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Speaker 1: The Big Vets on Campus Podcast podcast PODA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick is Brock.

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Speaker 2: The Comic Football World Stunners, Oh my goodness, he.

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Speaker 3: Stumble and football the latter of turn a tyr on

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Speaker 3: the Exode gu the lad a table off the day

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Speaker 3: of the night.

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Speaker 2: By my god, it's not the size of the dog

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Speaker 2: in the fighting, it's the size of the fight.

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Speaker 3: In the all What's off the general nation? Welcome to

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Speaker 3: the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings. This

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Speaker 3: is the Week five college football vetting Preview. I'm stucky

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Speaker 3: and joining me as always my fellow BBOC co host

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Speaker 3: Colin Wilson. Oh baby, what a slate we have Peak

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Speaker 3: College football conference plays here, Ohio State at Washington, Oregon

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Speaker 3: at Penn State, Alabama at Georgia, LSU at Old Miss Auburn,

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Speaker 3: and A and M. I can keep going on and

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Speaker 3: on and on. We'll get to all those marquee games.

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Speaker 3: We'll hit about I don't know, ten to twelve others.

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Speaker 3: In the rundown, we'll talk some trash. I think maybe

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Speaker 3: six more games. Colin will obviously talk Arkansas, Notre Dame,

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Speaker 3: which I didn't even mention, and then I obviously as always,

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Speaker 3: will go three and out talk to Friday Night games,

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Speaker 3: hit our favorite favorites, favorite underdogs, and uh. In total,

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Speaker 3: we'll get the twenty five thirty games in a little

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Speaker 3: over an hour, no time to waste. Let's get in

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Speaker 3: right into it. But before we do, if you do

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Speaker 3: use Twitter, make sure you check out at Playbook, the

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Speaker 3: new betting bot from Action, turn your screenshot and do

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Speaker 3: a bet slip. All you have to do is follow

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Speaker 3: at Playbook on Twitter from more info. You could even

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Speaker 3: just say hey, at Playbook, create this slip for me,

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Speaker 3: Or if you have a screenshot, or if someone posts

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Speaker 3: a bet, you can just at Playbook create the slip

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Speaker 3: for you, no more manual work. Click the link, It'll

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Speaker 3: take you right to your book, whatever book you want,

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Speaker 3: and then you can just bet it. We'll also have

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Speaker 3: a quick slip link in the video and podcast description

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Speaker 3: where you can find and tell some of the bets

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Speaker 3: we discussed in today's episode, or you can visit Action

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Speaker 3: network dot com slash bet now and also another podcast

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Speaker 3: that I'm doing on Thursdays. I'm the new cost of

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Speaker 3: the Favorites podcast, which is a return with the new lineup.

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Speaker 3: Episodes Tuesday, Thursday, Sunday with Kendrick Middleton, Brandon Kravitz and myself,

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Speaker 3: bet stories, all sorts of fun stuff. It's all centered

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Speaker 3: around the NFL, but it's more of a fun casual episode,

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Speaker 3: So check it out wherever you listen to podcasts.

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Speaker 2: Before we start this, boy, do you feel like a

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Speaker 2: little little bit of energy like this is going to

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Speaker 2: be some crazy shit weekend.

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Speaker 3: I'm telling you that right now that there's no elite

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Speaker 3: great team in college football. One could emerge, but there's none.

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Speaker 3: What's that mean? At peak parody? This season, there's gonna

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Speaker 3: be lots of upsets. Uh, there's gonna be chaosts throughout

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Speaker 3: the season, and I think it starts this weekend. There's

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Speaker 3: really no bad teams except Clemson.

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Speaker 2: Is this a bad year?

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Speaker 1: Is this a yeah? And this is my responsibility, take

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent responsibility for it. But all this bull

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Speaker 1: crap you're thinking, all these narratives you read, Listen, man,

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Speaker 1: you can have your opinion all you won't and you

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Speaker 1: can apply for the job and good luck to you.

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Speaker 3: All right, it's another fabulous weekend of college football.

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Speaker 2: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 3: We'll all end up bedding for Week five. Let's get

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Speaker 3: into Ohio State at Washington. This line has come way down.

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Speaker 3: We were pays the paid listen to the Sunday Show

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Speaker 3: said we'd liked some ECU early that line's taken off.

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Speaker 3: We said we liked Washington and ten or better. This

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Speaker 3: line's come down to seven and a half eight and

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Speaker 3: a half. Total has jumped up fifty one and a

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Speaker 3: half to fifty two and a half. All right, I

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Speaker 3: have lots to say on this game. The first thing

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Speaker 3: is I do like Washington. But well, let's start when

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Speaker 3: Washington as the ball. They have a top five back

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Speaker 3: in the country and Jonah Coleman. They have a top

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Speaker 3: five receiver in the country and Dewn's up Austin. They

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Speaker 3: have I would think maybe a top ten quarterback by

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Speaker 3: the end of the season, at least in Devon Williams

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Speaker 3: dual threat electric. Their offense has been on fire. The

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Speaker 3: interier offensive line is still question, but it's better. Their

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Speaker 3: entire offense line is better than last year. Bring to

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Speaker 3: a Kansastate transfer start at left tackle. He's been great

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Speaker 3: their offense should be able to move the ball here

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Speaker 3: on Ohio State and especially early on with Jedfish amazing

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Speaker 3: in the scripted portion. That's huge for this crowd. This

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Speaker 3: is a team that's won twenty two straight at home.

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Speaker 3: Should be an electric crowd. This is Julians Sayin's first

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Speaker 3: true road game as well. We've seen a lot of

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Speaker 3: freshmen struggle on that spot so far this season. But

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Speaker 3: I do think Washington a lot of success moving the ball.

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Speaker 3: I'm curious to see what they do with Caleb Downs.

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Speaker 3: Does he spy Williams? How do they use him? Should

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Speaker 3: be super interesting, But I think Washington's offense can have success. Look,

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Speaker 3: I have questions. It's this an Ohio State team that

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Speaker 3: lost fourteen players to the NFL. Their defense is still

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Speaker 3: really good. We had questions about Matt Patricia. We said, wow,

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Speaker 3: you passed the test against Texas, but did you see

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Speaker 3: Texas after that? I mean March manning through for one

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Speaker 3: hundred and thirty yards, went eleven of twenty five against

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Speaker 3: UTENP So I'm pausing my breaks on the defense. I

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Speaker 3: have questions on the outside at corner and the defensive

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Speaker 3: line a bit. I think the key for Washington is

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Speaker 3: Williams's legs and then Coleman not only running the ball,

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Speaker 3: which is how I think you have to attack this

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Speaker 3: Ohio State defense to start things off, but also him

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Speaker 3: out of the backfield. He's their second leading receiver, so

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Speaker 3: I think that they're going to have enough success moving

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Speaker 3: the ball. The question then becomes ken Ohio State, He's

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Speaker 3: Washington going to be able to get enough stops because

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Speaker 3: obviously Ohio State's a more talented team. Sayan's been great

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Speaker 3: the last two weeks, but it was grambling in Ohio

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Speaker 3: and he did throw three interceptions across those two games.

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Speaker 3: He wasn't great against Texas, but it's his first career

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Speaker 3: start against and he didn't have to do I didnt

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Speaker 3: ask him to do much against an elite defense. The

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Speaker 3: high Sted offensive line has taken a step back. The

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Speaker 3: backfield especially has taken a step back. There's not as

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Speaker 3: much juice with Donaldson and Peoples, who also really struggle

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Speaker 3: in pass protection, which is noteworthy against the Washington team

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Speaker 3: that does lead the country in pressure without blitzing. But

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Speaker 3: you gotta take into account the competition hasn't been the greatest.

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Speaker 3: You know, Colorado State, Washington State, FCS team. The key

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Speaker 3: for me here is in Ryan Walters's defense. So I

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Speaker 3: don't think like I do, worry about the run dye

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Speaker 3: but this isn't like the potent Ohio State rushing attack

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Speaker 3: of last year and saying is not mobile, So you

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Speaker 3: don't worry about the mobile quarterback and the backs and

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Speaker 3: offensive line just aren't at the same caliber as they

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Speaker 3: were last year. Now what Ohio State does have arguably

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Speaker 3: the best wide receiver duo in the country led by

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Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith Carnell Tate. They are electric and they're going

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Speaker 3: to go up against the most man heavy defense in

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Speaker 3: the country with Washington who plays man and I don't know,

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Speaker 3: fifty eight to sixty percent of the time it's Cover one.

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Speaker 3: It's Ryan Walter, the new defense coordinator, came from Illinois

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Speaker 3: then head coach of Purdue. A lot of Cover one

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Speaker 3: at full strength. Washington as the corners to play that

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Speaker 3: that is what's required in Ryan Walter's defense. You need

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Speaker 3: E league corners. They have pry Sock and they have

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Speaker 3: Takario Davis who's arguably a first round draft pick. That's

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Speaker 3: the key to the game. Does Davis play so I

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Speaker 3: don't know he nursed Ribbs last week didn't play. The

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Speaker 3: problem is when he didn't play, they were playing Washington State.

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Speaker 3: His backup gave up one hundred and fifty yards and

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Speaker 3: two touchdowns, got benched. For a true freshmen, it was bad.

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Speaker 3: The true freshman played out the Robinson played outstanding, but

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Speaker 3: it was Washington State. Is he ready to go on

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Speaker 3: an island and play against Tate and Smith? I doubt

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Speaker 3: it's probably go. The role will help that side, and

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Speaker 3: the Prices is going to be on an island like

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Speaker 3: change his whole structure of the defense. Davis's status is

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Speaker 3: paramount here. They also lost one of their best linebackers,

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Speaker 3: the Washington State transfer Jacob Manno. Is he going to play.

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Speaker 3: He was an All Conference linebacker at Arizona. By the way, Price,

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Speaker 3: Sock and Davis also came from Arizona over fish was.

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Speaker 3: He hasn't played yet. He tours ACL and last October

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Speaker 3: warmed up recently. He could go. That's important. One of

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Speaker 3: the other best pass rushers, Parker, hasn't all. He hasn't

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Speaker 3: made his debut yet. We'll see if he can go.

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Speaker 3: So there's injuries on this Washington defense and they're not

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Speaker 3: a team like Ohio State with lots of depth, and

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Speaker 3: that matters. That davis injury matters a ton. If he

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Speaker 3: doesn't go, I think this line will probably tick back up.

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Speaker 3: I would like the over more, but I like Washington.

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Speaker 3: I think they're gonna put a scare into Ohio State.

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Speaker 3: The only other thing I'll mention that does worry mean

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Speaker 3: is the special teams. Washington special teams, which were a

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Speaker 3: disaster last year, aren't great again this year, and that

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Speaker 3: could end up costing. Are we gonna We're gonna have

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Speaker 3: to see Grady Gross again?

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Speaker 2: Gross, when he was a freshman career for the national title.

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Speaker 3: Guy said a fifty He's hit a fifty one yarder

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Speaker 3: this year he's two of two. But I don't trust so.

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Speaker 3: But I like Washington here. It's a little harder to

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Speaker 3: get to it eight and a half without knowing davis

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Speaker 3: as status. It's massive. What are your thoughts here? Curious

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Speaker 3: to hear what you have to say.

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Speaker 2: I like my thick kickers. Look, I think I think

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Speaker 2: you kind of throw Grambling in Ohio out the door.

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Speaker 2: Ohiosey one hundred and seven and nine combined the year

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Speaker 2: to gout this.

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Speaker 3: Defense is awful too. I mean Gardner Web was torching

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Speaker 3: them last week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Oh, by the way, you know what I love

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Speaker 2: about our podcast. As you mentioned, like Cover one is

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Speaker 2: going to be thrown here by Washington. You know, I've

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Speaker 2: already done the analytics on what saying is done against

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Speaker 2: Cover one. I think you have to go back to

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Speaker 2: the Texas box score and really kind of remember the

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Speaker 2: fact that Texas won that box score, especially on the ground.

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Speaker 2: Half of Texas's possessions had two or more first downs,

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Speaker 2: and the Longhorns were stuffed on just sixteen percent of

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Speaker 2: rushing attempts. To clarify, that thirty percent is the national average,

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Speaker 2: Ohio State only stuffed half of what the national average

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Speaker 2: is against Texas's run offense. Ohio State, considering they played

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Speaker 2: Grambling in Ohio, they're eighty ninth in defensive line yards.

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Speaker 2: I think Washington absolutely win the trench here. I think

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Speaker 2: dem and Wood I.

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Speaker 3: Take Boston over any Texas receiver. I take Williams over Manning,

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Speaker 3: and I take Coleman over any Texas running back.

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Speaker 2: Right now, what Washington is gonna do is they're going

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Speaker 2: to go straight zone read concepts. That's all they run,

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Speaker 2: and they are highly successful. Seventy three percent success rate

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Speaker 2: with inside zone. They average an explosive play on one

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Speaker 2: of three attempts. I get it with their strength of

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Speaker 2: schedule is but still one of three attempts is an explosive.

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Speaker 2: What Jonah Coleman is doing right now from like a

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Speaker 2: yards after first contact and created enforcing mistackles is pretty insane.

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Speaker 2: I think the second level tackling for Ohio State there

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Speaker 2: are starting. There's starting to be some numbers that I'm

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Speaker 2: noticing out of the Patricia defense that are catching my eye.

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Speaker 2: And I'm sure this is voicemail worthy and I'll hear

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Speaker 2: from everybody on Sunday. But right now, Ohio State is

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Speaker 2: graded fifty ninth in tackling by PFF. Second level tackling

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Speaker 2: for the Buckeyes here is paramount because that's where Jonah

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Speaker 2: Coleman and Williams are going to be is in the

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Speaker 2: second level. Now. I say fundamentals and coaching means everything.

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Speaker 2: And I know we got a lot of hate on

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Speaker 2: me from the Patricia call against the Texas game. Caleb's

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Speaker 2: down mistackle rate last year was ten percent. Right now

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Speaker 2: it's twenty one percent. Second level tackling by the Buckeyes

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Speaker 2: is key here. Why, Because Washington's going to be able

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Speaker 2: to put up a score for every time Ohio State

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Speaker 2: does if they don't tackle at the second level. Julian saying,

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Speaker 2: you mentioned a lot of Cover one is coming out

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Speaker 2: of Washington. Julian saying right now about a dozen and

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Speaker 2: a half attempts against Cover one, a very poor forty

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Speaker 2: four percent success rate against Cover one. He hasn't seen

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Speaker 2: much man That will be a change for him. And

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Speaker 2: if there's going to be man coverage and they're going

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Speaker 2: to jump routes, Sayin's going to have to be on

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Speaker 2: the ball and zipping that. So there's no explosive out

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Speaker 2: of this offense outside of Jeremiah Smith being four point

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Speaker 2: four yards per route run. I mean, this team is

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty second and pass epa ninety third

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Speaker 2: and rush EPA is way different than what we had

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Speaker 2: last year with Juckins and Henderson. There's just not the

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Speaker 2: same offense whatsoever. And I think another thing that pointed

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Speaker 2: out to me in the box scores that I would

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Speaker 2: be worried about if I was a Buckeyes fan and

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Speaker 2: putting money on them. Ohio produced eight pressures a sack

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Speaker 2: on Julian's say in last week, that's bad.

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Speaker 3: So I'm not saying line their backs, their backs can't

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Speaker 3: pass protect To keep that in mind, we already have

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Speaker 3: Washington on the agree board. By the way, you take

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Speaker 3: one minute leave a five star review that will really

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Speaker 3: help us out this time of the year. I'll read

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Speaker 3: one or two reviews right now, and if you want

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Speaker 3: to reach out to me, I'll I'll send you some gear.

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Speaker 3: Let's see all hail Stucky. Oh wait, no, no mind,

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Speaker 3: just want that is one of them. Here's a good

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Speaker 3: one by Crazy Sea, Bass Falls, Pumpkin Patches, Bonfires, Tailgates,

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Speaker 3: and BBOC. It's how I start every weekend and keep

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Speaker 3: it up. This is the first week and it feels

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Speaker 3: like fall the air games. Oh baby, but this is

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Speaker 3: the one I really wanted to read. This is the

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Speaker 3: reason why I'm doing this. Uh best college football pot

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Speaker 3: out there an hour every week is straight down it.

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Speaker 3: I hope you understand and bet the sports better. It's

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Speaker 3: even better once you realize Colin is always wrong on

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Speaker 3: a Ohio state. That scares me, but we're gonna trust

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Speaker 3: this Washington offense. Let's stay in the big ten Oregon

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Speaker 3: at Penn State. It's a big one white out. By

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Speaker 3: the way, Penn State covered nine in a row, nine

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Speaker 3: whiteouts in a row over the past eight seasons, going

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Speaker 3: back to twenty sixteen. They've only lost one of those games.

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Speaker 3: I think they lost by one to Ohio State. Penn

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Speaker 3: State is out to a three and a half point

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Speaker 3: favorite total fifty two and a half. I love Penn State.

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Speaker 3: Here said this on Sunday. Would obviously really for like

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Speaker 3: a three. There was a three out there early in

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Speaker 3: the week that I grabbed. You might be able to

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Speaker 3: get it again. I think that it seems like the

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Speaker 3: whole world is betting Oregon, but even at three and

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Speaker 3: a half, that's the side I would bet. Look, I

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Speaker 3: know Oregon has looked great. Dante Moores looked great. They

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Speaker 3: they beat nobody, Like both these teams haven't played anybody.

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Speaker 3: But Oregon had a reason to play and try, and

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Speaker 3: like they had a brand new team they needed to

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Speaker 3: see what more had they don't all these new pieces

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Speaker 3: and so yeah, they look great, but they yeah, they

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Speaker 3: beat the brakes off Oklahoma State. Oklahoma's take up blown

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Speaker 3: out at home by Tulsa and then how to fire

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Speaker 3: their coach Oregon State is atrocious and then they have

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Speaker 3: the Northwestern is.

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Speaker 2: Bad and didn't cover and didn't cover.

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Speaker 3: I can't, so I can't take much from those games.

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Speaker 3: Penn State hasn't looked great, haven't covered yet. They've played

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Speaker 3: three cupcakes people that I'm close to, And this is

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Speaker 3: just my own eyes. They haven't showed anything. They have

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Speaker 3: been preparing for this game since spring. They basically have

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Speaker 3: a two game season this Ohio State. They haven't showed anything.

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Speaker 3: They haven't showed any new wrinkles. I truly believe they

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Speaker 3: upgraded at the wide receiver position, and this is where

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Speaker 3: they have the huge, the big advantage. Like I'm trusting

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Speaker 3: more of my priors, like my like so like I'm

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Speaker 3: basically saying, oky, Yeah, Oregon looks great, But I've seen

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Speaker 3: Dante Moore go fifteen or forty at Utah. I've seen

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Speaker 3: him throw pick six under pressure time and time again.

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Speaker 3: Is it all fixed? I don't know. He's the town

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Speaker 3: advantage that they've had in the first three games, and

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Speaker 3: he's not under any pressure, he's not any hostile environments.

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Speaker 3: This is totally different against an elite defense. So I'm

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Speaker 3: sticking more to my priors here and not really updating

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Speaker 3: where these teams are and before the season, I would

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Speaker 3: have Penn State between a seven and ten point favor

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Speaker 3: so three all day. When you also throw in the intangibles.

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Speaker 3: Penn State off a bye and like I said, they've

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Speaker 3: basically been preparing this game for five months with arguabily

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Speaker 3: the best coordinator duo in the sport. That's worth something. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 3: Oregon was while Penn State was playing an FCS team,

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Speaker 3: Oregon was traveling across the country to play Northwestern in

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Speaker 3: the conference game, went back to the West Coast to

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Speaker 3: play a rivalry game in the Civil War. And now

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Speaker 3: they're flying back out east. So that those intangibles, the

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Speaker 3: white out that all favors Penn State. So yeah, and

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Speaker 3: then UFOs remember the Oregon two of Oregon's best weapons

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Speaker 3: are true freshmen, Like they haven't been in this environment,

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Speaker 3: they haven't played this like, there's no there's no telling that,

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Speaker 3: there's no given that they're going to just step up

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Speaker 3: and not fold, and they're not ready for Maybe they're

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Speaker 3: not ready for this moment yet. So I don't trust

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Speaker 3: more yet if he proves it to me, great, two

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Speaker 3: things that worry me. Can Pen State just turn it

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Speaker 3: on like that? That's been a concern in the past.

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Speaker 3: Can they just flip that switch and Franklin has turtled

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Speaker 3: in these games, just like decision making and landing will

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Speaker 3: be aggressive and that could work in his favor. You

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Speaker 3: see that with Dan Campbell in some games. But uh,

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Speaker 3: I think this is too much of an overreaction to

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Speaker 3: what people have seen against garbage competition I've seen. I

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Speaker 3: need to see more perform against this level of defense

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Speaker 3: in this environment before I buy its Oregon team. Everyone

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Speaker 3: was low in this Oregon team. Everyone was selling Oregon,

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Speaker 3: including me, And now all of a sudden, everyone's like

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Speaker 3: Oregon's number one because they beat Oklahoma State and Oregon

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Speaker 3: State by a lot. Please Penn State.

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Speaker 2: Well, you and I mentioned this and for everybody's knowledge,

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Speaker 2: like I took Penn State on the money line in

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Speaker 2: a Game of the Year before the season started.

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Speaker 3: Are we putting Penn State on the board? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, We're putting Penn State on the board even at

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Speaker 2: three and a half. You know, I don't want to

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Speaker 2: fall into the trap of Penn State shown nothing because

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Speaker 2: last year Penn State got to seven and zero and

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Speaker 2: we said Cotal Nikki's holding back for a house date.

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Speaker 2: Cotal Nikki's holding back for State. Would they score one

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Speaker 2: offensive one offensive touchdown in that game? I mean, it

351
00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:05,760
Speaker 2: was pretty gross. I don't know what the game plan,

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Speaker 2: I don't know how much Franklin has in this, but

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Speaker 2: you're right, I mean turtling up against this beyond riverboat

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Speaker 2: gambler that Dan Lanning is is definitely an advantage in

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Speaker 2: Orgon's favor here. But I would like to see more

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Speaker 2: of codl Nikkiy's offense that we saw towards the end

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Speaker 2: of the year come into play here. So we'll see

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Speaker 2: if Franklin, like you know, allows his coordinators to do

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Speaker 2: what they do. But there are some major major advantages

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Speaker 2: for Penn.

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Speaker 3: State run game. That's what it all Starcks.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned this before that I've been watching Oregon and

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Speaker 2: they have been sliced in the middle over.

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Speaker 3: The day, watching the Northwestern run on them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's like I watched kV On Thibodeau

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Speaker 2: the other night in the NFL and all I could

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Speaker 2: think about was he was on defenses for Oregon that

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Speaker 2: were sliced in the middle while he was on the edge.

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Speaker 2: It's like, it's a serious problem of the defensive interior.

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Speaker 2: So Penn State. You have to look at what Nick

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Speaker 2: Singleton and k Tron Allen have been done so far.

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Speaker 2: Allen is the one that's been the just absolutely gobbling

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Speaker 2: up everything five point five yards after first contact. Fourteen

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00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,760
Speaker 2: forced fourteen minut tackles on only thirty four attempts is

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Speaker 2: insane numbers. And you know, Drew Aller kind of had

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Speaker 2: an off day against Villanova too turnover worthy plays, But

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Speaker 2: I don't think they need him to beat Organ here whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: I'm wondering if this focus was on Oregon. But listen,

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Speaker 2: I think Drew Aller still has problems with, you know,

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Speaker 2: throwing out of the pocket, taking sacks, but that's.

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Speaker 3: The tackles are worried like there's gonna be too much pressure.

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Speaker 3: But I do think Bens it's gonna be able to

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Speaker 3: run the ball and that'll set up everything else.

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Speaker 2: Well, everybody's real focus on like Kyro nuts and Tremor opinion,

385
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Speaker 2: they just haven't been as explosive as people thought. I

386
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Speaker 2: just don't think that's what's going on here. The biggest

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Speaker 2: handicap is the fact that Penn State with COTL Nikki

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00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:36,840
Speaker 2: runs a ton of outside zone. With Allen and Singleton,

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Speaker 2: if you look at Oregon forty two percent success rate

390
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:44,240
Speaker 2: against outside zone a schedule of Oregon State, Northwestern, Oklahoma State,

391
00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 2: and Montana State, that that is what they have done.

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Speaker 2: I think this is an extremely bad matchup from a

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Speaker 2: run perspective. On the other side of the ball, Jim Knowles,

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Speaker 2: who what is this this third time to see Oregon?

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Speaker 2: I think in the last I don't He's seen Oregon

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Speaker 2: a lot in the last twelve months. I think what

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00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 2: you have to do? I think you and I talked

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00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:05,359
Speaker 2: about this offline. How do I know with all of

399
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Speaker 2: these highlights of Decoryan Moore and Dante Moore and all

400
00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,159
Speaker 2: of these great players on Orgon, how do I know

401
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:11,720
Speaker 2: that Penn State's going to be able to stack up?

402
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 2: Can they tackle in space? It's just one of the

403
00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 2: biggest handicaps, like can you take on one of these elite,

404
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 2: elusive targets with all these weapons with Oregon? Can you

405
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 2: tackle in space? Per PFF King Mac a top twenty

406
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,200
Speaker 2: individual tackler of all PFF safeties A place for Penn State.

407
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 2: That is key against Decoreyan Moore in space, He's just

408
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:31,680
Speaker 2: gonna gobble him up and not let him get away.

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00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,639
Speaker 2: Corner play is crucial for Penn State. Darius Dixon and

410
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Speaker 2: Jamiir Joseph are two of the highest graded defenders in

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Speaker 2: FBS at the corner position. I'm sticking with it. I

412
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Speaker 2: think the run concepts that Andy kotal Nikki have are

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Speaker 2: going to go right in the face of what the

414
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Speaker 2: weakest part of the Oregon defense is. They take They

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Speaker 2: take over the game at the line of scrimmage, and

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Speaker 2: that's exactly what this comes down to.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, I think more pick six coming.

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Speaker 2: Oh so glad I'm not on the on the organ.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, wait to see if you can't get a three though,

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Speaker 3: I think it might pop at pennsil Penn State three

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Speaker 3: pending look for the three. But we'll put it on

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Speaker 3: the agree board regardless. Let's move on. Let's go to

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Speaker 3: the SEC. Got some great games in the SEC this week.

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Speaker 3: Let's talk Alabama Georgia. Georgia is a let's call it.

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Speaker 3: There's three. I'll call consensus three across the board. Total

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00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 3: total has been moving a bit, fifty two and a

427
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Speaker 3: half to fifty three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Show.

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Speaker 3: By the way, I should mention that Ohio State favored

430
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:38,439
Speaker 3: by eight and a half right now, only the second

431
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 3: time in the last twenty five years of number one

432
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 3: team in the country is favored by less than ten

433
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 3: against an unranked opponent. The only other time it happened

434
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:51,640
Speaker 3: was Notre Dame at USC in twenty twelve. Speaking of streaks,

435
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 3: Georgia hasn't lost a home game in regulation since twenty sixteen.

436
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 3: They lost an overtime game their last loss in twenty nineteen.

437
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 3: Alabama hasn't Georgia hasn't beat Alabama at home since two

438
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 3: thousand and three, but they haven't played in Athens since

439
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,119
Speaker 3: Kirby has arrived. I think the last meeting might have

440
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,679
Speaker 3: been in twenty fifteen. This is a big one. Alabama

441
00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 3: doesn't want to suffer a loss here would really hurt

442
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 3: their college football playoff chances, since they already have a

443
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 3: loss in pocket with obviously a tough slate ahead with

444
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:25,720
Speaker 3: an SEC schedule. Georgia three now after escaping in Knoxville.

445
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna try to sell me on Alabama

446
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 3: and over. I'll tell you one thing I'm not getting there.

447
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 3: I'll tell you I'm probably not betting Georgia pregame unless

448
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 3: I get a two and a half flat. I mean,

449
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,600
Speaker 3: I have Georgia Power aded slightly ahead of Alabama. I

450
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 3: have home field in this spot where it's like three

451
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 3: point eight points. It's massive. But Alabama's coming off of

452
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:51,439
Speaker 3: a bye. I'm assuming that debor Grubb are gonna have

453
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:56,399
Speaker 3: some nice wrinkles here and they might jump out. They

454
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,880
Speaker 3: might get a score early, get a couple scores early.

455
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 3: But Kirby smart is.

456
00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 2: They had twenty eight last year early.

457
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's the best in game adjuster in the sport.

458
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 3: So I will be looking for Georgia live. I also

459
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 3: like the under. I'm trying to see where this goes.

460
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 3: It's very it's very contrarian because both of these defenses

461
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,040
Speaker 3: they don't have the same amount of juice up front.

462
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 3: Their secondaries have been exposed at times, but like these

463
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 3: aren't the type of the exact type of offense that

464
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 3: give the opposing defenses issues. Like yes, Stockton can run

465
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 3: a little bit, but like they're not where they were.

466
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 3: Ralbama really struggles on defenses like mobile quarterbacks, and they're

467
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 3: they're gonna I'm sure Kirby's gonna implement some of the

468
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,719
Speaker 3: stuff that gives Alabama issues. But and neither of these

469
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 3: teams can run the ball, so like, so I know

470
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:48,239
Speaker 3: that it'll probably be a pass heavy game, but I

471
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 3: just think with these two defenses, when you get too predictable,

472
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 3: I just think that the defenses are going to show

473
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 3: up here. And listen, Ty Simpson, you're gonna sell me

474
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 3: on him. He's looked great the past two weeks. He

475
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 3: played ul Monroe and he played Wisconsin, who just got

476
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 3: destroyed at home by Maryland. So like, let's not go

477
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,119
Speaker 3: this is still the same guy that looked like he

478
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 3: was throwing a frozen turkey in Tallahassee. So I prove

479
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,440
Speaker 3: it to me, like like like Dante Moore, prove it

480
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 3: to me. He's still a young kid in a hostile environment.

481
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 3: So I'll be looking for Georgia Live. I'm gonna go

482
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 3: ahead to if you want to go head to head

483
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 3: on the total, I'm happy to do.

484
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, you and I are going ahead dead on the total.

485
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 2: This game's going over so full transparency, like I do

486
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 2: like Alabama in this game. I don't have a single

487
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 2: pinion on it. I have a dime on the over,

488
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 2: so we can go at fifty three. You know, it's interesting.

489
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,400
Speaker 2: I want to back you up on what you said

490
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 2: about looking for Georgia Live. We got into a little

491
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 2: betting habit at the end of last year. I don't

492
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 2: know if you remember this, but Alabama won like every

493
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 2: single first quarter, Like there's just annihilated people in the

494
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 2: first quarter. There's only one team that is beating Kaylen

495
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 2: to Boor in the first court. If you wipe out

496
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,399
Speaker 2: that Bowl against Michigan, which I don't think meant anything,

497
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,160
Speaker 2: but if you wipe buy the BWLL against Michigan, it's

498
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 2: only one team in the regular season that's beaten Kaylan

499
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 2: to Bandy diego right. They just didn't have a plan

500
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: for that. But besides that, I think looking for Georgia

501
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,680
Speaker 2: Live if you like them, I would wait too. As

502
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 2: far as this game goes, I think Alabama's bolstered by

503
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,240
Speaker 2: the fact Jan Miller. I think they changes that offense

504
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 2: a little bit.

505
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 3: Any running I mean, because you're talking like thirty three

506
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 3: thirty four percent success rate running against Florida State and

507
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 3: against Wisconsin. Their tackles also haven't been as good, like

508
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,360
Speaker 3: proptors not having great here, such.

509
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 2: As running backs have been bad too, because their yards

510
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 2: after first contact. I mean, they're just they're not doing anything.

511
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,439
Speaker 2: They're not elusive. They're not. They're not joking, they're not

512
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 2: doing anything. So an offensive line is I've got what

513
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 2: eleventh and I'm sorry the thirty sixth in the line

514
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 2: yards right now, but they're eleventh and stuff right so

515
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,360
Speaker 2: at least they're controlling the line of scrimmage when they

516
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 2: need it. On third and two and fourth and one.

517
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 2: Ty Simpson has been on point. And I know the

518
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 2: defense that you're talking, I know know what you're saying

519
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 2: about who they've gone up against, but the numbers are insane.

520
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 2: About the clean windows that he's throwing into. He is

521
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 2: best in the nation on target rate, that is, hitting

522
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 2: your target in stride without them moving, changing directions, reaching

523
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 2: behind them, over their heads when you go past that.

524
00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 2: He hasn't recorded a turnover worthy play and they've only

525
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 2: had four contested catches the entire season. Like he is.

526
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:27,680
Speaker 2: He is just immaculate with his accuracy right now, Alabama

527
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,880
Speaker 2: ranks is the second highest passing offense nationally in contested

528
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 2: catches for.

529
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 3: He's been super productive with play action, like like, I

530
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 3: think he's completely like ninety percent of his pass as

531
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:40,440
Speaker 3: a play action. But that's the key to me, because

532
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 3: George is gonna be able to bring different pressures and

533
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 3: blitz is if they don't respect the run. So if

534
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:45,919
Speaker 3: Alabama can't run.

535
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,880
Speaker 2: It here, but maybe they can jam, I don't know.

536
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 3: If they can, is what I'm saying. Like that from

537
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 3: what I've seen, and like I think Alabama moved the

538
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 3: ball a bit, but I don't think that. I think

539
00:25:58,440 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 3: that George is going to get stops in the red

540
00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 3: zone and where it's good if they can't run the ball,

541
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:02,639
Speaker 3: Like that's what it all comes down to, and then

542
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 3: this game is going to go under. This isn't like

543
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 3: your saying vertical Alabama attack where they're like a lot

544
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 3: of it is like in the intermediary where Bernard is working.

545
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:13,520
Speaker 3: Williams is like a lot of the after the catch.

546
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 3: There's just so much speed on the back ends of

547
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 3: both these defenses that I think there's gonna be like

548
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 3: these drives are going to take time. That's why I

549
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 3: like the under.

550
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 2: I mean, Bernard is always orbiting, always in motion, and

551
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,400
Speaker 2: Williams has been playing a lot more slot this year

552
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 2: than he did last.

553
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 3: Year, especially last week.

554
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, and so when you look when you look at this,

555
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 2: it's like I disagree with you about Georgia in the

556
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:34,960
Speaker 2: red zone. I mean they're ninety second defensive finishing drives.

557
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 2: They have not been able to defend the pass. They

558
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 2: have no pass rush, which I know Kirby only sends

559
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 2: four and he tries to get pressure out of that.

560
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: But Georgia's coverage grade of ninety third, it goes beyond

561
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 2: just playing Tennessee and getting and getting zipped by Joey Aguilar,

562
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 2: Marshall and Austin Pe combined to create five explosive plays,

563
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 2: five explosive passes against the dog secondary that that's not good.

564
00:26:55,680 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 2: The corner play is crucial here. Janelle aguilera Agera, Dalen Everett,

565
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: Daniel Harris. They've allowed. These are the corners that have

566
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,439
Speaker 2: been playing for Georgia for starting gotten the most covered snaps.

567
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 2: They have allowed twenty one to thirty one targets to

568
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 2: be caught for two hundred and forty eight yards. The

569
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,360
Speaker 2: corners have not played well for Georgia whatsoever. And now

570
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 2: Ryan Williams and Jeremy Bernard three point three two point

571
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:21,439
Speaker 2: nine yards per route run respectively. I think Alabama is

572
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 2: absolutely going to be able to move it. Maybe if

573
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:24,919
Speaker 2: jam isn't even efficient, I still think tysim is going

574
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:26,439
Speaker 2: to be able to throw it. These corners have not

575
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 2: played well at all, and ninety second defensive finishing drives,

576
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 2: Alabama is going to score. Now you go to the

577
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 2: other side of the ball. George's five point eight yards

578
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 2: per play sixty percent success rate against the Tennessee defense.

579
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 2: I respect that. I respect what Gunner Stockton did better

580
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 2: than I thought, especially from his passing perspective. They converted

581
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 2: half of their third downs. They had an average distance

582
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 2: to go five point seven yards. That means Georgia is

583
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 2: killing it in standard downs and they are like Gunner Stockton.

584
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:51,600
Speaker 2: They are moving the ball in first and second down,

585
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,119
Speaker 2: They're rarely in a passing down. There was plenty of

586
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 2: pressure on him in that game. He's had thirty one

587
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,360
Speaker 2: pressures and one hundred and six dropbacks already this year,

588
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 2: but he's performed well with that. Tim Keenan does return

589
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,120
Speaker 2: to defensive interior for Alabama. I think that's big for them.

590
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 2: From a side perspective, why I kind of lean Alabama,

591
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 2: But both of these defenses and not been good in

592
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 2: finishing drives at all. Obama has surrendered four point four

593
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,639
Speaker 2: points to every opponent that has crossed the forty yard line.

594
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 2: I projected the number of sixty one. I think the defenses,

595
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,400
Speaker 2: the back ends are leaky. I don't think the corner

596
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 2: played from Georgia has been great whatsoever. And I think

597
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:29,399
Speaker 2: Stockton can absolutely create his own points. So I like

598
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 2: the over here. We'll go head to head on it.

599
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 2: I lean Alabama, but it's either it's a pre game

600
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 2: play or it's a no play because, like I said,

601
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 2: Alabama and de Bor, they come out with great plans

602
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 2: and then by the second quarter, Kirby is the best

603
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 2: end game adjuster in the nation.

604
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 3: So yeah, like I'm probably gonna bet if it gets

605
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 3: to tune out. I bet Georgia a lot pre game.

606
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 3: I'm gonna bet the total. I'll bet it's small. You'll

607
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 3: see where this goes. But like, if my anticipation is

608
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 3: Alabama's going to score early and then Kirby adjusts, like

609
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 3: I probably should wait, Like that's my expectation, I probably

610
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 3: should wait to get.

611
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 2: The biggest fifty five. Yeah, the biggest keys are fifty

612
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 2: five and fifty nine. So by your theory, I mean

613
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 2: it's perfect to wait if there's a if there's a.

614
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:12,480
Speaker 3: Score, yeah, fifty one below that and fifty five. So

615
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 3: but all right, we're going to head to head on

616
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 3: the total. I'll throw one other thing keep in mind,

617
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 3: which could swing this game. Georgia best special teams in

618
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:25,959
Speaker 3: the country. Keep that in mind, all right, and you

619
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 3: just you trust Simpson. I don't yet. I still got

620
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 3: to see it, because you do you do you think

621
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 3: it's twenty eighteen, Like it's Alabama and clem Center. As

622
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 3: we've now crossed off Clempson, we might be soon crossing

623
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 3: off Alabama off your list's.

624
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 2: Kicker count as the special teams for Georgia. Is that

625
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 2: what you're including in that number?

626
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 3: I mean coming into the year last year they were

627
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 3: probably the top special teams too. Their special teams are

628
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 3: elite elite.

629
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 2: Still three if Tennessee doesn't miss that field.

630
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 3: Goal, Uh you know, yeah, I think so. I think

631
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 3: if they dominated Tennessee and like really deserve to win,

632
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 3: this would have been three a half four. You're just

633
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 3: gonna get people like Kirby smart at home. This is

634
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 3: Georgia and Bauma. The only game, the only data point

635
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 3: we real data point, I was them getting blown out

636
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 3: by Florida State. So like, I think two and a

637
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 3: half flat even if they lost that game so unprepared.

638
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 2: They were so unprepared.

639
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 3: We'll see if they're prepared here. Oh, by the way,

640
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 3: quarterback injuries Utah West Virginia. West Virginia is a ton

641
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 3: of injuries. That's a dead shot under to me, Like,

642
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 3: I know, West Virginia wants to go fast, but they

643
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 3: have their offensive line banged up, their quarterback, their running

644
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 3: backs Dan Pier is apparently dealing with an injury. They

645
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 3: also can't throw the ball. West Virginia's defense has been

646
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 3: pretty good under Ali, So like that that screen's under

647
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 3: to me, I love the under there. Do you have

648
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 3: any thoughts on Utah West Virginia.

649
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 2: There's zero EPA, there's no explosiveness, and dam Pier was hurt.

650
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,479
Speaker 2: The one thing I cannot believe is winning him came

651
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 2: out and said they asked if if Dan Peer was hurt.

652
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 2: He said, well, he's in a better He's in a

653
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 2: better space right now than he was a week ago

654
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 2: on Monday, and then he really struggled and practice Tuesday

655
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 2: and Wednesday. That is why Utah's coaches are so super

656
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 2: at keeping information fro anybody, because the anybody remembers that

657
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 2: market last week went from three to three and a

658
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 2: half against Texas Tech. I mean that is how well

659
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: Whittingham keeps injuries away from anyone.

660
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 3: We go again with Utah QB injuries.

661
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look this this inside zone of rich Rod.

662
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 2: I don't know who's running the ball. They're one hundred

663
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 2: and thirty fourth and creating quality drives. I think that

664
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 2: supports the under I think I might join in here

665
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 2: with you. But they are next to dead last and

666
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 2: creating a quality drive. They've all so most most teams

667
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 2: right now, let me just put it this way. Most

668
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: teams are in the twenties and thirties and getting a

669
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 2: possession of offensive possession passed the opponent forty yard line

670
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 2: and getting a scoring position. West Virginia has nineteen this year.

671
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, all their backs are hurt, their quarterbacks are We

672
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 3: saw a disasters was when they pulled marciel against Pitt

673
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 3: And then their offensive line is injuries. And their defense

674
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 3: is fairly healthy, and it's been pretty well schooled and schemed.

675
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 3: And if you're Utah, you don't want damp Year's best

676
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:56,959
Speaker 3: asset is his legs. If he's dealing with an injury,

677
00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 3: you don't want to run him to death. Here in

678
00:31:58,920 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 3: this game.

679
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 2: Wow, they can't you put the under on the board. Yeah,

680
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 2: put the under of the board.

681
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 3: Other quarterback injuries, by the way, before we get through

682
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 3: us a run on Buffalo, their starter Roberson is out.

683
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 3: App State Boise I kind of like app State. I'm

684
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 3: trying to get word on great spot. Yeah, great spot.

685
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 3: Boise has noted aime on deck Maddox. Matt's in a

686
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 3: little banged up. Bois's defense is horrendous. App States defense

687
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 3: is bad too. Who's getting stops in that? I just

688
00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 3: said App State.

689
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: It's also one hundred and thirtyth and penalties. Like, it's

690
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 2: a tough for me. It's a tough wager because of that.

691
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, but app State coming off, but we will. We'll

692
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 3: see if aj Swan can go. Their quarterback apparently practice

693
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 3: after getting an MRI, so there's some quarterback ons already.

694
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,520
Speaker 3: But I was I'll probably have something smell on app

695
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,719
Speaker 3: State even with that line coming down once I get

696
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 3: some more quarterback news. It is a good spot though,

697
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 3: syrahcuse Steve Anngelly out for the year. Duke has taking

698
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 3: money as a result. Miami Ohio. I mean they're playing

699
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 3: linden Wood, but Dakeonton obviously got banged up last week. Liberty.

700
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 3: I don't know who's playing quarterback for Liberty this week.

701
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: Has that been confirmed? Liberty Vaska has made great progress

702
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 3: and recovery and could play Saturday at ODU because they're

703
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 3: o their backup got medically. He was met. He had

704
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 3: a met he was like forced to medically retire Burger

705
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: And speaking of app State, the app State transfer because

706
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,719
Speaker 3: he went down with a shoulder and neck injury late

707
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 3: in the first half against jmuh and didn't return. So

708
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 3: like Michael Merdinger and Ethan Hawk got playing time in

709
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 3: that game.

710
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 2: It was bad.

711
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 3: So that's something to keep in mind.

712
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 2: Liberty is bad. So was Kayden Salter. By the way,

713
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 2: go ahead, I like, I love so.

714
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 3: I'm on Colorado.

715
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 2: This boy, well, apparently we will get there. We'll get there.

716
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 2: Deane had some interesting comments.

717
00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 3: I'm on College Salto looked great last week, threw for

718
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 3: three hundred three touchdowns eighty rs. I know they have

719
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 3: a ton of injuries, like they're they're gonna need to

720
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 3: find a corner. They're gonna need one of their young

721
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 3: kids to step up at corner. They have two cornerback injuries.

722
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: The two guys who were playing outside corner. Their defensive

723
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 3: line has injuries. They have one got one of their

724
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 3: defensive tackles is suspended for the first half for targeting.

725
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:01,840
Speaker 3: So they're in rougher shape by us, relatively healthy, and

726
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 3: they're gonna get Kirkland. I think back the Oklahoma State

727
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 3: transferre to bolster of the defensive line. He's a good

728
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 3: player transferred in the off season. But at seven, come on,

729
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 3: that's UYU was just laying seven at ECU. I made

730
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 3: Colorado four and a half point favored over ECU on

731
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:20,240
Speaker 3: a neutral and this is there. They went across country

732
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 3: coming back to Boulder. They played in a high, high

733
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 3: play game. I don't know the defense on the field

734
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,640
Speaker 3: for like eighty plays. This is still a young quarterback Bachmeyer,

735
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 3: even though he fared well last week.

736
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 2: I guess his numbers aren't that great. He's like, you know, yeah,

737
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 2: And last week.

738
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,600
Speaker 3: They got They stopped ECU twice in the red zone.

739
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 3: They had a defensive touchdown. Whatever ECU was doing at

740
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 3: the one yard line. Seven's too many. Deon has been

741
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 3: good as a dog nine and four against the spread.

742
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:45,840
Speaker 2: So Deon came out and said and I really appreciate

743
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 2: betting Colorado when they played Ryan stobbed because that was atrocious.

744
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:50,799
Speaker 2: That was gross. I want my money back. I should

745
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 2: get a refund, he says. Caden Salter now understands how

746
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 2: we do things around here. So apparently that was more

747
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 2: of a disciplined reason why Cayden Salter said the entire

748
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,280
Speaker 2: game on the bench and Ryan Stobb played. So Salter

749
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,880
Speaker 2: looked a lot better last week. But I there's a

750
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,520
Speaker 2: disciplinarian problem going on with Caven Salter that we'll have

751
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,080
Speaker 2: to figure out. But the numbers, who I make a

752
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 2: four and a half? I agree with you.

753
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, you're gonna give me the same price that PCU

754
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,720
Speaker 3: was getting. All right, LSU would all miss Oh baby,

755
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 3: this one. This is a good one. The over is

756
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:23,720
Speaker 3: taking money. Maybe that's because Lane Kiffin was on social

757
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,040
Speaker 3: media all week telling people to bet the over.

758
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:28,879
Speaker 2: Or is it because wit Weeks is dating his daughter?

759
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:33,320
Speaker 3: Wit Weeks dating his daughter, I'm assuming that he's maybe

760
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 3: his Maybe Landry Kiffin's a mole. Maybe Lane planted there.

761
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 2: Maybe he's gonna get wit Weeks to miss more tackles.

762
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:43,359
Speaker 3: I'm sure he's he's planning. He spent his whole week

763
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 3: planning on how to make wit Weeks his head spin

764
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,799
Speaker 3: and coverage every every play. I don't have a daughter,

765
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 3: but if I did and my my team was playing

766
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,759
Speaker 3: my daughter's boyfriend's team, you better believe I'm gonna put

767
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 3: in a little extra work on how to make him

768
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 3: look stupids in.

769
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 2: A conversation with the old Miss whoever the guards and

770
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 2: tackles are that are blocking at the second level on

771
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 2: whit Weeks, there's there's a conversation happen.

772
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 3: But maybe Landry's a mole. Lane has the playbook, Lane

773
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 3: has their what ls, Who's gonna do? And that's why

774
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 3: he's telling everyone about the over because he knows so.

775
00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 3: But my first thought was to look at the under here.

776
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 3: The over is taking money recently a hit set up

777
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:25,920
Speaker 3: to fifty six and a half time the miss of

778
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 3: one and a half point favorite. My thinking is, like,

779
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 3: I trust the LSU defense. The offense is still a

780
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 3: work in progress. The ole Miss offenses looked electric under Chambliss,

781
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 3: but he hasn't really faced any real defense yet. So

782
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,399
Speaker 3: like but and the other thing is like I don't

783
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:42,799
Speaker 3: trust the old Miss defense. I don't trust the ole

784
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 3: Miss offensive line. So there's a lot of things here.

785
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,319
Speaker 3: Now I wanted to play LSU. My numbers say to

786
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 3: play LSU, but this is a big butt yeah ell,

787
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 3: Clemson keeps losing, Florida keeps losing, which is makes these

788
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 3: LSU resume a lot shakier. So I can't get to

789
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 3: the window. I need this as another data point for LSU.

790
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 3: So I'm passing. I lean under, but now lanes in

791
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:12,399
Speaker 3: my head like if if this is at fifty one late,

792
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 3: he's and and and like the game's out of reach

793
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 3: and he's like, oh oh shit, I told everyone I

794
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 3: to bet the over, like you know he's going to

795
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 3: try to score. Like, so I'm probably staying away here.

796
00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 3: We'll be rooting for LSU. We'll look for something live.

797
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:31,960
Speaker 3: But the LSU resumes looked worse. Oh miss, I don't

798
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:35,720
Speaker 3: throw the line looks bad yet. Their offenses looked electric,

799
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 3: but they've played like nobody Like Arkansas defense is so bad.

800
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 3: So this is a big step up in class. But

801
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 3: maybe LSU's defense like just looked so good because look

802
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 3: at Florida's offense, look at Clemson's offense. So I have

803
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 3: more questions and answers. Nothing for me there anything for you.

804
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I had. I had a Game of the Year

805
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 2: on l s U moneyline in this game, and now

806
00:37:56,239 --> 00:38:02,399
Speaker 2: I'm I don't want to fall so far in love. Yeah,

807
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 2: that's where this is. I don't want to fall too

808
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:06,400
Speaker 2: far in love with Trinidad Chamblis because I remember the

809
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 2: play that I made was because of the scheduling spot

810
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 2: with ole Miss. Also because I didn't like Austin Simmons.

811
00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 2: Well he's not the quarterback anymore.

812
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 3: Champs more than Simons, I'll tell you that.

813
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,920
Speaker 2: Oh, Chambliss is amazing. I mean the two explosive runs

814
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,880
Speaker 2: against Tulane nearly one hundred yards off design gap blocking.

815
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 2: You know, when you look, I think you have to

816
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 2: look at what LSU did against mobile quarterbacks. Right Lagway

817
00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:29,799
Speaker 2: was a non factor on the ground and club Nick

818
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 2: had eight carries for a yard another sack yard age

819
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,960
Speaker 2: in there, but Clubnick was just a non factory lane.

820
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,839
Speaker 2: Kiffin is going to be orbiting around slot receivers, tight

821
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:41,399
Speaker 2: ends as blockers on a draw play. I think he's

822
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 2: going to have Chambliss running on designed runs for the

823
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 2: first half, and then when the second half comes around,

824
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 2: it's going to be a little dinking dunks to the

825
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 2: tight ends over the middle, and I think that's going

826
00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 2: to be the primary way the Old miss scores in

827
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 2: the red zone. So I would really look at Dawan Wright.

828
00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 2: I put that in the app today to Kwan Wright.

829
00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,800
Speaker 2: Anytime TD I think is going about plus two to fifty,

830
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 2: He's already had two tds on the season. He is

831
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 2: the primary red zone source because Chambliss is running all

832
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:08,879
Speaker 2: of these designed rushes with running backs and tight ends

833
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 2: and motion that are blocking for him on left. They're

834
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,160
Speaker 2: growing left, they're going right, they're going misdirection. It's really

835
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 2: tough to defend. LSU right now is ninety seventh and tackling.

836
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:19,160
Speaker 2: That makes me a little bit nervous for that preseason

837
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:23,359
Speaker 2: position that I have. Chambliss is playing clean balls, zero

838
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:27,400
Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays in sixty two passing attempts, no mistakes, elis,

839
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:29,239
Speaker 2: He's got a real problem running the ball. I mean,

840
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 2: they average the same amount per carry as Cela did

841
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,319
Speaker 2: as Southeast Louisiana. They're blow over.

842
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 3: If Alice, you can't run the ball this week, I'm off.

843
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,320
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm already in on them, but like their

844
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 3: ceiling won't get there because this ele Missed defense is

845
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 3: significantly worse than last year at their defensive line, their offensive.

846
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,799
Speaker 3: Their offensive line is bad too. Baker's going to bring

847
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 3: pressure and Chambles hasn't seil any pressure. So that's the

848
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 3: other thing here. But lots of fun storylines. The game

849
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:58,360
Speaker 3: should be fun. We'll learn a lot more about both teams.

850
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the other thing is CANNUSEX. It's acute

851
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 2: with no pass rush coming from Ole Miss because pat

852
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 2: ole Miss cannot produce a pass rush. But they're one

853
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 2: of the worst in the nation. Yeah. Ole Miss runs

854
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,959
Speaker 2: a lot of zone and quarters. They have a strong

855
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 2: fifty seven percent success rate running that. They're thirty first

856
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 2: in coverage grading, so this is not an easy thing

857
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:17,480
Speaker 2: for us, who's pretty average against quarters and cover three.

858
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,040
Speaker 2: So I think Chambers's legs is the difference. I think

859
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 2: he's gonna pop to kwan Wright in second half for

860
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 2: a touchdown. I'm gonna try to buy out LSU Game

861
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 2: of the Year live. I'll try to get Old Miss

862
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 2: at a plus number. But I'm not I mean, if

863
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:31,680
Speaker 2: you see that play in the app, for me, that

864
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:33,760
Speaker 2: is not a comfortable position I have on LSU.

865
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:38,520
Speaker 3: I lean LSU, but I have some questions about the resume,

866
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:42,440
Speaker 3: and still there's but I'm not I'm gonna love this

867
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 3: old miss team. I would lean under, But who wants

868
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: to bet a lane under after he's telling everyone all

869
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:49,719
Speaker 3: week to bet the over. I have better things to

870
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 3: do with my money. Auburn at Texas A and M.

871
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 3: This is a tough spot for Auburn A and M

872
00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:58,480
Speaker 3: off of a bye Auburn, who's already played at Baylor,

873
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 3: who made this all and schedule at Taylor at Oklahoma

874
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 3: last week and.

875
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 2: Again they rob Why did Auburn decide to save all

876
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 2: of their nil money for this year when they saw

877
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:10,920
Speaker 2: this schedule? I don't know. Brutal.

878
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 3: Now they go down to one of the toughest places

879
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:15,840
Speaker 3: to play in college. Well. I was impressed with Auburn

880
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 3: last week. Their their future pro center is questionable. I

881
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:20,399
Speaker 3: think Connor Loeu I think it will be good to go,

882
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 3: but that's certainly worth noting. The Texas A and M

883
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 3: defense still has question marks. The offense looks electric, but

884
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 3: I was impressed with Auburn last week. I'll give you

885
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 3: the My most boring take this line is Texa A

886
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:36,919
Speaker 3: and M minus six and a half total fifty two

887
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,280
Speaker 3: and a half. I make this Texas A and M

888
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 3: minus six point nine nice total fifty two and a half.

889
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:48,560
Speaker 3: Absolutely nothing here for me. Have Texas A and M

890
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:52,919
Speaker 3: futures College wall playoff futures, got to get this game.

891
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 3: We'll be rooting for them. Might have something live. I

892
00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:56,360
Speaker 3: got nothing here.

893
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 2: Yeah. I took Auburn on open at seven and a half.

894
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 2: I'd still take them again at six and a half

895
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 2: if I make the game three. I think Auburn's gonna

896
00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 2: show up here. Don't think they can win the game,

897
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 2: but I think they're gonna show up a.

898
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 3: Spot though A and them off a bye. There's them

899
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 3: off that physical game, like heart deflating loss like.

900
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 2: This Texas A and M defense is just is not

901
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 2: that good.

902
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 3: I'm curious see what Alco does with the buye, Like

903
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 3: if you fix some of the that's certainly something to watch.

904
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 3: But yeah, the Auburn offense should, regardless, will look more

905
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 3: functional because the Oklahoma defense and their defensive front is

906
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 3: on a different level compared to Texas A and M.

907
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,319
Speaker 2: Well, Auburn's been running sixty two percent of the time

908
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,720
Speaker 2: with Jermiah Cobb and Jackson Arnold and they're using inside

909
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 2: zone as the primary concept. And Texas A and M.

910
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 2: They're the top twenty five team in defensive rushing success right,

911
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,640
Speaker 2: and they're about fifty eight percent against uh in success

912
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 2: rate against inside zone. So it's gonna have to come

913
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:47,920
Speaker 2: off Jackson Arland's arm.

914
00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:52,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Auburn's rundy has looked good. But I still

915
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,400
Speaker 3: have questions there because if you think about it, like

916
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 3: even if you had just like they've played Baylor, who

917
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 3: can't run it, and they played Oklahoma, who cannot run

918
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 3: the ball, right, so like and Texas A and M

919
00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 3: can Texa A and M is one of the best

920
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:09,880
Speaker 3: off its lines, one of the best backfields, and mobile quarterback.

921
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 3: So I don't know. I mean, I could see a

922
00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 3: case for the over because like, this is gonna be

923
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 3: a lot smoother for Auburn's offense after last week, Like

924
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:22,719
Speaker 3: it's gonna feel like and last week you get to

925
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 3: remember that they were going up against a coach who

926
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 3: knew Jackson like the back of his hand and like

927
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,840
Speaker 3: just knew everything, So things should be more open. And

928
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 3: this A and M offense looks explosive. I make it

929
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 3: right on, But I could see the case for the over.

930
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 2: Well secondary is not stopping Eric Singleton and Cam Coleman

931
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:42,400
Speaker 2: at all. Yeah, they have as many advantages of Texas

932
00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 2: A and M has with Casey Concepcio and Krag.

933
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, it should be a fun game back and forth

934
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:54,320
Speaker 3: in that one. All right, Uh USC at Illinois. Illinois

935
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 3: is bad, but uh this is a this is a

936
00:43:57,280 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 3: great spot for them.

937
00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:00,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, but USC got smacked every time they went east

938
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 2: in Big Ten play last year.

939
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a great spot for Illinois. USC is

940
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:06,680
Speaker 3: not travel well. It's also a noon start Illinois. You're

941
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:08,879
Speaker 3: going to get their best effort. They were embarrassed last week.

942
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 3: They're at home the nine am body clock star for USC.

943
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:15,960
Speaker 3: I don't know if Lane is going to play to

944
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 3: Kobe Lane, the star receiver for USC. I think that matters,

945
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:23,319
Speaker 3: so we'll see him and Lemon. The thing is this

946
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 3: USC offense is unstoppable. I think they might be the

947
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,800
Speaker 3: best offense in the country. They're they upgrade, their tackles

948
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:33,720
Speaker 3: look great. The run game looks amazing. It's like old

949
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:36,839
Speaker 3: old Lincoln Riley run game, and people forget that's where

950
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,399
Speaker 3: it all starts. Well, Linked Roley, it's the run game,

951
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 3: and the run game looks electric. It looks like old

952
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:46,600
Speaker 3: school Lincoln Riley. And then guess what you get the

953
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 3: run game going, and how are you stopped? The tight

954
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 3: ends are also playing really well, but how are you stopping?

955
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 3: And if you haven't seen Waymon Jordan play and Eli

956
00:44:57,120 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 3: Sanders is back up, but way On Jordan's averaging eight

957
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 3: yards of carry. He's electric. But the run game gets going,

958
00:45:03,200 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 3: and then you have a top three wide receiver duo

959
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 3: in lane in Lemon like this offense and am I

960
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:15,360
Speaker 3: have a is playing really well. This offense is electric,

961
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:18,240
Speaker 3: and Illinois their defense or secondary is not fully healthy.

962
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:19,919
Speaker 3: It looks like they're gonna get a couple of guys back,

963
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 3: but they are still gonna be short ended. Last week

964
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:23,760
Speaker 3: they were at one point down their top five.

965
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,520
Speaker 2: I'm not going to get guys back. I mean they're

966
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:28,879
Speaker 2: they're they're turning like Xavier Scott's out there, their their

967
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:30,359
Speaker 2: star corner, nickeled All big ten.

968
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 3: Yes Scott is out. There's other guys that are out,

969
00:45:33,200 --> 00:45:34,920
Speaker 3: but I think like Patterson's gonna play. There's another guy

970
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:39,279
Speaker 3: in concussion protocol. But there's a couple of guys trending

971
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:40,319
Speaker 3: like I don't think they're gonna be down like their

972
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 3: top four or five. It is an it screams Illinois

973
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:47,759
Speaker 3: spot at seven or seven or more. I'm mad I

974
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,400
Speaker 3: didn't grab Illinois just on the spot and like, USC

975
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 3: probably comes out a little flat, slow start with his

976
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:58,520
Speaker 3: time and travel, but it's and the USC defense is

977
00:45:58,520 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 3: an elite so Illinois offense should score enough here. But

978
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 3: I don't know Illinois is getting stops once a USC

979
00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 3: gets going. So spot screams Illinois matchups injuries is assuming

980
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 3: lane plays like that's what I'm waiting for. That screams

981
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 3: advantage USC put it all together. It's a pass for me.

982
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:26,800
Speaker 3: I actually might lean under like the Illinois The problem

983
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 3: is like the Illinois defensive injuries. But I assume Beloman

984
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:33,240
Speaker 3: wants to run the ball more here, kind of control

985
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,440
Speaker 3: the clock, keep that USC offense on the sideline. USC

986
00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 3: might have a slow start here given the time, So

987
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,480
Speaker 3: I don't know. There's a lot of moving pieces. Not

988
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 3: a game I'm in love with either way. We'll be

989
00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:51,400
Speaker 3: a big USC fan for my USC futures, But I

990
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 3: got to get more clarity in the injury situation. Do

991
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 3: you have anything here USC at Illinois?

992
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:57,399
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, USC is definitely a parley piece. I think

993
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,399
Speaker 2: you can moneyline part of them with another team that's

994
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 2: maybe five seven point favorites Indiana. So you know, it's

995
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:09,359
Speaker 2: funny because Mendoza went straight at Xavier Scott's replacement last week,

996
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:13,399
Speaker 2: Tanner Heckle Signetty targeted him five times, four balls got

997
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:17,120
Speaker 2: caught for sixty four yards, you know. So, and Altmeyer

998
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 2: had fifteen pressures against Duke and then we said this

999
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 2: last week on the podcast, is having fifteen pressures against Altmeyer?

1000
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:26,000
Speaker 2: Is that going to be a problem against Signette's defense?

1001
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:28,840
Speaker 2: And then they produced sixteen pressures And I think USC

1002
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 2: is going to be able to get a little pressure

1003
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 2: here on Luke Altmeyer. And I just don't know if

1004
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 2: he's gonna be able to keep up this streak where

1005
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:37,640
Speaker 2: you know, I mean, he had two turnover worth he plays,

1006
00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 2: but he has he had to throw an I in

1007
00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:40,359
Speaker 2: t this season. So when does he make his first

1008
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:43,680
Speaker 2: really big mistake? I don't know. And the injury list

1009
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,520
Speaker 2: is huge, like corner Kayleb Patterson was on crutches last week,

1010
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:50,959
Speaker 2: Kayla corner Tory Cox was supposed to practice yesterday. Wide

1011
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 2: receiver Justin Bowick was cleared for Indiana, but he didn't play.

1012
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,920
Speaker 2: Running back Aiden Larry Cleared for Indiana, was in the

1013
00:47:56,920 --> 00:48:00,319
Speaker 2: warm ups, didn't play. Like even the wide receiver Baby

1014
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:02,399
Speaker 2: left the game after the first offensive possession. I don't

1015
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:04,439
Speaker 2: see how anybody could. That's why you've seen this number

1016
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:06,160
Speaker 2: like fly all the way up to seven. I think

1017
00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:09,000
Speaker 2: it's a parlay piece all the way. Speaking of Indiana,

1018
00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 2: they're at Iowa. Farence has been good historically a seven

1019
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:15,799
Speaker 2: plus point dog. Indiana is a seven and a half

1020
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:19,960
Speaker 2: point favorite. Total forty eight and a half. Spot screams Iowa,

1021
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:22,400
Speaker 2: Like this look ahead was like two and a half NW.

1022
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 2: You're at seven and a half.

1023
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:26,359
Speaker 3: Indiana obviously gets upgraded after what they did, But how's

1024
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 3: Iowa keeping up? Like that's that's my fear. I don't

1025
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 3: know how they keep up. The formula is there, Like

1026
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 3: you gotta be a typical Iowa game. Dominate special teams.

1027
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 3: They by my numbers, so far this year they have

1028
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:39,239
Speaker 3: the number one special team shocker. Yeah, and then then

1029
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:41,840
Speaker 3: don't break like it's got to be like the Kennesaw

1030
00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:44,680
Speaker 3: game or not that the old Dominion game against Indiana.

1031
00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:46,839
Speaker 3: You just get stops in the red zone. That's kind

1032
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:50,440
Speaker 3: of like what Iowa defensive structure is with their their

1033
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:52,360
Speaker 3: four two five under Phil Parker. It's a lot of

1034
00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:54,479
Speaker 3: like we're not going to give up any explosive plays,

1035
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 3: shorten the game, run the ball, dominate special teams. That's

1036
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 3: the formula. But I was talking to the biggest one

1037
00:49:02,239 --> 00:49:04,360
Speaker 3: of the biggest betters in the country, one of my

1038
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 3: good friends, who brought up an interesting point who he said,

1039
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:12,720
Speaker 3: why don't it might be proven to have two sets

1040
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,960
Speaker 3: of power ratings for Indiana, one where they're basically like

1041
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 3: a top five to sixteen for their their games against

1042
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,439
Speaker 3: normal opponents, because over the past year and a half,

1043
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,520
Speaker 3: that's how they've played. Like they blow out teams, like

1044
00:49:24,560 --> 00:49:27,319
Speaker 3: their top five team, they blow out it, they put

1045
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:30,520
Speaker 3: up sixty fifty. But then like you have to downgrade

1046
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 3: them when they play teams that are loaded with five stars.

1047
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 3: You know, your your other top four to five, your

1048
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 3: real top five teams, because like their execution is so good,

1049
00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 3: Signetti is so good, and this team is really good.

1050
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 3: But from a pure like like talent blue chip, five star,

1051
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:50,320
Speaker 3: four star, they're not at that same level, so that

1052
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:54,760
Speaker 3: that execution doesn't give them the same results. So maybe

1053
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 3: it's like you know, a field goal difference in their rating.

1054
00:49:57,800 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1055
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,799
Speaker 3: Something that was just a thought experiment. Was interesting because

1056
00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 3: that's how the Indiana's played. Like you think about all

1057
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:05,080
Speaker 3: the results and then they step up in class and

1058
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 3: it doesn't look the same, but their results are like

1059
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 3: they're basically like a top five team every week when

1060
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:13,080
Speaker 3: they play all these normal teams, how they blow everyone out.

1061
00:50:13,160 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 3: So Spots screams, Iowa at over seven, do you got

1062
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 3: anything there?

1063
00:50:17,840 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 2: Well, Indiana plays Oregon on October eleventh, so I guess

1064
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: we'll find out that theory of two power rating systems. Yeah.

1065
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:24,919
Speaker 2: I love Indiana this game, and I think it could

1066
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,239
Speaker 2: get a little out of control. Again. Let me talk

1067
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:31,400
Speaker 2: about the Iowa offense. Zero methodicals against Rutgers in ten possessions.

1068
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:34,120
Speaker 2: It means they did not create a ten play drive.

1069
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 2: You're gonna have to have that because you're not getting

1070
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:39,839
Speaker 2: explosives against Indiana. I was not explosives. What forever? Two

1071
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 2: methodical drives and ten possessions against Iowa State. I just

1072
00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 2: don't see it happening against his Indiana defense. When you

1073
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:46,839
Speaker 2: go to the other side of the ball, What does

1074
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:48,799
Speaker 2: Indiana run on the ground all the time with Roman

1075
00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 2: Hemby and Kaylan Black, they're on inside zone. If you

1076
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:53,800
Speaker 2: look at Iowa's defense right now in the schedule they've played,

1077
00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 2: they are thirty nine percent success rate against inside zone.

1078
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,719
Speaker 2: They cannot defend it. And that's what Indiana runs. The

1079
00:51:00,080 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 2: vantages they had over Illinois, they got the advantages here

1080
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 2: over Iowa. I mean, there's a reason this number I

1081
00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:06,040
Speaker 2: think is ticked up to eight eight and a half.

1082
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 2: There's a chance to get ugly. I threw Indiana at

1083
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 2: the money on parlay with another favorite, but this could

1084
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: be gross.

1085
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 3: I can't get this number unless I like really address

1086
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:17,480
Speaker 3: Indiana and say, like it's different, like I was just

1087
00:51:17,520 --> 00:51:20,080
Speaker 3: talking about. I don't know if I can keep up though,

1088
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:23,759
Speaker 3: but like this it'll it's Is this a classic Iowa game?

1089
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 3: That's basically what this comes down to. Like are they

1090
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:27,760
Speaker 3: just forcing field goals and then like scoring on special teams,

1091
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:31,640
Speaker 3: pinning Indiana at the one like five times, getting muff punts,

1092
00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:34,680
Speaker 3: making all their field goals Indiana's missing field goals? Like

1093
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,080
Speaker 3: is this a an Iowa voodoo game? That's basically what

1094
00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:39,800
Speaker 3: this comes down to. Because they can't keep up in

1095
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:42,240
Speaker 3: a normal setting with their offense.

1096
00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:43,879
Speaker 2: By the way, something's going on with Signetty and Bert

1097
00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:47,840
Speaker 2: like the big time, like that he was so complimentary

1098
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:53,279
Speaker 2: appearance in Iowa this week, like over complimentary, and that's

1099
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:56,239
Speaker 2: after he's like held himself back twice. And plus there's

1100
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 2: another reporter out there that I text with and he's

1101
00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:01,239
Speaker 2: like Signetti had things to say off the record and

1102
00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,400
Speaker 2: was still trying to hold himself back about about belam

1103
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:07,319
Speaker 2: So circle it for next year because there's something going on.

1104
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:09,839
Speaker 3: Tennessee at miss State Tennessee seven and a half point

1105
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:12,120
Speaker 3: favorite hate at some spots total sixty two.

1106
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 2: And a half.

1107
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:14,440
Speaker 3: You want to talk about fast and play number of plays?

1108
00:52:14,440 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 3: What you want to watch?

1109
00:52:15,160 --> 00:52:15,600
Speaker 2: This game?

1110
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 3: Four fifteen Eastern SEC Network. This is a really good

1111
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 3: under the radar game that won't get enough attention to

1112
00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 3: It's at four o'clock on SEC Network. I make it

1113
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:27,720
Speaker 3: seven so I don't over a touchdown. It's Misstate or nothing.

1114
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:29,879
Speaker 3: You got any here?

1115
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:32,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think both these teams are going to have

1116
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 2: a day. I mean Misssippi State's defense, their pass rushers

1117
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 2: outside the top one hunderd so Joey Aguiler should acolutely

1118
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:41,360
Speaker 2: absolutely have no problems. I mean, the biggest advantage for

1119
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,440
Speaker 2: them is actually on the ground. I Misssippi State's secondary

1120
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 2: is better than what their run defenses. So I think

1121
00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:49,359
Speaker 2: Star Thomas and Deshaun Bishop, both averaging three point nine

1122
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 2: to four point eight yards after first contact, is what's

1123
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 2: going to do the damager. That's what they did against Georgia.

1124
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,440
Speaker 2: I mean, remember Tennessee's already played Georgia, and that's what

1125
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:59,120
Speaker 2: those running backs are averaging. The question is can Blake

1126
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 2: shape and keep up with the Tennessee attack. I mean,

1127
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:05,359
Speaker 2: Tennessee's covered unit is ranked sixtieth. Tennessee runs primarily Cover

1128
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:07,400
Speaker 2: three with ten banks. So you look at Blake Shaping

1129
00:53:07,440 --> 00:53:09,400
Speaker 2: in his career, what has he done against Cover three?

1130
00:53:09,960 --> 00:53:13,400
Speaker 2: Seventy three percent success rate and an explosive play Twenty

1131
00:53:13,400 --> 00:53:16,439
Speaker 2: eight percent of the time Tennessee plays Cover three, they

1132
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:20,280
Speaker 2: allow an explosive one of every five attempts. Listen, Brenton

1133
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:22,759
Speaker 2: Thompson Anthony Evans are the third. They're both averaging two

1134
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:24,960
Speaker 2: point seven yards per route run Like I make this

1135
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:28,320
Speaker 2: game ten, but I'm not betting Tennessee. Blake Blake Shapan

1136
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,480
Speaker 2: loves Cover three. I think they're gonna keep up with them.

1137
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:32,279
Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're gonna set them, but I think

1138
00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:34,920
Speaker 2: Missisi State's gonna be able to keep up cow bells.

1139
00:53:35,200 --> 00:53:38,319
Speaker 3: I got a fever and the only prescription is mall

1140
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:47,239
Speaker 3: cow bell hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is

1141
00:53:47,280 --> 00:53:52,960
Speaker 3: it time to look ahead or look away? I saw

1142
00:53:53,080 --> 00:53:56,239
Speaker 3: Beck coaming to Missouri, you mess that line has taken off.

1143
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:58,200
Speaker 3: I mean you massed that they might be out their

1144
00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:01,120
Speaker 3: entire secondary, their injuries are they're starting at.

1145
00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 2: True, they're starting a redshirt freshman quarterback.

1146
00:54:03,560 --> 00:54:07,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's bad. They had to move quarterbacks to the secondary.

1147
00:54:09,320 --> 00:54:12,920
Speaker 3: It's a disaster. First half first.

1148
00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:16,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I played first half. So Missouri's you know,

1149
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:18,839
Speaker 2: they got their sec win. They're about to go into

1150
00:54:18,880 --> 00:54:21,640
Speaker 2: a buy. This kind of fell into our look ahead

1151
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 2: look away, so I like, does Missouri really want to

1152
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:26,680
Speaker 2: be here? Then I go into you know, Eli's I

1153
00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 2: go into drinks old Spiel earlier this week and he's

1154
00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,560
Speaker 2: calling it homecoming. One hundred and fourteenth call of the columns.

1155
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:37,040
Speaker 2: This is a very very serious week on the campus.

1156
00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:41,520
Speaker 2: More people, and then he starts talking about the kids

1157
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 2: need to park in the right places, go to class,

1158
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:48,360
Speaker 2: do the right things, get enough sleep show up on

1159
00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:50,480
Speaker 2: time this week, and then he says because more people

1160
00:54:50,560 --> 00:54:53,120
Speaker 2: die on the descent of Mount Everest than the actual

1161
00:54:53,160 --> 00:54:56,160
Speaker 2: ascent because of the lack of focus and concentration once

1162
00:54:56,239 --> 00:55:01,400
Speaker 2: they reach the summit. Drink is pis by this idea

1163
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:04,200
Speaker 2: that he does not want his team to have a hangover.

1164
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:07,279
Speaker 2: He mentioned the loss of Sean Clark. He talked about

1165
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:09,360
Speaker 2: this at length in the press conference. Remember, Drink is

1166
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,759
Speaker 2: an app State guy and Sean Clark bridged the gap

1167
00:55:11,800 --> 00:55:13,640
Speaker 2: when he came in as head coach from NC State.

1168
00:55:14,120 --> 00:55:16,479
Speaker 2: They were both at app State. They both had dinner

1169
00:55:16,520 --> 00:55:18,760
Speaker 2: every Wednesday night at Wendy's. Like, I read all about

1170
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 2: this about how emotional it is that Seawn Clark passed away.

1171
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:24,920
Speaker 2: So between homecoming, the one hundred and fourteenth call of

1172
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:27,840
Speaker 2: the columns, the fact that he's mentioning people die on

1173
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,239
Speaker 2: the descent of Everest after reaching the summit, because he's

1174
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 2: talking about waing an SEC game and then playing you Mass,

1175
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 2: and he's also talking out loud about watching tape on

1176
00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 2: freshman AJ Harrison to get the start for you Mass.

1177
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:39,800
Speaker 2: Look at look at what U Mass has had in

1178
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,120
Speaker 2: the first half so far. Iowa's beaten them thirty to seven,

1179
00:55:42,160 --> 00:55:44,360
Speaker 2: Temples beating in twenty eight to ten. I think Missouri's

1180
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:46,479
Speaker 2: just I think Missouri's going to come out here on fire.

1181
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:48,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't back you mess toall you that. By

1182
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 3: the way, the Action Network Gap it's free. If you're

1183
00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:52,919
Speaker 3: new here and you do not have it, you're missing

1184
00:55:52,960 --> 00:55:55,320
Speaker 3: out on the full BBOC betting experience. Use code BBOC

1185
00:55:55,400 --> 00:55:57,719
Speaker 3: twenty to get twenty hours off a year of Action

1186
00:55:57,800 --> 00:55:59,920
Speaker 3: Pro access and never miss a bet from me. Colin

1187
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:01,800
Speaker 3: Duck the whole squad. By the way, make sure you

1188
00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:04,600
Speaker 3: check out the group of five guys with their preview.

1189
00:56:04,640 --> 00:56:07,440
Speaker 3: I know that they Duck was selling Toledo, which I

1190
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:10,080
Speaker 3: don't hate in this spot. All right, it's time for

1191
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 3: some trash the trash man pick of the week. I'm

1192
00:56:14,040 --> 00:56:17,480
Speaker 3: the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1193
00:56:17,520 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 3: and you know it, totally unreliable, undependable. That's it. You've

1194
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:22,640
Speaker 3: been told off. How do you like that?

1195
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:23,279
Speaker 2: Good?

1196
00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 3: All right? Trash updated record twenty nine to nineteen, sixteen

1197
00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:31,919
Speaker 3: point four percent agree. By the way, updated is forty

1198
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:34,600
Speaker 3: two thirty and one fifty eight point three percent. Trash

1199
00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 3: has been about five hundred this year, but some some

1200
00:56:36,480 --> 00:56:40,000
Speaker 3: really bad breaks, although we did get Temple, which was nice.

1201
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:41,719
Speaker 3: All right, let's go through them. You tell me if

1202
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,279
Speaker 3: you agree or not. Ull money line, I mean it's

1203
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:49,279
Speaker 3: even money. Marshall's roadschalk. I mean Marshall should be a

1204
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:51,040
Speaker 3: dog here. I make it three. I know you all

1205
00:56:51,080 --> 00:56:53,319
Speaker 3: can't complete a four pass, but it actually looked better

1206
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,920
Speaker 3: last week. They have the better backfield, they have the

1207
00:56:55,960 --> 00:57:01,280
Speaker 3: better defense. This Marshall team is terrible. Had this circled.

1208
00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:04,880
Speaker 3: They got embarrassed by Marshall last year in the conference title.

1209
00:57:05,080 --> 00:57:07,719
Speaker 3: Give me the raging Cagn's and their home opener to

1210
00:57:07,760 --> 00:57:08,399
Speaker 3: regroup here.

1211
00:57:08,600 --> 00:57:12,960
Speaker 2: Absolutely not, you were crazy. Ul is absolutely atrocious. So

1212
00:57:13,160 --> 00:57:16,640
Speaker 2: is Marshall not not at a quarterback position like this

1213
00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 2: del Rio.

1214
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 3: It was scared of del Rio Wilson. All right, that's

1215
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 3: because now that's why you like Marshall. That's right, your namesake.

1216
00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 3: Their quarterback is del Rio Wilson. Ullo wins that.

1217
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:29,160
Speaker 2: Game, but it's going to be like their head coach too,

1218
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:30,640
Speaker 2: you know, and I.

1219
00:57:30,680 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 3: You I'm fading your Your aztecs off a huge win

1220
00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:36,680
Speaker 3: against Cal. I mean it was pretty fluky that game.

1221
00:57:36,760 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 3: They had a cow kept turning it over, missing field

1222
00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 3: goals or pick sixes, fumble returns for touchdowns. This is

1223
00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:45,040
Speaker 3: a Now you're going to the calb across the country

1224
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:49,720
Speaker 3: before conference play, sleepy spot. Hammock is a dog, is

1225
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:52,840
Speaker 3: absolutely amazing. I think he's twenty one and six against

1226
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,080
Speaker 3: the Spready's five and twenty one is a favor and

1227
00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:57,760
Speaker 3: I used two. There's strength of schedule, disparity is huge

1228
00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 3: year and I use two losses against Maryland and Mississippi State.

1229
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:04,680
Speaker 3: And they hung in both games until the end where

1230
00:58:04,960 --> 00:58:07,240
Speaker 3: they kind of wore down, and I you, I trust

1231
00:58:07,240 --> 00:58:10,920
Speaker 3: their defense more here. They'll run the ball, grind this down.

1232
00:58:11,440 --> 00:58:14,280
Speaker 3: I don't trust San Diego State's quarterback regardless of what

1233
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 3: happened last week. Give me an IU as a home dog.

1234
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:19,640
Speaker 2: I'll pass. I'll wait for norwear fast. Talk about the total.

1235
00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:22,040
Speaker 3: UCLA I took seven.

1236
00:58:22,640 --> 00:58:25,120
Speaker 2: This isn't even trash. This is like toxic evenings.

1237
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:28,080
Speaker 3: I don't like Northwestern, by the way, is like thirty.

1238
00:58:28,480 --> 00:58:30,360
Speaker 3: I think over the last twenty five years, thirty four

1239
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:33,080
Speaker 3: percent as a favorite of seven or more. Again, we

1240
00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 3: have a team that's not built to cover. As a

1241
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 3: big thing, this Northwestern team is terrible. I've downgraded yoused

1242
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:40,800
Speaker 3: to say so much. I have these teams dead even,

1243
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 3: like where do you have these teams power? I have

1244
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:43,720
Speaker 3: these teams dead even.

1245
00:58:43,560 --> 00:58:46,760
Speaker 2: I have Northwestern by six and a half on a neutral.

1246
00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 3: No, yeah, well that that's so you have them. I

1247
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,240
Speaker 3: don't know four I haven't. I make this spread like

1248
00:58:52,640 --> 00:58:54,560
Speaker 3: around of field goal three three and a half. I

1249
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,640
Speaker 3: think I got all them dead, even I have Northwestern.

1250
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:58,440
Speaker 3: Let's see, I'll tell you exactly.

1251
00:58:58,400 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 2: While you're looking it up. Count more categories. UCLA is

1252
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:05,120
Speaker 2: not dead last dead last, quality, drives, havoc.

1253
00:59:05,280 --> 00:59:07,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I get it, they are bad. I make it

1254
00:59:07,600 --> 00:59:12,000
Speaker 3: for sou but and that's aggressively downgrade in the UCLA

1255
00:59:12,040 --> 00:59:14,240
Speaker 3: tim Skippers come in. All the reports I've read, everyone

1256
00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 3: is playing, and they'll get one of the receivers back

1257
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,240
Speaker 3: making his debut floorist this week. Everyone's playing. The practices

1258
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:22,680
Speaker 3: have been actually been functional like they were dysfunctional under

1259
00:59:23,840 --> 00:59:27,760
Speaker 3: Deshaun Foster. Everyone's playing. No one's opting out the practicable.

1260
00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 3: All the reports I've read, the people that I know

1261
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:32,680
Speaker 3: close to Bergham said they still care after getting embarrassed

1262
00:59:32,720 --> 00:59:34,840
Speaker 3: at Northwestern is not much for home field here. They've

1263
00:59:34,840 --> 00:59:37,720
Speaker 3: had to buy the travel isn't as bad. You need

1264
00:59:37,760 --> 00:59:40,560
Speaker 3: Northwestern to win by more than a touchdown. They got

1265
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 3: one receiver, Stone has been terrible. What's he have like

1266
00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:45,919
Speaker 3: ten or twelve turna worthy plays. They lost their leading

1267
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 3: rusher for the season. The defense wants to take away

1268
00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:51,600
Speaker 3: the explosive it all costs, but this UCLA offense isn't explosive.

1269
00:59:51,680 --> 00:59:53,400
Speaker 3: Like they can move the ball enough here, they can

1270
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:56,680
Speaker 3: run it. This is too many points overreaction because no

1271
00:59:56,680 --> 00:59:58,920
Speaker 3: one wants to that Ucla. Give me the Bruins.

1272
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you go ahead. I'm not going I'm not trying

1273
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:03,280
Speaker 2: to back Northwestern, but this is gross.

1274
01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:07,479
Speaker 3: FAU at Memphis too good of a spot. I mean, FAU.

1275
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:09,520
Speaker 3: They've been turnover, They've been snaked with turnovers. I think

1276
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 3: they're minus eight nine. They have nine interceptions on the air.

1277
01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 3: Memphis off that win over Arkansas, if you gotta remember

1278
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,320
Speaker 3: that was a dream spot for Memphis and they were

1279
01:00:17,360 --> 01:00:19,440
Speaker 3: still down twenty eight and ten, twenty eight to ten.

1280
01:00:19,480 --> 01:00:21,000
Speaker 3: They still need to have a fumble light to win.

1281
01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:24,040
Speaker 3: FAU off of a bye, I think, and I think

1282
01:00:24,040 --> 01:00:25,760
Speaker 3: that buy is important because they had a brand new offense,

1283
01:00:25,800 --> 01:00:28,000
Speaker 3: a brand new staff. They needed to get the timing

1284
01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 3: down with their quarterback and receivers. I think they can

1285
01:00:30,440 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 3: score enough here. Two touchdowns too many? Give me the

1286
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:38,600
Speaker 3: als al gif No, okay, who who are you fucking

1287
01:00:38,640 --> 01:00:41,480
Speaker 3: owl bg? This is my favorite one. This has come

1288
01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 3: way down. Someone hit this early in the week from

1289
01:00:44,600 --> 01:00:45,640
Speaker 3: nine and a half to ten and a half and

1290
01:00:45,680 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 3: I said, okay, I don't know why that's happening. No,

1291
01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:50,200
Speaker 3: now I can't figure out how that means. You're gonnain

1292
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:52,960
Speaker 3: like thirty. But now this has come back down this

1293
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:55,760
Speaker 3: I still would bet it at eight and a half.

1294
01:00:55,800 --> 01:00:57,720
Speaker 3: The more I've looked into like this. First of all,

1295
01:00:57,760 --> 01:00:59,360
Speaker 3: this team's just going to be two run heavy teams.

1296
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:01,480
Speaker 3: Like the clock is good. If there's gonna be this

1297
01:01:01,640 --> 01:01:04,120
Speaker 3: is like will look kind of like a service kept

1298
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:05,680
Speaker 3: the game, but bowling green to be able to run

1299
01:01:05,720 --> 01:01:08,240
Speaker 3: all day on Ohio. Hio's defense is bad. They also

1300
01:01:08,320 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 3: lost a linebacker on an injury. They lost one of

1301
01:01:09,800 --> 01:01:12,000
Speaker 3: their best runsoff in defensive tackles to an injuries on

1302
01:01:12,080 --> 01:01:15,280
Speaker 3: crutches last week. The Ohio defense is terrible. Drew Pine,

1303
01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:18,240
Speaker 3: all he does is just little dink and dunks and

1304
01:01:18,240 --> 01:01:19,520
Speaker 3: they're gonna run it. And that's what you can do

1305
01:01:19,560 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 3: against the Ohio defense. You know, Bowling Green offensive line

1306
01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:25,160
Speaker 3: will dominate this matchup. They have like eight thousand career

1307
01:01:25,280 --> 01:01:28,320
Speaker 3: FBS staff snaps. They're going up against a really undersized

1308
01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 3: uh Ohio front and pg's gonna go heavy two to

1309
01:01:31,840 --> 01:01:34,160
Speaker 3: three tight ends. They'll be able to move the ball,

1310
01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:38,040
Speaker 3: keep the clock moving. I get that Parker Navarro is

1311
01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,120
Speaker 3: really good. That's probably the difference in this game. And

1312
01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:42,600
Speaker 3: Chase Hendricks in the slot. But I like Bowling Green's

1313
01:01:42,600 --> 01:01:45,440
Speaker 3: slock corner. I don't like their outside corners, but Ohio

1314
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 3: doesn't have any outside receivers, and they lost one of

1315
01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:49,920
Speaker 3: their starters last week to a season ending injury. This

1316
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 3: game will be close.

1317
01:01:51,440 --> 01:01:54,280
Speaker 2: Give me veg I'll pass. I don't like Dorian Pringle

1318
01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:56,280
Speaker 2: being hurt. That was he is hurt.

1319
01:01:56,720 --> 01:01:59,280
Speaker 3: He was one of their better players, but they're they're

1320
01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:04,160
Speaker 3: freshman transfer from Tennessee State. OO knows the defense looked amazing.

1321
01:02:04,240 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 3: I went back and watched to make sure he looked amazing.

1322
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:09,600
Speaker 3: At Louisville. He had a really good game. So that's

1323
01:02:09,600 --> 01:02:10,840
Speaker 3: something that Meherson.

1324
01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:13,280
Speaker 2: I think his name is Okay, oh oh yeah, or

1325
01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:16,800
Speaker 2: maybe not. Say there's a freshman Caden Marshall Andrew Hines.

1326
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:17,920
Speaker 1: Uh.

1327
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, Caid Marshall had a really good game against Louisville,

1328
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:26,120
Speaker 3: which was really promising because uh, and the Ohio offensive

1329
01:02:26,120 --> 01:02:28,080
Speaker 3: line is trash like bowling. Green can win this in

1330
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,439
Speaker 3: the trenches. But that's definitely worth noting. Thanks for bringing

1331
01:02:30,560 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 3: up with Pringle. All right, and uh, last one minor nation.

1332
01:02:34,360 --> 01:02:38,959
Speaker 2: We're talking minor nation out in the West Texas town

1333
01:02:39,080 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 2: of past.

1334
01:02:41,440 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 3: Picks Up first mentioned a minor nation this year. Anything

1335
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:46,560
Speaker 3: over a field goals?

1336
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:48,960
Speaker 2: Fine? Are we really fading Louisiana Tech.

1337
01:02:49,080 --> 01:02:51,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, they've been fraudulent, I'm telling and I've been I

1338
01:02:51,360 --> 01:02:54,360
Speaker 3: bet them a bunch they've been fraud doing U tough bounces.

1339
01:02:54,080 --> 01:02:58,120
Speaker 2: Back, Okay, agree or not? For fifteenth and tackling, I'll

1340
01:02:58,120 --> 01:02:58,360
Speaker 2: take it.

1341
01:02:58,600 --> 01:03:02,040
Speaker 3: Minor mother been nae. That'll do it. For trash. We

1342
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:04,240
Speaker 3: got n I U, U, L L U C L

1343
01:03:04,320 --> 01:03:06,760
Speaker 3: A F A U B G and utep. They ain't

1344
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:09,080
Speaker 3: pretty folks, but they never are. That's why we call

1345
01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:10,959
Speaker 3: it trash. All right, let's go nowhere fast.

1346
01:03:12,880 --> 01:03:15,720
Speaker 1: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1347
01:03:15,760 --> 01:03:17,880
Speaker 1: ever seen before, where.

1348
01:03:17,720 --> 01:03:21,360
Speaker 2: The beautiful, the brutal, and the brave all meat.

1349
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:40,080
Speaker 3: San Diego State had on IU total is low like

1350
01:03:40,240 --> 01:03:42,160
Speaker 3: n IU. They're just they just want to bleaclock and

1351
01:03:42,480 --> 01:03:43,800
Speaker 3: run the ball. They're one of the most run heavy

1352
01:03:43,800 --> 01:03:45,240
Speaker 3: teams in the country. Have you got anything there?

1353
01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:47,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we're two and one and nowhere fast

1354
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:49,480
Speaker 2: Tony Brook couldn't help us get to the over So

1355
01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:51,720
Speaker 2: you know, besides that, we've been doing pretty well here

1356
01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:54,320
Speaker 2: project this game at forty on the dot. Both teams

1357
01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:56,439
Speaker 2: twenty eight point three and twenty nine seconds per play

1358
01:03:57,040 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 2: in San Diego State with this Dinegal kid, it's all

1359
01:03:59,680 --> 01:04:03,000
Speaker 2: about EPA. There's just no success right in these games whatsoever.

1360
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:06,520
Speaker 2: Both of them extremely slow. No EPA coming off of

1361
01:04:06,880 --> 01:04:09,960
Speaker 2: the side of than I use under here, under here,

1362
01:04:10,000 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 2: this is too slow. It should be forty, not not

1363
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 2: as high.

1364
01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:16,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, this isn't a flash fast no Kent State offense

1365
01:04:16,360 --> 01:04:18,400
Speaker 3: now either way. The other trash I mentioned, Utah State

1366
01:04:19,200 --> 01:04:22,200
Speaker 3: Vandy is Baman next week than LSU, than Auburn. Then,

1367
01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:25,920
Speaker 3: I mean it's in sane Missouri. They've been bludgeting teams

1368
01:04:26,080 --> 01:04:28,200
Speaker 3: early and they have an advantage. But I would imagine

1369
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:29,800
Speaker 3: so I don't know if I'll bet Uta State pregame

1370
01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:33,040
Speaker 3: Uta State live at some point or second half. You

1371
01:04:33,120 --> 01:04:35,080
Speaker 3: can't run Papa here. You got to hear your starters out.

1372
01:04:35,080 --> 01:04:38,200
Speaker 3: They got like five or six SEC ranked teams coming up.

1373
01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:42,800
Speaker 3: Utah State's much more confident than Georgia State, so I

1374
01:04:42,880 --> 01:04:45,760
Speaker 3: might look Utah State live or second half, all right,

1375
01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:50,720
Speaker 3: Colin talkiin Arkansas, Woo pig suy. Notre Dame at Arkansas.

1376
01:04:51,000 --> 01:04:54,400
Speaker 3: Arkansas continues to take money. That over is taking money.

1377
01:04:54,920 --> 01:04:58,840
Speaker 3: That's actually starting to come back down. That's because it

1378
01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:02,720
Speaker 3: looks like DeVante Smith. It's probable their name's defense been

1379
01:05:02,760 --> 01:05:04,280
Speaker 3: really bad, but they've had injuries in the secondary. I

1380
01:05:04,320 --> 01:05:06,439
Speaker 3: think Leonard Moore's probably still gonna be out, but that's huge.

1381
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:07,320
Speaker 3: That's something to watch.

1382
01:05:07,800 --> 01:05:09,840
Speaker 2: If you can't defend Omega Blake, if Leonard Moore is

1383
01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:10,720
Speaker 2: not there, it's a problem.

1384
01:05:11,480 --> 01:05:13,920
Speaker 3: See my first thought here is this total. I think

1385
01:05:13,960 --> 01:05:15,880
Speaker 3: this total is too high. Like all of these teams

1386
01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:18,080
Speaker 3: have been over machines. But there's not gonna be crazy

1387
01:05:18,120 --> 01:05:23,000
Speaker 3: pace in this game, right, and like the Notre Dame

1388
01:05:23,040 --> 01:05:25,200
Speaker 3: defense has to progress some and maybe they get I

1389
01:05:25,200 --> 01:05:27,240
Speaker 3: think they're gonna get Smith back maybe more like so

1390
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:29,640
Speaker 3: it should be better. It's hard to see Arkansas defense

1391
01:05:29,640 --> 01:05:32,000
Speaker 3: getting many stops, but like this is getting high at

1392
01:05:32,080 --> 01:05:34,760
Speaker 3: sixty four, it is sixty five. I'm definitely in on

1393
01:05:34,800 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 3: the under. I know it's scary, but what are you

1394
01:05:37,560 --> 01:05:40,600
Speaker 3: seeing here with Arkansas Notre Dame markosoft fort.

1395
01:05:40,640 --> 01:05:42,960
Speaker 2: Maybe sixty three and a half. And the reason I'm

1396
01:05:43,000 --> 01:05:44,840
Speaker 2: not playing the over is because of the method of

1397
01:05:44,880 --> 01:05:46,920
Speaker 2: attack by both teams is going to be on the ground,

1398
01:05:47,440 --> 01:05:49,680
Speaker 2: and so when you have that, that's TikTok TikTok. So

1399
01:05:49,680 --> 01:05:51,160
Speaker 2: I'm just I'm not gonna get involved with the totally.

1400
01:05:51,600 --> 01:05:53,000
Speaker 3: We need everything to go right. You can't have like

1401
01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:55,760
Speaker 3: any red zone turners set on for fuegls.

1402
01:05:56,120 --> 01:05:58,680
Speaker 2: We've had fun betting these Notre Dame Arkansas overs, but

1403
01:05:58,760 --> 01:06:01,440
Speaker 2: these numbers were like fifty six, fifty eight. Then we

1404
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:03,160
Speaker 2: got to sixty one and I was like, okay, we're

1405
01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:04,880
Speaker 2: finally getting close to where it should be. So let's

1406
01:06:04,880 --> 01:06:08,720
Speaker 2: talk about how problematic these defenses have been. Arkansas is

1407
01:06:08,760 --> 01:06:11,360
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty second defensive rushing success rate. They

1408
01:06:11,400 --> 01:06:14,560
Speaker 2: were lazy, they had no effort, there was no motivation,

1409
01:06:14,760 --> 01:06:17,600
Speaker 2: and Memphis just ran slice through that defensive line, which

1410
01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:21,280
Speaker 2: is horrible. Arkansas cannot defend inside zone read forty percent

1411
01:06:21,360 --> 01:06:23,680
Speaker 2: success rate and that's all Notre Dame runs with Jaendarium

1412
01:06:23,680 --> 01:06:26,080
Speaker 2: Price and Jemiah Love two hundred and thirty one yards

1413
01:06:26,080 --> 01:06:28,439
Speaker 2: against Perdue last week five tds. I think Notre Dame's

1414
01:06:28,520 --> 01:06:30,720
Speaker 2: kind of returned to what they are on the ground.

1415
01:06:31,080 --> 01:06:34,000
Speaker 2: Price also had one hundred yard kickoff return TD. Watch

1416
01:06:34,040 --> 01:06:36,120
Speaker 2: out for Jerry and Price. I did bet him anytime

1417
01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:39,480
Speaker 2: TD because of his special teams, because he's like out,

1418
01:06:39,560 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 2: He's like way better in the numbers than Jamiah Love.

1419
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 2: Right now, I think Jenerien Price canna have a big day.

1420
01:06:44,360 --> 01:06:47,280
Speaker 2: On the other side, Notre Dame cannot defend man blocking

1421
01:06:47,360 --> 01:06:50,920
Speaker 2: run concepts at all, Like it is atrocious. Sub forty

1422
01:06:50,920 --> 01:06:53,760
Speaker 2: percent success rate against man blocking. That is all Patrino

1423
01:06:53,920 --> 01:06:56,880
Speaker 2: runs with Mike Washington and Taylor Green. They just line

1424
01:06:56,960 --> 01:06:59,240
Speaker 2: up and do man blocking. I think Mike Washington is

1425
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:01,400
Speaker 2: gonna have a huge day. Taylor Green is the leading

1426
01:07:01,480 --> 01:07:03,000
Speaker 2: rusher on the team. He has two nar and thirty

1427
01:07:03,040 --> 01:07:05,640
Speaker 2: four yards on designed runs, not even scrambles. Get another

1428
01:07:05,720 --> 01:07:08,040
Speaker 2: hundred forty five scrambles two hundred and thirty four yards

1429
01:07:08,080 --> 01:07:11,560
Speaker 2: on design runs. Here's the bets that I made. I

1430
01:07:11,640 --> 01:07:13,439
Speaker 2: have never made this many prop bets in my life.

1431
01:07:13,960 --> 01:07:16,800
Speaker 2: Taylor Green over fifty one rushing yards, that's a joke.

1432
01:07:17,600 --> 01:07:21,360
Speaker 2: Mike Washington over sixty rushing yards, Jeneriing Price over seventy

1433
01:07:21,440 --> 01:07:26,000
Speaker 2: rushing yards, Jenerium Price anytime TD. I like Arkansas pregame.

1434
01:07:26,160 --> 01:07:27,880
Speaker 2: I think it's a live Notre Dame Hedge. I think

1435
01:07:27,920 --> 01:07:30,920
Speaker 2: it's back and forth. But these defensive lines from a

1436
01:07:31,040 --> 01:07:34,040
Speaker 2: run concept perspective are not ready for what they're about

1437
01:07:34,080 --> 01:07:35,640
Speaker 2: to see. Both of them are gonna have huge success.

1438
01:07:35,720 --> 01:07:38,840
Speaker 2: I had like five six yards average per run per rush.

1439
01:07:39,760 --> 01:07:41,880
Speaker 2: I wouldn't touch a total everybody because it's all run.

1440
01:07:42,400 --> 01:07:43,360
Speaker 2: The game should be all run.

1441
01:07:43,880 --> 01:07:46,080
Speaker 3: I like the under. And if it's sixty, especially if

1442
01:07:46,080 --> 01:07:47,920
Speaker 3: we get to sixty five and it looks like Smith's

1443
01:07:47,920 --> 01:07:49,440
Speaker 3: gonna play, especially at more plays.

1444
01:07:49,600 --> 01:07:52,800
Speaker 2: If more plays, and can limit Obega Blake, who's like

1445
01:07:52,880 --> 01:07:54,960
Speaker 2: two point five yards per out run like Obega Blake

1446
01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:57,680
Speaker 2: is insanely good, and Taylor Green looks for him every

1447
01:07:57,840 --> 01:08:01,040
Speaker 2: single passing attempt. If more is, it's a different store.

1448
01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:02,760
Speaker 3: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1449
01:08:02,840 --> 01:08:03,720
Speaker 3: three and now let's.

1450
01:08:03,600 --> 01:08:06,520
Speaker 2: Here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1451
01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:10,160
Speaker 3: All right, so our first down Friday night lights.

1452
01:08:10,160 --> 01:08:10,360
Speaker 2: We got.

1453
01:08:10,400 --> 01:08:13,400
Speaker 3: Florida State at Virginia should be a fun one, probably

1454
01:08:13,480 --> 01:08:16,400
Speaker 3: lots of points. I don't know if Virginia get stops.

1455
01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:19,920
Speaker 3: Virginia hasn't played anyone. We have seen Florida State dominate Alabama.

1456
01:08:20,840 --> 01:08:24,439
Speaker 3: I get the spot for Virginia, but I can't bet.

1457
01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:27,200
Speaker 3: I can't back to who's here, especially at under seven.

1458
01:08:27,640 --> 01:08:32,320
Speaker 3: I get people buying, you know, above seven, but I

1459
01:08:32,439 --> 01:08:35,880
Speaker 3: can't get there. Houston at Oregon State, I mean big

1460
01:08:36,200 --> 01:08:38,200
Speaker 3: strength of schedule despair. The Oregon State's played a really

1461
01:08:38,240 --> 01:08:39,639
Speaker 3: tough schedule, but they're really bad.

1462
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:41,920
Speaker 2: Houston's off of by a bad spot.

1463
01:08:41,840 --> 01:08:46,280
Speaker 3: For yeah, but I can't get anything there. My favorite

1464
01:08:46,320 --> 01:08:49,960
Speaker 3: is TCU at Arizona State three or better. The only

1465
01:08:50,000 --> 01:08:51,720
Speaker 3: thing I'm waiting. I just got to make sure Hoover's okay.

1466
01:08:51,840 --> 01:08:53,120
Speaker 3: Got like banged up at the end of the game

1467
01:08:53,160 --> 01:08:54,360
Speaker 3: because they had him in I don't know what they

1468
01:08:54,400 --> 01:08:57,000
Speaker 3: were doing, and he got he walked off. Here's my

1469
01:08:57,479 --> 01:09:02,000
Speaker 3: statement of the podcast. Josh Hoover QB one best quarterback

1470
01:09:02,040 --> 01:09:04,960
Speaker 3: in the country. So I like TCU the key. Also,

1471
01:09:05,000 --> 01:09:09,000
Speaker 3: Arizona State is a safety out. TCU's run defense is improved.

1472
01:09:09,400 --> 01:09:11,400
Speaker 3: Jala Moss won't play for Arizona State.

1473
01:09:11,479 --> 01:09:11,920
Speaker 2: That's huge.

1474
01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:15,719
Speaker 3: Arizona State is so much easier to game plan against,

1475
01:09:15,800 --> 01:09:19,160
Speaker 3: and their pass offense is so much less efficient because

1476
01:09:19,400 --> 01:09:22,320
Speaker 3: almost half the targets go to Jordan Tyson. I get

1477
01:09:22,400 --> 01:09:24,800
Speaker 3: he's great, but there's no one else. And there's no

1478
01:09:24,880 --> 01:09:26,880
Speaker 3: Scataboo who was so great on the third downs. That's

1479
01:09:26,920 --> 01:09:29,000
Speaker 3: why their third down officers and is good. He's like

1480
01:09:29,000 --> 01:09:31,280
Speaker 3: they're saying him, is amazing out of the back field.

1481
01:09:31,280 --> 01:09:33,360
Speaker 3: He's doing it now in the NFL. But Jala Moss

1482
01:09:33,439 --> 01:09:35,000
Speaker 3: is supposed to be that other guy. They don't have

1483
01:09:35,120 --> 01:09:37,840
Speaker 3: anybody else. I don't even know what Tyson's target chairs

1484
01:09:37,840 --> 01:09:40,439
Speaker 3: all top edits, but it's like forty five fifty percent.

1485
01:09:40,520 --> 01:09:42,960
Speaker 3: It's insane. That's so much easier to game plan for.

1486
01:09:44,479 --> 01:09:47,559
Speaker 3: So yeah, TCU Josh Hoover. I don't know why I've

1487
01:09:47,720 --> 01:09:49,080
Speaker 3: more people don't talk about him. I think he's the

1488
01:09:49,080 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 3: best quarterback in the country.

1489
01:09:50,280 --> 01:09:51,960
Speaker 2: Well, let me do the other two games real quick.

1490
01:09:52,000 --> 01:09:54,080
Speaker 2: So I did bet Virginia. I liked it above seven.

1491
01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:55,720
Speaker 2: Not sure if I can go any farther down, but

1492
01:09:56,479 --> 01:09:58,320
Speaker 2: you know, Virginia is currently top five and third down

1493
01:09:58,360 --> 01:10:03,120
Speaker 2: defense Chandler Morris hasn't been so bad, but FSU is

1494
01:10:03,160 --> 01:10:05,519
Speaker 2: not creating a pass rush and they're not defending the

1495
01:10:05,560 --> 01:10:07,880
Speaker 2: pass very well. So I think there was an avenue

1496
01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:09,880
Speaker 2: for for for Virginia to keep up here and cover

1497
01:10:11,080 --> 01:10:13,240
Speaker 2: as far as Houston goes. You know Houston, Houston's d

1498
01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:15,760
Speaker 2: is the best in the nation, limiting explosives their top ten,

1499
01:10:15,800 --> 01:10:17,880
Speaker 2: and coverage and quality drives. That's bad for Oregon State.

1500
01:10:18,160 --> 01:10:22,479
Speaker 2: Now I want Arizona State. I mean because let me

1501
01:10:22,600 --> 01:10:23,840
Speaker 2: let me say that. Let me say this. You know

1502
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:25,720
Speaker 2: we I said this last week.

1503
01:10:26,000 --> 01:10:29,200
Speaker 3: We just bet we have a on the board, agree

1504
01:10:29,400 --> 01:10:31,000
Speaker 3: pending TCU to win the Big twelve.

1505
01:10:31,160 --> 01:10:33,280
Speaker 2: Now you're all no, I said cover. I didn't say

1506
01:10:33,320 --> 01:10:35,680
Speaker 2: it's gonna win. I know it's three, you're gonna get

1507
01:10:35,680 --> 01:10:36,000
Speaker 2: me three.

1508
01:10:36,479 --> 01:10:39,040
Speaker 3: But listen, Arizona State is favored by three.

1509
01:10:39,360 --> 01:10:41,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So the reason how.

1510
01:10:41,960 --> 01:10:44,160
Speaker 3: Was TCU gonna win and Arizona State cover?

1511
01:10:44,560 --> 01:10:47,240
Speaker 2: I wanted Arizona State in this game, just saying I

1512
01:10:47,320 --> 01:10:49,559
Speaker 2: project the number TCU minus one, you're.

1513
01:10:49,400 --> 01:10:50,880
Speaker 3: Gonna play Arizona State minus three.

1514
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:54,000
Speaker 2: No, no, no, listen, I said this last year. I'll

1515
01:10:54,000 --> 01:10:58,240
Speaker 2: say it again. Josh Hoover has extreme splits against different coverages.

1516
01:10:58,760 --> 01:11:01,280
Speaker 2: This was a problem last year and it was handicapped

1517
01:11:01,360 --> 01:11:03,400
Speaker 2: last year. Right now, he has a thirty eight percent

1518
01:11:03,400 --> 01:11:05,799
Speaker 2: success rat against Cover one and sixty five percent success

1519
01:11:05,880 --> 01:11:08,360
Speaker 2: rate against Cover three. Those line up with what he

1520
01:11:08,439 --> 01:11:12,000
Speaker 2: had last year. Arizona State runs mostly quarters Cover four

1521
01:11:12,080 --> 01:11:14,000
Speaker 2: and is split between Cover one and Cover three. So

1522
01:11:14,120 --> 01:11:17,160
Speaker 2: my question is is does Kenny kind of sniff out

1523
01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:19,920
Speaker 2: what Hoover's tendencies are and throw a whole bunch more

1524
01:11:19,960 --> 01:11:23,040
Speaker 2: Cover one because Hoover's terrible against that against one single

1525
01:11:23,080 --> 01:11:24,439
Speaker 2: high safety and I to.

1526
01:11:24,439 --> 01:11:26,840
Speaker 3: State missing one of their better safeties though, all right,

1527
01:11:26,880 --> 01:11:29,000
Speaker 3: we're going ahead to that. Yeah, it's Hoover and Hoover

1528
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:31,760
Speaker 3: I trusts, all right. Second, doun favorite overdog. That's our

1529
01:11:31,800 --> 01:11:32,400
Speaker 3: favorite favorite.

1530
01:11:32,439 --> 01:11:34,000
Speaker 2: It's called the over dog piway.

1531
01:11:34,120 --> 01:11:37,439
Speaker 3: I'll start things off. Let's throw up Minnesota here. This

1532
01:11:37,560 --> 01:11:39,800
Speaker 3: is a good spot for Minnesota. I hate really laying

1533
01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:42,840
Speaker 3: points at them, but they are a snail and it'll

1534
01:11:43,400 --> 01:11:45,600
Speaker 3: PJ will have like a ten minute drive at the

1535
01:11:45,720 --> 01:11:48,360
Speaker 3: end of three or something. But Rutgers' defense is terrible.

1536
01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:50,800
Speaker 3: They had more injuries. They can't stop anybody. Also, this

1537
01:11:51,000 --> 01:11:53,479
Speaker 3: bye week for a true freshman and a complex offense,

1538
01:11:53,479 --> 01:11:56,160
Speaker 3: and I like what I've seen from Lindsay is invaluable.

1539
01:11:56,400 --> 01:11:58,519
Speaker 3: They also should be healthier in the backfield and across

1540
01:11:58,760 --> 01:12:01,000
Speaker 3: the ward, and Rutgers has more injury. They can't get stops.

1541
01:12:01,720 --> 01:12:04,280
Speaker 3: Major revenge here. There's bad glove between these teams from

1542
01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:08,800
Speaker 3: last year against the old coordinator, the old quarterback. I

1543
01:12:08,880 --> 01:12:11,360
Speaker 3: get the Rutgers offense is good, but the Minnesota defense

1544
01:12:11,439 --> 01:12:14,760
Speaker 3: is feisty. They'll get stopped. Rutgers can't stop anybody. You're letting.

1545
01:12:15,400 --> 01:12:19,080
Speaker 3: Iowa offense put up near forty. Give me Minnesota at

1546
01:12:19,120 --> 01:12:20,120
Speaker 3: home off the by.

1547
01:12:20,320 --> 01:12:22,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with air Force. This is Hawaii's sixth game.

1548
01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:25,559
Speaker 2: They played in Week zero. Timmy came into the season,

1549
01:12:25,720 --> 01:12:28,040
Speaker 2: what two and fifteen playing off the island. Now two

1550
01:12:28,120 --> 01:12:30,760
Speaker 2: and sixteen, after getting whipped by Arizona forty to six.

1551
01:12:31,960 --> 01:12:34,639
Speaker 2: Air Force is coming in with power outside zone full

1552
01:12:34,720 --> 01:12:37,840
Speaker 2: back dive. Hawaii hasn't seen any of that.

1553
01:12:38,240 --> 01:12:39,840
Speaker 3: I mean, they haven't seen any of that.

1554
01:12:40,400 --> 01:12:42,880
Speaker 2: Air Force's stuff rate is a top ten right now.

1555
01:12:42,960 --> 01:12:45,719
Speaker 2: Hawaii's defensive stuff rate is seventy second. Like Airforce should

1556
01:12:45,720 --> 01:12:48,640
Speaker 2: absolutely dominate the trench. I think this Warriors team is

1557
01:12:48,680 --> 01:12:50,360
Speaker 2: going to be exhausted in their six games.

1558
01:12:50,360 --> 01:12:53,840
Speaker 3: And the altitude in the out yeah, and the altitude.

1559
01:12:53,439 --> 01:12:56,559
Speaker 2: Is just this is bad. Air Force is second right

1560
01:12:56,560 --> 01:12:58,680
Speaker 2: now in offensive finishing drives. So I think there's a

1561
01:12:58,720 --> 01:13:00,600
Speaker 2: reason this number is themed. And if you don't like

1562
01:13:00,640 --> 01:13:02,200
Speaker 2: air Force and the number, put in a parlay. But

1563
01:13:02,280 --> 01:13:03,400
Speaker 2: I think this is a great overdog.

1564
01:13:03,840 --> 01:13:10,800
Speaker 3: Finally, our underdog money line parlay turning good weekends into

1565
01:13:11,040 --> 01:13:15,720
Speaker 3: great weekends. It's time for the money line parlay. I'm

1566
01:13:15,720 --> 01:13:18,880
Speaker 3: gonna go with Arizona against Iowa State. Campbell's law. Every

1567
01:13:18,960 --> 01:13:22,240
Speaker 3: Iowa State win ages worse with each passing day. They

1568
01:13:22,280 --> 01:13:26,599
Speaker 3: barely beat Arkansas State, who then gets destroyed by Keetasaul State.

1569
01:13:27,439 --> 01:13:31,000
Speaker 3: We've seen Kansas State, how bad they've looked. It's insane

1570
01:13:31,120 --> 01:13:35,320
Speaker 3: that South Dakota is horrendous in FCS. I get that

1571
01:13:35,400 --> 01:13:36,920
Speaker 3: the bye we came in a good time for them,

1572
01:13:37,080 --> 01:13:40,000
Speaker 3: But Arizona also have a buye. Fafiita is playing really well.

1573
01:13:40,240 --> 01:13:42,800
Speaker 3: A key here, Fafida holds the ball a ton iways stake.

1574
01:13:42,800 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 3: It's no pressure. Another thing that adds some variant to

1575
01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:48,760
Speaker 3: this game is Iowa State doesn't have a kicker. Their

1576
01:13:48,840 --> 01:13:52,360
Speaker 3: kicker's hurt, their kickoff specialist is hurt. True freshman could

1577
01:13:52,439 --> 01:13:54,760
Speaker 3: be handling those duties, could lead a better field position

1578
01:13:54,800 --> 01:13:59,479
Speaker 3: for Arizona and could lead to some miskicks for Iowa State.

1579
01:14:00,000 --> 01:14:00,880
Speaker 3: Give me the Wildcats.

1580
01:14:01,240 --> 01:14:03,000
Speaker 2: I'm going to stick with the theme of Jed Fish here.

1581
01:14:03,040 --> 01:14:05,479
Speaker 2: We're gonna go up and take Washington against Ohio State.

1582
01:14:05,640 --> 01:14:08,080
Speaker 3: By the way nine nine fish moneyline parlay.

1583
01:14:08,120 --> 01:14:09,760
Speaker 2: I love it. Yeah, I know that I'm going to

1584
01:14:09,840 --> 01:14:11,599
Speaker 2: hear from everybody if this doesn't pay off, But I'm

1585
01:14:11,640 --> 01:14:14,360
Speaker 2: taking Washington on the money line. A couple of reasons here.

1586
01:14:14,520 --> 01:14:17,599
Speaker 2: Jonah Coleman, Demon Williams, They're absolutely not going to be stopped,

1587
01:14:17,680 --> 01:14:20,000
Speaker 2: and what their zone concept reads are against Ohio State,

1588
01:14:20,040 --> 01:14:23,080
Speaker 2: they are seventy three percent success Ratehio State's defensive line

1589
01:14:23,200 --> 01:14:25,240
Speaker 2: is going to have struggles with that because they struggled

1590
01:14:25,280 --> 01:14:28,120
Speaker 2: with Texas on the ground completely. And I said it

1591
01:14:28,200 --> 01:14:31,000
Speaker 2: earlier in the podcast and I'll say it now. Fundamentals

1592
01:14:31,040 --> 01:14:33,320
Speaker 2: are a huge part of this Ohio State defense. And

1593
01:14:33,400 --> 01:14:35,720
Speaker 2: I know Matt Patricia showed up for Texas and they

1594
01:14:35,760 --> 01:14:38,080
Speaker 2: got the win. But Caleb Down's mistackle rate was ten

1595
01:14:38,120 --> 01:14:41,200
Speaker 2: percent last year. It's twenty one percent right now. Fundamentals

1596
01:14:41,320 --> 01:14:44,800
Speaker 2: mean everything, especially when people like Williams and Jonah Coleman

1597
01:14:44,800 --> 01:14:46,799
Speaker 2: are getting to the second level and you're not tackling.

1598
01:14:46,920 --> 01:14:48,679
Speaker 2: I will take Washington on the money line.

1599
01:14:48,800 --> 01:14:52,599
Speaker 3: Matt Patricia is a fish. Give me Jedfish nine five

1600
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:55,400
Speaker 3: nine Bad Beat. I'm blaming Colin. It doesn't hit, but

1601
01:14:55,520 --> 01:14:57,800
Speaker 3: I like Washington as well that I'll do it for us.

1602
01:14:57,840 --> 01:14:59,599
Speaker 3: Thanks to Colin for joining me, Thanks to our producer

1603
01:14:59,680 --> 01:15:02,360
Speaker 3: David back Then, most importantly, thanks to all of you

1604
01:15:02,479 --> 01:15:04,960
Speaker 3: for tuning in. Make sure you subcribe on Subcribe Subscribe

1605
01:15:04,960 --> 01:15:07,720
Speaker 3: to Tell Friends on Enemy Recap Show Sunday with the

1606
01:15:07,800 --> 01:15:10,400
Speaker 3: Voicemails nine five nine Deby Live Show ten thirty am

1607
01:15:10,439 --> 01:15:13,280
Speaker 3: Eastern Saturday, group of five guys. Make sure you check

1608
01:15:13,320 --> 01:15:15,720
Speaker 3: out their episode Action Network podcast from me and Chris

1609
01:15:15,800 --> 01:15:18,360
Speaker 3: Raybund for the NFL The Favorites podcast. Make sure you

1610
01:15:18,439 --> 01:15:20,760
Speaker 3: check that out as well. And once again, if you

1611
01:15:20,800 --> 01:15:22,200
Speaker 3: want to tell some of the bests we discussed, I

1612
01:15:22,240 --> 01:15:23,439
Speaker 3: look for the quick slip link in the video and

1613
01:15:23,479 --> 01:15:25,880
Speaker 3: podcast description or visit actionwork dot com slash bet now,

1614
01:15:26,439 --> 01:15:29,000
Speaker 3: What a Day, What a Weekend? By the way, a

1615
01:15:29,080 --> 01:15:32,599
Speaker 3: recap quick well, I agree Washington, Penn State, West Virginia

1616
01:15:32,720 --> 01:15:36,400
Speaker 3: under you tap head to head, I got Georgia, Bama

1617
01:15:36,520 --> 01:15:39,400
Speaker 3: under you have the over, I have TCU, you have

1618
01:15:39,439 --> 01:15:42,360
Speaker 3: Arizona State. I can't wait for this slate. Hope you

1619
01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:45,519
Speaker 3: guys cash some winners with us. Thanks as always for

1620
01:15:45,600 --> 01:15:47,680
Speaker 3: tuning in. You guys are the best. Thanks again to Colin,

1621
01:15:47,800 --> 01:15:48,639
Speaker 3: catch your later cheers.

1622
01:15:48,880 --> 01:16:10,160
Speaker 2: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1623
01:16:10,600 --> 01:16:13,400
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1624
01:16:13,720 --> 01:16:16,320
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1625
01:16:16,439 --> 01:16:17,200
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler