van aled lubin guy. And if you're gonna 335 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 2: have to roll him out there for thirty minutes at center, 336 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 2: that's a disaster even against a thin PIT frontline and 337 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 2: not overly physical. But not great against Washington there or 338 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 2: not great situation without Washington for the Heels. It does 339 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 2: feel like more of a pit set up for me. 340 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 2: I perceive both these teams as better second half teams. 341 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 2: UNC has had a lot of slow starts this year. 342 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 2: Pitt has boat raced some inferior competition at home in 343 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 2: the second half. But yeah, it's hard to trust either 344 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 2: one with the way they're playing right now. Back against 345 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 2: the wall, I take the Panthers, but it's just the 346 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 2: trend in the trajectory of both squads. It's not when 347 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,840 Speaker 2: you're in a hurry to get behind. Let's go to 348 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 2: the mid major games of the week, start with one 349 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 2: on Monday in the Southland. McNeice slowly but surely climbing 350 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 2: up the analytical rankings. There now inside the top sixty, 351 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 2: mister McEwan as they demolished that conference. They had to 352 00:16:09,880 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 2: Texas A and m Corpus Christy. This is the statistically 353 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 2: toughest South London game you can face for McNeese, the 354 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 2: only other team inside the top two hundred. Last year 355 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 2: mcneise won by one. They amount a double digit comeback 356 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 2: in the second half at the Islanders to pull it out. 357 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 2: It's the same kind of talent gap this year. Still, 358 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 2: will wag in charge do you think it's another close call, 359 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 2: close shave with mcneesse lane seven or where do you 360 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 2: see this? 361 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 3: No, I think Fatie mcneie is a bad strategy in 362 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 3: the Southland. They are just heads shoulders about the league. 363 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 3: It's a shame they couldn't do more. In non con 364 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 3: lost really tough games to some really tough teams, and 365 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 3: unfortunately I have no shot in that large but I 366 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 3: think they do run the table in the Southland. Corpus Christie, yeah, 367 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 3: you're a scrappy team. You in conference play. They've been 368 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,200 Speaker 3: rebounding the ball really well, but I still think McNeese 369 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 3: just tears them up in the glass. Corpus Christy is 370 00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 3: a walking foul. McNeese is cann get to the line 371 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 3: much it will. It's going to be an ugly game. 372 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 3: It always is, I think between Corpus Crazy McNeese the 373 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 3: last couple of years. But I like McNee here or 374 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 3: at least lean their way. I'm not going to lay 375 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 3: seven on the road either, but certainly not fading the 376 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 3: will Wades right now. 377 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: Matthew, Yeah, it's going to have to be ugly for 378 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:16,360 Speaker 1: a m to keep it for Corpus Crazy keep it close. 379 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 1: How I kept it close both games last year, right 380 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 1: lost by one and lost by seven. But this version 381 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 1: under Jim Shaw, who a coach I like, right disciple 382 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 1: of lots at Okay State, who I think people are 383 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:28,159 Speaker 1: generally still bullish on. 384 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 4: We'll see kind of tough fear. 385 00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 1: But anyway, the Matt Painter Tree right exactly, but you know, 386 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:35,680 Speaker 1: control the glass. But you know they play the little 387 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 1: more Helter's cultu last year. I don't feel like the 388 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: way they're playing this year is like krypton Idish for McNeese. 389 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: I just think McNee keeps rolling. I did the stupid 390 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: fade McNeese in conference play, like every team thought they 391 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: would be their super Bowl and so we'll get up 392 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:48,679 Speaker 1: to play them and it will be like kind of random, 393 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: ugly type games. But that was a losing portfolio, so 394 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: I'm not doing that again. 395 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, I generally enter McNeese handicapping with am I 396 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:58,360 Speaker 2: betting mcneise or am I not betting the game at all. 397 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 2: McNee is seven and two against the spread in conference games, 398 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 2: covering by over five points a game. They have clearly 399 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 2: separated themselves from the league and setting back up to 400 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 2: what I think people's preseason expectations were for them. They 401 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 2: sort of figured out the rotation. They had some injuries 402 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 2: ins and outs early on in the season, and now 403 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 2: it's a little more stable and it's working. They are 404 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:19,719 Speaker 2: just out talenting teams. 405 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,880 Speaker 3: McNeese offense and conference play one point two to two 406 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 3: points per possession. Next highest team is Corpus Christie one 407 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:29,360 Speaker 3: point oh seven. It's like a chasm difference between one 408 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 3: and two in that league. 409 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they remember losing a conference game last year, 410 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: like they're like, shit, we actually lost one last year. 411 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 4: We can't lose one this year. We're not doing that again. 412 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, they're one of those rare teams that is number 413 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 2: one in the conference in both offense and defensive efficiency 414 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,360 Speaker 2: and league play and we're nine games in, Like that's 415 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 2: not small sample sized, fluke. They are just that dominant. 416 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 2: They played basically every team in the league once already 417 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 2: except for Corpus Christie. So yeah, I might bet McNeese. 418 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,399 Speaker 2: I'm just scared of like the Shaw game planning and 419 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 2: how close they kept it last year. That's the worst 420 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 2: thing that's concerning to Tuesday, where VCU has somewhat separated 421 00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 2: themselves as the best team in the A ten, probably 422 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 2: their best chance at an at large at this point 423 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 2: with the way Dayton's been floundering a little bit. Now, 424 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 2: VCU heads to Saint Louis, who's coming off a loss 425 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:19,440 Speaker 2: at GW. Bill's very short rotation, Matthias, but the top 426 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 2: four guys on that roster can beat anybody on a 427 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 2: given night if they're all playing well. Is there enough 428 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 2: here for the Bills to scarce to scare VCU? The 429 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,719 Speaker 2: Rams are laying six on the road. 430 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 1: It sounds dumb because I bet SLEW at VCU. Actually 431 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,239 Speaker 1: I bet moneyline on the show. I was sort of 432 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 1: that was my angles, like, hey, this game could go 433 00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,920 Speaker 1: SLEU could win it or VCU could win by twenty five, 434 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 1: and unfortunate the ladder transpired. A VCU just has this 435 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,239 Speaker 1: defensive gear that really this is what separates them from 436 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:49,480 Speaker 1: the rest of the A ten. And you saw it 437 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 1: against Saint Bonaventure on Friday, really good matchup for Saint Bonaventure. 438 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:54,880 Speaker 1: Game was really close, and all of a sudden, looking 439 00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: at the score and they're up fourteen in the game's over, 440 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 1: It's like what And that's just kind of what VC's 441 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 1: defense does on the road. Code their das still traveled 442 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:02,360 Speaker 1: really well. 443 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 2: This year. 444 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,719 Speaker 1: They suffocated Saint Joe at Saint Joe House, and why 445 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 1: aren't they suffocated Rhode Island at at Kingston Like I 446 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 1: think they just keep it going. It's probably kind of 447 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 1: a square spinny take kai, but I'm not. I'm not 448 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:14,159 Speaker 1: going to bet Sleu here, even though I feel like 449 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: everything in my plumes is saying I should. 450 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:17,679 Speaker 2: I'm just not. 451 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 4: It's a pass for me. 452 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 3: I think Sleugh can beat them because they do have 453 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 3: really talented offensive players. 454 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,119 Speaker 4: I just don't think they will. I think vcus to 455 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 4: that level. 456 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 3: Four straight covers in the A ten pretty easily, five 457 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,200 Speaker 3: out of six they've covered in their last six games. 458 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,920 Speaker 3: They smoked Saint Louis in the first game, Sleugh was 459 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 3: up three nothing. Rest game is VCU one point two 460 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 3: points possession, didn't even shoot well. 461 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 4: And Slew's defense is number one and a ten. 462 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,440 Speaker 3: Play And then you zoom in and I mentioned it 463 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 3: was with North Carolina twenty two percent opponents are shooting 464 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 3: from three twenty two percent. 465 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,159 Speaker 4: This is like smoking mirrors to. 466 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 3: The Max Slough on defense right now in the A ten, 467 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 3: I would not back Sleugh here. I would lean towards 468 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 3: the VCU. 469 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kai like that. You mentioned that potentially phony defense 470 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 2: because right now now every slew A ten game has 471 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,439 Speaker 2: gone under. They're zero to seven on the total, and 472 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 2: it's largely because teams aren't scoring against them. They are 473 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 2: playing very slow because their rotation is super limited. But 474 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,360 Speaker 2: it's funny to think of like a Josh Shirtz offensive 475 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 2: fireworks team. It's like, no, they've been auto unders play. 476 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 2: I would not automatically go bet that because of the 477 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:22,119 Speaker 2: looming regression. But last game between these two sixty four possessions, 478 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 2: if I had to bet a total, here would be 479 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: the under, just because I think it will be slow 480 00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:31,639 Speaker 2: once again. All right, guys, let's get to the live 481 00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 2: Dog of the Week section. Last week it did pretty solid. 482 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 2: Georgetown knocks off Nova. Rutgers didn't quite get there against 483 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 2: Penn State. I don't think they even covered most numbers 484 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 2: now that they got bet out from the five or 485 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:57,400 Speaker 2: from the eight that Kem Tom was dealing. Aerzo State 486 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:01,120 Speaker 2: one at West Virginia. Hoay, Hurrah, go go sun Devils. 487 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 2: Indiana State did not quite pull it out, but they 488 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,200 Speaker 2: won against the number. So if you split your bet 489 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 2: and hey, you made some money start on Monday, possible 490 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,679 Speaker 2: Big ten magic Penn State now after we had them 491 00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 2: on upset alert last week. Now they are the potential 492 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 2: upsetter heading to Michigan and then Iowa's plus eight at 493 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 2: Ohio State. Have State has been kind of a random 494 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,360 Speaker 2: up and down team, can go to overtime at Minnesota 495 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 2: who is playing better, but also win at Maki Arena. 496 00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 2: Matthew Iowa may or may not have rolled over to 497 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 2: either of these Monday Big ten dogs particular your fancy. 498 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 4: No, they don't. 499 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: I'm yeah, Iowa, I'm skeptical of and Michigan I think 500 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 1: is a bad matchup for Penn State. Like I kind 501 00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: of like the Penn State angle there, maybe with the 502 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,639 Speaker 1: value because I think they will be laying like, you know, 503 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: nine or ten points because Michigan's went like top ten 504 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: in kem Pound at this point. 505 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 4: And we see Michigan back down to eighteen after the 506 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:56,360 Speaker 4: after the pre loss. 507 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, but still they are priced that You're getting no 508 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:00,719 Speaker 1: bargain to back Michigan right now in the market. I'm 509 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,400 Speaker 1: passioning both each him. I got one though for Tuesdad, 510 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,439 Speaker 1: love actually love love. 511 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 4: Yeah. 512 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 3: I mentioned the Big ten because I just think Ohio State, 513 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,440 Speaker 3: like Jim said, is so random. They're prone to lose 514 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 3: or beat anybody is It's like crazy. I can't place 515 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 3: this team in Iowa. I keep getting burned by backing 516 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 3: this Hawkeves team. I mean, that Penn State game was 517 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 3: a total travesty. They should have covered that game pretty easily. 518 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,120 Speaker 3: But the way they shoot right, they're They're the top 519 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 3: ten shooting team in the entire country that lends to 520 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 3: high variant situations. They can pull off upsets by points 521 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 3: of Penn State because I think this Penn State team 522 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 3: is still pretty darn good. And Michigan, man, it's kind 523 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 3: of like Ohio State. They can lose to anybody. Lost 524 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,879 Speaker 3: to Minnesota, smoked by Purdue, it barely got by Northwestern. Like, 525 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 3: I don't think this team is eating or close to 526 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 3: a top ten team right now. And the way Penn 527 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 3: State turns you over and the way Michigan's handling the 528 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,439 Speaker 3: ball right now, I really think Penn State has a shot. 529 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 3: So of those two, I like Penn State better. I 530 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 3: will be taking them against the spread. 531 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 2: Most likely we're bashing head to head on that guy. 532 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 2: We're gonna get to the spot section. I like Michigan 533 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,919 Speaker 2: off the mega blowout loss. I like to kind of 534 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 2: get the maybe extract a little extra value off that 535 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 2: as they sank in analytical rankings. I'm intrigued by Iowa though. 536 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 2: I think they're pretty high variants too, because of the 537 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 2: amount of threes they take and just the the high 538 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 2: powered offense. And Ohio States lost three straight home games 539 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,399 Speaker 2: in the Big Ten, like they're they're nowhere near impervious 540 00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 2: at home. They lost to Mike Woodson at home, Matthew, 541 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,760 Speaker 2: I don't know that was possible. Mike Woodson winning a 542 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 2: road game in so Iowa. I think that one has 543 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 2: me intrigued. I may end up taking the eight. I 544 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:42,679 Speaker 2: will decide at the end of the show when we 545 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:46,720 Speaker 2: recap our picks. Actually that's a Monday game. 546 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,080 Speaker 4: So seven and a half most places. I think there 547 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:52,159 Speaker 4: is an eight out there right now, early early, of course, early. 548 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:56,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Okay, well, I shall consider all right on Tuesday, 549 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 2: matt I feel like I just want to tee you 550 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 2: up with the excitement flowing through your veins. As you 551 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,199 Speaker 2: answered on Monday, what do you got? What's what's the 552 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:04,360 Speaker 2: home run one? Yeah? 553 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 1: I love Patty Kelsey, I love the story of what 554 00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: he's done this year. Good graphic Evan me a top 555 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 1: seventy five teams performance relative to lost production, like Louisville's 556 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:17,879 Speaker 1: head and shoulders above everybody else. I mean, they've just 557 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: incredibly lost nor Waterman last two games. It's legitimately like 558 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 1: a six point two band rotation at this at this struncture, 559 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,960 Speaker 1: I think they crack against Wake, who I think is 560 00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: playing a lot better. 561 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, they just lost to Duke. 562 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 1: Everyone loses to Duke, and they actually came back and 563 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,680 Speaker 1: put a run on Duke and made that game competitive. 564 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: I like that Forbes has worked a little bit of 565 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: zone to mix a match. I wish he had one 566 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: more guard because I'm tired of watching Cama Hilder just 567 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: to cheats amount of games. But I think the way 568 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: they play with Sallas and they're kind of gritty, more 569 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: old school Forbes mentality. I think it's a good recipe 570 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,879 Speaker 1: to go on the road and steal one in silence 571 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:52,639 Speaker 1: the Ump Center. It's my dog of the week, Jimbo 572 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,439 Speaker 1: plus ten. I bet it's plus eight is the final number. 573 00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: Conversion of moneyline probably would be three to one. Find 574 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 1: my tool here, Kylie. Yeah, I think that's what I'm probabing. 575 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 1: Just trust my got there and back in. 576 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm withiny on Wake, Matthew. I agree. 577 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 3: The game against Duke really impressed me. It's showing signs 578 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:13,240 Speaker 3: that Wake is alive. Their defense has been truly impressed back, 579 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 3: but the battling their back because their offense. 580 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:17,640 Speaker 4: Is so bad. I don't think they can be ever back. 581 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,199 Speaker 2: Twenty five four run on Duke though, Like, yeah, slouch 582 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 2: team does. 583 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 3: That right, and Salas will be the best player on 584 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 3: the floor. I definitely will be betting Wake here will 585 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,160 Speaker 3: sprink on the money line perhaps as well. 586 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, Road Wake always scares me, Like last year that 587 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 2: was obviously their their achilles heel and the reason they 588 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 2: didn't make the NCAA tournament, and they've been better at 589 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 2: home than that. I'm surprised you didn't mention a specific 590 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 2: angle here. Tyler Johnson Revenge Louisville, going back, going back 591 00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 2: to the young He's been much better in league play, 592 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 2: an eighty four O rating for the season, but up 593 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,280 Speaker 2: to ninety eight in conference as he started and played 594 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 2: like twenty five thirty minutes a game, seemingly gaining confidence. 595 00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 2: He had eight assists and one turnover against Duke like 596 00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 2: Tyler Johnson's starting to be a player for a wake 597 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 2: that helps a lot, So Matt I like that one too. 598 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,160 Speaker 2: Definitely will bet spread. Thinking about potential money line there 599 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,920 Speaker 2: Kentucky again we mentioned their their high variance possibilities at Tennessee. 600 00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 2: With the amount of threees they take. You got some 601 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:17,200 Speaker 2: big East home dogs. Butler catching six at home against Marquette, 602 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 2: Georgetown catching six against Saint John's. I'm a little intrigued 603 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 2: by the Hoyas. I think they they suffered the emotional 604 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 2: loss at Providence with the Cooley return factor. They're They're 605 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 2: pretty limited in their rotation. Their top four guys took 606 00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 2: all but one of their field goal attempts at Providence, 607 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:38,360 Speaker 2: so they need those guys to play well. But back 608 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,480 Speaker 2: home against a team they kind of controlled the first 609 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,320 Speaker 2: meeting with against Georgetown or against Sint. John's, I kind 610 00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 2: of think the Hoyas are are good upset looks. 611 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 3: I like the Hoyas as well, Jim, I'll be on 612 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,399 Speaker 3: them again. I was on them against Sint John's the 613 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 3: first game, took a money line. They're up by twelve 614 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,560 Speaker 3: and they kind of cracked. But yeah, this team is 615 00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:58,439 Speaker 3: Thomas Sorber is incredible, Like, this guy is a legit 616 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 3: player pro right now, I've been extremely impressed by him. 617 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 4: I have to rebound. 618 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,240 Speaker 3: They did a pretty good job of keeping Saint John's 619 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,280 Speaker 3: off the class in matchup one that is really where 620 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 3: Saint John's hurts you, and I think it's great spot 621 00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,320 Speaker 3: to back him. Agree off the Providence loss, which, hey, 622 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 3: they got off to a great start and then Providence 623 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 3: the hypeness behind the building clearly got to them. Georgetown 624 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 3: would be a game I'll be on. 625 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,000 Speaker 1: I disagree. I kind of like Saint john actual against 626 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 1: the spread. I think they get Patino a few extra 627 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:31,439 Speaker 1: days to prep and find a good weakness or a 628 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:32,720 Speaker 1: scheme against Sorber. 629 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 4: I think he finds one. 630 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,479 Speaker 1: I think that physicality sort of bothers sort of even 631 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:38,880 Speaker 1: though it's nice that they've already seen Saint John's wants 632 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:40,200 Speaker 1: to me, that kind of negates my point there. But 633 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 1: I think in the rematch, I think Patino gets a 634 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 1: good gets the 's there for me. 635 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 4: They shut down Sorber game one. I mean, he didn't 636 00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 4: do much. 637 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: It was close to your pointy, and it was close, 638 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,040 Speaker 1: and despite a bad Sorber game, it was still competitive 639 00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 1: so do. 640 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 2: You prefer Butler, matt think they got a better chance 641 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 2: against Marquette. 642 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 1: I don't know what Butler is. Yeah, they just just 643 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: smoked to Paul. They have been playing better, right, Like 644 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,160 Speaker 1: they they last four or five games. It's like, oh okay, 645 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 1: Butler has has a pulse. Still, I still don't quite 646 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,120 Speaker 1: love this one. Big East homes have been Let's see, 647 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: I'm trying to find the updated stats here from courtesy 648 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:13,959 Speaker 1: at bet Labs. 649 00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 2: Probably I would say somebody for the burner here, Matthew, 650 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 2: will you while you search for that? A Yukon fan 651 00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 2: was like, I was so impressed by Butler, Like just 652 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:26,280 Speaker 2: the connectivity, the effort, Like they didn't look like a 653 00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 2: team that has no shot. At DNCA Tournament under five 654 00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:33,040 Speaker 2: hundred in Hartford, they looked pretty sharp and took you 655 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 2: kind of ot. I'm not going to back Butler, Maddy, 656 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 2: but do you have the stats? 657 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, twenty three and twenty six. I think I backed 658 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 1: some some big East home hype spots amid this point. 659 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: It just has not been like a super awesome against 660 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:47,719 Speaker 1: the number angle. I just think it's been a regular 661 00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 1: home court this season. Not saying that it's you know, 662 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,360 Speaker 1: all due respect, just it's been pricing effectively. 663 00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 2: So yep. Two others worth mentioning Minnesota has been cooking lately. 664 00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 2: They are actually looking like a really solid the mid 665 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 2: mid table Big Ten team. They're catching thirteen at undefeated 666 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 2: Michigan State. 667 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 4: Kai. 668 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 2: I'm intrigued by that. And then we've got the anti 669 00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 2: sports or anti point shaving Eastern Michigan ultra eleven at 670 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 2: Miami Ohio with Eastern Michigan and they're improved play of late. 671 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 2: Do either of those ones jump out of to you. 672 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 3: I'm ready to get hurt again. On Eastern Michigan. I 673 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 3: backed to them early in the season. I thought this 674 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 3: team was good coming into the year and had some 675 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 3: good results, and then the point shaving thing happened. Point 676 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 3: shading thing comes out all of a sudden. They're good if. 677 00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 4: It's a silly thing to do. But if you isolate the. 678 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 3: Last since January fifteenth, where Eastern Michigan's had the run 679 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 3: of three games, they're favored over Miami Ohio h. 680 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 4: Per bart tor Vick. 681 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 3: I don't think Miami Ohio is that good of a team, 682 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 3: and they got smoked by Acron who got exposed. They've 683 00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 3: been picking off the weak MAC all season. I think 684 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan can stick within double digits. 685 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 4: I kind of agree. 686 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,720 Speaker 1: I find I back to Eastern Michigan on that same 687 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,080 Speaker 1: angle Kyle last, but I also bet them first half 688 00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: the angle they were theoretically shaving and they did not 689 00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: cover that. So I wonder if they went back to 690 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 1: shaving the first half and then covering full game. I 691 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 1: don't know, but anyway, I agree with you. I think 692 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 1: that there could be some there's some volatility here that's 693 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,400 Speaker 1: intriguing to me that I would like on the money line. 694 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 1: But I do think Miami is pretty good though. That's 695 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: where I sort of disagree with you. 696 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 2: I think Minnesota covers. I'm not going to bet a 697 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:24,160 Speaker 2: money line, but I think the trending upwards play they've 698 00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 2: got and feels like Michigan State's flying a little too 699 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 2: close to the sun right now. I don't think they're 700 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 2: going to get a two or a three seed in 701 00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 2: the NCAA tournament. That's like what they're tracking for right now. 702 00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 2: They're alone atop the Big ten with two games of space, 703 00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 2: and just seems like somebody's going to get them, or 704 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 2: at least continue to challenge them. And with Willy, Minnesota's 705 00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 2: playing thirteen is too many, so I'm going to jump 706 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 2: in on the Gophers. 707 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 3: There. 708 00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 2: Off we go, too favorite favorites. Last week we had 709 00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,600 Speaker 2: a Colgate cover against Bucknell. Unless you've got like the 710 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 2: very very late closing number, I think they got a heartbreaking, 711 00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:59,760 Speaker 2: like late free throw to lose by a hook on 712 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 2: the final number. McNeice blasted Stephen F. Austin. Like we said, 713 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:07,320 Speaker 2: McNeice in the Southland is a pretty good wager. Creighton 714 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 2: smashed to Paul after Paul got its first Big East 715 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: win in two years, and Houston dominated Utah to spite 716 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 2: no Emmanuel Sharp Cougar is just a different beast against 717 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,560 Speaker 2: inferior competition. So we turned our eyes to this week 718 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 2: on Monday. Matthew, you are our Swackhin correspondent, typically the 719 00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:28,160 Speaker 2: writer of the preseason preview of that conference. Misisipi Valley 720 00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 2: State is trending towards one of the worst teams ever, 721 00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,680 Speaker 2: maybe like bottom three in ken Pom's history, a negative 722 00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 2: forty adjusted efficiency margin. It's bad, bad, bad news. They're 723 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 2: only three and three against the spread in conference despite 724 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 2: inflated lines. They have not been an underdog of less 725 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 2: than thirteen and a half points yet this year that 726 00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 2: is sad, sad news for them. And now they got 727 00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 2: the best team in the league coming to town Southern 728 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 2: twenty one point spread per Ken Pom Matthias. Why isn't 729 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 2: Southern going to smash the Delta Devs No. 730 00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 1: I think they do, Jim. I think the Delta Deves 731 00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: are saving there their best for February. They got their 732 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 1: first one of the year last year in February, played 733 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 1: some better ball late. I think they're the kind of 734 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 1: rope and openness until February. So I'm gonna I'll pound 735 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 1: the Southern here. I think I'm with you, and then 736 00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 1: looking to maybe target some Delta Devil really ridiculous lines. 737 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 4: Maybe at home. 738 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: I think a good home spot. Maybe they might kind 739 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 1: of rise, make make some shots. Other team comes in, 740 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:20,760 Speaker 1: sleep and snooze in. 741 00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 2: Whatever at this is at Misisve Valley State. 742 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, but later he's got an easier It cannot be Southern. 743 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,440 Speaker 1: Southern's too. Good Son's actually a real team. I think 744 00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,640 Speaker 1: Southern smokes them as well. Jim, I don't know how 745 00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 1: Missippi Valley States scores. This isn't anemic offense against the 746 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,760 Speaker 1: best defense by far in the slack, I think it's 747 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 1: gonna be a blood bath. Southern covers easy Southern courts 748 00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 1: A and M and at Iowa. I mean, Iowa beats 749 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:43,840 Speaker 1: everyone by a million, So I just think it's a 750 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 1: It's a good Southern team for sure. 751 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 2: Four street games, Mississippi Valley State has not hit sixty points, 752 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,680 Speaker 2: and some of those games at seventy possessions, sixty eight possessions, 753 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,800 Speaker 2: sixty seven possession It's not like they're just playing super crawls. 754 00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,000 Speaker 2: They just can't score. So yeah, I think Southern blows 755 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 2: them out too. It's tough on the road in conference play, 756 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 2: but that's how bad Sippy Valley State is. So yeah, 757 00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:06,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna add Southern minus twenty 758 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,320 Speaker 2: one to the to the official slate as we finish 759 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 2: up the end of this this pod. Two others that 760 00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 2: I wrote down here Georgia minus eight against South Carolina 761 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 2: on Tuesday. Georgia's off the mega demolition loss at Florida. 762 00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 2: This is a little bit similar to Michigan, like I 763 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 2: was talking about earlier, a team that just got smacked 764 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:26,880 Speaker 2: on the road comes home. Maybe a get right spot 765 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:31,480 Speaker 2: against South Carolina who's played two straight demoralizing losses. They 766 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 2: just lost in ot to to Mississippi State, and they 767 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:37,839 Speaker 2: led for the first thirty nine minutes and fifty five 768 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 2: seconds against Florida and then lost on a basically a 769 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,160 Speaker 2: buzzer beater. So potentially get right spot for one Bulldogs 770 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 2: and the other Bulldogs again. Zaga. They're laying ten per 771 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:51,040 Speaker 2: Ken palm against Oregon State, classic revenge spot. They lost 772 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:54,400 Speaker 2: in core Vallas. Better team that switched up their lineup. 773 00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:56,320 Speaker 2: They put Manuel Indecenti in the line, but get a 774 00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,879 Speaker 2: little bit more defense on the floor. Beavers are tough 775 00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:02,760 Speaker 2: on Doc to kill. But I could see Gonzaga going 776 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,400 Speaker 2: off at the kennel there that either of those Bulldogs 777 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,399 Speaker 2: intrigue you as a home favorite or is there something 778 00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 2: else you're eyeing up? 779 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 1: None intrigued me, It certainly did. I the one I 780 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:15,680 Speaker 1: like more officially, I'll just throw out there right now. 781 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:20,520 Speaker 1: Kansas UCF or UCF so u CF played Kansas the 782 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,880 Speaker 1: first game in the revenge spot after they lost, and 783 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,279 Speaker 1: now Kansas gets UCF in the exact same revenge by 784 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,400 Speaker 1: after blowing the biggest, most embarrassing what six point and 785 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 1: ten second come back to Houston six point. However, in 786 00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:39,279 Speaker 1: that game, silver lining, uh lord badongall was awesome, and 787 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,320 Speaker 1: finally Pringles starts showing up and making threes. Like Kansas 788 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: is all about finding like that fourth fifth guy to 789 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 1: really step up, and we saw when they found that 790 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 1: guy last year they got really hot Johnny Furfey. This 791 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:51,200 Speaker 1: year have kind of found those other role guys have 792 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:52,680 Speaker 1: finally stepped up, and I think they're going to kind 793 00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:54,960 Speaker 1: of use that what the hell loss was as a 794 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,359 Speaker 1: sort of a we're pissed off platform and UCF gets 795 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,640 Speaker 1: the gets the short end the stick twice. Sorry Johnny Dawkins, 796 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,400 Speaker 1: but I think Kansas, Yeah. 797 00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 3: I definitely lean more towards the Gonzaga one shim the. 798 00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 4: South Carolina game. Man, I just look at their. 799 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 3: Last five results and man, you lose to Auburn by 800 00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 3: three at home, You Losa vanna Ope by three on 801 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:18,279 Speaker 3: the road. Okay, Oklahoma smashed them Florida by one Mississippi 802 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 3: State overtime. 803 00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,399 Speaker 4: Like those four results are really good. 804 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 3: That's like the elite elite in the country situations and games, 805 00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 3: and they're right in it. So I it's a lot 806 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,560 Speaker 3: of points frankly for Georgia to cover. I know I've 807 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 3: been lowing them all year. Not a bad team at all, 808 00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:35,439 Speaker 3: but not when I'm looking back right now Lane eight 809 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:39,000 Speaker 3: to a dangerous South Carolina team. But Gonzaga revenge. This 810 00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,800 Speaker 3: team is still national title good in my opinion. 811 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:43,960 Speaker 4: I think they do come to play and get a 812 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:45,279 Speaker 4: little revenge on Oregon State. 813 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I wonder if the spot is more that Oklahoma 814 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:51,279 Speaker 2: game for South Carolina where it's like our two straight 815 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,040 Speaker 2: awesome efforts kind of the dead spot on the road. 816 00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:56,680 Speaker 2: Now we had two straight awesome efforts. Again, it's a 817 00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 2: dead spot on the road. We'll see. I'm not going 818 00:36:58,160 --> 00:36:59,840 Speaker 2: to pay to find out. You talked me out of 819 00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:01,960 Speaker 2: it enough, but I will lay it with the Zags 820 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,640 Speaker 2: if it's let's call it less eleven or less in 821 00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,160 Speaker 2: the real line. Right now, it's ten at Ken Palm. 822 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:10,000 Speaker 2: We don't know what the market will say, but yeah, 823 00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,120 Speaker 2: I just like the revenge spot in the lineup shift. 824 00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,200 Speaker 2: Oregon State has lost a couple of games by more 825 00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,000 Speaker 2: than ten this year. I got blown out by lowl 826 00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:19,200 Speaker 2: of Merrymount, so they're not pervious to that. 827 00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, that was weird. 828 00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 2: It was weird, indeed. Okay, some other spots. We're gonna 829 00:37:23,520 --> 00:37:27,239 Speaker 2: move to the spots section. Now. Last week we identified 830 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,880 Speaker 2: that Creighton spot against the Paul. We thought we had 831 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:33,160 Speaker 2: a great Cincinnati spot. Against Texas Tech, well we were split. 832 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,520 Speaker 4: We weren't like Texas Tech. I think I remember. 833 00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 2: I think it was basically, I know this is a 834 00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:40,360 Speaker 2: good spop Fincinnati. I just think they suck. They're not 835 00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:43,680 Speaker 2: good enough to take advantage of it. And Texas Tech 836 00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:45,920 Speaker 2: won on the road, and then Alabama took care of 837 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:49,720 Speaker 2: business against Vanderbilt. Alabama had been off. I think Vandy 838 00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,880 Speaker 2: was coming off a big win and wasn't Tennessee. I think, yeah, 839 00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 2: hold up on the road there. So Monday I mentioned 840 00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:58,400 Speaker 2: the Michigan game with them coming off. That's that just 841 00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:01,200 Speaker 2: deep pantsing at per where they were down like twenty 842 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:04,840 Speaker 2: five immediately in the first half on the road at Mackie. 843 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,439 Speaker 2: So perhaps they bounce back against Penn State. Laying nine 844 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,879 Speaker 2: for ken Palm a little rock interesting spot here, laying 845 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,920 Speaker 2: ten against Eastern Illinois. They just murdered Lindenwood at Lindenwood. 846 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:19,319 Speaker 2: Now they're playing Eastern Illinois at Lindenwood on Monday, so 847 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:21,520 Speaker 2: I believe, Yeah. 848 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:22,960 Speaker 4: I try to find out why, but I couldn't find 849 00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:23,160 Speaker 4: it out. 850 00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought it was like a weather related but 851 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,640 Speaker 2: we're in the Midwest, Like it's not terrible weather for 852 00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:31,480 Speaker 2: getting from Eastern Illinois to Saint Louis. So maybe there's 853 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,400 Speaker 2: like a scheduling conflict. I don't know. What I do 854 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 2: know is Little Rock just played at Lindon Wood and 855 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 2: so they're familiar with the gym. They didn't have to travel, 856 00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:43,120 Speaker 2: their healthy, healthier Matthew. They've got gat Keck back, Jordan 857 00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:46,280 Speaker 2: Jefferson back. They might be the class of this conference, 858 00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 2: especially with their defense. Playing the way it is, Eastern 859 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,920 Speaker 2: Illinois is going to struggle a score. So I think 860 00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,000 Speaker 2: it's a good spot, just with like the familiarity and 861 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:53,760 Speaker 2: lack of travel. 862 00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,160 Speaker 1: Yep in the jim they shot nine of twenty two 863 00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:57,879 Speaker 1: from three thirteen to fourteen from the line. 864 00:38:57,920 --> 00:38:58,279 Speaker 4: I agree. 865 00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,200 Speaker 1: They like the sitelines Lynda Wood, so they have a 866 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:02,480 Speaker 1: huge edge there at their home away from home. 867 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,440 Speaker 2: There we go. Good note Saint Charles, Missouri right there. 868 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,800 Speaker 2: Tuesday I mentioned Gonzaga and Georgia. Thought those were decent spots. 869 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:11,480 Speaker 2: I think Seaton Hall is a home dog against Providence 870 00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,719 Speaker 2: off the Ed Cooley game, for the Friars, and now 871 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:16,160 Speaker 2: they go on the road to what could be like 872 00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:20,239 Speaker 2: kind of a dead professional gym, or it's like a 873 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,640 Speaker 2: big Prudential Center. It's not kind of like bandbox type thing. 874 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,719 Speaker 2: Could be kind of a dead environment. Might be tough 875 00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:27,319 Speaker 2: for the Friars to get up, especially with a look 876 00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:30,480 Speaker 2: ahead to Saint John's there. And then San Diego State 877 00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 2: just one at Nevada by nineteen coming back home and 878 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,560 Speaker 2: laying a big sixteen number against this feisty Sandy or 879 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 2: San Jose State team who's typically a patron saint of 880 00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:43,799 Speaker 2: our live dog section. But I think it's a good 881 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,440 Speaker 2: spot for San Jose State and that one getting a 882 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 2: big number Kai. Any of these spots really jumping out 883 00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:51,000 Speaker 2: to you. 884 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:54,080 Speaker 3: What are you seeing, Jim. I'm off the Penn State game. 885 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:56,640 Speaker 3: I've thought about it more. I don't like it. I 886 00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:59,760 Speaker 3: am going to take Iowa, going back to your previous discussion. 887 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 3: But Little Rock this is the best team in the 888 00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:05,200 Speaker 3: Ohio Valley. I thought so coming into the year. They're 889 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,880 Speaker 3: really starting to separate themselves. I know, more heads like 890 00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 3: a top league. I think Little Rock's better. This defense 891 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,239 Speaker 3: is incredible, especially in OBC play. I think They're gonna 892 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,720 Speaker 3: suffocate Easternillnoy and the whole Lindenwood thing is just bizarre 893 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,879 Speaker 3: playing at there at the same venue. Not a big 894 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:22,560 Speaker 3: travel at all for each snill Annoy, I think. I 895 00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:25,320 Speaker 3: mean it's like an hour or two I think from Charleston. 896 00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 4: Something like that. 897 00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:29,759 Speaker 3: But yeah, Little Rock is a spot for me that 898 00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:33,239 Speaker 3: I'm hitting out of these this group here. Yeah, Sanisey State, Matt, 899 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,320 Speaker 3: it's a big line. I've been high in San Diego 900 00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:37,400 Speaker 3: st all year my Nember probably won't get there. And 901 00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:39,800 Speaker 3: then Seaton Hall, I just wish they were good. I 902 00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:43,640 Speaker 3: don't think this Providence team is any good. Like they 903 00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:45,720 Speaker 3: hit a bunch of shots out of their butt frankly, 904 00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:47,239 Speaker 3: and they were so high Dune the Steorgetown. 905 00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,520 Speaker 4: But Seaton Hall is horrible, So I can't get on 906 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 4: board with that one either. Yeah, I agree, San Jose, 907 00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 4: I like a lot. 908 00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:54,759 Speaker 1: I know Jimmy talked about the ten miles saying when 909 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,040 Speaker 1: he went out and he bought the like the stupid 910 00:40:57,160 --> 00:41:02,439 Speaker 1: glasses a game and Palm's got him at seven. Here 911 00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:06,719 Speaker 1: they come. They are talented this year, relatively right, relatively, 912 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:09,279 Speaker 1: I will say that their older experience, I think they 913 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,799 Speaker 1: can kind of go in and muck it up with 914 00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:13,680 Speaker 1: the Dutchers, who are young. This season, they've kind of 915 00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:15,239 Speaker 1: laid a couple of eggs in weird spots. I don't 916 00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:19,000 Speaker 1: think they'res invincible as a typical as Tech team, so 917 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,239 Speaker 1: I like that. Miles has played Dutch close the last 918 00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:21,680 Speaker 1: couple of. 919 00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:22,520 Speaker 4: Seasons as well. 920 00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:25,280 Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a big number for a bad offense. 921 00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:28,839 Speaker 2: Santego State outside the top one hundred offensively, are they 922 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,000 Speaker 2: gonna score a bunch? It's gonna have to be like 923 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 2: holding Santa the Stay to fifty to cover that game, 924 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,879 Speaker 2: which is possible. It's what they did to Nevada. But yeah, 925 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:37,759 Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna take that one to Santasee State. 926 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,960 Speaker 2: Like the spot, I'll add with with Kay's worry about 927 00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,040 Speaker 2: Seton Hall. As much as I love that spot, Seton 928 00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:46,839 Speaker 2: Halls have been banged up. Chauncey Jenkins has been her 929 00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:50,359 Speaker 2: Dai Wusu did return last game. They have one more 930 00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 2: guy out over the weekend. Double checking it right now, 931 00:41:53,640 --> 00:41:59,120 Speaker 2: Isaiah Colman, who arguing player player, Yeah so he matters, yes, Okay, Yeah, 932 00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:01,960 Speaker 2: that's that's more than enough reason to not try to 933 00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:04,319 Speaker 2: find the right spot to back the Pirates there, even 934 00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,960 Speaker 2: with Providence and a difficult part of its schedule. Okay, 935 00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,480 Speaker 2: that is it for our spots section. Let's go to 936 00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:11,200 Speaker 2: a quick. 937 00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:14,799 Speaker 4: Trash pick, the trash man pick of the league. I'm 938 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:18,000 Speaker 4: the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage, 939 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:19,240 Speaker 4: and you know it. 940 00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:21,560 Speaker 1: Totally unreliable, undependable. 941 00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:23,400 Speaker 4: That's it. You've been told off. How do you like that? 942 00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:27,520 Speaker 2: Good? And we have a returning guest to a returning 943 00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,960 Speaker 2: squad here Northern Illinois. Man, it's a it's a really 944 00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,160 Speaker 2: good spot. If I could find any reason at all 945 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:37,680 Speaker 2: to trust the Huskies here. Matthew Akron just blew out 946 00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:42,960 Speaker 2: the other undefeated team in the conference, Miami Ohio by thirty. Now, 947 00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,759 Speaker 2: how do they care about going to Northern Illinois, a 948 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:47,880 Speaker 2: bottom ten team in the country. You could see a 949 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 2: lack of daisical effort from the Zips here is and 950 00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,440 Speaker 2: I you good enough for us to jump in the 951 00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 2: dumpster and back them at. 952 00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 1: Yes points, It's funny, I thought there, I don't know 953 00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:00,399 Speaker 1: who the best player is. I previous leagueest know who 954 00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,400 Speaker 1: it is. I was starting thinking it was Ethan Butler 955 00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:06,080 Speaker 1: former like Oregon guy, like top fifty ish recruit. I 956 00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 1: degree was playing really well. Then he didn't play last game, 957 00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,080 Speaker 1: but they still played pretty wellgainst ball state, I. 958 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,640 Speaker 2: Think they beat him, won a game their first Max. 959 00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,560 Speaker 1: Dom I should say yes, and kind of a ball 960 00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 1: state problem is part of that equation. 961 00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:20,120 Speaker 4: But I think n. 962 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,960 Speaker 1: IU is, however good you think they are, they aren't, however, 963 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:25,040 Speaker 1: not so bad do you think they are. I think 964 00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:27,719 Speaker 1: they're priced like a penny stock right now, so you're 965 00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:29,719 Speaker 1: going to be getting a pretty good price here. And 966 00:43:29,760 --> 00:43:32,320 Speaker 1: I think Akron is playing like they're really good. Acrons 967 00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,600 Speaker 1: not this good. That's my Acron take. Kay, They're very good, 968 00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:36,879 Speaker 1: they are not this good. I think they're this good. 969 00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:40,320 Speaker 3: I think this z Acron team is absolutely incredible, which 970 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,040 Speaker 3: is just ridiculous. John Gross did it again. I mean, 971 00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 3: they lost everybody from last year and they're still the 972 00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:46,359 Speaker 3: best team this league. 973 00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:48,960 Speaker 1: Look at the last year. They're not better than last year. 974 00:43:49,000 --> 00:43:52,760 Speaker 3: They might beat Miami, ohiab almost thirty, beat Buffalo by thirty, 975 00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:56,560 Speaker 3: beat Michigan by thirty something, bad team shaving points exactly 976 00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,759 Speaker 3: bad teams, and I use a bad team I think 977 00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,239 Speaker 3: is going to smoke them. I at least I'm not 978 00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:04,799 Speaker 3: in a hurry to back in. I I'll say that 979 00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,080 Speaker 3: I've been burned by the bottom of the mac and 980 00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 3: I'm just not in a hurry. Besides, just in Michigan, 981 00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:10,839 Speaker 3: of course against my bio, I'm gonna take a thing 982 00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:11,239 Speaker 3: at that one. 983 00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'll be an Anni waiting patiently in line. 984 00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:15,560 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be jumping elbow and people out 985 00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:17,120 Speaker 1: of the way, but I'll wait patiently in line, and 986 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 1: I'll wait my turn. 987 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,280 Speaker 2: And yeah, this certainly won't be a mega whale nuclear 988 00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,279 Speaker 2: warhead play or something. You know, it's it's hold your 989 00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,160 Speaker 2: nose if you're going to do it. Akron is number 990 00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 2: one in the conference in two point percentage offense and defense, 991 00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:32,799 Speaker 2: one of the most sustainable type of stats. So even 992 00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 2: though they are also number one and three point percentage 993 00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:37,960 Speaker 2: offense and defense, there's still a lot of sustainability within 994 00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:41,680 Speaker 2: their numbers underlying. So you're really counting on a like 995 00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,879 Speaker 2: sleepy effort from Akron from Northern ILLINOI to have a chance. 996 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,400 Speaker 2: I'm not going to do it, people, if you want to, 997 00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 2: there is that spot potential in the trash area. 998 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:53,319 Speaker 3: They're playing so fast this year, it's like by far 999 00:44:53,480 --> 00:44:56,439 Speaker 3: John Gross's fastest team. It's allowing them to blow teams 1000 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,719 Speaker 3: out more, and I think it's inflating their their analytics. 1001 00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:01,480 Speaker 3: I mean, they're able beat teams by margin because they 1002 00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:02,640 Speaker 3: play any possessions. 1003 00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 1: That's good in this conference. It's great for this conference. 1004 00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,400 Speaker 1: I agree with that this style plays well in this league. 1005 00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:10,240 Speaker 2: In like in eight years or nine years at Akron, 1006 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:14,040 Speaker 2: his previous highest rank in tempo one hundred and tenth seventeenth. Yeah, 1007 00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:15,879 Speaker 2: last year they were two hundred and seventy first. 1008 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:17,520 Speaker 4: Oh yeah SnO breaks right now. 1009 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:21,160 Speaker 2: Totally totally different kind of team. All right, fellas, that's it. 1010 00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,960 Speaker 2: We didn't have anything we wanted to spotlight this week, 1011 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,560 Speaker 2: so we're just going to skip right to the recap here. 1012 00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,680 Speaker 2: Here's what I am rolling with. I decided not to 1013 00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 2: go Iowa. I have enough other potential bets here. I'm 1014 00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,959 Speaker 2: taking wake Forest. It says ten right now, it can come. 1015 00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:38,560 Speaker 2: I don't think that's what it will be, but I'll 1016 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,279 Speaker 2: bet it down to seven. So hopefully that's going to 1017 00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:44,040 Speaker 2: be out there in the market. Georgetown plus six against 1018 00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:48,720 Speaker 2: Saint John's, Minnesota plus thirteen at Michigan State Southern minus 1019 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,560 Speaker 2: twenty one hosting or excuse me traveling too it Ebna, 1020 00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:56,120 Speaker 2: Mississippi Valley State, Gonzaga Revenge minus ten, Little Rock back 1021 00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:59,320 Speaker 2: at Linna Wood minus ten. San Jose State had a 1022 00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:02,839 Speaker 2: two VAH plus sixteen to ten miles in the boys. 1023 00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 2: So that's a bunch of kai. Are you gonna stay 1024 00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:06,640 Speaker 2: as high volume as me? What do you got? Yeah? 1025 00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 4: I got a bunch here, Jim. 1026 00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:11,080 Speaker 3: I'm taking BYU on the second elevation leg against Baylor. 1027 00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:15,800 Speaker 3: I'm taking Pit against North Carolina ra Yes, I'm taking 1028 00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:19,960 Speaker 3: Wake against Louisville plus a little sprinkle on the money line, 1029 00:46:20,160 --> 00:46:24,520 Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan against Miami Ohio, Georgetown against Saint John's. 1030 00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,080 Speaker 4: Plus a little sprinkle on the money line. 1031 00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:30,280 Speaker 3: Southern to blow out Mississippi Valley State, Little Rock to 1032 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:33,640 Speaker 3: consume Eastern Illinois soul. And then Iowa. I am an 1033 00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:36,840 Speaker 3: ad gym. I'm adding Iowa against Ohio State. It's seven 1034 00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:39,480 Speaker 3: seven and a half in real markets right now. That's 1035 00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:39,920 Speaker 3: good for me. 1036 00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,560 Speaker 2: Somebody's got to do it. Somebody's got to do it. Matthew, 1037 00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 2: what do you got for us? 1038 00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep it a little volume because I like, 1039 00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 1: I just contain my losses. 1040 00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:50,080 Speaker 2: To get hot. Shoot to get hot. 1041 00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right, all right. I got Arizona BYU. I'm 1042 00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:54,279 Speaker 1: gonna go with both those. We talked about that at length. 1043 00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 1: I got Wake money Line. I brought that at fourth. 1044 00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:01,439 Speaker 1: I have to bet that I can't just Southern. Sorry, 1045 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,839 Speaker 1: Delta Devils. I'll be back talking about you later in 1046 00:47:03,880 --> 00:47:06,360 Speaker 1: this in this show, later in the year, I'll be 1047 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:07,319 Speaker 1: backing Moneyline, dog. 1048 00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:08,359 Speaker 4: I promise I'll come out. 1049 00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:10,799 Speaker 2: We'll note on Southern. I forgot. This Monday game is 1050 00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:12,200 Speaker 2: twenty two in the market. 1051 00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:15,480 Speaker 5: Twenty okay, official grading at twenty two there, yeah, I 1052 00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:17,840 Speaker 5: mean don't twenty four is probably like you're just reaching, 1053 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,560 Speaker 5: But I think twenty two is but within turf for me, Kansas, 1054 00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:24,120 Speaker 5: I mentioned the spot they're kind of a spot slash 1055 00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:25,280 Speaker 5: favorite favorite hybrid. 1056 00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:28,200 Speaker 1: And then San Jose State to round it off for Matthias, 1057 00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:30,879 Speaker 1: the finding Tim Miles, because Tim Miles is a good 1058 00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:32,160 Speaker 1: investment in your portfolio. 1059 00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:35,240 Speaker 2: Well, I mean yeah, he's He's been quite a frequent 1060 00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:39,040 Speaker 2: uppearer on this this Monday episode of BBOC, So keep 1061 00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 2: it rolling for us, Timmy Miles. That's it for this episode. 1062 00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:46,400 Speaker 2: We'll be back same time next Monday. Might just be 1063 00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:48,319 Speaker 2: a two Man Show. We've got some scheduling things to 1064 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:50,719 Speaker 2: work out, but either way, we'll be bringing you the 1065 00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,840 Speaker 2: same hard hitting analysis on the Monday and Tuesday slates. 1066 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:56,719 Speaker 2: Tune into the same feed BBOC for a Wednesday and 1067 00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,560 Speaker 2: Friday episode looking at the other days of the week. 1068 00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:02,520 Speaker 2: Stucky and Greg and Mike, cal Breezy and the boys 1069 00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:04,920 Speaker 2: all have you covered, So whatever you need, we got 1070 00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,960 Speaker 2: it here in BBOC. Thanks for tuning in, and we'll 1071 00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:13,480 Speaker 2: see you next week. 1072 00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:26,360 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1073 00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1074 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:32,320 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler